Research and Analysis Project: (Date)
Research and Analysis Project: (Date)
ANALYSIS
PROJECT
PART-1 ......................................................................................................................................... 6
Part-2......................................................................................................................................... 15
Information .................................................................................................................... 16
Financial Analysis:......................................................................................................... 18
Horizontal Analysis: ....................................................................................................... 18
RevPAR: ....................................................................................................................... 20
Internal: ......................................................................................................................... 21
Strengths: ............................................................................................................... 21
Weaknesses:.......................................................................................................... 22
External: ........................................................................................................................ 22
Opportunities: ......................................................................................................... 22
Threats: .................................................................................................................. 22
Part-3......................................................................................................................................... 25
Financial Analysis:......................................................................................................... 26
Sales: ............................................................................................................................ 26
Profitability Ratios:......................................................................................................... 33
RevPAR: ....................................................................................................................... 45
Strength:........................................................................................................................ 55
Weaknesses: ................................................................................................................. 55
Opportunities: ................................................................................................................ 56
Threats: ......................................................................................................................... 57
Political: ......................................................................................................................... 57
Economical:................................................................................................................... 58
Social: ........................................................................................................................... 58
Technological: ............................................................................................................... 59
Conclusion: ................................................................................................................... 60
Recommendation: ......................................................................................................... 61
PART-1
Word count:882
Topic -8: An Analysis and Evaluation of Business and Financial
Performance of Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. For the year ended
2014/2015/2016
I also want to continue my career in finance and audit therefore in-depth research will
be beneficial in my future career.
The premier brand portfolio also includes luxury and lifestyle hotel brands, Waldorf
Astoria Hotels & Resorts, Conrad Hotels & Resorts and Canopy by Hilton, Hilton Hotels
& Resorts and Curio. (viafield, 2017b)
In 2015 US travel and tourism contributed to 2.6% of total GDP, one out of every 18
American is employed in the tour and travel industry either directly or in directly.
(selectusa, 2016a)
Industry Analysis
About Company
Hilton was founded in 1919 by Conrad Hilton in Texas (US).
Since acquisition, Hilton has delivered highest growth in industry. It experienced a 40%
system-wide growth in room count. It was listed on NYSE under the symbol “HLT” when
it completed its initial public offering (IPO) in December 2013. It expands through
franchising which saves fixed regional set-up cost, however, there are some franchises
within US and some internationally. (marketrealist, 2014)
(marketrealist, 2017)
Hilton operates as a holding company, which provides hospitality services. It also
engages in owning, leasing, managing, developing, and franchising hotels, resorts, and
timeshare properties. It has more than 700 sales team members who can speak over 42
languages which is relevant in every market.(hiltonworldwide, 2015)
There are many segments in which Hilton operates including Management and
Franchise, Ownership, and Timeshare. The Management and Franchise segment
manages hotels, resorts and timeshare properties owned by third-parties and license its
brands to franchisees.
200
5.1%
195
190
sales
185 7.2%
180
175
170
165
2014 2015 2016
Industry Sales
Series 1
(statista, 2016a)
Lodging industry is largest subsector of travel and tourism industry in US and accounts
for over 19% of total travel and tourism spending. In 2016 travelers spent more than
$293billion on traveler accommodations. This sector supports more than 1.4million
U.S.jobs. Revenue of hotel industry is increasing due to boom in travel and tourism
industry which increases demand of hotels. (selectusa, 2017b).
In 2015, industry added more than 30,000new hotel jobs and 100,000new travel-related
jobs, resulting in increase of over $12billion in travel-related wages and salaries, up 6%.
Total number of properties also grew to 53,432properties from 52,000in 2014. In 2015,
hotels generated $141.5billion in business-travel tax revenue which is up $6.5billion
from 2014. Airbnb entered in market in 2008 and has grew to 53,432properties however
Hilton has history of more than 100years, still it is operating in 4,610properties.
As per IBIS World industry report for hotel and motels in U.S, industry revenue has
increased during recent years. Industry revenue for U.S. hotels and motels is expected
to increase to $169.2billion in 2016 (yielding $28.7billion profits) at an average annual
rate of 2.4%, as compared to $165.1billion in 2015 and $159billion in 2014.(tandfonline,
2016)
Market Share:
Top 5 hotel brands in US
11%
29% Hilton worldwide inc.
14% Marriott international inc.
Choice hotel international inc.
2%
Wyndham Hotel Group
Hyatt Hotel
44%
(statista, 2017(b)
Hilton is growing quickly as its market share of room supply is approximately 5%, its
main operations are concentrated in U.S. but has started to grow internationally as well.
