Gujarat SAPCC
Gujarat SAPCC
Gujarat SAPCC
GUJARAT
Solar
STATE
ACTION PLAN
ON
CLIMATE CHANGE
GOVERNMENT OF GUJARAT
CLIMATE CHANGE
DEPARTMENT
Supported by
GIZ
2014
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
Contents
Section 1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 1
1.0 Introduction to Gujarat State Action Plan on Climate Change ............................................................. 3
1.1 Background ................................................................................................................................. 3
1.2 The State Action Plan on Climate Change .................................................................................... 5
2.0 Gujarat – An Overview ........................................................................................................................ 7
2.1Physiography and Climate ............................................................................................................ 7
2.2 Demography ................................................................................................................................ 8
2.3 Economic Growth and Development ........................................................................................... 9
2.4 Policies and Measures ............................................................................................................... 13
2.5 Institutions and Governance ..................................................................................................... 16
2.6 In Summary ............................................................................................................................... 18
Section 2 Climate Variability and Change ............................................................................................ 19
3.0 Climate Trends and Projections...................................................................................................... 21
3.1 Introduction .............................................................................................................................. 21
3.2 Observed climate trends over Indian region .............................................................................. 22
3.3 Observed trends over Gujarat State .......................................................................................... 23
3.4 Climate Change Projections ....................................................................................................... 26
3.5 Gaps to be addressed ................................................................................................................ 29
4.0 Climate Vulnerabilities and Impacts .................................................................................................. 30
4.1 Introduction .............................................................................................................................. 30
4.2 Vulnerability of Gujarat ............................................................................................................. 30
4.3 Agriculture ................................................................................................................................. 32
4.4 Water ........................................................................................................................................ 36
4.5 Health ........................................................................................................................................ 39
4.6 Forests and Biodiversity ............................................................................................................ 42
5.0Sources of Green House Gas Emissions .............................................................................................. 47
5. 1 Energy ...................................................................................................................................... 49
5.2 Industry ..................................................................................................................................... 56
5.3 Transport ................................................................................................................................... 61
5.4 Agriculture ................................................................................................................................. 66
5.5 Forestry ..................................................................................................................................... 68
5.6 Urban Development .................................................................................................................. 69
5.7 Waste ........................................................................................................................................ 74
Section 3 Strategies for the State Action Plan on Climate Change....................................................... 75
6.0 Strategies for the State Action Plan on Climate Change ................................................................... 77
6.1 Gaps in scientific research studies ............................................................................................. 77
6.2 Approach of the action plan ...................................................................................................... 78
Sectoral Themes ...................................................................................................................................... 80
7.0 Agriculture ........................................................................................................................................ 80
7.1 Strategies for Sustainable Agriculture ........................................................................................ 80
7.2 State initiatives and achievements ............................................................................................ 81
7.3 Ongoing initiatives ..................................................................................................................... 83
7.4 Key Strategies ............................................................................................................................ 86
8.0 Water Resources ............................................................................................................................... 93
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
8.1 Strategies for management of water resources ......................................................................... 93
8.2 States initiatives and achievements ........................................................................................... 93
8.3 Innovative climate change projects ........................................................................................... 98
8.4 Community participation & empowerment of Panchayat Raj Institutions by WASMO ............ 101
8.5 Key initiatives by the Government of Gujarat .......................................................................... 102
8.6 Key Strategies .......................................................................................................................... 103
9.0 Forests and Biodiversity .................................................................................................................. 108
9.1 Strategies for conservation of forests and biodiversity ............................................................ 108
9.2 States Initiatives and Achievements ........................................................................................ 108
9.3 Key Strategies .......................................................................................................................... 112
10.0 Health ........................................................................................................................................... 119
10.1 Strategies for health .............................................................................................................. 119
10.2 Government Initiatives .......................................................................................................... 119
10.3 Key Strategies ........................................................................................................................ 120
11.0 Urban Development ...................................................................................................................... 125
11.1 Strategies for Urban Development ........................................................................................ 125
11.2 State Initiatives and Achievements ........................................................................................ 126
11.3 Key Strategies ........................................................................................................................ 128
11.4 Waste management .............................................................................................................. 129
11.5 Water/wastewater management .......................................................................................... 132
11.6 Urban transport system ......................................................................................................... 135
11.7 Land use ................................................................................................................................ 137
Cross‐Sectoral Themes .......................................................................................................................... 142
12.0 Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency ...................................................................................... 142
12.1 Strategies for renewable energy and energy efficiency ......................................................... 142
12.2 Renewable energy initiatives ................................................................................................. 144
12.6 Energy efficiency initiatives ................................................................................................... 148
12.7 Key Strategies ........................................................................................................................ 149
13.0 Vulnerable Communities ............................................................................................................... 168
13.1 Strategies for empowerment of vulnerable communities ...................................................... 168
13.2 State Initiatives and Achievements ........................................................................................ 171
13.3 Key Strategies ........................................................................................................................ 176
14.0Sea Level Rise and Coastal Infrastructure ....................................................................................... 178
14.1 Strategies for Sea Level Rise and Coastal Infrastructure ........................................................ 178
15.0 Green Jobs ..................................................................................................................................... 182
15.1 Strategies for Creation of Green Jobs .................................................................................... 182
16.0 Enablers ........................................................................................................................................ 185
16.1 Generating knowledge, building capacity and public awareness ........................................... 185
16.2 Strategies for the transfer of knowledge ............................................................................... 187
16.3 Initiatives for communication and change ............................................................................. 189
16.4 People’sparticipation ............................................................................................................. 190
16.5 Proactive role for NGO and Private Sector ............................................................................. 193
16.6 Innovating Grassroots level Action ........................................................................................ 194
Section 4 The Way Forward .............................................................................................................. 197
17.0 Further Course of Action................................................................................................................ 199
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17.1Institutionalarrangement ....................................................................................................... 199
17.2Implementation Plan .............................................................................................................. 202
The Way Forward.................................................................................................................................. 205
References ............................................................................................................................................ 207
Abbreviations ........................................................................................................................................ 217
List of Project Proposals ............................................................................................................ 221
List of Tables ............................................................................................................................... 221
List of Figures ............................................................................................................................. 221
List of Boxes ................................................................................................................................ 223
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Section 1
Introduction
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
1.1 Background
Gujarat stands out, amongst all the Indian states, for its economic growth. With only
five per cent of the country’s population and six per cent of the country’s geographical
area, Gujarat contributes to about 16 per cent of industrial and 12 per cent of
agricultural production in India, and is dominant in the manufacturing and infrastructure
sectors. However, in the backdrop of mounting global concern regarding potential risks
of future Climate Change, there is a need to ensure that Gujarat’s economic
performance and social progress stays resilient and capable of withstanding climatic
stress and shocks. The complexity of the climate-economy relationship has been made
apparent by various studies and the Government of Gujarat recognizes that Climate
Change is not only an environmental concern; it has profound implications for
economic growth, social advancement, and almost all other aspects of human well-
being. Accordingly, the Government of Gujarat initiated a number of processes,
involving multiple stakeholders at multiple levels, representative of all sections of
society, to cooperate and create a roadmap that leads to the realization of a growing,
low-emitting and sustainable economy with a more climate resilient population in
Gujarat.
In the year 2008, The Government of India released a National Action Plan on Climate
Change (NAPCC) setting eight priority missions-National Missions on Solar Energy,
Enhanced Energy Efficiency, Sustainable Habitats, Water, Sustaining the Himalayan
Ecosystem, Greening India, Sustainable Agriculture and Strategic Knowledge for
Climate Change-outlining a national strategy that aims to promote development
objectives while yielding co-benefits for addressing Climate Change effectively and
enhancing the ecological sustainability of India’s development path. For the realization
of these proposed actions at the sub national level, in August 2009, the Hon’ble Prime
Minister of India urged each State Government to create its own State level action plan
consistent with strategies in the National Plan.
As part of Gujarat’s proactive approach, in 2009, the Hon’ble Chief Minister declared
an in-principle decision of the Government to form a new Department of Climate
Change. The Gujarat Government’s Department for Climate Change was set up on 17th
September 2009 with a vision to act as a bridge within the Government, and between
the Government and society to address Climate Change. Gujarat is the first State in
India, the first in Asia and fourth in the world to form an independent Department for
Climate Change.
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
Gujarat has already demonstrated its leadership through a range of policies and
programmes that have the potential to counter some of the challenges of Climate
Change while ensuring achievement of sustainable development objectives.
Opportunities for energy efficiency and improvements, in the industry, transportation
and households/services sectors, are being explored and harnessed by adopting
measures like energy efficiency audits, adopting clean fuels and introducing a Bus
Rapid Transport System, setting up integrated State-wide gas grids among others. In
the arena of renewables, Gujarat has introduced an ambitious Solar Power Policy in
2009 and Wind Power Policy in 2007. In addition a large number of initiatives such as
Smart Grid Project; establishment of a Solar Park and developing Gandhinagar as a
Solar City; andintroducing fiscal incentives for encouraging private investment in
renewables, are underway to tap the immense potential of renewables in Gujarat.
In addition, novel initiatives such as the “Green Credit Scheme”, social afforestation
and urban greening programmes, will help in planned expansion of forest and tree
cover besides ensuring sustained flow of ecosystem services including carbon
sinks. There are also on-going measures supporting sustainable agricultural practices
such as agro-meteorological field stations, automatic weather stations and Climate
Change research in State agriculture universities.
Numerous path breaking measures for water conservation and management, urban
development, disaster management and coastal area development will also help build
the adaptive capacity in the State. The inclusion of marginalized communities and
women are emphasized in the planning process.
These ongoing initiatives are largely in consonance with the directives of the National
Action Plan on Climate Change. To incorporate emerging concerns, in line with the
NAPCC,nine thematic groups representing key priorities of the State of Gujarat have
been identified.
These include:
1. Agriculture
2. Water
3. Health
4. Forests and Biodiversity
5. Sea-level rise and coastal infrastructure
6. Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy
7. Urban Development
8. Vulnerable Communities
9. Green Jobs
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The Government commenced preparation of the State Action Plan on Climate Change
(SAPCC) in 2009, with the aim to create a more sustainable and climate resilient future
for people in the State. Adhering to the spirit of the NAPCC, the SAPCC intends
understanding and comprehending possible Climate Change impacts, and will prepare
strategies, with a long term vision, to convert challenges into opportunities.
For this purpose, it was proposed that nine thematic groups be formed, under the aegis
of Department of Climate Change with technical representatives from other State
Government Departments, reputed research institutes, international development
organizations and Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs). These thematic groups
have been identified for sector-wise assessment of overall policy and reflect SAPCC
priorities, for the next two plan periods. A high powered State Level Steering
Committee has also been set-up to oversee and approve the preparation and
implementation of the State Action Plan on Climate Change.
The development of the State Action Plan on Climate Change will help to prioritize
Climate Change concerns in the State’s planning process by means of the following
steps:
The drafting of the Gujarat SAPCC has involved extensive consultations with experts,
practitioners and policy makers in order to understand expectations and aspirations,
and ensure relevance of identified strategies. A high powered State Level Steering
Committee has been set-up to oversee and approve the preparation of the State
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Action Plan on Climate Change (SAPCC). Figure 1 highlights the steps to the
preparation of Gujarat SAPCC.
Figure 1: Steps to the preparation of Gujarat SAPCC
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
The State of Gujarat lies on the western coast of India between 2006’ N and 240 42’ N
and 680 10’ E to 740 28’E. The length of Gujarat from north to south is approximately
590 km and width from east to west is approximately 500 km The State is spread
across an area of 196,024 sq km, which is just six per cent of the total geographical
area of India. And it has a longest
coastline (1,663 km) among Indian
Figure 2: Districts of Gujarat
states. The State is bound by Arabian
Sea on the west and south-west,
Rajasthan in the north and northeast,
Maharashtra in the south and south-
east and Madhya Pradesh in the east.
The State has an international boundary
with Pakistan in north-west. The Gulf of
Kutch and Gulf of Khambhat are
situated on the Arabian Sea. Three
perennial rivers - Narmada, Tapi and
Mahi are located in South Gujarat. The
major non-perennial river, Sabarmati
flows through the districts of
Sabarkantha, Mehsana and Ahmedabad.
Five types of landforms are found in Gujarat, namely alluvial plains, hilly areas,
highlands, desert areas and coastline areas. The alluvial plains extend from
Banaskantha in north Gujarat to Valsad in the south and westward to the little Rann
and Banni area of Kutch. Hilly tracts form a major divide in the State and most of the
rivers originate from the hills in the east and flow towards the south and southwest
except the Narmada and Tapi (interstate rivers). The Highland of Kutch (Saurashtra)
with an elevation of about 150 to 500 m. comprises of sedimentary and volcanic rocks.
Marshy and saline deserts of Rann of Kutch and little Rann of Kutch extend into the
saline tracts around the Gulf of Kutch. The coastal areas extend from Rann of Kutch
through the little Rann of Kutch and low lying delta region of Bhadar, Bhogavo,
Sabarmati, Mahi Dhadar, Narmada and Tapi rivers.
The State has 33 districts and Gandhinagar is the capital city. Ahmedabad, Vadodara,
Surat, Rajkot, Bhavnagar and Jamnagar are other key cities. The State falls in the sub-
tropical climate zone and experiences sub-humid climate in southern Gujarat (South of
River Narmada), moderately humid climate in central Gujarat (between Narmada and
Sabarmati rivers), humid and sultry climate in the coastal region (south facing coastal
region of Saurashtra), dry climate in regions of central Gujarat (north of Ahmedabad
and part of central Saurashtra) and arid and semi-arid climate in north Gujarat and
Kutch.
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The average temperature varies across the State. The summer temperature varies
between 250 C and 450 C while the winter temperature ranges between 150 C and 350C
degrees.
The average annual rainfall over the State varies widely from 300 mm in the Western
half of Kutch to 2,100 mm in the Southern part of Valsad district and the Dangs. The
monsoon usually commences by the middle of June and withdraws by the end of
September, with about 95 per cent of the total annual rainfall being received during
these months. The monsoon usually commences by the middle of June and withdraws
by the end of September, about 95 per cent of the total annual rainfall being received
during these months. The total number of rainy days varies from one part of the
State to another, ranging from a minimum of 16 days in Kutch to a maximum of 48
days in Surat and the Dangs. Generally, the number increases towards the eastern and
the southern parts of the State, and is higher in the months of July and August, as
compared to June and September.
2.2 Demography
Gujarat has a population of 60.38 million in 2011 (Census, 2011) showing a decadal
growth rate of 19.17 per cent as compared to the all India growth rate of 17.64 per
cent. The decadal growth rate for 2001-2011 has decreased by 3.49 per cent as
compared to the corresponding rate of growth during 1991- 2001. The sex ratio for the
State has marginally decreased from 920 in 2001 to 918 in yr 2011. The population
density of State has increased from 258 persons per sqkm in 2001 to 308 persons per
sqkm in 2011 (Census 2001, 2011). Surat district has recorded a highest density with
1,376 persons per sqkm while Kutch district has the lowest density of 46 persons per
sqkm The literacy rate in Gujarat has increased from 69.14 per cent in 2001 to 79.31
per cent 2011. The net increase in literacy is more in the female population (12.93
percentage points) than the male population (7.57 percentage points). Dahod district
has recorded a lowest literacy rate (45.15 per cent) while Ahmedabad has recorded the
highest (86.65 per cent). The overall literacy rate in the State has shown an upward
trend during the period 1951-2011.
Towns 348
Villages 18,225
Municipal corporations 8
Municipalities 159
Population 60,383,628
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Parameter Gujarat
Urban population 25,712,811
Rural population 34,670,817
Number of districts 33
The higher growth in the economy during the year 2011-12can be mainly attributed to
secondary (manufacturing), and tertiary sectors which have contributed 39.3 and 46.0
per cent growth during the year 2011-12 at constant (2004-05) prices (GoG, 2013).
The Per Capita Income (i.e. Per Capita NSDP) at factor cost at constant (2004-05)
prices has been estimated at Rs. 57,508 in 2011-12 as against Rs. 53,789 in 2010-11,
registering a growth of 6.9 percent during the year. The Per Capita Income at current
prices has been estimated at Rs. 89,668 in 2011-12 as against Rs. 78,802 in 2010-11,
showing an increase of 13.8 percent during the year (GoG, 2013)
The State of Gujarat is highly industrialized and one of the most economically
developed states in India. Since the inception of the State in 1960, the structure of its
economy has changed significantly. Not only have the State’s GSDP and per capita
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
GSDP increased, but it has shown all signs of a developed and urbanized economy
and has maintained its high rank in key economic indicators among the Indian states.
Gujarat has excellent infrastructure as compared to the other Indian states. There are
42 ports, 13 domestic airports and one international airport. The State also has an
extensive road and rail network. The urban and rural areas have 24 hour power supply.
A 2,200 km gas-grid supplies gas to industrial areas. There are 83 product clusters,
202 industrial estates, 59 Special Economic Zones (SEZs) and upcoming infrastructure
on the Delhi-Mumbai Dedicated Freight Corridor (GOG, 2010b).
Robust financial growth and the presence of leading national and international
companies belonging to diverse industry sectors, makes it one of the most attractive
investment destinations in the country. Accounting for five per cent of the total Indian
population, Gujarat contributes 21 per cent to India’s exports and around 13per cent to
its industrial production. The industrial sector in the State had a 12.5 per cent growth in
2009 (RBI, 2007) According to the study on ‘Outlook for corporate investments’
conducted by Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in 2007, Gujarat ranks first in private
corporate investments in the country. These investments can provide an avenue for
promotion of sustainable and green growth in the State.
The visionary approach of the Government of Gujarat has proved to be beneficial for
promoting investment and advancement of economic and social development.
Important events, such as the Vibrant Gujarat Summit, provide enormous opportunities
for the State to display its strengths, progressive stand and initiatives taken to improve
governance, among others. The summit was also an opportunity to attract climate
friendly investments in the State besides providing excellent networking opportunities
through business to business meeting arrangements, network dinners, buyer seller
meets, export pavilions and catalogue shows.
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Box 2:
Vibrant Gujarat Summit, 2011
• Participation from 101 Countries, with over 1400 foreign delegates
• About 7,936 memorandums of understanding (MoUs) were signed for Rs. 20,
83,000 Crores ($ 450 billion). 66 MOUs were signed in the energy sector with
emphasis on promotion of renewables.
• Around 100 tie-ups with leading institutions from across the globe for exchange
of knowledge were forged
Vibrant Gujarat Summit, 2013
• Participation from 121 Countries, with over 2100 foreign delegates
• 17,719 Investment Intentions were signed and 2,670 Strategic Partnerships were
signed in the areas of Technology transfer, R&D, Education, etc. during the
summit.
Figure 4:Percentage growth of urban population to total population in 2011 over 2001
One of the key reasons for Gujarat’s accelerated urbanization is the fast growing
economy of the State. The Government of Gujarat’s outlay on urban development for
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Figure 6: Sector wise energy consumption patterns for the next ten years
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Gujarat has a number of comprehensive and forward looking policies in place along
with efficient governance, which is poised to take advantage of a conducive policy
framework to undertake measures for addressing Climate Change concerns.
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Figure 9: Policies, programmes and projects of Govt. of Gujarat which have direct/indirect
thrust onadaptation
Various studies have recognized the role of institutions at multiple scales, especially in
local contexts, as being the key to adaptation (Thompson et al, 2006; Shepherd et al,
2006). A study commissioned by The World Bank Group, suggests that adaptation to
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
Climate Change is inevitably local and that institutions influence adaptation and climate
vulnerability in three critical ways: a) they structure impacts and vulnerability; b) they
mediate between individual and collective responses to climate impacts and thereby
shape outcomes of adaptation; and c) they act as the means of delivery of external
resources to facilitate adaptation, and thus govern access to such resources.
Institutions are also critical leverage points through which to determine the direction
and magnitude of flows of resources to different social groups (Agarwal, 2008).
In addition to these, local institutions in the State like Pani Panchayat among others,
have huge influence and can be further strengthened to serve as an effective means of
steering local communities towards climate sensitive practices.
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
2.6In Summary
The vulnerabilities that climate variability and change create are key issues in the
economic and social development of the State. Although, there are studies on climate
trends and projections for the Indian region, there are few that are focused on the State.
Available observational evidence indicates that regional changes in climate, particularly
increases in temperature, have already affected a diverse set of physical and biological
systems. There is a need to study systematically the inter-relationship between Climate
Change impacts to derive effective adaptation and mitigation measures
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Section 2
Climate Variability and
Change
The earth’s climate system is found to be affected by the anthropological activities of
increase in greenhouse gases (GHGs) thus leading to Climate Change. Climate Change
does not only increase the mean average surface temperature over a region but also imply
changes in the type of weather, frequency and intensity of these weather events (IPCC,
2007). Many available observational evidences indicates that regional changes in climate,
particularly increases in temperature, have already affected a diverse set of physical and
biological systems in many parts of the world (IPCC 2001). The State of Gujarat is a
situated on the western end of the Indian region, with vast coastline of approximately 1663
km, which is highly vivid and distinct from others in terms of geomorphology, natural
resources and human activities. This makes Gujarat even more sensitive to impacts due to
Climate Changes. Covering more than 15 districts extending from Lakhpat in the north to
Valsad in the South, the State of Gujarat lies exposed to the likelihood of changes in
climatic parameters including changes in temperatures, rainfall variability, sea surface
temperatures, rainfall extremes, variation in sea levels, storm surge occurrences and
cyclonic activity in the Arabian Sea.
The first step towards preparation of a detailed State Action Plan on Climate Change
(SAPCC) is to assess state-specific risks and impacts and prioritize areas for research and
policy action in response to current and future vulnerabilities and projected impacts of
Climate Change. For this it is essential to analyze the climate variability over the state and
assess the risk associated with extreme climatic events, the use of climate models both at
the global level and regional level becomes imperative.
At the same time, the potential for the mitigation of green house gasses in the State is
substantial and needs to be harnessed.
This section provides information on Climate Trends and Projections, Climate Vulnerability
and Impacts and Sources of GHG emissions.
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3.1 Introduction
Since the onset of industrial revolution it has been observed that the human induced or
anthropogenic activities have influenced the physical as well as chemical composition
of the earth’s atmosphere. The global atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide
which is a greenhouse gas has increased to a value of 400 ppm in 2014, from 280 ppm
in the pre-industrial times. Along with this, the global atmospheric concentration of
Methane and Nitrous oxides, other important GHGs, have also increased considerably.
The earth’s climate system is constantly being affected by increased anthropogenic
activities, leading to increased greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, thus resulting in
Climate Change. According to the Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), most of the
increase in observed global average temperatures since the mid-20th century is very
likely linked to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations
(IPCC, 2007a). The AR4 concludes that discernible human influences have now
extended to other aspects of climate, including ocean warming, continental-average
temperatures, temperature extremes and wind patterns. Projected scenarios also
indicate rise in global mean temperatures in the range of 1.1 to 6.4oC and Sea Level
Rise (SLR) in the range of 0.18 to 0.59 m by 2100 (IPCC, 2007). An analysis of
instrumental records, globally for over one and a half century, has revealed that the
earth has warmed by 0.74o (0.56 to 0.92)oC during the last 100 years, with 12 of the
last 13 years being the warmest. According to AR4, the rise in temperature by the end
of the century with respect to 1980-1999 levels would range from 0.60C to 4.00C and
the sea level may rise by 0.18 m to 0.59 m during the same period, globally.
The projections for future climate are obtained by the use of global and regional
models. General Circulation Models (GCMs) act as basic tools to simulate earth's
climate consisting of physical processes in atmosphere, oceans, ice sheets and land
surface. Such models give a projection globally and generally have a resolution of
about 1-3° (110-300 km) in latitude and longitude which is too coarse to provide
significant assessment over an area. Hence, regional changes are simulated by
dynamically downscaling information from GCMs using a Regional Climate Model
(RCM). The physical processes are scaled over a higher resolution (25-50 km typical)
to arrive at much better assessments over the desired area. Global models, being
mathematical manifestations of physical processes, have inherent biases and
systematic errors. By downscaling or ‘zooming’ from them, there is a risk of cascading
these inherent biases. Regional climate models also face uncertainty issues due to
regions with complex topography, such as mountainous separation between two
climatologically different plains. Since, the projections for future GHG emissions
depend on assumptions about economic developments; this also forms one of the
uncertainty parameters. Hence, for all such models, limitations should be properly
understood before carrying out any modeling exercise. Most climate scientists carry out
bias correction methods to correct outputs to arrive at better approximations both at
global as well as regional scales.
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In India, and in particular homogenous regions of the east coast, west coast and the
Indian peninsula, a significant increasing trend in frequency of hot days as well as
decreasing trends in frequency of cold days, during the pre-monsoon season over the
period 1970-2005, has been observed (Kothawale and Rupa Kumar, 2005).
According to Parthasarthy (1984), monsoon rainfall is trend-less during the last four
decades, particularly on an all India scale, but Rupa Kumar et al, (1994) brought out
regional monsoon rainfall trends in the past century.
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
The high resolution (1o X 1olat/long) IMD gridded data and station data from
observatories have been utilized in most of the variability studies over the Indian, as
well as the Gujarat region. The all India model projections for future climate stated in
this chapter are generated by PRECIS (Providing Regional Climates for Impact
Studies, a high-resolution modeling system developed by the Hadley Centre, UK).
The runs were made at 50 X 50 km resolution for various IPCC SRES scenarios. High
resolution regional climate model (PRECIS) simulations using lateral boundary forcing
from three QUMP (Quantifying Uncertainties in Model Projections) runs made at IITM
for A1B emission scenario for 2030’s indicate an all-round warming over the Indian
Subcontinent (Figure 4). The Q1, Q0 and Q14 represent the three ensemble runs
carried out using the PRECIS model.
Out of 225 talukas (existing then), 56 talukas are drought prone. The all India
assessments in the INCCA report (MoEF, 2010) indicates a warming trend over the
Gujarat State for annual mean, maximum and minimum temperatures and also shows
a possible increasing trends in extreme rainfall.
Ray et al, (2009) have analyzed various components of temperature and rainfall over
the Gujarat using the India Meteorological Department (IMD) thirty year gridded data.
