Periodo Ventas

Sep-15 1.71
Oct-15 1.9
Nov-15 2.74
Dec-15 4.2 Gráfico de Tendencia
Jan-16 1.45 5
Feb-16 1.8 4.5
Mar-16 2.03
4
Apr-16 1.99
3.5
May-16 2.32
3
Jun-16 2.2
2.5
Jul-16 2.13
Aug-16 2.43 2

Sep-16 1.9 1.5

Oct-16 2.13 1
Nov-16 2.56 0.5
Dec-16 4.16 0
Jan-17 2.31 Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16 Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17 Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18 Sep-18 Jan-19 M
Feb-17 1.89
Mar-17 2.02
Apr-17 2.23
May-17 2.39
Jun-17 2.14
Jul-17 2.27
Aug-17 2.21
Sep-17 1.89
Oct-17 2.29
Nov-17 2.83
Dec-17 4.04
Jan-18 2.31
Feb-18 1.99
Mar-18 2.42
Apr-18 2.45
May-18 2.57
Jun-18 2.42
Jul-18 2.4
Aug-18 2.5
Sep-18 2.09
Oct-18 2.54
Nov-18 2.97
Dec-18 4.35
Jan-19 2.56
Feb-19 2.28
Mar-19 2.69
Apr-19 2.48
May-19 2.73
Jun-19 2.37
Jul-19 2.31
Aug-19 2.23
 Periodo Ventas M1 M2 M3 M4
Sep-15 1.71 0 0 0 0
Oct-15 1.9 0 0 0 0
Nov-15 2.74 0 0 0 0
ia Dec-15 4.2 0 0 0 0
Jan-16 1.45 1 0 0 0
Feb-16 1.8 0 1 0 0
Mar-16 2.03 0 0 1 0
Apr-16 1.99 0 0 0 1
May-16 2.32 0 0 0 0
Jun-16 2.2 0 0 0 0
Jul-16 2.13 0 0 0 0
Aug-16 2.43 0 0 0 0
Sep-16 1.9 0 0 0 0
Oct-16 2.13 0 0 0 0
Nov-16 2.56 0 0 0 0
Dec-16 4.16 0 0 0 0
18 May-18 Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Jan-17 2.31 1 0 0 0
Feb-17 1.89 0 1 0 0
Mar-17 2.02 0 0 1 0
Apr-17 2.23 0 0 0 1
May-17 2.39 0 0 0 0
Jun-17 2.14 0 0 0 0
Jul-17 2.27 0 0 0 0
Aug-17 2.21 0 0 0 0
Sep-17 1.89 0 0 0 0
Oct-17 2.29 0 0 0 0
Nov-17 2.83 0 0 0 0
Dec-17 4.04 0 0 0 0
Jan-18 2.31 1 0 0 0
Feb-18 1.99 0 1 0 0
Mar-18 2.42 0 0 1 0
Apr-18 2.45 0 0 0 1
May-18 2.57 0 0 0 0
Jun-18 2.42 0 0 0 0
Jul-18 2.4 0 0 0 0
Aug-18 2.5 0 0 0 0
Sep-18 2.09 0 0 0 0
Oct-18 2.54 0 0 0 0
Nov-18 2.97 0 0 0 0
Dec-18 4.35 0 0 0 0
Jan-19 2.56 1 0 0 0
Feb-19 2.28 0 1 0 0
Mar-19 2.69 0 0 1 0
Apr-19 2.48 0 0 0 1
May-19 2.73 0 0 0 0
Jun-19 2.37 0 0 0 0
Jul-19 2.31 0 0 0 0
Aug-19 2.23 0 0 0 0
Sep-19 0 0 0 0
Oct-19 0 0 0 0
Nov-19 0 0 0 0
Dec-19 0 0 0 0
M5 M6 M7 M8 M9 M10 M11 t
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 9
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 10
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 11
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 12
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 13
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 14
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 15
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 21
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 22
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 23
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 24
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 25
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 26
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 27
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 28
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 31
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 32
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 33
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 34
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 35
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 36
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 37
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 38
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 39