It has highest market-share in U.S of 9% having relatively small share in other regions
i.e. 3%in Middle-East and Africa and 1%in Europe and 1%in Asia-Pacific region.
In U.S, Hilton is one of top 10 company. Hilton and Marriott have highest market-share
of 10%each after them is Wyndham’s of 9%, Choice Hotel’s and International Hotels
Groups 8%each, and Best Western Company and Starwood’s at 3%each.
Hilton’s stock is also part of more than 20 exchange-traded funds which includes Power
Shares Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment Portfolio, which is an ETF with
85%invested in Hotels and Lodging sector. It holds 5% in Hilton shares.(finance.yahoo,
2016)
RAP Objectives:
RAP Framework:
I have started the report with reason for choosing hotel industry
and reason for choosing Hilton worldwide along with competitor Marriott int. to analyze
position of the company by gathering information through primary and secondary
sources.
I have also performed financial analysis through horizontal analysis and some key
ratios. Business analysis is performed through SWOT and PEST analysis with
conclusion and recommendation.
Part-2
Information
It is knowledge obtained from investigation or study. Data which is
accurate, and specific, presented in a context which gives meaning to it. (business
dictionary, 2016a)
Sources of Information:
Annual Report:
The most important document periodically issued by companies, it
not only contains financial information rather it also includes non-financial data. Its
authentic because it is audited by external auditor. For evaluation of Hilton hotel, I have
used annual reports of Marriot and Hilton hotel for year ended 2014,2015 and 2016.
Company Website:
I’ve used company websites which consist of segments from
which company generates revenue, its products, markets and its management.
Other Websites:
I’ve used several other websites such as Nasdaq and Economic
Times for information required for analysis.
Limitations of Information Gathering:
There are many limitations to sources of information described above
Annual Report:
It contains information that can be biased and lacks independency
as it is prepared by company’s own management therefore chances of management
biasness increase. Information is based on historical facts and figures which means that
current-position cannot be analyzed. As it is an internally generated document therefore
there might be window-dressing in accounts.
Company’s Website:
Website provides limited information, information which
company thinks, portrays. Positive image of the company is provided in website
therefore company’s website can be biased.
Other Website:
Information provided in other website may not be reliable and there
is a junk of information available, so relevant information may not be found.
ACCOUNTING AND BUSINESS TECHNIQUES:
Financial Analysis:
Horizontal Analysis:
Defined as comparative study of two or more accounting
period using balance-sheet or income-statement to compute both total and relative
variance. It is also called trend-analysis.(business dictionary, 2017c)
There is no absolute formula for any ratio for example, some calculate current-
ratio by dividing all assets from all liabilities, however some exclude prepayments
from current-assets.
There is no strict standard for what to do with certain extraction of information for
example, short-term liquidity can be determined in number of ways like only
calculate current-ratio or only calculating quick-ratio. Some companies calculate
both, however some do not.(guidance portal, 2014)
Ratio Analysis:
It is the most important technique for financial analysis in which
numbers are converted into ratios to determine trend and compared with past ratios of
other firms in the same/different industries. (business dictionary, 2017d)
Types of Ratios:
Following are normally calculated for the firms I selected.
Profitability Ratio:
It means how well a company is operating in terms of generating
profits. It includes NPM, gross-profit margin,
Liquidity Ratios:
It refers to company’s ability to pay short-term debts when they
fall due. Higher ratio means company have less chances of default, it can be calculated
as cash available and marketable-securities against outstanding-debts.
Activity Ratios:
It means how effectively firm is using its assets, it can be
calculated through receivable, inventory and asset-turnover ratios. (Businessdictionary,
2017e)
Investors Ratio:
Performance of company’s shares are assessed through
investor’s ratio. For example, price-earnings ratio, earning-yield ratio and earnings-per-
share. (Businessdictionary, 2017f)
Gearing Ratio:
It defines capital structure of a company, comparing owners’ equity
to funds borrowed by company. It is calculated by debt-to-equity ratio, interest-cover
ratio. (investopedia, 2017a)
RevPAR:
RevPAR is a performance metric calculated by dividing hotel-room revenue
by total number of room-nights available to guests. (investopedia, 2017h)
Occupancy Rate:
It means utilization of hotels available capacity. It is ratio of used
and rented space with total amount of available space. (investopedia, 2017i)
Limitation of Ratios:
Business Analysis:
It can be done using following two ways:
SWOT Analysis:
A process to evaluate position of company by assisting firm in
achieving its objectives, what obstacles to overcome, to achieve desired results, by
analyzing both internal factors i.e. strength and weaknesses and external factors i.e.
opportunities and threats faced by company. (investopedia, 2017c)
Internal:
Strengths:
Internal resources and attributes to generate favorable outcome.
