Section I. High-Growth Strategy of Marshall, Company Financing and Its Potential Stock Price Change
Section I. High-Growth Strategy of Marshall, Company Financing and Its Potential Stock Price Change
It has
various products from standard and customized sensors, resistance temperature detectors,
temperature transmitters, and bearing temperature probes. It has a wide coverage of users
with in different industries from oil and gas, automotive, food to aerospace. The company
was initially financed with internal cash flows, however, in order to meet its rapid growth and
being competitive, the company starts to go IPO in year 2011 and issuing equity as well as
generating capital from banks. Sensor industry in the United States is a very competitive
market and there are numerous sensor suppliers. To gain competitive advantages, it is
necessary for companies such as Burton Sensors to initiate a close relationship with its
customers and offer them customized products based on customer needs. Customer-oriented
strategy leads to high inventory costs for sensor companies, as well as high research and
development costs.
Section I. High-growth strategy of Marshall, company financing and its potential stock
price change
In order to evaluating whether Marshall should purchase the new thermowell machines, it is
necessary to calculate the NPV of the project (Table 3). A positive NPV indicates that the
return of the investment is higher than the cost and the project is profitable in general.
As it is mentioned in the case, it is hard to calculate the equity beta for Burton Sensors. By
looking at the comparative data for four publicly traded sensor manufacturers, i.e. the beta,
debt, equity of TEL, AME, OPS and CYBE. respectively. Taking the data of these four
comparative companies into account. In addition, as is mentioned by Marshall in the case, she
has her own target leverage ratio and want to have the ratio of total interest-bearing debt to
the book value of equity at approximately 1:1. Hence, in the case of lacking market data on
the stock prices of Burton, it is necessary to estimate its beta according to the data of four
comparative publicly traded sensor manufacturers. The average weighted equity beta is
approximately 1.5 (Table 3).
The total cost of four new thermowell machines are $600,000 and machines have an
economic life of 7 years. There are also costs for hiring two operators with a total annual cost
of $170,000. Additional costs for materials and warehouse rents are $780,000 annually. Also,
the average net working capital will increase by $650,000. Moreover, lacking of the new
thermowell machines, the current equipment allowed to fulfill only half of Burton’s
production and the company had to spent $1.4 million to purchase thermowells. In
purchasing the thermowell machines, the company would save $1400000 in year 2016.
Considering the immediate cash inflow and inventory increase, using t=6 to calculate cash
inflow in 7 years, using the discount rate equals WACC = 7.49%, NPV = 41465 > 0.
Therefore, the company should purchase the new thermowell machines since the project NPV
is larger than 0.
Section III. Raising Capital by Issuing New Common Stock by Private Placement
In order to raise additional equity capital to support its projected sales growth and being
competitive in R&D for new product development, Marshall shall consider raising capital by
issue new common stocks. However, Currently, the stock of Burton is traded OTC, and
almost all shares are hold by Marshall, her family, and employees and other retail investors,
which means it is unlikely for Burton to raise capital via stock issuance OTC. In order to
facilitate the growth of the company, accepting the offer by a private investor, 450,000 shares
at $3.5 per share would be the only option (Table 4).
Taking the average stock price of $4.75, the private placement deal asks Marshall to issue
stocks at 73.7% discount of the market price, $3.5 per share. According to the income
statement of Burton, the number of common shares is 1,500,000, the total market
capitalization of Burton Sensors is 4.75*1500000=7.125 million, after the issue of 450,000
common shares to the private investor and additional 50,000 shares to the consulting firm that
broker the deal, the total number of common shares is 2,000,000, with a market capitalization
of $8.875 million. The new share price would be 8.875/2= $4.4375 (Table 4).
Therefore, the issue of new common stocks will increase the total common share numbers in
the balance sheet to be 2 million. The total market capitalization will be $8.875 million. The
existing shareholders will face a dilution of their shares. The new share price will be $4.4375.
The issue of new shares will reduce the existing shareholder’s ownership in the company.
