FM Theory
FM Theory
FM Theory
Chapter 7
Chapter 8 – CAPM
NUMERICALS:
WC
Walter model
Gordon model
Capm model
WACC
Yield to maturity
Dupont analysis:
A financial analysis assists in identifying the major strengths and weaknesses of
a business enterprise. It indicates whether a firm has enough cash to meet
obligations; a reasonable accounts receivable collection period; an efficient
inventory management policy; sufficient property, plant, and equipment; an
efficient cost structure; sufficient profits; and an adequate capital structure—all
of which are necessary if a firm is to achieve the goal of maximizing shareholder
wealth. Financial analysis can also be used to assess a firm’s viability as an
ongoing enterprise and to determine whether a satisfactory return is being
earned for the risks taken. Financial analysis helps a firm’s management to
discover specific problem areas in time for remedial action. For example, the
analysis may show that a firm is carrying an excessive accounts receivable
balance, which if not looked into may lead to liquidity problems in the future. The
results of a financial analysis may indicate facts and trends that can aid the
financial manager in planning and implementing a course of action consistent
with the goal of maximizing shareholder wealth.
Liquidity Ratios
Liquidity ratios are quick measures of a firm’s ability to provide sufficient cash
to conduct business over the next few months.
Current Ratio
The current ratio is defined as follows:
Current assets include the cash a firm already has on hand and
in the bank plus any assets that can be converted into cash
within a “normal” operating period of 12 months, such as
marketable securities (also known as cash equivalents) held as
short-term investments, accounts receivable, inventories, and
prepayments. Current liabilities include any financial
obligations expected to fall due within the next year, such as
accounts payable, notes payable, the current portion of long-
term debt due, other payables, and various accruals such as
taxes and wages due.
Quick Ratio
The quick ratio is defined as follows:
Introduction
Advantages and
Disadvantages of Common
Stock Financing
One of the major advantages of common stock financing is that
no fixed-dividend obligation exists, at least in principle. In
practice, however, dividend cuts are relatively uncommon for
companies paying a “regular” dividend, a fact that implies that
corporate management generally views a firm’s current level of
dividends as a minimum for the future. Nevertheless, common
stock financing does allow firms a greater degree of flexibility in
their financing plans than fixed-income securities. Thus,
common stock is less risky to the firm than fixed-income
securities. Limits on additional debt and the maintenance of
working capital levels are only two of the constraints imposed
on a firm when fixed-income security financing is employed.
Finally, the expected cash flows from common stock are more
uncertain than the cash flows from bonds and preferred stock.
Common stock dividend payments are related to the firm’s
earnings in some manner, and it can be difficult to forecast
future long-term earnings and dividend payments with a high
degree of accuracy.
A firm’s capital expenditures affect its future profitability and, when taken together,
essentially plot the company’s future direction by determining which products will be
produced, which markets will be entered, where production facilities will be located,
and what type of technology will be used. Capital expenditure decision making is
important for another reason as well. Specifically, it is often difficult, if not
impossible, to reverse a major capital expenditure without incurring considerable
additional expense. For example, if a firm acquires highly specialized production
facilities and equipment, it must recognize that there may be no ready used-
equipment market in which to dispose of them if they do not generate the desired
future cash flows. The losses incurred by Ford on its Volvo investments illustrate this
point well. For these reasons, a firm’s management should establish a number of
definite procedures to follow when analyzing capital expenditure projects. Choosing
from among such projects is the objective of capital budgeting models.
Cost of Capital
A firm’s cost of capital is defined as the cost of the funds (debt, preferred
and common equity) supplied to it and used to finance investments made
by a company. It is also termed the required rate of return because it
specifies the minimum necessary rate of return required by the firm’s
investors on new investments. If a firm earns returns on its new
investments that exceed the cost of capital, shareholder wealth will
increase.
How Projects Are Classified
Independent Projects
An independent project is one whose acceptance or rejection does not
directly eliminate other projects from consideration. For example, a firm
may want to install a new telephone communications system in its
headquarters and replace a drill press during approximately the same
time. In the absence of a constraint on the availability of funds, both
projects could be adopted if they meet minimum investment criteria.
Contingent Projects
A contingent project is one whose acceptance is dependent on the
adoption of one or more other projects. For example, a decision by Nucor
to build a new steel plant in North Carolina is contingent upon Nucor
investing in suitable air and water pollution control equipment. When a
firm is considering contingent projects, it is best to consider together all
projects that are dependent on one another and treat them as a single
project for purposes of evaluation.
