7 - Frank Spence
7 - Frank Spence
7 - Frank Spence
-5- UVA-F-1206
Exhibit 2
FRANK SPENCE
Income Statement
($ in thousands)
Operating Expenses
Depreciation - - - 22 19
Operating Income 990 2,501 935 1.368 4,971
Interest Expense 16 2 4 4 3
Investment Income 14 68 41 12 53
Pension Plan Expense 10 - 25 35 65
Total Other Income (Exp) (12) 66 12 (27) (15)
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Exhibit 3
FRANK SPENCE
Common Size Income Statement
($ in thousands)
Operating Expenses
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Exhibit 4
FRANK SPENCE
Drug Wholesalers, Publicly Traded Company Analysis
($ in millions)
1 McKesson Corp. (MCK) (E) CA $43.625 $1,916.4 $485.6 $2.402.0 $13,189.0 1.9% 14.40 0.18 x 7.37 x 9.58 x 14.41 x 1.83 x
2 Bergen Brunswig Corp. (BBC) CA 22.580 882.4 406.2 1,288.6 7,871.0 1.6% 13.80 0.16 9.25 10.47 14.01 1.87
3 Cardinal Health Inc. (CAH) OH 46.000 1,926.0 325.4 2,251.4 5.790.0 2.4% 22.55 0.39 13.68 16.10 55.03 3.85
4 FoxMeyer Health Corp. (FOX) TX 18.125 308.5 320.3 628.8 5,177.0 1.1% 9.80 0.12 5.92 10.68 7.34 0.61
5 AmeriSource Health Corp. (ASH PA 22.250 300.4 620.3 920.7 4.726.0 2.0% NM 0.19 8.71 9.73 NM NM
6 Bindley Western Industries (BIND IN 15.500 167.9 166.2 334.1 4,231.0 0.8% 11.57 0.08 7.95 10.28 11.19 0.93
7 Owens & Minor Inc. HIdg. (OMI)( VA 13.000 399.2 323.3 722.5 2.752.0 2.0% 15.85 0.26 10.47 12.90 10.54 1.59
8 D & K Wholesale Drug Inc. (DKW MO 6.125 16.5 17.3 33.8 320.0 1.2% 12.01 0.11 6.91 8.90 16.54 2.36
9 Moore Medical Corp. (MMD) CT 11.375 32.6 23.7 56.2 277.0 2.7% 9.25 0.20 6.25 7.50 10.84 1.41
(A) Market Value of Equity calculated by multiplying May 30, 1995 market price by shares outstanding
(B) Not Debt equals total debt less cash
(C) Enterprise Value equals Not Debt plus Market Value of Equity
(D) L TM Operating Margin equals L TM Operating Income (Sales less Cost of Goods Sold and SG&A Expenses) divided by L TM Sales
(E) Financials exclude extraordinary gain in Q3 95
(F) Annualized six-month financials from 3131195
(G) Financials exclude restructuring charge of $29. 6 million
Page 7 of 12
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Exhibit 5
FRANK SPENCE
Distribution Comparable Acquisitions
($ in millions)
Jan 1995 Randolph Medical Inc. General Medical Corp. (Kelso) $86.20 25.50 0.30x NA NA 17.00x 2.39x
MI
Wholesale medical and industrial equipment
and supplies
Oct 1994 FoxMeyer Corp. National Intergroup Inc. $5,048.60 79.70 0.08x 5.67x 7.71x 17. 1 Ox 0.90X
TX Acquired remaining 19.5%
Wholesale pharmaceuticals, health and
beauty aids and general merchandise
Feb 1994 Whitmire Distribution Corp. Cardinal Distribution Inc. $2.794.00 $403.00 0.14x . 8.34x NA 45.28x 1.33x
CA
Wholesale pharmaceuticals
Dec 1993 CompuPharm Inc. GranCare Inc. $72.50 $62.20 0.86x 6.35x NA 16.81x NA
NJ
Wholesale pharmaceuticals
Nov 1993 Medco Containment Services Inc. Merck & Co. Inc. $2,624.00 $6,225.70 2.37x 24.26x 27.71x 44.03x 6.28x
NJ
Wholesale pharmaceuticals, medical and
surgical supplies
