4.risk and Return Lesson
4.risk and Return Lesson
4.risk and Return Lesson
What Is Risk?
Risk is defined in financial terms as the chance that an outcome or investment's actual gains will
differ from an expected outcome or return. Risk includes the possibility of losing some or all of an
original investment.
Quantifiably, risk is usually assessed by considering historical behaviours and outcomes. In finance,
standard deviation is a common metric associated with risk. Standard deviation provides a measure
of the volatility of asset prices in comparison to their historical averages in a given time frame.
Riskless Securities
While it is true that no investment is fully free of all possible risks, certain securities have so little
practical risk that they are considered risk-free or riskless.
Riskless securities often form a baseline for analysing and measuring risk. These types of
investments offer an expected rate of return with very little or no risk. Oftentimes, all types of
investors will look to these securities for preserving emergency savings or for holding assets that
need to be immediately accessible.
i. Elements of Risk:
Various components cause the variability in expected returns, which are known as elements of risk.
There are broadly two groups of elements classified as systematic risk and unsystematic risk.
Systematic Risk:
Business organizations are part of society that is dynamic. Various changes occur in a society like
economic, political and social systems that have influence on the performance of companies and
thereby on their expected returns. These changes affect all organizations to varying degrees. Hence
the impact of these changes is system-wide and the portion of total variability in returns caused by
such across the board factors is referred to as systematic risk. These risks are further subdivided into
Unsystematic Risk:
The returns of a company may vary due to certain factors that affect only that company.
Examples of such factors are raw material scarcity, labour strike, management inefficiency,
etc. When the variability in returns occurs due to such firm-specific factors it is known as
unsystematic risk. This risk is unique or peculiar to a specific organization and affects it in
addition to the systematic risk. These risks are subdivided into business risk and financial
risk.
Return
Return, is the amount of money you receive from an investment. A return is often calculated as a
percentage or ratio of the original investment, so that managers can measure and compare how well
their investments are performing. Amount of return depends on a lot of different things, but the
main driving force is risk. Typically, high-risk investments reap a higher rate of return than low risk
investments.
Portfolio return refers to the gain or loss realized by an investment portfolio containing several types
of investments. Portfolios aim to deliver returns based on the stated objectives of the investment
strategy, as well as the risk tolerance of the type of investors targeted by the portfolio
Variance, on the other hand, refers to how far a stock moves relative to its
mean. For example, variance is used in measuring the volatility of an
individual stock's price over time. Covariance is used to measure the
correlation in price moves of two different stocks.
Types of Beta Values
Beta Value Equal to 1.0
If a stock has a beta of 1.0, it indicates that its price activity is strongly correlated with the market. A
stock with a beta of 1.0 has systematic risk. However, the beta calculation can’t detect any
unsystematic risk.