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 41
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 42
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 43
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 44
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 45
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 46
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 47
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 48
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 49
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 50
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 51
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 52
 Prediccion Error ErrorAbsoluto Error2 Error Porcentual Intercepción
1.6975 0.0125 0.0125 0.00015625 0.00730994 3.9430555556
2.015 -0.115 0.115 0.013225 0.06052632
2.575 0.165 0.165 0.027225 0.06021898
3.9875 0.2125 0.2125 0.04515625 0.05059524
1.9575 -0.5075 0.5075 0.25755625 0.35
1.79 0.01 0.01 0.0001 0.00555556
2.09 -0.06 0.06 0.0036 0.02955665
2.0875 -0.0975 0.0975 0.00950625 0.04899497
2.3025 0.0175 0.0175 0.00030625 0.0075431
2.0825 0.1175 0.1175 0.01380625 0.05340909
2.0775 0.0525 0.0525 0.00275625 0.02464789
2.1425 0.2875 0.2875 0.08265625 0.11831276
1.830833333 0.069166667 0.06916666667 0.00478403 0.03640351
2.148333333 -0.01833333 0.01833333333 0.00033611 0.0086072
2.708333333 -0.14833333 0.14833333333 0.02200278 0.05794271
4.120833333 0.039166667 0.03916666667 0.00153403 0.00941506
2.090833333 0.219166667 0.21916666667 0.04803403 0.09487734
1.923333333 -0.03333333 0.03333333333 0.00111111 0.01763668
2.223333333 -0.20333333 0.20333333333 0.04134444 0.10066007
2.220833333 0.009166667 0.00916666667 8.40278E-05 0.00411061
2.435833333 -0.04583333 0.04583333333 0.00210069 0.01917713
2.215833333 -0.07583333 0.07583333333 0.00575069 0.03543614
2.210833333 0.059166667 0.05916666667 0.00350069 0.02606461
2.275833333 -0.06583333 0.06583333333 0.00433403 0.02978884
1.964166667 -0.07416667 0.07416666667 0.00550069 0.03924162
2.281666667 0.008333333 0.00833333333 6.94444E-05 0.00363901
2.841666667 -0.01166667 0.01166666667 0.00013611 0.0041225
4.254166667 -0.21416667 0.21416666667 0.04586736 0.05301155
2.224166667 0.085833333 0.08583333333 0.00736736 0.03715729
2.056666667 -0.06666667 0.06666666667 0.00444444 0.03350084
2.356666667 0.063333333 0.06333333333 0.00401111 0.0261708
2.354166667 0.095833333 0.09583333333 0.00918403 0.03911565
2.569166667 0.000833333 0.00083333333 6.94444E-07 0.00032425
2.349166667 0.070833333 0.07083333333 0.00501736 0.02926997
2.344166667 0.055833333 0.05583333333 0.00311736 0.02326389
2.409166667 0.090833333 0.09083333333 0.00825069 0.03633333
2.0975 -0.0075 0.0075 5.625E-05 0.00358852
2.415 0.125 0.125 0.015625 0.0492126
2.975 -0.005 0.005 2.5E-05 0.0016835
4.3875 -0.0375 0.0375 0.00140625 0.00862069
2.3575 0.2025 0.2025 0.04100625 0.07910156
2.19 0.09 0.09 0.0081 0.03947368
2.49 0.2 0.2 0.04 0.07434944
2.4875 -0.0075 0.0075 5.625E-05 0.00302419
2.7025 0.0275 0.0275 0.00075625 0.01007326
2.4825 -0.1125 0.1125 0.01265625 0.04746835
2.4775 -0.1675 0.1675 0.02805625 0.07251082
 2.5425 -0.3125 0.3125 0.09765625 0.14013453
2.230833333
2.548333333
3.108333333
4.520833333
M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7
-2.04111111111111 -2.21972222 -1.93083333 -1.94444444 -1.74055556 -1.97166667 -1.98777778

