Growth of Private Commercial Banks in Bangladesh
Growth of Private Commercial Banks in Bangladesh
Growth of Private Commercial Banks in Bangladesh
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Md Ariful Islam
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Abstract: Now-a-days PCBs have succeeded to occupy a handsome portion of the total banking sector through their 23
years journey. For that matter, the study is done to verify how successfully PCBs have come across to today’s position.
After liberation in 1971 all banks except few foreign banks’ branches were nationalized and reorganized. But the step of
nationalization is viewed as a discouraging picture of NCBs because of some careless management activities. For that
reason, PCBs had appeared in 1982 in the banking sector to improve the NCBs’ performance as well as the overall
condition of the banking sector. The whole period has been segmented in to two parts and the growth of PCBs has been
tried to find out according to the segments. Firstly, the denationalization and privatization period (1982-1989) and secondly,
the financial liberalization period (1990-2004). We have tried to measure the growth of PCBs in the above mentioned time
periods. To ascertain the PCBs’ growth we have used their branch expansion, deposit mobilization capability and credit
deployment quality. With the help of these three components we can observe whether PCBs share in the total banking
sector has been increased. We have also inquired that whether the performance of PCBs is better than that of NCBs. The
study also covers NPL problems faced by the banks, and to what extent PCBs have recovered their NPL condition and what
should be the further action to restrain the problem. Though PCBs have been playing the leading position, with the largest
number of banks (30) in the banking sector, their overall performance is not as much appreciable as it should be. For that
reason, PCBs should behold their full concentration to overcome their shortcomings.
Keywords: Banking, Industry, Growth, Private Commercial, Financial Institution, Growth, Performance
ownership of banks, major industries and insurance of data, and technique of analysis are delineated below –
companies, which were privately owned during Pakistan Reference period: Since the introduction of PCBs
period. But Bangladesh Bank ‘s Nationalization order did have been introduced in our country in1983 so the
not specifically spell out the objectives of Nationalization reference period of the study is from the year 1983 to
due to the rapid increase in bad debt, overdue loans, the year 2004. We can divide the whole period into
irregularities in management and corruption among some two distinct sub groups to fulfill the objectives of the
of the members of the bank staff. study : (1) Denationalization and Privatization Period
In the early 1980 because of the failure of NCB’s and from the year 1983 to1989, (2): Financial
increasing activities of the growing private sector, the need Liberalization Period initiated by the “Financial
for allowing local private banks was keenly felt. This Sector Reform Project” (FSRP) in the year 1990.This
feeling became particularly strong after the disinvestment period is considered up to the year 2004 for this
of some public sector enterprises. Accordingly govt. particular study. The various data related to the study
decided to allow the operation of local private banks and to are used in this study are taken as on the month of
denationalize 2 out of 6 NCBs(namely Uttara Bank & June of each year. This is done in order to maintain
Pubali Bank) in 1982. The emergence for allowing PCBs the chronological order of data and consistency in the
was the desire on part of GOB(Government of Bangladesh) study.
to the objectives of: Number of Banks: There are 30 PCBs (including 2
1. To increase the competition in the banking sector. denationalization commercial banks and 5 Islamic
2. To reduce the deficit of government to meet the banks) in our country. In this study all the PCBs have
continuous loss of the public enterprises. been covered.
3. To improve the operating efficiency of the banking Sources of data: As the nature of the study dictates,
sector. the secondary sources of data (I.e., the published data)
4. To introduce competition in all spheres of economic have been used here. Hence, there is no need to collect
activities. any type of primary data or raw data. A good number
5. To ensure the flow of credit to different economic of sources of secondary data are used to meet the
sectors including the priority sectors. purposes of the present research work. The sources
6. To improve the customer service of the bank. included: Bangladesh Bank Bulletin, Scheduled Bank
7. To run forward to the way of globalization of the Statistics, Economic Trend published by Bangladesh
financial sector. Bank, various publications of the Ministry of Finance
Initially 5 banks were set up in private sector in 1982. (MOF), and different books, articles and seminar
With the setting up of a number of subsequent banks in this papers of home and abroad. Exact sources of data are
sector, the number of PCBs has stood up at 30 including 2 cited in the footnotes of each table.
denationalized commercial banks as on March, 2005. On Data analysis: for accurate analyses of data several
the basis of the above background, we can draw the type of ratios have been used. To analyze the trend of
following objectives of the study. commercial banks in terms of branch expansion,
deposit mobilization, credit deployment, the trend
1.2. Objectives of the Study lines (showing the relationship of the above variable
The vital objective of the study is to recognize and with time) have been fitted.
scrutinize the growth of PCBs in Bangladesh. This specific The trend equation is:
objective is the examination of the following pertinent Y’=a + bX
objectives:
• To examine the growth of PCBs in regard to branch Where,
expansion. Y’ (read as Y prime) = Dependent variable (e.g., branch
• To identify the growth of PCBs in regard to deposit expansion, deposit mobilization, credit deployment)
mobilization. X =The independent variable (time).
