Non Performing Assets and Profitability of Scheduled Commercial Banks
Non Performing Assets and Profitability of Scheduled Commercial Banks
Non Performing Assets and Profitability of Scheduled Commercial Banks
e- ISSN: 2278-487X, p-ISSN: 2319-7668. Volume 19, Issue 9. Ver. VIII (September 2017), PP 01-11
www.iosrjournals.org
Abstract: Since the global financial crisis of 2008-09, the asset quality and profitability of Indian banking
deteriorated. The Gross NPA ratio rose sharply to 7.5% in FY16 compared to 2.2% in FY09. Once the account
is classified as NPA, income from NPA is not recognized on accrual basis and the unrealized interest that was
taken to Profit and Loss account on accrual basis shall also be reversed as the policy of income recognition.
Operational effectiveness of the banks is affected by the quality of advances, which in turn has an impact on the
profitability, cost effectiveness, liquidity, and solvency position of the banks. Hence, an attempt was made to
study the impact of NPAs on the bank’s performance. Data was collected on Scheduled Commercial Banks in
India from RBI reports, and simple correlation and regression applied in order to establish linkages between
selected variables—Profit, ROA, ROE, Cost to Income ratio and Provisions, and NPA. The results of statistical
analysis indicate that NPAs have insignificant inverse relationship with profit, significant negative impact on
ROA, ROE, and a significant positive impact on Cost to Income ratio and Provision. As such, NPAs put
detrimental impact on the bank’s performance.
Keywords: Cost to Income Ratio, NPA, Provisions, ROA, ROE
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Date of Submission: 16-09-2017 Date of acceptance: 28-09-2017
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I. Introduction
The growth story of Indian banking industry is quite interesting and fascinating both in terms of
extensive branch network spread across the country and wide range of services to the clientele over the years.
The post reform era has brought many changes in accounting standards like introduction of Asset Classification
and Income Recognition. One of the major challenges the banking industry is facing is mounting Non Performing
Assets (NPAs). The NPAs is an important prudential indicator to assess the financial health of the banking sector.
During the last five financial years, from April 2011, there was an alarming increase of distressed assets of the
Indian banks. The gross NPAs of Scheduled Commercial Banks reached an alarming figure of ₹611948 crore,
amounting to 7.6% of total advances as at March 2016. Besides NPAs, the restructured standard advances
accounted for 3.9% of total advances, thus overall the stressed advances rose significantly to 11.5% of total
advances as at end March 2016.
Among the bank-groups, Public Sector banks are particularly struggling with high NPAs and they
continue to face the dual problem of significant asset quality stress and inadequate capitalization, which impact
the growth. They continue to have distinctly higher stressed advances at 14.5% of total advances. The huge NPAs
and their continued unmitigated increase in absolute terms have had an adverse impact on the banking system and
hence an attempt has been made in this paper to assess the impact of NPAs on bank performance.
II. Provisioning
In conformity with the prudential norms, provisions should be made on the NPAs on the basis of
classification of assets into prescribed categories. Taking into account the time lag between an account
becoming doubtful of recovery, its recognition as such, the realisation of the security and the erosion over time
in the value of security charged to the bank, the banks should make provision against substandard assets,
doubtful assets and loss assets and banks were also asked to make provisions towards standard advances as
prudent measures.
Provisioning requirement
Provisions towards NPAs are regarded as a controlling mechanism over expected loan losses. There is an effect
on the Balance Sheet of the bank since NPAs need to be provided for and prudential regulation and accounting
standards provide specific guidelines for loan loss provisioning in the banking industry and banks have to
provide provisions ranging from 15% to 100% depending on the category of NPAs. So, hard earned money from
Performing Assets has to be diverted towards meeting the provisioning needs of NPAs and eventually NPAs to
be written off against capital and reserve. If adequate provisioning is not made against NPAs, it will impair the
Bank‟s capital base, thus reducing the protection available to depositors. The details of provisions made
towards NPAs and cumulative provisions held at the end of each year are furnished in Table No. 2 The net
provisions made during the period 2009-2016 have shown fluctuating trends. NPAs put detrimental impact on
the profitability as banks stop to earn income on one hand and attract higher provisioning compared to standard
assets which have direct bearing on the profitability of the banks.
