Enforcement of Trade Agreements
Enforcement of Trade Agreements
Enforcement of Trade Agreements
To lead off our discussion, I would make three observations and six
recommendations:
In the world economic downturn created by the financial crisis over these
last few years, there was no surge in protection. The WTO is the dog that did not
bark. Its commitments on the whole held.
The United States stimulus package was modified to avoid violating the
WTO Government Procurement Agreement.
The Cash for Clunkers program was not limited to the purchase of
American-made cars.
In this period of severe economic stress, there was not a surge in safeguard
cases, nor of antidumping and countervailing duty cases, and no protectionist
legislation. There are a number of reasons for this, but chief among them is the
existence of enforceable international trade rules rules.
The EU amended its import practices with respect to bananas, and states
that it will change duties on information technology goods as a result of the US
winning its WTO challenge.
The US removed its export-related direct tax incentives [DISC, FISC, FIEs].
1
The record is not perfect. Sometimes the compliance can be ragged – EU on
beef hormones, US on cotton subsidies. But these are the exceptions.
One reason is that there are a lot of practices complained of but not
challenged.
Governments and companies often for policy reasons do not challenge what
may well be found to be violations of the rules –
2
Paul Volcker gave me my first trade assignment at Treasury:
"Fix the border tax adjustment problem." The VAT is adjusted at
the border, and income taxes are not. The U.S. cannot invoke
dispute settlement against foreign countries which can rebate on
export a large portion of domestic taxes and charge these same
taxes on imports and the U.S. cannot do so.
More fundamentally, the WTO (and the GATT before it) assumed
that market forces would determine competitive outcomes. This is
not the case with countries that are characterized by a large
measure of state-developmental capitalism.
3
e. The dispute settlement system may fail to get the right answer
WTO litigation can take a very long time, and justice delayed can be
justice denied.
Even with what USTR declares to be a "win", the results may not
show up in commercial gain. [A "win" on IP did not much curb
counterfeiting in China.] Governments and petitioners tend to spin
their announcements pertaining to WTO outcomes.
RECOMMENDATIONS
What are the cures for the deficiencies in the effectiveness of the WTO and
its dispute settlement?
4
This will take negotiation of something more ambitious than Doha
will provide.
e.g. an agricultural safeguard understanding
agreed food and product safety standards
enhanced rules on trade and investment distorting domestic
subsidies
emerging country duties bound at applied rates.