Japan'S New Trade Policy: From Gatt and The Wto To Ftas: Urata, Shujiro
Japan'S New Trade Policy: From Gatt and The Wto To Ftas: Urata, Shujiro
Japan'S New Trade Policy: From Gatt and The Wto To Ftas: Urata, Shujiro
Japan’s New Trade Policy: from GATT and the WTO to FTAs
URATA, Shujiro
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Introduction
Since the beginning of the 21st century, Japan has aggressively promoted Free Trade Agreement
(FTA) negotiations, particularly with the countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN).
Currently, Japan has put a total of 11 FTAs into effect, ten bilateral FTAs with countries such as Singapore,
and one regional FTA with ASEAN, and is carrying out negotiations for five further FTAs with countries such
as India and Australia. FTAs represent a policy of preferential trade agreements between specific countries
aimed at eliminating tariff and non-tariff barriers and as such run contrary to the most favored nation
treatment (equal treatment to WTO members) that is the basic principle of the World Trade Organization
(WTO). From 1956, when it joined the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), which was the
predecessor to the WTO, Japan implemented a trade policy as a member of GATT and the WTO with a focus
on multilateral trade liberalization negotiations based on most favored nation treatment. With this in mind,
Japan’s proactive entry into FTAs in recent years can be interpreted as implying a significant switch in its
trade policy.
In this paper, I examine Japan’s FTA strategy from a variety of perspectives with the above
situation in mind. In the next section, section 2, I give an overview of the trends and characteristics of Japan’s
FTAs. In section 3, I analyze the motivation behind Japan’s FTA strategy, and in section 4, I highlight the
obstacles to entry into FTAs. In section 5, I examine Japan’s existing FTAs from both quantitative and
qualitative perspectives and analyze the impact of FTAs on trade and direct investment. In the last section,
section 6, I present the strategies that Japan should adopt in promoting an FTA strategy in the future.
1
For more on FTAs, see Urata, Ishikawa and Mizuno (2007) and Shiino and Mizuno (2010).
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and the United States and Japan and the EU. However, in terms of FTAs at the stage of government-level
investigations, there is the East Asia FTA (EAFTA) between ASEAN 10, Japan, China and South Korea, and
the Comprehensive Economic Partnership in East Asia (CEPEA) between the members of the East Asia
Summit, which includes the ASEAN 10 countries, Japan, China, South Korea, India, Australia and New
Zealand. In terms of FTAs to which Japan is a candidate for membership, there is the proposed Free Trade
Area of Asia Pacific (FTAAP) by member economies of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC).
The above concept was proposed in 2006 by the United States, where government-level investigations have
since been carried out. In Japan, establishment of the FTAAP by 2020 has been promised as part of the
Democratic Party’s growth strategy. In May 2010, collaborative research between industry, government and
academia was launched into an FTA between the three North-East Asian countries of Japan, China and South
Korea.
A number of traits can be seen in relation to the countries with which Japan has concluded FTAs.
The first is that its partners are mostly ASEAN countries. As has already been pointed out, bilateral FTAs
have been concluded with seven ASEAN countries (the exceptions being Laos, Cambodia and Myanmar) in
addition to an FTA with the ASEAN region as a whole. The second trait is that Mexico and Chile, which
(among the countries of Central and South America) have aggressively promoted FTAs and formed an FTA
hub in the Central and South American region, are also included in the list of countries with which Japan has
concluded FTAs. The third trait is that there is a large number of FTAs with resource-supplying countries. If
we include FTAs which are currently under negotiation it becomes clear that many of Japan’s FTA partners
are mineral resource supplying countries, with Indonesia and the GCC supplying the oil and natural gas
which are crucial to Japan, Australia supplying coal and iron ore and Chile and Peru supplying copper ore and
other minerals.
In addition to the thorough elimination of tariff and non-tariff barriers between signatory countries
that is included in traditional FTAs, most of Japan’s FTAs also incorporate economic cooperation in a variety
of fields, such as the liberalization of direct investment, the facilitation of trade and direct investment, and the
promotion of human resource training and small-to-medium enterprise. Because these agreements form such
a comprehensive framework, the Japanese government refers to them as Economic Partnership Agreements
(EPAs) rather than FTAs. Behind the construction of EPAs lies recognition of the fact that far-reaching and
comprehensive arrangements are required to bring about major economic advantages in an international
economic environment where people, money and information, as well as goods, now move across national
borders freely and actively. There is also an awareness of the importance of supporting the economic growth
of developing countries through economic cooperation. It goes without saying that, if these countries’
economies grow, exports from Japan will increase and growth in the Japanese economy can be expected.
