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Supply Chain Capstone Forecast

This document contains monthly production, shipping, starting inventory, ending inventory, and forecast data for an 18 month period. It also includes error calculations comparing ending inventory to forecast for each month. Overall trends show production fluctuating between around 20,000-50,000 units per month while shipments and inventory levels vary more widely. The mean absolute percentage error for forecasts over the period was 1.78%.

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Rahul Nandakumar
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232 views3 pages

Supply Chain Capstone Forecast

This document contains monthly production, shipping, starting inventory, ending inventory, and forecast data for an 18 month period. It also includes error calculations comparing ending inventory to forecast for each month. Overall trends show production fluctuating between around 20,000-50,000 units per month while shipments and inventory levels vary more widely. The mean absolute percentage error for forecasts over the period was 1.78%.

Uploaded by

Rahul Nandakumar
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Started Shipping Production Ending Forecast Error

January 26,203 31,258 125,871 26,203


February 125,871 33,738 28,281 120,415 26,203 7,535
March 120,415 18,977 31,258 132,696 28,464 (9,487)
April 132,696 40,057 32,747 125,386 25,618 14,439
May 125,386 33,429 32,240 124,197 29,949 3,480
June 124,197 18,070 29,770 135,897 30,993 (12,923)
July 135,897 47,283 32,747 121,361 27,116 20,167
August 121,361 1,852 22,327 141,836 33,166 (31,314)
September 141,836 42,170 29,770 129,436 23,772 18,398
October 129,436 30,419 32,747 131,764 29,291 1,128
November 131,764 32,223 28,281 127,822 29,630 2,593
December 127,822 22,894 20,839 125,767 30,408 (7,514)
January 125,767 27,135 32,763 131,395 28,154 (1,019)
February 131,395 34,962 29,642 126,075 27,848 7,114
March 126,075 19,637 32,763 139,201 29,982 (10,345)
April 139,201 41,514 34,323 132,010 26,879 14,635
May 132,010 34,581 32,763 130,192 31,269 3,312
June 130,192 18,685 32,763 144,269 32,263 (13,578)
July 144,269 48,953 34,323 129,639 28,189 20,764
August 129,639 1,838 21,842 149,643 34,419 (32,581)
September 149,643 43,675 32,763 138,731 24,644 19,031
October 138,731 31,457 34,323 141,597 30,354 1,103
November 141,597 33,346 28,082 136,333 30,685 2,661
December 136,333 23,677 23,402 136,058 31,483 (7,806)
Abs% Error Squared Error 60,000

0.2233386686 56,776,225 Mean Error 426 50,000


0.4998946093 89,993,682 Mean Abs% Err 1.7866618224
40,000
0.3604725766 208,497,716 Mean SE 218,599,297
0.1040897125 12,107,721
30,000
0.7151781682 167,010,895
0.4265108252 406,696,247
20,000
16.90837044 1,191,561,361
0.4362814456 338,485,983 alpha 0.3
10,000
0.037068674 1,271,464
0.0804802283 6,725,280 -
0.3281942834 56,455,386 ry ry ch ril ay ne ly
nua rua ar Ap M Ju Ju ug
0.0375373483 1,037,497 J a F eb M A
Se
0.2034779714 50,608,951
0.5268219287 107,023,209
0.3525403105 214,193,717
0.0957679337 10,967,694
0.7266670784 184,355,957
0.4241529211 431,125,339
17.72606607 1,061,489,595
0.4357331058 362,165,388
0.035078055 1,217,603
0.0798121293 7,083,131
0.3296874315 60,933,781
000

000

000

000

000

000

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ry ry ch ril ay ne ly st er er er er ry ry ch ril ay ne ly st er er er er
nua rua ar Ap M Ju Ju ugu mb tob mb mb nua rua ar Ap M Ju Ju ug u mb tob mb mb
a eb M A pte Oc ve ce Ja eb M A pte Oc ve ce
F No De F No De
Se Se

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