CHINA'S EXPORT PRODUCTION PROFILE

Penelope B. Prime

Center for International Research

Bureau of the Census

Washington, D.C. 2 0 2 3 3

CIR Staff Paper

No. 7 1

March 1 9 9 4

 CIR STAFF PAPER

No. 7 1

CHINA'S EXPORT PRODUCTION PROFILE

Penelope B. Prime

Center for International Research

Bureau of the Census

Washington, D.C. 2 0 2 3 3

March 1 9 9 4
 SUMMARY

This study investigates export production in China based on three criteria: type
of enterprise ownership, product categories, and provincial location. The study
identifies and analyzes available disaggregated data on exports to better understand
the conditions driving China's remarkable export growth.

In terms of ownership, detailed export data are available for foreign invested
firms, and for town and township enterprises. Both of these types of enterprises have
increased their contributions to exports while the share produced by state-owned
enterprises has fallen. Preliminary estimates presented suggest the state share could
be 60 percent or lower.

The product profile utilizes data on state-owned machine building, light industry,
and town and township exports. A relationship between heavy industry and state
exports, and between light industry and collective exports, is suggested. With all of
these products, however, a variety of enterprises are involved in exporting.

Guangdong stands out inemanyof the variables that are used to investigate
location patterns of export production. Even with the spread of export promotion to
other parts of China, Guangdong continues to dominate many aspects of China's
exports. Beyond Guangdong, a handful of coastal areas are the key exporters. If
Shanghai and Liaoning are put together with Guangdong, these three areas alone
supplied 40 percent of China's exports in 1991. Adding Jiangsu and Shandong brings
the total to over 5 0 percent.

A set of data for individual provinces is presented to check for consistency w ~ t h

the cross-provincial data sets and to gain further insight into their export production
patterns by ownership and product categories. Less than half of the provinces report
this type of information. With the ones available, however, the relative importance
of collective and light industrial exports in certain geographical areas is corroborated.

Finally, the results of cross-provincial correlation analysis is presented. This

analysis providles a preliminary check on the impressions gained from the
disaggregated data sets. The analysis identifies key variables that are positlvelv
related to past exports as a way to discuss what might affect China's future export
potential. The data point to foreign investment and collectives as being pos~tlvelv
related to exports. More general variables that proxy decentralization and openness
are also found l o be significantly related to provincial shares of exports and other
export variables,

To check the extent that Guangdong, as an outlier, influences these results, the
correlations are performed a second time without Guangdong in the sample. The
results do not change substantially. One exception is that the openness variable
measured as the ratio of foreign investment to GDP, is no longer significantly related
to exports.

iii
 PREFACE

for International Research conducts economic and demographic

are issued as Staff Papers. A complete list of these papers
this report. The use of data generated by the U.S. Bureau
performing the same statistical reviews the Bureau does on
its own data.

1
I would I ke to acknowledge Christina Harbaugh's meticulous work in combing
sources in sea ch for disaggregated export data. Andrea Miles helped extensively
with the table and report reproduction, and Loraine West and Barry Kostinsky
provided valua le comments.

and questions regarding this study should be addressed to Marc

Center for lnternational Research, Bureau of the Census,
telephone (301) 763-4020.
 CONTENTS

SUMMARY .................................................................................................111...

PREFACE...................................................................................................v

THE ORIGIN OF CHINA'S EXPORTS: ISSUES AND SCOPE............... ................1

DISAGGREGATED CHINESE EXPORT DATA ....................................................3

Ownership Profiles ....................................................................................... 4

Foreign Companies and Joint Ventures ................................................4

Town and Township Enterprises................. .........................................6

State-owned Enterprises................................................................... 8

Summary ............................ ............................................................-9

Product Profiles .......................................................................................... -9

State-owned Machine Building ..............................................................

9
Light Industry.............................. n 0

Exports from Town and Township Enterprises by Product ........................10

Summary ................................ W5

Location Profiles ........................................................................................

17

Provincial Exports.............................................................................. 17

Special Economic Areas ................................................................. -21

Individual Provinces and Major Cities .................................................... 21

Summary .........................................................................................

29

FUTURE EXPORT POTENTIAL......................................................................

29

Correlations of Key Variables .......................................................................29

EIements of Future Export Growth ................................................................

37

. .................................................................

Summary ........................ 38

CONCLUSION...........................................................................................

-39

APPENDIX ............
.................................................................................41

BIBLIOGRAPHY........................................................................................ 65

vii
 CONTENTS (continued)

TABLES

Table

1. Gross Value of Industrial Output by Ownership and Province, 1991 ............... 2

2. lnternational Exports From Foreign Invested Enterprises,

First Six Months, 1993 .........................................................................5

3. lnternational Exports From Town and Township Enterprises

by Province, 1990.. ............................................................................- 7

4. Value of Light Industry Products Delivered For Export By

Province and Major City, 1990.. ............................................................1 1

5. China's Light Industrial Exports by Product, 1990 .......................................12

6. Value of Exports From Town and Township Enterprises By

Product Type, By Province and Major City, 1990.. ..................................

. 13

7. Indicators of Town and Township Exports Over Time, 1986-1990. ...............16

8. International Export Indicators By Province: 1985-1989 ..............................

18

9.
International Exports By Province, First Six Months, 1993...............
... ... .20

10. lnternational Exports From Special Economic Areas, First

Six Months, 1993...................................................................

............22

11. Individual Province and Major City Profiles ...............................................2 3

12. Correlation Coefficients Between Export Variables ............,.......................

31

13. Correlation Coefficients Between Export Variables

With Guangdong Excluded.. ................ .
....................................... 3 5

viii

 CONTENTS (continued1

APPENDIX TABLES

Table

I A l . International Exports From Town and Township Enterprises

By Province, 1989.. ...........................................................................- 42
A2. International Exports From Town and Township Enterprises
By Province, 1987..............................................................................43

A3. Machinery and Electronic Exports by Product: 1990.. ............................... 44

A4. Value of Industrial Products Exported by Township Enterprises

in China, 1989.................................................................................. 58

A5. Value of Industrial Products Exported by Township Enterprises

in China, 1987...................................................................................60

A6. Provincial Exports, 1985-1992..............................................................

-62

A7. Foreign Investment By Province, 1990 and 1991 .................................. ..63

A8. Variables Relating to Export Performance: Names and Sources ...................64

 THE ORIGIN OF CHINA'S EXPORTS: ISSUES AND SCOPE

China's international exports have grown substantially since the leadership

decided to advance economic development through an "open doorwstrategy. Less
well understood by foreign observers is what types of enterprises and local conditions
are driving China's exports. The purpose of this report is first t o identify available
disaggregated data on China's exports by type of enterprise, product groups, and
location, and second to analyze these data for China's export production profile.
Typically data incorporating all three aspects simultaneously are not available, but
some data exist that cover one or t w o aspects.

Of the three aspects explored--enterprisetype, product, and location--enterprise

type is the most problematic. As China's economic system has developed and been
reformed, the distinguishing characteristics of these categories of enterprises have
changed and blurred. Typically the rules governing large and medium state-owned
enterprises have changed the least, causing managers who wanted more flexibility and
options to seek joint ventures with foreign firms, or to set up collectives for
contracting parts or assembly operations. In 1992, the State Council issued more
specific guidelines to supplement the 1988 law that was supposed to allow state
enterprises more autonomy. This has led to a series of articles in the Chinese press
discussing how state-owned firms are no longer state run.'

In addition, the categories of ownership types that China's institutions use to

collect data have changed. In late 1992, the State Statistical Bureau and the State
Industrial and Commercial Administration published a new categorization of nine
enterprise types. The old categories included state-owned, collectives (including town
and township collectives), individual, and other, which included private businesses and
various foreign and joint venture firms. The new categories are state, collective,
private, individual, joint-operations, joint-stock, foreign investment, Hong Kong-Macao-
Taiwan investment, and other (FBIS-CHI-93-007, 12 January 1993, pp.32-33).

Along with the types of enterprises, the size of the non-state sector has grown
relative to the state sector since the early 1980s. Table 1 provides the percent
distribution of gross industrial output by ownership type of enterprise for each
province in 1991.2 From this table we can see that a wide variety of ownership
structures exist across provinces. State enterprises contributed a high of 8 4 percent
of industrial output in Tibet to a low of 3 0 percent in Zhejiang. Collective contribution
to industrial output varied from a high of 61 percent in Zhejiang to a low of 9 percent
in Hainan. The average state contribution to gross value of industrial output across
provinces was 63 percent and the average collective contribution was 27 percent.

1
For example, Wu Naitao, "State-Owned Enterprises No Longer State Run," Beiiinq
Review ( 16-22 November 1992), pp. 17-21.

*Comparable figures for earlier years are not available.

1
Tllble 1. Gro.8 Value of Industrial Output

by Ownerahip and Province, 1991 (Percent)

State Collective Individual

Province owned owned owned Other

Bei jing

Tian j in

Hebe i

Shanxi

Inner Mongolia

Liaoning

Jilin

Heilong jiang

Shanghai

Jiangeu

Zhejiang

Anhui

Fu jian

Jiangxi

Shandong

Henan

Hube i

Hunan

Guangdong

Guangxi

Hainan

Sichuan

Guizhou

Yunnan

Tibet

Shaanxi

Ganeu

Qinghai

Ningxia

Xin jiang

Source: China Statistical Yearbook, 1992, p.410.

 The fourth column of table 1 presents "other" forms of ownership. This

category is largely foreign invested enterprises, including joint ventures and wholly-
owned foreign firms. The southern coastal provinces stand out in the importance of
these firms. In Guangdong, 24 percent of gross value of industrial output originated
in these other ownership forms. In Fujian, the contribution from these firms was 22
percent, and in Hainan it was 1 6 percent. The only other area that came close to
these percentages was Shanghai, with 1 4 percent. Beijing was next with 9 percent
and then Tianjin with 7 percent. All the rest were well below 7 percent. While these
few geographical areas dominate, it is significant that all provinces, except Tibet,
reported some industrial output produced by these new enterprise forms.

This study deals with export production, not sales by different types of trading
companies. The introduction of local trading companies t o compete with companies
run by central government agencies has played a role in China's export ~ u c c e s s . ~
However, this facet of China's export promotion story is beyond the scope of this
study.

This study focuses on the late 1980s and early 1990s. For some of the data
series reported, the latest year is 1990. Since consistent information across variables
is rarely available for any one year, however, this study draws from several close
years to construct a plausible picture of China's export production profile at one point
in time. In a few cases compatible data over time were available and have been
reported as welt.

The data search for this study was extensive. All types of printed materials
from China were searched, including individual provincial yearbooks, national
yearbooks, specialized sector publications, journals, and a wide variety of mainland,
Hong Kong, and Taiwan newspapers. In 1993, China's custom administration began
publishing detailed information on exports from foreign invested firms. Over time thls
source will provide a clearer picture of foreign capital's contribution to China's
exports. The data profile presented in the next section represents the information that
was available as of December 1993.

DISAGGREGATED CHINESE EXPORT DATA

This section presents disaggregated export data. In some cases the

disaggregation falls into more than one category. For analytical purposes, each data
set is discussed as part of one of three categories: ownership, product, or locatlon

%ee Lardy (1990, pp.39-41) for a discussion of the decentralization of China s

trading companies. Also, the first foreign-owned trading company was allowed yo
operate within China in 1992. The company is a subsidiary of C. ltoh & Co. Ltd o f
Japan set up in Pudong in Shanghai [Beiiina Review (30 March-5 April 19921, PP 29
301. It is currently restricted to operations within the special zone.
Ownership Profiles

The Chinese press often discusses production and exports of enterprises by

different ownership types, but most of this information is anecdotal. While some
production data by ownership are released by China's official statistical agencies, they
do not usually indicate export production.

Foreign Companies and Joint Ventures

As of 1993, the export data availability situation changed for companies with
foreign investment. The monthly bulletin, China's Customs S
.. mM o m
, began
to publish the value of exports from firms with foreign investment by province. The
types of foreign enterprises included in this reporting are Sino-foreign contractual joint
ventures, Sino-foreign equity joint ventures, and foreign-owned enterprises. Sino-
foreign contractual joint ventures are what other Chinese sources refer to as sanlai
enterprises.' As these operations are primarily processing and assembly, they
are less likely to have direct foreign investment, whereas Sino-foreign equity joint
ventures and foreign-owned enterprises are more typical forms of direct foreign
investment.

Export data for the first 6 months of 1993 are given in table 2. Two key points
emerge. First, exports from foreign invested enterprises make up a substantial portion
of China's exports. Twenty-five percent of China's exports originated from
enterprises with foreign investment. (This figure is 21 percent if contractual joint
ventures are excluded.). Since these figures have just begun to be published it is not
possible to know how they compare with earlier years, or whether the first half of
1993 is representative of what is likely to occur throughout the year. However, 25
percent is comparable with previous estimates built on export earnings and
information on the value of processing and assembly (Lardy 1990, p. 143 and note
29).

With the disaggregated data published by the customs administration, we can

also calculate the percentage of exports originating from enterprises that are fully
owned by foreigners. For the first 6 months of 1993, this figure was 7 percent
(China's Customs Statistics Monthly, no.6, 1993, pp. 18-20). Whereas the other
forms of foreign investment represent joint ventures, often with state-owned
enterprises, these enterprises are fully private.