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actively putting pressure on partner countries to carry out negotiations, the truth was that Japan’s negotiations
were launched in response to requests from partner countries. Despite these circumstances, Japan has been
active in its promotion of FTAs with ASEAN, but behind these efforts lies the fact that China has also been
rapidly promoting FTA negotiations with ASEAN. Strengthening relationships with ASEAN, which is in an
important region both economically and politically in South-East Asia, is an extremely important way of
expanding influence in the East Asia region as a whole.
In this chapter, we will examine the many motives behind Japan’s promotion of FTAs. Firstly, we
will examine the FTA strategy announced by the Japanese government, and then consider the motives behind
Japan’s FTAs based on a variety of information.
2
Prime Minister of Japan and His Cabinet,
http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/singi/keizairenkei/kettei/041221kettei.html
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policy argues for FTAs to include investment as well as trade.
In September 2009 the Liberal Democratic Party was replaced in government by the Democratic
Party, which in its election manifesto argued for the aggressive promotion of EPAs and FTAs with various
countries, including Asian countries, and for integrated initiatives aimed at reforming Japan’s domestic
systems, such as the liberalization and relaxation of the investment system. The party plans to announce a
more detailed EPA/FTA strategy in the autumn of 2010.
3
Taken from World Bank, World Development Indicators 2003 CD-ROM.
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the GATT agreement, and in the light of the perceived difficulties of entering into such FTAs with later
ASEAN members, such as Laos, Cambodia and Myanmar, Japan selected the path of entering into bilateral
FTAs with the early AEAN members, such as Singapore.4 After China and South Korea entered into FTAs
with ASEAN, including the later ASEAN members, Japan renewed its FTA with ASEAN as a whole in order
to fully utilize the advantages of the Cumulative Rules of Origin (explained below) 5.
Allow me to explain the Cumulative Rules of Origin using the example of a Japanese automotive
manufacturer with a production base in Thailand (which is a member of ASEAN). Let us assume that the
Thai production base imports components from Japan in order to assemble vehicles, which it then exports to
another ASEAN member, Indonesia. If Japan had not entered into an FTA with ASEAN as a whole the
vehicles assembled in Thailand would not be regarded as Thai-made because the components used for
manufacture would have been produced in Japan, meaning Indonesian import tariffs would be incurred when
the vehicles were exported to Indonesia. However, with Japan entering into an FTA with ASEAN as a whole
and the Cumulative Rules of Origin being applied, the Japanese-made components are regarded as
ASEAN-made, and vehicles exported to Indonesia from Thailand become exempt from import tariffs. As the
above example highlights, entering into an FTA with ASEAN as a whole brings the advantage of facilitating
more efficient production for Japanese companies with production bases in ASEAN. 6
Many Japanese companies operate overseas by setting up overseas subsidiaries through direct
investment. These companies have expectations for the business environment to be improved as a result of
FTAs. Developing countries, including those in East Asia, have strict regulations against direct investment,
and in many cases the free activities of Japanese companies are hindered. For example, some regulations
prohibit direct investment in certain fields and even where direct investment is permitted there are regulations
governing investment ratios, for example by establishing a maximum percentage of overall capital that can be
invested in an overseas subsidiary. In many cases, overseas subsidiaries are obliged to fulfill export
requirements including technological transfer requirements. It is hoped that FTAs will be able to resolve
similar situations in which the free activities of overseas companies are restricted.
4
Under Article 24 of the GATT Agreement it is necessary to satisfy a number of conditions, such as effective
liberalization of all products, when entering into an FTA. However, there is no need for developing countries
to satisfy these conditions. See Urata, Japan Center for Economic Research ed. (2002) for the WTO’s
position regarding FTAs and related discussions.
5
Because FTAs are a preferential system of tax exemptions for products from FTA partner countries there is a
need to clarify that the products in question originate from the partner country. There are numerous
definitions of country of origin. See the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry’s “Report on Unfair Trade
Practices” for more details.
6
ASEAN put the ASEAN Free Trade Area (FTA) into effect in 1993, reducing trade barriers between the
signature countries.
