CHAPTER Four Handout
CHAPTER Four Handout
CHAPTER Four Handout
CAPITAL BUDGETING
(LONG TERM INVESTMENT DECISIONS)
3.1 Introduction
return;
Method Average/Accounting Rate of
Traditional Methods Pay Back Period
investment proposals, to achieve the ultimate objective of maximizing the share value
Profitability
of the firm.
Risk ness
In short clear terms, capital budgeting is long term planning for making and financing proposed
capital outlays. It is a complex process which may be divided into five broad phases: planning,
analysis, selection, implementation, and review.
Major steps in capital budgeting process are:
o Idea generation
o Estimating cash inflows and outflows(planning)
o Evaluating the project proposals(Analysis)
o Selecting a project.
o Implementing and
o Reviewing projects.
a) Planning
The planning phase of a firm’s capital budgeting process is concerned with the
articulation of its broad investment strategy and the generation and
preliminary screening of project proposals. The investment strategy of the firm
delineates the broad areas or types of investments the firm planning to
undertake. This provides the framework which shapes, guides, and
circumscribes the identification of individual project opportunities.
b) Analysis: If the preliminary screening suggests that the project is prima facie worthwhile, a
detailed analysis of the marketing, technical, financial, economic, and ecological aspects is
undertaken. The questions and issues raised in such a detailed analysis are described in the
following section. The focus of this phase of capital budgeting is on gathering, preparing and
summarizing relevant information about various project proposals which are being considered
for inclusion in the capital budget. Based on the information development in these analyses, the
stream of costs and benefits associated with project can be defined.
c) Selection: Selection follows, and often overlaps, analysis. It addresses the question – Is the
project worthwhile? A wide range of appraisal criteria/methods of evaluating techniques have
been suggested to judge the worthwhile of a project.
d) Implementation: The implementation phase for an industrial project, which involves setting
up of manufacturing facilities, consists of several stages: (i) project and engineering designs, (ii)
negotiations and contracting, (ii) construction, (iv) training, and plant commissioning.
e) Review: Once the project is commissioned the review phase has to be set in motion.
Performance review should be done periodically to compare actual performance with projected
performance. As feedback device, it is useful in several ways:
(i) It throws light on how realistic were the assumptions underlying the project;
(ii) It provides a documented experience that is highly valuable in future
decision making;
(iii) It suggests corrective action to be taken in the light of actual performance;
(iv) It helps in uncovering judgmental biases;
(v) It induces a desired caution among project sponsors.
3.2 Capital budgeting and its characteristics
In businesses an efficient allocation of capital is the most important finance
function in the modern times. Capital budgeting involves decisions to commit
the firm’s funds to the long-term assets. Such decisions are of considerable
importance to the firm since they tend to determine its value, size by
influencing its growth, profitability and risk.
The long- term investment decisions of a firm are generally known as the capital
budgeting, or capital expenditure decisions. As capital budgeting decision may
be defined as the firm’s decision to invest its current funds most efficiently in the
long-term assets in anticipation of an expected flow of benefits over a series of
years. The long-term assets are those which affect the firm’s operation beyond
one-year period.
The following are the features of investment decisions:
The exchange of current funds for future benefits.
The funds are invested in long-term assets.
The future benefits will occur to the firm over a series of year.
Investment decisions require special attention because of the following reasons:
They influence the firm’s growth in the long run
They involve commitment of large amount of funds
They are irreversible, or reversible at substantial loss
They are among the complex decisions to make
Growth: The effects of investment decisions extend into the future and have to
be endured for a longer period than the consequences of the current operating
expenditure. A firm’s decisions to invest in long-term assets have a decisive
influence on the rate and direction of its growth. A wrong decision can prove
disastrous for the continued survival of the firm; unwanted or unprofitable
expansion of assets will result in heavy operating costs of the firm. On the other
hand, inadequate investment in assets would make it difficult for the firm to
compete successfully and maintain its market share.
Example: A project costs Br.100, 000 and yields annual cash inflow of Br. 20,000 for 8 years.
Required: Calculate its pay back period. This is an example which indicates equal cash inflows
in each year.
Solution: Pay back period = Initial outlay Br.100,000 =5Yrs
Annual cash inflow 20,000
Note that to return its initial investment it takes a period of 3 years and 6 (1100-3000)/3000
Months.
Decision: The decision is to reject the project because its payback period is longer than the
targeted.
Advantages of the payback method: - Easy to understand, calculate and interpreter.
- It provides measure of liquidity and crude measure of
risk because it considers projects with shorter payback period as less risky.
Disadvantage:
It ignores the time value of money
It does not measure the profitability of investment because it ignores cash flows beyond
the payback period.
Provides no objective criterion for decision making that will maximize shareholders
wealth.