After the issue of 450,000 common shares to the private investor and additional 50,000 shares
to the consulting firm, there are in total 2,000,000 shares, while the newly issued share
accounts 25% of the total shares, meaning the new private investor will have 22.5% control
of the company. This may add the difficulties in the future company governance and
management. Moreover, employees might not be happy as their share value decreases.
There are two important factors in considering whether Marshall shall acquire Electro-
Engineering, Inc. First, the business of EE should be taken into account together with
Burton’s business. Whether there is a synergistic effect after the acquisition. Second,
financially, fair value of the acquisition deal should be calculated to see if it has a positive
NPV.
From the products and business operation perspective, EE focuses on fiber-optic sensors and
has a unique technology to construct probes from low-cost materials, making its sensors
cheaper and maintain longer utilization period. Currently, Burton has no business in the fiber-
optic sensor segment and acquiring EE should help it expanding into this new segment and
diversify its existing product line as well as broaden its customer base, hence to reduce
market risks. In addition, Marshall thinks that the distribution network of Burton will help
improve the current operation effectiveness of EE and help it gain more profit.
Financially, according to data in the case, the SG&A expenses will decrease from 26.54% to
23.86%, the sales growth is 24%, 17.5%,15%, 12% and 10% in year 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020
respective, COGS will decrease from 51% to 49%, and accounts payable increases to 4.5% of
sales in year 2017 and maintain the same level until year 2021. Projected income statement
and balance sheet have been attached with assumptions in table 5. The R&D expense of the
company from year 2017 to year 2021 remains at the same level of year 2016, 5.4%, and the
depreciation and amortization level remains the same at 5.06% in 5 years. The forecast driver
of inventory is cost of goods sold, with the forecast ratio of 23.05% in the forecasted 5 years.
In calculating the working capital, it is assumed that the working capital is non-cash working
capital and it is calculated as : Working Capital = Accounts Receivable – Accounts Payable +
Inventory. In addition, the capital expenditure included in calculating the free-cash-flow is
formulated as: Capital Expenditure = Net PP&E (current year) – Net PP&E (prior year) +
Depreciation and Amortization. Additionally, the capital expenditure from year 2017 to year
2021 is assumed in a rolling base. WACC is used as the discount rate to calculate the
enterprise value of the company. The EV of EE is $3,772,000 and its fair value is $3,544,000,
meanings its NPV is positive, and Marshall shall acquire EE (table 5).
Both business analysis and financial analysis indicate that Marshall should acquire Electro-
Engineering, Inc. in order to improve and diversify its products, broaden its customer-base,
and achieve a synergistic effect.
Even if the NPV of the acquisition is zero, Marshall should still proceed the deal. A zero
NPV means that the investment or the acquisition earns a rate of return equal to the discount
rate. There are business strategies other than pure financial consideration should been taken
into account. For instance, Marshall has a broaden strategy to enter into a new segment and
diversify products. Moreover, zero NPV might change, as WACC calculated is the status quo
of the company and there are assumptions as well, indicating that the calculated NPV might
not be the same as the actual NPV in practice. Therefore, even if the NPV equals zero, the
deal should still be proceeded.
Section V. Whether the acquisition allow EE to gain enough funding to invest in the
purchase of thermowell machines
Yes, the acquisition allows EE to gain enough funding to invest in the purchase of
thermowell machines. According to the deal proposed by the owner of EE, he is willing to
sell all equity for 10x of the company’s 2016 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and
amortization (EBITDA). The EBITDA of year 2016 equals $686,600, and 10 times equal
$6.866 million, which is the acquisition price of EE. There are in total 1.1 million number of
common shares of EE, hence, the share price of EE is $6.866/1.1=$6.24, higher than the
Burton’s common share price, $4.75. EE gains $6,866,000 from the acquisition more than the
cost of purchasing thermowell machines of $600,000, with additional personnel costs of
$170,000 annually, and costs of additional materials and warehouse space $780,000 annually.