• To evaluate the growth of PCBs in regard to credit a = The Y-intercept. It is estimated as the value of Y
deployment. when T=0
• To assess the growth of PCBs in regard to credit b = The slope of the line
deposit ratio. The computer software named “MS-EXCEL 2000 “is
• To ascertain the trend of productivity and profitability used to draw the trend equation and relevant charts. Ratios
of PCBs. such as “Deposit credit Ratio”, “Productivity Ratio” etc.
• To compare the growth of PCBs in regard to NCBs. have been used as shown below:
Deposit credit Ratio
1.3. Methodology of the Study DCR = Total Deposit /Total Credit
The methodologies which have been chosen for this Productivity Ratio (Expenditure-Income Ratio)
study cover the reference period, number of banks, sources EI Ratio =Total Expenditure/Total Income
To find out the growth rate we have used the “Compound
International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences 2014; 2(1): 53-67 55
Deposit
3 0 .0 0 0
other activities of the banks are mainly dependent on the 2 0 .0 0 0
quantum of deposits, it can be referred to as the lubricant 1 0 .0 0 0
0 .0 0 0
that turns the wheels of the banking industry. Growth of
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
deposit with the banking system in any country is a
Ye a r
welcome phenomenon. It is particularly more important in
a capital scarce country because of the existence of Graph 2.2.1. Trend Equation of Deposit Mobilization by PCBs. Sources:
imbalance between the availability of funds and the Table 2.2.1.
demand for such funds. Our first attempt to find out the
growth of PCBs’ deposit mobilization by using the trend So it is very natural that with the expansion of time trend
equation, but before that at a glance the situation of PCBs line will also be upward linear trend, but in order to
deposit mobilization should demonstrate. ascertain how much growth it has attained, we need to find
PCBs were able to mobilize their deposit only by 1.39 out the growth rate of deposit mobilized by the PCBs
percent of total deposit mobilization in the initial stage of within the said period of time
denationalization and privatization period. They recovered
2.2.2. Growth Rate of Deposit Mobilization
the poor condition very swiftly and reached 26.99 percent
Here also we will take the formula of “Compound
of total deposit mobilization at the beginning of financial
Annual Growth Rate” to measure the growth rate of deposit
liberalization period. At present it is giving a much better
collected by PCBs over the period of 1984-2004.
position with a 42.86 percent of total deposit mobilization
In the year 1983-1986 the growth was extremely high
in the year 2004.
with 93.78 percent just because of the high expansion of
2.2.1. Trend Equation of Deposit Mobilization deposit mobilization to the year of privatization. But after
The table 2.2.1 shows the trend equation of deposits that deposit collection rate slowed down and started to
mobilized by the PCBs during the period of 1983-2004. increase 1 percent to 2 percent up to the year 1991.
Like all trend equation of branch expansion, this trend
Table 2.2.2.Growth Rate of Deposit Mobilization
equation is also having positive slope, which has been
found statistically significant. The figures in the table have Deposit
been found by calculating the amount of deposit mobilized Time Value of Deposit Value No. of Growth
by PCBs over the said period. Here “a” has been found Period Beginning Of End Period Year Rate(%)
10.9098 and “b” is 1.3199. And deposit mobilization has Period
been treated as the dependent variable denoted by “D” and 1984-1986 6.24 19.6 4 93.78
the equation stands:
1987-1989 20.93 24.51 3 5.349
D=10.9098+1.3199(T) 1990-1992 25.66 25.63 3 -0.039
Table 2.2.1. Trend Equation of Deposit Mobilization by PCBs 1993-1995 28.23 27.93 3 -0.352
deposits and its rate of growth over time were very poor.
20.000
The percentage share of urban deposit in total deposit was
10.000
0.000
1.39% in1983, went up to 20.89% in 1988 and then reached
-10.000 1984- 1987- 1990- 1993- 1996- 1999- 2002- 24.60% in 1993 and stayed almost stable till 2000. From
1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 the year 2001 the increasing trend was noticed and finally
Year in 2004 the percentage of urban deposit mobilization by
PCBs reached at 39.14 of total deposit of the banking sector.
