Chapter 2. The Time Value of Money: (Section 2.2)
Chapter 2. The Time Value of Money: (Section 2.2)
Cash Flow Time Line: Step-by-Step Approach: Formula Approach: FVN = PV(1+I)N 3 N
1 |
2 |
3 | FV = ? $115.76 $115.76
$110.25 = $0 PMT
Calculator Approach:
FV $115.76
Excel Approach:
$115.76 $100.00
In the Excel formula, the terms are entered in this sequence: interest, periods, 0 to indicate no intermediate cash flows, and then the PV. The data can be entered as fixed numbers or as cell references.
Future Value of $1
Periods
To illustrate, refer to the time line and assume that $115.76 is due in 3 years. If a bank pays a guaranteed 5% interest rate each year, how much would you need to deposit now to have $115.76 in 3 years?
Cash Flow Time Line: Step-by-Step Approach: Formula Approach: PV = FVN / (1 + I)N 3 N
0 | PV = ? $100.00
1 |
2 |
$105.00
$110.25 = $0 PMT
PV = $115.76/(1.05)3 5 I/YR
Calculator Approach:
PV -$100.00
Excel Approach:
PV = PV = PV =
-$100.00 -$100.00
In the Excel function, 0 indicates that there are no intermediate cash flows.
Present Value of $1
Periods
Present value (PV) Future value (FV) Interest rate (I) No. of years (N) No. of years (N)
1I N 1 P M T I I
3 N
$315.25
Calculator Approach:
5 I/YR
$0 PV
-$100.00 PMT
FV $315.25
$315.25 $315.25
PM T
1I N 1 1I I I
5 I
$331.01
3 N
0 PV
-100 PMT
FV 331.01
331.01 331.01
In the Excel formula, the 1 at the end of the formula indicates that cash flows occur at the beginning of each period. A 0 or nothing would indicate end of period payments.
PM T
3 N
1 1 I I 1I N
5 I
$272.32
Calculator Approach:
PV 272.32
-100 PMT
0 FV
272.32 272.32
PM T
1 1 1I = I I 1I N
5 I PV 285.94
$285.94
3 N
-100 PMT
0 FV
285.94 285.94
Payment (PMT)
FINDING N Suppose you decide to make end-of-year deposits, but you can only save $1,200 per year. Again assuming that you would earn 6%, how long would it take you to reach your $10,000 goal? Interest rate (I) Present value (PV) Payment (PMT) Future value (FV) No. of years (N) 6% $0 -$1,200 $10,000 6.96 =NPER(I,PMT,PV,FV)
FINDING I Now suppose you can only save $1,200 annually, but you still want to have the $10,000 in 5 years. What rate of return would enable you to achieve your goal? No. of years (N) Present value (PV) Payment (PMT) Future value (FV) Interest rate (I) 5 $0 -$1,200 $10,000 25.78% =RATE(N,PMT,PV,FV)
Consider a British consol that pays a $25 annual payment. If interest rates are currently 5.2%, what is the value of the consol? Payment (PMT) Interest rate (I) Interest rate (I) $25 5.2% $480.77
If an annuity makes constant payments, then adding more payments to the security adds less value for each additional payment. This helps explain why perpetuities' values are finite, while payments are infinite. To see this better, consider the figure below (not in the text). The data used to construct the graph is shown to the right in columns I through L. One hundred payments are analyzed and their present values, the total value of an annuity of N number of years, and the contribution of the Nth payment are all shown in the table.
$100
Value of 25-Year Annuity: Value of 50-Year Annuity: Value of 100-Year Annuity: Value of Perpetuity:
PV of Additional Payments in an Annuity $50 Added: Years 1-25: Amt.