It biases capital budgeting decisions in favor of short-term projects and against long-term
projects.
2. Accounting rate of Return: is a measure of a project's profitability from a conventional
accounting stand point. It is a profit after tax and depreciation expense.
Formula: ARR = Average annual net profits (net income) x 100%
Average investment (capital employed)
Average annual profit = Total expected after tax profit of the project
Life of the project
Note - Average investment is assumed to be one half of the net investment.
Average investment = Book value at beginning. + Book value at end or
2
Average annual net profits=sum total of the profits/# of the years
Average Investment = (original investment - salvage value)/2 + add. Working Capital +
salvage value.
Investment costs are averaged because on the average, firm’s will have one half of their
initial purchase price in the records.
Salvage value is deducted from investment cost because it is only the depreciable cost
that is to be consumed. Salvage value will be recovered at the end of the projects life.
Salvage value is again added to the formula because it is an amount tied up till the
end of the life of the project
Decision Rule: If the Accounting rate of Return is greater than or equal to the target
Accounting rate of Return set by the firm, accept the project and In ranking projects, the one
with higher figure of Accounting rate of Return is selected.
Example: 1. A project requires an investment of Br. 500,000 and has a scrap value of Br. 20,000
after 5 years. It is expected to yield profits after depreciation and taxes during the five years
amounting to Br.40,000, Br. 60,000, Br. 70,000, Br. 50,000, Br. 20,000 (assume the target
ARR is 12.5 %.) Calculate the ARR and give your comments.
Solution
Total profit= 40,000 + 60,000 + 70,000 + 50,000 +20,000
= Br. 240,000
Average profit = Br. 240,000/5 = Br. 48,000
Net investment in the project = (Br. 500,000 - Br. 20,000) + 20,000 = 260,000
2
... ARR = Average annual net profit x 100
Net investment in the project
ARR = 48,000 x 100% = 18.4%
260,000
Since it is higher than the target figure, the project should be accepted.
Example: 2. The following information pertains to XYZ Company for a new project.
Investment…………………..Br. 500,000
Life of the project ……………5 Years
Projected net income: 1st year Br. 100,000
2nd year 150,000
3rd year 50,000
4th year 0
5th year (50,000) (it is loss)
Target ARR 15% .
Required: Calculate the ARR and give your comments.
Answer: Average annual income = 250,000/5years = Br. 50,000
Average investment = 500,000/2 = 250,000
:.ARR= 50,000 = 20%
250,000
=> Accept the project because its computed ARR is greater than the targeted.
Example: 3. Determine the average rate of return from the following data for two machines A
and B. Which machine should be selected? (Assume straight line depreciation method)
Machine A Machine B
Original cost Br. 56,125 Br. 56,125
Additional investment in working capital 5,000 6,000
Estimated life in years 5 5
Estimated salvage value. Br. 3000 Br. 3000
Average income tax rate 55% 55%
Annual estimated net profit:
(after depn and tax ) Year 1. Br. 3375 11375
2. 5375 9375
3. 7375 7375
4. 11375 3375
5. 9375 5375
Br.36875 Br.36875
t=1 (1+k) t
Where:
C1, C2 = net cost inflows in years 1,2 ……..
K = the opportunity cost of capital (cost of capital)
PVB = present value of benefits (inflows)
PVC = present value of costs
Co = the initial cost of investment
n = Expected life of the investment
It should be noted that the cost of capital, K, is assumed to be know (given) and is constant.
The excess of worth over cost or net present value (NPV) is simply the present economic value of
the project less its initial cost.
The present economic value is the sum of the net incremental cash flows generated discounted back to
present value at the opportunity cost of capital (the discount rate)
N.B:
It should be noted that the acceptance rule of NPV method is to accept the investment project if
its NPV is positive (NPV>0) and to reject it if the net present value is negative (NPV<0).
Positive NPVs contributed to the net wealth of the shareholders which should result in the
increased price of the firm’s share. The positive NPV will result only if the project generates
cash inflows at a rate higher than the opportunity cost of capital. A project may be accepted if
NPV = 0. A zero NPV implies that projects generate cash flows at a rate just equal to the cost of
capital.
Thus,
If a projects Net Present Value (NPV) >0, (the projects rate of return exceeds the minimum rate
of return; and higher figure is preferable), the firm will earn a return equal to or greater than its
cost of capital.
If Net Present Value (NPV) <0, the projects actual rate of return is less than the minimum
required rate of return.
Example: 1. A company is considering two mutually exclusive projects. Both require an initial
investment of Br. 50, 000 each and have a life of 5 years. The cost of the capital of the company is 10%
and tax rate is 50%. The depreciation is charged on straight line method. The estimated net cash inflows.
(before depreciation and tax) of the two projects are as flows.
