Assumptions:: Simple LBO Model - Key Drivers and Rules of Thumb

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Simple LBO Model - Key Drivers and Rules of Thumb

($ in Millions)

Assumptions:

(+) Company's Existing Equity: $ 520 Call Premium on Existing Debt: 110.0%
(+) Company's Existing Debt: 500
(+) Call Premium on Debt: 50 Existing Debt / EBITDA: 5.0 x
(-) Company's Existing Cash: (20) Implied EBITDA Purchase Multiple: 10.5 x
Purchase Enterprise Value: $ 1,050

Purchase Price: $ 1,050 EBITDA Exit Multiple: 11.0 x


% Debt: 50.0%
Debt Used: 525 Year 0 Revenue: $ 250
Equity Contribution: 525 Annual Revenue Growth Rate: 10.0%
Annual EBITDA Margin: 40.0%
Initial Cash Balance: $ 20
Interest Rate: 10.0% D&A % Revenue: 3.0%
Tax Rate: 40.0% CapEx % Revenue: 4.5%
Change in WC % Change in Revenue: (15.0%)
Income Statement: Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Revenue: $ 250 $ 275 $ 303 $ 333 $ 366 $ 403

EBITDA: 100 110 121 133 146 161

(-) Depreciation & Amortization: (8) (9) (10) (11) (12)


(-) Interest: (53) (50) (48) (44) (39)

Pre-Tax Income: 49 62 76 92 109


(-) Taxes: (20) (25) (30) (37) (44)
Net Income: $ 30 $ 37 $ 45 $ 55 $ 66

Cash Flow Projections: Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5

Net Income: $ 30 $ 37 $ 45 $ 55 $ 66

(+) Depreciation & Amortization: 8 9 10 11 12


(+/-) Change in Working Capital: (4) (4) (5) (5) (5)
(-) CapEx: (12) (14) (15) (16) (18)

Free Cash Flow: 22 28 36 44 54


Cash Flow Used for Debt Repayment: 22 28 36 44 54

Debt Balance: 525 503 475 439 395 341


Cash Balance: 20 20 20 20 20 20

Returns Attribution Analysis: Exit Calculations:


EBITDA Growth: $ 641 Exit Enterprise Value: $ 1,772
Multiple Expansion: 81 (-) Debt: (341)
Debt Paydown and Cash Generation: 204 (+) Cash: 20
Return to Equity Investors: $ 926 Equity Proceeds: $ 1,451

Money-on-Money (MoM) Multiple: 2.8 x


Internal Rate of Return (IRR): 22.5%

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