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
The gridded 30 years moving averages of mean maximum temperature over Gujarat
indicate an increase by 0.11oC for the past 40 years (1969-2005). The station wise
analysis (1969-2008) also indicates the increase in temperatures more over Saurashtra
region as compared to other regions of the State. The moving averages of mean
minimum temperatures over Gujarat show an increasing trend of 0.107oC for the past
40 years (1969-2005). Saurashtra and Kutch also show higher increase in night
temperature as compared to other regions using station wise analysis.
An increase of 0.07oC in mean temperatures over Gujarat in the past 40 years (1969-
2005) with a comparative higher increase over Coastal Saurashtra region (1969-2008)
has been observed. Another analysis by Ray et al., (2009) over the cold and heat wave
conditions over Gujarat shows a considerable decrease in cold wave conditions for the
past decade indicating an increase in night temperature (Table 3) and an increase in
heat wave conditions except for Ahmedabad, Bhuj and Okha (Table 4). As compared
to 103 cold wave conditions in Saurashtra and Kutch for the period 1969-1978, the
period 1999-2008 only recorded 13 cold wave conditions. Heat wave conditions have
shown an increase over the southern part of the Gujarat and a decrease over the
northern parts. Along the coastal stations of Saurashtra an appreciable rise in heat
wave conditions have been observed.
Table 6 gives the frequencies of the occurrence of cold and hot waves in Gujarat,
Saurashtra and Kutch for different time periods. In the plains, the most severe cold
wave that has occurred included areas over Gujarat, Saurashtra and Kutch during 30
January - 2 February 1929 where a departure of -12oC of minimum temperature over
Gujarat region and adjoining parts of Saurashtra and Kutch were seen. Saurashtra and
Kutch region have also recorded considerably high number of heat spells (Raghavan,
1966). A 30 year moving average of seasonal rainfall from meteorological data from all
the stations in Gujarat for the 40 year period (1969-2008) show an increase in normal
rainfall for all the stations. Regions of Saurashtra (Bhavnagar, 60 mm) and Southern
Gujarat (Surat, 100 mm) show the maximum rise of seasonal rainfall normals. Rainfall
extremes have also shown an increasing trend in the past decade for Southern Gujarat
region and Saurashtra (Table 3). But the northern Gujarat region and adjoining Kutch
hasn’t shown any considerable trend both for mean seasonal rainfall and rainfall
extremes. An assessment on extreme weather events over India for the last 100 years
has been done by De et al., (2005). In July 1927 and July 1941 Gujarat witnessed
floods in Sabarmati and Tapi rivers respectively. The severe flooding in Saurashtra and
Kutch due to incessant rains over Rajkot in August 1979, flooding of river Narmada in
1970 and river Mahi in 1973 are few of the extreme flooding events that Gujarat have
witnessed in the past.
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
Rajkot 13 18 15 21 1968-77 6 2
Veraval 21 27 26 33 1978-99 6 -
Naliya 10 13 10 11 1901-99 99 2
Porbandar 16 25 19 22
Surat 92 88 39 101 Source: 1901.10: Annual Summary
Bhavnagar 13 10 13 17 1911 .67 : Bedekar FMU
1968 .77 : Disastrous Weather Events Reports . Annual
1978 .99 : WMO Bulletin October 2000, 49, 4, pp. 340 – 348
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
An analysis of tide gauge records from Mumbai, Kochi from west coast and
Vishakhapatnam and Diamond Harbour from east coast have depicted a mean sea-
level rise along the Indian coast of around 1.3 mm/year. The data from the Kandla and
Okha were linearly correlated with Mumbai data in the analysis (Unnikrishnan and
Shankar, 2007).
The understanding on climate science and various components of climate system and
their interactions have increased to an advanced level nowadays. The main reasons for
this increased knowledge are better global data availability and hierarchy of coupled
ocean-atmosphere-sea-ice-land-surface models that provide indicators of global
response as well as possible regional patterns of Climate Change. The Global ocean
atmosphere coupled Climate Models (GCMs) provide satisfactory representations of
the planetary scale features but owing to their coarse resolution (100-300 km) their
application to regional studies is often limited. For example, to study the influence of
realistic topographical features like the Western Ghats along the west coast of India on
the monsoon rainfall patterns over India, these global models require to be used at
extremely high resolution which is not only computationally expensive but also suffers
from uncertainties of representing small scale (high resolution) climate processes on
global scale. Hence, State-of-art Regional Climate Models (RCMs) are utilized that
dynamically downscale the global model simulations to simulate the regional details of
regions of interest.
Figure 12: (a, b, c and d): Mean annual surface air
Since the knowledge and temperature climatology based on observations
understanding of implications of and simulated by three PRECIS runs compared
Climate Change at national level was with the observed climatology for baseline period
inadequate and fragmentary and to (1961-1990); (e): Projected changes in the annual
surface air temperature in 2030’s with respect to
have a sense of future Climate the 1970’s.
Change over Indian region, Ministry
of Environment and Forests
published a report “Climate Change
and India: A 4X4 Assessment: A
sectoral and regional analysis for
2030s”, prepared by the Indian
Network for Climate Change
Assessment (INCCA) in 2010. This
report provides an assessment of
impact of Climate Change in 2030s
on four key sectors of the Indian
economy - agriculture, water, natural
ecosystems and biodiversity and
health - in four climate sensitive
regions of India, namely the
Himalayan region, the Western
Ghats, the Coastal Area and the
North-East Region.
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
High resolution regional climate model (PRECIS) simulations for 2030’s indicate an all-
round warming over the Indian Subcontinent (Figure 13). The Q1, Q0 and Q14
represent the three ensemble runs carried out using the PRECIS model. Particularly
over the west coast the annual
temperatures are set to increase from a Figure 13: Changes in the minimum (upper
minimum of panel) and maximum temperatures (lower
0 0
26.8 C to a maximum of 27.5 C in the panel) in 2030s with respect to baseline.
2030’s (MoEF, 2010). The rise in
temperature with respect to the 1970’s
(climatology) shows a range between
1.7 - 1.80C (Figure 12 e). Seasonal
temperature from the simulations also
projects a rise from 1.5 to 2.20C, with
the monsoon months of June, July,
August and September showing
maximum rise amongst all the seasons
(MoEF, 2010). The State of Gujarat
shows a projected rise in the range of
1.5 to 2.50C for the period of 2030’s (in
figure 12 e).
The projections of all-India summer monsoon rainfall indicate a 3 to 7 per cent overall
increase in the 2030’s with respect to the 1970’s. Particularly over west coast, the
2030’s projections indicate the
Figure 14: (a) Change in frequency of rainy days, (b)
annual rainfall variations from Change in intensity of rainydays. Both changes are
935±185.33mm to observed in 2030s with respect to 1970s
1794±247.1mm which amounts to
an increase in rainfall by 6 to 8
per cent (MoEF, 2010). The
monsoon months (June, July,
August and September) show an
average increase of 8 mm of
rainfall in 2030’s with respect to
1970’s, however, the months of
March, April and May and winter
months of January and February
show a decrease in the average
rainfall with respect to 1970’s
(MoEF, 2010).
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
events do not show any particular trend for the frequency of rainy days over Gujarat
(Figure 14a). However, intensity of rainy days is projected to show an increasing trend
over Gujarat region (Figure 14b).
Bengtsson et al., (2006) have modeled the track density and the mean intensity for
cyclones occurring globally for 2071-2100 vis a vis baseline 1961-1990. The study
shows that under A1B scenario, though the track density (frequency of cyclones) over
Indian region does not seem to change much but the track intensity (intensity of
cyclones) shows a positive increase for the future time period.
The regional model (PRECIS) simulation of cyclone tracks and intensity show that the
cyclonic disturbances over Arabian Sea may be less for the period 2030’s with respect
to 1970’s but the intensity of these systems would be more intense as compared to the
present under the global warming scenario A1B.
The INCCA report also suggests that the model-based projections of global average
sea-level rise at the end of 21st century indicate a rise from a minimum of 0.18 m to a
maximum of 0.59 m. The sea level rise at shorter time scales (few decades) can be
attributed to the thermal expansion. For the period 2000-2020, the rate of thermal
expansion as projected by an ensemble of Atmospheric Ocean Global Circulation
Models (AOGCMs) under the SRES A1B scenario is 1.3±0.7 mm/year which shows no
significant difference under the A2 or B1 SRES scenario as well (Meehl et al., 2007).
For the north Indian Ocean region the regional variation in sea level has been projected
to be less than 0.05 m by 2100 (Meehl et al., 2007). In the absence of availability of
regional projections, global projections can be used as a first approximation of sea-
level rise along the Indian coasts for the next few decades as well as towards the end
of the 21st century (MoEF, 2010).
The historical data (past 30 years) analysis indicates an increase of mean maximum
temperature over Gujarat by 0.11oC. The station wise analysis (1969-2008) indicates
an increase more over Saurashtra as compared to other states. Saurashtra and Kutch
regions have recorded high number of heat spells.
The global as well as regional modeling results show a rise in the range of 1.5 to 2.5oC
for the period of 2030’s for A1B scenario and 0.5 to 3.00C for A2 scenario and 0.5 to
2.00C for B2 scenario.
Historical data for the 40 year period (1969-2008) over Gujarat shows an increase in
rainfall over all stations specifically over Saurashtra and Southern Gujarat. The rainfall
extremes also show an increase over the same regions.
The analysis of tide gauge data shows an increase in mean sea-level rise along the
west coast.
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
Model based projections of global sea level rise show an increasing trend at the end of
21st century. In absence of availability of regional projections, global projections can be
used as first approximation of sea-level rise along Indian coast.
Cyclones over Indian coastlines are projected to increase in intensity in future though
the number of cyclones occurring doesn’t show an increase.
While presenting any modeling output study a proper peer review should be carried out
and uncertainty in data and model outputs should be reported.
To have an effective response to future Climate Change there is a need for Gujarat
specific projections and also there is a need to have the required infrastructural and
institutional capacity in the State to make use of such strategic knowledge. It is very
important to take into account the existing gaps in this regard.
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
4.1 Introduction
The IPCC (2001) defines vulnerability as ‘‘the degree to which a system is susceptible
to, or unable to cope with adverse effects of Climate Change.’’ Key vulnerability factors
for Gujarat include of Gujarat a long coastline and large sections of population
dependent upon the natural resource base and climate-sensitive sectors such as
agriculture, water and forestry.
Gujarat has over 1,600 km of coastline and settlements, both urban and rural, which
could be impacted by sea level rise in terms of inundation of low lying coastal areas,
sea water ingress into the coastal groundwater aquifers and loss of ecologically fragile
and important mangroves and wet lands. The incidences of storm surges and cyclones
could bring heavy economic and structural losses to communities besides making the
entire area vulnerable to water resources particularly for drinking and agricultural
purposes.
Development can help reduce vulnerability to Climate Change by reducing the impacts
of climate hazard due to less sensitivity and exposure to hazards. It is well admitted
that better economic circumstances enhance the capacity situated to cope with Climate
Change. Gujarat is one of the progressive States in India with a wide array of policy
and programmes in place for the betterment of society and environment. Although if
properly implemented these can significantly reduce the vulnerability to many Climate
Change impacts, certain studies suggest that in some cases development initiatives
may in fact increase the vulnerability to climatic changes. For example, coastal zone
development plans which fail to take into account sea level rise will put people,
industries and basic infrastructure at risk and prove unsustainable in the long term
(OECD, 2009). Therefore in some cases creation of explicit adaptation strategies may
be required in addition the on-going development process.
Nine thematic groups have been identified under the aegis of Climate Change for
addressing some of the key priority areas for Gujarat. Of these, we review change
impacts and vulnerability for the five critical sectors of agriculture; water, health, forests
30
Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
and biodiversity, sea level rise and coastal infrastructure. Table 7 indicates changes in
extreme weather and climate events, based on projections to the mid- to late 21st
century.
Snow & Ice, • Permafrost degradation in Siberia, Central Asia, and Tibetan Plateau (high
Rivers & confidence, major contribution from climate change) • Shrinking mountain
Lakes, glaciers across most of Asia (medium confidence, major contribution from
Floods & climate change) • Changed water availability in many Chinese rivers, beyond
Drought changes due to land use (low confidence, minor contribution from climate
change) • Increased flow in several rivers due to shrinking glaciers (high
confidence, major contribution from climate change) • Earlier timing of
maximum spring flood in Russian rivers (medium confidence, major
contribution from climate change) • Reduced soil moisture in north-central and
northeast China (1950–2006) (medium confidence, major contribution from
climate change) • Surface water degradation in parts of Asia, beyond
changes due to land use (medium confidence, minor contribution from climate
change) [24.3-4, 28.2, Tables 18-5, 18-6, and SM24-4, Box 3-1; WGI AR5
4.3, 10.5]
Terrestrial • Changes in plant phenology and growth in many parts of Asia (earlier
Ecosystems greening), particularly in the north and east (medium confidence, major
contribution from climate change)
• Distribution shifts of many plant and animal species upwards in elevation or
polewards, particularly in the north of Asia (medium confidence, major
contribution from climate change)
• Invasion of Siberian larch forests by pine and spruce during recent decades
(low confidence, major contribution from climate change) • Advance of shrubs
into the Siberian tundra (high confidence, major contribution from climate
change) [4.3, 24.4, 28.2, Table 18-7, Figure 4-4]
Coastal • Decline in coral reefs in tropical Asian waters, beyond decline due to human
Erosion & impacts (high confidence, major contribution from climate change) •
Marine Northward range extension of corals in the East China Sea and western
Ecosystems Pacific, and of a predatory fish in the Sea of Japan (medium confidence,
major contribution
from climate change) • Shift from sardines to anchovies in the western North
Pacific, beyond fluctuations due to fisheries (low confidence, major
contribution from climate change) • Increased coastal erosion in Arctic Asia
(low confidence, major contribution from climate change) [6.3, 24.4, 30.5,
Tables 6-2 and 18-8]
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
4.3 Agriculture
Agriculture is an important sector in the State of Gujarat as it is one of the primary
sources of livelihood for more than half (52.0 per cent - 59.84 per cent) of its workforce
(Planning Commission, 2002; UNDP, 2004). Around 51per cent of the total geographical
area is under cultivation (Department of Agriculture, Gujarat, 2014) and agriculture
contributes to about 18.3per cent of the states GDP. Horticulture, animal husbandry and
fisheries are important sub-sectors.The output of the agriculture sector grew at an
average annual rate of more than 11 per cent in Gujarat (GoG, 2013)
The State is divided into eight agro-climatic zones based on rainfall, soil types and
cropping pattern. These are South Gujarat (a heavy rain area, south of River Ambika),
South Gujarat (between rivers Ambika and Narmada), Middle Gujarat (between rivers
Narmada and Vishwamitri), whole Panchamal, Vadodra, parts of Bharuch, Anand and
Kheda districts, North Gujarat (between rivers Vishwamitri and Sabarmati and part of
Mehsana, Ahmedabad and Banaskantha districts), Bhal and Coastal Area (around the
gulf of Khambhat and Bhal and coastal region in Bharuch, Bhavnagar, Ahmedabad and
Surat districts), South Saurashtra (all of Junagadh district, parts of bhavnagar, Amreli
and Rajkot districts), North Saurashtra (all of Jamnagar district, part of Rajkot district,
part of Surendranagar district and part of Bhavnagar district), and the North West zone
(all of Kutch district and part of Rajkot, Surendranagar, Mehsana, Banaskantha and
Ahmedabad districts).
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
are often subject to drought (GoG). Hence non-availability of proper rainfall is a limiting
factor for the growth of kharif crops inGujarat.However, it can be inferred from Figure
15 that improvement of irrigation facilities in the State has helped to increase resilience
of farming systems to climate variability.
4.3.2.1Salinity
Apart from this, since Gujarat has a long coastline, salinity ingress is a problem. An
increase in the ratio of CL/CO3 HCO3 was also noted towards the coast, indicating
considerable mixing of seawater with local ground water. In 1971 sea water ingress
was observed to a distance between 2.5 and 4.5 km from the coast, and the distance
increased between 5.0 and 7.5 km from the coast in 1977. Due to this, there was a
decrease in both quality and crop yield (up to 90 per cent) in the coastal belts of
Saurashtra and Kutch, known for cultivation of high value cash crops mainly, wheat, ,
mango, coconut and garden vegetables etc. (GoG 2010).
A study by Coastal Salinity Prevention Cell (CSPC, 2008) on salinity in the coastal
areas of Rajkot district shows that farmers growing groundnut and pearl millet (bajra)
shifted to cotton and castor. The coconut plantations existing in some villages have
been destroyed. The financial requirement of the farming community has increased
due to an increasing shift towards cash crops, which demand high input. The survey
has recorded that more than 50 per cent of the farmers are seeking loans. This trend
has also resulted in people migrating for work. The table given below shows the impact
of salinity ingress on agriculture and animal husbandry in the five coastal districts of
Gujarat.
Table 8: Salinity ingress impacts on agriculture and animal husbandry
Rajkot • Shift from groundnut and bajra to cotton • Less impact on animal
and castor. husbandry since majority of
animals are indigenous
• The coconut plantation existing in some
villages have been completely
destroyed.
• The average production of Bajra, Jowar,
castor and cotton has halved
Junagadh • The area under horticulture is reducing • The number of milch animals
gradually, no new plantation of per family has reduced from
mangoes and coconut is carried out by 10-12 animals 20 years back
the farmers. to two- three animals at
present.
• Groundnut cultivation is being replaced
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
The study reveals that in almost all the coastal districts, there is a gradual shift in the
cropping pattern, decline in area under horticulture and reduction in yield of crops.
However, even with the existing pressure on agriculture sector the State has shown an
increasing trend in crop yield, especially from 2001-02. Lack of fodder and health
impacts on animals have affected the animal husbandry sector.
According to IPCC 2007, global average temperatures are projected to rise by about
1°C by 2030, while the global mean precipitation and runoff is expected to increase by
1.5 to 3 per cent. These changes will impact global agriculture, differentially, with
negative impacts greater in the tropics, than in the temperate areas, thus affecting
developing countries. The projected net effect will be a decrease in land suitability for
cultivation in arid and semi-arid areas. Reduction in runoff and groundwater recharge
will lead to changes in availability of water from rivers and aquifers, and a substantial
decrease is projected for India. Climate Change will increase dependence on irrigation
while the irrigation capacity will be reduced due to more frequent droughts. Decline in
water availability will be greater after 2030, but there could be negative effects on
irrigation in the short term (FAO, 2003).
4.3.3.1 Crops
Indian agriculture is facing many challenges, climate variability being one of them.
IPCC projects a probability of 10-40 per cent loss in crop production in India by 2080-
34
Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
2100 due to global warming. India’s first National Communication to the UNFCCC
suggests that an increase in CO2 to 550 ppm will increase the yield of rice, wheat,
legumes and oilseeds by 10-20 per cent. Yields of wheat, soybean, mustard,
groundnut, and potato are likely to decline by 3-7 per cent with a one degree rise in
temperature. On the west coast, there is a probability of improvements in yields of
chickpea, rabi, maize, sorghum, millets and also, coconuts. Due to reduced frost,
losses in potato, mustard and vegetables in the north-west India will be less.
In the case of Gujarat, sufficient studies are not available pertaining to impacts of
Climate Change on agriculture. Since most kharif crops are rainfed, while rabi and
other summer crops are irrigated, it is important to analyze trends in rainfall and
temperature. Analysis of rainfall data shows a decreasing trend of five per cent per 100
years in the western part, including Saurashtra and Kutch and the Gujarat subdivision.
Analysis of temperature trends reveal that maximum temperature has increased by 0.2-
0.90 C per decade. The highest rate of increase (0.90 C) was found in Saurashtra (GoG
2011).
According to GoG 2011, temperature is the main limiting factor to achieve productivity
of rabi crops like wheat and mustard. The productivity of wheat declined from 3,013 kg
per ha in the year 2007-08 to 2,400 kg per ha during the rabi season due to
suddentemperature rise at flowering stage(GoG 2011).
In Gujarat, irrigated rice yields are expected to decline in certain regions by 2030. In
the southern regions, including Saurashtra, there will be a decline in irrigated
wheatyield. The coast is projected to lose up to 40 per cent of its coconut yield and this
can be attributed to existing high summer temperatures which are projected to increase
relatively more than in the west coast region (MoEF, 2010).
Some studies suggest that agriculture is likely to be affected in the coastal regions
where agriculturally fertile areas are vulnerable to inundation and salinization (Samui
and Kamble, 2009). Also, standing crops in these regions are also more likely to be
damaged due to cyclonic activity (O’Brien, 2001).
Gujarat is one of the foremost contributors to the rapidly growing livestock sector.
Livestock contributes five per cent to the total GDP of the State and 22.89 per cent to
the agriculture and allied sector. Livestock is also vulnerable to the impacts of Climate
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
Change, according to IPCC 2007, in many developing countries; and production losses
due to greater heat stress, leading to decreased fodder productivity, will negatively
impact livestock rearing. According to FAO, effects on livestock will be partly through
deterioration of some grassland in developing countries (mostly after 2030). In case of
India, heat stress will have effect upon animal reproduction (MoEF, 2010). There will be
an increase in water, shelter and energy demand. Impacts on livestock also likely to
include, lower yields fromdairy cattle..
4.3.3.2 Fisheries
Since Gujarat has a long coast line, fisheries is an important sector in the State, the
sector is vulnerable to Climate Change impacts like sea level rise, higher sea
temperatures and changes in ocean currents. According to IPCC, rise of average
temperatures over the northern latitude can disrupt ocean currents and fish breeding
pattern. Coral bleaching and destruction through higher water temperatures could
damage fish breeding grounds in Middle and Southern Latitudes. Sea level rise and
increase in temperatures are likely to affect fish breeding, migration and harvests in
India.
Possibilites of change in salinity, temperature and ocean currents are anticipated due
to global climate change. These factors may influence marine fishiries sector. Till date,
marine fisheries sector of the state was mostly focusing on exploiting marine fisheries
resource.In the changing scenario, other alternatives like Aquaculture, Cage culture
and Artificial Reef programme need to sustain the marine fisheries sector.
The state government is implementing need based programme for the sustainability of
marine fisheries sector. Research activites on marine fisheries and allied activites are
being carried out by the Central Marine Fisheries Research Institute (CMFRI) under
ICAR, National Institute of Oceanography (NIO) under CSIR and Government level by
the department of Animal Husbandry, Dairy and Fisheries. The above institutes are
working on the issue likely to crop up due to climate change and their effect on marine
fisheries.
4.4 Water
Surface water is the main source of water in Gujarat. Out of 50,100 million cubic
meters of available quota in the State, 38,100 million cubic meters is surface water.
There are 185 river basins in the State, but the available water resources are unevenly
distributed:North and Central Gujarat, Saurashtra Kutch and South Gujarat have water
resources of 10per cent, 17 per cent2 per cent and 71 per cent respectively. Major
rivers flowing through the State include Sabarmati, Mahi, Narmada and Tapi. The
Sabarmati river basin has an annual per capita water availability of 360 cum/ca/annum.
In the Mahi and Tapi basins, it is below 1,000 cum/ca/annum (GoG, Gujarat).
The underground water resources of State are 12,000 million cubic meters. Agricultural
activities consume 80 per cent of the available water resource, of which irrigation
consumes the major part. Ground water resources are not adequate to meet water
demands of the State.
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
In the mainland region of Gujarat, water levels could be declining in all the water
bearing units in the region. The water level decline in the lower alluvial sub-aquifer,
during 1982-1991 was to the extent of 40-60 m, which indicates that this sub-aquifer
may be over drawn.
According to the Central Ground Water Board (CGWB) 2014, in Gujarat, out of the 223
assessment units (one taluka for each assessment unit (except Ahmedabad and
Dascroi grouped as one unit, Surat city and Chorayashi grouped as one unit) in the
State, in terms of ground water, nearly171talukas are safe while 13are semi-critical,
05are critical and 24 talukascould be over exploited. The per capita availability in north
Gujarat and Saurashtra Kutch is low (130 m3 to 424 m3), putting pressure on ground
water. A maximum fall of 3m per year in ground water level has been observed in the
over exploited blocks is around.
Figure 17: Ground water utilization pattern of Gujarat
groundwater resources are related to Climate Change through the direct interaction
with surface water resources, such as lakes and rivers, and indirectly through the
recharge process. The direct effect of Climate Change on groundwater resources
depends upon the change in the volume and distribution of groundwater recharge.
Scientific assessments show that Climate Change will have a significant impact on
Gujarat's fresh water resources. A basin-wise daily grid rainfall data for a period of
1951-2003 was analyzed by IITM using a mathematical model. A falling trend in the
annual rainfall of varying magnitude was indicated for Narmada and west coast river
basins (MoWR, 2008). According to India’s first national communications to UNFCCC,
it can be inferred that under the Climate Change scenario, some basins are likely to
observe a reduction in the quantity of the available runoff (GoI, 2004). Luni, the west
flowing river of Kutch and Saurashtra occupying about one-fourths of the area of
Gujarat is likely to experience water scarce conditions (Gosain et al, 2006).The river
basins of Mahi, Pennar, Sabarmati and Tapi are also likely to experience water
scarcities and shortage. (Gosain etal, 2006)
Gujarat has a coastline of approximately 1,663 km, which is the longest and is
approximately 22 per cent of the total coastline of India (GEC, 2008). The coastal
region in this State is highly vivid and distinct from others in terms of geomorphology,
natural resources and human activities. The long coastline of the State is dotted with
41 ports and has a strong industrial presence. With almost 37 per cent of the total
population living along the coast and being an economically active zone, the coastal
regions of Gujarat are highly vulnerable to the impacts ofClimate Change.
Coastal regions harbour some of the most diverse and productive ecosystems and act
as an active interface between land and water. One of the most visible impacts of
Climate Change is that of sea level rise in the coastal regions. Sea Level Rise (SLR) is
accounted by an increase in the volume of the ocean with change in mass mainly due
to the thermal expansion of ocean water and melting of continental ice (IPCC, 2001).