Mar 1993 Charise Charles Ltd. Inc. Bindley Western Industries Inc. $75.00 $5.00 0.07x NA NA NA 2.00x (A)
Altamonte Springs, FL
Wholesale oncology and dialysis products
Page 8 of 12
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Exhibit 6
FRANK SPENCE
Free Cash Flow Analysis (Base Case)
($ in thousands)
Depreciation 19 20 20 20 20 20 20
EBIT (Operating Income) 4,971 4,993 5,143 5,297 5,456 5,620 5,788
Taxes (Assumed rate 40%) - 1.997 2,057 2,119 2,182 2.248 2,315
Depreciation 19 20 20 20 20 20 20
Free Cash Flow $ 1,559 $ 2,959 $ 3,047 $ 3.139 $ 3,232 $ 3,329 $ 3,429
Page 9 of 12
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Exhibit 7
FRANK SPENCE
Free Cash Flow Analysis (Base Case)
Assumptions
Historical Projected
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Sales Growth 164.4% -21.6% 60.1% 116.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
As Percent of Sales
Cost of Sales/Revenues 58.93% 65.17% 78.26% 82.91% 76.54% 77.00% 77.00% 77.00% 77.00% 77.00% 77.00%
Gross Profit 41.07% 34.83% 21.74% 17.09% 23.46% 23.00% 23.00% 23.00% 23.00% 23.00/% 23.00%
Investment/Pension Income (Exp 0.11% 0.68% 0.21% -0.18% -0.04% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.008/0
SG&A 3.19% 6.23% 5.89% 4.10% 3.67% 3.67% 3.67% 3.67% 3.67% 3.68% 3.68%
Officers Compensation 3.19% 3.42% 3.85% 1.84% 1.26% 1.26% 1.26% 1.26% 1.26% 1.26% 1.26%
Operating Income 26.35% 25.18% 12.00% 10.97% 18.46% 18.00% 18/00% 18/00% 18.00% 18/00% 18/00%
Page 10 of 12
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Exhibit 8
FRANK SPENCE
DCF Valuation Analysis (Base Case)
($ in millions)
Terminal EBITDA Multiple 5.0x 6.0x 7.0x 5.0x 6.0x 7.0x 5.0x 6.-0x 7.0x
2000 EBITDA $5.8 $5.8 $5.8 $29.0 $34.9 $40.7 $29.0 $34.9 $40.7
Terminal Value $29.0 $34.9 $40.7 $29.0 $34.9 $40.7 $29.0 $34.9 $40.7
Present Value of Terminal Residual Value $14.7 $17.7 $20.6 $12.6 $15.1 $17.6 $10.8 $12.9 $15.1
Present Value of Free Cash Flows $11.2 $11.2 $11.2 $10.4 $10.4 $10.4 $9.7 $9.7 $9.7
ENTERISE PRESENT VALUE $26.0 $28.9 $31.8 $23.0 $25.5 $28.0 $20.5 $22.6 $24.8
Less Net Debt $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0
EQUITY PRESENT VALUE $23.0 $23.0 $28.0 $23.0 $25.5 $28.0 20.5 $22.6 $24.8
PV of Enterprise as a Multiple of Revenues 1.07x 1.18x 0.85x 0.95x 1.04x 0.96x 0.76x 0l84x 0.92x
PV of Enterprise as a Multiple of EBIDTA 5.79x 6.38x 4.61x 5.11x 5.62x 5.20x 4.11x 4.54x 4.97x
PV of Enterprise as a Multiple of Operating Income 5.81x 6.38x 4.63x 5.13x 5.64x 5.22x 4.12x 4.55x 4.99x
PV of Equity as a Multiple of Book Value 6.35x 7.00x 5.05x 5.60x 6.16x 5.70x 4.50x 4.97x 5.45x
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DardenBusinessPublishing:228004
-12- UVA-F-1206
Exhibit 9
FRANK SPENCE
Financial Market Data
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*Compound rate of return over the period (capital gains plus dividends).
**Simple average of annual rates of return (capital gains plus dividends).
______________________________________
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