The second key point gained from table 2 is that while firms with foreign
investment that are exporting to world markets are located all over China, exports
from these firms are concentrated in a handful of coastal provinces. Time will tell the

'Sanlai vibu enterprises refer to three types of processing and assembly, and one
type of compensation trade. The processing types are Jailiao-i and laivanq
w. The type of assembly operation is laiiian zhuana~d.The compensation trade
is referred to as ~ h a n a b umaovi chukou.
Table 2. I n t e m t i o r u l Exports From Foraim Invested
Enterprises, f i r s t Six Months, 1993

Anovlt Provincial
exported share of exports
from f o r e i m Provincial f r a foreign
Anant invested share of invested
exported enterprises, exports from enterprises,
from foreign excluding foreign excluding
invested contractual invested contractural
enterprises j o i n t ventures enterprises j o i n t ventures
Province ( m i l l i o n USS) (million US) (percent) (percent)

Beijing 112.33
Tianjin 200.62
Hebei 51.99
Shmi 20.31
Inner Mongolia 4.81
Liming 375.2
Jilin 16.74
Heilongjiang 27.35
Shmghai 577.85
Jiangsu 524.21
Zhejiang 318.78
Anhui 20.09
Fujian 935.32
Jiangxi 16.12
Shudong 276.73
Henan 16.98
HLki 48.26
H w n 16.59
GuaWdOW 5,611.92
Gmngxi 42.45
Hai~n 33.52
S ichuan 34.44
Gui zhw 5.49
Y m n 12.26
Tibet .34
Shaanxi 10.34
Gansu 2.2
Qinghai Y/A
Yingxia .65
Xinjiang 6.51

Total 9,320.40

Percent of China's Total

Exports That CUE F r a Foreign
Invested Enterprises
Excluding contractual j o i n t ventures

Mote: China's curtans p&lishes exports from foreign invested enterprises

by three types: sino-foreign contractual j o i n t ventures, sino-foreign
ecpity j o i n t ventures, and f o r e i g n - o m 4 enterprises.

Source: China1$ Cwtorr, S t a t i s t i c s Monthly, 170.6 (1993), pp.3,18-20.

extent that the first half of 1993 was representative, but it is likely that the
importance of exports from foreign firms in Guangdong and Fujian will continue for
the foreseeable future.

Town and Township Enterprises

Data on exports from town and township enterprises by province have been
published for the last several years. These data for 1990 are given in table 3.'
These enterprises are officially deemed collective ownership, rather than private or
state, but many analysts believe that they tend to make decisions quite similar to
those of private enterprises in a market system.' Some of them have foreign
investment and are ~ a n l aviby
i enterprises.

Data on exports from town and township enterprises are often separated into
direct (zhiiie c h u k o ~ )and indirect exports (Uniie c h u k o ~ ) . ~This separation is
reflected in table 3. Direct exports are delivered to Chinese trading companies, which
are responsible for exporting them. lndirect exports are sold abroad through other
channels, such as foreign buyers. Indirect exports also include goods that are
processed or assembled by town and township enterprises for other enterprises, but
the parent enterprise then exports the goods. When these enterprises process goods
that are then exported by another enterprise, they earn a processing fee.'

Column 5 of table 3 gives the percentage of provincial exports (the sum of

direct and indirect) originating in town and township enterprises. For some provinces,
these percentages are very high. Jiangsu had the highest at 76 percent followed by
Zhejiang with 61 percent.

'Data similar to those in table 3 also exist for 1987 and 1989. See tables A1 and
A2 in the appendix.

'See Zweig (1992) and Lardy (1992, p.129). Lardy even goes so far as to refer
to these enterprises as entrepreneurial. In contrast, Victor Nee (1992) argues that
because collectives are run by government agencies, albeit local agencies, they are
like state-owned enterprises in that they suffer from inefficiencies resulting from soft
budget constraints.

7Notethat the Chinese definition for direct and indirect exports is counter-intuitive
in terms of English. We might expect that direct exports do not involve a n
intermediary. However, the Chinese usage, at least in this case, is the opposite.

'When a processing fee is earned by one of the "~anlaivibun town and township
enterprises,it is reported with the value of exports in Chinese sources, but in a
separate column.
Table 3. l n t e r n a t i w l Exports Frca T a n nd T o n r h i p Enterprises by P r w i n c e , 1990
(Currant C h i m e Y w )

I
:
II
Exports f r a Town ud l o w h i p Enterprises

T o m L township
exports ( d i r e c t 6 i n d i r e c t )

Percent Percent
Direct Indirect of provincial of C h i n ' s
Province ' exports j exports exports exports t o t a l exports
I
(11 (2) (3) (41 (5) (6)

Bei j ing
Tianjin
Heki
Shanxi
l m r Mongolia
Liaoning
Jilin
Hei longj iang
Shanghai
J iangsu
Zhejiang
Anhui
Fujian
Jiangxi
Shandong
Henan
Huki
Hwn
Gwngdoog
Gwngx i
Ha inan
Sichwn
Gui zhou
Yvnen
T i k t
Shaanxi
Gansu
Pinghai
Ningxia
Xinjiang
i
Total :Percent o f China's exports
Calculated I (using calculated t o t a l )
Reported !Percent o f Chinr1s exports
(using reported t o t a l )

Notes: The p r o v i n c i a l t o t a l nd t a n / t w n r h i p enterprise trade f i g u r e s are a l l c a r p i l e d by MOFERT, the M i n i s t r y of

Foreign R e l a t i o m and T r r b . The MOFERT f i g u r e s are the s m o f s t a t i s t i c s reported by various enterprises. Total exports by
province uere reported t n US dollars; w have converted these t o t a l s i n t o yuan w i n g t h e 1990 o f f i c i a l exchange r a t e of
USSl= 4.71532 ywn. T W t o n r h i p m t e r p r i s e exports were reported i n yun. *DirectY exports a r e purchased by state-owned
irrport-export canprnies f o r u l e on the i n t e r n s t i w l market. *lndirutYexports a r e s o l d abroad by other means, such as
through arrHlgemmts mdn by j o i n t m t u r e s o r h o l l y - o m a d f o r e i g n ventures u i t h f o r e i g n buyers. MOFERT trade figures are
not as high as C u s t o n figures. The c u t o r f i w r e f o r C h i n ' s t o t a l exports w s used t o c a l c u l a t e the percentages i n the
l a s t colum. This f i w r e w s S62.091 b i l l i o n . I t w s converted t o yuan w i n g 4.7832 ywn per d o l l a r .

Sources: Chen Yaobng. h xi h i nian'i n l W l [ A l m ~ cof China's T o m and tounship Enterprises, 19911.
B e i i i w : Norwe sohbanshe,
c [ W l ~ o n t h l y , no.3 (1W3), p.5.
 The values for town and township exports may be inflated. There are reports
that some companies set up shadow town or township enterprises. These shadow
enterprises allow joir.: venture or state-owned enterprises to take advantage of the
more flexible rules governing the collectives and t o obtain export loans earmarked for
town or township enterprises (Zweig 1991, pp.736-37). Counting exports of these
shadow operations in town and township totals overstates their real share in trade.
It is probably not the case, however, that the same exports are being counted as from
the main enterprise in addition to the shadow town or township enterprise. On the
other hand, some double counting may occur where contracts for processing or
assembly are involved (Lardy 1992, p. 170, note 29).

The last column of table 3 gives exports from town and township enterprises
as a percent of China's total exports in 1990. According to these figures, 1 6 percent
of China's total exports came from these enterprises. Nearly 4 percent of total
exports came from town and township enterprises in Jiangsu alone. This figure is
nearly 8 percent for the Jiangsu-Shanghai-Zhejiangtriangle. Guangdong's share was
less than 2 percent.

Comparing table 2 with table 3 suggests a ypothesis concerning non-state

enterprises. It may be that some provinces with less access to foreign investment
have relied more on collective firms for flexibilitv. In Jiangsu and Zhejiang, for
example, exports originating in foreign invested firms were small while over half of
their exports were produced in collectives. Joint ventures operate under different
rules and preferences compared with Chinese state-owned enterprises. Collectives
can also receive preferential treatment. More importantly, they tend to be smaller and
by necessity operate outside the traditional planned networks. This appears to be
especially true for town and township enterprises.

State-owned Enterprises

Although data do not exist for exports from state-owned enterprises, state
exports can be roughly estimated indirectly. By looking at figures for the two
available categories of non-state enterprises--foreign invested, and town and
township, enterprises--it is possible to obtain an outer bound estimate.

Export data for the first half of 1993 indicate that exports from wholly-owned
foreign firms and equity joint ventures accounted for 21 percent of China's total
exports.' Town and township enterprises reportedly produced 1 6 percent of China's
total exports in 1990, the most recent year these data are available. Assuming that
this share was the same in 1993 as 1990, then approximately 37 percent of China's
exports originated in the non-state sector. This implies that 63 percent of exports
would have been produced in Chinese-owned state enterprises with no foreign
investment. This 63 percent estimate does not take into account the exports from

'In these calculations exports from Sino-foreign contractual joint ventures dre
excluded because some of these are town or township enterprises.
other types of non-state enterprises, including collectives, joint ventures between
domestic firms of different ownership forms, and domestic private firms. Taking
these exports into account could put the state sector's share at 6 0 percent or less.

It should be reemphasized that since we only have figures for the first half of
1993, these estimates are subject to a wide margin of error.'' We do not know
whether the first half is representative of 1993, let alone 1990. Presumably this new
data series will be continued, however, allowing estimates with more confidence in
the near future.

Summary

Foreign firms are clearly important to China's exports. This is especially true
In Guangdong and Fujian. Town and township enterprises are also big players in
producing for international markets. Zhejiang and Jiangsu stand out in the importance
of these enterprises in their exports. In contrast, the share of exports produced in
state-owned enterprises has fallen to approximately 60 percent from near 100 percent
before reforms began in the late 1970s.

Product Profiles

Two available data sets give detailed figures for exports of machinery and light
industry, and one gives exports by product groups by province for town and township
enterprises. These are discussed in turn.

State-owned Machine Building

In 1990, machinery and transport equipment represented 9 percent of China's

total exports (State Statistical Bureau, 1992, p.618). Machine building capacity is
believed to be dominated by state-owned enterprises, although exact figures are not
available. A listing, however, of machinery exports in 1990 by central ministries and
central corporations is available and reproduced in table A3 in the appendix. The
products for export by these entities would originate primarily in the enterprises under
their supervision, and therefore would be predominately state-owned.

The total amount of exports reported in table A3 is $3.772 billion. China's

total exports in the machinery category was $5.588 billion in 1990. Therefore, the
exports arranged by these central agencies represent over 67 percent of the
machinery and transport equipment exports in 1990. They also represent 6 percent
of China's total exports in that year.

' T h e 60 percent estimate is in line with one given by Jan Prybyla (1993, p . 1 0 ) .
He states that in 1991 non-state exports represented half of China's total exports,
and over half of China's exports of manufactures. He does not, however, say how
he arrived at this figure or give a reference.
 Light Industry

In con: 3st to machinery, light industrial production is not thought to be state

dominated, but figures on the ownership of enterprises where these exports originate
are not available. Light industrial exports by province, however, are available and
reported in table 4.

Guangdong was by far the greatest exporter of light industrial products in

1990. Guangdong exported nearly 9 billion yuan ($2 billion) representing 24 percent
of the total amount of light industrial goods delivered for export in that year. The
Jiangsu-Shanghai-Zhejiang area and Shandong also exported high shares of these
goods.

Table 5 gives China's light industrial exports by product group for 1990. Arts
and crafts; food and beverages; and leather, fur, and other products were the three
largest groups in terms of percent of total light industrial exports. These three
together comprised 40 percent of China's light industrial exports. The miscellaneous
group "other" was the largest of any individual group at 17 percent. Compared with
1989, daily use machines (rivona iixie) and lighting appliances (~haominaaiiy) grew
the most in percentage terms. What we cannot tell from tables 4 and 5 is how these
export groups are distributed across provinces or in what types of enterprises they are
produced.

Exports from Town and Township Enterprises By Product

For town and township enterprises, however, we have detailed, disaggregated

export data. Exports by product categories, and by province and major city, are
available for these types of enterprises for 1990, 1989, and 1987. The 1990 figures
are given in table 6, while those for 1987 and 1989 are given in tables A4 and A 5 in
the appendix.

The rich export data in table 6 show that there is a difference in the types o f
products these enterprises export across provinces. For example, calculations using
the figures in this table show that Guangdong is the largest exporter of light industrial
products at 24 percent.'' In other words, Guangdong supplied 24 percent of the

11
Note that the product categories appear to be different in table 6 compared with
table 5. In table 5 some of the categories included in table 6 were considered part o f
light industry rather than separate categories.
Table 4. Value of Li@ht I-try Pr&ts Delivered For Export By province nd Major City, 1990

Deliverad Percent of t o t a l
exports delivered exports
m i l l i o n current of l i g h t i d s t r i a l Major Delivered
Province YWO products cities exports

Bei j i n g
Tianjin
Hebei
Shanxi
I m r Mongolia
Liaoning
Jilin
Heilongjiang
Shanghai
J iangsu
Zhej iang
Anhui
Fujian
J iangx i
Shudonp
H M
H&ei
Hinan
G~~gdonq
Guengx i
Hainen
S ichuan
Gui zhw
Y m
Tibet
Shaanx i
Gansu
Pinghai
Ningxia
Xinjiang

Total

Source: China Liaht Industry Yearbook. 1991, p.104.

