Risk Factor of Ectopic Pregnancy
Risk Factor of Ectopic Pregnancy
Risk Factor of Ectopic Pregnancy
Risk Factors for Ectopic Pregnancy: A Comprehensive Analysis Based on a Large Case-Control, Population-based Study in France
Jean Bouyer1, Jol Coste1, Taraneh Shojaei1, Jean-Luc Pouly2, Herv Fernandez1,3, Laurent Gerbaud4, and Nadine Job-Spira1
1 2
INSERM U569, IFR69 (The French Institute of Health and Medical Research), Le Kremlin-Bictre, France. Centre Hospitalier Htel-Dieu, Service de Gyncologie-Obsttrique, Clermont-Ferrand, France. 3 Hpital Antoine Bclre, Service de Gyncologie-Obsttrique, Clamart, France. 4 Service dEpidmiologie et de Sant Publique, Clermont-Ferrand, France. Received for publication February 15, 2002; accepted for publication August 28, 2002.
This case-control study was associated with a regional register of ectopic pregnancy between 1993 and 2000 in France. It included 803 cases of ectopic pregnancy and 1,683 deliveries and was powerful enough to investigate all ectopic pregnancy risk factors. The main risk factors were infectious history (adjusted attributable risk = 0.33; adjusted odds ratio for previous pelvic infectious disease = 3.4, 95% percent confidence interval (CI): 2.4, 5.0) and smoking (adjusted attributable risk = 0.35; adjusted odds ratio = 3.9, 95% CI: 2.6, 5.9 for >20 cigarettes/day vs. women who had never smoked). The other risk factors were age (associated per se with a risk of ectopic pregnancy), prior spontaneous abortions, history of infertility, and previous use of an intrauterine device. Prior medical induced abortion was associated with a risk of ectopic pregnancy (adjusted odds ratio = 2.8, 95% CI: 1.1, 7.2); no such association was observed for surgical abortion (adjusted odds ratio = 1.1, 95% CI: 0.8, 1.6). The total attributable risk of all the factors investigated was 0.76. As close associations were found between ectopic pregnancy and infertility and between ectopic pregnancy and spontaneous abortion, further research into ectopic pregnancy should focus on risk factors common to these conditions. In terms of public health, increasing awareness of the effects of smoking may be useful for ectopic pregnancy prevention. abortion, induced; case-control studies; infertility, female; pregnancy, ectopic; registries; risk factors; sexually transmitted diseases; tobacco
During the 1980s and 1990s, the incidence of ectopic pregnancy in developed countries increased by a factor of 34 (15), reaching 100175 per 1,000,000 women aged 1544 years. Several risk factors for ectopic pregnancy have been identified (3, 68) including pelvic inflammatory disease, smoking, and, previous ectopic pregnancy. Other factors, such as age, surgical history, and obstetric history, are also thought to be involved. However, the role played by these factors remains unclear because of problems with the sample size or the design of previous studies. Published meta-analyses of ectopic pregnancy risk factors (911) only partly answered the questions addressed, mainly because their ability to adjust for confounders was limited (12, 13). This
problem is particularly severe in analyses of ectopic pregnancy, which has a large number of highly correlated risk factors. The selection of studies to be included in the metaanalysis and assessment of their quality may also cause difficulties. Strikingly, in the two most recent meta-analyses on this subject, two different sets of studies were selected (9, 10). The ectopic pregnancy register of Auvergne (France) (14) and associated case-control studies provide an opportunity to analyze the risk factors for ectopic pregnancy in a large sample, representative of a geographically defined population. Results concerning women using contraception at the time of conception have already being published (15). This study focuses on women not using contraception at the time
Correspondence to J. Bouyer, INSERM U569, Hpital de Bictre, 82 rue du Gnral Leclerc, 94276 Le Kremlin-Bictre Cedex, France (e-mail: Bouyer@vjf.inserm.fr).
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of conception. It aimed to provide a comprehensive analysis of the ectopic pregnancy risk factors in these women.