Coastal regions are sensitive to climate-related stimuli owing to their exposure to SLR
and tropical cyclones. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predicts an
increased SLR of between 0.18 m and 0.59 m across various emission scenarios over
the next 100 years (IPCC, 2007). It also expects, with a high degree of confidence, an
increase in the intensity and frequency of extreme weather events including storm
surges and cyclonic events. Most coastal regions could be subject to increased levels
of flooding, leading to loss of land due to inundation, accelerated erosion, salt-water
intrusion and loss of wetlands and mangrove ecosystems. The key climate-related
risks associated could be SLR, flooding, storm surges and tropical cyclone
occurrences, changes in precipitation, and sea-surface temperatures (IPCC, 2007).
The projected biophysical changes due to Climate Change could have adverse socio
economic implications for human settlements, health, tourism, fresh water resources,
agriculture, fisheries, and so on (IPCC, 2007; McLean et al, 2001; GoI, 2004; Nicholls,
2002). High climate sensitivity and low adaptive capacity of the coastal regions in India
makes it a highly vulnerable system. The Delft hydraulics study for the United Nations
Environment Programme (UNEP) identified India among the 27 countries with most
vulnerable SLR (UNEP, 1989).
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
A variety of impacts are expected as a consequence of sea level rise with significant
implications for coastal population. The primary effects include increased coastal
flooding, loss of land due to inundation and erosion of sandy beaches. These could
lead to loss of ecosystems such as wetlands, mangroves and corals, degradation of
coastal vegetation and habitats, intrusion of salt water into groundwater systems, and
loss of cultivable land with huge implications on human systems and settlements
relating to health, displacement of population, loss of life and economic losses. All
these will increase the exposure and frequency and intensity of storms will increase the
sensitivity, leading to an overall increase in vulnerability of the coastal zones.
Studies conducted by Dwiwedi et al (2003) and Chauhan etal (2005) indicate that Gulf
of Kutch is vulnerable to sea level changes including sea level rise and of erosion along
with shoreline changes.
The economy of Gujarat, to a significant level is linked to the coastal region and
also depends upon the coastal resources. Sea level rise poses a threat to the coastal
infrastructure as it can lead to inundations, flood and storm damages in case of
cyclones, erosion, salt water intrusion and wetland loss. Gujarat is also vulnerable to
these threats.
4.5 Health
The status of health depends on a large number of factors: poverty, food security, food
pricing and malnutrition; environmental pollution and degradation; occupational health
problems; reproductive health problems; household economy and wages; economic
development; represented by per capita income, urbanization and industrialization;
social development; especially literacy rates; prices of private health care system and
public health care delivery system. Gujarat’s performance is better than all India
aggregates with regard to all vital statistics (Table 9).
Table 9: Health indicators for the State of Gujarat
Sr. Current
Particulars 1971 1991 2001
No level
1. Crude Birth Rate(CBR) 40.0 27.5 24.9 21.3
(Per 1000 population) (SRS 2011)
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
Climatic conditions play an important role in the distribution, degree of endemicity and
epidemicity of diseases in an area. Climate Change is expected to adversely impact
humanhealth by increasing the risk of exposure to vector, water- and food-borne
diseases, aggravating malnutrition and increasing injuries and deaths from extreme
rainfall events and thermal stresses. In addition, a number of non-climate factors such
as population growth and demographic change, access to clean water, adequate
nutrition and sanitation facilities, improvements in health care, and disease prevention
and control programs have tremendous influence on either reducing or aggravating
these climate induced impacts. Climate Change can have both direct and indirect
human health impacts. Indirect impacts arise from changes in temperature patterns,
which may disturb natural ecosystems, change the ecology of infectious diseases,
harm agriculture and fresh water supplies, exacerbate air pollution levels, and cause
large-scale reorganization of plant and animal communities.
Incidences of vector borne diseases (VBDs) malaria could br high in the State. VBDs
are probably the most sensitive to changes in climate parameters. Weather conditions
determine malaria transmission to a significant extent. Climate Change will modify the
dispersal, reproduction, maturation and survival rate of vector species and
consequently alter disease transmission. Temperature, humidity, rainfall, soil moisture
and the rising sea level are changes in climate that have implications for disease
transmission. Heavy rainfall which results in puddles provides good breeding conditions
for mosquitoes. In arid areas of western Rajasthan and Gujarat, malaria epidemics
have often followed excessive rainfall (GOI, 2004). Malaria, Dengue fever,
chickungunya, and Lymphatic Filariasis could be the VBDs in the State. Dengue cases
may have increased since 2008. Sporadic cases of chickungunya have also been
reported from few districts (SER, 2010-2011).Scabies too,was prevalent in the State
however, reporting on scabies has stopped since 1994. Scabies, which is a result of
water scarcity, is a communicable disease, spreads rapidly in drought prone regions.
As future projections indicate decrease in water availability in the State it could further
increase the case of scabies in the State.Coastal districts may face major health
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
problems due to salinity ingress and non-availability of drinking water. The table below
shows the probable health impacts of salinity ingress, district wise.
Climate Change is expected to adversely impact human health by increasing the risk of
exposure to vector, water- and food-borne diseases, aggravating malnutrition and
increasing injuries and deaths from extreme rainfall events and thermal stresses.
Severity and distribution of livestock diseases and parasites is also decided by climatic
factors. (Sirohi etal, 2007)
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
infection. A reciprocal relationship has also been postulated between diarrhea and
malnutrition in children, with diarrhea leading to nutrient loss and malnutrition
predisposing diarrhea. Other than this, Climate Change may impact quality and
quantity of feed and fodder resources such as pastures, forages and grain having
significant bearing for the livestock sector.
The projected increase in frequency and intensity of extreme temperatures may also
have direct impacts on human health in terms of thermal stresses, such as
hypothermia, influenza, cardio-vascular and respiratory diseases, heat exhaustion,
heat cramps, dehydration and many others.
Climate Changemay have both direct and indirect impact on animal husbandry sector.
The direct impacts include reduced availability of water and food due to reduced crop
yield. Increased growth of insects and eco-parasites due to irregularities in seasonal
changes and lengthening of hot periods. Examples of such diseases include
Leishmaniasis, Babesiosis, Leptospirosis, and blue tongue.
Indirect impacts include resource scarcity due to more dependence of human beings
on these resources. Congestion, overcrowding, unhealthy and unnatural feed for the
animals are the result of resource scarcity.
Studies conducted for India suggests that milk yield of crossbred cows in India could be
negatively correlated with temperature-humidity index. A rise in minimum temperature
can reduce the average daily milk yield of the crossbred animals (Sirohi etal, 2007).
The forests of Gujarat extend over an area of 21647.44sqkm in the year 2011-2012
and constitute11.04per cent of the total geographical area of the State(GoG,2013). The
State has 23 wildlife sanctuaries and four National Parks covering about 8.71 per cent
of the total geographical area of the State (GoG, 2011). The forest areas are unevenly
distributed, mainly concentrated along the eastern border of the State and the hilly
portion of Saurashtra, in the districts of Dangs, Valsad, Surat and Junagadh. On the
basis of forest classification by Champion and Seth (1968), the following four forest
types are found in Gujarat: Tropical moist Deciduous Forest, Tropical Dry Deciduous
Forest, Northern Tropical Thorn Forest, Littoral and Swamp Forest.
Table 11: Forest cover in Gujarat (2007)
(Area in km2)
State Geogra Forest Cover per cent Change Scru
phical of G.A. * in b
Area Forest
Cover
Very Mod. Open Total
Dense Dense Forest
Forest Forest
Gujarat 196022 376 5249 8995 14620 7.46 16 1463
India 328726 83510 319012 288377 69089 21.02 728 4152
3 9 5
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Note:* The change in the above table refers to change in the area with respect to
revised assessment for 2005. Source: Indiastat (Ministry of Environment and Forests,
GoI), accessed on March 8, 2011
The State has a large number of wetlands, both inland and coastal. They are spread
across an area of 2,092 sq. km. and 25,083 sq. km. respectively making a total area of
27,175 sq km constituting 36 per cent of the total wetland share of India. The Gulf of
Kutch, the Gulf of Khambhat and the two Ranns cover vast area of coastal wetlands.
Main species include wintering waterfowl, lesser and greater Flamingoes. Coral is one
of the special coastal wetland ecosystem found only in the district of Jamnagar lying in
the Gulf of Kutch. The area occupied by coral is around 33,547 ha, scattered over 50
sites.
Gujarat has the largest area of mangroves (991 sqkm) after West Bengal (FSI, 2009).
Mangroves are found in the inter-tidal zone along the Gulf of Kutch, Gulf of Khambhat
and Kori creek covering 13 districts of the State with Kutch having 50,197 ha, followed
by Jamnagar district with 18,537 ha (ISRO, 2010).
The categories of wetlands and their respective areas are given below.
Figure 18: Type wise wetland distribution in Gujarat
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and hence, agricultural productivity. Moreover, these Climate Change induced effects
would aggravate the existing stresses due to non-climate factors such as land use
changes and the unsustainable exploitation of natural resources.
4.6.2.1 Forests
There are few studies addressing the impact of Climate Change on forests (and
biodiversity) in India. None of these studies have looked into the impact or plausible
impact on the fauna; focusing only on the flora. Most of the earlier studies were based
on GCM models and earlier versions of BIOME model that had limited capacity in
categorizing plant functional types (Ravindranath et al, 2006). However, these studies
revealed critical trends.
More recent studies using BIOME-3 vegetation response model, based on regional
climate model projections for India show shifts in forest boundary, changes in species-
assemblage or forest types, changes in net primary productivity, possible forest die-
back in the transient phase, and potential loss or change in biodiversity (MoEF, 2004).
Building upon the above study, Ravindranath et al, (2006) studied the impacts of
projected Climate Change on forests of India, using regional climate model (RCM) and
more advanced version of BIOME model (BIOME 4). The model results indicate that
well over half of the area under forests in India is vulnerable to the projected Climate
Change impacts.
Most of the forest biomes in India seem to be highly vulnerable to the projected change
in climate. More than 50 per cent of the vegetation in India is likely to find it less than
optimally adapted to its existing location, making it more vulnerable to the adverse
climatic conditions as well as to the increased biotic stresses. These impacts on forests
will have adverse socio-economic implications for the forest-dependent communities
and the national economy. The impacts of Climate Change on forest ecosystems are
likely to be long-term and irreversible.
4.6.2.2 Wetlands
Wetlands provide a large number of ecosystem services. Inland wetlands are important
water resources replenishing groundwater and sub-soil aquifers. Coastal wetlands,
including mangroves and coral reefs, often function as natural barriers against salt-
water intrusion, protecting coastal land and inland water habitats. Wetlands are also
habitat to a large number of animals and micro-organisms.
Sea level rise will have considerable impacts on the wetlands in Gujarat. According to a
study by Dwivedi et al, (2005), 0.1 to 0.5m rise in sea level could result in wetland
losses between 2,508.3 sq. km. to 12,541.5 sq. km. (Table 12) in Gujarat.
Table 12: Estimated losses in coastal wetland (km2) in different possible scenarios of sea
level rise
State If Sea Level rises by
Gujarat 0.1 (m) 0.2 (m) 0.3 (m) 0.4 (m) 0.5 (m)
2508.3 5016.6 7524.9 10033.2 12541.5
Source: Dwivedi et al, 2005
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Table 13: Losses in coastal wetland if the present trend continues for next 100 years
Projected sea level rise (M) Loss in Wetland Areas (km2)
0.337 8452.971
Source: Dwivedi et al, 2005
The Great Rann of Kutch has vast areas of seasonal salt lakes that support huge
populations of flamingos, and is also the only remaining habitat for the approximately
2000 Indian wild asses. However, the area is highly vulnerable to sea level rise
threatening both the Wild Ass Sanctuary and the Kutch Desert Sanctuary (Clark and
Duncan, 1992). Submergence of salt marshes and mudflats due to sea level rise could
further result in loss of habitat for breeding flamingoes and lesser floricans (Sankaran
et al, 1992).
4.6.2.3 Mangroves
Mangroves play a very significant role in maintaining the coastal environment, reducing
the impact of wave action and erosion in the coastal areas, preventing salinity and
seawater ingress into the inland agricultural areas, and also providing protection to the
coastline from the impact of cyclones. Apart from these ecological functions,
mangroves play a very significant economic role in the lives of the coastal village
communities. Climatic factors like temperature fluctuation, humidity, precipitation,
number of rainy days, regular wind flow, radiation and fresh water flow in the region are
the most significant factors for development of mangroves. Global warming and sea
level rise are likely to case changes in the evapo-transpiration rate across most of the
region, resulting in changes to mangrove plantation. While mangroves in the Gulf of
Kutch could possibly adapt to low or moderate sea level rise, a rise of more than one-
metre relative to the elevation of the mangrove sediment surface in the next century
may cause serious losses. SLR could cause a loss of mangroves on the seaward front
and cause a landward migration of the mangrove forests (Gilman, 2008). Sea level rise
can also change salinity distributions, which can affect mangroves very adversely by
reducing their productivity.
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4.6.2.4 Corals
Corals are sensitive to Climate Change impacts such as increased sea surface
temperature and ocean acidification. High species diversity and very high rate of
biological productivity make coral reefs a very important and unique marine ecosystem.
They increase shore stability and protect the coastline from wave action and the impact
of natural disasters like cyclones and storm surges. Apart from a significant role as
carbon sinks, they also provide a habitat and food for fishes, crabs, prawns and other
marine life.
The productivity of corals depends upon their structure, biological recycling and
retention of nutrients. Climate Change induced sea-water warming and clear skies
(resulting from a higher incidence of solar radiation) damage corals by bleaching them,
resulting in high mortality of a number of coral species. Increased ocean acidification
could potentially also cause a decrease in the calcification of corals in the region.
Impacts of tropical storms may extend further than the direct physical impact of the
wind waves they generate. Secondary impacts through changes in coastal runoff that
often extend on a scale of 100s of km and cause reduced water quality in near shore
areas. Runoff of freshwater and dissolved nutrients from coastal catchments is perhaps
the biggest threat to corals in near shore waters. Often these secondary impacts may
persist for weeks following a major event, and may extend over a larger area than the
physical impact area; they may cause far more damage to reefs than the structural
impact (Porter, 1992). IPCC in itsAR4 Report has predicted that up to 88 per cent of all
Asia’s coral reefs may be lost as a result of warming ocean temperatures.
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India has pledged a reduction, though this excludes emissions from agriculture, of
between 20 and 25 per cent in GHG emissions intensity per unit of GDP by 2020 from
a 2005 baseline (Planning Commission, 2011). An ambitious target of reducing the
energy intensity by 20 per cent per unit of GDP by 2016-2017 has been mentioned in
the 11th Five Year Plan (2007-2012). The Energy Conservation Act (2001) provides a
legislative and regulatory framework for implementation of energy efficiency across
nine key energy intensive sectors. India is also finalizing an incentive based market
mechanism in the form of trading of energy saving certificates in energy intensive
sectors (GOG, 2010). The Green India initiative includes planned expansion of forests
for enhancing ecosystem services, including carbon sinks, by afforestation of six million
ha to reach the national target of 33 per cent land area under forest and tree cover; and
also, supports sustainable agricultural practices. Opportunities for efficiency
improvements in industry (both manufacturing and services), transportation,
renewables and domestic sectors are simultaneously being explored and harnessed,
by adopting measures like standards and labeling for appliances, adhering to
performance standards for reducing vehicular emissions, and planned use of incentives
such as reduced taxes on energy-efficient appliances etc.
Figure 19: Sector-wise consumption of electricity (2011-12)
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Source: GoG2013
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
5. 1 Energy
Since, Gujarat has recorded significant economic growth over the past decades; the
State has a high per capita consumption of electricity. Huge investments that are
planned to add to its economic momentum, and the resultant increase in
industrialization will lead to increase in urbanization and income levels, that results in
substantially higher demand for power.
Gujarat will need to secure its fuel requirement as most of it is imported. Gujarat also
has a large untapped potential for energy generation through renewable sources,
which needs to be exploited. The assured availability of power at competitive tariffs can
help in positioning Gujarat as a competitive destination for industries, while also
providing a good quality of life for its citizens. This will also help revival and
development of rural industries and build rural economies, thereby reducing migration
from rural areas for employment.As on March 31, 2014, the total installed capacity of
the State is over 22,791 MW, of which 4281 MW is from renewable sources of
energy.i.e. nearly 19% of share of renewables. This includes energy from wind (3352
MW, 78.4%), solar (891 MW, 20.8%), biomass (31MW, 0.73%) and mini hydro (7MW,
0.16%) There are 23 large power plants in the State which includes nine thermal power
plants, nine gas power plants, four large hydro-power plants and one atomic power
plant.
Figure 20: Installed capacity of the State
In Gujarat, the scenario with respect to ownership distribution is also interesting and
has dramatically changed since2009-10. The 7,607 MW of capacity in the private
sector (independent power producers) has exceeded the State Government's share of
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
7,063 MW, not to mention that it has by far surpassed the central share of 3,840 MW
by March 2014.
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One of the facts worth highlighting is that from 2001-08, the State’s net generation
(GWh) has increased by 28.75 per cent and CO2 intensity (tCO2/MWh) has reduced by
4.18 per cent vis-à-vis India’s net generation which has increased by 37.34 per cent
and CO2 intensity has decreased by 0.93 per cent only. The State Government has
undertaken several steps to improve the overall efficiency of the power generating units
through adoption of better operation and maintenance (O&M) practices (to reduce
station heat rate and auxiliary consumption); renovation and modernization (R&M) of
low-performing/old units; and use of better quality - high calorific value coal (washed
coal/imported coal). Regular energy audits of power plants are carried out and by
implementation of recommendations of audit results, the generating stations have
achieved a saving of 13,035.831 MWh of energy per annum. In addition, the State is
aggressively promoting gas-based combined cycle power generation plants (219 MW
CCTP at Dhuvaran, Anand promoted by GSECL leading to CO2 emission reductions by
2,14,000 tCO2/annum; 375 MW CCTP at Utran, Surat).
The Gujarat State Petroleum Corporation Limited (GSPC) has planned a ‘State Wide
Gas Grid’ to provide clean fuel to remote areas of the State. A 1,500 km long high
pressure gas pipeline passing through 15 districts of the State (to cater to power,
fertilizer, chemicals and SME units like glass and ceramic etc.) has been laid and
commissioned and an 800 km stretch is under construction. The power generating
units of the State are also exploring fuel switching options from naptha to gas (for both
captive use and grid supply) to reduce GHG emissions. The State’s new Power
Generation Policy encourages setting up of super-critical and ultra-super-critical
technology based generation projects.
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On the wind energy-front, Gujarat has the benefit of the longest coastal belt. The State
has the second highest potential (10,645 MW) and third highest installed capacity
(3352 MW as on March 2014) in the country with 50 sites across the State having wind
generation potential. The State Government has ambitious plan for the coasts of
Saurashtra and Kutch. Gujarat’s Wind Power Policy (2013) spells out various
incentives and exemptions (e.g. feed-in-tariff has been increased from Rs. 3.56/unit to
Rs.4.15/unit) to tap over 10,000 MW wind energy potential of the State. The
Renewable Energy Power Purchase Obligation (RPOs) for the year 2014-15 has been
increased to 6.25per cent to further promote investments in the area. By making use of
the wind energy potential of the region, the State can save 4.68 million tonnes of coal
per annum and as a result reduce its CO2 emissions by 6.70 million tonnes per annum
(GEDA, 2014)
In the context of solar energy potential, the State once again, benefits from its
geographical position, and has almost 300 days of clear sun and solar insolation of 5.0-
6.4kwh per sqmt per day, along with conducive arid condition and minimal sun tracking,
making it an ideal place for solar energy power plant. Vast tracts of land in
Banaskantha, Kutch and Saurashtra are ideally suited for tapping solar energy both for
generation of power and green houses. The State Government’s Solar Power Policy
(2009) extensively promotes solar power and already 891 MW of solar power has
been commissioned in various districts of Gujarat. Under the policy, a slew of
incentives are offered to prospective developers in the State. The Government has
fixed a tariff of Rs.15/unit for the first 12 years for the sale of energy by those megawatt
scale photovoltaic solar projects commissioned before March 31, 2010, and Rs.5/unit
for the remaining 13 years For solar thermal power projects, a levelized tariff of Rs.
11.55 has been fixed for 25 years.. According to State Government estimates, by using
the solar potential of the State there would coal savings of around 1.00million tonnes
per annum thereby leading to reductions in CO2 emissions of 1.43million tonnes per
annum. The State agencies are already being harnessed to provide energy inthe tribal
and rural regions of the State (Kanzal, Porbandar, Junagadh, etc.). In fact, as a
pioneering initiative in the country, the State has already launched a Smart Grid for
integrated and efficient distribution of solar energy from the solar parks to urban and
rural areas.
A large coastline of 1,663 km and a tidal wave altitude reaching nearly six metres at
various locations in Gujarat presents the State with yet another energy option - tidal
energy. However, the technologies for the efficient use of tidal waves are at the
developmental stage, in the State, but undoubtedly could be harnessed. The State
Government has completed a feasibility study to set-up the ambitious Kalpasar project
which aims to generate 6,000 MW of electricity from tidal waves, during peak hours.
The multi-purpose project includes a 33 km long dam-cum-bridge across the Gulf of
Khambhat to store a huge reservoir of rain water flowing down the rivers for irrigation
purposes.
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5.1.3Energy efficiency
To address the issue of energy access to all, the State Government has introduced
several initiatives to promote use of energy efficient technologies (e.g. power
generation) and equipments (e.g. domestic use), and reduction of Transmission and
Distribution (T&D) losses. The Jyoti Gram Yojana (JGY) introduced by the State
Government supplies three phase power supply for 24 hours to all villages and
surrounding hamlets in the State for non-agricultural practices. Besides ensuring
regular energy supply to the rural population, this program has to a great degree
resulted in creation of better opportunities of local employment in the villages and
reduced the migration of people from rural to urban centres. All 18,000 villages and
52,28,660 rural households are beneficiaries of this program with a total expenditure of
Rs. 1,290 crores (Rs. 1,110 crores from GoG).
For reducing the T&D losses and improving the power factor, lines with higher
transmission voltages have been laid, high voltage sub-stations have been set-up, and
capacitor banks have been installed at various sub-stations in the State. As a result
T&D loses have drastically decreased over the years. The T&D loss during the year
2000-01 was 35.27 per cent with an installed capacity of 8,588 MW and the generation
efficiency i.e. the plant load factor (PLF) of 67.85 per cent. The installed capacity has
increased to 9,864 MW by 2008-09 with a PLF of 75.32 per cent and a T&D loss of
21.14 per cent. The maximum power demand catered in the 2000-01 and 2008-09 was
7,289 MW and 9,437 MW respectively. Thus it is evident that there has been a
reduction in T&D losses by 14.13 per cent (35.27 – 21.14) and increase in generation
efficiency by 7.47 per cent (75.32-67.85) during 2001-2009.
Thus the coming years will witness Gujarat emerging as a hub not only for power
generation from conventional sources but also from more environment-friendly
renewable sources.
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There are two power houses - river bed power house and canal head power house
with an installed capacity of 1200 MW and 250 MW respectively. With the installed
capacity of 1450 MW and commenced since 2004, SSP would generate 856 to 1007
MU per year. The power is shared by three states - Madhya Pradesh (57%),
Maharashtra (27%) and Gujarat (16%). This provides a useful peaking power to the
western grid of the country which has very limited hydel power production at present.
The two powerhouses – River Bed Power House and Canal Head power of SSNNL
has generated 32593 MUs of electricity till March- 2014. A series of micro hydel
power stations are also planned on the branch canals where convenient falls are
available.
An equivalent power generation through thermal sources would require huge amount
of coal every year and would release large amount of emissions (after observing all
environmental norms and permissible limits of emissions). Moreover, the assured
water supply to the region would reduce the pressure on groundwater and in turn
reduce the electricity consumption for pumping.
Source: http://www.narmada.org/sardarsarovar.html
http://www.supportnarmadadam.org/sardar-sarovar-benefits.htm
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5.2 Industry
Over the years, Gujarat has diversified its industrial base substantially. In 1960-61,
textiles and auxiliaries were the major contributor to the industrial economy of the
State. In the span of over 49 years, the industrial spectrum has been completely
transformed and today 12 major industry groups together account for 86 per cent of
factories, 96 per cent of fixed capital investment, 94 per cent of value of output and 95
per cent of value addition in the State’s industrial economy. In the recent years, refined
petroleum products has emerged as one of the largest industrial groups having 29.25
per cent share, followed by chemicals having 21.21per cent share. Other important
groups include food products (3.03per cent), textiles (5.66per cent), basic metals
(7.65per cent), machinery and equipment (5.61per cent), non-metallic mineral based
products (4.15per cent), fabricated metal products (3.37per cent),(GoG, 2013). The
industries in Gujarat produce a wide variety of products. The products which contribute
significantly to the Indian economy include - soda ash (98 per cent), salt (75 per cent),
processed diamonds (80per cent), petrochemicalproducts (62 per cent),crude oil (53
per cent), chemical (51per cent), groundnut (37 per cent), cotton (31 per cent) and
natural gas (30 per cent). Thus a strong manufacturing sector is the edifice of
economic activity in Gujarat. The State contributes 17.22 per cent to the total value of
output added by manufacturing sector of the country.(GoG,2013)
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Over a period of time, Gujarat has also succeeded in widening its industrial base
geographically. At the time of its inception in 1960, industrial development was
confined only to four major cities, namely Ahmedabad, Vadodara, Surat and Rajkot and
some isolated locations such as Mithapur and Valsad. Today, almost all the districts of
the State have witnessed industrial development in varying degrees. Such a massive
scale of industrial development has been possible on account of judicious exploitation
of natural resources, such as minerals; oil and gas; marine; agriculture; and animal
wealth. The discovery of oil and gas in Gujarat in the 60s has played an important role
in setting up of petroleum refineries, fertilizer plants and petrochemical complexes.
During the same period, the State Government has also established a strong
institutional network. Gujarat Industrial Development Corporation (GIDC), established
industrial estates by providing developed plots and built-up sheds to industries across
the State. Institutions were also set up to provide term finance, assistance for purchase
of raw materials, plant and equipment and marketing of products. Later, District
Industries Centers (DICs) were set up in all the districts to provide assistance for
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Table 17: Progress of Industrial Entrepreneurs Memorandum (IEM) - Gujarat and other key
states (August 1991 to November 2009)
State/UTs No. of Projects per cent Proposed Investment per cent
Share (Rs.Cr) Share
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
(*Factor advantages include benefits due to geographical location and availability of factors
such as talent pool, natural resources and capital)
Further, over time, Gujarat has registered a sizeable growth in the SME sector. There
are over 3,12,000 (September 2006) small scale industries (SSIs) in the State.A total of
140,587MSME enterprises were acknowledged during 1/10/2006 to 31/12/2012. Thus
the totalMSME stood at 453,339 on 31/12/2012 providing employment to 25,04,856
people (GoG 2013). SSIs have played an important role in dispersal of industries.
