Households' Demand For Groundwater Conservation: The Case of Irrigation Practices in Kombolcha District, Eastern Ethiopia
Households' Demand For Groundwater Conservation: The Case of Irrigation Practices in Kombolcha District, Eastern Ethiopia
Households' Demand For Groundwater Conservation: The Case of Irrigation Practices in Kombolcha District, Eastern Ethiopia
Summary
Ground water degradation is the problem, and its management is curial for sustaining
the benefit from the resource. To maintain the resource we have to have full information
about the value of the resource conservation. Therefore, in this study a contingent
valuation survey was conducted in Kombolcha district to elicit households’ willingness
to pay for groundwater conservation. A sample of 394 households was randomly
selected, and interviewed. However, after checked for sample selection bias 4 protest
bidders were excluded from the data set. Tobit model was applied to determine the
factors affecting willingness to pay. The descriptive analysis shows that about 82% of
the respondents reported that the groundwater has being degraded due to population
pressure, deforestation, soil degradation, agricultural expansion and climatic change.
The mean willingness to pay was computed at 60.63 ETB with the total willingness to
pay of 1,689,576.21 per annum. The study determined that monthly income, educational
level, total farm land holding, total family size, perception and tropical livestock unit
were variables that have significant effect on households’ willingness to pay. Thus,
socio-economic variables should also be considered while designing water related
projects at household level.
Keywords: Contingent Valuation Method, Groundwater conservation, Tobit model,
Willingness to Pay
JEL: Q25, Q50, Q51, Q59
Introduction
Groundwater is water located below the earth’s surface in the saturated zone unlike
the surface water (Siebert et al., 2010). It is a valuable renewable natural resource,
and its availability depends on economic activities (Emerton and Bos, 2004). Globally,
groundwater is an important resource for irrigation practices and hence livelihoods and
food security of billions of people (Morris et al., 2003). Groundwater aquifers have
the potential to be used for anthropogenic carbon dioxide sequestration (Malanson,
1993; FAO, 2003), and indirectly regulate soil erosion (Malanson, 1993). Intensive
groundwater uses for irrigation has given rise to satisfy social and economic benefits.
However, the poor management and intensive groundwater use has all too often been
the causes of groundwater degradation. Groundwater degradation directly and indirectly
affected economic activities. The increased pressure on groundwater results in wells
drying up and conflict between users (Morris et al., 2003). Moreover, only rich farmers
can afford to a reliable source of water; and the poorer sectors of society are likely to
be the hardest hit as they are the most vulnerable to ecosystem changes. Generally,
declining groundwater levels have an impact particularly in the developing world, and
forcing women and children to walk long distances to take water resource (FAO, 2003).
Groundwater management is crucial for poverty alleviation, environmental conservation
as well as sustaining the benefit from the resource. There has been a growing concern
by policy makers, interest groups and the public for the management of groundwater.
In order to manage groundwater, among others, more reliable information on the
economic value of groundwater conservation is crucial. This study therefore, tried to
estimate the economic values of groundwater conservation using contingent valuation
method (CVM). A respondent was introduced to a hypothesized market scenario and a
willingness to pay (WTP) value. The study provides valuable information on the value
of groundwater conservation of Kombolcha district to decision makers and agricultural
water users that are affected by the degradation of the resource. It is believed that the
study plays a key role in formulation of a successful groundwater policy.
and equivalent surplus. Compensating variation and compensating surplus measure the
gains or loss from environmental goods and services, and hold utility constant at the
initial level. However, equivalent variation and equivalent surplus measure welfare
change and hold utility constant at some specified alternative level. Generally, these
four welfare measures involve either payment or compensation to maintain utility
at the specified level (Randall and Stall (1980), cited in Mitchell and Carson 1989).
If the proposed change is welfare increasing through changes in the quantity of
environmental goods, which is the focus of this study, the appropriate welfare measure
is the compensating surplus. This measure can be interpreted as the consumer’s WTP in
order to gain the quantity increase and still maintain their initial utility level (Mitchell
and Carson 1989).
