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Pre-Finals Task Performance

1. The document contains 7 quantitative problems involving probability. 2. The problems calculate probabilities of events like drawing balls of certain colors from bags, the number of tests needed to identify a positive viral sample, expected monetary wins from random card draws. 3. The responses provide the calculations and equations to determine the probabilities or expected values requested for each problem.

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Lord Guzman
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1K views

Pre-Finals Task Performance

1. The document contains 7 quantitative problems involving probability. 2. The problems calculate probabilities of events like drawing balls of certain colors from bags, the number of tests needed to identify a positive viral sample, expected monetary wins from random card draws. 3. The responses provide the calculations and equations to determine the probabilities or expected values requested for each problem.

Uploaded by

Lord Guzman
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Pre-Finals Task Performance

Guzman, Lord Byron Gerard T.

BSIT-401

Quantitative Methods

1. The number of typing errors on a page follows a Poisson distribution with a mean of
6.3. Find the probability of having exactly six (6) errors on a page. (5 points)

2. One bag contains 6 red, 2 blue, and 3 yellow balls. A second bag contains 2 red, 4
blue, and 5 yellow balls. A third bag contains 3 red, 7 blue, and 1 yellow ball. One bag
is selected at random. If 1 ball is drawn from the selected bag, what is the probability
that the ball drawn is yellow? (5 points)

3. In a viral pool test it is known that in a group of five (5) people, exactly one (1) will test
positive. If they are tested one by one in random order for confirmation, what is the
probability that only two (2) tests are needed? (5 points)

4. If one ball each is drawn from 3 boxes, the first containing 3 red, 2 yellow, and 1 blue,
the second box contains 2 red, 2 yellow, and 2 blue, and the third box with 1 red, 4
yellow, and 3 blue. What is the probability that all 3 balls drawn are different colors?
(10 points)

5. A basket of fruits contains eight (8) apples and ten (10) oranges. Half of the apples
and half of the oranges are rotten. If one (1) fruit is chosen at random, what is the
probability that a rotten apple or an orange is chosen? (5 points)

6. A small-time bingo card costs P100.00 for 5 games. The prize for the first three games
is P5,000.00, the fourth is P10,000.00 and the last prize is P20,000.00. If 1,000 bingo
cards are going to be sold and you could only win once, what is the expected value of
a ticket? (10 points)

7. You pick a card from a deck. If it is a face card, you will win P500.00. If you get an ace,
you will win P1,000. If the card you picked is red you get P100.00. For any other card,
you will win nothing. Find the expected value that you can possibly win. (10 points)
Answers:

1.

Given:

µ = 6.3

x=6

e = 2.71828
x −µ
( µ) e
P=
x!
6 −6.3
( 6.3) (2.71828)
P=
6!

( 62523.50)(0.001836)
P=
720

114.793146
P=
720

P=0.159434925

2.

n( E)
P ( E )=
n( s)

1
P ( E )= =0.03∨3 %
33

3.

4
P ( A )=
5

1
P ( B )=
4

P ( A∧B )=P ( A ) x P( B∨A )

P ( A∧B )=P ( 45 ) x P ( 14 )
4
P ( A∧B )= =0.2∨20 %
20

4.

n( E)
P ( E )=
n( s)

3
P ( E )= =0.15∨15 %
20

5.

1
P ( A )=
8

1
P ( B )=
10

P ( A∧B )=P ( A ) x P( B∨A )

P ( A∧B )=P ( 18 ) x P( 101 )


1
P ( A∧B )= =0.125∨12.5 %
80

6.

Probability of the Prize: P 5,000

1 3 3
P 1= X =
1000 5 5000

Probability of the Prize: P 10,000

1 1 1
P 2= X =
1000 5 5000

Probability of the Prize: P 20,000

1 1 1
P 3= X =
1000 5 5000

E ( x )=[ x 1 . P1 ] + [ x 2 . P 2 ] +[x 3 . P 3]
3 1 1 44500
E ( x )=100 x 0.999+ ( 100−5000 ) x + ( 100−10000 ) x + ( 100−20000 ) x =99.9− =99.9−8 .9=
5000 5000 5000 5000

7.

x=0 , 100 , 1000 ,500

19
P ( x=0 )=
54

27 2 6 19
P ( x=10 0 )= − − =
54 54 54 54

4 2
P ( x=1000 )= =
54 27

12
P ( x=50 0 )=
54

E ( x )=[ x 1 . P1 ] + [ x 2 . P 2 ] + [ x 3 . P 3 ]+[ x 4 . P 4 ]

[
E ( x )= 0 x
19
54 ][
+ 100 x
19
54
+ 1000 x
][
2
27
+ 500 x
12
54 ][
=220.36
]

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