MATERIALS AND METHODS Study population
The methodology of the register has been described elsewhere (14). The register was established in January 1992 in the Auvergne region in central France (around 1.1 million inhabitants). All the women between 15 and 44 years of age living in the target area who were treated for ectopic pregnancy were registered. At each center (15 maternity hospitals and 12 surgical units, either public or private), a trained investigatora midwife or a physicianwas responsible for case identification and data collection, and this investigator checked the completeness of case recording at the end of each year. The information collected for each woman (from interview and medical records) included sociodemographic characteristics; gynecologic, reproductive, and surgical history; conditions at conception (use of contraception, ovulation induction); smoking habits; results of serologic tests for Chlamydia trachomatis; characteristics of the ectopic pregnancy; and the treatment procedures used. Each case of ectopic pregnancy in a woman not using contraception was associated with two controls: women who gave birth at the center at which the case was treated and women whose delivery occurred very shortly after treatment of the case. For some cases, only one control was interviewed, and no control was associated with cases retrieved at the end of the year when the completeness of the register was checked. The same questionnaire was used for cases and controls, except for items relating directly to the diagnosis and treatment of ectopic pregnancy. Between September 1993 (beginning of recruitment of controls) and December 2000, a total of 1,065 cases and 1,881 controls were collected. Women who underwent induced abortion were not included in the control group because, in France, these women are referred to specialist centers not connected with maternity hospitals. However, a certain proportion of cases might have undergone induced abortion had their pregnancy been intrauterine. We attempted to take this into account by the method recommended by Weiss et al. (16), which involves restricting the analysis to women married (or living as a couple) and not using contraception at the time of conception (803 cases and 1,683 controls). As stated by Weiss et al., this restriction should make cases and controls more comparable, reducing the magnitude of the bias present when evaluating variables associated with induced abortion.
Statistical analysis
were then performed within each group, including variables with p values of 0.2 in univariate analysis (17). Finally, variables with p values of 0.2 in these four partial analyses were included in a global logistic regression analysis. The assignment of a factor to a particular group was a matter of debate in some instances. We checked that the assignment of such factors to particular groups had no influence on the final logistic regression analysis. For quantitative variables, such as age or time since the previous pregnancy, the association with ectopic pregnancy risk was plotted using fractional polynomials (18), a simple and powerful way of modeling nonlinear relations. Finally, attributable risks were calculated for each risk factor. Attributable risks provide an additional dimension to risk factors that is useful for public health purposes. The odds ratio gives the individual increase in risk of ectopic pregnancy for a woman exposed to that risk, whereas the attributable risk indicates the burden of this risk factor at the population level. Attributable risks were adjusted for the other risk factors as described by Bruzzi et al. (19). For age, the category 2529 years was taken as the reference because this corresponds to the mean age for delivery in France at the time of the study. Thus, the odds ratio and attributable risk were calculated with this category considered as nonexposed. A woman experiencing several ectopic pregnancies during the study period generated multiple case entries, one for each ectopic pregnancy. In this study, 43 women experienced two ectopic pregnancies and four women experienced three ectopic pregnancies, that is, 12 percent of all ectopic pregnancies. Although this proportion was relatively small, the potential nonindependence of the data induced was taken into account using a random effects model (17) in the multivariate analysis; incidentally, we observed that the results were quite similar to those obtained with a usual logistic model. Statistical analyses were performed with STATA software (20).
RESULTS
The results of univariate analysis are shown in tables 1, 2, 3, and 4. Table 5 gives the results of multivariate analysis (final logistic regression), and table 6, the adjusted attributable risks.