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economy at the beginning of the 1990s, the Japanese economy has suffered from a long-term recession. This
is why the 1990s have come to be referred to as the “lost decade”. There can be no denying that the economic
system that arose in Japan after the Second World War (referred to as the 1955 System) made a huge
contribution to the country’s rapid economic growth, but in recent years the system has experienced fatigue
and lost its effectiveness. Many commentators believe that systematic reform is needed to implement a
complete renewal of the system.
After the Second World War, Japan used international organizations, such as the General
Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development
(OECD), as well as external pressure from countries such as the United States, to promote liberalization of
trade and direct investment at the same time as implementing structural reforms within Japan. As a result,
there was an extraordinary increase in domestic manufacturing and competitiveness. However, as described
above, from the latter half of the 1990s onwards trade liberalization under the WTO became increasingly
difficult.
In the past, the United States put a great deal of pressure on Japan to open its markets, but in
recent years pressure on trade liberalization from the United States has weakened. The reason for this is that
stronger methods have been used under the WTO for resolving trade disputes in recent years, rather than the
bilateral methods used formerly. What’s more, the focus of America’s bilateral trade disputes has now
switched from Japan to China.
Faced with the insufficiencies of WTO multilateral trade negotiations and a lack of external
pressure from countries such as the United States, Japan began to show interest in FTAs as a method for
promoting structural reforms. In fact, Japan decided that FTAs were a favorable policy after recognizing that
the EU and NAFTA were successfully promoting structural reforms within the framework of FTAs.
3.4 Promotion of Economic Growth and Political and Social Stability in East Asia
For Japan, the importance of the East Asian economy has been expanding. The growth of the East
Asian economy and social and political stability in East Asia have come to play a major role in the steady
growth of the Japanese economy. However, despite the growing importance of the East Asian economy for
Japan, a large number of issues still need to be overcome before further economic growth can be achieved,
including an expansion in exports and investment, the training of human resources and infrastructure
developments. FTAs with Japan are hugely significant in terms of overcoming these problems to bring about
steady economic growth. Specifically, Japanese FTAs can be expected to bring about an expansion in both
exports to Japan and investment from Japan. It goes without saying that expanding exports to Japan requires
Japan to liberalize imports of agricultural products, and this will be discussed in greater detail in the following
chapter. Japan decided to enter into FTAs actively with the countries of East Asia in recognition of the fact
that supporting the growth of East Asian economies was possible through the above channels and that the
resulting economic growth in East Asia would promote political and social stability in those countries and
consequently have a favorable impact on the Japanese economy.
Awareness of the importance for Japan of steady economic development and growth by the
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countries of East Asia was behind the CEPEA proposal. As described above, CEPEA is an FTA proposal
involving the ASEAN+6 countries set up in 2006 in opposition to an ASEAN+3 East Asian FTA led by China.
In 2008, Japan established the Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA), with the
ASEAN+6 countries as members, as an organization to provide intellectual support to the promotion of
integration between the ASEAN+6 countries, or in other words CEPEA. The organization’s head office is
located at the ASEAN Headquarters. ERIA has been recognized as an international organization and is
involved in a variety of activities, including research into the development of regional integration and related
issues, the formulation of a comprehensive development plan for Asia and responses to energy and
environmental issues.
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of FTAs.
Simulation methods utilizing Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models are often used as a
method for carrying out analyses of the economic impact of FTAs. CGE methods provide a model of the real
economy focused on the behavior of market functions. During FTA analyses, CGE models are used to create
economic conditions in the case that an FTA existed for comparison against the real economic conditions in
which the FTA does not exist. In recent years, given the relative ease with which it has become possible to
create CGE models for analysis, CGE models have come to be used to analyze FTA frameworks almost
without exception. There is a wide variety of CGE model types, but the most popular is the GTAP model
developed by Purdue University, Indiana, United States. In this chapter, we will examine analytical results
produced by the GTAP model.
