Production of Jet Fuels From Coal Derived Liquids Forks Energy Research Center
Production of Jet Fuels From Coal Derived Liquids Forks Energy Research Center
Production of Jet Fuels From Coal Derived Liquids Forks Energy Research Center
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FILE
AFWAL-TR-87-2042
Volume I
J. E. , , ,,.oP
SINOR
D TIC
I
J. E. SINOR CONSULTANTS INC. LL T Eu
7960 NIWOT ROAD SUITE 12
NIWOT CO 80544-0649 SEP 1 61987 U
AUGUST 1987
87 I 9
NOTICE
When Government drawings, specifications, or other data are used for any
purpose other than in connection with a definitely Government-related
procurement, the United States Government incurs no responsibility or
any obligation whatsoever. The fact that the Government may have
formulated or in any way supplied the said drawings, specifications,or
other data, is not to be regarded by implication, or otherwise in
any manner construed, as licensing the holder, or any other person or
corporation; or as conveying any rights or permission to manufacture,
use, or sell any patented invention that may in any way be related
thereto.
This technical report has been reviewed and is approved for publication.
Robert D. SherlChf
Fuels and Lubrication Division
Aero Propulsion Laboratory
"If your address has changed, if you wish to be removed from our
mailing list, or if the addressee is not longer employed by your orga-
nization, please notify AFWAL/POSF, Wright-Patterson AFB, Ohio
45433-6563 to help us maintain a current mailing list."
AFWAL-TR-87-2042, Vol. I
6a. NAME OF PERFORMING ORGANIZATION 6b. OFFICE SYMBOL 7a. NAME OF MONITORING ORGANIZATION
JC T (NaPlicabl) Air Force Wright Aeronautical Lab
CONSULTANTS INC.
E SINOR Aero Propulsion Lab (AFWAL/POSF)
6c ADDRESS (City, State, and ZIP Code) 7b. ADDRESS (Cty,State, and ZIP Code)
17. COSATI CODES 18. SUBJECT TERMS (Continue on reverse if necessary and identify by block number)
FIELD GROUP SUB-GROUP Turbine Fuel, JP-4, JP-8, Heavy Crude Oil,
21 107 Great Plains Gasification Plant, tar oil, crude
E4 0 103 ]ohenols. naphtha, Jet fuel. market analysis
BSTRACT (Continue on reverse if necessary and identify by block number)
In September 1986, the Fuels Branch of the Aero Propulsion Laboratory at Wright-Patterson
Air Force Base, Ohio commenced an investigation of the putential of production of jet
fuel from the liquid by-product streams produced by the gasification of lignite at the
Great Plains Gasification Plant in Buelah, North Dakota. Funding was provided to the
Department of Energy (DOE) Pittsburgh Energy Technology Center (PETC) to administer the
experimental portion of this effort. This report details the effort of JE Sinor Consul-
tants, who, as a subcontractor to the DOE contract with the University of North Dakota
Energy Research Center (UNDERC), determined the market potential of these by-product
streams. This report describes the market potential of the by-product streams for the
production of phenols, benzene, cresote, cresylic acids, coal tar pitch, paving
materials, carbon black, naphthalene, rubber processing oils, as well as, jet fuels.
20. DISTRIBUTION / AVAILA{:'ITY OF ABSTRACT 21. ABSTRACT SECURITY CLASSIFICATION
Accesion For
NTIS CRA&I
ODTIC TAB 0
Uannouwced U. ... .
J,,3tlt~
alv~rl ...
....
....
......
iii
TANA OF OCGrUWS
Section Page
I. IN'TROetWUCrION 1
II. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2
III. BASIS FOR THE STUDY 7
IV. MARKET ASSESSMENTS 11
Military Jet Fuels 11
Petroleum Products 22
Crude Oil 22
Crude Oil Balance 25
Refined Products 25
Ref inery Feedstock 57
Creosote 60
Cresols and Cresylic Acids 71
Carbon Black Feedstock 78
Benzene, BTX 84
Phenol 90
Rubber Processing Oil 98
Tar Crude 101
Pitch 104
Paving CoMpounds 112
Naphtha lene 115
Miscellaneous Uses 119
V. TRANSPORTATION ROUTES AND OPTIONS 122
Regional Pipelines 122
Rai lroads 127
Truck Transport 131
Barges 132
VI. NETBACK PRICES 135
Market Prices 135
Transportation 136
Netback Prices 136
VII. PROCESSING OPTIONS 138
Refinery Feedstock 138
Disti llation 139
Pitch 141
Naphtha lene 142
Cresylic Acid 142
Caustic Extraction 142
Phenoraffin Extraction 143
Methanol/Hexane Extraction 145
Distillation Purification 146
Benzene 147
Sulfolane Extraction 147
Hydrodea lky 1at ion 149
Benzene Plus Phenol 149
VIII. PROCESSING ECONOMICS 152
Economic Parameters 152
El Paso Products Case 154
Modified El Paso Case 154
Non-Hydrotreating El Paso Case 161
Cresylic Acids Case 161
Phenols Only Case 161
TAL 0ONWUTSM (Concluded)
Sect ion
vi
LIST OF ILUW ITINM
vii
Kr
LIST OF ILLWSTRATICNS (Concluded)
viii
LIl OF TAM=
ix
LIST OF TABLES (Concluded)
x
ImTriON
The objective of this study was to identify those products which would yield
the highest net return to the facility owners, after paying capital and
operating costs of any new processing units needed. The scope of the study
included the definition of rmrket volumes, product specifications, mrket
locations, prices, transportation costs, and estimated manufacturing costs.
Although the funding for this study was derived from an overall investigation
of the feasibility of producing military jet fuels from the Great Plains liq-
uid streams, the scope of the study was not limited to a specific product
slate involving jet fuel. The economic calculations assumed that the entire
liquid streams could be made available for any product of interest.
,.. ,-.-
-- --- . ,€, , ,- ',-'.-...-.. ,.- .%. ., , .,, .-
, - ....-.--. :.-
EXECUJTIVE 51&ARY
THE TAR OILS PRIXNJUH IN THE GREAT PLAINS PLANT HAVE SOW SIG-
NIFICANT DIFFERENCES FOM THE MATEIIALS PRODUCED AS COKE OVEN BY-
PRODUCTS. This creates a handicap for Great Plains products in
certain markets. Creosote produced at Great Plains, for exanple,
should be an effective wood preservative, but it is barred from
major markets because of existing specifications. Penetrating
these markets will require changing the specifications.
THERE IS A LAE 31(11GH DEAN FOR MILITARY JET FUEL IN THE IN-
M)IATE REGION 70 ABSORB ANY PRODUCTI(O FROM GREAT PLAINS. A con-
tract to produce jet fuel for the Air Force bases in North Dakota
should be a prime objective for the Great Plains plant.
2
WE M WILOGOK FR, BU AND PHENOL 18 POSITIVE. Demand for
light aromatics as octane-improvers will be strong because of the
total elimination of tetraethyl lead for this purpose. At the
same time, chemical demand is starting to recover from a several-
year slunp.
70Z SIP DROP IN WOR OIL PRICES IN 1986 HAS WDE UNPROFITABLE
iHE MJFACIURE OF P3ODUM'TS COIWNTING DIRBCLY WITH PER1OLEUM.
The table below shows that benzene and the phenols have been
proportionately less affected.