Scenario analysis is another technique that has been used to assess the
risk of an investment project. Sensitivity analysis considers the impact of
changes in key variables, one at a time, on the desirability of an
investment project. In contrast, scenario analysis considers the impact of
simultaneous changes in key variables on the desirability of an investment
project.
No taxes. Under this assumption, investors are indifferent about whether they
receive either dividend income or capital gains income.
No transaction costs. This assumption implies that investors in the securities
of firms paying small or no dividends can sell at no cost any number of shares
they wish in order to convert capital gains into current income.
No issuance costs. If firms did not have to pay issuance costs on the issue of
new securities, they could acquire needed equity capital by issuing new
common stock at the same cost as equity capital generated internally through
retention of earnings. Holding all else constant, firms that pay dividends will
need to issue new common stock to meet equity capital requirements for
their investments.
Existence of a fixed investment policy. According to MM, the firm’s
investment policy is not affected by its dividend policy. Furthermore, MM
claim that investment policy, not dividend policy, really determines a firm’s
value.
Advantages
Share repurchases effectively convert dividend income into capital gains income.
Shareholders in high (marginal) income tax brackets may prefer capital gains income
because of the ability to defer taxes into the future (when the stock is sold). Also,
share repurchases provide the firm with greater financial flexibility in timing the
payment of returns to shareholders. Finally, share repurchases can represent a signal
to investors that the company expects to have higher earnings and cash flows in the
future.
Disadvantages
A company may overpay for the stock that it repurchases. If the stock price declines,
the share repurchase represents an unprofitable use of the company’s resources.
Also, a share repurchase may trigger IRS scrutiny (and possible tax penalties) if the
buyback is viewed as a way for shareholders to avoid taxes on cash dividends. Finally,
some current shareholders may be unaware of the share repurchase program and
may sell their shares before the expected benefits (that is, price appreciation) occur.
Chapter 16:
Working capital is used by firms to maintain liquidity, that is, the ability to meet their
cash obligations as they come due. Otherwise, it may incur the costs associated with
a deteriorating credit rating, a potential forced liquidation of assets, and possible
bankruptcy.
Working capital differs from fixed capital in terms of the time required to recover the
investment in a given asset. In the case of fixed capital or long-term assets (such as
land, buildings, and equipment), a company usually needs several years or more to
recover the initial investment. In contrast, working capital is turned over, or
circulated, at a relatively rapid rate. Investments in inventories and accounts
receivable are usually recovered during a firm’s normal operating cycle, when
inventories are sold and receivables are collected.
Working capital is used by firms to maintain liquidity, that is, the ability to meet their
cash obligations as they come due. Otherwise, it may incur the costs associated with
a deteriorating credit rating, a potential forced liquidation of assets, and possible
bankruptcy.
Working capital differs from fixed capital in terms of the time required to recover the
investment in a given asset. In the case of fixed capital or long-term assets (such as
land, buildings, and equipment), a company usually needs several years or more to
recover the initial investment. In contrast, working capital is turned over, or
circulated, at a relatively rapid rate. Investments in inventories and accounts
receivable are usually recovered during a firm’s normal operating cycle, when
inventories are sold and receivables are collected.
Risk of Long-Term versus Short-
Term Debt
Borrowing companies have different attitudes toward the relative risk of long-term
versus short-term debt than do lenders. Whereas lenders normally feel that risk
increases with maturity, borrowers feel that there is more risk associated with short-
term debt. The reasons for this are twofold.
First, there is always the chance that a firm will not be able to refinance its short-
term debt. When a firm’s debt matures, it either pays off the debt as part of a debt
reduction program or arranges new financing. At the time of maturity, however, the
firm could be faced with financial problems resulting from such events as strikes,
natural disasters, or recessions that cause sales and cash inflows to decline. Under
these circumstances the firm may find it very difficult or even impossible to obtain
the needed funds. This could lead to operating and financial difficulties. The more
frequently a firm must refinance debt, the greater is the risk of its not being able to
obtain the necessary financing.
Second, short-term interest rates tend to fluctuate more over time than long-term
interest rates. As a result, a firm’s interest expenses and expected earnings after
interest and taxes are subject to greater variation over time with short-term debt
than with long-term debt.