Past Speculation

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Speculating about past events

'It must have been a UFO.'


Imagine that you go to your friend's house, but when you knock on her door there is no
answer. You then notice that her car is not there, so the conclusion you come to is that
she must have gone out.

Let's take a look at that last part again: she must have gone out (must + have + past
participle)

This form is used when we are speculating about past events i.e. we don't know for sure
what happened, but have an idea.
In the above sentence must is a modal auxiliary verb which shows we are pretty sure
about what happened. If we are not so sure, we use 'She could have gone out' or 'She
might have gone out'.

Let's look at some other examples:

• 'Paul looks tired, he must have been out late last night.'
• 'I could have won the race if I had trained harder.'
• 'He might have gotten really sick if he hadn't started taking care of his
health.'
• 'She may have taken the day off, because I haven't seen her today.
• 'I saw a strange light in the sky last night. It could have been a UFO!'
Modal Verbs: Speculating about past events

1. SPECULATIONS ABOUT THE PAST


100 % certain
Affirmative Negative
We often speculate, or make “best
guesses”, about past situations
Must have Can’t have
based on facts that we have. The
Had to have Couldn’t have
modal that we choose depends on
May have Must not have
how certain we are about our
Might have May not have
speculation.
Could have Might not have
0% certain

The statues are very big.


When you are almost 100 percent Speculation
certain that something was possible,
use must have or had to have. · They must have been hard
to move.
The islanders were able to
carve the stone.
When you are less certain, use may Speculation
have, might have, or could have.
· The stone may have been
quite soft.

When you are almost 100


percent certain that
· The islanders couldn’t have moved
something was
the stone! It was too heavy.
impossible, use can’t
have or couldn’t have.
When you are slightly less · They must not have moved it
certain, use must not. without help.
Use may not have or · The islanders might not have
might not have when you moved the statues over land. They
are less certain. could have used boats.

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