%A'-- ..-
A LGI--,T TREN) ARY nam CWLEX FWIUXHff1OS TO PR SD#=1I'r
CONTINUES. At one time a large number of chemicals were produced
from coal tar. The number has dwindled steadily over the last 20
years due to declining coal tar production combined with increas-
ing competition from cheaper and higher purity synthetics nude
from petroleum. Within the last few years the coal tar refining
industry has greatly diminished. Rather than attempting to fight
this trend, a by-products operation should be structured to
produce what the market wants, if at all possible. Pure benzene
and phenol would be ideal products.
IMESMIXTURES MY
FR IRE A LONG TIM TO DEVELOP. With
pure compounds, marketing is a matter of meeting specifications
then offering a reliable source and price. With conplex mixtures,
specifications are unlikely to be able to shield a user from risk
in using a new product derived from coal gasification by-products.
Therefore, prolonged market development efforts may be required,
with large samples carried through the buyer's manufacturing
process, and the end-product subjected to extensive reliability
and quality tests.
4
S IINAiR I N IN)ICATD
E RETURNS T ABOV
40 PERCEIT. The above rates of return are based on constant-
dollar analysis, with 100 percent equity financing. Adding infla-
tion would raise the rate of return by about the rate of inflation
(forecast to be approximately five percent). Leveraged financing
would also raise the rate of return. Borrowing 70 percent of the
capital cost at 12 percent interest would increase the DCFROR by
about another 10 percentage points.
5
7ME FOIIMIAL PiEFITABILITr OF A !Y-1EhXXrS UPGWWIN13 OPM TION
WA S S OUJCS 1D&lTICQ FMO IWLI
iONS ATICIN REMMZSS OF
11m SUWftW CM BE OBTAINW IMR DMNSf3TINI 7M PWMWICN
OF Jfr FUEL FU COAL LIWJIED. The first priority should be to
obtain inproved estimates for the costs of extracting benzene and
phenols from the naphtha and crude phenols streams.
6
V~ - v .
BASIS FM U STUD!
The basis for the market analyses carried out in this study is information on
flow rates and stream conpositions provided by ANG Coal Gasification Conpany.
There are three by-product liquid stream produced in the gasification plant
with quantities as shown in Table 1.
Current opinion is that the dusty tar stream mst continue to be recycled to
the top of the gasifiers in order to hold down the dust in the gas stream.
Therefore, only the three streams shown in Table 1 were considered as being
available for by-product production. All three of these stream are presently
being burned for fuel within the gasification plant conplex. Typical analyses
and the high and low values observed for these three streams are provided in
Tables 2 and 3.
Some of the potentially mDst valuable conponents in the phenol and tar oil
stream are the tar acids. The total tar acids available are indicated in
Table 4. Average quantities contained in the phenol and tar oil streams are
indicated in the first tow coluams of numbers. It is assumed that these tar
acids could be concentrated into a 70 percent fraction of the crude phenol
stream and a 30 percent fraction of the tar oil stream, amounting to
67.77 million pounds per year and 95.96 million pounds per year, respectively.
The last three columns then give the average, low and high values for total
quantity of each tar acid in the conbined stream.
The agreed basis for the marketing analysis was that only products for which
nanufacturing processes are comnrcially available would be considered.
TABLE 1
Specific
Stream Gravity Flow Rate
7
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40
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V4 LaoC.
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'J1 10 V1fto0w0"vLaM c o
000
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CCDD4@e§e t0 @0 -
0n"
la4 "a1
4 w4
CD 01
0D
0a
V- t
Z, 010
WI w
>00Uu0 Z 0
-4@4~@4
0 -co
.0
-4.
Aw:x
C! I Li e O
14
aq co in LAL OW40 I
. t at 4 qa! t a
tco 0 40 0
C*0040C§
t-
.if Co OOO
O00 . "4 W
.a . C) CD . *
* 1 l* 0! -4 -94 CM
11 0P-4
0
0 A,
.4 .. V4 1, 4
u 4 0z .1c Z x4c COE-0 06u F
40q ~W# - W4
a- 0 0
1.4
to e.0- "I 00
wcor 0#4 a4 w 0 0o
a Coco- 0. 0 1 'q0 - 0 4 0 e
0!I . 11 1: C I t
V~~~ ~ ~~ CD0L
0 7 - t t c
C'"
0 t t 14 0- 0-. c0 ot 04
0 0~
.4 4)fl0 4 0 #
a* 0 *01 a *
06.
Y
G o oooo
o co Vf to4 cp 0pa0
4)z
4lo
laMuzr -81lmr
MILITARY JKT DS
After the operational validation phase, which is expected to last two years,
the Air Force plans to be in a position to accept JP-4 that is derived from
shale oil in any percentage, at any location where the fuel is used.
The Department of Defense has played a very significant role in all the large-
scale shale oil refining studies which have been done to date. This includes
sponsoring the refining of 100,000 barrels of Paraho shale oil (Colorado) at
the Sohio refinery in Ohio, refining of 40,000 barrels of Geokinetics oil
(Utah) at the Caribou refinery in Utah, and the future refining of Union's
output at the Gary refinery in Colorado. In addition, DOD has sponsored ex-
tensive laboratory Research and Development studies on western shale oil
upgrading and refining.
In the early 1980s, the United States Air Force sponsored a nunber of bench-
scale and pilot plant studies to ascertain the suitability of western shale
oil to produce acceptable JP-4, meeting the current specifications. These ef-
forts were with Sun Oil Conpany, Ashland Petroleum, UOP Process Division and
Anoco Oil Company. Using different refining approaches it was concluded that
western shale oil produced by a number of different recovery techniques was
an excellent source of heavy naphtha and middle distillate materials. A shale-
derived fuel was produced which exceeded all the requirements of the MIL-T-
5624L specification. Because of the hydrorefining required to produce this
fuel, there is a possibility of some lubricity problems in fuel-wetted close-
tolerance components, i.e., fuel punps, controls, etc. The United States Air
11
Force routinely uses surface-active corrosion inhibiting materials to reduce
this problem and a ball-on-cylinder test is being standardized to test for the
property.
Each contractor investigated three product slates; a product slate which mini-
mized the cost of JP-4; a slate which mximized the production of JP-4; and a
product slate which maximized the production of JP-8.
The processes all produced high quality JP-4 fuels. The processes also
produced high quality JP-8 fuels.
12
N,
A JP-8 fuel (MIL-T-83133) was also prepared. The result was an extremely
naphthenic fuel; existing hydrogen content specifications were met only by
reducing the distillation end point of the fuel by about 70 OF. Thermal
stability freeze point, and water reaction for this fuel were outstanding.
SmDke point, however, was umrginal due to the low hydrogen content. Of par-
ticular interest, this fuel confirmed the high volumetric heating value an-
ticipated for naphthenlc or so-called "high density" fuels.
Not as much attention has been given to producing military turbine fuels from
coal liquids as to the use of shale oil and tar sands. One reason is that the
high level of aromatics in coal liquids makes them unsuitable (aromatics cause
smoke) without hydroprocessing. Even a few percent naphthalenes in jet fuel
are a problem. However, the work discussed under "Jet Fuel From Tar Sands"
makes it clear that aromatic compounds can be converted to cycloparaffinic
(naphthenic) compounds, which may be ideal Jet fuels. In this case, coal-tar-
oil-derived liquids might even be a preferred feedstock.
Aviation gas turbine fuel represents only about 7 percent of the refinery
production in the United States. The 1984 domestic production of naphtha-
type military jet fuel (JP-4) was 221,000 barrels per day while the production
of kerosene-type fuels (Jet A, JP-5, Jet A-i) was reported to be 922,000 bar-
rels per day. The growing scarcity of light sweet petroleum could inpact the
future availability of a minor product such as Jet fuels. For this reason, DOD
has studied alternative refinery feedstocks for the future and evaluated their
potential for producing aviation gas turbine fuels. The potential for mdify-
ing fuel specifications, making them more identifiable with the basic
feedstocks, and improving aircraft performance has also been considered.