Table 5. China's Light Industrial Exports By Product, 1990

Value delivered Percent

for export Percent change
Product million yuan of total over 1989

Paper
Daily use machines
Daily use silicate
Light bulbs
Daily use chemical products
Manufactured salt
Food & beverages
Leather, fur C other products
Wood, bamboo, etc. products
Furniture
Culture, education & sports
Arts & crafts
Silk products
Metal products
Household appliances
Lighting appliances
Weighing apparatus
Daily use sundry goods
Machine building
Other
Total ioo. o
-- -- - -
- - - - --

Source: China Liaht Industry Yearbook. 1993, p.104.

light industrial exports from town and township enterprises.'' Chemicals and
machinery exports from town and township enterprises are much more important in
Jiangsu, Shandong, and Zhejiang than in Guangdong. Food exports are larger in
Liaoning and Shandong than in the other areas. Textiles and silk exports are more
important t o Jiangsu and Zhejiang, while garment exports are important t o many
areas. In terms of total exports by these enterprises, textiles represented 1 7 percent,
followed by garments, light industry, and arts and crafts, which represented
approximately 13 percent each.

Table 7 summarizes changes in the export situation of these enterprises over

the second half of the 1980s. According t o this source, by 1990 there were over
57,000 town and township enterprises that exported 5 0 percent or more of their
output. These enterprises delivered over 4 8 billion yuan ($10 billion) of goods for
export representing 2 4 percent of China's total value of goods purchased for
export.13 These enterprises earned 8 billion yuan ($1.7 billion) in processing fees
from foreign firms or joint ventures, and nearly 7,000 of these enterprises have some
type of foreign investment or foreign cooperation.

Table 7 also summarizes the product composition of exports from town and
township enterprises from 1988 to 1990. These types of enterprises have
contributed the most to China's garment exports--as high as 72 percent in 1990.
These enterprises have also contributed 45 percent of China's arts and crafts exports,
and over a quarter of China's chemical, silk, and light industrial exports.

Summary

The disaggregated information presented in this section suggests that machine

building is dominated by state enterprises while light industry is dominated by
collectives. This is a question of degree, however. For example, the information in
table A3 suggests that 67 percent of China's machinery exports were arranged by
central agencies in 1990. But according to table 7, another 22 percent of China's
machinery exports were produced in and township enterprises. If these categories
could be decomposed further, it may be that the products being exported by the two

12
It is just coincidence that Guangdong also exports 2 4 percent of the total
amount of light industrial products delivered for export reported in table 4.

13The 2 4 percent seems high. Note that in table 3 the percentage of exports
generated by town and township enterprises was reported as 1 6 percent if China's
reported custom's total is used, and 20 percent if the provincial sum is used. The
reason for this discrepancy is not clear. These t w o sets of data come from the same
town and township yearbook. The figure in table 7 is taken directly from the source
while the ones in table 3 are the author's calculations. One source of discrepancy
may be that these calculations involve conversion from $US to yuan and therefore are
sensitive to the rate used.
T&le 7. Indicators o f T o n md T o n r h i p Exports Over Time, 1986-1990

N u b c r of enterprises
Exporting o w r 50% of output
Over 80%
Total

VaLue of P r o b c t s
Delivered f o r export ( b i l l i o n yun)
Percent c h n g . f roll p r e v i o u m a r
Percent of China's t o t a l @oodm
purchased f o r d i roet export

Payment r e c e i v d f o r processing by
senlai yihu enterprises
( b i l l i o n yun)
Percent change from previous year

Enterprises with foreign i n w s t m t

or cooperation nrdcr
Percent ch-e from previous year

Percent percent Percent

of of of
Billion China's Billion China's Billion China's
yurn totat ywn total ywn total

Garments
Arts & c r a f t s
Chaicals
Silks
Light irdmtt-y
Textiles
Machinery
Foodotuff s
Mining
Local products
Other

Sources: Chen Yaobne. J h a # ~ wxianzhen aive nianiien. 1991 WLIIDMC of Chine's

Town ud t o n e h i p Enterprises, 19911. Beijing: longye chLlburshe, 1992. p. 280-281.

Note: These figures i n c l u l e only d i r e c t exports ond the processing fee f o r indirect exports,
but not the v a t u of indirect exports.
enterprise groups are substantially different. Even so, if 67 percent of the exports are
from state-owned enterprises, this still leaves 33 percent originating from other types
of enterprises.

A second observation developed in this section is that town and township

enterprises are very important contributors to China's exports overall. They export
more in certain categories, such as garments, but they export a wide variety of
products. The contribution of these enterprises to exports has also grown
substantially over time.

Finally, although town and township enterprises are more important to certain
provincial economies, they appear to generate export earnings all over China. They
also have close ties to foreign capital.

Location Profiles

This section deals with total exports by geographic location. The ownership
and product profiles have already revealed an importance of the coastal areas in terms
of light industrial exports and exports from foreign enterprises. This section provides
a .broader picture of exports by area.

Provincial Exports

Consistent export data by province over time are not readily available. Some
figures are reported by the former Ministry of Foreign Trade and Economic Relations
(MOFERT), called the Ministry of Foreign Trade and Economic Cooperation (MOFTEC)
as of 1993. Other figures are reported by China's customs administration. Additional
data are reported by provincial offices. The problem with these numbers is that they
are not the same across reporting units due to differences in coverage, disaggregation,
the monetary unit used, and timing. For example, MOFTEC figures are the sum of
exports reported by various enterprises, while customs figures are collected at the
borders. As a result, MOFTEC trade figures are not as high as customs figures. For
this reason some of the calculations in this study distinguish between a reported and
a calculated total export figure. Using both the customs and MOFTEC figures, table
A6 provides our current best accounting of exports by province between 1985 and
1992, all reported originally in U.S. dollars in the Chinese sources. The figures
between 1985 and 1989 are from a single MOFERT source. The figures for 1990-
1992 were reported by individual provincial statistical offices and are believed to be
consistent with MOFERT1sreports. In 1993, customs began publishing their data by
province (see table 9, column 2).

Based on the data from table A6 and elsewhere, table 8 provides several
indicators of exports by province. To take account of the differences in data sources,
several growth rates were calculated. The second column gives average annual
growth in exports between 1985 and 1989 valued in current U.S. dollars. All
Table 8. I n t e m t i a u l Export Indicators By Province: 1985-1989

Each provincers Provincial

Average share o f exports as a
wrwwl t o t a l exports percent of
growth i n provincial
exports 1989 1991 GDP GNP

Bei j i n g
Tinjin
Hcki
Shnx i
I m r W#lgolia
Liming
Jilin
Heilmgjiang
Shnghai
J imgsu
Zhej iang
Anhui
Fujian
Jimgxi
ShndonO
Hen8n
H l k i
H U W
GunOdonO

Gumgxi
Hainrn
S ichum
Guirhw
Y m n
Tibet*
Shunxi
Gansu
Pin&ai
Ningxia
Xinjiang

Note: The s u of reported provincial exports (table A6) wr used t o calculate the percent of
t o t a l exports. To obtain exports as a percent of GDP or WP, 1989 exports uere comertad t o yuan
using a 3.7651 yuan/% exchwrg. r a t e f o r 1969, ud a 5.3094 yun/S exchange r a t e f o r 1991.

Swrces: Exports: t a l e A6;. 1989 GDP: Carpilation of H i s t o r i c a l Data on Each Province;

1-1 GNP: Chitu S t a t i s t i c a l Yearbook. 1992, p. 36.
provinces had positive growth except Liaoning." Growth rates ranged from -3 in
Liaoning t o 3 0 percent in Hainan. The average across provinces was 9 percent.
Columns 3 and 4 give annual export growth rates between 1985 and 1991, and 1985
and 1992. A number of areas experienced increases in exports above 20 percent:
Fujian, Guangdong, Hainan, Guizhou, and Shaanxi.

Although many provinces experienced rapid export growth, by 1991 three areas
still stood out as the major contributors to China's total exports. Guangdong
contributed 22 percent, followed by Shanghai and Liaoning, each at 9 percent (column
6). These three together accounted for 40 percent of China's exports. If Shandong
and Jiangsu are included, these five areas produced over 5 0 percent of the total
exports. Part of the importance of these areas is that they have major port cities.
Raw materials or semi-finished products travel to these areas to be processed and
then exported.'' It is also interesting to note that provinces like Jiangsu and
Zhejiang, which had high percentages of exports from town and township enterprises,
are also important to China's overall export structure, but not on the same scale as
the areas with special economic zones.

The last column in table 8 gives the value of exports as a percent of provincial
gross domestic product (GDP) for 1991. Here, too, Guangdong stands out. In that
year, exports were more important to Guangdong's economy than any other area.
Guangdong's exports as a percent of GNP were 41 percent in 1991 compared with
23 percent in 1989. In 1989 Shanghai's exports as a percent of GDP were the
highest.

The most recent export data by province are given in Table 9 for the first 6
months of 1993. Based on these data Guangdong's share of total provincial exports
was 42 percent, which implies that the province's importance to China's foreign trade
has continued to increase.

'117 1985, Liaoning's exports represented over 20 percent of China's exports.

Petroleum exports were an important component of this export value. Changes in
petroleum prices and demand can probably explain a large part of this decrease.

'=From the newly released export figures for 1993 it appears that it is not the case
that exports are high in areas with ports simply because exports from elsewhere are
being attributed to those areas. Separate figures for exports from ports themselves
are also published. For example, exports from the port of Tianjin in the first half of
1993 were 5213 million US$ while exports from the "province" of Tianjin were 1054
million US$ (China's Customs Statistics Monthly, no, 6, June 1993, pp.16-17, 21 1.
Table 9. I n t e m t i m r l Experts By Province, F i r s t Six Months, 1W3

Percent of each
Percent of provincels exports
l o t r1 Percent Exports f r o n exports that that originate i n
prwincial of t o t a l forrign originte foreign invested firm,
export s exports by investad f i r m i n foreign excluding contractual
Province m i l l i m $US prwince m i l l i o n $US inwrtd f i r m j o i n t ventures
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)

Bei j i n g
Tianjin
Hebei
Shanxi
lmer M q o l i a
Liming
Jilin
Heilongjiang
Shangha i
J iangsu
Zhejiang
Anhui
Fujian
Jiangxi
Sh.ndong
Hcnrn
Huki
Huun
G u u w h
Guangx i
Hainan
Sichwn
Guizhw
Y m n
T i k t
Shaanxi
Gansu
Oinghai
Ningxie
Xinjiang

Total 100.0

Calculated 37,146.115

Reported 37,148.82

Source: China C u t - S t a t i s t i c s Monthly, no.6 (19931, pp.16-17, a d Table 2.

 Special Economic Areas

An aspect of the location profile is how important the economic areas with
special export incentives are in terms of their contribution to exports. Table 10
provides a summary of these exports for the first 6 months of 1993. Exports from
these specially designated areas represented 18 percent of China's total exports.

The special economic zones (SEZ) accounted for most of the exports from the
special areas. This figure for the first 6 months of 1993 was approximately 85
percent. The development and bonded areas are much smaller, usually newer, and
less developed. Within the SEZs, an average of 42 percent of exports were produced
by foreign invested firms. This ranged, however from a high of 66 percent in Zhuhai
to 20 percent in Hainan. The importance of special areas varies greatly by province
as well. In Guangdong, where three SEZ1s are located, only 27 percent of provincial
exports originated in these special areas. This may be because some foreign
investment is not restricted to the special areas, and because many domestic firms
are involved in export. In contrast, 96 percent of Hainan's exports reportedly
originated in the special areas.'' In Fujian, with the Xiamen SEZ, 38 percent of
exports were produced in special areas.

Individual Provinces and Major Cities

Some of China's provinces and cities publish disaggregated export data in their
annual yearbooks. Table 11 reports these data for 1990 or 1991. There is little
consistency in how these areas report data, and the information is often different from
both MOFTEC and customs information. The most common reported disaggregated
data were for industrial exports. These were often available by light and heavy
industry, and sometimes by type of enterprise ownership.

Guangdong's yearbook is surprisingly lacking in export information. Only the

structure of industrial output was reported, with a figure of 32 percent as the share
of industrial output that is exported.

Seven provinces reported industrial exports by type of enterprise. Of these, the

share of industrial exports produced by state enterprises ranged from a high of 67
percent in Anhui to a low of 37 percent in Hainan. In addition to Anhui, state exports
were above 50 percent of the total in Beijing, Shanxi, Fujian, and Hubei. Inner

"The Chinese press refers to all of Hainan as a special economic zone. The
customs data, however, distinguish between the zone and the province with slightly
different numbers. With the data on exports from foreign invested firms, however,
the figure for the province is exactly the same as for the whole province. This could
imply that not all of the exports are accounted for in terms of location within the
province, and hence does not add to the total, or that there are some exports from
non-foreign invested firms that are considered to be from outside the zone.
Table 10. International Exports From Special Economic Areas, •
First S i x Months, 1993

Exports

Type of Special Economic Area (million $US)

- a
Special economic zones (SEZ)
5,796.63

Economic & technical development areas 949.72

High & new technological & industrial development areas 26.14

a
Bonded areas
60.30

Tota 1
6,832.79

Percent of exports originating in special economic

zones that are from foreign invested firms

Shenzhen

Zhuhai

Shantou

Hainan

Xiamen

Average

Percent of China's total exports

originating in special areas

Percent of provincial exports originating in

special areas:

Guangdong

Fu j ian

Ha inan

- -
- - -- --

Source: Ghina Customs Statistics Monthly, no.6 (1993), pp.16-21.

Table 11. Individual Province and Major City Profiles

BE1JING 1990
Million
Industrial exports Yuan Percent

Total

State

'(of which, central)

(of which, local)

Collective

(of which, town)

'(of which, township)

Other

Total

Light industry

Heavy industry

I ..
Note: Bei~inaStatistical Yearbook. 1992, pp.210-213.

Figures reported in 1990 comparable prices. Total of

state, collective and other does not sum to reported total.

