Hedging
Hedging
Contents……...
Meaning of Hedging
Currency Hedging
Hedging Tools
Case Study
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Non-Financial
Tools
No Fully
Hedge 1. Leading
participating
2. Lagging
market
movements
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Currency Exposure
Short-Term Long-Term
Accounting
(Translation Cash Flow Operating
Exposure) Exposure
Strategic
Anticipated Unanticipated Exposure
Changes Changes
(Transactions
exposure)
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For example, between April 1992 and July 1995 the exchange rate between
rupee and US dollar was rock steady. For an Indian firm involved in exports
and imports from US, this meant that it had significant exposure to this
exchange rate (because the exchange rate could have affected its
performance) but it did not perceive significant risk because the exchange
rate was stable.
• Translation exposure
• Operating exposure
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Translation exposure, also called Accounting The accounting process of translation, involves
Exposure or Balance Sheet exposure, arises because converting these foreign subsidiaries financial
financial statements of Foreign subsidiaries – which statements into home currency-denominated
are stated in foreign currency – must be restated in statements. It is the exposure on assets and
the parent’s reporting currency for the firm to liabilities appearing in the balance sheet but
prepare consolidated financial statements. which are not going to be liquidated in the
foreseeable future. It has no direct impact on
Translation exposure is the potential for an increase cash flows of a firm.
or decrease in the parent’s net worth and reported
net income caused by a change in exchange rates
since the last translation.
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Transaction Exposure: The risk, faced by companies losses on transactions already entered into and
involved in international trade, that currency denominated in a foreign currency. Transaction
exchange rates will change after the companies have exposure is short term in nature.
already entered into financial obligations. It stems
It has a direct impact on cash flows of a firm.
from the possibility of incurring exchange gains or
An Example
Suppose a U.S. firm, Trident, sells merchandise on account to a Belgian buyer for €1,800,000 payment to be
made in 60 days. (S0 = $0.90/€)
The U.S. seller expects to exchange the €1,800,000 for $1,620,000 when payment is received.
Transaction exposure arises because of the risk that the U.S. seller will receive something other than
$1,620,000.
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Operating exposure, also called economic requires forecasting and analyzing all the firm’s
exposure, competitive exposure, and even future individual transaction exposures together
strategic exposure on occasion, measures any with the future exposures of all the firm’s
change in the present value of a firm resulting competitors and potential competitors worldwide.
from changes in future operating cash flows
Operating exposure is far more important for the
caused by an unexpected change in exchange
long-run health of a business than changes caused
rates.
by transaction or translation exposure.
Measuring the operating exposure of a firm
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Hedging Tools………
Forwards: A forward is a made-to- currency is hedged against by selling
measure agreement between two a currency forward. If the risk is that
parties to buy/sell a specified amount of a currency appreciation (if the firm
of a currency at a specified rate on a has to buy that currency in future say
particular date in the future. The for import), it can hedge by buying
depreciation of the receivable the currency forward.
Example: if RIL wants to buy crude oil in US dollars six months hence, it can
enter into a forward contract to pay INR and buy USD and lock in a fixed
exchange rate for INR-USD to be paid after 6 months regardless of the actual
INR-Dollar rate at the time. In this example the downside is an appreciation of
Dollar which is protected by a fixed forward contract. The main advantage of a
forward is that it can be tailored to the specific needs of the firm and an exact
hedge can be obtained. On the downside, these contracts are not marketable,
they can’t be sold to another party when they are no longer required and are
binding.