ECM = 0.01936111
EPM 4.4%

Chart Title
5
4.5
4
3.5
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
do -15 -15 -15 -15 -16 -16 -16 -16 -16 -16 -16 -16 -16 -16 -16 -16 -17 -17 -17 -17 -17 -17 -17 -17 -17 -17 -17 -17 18 -18 -18 -18 -18 -18
e rio ep Oct ov ec Jan eb ar Apr ay Jun Jul ug ep Oct ov ec Jan eb ar Apr ay Jun Jul ug ep Oct ov ec Jan- eb ar Apr ay Jun Ju
P S N D F M M A S N D F M M A S N D F M M

Ventas Prediccion

Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlaci 0.97325358
Coeficiente de determin 0.94722253
R^2 ajustado 0.9291274
Error típico 0.16294901
Observaciones 48

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
Regresión 12 16.6791917 1.38993264 52.3468175 1.01409E-18
Residuos 35 0.92933333 0.02655238
Total 47 17.608525

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%

Intercepción 3.94305556 0.09014167 43.7428733 3.82118E-32 3.76005824 4.12605287
M1 -2.04111111 0.11523569 -17.7124913 4.74294E-19 -2.27505199 -1.80717023
M2 -2.21972222 0.11527568 -19.2557715 3.32128E-20 -2.4537443 -1.98570014
M3 -1.93083333 0.11534231 -16.7400261 2.79352E-18 -2.16499068 -1.69667599
M4 -1.94444444 0.11543553 -16.8444191 2.30043E-18 -2.17879103 -1.71009786
M5 -1.74055556 0.11555527 -15.0625373 7.25376E-17 -1.97514522 -1.50596589
M6 -1.97166667 0.11570145 -17.040985 1.59995E-18 -2.2065531 -1.73678024
M7 -1.98777778 0.11587397 -17.1546533 1.29888E-18 -2.22301444 -1.75254111
M8 -1.93388889 0.11607271 -16.6610122 3.23791E-18 -2.16952902 -1.69824875
M9 -2.25666667 0.11534231 -19.5649507 1.99164E-20 -2.49082401 -2.02250932
M10 -1.95027778 0.11527568 -16.9183796 2.00587E-18 -2.18429986 -1.7162557
M11 -1.40138889 0.11523569 -12.1610668 4.00862E-14 -1.63532977 -1.16744801
t 0.01111111 0.00175305 6.33815166 2.77555E-07 0.00755223 0.01467
 M8 M9 M10 M11 t
-1.93388889 -2.25666667 -1.95027778 -1.40138889 0.01111111

hart Title

17 17 17 17 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19
p- ct- ov- ec- an- eb- ar- pr- ay- un- Jul- ug- ep- ct- ov- ec- an- eb- ar- pr- ay- un- Jul- ug- ep- ct- ov-
O N D J F M A M J A S O N D J F M A M J A S O N