Impact on Income
Interest Income
Non-performing Assets do not generate income as interest to be accounted only on receipt basis and moreover,
if advances become NPAs as at close of any year, the unrealized interest accrued and credited to income
account, should be reversed or provided for. Apart from this, uncollected fees, commissions and other income
that due to any circumstances have accrued in NPAs during past periods should be reversed or provided for.
When a bank does not really receive interest, there is loss of flexibility and the bank loses the opportunity to
redeploy the income stream for a better purpose. Banks are losing interest income of about ₹ 46812 crore a year
(Average yield@ 10% on average Gross NPA of ₹468124 crore during 2015-16).
Burden of Provisions and Write off
Besides interest loss, banks profitability is affected adversely because of providing of doubtful debts and
consequent to writing it off as bad debts. SCBs have lost an income of ₹494000 crore on account of NPAs
during the study period. (Table. 2-4).
Return on Assets
Return on assets is defined as net profit divided by average total assets. It gives an idea of the efficiency of the
management in using its assets to generate earning by measuring a banks profit per currency unit of assets. This
is the main indicator of profitability used in international comparisons and it is one among the guidelines of RBI
for performance analysis of banks. NPAs reduce earning capacity of the assets and thereby Return on Assets
(ROA) also gets affected. It may be noted that the SCBs have registered lower returns on assets after global
crisis and shown decreasing trend during the period 2009 to 2016 except the year 2011. The performance of the
banks is said to be good if the ROA exceeds 1.25 %. The average return on assets of the SCBs is 0.93% for the
study period with minimum ROA of 0.40% during the year 2016 and a maximum of 1.10% during 2011. SCBs
are losing interest income on GNPAs and on realization of which, SCBs could have improved average ROA of
SCBs for the study period by another 70 basis points to make it 1.63 (Table-5).
Return on Equity
Return on Equity is an indicator of the profitability of banks from the shareholders point view. It is a measure
of accounting profits of book equity capital. The price of shares largely depends upon ROE, in the absence of
speculation. The ability of the banks to attract fresh capital in the market depends upon this indicator. The ROE
of all scheduled commercial banks has decreased during the period 2009 to 2016 in consonance with the
profitability and exhibited almost similar trends as that of ROA. The average ROE of the SCBs 11.86 % for the
study period and it could have been 22.16 % on realization of income lost. (Table-5).
Operational Cost
The operational cost of the banks will increase due to increase in the NPAs. Monitoring cost of the NPAs is too
high. Both the preventive and curative measures for reducing the NPAs attract high expenses. The NPAs in one
hand ceases to generate any income from interest and on the other hand it creates loss on account of cost
towards effective management of NPAs.
Liquidity
Banks are in a business where liquidity is of prime importance. Increasing NPAs not only critically affect the
liquidity of the banks but also force the banks to maintain more liquid assets thereby increasing cost. As fund is
blocked in bad assets the bank is bound to borrow money or mobilize deposits for the shorter period of time in
order to maintain minimum cash in hand which results additional cost to the banks. The lending capacity of the
banks is adversely affected due to their inability to recycle the resources. Hence, every time NPAs increase,
deposits are mobilized to fund the incremental NPAs thereby increasing interest expenditure. As per RBI
guidelines, banks have to maintain the minimum amount in statutory reserve ratios SLR and CRR (Presently
SLR and CRR of 20 % and 4% respectively). So, the banks not only have to fund the NPAs but for every ₹100
of such assets, banks have to mobilize about ₹132 resources to meet statutory reserve requirements.
Liability Management
In the light of high NPAs, Banks tend to lower the interest rates on deposits on one hand and likely to levy
higher interest rates on advances to sustain NIM. This may become hurdle in smooth financial intermediation
process and hampers banks‟ business as well as economic growth.
Shareholders‟ Confidence
Normally, shareholders are interested to enhance value of their investments through higher dividends and
market capitalization which is possible only when the bank posts significant profits through improved business.
