TITLE PAGE

Jammu-Kashmir and
COVID-19
Subject: Mathematics
 DECLARATION PT.1

CASE STUDY ON COVID-19 IN J&K

ACADEMIC YEAR 2020-21

SUBMITTED IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENT OF:

CENTRAL BOARD OF SECONDARY EDUCATION,DELHI

NAME: TEJO MUKESH V

ENROLLMENT NO.:

Under the guidance of Ms LAKSHMI KARTHIKA

BHARATH VIDYA MANDIR SENIOR SECONDARY SCHOOL ,ILANJI-627 805

 DECLARATION PT.2

BHARATH VIDYA MANDIR SENIOR SECONDARY SCHOOL (CBSE),ILANJI

MATHEMATICS-INTEGRATION PROJECT

2020-2021

STUDY ON CORONAVIRUS DISEASE(2019) IN JAMMU-KASHMIR

SUBMITTED BY:

NAME : TEJO MUKESH V

CLASS : XI

REGISTER NUMBER :
 DECLARATION PT.3

BHARATH VIDYA MANDIR SENIOR SECONDARY SCHOOL, ILANJI

SCHOOL CODE:

PROJECT WORK IN MATHEMATICS

NAME : CLASS :

CBSE REGISTER NUMBER: YEAR OF STUDY:

Valued by Principal Name & Signature of

(External Examiner) faculty in charge

 DECLARATION PT.4

BHARATH VIDYA MANDIR,ILANJI(AffilIated to the Central Board of Secondary Education)New Delhi

SCHOOL CODE:

BONAFIDE CERTIFICATE

This is to certify that the integration work has been carried out genuinely with the collection of original data from
various fields and it is presented with full dedication. The integrative project has been completed solely by V TEJO
MUKESH of CLASS XI, BHARATH VIDYA MANDIR SENIOR SECONDARY SCHOOL,ILANJI regarding the project titled
“COVID-19 IN JAMMU & KASHMIR”.

SIGNATURE OF THE GUIDE PRINCIPAL

(Contd.)

Submitted during the academic year 2020-2021 in partial fulfilment of Mathematics practical examination
conducted by the All India Senior Secondary Examination held on at BHARATH VIDYA
MANDIR SENIOR SECONDARY SCHOOL,ILANJI

Internal examiner External examiner

 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Firstly, I would like to thank the Lord for enabling to me to complete this project
successfully. I would like to pay my special regards to Ms Lakshmi Kartika and Ms Vanitha. It
is whole-heartedly appreciated that your great advice proved monumental towards the
success of this study. I wish to express my deepest gratitude to my friends and family for
providing me their undying support throughout the duration of this project. I am indebted to
all the rest of the teachers who due to length constraints cannot be named here, but without
whom I wouldn’t have been able to complete this assignment.

And lastly, I would like to thank myself for taking up this project and doing it in its
entirety, and for sparing myself no trouble in doing so.
 TABLE OF CONTENTS

CONTENTS
❏ ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
❏ INTRODUCTION
❏ COVID-19 TIMELINE IN JAMMU AND KASHMIR
❏ THE CURRENT SCENARIO
❏ IN CONCLUSION
❏ REFERENCES
INTRODUCTION
I can say with reasonable confidence that anyone who is reading this will be
aware of the existential crisis we’re currently facing. The Novel Coronavirus
Disease-2019 has wreaked havoc not just for our country, but for the entire planet. It
serves as a threat to the very existence of our species. Such a situation was
unimaginable when the year had just begun and we were all looking forward to the
new decade. Today we face an extraordinary situation, and it is up to us to assess the
problem in the hope of finding a solution and ending this pandemic through strategic
and timed lockdowns. Therefore, let us take a brief look at the circumstances we are
facing today. In the process, let us also explore how graphical representation of data
is useful in drawing conclusions.
 Although all parts of our country have
been vastly affected, here we will be taking a
deep dive into the situation at Jammu and
Kashmir, the North-most state of India and the
subject of various controversies, even before
the pandemic. Before we look at Kashmir from
the COVID-19 angle, let us look at its history in
brief to get some context.