The reported total was used to calculate the percentages.

TIANJIN 1990

Million

Direct industrial exports Yuan Percent

Total

Light industry

Heavy industry

.
Note: In 1990 comparable prices; -in . . Statistical
Yearbook. 199&, p.348. Industrial production figures
available by ownership, but not exports.

SHANXI

1990

Industrial products Million

supplied for export yuan Percent

Total

State

Collective

Other

Light industry

Heavy industry

Note: Shanxi Statistical Yearbook. 1991, p.525.

Table 11. Individual Province and Major City Profiles (continued)

INNER MONGOLIA
1990
Revenue earned from Million
industrial exports Yuan Percent

Total

State

Collective

Other

Light industry

Heavy industry

Note: m e r Monaolia Statistical Yearbook. 1991,

pp.368-369. Industrial production by ownership reported.

SHANGHAI

1990

Industrial exports from Million

"sanzit' enterprises
Yuan Percent

Total 1,811.68

State joint ventures 165.22

Collective joint ventures 507.11

Foreign owned 1,139.35

Total exports Billion US$

Total 5.740

Light industry and textiles 3.451

Heavy industry 1.561

Agriculture and sidelines .728

Note: "Sanzin exports are from Shanqbai Statistical

Yearbook. 1 9 Q , p. 175. These figures are available

between 1987 and 1990. Total exports are from aanahaj,

Statistical Yearbook. 1992, p. 348. Total exports are

reported for 1952-1991.

Table 11. Individual Province and Major City Profiles (continued)

------
....................................................

JIANGSU 1990
illi ion'
Total exports US$ Percent

Total 2,949.95

Light industry 2,048.47

Heavy industry 684.33

Agriculture and sidelines 217.15

Note: Jianasu Statistical Yearbook. 1992, p.265.

Figures are reported for 1981-1991.

ZHEJIANG 1990

Million

Industrial exports
Yuan Percent

Total

State

Collective

'(of which, township)

Other

Light industry

Heavy industry

Total exports Million US$ Percent

Total

Light industry

Heavy industry

Agriculture and sidelines

Note: Industrial export figures are reported in

comparable 1990 prices. Industrial exports are from

Zheiiana Statistical Yearbook. 1992, p.152. These figures

are reported for 1988-1991. Total exports are from p.296.

These figures are reported for 1985-1991.

Table 11. Individual Province and Major City Profiles (continued)

AN?luI 199 1
Million
Industrial exports Yuan Percent

Total

State

(of which, central)

(of which, local)

Collective

(of which, town)

'(of which, township)

Other

Light industry

Heavy industry

..
Yearboa. 1992, p.159.
Note: & h u i Statistical
Figures are reported in 1990 comparable prices. Figures
by ownership in more detail, and by product, are available
for 1991.

FUJIAN 1990

Million

Industrial exports Yuan Percent

Total

State

'(of which, central) 822.51 7.4

'(of which, local) 6,220.30 55.9

Collective 2,235.71 20.1

(of which, town) 262.94 2.4

(of which, township) 891.08 8.0

Other 1,848.01 16.6

' (of which, nsanziw) 1,764.40 15.9
Total exports

Total

Light industry

Industry and mining

Agricultural and sidelines

..
statistical Yearbook. 1991; industrial

Note: Fullan
exports, p.156; total exports, p.310 (absolute figures

not reported). Industrial exports were reported in

current 1990 prices. Production by ownership and exports

product also reported for 1990.

Table 11. Individual Province and Major City Profiles (continued)

--
--b--~~=~==~==~==e=~=======~==-====o=-=re=======

JIANGXI

1991

Industrial exports of Million

new products Yuan Percent

Total

State

Collective

Light industry

Heavy industry

Note: Jianaxi statistical Y e m o k . 1 9 u 1 p.512.

Reported in current prices. Exports by product category
also reported.

HUBEI 1990
Million
Industrial exports yuan Percent

Total

State

Collective

Other

Light industry

Heavy industry

Note: Hubei Statistical Yearbook. 199b, p.303.

Exports by products, and for 1989 also reported.

GUANGDONG 1991

Million

Wan Percent

Industrial exports 65,540

31.6

Note: Guanadona Statistical Yearbook. 1992, p.185.

Export data by ownership not reported. Figures for 1985

and 1990 (except exports) also reported.

Table 11. Individual Province and Major City Profiles (continued)

HAINAN 1991
Million
Industrial exports Yuan Percent

Total

State

Collective

Other

' (of which, @sanziw)

Light industry

Heavy industry

Note: -an . .
Statlstlcal y s b o o k . 1 9, p.263.
~

Reported here in 1990 comparable prices. Reported also in

current prices.

1991

Exports from large and Million

medium enterprises Yuan Percent

Total

Light industry

Heavy industry

Note: ~ichuanStatistical Yearbook. 1992, p.153.

The calculated total was less than reported total; the

calculated total was used here. Exports by product, and

production~figures, also reported.

NOTE: The yearbooks, and other sources, were checked

for similar information on the other provinces, but none

was found. The descriptions of data given in this table

are as given in the individual yearbooks.

Mongolia also reported that 89 percent of the revenue earned from industrial exports
came from production in state owned enterprises. At the other end of the spectrum,
in Zhejiang over 50 percent of industrial exports were produced by collective
enterprises.

Twelve provinces reported exports broken down by light and heavy industry.
Light industrial exports represented over 6 0 percent of the total in Beijing, Tianjin,
Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Anhui, Fujian, Hubei, and Hainan. They represented less
than 60 percent in Shanxi, Inner Mongolia, and Sichuan. Light industrial exports
ranged from a high of 82 percent in Zhejiang to a low of 31 percent in Shanxi.

Summary

Within the location profile, the importance of Guangdong to China's exports

stands out. The three SEZs play a role in Guangdong but supply less than one third
of the province's exports. In addition, the province's export growth has continued to
rise, as has its contribution to China's total exports. This has occurred even while
most other provinces were promoting their own exports and successfully increasing
them annually.

The disaggregated data by individual province and city are broadly consistent
with the observations made based on the full cross-provincial data. Although not a
complete set, the areas that stand out in terms of light industrial exports are Zhejiang
(82 percent), Hubei (81 percent), Anhui (77 percent), Tianjin (76 percent), Fujian (72
percent), Jiangsu (69 percent), and Shanghai (60 percent). The area that stands out
in terms of collective exports is Zhejiang (54 percent). And the areas that stand out
in terms of the category of "other", which originate largely in foreign invested firms,
are Hainan (61 percent) and Shanxi (35 percent).

FUTURE EXPORT POTENTIAL

China's success with promoting its exports in recent years raises the question
of what factors have contributed to this success and whether it will continue. This
section addresses these issues by analyzing the available disaggregated export data
in more depth. A number of correlations are performed to gauge what variables might
be particularly important in explaining China's export growth. Then the identified key
variables in China's past performance are assessed for possible future export
performance. This analysis is based on variations across provinces.

Correlations of Key Variables

The results of the first part of this study suggest that there are several factors
that appear to be related to exports. Foreign investment is one. Another is the
connection between the share of collectives in a province's output and exports of light
industrial products. Also, in terms of ownership, it was suggested that perhaps as
much as 40 percent of exports were from non-state enterprises. This raises the
possibility that much of the growth in exports in recent years may have come from
non-state enterprises. Further, it was suggested that in some areas where foreign
investment has been low, collectives may be acting as a substitute for the flexibility
that foreign investment affords an enterprise.

These and related ideas are explored further with the correlations presented in
table 12. A full causation model explaining China's exports is beyond the scope of
this study. Using simple correlations, however, we can see if there is any basis for
these hypothesized relationships.

The first part of table 12 reports correlation coefficients between direct foreign
investment (DF190) and five export variables. Foreign investment is correlated with
China's exports by all the measures included." These results show that provinces
with higher shares of foreign investment are also the provinces with higher shares of
China's total exports (PRTOEX89). Not surprisingly, foreign investment is also
correlated with the provincial share of exports from foreign invested firms
(PRFOEX89), and with exports from foreign invested firms as a share of total exports
(FOREX93). Foreign investment is also correlated with exports as a percent of GDP
(EXGDP89). All of these results suggest that foreign investment has generated
exports. Finally, there is a significant, albeit weaker, correlation between foreign
investment and the size of provincial economies (PRGDP89). Provinces with larger
economies, measured by their share in total GDP, tend to have larger shares of total
foreign investment.

The second group of correlations in table 12 deal with the possible connections
between collective ownership and export^.'^ This part of the table first indicates
that there is a large, negative relationship between provinces with state enterprises
(STATE) and those with collectives (COLL), at least with respect to production of
gross industrial output value. There was almost no correlation between collectives
and either individual (INDIV) or other enterprises (OTHER). These results suggest that
provinces where state industrial production is important, collective production is
relatively small, and vice versa.

With respect t o exports, the relative importance of collectives was positively

related to the share of light industrial exports (LTEXP), but not to exports generallv
(PRTOEX89) or to the share of exports in GDP (PRGDP89). This supports the
hypothesis that collectives tend to produce, and export, light industrial goods. With
respect to the size of provincial economies, collective production was correlated with
provincial shares of China's GDP. In other words, collectives were relatively more
important in provinces with larger economies.

a able 12 reports the results using 1990 direct foreign investment data, but the
results were similar when the 1991 data were used as a check.

"Because comparable data on exports and production from town and townshtp
enterprises were not complete, these enterprises could not be analyzed separatelv
from collectives in the correlation analysis.
Table 12. Correlation Coefficients Between Export Variables

(all variables measured in percentages)

VARIABLE

DP190 Provincial Share of Total Foreign investment (1990)

CORRELATED WITH:

PRTOEX89 Provincial share of total exports (1989) .-

PRFOEX93 Share of total exports from foreign invested
firms (1993) .&33wr
FOREXP93 Exports from foreign invested firms as a percent
of total provincial exports (1993) .Q79Bm
EXGDP89 Exports as a percent of gross domestic product
(GDP) (1989) .-**
PRGDP89 Provincial share of total GDP (1989) .4956*

CoLL Provincial Share of Grosa Value of Industrial Output

(GVIO) Produced by Collective Enterprise. (1991)

CORRELATED WITH:

STATE Share of GVIO produced by state

INDIV
enterprises (1991)
Share of GVIO produced by individual
-.9089**
enterprises (1991) .2969
OTHER Share of GVIO produced by other
enterprises ( 1991) .0226
LTEXP Share of light industrial goods in total
exports ( 1990) .5684*
PRTOEX89 Provincial share of total exports (1989) .3455
EXGDP89 Exports as a share of provincial GDP (1989) .I139
PRGDP89 Provincial share of China's GDP (1989) .7152**

STATE Provincial Share of aVIO Produced by State-owned

Entarpriras (1991)

CORRELATED WITH:

INDIV Share of GVIO produced by individual

enterprises (1991)
OTHER Share of GVIO produced by other
enterprises ( 1991)
LTEXP Share of total light industrial
exports (1990)

PRTOEX89 Provincial share of total exports (1989)

EXGDP89 Exports as a share of GDP (1989)

PRGDP89 Provincial share of GDP (1989)

Table 12. Correlation Coefficients Between Export Variables

(all variables measured in percentages) (continued)

V A R I U

CORRELATED WITH:

PRTOEX93 Provincial share of total exports (1993) .8572**

OTHER Share of GVIO produced by other
enterprise (1991) .6457**
PRGDP89 Provincial share of GDP (1989) .7099**
DECENTRL Share of GVIO produced by the non-state
sector (1991) .5479*
OPENDFI Foreign investment (1990) as a percent
of provincial GDP (1989) .6160**

NOTE: The significance tests were two-tailed; an asterick ( * )

indicates significance at .O1 level; two astericks ( * * ) indicate
significance at the .001 level. 1993 refers to first 6 months of
1993. See table A8 for sources.
 in contrast, provinces with relatively more industrial output produced by state
enterprises had significant negative correlations both with light industrial exports and
total exports. Further, there was a significant, negative relationship between state
produced output and the size of provincial economies. These results suggest that
state enterprises have not been the engines of export growth.''

The last section of table 12 reports five correlations with the share of total
exports. The first correlation is between total exports in 1989 (PRTOEX89) and in the
first 6 months of 1993 by province (PRTOEX93). Because of data constraints, this
study uses data series from different years to make inferences about a single time
period. The highly significant correlation between exports in these two time periods
lends credibility to this method. There was a significant, positive correlation between
exports (PRTOEX89) and production from enterprises in the -gory of "other"
(OTHER). This suggests that various types of foreign investad enterprises are
important in this categoryn2' Exports were also positively correlated with the relative
size of provincial economies (PRGDP89).

Finally, two variables were constructed to proxy the degree of autonomy from
higher levels of government and the degree of openness. The idea behind the
decentralization measure (DECENTRL) is that areas with more autonomy have more
flexibility to make economic decisions, and that these decisions would favor
export^.^' The decentralization measure is the contribution of non-state enterprises
(collective, individual, and other) to total gross value of industrial output. As reported
in table 12, this variable was positively correlated with total exports, and significant,
lending support to the hypothesis that non-state production is compatible with export
promotion.22

The degree of openness (OPENDFI) is measured as the ratio of foreign

investment to provincial GDP. The expectation is that the more provinces are exposed

''~hese results are consistent with conclusions drawn by Lardy (1992). He

estimated that foreign invested firms and town and township enterprises together
contributed almost half of the growth in exports over the 1980s (Lardy 1992, p. 143
and note 30). He also emphasized the relatively poor performance of state
enterprises.

'?here was also a positive, significant correlation between foreign investment and
"other," which supports the same conclusion.