$0 3 9 15 21 27 33 39 45 51 57 63 69 76 82 88 94 100 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 66 73 79 85 91 97
Years (N)
Summary of Uneven Cash Flow Present Value Calculations (Annuity plus Lump Sum)
Interest rate Periods: Annuity CFs:
Lump sum CFs:
I 0 | $0
12% 1 | $100 $100 2 | $100 $100 3 | $100 $100 4 | $100 $100 5 | $100 $1,000 $1,100
Total CFs:
PV = =PV(0.12,5,-100,-1000) Fixed inputs: PV = =PV(B335,G337,-C339,-G340) Cell references NPV = =NPV(0.12,100,100,100,100,1100) Fixed inputs: =NPV(B335,C341:G341) Cell references: NPV = Now consider an irregular cash flow stream (where CFs can take on any value). Excel Function Approach:
NPV = NPV =
=NPV(0.12,100,300,300,300,500) =NPV(B358,C362:G362)
1,016.35 1,016.35
Our Excel formula ignores the initial cash flow (in Year 0). When entering a cash flow range, Excel assumes that the first value entered occurs at the end of the first year. If there is an initial cash flow, as we will see later, that cash flow must be separately added to the NPV formula result. Notice too that you can enter cash flows one-by-one, or if the cash flows appear in consecutive cells, you can enter the cell range.
Excel Function Approach: First find NPV: Then compound NPV for 5 years:
NPV = NFV =
=NPV(B383,C387:G387) =FV(B383,G385,0,-G397)
1,016.35 1,791.15
The NFV result using the Excel formulas is a negative number. This is because we used Excel's FV function and entered the NPV as a positive value as the PV.
$100 $1,000 0 | -$927.90 1 | $100 Cell references: Cell references: 2 | $100 RATE = IRR = 3 | $100 4 | $100 5 | $1,100 12.00% 12.00%
=RATE(G411,B408,B413,B409)
=IRR(B413:G413)
10% $100 5
Table 2-1. The Impact of Frequent Compounding Number of periods per year (M) 1 2 4 12
Periodic Effective Interest Rate Annual Rate Future Value 10.00% 10.000% $161.05 5.00% 10.250% $162.89 2.50% 10.381% $163.86 0.83% 10.471% $164.53
Daily
10%
365
0.03%
10.516%
$164.86
First, we solve for the required payment, then we construct an amortization table. N I PV FV PMT 5 6% $100,000 $0 -$23,739.64
Table 2-2. Loan Amortization Schedule, $100,000 at 6% for 5 Years Amount borrowed: $100,000 Years: 5 Rate: 6% PMT: $23,739.64
Year 1 2 3 4 5
a
Repayment of Principalb (2) - (3) = (4) $17,739.64 $18,804.02 $19,932.26 $21,128.20 $22,395.89
Ending Balance (1) - (4) = (5) $82,260.36 $63,456.34 $43,524.08 $22,395.89 $0.00
Interest in each period is calculated by multiplying the loan balance at the beginning of the year by the interest rate. Therefore, interest in Year 1 is $100,000(0.06) = $6,000; in Year 2 it is $82,260.36(0.06) = $4,935.62; and so on. Repayment of principal is equal to the payment of $23,739.64 minus the interest charge for the year.
