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Chapter 1 - Introduction - SV

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39 views

Chapter 1 - Introduction - SV

Uploaded by

Thu Uyen
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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You are on page 1/ 18

9/7/2021

Chapter 1
Introduction

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 1

TERMS
Derivative: phái sinh
Forward contract: HĐ kỳ hạn
Future contract: HĐ tương lai, giao sau
Swap contract: HĐ hoán đổi
Option contract: HĐ quyền chọn
Transaction: Giao dịch
Embedded: Ghi nhận, đưa vào
Bid: giá mua, offer: giá bán, Master: chủ nhân
Central registry: Trung tâm đăng ký
Delivery price: Giá giao dịch
Long position: Vị thế mua, Short Position: Vị thế bán
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,
Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 2

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What is risk?
What all definitions [of risk] have in common is
agreement that risk has two characteristics:
Uncertainty: An event may or may not
happen.
Loss: An event has unwanted consequences
or losses

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 3

What is the financial risk?

The probability that an actual return on an investment


will be lower than the expected return.
Financial risk is divided into the following categories:
Basic risk, Capital risk, Country risk, Default risk,
Delivery risk, Economic risk, Exchange rate risk,
Interest rate risk, Liquidity risk, Operations risk,
Payment system risk, Political risk, Refinancing risk,
Reinvestment risk, Settlement risk

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 4

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What is risk management?


Risk management is the identification, evaluation,
and prioritization of risks followed by coordinated
and economical application of resources to
minimize, monitor, and control the probability or
impact of unfortunate events or to maximize the
realization of opportunities.
In the world of finance, risk management refers to
the practice of identifying potential risks in advance,
analyzing them and taking precautionary steps to
reduce/curb the risk.

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 5

What is a Derivative?
A derivative is an instrument whose value
depends on, or is derived from, the value of
another asset.
Examples: forwards, futures, swaps, options,
exotics…

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 6

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Why Derivatives Are Important


Derivatives play a key role in transferring risks in the
economy
The underlying assets include stocks, currencies, interest
rates, commodities, debt instruments, electricity, insurance
payouts, the weather, etc
Many financial transactions have embedded derivatives
The real options approach to assessing capital
investment decisions has become widely accepted

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 7

How Derivatives Are Traded


On exchanges such as the Chicago Board
Options Exchange (CBOE)
In the over-the-counter (OTC) market where
traders working for banks, fund managers
and corporate treasurers contact each other
directly

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 8

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The OTC Market Prior to 2008


Largely unregulated
Banks acted as market makers quoting bids and
offers
Master agreements usually defined how transactions
between two parties would be handled
But some transactions were handled by central
counterparties (CCPs). A CCP stands between the
two sides to a transaction in the same way that an
exchange does

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 9

Since 2008…
OTC market has become regulated. Objectives:
Reduce systemic risk (see Business Snapshot 1.2, page 5)
Increase transparency
In the U.S and some other countries, standardized
OTC products must be traded on swap execution
facilities (SEFs) which are similar to exchanges
CCPs must be used for standardized transactions
between dealers in most countries
All trades must be reported to a central registry

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 10

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9/7/2021

Size of OTC and Exchange-Traded Markets


(Figure 1.1, Page 5)

Source: Bank for International Settlements. Chart shows total principal amounts for
OTC market and value of underlying assets for exchange market
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition, Copyright
© John C. Hull 2014 11

The Lehman Bankruptcy (Business


Snapshot 1.1)

Lehman’s filed for bankruptcy on September 15, 2008.


This was the biggest bankruptcy in US history
Lehman was an active participant in the OTC derivatives
markets and got into financial difficulties because it took
high risks and found it was unable to roll over its short
term funding
It had hundreds of thousands of transactions outstanding
with about 8,000 counterparties
Unwinding these transactions has been challenging for
both the Lehman liquidators and their counterparties

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 12

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How Derivatives are Used


To hedge risks
To speculate (take a view on the future direction of
the market)
To lock in an arbitrage profit
To change the nature of a liability
To change the nature of an investment without
incurring the costs of selling one portfolio and
buying another

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 13

Foreign Exchange Quotes for GBP,


May 26, 2013 (See page 6)
Bid Offer
Spot 1.5541 1.5545

1-month forward 1.5538 1.5543

3-month forward 1.5533 1.5538

6-month forward 1.5526 1.5532

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 14

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Forward Price
The forward price for a contract is the delivery
price that would be applicable to the contract if
were negotiated today (i.e., it is the delivery price
that would make the contract worth exactly zero)
The forward price may be different for contracts
of different maturities (as shown by the table)

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 15

Terminology

The party that has agreed to buy has


what is termed a long position
The party that has agreed to sell has
what is termed a short position

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 16

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Example (page 6)
On May 6, 2013, the treasurer of a corporation
enters into a long forward contract to buy £1
million in six months at an exchange rate of
1.5532
This obligates the corporation to pay
$1,553,200 for £1 million on November 6, 2013
What are the possible outcomes?