*'Lardy makes a strong case for this (1992, pp.39-41, 145-1461.

2 2 ~ o tthat
e this variable is simply the reverse of the variable labeled "state.' as
reflected in the fact that the correlation coefficient is the same only the opposite SlQn
to intetnational markets, the more important exports are likely to be. As reported in
table 12, openness was significantly correlated with total exports.23

Since Guangdong is so important to China's foreign investment and exports,

the results presented in table 12 may be determined largely by this one province. For
example, Guangdong received over 40 percent of China's direct foreign investment
in 1990 and 1991 (Table A7). To see if the relationships hold beyond Guangdong,
the correlations were performed leaving Guangdong out. These results are reported
in table 13. For the most part, the relationships that are significant in table 12 are
also significant in table 13.

There are three interesting exceptions, however. First, without Guangdong,

direct foreign investment (DF190) is no longer significantly correlated with provincial
share of total GDP (PRGDP89). In other words, there seems t o be no relationship
between the size of a province's economy and whether or not it has received foreign
investment, outside of Guangdong.

Second, the provincial share of total exports (PRTOEX89) is no longer

significantly correlated with the share of GVlO produced by other enterprises
(OTHER). Since the category of "other" enterprises includes foreign invested firms,
this result implies that the statistical connection between total exports and foreign
investment was being determined primarily by Guangdong.

The third difference between the results in tables 12 and 13 is similar to the
second. The relationship between the provincial share of total exports (PRTOEX89)
and foreign investment as a percent of provincial GDP (OPENDFI) is not statistically
significant if Guangdong is excluded. Again the implication here is that the presence
of foreign investment, scaled by the size of provincial economies, is not statistically
correlated with provincial shares in total exports. This implies that China's exports
from provinces other than Guangdong may not be explained well by the presence of
foreign investment.

Note, however, that in table 13 the provincial share of total exports

(PRTOEX89) is still significantly correlated with the provincial share of total foreign
investment (DF190), although the coefficient is lower than when Guangdong is
included in table 12. This result seems inconsistent with the relationship between
PRTOEX89 and OPENDFI. Since the OPENDFI variable takes the size of provincial
economies into account and is a closer approximation the foreign capital stock rather
than the flow variable of DF190, the fact that this correlation is insignificant is
important to understandingthe sources of exports throughout China. This result does
not, however, negate the fact that foreign investment has helped fuel exports in
Guangdong.

- -

230pennesswas not significantly correlated with the decentralization measure,

suggesting that these two variables may indeed be capturing different provincial
characteristics.
Table 13. Correlation Coefficients Between Export Variables

With Guangdong Excluded

(all variables measured in percentages)

VARIABLE

DP19O Provinoial Share of Total Poraign investment.(1990)

CORRELATED WITH:

PRTOEX89 Provincial share of total exports (1989) .W

PRFOEX93 Share of total exports from foreign invested
firms (1993) .7818**
FOREXP93 Exports from foreign invested firms as a percent
of total provincial exports (1993) .7804+*
EXGDP89 Exports as a percent of gross domestic product
(GDP) (1989) .8(Pt*
PRGDP89 Provincial share of total GDP (1989) .3277

COLL Provincial Share of Gross Value of Industrial Output

(GVIO) Produced by collactiva Bntarprises (1991)

CORRELATED WITH:

STATE Share of GVIO produced by state

INDIV
enterprises (1991)
Share of GVIO produced by individual
-.9329**
enterprises (1991) .3016
OTHER Share of GVIO produced by other
LTEXP
enterprises (1991)
Share of light industrial goods in total
-.0250
exports (1990) .786ok,
PRTOEX89 Provincial share of total exports (1989) .4259
EXGDP89 Exports as a share of provincial GDP (1989) .0913
PRGDP89 Provincial share of China's GDP (1989) ern

STATE Provincial Share of OVIO Produced by State-owned

Entarprisms (1991)

CORRELATED WITH:

INDIV Share of GVIO produced by individual

enterprises (1991)

OTHER Share of GVIO produced by other

enterprises (1991)

LTEXP Share of total light industrial

exports (1990)

PRTOEX89 Provincial share of total exports (1989)

EXGDP89 Exports as a share of GDP (1989)

PRGDP89 Provincial share of GDP (1989)

Table 13. Correlation Coefficients Between Export Variables,

With Guangdong Excluded

(all variables measured in percentages) (continued)

PRTOEx89 provincial share of Total &ports (1989)

CORRELATED WITH:

PRTOEX93 Provincial share of total exports (1993) .8601**

OTHER Share of GVIO produced by other
enterprises (1991) .4003**
PRGDP89 Provincial share of total GDP (1989) .6461**
DECENTRL Share of GVIO produced by the non-state
sector (1991) .5000*
OPENDFI Foreign investment (1990) as a percent
of provincial GDP (1989) .3474**

NOTE: The significance tests were two-tailed; an asterick ( * )

indicates significance at .O1 level; two astericks ( * * ) indicate
significance at the .001 level. 1993 refers to first 6 months of
1993. See table A8 for sources.

Elements of Future Export Growth

The correlations identified some key factors related to China's past export
profile. Although no attempt was made to establish causation, the correlation results
were consistent with some common hypotheses concerning factors influencing
exports.

Possibly the most important factor related to future exports will be foreign
investment. In 1992 and early 1993, foreign investment increased dramatically.
Contracted investment in 1992 was almost 869 billion compared with 820 billion in
1991, and utilized investment was $19 billion in 1992 compared with 8 12 billion in
1991 (China Statistical Yearbook. 1 9 9 2 p.641, and FBIS-CHI-93-032, 19 February
1993, p.21). While these numbers are probably inflated, there is little doubt that
foreign investment is flowing into China (McGregor 1992, p.Al0; Goldstein 1992,
pp.72-73). If Guangdong's experience is any indication, these increases can be
expected to contribute substantially to China's future exports.

One factor that may dampen foreign investment's contribution t o exports in the
long term is the size of China's domestic market. As incomes grow and government
control over domestic sales relaxes, exportable products are being diverted into the
domestic market. Many foreign companies have stressed exports in the past out of
necessity to earn foreign exchange to pay for imported inputs, and because Beijing
required them to export a certain amount. With the swap foreign exchange centers,
and with Beijing allowing localities to make more of the decisions concerning terms
of investment, these reasons are no longer as compelling as in the past. Also,
compared with the past, more of the new foreign investment is for services, most of
which will not be exported. In the near term, however, the sheer size of new foreign
investment, and the fact that previous investment will be coming on line, will fuel
increases in China's exports.

In terms of location of foreign investment, a statistical accounting of where

new capital is flowing is not yet available. Based on qualitative information it appears
that Guangdong, Hainan, and Fujian will continue to receive a large portion of the new
investment. It is expected that exports from these areas will continue to increase
steadily. In addition, Shanghai and Jiangsu appear to be the new major winners in
attracting foreign investment. The main reason for the increases in Shanghai is
Pudong. Although it is unclear whether Chinese leaders have chosen a product group
to promote through subsidies, it appears to have made a substantial regional
commitment to promote investment and exports in Pudong. Nearby Jiangsu has had
relatively little foreign investment in the past. Provincial and local authorities have
decided to change this, and have been trying t o attract foreign capital. The
investment in these areas is likely to increase their exports at rates higher than the
national average for some years to come. Jiangsu, in particular, is still not a major
contributor to China's total exports, but this is likely t o change. Fujian may receive
a new inflow of investment from Taiwan, and from other countries via Taiwan.
Taiwan is developing zones on its west coast for multinationals, positioning itself to
facilitate companies interested in doing business on the mainland (Jhe Economist,24
July 1993, pp.69-70).

The second major factor related t o future exports that this study underscores
1s the importance of the non-state sector. Foreign investment alone does not explain
China's impressive export growth, and the presence of state enterprises is negatively
correlated with exports. In contrast, collective enterprises stand out as being
correlated with light industrial exports. Within collective enterprises, town and
township enterprises appear to be especially tied t o international markets. According
to some analysts, exports from these type of enterprises will continue t o increase
(Zweig 1992). It is also expected that the size of the non-state sector generally will
continue to increase, and that its contribution t o exports will increase as well.

Behind the relationship between exports and the non-state sector is a

suggestion that more decentralized decision-making allows growth in exports. In the
correlations, this was proxied with the DECENTRL variable measured as the share of
gross value of industrial output produced by the non-state sector. This variable was
significantly correlated with total exports by province. It is interesting to note that
this variable seems t o be capturing something different than decentralization due to
foreign investment alone since the DECENTRL variable was not significantly correlated
with foreign investment as a percent of GDP.

A third major factor, and one not introduced in the study so far, is the value of
the Chinese currency. With growing access to foreign exchange swap markets, and
a new tendency on the part of Beijing to let the currency float beyond previous bands,
China's former foreign exchange constraint has been lessened. In late 1993 the
Chinese leadership announced that China's currency would be allowed to float within
a year (Ren 1993). Further, the currency has devalued substantially, making China's
exports relatively inexpensive in the international market.

Summary

An analysis of China's export profile in the late 1980s and early 1990s reveals
a few key factors to watch * ' - ughout the rest of the decade. Areas with growing
foreign investment are expt .d t o increase their exports more than the national
average even though a grovt J share of production from foreign invested firms will
find domestic markets within China. Shanghai and Jiangsu are expected t o join
Guangdong and Fujian as provinces where foreign investment will determine large
shares of their exports.

Increases in exports from other areas in China will be largely determined by

growth in the non-state sector generally. This conclusion is based on the fact that In
the past light industrial exports have been related to the presence of collective
enterprises, and that the presence of non-state industrial enterprises has been related
to overall exports. In addition, the presence of state enterprises has been maatively
related to both light industrial exports and to export performance overall.
 CONCLUSION

Both the disaggregated data presented in the first p a n of this study, and the
correlations of variables believed t o be related t o exports in the second pan,
substantiate the importance of foreign investment and collective enterprises,
especially town and township collectives, to China's export production. Taken
together, these enterprises represent most of the non-state sector. Information on
exports from private and individual enterprises is lacking, but they are believed to be
insignificant at this time.

Exports from state-owned enterprises are still important. However, export

growth from this sector has been weak, and the state share in total exports has fallen
considerably over the decade of the 1980s. Preliminary estimates presented in this
study suggest exports from state-owned enterprises may represent 60 percent or less
of China's exports by the early 1990s.

It is important to note, however, that state enterprises are extremely important

in certain geographic areas, earning the majority of foreign exchange available to
them. This is especially true for the poorer provinces of the west, and much of the
north, including Inner Mongolia, Heilongjiang, and Jilin.

The correlations presented showed a significant, negative relationship between

provincial exports and the relative importance of state-owned enterprises. Based on
this information, however, we cannot say what is behind this negative correlation.
For example, it could be due to inefficiencies within enterprises making their products
non-competitive; to these enterprises being stifled by government bureaucracy and
restrictive rules; to more state enterprises being in inaccessible locations; or to more
state enterprises being in areas with poor conditions for exports, such as
infrastructure, expertise, etc. The causality, and relative importance of different
factors, requires further research.

In terms of the product profile, light industrial exports were positively correlated
with the relative importance of collective production. This evidence is indirect. The
available data on exports from town and township enterprises, however, was broken
down by location and by product. The importance of light industry--both narrowly and
broadly defined--was explicit in these types of collective enterprises.

The significant contributions of certain provinces to China's exports were

reflected in many of the variables examined. In most cases, Guangdong was first.
In addition, Guangdong's importance has increased over time, despite export growth
throughout China. Guangdong accounted for 61 percent of the exports from foreign
firms in early 1993. This is not surprising since it has been the largest recipient of
foreign investment. The province's export success, however, goes beyond the
presence of foreign investment and special economic zones. Exports are produced
by all types of enterprises throughout the province.
 One of the hypotheses suggested by this study is that export production is
related to the degree of flexibility managers have to make decisions concerning
products, pricing, inputs, etc. The study attempts t o capture this with two variables
that proxy decentralizationand openness. These variables were highly correlated with
the export variables. Lardy (1992, p.127) argues that it has been these types of
factors that explain Guangdong's success, rather than location and foreign
investment. Again, formal measures of the relative importance of these factors
require further research. The results of this study suggest, however, that relatively
more export production is found in areas with foreign investment, special areas, town
and township enterprises, and liberal policies. All of these factors can be tied to
decentralization and openness.

In the last quarter of 1992, and the first half of 1993, China experienced trade
deficits. These deficits are primarily due to rapid increases in imports, rather than to
sluggish exports. In the next several years, China's exports are expected t o continue
to grow at healthy rates. The major reasons are increased foreign investment,
~ncreasedimportance of the non-state sector generally, and devaluation of the Chinese
currency.
APPENDIX

 ' a b i c 42. I n t e m t i o n r l Exports F r a T a n and Tomship Enterprises Ey Province, 1987

(In current Chinese yun)

I
!
i

Exports from t o n / t o n s h i p enterprises

1
Total
I

T o n ud tomship enterprises
Percent of Percent
provincial I
Direct Indirect provincial of China's
Provrnce exports I
exports exports exports exports
I

eel I rng 3,284,232,lM I

'rmjrn
5,6b6,11R1352 I

MU~I
5,526,387,975 1

sh.N I
1,266,022,771
I

I m rMongolia
843,201,534 1

~laonlng
14,099,314,800 I

JI I rn
1,740,677,266 j

n e i~ongjiang
Shanghe i

2,970,310,242
15,482,744,928

Jl.ngSu
7,665,6611,WO I

2he j Isng 5,100,319,168 I

~nhui 1,946,509,416 1

Fujran 3,161,291,193 I

Jlaogxl
1,4%,%6,178 1

Shendong
11,076,299,622 1

nenan
2,435,518,914 1

Hube i

nman

GusnOdong

3,554,419,395

2,305,654,845

20,263,745,157
I1

Guangx i
2,022,254,151 I

nai nan
429,716,445

S ichuan 2,718,249,630 1

Guizhou 346,006,416

Ym a n 976,157,946

T ibet NIA

Shaanxi 909,40a1622 I

Gensu 471,217,860 I.