Kawasaki (2003) carried out an analysis into the economic impact on gross domestic product
(GDP) of a variety of FTAs involving East Asian countries, using data from 1997.7 Table 3 shows the impact
on the Japanese economy of Japan’s bilateral FTAs with China, South Korea, Indonesia, Malaysia the
Philippines and Thailand. According to the analytical results contained in Table 3, it is estimated that each
bilateral FTA raised Japanese GDP by between 0.03% and 0.45%, respectively. These amounts may appear
small, but in light of the fact that Japanese economic growth has been between 0% and 1% in recent years it
becomes clear that the impact of FTAs has been substantial. This analysis gives figures higher than those
produced by the results of many other analyses because it includes dynamic effects, such as capital
accumulation and increased competition, in addition to the so-called static effects considered in normal
analyses, such as efficiency improvements to the distribution of resources as a result of FTAs. However,
given that FTAs are assumed to bring about an increase in direct investment and that direct investment is not
included in this model, there is a strong possibility that the model underestimates the economic effects in this
respect.
CEPEA carried out an analysis (2009) into the impact of FTAs on the ASEAN+3 and ASEAN+6
frameworks, rather than bilateral FTAs, using 2004 data. The results showed an improvement in Japanese
GDP of 0.63% and 0.64% respectively. This suggests than multilateral FTAs have a larger economic impact
than bilateral FTAs.
We have established that FTAs bring benefits to the GDP growth of the Japanese economy as a
whole, but looking at individual industries it becomes clear that there is variation in the impact of FTAs, with
some industries receiving the benefit of expanded production and others being forced into reduced production
(Table 3). While the impact on Japanese industry varies from FTA partner to partner, generally speaking,
primary industries such as crops suffer from reduced production whereas manufacturing, particularly the
machinery industry, sees a rise in production. The differing impact of FTAs on production in the respective
industries reflects the difference in competiveness between these industries. Whereas the Japanese machinery
industry is highly competitive, its primary industries are not. At the same time, the differences in the
competitiveness of these industries reflect production factors and the existence of natural resources in the
7
A similar impact to GDP is estimated for economic welfare, which is used to analyze the impact on
consumers.
8
Japanese economy. Whereas Japan possess abundant levels of the skilled workers and capital required for
production in the machinery industry, it has poor levels of the natural resources required for production in
primary industry.
8
Honma (2010)
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organizations at elections and continue to protect agriculture in order to do so. For example, agricultural
cooperatives use their monopoly in a variety of agriculture-related fields, such as the provision of animal feed,
fertilizers and agricultural equipment, the sale of agricultural produce and the provision of loans, in order to
raise their profits. They also seek protection so that this situation can continue. Politicians obtain the support
of people associated with the agricultural cooperatives in return for providing this protection.
The arguments of the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries for agricultural protection to
achieve food security, protection of the natural environment and the handing down of village culture (the
so-called multifaceted functions of agriculture) are supported to a certain extent by the Japanese population,
but these arguments lack justification from an economic perspective. The best policy for achieving the
multifaceted functions of agriculture is not agricultural protection. Rather, it would be better to apply the most
effective policies for each of these individual functions. For example, the best policy for achieving the
protection of the natural environment is not to restrict imports of agricultural products but to provide
subsidies for projects such as tree-planting. The fact that a policy of protecting Japanese agriculture from
imports has not been effective in bringing about food security (improvements in the ratio of food
self-sufficiency) can be seen clearly in the fact that the food self-sufficiency ratio has plummeted under the
policy of import restriction. It is possible that the continuation with the import restriction policy has even
brought about a decline in the food self-sufficiency ratio.
The liberalization of agriculture has in fact been a major barrier to progress during FTA
negotiations. Despite the fact that Japan imports almost no agricultural products from Singapore, Japan
excluded the liberalization of agricultural products from the FTA between the two countries. During
negotiations for the FTA between Japan and Mexico, the liberalization of imports on a variety of agricultural
products, such as pork, became a major issue. Tough discussions were held about the liberalization of imports
on agricultural products during FTA negotiations with a variety of other countries. Currently, the
liberalization of agricultural products, fish in the case of Peru and dairy products and sugar in the case of
Australia, is causing difficulties in FTA negotiations with those countries.
We need to understand that continuing with a protectionist policy that is extremely generous to agriculture not
only impedes the promotion of FTAs for Japan, but by continuing with the inefficient use of production
factors, such as labor and capital, also impedes a recovery and future growth in the Japanese economy.
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The image of Japan for people who still clearly remember their terrible experiences under colonization is far
from positive, and this makes it difficult to build up cooperative relationships such as FTAs. However, in
comparison to Sino-Japanese relations, a relatively positive relationship was built up with South Korea during
the period when Keizo Obuchi was Prime Minister of Japan and Kim Dae-jung was President of South Korea.