Weaknesses:
Internal attributes that works against favorable outcome.
External:
Opportunities:
External factors that firm should capitalize and make use of it.
Threats:
External factor that could put the project in jeopardy.
Through SWOT, we can understand our business better by eliminating weaknesses and
threats, taking advantage of strengths and opportunities available.
(searchcio.techtarget, 2017)
Limitation of SWOT:
It does not prioritize main issues and doesn’t provide alternative solutions to
problem.
It doesn’t provide relevant information, for example it may generate too many
ideas but not suggest which one is best for current situation.(business.qld.gov,
2017)
PEST Analysis:
P E S T
Political Economic
environment, environment, Social factors, technological
includes includes interest- includes advancement and
government rates, economic demographics i.e. the rate at which
regulations or any growth, exchange population growth, technology gets
defined rules for rates as well as age, career. obsolete.
industry. inflation rate.
(economictimes, 2017)
Generally, firms outsource this work to experts for research and development
purpose therefore any wrong assessment may lead to losses for company. On
the other hand, it also increases expenses.
PEST analysis should be taken out in more detail as company makes strategic
decisions based it, government might also help firms with subsides and
incentives to improve their position, therefore this analysis should be properly
supervised. (Pestle.analysis, 2017)
Ethical Consideration:
Financial Analysis:
Horizontal Analysis:
Sales:
In October 2014, a new brand Canopy and Curio-Collection by Hilton were launched
7.3%
which is quite successful (loyaltytraveler, 2017)as a result, revenue increased by 8% to
$10,502million compared to2013. (Annual Report, 2014, p.68)
Hilton’s revenue increased by 7.3%in 2014-15, it generated over $19billion from Global-
Sales, Hilton Reservations & Customer-Care, and 3rd-Party
Distribution.(hiltonworldwide, 2015)
In addition, Hilton also introduced 354properties and added hotels in 5new countries,
signed over 106,000guestrooms, grew its pipeline to 310,000, increased by 16%over
2015 and further 157,176under construction, increase of 17%in 2015, further improving
revenue.(questex , 2017)
Hilton's timeshare business was included in spin-off of Hilton Grand Vacation (HGV)
and as part of its on-going relationship with HGV, Hilton and HGV entered into 100-year
license-agreement for use of timeshare brand, which can boost future revenues.
(ir.hilton, 2016(a)
Domestic and International Sales:
Domestic International
In 2016, Hilton grew in China, having hotels open for a total of nearly 96,000rooms
across country.(hotelmanagement., 2017)
Hilton also installed Global Management System across all Hilton Worldwide leased and
owned hotels for optimized standard of labor-management practice. It helped to reduce
fixed cost and increase profitability. (hospitalitytech, 2017)
Segment Wise Sales:
8000
-2.5
2(2.5z
-0.2 2.5%-
7000 5%
2.52s
6000 k
15.2 5.6
5000
4000 11.7
3000
6.3
2000
1000
0
2014 2015 2016
Management and franchise segment generates revenue from fees charged to third-
party hotel owners and from license-fee charged to HGV for using Hilton marks and
intellectual property in timeshare business.
Competitor Sales:
Marriott's Sales
18000
16000 5% 17.8%
14000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
2014 2015 2016
hilton marriot
From 2014-15, Franchise fees increased by $108m because of stronger RevPAR due to
increased demand, increase in relicensing and application fees of $22million, and
higher fees of from properties of $7million that converted from managed to franchise.
(investor.shareholder, 2015a))
In 2016, revenue also increased due to branding fees. Cost reimbursements revenue
increased by $568m for Legacy-Marriott operations due to higher property occupancies,
unit-growth across system, and growth in Marriott Rewards-program membership. (4-
traders, 2017c)
After acquisition of Starwood for $13billion, Marriott became largest hotel group in the
whole world. Existing hotels consist of 5,456 and 2,101 in pipeline after Starwood
brands like Sheraton, Westin, W and St. Regis under its ownership, creating an
umbrella of 30brands. (Llenrock.Group, 2016)
In 2015, Hilton performed well by growing its RevPAR by 5.9% in first nine months,
however, Airbnb raised $1.5billion back in June only and raised $10billion in 2014.
