Risk Factors and DD

RISK FACTORS AND MANAGEMENT'S PERCEPTIONS ABOUT THE RISKS
Any investment always associates with risks. Among those risks some can be averted, others are beyond control, which may causes of loss. Before making any investment decision, Investors should take the risk factors into consideration. Major such factors are described in brief as under:
(a) Interest Rate Risk

Interest/financial charges are paid against any kind of borrowed fund. Volatility in money market and increased demand for loan presses on interest rate structure to be fixed in high. Rising of interest rate increases the cost of fund for a company, which have borrowed fund, and consequently profit is squeezed.
Management view:
The management of the Company is always aware of interest rate, which is concerned to the cost of fund of the Company. The Management prefers in procuring of the long-term fund with minimum fixed interest rate and the short-term fund with reasonable competitive rate. On the other hand management of the Company is emphasizing on equity based financing.
(b) Exchange Rate Risk:

The Company is 80% export oriented. The products of the company are sold against foreign currency and payments for raw material are also made in foreign currency. If exchange rate is increased against local currency opportunity is created for getting more revenue against sale in local currency. On the other hand if exchange rate goes down margin is squeezed in local currency.
Management view:
The exchange rate of the country is traditionally witnessed of upward trends, which makes ample opportunity of export. On the other hand, management perceives
revaluation of local currency i. e. down trend of exchange rate will have little impact on profitability of the Company.
(c) Industry Risk

Textile is the largest industrial sub-sector in Bangladesh. It contributes highest in the countrys total export earnings, gives employment to over four million people meets the second basic need for clothing of the country and contributes around 50% of the industrial value addition. But, after phasing out of the MFA, the global textile trade is now free from quota restriction. The phasing out of MFA has created a tough competitive environment, where Bangladesh is now competing the countries like China, India, Pakistan, Indonesia, and Thailand, Vietnam etc. countries that are very strong in production of textile goods.
Management view:
The textile industry has successfully coped with the post MFA competitive situation. The force, which is helping the sector for its strong existence, is emergence of backward linkage industry. Backward linkage industries are supporting for minimizing lead-time and cost of production.
(d) Market and technology related Risk

i) Market Risk:
Among the functional areas in a textile company, marketing exerts the sheer part of the importance. Proper implementation of the marketing tools as well as identifying new clients will ensure the success of the project. The continuous changes on preference in the yarn market will force the company to catch the trend. For which the company has to produce goods for international demand.
Management view:
The company set its focus only export market through inland back-to-back letter of credits. The management is trying to sell through direct contact with the customers in the selected regions understanding their needs. The company also has
established relationship with potential buyers across the world and expects to find market for its capacity despite competition prevailing in the sector. Further, the commercial banks and financial institutions provide a thrust in the textile sector as they provide credit facilities to textile industries to acquire the yarn for their final products.
ii) Technology related Risk:

The production facilities of textile sectors are based on high tech machineries. So any invention of new and more cost effective technology may cause functional obsolescence resulting in further substantial capital investment.
Management view:
The Dacca Dyeing and Manufacturing Company Limited are equipped with the most modern technologies. As per previous experience no frequent technological change has taken place in this industry so far. Furthermore according to feasibility study report as well as in practice this projects earning capacity is satisfactory and payback period is short. So investment in the machineries will be recovered before any major technological change becomes commercially effective. In addition the project is capable to absorb any small technological changes.
(e) Potential or existing government regulations:

The Company operates under companies act, taxation policy adopted by NBR, Security and Exchange Commission (SEC)s rules and rules adopted by other regulatory organizations. Any abrupt changes of the policies formed by those bodies will impact the business of the Company adversely.
Management view:
Unless any adverse policies are taken, which may materially affect the industry as a whole; the business of the Company will not be affected. Government emphasizes on the growth of Textile Industry to boost up the export of home textile goods. Yet the promoters and the sponsors have endeavor to convince the policy makers for adopting favorable terms & conditions, which will eventually help the home textile manufacturers of Bangladesh to compete with the low cost locations in the global arena.
(f) Potential changes in global or national policies

The performance of the company may be affected by the political and economical instability both in Bangladesh and worldwide. Any instance of political turmoil and disturbance in the country may adversely affect the economy in general. Page-12
Management view:
The company can prosper in a situation of political stability and a congenial business environment. Political turmoil and the disturbance are bad for the economy and so also for us.
(g) Operational risk

Shortage of power supply, labor unrest, unavailability or price increase of raw material, natural calamities like flood, cyclone, earth quack etc. may disrupt the production of the Company and can adversely impact the profitability of the Company.
Management view:
The compensation as well the benefit package will restrain the employees to leave their assignment and go for any employee movement for higher benefit packages. The project of the Company is situated at a high land where less record of flood. The factory building has strong RCC foundation, RCC floor, pre-fabricated steel structure to withstand wind, storm, rain etc. along with good drainage facility. The risks from these factors are also covered through Insurance. The company is also facilitated to keep a rational reserve for any future price escalation of the raw materials.

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RISK FACTORS AND MANAGEMENT'S PERCEPTIONS ABOUT THE RISKS

(a) Interest Rate Risk

(b) Exchange Rate Risk:

(c) Industry Risk

(d) Market and technology related Risk

ii) Technology related Risk:

(e) Potential or existing government regulations:

(f) Potential changes in global or national policies

(g) Operational risk

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