as Prediccion

Inferior 95.0%
Superior 95.0%
3.76005824 4.12605287
-2.27505199 -1.80717023
-2.4537443 -1.98570014
-2.16499068 -1.69667599
-2.17879103 -1.71009786
-1.97514522 -1.50596589
-2.2065531 -1.73678024
-2.22301444 -1.75254111
-2.16952902 -1.69824875
-2.49082401 -2.02250932
-2.18429986 -1.7162557
-1.63532977 -1.16744801
0.00755223 0.01467
Periodo Ventas
Sep-15 55.8
Oct-15 56.4
Nov-15 71.4 Gráfico de Tendencia
Dec-15 117.6 140
Jan-16 46.8
Feb-16 48 120
Mar-16 60
100
Apr-16 57.6
May-16 61.8 80
Jun-16 58.2
60
Jul-16 56.4
Aug-16 63 40
Sep-16 57.6
20
Oct-16 53.4
Nov-16 71.4 0
Dec-16 114 Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16 Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17 Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18 Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19
Jan-17 46.8
Feb-17 48.6
Mar-17 59.4
Apr-17 58.2
May-17 60.6
Jun-17 55.2
Jul-17 51
Aug-17 58.8
Sep-17 49.8
Oct-17 54.6
Nov-17 65.4
Dec-17 102
Jan-18 43.8
Feb-18 45.6
Mar-18 57.6
Apr-18 53.4
May-18 56.4
Jun-18 52.8
Jul-18 54
Aug-18 60.6
Sep-18 47.4
Oct-18 54.6
Nov-18 67.8
Dec-18 100.2
Jan-19 48
Feb-19 51.6
Mar-19 57.6
Apr-19 58.2
May-19 60
Jun-19 57
Jul-19 57.6
Aug-19 61.8
Sep-19 69
Oct-19 75
Nov-19 85.2
Dec-19 121.8
 Periodo Ventas M1 M2 M3 M4
Sep-15 55.8 0 0 0 0
Oct-15 56.4 0 0 0 0
Nov-15 71.4 0 0 0 0
Dec-15 117.6 0 0 0 0
Jan-16 46.8 1 0 0 0
Feb-16 48 0 1 0 0
Mar-16 60 0 0 1 0
Apr-16 57.6 0 0 0 1
May-16 61.8 0 0 0 0
Jun-16 58.2 0 0 0 0
Jul-16 56.4 0 0 0 0
Aug-16 63 0 0 0 0
Sep-16 57.6 0 0 0 0
Oct-16 53.4 0 0 0 0
Nov-16 71.4 0 0 0 0
Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19 Dec-16 114 0 0 0 0
Jan-17 46.8 1 0 0 0
Feb-17 48.6 0 1 0 0
Mar-17 59.4 0 0 1 0
Apr-17 58.2 0 0 0 1
May-17 60.6 0 0 0 0
Jun-17 55.2 0 0 0 0
Jul-17 51 0 0 0 0
Aug-17 58.8 0 0 0 0
Sep-17 49.8 0 0 0 0
Oct-17 54.6 0 0 0 0
Nov-17 65.4 0 0 0 0
Dec-17 102 0 0 0 0
Jan-18 43.8 1 0 0 0
Feb-18 45.6 0 1 0 0
Mar-18 57.6 0 0 1 0
Apr-18 53.4 0 0 0 1
May-18 56.4 0 0 0 0
Jun-18 52.8 0 0 0 0
Jul-18 54 0 0 0 0
Aug-18 60.6 0 0 0 0
Sep-18 47.4 0 0 0 0
Oct-18 54.6 0 0 0 0
Nov-18 67.8 0 0 0 0
Dec-18 100.2 0 0 0 0
Jan-19 48 1 0 0 0
Feb-19 51.6 0 1 0 0
Mar-19 57.6 0 0 1 0
Apr-19 58.2 0 0 0 1
May-19 60 0 0 0 0
Jun-19 57 0 0 0 0
Jul-19 57.6 0 0 0 0
Aug-19 61.8 0 0 0 0
Sep-19 69 0 0 0 0
Oct-19 75 0 0 0 0
Nov-19 85.2 0 0 0 0
Dec-19 121.8 0 0 0 0

Se ha incrementado las ventas de todas las tiendas de departamen

$ 12 millones de dólares
M5 M6 M7 M8 M9 M10 M11 t
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 9
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 10
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 11
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 12
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 13
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 14
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 15
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 21
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 22
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 23
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 24
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 25
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 26
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 27
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 28
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 31
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 32
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 33
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 34
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 35
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 36
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 37
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 38
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 39
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 41
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 42
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 43
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 44
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 45
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 46
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 47
 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 48
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 49
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 50
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 51
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 52