In Hicksian demand curve, the demand function for the public good requires accurate
market data. But, it is very difficult to obtain accurate market data therefore, contingent
valuation method, which requires the creation of hypothetical market scenario that is
similar to actual market situation for groundwater conservation was used. From this
method we can generate the WTP data without having to estimate the actual demand
curve. This concept can be further emphasized from the relationship between the
expenditure function and Hicksian compensated surplus measure. According to Haab
and McConnell (2002), the expenditure function that provides the theoretical structure
for welfare estimation is specified as:
y=e(p,q,u)=min_x {p.x/u(x,u)≥u} (1)
Where: is the minimum amount of income needed to maintain utility level given the
price and public good vectors; is the vector of environmental goods; is a vector of
prices; is level of utility when ; is the vector of private goods and
is income. Let represent some initial level of those respective arguments
and represent some succeeding levels. The derivative of the expenditure
function with respect to price gives the Hicksian or utility-constant demand. We can
represent the compensation surplus by:
(2)
is preferred to for proposed new project brings welfare gain. In this case, the
compensated surplus (CS) measure tells us the consumers’’ WTP for welfare gain.
WTP is the amount of income an individual would give up to make him indifferent
between the original state: income at and the public good at and the revised state:
income reduced to and the public good increased to . Contingent valuation
is capable of obtaining the appropriate Hicksian measure for a proposed change in the
public good (Mitchell and Carson 1989). It can be viewed as a way of estimating the
change in the expenditure function (Haab and McConnell 2002). This study determines
the value of groundwater conservation using the concept of WTP.
Methodology
Data analysis
The survey data was analyzed using descriptive statistics and econometric models.
Tobit econometric model was used to analyze the determinants of WTP for groundwater
conservation. This model has an advantage over other discrete choice models (Linear
probability model, logistic, and probit) in that, it reveals both the probability and the
maximum WTP of the respondents. In discrete choice models like probit and logit
model the dependent variable ( ) is not observed, what we observe is the dummy
variable. However, in Tobit model the dependent variable, or the WTP, is partially
observed and the dependent variable ( ) assumes zero values for a substantial part
of the sample. That is, is observed if and is not observed if . If y*
and xi were observed for everyone in the population, we could use standard regression
methods (ordinary least squares (OLS)) (Maddala, 1992). However, in this study since
we deal with maximum WTP for groundwater conservation which is partly observed,
we employed Tobit model. The censored regression (Tobit) models generally apply
when the variable to be explained is partly continuous. According to Maddala (1997)
the equation for Tobit model is constructed as:
176 EP 2018 (65) 1 (173-185)
HOUSEHOLDS’ DEMAND FOR GROUNDWATER CONSERVATION: THE CASE OF IRRIGATION PRACTICES IN KOMBOLCHA DISTRICT, EASTERN ETHIOPIA
(3)
(4)
(5)
f and F are the density probability function and cumulative distribution function of
∏ ∏
respectively. y*>0 means that the product over those i for which , and y*≤ 0
means the product over those i for .
The Tobit coefficients do not directly give the marginal effects of the associated
explanatory variable on the dependent variable. But their signs show the direction of
change in probability of WTP as the respective explanatory variables changes. Therefore,
it is not reasonable to interpret in the same way as the one interprets coefficients in an
uncensored linear model (Johnston and Dinardo, 1997). Hence, we should estimate
the marginal effect of the Tobit model. According to, Long (1997) and McDonald and
Maffitt (1980) to identify the effects of explanatory variables on the probability of
WTP, conditional and unconditional WTP the following techniques could be used.