Example: The previous example for a forward contract for RIL applies here also
just that RIL will have to go to a USD futures exchange to purchase standardised
dollar futures equal to the amount to be hedged as the risk is that of
appreciation of the dollar. As mentioned earlier, the tailorability of the futures
contract is limited i.e. only standard denominations of money can be bought
instead of the exact amounts that are bought in forward contracts
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Example of RIL which needs to purchase crude oil in USD in 6 months, if RIL
buys a Call option (as the risk is an upward trend in dollar rate), i.e. the right to
buy a specified amount of dollars at a fixed rate on a specified date, there are
two scenarios. If the exchange rate movement is favourable i.e the dollar
depreciates, then RIL can buy them at the spot rate as they have become
cheaper. In the other case, if the dollar appreciates compared to today’s spot
rate, RIL can exercise the option to purchase it at the agreed strike price. In
either case RIL benefits by paying the lower price to purchase the dollar
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Example: Consider an export oriented company that has entered into a swap for
a notional principal of USD 1 mn at an exchange rate of 42/dollar. The company
pays US 6months LIBOR to the bank and receives 11.00% p.a. every 6 months on
1st January & 1st July, till 5 years. Such a company would have earnings in
v
Dollars and can use the same to pay interest for this kind of borrowing (in
dollars rather than in Rupee) thus hedging its exposures
Money Market: The money market borrow in one currency and convert
and forward market are identical the borrowing into another currency.
because interest rate parity holds. So We have included a discussion on the
hedging in the money market is like mechanism of hedging using the
hedging in the forward market. A money market in
money market hedge also includes a
contract and a source of funds to
fulfill the contract. Those hedgers
who use money market hedges
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Case Studies
HCL TECH CASE STUDY - 2008
This case study provides in depth understanding of the situation in which HCL
Tech suffered huge foreign exchange losses and the measures taken by the
company to overcome from it. In addition to this, the case study provides the
views of stock broking houses and analysts on the decisions taken by HCL Tech.
INTRODUCTION
As a major part of HCL Tech's revenue was generated from outside India, the cash
flows of the company were influenced by currency movements. The company
therefore used derivative financial instruments like foreign currency forwards to
hedge its currency risk for a certain forecasted period...
FLUCTUATIONS IN FX MARKET
The Indian Rupee (INR) recorded its strongest mark against the US Dollar (USD) in
November 2007 at Rs. 39, having strengthened by around 11% from Rs. 44 per
dollar at the beginning of the year 2007. The strengthening of the Indian Rupee
was mainly due to the depreciation in the USD. The depreciation was mainly due
to the slowdown in the US economy, high spending on wars, and the negative
balance of payment in the US. In the same year, foreign capital investment in
India increased...
HCL Tech took the forward hedge covers for the next coming 7 to 10 quarters,
depending upon the earnings visibility and forex market. As the rupee
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appreciated from Rs. 44.27 per dollar in January 2007 to Rs. 39.45 per dollar in
November 2007, HCL Tech reported a huge forex gain as it had already covered its
revenues at around Rs. 44 per dollar...
FUTURE OUTLOOK
With the cancellation of currency hedges, industry analysts opined that the
company's move toward unhedged currency forwards reflected its expectations
that the rupee would depreciate against the dollar and sustain at Rs. 47 to Rs. 50
in the short to medium term. But they wondered what the company’s position
would be if the rupee appreciated above Rs.47 against the dollar...
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All that was possible with the magic of derivatives — a wonderworld that many
small Indian companies had stepped into and later burnt their fingers when
currency markets moved against them.
But Wockhardt was not a textile outfit in the backyard of Tirupur. It was a
closelytracked company with solid brands, research centres and manufacturing
facilities in half a dozen countries. But fortunes reversed between February 2008
and the first quarter of 2009. And one day, Wockhardt looked like a basket case.
Debts had ballooned from Rs 1,000 crore to Rs 3,500 crore, bankers were asking
for money, analysts downgraded the stock and deal-makers were snooping
around for a possible buyout. While there was good cash flow from Wockhardt’s
regular businesses, which were growing, the money wasn’t enough to meet the
payouts that kept mounting. Indian companies and bankers had never
experienced something like this. Corporate America is full of stories of derivative
hits, with stuff like the $157-million loss of Procter & Gamble in the 90s now a
part of B-school textbooks. In May 2009, Wockhardt’s loss on derivatives was
double of that, at $300 million.