b
SECTION 2.2
SOLUTIONS TO SELF-TEST 2a What would the future value of $100 be after 5 years at 10% compound interest? N I PV PMT 5 10% $100 $0
FV
$161.05
3a Suppose you currently have $2,000 and plan to purchase a 3-year certificate of deposit (CD) that pays 4 percent interest compounded annually. How much will you have when the CD matures? N I PV PMT 3 4% $2,000 $0
FV
$2,249.73
3b How would your answer change if the interest rate were 5%, or 6%, or 20%? Interest rate 5% 6% 20% $2,249.73 $2,315.25 $2,382.03 $3,456.00
4 A companys sales in 2006 were $100 million. If sales grow at 8 percent, what will they be 10 years later, in 2016? N I PV ($M) PMT 10 8% $100 $0
FV ($M)
$215.89
5a How much would $1, growing at 5% per year, be worth after 100 years? N I PV PMT 100 5% $1 $0
FV
$131.50
5b What would FV be if the growth rate were 10%? N I PV PMT 100 10% $1 $0
FV
$13,780.61
SECTION 2.3
SOLUTIONS TO SELF-TEST 3a Suppose a U.S. government bond promises to pay $2,249.73 three years from now. If the going interest rate on 3-year government bonds is 4%, how much is the bond worth today? N I PMT FV 3 4% $0 $2,250
PV
$2,000.00
3b How would your answer change if the bond matured in 5 rather than 3 years? N I PMT FV 5 4% $0 $2,250
PV
$1,849.11
3c What if the interest rate on the 5-year bond were 6% rather than 4%? N I PMT FV 5 6% $0 $2,250
PV
$1,681.13
4a How much would $1,000,000 due in 100 years be worth today if the discount rate were 5%? N I PMT FV 100 5% $0 $1,000,000
PV
$7,604.49
PV
$0.0121
SECTION 2.4
SOLUTIONS TO SELF-TEST 1a The U.S. Treasury offers to sell you a bond for $585.43. No payments will be made until the bond matures 10 years from now, at which time it will be redeemed for $1,000. What interest rate would you earn if you bought this bond for $585.43? N PMT PV FV 10 $0 $585.43 $1,000
5.50%
1b What rate would you earn if you could buy the bond for $550? N PMT PV FV 1c For $600? N PMT PV FV 10 $0 $600.00 $1,000 10 $0 $550.00 $1,000
6.16%
5.24%
2a Microsoft earned $0.12 per share in 1994. Ten years later, in 2004, it earned $1.04. What was the growth rate in Microsofts earnings per share (EPS) over the 10-year period? N PMT PV FV 10 $0 $0.12 $1.04
24.10%
2b If EPS in 2004 had been $0.65 rather than $1.04, what would the growth rate have been? N PMT PV FV 10 $0 $0.12 $1
18.41%
SECTION 2.5
SOLUTIONS TO SELF-TEST
1a How long would it take $1,000 to double if it were invested in a bank that pays 6% per year? I PMT PV FV 6% $0 $1,000 $2,000
11.90
1b How long would it take if the rate were 10%? I PMT PV FV 10% $0 $1,000 $2,000
7.27
2a Microsofts 2004 earnings per share were $1.04, and its growth rate during the prior 10 years was 24.1% per year. If that growth rate were maintained, how long would it take for Microsofts EPS to double? I PMT PV FV 24.1% $0 $1.04 $2.08
3.21
SECTION 2.7
SOLUTIONS TO SELF-TEST
1a For an ordinary annuity with 5 annual payments of $100 and a 10% interest rate, how many years will the 1st payment earn interest, and what will this payments value be at the end? N I PMT PV 5 10% -$100 $0
4 $146.41
1b Answer this same question for the 5th payment. N I PMT PV 5 10% -$100 $0
0 $100.00
2a Assume that you plan to buy a condo 5 years from now, and you estimate that you can save $2,500 per year. You plan to deposit the money in a bank that pays 4% interest, and you will make the first deposit at the end of the year. How much will you have after 5 years? N I PMT PV 5 4% -$2,500 $0
FV
$13,540.81