The marginal effect of an explanatory variable on the expected value of the dependent
variable was estimated by:
(6)
(7)
Similarly, the change in the probability of willingness to pay with respect to a change
in explanatory variable among willing respondents was estimated by:
(8)
Major sources of income of the households’ are from on farm activities primarily
from production of crops and livestock production. The total monthly income of
these households was computed at 495,117.56 ETB. On the other hand, the monthly
income of the households obtained from off farm activities were also computed at
ETB 145,000. The fact that off-farm incomes contribute smallest to the total family
income, it explains that most of the surveyed household can rely mainly on agricultural
activities with relatively narrow landholding size for their livelihood. Data related to
livestock owned by the respondents was also collected in terms of TLU3. On average
the survey result show that 1.86 TLU with a minimum of 1.56 and maximum of 3.87
was recorded per households (Table 1).
3 Conversion factors used in estimation of tropical livestock unit (TLU) were Donkey = 0.7;
Cow, Bulls and Ox=1; Calf = 0.25; Sheep and Goats= 0.13; Chicken=0.013 and Camel = 1.25
EP 2018 (65) 1 (173-185) 179
Saleamlak Fentaw, Alem Mezgebo
of the Tobit model. Therefore, for interpretation of the Tobit model this paper report
three sets of marginal effects: (1) the effect on the probability of a positive WTP, (2) the
effect on conditional WTP, and (3) the effect on unconditional WTP for groundwater
conservation. To be more specific, households’ monthly incomes have positive and
significant association with the households WTP for groundwater conservation. That is,
when the income of the household increase by one birr, it would increase the probability
of willingness of a household to pay by about 0.004%. Besides, when income of the
household increase by one birr their willingness to pay would increase, on average, by
about 0.007 ETB for all observation and 0.005 ETB for willing respondents’, ceteris
paribus. This shows that groundwater resource is a normal economic good whose
demand changes in the direction of income change. Respondents with higher education
levels were more likely to state positive WTP, and on average, they actually stated
higher conditional and unconditional WTP than respondents with lower educational
levels. This result suggests that investing in education of people might help to improve
the degraded environmental resource like groundwater. The marginal effect of the
result shows that the respondent being educated, the probability of willingness to pay
increases by 0.2%. Also, as the years of education increases by one year, the amount of
cash the household is willing to pay for groundwater conservation increase by 1.88 birr
for the whole sample of study, and 1.41 birr for the willing respondents, ceteris paribus.
The variables perception has positive and significant effect on the amount of WTP. A
unit changes in perception from 0(unperceived) to 1 (perceived) the probability being
willing to pay increases by 2.86%. That is, the marginal effect result shows that a unit
changes from 0 to 1 the willingness to pay increased by 5.67 birr and 4.3 birr for the
whole and willing respondents respectively, ceteris paribus (Table 6).
Table 6. Marginal effects of the explanatory variable on the amount of willingness to pay
Change in probabilities Change among
Change among
Explanatory Variables as explanatory variable individuals who are
the whole
changes willing to pay
Households income 0.00004 0.005 0.0069
Age -0.00106 -0.15 -0.1994
Sex -0.00239 -0.339 -0.4499
Marital status 0.01338 1.86 2.478
Education 0.00199 1.41 1.879
Respondents status 0.00139 0.197 0.2611
Total family size 0.0109 1.54 2.048
Tropical livestock unit 0.0522 7.39 9.814
Total farm land holding 0.0923 13.06 17.34
Perception 0.0286 4.3 5.671
4 4(1.02%) of 394 sampled households were protest zeros. We excluded those protest zeros
from further analysis after we have tested for sample selection bias. So X is the expected
number of households which are expected to protest for the proposed project. It is calculated
by the percentage of sampled protest zeros (1.02%) by the total population 28154 (Y).
5 Y-X is the total households in the study area which are expected to have a valid response
6 Is the mean willingness to pay calculated from the open ended elicitation methods
7 Is mean multiplied by the number of total households which are expected to have valid
response (Z*Mean WTP) measured in ETB
EP 2018 (65) 1 (173-185) 183
Saleamlak Fentaw, Alem Mezgebo
Acknowledgements
We would like to acknowledge the enumerators for the effort they made to collect
survey data. Kombolcha agricultural office deserves special thanks for providing the
necessary support throughout the period of this study.
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