Business Analytics - Answer 4
Business Analytics - Answer 4
$ 2000000
Introduce Product Globally
Remain in NA
$ 120000
$1,000,000
$1,150,000 ($400,000) $1,000,000
ANALYSIS
The optimal strategy would be to launch the product in the test market of NA in case of high respons
And to launch the product globally in case of low response.
Risk Profile:
Expected
Probability Value Decision
(NA High
Response) (In USD)
0.1 530000 Global Market
0.2 530000 Global Market
0.3 530000 Global Market
0.4 578000 Test Market
0.5 722500 Test Market
0.6 867000 Test Market
0.7 1011500 Test Market
0.8 1156000 Test Market
0.9 1300500 Test Market
Market
Globally
$1,011,500
($ 200000)
$1,445,000
$1,011,500
Drop Product
Stay in NA
$ 200000
$ (200,000.00) Introduce in NA test market
Market
Globally Low Response (30%)
($ 600000)
High Global Response (90%)
$ 2000000
Outcome
$1,600,000
1600000
f NA in case of high response.
Probability
$1,011,500
$1,445,000
0.3
0.07
0.63
$50,000
Low Global Response (10%)
$ 450000
($200,000)
($200,000)
--
NA
High Global Response (5%)
$ 2000000
($275,000)
$1,200,000 ($350,000)
d be to stay in NA test market.
Drop Product
Low Global Response (95%)
$ 450000
($200,000)
($200,000)