Ahmedabad district leads the State with the highest number of SSI units followed by
Surat, Rajkot and other districts. Textile including hosiery and garments accounts for the
largest number of SSI units, followed by other sectors like machinery and parts, except
electrical, metal products, food products, and chemical and chemical products, etc. The
development of small and medium enterprises has taken place in the form of different
industrial clusters. There are, in all 83 industrial clusters for different industry groups in
the State, developed at a number of different locations. The approach of cluster-based
development has helped in improving cost competitiveness of the industries by way of
creating common facilities; developing market centres and brand names; and promotion
of skill. Some of the successful clusters include the ceramics cluster at Morbi, the brass-
parts cluster at Jamnagar, the fish-processing cluster at Veravaland the power-looms
cluster at Ahmedabad. The State has 202 industrial estates established by the Gujarat
Industrial Development Corporation (GIDC) for specific sectors such as chemicals,
electronics, gems, apparels and granite.
As of May 2013, the State had 57 approved Special Economic Zones (SEZs), these
include multi-product SEZs and sector-specific SEZs covering alternative energy,
textiles, pharmaceuticals, engineering, chemicals, ceramics, gems and jewellery and
IT/ITES sectors. SEZs are considered as growth engines that can boost manufacturing,
augment exports and generate employment. Government of Gujarat has enacted the
Gujarat SEZ Act, 2004. Besides this, the SEZ Rules, 2005 and SEZ Regulations are in
place. Under the Act, assistance is provided to the developer of SEZ for development
of infrastructure facilities and providing services (SEZ policy includes flexible labour
laws and exit options for investors, 10-year corporate tax holiday on export profit - 100
per cent for the initial five years and 50 per cent for the next five years).. Gujarat’s three
functional SEZs prior to SEZ Act are– Kandla SEZ, SUR SEZ, and Surat Apparel Park.
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In order to promote energy efficiency in SMEs in the region, the State Government
implements the energy audit schemes carried out by Bureau of Energy Efficiency
(BEE) approved consultants. The auditors suggest various measures to SMEs for
reduction of energy consumption and over 1,200 SMEs have benefited from this
initiative. The GoG subsidizes the cost of energy audit to the extent of 50 per cent or
Rs. 20,000 or whichever is lower.
5.3 Transport
As of end of 2009-2010, the State had a road network of 77,265km (96.96 per cent of
which is surfaced road) including National Highways (3,262 km), State Highways
(18,421km), major district roads (20,503 km), other district roads (10,227 km) and
village roads (24,852). About 38.2 per cent of the total expressways and National
Highways in the State are multi-lane and 87.9 per cent of total roads are asphalt-
surfaced. In addition, there is 98.86 per cent rural connectivity through all-weather
roads, which is among the highest in India. (GoG, 2013)
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The number of registered motor vehicles in the State has increased from 129.93 lakh in
2010-2011 to 144.14 lakh in the year 2011-12, showing a growth of 10.93per cent.
About 72.86per cent of the total registered vehicles were motor-cycle class vehicles
(two wheelers). During the year 2012-13 (April-October-2012), total number of
With the burgeoning population of over 4.5 million in Ahmedabad city, around
8,00,000 passengers are ferried every day through a fleet of over 1,000
Ahmedabad Municipal Transport Service (AMTS) buses and around 1.9 million
private vehicles of all kinds. The enormous traffic is a major source of GHG
emissions in the city.
To reduce the traffic congestion and thereby address the problem of GHG
emissions, the State government has planned and executed the Bus Rapid
Transport System (BRTS) at a cost of around Rs.9, 820 million. This would
ultimately reduce the movement of 4,00,000 vehicles per day and carry 1,00,000
additional passengers through BRTS buses over and above AMTS buses. As per
estimates, there would be a net reduction of 37,000 tonnes of GHG per annum
(mainly CO2 and NOx) as a result of this massive project. In addition, more than a
dozen flyovers are being executed in the city to facilitate easy transit of around
200,000 vehicles leading to further emissions reductions.
In fact, as a result of the above stated projects and other similar initiatives carried
out in the city, Ahmedabad has dropped to the 66th rank from 4th rank in the
ranking of leading polluted cities of the country published by the CPCB (2008).
registered vehicles was 151.68 lakhs. The number of registered motor
cycles/scooters/mopeds increased to 110.53 lakh from 105.12lakhs showing a rise of
5.14per cent. The number of auto-rickshaws, motor cars (four wheelers including
jeeps), goods vehicles (including tempos), trailers and tractors registered an increase
of 24,433, 1,06,811, 37,571, 10,945 and 24,284 respectively during the year 2012-13
(April-October-2012).
The number of routes operated by the Gujarat State Road Transport Corporation
(GSRTC) decreased to14,853, with route km coverage of 11.36 lakh km in 2011-12.
The average number of GSRTCvehicles on road during the year 2011-12 was 6,660 as
against 6,327 in 2010-11.
The State authorities are implementing several initiatives to address the problem of air
pollution with the increasing pressure on the existing and proposed transport
infrastructure in the State. This includes construction of flyovers, ring-roads, by-pass
roads etc. to reduce distance travelled between two points (and thereby reduce fuel
usage). This effort included construction of 53 bridges by the Surat Municipal
Corporation and 14 flyovers that are under construction by the Ahmedabad Municipal
Corporation; promotion of mass transport systems (in last three years more than 3,700
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buses, including 100 CNG buses, were acquired by the GSRTC and another 1,000
buses will be inducted; and 8 lakhpassengerstravel by Ahmedabad Municipal Transport
Services Buses per day) to increase the number of people travelled per litre of fuel; and
construction of Bus Rapid Transport System (BRTS), in Ahmedabad, Rajkot, Vadodara
and Surat. Conversion of diesel/petrol run vehicles to CNG has been actively
encouraged in the State, and till 2009 more than 3.26 lakh auto-rickshaws have
switched to CNG. The traffic signals are being run on solar power or LED instead of
conventional power in several cities in the State. Urban Local Bodies (ULBs) are being
facilitated to adopt the public private partnership model (PPP) for promotion of urban
transport run on cleaner fuels to the extent possible, and this has been successful in
Surat, Rajkot and Vadodara.
5.3.2Ports
The State of Gujarat, located on the west coast of India, has a coastline of about 1,663
km, and one of the strongest port infrastructures in India with 42 ports including one
major port at Kandla and 41 minor ports geographically dispersed across South Gujarat
(14 ports), Saurashtra (23 ports) and Kachchh region (4 ports). In 2007-08, the State
was ranked first in India, with 147 MMT in cargo throughput. The State has five direct
berthing commercial ports, seven direct berthing captive port terminals and four
lighterage-cargo ports. It handled the largest (79.84 per cent) share of cargo traffic in
India’s minor and intermediate ports, and 11.5 per cent in India’s major ports in 2008-
09. The State has two LNG terminals that offer transportation facilities for natural gas,
crude oil and petroleum products from the Middle East and Europe. Further, Gujarat
plans to have modern mechanized cargo handling systems in all the new ports. Gujarat
has formulated a Port Policy and promotes private sector investment in development of
ports and related infrastructure. Ten green field port projects identified by Gujarat
Maritime Board (GMB) as envisaged in the Port Policy, 2005, are now functional.
Figure 25: Main ports of Gujarat
Source: “Ports of Gujarat” –sector profile 2008-09, Gujarat Maritime Board (GMB)
Many upcoming ports are being developed as captive ports to catering to specific
company and industry requirements. The State undertakes fast-track clearance in
establishment of ports through private participation and there is an increase in
connectivity to non-major ports owing to the development of the Delhi-Mumbai
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Dedicated Freight Corridor. More than 4,800 ships and 1,000 sailing vessels visit the
ports of Gujarat every year.
5.3.3 Airports
Gujarat has a fairly extensive network of airports and airfields scattered throughout the
State. There are 13 domestic airports (the highest in any State) and one international
airport at Ahmedabad. The domestic airports are at Bhavnagar, Bhuj, Jamnagar,
Kandla, Keshod, Junagadh, Porbandar, Rajkot, Surat, Vadodara, Zalawadand and
Mehsana. Further, a feasibility study for an international airport at Fedrain Dholera
(about 130 km away from Ahmedabad) has been completed in January 2010. Once
ready, the airport could be useful for both passenger and cargo purposes.
Figure 26: Airports in Gujarat
Source: http://www.ibef.org/states/gujarat.aspx
5.3.4 Rail
The total length of railway lines in the State as on 31st March 2011 was 5,271 route km
comprising 3,382 km of broad gauge (BG), 1205 km of metre gauge (MG) and 684 km
of narrow gauge (NG) lines. There are 21 major railway stations in Gujarat. The
important stations are Ahmedabad, Anand, Bhavnagar, Bhuj, Godhra, Porbandar,
Rajkot, Vadodara (Baroda) and Valsad.
Figure 27: Key railway stations in Gujarat
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
Source: http://www.ibef.org/states/gujarat.aspx
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5.4 Agriculture
The agricultural sector, on an average, accounts for about 30 per cent of the total
electricity consumption in India and currently Gujarat’s agriculture sector is the second
largest consumer of electricity in the country. However, it should be noted that the
recorded patterns of energy consumption in the State in the yr 2000-2001 showed that
agriculture sector consumed the highest share at 45.12 per cent, whereas the industrial
sector ranked second with 28.59 per cent consumption. But by the year 2008-09 due to
concurrent emphasis of the State Government on initiatives promoting energy
efficiency and better irrigation facilities, the sector’s electricity consumption drastically
reduced to 21.10 per cent leaving scope for enhanced consumption by industries. The
sector uses energy directly as fuel or electricity to operate machinery and equipments
like tube-wells, tractors etc., to heat or cool buildings for preservation and storage of
crops, for lighting on the farm, and indirectly in the fertilizers and chemicals produced
off the farm to be used in growing crops. Thus the main drivers of agricultural energy
use are agricultural production, the quantity of land used and the penetration of
material in use, such as pumping set and agricultural machinery. As shown in the table
below, states like Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Karnataka and Uttar Pradesh
etc. are some of the leading states in terms of energy consumption in the sector.
The latest data from GHG emissions inventory of 2007 indicates that the agriculture
sector contributes 28 per cent of the total GHG emissions from India. The emissions
are primarily due to methane emission from rice paddies, enteric fermentation in
ruminant animals and nitrous oxides from application of manures and fertilizers to
agricultural soils. Indian livestock are responsible for about 54 per cent of total methane
emission in India. Indian livestock emit about 10 Tg methane by consuming about 600
million tonnes of feed, consisting largely of crop residues and agro-industrial
byproducts (GoI 2011). There exist huge inefficiencies in energy use in the agriculture
sector across the country. In fact it has been estimated that the largest population of
inefficient pumps and systems is found in this sector. According to BEE, 45-50 per cent
of energy savings can be achieved by mere replacement of inefficient pumps and
further, there exists a potential of an overall electricity savings of 62.1 billion units
annually from over 20 million pumps in the country being used in the sector.1The sale
of electricity to the sector amounts to no more than 5-10 per cent of the State Electricity
Board’s revenues in the country and the adoption of a flat rate pricing for agricultural
power, which leads to energy wastage, over pumping and inefficient selection of crops.
Moreover flat rate pumping masks the true cost of power to farmers. Summing up, the
tariff structure and the poor combination of technology and management are
responsible for water loss, unsustainable exploitation of ground water and the high
energy losses associated with the distribution and end-use of electricity in irrigation
water pumping and other agricultural activities. In Gujarat, some of the technical
reasons for inefficiency in the agricultural pumping system (APS) in the State include-
faulty installation, undersized pipes, high friction foot valves, poor maintenance and
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Further, studies suggest that Indian states with higher forms of mechanization have
higher productivity level. This is especially true for an industrially advanced and
economically sound State like Gujarat which has recorded the highest agricultural
growth (9.6%) among Indian states between yr 2000-01 and 2007-08. According to
International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), the main reasons behind this
exemplary performance of the State include massive investment in agricultural
infrastructure mainly irrigation, diffusion of new technologies and power reforms by the
State agencies.
Table 19: Net area irrigated by source (Area in '00 ha)
Year/ Net Area Irrigated by Percentage
District Govt. Tanks Tubewells Other Total of net area
canals & other Sources irrigated to
(Incl. wells net area
Panchayat sown
canals)
1970- 2358 372 10831 147 13708 14.11
71
1980- 3668 408 15884 65 20026 20.91
81
1990- 4731 314 19301 30 24376 26.07
91
2000- 3476 153 24347 84 28060 29.75
01
2001- 3824 132 25901 87 29944 31.12
02
2002- 3804 135 26373 149 30461 32.32
03
2007- 7710 454 33027 1142 42333 42.48
08
Another important factor that contributes significantly to the total energy consumption in
this sector is the use of chemicals in the form of fertilizers, pesticides etc. The
consumption of chemical fertilizers in the State has been steadily increasing over the
last few decades.
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Thus, besides the overall reduction of power savings from the use of efficient
heating/cooling and storage etc.
5.5 Forestry
Forests play multiple roles in the context of Climate Change. Forests and forest
products can play a significant role in mitigation of harmful effects of greenhouse gas
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emissions. They act as a “sink” to absorb emissions and store large quantities of
carbon for extended periods of time. Forests are also an important component of
adaptation strategies needed to address continuing, sometimes dramatic, changes in
the natural resource base that sustains livelihoods. However, when forests are
destroyed, over-harvested or burnt (deforestation/degradation), they can become a
“source” of CO2 emissions. Thus, sustainable forest management should be a critical
component of any policy and action programme that seeks to address the growing
concern about climate. Afforestation and reforestation programs create opportunities
for carbon sequestration.
5.5.1 Mitigation
Forests can contribute to Climate Change mitigation (IPCC 2007) by increasing carbon
density of existing forests at both stand and landscape scales and reducing emissions
from deforestation and degradation. According to IPCC, the mitigation potential of the
forest sector is estimated to be in the range of 8.2 to 13.5 per cent of the total
mitigation potential, considering all sectors.
5.5.2 Initiatives
Realizing the importance of forests and the role it can play in addressing the challenge
of Climate Change, the State Government is undertaking several initiatives to protect
the existing cover and also bringing more area under forests and plantations. Some of
the strategies being adopted by the State agencies to achieve this goal include social
forestry, promotion of multi-cropping in agriculture, mangrove plantation along the
1,663 km coastline etc.
Gujarat is the sixth most urbanized State in India with more than 42 per cent of its
population residing in urban centres (Census 2011). This is an approximately a 14 per
cent increase over 2001 figures.
Figure 28: Urbanisation projections
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
Urban planning measures therefore needs to integrate these climate impacts into their
planning processes. The State of Gujarat is the first to implement various strategies
that directly address climate impacts and the institutional mechanism to implement
these is fairly well developed.
The latest National Sample Survey Organisation (NSSO) report, 'Migration in India',
which was based on a survey carried out by NSSO across India in 2007 and 2008 has
found Gujarat to have the highest rate of urbanization, among all other states in the
country. The report brought out that the fast pace of urbanization in Gujarat is mainly
due to intra-State migration with large sections of rural people migrating to urban areas,
within the State. The report has also found that 6.5 per cent of all urban households in
Gujarat are migrants from within the State, which is the highest in the country.
The critical issues that would need to be taken care of with the increasing trend of
urbanization include adequate provision of housing facilities (including land use
planning), access to energy and water supply, proper sewerage, municipal solid waste
management, transport infrastructure, employment generation etc.
However, a fact that needs to be highlighted at this stage is that urbanization leads to a
widening gap between demand and supply of essential services and infrastructure.
Rapid urbanization fuelled by industrialisation and expansion of service sectors will
exert significant pressure on existing urban centres, expanding them to create new
urban areas. Hence, there is a need to balance the process of urbanization with the
proper and integrated development of its infrastructure. Today more than half of
Gujarat’s urban population resides in seven large urban centres. Gujarat will need to
intervene to ensure that the urban and spatial growth along growth centres/corridors,
ports etc are managed well so that urban services can be provided to all.
Commercial and residential buildings are closely associated with emissions from
electricity use, space heating and cooling. When combined, the IPCC estimates global
emissions from residential and commercial buildings to be eight per cent of global GHG
emissions. Commercial and residential buildings are responsible for direct emissions
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(onsite combustion of fuels), indirect emissions (from public electricity use from street
lighting and other activities and district heat consumption) and emissions associated
with embodied energy (e.g. materials used for their construction). Emissions are
affected by the need for heating and cooling, and by the behavior of building
occupants. The type of fuel used for heating and cooling purposes also determines the
amount of GHG emitted (UNHSP 2011)
Use of energy in commercial and residential buildings has a huge potential of reducing
emissions. It is expected that, in India, two-thirds of the commercial buildings in 2020
will be built between yr 2005 and 2020. Implementing the Energy Conservation
Building
The code to reduce the energy use in new, large commercial buildings, aggressively,
should be a priority. This needs effective integration of the ECBC, with the building bye
laws implemented by the local governments. Adoption of ECBC could lead to a decline
of 30 per cent in the energy intensity of the commercial-buildings sector (GoI 2011)
The recommendation of integrating climate risks into urban planning processes offers
potential for Gujarat as it already has a pilot city where resilience plan has already
been prepared. Surat has been one of the three cities in India which has been a part of
Rockefeller Foundation’s Asian Cities Climate Change Resilience Network. Under the
program Surat city vulnerability to Climate Change impacts was analyzed and a city-
wide resilience plan was developed. There is strong potential for replication and scaling
up of Surat vulnerability analysis exercise and resilience strategies preparation
exercise to other cities in Gujarat. The State has the R&D potential to integrate
environmental and sustainability issues in its development planning process through
various reputed institutions offering expertise to do so. Although the strategies
suggested by the Surat resilience plan do not form part of the Surat CDP, as it was
prepared much earlier, they offer potential to do so.
The Surat Resilience Strategy had a multi-sectoral approach, due to which sectoral
analyses are available for key urban sectors. For example; five sector studies were
conducted which included environment; flood risk and management; health; energy
security; and water security to guide the resilience strategy. These studies offered a
range of interventions and adaptation options in response to climate risks in the city
and to its inhabitants and are available for reference and implementation by the
concerned departments.
Table 21: Broad resilience strategies as propagated through the Surat Resilience Plan
Sectors Resilience Option/Interventions
Climate Watch Group
Natural End-to-End Early Warning System
Disasters Multi-Hazard Emergency Response Plan
Hazard Risk Zonation and Zoning Ordinance
Flood reduction infrastructure
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Under the Jawaharlal Nehru National Urban Renewal Mission (JNNURM), Gujarat is the
second highest recipient of projects with 71 approvals after Maharashtra which has 80
projects sanctioned as of 21-3-2014 (MoUD, 2014). Initially, the sanctioned projects for
Gujarat include 26 projects worth Rs.2,540 crore for Ahmedabad, 25 projects worth
Rs.1.835 crore for Surat, 12 projects worth Rs. 574 crore for Vadodara and 6 projects
worth Rs.305 crore for Rajkot. Other projects include BRTS, conservation of heritage
structures, drinking water, sewer, over bridges and waste disposal. Initially,under basic
services to urban poor (under JNNURM), the State has sanction for 17 projects for
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
1,01,180 residential units worth Rs. 1,592.12 crore, including three projects worth Rs.
524-crore for Ahmedabad, 9 projects worth Rs. 611 crore for Surat, 3 projects for
Vadodara worth Rs. 358 crore and two projects worth Rs. 990 crore for Rajkot(GOG
2010b; Desh Gujarat 2010). As of 08-08-21012, 27 projects have been sanction for
113488dwelling units under basic services to urban poor. By March 2014, Gujarat had
already completed 52 projects worth Rs. 2,77,414.87 lakhs under JNNURM in the four
biggest cities in the State (Ministry Of Housing and Urban Poverty Alleviation, 2014)
The design and use of built environment is critical for Climate Change mitigation
because the ‘Building sector consumes roughly one-third of the final energy used in
most countries and absorbs an even more significant share of electricity. A green
building design is therefore advocated which reduces the natural resources to the
minimum during its construction and operation. The aim of a green building design is to
minimize the demand on non-renewable resources, maximize the utilization efficiency
of these resources, when in use, and maximize the reuse, recycling, and utilization of
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The State is implementing the country’s largest urban energy efficiency program
covering all municipal corporations and municipalities in the State. The program is
expected to result in energy savings of nearly 30 per cent thereby contributing
significantly in the process of ensuring regular energy supply to all urban centres in the
State. To reduce energy consumption and wood usage and thereby restrict GHG
emissions, crematoriums in several cities of the State are being converted from electric
furnace to CNG furnace leading to electricity savings of over 60 per cent. Burning of
one pyre by using firewood requires around 240 kg of wood and emits 160 kg of CO2 in
the atmosphere. Replacement of conventional incandescent bulbs with CFLs in
commercial and residential buildings and stringent enforcement of the ECBC is being
aggressively promoted in the urban areas of the State. Also, decentralized solar energy
technologies/equipments like roof-tops for heating and cooking purposes are being
encouraged.
5.7 Waste
According to the IPCC (2007) report, existing waste management practices can provide
effective mitigation of GHG emissions. A wide range of mature, environmentally
effective technologies are commercially available to mitigate emissions and provide co-
benefits for improved public health and safety, soil protection and pollution prevention,
and local energy supply. Waste minimization and recycling provide important indirect
mitigation benefits through the conservation of energy and materials. Lack of local
capital is a key constraint for waste and wastewater management in developing
countries and countries with economies in transition. Lack of expertise on sustainable
technology is also an important barrier. In 2007 the waste sector contributed to three
per cent of India’s total GHG emissions (GoI 2011).
5.7.1 Initiatives
compost per day. In addition, to makingthe entire value chain of waste management
more effective, elaborate and efficient infrastructure for collection and transportation of
wastes from generation sites (e.g. households, etc.) to treatment sites has been
developed over the years. (GUDC: http://udd.gujarat.gov.in/projects_SWM.php,
accessed on May 5, 2014)
The major cities in the State are implementing several waste-to-energy projects. The
Surat Municipal Corporation (SMC) alone is implementing nine sewage treatment
Section 3
Strategies for the
State Action Plan on
Climate Change
plants (STP) with an overall capacity of more than 800 MLD. Another 430 MLD of STP
plants are being proposed an extension of existing STPs. To harness the methane
generated in the sewage treatment process (and thereby reduce the GHG emissions),
SMC has set-up sewage gas based power plants with an overall capacity of 4.75 MW.
As per the availability of bio-gas, an average of 3500 units are being generated by one
ofthe power plants since November 2003. The average saving in Monthly electricity bill
is about Rs. 3 to 3.50 lakhs. (Source:
http://www.suratmunicipal.gov.in/Drainage/Drainage_stps.aspx, accessed on May 5,
2014)
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
The vision of a leader can provide impetus and drive action at various levels of
administration and governance. Although the political leaders are aware of the
challenges associated with global warming, they need detailed information on the
Climate Change scenarios, impacts on priority sectors, the possible adaptation
measures that can be incorporated in developmental activities and the costs of
undertaking these measures. In the absence of definite answers they often find it
difficult to channel resources for adaptation actions.
For Gujarat, there may not be enough studies at the district and taluka level on the
vulnerability and impacts of Climate Change at a scale that is relevant for anticipatory
decision making. Also, the available studies on climate modeling and impacts
projections have a degree of uncertainties associated due to factors such as non-
linearities, regional scale variations and limited understanding of the climate system.
For example, uncertainties are associated with the: magnitude of Climate Change;
response of the climate system to these changes at global and local scales; and impact
models and the spatial and temporal distributions of impacts. These uncertainties get
accumulated at various levels of climate assessments have implications for the
development of long term adaptation strategies. These when coupled with limited
information base, contribute to the complexity of political decision making for
addressing the Climate Change challenge.
Policy-making often involves trade-offs and is a result of fully considered choices. This
might create a scenario where action on Climate Change is delayed in anticipation of
more reliable scientific evidence. Climate Change requires urgent attention and
immediate action. Therefore, it is important to take cognizance of the fact that although
there might be uncertainties associated with Climate Change projections, the impacts
are imminent, not restricted to administrative boundaries and therefore cannot be
overlooked. The development priorities can no longer be viewed in isolation from
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Despite the gaps and limitations in scientific literature and research on Climate
Change, Gujarat recognizes the need to harmonize economic growth and industrial
development with climate concerns by adopting appropriate adaptation and mitigation
strategies. This may involve examining and exploring various approaches and
opportunities that are relevant in the local context and mainstreaming those into
developmental planning.
The course of the action plan will include adopting ‘Win-Win Strategies and ‘No-
Regrets’ Options, that include GHG emissions reduction with negative net costs,
because they generate direct or indirect benefits that are large enough to offset the
costs of implementation.
Risk management, by involving all stakeholders, will help overcome existing knowledge
and information gaps and issues relating to uncertainties by providing opportunities to
merge scientific information with local experience and traditional knowledge. It will also
help to strengthen the social and political bases of decisions and policies implemented,
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
besides greater understanding of the risks and better implementation and management
of response strategies.
The SAPCC will focus on nine thematic areas that have been identified under the aegis
of the Department of Climate Change, with technical representatives from State
Government Departments, reputed research institutes, International Development
Organizations and NGOs. The nine thematic groups are largely in consonance
with the National Action Plan on Climate
Figure 30: Nine thematic groups that
Change and addresses key priorities of the addresses key priorities of the State
State. However, the Gujarat SAPCC, in many
ways, goes beyond what has been proposed
under the National Missions of the NAPCC, Agriculture
and addresses key issues of health, sea level
rise and coastal infrastructure, vulnerable Water Resources
communities and green jobs.
In addition to the above, there are certain aspects which act as enablers to achieve the
mitigation and adaptation targets.
