Department of Science and Technology: Republic of The Philippines

Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 2

Tropical Depression “LANNIE”
Issued at 8:00 AM, 04 October 2021
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 AM today
TROPICAL DEPRESSION “LANNIE” IS NOW OVER THE SURIGAO STRAIT AND ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL
IN THE VICINITY OF SOUTHERN LEYTE.
Location of Center (7:00 AM)
The center of Tropical Depression “LANNIE” was

estimated based on all available data over the
coastal waters of Liloan, Southern Leyte (10.1°N,
125.3°E)
Intensity
Maximum sustained winds of 45 km/h near the center,
gustiness of up to 55 km/h, and central pressure of
1002 hPa
Present Movement
West northwestward at 15 km/h

Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong winds or higher extend outwards up to
200 km from the center
TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST
Center Position Intensity Movement
dir. and
Date and Time Lat. Lon. MSW
Location Cat. speed
(°N) (°E) (km/h) (km/h)
12-Hour Forecast
5:00 PM 10.6 122.5 Over the coastal waters of Jordan, Guimaras 45 TD WNW 30
04 October 2021
24-Hour Forecast
5:00 AM 11.4 120.3 Over the coastal waters of Linapacan, Palawan 55 TD W 20
05 October 2021
36-Hour Forecast
5:00 PM 12.3 118.4 200 km West of Coron, Palawan 55 TD NW 20
05 October 2021
48-Hour Forecast
5:00 AM 13.3 116.9 465 km West of Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro 65 TS WNW 15
06 October 2021
60-Hour Forecast
5:00 PM 14.5 115.7 495 km West of Subic Bay 65 TS NW 15
06 October 2021
72-Hour Forecast
505 km West of Iba, Zambales
5:00 AM 15.7 115.3 75 TS NNW 10
(outside the PAR)
07 October 2021
96-Hour Forecast
560 km West of Sinait, Ilocos Sur
5:00 AM 17.8 115.1 85 TS N 10
(outside the PAR)
08 October 2021
120-Hour Forecast
745 km West of Calayan, Cagayan
5:00 AM 19.4 114.4 95 STS NNW 10
(outside the PAR)
09 October 2021
Page 1 of 3
Prepared by: RPG Checked by: SFD
WFFC, BIR Road, Diliman, Quezon City (02) 8284-0800 ext. 805 bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
Weather Division

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS IN EFFECT

TCWS No. Luzon Visayas Mindanao
The southern portion of Masbate
(Pio V. Corpuz, Cataingan, Palanas, Eastern Samar, Samar, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat
Dimasalang, Uson, Mobo, Milagros, Biliran, Leyte, Southern Islands, the northern
Mandaon, Esperanza, Placer, Cawayan, Leyte, Capiz, Aklan, portion of Agusan del Norte
Balud), the southern portion of (Magallanes, Remedios T.
Antique, Iloilo, Guimaras, Romualdez, City of Cabadbaran,
Romblon (Cajidiocan, San Fernando, Negros Occidental, the Tubay, Santiago, Jabonga,
1 Magdiwang, Santa Maria, Odiongan,
Alcantara, Ferrol, Looc, Santa Fe, San
northern and central
portions of Negros
Kitcharao, Butuan City), the
(Strong winds Jose), the southern portion of northern portion of Agusan
prevailing or Oriental (Bais City, Mabinay, del Sur (Sibagat, City of
Oriental Mindoro (Roxas, Mansalay, City of Bayawan, Basay, City
expected within Bulalacao, Bongabong), the southern Bayugan, Prosperidad), and the
36 hours) of Tanjay, Manjuyod, Bindoy,
portion of Occidental Mindoro Ayungon, Tayasan, Jimalalud,
northern portion of Surigao
(Sablayan, Calintaan, Rizal, San Jose, La Libertad, City of del Sur (San Miguel, Marihatag,
Magsaysay), and the northern portion Guihulngan, Vallehermoso, San Agustin, Cagwait, Bayabas,
of Palawan (El Nido, Taytay, Dumaran, Canlaon City), Cebu, and Tago, City of Tandag, Cortes,
Lanuza, Carmen, Madrid,
Araceli) including Calamian and Cuyo Bohol Cantilan, Carrascal, Lianga)
Islands.
Page 2 of 3
Weather Division

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall
 Today through tomorrow morning, moderate to heavy with at times intense rains are likely over Visayas, Bicol
Region, MIMAROPA, CALABARZON, and Caraga Region. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains are also
possible over Metro Manila, Bulacan, Bataan, and the rest of Mindanao.
 Under these conditions, scattered flooding (including flash floods) and rain-induced landslides are possible
especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazard as identified in hazard maps
Severe Winds
 Strong winds (i.e., strong breeze to near gale conditions) with occasional gusts will be experienced within any of the
areas where Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal #1 is in effect during the passage of the tropical depression. This may
generally cause up to very light damage to structures and vegetation.
 The enhanced easterly flow north of the tropical depression may also bring occasionally gusts reaching strong
breeze to near gale in strength over Extreme Northern Luzon and the coastal and upland/mountainous areas of the
eastern section of Luzon in the next 24 hours.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
In the next 24 hours, “LANNIE” will bring moderate to rough seas over the coastal waters of the country, especially in
areas where TCWS #1 is in effect. These conditions are risky for those using small seacrafts. Mariners are advised to
take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigating in these conditions.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
 Landfall areas in the past 3 hours: Bucas Grande Island, Socorro, Surigao del Norte (4:30 AM); Cagdianao, Dinagat
Islands (5:00 AM).
 On the forecast track, the tropical depression will move generally west northwestward over the Visayas archipelago
until tonight or tomorrow early morning, when it is expected to emerge over the Sulu Sea and cross the Cuyo
archipelago. Afterwards, the depression may make another landfall in the vicinity of northern Palawan or Calamian
Islands tomorrow morning before emerging over the West Philippine Sea a couple of hours later. Throughout this
entire period, “LANNIE” is forecast to remain within tropical depression category, with a possibility of slight
intensification once over the Sulu Sea or West Philippine Sea.
 By late Tuesday through early Thursday, “LANNIE” is forecast to move generally northwestward over the West
Philippine Sea. Improvement in environmental conditions will allow the depression to intensify. It may likely be
upgraded into a tropical storm by Wednesday early morning.
 “LANNIE” is forecast to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility on Thursday morning. Outside the PAR, the cyclone
is forecast to turn more north northwestward while heading towards southern mainland China. It will continue
intensifying during this period and may reach severe tropical storm category by Saturday morning.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to
take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly
susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall
warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please
monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 11:00 AM today.
DOST-PAGASA Page 3 of 3

Department of Science and Technology: Republic of The Philippines

Uploaded by

Copyright:

Available Formats

Department of Science and Technology: Republic of The Philippines

Uploaded by

Document Information

Original Title

Copyright

Available Formats

Share this document

Share or Embed Document

Sharing Options

Did you find this document useful?

Is this content inappropriate?

Copyright:

Available Formats

Department of Science and Technology: Republic of The Philippines

Uploaded by

Copyright:

Available Formats

Republic of the Philippines

DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 2

The center of Tropical Depression “LANNIE” was

West northwestward at 15 km/h

Prepared by: RPG Checked by: SFD

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 2

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS IN EFFECT

Prepared by: RPG Checked by: SFD

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 2

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS

HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS

TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK

The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 11:00 AM today.

Prepared by: RPG Checked by: SFD

You might also like

Pfad - The Proxy pFad of © 2024 Garber Painting. All rights reserved.