Jet fuels are the mDst critical product, in terms of quality, produced by the
refining industry. The naturally occurring hydrocarbons in petroleum can be
essentially fractionated with little additional processing to produce highly
stable jet fuels. There are instances where fuels are mildly hydrotreated to
renvve sulfur but for the mst part, chemical conversion processes have not
been necessary.
In 1951 the United States Air Force standardized aircraft operations on JP-4
Jet fuel in order to optimize performance and availability. Some of the mst
important chemical and physical properties of JP-4 are depicted in Table 5.
This fuel can be characterized as a "wide-cut" fuel with a boiling range be-
tween 150 degrees F and 480 degrees F. This range optimizes the requirement
for a vapor pressure between 2 and 3 psi at 100 degrees F and a maximum
freeze point of -72 degrees F. These properties are required for high alt-
13
TABLE 5
14
itude operations and low ambient temperature conditions at certain air
bases. Chemical composition is controlled by limits on aromatic, olefin, sul-
fur and mercaptan sulfur contents. For operations where JP-4 may not be
available, a kerosene-type fuel, specification JP-8, nay be used. The Navy
fuel specification is JP-5, which is identical to JP-8, except for a minimum
flash point of 140 *F, for safety on aircraft carriers.
The basic differences between Jet A-1 and JP-8 are the additives required for
military operations. The "average" boiling range for Jet A-1 is between 350
degrees F and 520 degrees F where volatility is limited by a flashpoint mini-
mum of 100 degrees F. This fuel has a freeze point maximum limit of -54 de-
grees F. The hydrocarbon constituents in this fuel are, in general, denser
than JP-4.
The possibility of mdifying jet fuel specifications has been the objective of
various research efforts over the years. Most of these efforts were aimed at
reducing fuel costs while minimizing any effect on aircraft performance. One
way of doing this is reducing the hydrogen requirements and increasing
aronmtic content thus eliminating the expense of hydrotreating. There is
also a benefit to be gained by allowing the jet fuels to become more cyclic,
thereby increasing fuel density and allowing additional range. A major in-
crease in density is experienced for each ring formed from a given carbon-
numer species. Methyl or ethyl substitution generally does not lower the
density and major improvements in freezing point depression can be realized.
Volumetric heating values increase with density. Therefore large concentra-
tions of cyclic paraffins (naphthenes) could increase the range of aircraft
and maintain good low temperature capability. Table 7 shows the effect of
cyclization in terms of two representative C-10 hydrocarbons, n-decane and
decalin (decahydronaphthalene). These compounds are components in varying
amunts in jet fuels. The decalin, which is a bi-cyclic saturated hydrocar-
15
TABLE 6
TABLE 7
n-Decane Decalin
Formula C1_H_
16
bon, produces a denser material, with a lower freeze point and an 18 percent
increase in volumetric heating value. However, the drawback to using cyclic
hydrocarbons is the reduction in hydrogen content, which affects the comtbus-
tibility in terms of increased flame radiation and soot formation.
Tar oil frbm coal gasification contains high levels of both naphthenes and
aromatics. By selectively hydrogenating the aromatics, but not cracking the
naphthenic rings, a high density fuel could be produced.
This sample of naphthenic fuel (JP-8X) has the same volatility as JP-8 or Jet
A-i, essentially a kerosene. The high density JP-8X fuel is 93.6 percent
naphthenic (cycloparaffins). When comparing the volumetric heating value of
this JP-8X to conventional JP-4, the energy increase is nearly 12.5 percent.
For certain volume limited aircraft this energy increase could result in
17
TABLE 8
•p
18
comparable range increases. The JP-8X prototype fuel therefore offers
promise as a range extender for aircraft.
Such a fuel could be derived from many of the refinery feedstocks of the fu-
ture, such as heavy oils, tar, bitunen, and coal liquids. The cyclic nature of
all these materials makes then ideal for a higher density product if the
hydrocarbon ring is preserved in the processing.
Total Jet fuel consumption by the United States Air Force is approximately
220,000 to 240,000 barrels per day. However, within a reasonable marketing
radius of the Great Plains plant, there are only four air bases (Figure 1).
Current demand at these bases is given below:
Military fuel purchases are obtained by open bid, and therefore follow the
prices for commircial jet fuel very closely. Supplies for the air bases are
generally let for bid once a year. The mst recent contracts have a bid date
of October 1986. The results are listed in Table 9. These contracts are for
one year, and have escalation and de-escalation clauses depending on posted
prices for petroleum products in the region.
Because of the escalation clauses, the base prices in the contracts, as listed
in Table 9, actually have very little neaning. The contract is typically
written with two complex escalation clauses. The first clause determines the
delivered price. It is based on published prices in Platts and another publi-
cation. Two weighting factors are used. Seventy percent weight is assigned
to a fornula involving the price of unleaded gasoline and thirty percent
weight is assigned to a formula involving reported contract prices for commer-
cial jet fuel (Jet A).
The second escalation clause is applied after delivery, when the Department of
Energy Petroleum Marketing Monthly is issued. Depending on the factor, the
jet fuel supplier may then either receive an additional payrmnt, or may have
to make a refund to the government.
19
-5.
EISM
MT F Ia
NDPNT P
'W • ELSWORTH
FIGURE I
AIR FORCE BASES IN GREAT PLAINS REGION
TABLE 9
OCTOBER 1986 BID PRICES FOR JP-4 DELIVERED 70 AIR FOWZ BASES
(For Deliveries Through September, 1987)
Quantity Price
Base Gallons Vendor $/gallon
1
-
Interrediate resellers, such as those listed in Table 9, are able to function
in this market only by having agreements with refineries which exactly paral-
lel the government escalation clauses. They are able to work in this way with
some refineries sinply because the refineries do not want the problems of
dealing directly with the government themselves. The internmediate sellers
deliver the product directly form the refinery to the airbase, to avoid any
chance of the additives or other specification properties deteriorating during
storage.
Because of the limited military jet derrand in the imnediate region, and the
once-a-year bid process, it would be inpractical to build a free-standing
facility targeted to this market. An advance purchase contract such as that
which was provided by the Defense Department for the shale oil from Unocal 's
Parachute, Colorado shale oil plant, would be necessary.
Dm9/ OULOOK
21
# ~ ~ - - ~ . . .~- - - - -
PErEoL5KU PRONXIYS
The liquid by-product streams from the Great Plains plant could be processed
by petroleum refining techniques to rmake a variety of products conpeting with
conventional refined pet roleum products.
The objective of the next section is to describe the overall petroleum refin-
ing network in which North Dakota and the Great Plains plant operate. This
entails examining the production, consunption and mvements of crude oil and
refined products in the Great Plains region. For purposes of this analysis,
the Great Plains imrketing region is defined as the states of North Dakota,
Minnesota, South Dakota, Wyoming and Montana, and the provinces of Manitoba
and Saskatchewan.