Chart 2.2.2. Growth Rate of Deposit Mobilization. Sources: Table 2.2.2
In the context of share of rural branches in total number
A negative trend has been observed from the year 1992 of branches, the percentage share of the rural deposit in the
to 1996 and growth rate were -.039 and -.352 percent total deposit seems to be very low. The critical
respectively in those two years. PCBs deposit mobilization factor(among many others such as lower level of rural
capability improved with a low rate, 0.178 in the year 1999, income, lack of availability of appropriate assets to rural
just after the recession and tended to increase again and savers etc.) for the very low level of rural deposits in is the
achieved a stable positive trend. lack of motivation on the part of the rural bankers. If they
can be motivated properly then the growth rate of deposit in
2.2.3. Area Wise Mobilization of Deposit the rural sector of PCBs can also be improved within the
How far and how effectively the functional coverage of given constraints.
the commercial banks are spread geographically over time,
Table2.2.3. Rural-Urban distribution of Deposit of PCBs
50.00
40.00 privatization and denationalization till 2004. This almost
30.00 fixed growth rate is an indication that very little
20.00 concentration has been given to the rural areas for deposit
10.00
0.00
mobilization by the PCBs. And from the table 2.2.4 we can
also come to the conclusion that the urban-rural proportion
83
85
87
89
91
93
95
97
99
01
03
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
Year
deviation between them.
PCBs Urban PCBs Rural
Credit
30.00
1985 10.69 1996 28.37
20.00
1986 12.30 1997 29.98
10.00
1987 13.90 1998 31.59
1988 15.51 1999 33.20 0.00
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21
1989 17.12 2000 34.80
Time
Urban Period
Rural
1990 18.73 2001 36.41
1991 20.33 2002 38.02
Chart 2.3.3. Area Wise Credit Deployment. Source: Table 2.3.3
1992 21.94 2003 39.63
1993 23.55 2004 41.23 As a whole, chart 2.3.3 shows the overall trend of urban-
Source: Appendix Table 3 rural deployment of credit by the PCBs. It reveals that
proportion of urban credit was always higher than that of
rural credit. But in the year 85-86 both the proportion of
Trend Of Credit Of PCBs
urban and rural credit was in an increasing trend. But after
50 1990, the proportion of rural credit stared declining as a
40 result of deregulation and liberalization. So, it can be
Credit
The ratio of non-performing loans to total loans of all and total expenditure. Income and expenditure sources of
banks show an improving trend. In case of PCBs, the ratio the commercial banks may be grouped under two heads: (a)
of NPL has been continuously decreasing over the year and interest and (b) non-interest sources. In the terminology of
if they are able to maintain this trend then it will be a new commercial banking, the difference between interest
dimension for the PCBs. income and interest expenditure is known as ‘spread’ and
the difference between non-interest expenditure and non-
interest income is known as ‘burden’.
Comparative Position Of NPLs By Types Of Banks
Therefore, alternatively, profit is also defined as the
70 difference between ‘spread’ and ‘burden’. In common
60 parlance, productivity refers to the output per unit of input
50
employed. The measurement of productivity in a service
Billion Taka
40
30
industry like commercial banks is very difficult, because
20 identification and separation of input and output is not easy
10 in the commercial banks. Therefore two things must be
0 carefully observed: first, input and output must represent
-101996 1998 2000 2002 2004 total banking activity and second, both of them must be
Year
financial in nature.
NCBs DFIs PCBs FCBs Although there are various measure of profitability, the
best and widely used measure is return
Chart 2.4. Ratio of NPL to Total Loans by Type of Banks. Source:
onassets(ROA) ,which is supplemented by return on equity
Table:2.4
(ROE).
Recent Actiontowardsthe NPL Problems 2.5.1. Return on Assets(ROA) and Return on Equity(ROE)
The CPD Task Force (2003) has suggested the following Table 2.5.1 and 2.5.2 show ROA and ROE and chart
actions to be taken in order to address the NPL problems. 2.5.1 shows the aggregate position of these two indicators
Careful and strict vigilance must be maintained so that for all banks which reveal that the PCBs had an
no loan is turned bad or default. Toward this end, the inconsistent trend.
total loan process (sanction, monitor and recovery) is
to be made more balanced, effective and free from all Table 2.5.1. Return on assets(ROA)
sorts of influence.