Projects
Year A B
1 Br. 20,000 Br. 30,000
2 Br. 22,000 Br. 27,000
3 Br. 28,000 Br. 22,000
4 Br. 25,000 Br. 25,000
5 Br. 30,000 Br. 20,000
Required: Which project should be accepted as per the NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV)?
Solution: Initial investment = Br. 50,000
Depreciation/ year = Br.50,000 = Br. 10,000
5
Cash inflows after Tax rate (50% inflows of Cash inflow
Depreciation cash after depreciation after tax
Year A B A B A B
1 Br.10,000 Br. 20,000 Br. 5000 Br.10,000 Br.
5000 Br.10,000
2 12,000 17,000 6000 8500 6000 8500
3 18,000 12,000 9000 6000 9000 6000
4 15,000 15,000 7500 7500 7500 7500
5 20,000 10,000 10,000 5000 10,000 5000
PV factor Net cash flows Net Present Value (NPV) of cash inflows before
Year At 10% (before depn & after tax) deprecation & after tax
A B A B
1 0.909 Br.15,000 Br. 20,000 Br. 13,635 Br. 18,180
2 0.827 16,000 18,500 13,216 15,299.5
3 0.751 19,000 16,000 14,269 12,016
4 0.683 17,500 17,500 11,952.5 11,952.5
5 0.621 20,000 5,000 12,240 9,315
Total cash inflow Br. 65,508 Br. 66,763
Cash out flow 50, 000 50, 000
Net Present Value (NPV) 15,508 Br. 16, 763
Decision Rule: Hence, for project B has higher Net Present Value (NPV) amount it should be accepted
Example 2: Cash outlay of machine A and B is Br. 56125 each. Both machines are estimated to
have a salvage value of Br. 3000 and useful life of 5 years. The net cash flows for the two
projects are estimated below.
Machine A Machine B
Net cash PV Present Net Cash PV Machine
Year Inflows Factor Value Inflows Factor Value
1 14000 0.9091 12727 22000 0.9091 20000
2 16000 0.8264 13222 20000 0.8264 16528
3 18000 0.7513 13523 18000 0.7513 13523
4 20000 0.6830 13660 16000 0.6830 10928
5 25000* 0.6208 15523 17000* 0.6209 10555
Total present value of inflows Br.68655 Br.71534
Cash outlay (Project cost) 56125 56125
Net present value (NPV) Br.12530 Br. 15409
* Includes salvage value
Solution 2. A) If project A and B are mutually excusive, machine B would be preferred because
it has higher NPV and we must select only one in case of such projects (mutually
exclusive).
B) If projects A and B are independent, we would accept both machines because the
firm has no shortage of fund. This is because both have positive NPV.
Advantages: - It considers the magnitude and timing of cash flows
- It provides an objective criterion for decision making which maximizes shareholders
wealth
- It is the most conceptually correct capital budgeting approach for selection of
mutually exclusive project.
- It considers the total cash flows arising from the proposed project over its life time.
Disadvantages: - Net Present Value (NPV) is more difficult to compute & interpret.
4. Internal rate of return.
The internal rate of return (IRR), although considerably more difficult to calculate by hand than
NPV, is probably the most used sophisticated capital budgeting technique for evaluation
investment alternatives.
The internal rate of return (IRR) is defined as the discount rate that equals the present value of
cash inflows with the investment a project. The (IRR), in other words, is the discount rate that
equates the NPV of an investment opportunity with zero (because the present value of cash
inflows equals the initial investment).
NPV = Present value of Initial
Cash inflows Investment
NPV =
n C
CF t
∑(1+k) t
t=1
Where C = initial investment
CFt = Cash inflows
K = firms discount rate
- Now the above NPV formula can be solved for the value of K that causes
NPV to equal zero, I.e. It is the discount rate that will course the Net Present
Value (NPV) of an investment to be zero. i.e. NET PRESENT VALUE(NPV)
=0
Formula:
O= n
CF II
t
∑(1+k) t
t=1
Example.:1. A firm has invested Br. 1000 in capital equipment with a life of 3 years. The estimated cash
inflows are Br. 300, Br. 1000, and Br. 400 in the 1st, 2nd and 3rd years respectively.
Required: Determine the IRR and comment on it (given the minimum desired discount rate 10%).
Solution:
Cash Low trial Discount another low trial
Year Inflow Rate (25%) (NPV) at 30% (factor) NP V at 30% rate
0 (1000) 1.00 (1000) 1.00 (1000)
1 300 0.800 240 0.769 231
2 1000 0.640 640 0.592 592
3 400 0.5120 204.80 0.455 182
85 5
Cash flows.
Year A B
0 Br. (12,000) Br. (10,000) is the initial investment!
1 6000 1000
2 2000 1000
3 1000 2000
4 5000 10,000