Pinghei "1"
Ningxia 234,M6'510 1

Xinjiang 829,693,311 I

!
i

Percent of Chine's exports I

11.03

Notes: The provincial t o t a l and toun/tanship enterprise trade figures are e l l c o l p i l e d by MOFERT. the
Ministry of Foreign Relations and T r d e . The MOFERT figures are the s u of s t a t f a t i c s reported by various
enterprises. Total exports by province were reported i n U.S. dollars; we have converted these t o t a l s i n t o yuan
Using the o f f i c i a l exchange rate of U S 1 = 3.7221 yum. Ton/tovrship enterprise exports were reported i n yuan.
llDirectl* exports are purchased by s t a t e - o m d inport-export c a n p ~ l i wf o r sale on the international m r k e t .
a exports are sold .brood by other mans, such as through a r r n g r c n t s lrdc by j o i n t ventures or wholly-
Mncd foreisn ventures with foreign buyers. MOFERT trade figures are not as high as Custarr, figures.

Sources: G w j i a tmjiju. QuWuo sesha~.zizhiail. zhixiashi l i s h i z i l i a o huibim. 1949-1989

[Canpilation of H i s t o r i a l Data on Each Province, Aut- Region a d lndcpcndcnt C k n i c i p l i t y i n China,

1949-19891. Bei jing: Zh- t-ji &&amhe, August, 1990. Chen Yaoburg, 3honanw x i w z h e n a i m

nianiian. 1978-1987 M l l w v c of China's T a n ond tourship Enterprises, 1978-198T1. Beijing: N w e chubmnshe,

Decarkr, 1989. 317-318, 616-623.

~ a b l eU. Machinery nd E l r t r o n i c Exports by Probct: 1990

Total h o w t of Export (1990)

Export
Exported p r o b c t s ll~nnt
(1,000 U.S.
Units Total &l lars)

farm Ministry of Tractor mit

Machinery Machine-building Uolking t r a c t o r wit
and
Rotocultivotor mit
Electronic B l d c f o r Plow nd Harrow piwe
Induotry Tiller
M t o r i z o d spr-r mit
Hand sprayer wit
Argicultural prp 1 machine mit
I r r i g a t i m md drrirugc mchinery mit
Other irri-tion nd d r r i n r w l w h i n e r y mit
Thresher mit
Harvester mit
Farm construction r c h i n e mit
Lnd lealing rchine mit
Parts of agricultural n c h i n e
Dept. of
Agriculture
P Reclamation Argicultural prnp mit
Ministry of Cane k n i f e mit
Agriculture Parts of agricultural amchine mit

Internal China
Cocnbust ion Petroltun
Engine and Gas
Corporation 3Wk W generator mit

Tropic Dept. of
Plant Agriculture I n i t i a l processing mchinery
Machinery & Reclamtion f o r r-r mit
Ministry of Processing rrchinery f o r
Agriculture s i s a l hcrp mit

Animal Ministry of
Husbandry Machine-building A n i m l hurbudry v c h i n e r y mit
Machinery ud Feed processing machinerv rnit
Electronic ~ i v e s t o c kand poultry
1nAstry feeding machine mit

Dept. of
Agriculture Live farm mchinery
L Reclmation of uhich:
Ministry of t i g r i d nitro- biological
Agriculture stor- nuel set

Forestry Ministry of Total rnit

Machinery Forestry Forestry tractor mit
other r i n forestry r c h i n e r y mit
Table AS. Machinery md E l r t r o n i c Exports by Product: 1990 ( ~ 0 f t t i n U d )

Total h o w t of Export (1990)

Export
Exported products ##nt
(1,000 U.S.
Sector Dept . Wwc o f product Units Total dollars)

Tinkr Ministry of Total rnit

Industry Forestry Log f e l l i n g & transporting mch. rnit
Machinery Winch rnit
Spring P n c l
Muff l e r rnit
Cylinder wit
Yoad-working r c h i n e tool rnit
Yoad-b.8.d p a d .quipent rnit
Edges of forestry mchinery p ir e
Parts of tillbcr i n b t r y mchinery
Gasoline m i n e rnit

Ministry of
Machine-building
wd
Electronic
Inbtry Wood-uorking mchinery

Metal Ministry of Lathe rnit

cutting Machine-building D r i l l i n g r c h i n e rnit
much im and Boring mchine mit
tools Electronic Grinder rnit
Industry Gear processing w h i n e mit
Scrcu processing w h i n e mit
Metalworking mchinery
Planing wchine mit
Slotting r c h i n e mit
E l e c t r f c processor rnit
NC lnrrchine tool mit
Meter mechine mit
Other mchineries mit

Dcpt. of
Agriculture
& Reclcumtion
Ministry of
Agriculture Vertical d r i l l i n g machine

Forging Ministry of Mechanics1 press mit

and Machine-building Forging nd pressing wiprrnt unit
Pressing wd A u t m t i c press mit
machinery Electronic Forging h r mit
Industry Sharing m i n e mit
Shaping d i n e mit
Other forging wd pressing cquipnent mit
Fandry Ministry of
machinery Machine-building
nresur ing and
tools Electronic Measuring tools unit
and Industry Cutting tools mit
cutting
tools
r h l e A3. M ~ h i n e r ynd E l u t r o n i c Exports by P r o b c t : 1990 (continwd)

Total AIDU?t of Export (1990)

Export
Exported products l ~ ~ ~ l t

Sector Dept . N m of prabct Unf t s Total

(1,000 U.S.
do1 lars)

Abrasives Ministry of Oilstone piue 4,612,900 895

end Mchine-hui Lding Grindaton piue 1,963,400 881
grinding ond Abrasiw wheel piece 10,818,OOO 1,410
tools Electronic Other grinding tools piue l , ~ , 1~,290
lndrrtry Grinding tools 27,767
Chins
~uclear Artificial d i d 9r-
Industry Artificial d i d d r i l l bit piu e
Corporation Artificial rering bit rnit
Ministry of
Machine-kri l d i n g
and
Electronic
Industry Abrasive h e e l f rune mit
Generat Ministry of Total
mchincry Machine-building 1-trial prp unit
a d High v r c u r p.p mit
Electronic Pressure testing prap rnit
Industry pRp unit
Other prpc mit
Fwro rntt
A i r canpressor wit
Satall a i r canpressor unit
Aerorcprrator mit
va 1vcs unit
High L m d i u pressure valves rnit
Other valves unit
Flange p l a t e mit
Parts f o r general rrchinery
Other generat wchinery

Ministry of
Enrw
lnbstry Valves, e l c c t r i c drive unit
Ministry of
Metallurgical
Industry Va 1vcs

General Ministry of I n b r t r i a l chains

canpontnts Machine-hui tding Stnbrd f u t m r
for wd R b r seals
mchinery Electronic P a d c r r t r ll u r g i c a l products
Industry E n g i m r i n g hydreulic conponcnts
nd other a t t u h r n t s
Ministry of
Metal lurgical
I d t r y T u k joint ton 135,000 6J
Table A3. Machinery rd E l u t r o n i c Exports by P r h t : lPPO (continued)

Total ~ l l a r n tof Export (1990)

Export
Exported p r o b c t s i l l ~ ~ l t
(1,000 U.S.
Sector Dcpt . N a r of pr&t Units Total dollars)

Dept. of
Agriculture
L Reclmtion
Ministry of s t u d r r d corponnts p iace
Agriculture chains ater

Bearing Ministry of
Machine-building Bearing
a d Miniature b r i n g set
Electronic Pwdcr r t a l l u r p i c a l bearing set
Industry Industrial steel b a l l s each

Dept. of
Agriculture
8 Reclamtion
Ministry of
Agriculture Bearing set 535,000 205
C ranes Ministry of Motor-driven double kn
and Machine-building overhead crane mit
Handling snd Motor-driven single kn
Equiprent Electronic overhead crane mit
lrdrstry Electrically-operated single
rail c r w wit
Hand-operated double k m crane mit
Hand-operated single r a i l hoist wit
l y r e crane mit
Autolnobi l e crane mit
Caterpillar crane mit
T w c r crane mit
Portal hoisting machine mit
Hoisting a c h i n e
Electrically-driven hoist mit
Hand-operated hoist mit
Jack mit
Other hoisting machine mit
Linked chains ton
Hand-operated transporting carts each
Ministry
of Material r o l l i n g , casting platform car each
Transportation Movable parking l o t s batch

Ministry of
Metallurgical F o r k l i f t truck and f o r k l i f t f o r goods ton
Industry Jack ton
'b U Machinery nd E l u t r m i c Exports by Procbct: 1990 (continued)

Total Amnmt of Export (1990)

Export
Exportmd products mount
(1,000 U.S.
b u to- Dtpt. Name of product Units Total dollars)

bc oglcal Ministry of Geologiul p r o r p c t i n g d r i l l mit

. - a o l c r ~ n g Geology Slurry pup mit
t and D i n e 1 Engine mit
Minerals Diesel -in w t e r prp r c h i n e set set

Rock drill, h ~ d r i lrl pire

Juk mit

Drill .Kh

A r t i f i c i a l d i m and products pir e

Natural d i m carat

Lllboratorial ore-sapcrating cquipinmt mit

Others

China

National

Mmferrous

Metal

Industry

Corp. Artificial dia#d and r e m r each

Bureau of

Electrical

Machinery,

Ministry of

Energy Geological prospecting d r i l l mit

China

Petrolccn

and Gas

Corporation Seismic d r i l l mit

Mining Ministry of Bulldozer mit

end Machine-hitding Loading and transporting r c h i n e mit
Coltiery and Pncrnrtic tools mit
Machinery Electronic Parts f o r h r v y i d t r i a l mining machinery
Industry Grinding wipcnt mit

Rock d r i l l wit

Crush wipcnt mit

Hand-operated hoist unit

China Total

Colliery Drag f l i g h t conveyor mit

Machinery Md Belt conveyor mit

Equipnt Single hydraulic prop piece

Corporation Special .quipcnt for coal

mine (lug.r) ton

Mine-use l i p h t i n g nd component each
Genr prrp mit
Chains strip

Bureau of
Electrical
Machinery,
Ministry of Mine-we srqcrillposed t r a i l e r each 8 119
Energy Heat-propelled semlcss bend piue/ton 2 1486/77 90
~ a b l eA3. Machinery nd Electronic Exports by Product: 1990 (contiwad)

Total Anwnt of Export (1990)

Export
Exported products Ylwnt
(1,000 U.S.
Sector Dcpt . N m t of product Units Total dollars)

chi^
Uatia~l
h ferrous
llcta 1 D r i 1Ling tools
Induftry D r i l l i n g tools nd diu#rl products
Corp. Coal mine spare c a p o n n t s

Ministry
of Win-use rotary d r i 11 plece
MetaLlurgiul D r i l l e d and crushed mining debris uni t / t o n
Incbtry Coal mine spare ccrponnts ton

Heavy Ministry Rolls ton

Uachtnery of Ingot mold ton
llctallurgial Manganese steel tools
Industry Heat converter pire/ton
Spare p r t s f o r heating furnace ton
Spare p r t s f o r e l e c t r i c furnace set/ton
ektal l u r g i c a l blades ton
Flange p l a t e ton
Forged be11s ton
Other spare c a p a r m t s f o r metallurgy

Chine
I8tional Ftrroelloy furnace unit
Nonferrous Cryatalizer and the spare caponcnt unit
ktal Rot l i n g machinery and the spare canponent
Industry Other heavy u c h i n e r y
Corp. E q u i p m t spare parts and consuntion parts

Petrolem Ministry
and of
Chemical Chemical Chemical i n d u s t r i a l equipment and
Equipnent Industry chemical inbstrirl mchinery

Ministry of
Machine-building O i l well w i n g u n i t unit
and Petroleum d r i l l each
Electronic P e t r o l c u nmchinery
lnAstry a i r steel vessel each

chi^
Petrolem
and Gas
Corporation Total

Chine
Pttrolcu
and
Chmi ca l
Corporation Machinery caqmwmts ton 340 452
yo$r~ 3 .Machinery md E l r t r o n i c Exports by P r o b c t : 1990 (continwd)

Total Momt of Export (1990)

Export
Exported products mowt
(1,000 U.S.
Su !or Dapt . I- of p ~ o b c t Uni tr Total do1 Lars)

PLDber Ministry
am of
D l r s t lcs Chemical
Muhlnery Industry R ~ m e hr i w r y

Ministry

of

Light

Industry fnjector

Ministry of

Machine-bui lding

a d

Electronic

Industry Plastics rrchinery mit

Bul lding State

Materials Bureau
Machinery of Total ton
Bui [ding Brick r r k i n g r r c h i n r y ton

Materials GIess m n u f a c t o y .quiplnt ton

Inbtry Carponrnts md -re parts ton

Ministry

of

Water Hot-air r e - c i r c u l a t d glass

Resources m w a l i n g furnace each

Construction Ministry
Eng. of
Machinery trnrportation R o d surface r r c h i n r y md parts