For effective implementation of the new Money Loan Year NCBs DFIs PCBs FCBs Total
Court Act, all concerned parties specially bank 1997 0 -2.1 1.1 4.8 0.3
officers and authorities must be initiating best possible
1998 0 -2.8 1.2 4.7 0.3
efforts.
At the initiative of bank authorities, compromise 1999 0 -1.6 0.8 3.5 0.2
settlements may be tried outside the jurisdiction of
2000 0.1 -3.7 0.8 2.7 0
Money Loan Court Act – 2002.
No loan should be rescheduled for more than two 2001 0.1 0.7 1.1 2.8 0.7
times. 2002 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.4 0.5
Credit risk management should not be confined only
to loan disbursement through lending risk analysis. It 2003 0.1 0 0.7 2.6 0.5
should be extended to loan monitoring and finally to Sources: Bangladesh Bank Annual Report 2003-2004
recovery.
Debt Collection unit should be reorganized as loan Table 2.5.2.Return on Equity(ROE)
work out unit or each bank may establish loan work
out department for managing the problem loans. Year NCBs DFIs PCBs FCBs Total
Each bank is required to formulate a specific loan 1997 1.3 -29.1 24.4 38.2 7
recovery policy as a part of its credit policy.
1998 0.3 -36.3 26.8 40.7 6.6
The formation of Asset Management Company may
be considered for overcoming loan default problem. 1999 -1.1 -29.4 15.3 41.8 5.2
2.5. Trend of Profitability and Productivity of PCBs 2000 1.7 -68 17 27.3 0.3
Aggregate Profitability of All Banks From the above information we can observe the PCBs
60 expenditure to income ratio is showing an increasing trend
40 from last few years, i.e., the manage quality has been
20 deteriorated from the year 1996 to 2003.
0
-201996 1998 2000 2002 2004
-40 3. Comparative Performance Analysis
-60 between PCBS and NCBS
-80
Year Our banking financial institutions can be divided into 2
NCBs ROA NCBs ROE DFIs ROA DFIs ROE PCB ROA
PCB ROE FCBs ROA FCBs ROE subgroups, namely (1) commercial banks and (2)
specialized banks. Among the commercial banks there are
Chart 2.5.1. Aggregate Profitability of All Banks. Source: Table:2.5.1 and
another 3 groups (a) nationalized commercial banks, (b)
2.5.2
private commercial banks, (c) foreign commercial banks.
Earnings as measured by return on assets (ROA) and Currently, the banking sector of Bangladesh comprises of 4
return on equity (ROE) vary largely within the industry. nationalized commercial banks (NCBs), 5 government-
Table 2.5.1and 2.5.2 and chart 2.5.1 show the aggregate owned specialized banks (SBs) dealing with development
position of these two indicators for all banks in which we finance in specialized sectors, 30 private commercial banks
can notice the PCBs portion is much better than NCBs and (PCBs) and 10 foreign commercial banks (FCBs). The
DFIs in both cases. structure of the banking sector according to Bangladesh
Bank Annual Report 2003-2004 is:
2.5.2. Productivity
To measure the productivity, we have used the Table 3. Banking Structure in Bangladesh.
Expenditure-Income (EI)ratio which indicates the
soundness of bank’s management. Generally a high and Type of
NCBs PCBs FCBs SBs Total
Schedule Banks
increasing expenditure to income ratio indicates the
operating inefficiency that could be due to weaknesses in 2003-2004 4 30 10 5 49
management. The table 2.5.3 demonstrates the EI ratio of
all banks; Source: Bangladesh Bank Annual Report 2003-2004
3.1. Comparison on the Basis of Bank Branches term deposit, long term deposit etc. Both NCBs and PCBs
work as intermediary to collect deposits and lend it to the
First of all we have made an attempt to compare the clients.
performance of NCBs and PCBs covering their branch
expansion. According to Schedule Banks Statistics (April – Table 3.2.1. Deposits distributed by different category of banks: (in Billion
June, 2004) total 6236 branches were in operation in which Taka)
the area wise distribution of NCBs and PCBs are shown in
%of total %of total
the table 3.1. Time NCBs
deposit
PCBs
deposit
30000
3000
N O. OF
20000
2000 10000
1000 0
2003 2004
0
2003 2004 YEAR
In this study an attempt has been made for the The credit situation of PCBs is better than other types of
justification of the denationalization and privatization and banks and PCBs also managed to reduce the volume of
how successfully PCBs have contribute to improve the NPL in the recent year.
