8 Stock Valuation
8 Stock Valuation
8 Stock Valuation
Be Engaged
Read:
Converge ICT plans P35.9-B IPO
Riding on strong demand for connectivity especially with the lockdowns prompted by the coronavirus pandemic,
fiber internet and other digital services provider Converge ICT Solutions Inc. filed an application at the Securities
and Exchange Commission (SEC) for an initial public offering (IPO) worth as much as P35.9 billion.
The SEC announced on Friday that it had received the registration statement of Converge ICT’s IPO of up to
1.496 billion primary and secondary common shares at a maximum offer price of P24 a share.
Converge ICT, led by Pampanga-based businessman Dennis Anthony Uy, plans to sell shares and list on the main
board of the Philippine Stock Exchange by October this year, subject to regulatory approvals.
The offer consists of 1.3 billion common shares consisting of 425.68 million primary shares and 885.61 million
secondary shares together with an offer of up to 195.19 million option shares.
About 70 percent of the firm shares will be offered for sale to foreign investors.
The stock debut will bring about a quarter of the company’s shares to public hands.Proceeds from the primary
offering will be used for the company’s capital expenditure requirements to accelerate its nationwide fiber
network rollout and other general corporate purposes.
Morgan Stanley and UBS AG are the joint global coordinators and joint bookrunners, while BPI Capital is the sole
local coordinator, joint local underwriter and joint bookrunner. BDO Capital is a joint local underwriter and book
runner.
Converge ICT operates the fastest-growing end-to-end finer network in the Philippines with over 30,000
kilometers of fiber as of end-March serving about 4.1 million homes.
The company’s residential business captured over 50 percent of the market for new subscriptions from Jan. 1,
2018, to March 31, according to the prospectus.
BAFIMARX – Topic 8 1
“We believe that the Philippine fixed broadband market is currently at an inflection point, with Converge in
particular, serving as a catalyst for market growth as it continues to lead efforts to address current unserved
demand,” the prospectus said.
Source: https://business.inquirer.net/301656/converge-ict-plans-p35-9-b-ipo#ixzz6SPjamXux
Think:
1. Are familiar with the company on the above article? Are you availing is services?
2. What is your first impression when you hear “stock market”? Do you think this is only for really rich
people?
3. What do you think is the objective of people who buys shares of a company? What do these shares
have that make it so attractive?
Let’s Discuss
1. Differences between Debt and Equity
2. Legal rights and privileges of common stockholders
3. Common and Preferred
4. Common Stock Valuation
5. Changes in Expected Dividend and Dividend
6. Constant growth stocks
7. Expected rate of return on a constant
8. Valuing the entire corporation
9. Stock market equilibrium
Debt vs Equity
Debt
• debt financing is obtained from creditors
• Includes all borrowing incurred by a firm, such as bonds that is repaid in accordance with a fixed
schedule of payments
• Creditors (lenders or debtholders)
o have a legal right to be repaid
Equity
• equity financing is obtained from investors – part owners of the firm
• investors have only an expectation of being repaid unlike creditors who are entitled for periodic
payments
• payment to equity holders are subject to the firm’s performance.
BAFIMARX – Topic 8 2
Legal Rights and Privileges of Common Stockholders
1. Control of the Firm
• the right to elect its directors, who in turn elect the officers who manage the business
2. The Preemptive Right
• To purchase on a pro rata basis any additional shares sold by the firm
• A provision in the corporate charter or bylaws that gives common stockholders the right to
purchase on a pro rata basis new issues of common stock (or convertible securities).
Common Stock
• true owners of a corporate business are the common or the ordinary stockholders.
• sometimes referred to as residual owners since they receive what is left after all other claims on the
firm’s income and assets have been satisfied – debt and preferred stockholder.
• They are assured that they cannot lose any more than they have invested in the firm.
Preemptive Rights
• A right that allows common stockholders to maintain their proportionate ownership in the corporation
when new shares are issued
BAFIMARX – Topic 8 3
b. outstanding shares
• Issued shares of common stock held by investors.
c. treasury stock
• Issued shares of common stock held by the firm or repurchased by the corporation.
d. issued shares
• Shares of common stock that have been put into circulation
• the sum of outstanding shares and treasury stock.
Preferred Stock
• “hybrid” – similar to a bond in some respects and to common stock in others.
• It has a par value and a fixed dividend that must be paid before dividends can be paid on the common
stock.
• a preferred stock entitles its owners to regular, fixed dividend payments
• most often issued by public utilities, by financial institutions, by acquiring firms in merger transactions,
and by young firms receiving investment funds from venture capital firms
• Dividends
o Like the dividends on common stock, preferred dividends are not tax deductible for the firm
that pays them.