2b How would your answer change if the interest rate were increased to 6%, or lowered to 3%? N I PMT PV N I PMT PV 5 6% -$2,500 $0 5 3% -$2,500 $0
FV
$14,092.73
FV
$13,272.84
SECTION 2.8
SOLUTIONS TO SELF-TEST 3a Assume that you plan to buy a condo 5 years from now, and you need to save for a down payment. You plan to save $2,500 per year, with the first payment made immediately, and you will deposit the funds in a bank account that pays 4%. How much will you have after 5 years? N I PV PMT 5 4% $0 -$2,500
FV
$14,082.44
2b How much would you have if you made the deposits at the end of each year? N I PV PMT 5 4% $0 -$2,500
FV
$13,540.81
SECTION 2.9
SOLUTIONS TO SELF-TEST 3a What is the PVA of an ordinary annuity with 10 payments of $100 if the appropriate interest rate is 10%? N I PMT FV 10 10% -$100 $0
PV
$614.46
3b What would PVA be if the interest rate were 4%? N I PMT FV 10 4% -$100 $0
PV
$811.09
PV
$1,000.00
3d How would the PVA values differ if we were dealing with annuities due? Part a N I PMT FV PV 10 10% -$100 $0 $675.90 N I PMT FV PV Part b 10 4% -$100 $0 $843.53 N I PMT FV PV Part c 10 0% -$100 $0 $1,000.00
4a Assume that you are offered an annuity that pays $100 at the end of each year for 10 years. You could earn 8% on your money in other investments with equal risk. What is the most you should pay for the annuity? N I PMT FV 10 8% -$100 $0
PV
$671.01
4b If the payments began immediately, how much would the annuity be worth? N I PMT FV 10 8% -$100 $0
PV
$724.69
SECTION 2.10
SOLUTIONS TO SELF-TEST 1a Suppose you inherited $100,000 and invested it at 7% per year. How much could you withdraw at the end of each of the next 10 years? N I PV FV 10 7% $100,000 $0
PMT
-$14,237.75
1b How would your answer change if you made withdrawals at the beginning of each year? N I PV FV 10 7% $100,000 $0
PMT
-$13,306.31
2a If you had $100,000 that was invested at 7% and you wanted to withdraw $10,000 at the end of each year, how long would your funds last? I PV PMT FV 7.0% $100,000 -$10,000 $0
17.8
2b How long would they last if you earned 0%? I PV PMT FV 0.0% $100,000 -$10,000 $0
10.0
2c How long would they last if you earned the 7% but limited your withdrawal to $7,000 per year? I PV PMT FV 7.0% $100,000 -$7,000 $0
* This result means that with $7,000 withdrawals, you would never #VALUE! exhaust the funds.
3 Your rich uncle named you as the beneficiary of his life insurance policy. The insurance company gives you a choice of $100,000 today or a 12-year annuity of $12,000 at the end of each year. What rate of return is the insurance company offering? N PMT PV FV 12 $12,000 $100,000 $0
6.11%
4a Assume that you just inherited an annuity that will pay you $10,000 per year for 10 years, with the first payment being made today. A friend of your mother offers to give you $60,000 for the annuity. If you sell it, what rate of return would your mothers friend earn on his investment? N PMT PV FV 10 -$10,000 $60,000 $0
13.70%
4b If you think a fair return would be 6%, how much should you ask for the annuity? N I PMT FV 10 6% -$10,000 $0
PV
$78,016.92
SECTION 2.11
SOLUTIONS TO SELF-TEST 1a Whats the present value of a perpetuity that pays $1,000 per year, beginning one year from now, if the appropriate interest rate is 5%? PMT I $1,000 5%
PV
$20,000
1b What would the value be if the annuity began its payments immediately? PMT I $1,000 5% **The perpetuity value formula values payments 1 through infinity. If a payment is received immediately, it must be added to the formula result.