performance of commercial banks. Keeping in mind the The profitability of NCBs as well as the commercial
specific objective of the study, to examine the growth of banking sector went down from the level existing before
private commercial banks, the whole study has been the process of denationalization and privatization started,
arranged. To fulfill the objective, three major components though the absolute profit level of the commercial banks
have been focused, such as how far PCBs have expanded increased, which has proved that the intention of raising
their branches, to what extent they have mobilized deposits competition has been aborted.
and how effectively they have managed their credit The comparative performance between PCBs and NCBs
function. has given the indication that the performance of NCBs is
Some significant observations have been noted while still not satisfactory, may be because of numerous problems
analyzing the overall scenario of PCBs in Bangladesh. The such as political influence in loan decisions, excess
observations are enumerated as follows – manpower, poor salary and so on.
Within 21 years PCBs have established 30 banks with
1494 branches, which is comparatively almost 1/2 of NCBs 5. Conclusion and Recommendations
and around 24% of total branches in operation.
In the denationalization and privatization period, PCBs After having studied the growth of PCBs in Bangladesh,
contribution to the total banking sector was not at all it can be said that, after than capturing the highest
satisfactory from 1980s to mid-1990s, because of proportionate share of the banking sector, the PCBs
regulatory forbearance. So the denationalization and performance is not as much satisfactory as it should be.
privatization cannot be treated as victorious for PCBs as During 1980s PCBs performance was not satisfactory as it
well as overall banking sector. not only failed to achieve the desired efficiency of its own,
PCBs performance have started to be better after mid- but also was unsuccessful to improve the position of NCBs,
1990s, which have been manifested through significant which was thought to be improved. The Performance of
increase of PCBs share in overall banking operation. PCBs have started to be better after mid-1990s, which have
Consequently the financial performance of PCBs have also been manifested through significant increase of PCBs share
improved in the latter part of 1990s as well as 2004. So it in overall banking operations. Licensing a number of PCBs
can be said that in the financial liberalization period PCBs leading towards an expansion of branches all over the
have conquered their position that of denationalization and country, providing better salary and another advantages to
privatization period. their employees, improving competition among PCBs,
It was expected that the decision of denationalization and strict banking supervision have contributed largely for the
privatization had been able to raise the profitability of the matter of increasing the banking share of PCBs and their
NCBs and the commercial banking sector as a whole, but financial performance. But still there are some drawbacks
the profitability of NCBs deteriorated over the years since which are acting as the barrier to achieve the expected
the denationalization and privatization process started. performance of PCBs and for these reason some subject
The PCBs of the country are mainly focusing their matter can be recommendations can be made.
operation mainly in the urban areas. Hence, urban branches Recent reform measures should be maintain accordingly
(branches situated in the municipal areas) are getting more so that the existing problems of PCBs can be solved.
attention from the top management of the banks. Rural For a balanced banking business, rural areas or branches
branches always remain the objects of negligence on the must be given due emphasis as they can provide a
part of the PCBs. handsome portion of earnings.
It has been observed that the NCBs are holding the major Systematic and proper planning system should be
segment of the total bank deposits distribution. But the introduced to achieve expected goal.
monopoly of NCBs has changed with the inception of Political and other sorts of intervention should be
PCBs in the banking arena of Bangladesh from the year avoided to select project, for bank investment so that the
1983. proportion of NPL can be reduced further.
The growth rate of PCBs deposit was high enough up to Only improving the performance of PCBs cannot ensure
mid of the 1980s, but it declined and turned in to negative the efficiency of overall banking system. Therefore all out
growth just after the Financial Sector Reform Program efforts (especially political commitment of the government)
(FSRP) had launched in 1990. However, PCBs again had must be put in place for bringing financial discipline and
been able to attain a positive growth at the end of 1990s efficiency in the NCBs, so that the development of the
which continued till 2004 overall banking system can be ensured.
International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences 2014; 2(1): 53-67 65
Source: Bangladesh Bank Annual Report, various issue. Appendix Table 4. AREA WISEDISTRIBUTION OFDEPOSITS
SOURCE: SCHEDULED BANKS STATISTICS (From June’83 SOURCE: SCHEDULED BANKS STATISTICS (From June’83
toJune’04) toJune’04)
66 Md. Ariful Islam et al.: Growth of Private Commercial Banks in Bangladesh