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Ponty Singh’s job was to evaluate the deals, assess how fair these transactions
were and how valid were the claims made by highstreet lenders, which included
banks like Calyon, Barclays, Deutsche, JP Morgan, ABN Amro, HSBC, Citi,
StanChart, DBS of Singapore and BNP. Another firm Numerics was roped in to
analyse the data. The findings by Tricolor formed the contours of a defence that
Wockhardt had put up in multiple court feuds in India and abroad. Some of these
were complex transactions: for instance Wockhardt EU had cut deals with
offshore banks against guarantees from Wockhardt Ltd, the Indian parent.
The guarantee was invoked abroad while a winding up petition was moved in the
Bombay High Court. Besides derivatives, other liabilities that troubled the
company were: $110-million foreign currency convertible bonds, which were not
converted into equity as the stock never touched the price that was fixed —
something Wockhardt had not expected and was being forced to pay back — and,
a large foreign currency loan to fund overseas acquisition.
Strangely, the debt hurdle looks less formidable today. Wockhardt’s bankers and
other creditors have been left frustrated, and almost driven to a point where they
are willing to accept any settlement terms. The company has sorted out the dues
with some of the derivative banks and is talking to creditors like Calyon, Barclays
and QVT — the offshore fund that invested in the convertible bonds.
Under the settlement, the derivative banks will get only 25% of what they
claimed, while QVT is being offered a deal that’s significantly better (for
Wockhardt) than what the fund had earlier proposed. Chances are QVT will go for
it. Though Syndicate Bank, one of the FCCB investors, is pushing Wockhardt to
clear its dues before it finalises the deal with QVT, bankers think the company
may be close to ending its debt woes.
What helped? Mr Khorakiwala and his team of advisors were quick to spot that
derivative outstandings, like FCCBs, were similar to personal loans or credit card
dues. They were unsecured and there was no recourse for banks but to move
courts. There was also another element. It lay in the complexity of derivatives.
Wockhardt argued that banks had missold complex products, never spoke about
the downsides and the contracts were wagers or pure bets that violated the laws
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of the land. The cases dragged on in courts whose introduction to derivatives has
been recent.
And, local lenders, who have been Wockhardt’s bankers for years, tossed a
lifeline: led by ICICI and SBI, domestic banks came together to rejig the loans and
gave a priority loan of 500 crore to pay back some of the foreign derivative banks.
The combined hit for banks would be 1,000 crore. Meanwhile, the company’s
promoters chipped in 70 crore as part of the deal. Till the derivative and some of
the other liabilities are fully settled — something that could take a good part of
the year — the company’s bottomline will continue to bleed.
A few months ago, Wockhardt’s deal to sell its nutrition business, which owns
brands like Farex and Protienx, to Abbott Labs fell through. `The lenders opposed
it’ was the official explanation but many felt that Wockhardt was fishing for a
better price as things looked up. As the tide turns, the company will again look for
a buyer. The Wockhardt story, which captures the nasty surprises of the currency
market, the vulnerability of bankers, and ruthless negotiating skills of a company
close to the brink, will possibly go down as a case study for students in corporate
finance.
These days Wockhardt stays away from hedging. It shuns even deals like simple
forward contracts. Maybe, it demonstrates the firm’s aversion to step into an
unpredictable foreign exchange market. Or, perhaps it reflects banks reluctance
to deal with a party that has given much grief. But the company seems to have
picked up a few lessons. Some of the officials, who dealt with the derivative
banks, have been sacked. And visitors to Mr Khorakiwala’s office are occasionally
given a photocopy of the book ‘Traders, Guns & Money — Knowns & Unknowns
in the Dazzling World of Derivatives’.
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Sources:
Foreign Exchange Hedging and Profit Making Strategy using Leveraged Spot Contracts
CHING HSUEH LIU
Victoria Graduate School of Business
Faculty of Business and Law
Prashant M
Shital P
Karunakar N
Rinki H
Shahzad S
Theresa T
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