Airbnb seems to be major factor influencing profits of lodging industry. (seekingalpha,
2017(a)
Ratio Analysis:
Profitability Ratios:
OPM
15.3% (13%)
18.37
15.93 15.98
10.8% (13.9)
9.31
8.4 8.01
hilton marriot
(Annexure, Ratios)
In 2014, operating income rose to $1673 million (Hilton Annual Report, 2014 p.68)
which is an increase of 52% because management and franchised fee rose up by 20%
and there is a gain of $26 million on foreign currency transaction primarily relating to
intercompany loans. (marketwatch, 2014) These changes were due to strengthening of
Japanese yen compared to USD. (cnbc, 2017a)
However, in 2015 a loss of 41 million had occurred due to foreign currency changes on
the foreign currency transactions which also were related to intercompany loans which
were denominated in Euro and GDBP (marketwatch, 2014) Strengthening of USD
compared to these currencies resulted in this loss. (FinancialTimes, 2017)
Depreciation and amortization are the factor in the change in operating profit margin
due to the charge of $13m in accelerated amortization in 2015 on a management
contract intangible asset for a property, as well as due to capitalized software cost in
2014. (ir.hilton, 2015(a)
Hilton growth of profit in 2015 is due to RevPAR growth by 1.8% and EBITDA increased
by 3%. Hilton has also introduced 354 properties and added hotels in five new
countries. Hilton also signed over 106,000 guestrooms, grew its pipeline to 310,000
increased by 16% over 2015 and further 157,176 under construction increase of 17% in
2015. (questex , 2017)
After the sale of Waldorf Astoria, Hilton recognized a gain of $145million from the sale
of assets out of which $13million relates to severance costs recognized in general,
administrative expenses thus profit also increased in 2015.
However, there were certain expenses related to this gain which includes $6 million of
unamortized deferred issuance costs resulting from the repayment of the Waldorf
Astoria Loan and properties acquired from the proceeds of sale. $19 million of
transaction cost and $13 million expense relates to remaining unamortized
management contract. (ir.hilton, 2016b)
Conversely Marriott revenue in 2014 increased by $1,012 million 8% from 2013 due to
higher cost reimbursements revenue by 575million this was due to higher occupancy
and overall growth across Marriott, revenue continues to grow in 2015 as well.
Marriott Interest expense rose to $234million in 2016 from $167m in 2015 due to the
increase in credit facility of multicurrency revolving credit agreement to $4000million
from $2500million, income taxes totaled $139 million compared to $82 million in 2014.
Net income totaled $780 million, a 9 % decrease from reported 2015 net income of
$859 million (newsmarriott, 2016(b)
Operating profit declined in 2016 because of the acquisition of Starwood Hotels &
Resorts on 23 September 2016, as a result expenses also increased in 2016 due to
merger-related costs of $136 million, Depreciation, amortization, and other expenses
also rose, due to which operating income declined (latimes, 2017)
12.56
93.5% (75.15%)
8%
8% (22.9%)
6.49
5.92
5.48
4.56
3.12
hilton marriott
(Annexure, Ratios)
The profitability increased in 2014 from 2013 due to the proceeds of $1866million and
$331million from the sale of Waldorf Astoria,NY and Hilton Sydney. (foxbusiness, 2017)
Further pre-tax gain of $163m and $143m was recognized In 2015 in respect of the sale
of Hilton Sydney and Waldorf Astoria NY (trivago, 2017) respectively recognized as a
result NPM rose by 93.5%. (4-traders, 2017(a)
In 2016 corporate restructuring and transfer of intellectual property during the spin off
resulted in recognition of additional deferred tax liability, which rose to $513m and the
tax expense of $891m in 2016 as compared to the income tax of $80m in 2015, which
had negative impact on net income. (hotel-online, 2017d)
On the hand in 2014, Marriott net income increase by $127 million due to higher
franchise fees of $79 million, as a result of stronger RevPAR due to increased demand
of $35m and $7m fees from properties that are converted from managed to franchised.