Bureau of Total

Electrical Steel f r m e f o r b o i l e r ton

Machinery, Steel structure of the cord crane mit

Ministry of Elevated crble r c h i n e r y mft

Energy SSWOO n y d r w l i c t r a i l e r euh

Ministry SPZlO Rotor l o d i n g and

of trwporting whinery mit

Water JU50 mixer wit

Re8ources Steel structure f o r t h e m 1 power ton

Taring rod r o l l e r mit

Uolking vibrating rod r o l l e r wit
Ministry of

Machin-building

ud C t mixer wit

Electronic Vibrator wit

Incbstry Other construction Eng. u c h i n e r y

'.b U. W h i n e r y and E l c c t r m i c Exports by Product: 1990 (continued)

Total h o m t of Export (1990)

Export
Exported products Y U K ~ ~
(1,000 U.S.
b~ 03, Dept . Y n c of pr-t Units Total dollars)

Ministry Machinery f o r
ue of r i c e milling, flour milling
Concrce nd o i l pressing, etc.
.u*' w r y
M i n i s t r y of Total
Machine-building F Lour m i l l i o n lrrchintry mit
wd Rice m i l l i n g mchinery mit
Electronic C-ine r i c e mchinery mit
Incbtry O i l pressing machinery wit
'*ltqle Ministry
IUc*,.Yry of
Text il e
]-try Total

Dept. of
Aar icul ture
& Rtclmation
Ministry of C o n md paper t r k f o r
Agriculture chemical f i b r e piece
Darnstlc Ministry Total of bicyles
Awl lances of Bicyles each
Likt Bicyles p r t s
In&stry Others
i n charge Total of s w i n g nochines
(statistical Household s w i n g mchine mit
standard M u l t i - f v w t i o n r l s w i n g rmchine wit
of Swing w h i n e herd each
Ministry I n h D t r i a l s w i n g mchine mit
of Yccdlts for s w i n g machine each
Foreign Parts f o r sewing nmchine
Ecw~nic Tot81 o f w t c h and clock
Relations A l a m clock each
ad Yoodcn clock tuh
Trade U r t z clock each
Mechnical watch each
Core of the m h n i c a l watch each

Ministry of Electronic n t c h each

Machine-building Core of the electronic watch each
ad Parts of n t c h md clock
Etectrmic Bicylts mit
Industry Parts of b i c y l t s
Crmk f o r the chains set
Bells dozen
Tyre pcrp each
Other p r t s f o r bicyles
Hou6ehold s w i n g w h i n e mit
I n d s t r i a l swing nchine mit
Other s w i n g nochine
T&le A3. Machinery nd Electronic Exports by Product: 1990 (continuad)

Total krornt of Export (1990)

Export
Exportod products l~rnt

Sector Dcpt . N r r of prochct Uni t s Total

(1,000 U.S.
dollars)

Dept. of
Agriculture
k Reclrrtion Lock f o r bicycles
Ministry of H o d l i g h t s f o r bicycles
Agriculture Bicycle t y r e prp

Electric Ministry Total

Household of Ref rigerator mit
Appliance Li*t W i n g whine mit
Irdrrtry Fans mit
i n charm Ceiling f n r mit
(statistical Exhwrrt fans mit
stnbrd Parts f o r f m
of A i r caditioner mit
Ministry VKW c l e m r wit
of E l e c t r i c r i c e cooker mit
Foreign E l e c t r i c stove mit
Economic E l e c t r i c hot w t e r heater mit
Relatiens E e l c t r i c roaster mit
wld E l e c t r i c h a i r blower mit
Truk E l e c t r i c shrver mit
E l e c t r i c hair curlor Qzen
Electric iron mit
E l e t r i c toaster wit
Ministry of E l e c t r i c fno mit
Machine-bui lding Cei Ling f.nr mit
wld Exhaust f r r e mit
Electronic A i r cooler wd heater mit
Inbtry Ref rigerator mit
U s h i n g mchine mit
A i r conditioner mit
VOCW c l e m r mit
E l e c t r i c stove mit
Dept. of
Agriculture
L Reclmrtim
Ministry of
Agriculture Ref r i g e r r t o r

Printing Ministry of P r i n t i n g -chine mit

Machinery Muhin-building Binding r c h i n e mit
md Parts of p r i n t i w v c h i n e
Electronic P r i n t i n g -inery
l&try

Dlpt. of Printing w h i n e mit

Asricultwe P r p r cutter wit
L Reclamtion
Ministry of
Agriculture
'ole ~ 3 .Muhinery md Electronic Exports by Product: 1990 (continued)

Total Anount of Export (1990)

Export
Exported p r o b c t s ~ l ~ ~ l t
(1,000 U.S.
Sector Dept. U r n of product Units Total dollars.)

wdlcri Ministry of Medical appmratus and i n s t r m t s

i n a r r w m t Machine-bui l d i n g
and
Electronic
Inchtry

water Ministry AS11 S p i r a l cylinder

Conservancy of Wr-wter
Mbchlnery Yater s i l t cleaner unit
Resources Sprinkler head unit

Bureau of Gate f o r water control p r o j e c t ton

Electrical L i f t i n g winches f o r water resources mit
Machinery,
M i n i s t r y of
Energy

Envrron- Burew of Fine opening silencer mit

mental Electrical Electrostatic precipitator mi t / t o n
Protection - Machinery,
Machinery M i n i s t r y of
Energy

Flre M i n i s t r y of F i r e trucks each

Fighting Public Mechanical f i r e p u p unit
Equipnent Security Foan extinguisher each
F i r e hose meter

Railway China

Locomotive Rai l w y

d Locwtive S t e m locomotive,

Stock and i n t e r n a l c a r k r s t i m locomotive,

Stock f r e i g h t wagon
Corporet i o n a d spare parts

M i n i s t r y of
Machine-building
wd
Electronic
Inchtry R a i l w y cars and c c ~ ~ i p n m t

AutomobiLe M i n i s t r y of T i p truck each

Machine-building Sedan each
and Truck each
El u t r o n i c A g r i c u l t u r a l transporting vehicle each
Industry JnP each
Motorcycle each
C o r p a m t md p a r t of o u t o m b i l e
Other k i n & of vehicle
Other m e w of transportation

M i n i s t r y of Highway coach bus each

Transportation JP series superinposed container t r a i l e r each
r&(e a. M u h i w r y ud E l r t r o n i c Exports by P r o b c t : 1990 ( c m t i n w d )

Total Aaomt o f Export (1990)

Export
Exported p r o b c t s YROUI~
(1,000 U.S.
Sector Dept . Mae Of probct Units Total do1tars)

Ministry of
Construction C i t y bun

Bureau o f
ELwtrical
Machinery,
Ministry of
Energy Autombi l e unit
China
Natiorul
Honf e r r w s
Metal
Inrlustry
Corp. Spare parts f o r wtanobi l e

Ministry of
Metallurgical
Industry 120 comccting rod ton

Dept. of
Agriculture
L Rwlution
Ministry of
Agriculture C c q m m t L p e r t of wtambi l e piece
Ship China Ship and boats each/
w e r a l 1 ton
Ship-building Ship repair
Corporation Other mcninery and electronic products

Ministy of
Machine-bui lding
and
Electronic
Industry M a r i n diesel engine

Salvage a
Diving Ministry of Hod-operated lever a i r feed pnp
Equimt* Transportation and mderwater intercom set
Yct diving s u i t set
Insulating life-saving s u i t piece
Heaw diving .quipat set
Diving he-ar each
industrial Ministy of
Boilers Machine-bui Lding
od
Electronic
Industry Total st*. ton
~ a b l eA3. Machinery and Electronic Exports by Product: 1990 (continued)

Total Arornt o f Export (1990)

Export
Exportad products ~ROVI~
(1,000 U.S.
Sector Ocpt . N M e of procCrt lhit s Total dollars)

Pwcr Ministy of Diesel garterator

Generating Machine-bui l d i n g Water turbo-@onerator set
Equipcnt wd Turbo--rator
Electronic Gas- turbine generator
Industry Other powr m r r t o r
Parsr s t a t i o n b o i l e r
Electric Ministry of General A.C. @onerator 1OOokU
Machinery Machine-building General A.C. e l e c t r i c motor loooku
a d D.C. e l e c t r i c m t o r loooku
Electronic Subrrcr@ed e l e c t r i c motor mit
Industry Fractional hp. e l e c t r i c m t o r mit
Micrmtor mit
Other p o w r m c h i n e r y mit
High M i n i s t r y of -11 trnsfomr
Tension Machine-building Induction v o l t w e regulator
Elec. wd and transmitter 1oooKv.
power Electronic H i * tension i s o l a t i n g switch set
Equipnent I d t r y Mutual inductor mit
High tansion switch board each
Hioh tension fuse mit
Bureau of
Electrical
Machinery,
M i n i s t r y of F i t t i n g s of power transmission l i n e ton
Energy I r o n twcr ton

M i n i s t r y of
Metallurgical
1-try Transf o m r

Elements of M i n i s t r y of
Electric Machine-kitding
Appliance Md
Electronic Major ccqonents piece
Industry General c o r p o n n t s piece
Electric, M i n i s t r y of
electronic Machine-building
deviceand a d
mit Electronic E l e c t r i c and electronic device mit
Incbtry E l e c t r i c and e l e c t r o n i c mit 1000kU

Electric M i n i s t r y of A l u i n l u t w i s t e d wire with s t e e l core ton

wire Machine-buildim Bare coppcr wire t on
wd a d Electr-t wire ton
cable ELectronic Miring km
Industry Lead wire of the e l e c t r i c welder km
Cable with paper i n s u l a t i o n km
Cable w i t h p l a s t i c i n s u l a t i o n km
Other e l e c t r i c wire and cable km
Table U. Mechiwry and Electronic Exports by Product: 1990 (continud)

Totat kant of Export (1990)

Export
Exported pr-ts moult
(1,000 U.S.
Sector Dept. Y r r c of product Units Total do1 lars)

Insulating Ministry of E l e c t r i c porcelain ton 50,800 7,076

rrsrerials Machine-building Lw t m i m . \ u r i c porcelain ton 3,066,900 683
and Other e l e c t r i c porcelain ton 136,m 1,122
Electronic Insulating r t a r i a l s ton 8,692 5,314
Industry

Battery Ministry of
Machine-bui [ding
ud
Electronic
Industry
Battery
Other batteries
1OOOKVA h r
10001[YA hr.
. l,~,oOO
1,656,517
Electrical The Total
Alloy whole C u t i n g AlYiCo p e r u n n t m n m t ton
industry Pardcr sintering AlYiCo pmmt nrgnet ton
AiYiCo a l l o y pwdcr ton
Type3 r g n e t st-\ p ir e
Type5 wont steel ton
Type8 r g n e t steel ton
Rare-earth p e m t rmt p i ace
NdFeB prruunt wgnet ton
Signal glass p ir e
Electrotherwl alloy ton
Hard a l l o y ton

General Ministry of E l e c t r i c a l engineering meter each 218,400

Instrunent Machine-building Electron i n s t r u n t
and and M icrosco(w each 4,968
Meter Electronic Optical i n s t r u a n t
Industry Materials testing mit 4.668
Fl-ter mit 32,197,000
P h y s i c a l - c h r i c a l instrunent
Lab i n s t r u m t
Corponcnt molysing i n s t r u m t mit 12,000
Other i n s t w t a d meter

Ueighing Ministry of
*ratus Light Uei$ting apparatus for
Industry daily uagc

Teaching State I n s t r u a n t f o r physics

Instrunent E k a t i o ~ l Glass i n s t n r c n t
and Canission spcci-
Equipwit
Table A3. Machinery md Electronic Exports by Probct: 1990 (contiwed)

Total Lvant of Export (1990)

Export
Exported p r o b c t s IIOV)~
(1,000 U.S.
Sector Ocpt . N r c of procCrt Units Total &l\ars)

Special Ministry of
lnstrumt Geology
and ud Lab n r l y t i c a l i m t r m t rnit
Llcters Minerals Geological c ~ s s each
chi^

Coal Mining

Machinery

and U e l l detecting ud

Equiprrnt monitoring instrunant

I Corporation Respirator md cutout

Ministry Level 1 L level 2 three-phase

of e l e c t r i c c-city meter rnit

Energy OD28 single-phase

e l e c t r i c c a p c i t y meter e8Ch
Current meter set

Chins Oetutor each

Petroleum Seism cable core 110 set

and Gas Magnetic boots each

Corporation Outer casing each

Ministry of

Metallurgical

Industry Metallurgical meter ton

Special Ministry of
Equipmt Machine-building
for and
Electronic Electronic
I h t r y I h t r y Total

Total
- - -- -
-

Source: ChiM Machinrv and Electronic Industries Yearbook. 1991, pp.111.256-264.

Table A 7 . Foreign Investment By Province, 1990 and 1991

1990 1991 1990 1991

million million percent of percent of

Province US$ us$ total Total

Bei jing

Tianjin

Hebei

Shanxi

Inner Mongolia

Liaoning

Jilin

Heilong jiang

Shanghai

Jiangsu

Zhej iang

Anhui

Fu jian

Jiangxi

Shandong

Henan

Hubei

Hunan

Guangdong

Guangxi

Hainan

Sichuan

Guizhou

Yunnan

Shaanxi

Gansu

Ningxia

Xin j iang

Total

Source: china Statistical Yearbook. 1992, p.643.

Note: Qinghai and Tibet were missing; these figures do not

include investment via ministries. These figures were reported

as utilized direct foreign investment.

Table A8. Variables Relating to Export Performance: Names and Sources

DFI90: Provincial share of total direct foreign investment, 1990.

Source: Table A 7 .
PRTOEX89: Provincial share of total exports, 1989. Source: Table 8.