(i OIL
Pipeline Network
The network of nmJor crude oil pipelines in the Great Plains region is shown
in Figure 2. As seen in the figure, there are five pipelines which inport
crude oil into the region. Crude oil from Alberta, Canada enters Montana near
Cut Bank. A pipeline also runs from Alberta into Saskatchewan. This line en-
ters Saskatchewan near Macklin, then runs east through Manitoba and Minnesota
to points east. Two other pipelines that inport crude into the region run
north from Iowa to Minneapolis, Minnesota. The fifth incoming line is the
Frontier line, operated by Amco. It is a new 16-inch line which leads from
the Anschutz Ranch oil field, just inside Utah at the southwest corner of
Wyoming, to Casper. At Casper it connects to the Anoco refinery and to the
Platte and Sinclair pipelines. Ultinate capacity of the line is expected to
be 120,000 barrels per day.
Wyoming is a najor exporting state with five pipelines carrying crude oil out
of the state. Two rmjor pipelines export crude oil from Wyoming to the east.
The 20-Inch Platte (Marathon) pipeline connects Casper, Wyoming to St. Louis,
Missouri. The 20-inch Armco pipeline connects a large crude oil gathering
system in Wyoming to Sterling, Colorado then to Freenmn, Missouri and goes on
to Whiting, Indiana. A Conoco crude oil line originating in Wyoming runs
south to Cheyenne and Denver. It interchanges with the Platte line at
Guernsey station. A four-inch pipe connects from Guernsey station to the
AnDco system at Ft. Laramie station. The Conoco line carries both crude and
asphalt to Denver, with a capacity of 56,000 barrels per day. To the west, an
eight-inch Armco crude oil pipeline runs to Salt Lake City from southern Wyom-
ing. Amco also has two parallel four-inch lines that run from southern Wyom-
ing to Rangely, Colorado.
Production
The 1986 crude oil production for the Great Plains region states and provinces
is presented in Table 10. Wyoming is by far the largest producer of crude oil
in the region. Historical production figures are given in Table 11.
22
me oa itl mr
FiGURSD
GREA PLREINRUD PPLIE
ManiStb 14 20 1.8----
Minnsot 0 hWoigRt 0
2ut ~ ~ oookMontana Rot0.8
n p orth
N Dkorta 12500 eroCnd 16.5amfExn
SakatcFIeURn 2902.
TotalABL 7580010.
Estimt imon
24
CDE OIL B&LANCE
The locations of refineries in the region are also shown in Figure 2. Nominal
crude oil distillation capacities of these refineries are listed in Table 12.
Several small refineries in the region, which have been shut down, are not
listed. Using an average of 85 percent operating capacity for the refineries
in Table 11, a crude oil balance for the region is constructed in Table 13.
Although a reasonable closure accuracy is indicated, it must be emphasized
that no data were available for several of the pipelines. The near closure of
the balance may be only fortuitous.
It is clear from the table, however, that refinery consumption is much less
than crude oil production in the region, and that the region is a net exporter
of crude oil. This is important because it suggests that any new source of
liquids within the region will have to find a market by displacing other liq-
uids to markets outside the region.
In other words, if the Great Plains plant should start using coal for plant
fuel and convert its liquid by-products to fuels for sale within the region,
the effect would probably be to reduce crude runs at existing refineries in
the region. If these refineries are operating at less than full capacity
while crude oil is being shipped out of the region, it indicates that they are
unable to sell more product than they are presently producing. New production
from Great Plains, therefore, would cause them to reduce crude runs. This, in
turn, would push more crude oil into markets outside the region. Since the
region is already a large net exporter, the infrastructure for such a market
shift is in place, and the effect on crude oil prices would not be noticeable.
The end result would rmst likely be a reduction in imports, either from Canada
or from overseas sources shipping to the Gulf Coast. With an apparent net of
exports over inports of 262,000 barrels per day for the region, an additional
5,000 barrels per day would have minimal impact on prices.
Pipeline Network
Refined products are produced at refineries in the Great Plains region and
also inported into and exported from the region via products pipelines. A map
of major refined products pipelines is shown in Figure 3. Refined products
enter the region via the Dome, Interprovincial and Petroleum Transmission
pipelines all from Alberta, Canada. The Williams, MAPOXO, Dcme, Amoco, Wyco,
Medicine Bow, and Pioneer pipelines export refined products to many locations
outside the Great Plains region.
25
% N %
Lo. cl- 0 1 ZICZJ* 7;? 5-
TABLE 12
Crude Distillation
Refinery Capacity, BPCD Location
Manitoba
No Refineries
Minnesota
Ashland 67,143 St. Paul Park
Koch 137,000 Rosemount
Subtotal 204,143
Montana
Cenex 40,400 Laurel
Conoco 48,500 Billings
Exxon 42,000 Billings
Kenco 4,700 Wolf Point
Montana 6,300 Great Falls
Subtotal 141,900
North Dakota
Amco 58,000 Mandan
Subtotal 58,000
Saskatchewan
Consuner's 40,000 Regina
Petro-Canada 13j300 Moose Jaw
Subtotal 53,300
South Dakota
No Refineries
Wyoming
Amco 48,000 Casper
Frontier 28,800 Cheyenne
Little Armrica 20,000 Casper
Sinclair 53,000 Sinclair
Wyoming 12,500 Newcastle
Subtotal 161,500
26
TABLE 13
Total 276,805
S ask at chevan
Interprovincial Pipeline 307,634
Wyoming
Frontier Pipeline 18,250#
Montana
Conoco Pipeline 17,338
Minnesota
Woodriver Pipeline 34,218"
Minnesota
Williams Pipeline .4,563
# Estimation
27
TABLE 14
Total Products
Net Inports Net Exports
Manitoba 23,649
Minnesota 12,305
Montana 10,950
North Dakota 5,220
South Dakota 1,898
Saskatchewan 1,092
Wyoming __ _38, 124
5-
101
NOE 12 MN
4~~s
SMPO1 l~mm aamr onane 12ao
5~ COtnl f
M2i~eSw1 YO tExn mPtoCnd
5 A FIGUREFIERE
GRNEAT PLIN REINPOUC1IEIE
*S~* V5
'~:~---IS*~ ~ & -.- 5- A 0C
---- h K1~nco Sinclair ~ -
A pipeline inport/export balance (Table 14) constructed from the inforrmtion
available shows that the region is a slight net exporter of refined products.
These figures must be viewed with much caution because some pipelines are
missing from the accounting and because both refined products and natural gas
liquids pipelines are included. Nevertheless, it indicates in a general way
that refined products production in the region is nearly in balance with
demand.
North Dakota
The only refinery operating in North Dakota is the Amoco refinery in Mandan.
Throughput is about 50,000 barrels per day. They run only 42 gravity light
crude from North Dakota. Product mix is about 60 percent gasoline, 40 percent
distillate.
Minnesota
Minnesota has the largest refining capacity of any of the states in the region
although there are only two refineries, in the Minneapolis area. Koch Refin-
ing runs about 150,000 barrels per day of Canadian sour crudes. Output is
mostly gasoline. The Ashlane refinery runs 60,000 barrels per day of mostly
North Dakota crude, with some Texas and some Canadian sour. Output is heavily
gasoline, with some asphalt.
Saskatchewan
29
. r r f.-
W. I. .- . r r, r r - 'r.
m Co
00 C) t~o I C11 00
40 Ct tn t- oa mo to LM v o
m~ t- m' eq .4 q wo t- U
tt~ eq
a, 0 o o t'- Co Co
00 Cl Mt
g oo co 00 Co Co 4 1-4 Lt-
ca-4
t- 4 vLfl co o 3 m m
oo0 n co co t- cq co
CO) Oo tf- 04 Co
z -4 cq
UCo -4 co Co .4 t- t- m
I:
Co m~ oo U13 cq eq co 00
C ' -t- co m m
0~~. -4l
e eq -I C f cq~C
*A4IaLa Co -4 a~ 0 - ,
o c 00
t- t- v ' 4 Co
t- C
a, Co C -4 Co 0 vY-4 C
'-4
.-m' M 00 q4 0C4 c w 0
Coo
4Q)
oo 9.