Since India’s independence in 1947, the

state of Kashmir has been the subject of
political unrest, both in the borders and the
mainland. On the one hand, the mainland has
had civil unrest due to terror attacks, corruption
and religious terrorism.
Notice that the Northern part of the border has
been distorted.(source)
 On the other hand, both the parties(Pakistan and India) have conducted attacks on each
other, in J&K. Pakistan eyes India’s land and India loves to make a show of power. Amidst all
this, the abrogation of Article 370(albeit having good motives) created even more unrest and the
state was in complete turmoil.

These events(among other factors) set the stage for the severity of Coronavirus in Jammu
and Kashmir, when compared to other parts of India.

From the table below we can see that the rate of spread of the virus in Kashmir is higher
than the severity of the average state in India.(For source, see this page .)

Location Cases per million people

INDIA 7,503

JAMMU & KASHMIR 9,573

 COVID-19 The first case of the COVID-19 pandemic in India
was reported on 30 January 2020, originating from China. 2
TIMELINE IN J&K suspected cases with high virus load were detected and
isolated on 4 March in Government Medical College,
Jammu. One of them became the first confirmed positive
case on 9 March 2020. Both individuals had a travel history
to Iran.

In the following page is attached a graph of the

timeline of COVID-19 cases in Jammu and Kashmir. From
this graph, the following conclusions can be drawn:

➔ Death rate is relatively low when compared to the

recovery rate.
➔ The month with the highest number of active cases
is September, following which there is a steady
downfall.
SOURCE
 There are a total of six testing centres for the Coronavirus Disease in Jammu and
Kashmir. The data obtained from these centres is represented here:

Tests Done – 36,10,000 | Number of Positive Cases - 120,000

`
From this graph the following is observed:

➔ Rate of testing positive for the virus is low(not considering moral factors), at 3.3%
of the total number of people tested.
➔ Although a remarkable number of people were tested, the total number is still
less than a quarter of the population of J&K, which stands at more than
1,25,00,000.
➔ The graph does, however, give us a pretty good idea of the overall spread of the
virus in the state.
 THE CURRENT SCENARIO
On the following page is attached a graph giving the details of the current
COVID-19 case count. From this graph can be concluded the following:

❏ Death toll is relatively low when compared to the recovery rate(in line with the
conclusion of previous data).
❏ The number of active cases has reduced to 3,133(SOURCE), the lowest since
July.
❏ If the newly discovered mutant of the n-Coronavirus can be neglected, it is highly
probable that the pandemic will come to an end very soon in Jammu-Kashmir.
COVID-19 CASES IN J&K AS OF 29 DEC,2020(SOURCE)
 IN CONCLUSION
We have through this study, made an assessment of the spread of the
Coronavirus disease and are now in a position to make practical predictions for the
foreseeable future of the spread of the virus. We have observed that the cases surged
most prominently in the earliest period of the pandemic and has come close to a
crunch in the more recent months. It is highly probable that the pandemic is coming to
an end.

While the data at hand right now is very useful in making these predictions, we
can not be completely sure how the coming months will play out, since there are many
other factors to this.
 With the vaccine in sight and the shrinking spread of the virus, the odds grow
even more in our favor.

However, with the discovery of the mutant Coronavirus, the probability that the
pandemic hasn’t ended yet increases. As you can see, there are a lot of other factors
that we haven’t discussed and probably even more that haven’t even been discovered
yet.

All in all, we see that using graphical representations of data is really useful for
Research and Development, even if the dependencies in this case aren’t totally clear.
The added advantage is that such data is legible even to a layman. At any rate, such
representations give us a good idea of the circumstances and show us a way to move
forward in this period of unrest.
 GRATITUDE

THANK YOU!
A CASE STUDY BY TEJO MUKESH

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 REFERENCES

References
https://news.google.com/covid19/

https://covidindia.org/jammu-and-kashmir/#

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_Jammu_and_Kashmir

https://geology.com/world/india-satellite-image.shtml

All graphs were drawn on https://www.rapidtables.com/