Sociodemographic characteristics and cigarette smoking
We carried out a two-stage analysis as a large number of potential risk factors were investigated. We first assigned the risk factors to four groups: 1) sociodemographic characteristics, 2) surgical, gynecologic, and obstetric history, 3) potential exposure to infectious factors, and 4) contraceptive history and fertility markers. Univariate analyses were performed to generate crude odds ratios. Logistic regressions
The crude risk of ectopic pregnancy increased with age (table 1). Although the trend was less marked after adjustment, it remained statistically significant (figure 1; table 5). The slope of the association appeared to be steeper after 3540 years of age. There was no association between ectopic pregnancy and other sociodemographic characteristics (not shown). The risk associated with smoking increased in a dosedependent manner (table 5). Among past smokers, the time since smoking cessation was not associated with ectopic pregnancy risk (not shown). The prevalence of past or current smoking in our population was particularly high (41
Am J Epidemiol 2003;157:185194
TABLE 1. Ectopic pregnancy and sociodemographic characteristics, register of the Auvergne region, France, 19932000
Controls (n = 1,683) No. % Cases (n = 803) No. % Crude OR*
Variables
95% CI*
p value
Womans age (years) <20 2024 2529 3034 3539 40 Smoking Never Past smoker 19 cigarettes/day 1019 cigarettes/day 20 cigarettes/day Educational level Primary Secondary Higher 130 1,125 411 7.8 67.5 24.7 55 530 178 7.2 69.5 23.3 1 1.1 1.0 0.9, 1.4 0.7, 1.5 0.8
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1.1 17.2 40.9 29.0 10.6 1.3 59.1 10.5 12.8 11.1 6.5
0.6 11.3 31.5 34.0 17.6 5.0 38.9 10.5 13.8 20.9 15.9
0.3, 1.9 0.6, 1.1 <0.001 1.2, 1.9 1.6, 2.8 3.2, 10.2 <0.001 1.1, 2.0 1.2, 2.1 2.2, 3.7 2.8, 5.0
* OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval. p value (for variables with more than two categories, the p value of the test for trend is given).
percent among controls), resulting in an adjusted attributable risk of smoking as high as 35 percent (table 6).
Surgical and obstetric history
Infectious history
Most of the items recorded in the patients obstetric histories were associated with ectopic pregnancy (table 2). However, the age of the woman and previous intrauterine device use accounted for the crude association with prior delivery. We therefore did not include the variable prior deliveries in the final multivariate analysis to avoid overadjustment. Although the association with prior ectopic pregnancies was very strong, this variable was not included in the final multivariate analysis. Instead, we included a broader variable, tubal surgery, which covered all indications for tubal surgery, not just ectopic pregnancy treatment. Prior spontaneous abortions increased the risk of ectopic pregnancy, especially for women with three or more spontaneous abortions (tables 2 and 5). The risk of ectopic pregnancy was higher in women with previous induced abortions. However, the odds ratio differed according to the method used for abortion (table 2). The results were similar after adjustment (table 5): With prior surgical abortion only, the odds ratio = 1.1 (95 percent confidence interval (CI): 0.8, 1.6), whereas the odds ratio in women with prior medical abortion only (mifepristone and misoprostol) was 2.8 (95 percent CI: 1.1, 7.2).
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Infectious history was studied through direct items, such as prior sexually transmitted diseases, or indirect items, such as the age at first intercourse and the number of sexual partners, which were considered to be markers of potential risk of sexually transmitted disease. The indirect factors were associated with a risk of ectopic pregnancy in univariate analysis (table 3) but not in multivariate analysis. Prior sexually transmitted diseases were associated with a risk of ectopic pregnancy, with an adjusted odds ratio of 3.4 (95 percent CI: 2.4, 5.0) for prior confirmed pelvic infectious disease (table 5). If infectious history and prior tubal surgery (frequently performed because of infection) were considered together, their adjusted attributable risk was 0.33 (table 6).
Contraceptive history and fertility markers
Previous use of oral contraception was associated with a decreased risk of ectopic pregnancy. In contrast, previous use of an intrauterine device was associated with an increased risk of ectopic pregnancy. The induction of ovulation with clomiphene citrate was associated with a risk of ectopic pregnancy in univariate analysis, but this association disappeared after adjustment for prior infertility. A history of infertility was strongly associated with the risk of ectopic pregnancy, with a dose-response relation and an adjusted odds ratio for more than 2 years of infertility of 2.7 (95 percent CI: 1.8, 4.2).
