AY Charlotte Office Report Q4 2022
AY Charlotte Office Report Q4 2022
AY Charlotte Office Report Q4 2022
office market
report
Q4 2022
page 2 Charlotte office insights | Q4 2022 Source: AVANT by Avison Young, CoStar
40
45
50
55
60
65
10
15
20
0
5
page 3
Q4 2018 Q4 2018
Q1 2019 Q1 2019
Q2 2019 Q2 2019
Q3 2019 Q3 2019
Q4 2019 Q4 2019
Existing
Q1 2020 Q1 2020
Q2 2020 Q2 2020
Direct
Q3 2020 Q3 2020
Q4 2020 Q4 2020
Q1 2021 Q1 2021
Sublet
Q2 2021 Q2 2021
Inventory (msf)
Availability (msf)
Q3 2021 Q3 2021
Q4 2021 Q4 2021
Under development
Q2 2022 Q2 2022
Q3 2022 Q3 2022
Q4 2022 Q4 2022
10%
15%
20%
0%
5%
Q4 2018
-500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
-1,000,000
0
500,000
Q1 2019
Q4 2018
Q2 2019
Q1 2019
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q4 2019
Q3 2019
Q1 2020
Charlotte office market indicators
Q4 2019
Direct
Q2 2020 Q1 2020
Q3 2020 Q2 2020
Q4 2020 Q3 2020
Vacancy
Q1 2021 Q4 2020
Q1 2021
Q2 2021
Q2 2021
Sublet
Q3 2021
Net absorption (sf)
Q3 2021
Q4 2021
Q4 2021
Q1 2022
Q1 2022
Q2 2022 Q2 2022
Q3 2022 Q3 2022
3.8%
15.8%
-734,954
Q4 2022 Q4 2022
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
$40
$100
$200
$300
$400
$0
Q4 2018
Q4 2018
Q1 2019 Q1 2019
Q2 2019 Q2 2019
Q3 2019 Q3 2019
Q4 2019 Q4 2019
Q1 2020 Q1 2020
Q2 2020
Q2 2020
Q3 2020
Q3 2020
12mo sale volume
Q4 2020
Q4 2020
Q1 2021
Q1 2021
Q2 2021
Q3 2021 Q2 2021
Q4 2021 Q3 2021
Q1 2022 Q4 2021
Investment sales (TTM)
$341
12mo avg $/sf
Q2 2022
Direct asking rents (psf/FS)
Q1 2022
Q3 2022 Q2 2022
Q4 2022
Q3 2022
$34.88
Q4 2022
0B
1B
2B
3B
4B
Office market activity
Recent leasing activity
Tenant Name Property Sign Date Size (sf) Transaction Type Lease Type Submarket
Confidential 11215 N Community House Rd Oct 2022 31,085 New Sublease South/485
Confidential 1801 Graham St Dec 2022 25,018 New Direct Plaza Midwood/Noda
Trinity Partners 650 S Tryon St Oct 2022 23,854 New Sublease CBD
Albemarle US Inc 6800 Solectron Dr Dec 2022 $70,290,409 $160.43 University Shorenstein Properties LLC
Griffin Partners Inc *6525 Carnegie Blvd Oct 2022 $35,060,552 $304.06 SouthPark Intercontinental Real Estate Corp
MRP Realty 526 S Church St Dec 2022 $35,000,000 $66.93 CBD Duke Energy
Millennium Venture Capital AG 401 S College St Dec 2022 $24,000,000 $195.81 CBD Duke Energy
Griffin Partners Inc *1901 Roxborough Rd Oct 2022 $15,789,448 $246.28 SouthPark Intercontinental Real Estate Corp
*Part of a portfolio
Notable Development
Property Submarket Delivery Date Total (sf) % Preleased Asking Rent Developer
Duke Energy Tower CBD Aug 2023 1,000,000 99% $52 Childress Klein
2405 Governor Hunt Rd University Mar 2023 770,000 0% N/A Rafco Properties
Legacy Union – Phase IV CBD Sep 2024 410,880 98% N/A Lincoln Harris
The Thread South Carolina Dec 2023 400,000 0% N/A The Keith Corporation
page 4 Charlotte office insights | Q4 2022 Source: AVANT by Avison Young, CoStar
Office market stats by submarket
Direct & Sublet Vacancy Net Absorption Average Asking Rent
SF Under
By Submarket Inventory (sf) Q3 New Leases
Construction
Class A Class B Total % 3Q22 TTM Class A Class B
CBD 21,047,762 14.50% 16.20% 14.70% 85,128 (103,291) (520,327) 1,504,000 $ 36.94 $ 31.63
Midtown/South End 4,831,543 13.20% 10.70% 12.20% 85,350 132,097 491,943 733,120 $ 42.11 $ 38.27
Plaza Midwood/Noda 839,306 73.10% 7.30% 58.90% 69,994 21,673 (34,086) 439,972 $ 39.44 $ 33.01
Urban Subtotal 26,718,611 16.30% 14.90% 17.60% 240,472 (1,518) (62,470) 2,677,092 $ 37.50 $ 33.06
Airport 9,118,870 18.20% 34.10% 23.70% 221,548 (133,261) 84,509 190,000 $ 27.43 $ 25.07