PV
$21,000
SECTION 2.12
SOLUTIONS TO SELF-TEST 2a Whats the present value of a 5-year ordinary annuity of $100 plus an additional $500 at the end of Year 5 if the interest rate is 6%? Interest rate Year Ann Pmt Lump Sum Total CFs NPV 6% 0 $0 $0 $794.87 1 $100 $100 2 $100 $100 3 $100 $100 4 $100 $100 5 $100 $500 $600
2b How would the PV change if the $100 payments occurred in Years 1 through 10 and the $500 came at the end of Year 10? Interest rate Year Ann Pmt Lump Sum Total CFs NPV 6% 0 $0 $0 $1,015.21 1 $100 $100 2 $100 $100 3 $100 $100 4 $100 $100 5 $100 $100 6 $100 $100 7 $100 $100 8 $100 $100 9 $100 $100 10 $100 $500 $600
3a Whats the present value of the following uneven cash flow stream: $0 at Time 0, $100 in Year 1 (or at Time 1), $200 in Year 2, $0 in Year 3, and $400 in Year 4 if the interest rate is 8%? Interest rate Year CFs 8% 0 $0 1 $100 2 $200 3 $0 4 $400
NPV
$558.07
SECTION 2.13
SOLUTIONS TO SELF-TEST 3a What is the future value of this cash flow stream: $100 at the end of 1 year, $150 due after 2 years, and $300 due after 3 years if the appropriate interest rate is 15%? Interest rate Year CFs FV of CFs NFV 15% 0 $0 $0.00 $604.75 1 $100 $132.25 2 $150 $172.50 3 $300 $300.00
SECTION 2.14
SOLUTIONS TO SELF-TEST 1 An investment costs $465 and is expected to produce cash flows of $100 at the end of each of the next 4 years, then an extra lump sum payment of $200 at the end of the 4th year. What is the expected rate of return on this investment? Interest rate Year Ann Pmt Lump Sum Total CFs IRR 6% 0 -$465 -$465 9.05% 1 $100 $100 2 $100 $100 3 $100 $100 4 $100 $200 $300
2 An investment costs $465 and is expected to produce cash flows of $100 at the end Year 1, $200 at the end or Year 2, and $300 at the end of Year 3. What is the expected rate of return on this investment? Year CFs IRR 0 -$465 11.71% 1 $100 2 $200 3 $300
SECTION 2.15
SOLUTIONS TO SELF-TEST 2a Whats the future value of $100 after 3 years if the appropriate interest rate is 8%, compounded annually? N I PV PMT 3 8% -$100 $0
FV
$125.97
FV
$127.02
3a Whats the present value of $100 due in 3 years if the appropriate interest rate is 8%, compounded annually? N I PMT FV 3 8% $0 $100
PV
$79.38
PV
$78.73
6 Credit card issuers must by law print their annual percentage rate (APR) on their monthly statements. A common APR is 18%, with interest paid monthly. What is the EFF % on such a loan? Nominal rate Comp/year Effective rate 18% 12 19.56%
SECTION 2.16
SOLUTIONS TO SELF-TEST 1a Suppose a company borrowed $1 million at a rate of 9%, simple interest, with interest paid at the end of each month. The bank uses a 360-day year. How much interest would the firm have to pay in a 30-day month? Loan $1,000,000 Interest rate 9% Days/year 360 Interest pd (days) 30 Interest paid $7,500
1b What would the interest be if the bank used a 365-day year? Loan $1,000,000 Interest rate 9% Days/year 365 Interest pd (days) 30 Interest paid $7,397.26
2a Suppose you deposited $1,000 in a credit union that pays 7% with daily compounding and a 365-day year. What is the EFF%, and how much could you withdraw after 7/12 of a year? Loan Interest rate Comp/year Effective rate $1,000 7% 365 7.250098%
7 $1,041.67
SECTION 2.17
SOLUTIONS TO SELF-TEST 1 Suppose you borrowed $30,000 on a student loan at a rate of 8% and now must repay it in 3 equal installments at the end of each of the next 3 years. How large would your payments be, how much of the first payment would represent interest, how much would be principal, and what would your ending balance be after the first year? N I PV FV PMT 3 8% $30,000 $0 -$11,641.01
Loan Amortization Schedule, $30,000 at 8% for 3 Years Amount borrowed: $30,000 Years: 3 Rate: 8% PMT: -$11,641.01
Repayment of Principal (4)
Year 1 2 3
Beginning Payment Interest Amount (1) (2) (3) $30,000.00 $11,641.01 $2,400.00 $20,758.99 $11,641.01 $1,660.72 $10,778.71 $11,641.01 $862.30
Rather than focus on Year 1 data, it was easier to just construct a full amortization schedule.
SECTION 2.18
SOLUTIONS TO SELF-TEST
3 If the nominal interest rate is 10% and the expected inflation rate is 5%, what is the expected real rate of return? rNOM Inflation rr 10% 5% 4.7619%