TABLE 2. Ectopic pregnancy and surgical, gynecologic, and obstetric history, register of the Auvergne region, France, 19932000
Controls (n = 1,683) No. % Cases (n = 803) No. % Crude OR*
Variables
95% CI*
p value
Prior deliveries None 1 2 3 Prior ectopic pregnancies None 1 2 Prior spontaneous abortions None 1 2 3 Prior induced abortions
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784 616 214 69 1,661 19 1 1,365 255 48 15 1,463 199 21 1,463 182 11 1
46.6 36.6 12.7 4.1 98.8 1.1 0.06 81.1 15.2 2.9 0.9 86.9 11.8 1.3 88.3 11.0 0.7 0.1 96.9 3.1 96.6 3.4
317 286 136 64 672 96 31 566 171 37 29 660 115 28 660 115 13 4 756 43 613 190
39.5 35.6 16.9 8.0 84.1 12.0 3.9 70.5 21.3 4.6 3.6 82.2 14.3 3.5 83.3 14.5 1.6 0.5 94.6 5.4 76.3 23.7
1 1.1 1.6 2.3 1 12.5 76.6 1 1.6 1.9 4.7 1 1.3 3.0 1 1.4 2.6 8.9 1 1.8 1 8.8 6.4, 12.3 1.2, 2.7 1.1, 1.8 1.2, 5.9 1.0, 79 1.0, 1.6 1.7, 5.3 1.3, 2.0 1.2, 2.9 2.5, 8.8 7.5, 20.9 10.1, 580 0.9, 1.4 1.2, 2.0 1.6, 3.3
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
None 1 2 Type of prior induced abortion None Surgical only Medical only Both Appendectomy
0.001
0.001
No, or unruptured appendix 1,630 Yes, ruptured appendix Prior tubal surgery No Yes 1,626 57 52
0.006
<0.001
* OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval. p value (for variables with more than two categories, the p value of the test for trend is given).
The crude relation between time since previous pregnancy and risk of ectopic pregnancy gave a J-shaped curve (table 4). However, time since previous pregnancy was closely associated with the womans age, infertility, and previous use of an intrauterine device. To avoid overadjustment, we did not include this variable in the multivariate analysis.
DISCUSSION
This study was restricted to women without contraception at the time of conception because the epidemiology of ectopic pregnancy is different for these women and for women using contraception at the time of ectopic pregnancy. These two groups differ in the time trends of incidence (21),
risk factors (3, 15), subsequent fertility (2224), and psychologic stress (25). Almost all the women living in the Auvergne region who were treated for ectopic pregnancy during the study period were included in this study, with the completeness of the Auvergne ectopic pregnancy register estimated at about 90 percent (21, 26). Controls were selected from the same geographic population as cases. Multicollinearity, due to the large number of highly correlated ectopic pregnancy risk factors, was dealt with in several ways including adjustment for confounders in multivariate analyses, the building of synthetic variables (for instance, prior sexually transmitted diseases), the removal of certain variables corresponding to possible intermediate factors from subsequent analysis (for instance, time since the
Am J Epidemiol 2003;157:185194
TABLE 3. Ectopic pregnancy and sexual and infectious history, register of the Auvergne region, France, 19932000
Controls (n = 1,683) Variables No. % No. % Cases (n = 803) Crude OR* 95% CI* p value
Age at first intercourse (years) <14 1517 1820 >20 Lifelong no. of sexual partners 1 25 >5 Prior sexually transmitted diseases None Yes, without salpingitis Yes, with probable pelvic inflammatory disease Yes, with confirmed pelvic inflammatory disease 1,154 407 12 100 69.0 24.3 0.7 6.0 411 157 19 193 52.7 20.1 2.4 24.7 1 1.1 4.4 5.4 0.9, 1.3 2.1, 9.3 4.1, 7.2
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1 0.8 0.6 0.5 1 1.0 1.6 0.8, 1.3 1.2, 2.1 0.5, 1.1 0.5, 0.9 0.3, 0.9
0.002
0.003
<0.001
* OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval. p value (for variables with more than two categories, the p value of the test for trend is given). Probable pelvic inflammatory disease, association of fever, abdominal pain, and vaginal discharge. Pelvic inflammatory disease confirmed by laparoscopy and/or positive serologic tests for Chlamydia trachomatis.
last pregnancy), and the choice of variables closer to possible causal factors (for instance, age of the woman and previous intrauterine device use rather than prior delivery). This careful consideration of all potential factors and the large sample in this study resulted in a comprehensive study of the risk factors for ectopic pregnancy, whether previously known or only suspected.