There were two reasons for this. The first was that reconciliation was reached between the respective political
leaders on the historical issues. The second reason was that both countries began to understand the
importance of close and cooperative economic and social relationships between the two countries.
Reconciliation was reached after Prime Minister Obuchi made an apology for the actions of the Japanese
towards Koreans during the war, and the strong political leadership of Kim Dae-jung facilitated acceptance of
the apology. One important reason for increased recognition of the need for a closer economic and social
partnership was that the realization of economic growth allowed people to change their view of the two
countries’ relationship from one that had been focused entirely on the past to one in which a future could be
envisaged. This suggests the importance of political leadership and economic growth to the conclusion of
FTAs. Later, despite a positive relationship continuing from a cultural perspective, political relations
worsened during the period of Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi and President Roh Moo-hyun, but
improved after Lee Myung-bak took over as President of South Korea and Japan saw a change of
government from the Liberal Democratic Party to the Democratic Party. Currently, political obstacles can be
regarded as less significant.
9
WTO website: http://rtais.wto.org/UI/PublicSearchByMember.aspx
10
Shiino and Mizuno (2010), p.28
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trading countries and regions, such as China, the United States and the EU, Japan’s FTA coverage ratio would
approach 90%. Looking at the FTA coverage ratio of the major countries as of 2008, most countries had a far
higher ratio than Japan: United States (34.4%); European Union (72.7%), Mexico (82.3%), Indonesia
(57.8%) and Thailand (54.2%). China (10.2%) and South Korea (13.9%) have lower ratios. However, in the
case of South Korea this rises to 35.3% if the FTA signed with the United States and the FTA provisionally
signed with the EU are also included.
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In this case, Japan succeeded in opening the market of an FTA partner country using a
carrot-and-stick approach, resulting in an expansion in trade that can be seen as benefitting both countries. On
the other hand, the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries has used a similar carrot-and-stick
approach to avoid opening the Japanese market. Specifically, the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and
Fisheries is said to have obtained agreement on preventing demands for the opening of the Japanese market
for agricultural products by providing technological support to contribute to improvements in plant and
animal quarantine capacity. In fact, during FTA negotiations with Malaysia and Thailand, swift action by the
Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries saw agreement reached on trade in agricultural products
before agreement was reached on industrial products.
Ochiai et al. (2010) carried out an evaluation of the liberalization of trade in services under FTAs.
They carried out an analysis of all 11 of Japan’s FTAs and ranked the level of liberalization in trade in
services for the Japan-Mexico FTA and Japan-Singapore FTA at 6th and 8th respectively. Japan’s level of
liberalization is lower than that found in the FTAs of other developed nations such as the United States and
Australia, but higher than the level found in the FTAs of developing nations. There are four modes of trade in
services, each with different levels of liberalization in the respective FTAs, but in terms of the average
assessment of decisions implemented in relation to trade in services in Japan’s FTAs overall, the figure was
roughly average.
Urata and Sasuya (2010) carried out an analysis into decisions governing direct investment, and
according to this analysis, Japan’s FTAs with Singapore and Mexico ranked 3rd and 7th respectively among
Japan’s 11 FTAs. In terms of the overall ranking of Japan’s 11 FTAs in comparison with the FTAs of other
countries, Japan ranked 4th out of eight countries. From these results, it can be seen that Japan’s FTAs have an
average level of liberalization in direct investment and a similar level of liberalization for trade in services.
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are imposed on Japan’s exports to Singapore and there ought to be little impact on trade as a result of the FTA
between the two countries. Let us look at one of the few items on which tariffs are imposed—beer. Singapore
imposes a 4% tariff on beer, but tariffs on beer from Japan fell to 0% after the FTA between Japan and
Singapore came into effect. Imports into Singapore of Japanese beer rose 20.3% between 2002 and 2004, and
the FTA between the two countries can be regarded as one cause of this. Regarding the FTA between Japan
and Mexico, the 50% tariff imposed on motor vehicles imported to Mexico was abolished after the FTA
between the two countries came into effect and imports of motor vehicles from Japan to Mexico rose by
36.5% between 2004 and 2005.