PRTOEX93: Provincial share of total exports, first quarter 1993.

Source: Table 9.

LTEXP: Share of light industrial goods in total exports, 1990.

Source: Table 4.

PRFOEX93: Share of total exports from foreign invested firms, first

quarter 1993. Source: Table 9.

FOREXP93: Exports from foreign invested firms as a percent of total

provincial exports, first quarter 1993. Source: Table 2.

EXGDP89: Exports as a percent of provincial gross domestic product

(GDP), 1989. Source: Table 8.
PRGDP89: Provincial share of total GDP, 1989. Source: Compilation of

Historical Data on Each Province, 1990.

COLL: Provincial share of gross value of industrial output (GVIO)

produced by collective enterprises, 1991. Source: Table 1.

STATE: Share of GVIO produced by state enterprises, 1991. Source:

Table 1.

INDIV: Share of GVIO produced by individual enterprises, 1991. Source:

Table 1.

OTHER: Share of GVIO produced by enterprises other than collective,

state, or individual enterprises, 1991. Source: Table 1.

DECENTRL: Share of GVIO produced by the non-state sector (collective,

individual, and other enterprises), 1991. Source: Table 1.

OPENDFI: Direct foreign investment in 1990 as a percent of 1989

provincial GDP. Sources: Table A7 and Compilation of Historical Date
on Each Province, 1990.
 BIBLIOGRAPHY

. ..
Chen Yaobang. Various years. Zhonaauo xianazhen aive n l a w, various years
[Almanac of China's Town and Township Enterprises]. Beijing: Nongye Chubanshe.

Goldstein, Carl. 1992. "Numbers game." Far Eastern Economic Revie& (24-31
December), pp.72-73.

Guojia Tongji Ju. 1990. Quan-eshena.

.. . . . ..
zizhiau. z h ~ x l a s h l s hzll~ao
~
.. n
hulb~a-
1949-19 8 9 [Compilation of Historical Data on Each Province, Autonomous Region,
and Independent Municipality in China, 1949-19891. Beijing: Zhongguo tongji
chubanshe.
a
Guojia Tongji Ju. Various years. zhonaauo tonaii n i a m [China Statistical Yearbook].
Beijing: Zhongguo Tongji Ju.

Lardy, Nicholas R. 1992. Foreian Trade and Economic Reform in China. 1978- 199Q.
Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Ma Guoshou. Various years. m u o duiwai iinaii maovi nianiian [Almanac of

China's Foreign Economic Relations and Trade]. Beijing: Zhongguo zhanwan
chubanshe.

McGregor, James. 1992. "Investment is Pouring into China, But Beware the Penchant
for Hype." Wall Street Journal (25 November), p.Al0.

Nee, Victor. 1992. "Organizational Dynamics of Market Transition: Hybrid Forms,

Property Rights, and Mixed Economy in China." Administrative Science Quarterly,
no.37, pp,l-27.
a
Prybyla, Jan. 1993. "How Should the U.S. Handle Trade Issues with China?"
Asian Executive R e ~ o r 1t 5.4
~ (April): 9-15.

Qing Gongye Fazhan Zhanlue Yanjiu Zhongxin. 1991. m u o aina gpnave nianiian
1991 [China Light Industry Yearbook, 1991I. Beijing: Zhongguo Qing Gongye
Nianjian She.

Ren Dan, "China Will Unify Rates Next Year." China Business Weekly (28 November
1993).

Zhongguo Jixie Dianzi Gongye Nianjian (Jixie Juan) Bianji Weiyuanhui Bian. 1991.
Zhonaauo iixie dianzi aongve nianiian [China Machinery and Electronic Industries
Yearbook, 1991I. Beijing: Jixie Gongye Chubanshe.

Zweig, David. 1992. "Reaping Rural Rewards," China Business Review (November-
December), pp.12-13, 15-17.

.
Zweig, David. 1991 "Internationalizing China's Countryside: The Political Economy
of Exports from Rural Industry." China Quarterly, no.128 ( 1991):716-741.
 INTERNATIONAL PROGRAMS CENTER

STAFF PAPERS

No. 80 Scientists and Engineen in Singapore: 1990, by David Zaslow (1996) .............. $5.00
No. 79 Vietnam: Subnational Demographic and Socio-Economic Variation,
byLoraineWwt (1966) ...............................................$10.00
No. 78 Newly Independent States of the Former Soviet Union: Statistical
Materials (Indexed List), by Ludmiia Pashina and John Dunlop (1996)
[updated version of Staff Paper No. 741 .....................................S 15.00
NO. n Scientists and Engineen in Australia: 1991 by David Zaslow (1995) .............. S 5.00
No. 76 Reconciling China's Trade Statistics, by Lorahe A. West (1995) .................. S 10.00
No. 75 Sexually Transmitted Disecrses in Sub-Saharan Africa and Associated
Interactions with HIV,by Karen A. Stanecki, Laura Heaton, and
Peter 0. Way (1995) .................................................. S 10.00
No. 74 Newly Independent States of the Former Soviet Union: Statistical See SP
Materialr (Indexed List), by Ludmila Smith and John Dunlop (1994) .............. No, 78
No. 73 China's Family Planning Program: Inputs and Outcomes, by Judith
Banister and Christina Wu Harbaugh (1994) ...............................S 15.00
No. 72 An EpidemioIogical Review of HIV/AII?O in Sub-Saharan Africa,
by Peter 0. Way and Karen A Stanecki (1994) .......................... .... S 10.00
No. 71 China's Export Production Profilt, by Penelope B. Prime (1994) .................. S 10.00
No. 70 Population and Miation Characteristics of Fujian Province, China,
by Judith Banister, Ch&b Wu Harbaugh, and Ellen Jamison (1993) .............S 10.00
No. 69 Refarm of China's Foreign Trade System and Prospects for Freer Trade,
byLoaaioekWest (1993) ............................................. S 1000
No. 68 Scientists and Engineen in Industrialized W e t i c s Data Available
as of l992,by Wen Jamison (1992) .......................................S ISOO
No. 67 Problems and Options in C W s Public Fmcc, by Penelope Prime (1992) .......... S 10 OO
No. 66 Excess Mortality in Guatemala: A Comparison of Causes of Death in
Guatemala and Costa Rica, by Atjun Adlakha and Eduardo Arriaga (1992) .......... S 5 U)

No. 65 Vietnam--Population Dynamics and Prospects, by Judith Banister (1992) ............ S 10 ill

No. 64 Scientists and Engineers in Canada and Sweden, by Ellen Jamison (1991) ........... S 10 W

 ..
~ m d ~ m I O d l t l b U h D Comtrk b d Aa Upd8to for

P t r a r q W ~ ~ , d t b u U n i t t d K i n s Q m , b y E l h J w b(l991).
m
..........S 10.00

a
Sdtotbtrmdp-M;.u..in~SouthKarcq8ndT~
b-1- (1991). ...............................................S 10.00
ASebdedBbbpqhyoaUrbrniEldoain~
91)O................................................
~ Y F ~ ~ Y (I19M

SUMI
a
USSR: OraaNICIaarl--W13,b,Mbh-
~ ~ a a i A b i (l94
Dn) l.............................
~ s lsm

m R Trgbc (1991)
D d k GNP Eabartcr dor Chb, by J ....................510.00

Na 57

Na Sb

NaU

N0.W

N0.S

No. 52

No. 31

Na SO

Na 49

Na 48

Na 47

No. 46
 Wmta ud Projectionr of the Labor Force and Civilha Employment

in tb USSR: 1950 to 2000, by Stephen Rapawy ~IXI

W.W d KiryLada
(198%) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . s f O . 0 0

No. 44 Impliationr of the of china's Population, by Judith Banister (1988) ........... S 5.00

No. 43 Ma~gemefItmd F i of R C I C U D
~ evelopment, and humtion
in the Soviet E l c c t m t Indumy,
~ by Lowan E N o l t h (1988) ............... $10.00
BibliopphydSovie<StuirdalIiradbook,byTimotbyEHcbntlr
(1988) [updated vwha d Staff Paper No. 3) ................................S L 5 N
No. 41 USSR: W m a t a and Pmjecths of the Population by Major
NatiodQ, S79 to 209,by W.Ward Kbgkade (1988) ........................ $10.00
No. 40 Fa* P b a h g in China Recent Trends, by Karen HardecUcavcland
and Judith B@stcr (1988) ..............................................S 10.00
No. 39

No. 38

No. 37 USSR: T h e B d p d e S y s t m o f ~ O r ~ a n d ~ i n
Indw&y&Oms&wh,byMwedithM. Heinunekr (1988). ..................S 5.00
No. 36 USSR Trends in Fael and Eocgy Consumption by Sect01 and Fuel, I
l 9 7 & ~ b y M u t b o w J . s a g c r slrtdAlb'iTrclyakon (1988) ..................S 10.00 I

No. 35 Agiq in the Third Wodd, by Kevin G. Kinselh (l988) ........................S 10.00
No. 34
No. 33 Eshates rrd Projectha d the Popdatba d the USSR: 1979 to 2025,
byw.w~d- (wn) ...........................................s lorn
No. 32 USSR: Motor Fbd Use ad Conscmtioa in T ~ p o r t a t ahnd A p d h e ,
1970 to 1984,by Albinr Tretyakova and B u y Kostinsky (1981) ..................S 10 00
No. 31 Chi- Consumer Demand Statistical Updue, by Jeffrey R. Taylor (1987) ..........S 13.00
No. 30 USSR: Coafflmption in the Housing rad Municipal Sector,
bg hhttbm J. Sagen rrd Albim TretyrLan (1987) ..........................S 1011)
No. 29 USSR: Entgy coaum* in the Chcahl, P e t r a c h c ~md
Petroleum RelWq Indmtrks, by Matthew J. Sagen and A l b h
Tretyakovr (1987) ...................................................S S 00

No. 28 Fuel and Enetgy Use in the Soviet Metdugy Industries, bp

Matthew J. Sagen and A I b i i Tretyakova (1987) .............................1 10 a0
NO. n Future implications of Alternative Family Planning Policies in China,
by John S. Aird (1986) ................................................ S 3 I)

 SderPttbrod-in- .. Countrim A Comparison of

Qurcterirtia f a Pnncc,West Germany, Japan, the United KiogQm,

and b e United Strter, by Peter 0. Way aud Ellen Jamison (1986) ................S U.00

N a 23
! Centnt A m d a n Mgratbx Past and Pmcnt,
by Linda S. Petcnon (1986) ............................................S 10.00
No. 24 A Bibliography d N d d Income Acawa@ in Chinq by
RebccaAHatch (1986) ..............................................S 5.00

N a 23 C h h Recent Tremh in H d h and Mortality,

..............................................$10.00

b y J u d i t h B m b r (1986)

No. 22

No. 2 l Demographic Wmter, Roj&ns, and Selected Social C h u a c t m

of the PopuWon of India, by Frank B. Hobbs (la) .........................S 10.00
No. a0 C a t Esthta f a the Soviet Oil Indusby: 1970 to 1990,
by Albiar TretyltrrPr and Mucdith Heinemeiu (1986) .......................S 10m
N a 19

N a 1% Cat Estbta tgl the Sovict Coal Industry 1970 to

bylUbhrrTtetprtavrandMucdithHeinemeier (1986) .......................f 1000
No. 17 sovbC Fotcigu Trade in FooQNlb: A Calorie M-
byVladimirG.Trcml (l986) ...........................................S 10il)

No. 16 Employment O u h S k f a Chiria to the Year 2300,

byJcffrcyR.Taylor (1986) .............................................. S 100

No. ls Urban-Rural PopuWon Projections for China, by Judith Banister (1986)

Report oafy...,.................................................... S LOO
RepasrwitbmediPnrwPMtout................................... S 111)
R e p a t with medium, ad low pmjaba printouts ....................... S UI

No, 14 N W Gu Liq* md the Soviet Gas Proc- Industry,

b y M a t t b e w 3 . m (1986) ...........................................$ 1 0 0

No. l3 197'7 Cmmmptim by krdprtrirl Sector d Ib USSR,

by M m (1986) .........................................S 10 0

N a 11 The Freight Rate Stmchwe on Soviet R a i h d q by Matthew J. Sagen

and Milford B. Green (m ...........................................s 9

No. 10 Civilirn Employment in the USSR: 1 9 9 to 1983, by

Stephen Rapawy (l985) ...............................................S 9

No. 9 Evaluation of Selected Sovict Population Statisticr, by

W. Ward Kingkade ( 1 q ............................................S

 No. 8 Reestimation of Gross Valuc of Industrial Output by Branch of

I Production for the People's Republic of China, 1952-1957,
• by Jeffrey R. Taylor (1983) ........................................S 5.00

No. 7 Components of Gross Investment in 1966 and 197'2Soviet

Input-Output Tables, by James W. Gillula (1984) ............................S 5.00

No. 6 Issues and ImpLications of the Aging Japanese Population,

by Peter 0. Way (1984) ............................................... $ 10.00
No. 5 A Compendium of Soviet Health Statistics, by Murray Fwhbach
(1985) ............................................................. $10.00

No. 4 Restructuring the Soviet Petroleum Refining Industry,

• by Matthew J. Sagers and Alb'ia Tretyakova (1985) ..........................S 10.00

No. 3 Bibliography of Regional Statistical Handbooks in the USSR, See SP

by Meredith M. Heinemeier (1984) ...................................... Na 42
No. 2 Refinery Throughput in the USSR, by Matthew J. Sagers (1984) ................. S 10.00

No. 1 Construction of a 1977 Input-Output Table,

by Dimitri M. Gallilt, et aL (1984) ........................................ S lODO