Higher incentive management fees of$46million, due to higher profit margins from
North American and international managed hotels and higher North American full-
service deferred of $5m. (news.marriott, 2017)
From 2015-16, net profit of Marriott declined by 22% due to increase in expenses, costs
reimbursements have increased by $1916m in 2016 as compared to $575m increase in
2015-16. It had incurred $386m of merger related cost in 2016 which was not there in
2015 and 2014. Also, Marriott completed the sale of Hotel Imperial Luxury Collection
Hotel, Vienna for a cash proceed of $80m. (hotelmanagement, 2017a)
Return on Capital Employed:
The ratio that measures company’s profitability and
efficiently the capital is employed in generating shareholders value. (investopedia,
2017a)
ROCE
47.38
55% 84.8%
30.54
13% 11.5%
7.89 8.92
6.99 7.2
Hilton Marriott
(Annexure,Ratio)
ROCE of Hilton has increased by 13% in 2014-15 because the profitability increased in
2014 from 2013 due to proceeds of $1866million and $331million from sale of Waldorf
Astoria, NY and Hilton Sydney. (foxbusiness, 2017)
Debt levels decreased in 2015 due to repayments of $775million of ‘Term Loan facility’.
Interest expense also declined which resulted in lower principle amount of debt
balances. In february’15 Bonnet Creek Loan was secured of $450million against loan
covenant of $25million of restricted cash and cash equivalent. (tripadvisor, 2017)
Additionally, Hilton prepaid Term Loan of $1billion in 2014. Further loan mortgage of
$535million and $775million was repaid during year 2015. Also, Hilton issued
$350million notes from timeshare financing receivables to pay outstanding balance of
Timeshare facility. (ir.hiltonworldwide, 2015b)
However, Marriott’s ROCE increased by 55% because in 2015 Marriott acquired
Starwood for 2 billion that seems to be the consolidation of lodging industry and the
reason of boost in the Marriott’s profit. (cnbcllc, 2017b)
Debt rate further increased in 2016 due to issuance of $1500million Series Q Notes and
Series R Notes to finance cash consideration, which was paid to Starwood shareholders
related to the acquisition of Starwood. (news.marriott, 2015(a)Additionally, some debts
were exchanged by issuing Series S Notes through Series W Notes, with the elimination
of restrictive covenants, change of control. (BusinessWire, 2017)
Liquidity Ratios:
Current Ratio:
It is the measurement of meeting short term financial obligation. It is
the ratio of current assets to current liabilities (businessdictionary, 2017g)
CURRENT RATIO
1.4
Hilton, 1.32
1.2
1
AXIS TITLE
0.8
Marriott, 0.65
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
2014 2015 2016
(Annexure, ratio)
In 2015 Hilton had 53,697 timeshare receivables with varying interest rates from 0 to
20%.Current ratio of Hilton increased by 26% because of the increase of cash and cash
equivalent to $1684million from 2015 out of which $266million relates to cash collateral
on self-insurance programs, cash is escrowed from the timeshare operations,
(lawinsider, 2017) out of which $350million and $151million was transferred to Park and
Hilton Grand Vacation respectively. (newsroom.hilton, 2017(e)
Marriott’s current ratio is growing but it is still below the ideal ratio of 1.29:1. (creditguru,
2017) However, in 2016 its current assets has increased by 143% (annexure, balance
sheet) because of $588million of assets are held for sale including $26million liability
related to the hotels which were acquired through Starwood and Miami Beach EDITION
residences.
However, current liabilities have increased by 96% in 2016 (Annexure, balance sheet)
because of the liability for guest loyalty program has increased. After the acquisition of
Starwood, Marriott has offered 85 million combined loyalty members, an option transfer
and redeem points between Marriott rewards. (news.marriott, 2016(a)
Activity Ratios:
Debtor Turnover:
It determines the firm’s credit policies and cash collection efforts,
this ratio shows the relationship between unpaid credit sales to the total credit sales.
(businessdictionary, 2017h)
40
Debtor Turnover Ratio
35
-9.6% 25%
30
25 6.8%
33%
20
15
10
0
2014 Hilton Marriott 2015 2016
(Annexure, Ratio)
The debtor turnover ratio of Hilton increased from 31 days to 35 days from 2014 to 2016
with a slight decline in 2015, since both sales and receivables increased at same pace.
The sales growth rate in 2014-15 is 7.3% and in 2015-16 4.3%, it has generated total
revenue of $7217m in 2016, $7142m in 2015 and $6811m in 2014 from Management
and Franchise, Ownership and Timeshare segment.(ir.hilton, 2016(c))
In 2015 net receivables declined by 0.81%. Receivables days declined to 28 days from
31 days in 2014, meaning that Hilton was prompt in collecting receivables from
customers so as to inject money into working capital as part of business strategy.
Hilton generated about $ 1,786 million from management and franchise fees and $4,157
million from ownership segment and from timeshare segment $1,390 million in 2016. (4-
traders, 2017b)
In 2016, revenue also increased due to branding fees. Cost reimbursements revenue
increased by $568m for Legacy-Marriott operations due to higher property occupancies,
unit growth across the company, and growth in Marriott Rewards program membership.