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 17

Profit from a Long Forward Position


(K= delivery price=forward price at time contract is
entered into)

Profit

Price of Underlying at
K Maturity, ST

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 18

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Profit from a Short Forward Position


(K= delivery price=forward price at time contract is entered
into)
Profit

Price of Underlying
at Maturity, ST
K

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 19

Futures Contracts (page 8)


Agreement to buy or sell an asset for a certain
price at a certain time
Similar to forward contract
Whereas a forward contract is traded OTC, a
futures contract is traded on an exchange

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 20

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Exchanges Trading Futures


CME Group (formed when Chicago
Mercantile Exchange and Chicago Board of
Trade merged)
NYSE Euronext (being acquired by bteh
InterContinental Exchange)
BM&F (Sao Paulo, Brazil)
TIFFE (Tokyo)
and many more (see list at end of book)
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,
Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 21

Examples of Futures Contracts


Agreement to:
Buy 100 oz. of gold @ US$1400/oz. in
December
Sell £62,500 @ 1.5500 US$/£ in March
Sell 1,000 bbl. of oil @ US$90/bbl. in April

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 22

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1. Gold: An Arbitrage
Opportunity?
Suppose that:
The spot price of gold is US$1,400
The 1-year forward price of gold is US$1,500
The 1-year US$ interest rate is 5% per annum
Is there an arbitrage opportunity?
-

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 23

1. Gold: An Arbitrage
Opportunity?
Suppose that:
The spot price of gold is US$1,400
The 1-year forward price of gold is US$1,500
The 1-year US$ interest rate is 5% per annum
Is there an arbitrage opportunity?

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 24

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2. Gold: Another Arbitrage


Opportunity?
Suppose that:
- The spot price of gold is US$1,400
- The 1-year forward price of gold is US$1,400
- The 1-year US$ interest rate is 5% per annum
Is there an arbitrage opportunity?

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 25

The Forward Price of Gold


(ignores the gold lease rate)

If the spot price of gold is S and the forward


price for a contract deliverable in T years is F,
then
F = S (1+r )T
where r is the 1-year (domestic currency) risk-
free rate of interest.
In our examples, S = 1400, T = 1, and r =0.05
so that
F = 1400(1+0.05) = 1470

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 26

13
9/7/2021

1. Oil: An Arbitrage Opportunity?


Suppose that:
- The spot price of oil is US$95
- The quoted 1-year futures price of oil is
US$125
- The 1-year US$ interest rate is 5% per
annum
- The storage costs of oil are 2% per
annum
Is there an arbitrage opportunity?

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 27

2. Oil: Another Arbitrage


Opportunity?
Suppose that:
- The spot price of oil is US$95
- The quoted 1-year futures price of oil is
US$80
- The 1-year US$ interest rate is 5% per
annum
- The storage costs of oil are 2% per
annum
Is there an arbitrage opportunity?
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,
Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 28

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Options
A call option is an option to buy a certain asset
by a certain date for a certain price (the strike
price)
A put option is an option to sell a certain asset by
a certain date for a certain price (the strike price)

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 29

American vs European Options


An American option can be exercised at any
time during its life
A European option can be exercised only at
maturity

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 30

15
9/7/2021

Google Call Option Prices from CBOE (May 8, 2013; Stock


Price is bid 871.23, offer 871.37); See Table 1.2 page 9

Strike Jun 2013 Jun 2013 Sep 2013 Sep 2013 Dec 2013 Dec 2013
Price Bid Offer Bid Offer Bid Offer
820 56.00 57.50 76.00 77.80 88.00 90.30

840 39.50 40.70 62.90 63.90 75.70 78.00

860 25.70 26.50 51.20 52.30 65.10 66.40

880 15.00 15.60 41.00 41.60 55.00 56.30

900 7.90 8.40 32.10 32.80 45.90 47.20

920 n.a. n.a. 24.80 25.60 37.90 39.40

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 31

Google Put Option Prices from CBOE (May 8, 2013; Stock


Price is bid 871.23, offer 871.37); See Table 1.3 page 9

Strike Jun 2013 Jun 2013 Sep 2013 Sep 2013 Dec 2013 Dec 2013
Price Bid Offer Bid Offer Bid Offer

820 5.00 5.50 24.20 24.90 36.20 37.50

840 8.40 8.90 31.00 31.80 43.90 45.10

860 14.30 14.80 39.20 40.10 52.60 53.90

880 23.40 24.40 48.80 49.80 62.40 63.70

900 36.20 37.30 59.20 60.90 73.40 75.00

920 n.a. n.a. 71.60 73.50 85.50 87.40

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 32

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9/7/2021

Options vs Futures/Forwards
A futures/forward contract gives the holder
the obligation to buy or sell at a certain price
An option gives the holder the right to buy or
sell at a certain price

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 33

Types of Traders
Hedgers
Speculators
Arbitrageurs

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 34

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9/7/2021

Exercise 1
A one-year call option on a stock with a strike
price of $40 costs $4; a one-year put option on
the stock with a strike price of $40 costs $5.
Suppose that a trader buys two call options and
one put option. The breakeven stock price above
which the trader makes a profit is

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 35

Exercise 2
A one-year call option on a stock with a strike
price of $80 costs $6; a one-year put option on
the stock with a strike price of $80 costs $7.
Suppose that a trader buys three call options
and two put option. The breakeven stock price
below which the trader makes a profit is?

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,


Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 36

18

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