Value of the preferred stock (assuming same dividend payments last forever)
𝐷𝑝
𝑉𝑝 =
𝑟𝑝
BAFIMARX – Topic 8 4
Where: Vp = value of the preferred stock; Dp = preferred dividend; rp = required rate of return on the
preferred stock
Example:
Mixed Foods discussed that its preferred should pay a dividend of P10 per year. If its required return
was 7%, what would be the preferred value?
Solution:
𝐷𝑝
𝑉𝑝 =
𝑟𝑝
10
𝑉𝑝 =
7%
𝑉𝑝 = 𝟏𝟒. 𝟐𝟗
Stock Valuation
• Process of determining the stock’s intrinsic or true value.
• A fundamental step in determining if a stock is overvalued or undervalued
ii. Formula:
iii. Example:
At year-end of 2019, Lock Company’s balance sheet shows total assets of P5,000,000, total liabilities of
P4,000,000, and 100,000 ordinary shares outstanding. Compute for the net asset value
Solution:
5,000,000 − 4,000,000
𝟏𝟎 =
100,000
iii. Example:
A stockholder of Kitty Co. plans to use the Price-Earning Relative Valuation Approach to estimate the
value of Kitty Co.’s stocks which he holds. The stockholder estimates that Kitty Co. will earn P2.60 per share
next year. This expectation is based on an analysis of the firm’s historical earnings trend and of expected
economic and industry conditions. The price-to-earnings ratio for firms in the same industry averages 7. The
number of outstanding and issued shares of Kitty Co. is 1 Million
Solution:
𝐶𝑜𝑟𝑝𝑜𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 = 18,200,000 = (2.60 ∗ 1,000,000) ∗ 7
18,200,000
𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑆𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘 = 18.2 =
1,000,000
Note:
If the given is EPS and not the total net income of Kitty Co., you may simply multiply the EPS with the
Price/Earnings Ratio i.e.:
𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑆𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘 = 18.2 = 2.6 ∗ 7
2. Discounted Techniques – these approaches are the most common valuation techniques for common
stocks. Future cash inflows generated from the stock is considered. Appropriate discount rate is also
utilized to arrive at the present values of these cash inflows.
a. DISCOUNTED DIVIDEND MODEL – This model considers the expected cash flows of investment:
(1) Dividends, and (2) Stock Price upon sale.
i. Constant Growth
1. A situation where a stock price and its dividends grows at a constant rate
2. Formula:
𝐷1
a. 𝑃0 =
𝑟−𝑔
b. Where: P0 = stock price today; D1 = dividends at the end of the year; r =
cost of equity (required rate of return); g = growth rate
3. Example:
Welcome Bank is expected to pay P3 dividend to its stockholders at the end of the year. The dividends
are expected to grow at a constant rate of 5%. The required rate of return of the stock is 8%. Determine the
stock price today.
Solution:
3
𝑃0 = 𝟏𝟎𝟎 =
8% − 5%
BAFIMARX – Topic 8 6
ii. Non-Constant Growth
1. Also known as Supernormal growth. A situation where the dividends and the
stock grow at a different rate at the earlier part of the stock’s life. This growth
will stop or terminate at a certain point at a horizon or terminal date where the
stock and dividends begin to grow at a constant growth rate.
2. Formula:
𝐷𝑇𝐷+1
a. Get the terminal Value: 𝑇𝑉 = 𝑟−𝑔
𝐷1 𝐷2 𝐷
𝑇𝐷 𝑇𝑉
b. Stock Price: 𝑃0 = (1+𝑟) + (1+𝑟)2 + ⋯ + (1+𝑟)𝑇𝐷 + (1+𝑟) 𝑇𝐷
3. Example:
The last dividend paid by Bank de Plata was P1. The growth rate is expected to be constant for 2 years
at 5%, after which the dividends are expected to grow at a rate of 10% annually forever. It is determined that
the required rate of return is 12%. What is the current price of Bank de Plata’s common stock?
Solution:
1. Compute the dividends per year up to the terminal date i.e. up to year 3
a. Year 1: 5%
𝐷1 = 𝐷0 ∗ (1 + 𝑔𝑛 )
𝐷1 = 1 ∗ (1 + 5%)
𝐷1 = 1.05
b. Year 2: 5%
𝐷2 = 𝐷1 ∗ (1 + 𝑔𝑛 )
𝐷2 = 1.05 ∗ (1 + 5%)
𝐷2 = 1.1025
c. Year 3: 10%
𝐷3 = 𝐷2 ∗ (1 + 𝑔𝑐 )
𝐷3 = 1.1025 ∗ (1 + 10%)
𝐷3 = 1.21275
BAFIMARX – Topic 8 7
𝐷1 𝐷𝑇𝐷 𝑇𝑉
𝑃0 = + +
(1 + 𝑟) (1 + 𝑟)𝑇𝐷 (1 + 𝑟)𝑇𝐷
1.05 1.1025 60.6375
𝑃0 = + 2
++
(1 + 12%) (1 + 12%) (1 + 12%)2
𝑃0 = 𝟓𝟎. 𝟏𝟓
𝐷
a. 𝑃0 = 𝑟
b. Where: P0 = stock price today; D = current dividends; r = cost of equity
(required rate of return)
3. Example:
The dividend of Runner Company, an established shoe manufacturer, is expected to remain constant at
P6 per share indefinitely. If his required return on its stock is 12%, what is the value of the stock today?