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Sectoral Themes
7.0 Agriculture
Since last few years, the agricultural output has increased at an annual rate of 11% in
Gujarat, which is a commendablegrowth in this sector. Keeping in mind, the
vulnerabilities of this sector it is important to frame strategies that take into account the
critical role played by this sector.
Agriculture is going to play a critical role over the next decade when Gujarat is
expected to continue with rapid economic growth. It is a sector that continues to
provide sustenance for over half the population in the State. With further growth there
could be additional demands on the sector not only in terms of livelihoods but also
address concerns relating to food security.
Given the anticipated impacts of future climate variability and change in this critical
sector, the SAPCC advocates a holistic approach that would not only address specific
vulnerabilities but also meet the wider range of sustainability concerns relating to
Agriculture in Gujarat.
It is worth noting that at the National Level the National Mission on Sustainable
Agriculture under the NAPCC advocates a similar approach with a focus on four thrust
areas:
1. Dry land Agriculture;
2. Biotechnology;
3. Access to Information; and
4. Risk Management.
A large number of initiatives are being taken by the Central governent through the
National Initiative on Climate Resilient Agriculture (NICRA).National Initiative on Climate
Resilient Agriculture (NICRA) is a network project of the Indian Council of Agricultural
Research (ICAR), which, aims at helping the National Mission on Sustainable
Agriculture in the domain of climate change adaptation and mitigation measures and
increasing crop productivity. NICRA’s aim is to augment resilience of Indian agriculture
sector to climate change and climate vulnerability through strategic research and
technology demonstration. NICRA covers work for crops, fisheries, livestock, and
natural resource management (NICRA-ICAR, 2014). District Wise Agricultural
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Contingency Plans in Gujarat have been created for each district giving information of
strategies for weather related contingencies like drought, floods etc.
Gujarat has adopted a consistent strategy to cope with Climate Changes in different
agro-climatic zones of the State. In each agro-climatic zone, there is one agro-
meteorological field unit providing weather based agro-advisory services to the farmers
of that zone. Infrastructure such as Automatic Weather Stations (AWS) is being
installed at various locations. Agriculture Universities have initiated the creation of a
network of observatories in Gujarat, by installing automatic weather stations at different
research stations, in order to generate online weather information and create a data
bank on climate. Agro-climate based crop planning has been initiated through Soil
Health Card Programme, where cropping systems have been suggested based on the
soil moisture availability index, and helped farmers adopt more remunerative crops,
thereby increasing their incomes.
The Government of Gujarat has established “Centre for Weather Forecasting and
Climate Change” at Anand, “Centre for Environmental Studies” at Navsari and “Centre
for Agro-advisory services” at Junagadh. These centres are engaged in critical analysis
of weather/climate parameters and their likely impacts on agricultural production.
Research has already been initiated to study impacts of Climate Change on breeding
of heat and photoperiod insensitive crop varieties, erection of poly-houses to create
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
In addition to above mentioned programs, two projects in collaboration with SAC, ISRO
Ahmedabad and IIT Delhi are initiated, under which 40 Automatic Weather Station
(AWS) will be installed in Gujarat, forecasting extended range or seasonal scale
weather which will benefit climate risk management.
The cumulative effect of all these has been drawn of increasing productivity in major
crops of the State despite 0.1oC to 0.9oC average increase in temperatures recorded at
various locations in the State. Agricultural productivity in Gujarat has been higher than
other States, and has been growing at 9.6 per cent per annum. Though there is high
volatility in agricultural growth rates for almost all States in India, the performance of
Gujarat's agriculture is more than thrice the all India figure. International Food Policy
Research Institute in theiryear 2009 document, had specially commended Gujarat's
recent growth in cotton, fruits and vegetables and wheat production.
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
During the last several years, initiatives have been taken to deal with impacts of global
warming by strengthening of schemes and launching of new programmes. There have
been efforts to promote thermo-insensitive and drought resistance crops like cotton and
castor by providing technological transformation support, training and input subsidy. To
reduce the effects of chemical pollution and promote organic farming, an intensified
integrated pest management approach is being encouraged in the State.
Events like Eight Krushi Mahotsavs have been organized to promote activities like
organic farming wherein a common platform is being provided to farmers, researchers
and agricultural experts. 42 lakh Soil Health cards under Soil Health programme of
the Agricultural department have been distributed which has helped farmers take
accurate action to increase productivity of their land (GoG, 2013, Vibrant Gujarat,
2013) In addition, twenty six crops have been covered under the crop insurance
scheme to provide safeguards against production losses in crops due to natural
calamities, diseases, pests etc. and an amount of
Rs.4240.49 crores was disbursed toward claims to the farmers in the State, for the
year 2011-12. Gujarat ranks first with respect to risk covered, premium income, subsidy
paid, farmers covered and claims paid under National Agricultural Insurance scheme
among implementing States.Kisan Credit cards is another successful initiative taken
up by Gujarat. Flood relief is also available to farmers in case of crop/input losses and
soil erosion.
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Simply put, an Animal Hostel is a large-scale community facility for milch animals of a
village. The animals are reared scientifically, and managed on a co-operative basis.
Their dung and urine are collected and converted into gobar gas, organic manure and
bio-pesticides.
The facilities in the hostel includes: in-house fodder production and storage, electricity
generation through bio-gas plants, vermi-compost production, milk collection room, in-
house veterinary and breeding services, water harvesting system.
Since 2002, the State has embarked upon an intensive, integrated Animal Healthcare
drive, to bring about a massive economic resurgence in its rural economy. As a
comprehensive, institutional effort towards collective animal healthcare, month-long
Animal Health Camps, or Pashu Arogya Mela/s, are conducted every year post-
monsoon.
At these camps, specialized animal health care services, breeding facilities and
extension activities are offered to rural livestock-owners at their doorsteps. More than
25,000 such health camps have been organized so far, with the active involvement of
dairy co-operatives, local bodies and public participation.
Table 22: Number of villages and activities in Gujarat
Activity 02-03 03- 04- 05- 06- 07- 08- 09- 10- 12-13
04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11
No of 2336 266 3139 3134 3088 300 2811 2891 2750 5289
Camps 5 9
Villages 10795 847 8965 8665 7439 703 6597 6661 6067 1579
covered 8 8 5
Treatmen 13.63 9.68 10.9 12.0 12.2 9.21 10.5 10.9 11.5 21.54
t Lakh 3 5 3 9 2 0
Vaccinati 6.80 6.49 8.27 6.37 8.62 8.96 7.54 7.51 8.26 46.17
on Lakh
Gujarat produces about 274.36lakh litres of milk per day with annual increasing rate of
5.07%. Of this, about 40per cent is procured by the organized co-operative institutions,
while the remaining marketable surplus goes to unorganized markets.
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As a programmatic effort to bring this surplus milk produce under the organized sector,
there are two districts milk producer union at Porbandar and Jamnagar. The
Government of Gujarat provides assistance to co-operative dairy unions from last four
years, in the form of bulk milk coolers and automatic milk collection systems.
These efforts also ensure clean milk production and procurement with creating more
trust of producers. The chilling capacity is going to increase. The efforts are made by
Government of Gujarat to assist better processing infrastructure in areas like Kutch and
Saurashtra where dairy activities are very poor or not well developed..
The multifarious benefits of setting up bulk milk coolers at the society level includes
spoilage reduction to near-zero, enhanced quality of milk, and better monetary returns
for livestock-owners and Dairy Unions.
Gujarat is home to indigenous breeds of livestock, such as Gir and Kankrej cows, and
Surti, Mehsani, Jafarabadi and Banni buffaloes. These breeds are renowned worldwide
Impact assessments in the sector at different levels of food system
Agriculture risk management based on effective surveillance and management
Strengthening extension services with focus on private sector and community
participation
Building resilience in agro ecosystems through resource efficient technologies
and practices
for their milk potential, resistant to drought conditions, fodder scarcity and starvation.
These breeds are known for their consistent production and regular calving under heat
stress and poor nutrition. Through strategic breeding of these animals, this potential is
optimally utilized.
Under National project on Cattle and Buffalo Breeding, GLDB has initiated Bull
production programme to get best germplasma in the field and to use bulls for semen
production.In that direction, in June 2010, GLDB set up State-of-the-art, certified
Frozen Semen Production and Training Institute at Patan.
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GLDB is in the process of establishing Embryo Transfer Project at Varudi, Amreli which
will be a novel project to harvest and conserve embryos available with best genetic
material. GLDB has contributed to establishment of Artificial Insemination infrastructure
in remote areas. 632 functional AI Centres have been created with 400 more in the
pipeline in remote areas.
GLDB also maintains Cattle breeding farms to conserve indigenous germ plasma. They
are also working to establish Bull mother farm for selection of elite animals of
indigenous breeds along with establishment of new Frozen Semen station to mitigate
the adverse impacts of climate change and disease outbreak.
Forecasting of
impact of global warming on agricultural crops is necessary to taking
appropriate action. Farmers can be advised for timely and frequent
application of irrigation and use of sprinkler irrigation systems to maintain
microclimate near the plant canopy. Aspects of global warming and its
effects on crops/agriculture requires thorough study at research institutes
and following actions can be initiated as long term strategy on basis of
findings:
Development
and recommendation of new cropping pattern taking into consideration
the climatic changes of that area.
• Development
of thermo insensitive and drought resistant varieties of crops.
• Development
and recommendation of new packages of crop practices.
• Vigilance
systems can be developed for monitoring of emerging pests and
diseases.
• Intensifying
IPM approach in plant protection in order to decrease cost of plant
protection and reduce environment pollution.
Generic
information about weather has to be translated into location-specific land-
use advice, based on cropping patterns and water availability. A focused
and integrated research and development program for agro-climatology
needs to be developed with climate forecasts and cropping system models
for improved farm decision-making to produce optimal yields.
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Research on
strengthening pest forecasting models could emerge as efficient tool to
forecast changes in pest patterns, in advance. Providing site-specific
weather data to manage pests and diseases where terrain varies, since
elevation, slope, and aspect all strongly affect local temperature, rainfall,
and other factors that are used to run predictive pest models. Such site-
specific data and model predictions are needed to help farmers to make
better decisions on pest management.
Developing
genotypes tolerant to biotic and abiotic stresses such as drought, high
temperature, submergence, saline conditions and pest and disease
challenges under Climate Change
A study on the need of change in the cropping pattern by the farmers in the
various agro climatic zones, on the basis of the study of the rainfall data of
the last ten years, shall be undertaken.
The Government is establishing automatic weather stations and ARG at the sub-
district level to facilitate understanding of real time weather and other inputs on
production of important commodities at national as well as international level. This
can also provide complete technical back up support to the farmers to develop
precision farming models, which can be replicated on a large scale.
Penetration of
technologies such as micro-propagation techniques, integrated nutrient,
water and pest management, organic farming, immuno-diagnostic
techniques for detection of diseases to improve the productivity of
horticultural crops.
Building
market information, intelligence and forecasting system for farmers.
To safeguard
the animal population from the impacts of Climate Change, a consolidated
and long term strategy can be planned. Animal Husbandry largely depends
on agriculture for its survival; hence to safeguard animals, efforts have to be
made to address its agricultural parameters simultaneously. The
multifaceted efforts could be as follows:
• Surveillance of
disease patterns and monitoring climatic changes could provide
valuable time to tackle forthcoming health disasters; and
• Strengthening
the animal disease diagnosis facilities. These concepts are being
promoted through setting up Animal Hostels, but they need to be
propagated further.
Developing new generation treatments, vaccines as well as
pesticides.
Providing specific recommendations for nutritional modifications for
dairy animals to minimize production loss associated with heat stress.
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Strengthening
existing risk cover mechanism under National Agriculture Insurance
Scheme. Reducing the unit of ‘area insured’ to a smaller level for example,
the level of village in the case of large villages and to cluster of villages in
the case of small villages in order to capture the true variability that exists
within large administrative units in terms of the risk and the impact of risks
on crop yield. Extending the insurance to cover pre-sowing and post-harvest
losses as well. The coverage of Farmers Income Insurance Scheme and
Farmers Accident Insurance Scheme should be extended to all districts of
the State.
Encouraging
Public-Private Partnership model in agricultural risk management.
Increasing Government support to private sector players can promote
involvement of private sector in agriculture, increase aggregate insurance
coverage and improve viability of the insurance schemes over time.
Gujarat has a
Soil Health Card programme under which a soil health card will be provided
to each farmer. This will serve as a means for agri-scientists to reach out to
individual farmers and provide expertise for enhancing agriculture
productivity. This can also suggest the cropping patterns that should be
adopted based on findings of the climate modeling studies.
Strengthening
Surveillance systems for pests and diseases and streamlining the flow of
information of pest surveillance and livestock diseases to reduce response
time between detection and action to manage and prevent pests and
diseases.
Gujarat has
drought prone areas and arid areas cover more than 50 % of State. In
addition soil erosion is increasing due to advancement of desert land,
deforestation. Participatory Irrigation Management (PIM) by democratically
organized water user associations empowered to set and collect water
charges, and retain a substantial part of the collectionto help maintain field
channels, expand irrigated area, distribute water equitably and provide the
tail enders their just share of water. Also increasing the net irrigated area by
creating check dams, KhetTalavadis and other major and medium irrigation
structures.Gujarat has already brought more than 4,42,000 ha of land under
PIM and is expanding further. Watershed management, rainwater
harvesting, and ground water recharge can help augment water availability
in rainfed areas. Micro-irrigation is also important to improve water use
efficiency. Building structures for water management and managing them
provides immediate opportunities for employment generation in rural areas.
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Irrigation
efficiencies need to be improved by stressing on drip, sprinkler irrigation
techniques in place of channel irrigation.
Wherever
micro-irrigation system cannot be used, efforts need to be made for use of
pre-fabricated water conveyance system and adoption of ridge & furrow
method of irrigation, raised bed method of farming, field bunding and
leveling etc.
Adopting
mixed cropping and agro forestry practices help retain soil moisture and
help reduce dependency on irrigation.
Synergizing
the existing efforts of various Ministries/Agencies with new ones, to create a
data base with advisory for farmers to effectively manage the risks
accentuated by Climate Change.
Implementing
region-specific contingency plans based on vulnerability and risk scenarios.
Establishment
of gene-banks for local breeds and ex–situ especially, in-vitro conservation
needs to be considered as an important component of a broad-based
strategy to conserve critical adaptive genes and genetic traits.
Establishing
AWS & ARG at the sub-district level to facilitate understanding of real time
weather and other inputs on production of important commodities at national
as well as international level. This can also provide complete technical back
up support to the farmers to develop precision farming models, which can
be replicated on a large scale.
Provide
incentives to industries to enhance production of bio pesticides to increase
their availability.
Penetration of
technologies such as micro-propagation techniques, integrated nutrient,
water and pest management, organic farming, immune-diagnostic
techniques for detection of diseases to improve the productivity of
horticultural crops.
Building
market information, intelligence and forecasting system for farmers.
Gujarat has
Strong Agri Marketing system, Agro based Industries & Co-operatives
Strengthening climate resilient post-harvest management, storage and
marketing and distribution systems can help increase revenue.
Introduce
certification zoning systems, pesticide-free zones, and organic production
zones to facilitate high value exports from the State. The testing laboratories
being set-up with Gujarat Agriculture Universities for certification of Organic
Product can help in the process.
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To overcome
uncertainties associated with climate modeling studies, synergizing
meteorological seasonal climate forecasts with indigenous knowledge
based seasonal forecasts. Climate information needs to be translated into
diverse outcomes and comprehensive frameworks needs to be developed
to answer some of the ‘what if’ questions faced by the farmers thereby
empowering the farmers for effective decision making.
Courses on
agri-business development and agri-clinics can help graduates generate
self-employment opportunities by providing specialized extension services
to the farmers. Another area of focus should be on building technical
capacity of farmers on use of Information and Communication Technology
(ICT) and Resource Conservation Technologies (RCTs).
Expanding the
extension services in the State to build adequate capacity to provide
relevant and timely information to farmers to make appropriate choices.
Organizing short-term courses for extension workers to help them
understand the emerging challenges of Climate Change and ways of
effective communication to the farmers.
Engaging the
private sector to supplement public extension services. Privatization of
agricultural extension system should not be seen as an alternative to public
extension system. Public sector has got a comparative advantage in
disseminating location specific, system based and sustainable technologies.
The private sector will have a greater success in the technology and
commercial aspects, input supply and other technical services.
Gujarat has a
strong telecommunication network and all talukas are connected. Private
sector players can be engaged for supplying information on agriculture
inputs, issue advisories, suggest good practices etc. to the farmers.
Organizing
group-based informal education approaches that enhance community
ownership, sustainability and adaptability of adaptation strategies. Using
existing platforms such as the GSWAN network to reach out to the villages
for communicating Climate Change risks and adaptation measures.
Strengthening
Integrated Pest Management programmes that effectively integrate
community-based field activities, policy, extension and research. Up-scaling
field projects and demonstrations, to help farmers gain a practical
understanding of pest management practices and application in their own
farms, while reducing costs and allow for farmer-to-farmer diffusion.
Capitalize on
the outreach and penetration of Self Help Groups (SHGs) and other
Farmers Groups to increase the awareness and acceptance of crop
insurance in India. These groups can also play a role for distribution and
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Based on the strategies that have focused on understanding the detailed impact of
climate change on crops, along with the focus on adaptation to changing climate, a
brief list of activities have been obtained from relevant Department/s to indicate the
focus on implementing these strategies discussed in the previous section. The
estimated cost of activities is based on rough estimates.
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The State of Gujarat is traditionally prone to water scarcity situations. Although the
Government of Gujarat has taken several progressive measures for ensuring water
security in the State, the intensity and return period of major drought, often correlated
to the Climate Change impacts, have the potential to undermine these efforts.
Groundwater resources and their long-term replenishment are also controlled by
long-term climate conditions. Therefore it is essential to consider Climate Change
externalities while designing and implementing water conservation and management
plans.
The focus of National Water Mission is on water conservation and integrated water
resources development and management for ensuring its more equitable distribution
both across and within States. Main objectives of the mission are –
Climate Change impact assessment on water resources and provision of water
data base in public domain
Promotion of citizen and state action for water conservation, augmentation and
preservation; focused attention to over-exploited areas
Increasing water use efficiency at least by 20% by 2012
Promotion of basin level integrated water resources management
Before 2001, drinking water security had posed serious threat to human and cattle lives
in Gujarat State. In 2001, an ambitious strategy was developed for creating a
'Statewide Drinking Water Grid’ for bulk water transmission from sustainable surface
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water resources to water scarce and poor water quality habitations. Based on this,
large scale infrastructure has been created which includes bulk pipelines, distribution
pipelines, hydraulic structures, storage sumps and high ground level reservoirs. Along
with this 181water filtration and treatment plants have been promoted with a total
capacity of 2900 million liters perday. The backbone of the Grid is the Sardar Sarovar
Dam, built on river Narmada. It not only provides fresh surface water for irrigation to
several regions of Gujarat but also provides water for drinking purposes.The Sardar
Sarovar Canal-based Water Supply scheme has been named as the largest
engineering intervention in India’s rural water supply sector. Gujarat water supply
grid constitutes the lengthiest distribution pipeline network for the supply of drinking
water the world has ever seen. To date, no other single scheme for drinking water
supply in the world covers as vast of an area or reaches as many beneficiaries as the
Statewide Water Grid.
The Statewide Water Grid comprises of 387 projects making inter-basin water transfers
from sustainable surface or ground water sources to water scarce and quality-affected
areas. The network consists of Sardar Sarovar Canal, Sujalam Sufalam Yojana for river
inter-linkages and approximately 179 Rural Regional Water Supply Schemes. The
Statewide Water Grid aims to connect 75% of Gujarat’s population i.e. nearly 47 million
people across 15,009 villages and 145 towns, some of them being 700 km away from
the command area.
To reach the scorched regions of Saurashtra, Kachchh, Central & North Gujarat, 51 bulk
pipeline projects oversee the construction of 3,250 km of bulk water transmission mains
and nearly 120,769 km of pipelines and engineering works (distribution network). Out of
this, 2,654 km mains have already been built through 37 completed projects (as of
December 2013). The piped water from the Grid has supplemented the amount of water
drawn from local sources to meet the demands of communities. At the same time as
new pipes are added to the system, existing drinking water sources are strengthened in
an effort to develop dual supply systems to use water conjunctively and reduce a
village’s sole reliance on local water sources.
The construction of Grid has not only solved the endemic issue of drinking water
availability issues in Gujarat, but has also helped overcome several issues including
extensive ground water extraction leading to plummeting ground water tables, water
quality issues including high level of fluoride content in the water, drudgery of collection
of water from far off sources and increased sustainability and dependability on surface
water sources. The grid has had immense impact on education of women and girls in
particular, reducing migration of rural population, women empowerment and gender
equality and enhanced the quality of life both for rural and urban population.
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Annual tanker supply required in 3961 villages in 2002-03 has been brought down to
296 in 2011-12, creating substantial savings. Although in the year 2012-13 and 2013-
14, the number of villages requiring tanker water supply increased to 466 and 854
respectively, but this was due to severe drought conditions that existed in the state.
Number of fluoride affected habitations has reduced from 4187 in 2003 to 987 in a
recent survey.
The micro-irrigation system was introduced in the State through Gujarat Green
Revolution Company Limited since 2005-06. Total area covered under micro irrigation
is 6,00,000ha involving 3,70,964beneficiaries’ farmers. Adoption of micro irrigation
system not only conserves water, but also conserves energy fertilizers, reduces labour
cost leading to reduced cost of cultivation and increase in productivity. Large scale
people’s participation was involved in creation of massive micro water harvesting
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The average depletion of water levels in North Gujarat before the launch of this
massive programme was around 3 m per year which by now would have cumulatively
increased by almost 20-25 meters leading to sharp rise in electric consumption for
drawl of ground water. But there has been a reported average, water level rise of about
4 m during last couple of years. Figure 37depicts the ground water development for the
state of Gujarat. The entire state is divided into the categories of safe, semi-critical,
critical, over exploited (OE) and saline. The category of “safe” indicates that the ground
water development was less than or equal to 70% (no falling trends of water level),
“semi-critical” indicated 70-90% ground water development showing a falling trend in
water table either pre or post monsoon, “critical” indicated 90-100% of ground water
development, showing a falling trend both pre and post monsoon, “overexploited”
indicated more than 100% ground water development and saline indicated a total
dissolved salts (TDS) of more than 2500 parts per million (ppm).
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Various steps have been taken by the Government of Gujarat for improving irrigation
efficiency and reducing transmission and evaporation losses in State irrigation network.
The Water Resources Department of Government of Gujarat has implemented
Participation Irrigation Management (PIM) in command area. Up till now 4,42,000ha
area is covered under PIM. The Government is actively considering implementing
Pressurized Irrigation Network System (PINS) in the command area for implementing
Drip/Sprinkler water saving methods. This methodology when fully implemented will
appreciably bring the vast area of canal network under irrigation and also bring down
transmission, evaporation and conveyance losses which are found to be appreciable at
field level. On a macro level irrigation efficiency has been improved by bringing around
10,42,000ha of land under Participatory Irrigation Management and much more under
micro irrigation leading to yield increase along with water, fertilizer, labour and energy
savings. It has been estimated that around 74.1 million unit energy has been saved in
just one year due to adoption of micro irrigation by Gujarat Green Revolution Company
– a body specially created for the purpose.
The canal systems which have deteriorated over time were improved by ERM works
(Extension, Renovation and Modernization). These works have effectively reduced
losses in the system and increased present irrigation area to about 25 per cent.
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The Sardar Sarovar Project of Gujarat has been a very vital project for long term water
and energy security in the State. Diversion of Narmada waters to main canal of the
project, which is world’s largest lined irrigation canal, was 705 MCM in 2001 and
increased to 6,194 MCM in
Figure 35: Consumption pattern of electricity in Gujarat
2004. The command area State
covers an extent of around
5,00,000 ha which has
observed interlinking of many
rivers by the interbasin transfer
of Narmada water using Sardar
Sarovar Canal Network.
Narmada water has been
released in the dry beds of
Heran, Orsang, Karad,
Dhadhar, Mahi, Saidak, Mohar,
Sabarmati and Saraswati
rivers. The ecology and water
quality of these rivers have
drastically improved. In
addition to this, 700 village
tanks have also been filled with Narmada water as part of drought management
measure. The hydropower generation commenced in Sardar Sarovar Project since
August 2004, and has resulted in generation of 32,593 million units of electricity till
March 2014. This has led to intangible benefits in terms of virtual savings of around
53,432 million units of electricity that would have been otherwise consumed to draw
this amount of water from ground water resources. Thus the electricity consumption for
agriculture in the State has drastically reduced from 45.12 to 21.1 per cent of the total
consumption in the State (during 2000-01 to 2008-09). The role of Sardar Sarovar
Project is impressive in both adaptation and mitigation of Climate Change. Due to this
water and energy linkages, 15,459 million tCO2 is saved.
SSNNL has planned and invited EPC tender to develop a Canal Based Small Hydro
Power Projects on Narmada Canals (i.e. SBC,MBC, VBC) having total potential of
85.46MW. It has also planned to develop a Canal Based Micro Hydel Power Plant on
various Narmada canals having total potential of 13 MW. It is developing a 10 MW
canal top solar Power project on Vadodara Branch canal, which is under progress. It
has already installed 1 MW canal top power project on Sanand Branch canal. It has
installed 10 KW wind Solar Hybrid Power plant for domestic purpose at Kevadia colony
for which a grant of Rs. 15.30 crores from MNRE, GoI was awarded to SSNNL. In FY
2013-2014, 1450 MW SSHEP has put forth record generation of green power of 5877
MUs, which is 178% higher than planned generation.
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Another very interesting example of environment friendly solutions with lesser carbon
footprints is the Panam High Level Canal Project. Panam dam was constructed in
1978, to meet the irrigation needs of around 2,00,000 people. But since its inception
the project suffered from one major deficiency. Panam main canal, a 100 km long
contour canal, served the command area only on its right side while the farmers on the
higher grounds of this command area were deprived of irrigation due to difficult and
inconvenient topography.
There were two alternative solutions to the problem; one was to dig an open canal
(channel) which necessitated acquisition of reserved forest lands, felling of trees and
human displacement, besides the consumption of 3.23 million liter fossil fuel (diesel) for
excavators and other machinery. The second alternative was lifting of water from the
reservoir through pumping by laying down pipelines and constructing pumping stations
which would have required 2000 MW power which in turn would have led to additional
emission of 3.57 million tCO2 every year.