(4-traders, 2017c)
Key Business and Financial Metrics:
ADR
160
155 1%
4.1%
150
145 1.9
%
140
135
3.6%
130
125
2014 2015 2016
Hilton Marriot
(Annexure,Ratios)
RevPAR:
RevPAR
115 1.8%
5.2%
110
105
1.8%
100 5.4%
95
90
2014 2015 2016
Hilton Marriott
(Annexure, Ratios)
Occupancy Rate:
Occupancy Rate
76
75.5
1.3%
75
74.5
74
0.6%
73.5 0.8%
73
72.5
72
71.5
71
2014 2015 2016
Hilton Marriott
(Annexure, Ratio)
There’s a growth of Hilton’s RevPAR in 2015 in all world regions therefore occupancy
and ADR of Hilton is also rising. The MEA region is facing geopolitical unrest and low oil
prices (seekingalpha, 2017(b), although RevPAR still increased because of improved
year over year demand. Asia pacific RevPAR also increased by 9.3% due to occupancy
of Hilton’s portfolio in China. (newsroom.hilton, 2017(a)
From 2014-15 due to increase of $29m RevPAR base management fees of Marriott
also increased by $26m. Stronger RevPAR is due to increase in demand outpacing
supply and higher fees from properties which are converted into franchise-properties
from managed-properties. (statista, 2017(c)
EPS
(Ann
4.5
4 -75.1% exur
3.5 e,
108% -16.7%
3 ratio
2.5 )
24%
2
1.5 In
1 2014
0.5 ,
0
earni
2014 2015 2016
ngs
Hilton Marriott
per
share increased by $0.54 per share to $2.54 per share from $2.00 per share in 2013,
(Annexure,IncomeStatement)due to increased earnings resulting from introduction from
new brands such as Canopy and Curio, as well as overall growth by higher tax benefits
and room rates. (Skift, 2017(b)
EPS of Hilton increased significantly by 108% in 2015 mainly because net income from
continuing operations attributable to Hilton stockholders has increased from $174m in
2014 to $876m. However, in 2016 Hilton suffered a net loss of $18m. Although weighted
average number of shares remained the same at 329m in all these years.
(ir.hiltonworldwide, 2015)
Hilton currently has 990 million shares outstanding, out of which 198 million shares of
Park common stock and 99 million of Hilton Grand Vacation common stock will be
distributed to the shareholders of Hilton due to the spin-offs. (newsroom.hilton, 2017(b)
Marriott’s EPS on the other hand, has been growing in all these years because the net
income have been increasing from $626m to $859m from 2014 to
2016.(Annexure,IncomeStatement) 2016’s EPS in particular, reflects the impact of
Starwood Merger, making it the world’s largest hotel company and thus boosting
investor’s confidence. (Forbes, 2017) However, the weighted average number of shares
have declined from 305m shares to 267.3m shares because Marriott repurchased 8.0
million shares of the company’s common stock for $573 million at a price of $71.55
average, which was also part of Marriott’s strategy to acquire Starwood; and to reduce
dividend payments. (news.marriott, 2016(b)
0
2014 2015 2016
Hilton Marriott
(Annexure, Ratio)
In 2014-15 P/E ratio of Hilton suffered significant decline because share price declined
from $53.76/share to$44.1/share (Annexure, incomestatement) and EPS increased due
to increased earnings resulting from introduction of new brands such as Canopy and
Curio, as well as overall growth by higher tax benefits and room rates. (Skift, 2017(b)
Marriott’s P/E ratio declined in 2015 because the share price declined to $68/share from
$79/share in 2014, however EPS increased in 2015 to $3.22/share
From 2015-16 share price boosted up to $83/share as well as EPS due to Starwood
Merger, making it the world’s largest hotel company and thus boosting investor’s
confidence. (Forbes, 2017)
Dividend Yield:
Indicates how much company pays out dividend each year against
its share-price. (investopedia, 2017e)
DY
1.6 4%
1.4 45%
1.2 %
57%
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
2014 2015 2016
Hilton Marriott
(Annexure, Ratio)
Hilton did not pay dividend in 2014 although its first IP occurred on 11december, 2013
which may lose shareholders confidence. Hilton was acquired by Blackstone in 2007
privately after the first IPO Blackstone remained its 75% holding in Hilton, in 2016 both