Solution:
6
𝑃0 = 𝟓𝟎 =
12%
ii. Steps:
1. Compute the company’s free cash flow
a. 𝐹𝑟𝑒𝑒 𝐶𝑎𝑠ℎ 𝐹𝑙𝑜𝑤(𝑜𝑟 𝐹𝐶𝐹) = [𝐸𝐵𝐼𝑇 ∗ (1 − 𝑇𝑎𝑥 𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑒) +
𝐷𝑒𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑎𝑚𝑜𝑟𝑡𝑖𝑧𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛] − [𝐶𝑎𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑥𝑝𝑒𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑒 +
∆𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝑊𝑜𝑟𝑘𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝐶𝑎𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑙 ]
2. Get the market value of the firm based on the firm’s growth rate
a. Constant Growth firms
𝐹𝐶𝐹1
i. 𝑀𝑉𝐹𝑖𝑟𝑚 = 𝑊𝐴𝐶𝐶−𝑔
4. Where: 𝑃0= Stock price today; 𝑀𝑉𝐹𝑖𝑟𝑚 = Market value of the firm;
𝑀𝑉𝐷𝑒𝑏𝑡+𝑃𝑟𝑒𝑓𝑒𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑑 = market value of preferred and debt; 𝐹𝐶𝐹1 = free cash flow at
the end of year 1; g = growth rate; TD = terminal date; TV = terminal value; OCS =
outstanding common stock
5. Example
Knights Corp., a company with 40% tax rate, projected its EBIT for the next year at P600,000,000,
projected depreciation expense, capital expenditure and an increase in working capital for the next year of
P100,000,000, P200,000,000, and P120,000,000, respectively. Its capital structure is 60% equity and 40% debt.
The cost of equity and debt is 12% and 11.66% respectively. The company’s free cash flow is expected to grow
at a constant rate of 6% a year. Knights Corp. has 40,000,000 outstanding shares, and the market value of
preferred stock and debt is P1,000,000,000.
Solution:
1. Get the Free Cash flow
3. Determine the Market Value of the firm. Note: The firm has a constant growth rate
𝐹𝐶𝐹1
𝑀𝑉𝐹𝑖𝑟𝑚 =
𝑊𝐴𝐶𝐶 − 𝑔
140,000,000
𝑀𝑉𝐹𝑖𝑟𝑚 =
10% − 6%
𝑀𝑉𝐹𝑖𝑟𝑚 = 𝟑, 𝟓𝟎𝟎, 𝟎𝟎𝟎, 𝟎𝟎𝟎
BAFIMARX – Topic 8 9
3,500,000,000 − 1,000,000,000
𝑃0 =
40,000,000
𝑃0 = 𝟔𝟐. 𝟓𝟎
Illustration:
The required rate of return of Stock AGI is 10% as determined by the CAPM. Suppose an investor’s
portfolio contains Stock AGI. Earnings, dividends, and price can be expected to grow at a constant rate of 3%
per year. The last dividend was P2.4271. Stock Price is P50.
Requirement:
a. Determine the Expected Rate of Return
b. Is the stock price at equilibrium level? If not, determine the price that stock would be in
equilibrium.
Solution:
𝐷1
a. 𝑃0 = 𝑟−𝑔
𝐷1
𝑟= +𝑔
𝑃0
2.4271 ∗ (1.03)
𝑟= + 3%
50
𝑟 = 8%
b. No because stock’s expected rate of return is not equal to its required rate of return (10% > 8%). The
expected rate of return is less than the required return, the investor would want to sell the stock.
However, few people would want to buy at the P50 unless sellers will cut the stock price. To determine
the stock price at equilibrium:
2.5
𝑃35.71 =
10% − 3%
BAFIMARX – Topic 8 10
References
• Gitman, L. J., & Zutter, C. J. (2015). Principles of Managerial Finance. Pearson Education Limited.
• Brigham, E. F., & Houston, J. F. (2019). Fundamentals of Financial Management. Cengege.
• Bagayao, I. Y., & et al. (n.d.). Financial Management Volume 1.
• Bagayao, I. S., & et al. (n.d.). Financial Management Volume 2.
Stock Valuation
https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/knowledge/trading-investing/stock-valuation/
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/fundamental-analysis/11/choosing-valuation-methods.asp
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uajW4BWh_zY
BAFIMARX – Topic 8 11