Considering very high carbon footprints, human displacement and direct loss of forest
lands, a third alternative has been put in place. The State constructed its first and
foremost irrigation water carrying tunnel, irrigating 18,000 ha of land and benefiting
around 1,25,000 people at no extra submergence and no displacement of persons. As
an additional advantage, nearby wells, around 60 village tanks and 500 check dams
are being interlinked for recharge with the canal work providing irrigation in an
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additional area of 2000 ha. This was a conscious choice taken by Gujarat which is a
low carbon intensive development alternative.
Sabarmati River was revived by transferring Narmada waters which made the river
independent of the vagaries of nature. Once this was made possible, the riverfront is
now being converted into a major asset which would improve the quality of
environment and life in Ahmedabad, improve the efficiency of its infrastructure,
conserve the places of heritage importance, and create an opportunity for
recreation/hospitality industry. The ambitious project involves creating embankments
on both sides and developing a 10.6 kilometers stretch of river front which will not only
provide protection against 5,00,000cusecflood eliminating annual flooding of low lying
areas but also prevent evacuation of nearly 10,000 Slum Households, located on
Riverbanks as well as the village on downstream of Vasna Barrage and prevent
scouring of farm land. This is a unique project with both mitigation and adaptation
connotations.
The Kalpasar Project is proposed to be the World’s largest man-made fresh water
reservoir. It envisages building a dam across the Gulf of Khambhat for generating tidal
power and for establishing a huge reservoir for fresh water for irrigation, drinking and
industrial purposes. A 30 km long dam would be constructed for closure of the Gulf of
Khambhat. The project will store about 10000 Mm3 of water from the rivers flowing into
the Gulf of Khambhat.
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WASMO has adopted a bottom-up approach in consonance with the spirit of the 73rd
amendment of the Indian Constitution. It performs the role of facilitator by
empowerment and capacity building of the Panchayati Raj Institutions at the grassroots
level. Processes for social mobilization continue to win, build and maintain trust among
the people, which is essential to obtain their willingness to join the programme and
share the partial cost of work. WASMO's strategy includes development and
strengthening of local institutions (Pani Samiti), active involvement and participation of
communities.It entrusts the community with powers to plan, design, own and manage
their own water supply systems. WASMO has strong faith in the principle that a sense
of 'Ownership and Pride' is to be instilled among the community. It undertakes the
following activities:
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The Pani Samitis work under the overall guidance of Gram Sabha for project
formulation, implementation and further operation and maintenance of the intra- villages’
infrastructure for service delivery up to house hold level. The Pani Samitis have worked
commendably well and the water delivery infrastructure is being maintained with a great
ownership feeling and user charges are collected for the maintenance of water supply.
As on May 2014, as many as 18,185 Pani Samitis have been formed which are
the main local institutions for village level water management.
About 76.84% of people in Gujarat have access to household tap water
connections.
A water quality team has been formed in 16,676 villages and 14,216 more have
been equipped with water quality testing kits.
WASMO’s innovation has led to scaling up of reform processes to cover entire State.
WASMO has also been able to institutionalize the rural water quality monitoring and
surveillance programme. WASMO’s innovation by Government of Gujarat has emerged
as a model for learning and exchange and is now seen as a model in the sector, which
is influencing policy initiatives in the water sector at the country level.
Some of the important measures taken by the State Government (GoG, 2011) towards
achieving water security and improving the quality of water are listed below:
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the water availability but also led to huge savings in the power consumption in
drawing groundwater. The power savings were in the range of 20-25 per cent
(Shete 2010).
The ultimate irrigation potential through the surface water is estimated at 39.40
lakh ha which includes 17.92 lakh ha through Sardar Sarovar (Narmada) Project.
Similarly, in respect of ground water resources, it is estimated at about 25.48 lakh
ha. Total ultimate irrigation potential through surface & ground water is estimated
to be 64.88lakh ha. The total irrigation potential of surface water created upto June
2012 was 32.48 lakh ha whereas maximum utilisation was 23.81 lakh ha.
A Watershed Development programme is being implemented with the objective
of drought proofing, agriculture growth, environment protection and employment
generation. DDP, DPAP, IWDP are the major schemes being implemented under
the watershed programme as per the agro-climatic condition of the 26 districts in
Gujarat. Under these schemes 5590 projects are under execution for the treatment
of 27.95 lakh ha in the State. Up to October, 2010, 2900 projects have been
completed and 19.65 lakh ha of area have been treated under the programme
(GoG, 2011).
Basin-wise studies using hydrological and climate models to study the long term
impact of Climate Change on rainfall-runoff processes over river basins
Climate Change scenarios and impact on catchment and rainfall runoff response
in a river basin of different zones of the Gujarat State
The Government of Gujarat has been quite efficient in collecting water related data and
establishing a data center. Following studies are recommended to further strengthen
the program.
Human and natural systems, will to some degree adapt automatically. Planned
adaptation through policies can supplement them. The adaptation policy should be
formulated after detailed research and should:
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Based on the identified strategies in key areas of research and development, policy
support and institutional strengthening, infrastructure development and capacity building
in water sector, a brief of proposed activities were requested from relevant Departments
in the State. The list of activities is provided in the table below. The estimated budget for
these activities is based on primary and rough estimates.
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The natural ecosystems of Gujarat range from wetlands, grasslands and deciduous
forests to deserts. Its coastline shelters diverse coastal ecosystems such as
mangroves, coral reefs, estuaries and mudflats. The Government of Gujarat has
initiated various programmes for maintaining the environmental balance and restoration
of ecosystems by recharging ground water, preventing salinity ingress, conserving
biological diversity, soil conservation etc. These are in consonance with the NAPCC
and the State Government intends to build on these initiatives through the SAPCC.
Forest Department has taken up number of initiative to increase the green cover of the
State. There has been a substantial increase in trees in the State. From 2004 to 2009
social afforestation has resulted in an increase of 1.77 crore trees. In the year 2009,
there were 16.16 trees per ha which was 14 trees per ha previously. In 7 districts it has
been observed that number of trees have increased to 30 trees per ha. Wherein Anand
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District tops the list with 68.4 trees per ha followed by Tapi with 64.0 trees per ha,
Gandhinagar with 58.3 trees per ha, Mehsana 51.8 trees/ha, Valsad 35.6 trees/ha,
Surat 35 trees/ha and Kheda 31 trees/ha.
Social Afforestation Scheme has performed well in the State. In the year 2009 -10,
15601 ha of land were targeted to be planted and 100 per cent was achieved by the
Forest department of Gujarat. Under this scheme, afforestation is conducted majorly at
roads, river banks, railway tracks, social and institutional places, land near small tanks
and ponds and other areas. Other than this, in order to encourage afforestation in
private lands, van mahotsav is practiced at a large sale in Gujarat. Under Van mahotsav
saplings and seeds are distributed in order to create awareness amongst people of
Gujarat and increase the green cover of the State. In the year 2010-11, more than 2000
saplings and seeds were distributed in various districts under this scheme. As of 2013-
2014 the cumulative achievementsof Social Forestry works from 1969-70 to 2013-14)
are Strip Plantation (1.04 Lakh ha), Village Forests (1.38 Lakh ha), Private Degraded
Lands (2.68 Lakh ha), Other lands (0.32 Lakh ha) and 501.10 crore plants have been
distributed during Van Mahotsav.(Department of Environment and Forest, 2014)
As per the tree population estimates in 2003 and 2011, number of trees outside forest
increased at annual rate of 29 lakh trees (increased from 25.1 crores in 2003 to 26.9
crores in 2011 and 30.1 crores in 2013). As per State of Forest Report (2011 & 2013),
tree cover and tree density in Gujarat is second highest among the states of India.
Seven districts have tree density over 30 trees/ ha whereas Anand district alone has a
tree density of 68.4 trees/ ha. Average tree density in Gujarat is higher than the average
of India, although major part of Gujarat is in semi arid and arid zone. Against India's tree
cover (TOF) of 2.77% of total geographical area, Gujarat has 4.0% of its geographical
area under tree cover outside forest. Timber and wood production from the TOF is very
impressive in Gujarat and TOF contributes annually about Rs 4,388 crore of Gross
Value Output (GVO) in form of timber. The contribution in terms of NTFP is also
tremendous and yet to be monetarily quantified.(Department of Environment and Forest,
2014).
Forest accounting and certification of projects for CDM is being envisaged, as result of
Sustainable Forest Management and identification of criteria and indicators has been
started in two divisions, i.e. Godhra and Dahod, in the State in association with Indian
Institute of Forest Management, Bhopal. A workshop in this regard was organized by
Forest Department to explore the opportunities of CDM projects. A State level
workshop on designing of Afforestation/Reforestation projects under CDM was
organized in Gandhinagar.
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9.2.2Urban forestry
Under Urban Forestry, Forest Department has taken up urban plantation works in 139
municipalities in the State and planted up more than 9.43 lakh trees. Urban gardens
have also been created in some of these municipalities. 41 Nakshatra Vans, 64 Rashi
vans and 81 Pachavati Bans, 90 Smruti Vans, 11 Navagrah Vans, 23 Punit Vans, 8
Dhanvantri Vans and 6 Dampatya Vans were also created. Under Nagar Nandan Van,
5.58 Lakh trees have been planted in urban areas.
Mangroves forests of Gujarat are significantly prominent on the West Coast of the
country and also have very high conservation value. Special programs are undertaken
in Jamnagar and Kutch districts which have been successful. There has been
establishment of mangrove forest in the Gulf of Cambay. During the current year,
towards the Golden Goal a target of 12,500 ha has been set for mangrove plantation.
As per the report of Forest Survey of India, in Gujarat, the Mangroves forest cover has
continuously been improving.
Out of the 33 districts of the State, the State has 16 coastal districts. However as per
the FSI 2005 report, the mangrove cover 936 km2 is spread rather unevenly over 10
districts only. About 73.53 per cent (707 km2) of the total mangrove forest is located in
the single district of Kutch covering the forests of Kori creek, while 16.02 per cent (150
km2) mangrove forests are distributed in Jamnagar district which covers the mangrove
forests of Gulf of Kutch. The remaining 8.44 per cent (79 km2) are distributed in 8
districts hosting the mangrove forests of Gulf of Khambhat. District wise distribution of
mangrove cover in the State is given in Table 24.
Table 23: District wise-mangrove cover (sq km) in Gujarat (FSI, 2005)
Sl. Region Very Moderatel Open Total Change
No and Dense y Dense Mangrove w.r.t. 2003
District Mangr Mangrove assessme
ove nt
South & Central Gujarat Region
1 Bharuch 0 22 14 36 3
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Saurashtra Region
1 Bhavnagar 0 6 8 14 0
2 Jamnagar 0 28 122 150 9
(GoK)
3 Porbandar 0 1 0 1 0
4 Rajkot 0 1 1 2 0
Total 0 36 131 167 9
Kutch Region
1 Kutch 0 127 580 707 0
Total 0 127 580 707 0
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The key strategies identify the need for research and development, institutional
strengthening and infrastructure development, policy support and capacity building in
this sector through various proposed activities.
As noted in past a few State of Forest Reports published by Forest Survey of India,
there has been changes in the forest cover of the State. For example, there has
been an increase of 86 km2 in the open forest and a decrease of 70 km2 in the
moderately dense forest of Gujarat. There is a need to understand the underlying
cause of these changes and develop strategies to halt or even reverse the trend.
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The opportunities presented by international mechanisms like the CDM could play a
role and it’s applicability for the State should be assessed. In the same vein, the
upcoming mechanism such as REDD-plus (Reducing Emissions from Deforestation
and Forest Degradation) should also be explored. The objective of the international
debates and discussions around REDD-plus is to create a monetary value for the
carbon stored in forests that are under the ever increasing threat of deforestation or
degradation (given the direct and underlying causes). Once this forest carbon value
can be created and agreed upon, participating developing countries can then be
paid for protecting, conserving, sustainably managing their forests rather than
cutting them or letting them become degraded. This not only would not only enable
more carbon sequestration in the forests, but also be promote forestry-based
livelihood, ecosystem based services, biodiversity conservation, among other
benefits.
Studying and addressing linkages between forest degradation and livelihoods of
forest dependent communities.
According to the Wetland Atlas, 2010, the total area under ravines is 2.75 m ha in four
states, namely, Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat and Rajasthan. Ravines eat
into farms and villages affecting the poorest and most vulnerable people who become
victims of ecological privations in the region. Priority should be to stop further ingress
of ravines into the non-ravine farmland.
Studies required for understanding the impact of Climate Change on the marine
ecosystems (wetlands, mangroves and coral reef ecosystems) for the State of
Gujarat:
• E
xtensive studies are required to build a comprehensive database on the
current State of the mangrove, wetland and coral reef habitats, and their
associated flora and fauna.
• C
ollaborations with research institutions is required to strengthen research
on the mangrove and coral biodiversity in the State to maximize the
effectiveness of resilience-based management.
• Studies on the adaptation and recovery pathways of coral reefs, along with
improved monitoring, will help obtain a better understanding to manipulate the
direction of events. The non-climatic stresses in the region (e.g. pollution from
industries decline, fishing pressure) can be mitigated and managed easier than
global Climate Change.
• There is a need for extensive base-line data (bathymetry, contour maps w/1 m
resolution below 25ft, geo-referenced cadastral information, ecosystem status)
for the coral reef ecosystems of Gujarat.
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While the State has a good track record of increasing area under ‘trees outside forests’,
improving their productivity is an option to meet the demand for forest products while
increasing carbon sequestration. Also, adoption of silvicultural practices and improved
planting materials can increase the productivity of forests to 1.35 m3 per ha per year in
drier regions, 7.66 m3 per ha per year in moist/wet regions, and 4-5 m3 per ha per year
in other parts of the country (MoEF, 1999).
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Climate modeling: Develop dynamic vegetation models for Gujarat to predict more
accurately the impact of Climate Change on the flora of the State. This would also
require developing regional climate models and initiating more regional and
comprehensive research on forest vegetation characteristics, plant physiology, soil
and water, etc.
Biomass assessment and carbon modeling: The State has started to assess the
forest biomass and its attendant carbon. The State would model the future carbon
flux based on its planned forestry-based/related activities. This would help the State
to take informed decision on the uses it puts its forestry resources to. The State
would also develop the mechanism of continuous monitoring of the biomass and
carbon. Also undertake survey of various forest species and assessing their carbon
sequestration potential
Urban forestry and agroforestry: Expand the area of ‘trees outside forests’ within
urban environment and agroforestry systems. Increased area under urban forestry
would lead to amelioration of the urban environment in addition to enhanced carbon
sequestration. Integrating forestry within the agricultural systems would provide the
twin benefit of increased carbon sequestration and increased economic benefit to
the farmer. Market linkages would have to be strengthened and a favourable policy
environment (e.g., with respect to felling and transit rules etc) created to promote
agro-forestry on a large scale.
Plantations: Project for raising energy plantations and fodder plantations in the
interior forest village areas to reduce the burden over forests and to create a carbon
sink. There are about four thousand villages which are situated in and around the
forest areas of Gujarat. The demand of fuel and fodder of these villages is met
directly or indirectly from the forest areas. To reduce this ever increasing burden fuel
wood and fodder resources are required to be created in or in the vicinity of the
villages
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The Green Credit scheme proposes that the Forest Department would identify in
advance possible lands and prepare a blue print for their afforestation. They would
then sign a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with potential user agencies
which in turn would provide funds at the disposal of the former for afforestation.
Since this afforestation will take place on private lands under the controlled,
supervision and monitoring of the Forest Department they then would provide credits
(certificates) for this which could later be used by the user agency at the time of
making an application under the Forest Conservation Act, 1980 for the use of forest
land for non-forest purposes. The Green Credits scheme could be enhanced to
focus not just on the area being afforested, but also give weightage to the type of
plantations undertaken, its yield in terms of biomass and associated carbon, among
other benefits. Planting genetically improved varieties would provide more yields. On
the other hand, planting local varieties that are also used by local communities could
provide for better livelihood opportunities.
Build capacities at various levels of the State administration and other stakeholders
on Climate Change and forestry issues. For example, as envisioned in the Green
India Mission, Gram Sabha are expected to play a major role, their capacities have
to be strengthened for implementing forestry activities.
Enhancing the capacity of State Forest Department personnel and other
stakeholders to tap the opportunities available under the REDD-plus mechanism. At
the heart of REDD-plus would be the monitoring, reporting and verification of
carbon. While monitoring of deforestation can be carried out economically by using
remote sensing techniques, monitoring degradation would require use of more
expensive high resolution satellite imagery. Monitoring could alternatively (and
synergistically) be carried out with more extensive ground truthing by engaging local
forest-dependent people who can be trained to participate in field surveys and forest
inventories (along with the forest department). Not only will this provide the local
people with (part time) employment but also mobilize the support of forest-
dependent communities for forest protection and management.
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change
Apart from various activities listed above, promoting organic farming to build
capacity in the production and processing of organic products; to train farmers in
organic farming. and environment friendly process of pests and diseases
management, soil fertility management, post-harvest handling of crops and
marketing of products could be further strengthened.
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10.0 Health
Gujarat has long experienced extreme heat, is among the driest regions in India and
houses a large migrant population. Gujarat’s rapid economic development adds to
environmental health concerns and in recent years, the city has suffered from
increasing air, water, and soil pollution from industrial areas, textile, chemical industries
and lack of citizen awareness regarding pollution prevention.
Though, the NAPCC does not address climate impacts, on health, specifically, the
Government of Gujarat has included this sector in its SAPCC.
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A large number of initiatives are being undertaken in the State for the control of vector
borne diseases. These include:
Health assessments studies will help to understand linkages between Climate Change
parameters and health and will inform the decision makers, health practitioners,
planning authorities and civil society organizations with information so public health
policies and programmes can be developed, customized and implemented in the light
of Climate Change. These include:
Studies for identifying vulnerable populations and regions need to be carried out for
Gujarat. The vulnerability may arise due to a range of factors which interact with
various determinants of health outcomes. Vulnerability may arise due to
demographic factors such as age and sex of the population or limited access to
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health care infrastructure or the existing health status of the individual that may
result in increased risk. The study will help identify populations and regions with
increased or decreased vulnerability to climate variability and change.
Studies should be sanctioned for carrying out sensitivity analyses that provide
insights on the relationships between weather/climate patterns and health
determinants and outcomes. These results can be used for strengthening existing
Government policies and programmes.
Research to understand linkages between Climate Change and respiratory and
allergic diseases, urbanization and vector borne disease in relation to Climate
Change, Mortality increase due to Climate Change among others.
Health impact studies should be conducted for the State using high resolution
meteorological data (observed and projections) and establish the links with
epidemiological parameters.
To strengthen the systems for data collection, reporting, analysis, and feedback
using information technology. The State should develop and maintain a digital health
database for mortality and morbidity related to climate sensitive Vector-Borne
Diseases, water borne diseases, and those related to higher temperatures and
rainfall extremes. The Primary Health Centres, Community Health Centres, District
Hospitals and Anganwadi workers can be engaged in the process.
Spatial analysis using Geographic Information Systems (GIS) can characterize the
human and ecological landscape in which disease is transmitted to identify
vulnerabilities and possible interventions. Remote Sensing techniques and GIS
should be applied to highlight current distribution of vulnerable population and
spatial relationship to disease vectors, river basins flooding and other important
variables of interest to public health officials.
The State has good health infrastructure which has resulted in significant
improvement in the health status of the people of the State. As per the Annual
Development Report 2011-12, the Death Rate and Infant Mortality Rate has shown a
decline. The number of Community Health Centres, Primary Health Centres and
Sub-centres functioning in the State has significantly increased .The State has 6
major hospitals with educational institute, 24 district level hospitals and 26 sub-
district level hospitals. Strengthening and Expansion of healthcare delivery,
infrastructure and services to the sub-district/block level.
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Although there are uncertainties about the rate and magnitude of future Climate
Change, policy makers need to understand the potential health impacts of Climate
Change, the effectiveness of current adaptation and mitigation policies, and the range
of choices available for enhancement of current policies and programmes, or the
development of new policies and programmes. Policies and programmes to address
the health risks from Climate Change should also explicitly consider ways to avoid
large scale health impacts from extreme events.
Introducing health insurance scheme for the State for providing health insurance to
the poor and marginalized. Expanding the coverage of Rashtriya Swasthya Bima
Yojana (RSBY) to all districts of the State. This will ensure health security to poor
households against the risk of health expenditure aggravating poverty.
Coordination with other sectors and departments for ensuring success of health
programmes. For example coordination with agriculture sector to address the issue
of food security and water sector for addressing water issues can help alleviate
potential adverse health impacts.
Introducing Integrated vector management and environmental hygiene programmes
The future health impacts of Climate Change will vary over spatial and temporal
scales, and will depend upon changing socio-economic and environmental
conditions, with possibilities for diseases to increase in incidence and/or change
their geographic range. Therefore capacity needs to be built within public health
and healthcare organizations and institutions to prepare for and identify changing
risks and to evaluate the effectiveness of current and proposed programmes, both
within and outside the health sector.
Regular training workshops should be conducted for medical and para-medical
staff, link workers and multi-purpose workers to understand enhanced risks to
human health due to Climate Change and equip them with the knowledge to
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The main objectives of the mission include promoting energy efficiency in residential
and commercial sector, solid waste management and promotion of urban public
transport, conservation through appropriate changes in legal and regulatory
framework. It also seeks to improve resilience of infrastructure, community based
disaster management and measures for improving advance warning systems for
extreme weather events.
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To ease the traffic congestion and simultaneously reduce the GHG emission, the
execution of Bus Rapid Transport System (BRTS) was undertaken.The BRTS
programme being implemented in the cities of Ahmedabad, Vadodara, Surat and
Rajkot, aims to shift 40 per cent of trips from personal transport vehicles to public
transport.The objective is to significantly reduce carbon emissions by discouraging use
of private vehicles through strengthening of the public transport system. This would
ultimately reduce the movement of 400,000 vehicles per day with a net reduction of
37,000 tonnes GHG per annum (mainly CO2 and NOx).
Gujarat has taken up an aggressive programme to convert a large number of public
buses as well as auto-rickshaws to CNG for reducing emissions. All pre 1991 auto
rickshaws have been completely banned as per the resolution passed by the Regional
Transport Authority. In addition to this, more than a dozen flyovers are being executed
in Ahmedabad and Surat cities which would facilitate easy transit of vehicles, ultimately
leading in pollution and emission reduction.
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In addition, the Gujarat State Petroleum Corporation has established the Pandit
Deendayal Petroleum University for training human resources in the energy sector. A
School of Solar Energy has also been set up under this University. All public sector
undertaking units are taking up Efficiency Gains Programmes through fuel switch and
technology change. Largest Urban Energy Efficiency programme in India is under
implementation which will cover all Municipal Corporations and Municipalities in the
State and lead to energy savings of nearly 30 per cent.
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For managing GHG emissions from Municipal Solid Waste, Gujarat Urban
Development Corporation (GUDC) is developing compost plants for all Urban Local
Bodies work has commenced for93such vermi-compost plants in Gujarat. The project
comprises measures to avoid production of methane from municipal solid waste that
would otherwise decay anaerobically in land fill sites/dumps. The implementation of
Municipal Solid Waste Management (MSWM), as per MSW Rules, 2000 is taken by
GUDC. This includes collection, transportation, composting and disposal on scientific
basis for all urban local bodies. Gujarat is the leading State in the country in
compliance of MSWM rules 2000.They are expected to generate 1000tonnes/day of
vermi- compost.
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season and conveyed to people. Advance warnings are provided by megaphones and
SMS system.
The State should encourage, other flood prone cities and towns to develop and enable
such mechanisms in their cities. IT enabled early warning systems should be
introduced in phased manner in cities. The early warning systems should be linked to
evacuation plans and health facilities.
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The policy framework should address the issue of conflicting interests between
different agencies responsible for energy generation, compost supply, and waste
management. Moreover methane recovery (from various waste sources like
landfills, compost plants, etc.) can introduce new actors into the waste
segregation/disposal process, potentially disturbing the current balance of
economic and political power in the community.
The privatization efforts (e.g. through PPP) in various local bodies should be able
to integrate the informal and formal private sector, and thus make the most from
such integration. Such initiatives can be carried out on pilot scale in the first phase
and thereby replicated to other areas upon successful implementation.
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There exist a number of agencies whose activities are directly or indirectly have a
bearing on the transport operations of a city. The local municipal Government
provides roads, infrastructure like bus stands, regulates traffic along with the traffic
police, controls construction, and so on; the local city development authority
discharges town planning functions; the police regulates traffic; the public works
department has responsibility for roads and bridges; the development authorities
carry out city planning; the pollution control board enforces emission norms; the tax
authorities impose and collect different taxes; and so on. Coordination between
various agencies is indispensable to achieve an overall quality of transport services
in cities.
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Route planning forms one of the most critical ingredients of a successful public
transport improvement strategy. It influences passenger demands, passenger
satisfaction, operating costs and perception of non-users. Transportation experts
should decide whether a hub and spoke or grid or trunk and feeder systems is
suitable for a city. Routes should be planned on a scientific basis, after discussions
with all stakeholders.
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For areas prone to pronounced heat waves and to maintain a healthy livable
environment, deliberate attempts have to be made to increase the green cover
within and outside cities. Leaving of green belts at urban periphery along with
extensive plantation plans within cities would reduce incidence of heat island effect
besides providing with clean and green cities.
Urban land use planning should be totally guided by various parameters of urban
form like density, land use mix, city shape, street patterns, orientations, traffic
growth and its effect on travel demand and trip length. This would enable
consideration of geographic and socio-economic constraints while planning for
transportation/habitat/industrial growth in urban areas.
Procurement legislations for energy- and water-saving equipment, appliances, and
fixtures should be introduced for all public buildings in at least Class I and Class II
cities by the StateGovernment and accordingly each development authority should
amend the building bye-laws of municipalities and corporations coming under their
respective jurisdiction in a defined time-frame.
Apart from these minimal mandatory requirements, building certification system
(such as GRIHA) should be popularized to recognize high-performance buildings.