Prior genital infections and tubal surgery
6), making these the most important risk factors for ectopic pregnancy.
Smoking
Tubal surgery may be a direct consequence of prior tubal infection and may therefore be considered with infectious factors. The importance of infectious factors in ectopic pregnancy is well documented (3, 6, 27, 28). There is probably a causal link. In Sweden, declining rates of chlamydial infections, attributed to preventive policies, have been accompanied by a fall in the risk of ectopic pregnancy (29). The other variables suggestive of a higher probability of exposure to sexually transmitted diseases (age at first intercourse and number of sexual partners) were associated with a risk of ectopic pregnancy in univariate analysis. However, this association was not significant after adjustment for diagnosed prior sexually transmitted diseases. This indicates both that these factors are not risk factors per se and that they are good markers of exposure to sexually transmitted diseases. Finally, the adjusted attributable risk of ectopic pregnancy for both infectious factors and tubal surgery was 0.33 (table
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A strong association between tobacco use and ectopic pregnancy has been demonstrated by several studies (3, 8, 28, 30, 31). Our study confirmed this association, demonstrating a dose-effect relation. This is probably a causal relation (32), and tobacco use may play a role at various stages in reproduction: ovulation, fertilization, viability, and implantation (3336). Smoking cessation reduces the risk of ectopic pregnancy to a level intermediate between that of current smokers and that of women who have never smoked. However, no trend was observed for time since cessation. Although the magnitude of the effect of smoking on ectopic pregnancy risk is sometimes poorly appreciated, it is striking to note the parallelism between smoking and infectious factors. The odds ratios, trends, and attributable risks are of similar magnitude (tables 5 and 6). Therefore, smoking is a risk factor for ectopic pregnancy that is almost as important as infectious factors.
Age
Age has long been suspected to play a role in ectopic pregnancy risk, but studies have provided conflicting results (1, 2, 6, 8, 29, 37, 38). In our study, after careful adjustment, we found a significant relation between age and ectopic preg-
TABLE 4. Ectopic pregnancy, contraceptive history, and fertility markers, register of the Auvergne region, France, 19932000
Controls (n = 1,683) Variables No. % No. % Cases (n = 803) Crude OR* 95% CI* p value
Previous use of oral contraceptive No Yes Previous use of intrauterine device No Yes Ovulation induced with clomiphene citrate No Yes History of infertility No <1 year 12 years >2 years Time since previous pregnancy 06 months 712 months 1324 months 2536 months 3748 months 4960 months 61 months 128 96 165 201 107 77 178 13.5 10.1 17.3 21.1 11.2 8.1 18.7 77 54 82 92 51 38 140 14.4 10.1 15.4 17.2 9.6 7.1 26.2 1.3 1.2 1.1 1 1.0 1.1 1.7 0.7, 1.6 0.7, 1.7 1.2, 2.4 0.9, 1.9 0.8, 1.9 0.8, 1.6 0.11 (0.02)
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17.8 82.2 87.2 12.8 97.4 2.6 89.0 2.8 3.5 4.7
26.5 73.5 80.6 19.4 95.1 4.9 69.2 4.5 8.2 18.2
1 0.6 1 1.6 1 1.9 1 2.0 3.0 5.0 1.3, 3.2 2.1, 4.3 3.7, 6.8 1.2, 3.0 1.3, 2.0 0.5, 0.7
<0.001
<0.001
0.003
<0.001
* OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval. p value (for variables with more than two categories, the p value of the test for trend is given). Time from the end of the previous pregnancy to the beginning of the index pregnancy. p value of the global test.
nancy. Therefore, unlike certain other authors (37, 38), we conclude that it is unlikely that the higher probability of exposure to most risk factors in older women accounts for the higher risk of ectopic pregnancy. The physiologic effect on ectopic pregnancy risk of an advanced maternal age at conception remains unclear. It is unlikely to involve an increase in chromosomal abnormalities in the trophoblastic tissue (39, 40). Age-related changes in tubal function may delay ovum transport and result in tubal implantation. However, these hypotheses remain to be tested (41).