0 0
at : a, )
9 ) 0 * - 41 0
30
A.' ~ ~
.N.
Montana
Montana has one simll and three large operating refineries. Montana Refining
runs 7,000 barrels per day of one-half Canadian light and one-half Montana
heavy sour crudes. Output is about 50 percent gasoline, 33 percent diesel,
som #5 fuel oil.
The Conoco refinery swings between 33,000 barrels per day in the winter and
54,000 barrels per day in the sunrmr depending on the rmrket for asphalt.
Feedstock is a mix of Canadian sweet and Wyoming sour crudes. The distillate
product slate is mostly gasoline, with some diesel.
The Cenex refinery has a listed capacity of 40,400 barrels per day.
Wyoming
Wyoming has the second largest refining capacity after Minnesota, and has the
largest number of operating refineries at five.
The Little America refinery runs 24,000 barrels per day, using both sweet and
sour crudes. They had at one point planned to distill som of the Great
Plains tar oil, shipping som of the product back to Great Plains and using
some of it. They eventually decided against it because of environmental con-
cerns.
Wyoming Refining runs 15,000 barrels per day of Wyoming sweet, rmking rnostly
gasoline which is nmrketed In South Dakota.
31
TABLE 16
1985 G T LAIS NtURAL GAS PLANT OMUTIOW
(Units: 1,000 Gallons/Day)
32
From Table 15 it is seen that total LPG consunption Is 14.5 million barrels
per year, which is of the same order of magnitude as the production indicated
in Table 16.
On the basis of the above refinery survey, current refinery throughput in the
Great Plains region is approximately 601,000 barrels per stream day
(Table 17). Multiplying this by an average 94 percent onstream factor gives a
calendar day average of 565,000 barrels per day. Although this is about seven
percent above the value which was calculated earlier by assuming an 85 percent
capacity factor, some of the refineries in the survey reported only capacity
rather than actual rates, so the true value is probably 550,000 barrels per
day (200 million barrels per year) or less.
Table 15 shows total product demand of 221 million barrels per year, which may
be compared to the sum of 200 million barrels per year from refinery produc-
tion plus 21 million barrels per year of natural gas liquids production (221
million barrels per year total). The exact match of these two numbers Is
simply coincidental, because not all of the data are equivalent, and no con-
sideration was given for movement of products into and out of the region.
Nevertheless, it is clear that, on the whole, the Great Plains region is ap-
proximately in balance between production and consumption of refined products.
This reinforces the earlier conclusion that any increased production in the
region would either force a cutback at existing refineries or else force them
to export outside the region. The latter will be difficult to achieve.
Comparison of Tables 15 and 18 shows that the relative demand for different
products in the Great Plains region corresponds fairly well with the national
average, with the exception of appreciably lower demand for residual fuel oil
and jet fuel.
An overall refined products balance for the Great Plains region is given in
Table 19. The indicated closure accuracy of 3.0 percent is much better than
appears warranted by the data and the assumptions used, and therefore should
not be relied upon excessively. The missing quantity is most likely a part of
the pipeline data. Also, mDvements by truck, rail and barge are missing from
the table.
33
TABLE 17
Crude Distillation
Refinery Rate, BPSD
Minnesota
Ashland 60,000
Koch 150,000
Subtotal 210,000
Montana
Cenex 40,400
Conoco 44,000
Exxon 42,500
Montana 7,000
Subtotal 133,900
North Dakota
Armco 50,000
Subtotal 50,000
Saskatchewan
Consumers 45,000
Petro-Canada 4,250
Subtotal 49,250
Wyoming
Armco 35,000
Frontier 30,000
Little America 24,000
Sinclair 54,000
Wyoming 15,000
Subtotal 158,000
34
34 f
TABLE 18
Gal Ions
Product Per Barrel % Yield
35
TABLE 19
Total
Products
Pipeline Imports
From Other States
Or Provinces 2,266
Consurption 220,980
Difference 7,936
36
The 10-year demand history for individual petroleum products in the five-state
region is shown in Figures 4 through 13. Overall petroleum demand (Figure 13)
fell sharply from its peak value in 1978 until 1981, and has shown only small
gains since. The pattern has been basically the same in all states. In-
dividual products, however, may show quite different demand histories.
Motor gasoline is the major product of almDst all refineries in the region,
and its demand pattern (Figure 6) follows closely that for total petroleum
products in all cases. Distillate fuel demand, on the other hand, shows sae
variation in pattern from state to state, and is generally subject to much
wider swings in demand than gasoline.
Kerosene was once an inportant product in the region, but demand has almst
disappeared over the last ten years (Figure 8). Liquefied petroleum gas
(Figure 9) demand has declined from peaks in the 1970's, but in nmst cases the
decline has not been great. The demand for residual fuel oil has declined al-
mDst as drastically as for kerosene (Figure 11). The change in markets for
residual fuel in particular has had a large irpact on refinery operations in
the region. Those refineries unable to convert residual fuel to other
products have suffered from the inability to match their product slate to
market requirements. In some cases, overall production has been constrained
because of an inability to sell the residual oil fraction.
Regional demand for asphalt and road oil has declined somewhat since peaking
in the early 1970's, but has been reasonably stable (Figure 10). rdiscel-
laneous products (Figure 12) have been somewhat less stable.
It is clear from the product histories that continuation of these trends into
the future would make it unattractive to produce any product conpeting with
residual fuel oil. Only gasoline, jet fuel and asphalt appear to be on stable
or rising demand trends.
Speciflcat ios
Definitions
The terminology used for petroleum products is not always consistent and is
sometimes confusingr. Most major distinctions are made on the basis of boiling
point. As generally used, gasoline is the lowest boiling fraction; it will be
10 percent distilled at 122-158 IF and 90 percent distilled at 365-374 °F.
37 _
~.
J,
t-- - ......
• ,..... ....... ]
7
'I 7,4
-6-
SOU&IMOMTA,
-ell
MOWMIA
I I II I I I | I I I I | I J l I - ' , - "
800
700 -
1 600
500
400 -
300--\
\-
200 3--4.
0* I I I I I I I I I I I I I ,
38
-
311
20-
~ 0
~FIGURE 6
0 -I I I I I I I
30-
28 - /
26 - /
24
22 -
14. '
12 , ",
10 -
S I l I i I I I I I , I .
FIGURE 7
DISTILLATE FUEL DEMAND
39
3.0-
2.8 -
2.6
2.4A
2.2 -
2,0-
1.8
1.6
1.4 -
1 .2 -,:
.o.,rJ,
06
06.4
0.0 -
1964 1 9EC 1972 1 S-713 1980 1984-
YEARM
FIGURE 8
KEROSENE DEMAND
11-
10-
/ '+t" "Ru
N
r .t
6-
WA.
-, -- " - -"" -
40
8*
4, .
2-
NORM DAKOTA
SOUTH DARR
1964 1 817 -7618
FIGURE 10
ASPHALT & ROAD OIL DEMAND
6-
5
/0-
IT
on~
- - - - t ,I- ---
C ) I , I I I I I I I 1 I I 1I
FIGURE 11
RESIDUAL FUEL DEMAND
41
I I I 17 II VI'-
" I 1
FIGURE- 217
- - -
1 _ _ - I- -i k
170
10 /
I 70-
"
30-
6 Wf 0 AKNaANA
p b
YEAR
FIGURE 13
TOTAL PETROLEUM PRODUCTS DEMAND
42
%r.