as tiendas de departamento del condado

Prediccion Error ErrorAbsoluto Error2 Error Porcentual Intercepción
54.3075 1.4925 1.4925 2.22755625 0.02674731 110.47583333
56.4075 -0.0075 0.0075 5.625E-05 0.00013298
70.6575 0.7425 0.7425 0.55130625 0.01039916
110.1075 7.4925 7.4925 56.1375562 0.06371173
48.0075 -1.2075 1.2075 1.45805625 0.02580128
50.1075 -2.1075 2.1075 4.44155625 0.04390625
60.3075 -0.3075 0.3075 0.09455625 0.005125
58.5075 -0.9075 0.9075 0.82355625 0.01575521
61.3575 0.4425 0.4425 0.19580625 0.00716019
57.4575 0.7425 0.7425 0.55130625 0.01275773
56.4075 -0.0075 0.0075 5.625E-05 0.00013298
62.7075 0.2925 0.2925 0.08555625 0.00464286 140
53.2025 4.3975 4.3975 19.3380062 0.07634549
120
55.3025 -1.9025 1.9025 3.61950625 0.03562734
69.5525 1.8475 1.8475 3.41325625 0.02587535 100
109.0025 4.9975 4.9975 24.9750062 0.04383772
80
46.9025 -0.1025 0.1025 0.01050625 0.00219017
49.0025 -0.4025 0.4025 0.16200625 0.00828189 60
59.2025 0.1975 0.1975 0.03900625 0.00332492 40
57.4025 0.7975 0.7975 0.63600625 0.01370275
20
60.2525 0.3475 0.3475 0.12075625 0.00573432
56.3525 -1.1525 1.1525 1.32825625 0.02087862 0
55.3025 -4.3025 4.3025 18.5115063 0.08436275 do -15 -15 -15 -15 -16 -16 -16 -
e rio ep Oct ov ec Jan eb ar Apr
61.6025 -2.8025 2.8025 7.85400625 0.04766156 P S N D F M
52.0975 -2.2975 2.2975 5.27850625 0.04613454
54.1975 0.4025 0.4025 0.16200625 0.00737179
68.4475 -3.0475 3.0475 9.28725625 0.04659786
107.8975 -5.8975 5.8975 34.7805063 0.05781863
45.7975 -1.9975 1.9975 3.99000625 0.04560502
47.8975 -2.2975 2.2975 5.27850625 0.05038377
58.0975 -0.4975 0.4975 0.24750625 0.00863715
56.2975 -2.8975 2.8975 8.39550625 0.0542603
59.1475 -2.7475 2.7475 7.54875625 0.04871454
55.2475 -2.4475 2.4475 5.99025625 0.04635417
54.1975 -0.1975 0.1975 0.03900625 0.00365741
60.4975 0.1025 0.1025 0.01050625 0.00169142
50.9925 -3.5925 3.5925 12.9060563 0.07579114
53.0925 1.5075 1.5075 2.27255625 0.02760989
67.3425 0.4575 0.4575 0.20930625 0.00674779
106.7925 -6.5925 6.5925 43.4610563 0.06579341
44.6925 3.3075 3.3075 10.9395563 0.06890625
46.7925 4.8075 4.8075 23.1120562 0.0931686
56.9925 0.6075 0.6075 0.36905625 0.01054688
55.1925 3.0075 3.0075 9.04505625 0.05167526
58.0425 1.9575 1.9575 3.83180625 0.032625
54.1425 2.8575 2.8575 8.16530625 0.05013158
53.0925 4.5075 4.5075 20.3175563 0.07825521
 59.3925 2.4075 2.4075 5.79605625 0.03895631
49.8875 19.1125 19.1125 365.287656 0.27699275
51.9875 23.0125 23.0125 529.575156 0.30683333
66.2375 18.9625 18.9625 359.576406 0.22256455
105.6875 16.1125 16.1125 259.612656 0.13228654
 M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7
-62.0079166666667 -59.8158333 -49.52375 -51.2316667 -48.2895833 -52.0975 -53.0554167

ECM = 36.1934688
EPM 4.9%

Chart Title
140

120

100

80

60

40

20

0
do -15 -15 -15 -15 -16 -16 -16 -16 -16 -16 -16 -16 -16 -16 -16 -16 -17 -17 -17 -17 -17 -17 -17 -17 -17 -17 -17 -17 -18 -18 -18 -18 -18 -18 -18 -18 -18 -18 -18 -18 19 -1
e rio ep Oct ov ec Jan eb ar Apr ay Jun Jul ug ep Oct ov ec Jan eb ar Apr ay Jun Jul ug ep Oct ov ec Jan eb ar Apr ay Jun Jul ug ep Oct ov ec Jan- eb
P S N D F M M A S N D F M M A S N D F M M A S N D F M