Prior spontaneous abortions
factors (45, 46). The available evidence suggests that the chromosomal abnormalities may be ruled out (40), but hormonal factors require further study, together with other factors including immunologic factors.
Previous use of an intrauterine device
The results concerning prior spontaneous abortion differ among studies (3, 11, 42, 43). We found a dose-response relation with prior spontaneous abortions, the adjusted risk of ectopic pregnancy being particularly high in women with three or more previous spontaneous abortions. Spontaneous abortions may have a causal effect, possibly mediated by infection (42). However, there may also be common risk factors for ectopic pregnancy and spontaneous abortions, such as chromosomal abnormalities (39, 44) or hormonal
In previous studies, odds ratios greater than one were obtained for current intrauterine device use, but odds ratios were generally not significant for previous intrauterine device use (6, 4749). A meta-analysis produced an odds ratio slightly greater than one, but adjustment for confounders is necessarily imperfect. In this study, the significant adjusted odds ratio for previous intrauterine device use (table 5) confirms that previous intrauterine device use has an etiologic role in ectopic pregnancy per se, not only through an association with infection as previously suggested (50, 51). We did not know the duration of past intrauterine device use, and we could not study the type of intrauterine device used because all but four of the women had used copper devices.
Am J Epidemiol 2003;157:185194
TABLE 5. Main risk factors for ectopic pregnancy by final logistic regression analysis (random effects model), register of the Auvergne region, France, 1993 2000
Variables Womans age (years) <20 2024 2529 3034 3539 40 Smoking Never Past smoker 19 cigarettes/day 1019 cigarettes/day 20 cigarettes/day Prior spontaneous abortions None 12 3 Prior induced abortions None Surgical only Medical (or medical and surgical) Appendectomy No, or unruptured appendix Yes, ruptured appendix Prior sexually transmitted diseases None Yes, without salpingitis Yes, with probable pelvic inflammatory disease Yes, with confirmed pelvic inflammatory disease Prior tubal surgery No Yes Previous use of oral contraceptive No Yes Previous use of intrauterine device No Yes History of infertility No <1 year 12 years >2 years 1 2.1 2.6 2.7 1.2, 3.6 1.6, 4.2 1.8, 4.2 <0.001 1 1.3 1.0, 1.8 0.10 1 0.7 0.5, 1.0 0.03 1 4.0 2.6, 6.1 <0.001 1 1.0 2.1 3.4 0.8, 1.3 0.8, 5.4 2.4, 5.0 <0.001 1 1.4 0.8, 2.4 0.20 1 1.1 2.8 0.8, 1.6 1.1, 7.2 0.05 1 1.2 3.0 0.9, 1.6 1.3, 6.9
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Adjusted OR*
95% CI*
p value
0.2, 2.1 0.7, 1.3 0.01 1.0, 1.7 1.0, 2.0 1.4, 6.1
1 1.5 1.7 3.1 3.9 1.1, 2.2 1.2, 2.4 2.2, 4.3 2.6, 5.9
<0.001
0.02
* OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval. p value (for variables with more than two categories, the p value of the test for trend is given). Probable pelvic inflammatory disease, association of fever, abdominal pain, and vaginal discharge. Pelvic inflammatory disease confirmed by laparoscopy and/or positive serologic tests for Chlamydia trachomatis.
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FIGURE 1. Crude and adjusted association between age and ectopic pregnancy (EP) risk, register of the Auvergne region, France, 1993 2000. The figure provides the values of the risk of ectopic pregnancy. As this is a case-control study, these values cannot be interpreted directly and thus the y-axis is not scaled. However, the shape of the curves does correspond to the variation in ectopic pregnancy risk according to age. The observed values (circles) were calculated for 1 age (years) classes.