After gasoline, the next boiling fraction is usually defined as naphtha. In
an alternative definition, the naphtha boiling range includes gasoline, which
is referred to as refined petroleum naphtha. Within a refinery, naphtha is a
process intermediate; it is comnonly fed to a steam reformer to make addi-
tional gasoline blending components. In this usage, naphtha may refer to a
stream boiling above gasoline and up to 500 or even 600 IF endpoint. "Light
naphtha" may have an endpoint of 400 OF. When prepared as a finished product,
"naphtha" denotes a more specific type of product with a narrow boiling range.
Here the terms "solvent" and "naphtha" are often used interchangeably.
Specialty naphthas may have endpoints as low as 220 IF.
The distillate fuel oils include #1, #2, and #4 heating oils, and #1, #2 and
#4 diesel fuel. However, #4 fuel oil may be made by blending residual fuel
with varying proportions of distillate. Thus #4, #5 and #6 are termed "black
oils," while #1 and #2 are "white oils."
Grade #1 fuel oil is designed for use in vaporizing pot-type burners, while
#2 fuel oil is designed for use in atomizing type burners for domestic heating
or rmderate capacity comnercial/industrial burner units. Grade #4 fuel oil is
intended for conercial burner installations not equipped with fuel preheating
facilities. It is used extensively in industrial plants.
Residual fuel, which includes #5 and #6 fuel oil, and Bunker C fuel oil, is
used for the production of electric power, industrial steam generation, vessel
bunkering, large comiercial heating systems, and various other industrial pur-
poses.
Jet Fuel
43
TABLE 20
44
and Energy Research (NIPER). The average aromatics content of JP-4 is well
Gasoline
Kerosene
Diesel Fuel
The specifications for #1 and #2 fuel oil are basically the same as for #1 and
#2 diesel fuel (ASTM D975). Average properties of #1 and #2 fuel oils sold in
the Great Plains region are given in Table 24.
ASTM D396 specifications for #4, #5 and #6 fuel oils (including #4 diesel) are
listed in Table 25. Very little #4 and #5 fuel oil is sold in the Great
Plains region. Average properties of #6 fuel oil sold in the region are given
in Table 26.
Sunmary
All petroleum products are sold to a set of specifications which have been
developed through a marriage of consurers' needs and refiners' capabilities.
A simple distillation of lignite tar oil would not produce any products
45
TABLE 21
Regular P remiumn
Sumimr/Winter Summr/Winter
(R+M)/2 (R+M)/2
Below 90 Above 90
46
TABLE 22
Distillation Tenp To
Give 90% Overhead,
Min - 282 -
Kinematic Viscosity
cSt At 40 OC
Min 1.3 1.9 5.5
Max 2.4 4.1 24.0
47
TABLE 23
48
TABLE 24
No. 1 No. 2
AS= Distillatim, OF
10 382 427
49
/
TABLE 25
Water
and Kinenntic
Flash Pour Sedi- Viscosity
Point, Point, ment, Ash, cSt at
Grade Of OF OF Vol% Weight% 100OF Sul-
Fuel Oil Min Max Max Max Min Max fur %
No. 4 130 20 0.50 0.10 5.8 2 6 .4 A legal
Preheating not
usually required
A Where low sulfur oil is required, fuel oil falling in the viscosity
range of a lower numbered grade down to and including No. 4 nay be sup-
plied by agreement between purchaser and supplier.
B Where low sulfur fuel oil is required, Grade 6 fuel oil will be class-
ified as low pour, 15 degrees C (600 F) mrax, or high pour (no nax). Low
pour fuel oil should be used unless all tanks and lines are heated.
50
TABLE 26
51
matching existing specifications. However, modern refining processes are
available to mrodify the characteristics of hydrocarbon streams almost at will.
Large mlecules can be cracked and small mlecules can be combined. Un-
saturated compounds can be hydrogenated and saturated compounds can be
dehydrogenated. Ring compounds can be cracked and linear compounds can be
reformed into rings. Thus there is no doubt that, with sufficient processing,
the Great Plains liquids could be formed into specification fuels.
Prices
Prices paid for petroleum products in the Great Plains region over the last
four years are sunxmrized in Tables 27 through 32. The generally small dif-
ferences in prices between states attests to the efficiency of the United
States petroleum products distribution system and to the keen competition be-
tween refineries. As would be expected, prices are slightly higher in Min-
nesota, which is a product importer, than in Wyoming, which is a product ex-
porter.
In a number of cases there are not enough sales of a particular fuel in some
states of this region to form a statistical base. For this reason, the
Petroleum Administration for Defense District (PADD) averages have been in-
cluded in Tables 27 through 32. PADD definitions are shown in Figure 14. It
is unusual to see a spread of mre than three or four cents per gallon in fuel
prices between states, which corresponds to the cost of mDving fuel about 150
miles by truck.
Market Outlook
It Is unlikely that petroleum products in general will again show the large
year-to-year increases in demand which were common prior to the price shocks
of the 1970's. However, gasoline, the largest volume product, could be poised
to show some gain in volume. The federally mandated increases in Corporate
Average Fuel Econonb' have reached their legislated limits. Average automobile
mileage will continue to increase for some time as new cars replace older
less-efficient cars on the road. The average mileage for new autormbiles,
however, is unlikely to increase from present levels. Gasoline demand should
therefore be fairly stable in the future.
52
TABLE 28
53
F
TABLE 29
. - -
North Dakota
- - - -
South Dakota
Montana - - - -
Wyoming ... - -
TABLE 30
54 4-
*1'.-
TABLE 31
Montana 83.9 - - -
Wyoming 84.1 --
TABLE 32
Minnesota - 56.9 - -
North Dakota - --
South Dakota - - - -
Montana---
Wyoming
55
ninin.
P. An= a s W W-1V
Heating oils are in a long-term decline due to loss of markets to natural gas.
This loss is mostly irreversible.
Residual fuel is regaining some markets which were earlier lost to natural gas
and coal. If oil prices rise even moderately, however, these markets will
again be lost. This is because the differential price between crude oil and
residual oil is considerably smaller than it was a few years ago. The dif-
ferential has shrunk because nmre refiners have installed processes for con-
verting residual fuel to higher-value products.
1A VAS
°%
W .... ...
uu -WIS.
7~ 01o4
S,,OAK-
.r NJ.
S UAH : "'.
NOW OF
KY.5
N.C..
d.~~GA
d
FIGURE 14
-5 . C
ARK.
WRINYU FKUMWTU1K
There is, however, one interesting future possibility for direct sale of the
tar oil stream as refinery feedstock. Consumers Cooperative Refinery in
Regina, Saskatchewan is building a heavy oil upgrading system to allow it to
process the very heavy oils of Saskatchewan and Alberta. The Canadian federal
and provincial governnnts are providing financial aid to the project, which
is being carried out by New Grade Energy, Inc., a partnership of Consumers
Cooperative Refinery Ltd. and the Saskatchewan government. The 50,000 barrel
per day project is expected to cost $650,000,000. Consumers Cooperative is
providing 5 percent of the equity, and the provincial government 15 percent.
The federal and provincial governments are providing loan guarantees for the
remining 80 percent of the cost as debt.