Ventas Prediccion

Resumen Previo al huracán

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlaci 0.98451937
Coeficiente de determin 0.96927838
R^2 ajustado 0.95874526
Error típico 3.24261138
Observaciones 48

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
Regresión 12 11610.804 967.567 92.0219098 8.72253E-23
Residuos 35 368.0085 10.5145286
Total 47 11978.8125

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%

Intercepción 110.475833 1.79377826 61.5883443 2.80302E-37 106.83427 114.117397
M1 -62.0079167 2.29313786 -27.0406406 4.80438E-25 -66.663234 -57.3525993
M2 -59.8158333 2.29393377 -26.0756584 1.6165E-24 -64.4727665 -55.1589002
M3 -49.52375 2.29525966 -21.5765348 8.36709E-22 -54.1833748 -44.8641252
M4 -51.2316667 2.29711463 -22.3026165 2.83581E-22 -55.8950573 -46.568276
M5 -48.2895833 2.29949739 -21.00006 2.02065E-21 -52.9578112 -43.6213554
M6 -52.0975 2.30240631 -22.6274137 1.76514E-22 -56.7716333 -47.4233667
M7 -53.0554167 2.30583939 -23.0091553 1.01874E-22 -57.7365195 -48.3743138
M8 -46.6633333 2.30979429 -20.2023762 7.08699E-21 -51.352465 -41.9742016
M9 -56.07625 2.29525966 -24.4313316 1.40753E-23 -60.7358748 -51.4166252
M10 -53.8841667 2.29393377 -23.4898529 5.15678E-23 -58.5410998 -49.2272335
M11 -39.5420833 2.29313786 -17.2436573 1.1041E-18 -44.1974007 -34.886766
t -0.09208333 0.03488494 -2.63962967 0.0123109 -0.16290353 -0.02126313
 M8 M9 M10 M11 t
-46.6633333 -56.07625 -53.8841667 -39.5420833 -0.09208333

18 -18 -18 l-18 -18 -18 t-18 -18 -18 -19 -19 r-19 r-19 -19 -19 l-19 -19 -19 t-19 -19
ay un u ug ep c ov ec an eb a p ay un u ug ep c ov
M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N

Inferior 95.0%
Superior 95.0%
106.83427 114.117397
 -66.663234 -57.3525993
-64.4727665 -55.1589002
-54.1833748 -44.8641252
-55.8950573 -46.568276
-52.9578112 -43.6213554
-56.7716333 -47.4233667
-57.7365195 -48.3743138
-51.352465 -41.9742016
-60.7358748 -51.4166252
-58.5410998 -49.2272335
-44.1974007 -34.886766
-0.16290353 -0.02126313
PRONOSTICOS DE VENTAS PERDIDAS CARLSON
PRONOSTICO
CARLSON
Sep-19 2.23
Oct-19 2.55
Nov-19 3.11
Dec-19 4.52
12.41 MILLONES

PRONOSTICOS DE LAS VENTAS EXCEDENTES

PRONOSTICO VENTAS
REALES CONDADO INCREMENTO %
CONDADO EXCEDENTES
Sep-19 69 49.8875 19.1125 38.31%
Oct-19 75 51.9875 23.0125 44.27%
Nov-19 85.2 66.2375 18.9625 28.63%
Dec-19 121.8 105.6875 16.1125 15.25%
351 273.8 77.2

VENTAS VENTAS
PRONOSTICO SIN
INCREMENTALES TOTALES
HURACAN
ESTIMADAS PARA PERDIDAS DE
CARLSON
CARLSON CARLSON
Sep-19 2.23 0.85 3.09
Oct-19 2.55 1.13 3.68
Nov-19 3.11 0.89 4.00
Dec-19 4.52 0.69 5.21
TOTAL DE VENTAS 15.97

EXISTE UN TOTAL DE 15.97 MILLONES DE DOLARES POR PERDIDAS EN CARLSON ASOCIADAS A LA TORMENTA
A LA TORMENTA