the share price and dividend per share rose to $56.05/share (Annexure, PnL) and $0.84
per share respectively.(hotelnewsnow, 2015)
Since only some companies in the Hotels & Motels industry pay a dividend therefore
paying dividend is a positive trend. Further the last 5 years’ analysis shows, dividend
per share growth is in-line with the industry average relative to its peers, while earnings
per share growth is above the industry average.(FinancialTimes, 2016)
Gearing Ratio:
Financial Gearing:
Identifies how much creditor’s and owner’s funds are employed in
company’s activities. (investopedia, 2017f)
Financial Gearing
3
2.46
2.5
-29.4% 5%
2 1.74 1.83
1.58
1.5
0.5 238%
0
2014 2015 2016
-0.5
-1 33%
-1.5 -1.14
-2 -1.71
Hilton Marriott
(Annexure, Ratio)
During 2014, Hilton reduced its gearing by 1billion on the Term loan acquired on 2013
from the proceeds of Waldorf Astoria NY,. Also Hilton made $300 million of voluntary
prepayments on its senior secured term loan facility and $13 million of prepayments on
its commercial mortgage-backed securities loan. . (ir.hilton, 2014(c))
As seen on the above graph Hilton’s gearing has decreased to 1.74 (174%) in 2015
from 2.46(246%) in 2014, although Hilton is trying to reduce its gearing levels but it is
still high from the average gearing of 75% (creditguru, 2017) it means Hilton is
aggressive in financing growth from debts than equity. (ycharts, 2017)
Hilton also reduced its long-term debt balance by $225 million in 2015, it has also repaid
in full the amounts outstanding on a Waldorf Astoria loan from the sale of Waldorf
Astoria New York using its proceeds. (newsroom.hilton, 2017)
In April 2015, Hilton made $100million prepayments of senior secured term loan facility .
(reuters, 2017c)Additionally, Hilton will use the proceeds from the sale of Hilton Sydney
of $315million for reducing further gearing. (smh, 2017)
In 2016, Hilton repaid $450million mortgage loan on Bonnet Creek Loan. However,
Hilton issued $1billion senior notes due on 2024 in 2016. (seekingalpha, 2016)
On the other hand, Marriott was having negative leverage ratio, to control its leverage
level Marriott have repurchased the company’s class A common stock by 25 million
shares for a total of approximately 40 million shares authorized for repurchase as result
its gearing levels has increased from negative 171% to 158%. (wsj, 2017)
In 2015 Marriott issued $790million of Series O and P notes, and Series G notes were
repaid by $134million. Marriott have a credit facility to provide $2000million of effective
borrowings which contain a covenant to limit leverage not more than 4 to1. The credit
facility is used to finance all or cash component to pay Starwood’s shareholders and
certain fees related to combination of Starwood. (investor.shareholder, 2015)
Marriott repurchased 7.7 million shares of common stock valued at $544 million in 4Q14
and 24 million shares for $1.5 billion in 2014. To date in 2015, Marriott has repurchased
3.6 million shares for $275 million. (marketrealist, 2016(b))
Interest Cover:
Determines how easily company can pay interest on outstanding
debts. (investopedia, 2017g)
Interest Cover
12
10 20%
10
8
8
12%
6
0
2014 2015 2016
Hilton Marriott
(Annexure, Ratio)
Hilton’s operating income before interest and tax have increased in 2015 to $2071m
from $1673m in 2014, it is further declined to $1876m in 2016 (annexure, PnL) as result
interest cover ratio have increased in 2015 but it has declined in 2016, although interest
expense is consistent in all these years.
In 2015-16 the interest expense increased due to the issuance of new debt
Conversely Marriott Interest expense rose to $234million in 2016 from $167m in 2015
due to the increase in credit facility of multicurrency revolving credit agreement to
$4000million from $2500million which contain a covenant to limit leverage not more
than 4 to1. (newsmarriott, 2016(a))
Business Analysis:
SWOT Analysis:
Strength:
High Brand Recognition:
Weaknesses:
Marketing strategy:
They focus more on luxury and quality not on cost, not
economical for middle class customers except for Hilton Garden Inn in China.