Benchmarking and certification of buildings at the time of rental and sale should be
put into place and initially should be made mandatory for all commercial buildings
with a built-up area above a certain range. To begin with, the certification system
should be simple and just a quantitative assessment of total energy consumption
over the year per square metre.
Mandatory and subsidized audits (energy and water) should be done for already
existing public buildings, followed by high-efficiency retrofit to make them role
model/ demonstration projects. Mandatory audits could be done for industrial and
commercial buildings above a certain built-up area and energy use. Voluntary
audits of other private buildings should be incentivized through appropriate
measures.
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Taking into consideration the strategies mentioned above, the Departments proposed a
series of programmes/ activities that could be likely undertaken to tap the existing
mitigation potential and adaptation opportunities. It is interesting to note that the Urban
Local Bodies have also participated in preparation of State Action Plan through
proposing projects that could be done at local level.
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Cross-Sectoral Themes
A large number of initiatives are being taken by the Central government to target energy
efficiency and ito promote renewable energy namely the PAT scheme and the REC
scheme.
Perform, Achieve and Trade (PAT) schemefalls under the National Mission for
Enhanced Energy Efficiency (NMEEE) and was launched by BEE. It is a first of its kind
market-based mechanism that targets energy efficiency in developing nations. The
scheme aims to incentivize energy efficiency in the large energy-intensive industries
wherein certification of energy savings can be traded. Improvements targets in energy
efficiency have been currentlyset for nine industrial sectors, namely aluminum, cement,
chlor-alkali, fertilizers, iron and steel pulp and paper, railways, textiles and thermal
power plants, as Designated Consumers (DCs) under section 14 of the Energy
Conservation Act, 2001(BEE, 2014). The program aims to save at least 5% on energy
costs, which equates to 9.8 million tons of oil equivalent, or 5,600 MW of avoided
capacity addition (Sopher and Mansell, 2012). Gujarat along with Maharashtra,
Rajasthan and Tamil Nadu have 48% of DCs so Gujarat can position itself very well in
the energy efficiency market (CII, ).
The Renewable energy Certificate (REC) program is a market based trading system
whose primary purpose is to promote renewable energy across India independent of the
region’s renewable power generation capacity. The REC systems contributes
significantly to renewable energy generation goals outlined by the NAPCC. (GOI).
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Under this program, State Regulatory Commissions (SERCs) set targets for power
companies to purchase a certain percentage of their total power from renewable
sources called Renewable Purchase Obligations Standards (RPOs). In order to comply
with their RPOs or profit from a surplus of RECs, trading of RECs either within or across
states is carried out. Gujarat as state that has always been invested in renewable
energy has announced that 10% of energy procurement to come from renewable
sources, for its obligated entities for the year FY17(Gujarat Electricity Regulatory
Commission (GERC), 2014)
The year‐wise RPO targets effective April 2014 have been tabulated below:
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Box 19: National Solar Mission National Mission for Enhanced Energy Efficiency
National Solar Mission
The National Solar Mission aims at promoting ecologically sustainable growth while
addressing India’s energy security challenge. It aims to generate 20,000 MW of solar
power by 2020 by setting up megawatt scale solar power plants,
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Solar Power Generators (SPG) installed and commissioned during the operative
period to become eligible for incentives for a period of 25 years from the date of
commissioning or for the life span of the SPG whichever is earlier.
A maximum of 500 Mega Watts SPG to be allowed for installation during the policy
period up to 31.3.2014.
The minimum project capacity of a SPG, in case of Solar Photovoltaic (SPV) and
Solar Thermal (ST) to be 5 megawatt each.
Electricity generated from the SPGs to be exempted from payment of Electricity
Duty and also from demand cut to the extent of 50 per cent of installed capacity.
Purchase price of electricity from Solar Photovoltaic at Rs.13/unit and for Solar
Thermal at Rs.10/unit.
The solar projects to be established pursuant to this policy in the State are expected to
generate 20,000 million units of electric power annually. These projects are expected to
result in reduction of almost 21 million tonnes CO2 emission every year.
As a pilot project, a smart grid for demonstration project has been set-up at
Gandhinagar.A smart grid delivers electricity from suppliers to consumer using digital
technology to save energy, reduce cost and increase reliability and transparency. Such
a modernized electricity network is a method of addressing in dependence including the
key aspect of efficient integration of distributed sources of renewable energy, if required.
The pilot project consists of monitors stationed at thirteen building of Sachivalaya of 10
KW solar PV Grid connected rooftop systems. This monitors the data of electricity
generation, CO2 emission reduction and coal savings of all the systems, individually and
collectively, on weekly basis. Gujarat Energy Development Agency (GEDA) will be the
Nodal agency for coordination. The output of the Monitor is as shown in Figure 45 and
Figure 46.
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In November 2008, Gujarat notched the first prize and won the Best Wind
Developer State Award for maximum capacity additions in wind power
generation for the year 2006-08.
Gujarat has achieved tremendous growth in the field of wind energy. As depicted in
graph in figure 47, Gujarat has total 3352MW of total capacity installed as on March
31, 2014.
Energy generation potentialper annum is 6,704 MUs, which will help avoiding 6.70
million tons of CO2 emissions and annual saving of 4.68 million tonnes of coal
avoided from burning.. Investment made is Rs.20,000 Crores.
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Sector No of MW in Expected
MOUs Crores Employment
Total 66 7761 61289 40082
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Some of the key barriers that put renewable energy sources at an economic,
regulatory, and institutional disadvantage relative to conventional forms of energy
supply include subsidies for conventional forms of energy, high initial capital costs
coupled with lack of fuel-price risk assessment, imperfect capital markets, lack of skills
or information, poor market acceptance, technology prejudice, financing risks and
uncertainties and high transactions costs etc. Therefore in order to tap its vast RE
potential, the State hasdevised anew (and upscale/upgrade existing policies) policy
framework to address some of these impediments.
In fact progressive policy-making backed by appropriate technological research has the
greatest impact on promotion of renewable energy generation. Markets alone cannot
make renewable energy cost-competitive; the State Government will have to accelerate
the use of renewable resources through effective policy measures.
Since, energy conservation measures and renewable energy technologies go hand
in hand so far as Climate Change mitigation is concerned; the current practice of
treating both in isolation needs to be changed. What is required instead is, to
implement energy efficiency measures in processes, equipment, appliances, and
devices and then explore the possibility of utilizing renewable energy technologies
to meet the balance energy needs. This would also help in accelerating the
penetration of renewable energy technologies, considering the fact that the upfront
costs of renewable energy devices are on the higher side. This calls for a paradigm
shift from supply domination to an integrated approach – a judicious mix of
operational efficiency improvement, end use efficiency and renewable energy
technologies.
GoG may like to develop a comprehensive Renewable Energy Vision and
Perspective Plan 2020.
Role of GEDA being central to the proposed action plan, it needs to be
strengthened, including developing a long –term plan of capacity building.
The rural energy programme need to be well integrated with State’s other
development programmes/schemes such as NREGA, rural development, poverty-
alleviation, and social welfare so that rural energy becomes a focal point for
income-generation as well.
Rather than taking up R&D in piece-meal basis, it may be helpful for GEDA to
develop a R&D roadmap for the State, keeping in view State-specific needs and
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Use of solar energy for street lighting, powering advertising boards and traffic lights,
etc.Grid and off-grid connected Solar Power Project for Government buildings of
the state may be installed to meet 60% electricity requirements
Photovoltaic pumping systems provide an excellent alternative to fuel burning
generators or hand pumps. They provide water precisely when it is needed the
most, when the sun shines the brightest. Solar pumps are simple to install and
maintain. Advantages of using PV-powered pumps include low maintenance, ease
of installation, reliability, and scalability.
Besides promoting use of Decentralized Distributed Generation (DDG) systems in
the urban centres, mass scale deployment of RE generation technologies in the
rural areas needs to be aggressively promoted. Cooking, irrigation pumping and
lighting are the dominant energy-using activities, accounting for more than 90% of
rural energy use. Any energy interventions for these end uses would have a major
impact on the quality of life of and GHG emissions from the sector. Installation of
improved cook stoves, biogas for cooking, and biomass gasifiers for decentralized
power generation, of solar for lighting, cooking and running irrigation pumps etc.
need to be encouraged.
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12.7.2.1 Transport
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Use of alternative fuel sources (replacing or reducing the use of fossil fuels) like
hydrogen or electricity from renewable power; biomass fuels like CNG and LPG
etc.; and fuel cell technology.
Reduction in travel demand can be brought about through land use changes,
telecommunications etc.
12.7.2.2 Buildings
Energy efficiency in the buildings sector offers more potential for cost-effective
greenhouse gas emissions reductions than any other major abatement category.
Building energy performance is directly related to the design of the building envelope
(insulation, roofing, windows etc.) and the diverse systems and components within it,
such as lighting, appliances and heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC)
systems. Most of the energy-efficient building technologies are widely available today
and can reduce carbon emissions at a low or negative net cost in the long-run.
Furthermore, in addition to Climate Change benefits, improved energy-efficiency in the
sector can advance several development goals (co-benefits often not identified,
quantified or monetized) as well as strategic economic targets e.g. reducing mortality
and morbidity, poverty alleviation, improving social welfare, employment, and energy
security. Also, investments in energy efficient buildings and appliances can help to
delay investments in costly new electricity generation technologies.
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In terms of building equipment use of energy efficient space and heating (heat pumps,
CHP); efficient lighting, air conditioners, refrigerators and motors; efficient cook stoves,
household appliances, and electrical equipment and efficient building energy
management and maintenance can lead to significant energy savings and in turn GHG
emissions reductions.
In fact improved efficiencies in lighting offer the largest low-cost option to reduce
carbon emissions and save energy. Switching from incandescent to compact
fluorescent light bulbs (CFL) and light-emitting diodes (LED, solid State) improves
efficiency by 70-80%. In fact light energy savings also yields air cooling savings
(additional savings). Use of CFLs is already quite popular in the residential and
commercial buildings in the State with the Government promoting its use through
various awareness generation initiatives and policy instruments. LEDs have found
limited application in areas like traffic lights but need to popularized (over and above
CFLs) in the residential and commercial buildings citing advantages like more
controlled (in direction) lighting, can be combined and scaled into customized colors
and shapes, have longer lasting fixtures, and unlike CFLs, contain no mercury. Barriers
like high costs need to be addressed through policy/financial instruments and use of
market-based mechanisms to offset costs.
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12.7.2.3Industry
The industrial sector in the State is very diverse and involves a wide range of activities
including the extraction of natural resources, conversion into raw materials and
manufacture of finished products with manufacturing industry being the core economic
activity. The State boasts of some of the most energy intensive manufacturing sectors
like chemicals, petroleum refining, and oil and gas sector. Some of the other potential
sectors with respect to implementing energy efficiency opportunities include power,
textiles, dairy, food processing, and mining.
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for MSMEs that are aimed at technology upgradation and improvement of energy
efficiency. Such interventions in different MSME sub-sectors would require
undertaking detailed diagnostic studies, focusing on technology and needs
assessment, designing, developing, and demonstrating energy efficient
technologies to suit local conditions, public-private partnerships, providing advisory
support to small units for disseminating these technologies.
Substitution of fossil fuel based energy sources with low- and no-carbon power
sources (e.g., natural gas, biomass, wind, solar) or exploring co-firing options (use
of coal with biomass or wastes etc.) and adoption of materials efficiency techniques
to reduce materials waste or increase materials utilization/recycling can also result
in significant energy savings and thereby GHG abatement.
A large number of MSME units use outdated technologies which are inefficient.
Cluster intervention in MSME’s would be required to bring about energy efficiency
improvements in the MSME sector. Further, appropriate region specific renewable
energy must be promoted to reduce the consumption of commercial energy in
industrial units.
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12.7.2.4 Power
excess heat for use by municipalities for district heating, commercial buildings or
industrial processes. With the State witnessing rapid industrialization and
urbanization capturing this otherwise waste heat can lead to significant fuel and
energy savings. Current CHP designs can boost overall conversion efficiencies to
over 80%, leading to cost savings and hence to significant carbon-emissions
reductions per kWh generated.
With its rich gas base, the State can aggressively promote Combined Cycle Gas
Turbine (CCGT) because it is not only relatively superior to other fossil-fuel
technologies in terms of investment costs, fuel efficiency, operating flexibility, and
rapid deployment but also produces less CO2 per unit of energy output than coal or
oil technologies (because of higher hydrogen-carbon ratio of methane and the
relatively high thermal efficiency of the technology).
In order to sustain the growth of its economy, above and beyond implementing an
accelerated capacity addition, the State needs to operationalize a more efficient
transmission and distribution (T&D) system. Technologies like Smart Grid Design
(via automation using smart meters and other telecom network infrastructure); High
Voltage Direct Current (HVDC); Flexible Alternating Current Transmission Systems
(FACTS) (to increase power transfer capability and replace uneconomical
generators); underground distribution lines (to reduce 80 per cent of distribution
power losses); high temperature superconducting lines, cables, and transformers;
energy storage devices, etc. need to be implemented to cut down on the T&D
losses in the State. In addition, the State authorities need to upscale
implementation of measures which are already underway, like installation of lines
with higher transmission voltages and high voltage sub-stations and capacitor
banks, etc. to curb the T&D losses.
12.7.2.4.3 Policysupport
The State needs to develop an Integrated Resource Planning (IRP) process for
electric utilities to enable them to evaluate different options for meeting future
electricity demands and select the optimal mix of resources that minimizes the cost
of electricity supply while meeting reliability needs and other objectives.
In the traditional utility planning, planners take into consideration the demand to be
met, the reliability to be achieved, and applicable Government policies and
regulations. The planner then selects the types of fuels, power plants, distribution
systems and patterns, and power purchases that will meet these objectives with
minimum revenue requirement (the revenue the utility must collect to finance and
operate the power system). Options are selected only from the supply side (options
to supply more power) as opposed to the demand side (options to reduce electricity
demand) of the electricity system. Thus IRP will facilitate evaluation of all potential
options, from both the supply and demand sides, in a fair and consistent manner;
minimize costs to all stakeholders (and not just costs to the utility); and create a
flexible plan that allows for uncertainty and permits adjustment in response to
changed circumstances. Furthermore, the inclusion of demand-side options to
achieve energy savings presents more possibilities for saving fuel and reducing
negative environmental impacts than might be possible if only supply-side options
were considered.
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With mass deployment of Smart Grid technologies, the State can introduce the
innovative concept of dynamic pricing. With dynamic pricing, customers can
reduce their electricity bills by shifting consumption from higher-priced hours to
lower-priced hours. Shaping consumer behavior through dynamic pricing may
reduce the investment that utilities would need to make to increase production and
distribution capacity to meet the peak demand. In the Indian context, the concept of
dynamic pricing or Time of Day pricing (TOD tariff) has been implemented for large
consumers in most of the states. The State can evaluate this approach and explore
how this can be implemented for a larger set of stakeholders/consumers. In
addition, the State also needs to ensure that the TOD tariff policy in the region has
larger focus on DSM measures, which is not the situation currently.
The State is already pursuing several initiatives to accomplish potential energy
savings by adopting energy efficiency measures at the end-use stage (Demand
Side Measures). These and other such initiatives need to be more robust and
extensive to accomplish the maximum possible energy savings at the consumption
stage atleast in all the urban centres. An enabling framework should be created to
allow DSM technologies reach their full market potential for utmost results. Further,
currently, DSM and GHG emission mitigation measures are implemented quite
independently. DSM measures are implemented primarily to assist and improve the
operation of electricity systems and any impacts (positive or negative) of DSM
measures on Climate Change are only a minor consideration. Efforts to mitigate
GHG emissions from electricity production have focused on improving the efficiency
at the electricity generation and transmission and distribution stage. There is an
immediate need to reconcile these two different approaches so as to identify
circumstances in which DSM can contribute to mitigating GHG emissions and
emission mitigation measures can achieve benefits for electricity systems. To
achieve this some of the measures that the State can undertake include:
• SERCs should direct all the distribution utilities under their jurisdictions to
constitute DSM Cells within their organizations. SERCs should also identify
some of their staff for handling the DSM aspects.
• SERCs may direct all distribution utilities to submit DSM Plans along with
petitions for Annual Revenue Requirement (ARR) for the next tariff period.
• Cost of approved DSM programmes should be assessed and evaluated very
objectively and pre-identified sources of fund such as penal interest on late
payment of bills and/or load management charges could be earmarked for
financing DSM programmes.
• SERCs could also consider appropriate tariff interventions to support DSM.
These could be Time of Day (TOD) tariffs, power factor incentives and
penalty/reactive power charges, load management charges, rebate incentives
for energy efficient buildings/appliances and differential pricing for agriculture
consumers.
• SERCs could also consider giving a slightly higher return on equity for the
investments made towards DSM measures.
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12.7.2.5 Agriculture
It is worth noting that the bulk of energy consumed in the agriculture sector is
attributable to pumping for irrigation and to some extent power for farm machinery such
as threshers, tractors, etc. As discussed in the earlier sections, with the region
observing erratic and uneven rainfall, and the State Government implementing
numerous initiatives to bring more and more land under irrigation, use of agricultural
pump sets is fast increasing in the State. And to make the situations worse, the sector
has the largest population of inefficient pumps and systems in the country.
The initial high cost of energy efficient motors/pumps, poor pricing regimes, and lack of
knowledge about the long-term gains are the major factors responsible for sub-
optimum efficiencies.
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A further study needs to be carried out to assess the impact of electricity pricing for
the sector and the implementation of energy efficiency measures.
The pump and motor combination needs to be matched to flow and pressure
requirements. Over-sizing makes for inefficiencies that waste energy and cost
money. Installing variable speed drives (VSD) on existing motors allows for
modulating motor speed to achieve the desired flow. When irrigation requirements
change, flow can be adjusted quickly and accurately.
increase in flow. The average life expectancy of a nozzle and a regulator under
optimum conditions is around 8 to 10 years. However, during low-water conditions,
irrigation pumps must pull water from lower depths. This pushes more sand and silt
through nozzles and regulators, increasing wear. When such sediment is present,
life expectancy decreases to 3 to 5 years for nozzles and 5 years for regulators.
12.7.2.5.3 Policysupport
The issue of higher prices (~20-30% more) of energy efficient pumps needs to be
addressed through financial incentives like reductions in sales tax, abolishment of
octroi on energy efficient products, and reduction in customs and excise duty on
energy efficient equipments must be provided.
Further, since agricultural tariffs are usually the lowest and also highly subsidized
(not specific to Gujarat, at the country level) there is no incentive to the agricultural
consumer to improve efficiency of the pump set. Consequently, utilities are not able
to recover economic price on every unit of energy sold to these categories of
consumers and therefore need to aggressively target these consumers for DSM
measures. Some policy means need to be devised by the authorities to address the
situation without hurting the interests of the farmers.
Mandating some of the technology initiatives listed in the above section can go a long
way in promoting energy efficiency in the agriculture sector in the region, may be in a
phased manner and to start with on a pilot scale.
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The National Action Plan on Climate Change has not incorporated strategies for
vulnerable communities. In Gujarat, various initiatives are taken for tribes and coastal
communities who can be considered as communities vulnerable to Climate Change.
Also several policies and programmes are in place for upliftment of weaker sections of
society.
impact on them.
Tribal and indigenous communities, due to their dependence upon, and close
relationship, with the environment and its resources are amongst the ones to face the
direct consequences of Climate Change. They directly depend upon on natural
resources for food; wood for timber or fuel; fibre for clothing; and medicinal plants for
health care etc. Climate Change may impact the availability and distribution of these
resources. Changes in ecosystem dynamics can in turn affect the use, protection and
management of wildlife, fisheries, and forests, and the customary uses of culturally and
economically important species and resources (IWGIA, 2008).
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households (47.9%) distress migration occurs as casual labourers. The forest based
livelihoods are of prime importance in the districts.
It is increasingly recognized that women are more strongly affected by the impacts of
Climate Change and variability (Enarson, 2000; Lambrou and Pian, 2005; WEDO,
2007). According to Hemmati and Rohr, (2007), women are particularly vulnerable as a
consequence of their social roles, inequalities in the access to and control of resources,
and their low participation in decision-making.
13.1.3 Coastalcommunities
Since Gujarat has a long coast, it is vulnerable to sea level rise and other impacts of
Climate Change. The primary effects include increased coastal flooding, loss of land
due to inundation and erosion of sandy beaches. These could lead to loss of
ecosystems such as wetlands, mangroves and corals, degradation of coastal
vegetation and habitats, intrusion of salt water into groundwater systems, and loss of
cultivable land with huge implications on human systems and settlements relating to
health, displacement of population, loss of life and economic losses.
In Gujarat, the coastal area, upto 20 km from the shoreline, is 30,022.25 sq.km.
consisting of parts of 11 districts and 51 talukas with 59 towns and 2802 villages. Living
resources are coral reefs around 34 islands in the Gulf of Kachchh, rich fisheries in the
375 km wide continental shelf, and mangrove vegetation on swampy lands around the
coast. Gujarat produces 71 per cent of national production of common salt (GoG,
2009).
Salinity ingress is also a major threat in the coastal areas, agriculture and animal
husbandry production is being negatively impacted due to this.
13.1.4Urban poor
As per the Planning Commission, the population living below poverty line in Gujarat in
2011-12 was approx. 26.88 lakhs i.e. (10.14%) of the urban population, which is lower
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than the national average of 13.7% (GoI, 2013). There is a rise in migrants and already
existing population of poor in urban areas, as a result of which the pressure on existing
infrastructure and services rise. This exasperates the situation of haphazard growth and
adds to their vulnerability to climate change due to improper housing, lack of access to
adequate basic services including sanitation, health, education and employment.
The Urban Development and Urban HousingDepartment, (GoG) has devised a multi-
pronged approach for mainstreaming urban poor with the overall vision to develop a
slum free urban Gujarat and affordable housing for all.
Figure 44: Multi-pronged approach for mainstreaming urban poor
Source: The Urban Development and Urban Housing Department, (GoG), 2014
Historically, Gujarat has been an industrialized state and since last few decades the
focus on manufacturing sector has been further strengthened in the State. As a result,
there has been in-migration from otherneighboring states such as Rajasthan, Madhya
Pradesh, Maharashtra as well as from distant states like Bihar, Orissa, Chhatisgarh and
Jharkhand as well. On top of that, there is also intra-state migration to centres/areas
with higher rate of growth (Hirway and Shah, 2011). This creates a pressure on already
existing infrastructure. Since the industrial hubs are major activities of production, it
creates an indirect pressure on resources of such areas.
The slum workers vulnerable to financial and social protection, could be supported
through developmental aspects along with increasing their adaptability to changing
climate.
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There are several reasons why landless farmers, laborers, pastoralists arefurther
marginalised due to their poverty, lack of access to land or major economic assets, lack
of social security net, exclusion from social welfare and benefits due to their nomadic
lifestyle, dependency on fragile ecosystem amongst others. Even geography plays an
important role in adding another dimension to their vulnerability. For e. g. the Maldhari
community of Kachchh are mainly dependent on milk and cattle based livelihoods and
are typically nomadic tribes. Added to this situation, since a large number of industries
have come up in Kachchh, there has been transformation of common lands into
industrial zones. Thereby the dependency on natural resource base economies of such
traditional communities has been affected and they are required to alter their profession.
In the long run, the livelihoods of such marginal and disadvantaged communities need
to be strengthened and stabilized. Access to resources, creation of assets for
sustainable livelihoods, focus on women and children’s health and nutrition, investing in
human capital, addressing their vulnerabilities will help improve their financial and social
status. Through poverty alleviation, these communities can be brought at par with other
rural population (UN World Food Program, 2002)
Gujarat has over 1,600 km coastline with 6 million coastal populations in 38 sub-
divisions, which will be more vulnerable to potential sea level rise, flooding, cyclones
and damages to infrastructure. Sensing this important fact, Gujarat has devised a new
integrated development programme for coastal communities known as ‘Sagar Khedu
Sarvangi Vikas Yojana’ (Multi-Dimensional Development Packages for coastal
Communities). Catering to the needs of the coastal communities for climate resilience
and sustainable livelihood promotion the State has promoted a multi-dimensional
development package for coastal communities at a cost of INR 110 billion.The
programme goes beyond livelihood issues taking into consideration a holistic eco-
system approach to coastal areas development. It proposes specific and time bound
action plan for improving:
W
age and Self Employment
C
apacityBuilding and Skill up-gradation
E
ducational Facilities
H
ealth infrastructure
D
rinking Water
H
ousing
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S
alinity Ingress and Water conservation
E
lectrification
D
evelopment of salt pan workers
N
ational Security
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Table 25: Schemes having potential of employment generation during year 2011-2012
No. Sector of Development Wage Employment Self-Employment
atMan-days
(Proposed) No. of
beneficiaries(Propose
(in lakhs)
d)(in lakhs)
1 Fisheries Department 162.84 --
2 Office of the Principal Chief 298.12 2,98,00,000
Conservator of Forest
3 (i) Agriculture Soil Conversation -- --
(ii) Animal Husbandry and Dairy 2.12 18,000
Development
(iii) Crop Husbandry (Horticulture) -- 2,80,00,000
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The Twenty Point Programme (TPP) was launched by the Government of India in
1975. The Programme was first revised in 1982 and again in 1986. TPP-2006 has
Points for the benefit of the rural and urban people. Its thrust is towards
programmes for eradicating poverty and improving the quality of life of the poor and
the under-privileged people all over the country. The Programme covers various
socio economic aspects like poverty, employment, education, housing, health,
agriculture, land reforms, irrigation, drinking water, protection and empowerment of
weaker sections, consumer protection, environment and e-Governance etc.
Gujarat has been among the front ranking States in the country in implementation of
the Twenty Point Programme-1986. Government of India has been implementing the
revised Twenty Point Programme–2006 since 1-4-2007. The State has ranked first in
the country with 96 per cent achievement during the year 2008-09. The State has
achieved 94 per cent in the year 2009-10. The Ministry of Statistics and Programme
Implementation of the Government of India has recently published Progress Report
ending July-2010 of the year 2010-11, GujaratState has achieved 1st rank with 100
per cent achievement in the country.