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Infertility
We found that the adjusted risk of ectopic pregnancy increased with the duration of infertility, and this relation persisted if the analysis was restricted to women whose pregnancy was not induced. It is therefore likely that a history of infertility per se (independently of infertility drug use) is associated with ectopic pregnancy risk. However, as ectopic pregnancy is known to be a risk factor for subsequent infertility (24, 52, 53), the links between ectopic pregnancy and infertility, which seem to be mutual risk factors, are likely to be complex. Common risk factors for both conditions should be sought.
Previous induced abortions
tion bias cannot be excluded, we think it unlikely that its magnitude or direction could account for our results. In a previous study on another French population, we found an association between induced abortion and ectopic pregnancy (54). We interpreted the association as the consequence of uterine injuries or infections following abortion because most, if not all, of the abortions in this previous study were surgical. This interpretation was not confirmed by the study presented here: The risk of ectopic pregnancy was higher only for women who underwent medical abortions. However, the hypothesis that induced abortion leads to a higher risk of ectopic pregnancy as a result of infection cannot be rejected. The association with medical abortion may be accounted for by the absence of systematic antibiotic prophylaxis in this group of women, whereas such prophylaxis is more routinely given in cases of surgical abortion.
Research perspectives
Conflicting results have been reported in previous studies on this issue (54). This study, including a larger number of cases and controls, found an association between previous induced abortions and ectopic pregnancy, with an adjusted odds ratio of 1.9 (95 percent CI: 1.0, 3.8) for women with two or more prior induced abortions. The main source of bias may derive from ascertainment of the number of previous induced abortions, which may be underreported by the subject herself (55). In France, estimates of the number of induced abortions for the year 1988 range from 22 to 30 per 100 births (56, 57). If we took into account the number of induced abortions for each woman, we note a slightly lower ratio in our control sample (15 declared induced abortions for 100 births). Similar results were obtained by Daling et al. (58) in the United States. Misclassification bias could account for the observed relation only if it were differential and concerned mainly controls but not cases (or to a lesser extent). Holt et al. (59) found such a differential bias but in the reverse direction. Although a differential misclassifica-
The total attributable risk of ectopic pregnancy for the known risk factors is around 70 percent. This figure should be interpreted with caution (60, 61), but there are clearly other factors that may cause ectopic pregnancy. The search has turned toward possible common risk factors for ectopic pregnancy and spontaneous abortion or infertility. It has been suggested that ectopic pregnancy is linked to chromosomal abnormalities (44, 62) or exposure to antineoplastic drugs (63). Specific studies were conducted, which did not support these hypotheses (39, 40, 64). Hormonal factors have also been suspected (45), and immunologic factors may be involved.
Conclusion
Although several risk factors for ectopic pregnancy are known, the cause of a large proportion of ectopic pregnanAm J Epidemiol 2003;157:185194
TABLE 6. Adjusted attributable risk of the main risk factors for ectopic pregnancy, register of the Auvergne region, France, 19932000
Variables Adjusted attributable risk
Womans age Past or current smoking Prior spontaneous abortions Prior induced abortions Appendectomy Prior sexually transmitted diseases Prior tubal surgery Previous use of oral contraceptive Previous use of intrauterine device History of infertility Total
0.14 0.35 0.07 0.03 0.02 0.18 0.18 0.08 0.05 0.18 0.76 0.33*
* The adjusted attributable risk of ectopic pregnancy if infectious history and prior tubal surgery are considered together. Attributable risk for not using oral contraceptive.
cies remains unknown. Our new findings on the association between previous medical induced abortion and ectopic pregnancy should be confirmed by further results. On the other hand, as ectopic pregnancy and infertility or spontaneous abortion have been found to be tightly linked, further research may concern both ectopic pregnancy epidemiology and the wider field of infertility. Increasing our knowledge of risk factors for ectopic pregnancy may improve our understanding of the causes of infertility. In terms of public health, increasing awareness of the role of smoking may be useful in the formulation of ectopic pregnancy prevention policies. It would also be interesting to evaluate the effects on the incidence of ectopic pregnancy (and other infertility parameters) of the increase in sexually transmitted disease incidence observed in recent months or years (65, 66).
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
This study was supported by the National Register Committee (Comit National des Registres, INSERM, InVS), France. The authors thank Julie Sappa for her careful review of the English version of this paper.
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