Appendix
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
2015 2016
-20%
Figure 1 Growth rate of net sales of publicly traded sensor manufacturers from year 2014 to
year 2016
Return of 4.80%
debt
WACC 7.49%
Cost of 600000
Machine
Economic 7 years (Taking
life of t=6)
machine
payment to 170000
operators
costs for 780000
additional
materials
and
warehouse
Increase in 650000
working
capital
Net Cash -300000
flow
Saving cost 1400000
(spending
on
purchasing)
NPV 41465.77
Table 3 Calculation of purchasing the thermowell machines
reduce its selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses from 26.54% to
23.86% annually
grow its sales by 24% in 2017, 17.5% in 2018, 15% in 2019, 12% in
2020, and 10% in 2021
reduce its costs of goods sold
from 51% to 49%
accounts payable would increase to 4.5% of sales and remain
at that level
100% equity holdings for 10 times 2016 earnings before interest, taxes,
depreciation, and amortization
valued at $4.75 a share.
Income Projected
Statement
($000s) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Sales 2944.9 3566.3 4,072. 5050.1 5933.9 6824.0 7642.8 8407.1
70 48 24 12 94 83
COGS (%) 51% 49% 49% 49% 49% 49%
COGS 1,525.00 1,811.70 2085. 2474.5 2907.6 3343.7 3745.0 4119.5
2 73 23 66 18 2
Gross 1,987. 2,575. 3,026. 3,480. 3,897. 4,287.
profit 50 58 30 25 88 66
Balance Projected
Sheet
($000s) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Accounts 485.9 592 680.1 848.42 1002.8 1160.0 1306.9 1446.0
Receivable 49 33 82 35 36
Accounts 16.50% 16.60% 16.70 16.80 16.90 17.00 17.10 17.20
Receivable % % % % % %
(%)
Inventory 279.8 413.7 480.6 570.34 670.15 770.67 863.15 949.47
32 32 62 73 31
Inventory 18.35% 22.83% 23.05 23.05 23.05 23.05 23.05 23.05
(%) % % % % % %
/COGS
Accounts 126.6 153.4 175.1 227.25 267.02 307.08 343.93 378.32
payable 67 66 06 02 33
Accounts 4.50% 4.50% 4.50% 4.50% 4.50%
payable %
(4.5% of
sales)
Working 639.1 852.3 985.6 1191.5 1405.9 1623.6 1826.1 2017.1
Capital 11 6 78 62 85
Change in -213.2 -133.3 - - - - -
working 205.91 214.44 217.71 202.48 191.02
capital 1 8 8 4 3
Note:
working capital calculation is supposed to be non-cash working capital,which is calculated
as AR - AP + Inventory
FCF Projected
($000s) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Net income 189.1 279.9 300.3 535.40 631.22 727.73 816.51 899.38
28 55 25 9 64
Depreciatio 142.2 196.9 206.1 255.53 300.25 345.29 386.73 425.40
n and 75 65 5 04 35
amortizatio
n
Change in -213.2 -133.3 - - - - -
working 205.91 214.44 217.71 202.48 191.02
capital 1 8 8 4 3
Capital 287.1 346.6 316.85 316.85 326.76 320.15 321.25
Expenditur 67 56 74
e
FCF 402.9 293.1 680.00 829.08 963.97 1085.5 1194.5
17 04 89 78 56
Note:
Capital Expenditure rolling
assumption
Valuation Projected
($000s) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Time 1 2 3 4 5
FCF 293.1 680.00 829.08 963.97 1085.5 1194.5
17 04 89 78 56
WACC 7.49% 7.49% 7.49% 7.49% 7.49%
(discount
rate)
Discount 1.0749 1.1554 1.2419 1.3349 1.4349
Factor 1 5 72 62
Discounted 632.61 717.56 776.18 813.18 832.46
86 38 16 4 53
EV 3772.013
3
Net Debt 227.7
Fair Value 3544.313
3
EBITDA 686.6
10x 6866
Table 5 Evaluation of Acquisition deal of Electro-Engineering, Inc