Table 26:Achievement under the Twenty Point Programme (TPP) at the end of January-
2011 during the year 2010-2011
Pt Item Name-Sub Item Name Unit Annual Targ Achieve %age
No. Target et ment
Year Jan.- Jan.-11
2010-11 11 ending
endi
ng
Employment generation under the
National Rural Employment
Guarantee Act (MNREGA)
1 No. of job cards issued Number 0 0 372965 -
2 Employment generated Number 0 0 3102400 -
0
3 Wages given in cash and kind Lakh.Rs 0 0 29051.14 -
Swarna jayanti Gram Swarojgar
Yojana
*1 Total Swarojgaries Assisted Number 6514 4993 16404 329
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The Government of Gujarat has launched a bold and unprecedented initiative in 2007 -
the ‘Chief Minister’s Ten Point Programme for the Development of Tribal Areas’ also
commonly known as Vanbandhu Kalyan Yojana. The Ten-Point Programme focuses
on the integrated, holistic and inclusive development of tribal communities by touching
their lives in core areas It’s components are:
Q
uality and sustainable employment for 5 lakh tribal families
Q
uality of education and higher education
E
conomic development
H
ealth
S
afe drinking water
I
rrigation
U
niversal electrification
A
ll weather road connectivity
U
rban development
A
ccess to services
Skills imparted lasts for one whole generation so that they do not fall in poverty net
again in this generation.A series of technical institutions are being set up in the focus
areas to develop the required manpower and to support the major interventions like
dairy, Wadi and skill training.
The Ten Point Programme will develop a gender framework to ensure that women are
equal partners and accrue benefits from the initiatives. Emphasis will be given to
drudgery reduction, access to credit, housing and capacity building while developing
the framework.
A large number of initiatives have been undertaken under the Yojana, which comprises
of a corpus of Rs. 15,000 crores to be spent (from 2008-09 to 2013-14) for the tribal
development and upliftment. Progress has been made in skill development training
programmes, income diversification projects, extension of regional water supply
schemes and in-situ conservation of water through roof-top rainwater harvesting,
infrastructural improvements including deepening of ponds/lakes, building check dams
in those areas, improvinghousing stock, etc. The focus is on vulnerable population,
who will be supported to help them adapt to changing climate.
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S
tudies to provide basis for integrating gender concerns in Climate Change policies
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Over 25,000 ha of Mangrove Forest have been added in the coastal areas of Gujarat
which will be working as strong Carbon Sink absorbing 50 tons of Carbon per ha.
• T
aking a series of preventive pollution measures, through user industries
and companies and develop an Environmental Infrastructure Plan for 10
years in light of Vibrant Gujarat offers.
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• A
quantitative understanding of the impacts of cyclones on intertidal
wetlands, rates of recovery and interactions with other factors (eg sea
level rise).
Due to the presence of multiple ports a l3arge number of proposed projects have been
aimed at securing these coastal regions, as they are the lifeline for trade and
commerce.
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vulnerability to SLR
Total 118.07
* - Figures are based on primary and rough estimates
L
imit GHG emissions
M
inimize waste and pollution
R
estore and protect ecosystems
R
educe energy and raw material consumption
In the United States, green jobs are often defined solely as those in renewable
energy and energy efficiency. White et al, (2008) on the other hand, refer to
employment in sectors that ‘make up the clean energy economy’, including
energy efficiency, renewables, alternative transport and fuels as low carbon jobs.
According to UNEP, “work in agricultural, manufacturing, research and development
(R&D), administrative, and service activities that contribute substantially to preserving
or restoring environmental quality”. Low carbon jobs are classified into three
categories, jobs related to environment protection; jobs related to renewable energy
(RE); and jobs related to energy efficiency (EE) and clean technology by the UNEP and
SEF Alliance study.
Green jobs can be created in both in rural and urban settings, all sectors and types of
enterprises, and in countries at all levels of economic development. They play an
important role in reducing the environmental footprint of an economic activity.
According to UNEP report, green jobs will impact the economy in four ways-
I
n some cases, additional jobs will be created, for example in the manufacturing
sector
T
here will be substitution of employment in some cases, for example to the recycling
sector.
E
limination of some jobs without replacement.
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S
ome jobs will be transformed and redefined.
A
ccording to UNEP, Green jobs exist in both developed and developing countries in
six sectors which contribute to economy of a nation.
E
nergy Supply- More than 2.3 million jobs have been created in renewable energy
sector. The solar PV sector employs an estimated 170,000 people, wind power
about 300,000 people, and the solar thermal industry more than 600,000. Bio-
energy has high potential to create employment.
E
nergy Efficiency in building and construction- Buildings are responsible for 30-40
per cent of all energy use, waste generation and greenhouse gas emissions. The
sector which includes construction and renovation of buildings has a high potential
of GHGmitigation and job creation. New jobs will be defined in terms of skills,
training and certification requirements.
T
ransportation- Public transport systems offer lower emissions and green jobs than
in private vehicles. There are about 5 million jobs in the railways in India, China
and the European Union alone. Railways have a high potential of employment
generation in manufacture of locomotives and rolling stock. Green employment
opportunities exist in retrofitting diesel buses to reduce air pollutants and in
introducing vehicles running on Compressed Natural Gas (CNG).
A
griculture- Agriculture sector is vulnerable to Climate Change impacts and also a
major contributor to GHG emissions. Agriculture sector also contributes to land and
water pollution, drives deforestation and hence leads to biodiversity loss. Potential
for green jobs in this sector exists in creating organic farms and practicing organic
farming.
E
ncouraging small farms, using crop rotation, manuring and other sustainable
methods can prove to be a source of green jobs generation. Employing rural
dwellers for terracing or contouring land, conservation of water, building irrigation
structures, and other related activities will therefore provide employment.
F
orests- It is difficult to decide how much proportion of jobs is green in the forest
sector. Considering their role as potential carbon sinks, providers of raw material
and other ecosystem functioning, sustainable forest management can offer large
number of jobs.
R
ecycling and basic industries- Basic industries include iron and steel, aluminium,
cement, pulp and paper. These industries consume a large amount of raw materials
and energy and hence account for large amount of GHG emissions. It is difficult to
create direct green jobs in these sectors, but inclusion of recycling can prove as a
possible solution. For example, steel production, based on recycled scrap can be
seen as a proxy for green production since it requires 40–75 per cent less energy
than primary production.
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The Green Jobs initiative, a joint initiative by the ILO, the United Nations Environment
Programme, the International Organization of Employers and the International Trade
Union Confederation is being started in India. The initiative supports effort by
governments, employers, and trade unions to promote environmentally sustainable
decent jobs in a climate-challenged world. In India, inclusion of poverty reduction
strategies in growth following sustainable development path is of importance. The
green jobs initiative tries to address these issues. Demonstration initiative has been
started in the dairy sector of Madhya Pradesh.
The State of Gujarat also can generate green employment largely in the agriculture
sector and other industries. Such an initiative will have the benefits of GHG mitigation
and job creation.
Besides these activities other activities like promoting organic farming,up scaling
training for solar energy technicians, Promoting ecotourism in the state and Promoting
of construction of green building through regulation can also serve as areas to increase
green jobs.
16.0 Enablers
Along with the sectoral and cross-sectoral themes mentioned in the previous sections,
there are certain strategies which will provide enabling environment in planning,
execution, and evaluation of such activities. These have been mentioned in the section
below.
Environmental education in Gujarat has become increasingly important due to its policy
of sustainable development and the State Government’s awareness strategy includes
incorporating education that includes climate concerns, specifically, at the tertiary level.
Generating awareness on climate vulnerabilities and impacts requires people from
different disciplines, age groups and areas to work together, and disseminate factual
information that is made available to them. It requires methods to bridge the knowledge
gap and address the lack of understanding on various climate issues. This will require
capacities to be built; research to be coordinated; dissemination of best practices; and
innovative actions on the ground. The aim is to effectively incorporate communication
and education through a participatory process that will ensure two-way communication
with contribution and awareness from people in the State, who will be able to accept
ownership and guide corrective processes themselves.
Both education and awareness require sustained support by research on the climate
system and the identification of options for mitigation and adaptation, in addition to
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research on energy, transport, industry, agriculture, water and forestry, as these sectors
influence and are influenced by economic growth.
The Government of Gujarat will add to or strengthen programmes for outreach activities,
capacity building and expansion of the knowledge network, in a structured manner
under the aegis of the SAPCC, in both urban and rural areas. These programmes will
cover a broad range of climate issues that will address inadequate planning, poor
quality and limited outreach actions. The Government also aims to strengthen research
capacity by enhancing institutional capacities; and assess technical, institutional and
regulatory barriers.
The SAPCC will enable access to appropriate and meaningful information, raise
awareness and encourage discussion within the State, across all target audiences and
lifestyles, through a series of campaigns that include the media, awareness products,
and inventories of initiatives and best practices. Detailed implementation schedules,
including work-plans and indicator selection will be developed in participatory work-
planning sessions with all stakeholder and State institutions.
The primary purpose of including climate concerns into formal tertiary education is to
build capacities and increase resilience to cope with vulnerabilities and deal with
impacts. It is expected that this will lead to innovative and viable responses to the
climate challenge that the State will face, considering its rapid economic growth agenda.
In 2011, Gujarat University, in a decision that is first of its kind taken by any university in
India, has made: Environmental Science a compulsory subject at the undergraduate
level; and the book written by Gujarat’s Chief Minister “Convenient Action- Gujarat’s
Response to Challenges of Climate” a part of the syllabus. Climate Change has also
been integrated into the school curriculum. Gujarat has established the "Management
Education Centre for Climate Change" in Gujarat University for building capacity
through introduction of short term and long term courses on Climate Change. A “School
of Solar Energy” has also been established at Pandit Deendayal Petroleum University.
Gujarat University has already started a M.Sc. in Climate Change Impact Management
which aims at developing expertise in the essential multi-disciplinary fields that comprise
the core of this new science.
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In dealing with Climate Changes and challenges, the importance of research cannot be
overstated and the Government of Gujarat is on a strategic course to create and
strengthen interdisciplinary research institutions that address environmental and societal
concerns. CEPT University in Ahmedabad has a “Faculty of Sustainable Environment
and Climate Change” to strengthen multidisciplinary expertise among professionals. The
faculty offers academic programmes on Climate Change and sustainable human
settlements; conducts training and capacity building exercises; undertakes research and
publishing; and carries out networking and institutional cooperation. A specialized
Centre for Climate Change Studies is also being established under the Faculty.
GIRCC will offer a post graduate degree programme in Climate Change and doctoral
research programmes and will provide research support to various departments of the
State Government in the area of Climate Change. It will work as a think-tank for various
State Government departments to fulfill the objectives of the State Action Plan on
ClimateChange (SAPCC) in consonance with the National Action Plan on Climate
Change (NAPCC).
GIRCC will also provide education in the area of Climate Change, participatory
planning, information dissemination, capacity building of different stakeholders, advisory
services and monitoring and evaluation works.
The Department of Climate Change will build strategic partnerships with institutes of
excellence and think-tanks within the State, in India and overseas. The objective would
be for enhanced cooperation for technological and technical skill transfer; and access to
financial resources to implement adaptation and mitigation measures in the State.
Three ongoing projects in the State focusing on awareness generation and behavioral
change are discussed below.
Youth will be mobilized to examine lifestyle attributes, energy consumption and resource
consumption pattern in an average Gujarati household and calculate its carbon footprint.
This will also help in building awareness among civil society, especially women, on the
issue of global warming and Climate Change.
as Urja Rakshaks (energy guardians) and teachers (Urja Agevans) to create awareness
about responsible, restrained and rational use of energy among communities and
schools. The programme creates awareness on best practices in energy conservation
through participatory activities in homes, schools and the community. Till date a force of
50,000 children and 3,600 school teachers have been engaged in this programme.
In yr 2008-09, Energy Audits in 5,000 homes and 1,600 schools in Gujarat were also
conducted. In year 2009-10, a need was felt to further educate the school children on
how architecture, climatic conditions, building orientation, ventilation and vegetation can
help reduce electricity consumption in their homes. The objective was to spread
awareness through the participatory process about energy consumption of the
traditional vis-à-vis contemporary dwellings and commercial establishments.
The objectives of the dedicated Resource Centre on Climate Change are to:
Develop and provide access to information products and online databases; and
16.4 People’sparticipation
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A community that is well informed will be able to make responsible choices. The
challenge, therefore, will be to include women and youth in Climate Change
deliberations, and also empower them to take requisite actions at the local level.
A series of activities will be planned to maximize knowledge sharing at the local level,
initiating field based projects, and delivering key messages to raise awareness on State
specific issues, among target audiences. The Climate Change Department will play a
significant role for (i) forging partnerships with NGOs, knowledge organizations,
community associations working on Climate Change issues in India and elsewhere, and
(ii) Ensure that participation is at multiple levels and inclusive of all sections of
society.Thepurpose is to generate State-wide public awareness by building
consciousness and capacity among women and youth, communication agents, and
NGO and mobilizing them to function as ‘Climate Change Guardians’ of Gujarat.
Village level consultations with women should be held to tap indigenous knowledge
about Climate Change. The dependence of women on natural resource and their role in
procuring these resources for their household needs has to be identified; this would help
in assessing the role that women can play in Climate Change adaptation, in relation to
livelihood. This can be undertaken by local NGO’s or the Gender Resource Centres
(GRC).
Promotion of green jobs for rural women will be done by the Government. Activities can
include setting up technology centres which can train women in installing solar home
systems and improved cooking stoves. Trained engineers can disseminate information
through workshops, demonstrations and door to door visits. Women Self-help groups
and Sakhi Mandals can be trained to make these initiatives more successful.
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Apart from this, competitions like poster making and slogan writing on Climate Change
should be organized in schools.
In colleges, youth can organize events like a climate walkathon and street plays to
spread awareness about Climate Change. Various competitions like documentary film
making and a quiz can also be organized. Youth should be encouraged to take up
initiatives, like greening of their campus and measures to reduce their carbon footprint.
Youth can organize a Climate Change festival wherein there can be a photography
exhibition featuring GIS images of threats faced by Climate Change like glacier melt,
floods, droughts and desertification etc so that people get to know about the direct
impacts of Climate Change. The fest can also include a pledge on protecting the
environment.
local-level resilience and the strategies that local people and institutions use to cope
and adapt to climate variability, the communities can devise local level action plans and
work towards attaining it. These require coordinated and concerted efforts of the local
administration and State and district level sector authorities.Government should provide
funds for such activities if they are taken up. Success of such initiatives should be
celebrated giving communities and local administration due credit
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and motivate people. They can also be involved in activities like distribution of solar
lanterns and kick start the greening initiative taken up by the Government.
Innovation and grassroots action are two requisites for sustainable development.
Grassroots activities are potential sites for innovative activity and the Government of
Gujarat intends exploiting the opportunities available through grassroots innovations, as
its strategy to address climate challenges is through sustainable production and
consumption which separates economic growth from environmental degradation.
Pursuant to this policy a series of innovative grassroots initiatives are ongoing, and
more are planned, through panchayats, gram sabhas, schools, colleges, universities,
research institutes, NGOs, community organizations and Government departments.
3
TalukaSarkar is a sub district citizen-centric approach where governance and
development is activated at the grass root level
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(taluka) level to make it speedier, effective, transparent and citizen centric. Applications
for assistance under various schemes would now be collected and processed at the
taluka level itself. The Government has made a provision to allocate Rs.27 billion over
the next four years for this.
An outlay of Rs.18,500 lakhs is proposed for the year 2010-2011. The main objective of
this initiative is to stop the migration of rural people to urban areas. The project will be
implemented in three phases.
On similar lines, the concept of ‘Rurban lungs’ can be implemented which would include
greening of the rural areas. This is similar to green forts initiative but with focus on rural
areas. The villagers can take up the responsibility of maintaining the green cover.
Women and youth can be mobilized to undertake plantation activities with the help of
forest department. This would not only help maintaining flow of ecosystem services but
also meet subsistence needs of local communities.
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asked to green their area and the best Taluka can be rewarded for maintaining this
green cover.
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Section 4
The Way Forward
The State aims to create core competencies for addressing the challenge of
Climate Change. Some of the focus areas include generating strategic
knowledge for informed decision making, creating public awareness and
education and empowering communities for participatory and decentralized
action on Climate Change.
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17.1Institutionalarrangement
The Department of Climate Change will be the nodal agency for coordinating and
implementing the SAPCC. The State Level Steering Committee will provide
recommendations for the preparation and implementation of the SAPCC in accordance
with State priorities and in alignment with the NAPCC guidelines. The Steering
Committee will also recommend budgetary provision for the SAPCC and allocate
resources to various departments and implementing agencies based on transparent
criteria for adaptation and State-relevant actions.
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The Steering Committee will provide valuable suggestions from different departments to
be incorporated in the State Action Plan on Climate Change, which would finally be sent
to Government of India for their approval. The Committee will also oversee the
implementation of the State Action Plan in accordance with the suggestions and
directions of Government of India.
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17.2Implementation Plan
The Implementation of the State Action Plan on Climate Change will be overseen by the
State Steering Committee under the chairmanship of the Chief Secretary. The
Department of Climate Change, Government of Gujarat will be the nodal point for
coordination and implementation of the State Action Plan on Climate Change (SAPCC).
The Department of Climate Change will work in close association with the various
Government departments by providing strategic information and channelizing financial
resources for the implementation of the SAPCC. It will also work closely with community
organizations and knowledge partners to spread awareness among communities and
encourage grassroots action while deriving important lessons from the field. To fill in the
scientific research gaps various studies on Climate Change will be commissioned to the
proposed ‘Gujarat Institute of Research in Climate Change’ which will generate
specialized scientific knowledge Climate Change.
Figure 45: Coordination Mechanism for State Action Plan on Climate Change
Financial provisions have been made for the Department of Climate Change for
undertaking various activities. For the year 2014-15, a provision of Rs. 110 crorehas
been made under Climate Change Department. It includes a provision of Rs. 28 crore
as assistance for special project to develop Gandhinagar as a Solar City and Carbon
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Neutral City and a provision of Rs. 23 crore for promotion of technology for development
of energy efficient instruments, to motivate people to adopt such technology and thereby
creating awareness.
Several proposals have been submitted to the Government of India to seek support for
implementing climate actions in the State. In addition efforts are made to attract private
investments in the State and funding from bi-lateral and multi-lateral agencies.
The steering committee will oversee the implementation of the State Action Plan in
accordance with the suggestions and directions of Government of India
Another major focus of the action plan is monitoring the progress of activities that have
been previously listed in the programme of action and establishing key milestones in
their achievements. For the same a Monitoring and Evaluation framework has been
created wherein indicators for each activity have been generated. Along with their
indicators the key departments that can be responsible for overseeing O&M activity and
feedback have also been listed.
Gujarat Monitoring and Evaluation framework
Thematic Monitoring indicators Activity No. Key Department for
Area monitoring
Agriculture Milk productivity Activity 1 Agriculture and Co-
operation
Crop productivity Activity 2,3,4,5
Extent of micro-irrigation network Activity 2
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The SAPCC will draw on state-of-the-art knowledge of Climate Change, to combine new
innovations with traditional best practices to navigate through the uncertainties
associated with the phenomenon, while actively contributing to the development of
communities, and at the same time reducing their carbon footprint. It will stay abreast
with the developments in international negotiations on Climate Changeand India’s
position, in order to re-assess and fine-tune its own progressive policy framework to
ensure adequate, timely and effective action on Climate Change in the State. The
SAPCC will also regularly seek expert inputs and stakeholder feedback to make
necessary amendments in its approach as required.
Delivering the State Action Plan on Climate Change demands coordinated effort by all
key government departments to align their policies and activities to build climate
resilience by means of mandates, procedures and capacity to meet such
accountabilities. For this, specialized training programmes will be organized for key
department personnel to build core competencies on climate science and policy. This
will allow effective mainstreaming and informed decision making for engaging with
Climate Change concerns in Gujarat.
Implementing this ambitious plan requires resources, both technical and financial, for
achieving envisaged outcomes within the desired time-frame. The State has several
exemplaryinitiatives in place to address Climate Change, and the SAPCC would
leverage these to continue do much more in the future as well. For building technical
expertise, knowledge partnerships will be forged with various institutes of excellence
working on Climate Change issues in India and overseas. To support the more
ambitious plans, additional financial support would be sought from the Government of
India. In all, a total of 24,775 crore worth of projects have been proposed by various
Departments to be undertaken with the help of Central Government funds which will
leverage the action on climate change front.In addition multilateral and bilateral
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channels and market based mechanisms will be explored for supporting action for
Climate Change adaptation and mitigation.
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Alliance and the Apollo Alliance
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Abbreviations
Ag-DSM Agricultural Demand Side Management
AMTS Ahmedabad Municipal Transport Service
AOGCM Atmospheric Ocean Global Circulation Models
APS Agricultural Pumping System
AR4 Fourth Assessment Report
ARR Annual Revenue Requirement
ASI Annual Survey of Industry
ATVT ApnoTaluko Vibrant Taluko
AWS Automatic Weather Stations
BEE Bureau of Energy Efficiency
BG broad gauge
BRTS Bus Rapid Transport System
BURD Bal Urja Rakshak Dal
CBO Community-based organization
CBR Crude Birth Rate
CCGT Combined Cycle Gas Turbine
CDM Clean Development Mechanism
CDR Crude Death Rate
CFL Compact Fluorescent Light
CHP Combined Heat and Power
CGWB Central Ground Water Board
CNG Compressed Natural Gas
CSO Central Statistical Organization
CSPC Coastal Salinity Prevention Cell
CTL Coal-to-liquids
DDG Decentralized Distributed Generation
DSM Demand Side Management
DIC District Industries Centre
DMA District Metered Areas
EE Energy Efficiency
EEBC Energy Efficiency Building Code
EPA Environmental Protection Agency
ERM Extension, Renovation and Modernization
ESCO Energy Service Company
FACTS Flexible Alternating Current Transmission Systems
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List of Tables
Table 1: Key features of the State .................................................................................... 8
Table 2: GSDP by broad sectors - sectoral contribution (percentage) ........................... 10
Table 3: Decadal frequency of cold wave conditions for selected stations ................... 25
Table 4: Decadal frequency of heat wave conditions for selected stations .................... 25
Table 5: Decadal frequency of heavy rainfall events in selected stations ...................... 25
Table 6: Frequencies of occurrence of cold waves and hot waves for different periods 25
Table 7:Possible impacts of Climate Change on Various Sectorsin Asia ...................... 31
Table 8: Salinity ingress impacts on agriculture and animal husbandry......................... 33
Table 9: Health indicators for the State of Gujarat ......................................................... 39
Table 10: Probable health impacts of salinity ingress, district wise................................ 41
Table 11: Forest cover in Gujarat (2007) ....................................................................... 42
Table 12: Estimated losses in coastal wetland (km2) in different possible scenarios of
sea level rise .................................................................................................................. 44
Table 13: Losses in coastal wetland if the present trend continues for next 100 years . 45
Table 14: Installed power capacity in western region (MW) ........................................... 51
Table15: Private capacity in Gujarat (MW)..................................................................... 51
Table 16: Renewable energy potential in Gujarat .......................................................... 52
Table 17: Key industries in Gujarat ................................................................................ 58
Table 18: Progress of Industrial Entrepreneurs Memorandum (IEM) - Gujarat and other
key states (August 1991 to November 2009) ................................................................. 59
Table 19: Road network ................................................................................................. 61
Table 20: Net area irrigated by source (Area in '00 ha) ................................................. 67
Table 21: Consumption of chemical fertilizers in Gujarat ............................................... 68
Table 22: Broad resilience strategies as propagated through the Surat Resilience Plan71
Table 23: Number of villages and activities in Gujarat ................................................... 84
Table 24: District wise-mangrove cover (sq km) in Gujarat (FSI, 2005)....................... 110
Table 25: Summary of MOUs signed during Vibrant Gujarat 2011 .............................. 147
Table 26: Schemes having potential of employment generation during year 2011-2012
..................................................................................................................................... 173
Table 27:Achievement under the Twenty Point Programme (TPP) at the end of January-
2011 during the year 2010-2011 .................................................................................. 174
List of Figures
Figure 1: Steps to the preparation of Gujarat SAPCC...................................................... 6
Figure 2: Districts of Gujarat............................................................................................ 7
Figure 3: Components of Gross State Domestic Product ................................................ 9
Figure 4:Percentage growth of urban population to total population in 2011 over 2001 11
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Gujarat SAPCC: Draft Report
List of Boxes
Box 1: Vision of the Gujarat State Action Plan on Climate Change ................................. 5
Box 2: Vibrant Gujarat Summit, 2011 ............................................................................. 11
Box 3: Data and model projections used........................................................................ 23
Box 4: Cyclone risk analysis........................................................................................... 29
Box 5: Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) ................................................ 29
Box 6: Bal Urja Rakshak Dal .......................................................................................... 54
Box 7: Sardar Sarovar Project........................................................................................ 55
Box 8: Reducing Vehicle usage in Ahmedabad ............................................................. 62
Box 9: Gandhinagar – The Solar City............................................................................. 73
Box 10: National Mission on Sustainable Agriculture ..................................................... 81
Box 11: Approach to SAPCC Priorities for 2014-2019 ................................................... 85
Box 12: National Water Mission ..................................................................................... 93
Box 13: National Mission for a Green India .................................................................. 108
Box 14: Approach to SAPCC Priorities for 2014-2019 ................................................. 112
Box 15: Approach to SAPCC Priorities for 2014-2019 ................................................. 120
Box 16: National Mission on Sustainable Habitat......................................................... 125
Box 17: Respirable Suspended Particulate Matter....................................................... 126
Box 18: Approach to SAPCC Priorities for 2014-2019 ................................................. 128
Box 19: National Solar Mission National Mission for Enhanced Energy Efficiency ...... 144
Box 20: Approach to SAPCC Priorities for 2014-2019 ................................................. 149
Box 21: Gujarat’s initiatives for vulnerable communities .............................................. 168
Box 22: Approach to SAPCC Priorities for 2014-2019 ................................................. 176
Box 23: Addressing Sea Level Rise ............................................................................. 178
Box 24: Approach to SAPCC Priorities for 2014-2019 ................................................. 178
Box 25: Approach to SAPCC Priorities for 2014-2019 ................................................. 184
Box 26: Functions of the Department of Climate Change ............................................ 200
Box 27: Members of the Steering Committee on Climate Change............................... 201
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