The increased NPA level is likely to have adverse impact on the bank business as well as profitability thereby
the shareholders do not receive a market return on their capital and sometimes it may erode their value of
investments. As per extant guidelines, banks whose Net NPA level is 5% & above are required to take prior
permission from RBI to declare dividend and also stipulate cap on dividend payout.
Competency
In the context of severe competition in the banking industry, the banks with high NPAs at disadvantage for
leveraging the rate of interest in the deregulated market and securing remunerative business growth in the
competitive money and capital markets, inability to offer competitive market rates both to depositors and
borrowers.
Public Confidence
Credibility of banking system is also affected greatly due to higher level NPAs because it shakes the confidence
of general public in the soundness of the banking system. The increased NPAs may pose liquidity issues which
is likely to lead run on bank by depositors. Thus, the increased incidence of NPAs not only affects the
performance of the banks but also affect the economy as a whole.
Investments
There is a perceptible change in the complexion of banks since when the prudential norms came into force. The
SCBs have developed a tendency to expand investments in preference to credit. This change has an adverse
impact on the performance of the economy with cascading effects as flow of credit towards the productive
ventures for creation of assets, employment etc., has not been at the desired level.
So, the economic value addition (EVA) by banks gets upset because EVA is equal to the net- operating profit
minus cost of capital on account of NPAs. When the return on equity is less than the cost of equity, the negative
spread leads to a negative EVA.
Statistical Analysis
In order to examine the relationship and impact of NPAs have with certain variables like Net Profit, ROA, ROE,
Cost to Income Ratio, and Provisions, Simple correlation and regression tests have been carried out and the
results are discussed in the following paragraphs. In order to identify the strength of relationship between
dependent variables and NPA, R2 value is computed. To assess the significance of regression equation, we
calculated F-value. To examine the statistical significance of NPA on dependent variables t-test is computed.
Impact of NPAs
Impact of NPAs on Net Profit
H1: There is no significant relationship between NPA and Net profit.
NPAs explain only 12 % of variation of net profit of SCBs as shown by the R2. Therefore, this means that some
other factors not included in this model explain 88% of net profit of SCBs. The relationship is negative and the
regression coefficient (-) 0.038, is tested through the „t‟ test and the results show that it is insignificant as the p-
value is greater than the significance level (0.402>0.05). It reveals that NPA has insignificant negative effect
on Net profit of SCBs. Hence, the hypothesis that there is no significant impact of NPAs on Net profit is
accepted.Net Profit consists of income earned by the banks, which includes interest income & other non-interest
income. Since the total advances are increasing so interest income is increasing and there is continuous increase
in non-interest income which are responsible for insignificant negative impact of NPAs on profits.
VII. Conclusion
NPAs have become major challenge for the bank industry, particularly since the global financial crisis
and have adverse impact on performance. It was observed that the high level of NPAs trembles the confidence
of investors, depositors, lenders etc. It causes poor recycling of funds, which in turn will have adverse effect on
the deployment of credit. The non-recovery of loans affects not only further availability of credit but also
financial soundness of the banks.
The high incidence of NPA has cascading impact on all important financials of the banks viz., Profits,
Return on Assets, Return on Equity, Dividend Payout, Provisions, Cost to Income ratio, Net Interest Margin,
EVA, MVA etc., which are likely to erode the value for all stakeholders including Shareholders, Depositors,
Borrowers, Employees and public at large. The results of statistical analysis indicated that NPAs have
insignificant inverse relationship with profits, significant negative impact on ROA, ROE and significant positive
impact on Cost to Income ratio and Provision. Thus, the NPAs have deleterious impact on various parameters of
bank performance.
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IOSR Journal of Business and Management (IOSR-JBM) is UGC approved Journal with Sl.
No. 4481, Journal no. 46879.
Fareed Ahmed. “Non Performing Assets and Profitability of Scheduled Commercial Banks.”
IOSR Journal of Business and Management (IOSR-JBM) , vol. 19, no. 9, 2017, pp. 01–11.