Lack of differentiation:
Opportunities:
Potential Ventures and strategic alliances:
Hilton can expand its capabilities by venturing in mid-level affordable hotels such as Tru
hotels launched recently it has started to look for this opportunity. (swotandpestle,
2017(b))
Digitalization and innovation in the customer services can also increase the revenue of
Hilton . (research and methodology, 2017(b))
Hilton has already introduced digital check-ins, room selection, 360 degree videos for
perspective guests etc. (webrezpro, 2017) in recent years, it can make use of several
digital tools such as better in room hardware providing access to new in-room
technologies for guests and CRM tools for better insight of guests habits. (aliceapp,
2017)
Threats:
Political Instability:
Threat of political instability, hospitality industry is directly related tourism which can get
effected due to terrorist attacks, wars, like terrorist attack in Tunisia in 2015 due to
which 3,500 British tourists left Tunisia due to high fear of terrorism. (bbc, 2017)
Immigration Ban:
Purchasing power of customers are effected which effects their spending on leisure
hotels like Hilton. Customer preferences also changes over a period so the company
have to keep pace with the changing demands of customers (swot and pestle, 2016(a))
PEST Analysis:
Political:
Tariffs:
Terrorist Attacks:
Since 11 September 2001 terrorists’ attacks in USA has increased the
travel security measures, it has many impacts on the demand of travel and tourism as
terrorists’ motives for targeting tourists or the industry which ultimately effects the
lodging industry. (arrow.dit, 2014)
Contagious Diseases:
Economical:
Tax Compliance:
The Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act required foreign banks and
other financial institutions to disclose information regarding income and assets held
by U.S. on July 1,2014 as a result foreign earnings of Hilton are subject to withholding
requirements. (britannica, 2017).
Foreign Exchange:
Social:
Global Team Member Volunteer Program:
Hilton volunteers have designed
and implemented signature projects during annual Global month of service in October.
Arranged teambuilding events at internal meetings and also provided an enterprise wide
online tracking and reporting tool that captures volunteer hours and impact.
(newsroom.hilton, 2017(c)
Hurricane Odile:
Technological:
Global Online Services;
Streamlined Process:
Profitability ratios have improved in 2014 and 2015, can be classified as STAR in BCG
matrix however, its profitability declined in 2016 due to corporate restructuring and
transfer of intellectual property during the reverse stock of 1-for-3 reverse stock split for
Hilton, resulting in operating profit margin of 15.96%, net income margin of 3.12% and
Return on equity of 7.91%.
The liquidity ratio is continuously improving from 1.11, 1.06 and 1.33 times in
2014,2015 and 2016 respectively, which is better than the liquidity ratios of Marriott
international comprising of 0.53, 0.43 and 0.65 in 2014, 2015 and 2016 respectively .
Receivable turnover days was reduced in 2015 as compared to 2014 from 31 days to
28 days but have increased by 7 days in 2016 which is in pace with the competitor
Marriott.
Hilton was highly geared in 2014 at 246% much higher than the average gearing of
100% due to losses since 2008 but It has improved its gearing by reverse stock splitting
to 183% in 2016 but is still higher than its competitor.
Hilton’s investors ratio is improving but it was at the highest EPS of 4.27 per share in
2015 which was declined to 1.06 in 2016 which means shareholders confidence is
slowly reducing, but P/E ratio in 2016 is at the highest of 52.88 times. Hilton did not pay
dividend on 2014 which can be a negative factor for the shareholders.
There are other key business and financial metrics which can assess the performance
of hotel better, Hilton’s RevPAR is 107% which is improving each year, Occupancy of
75% pts and Average daily rate of $143, which is in line with Marriott having RevPAR of
113% and occupancy of 72 pts and Average daily rate of 156%.
Recommendation:
cnbc, 2017c. Marriott buys Starwood becoming worlds largest hotel chain. [Online]
Available at: https://www.cnbc.com/2016/09/23/marriott-buys-starwood-becoming-
worlds-largest-hotel-chain.html
[Accessed 31 October 2017].
Forbes, 2017. Marriott is stock to buy regardless of win or lose in bid for Starwood.
[Online]
Available at: https://www.forbes.com/sites/genemarcial/2016/03/29/marriott-is-stock-to-
buy-regardless-of-win-or-lose-in-bid-for-starwood/#5a1b137f22cc
[Accessed 31 October 2017].
JDPower, 2017. 2016 Hotel loyalty rewards program satisfaction report. [Online]
Available at: http://www.jdpower.com/press-releases/2016-hotel-loyalty-rewards-
program-satisfaction-report
[Accessed 31 October 2017].
Skift, 2017(b. Hilton worlwide reports strong room growths 2014. [Online]
Available at: https://skift.com/2015/02/18/hilton-worldwide-reports-strong-profits-room-
growth-for-2014/
[Accessed 31 October 2017].
the journal of hospitality financial management, 2016. the journal of hospitality financial
management. International association of hospitality financial management education,
24(2016), pp. 89-91.