From the results of statistical analysis using gravity models, it is clear that there was a
statistically-significant rise in exports from Japan to Mexico after the FTA between the two countries came
into effect, but a similar trend was not detected between Japan and Singapore. The above results of the
statistical analysis are consistent with the expected impact given that Mexico had a very high rate of tariffs
before the FTA came into effect and that Singapore’s tariff rate was almost zero. In other words, the effect of
FTAs on trade can only be recognized with there is a high level of tariffs before an FTA comes into effect.
From a relatively imprecise analysis of the effects of FTAs on trade and direct investment, we have confirmed
that FTAs contribute to a certain extent to an expansion in the market opportunities of Japanese companies in
FTA partner countries. However, this effect can be regarded as smaller than the expected effect. The reason
why FTAs do not have a bigger impact is because Japanese companies do not utilize FTAs to a great extent.
According to Takahashi and Urata (2010), in a survey targeting 469 Japanese companies involved in trading,
there were very low percentages of companies utilizing FTAs in the case of Japan’s FTAs with Singapore,
Mexico and Malaysia, at 6.4%, 12.6% and 5.5%, respectively. Reasons cited for why Japanese companies do
not utilize FTAs are the lack of information on FTAs and the high costs of acquiring the certificates of origin
required for the utilization of FTAs. In order to expand use of FTAs these issues needs to be addressed.
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to more productive occupations. For example, let us consider the likely issues of unemployment and career
change for agricultural workers that would result in the entry into an FTA that included liberalization in the
field of agriculture. In light of the fact that many agricultural workers are senior in age and consequently
would have difficulty in switching career, income benefits are likely to be the most realistic measure.
One view is that in order to bring about liberalization under FTAs agriculture should be developed
to the extent that it is capable of withstanding the competition of liberalization, and this is also related to the
issue of agricultural workers. For example, regarding the largest issue, which is the rice issue, it is possible to
conceive forward-looking agricultural policies in which income benefits are provided to any farmers who
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devote themselves to the large-scale production of rice, thereby strengthening competitiveness. This policy
would lead to the consolidation of farmland and improvements in farmers’ productivity. As a result, it would
be possible for the government to reduce the current level of costs related to maintaining prices. Consequently,
markets would be opened up through liberalization reducing the burden on the consumer and removing
barriers to FTAs.
When tackling trade liberalization of the agriculture sector, it is important not to forget the
inappropriate measures implemented in the past. Specifically, this includes the rice import liberalization
measures implemented during the Uruguay Round of multilateral trade negotiations. The Japanese
government provided six trillion yen to agriculture as part of its measures to liberalize rice, but most of the
money was spent digging for hot springs and paving national highways, not on strengthening the agriculture
sector and improving the skills of agricultural workers. In promoting FTAs, it is necessary to consider the
liberalization of agriculture under FTAs by examining the role of agriculture in building a competitive
Japanese economy and implementing policies to bring about this type of agriculture.
Above, we have discussed the measures needed to overcome the economic obstacles to Japan’s
promotion of FTAs. In order to make these policies a reality, politicians with responsibility for policy
proposals need to recognize the need for FTAs and work hard to bring them about. In order to do this, there is
a need for Japan’s citizens and politicians to possess a strong sense of crisis about Japan’s future. Without this
sense of crisis, we cannot expect to see the effective measures necessary for the promotion of FTAs. In
promoting FTAs with East Asia in particular it is necessary to recognize that a closer relationship with East
Asia brings economic prosperity and political and social stability to the region and that this is important for
the prosperity of Japan.
In order for the Japanese people to recognize the importance of a close relationship with East Asia
it is crucial that mutual understanding is strengthened with the people of East Asia. One effective way of
achieving this would be to promote exchange between people at every conceivable level. Mutual exchange
between businesspeople has made a great deal of progress as a result of deeper economic interdependence.
Now there is a need to vitalize exchange between politicians and the citizens of the respective countries.
Japan’s politicians need to carry out meetings and exchange opinions with the people of East Asia through a
variety of new meetings. In the past, Japan’s politicians have prioritized the United States and Europe, but
now there is a pressing need to build strong relationships with the countries of East Asia. Regarding the
11
See Yamashita (2004) for more on this debate.
15
general population, it would be desirable for exchange to be promoted with a focus on the younger generation
as far as possible. Specifically, promoting exchange between students and researchers through study
exchange programs and joint projects would doubtless be effective. By invigorating exchange between these
types of people it may be possible to overcome non-economic obstacles, such as politics and history.
