What Is A Cup and Handle?: Key Takeaways
What Is A Cup and Handle?: Key Takeaways
A cup and handle price pattern on a security's price chart is a technical indicator that resembles a cup with a
handle, where the cup is in the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift. The cup and
handle is considered a bullish signal, with the right-hand side of the pattern typically experiencing lower
trading volume. The pattern's formation may be as short as seven weeks or as long as 65 weeks.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
A cup and handle is a technical chart pattern that resembles a cup and handle where the cup is in
the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift.
A cup and handle is considered a bullish signal extending an uptrend, and is used to spot
opportunities to go long.
Technical traders using this indicator should place a stop buy order slightly above the upper
trendline of the handle part of the pattern.
As a stock forming this pattern tests old highs, it is likely to incur selling pressure from investors who
previously bought at those levels; selling pressure is likely to make price consolidate with a tendency toward
a downtrend trend for a period of four days to four weeks, before advancing higher. A cup and handle is
considered a bullish continuation pattern and is used to identify buying opportunities.
It is worth considering the following when detecting cup and handle patterns:
Length: Generally, cups with longer and more "U" shaped bottoms provide a stronger signal. Avoid
cups with a sharp "V" bottoms.
Depth: Ideally, the cup should not be overly deep. Avoid handles that are overly deep also, as
handles should form in the top half of the cup pattern.
Volume: Volume should decrease as prices decline and remain lower than average in the base of
the bowl; it should then increase when the stock begins to make its move higher, back up to test
the previous high.
A retest of previous resistance is not required to touch or come within several ticks of the old high; however,
the further the top of the handle is away from the highs, the more significant the breakout needs to be.
Now let's consider a real-world historical example using Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN), which went public
on the Nasdaq exchange near $13 in October 2002 and rose to $154 five years later. The subsequent
decline ended within two points of the initial public offering (IPO) price, far exceeding O'Neil's requirement
for a shallow cup high in the prior trend. The subsequent recovery wave reached the prior high in 2011,
nearly 10 years after the first print. The handle follows the classic pullback expectation, finding support at the
50% retracement in a rounded shape, and returns to the high for a second time 14 months later. The stock
broke out in October 2013 and added 90 points in the following five months.
Patience is key in these circumstances because testing at the 50-day EMA usually resolves within three to
four price bars. The trick is to stay out of the way until a) the reversal kicks in or b) the level breaks, yielding
a price thrust against your position.
Limitations Of The Cup And Handle
Like all technical indicators, the cup and handle should be used in concert with other signals and indicators
before making a trading decision. Specifically with the cup and handle, certain limitations have been
identified by practitioners. First is that it can take some time for the pattern to fully form, which can lead to
late decisions. While one month to one year is the typical timeframe for a cup and handle to form, it can also
happen quite quickly or take several years to establish itself, making it ambiguous in some cases. Another
issue has to do with the depth of the cup part of the formation. Sometimes a shallower cup can be a signal,
while other times a deep cup can produce a false signal. Sometimes the cup forms without the characteristic
handle. Finally, one limitation shared across many technical patterns is that it can be unreliable in illiquid
stocks.