The project is well along in construction and should be finished next year
(1988). Hydrocracking processing technology is provided by Unocal, with their
Unicracking process. Unicracking carries out hydrodesulfurization and mild
hydrocracking using a fixed catalyst bed. It is normally used to upgrade
residual fuel oils and many vacuum resids by remving significant amounts of
metals, sulfur, nitrogen and residual carbon. Feed and hydrogen-rich recycle
gas are preheated, mixed, and fed to a guard chanber, where a smnll bed of
catalyst renmves particulate matter and residual salt. Effluent flows into
one or more main reactors, which contain nmst of the catalyst. Liquid product
is cooled, separated and sent to further processing.
Consumers Cooperative currently brings in some crude oil from North Dakota and
Montana, and the trans-border movement of feedstock Is not seen to be a
problem. Because of favorable government financing assistance, the NewGrade
project will likely have a lower break-even point for operating rmrgin than a
conventionally financed hydrocracker. It should therefore be able to conpete
for feedstock on attractive terms. If reasonable transportation costs could
be arranged with the railroads, this might provide an outlet for the Great
Plains tar oil yielding a higher netback than sale as No. 6 fuel oil.
Two possible issues to be addressed are the strong odor associated with the
naphtha and to a lesser extent, the tar oil stream and treatent of the was-
tewater streams. The refinery would want to be assured that those would not
be problems.
58
TABLE 33
Manitoba
No Refineries
Minnesota
Ashland 69,220 --- 23,000 39,700
Koch 160,000 --- 63,500 86,000
Subtotal 229,220 --- 86,500 125,700
Montana
Cenex 42,500 --- 14,000 15,000
Conoco 50,000 ---. 41,500
Exxon 44,000 4,900 --- 41,500
Montana 6,500 ...... 2,200
Subtotal 143,000 4,900 14,000 100,200
North Dakota
Anoco 60,000 --- 15,000
Subtotal 60,000 --- 15,000
Saskatchewan
Consumer's 40,000 --- 9,000
Petro-Canada 13,000 ---
Subtotal 53,000 --- 9,000
South Dakota
No Refineries
Wyoming
Armco 41,000 --- 7,100
Frontier 35,500 --- 4,350 7,000
Little America 24,500 --- 7,200
M ou nta inee r 400 .... ... ..
Sinclair 54,000 --- 10,000 14,000
Wyoming 13,500 .........
Subtotal 170,189 --- 14,350 51,050
59
i
N
WEWXMU VD17VrrE.%%
Creosote nay be loosely defined as the fraction of coal tar distillate boiling
in the range 400OF to 650*F. It is sometimes referred to as "dead oil," in-
dicating that it is the higher boiling fraction of the oil obtained by dis-
tilling coal tar. Rather than producing a virgin distillate in this range,
creosote is often produced by blending various tar oil fractions.
The oils are blended to give creosotes conforming to certain user specifica-
tions. The major outlet for coal-tar creosote is for the preservation of tim-
ber. Although other fungicides have been increasingly used, coal-tar creosote
has been the most widely used wood preservative. It is particularly effective
in prolonging the life of wood that is used outdoors and in contact with the
ground, or seawater or freshwater. Exanples are telegraph and electricity
transmission poles, railway ties, marine piling, fencing, and farm buildings.
To give these structures service lives of 50 years or rmre, they are inpreg-
nated under pressure with creosote so that the vulnerable sapwood cells arn
either filled with oil (by the Bethell or "full-cell" process generally used
for marine piling and railway ties), or coated with a film of creosote (by the
Rueping or Lowry "enpty-cell" processes more generally used for poles, fenc-
ing, and farm buildings).
Other minor uses for creosotes are as horticultural washes to kill overwinter-
Ing pests on fruit trees, and for making disinfectant eniulsions and sheep
dips.
60
V -v-~~~ ~ .,".,".'-
~ i
TABLE 34
Not Not
Less More
Than Than
Water, Percent By Volun- 1.5
Matter Insoluble In Xylene
Percent By Wt 0.5
Specific Gravity
Whole Creosote 1.050
Fraction 235-315 °C 1.027
Fraction 315-355 °C 1.095
Distillation: Percent By
Wt On A Water-Free
Basis:
Up To 210 °C 2.0
Up To 235 °C 12.0
Up To 270 °C 10.0 35.0
Up To 315 °C 40.0 65.0
Up To 355 °C 60.0 77.0
61
TABLE 35
Not Not
Less More
Than Than
62
tl4
00
Z 0
4 -.
V
0 z 0 La
04 m q *; W C4
(d%4
C)a t-
000
* 0
~ aa
*003al0
-4-L
0. 41 mefM
U4 A4 L "V4M. P 00
4.0 41 1 d 4t
0: CD inC4C2
10 C.) 0c !0 0
63E-t
TABLE 37
Specific
Standard Gravity
120-
210-
19 7 1901- 91 99 1
50 AR
FIUR-1
70O8T PRDCTO
Same users are willing to utilize material which does not meet AWPA specifica-
tions. Concrete evidence of this is provided by previous sales of the Great
Plains material and by a long history of sales of creosote from the Lurgi low-
temperature lignite carbonization plant operated by Husky Industries in Dick-
ensen, North Dakota (this plant was shut down in 1986 because of environmental
problensp but had operated since 1926). The Husky plant reopened January 1987
with a Nichols hearth furnace which does not produce by-product liquids.
Product ion
United States production of creosote for the years 1967 to 1985 is shown in
Figure 15. A significant decline on the order of 50 percent has occurred
since 1974. Historically, total consumption has been anywhere from 10 to
30 percent higher than production due to net imports from Europe. The quan-
tity inported varies readily with currency exchange fluctuations. A srmll
amount of creosote has been exported to Canada.
Prices
Comsummrs
65
Si .20...
1.10
10.70
S. .0
CREOSOTE PRICES
TAIKS,WOE89 FAB
:"". I I I I
FIGURE 17
WOOD PRESERVERS USING CREOSOTE
p66 .
On an industry-wide basis, over 65 percent of creosote usage is for railroad
ties (Table 38). The data in Table 38 refer only to cubic feet of wood
treated, without regard to the treatment procedure. Because railroad ties are
always pressure-treated and other nmterials nay not be, the fraction of total
creosote usage accounted for by railroad crossties is higher than suggested in
Table 38.
The mst recent data available (1984) from the Anerican Wood Preservers In-
stitute show that total creosote usage in that year consisted of 41 million
gallons of creosote and 61 million gallons of creosote-coal tar solutions.
Producers
Allied Corporation
Reilly Tar and Chemical
Koppers Conpany
United States Steel Corporation
Witco Chemical Corporation
Coopers Creek Chemical Corporation
TABLE 38
67
~
(~v 44 ~ ~ ' ,- .~-*~ A,.- -. *. -. *-* - - --..- *
Market structure
Tie treating plants have encountered serious environmental problems over the
last few years. Some railroads, Burlington Northern for one, will contract
for treated ties rather than operate their own plants.
Overall consunption of creosote for wood preservation has declined slowly over
the last 30 years while the use of water-borne preservatives has grown
strongly (Figure 18). Creosote usage has been sustained by the demand for
railroad crossties, for which creosote has been the only accepted preserv-
at ive.
The introduction of concrete crossties has taken away some market share, al-
though not a significant share to date. Because of environmental and health
hazard concerns, it is very unlikely that creosote demand will show appreci-
able growth in the future. The market is vulnerable to replacement by con-
crete crossties or inproved water-borne preservative conpounds. Meanwhile,
the continuing consolidation of railroad trackage systems is reducing the to-
tal market potential for replacement crossties. Past and estimated future
demand for creosote-treated crossties, as prepared by the Railway Tie Associa-
tion, are shown in Figure 19. A significant decline from recent demand levels
is expected. Furthermore, the Railway Tie Association's projections do not
consider increasing use of concrete ties. An Australian-American joint ven-
ture has recently begun to build a facility in Denver to manufacture some 3.5
million concrete ties for the Burlington Northern railroad by 1992. Because
concrete ties cannot be intermingled with wood ties, market penetration will
be limited in the near future.