Lastly, as the country with the highest level of economic development in East Asia, Japan needs to
contribute in a variety of ways to the construction of an FTA that incorporates East Asia. Discussions have
begun on an FTA with the countries of East Asia as signatories, and Japan needs to play a leading role in
making an intellectual contribution to the debate on planning an East Asian FTA and the realization of that
planning. Moreover, Japan needs to play a leading role in a variety of regional issues other than FTAs,
including finance, energy and the environment. It goes without saying that in carrying out these roles it is
essential that Japan should build and utilize cooperative relations with the countries of East Asia.
Reference Literature
Literature in Japanese
Urata, Shujiro; Ishikawa, Kochi; and Mizuno, Akira eds. (2007) “FTA Guidebook 2007”, Japan External
Trade Organization, Tokyo, Japan
Urata, Shujiro, Japan Center for Economic Research ed. (2002) “Japan’s FTA Strategy”, Nikkei Inc., Tokyo,
Japan
Ministry of Foreign Affairs (2002) “Japan’s FTA Strategy”
http://www.mofa.go.jp/mofaj/gaiko/fta/policy.html
Shiino, Kohei and Mizuno, Akira (2010) “A New Era for FTAs: A Growing Network with Asia at its Core”,
Japan External Trade Organization, Tokyo, Japan
Honma, Masayoshi (2010) “Policy Process in Modern Japanese Agriculture”, Keio University Press, Tokyo,
Japan
Yamashita, Kazuhito (2004) “Agricultural Reform through Direct Payments”, The Nikkei Newspaper, August
26
Literature in English
Ando, Mitsuyo (2010) “Impacts of Japanese FTAs/EPAs: Preliminary Post Evaluation,” in Christopher
Findlay and Shujiro Urata eds. Free Trade Agreements in The Asia Pacific, World Scientific, Singapore
CEPEA (2009) Phase II Report of the Track Two Study Group on Comprehensive Economic Partnership in
East Asia (CEPEA), Japan External Trade Organization, Tokyo, Japan
Cheong, Inkyo and Jungran Cho (2010) “Rules of Origin and Agricultural Trade Liberalization in Major Free
Trade Agreements,” in Christopher Findlay and Shujiro Urata eds. Free Trade Agreements in The Asia
Pacific, World Scientific, Singapore
Kawasaki, Kenichi (2004) “The Impact of Free Trade Agreements in Asia,” RIETI Discussion Paper Series
03-E-018, RIETI, Tokyo, Japan
OECD (2010) Agricultural Policies in OECD Countries: At a Glance 2010
http://www.oecd.org/document/27/0,3343,en_2649_33773_45538523_1_1_1_37401,00.html
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Ochiai, Ryo, Philippa Dee, and Christopher Findlay (2010) “Services in Free Trade Agreements,” in
Christopher Findlay and Shujiro Urata eds. Free Trade Agreements in The Asia Pacific, World
Scientific, Singapore
Urata, Shujiro and John Sasuya (2010) “Analysis of the Restrictions on Foreign Direct Investment in Free
Trade Agreements,” in Christopher Findlay and Shujiro Urata eds. Free Trade Agreements in The Asia
Pacific, World Scientific, Singapore
WTO (2009) World Tariff Profiles 2009, Geneva, Switzerland
17
Table 1: Japan's FTAs
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators 2005 and 2009 and other published materials
18
Table 3: Impact of FTAs on the Japanese Economy (%)
Partner
Japan Overall Year of Trade Data
Country
Singapore 94.7 100 Approx. 99 2005
Mexico 86.8 98.4 Approx. 96 2002
Malaysia 94.1 99.3 Approx. 97 2004 (Japan), 2003 (Malaysia)
Chile 90.5 99.8 Approx. 92 2005
Thailand 91.6 97.4 Approx. 95 2004 (Japan), 2003 (Thailand)
Philippines 91.6 96.6 Approx. 94 2003
Brunei 99.99 99.9 Approx. 99.9 2005
Indonesia 93.2 89.7 Approx. 92 May 2004 to April 2005
ASEAN 93.2 Approx. 91 - 2006 (Japan) 2005 or 2006 (ASEAN)
Switzerland 99.3 99.7 Approx. 99 2006
Vietnam 94.9 87.7 Approx. 92 2006
Document: Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry "Report on Unfair Trade Practices" 2010
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GIARI Working Paper Vol. 2010-E-8,
March 2011
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