East Charlotte 1,004,590 0.00% 20.10% 18.60% 8,479 (4,779) (3,148) - - $ 17.77
North Charlotte 2,202,295 19.70% 10.50% 16.60% 87,071 59,794 52,631 491,470 $ 29.57 $ 27.73
Park Road 712,791 21.30% 14.00% 18.60% 92,727 (111,081) (87,048) - $ 36.75 $ 34.78
South/485 5,499,938 26.40% 16.00% 25.50% 193,627 (183,243) (270,596) - $ 36.10 $ 40.40
South Charlotte 923,386 20.30% 10.00% 15.00% 41,795 9,515 15,643 - $ 28.47 $ 27.04
Matthews 677,741 0.00% 8.30% 10.30% 7,684 (44,185) 43,905 - $ 28.00 $ 21.40
SouthPark 4,295,177 17.70% 12.40% 16.00% 78,566 (114,252) (66,027) - $ 38.91 $ 32.06
University 4,539,533 47.70% 20.10% 29.90% 32,083 (399,122) (357,772) 800,000 $ 27.89 $ 29.26
South Carolina 2,503,300 6.20% 33.50% 19.80% 63,399 63,399 (158,562) - $ 27.41 $ 25.00
Suburban Subtotal 31,477,621 23.50% 21.90% 22.60% 826,979 (857,215) (746,465) 1,481,470 $ 32.39 $ 28.44
Market Total 58,196,232 18.70% 20.10% 19.60% 1,067,451 (858,733) (808,935) 4,158,562 $ 34.88 $ 28.77
page 5 Charlotte office insights | Q4 2022 Source: AVANT by Avison Young, CoStar
Office market Sublease vacancy rate Direct vacancy rate
19.6%
vacancy for direct, sublease and
total percentages
20%
0%
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
page 6 Charlotte office insights | Q4 2022 Source: CoStar
Class A base $36
Base rent FS psf
$34.88
rental rates $34
+9.3% $32
$30
Change in Class A base
rental rates, trailing $28
twelve months.
$26
Net effective rents increased by 9.3% from year-end
2021, signaling that demand has risen as office
employees return to work and tenants that
$24
postponed their real estate decisions re-enter the
market. Expect rent growth to level out in order to
offset vacancies. $22 $20.55
$20
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
Note: Excludes subleases, expansions and renewals.
page 7 Charlotte office insights | Q4 2022 Source: AVANT by Avison Young
Office-using job gains Charlotte Metropolitan Statistical Area
February 2020 to November 2022
and losses
Financial Activies 12.7%
Change in office-using
employment since pre- Education & Health 8.0%
pandemic levels.
Mining, Lodging & Construction 7.4%
Charlotte MSA job gains have increased by 6.8%
since February 2022, with the financial industry
Other Services 5.4%
increasing more than any other job sector at 12.7%.
Given net positive job gains across all industries in
the Charlotte MSA, it’s safe to say that the area has Information 2.0%
eclipsed pre-pandemic levels in terms of
employment and business activities. Hospitality 1.9%
Manufacturing 0.9%
Putting people and the planet first The return of people and places Tracking U.S. employment trends
There is a vital role for our sector to create healthy, Companies across North America continue to Rising layoffs and declining job postings are also
productive workplaces for employees, cities that are grapple with uncertainty. What will the future of indicating that the economy is becoming distressed.
centers of prosperity for their citizens, and built work look like? Are downtowns regaining their Employment data and industries are analyzed across
spaces and places that create a net benefit to the pre-pandemic vitality? How will societal, cultural cycles for a real-time and historical look at economic
economy, the environment and the community. and environmental shifts shape the next normal? conditions.
© 2023 Avison Young. All rights reserved. E. & O.E.: The information contained herein was obtained from
page which Charlotte
sources11 officeand,
we deem reliable insights | Q4 2022
while thought to be correct, is not guaranteed by Avison Young.