If uses other than crossties and pilings were eliminated, demand could drop
below 40 million gallons per year. Assuming that lignite-derived creosote
would not be used at over 50 percent concentration, there would be a maxinum
nmrket potential of 20 million gallons or 175 million pounds per year. Poten-
tial creosote production from the Great Plains plant is 128 million pounds per
year. Thus, disposing of all Great Plains heavy oil as creosote would require
capturing 73 percent of the potential long-term market in the United States.
Canadian markets would expand the potential but not greatly. The Canadian
market is estimated at less than 10 percent of the United States market. It
may be concluded that the Great Plains creosote would have to be deeply dis-
counted in order to place it all in the wood preservative market. Thus, op-
tinum marketing strategy would be not to convert the entire Great Plains tar
oil stream to creosote, but to conbine creosote production with coproduction
of rubber processing oils, coal tar asphalt, etc.
68
160
120-
110-
6-
30
20 -
- c - N EDFBO
FIUR 18
26-
15-
214-
FIUR 19
1669
15 k' . *4 b1
Although AWPA specifications state that creosote must be derived from coal
tar, creosote prices are not entirely insulated from petroleum prices. This
is because, first, some uses allow the substitution of up to 50 percent
petroleum oil, and second, alternative uses for the creosote fraction conpete
directly with petroleum. Thus decreases in petroleum prices force down
creosote prices for alternative uses, creating pressure on the prices for wood
preservative. Because the contracting cycle for large-volume creosote users
Is 12 months long, the effects of the early 1986 crash in oil prices is only
now being translated fully into the creosote market.
Figure 20 shows clearly that creosote price changes lag, but eventually follow
oil price changes. Because creosote can substitute for petroleum as a fuel,
upward trending oil prices quickly stirmlate upward trending creosote prices.
Because petroleum cannot substitute for creosote, however, downward trending
oil prices will affect creosote more slowly. The down trend in petroleum
prices in the last few years has been temporarily counter-balanced by
decreases in creosote capacity. The historical relationship in Figure 20 sug-
gests that since 1987 oil prices correspond to about 1979 oil prices, 1987
creosote prices should correspond to about 1979 prices. This would be about
$0.80 per gallon. Contact with creosote buyers indicates that this is indeed
the market level, although not yet reflected in the Chemical Marketing
Reporter data.
$60
CREOSOTE
I %4-0 qo
$Vo
OI
510
70
CRKSOLS AND 43LIC ACID
The Phenosolvan crude phenol contains nmstly nmnohydric "phenols", which in-
clude phenol, cresols, xylenols, ethylphenols, and other alkylphenols as well
as som polyhydric "phenols", including catechols and resorcinol.
Crude phenol can be separated into fractions which can be designated as tar
bases, neutral oil-free phenol, cresylic acids, and phenolic pitch.
Conrpanies that report production data to the United States International Trade
Commission define cresols as phenolic mixtures in which 50 percent of the
material bolls below 204 0 C and cresylic acids as phenolic mixtures in which .5,
50 percent of the material boils above 204 0 C. The category "cresylic acid,
refined" includes primarily cresol/xylenol mixtures, many of which contain a
high percentage of xylenol. It may also include some xylenol mixtures sold
either as is, or used for further separation of the individual xylenol
isomrs. Sam higher boiling phenolic tar acids may also be included in the
refined cresylic acid category. Refined cresylic acid is defined the same as
crude cresylic acid except that the yield of product distilling below 2150C is
more than 75 percent by weight of the original distillate.
Product ion
Total cresols production in the United States is shown in Figure 21. The last
year of data available, 1985, shows a dramatic drop in production. Several
producers of synthetic cresols closed down about that time. Current producers
of natural cresylics state that their sales were not widely variable from 1984
71
1 30-
1 20 -
110-
90
00
so. 70
$0.60
so.50o
50.40-
50.30
sc111 I I I II T I
72
to the present, so the drop in Figure 21 appears to be related only to syn-
thetic cresols.
Primcs
Prices for cresylic acid are shown in Figure 22. Prices for the individual
cresol isomers are shown in Figures 23 through 26. Prices have been on a
stable or rising trend in all cases except for p-cresol. The reason for aber-
rant p-cresol prices is not known. One of the major known uses for p-cresol
is to make the anti-oxidant BHT.
Consumers
Cresylic acid mixtures containing a high fraction of m-cresol can be used for
synthesis of phenol-foraldehyde resins and high-quality engineering plastics,
such as polycarbonates.
Cresols were at one time used extensively to make the phosphate esters
tricresyl phosphate and cresyl diphenyl phosphate, but these have been re-
placed by phenolic phosphates. Several different cresols and cresylic aci,
mixtures are used as wire enamel solvents, ore flotation frothers, disinfec
tauts, fiber treatments, tanning agents and degreasing agents. High-purity m-
cresol is used to make thyrol (cough medicines) and pyrethrVid insecticides.
73
S0.60 -
so0.60
50.50 -
10.30 -
sc' 20 -
sc0 10 F I I I I I I I
197 1970 19 7 3 1976 1(979 1982 19E
YEAR
FIGURE 23
o-CRESOL PRICES
98%PtIM DMB, T. TANKS, FOB
S$1.50-
I1S,30
$1.10
74
dpS
$1.70
$1.60
S1 .50
11.10
|0.90,
1979 1980 1981 1 e! 1933 19'84 1 995 1 I6 "38"
YMA
FIGURE 25
m-CRESOL PRICES
TAKS, DMB, TL, FOB
$0.90-
$0.80
]
$0.70
$0.60
$0.50-
S0.4-0
$0.30
$0.20
|0.1I0 ,
1967 1970 1973 1976 1937 1982 1985
YEA
FIGURE 26
mp-CRESOL PRICES
mULK, FOB
- 75
lubricants. Ortho-cresol is used in insecticides. An end-use breakdown for
consumption of total cresols and cresylic acid in 1981 is given as follows:
Magnet wire 17
Antioxidants 15
Resins 13
Exports 11
Phosphate esters 8
Cleaning compounds 6
Ore flotation 6
Miscellaneous 25
10096
In 1986, a large demand for low-grade cresylics opened up in China. However,
the prices offered are very low in the range $0.15 to $0.18 per pound.
Producers
A major factor on the world market scene is cresylic acid from the SASOL coal
conversion plants in South Africa. SASOL has been selling crude cresylics to
others for refining, but it is believed that international trade sanctions
against South Africa have reduced their ability to sell on the world market.
It is thought that SASOL intends to install a hydrocracker to convert the
cresylics to fuel products.
Synthetic cresols are produced from petroleum. One route is the catalyzed
methylation of phenol. High-purity p-cresol can be made by toluene sulfona-
tion. A mp-cresol mixture can be manufactured via cymene, obtained by the
alkylation of toluene. Although there were five United States producers of
synthetic cresol isomers until recently, the only two companies involved in
1987 are General Electric (o-cresol) in Selkirk, New York, and PMC (formerly
Sherwin-Williams) in Chicago (p-cresol).
Market Structure
Great Plains would have the option of either selling its crude cresylics to a
cresylic acid refiner, or refining in a toll processing facility, or install-
ing its own refining facilities and marketing to the manufacturers of resins,
etc. In the former case, there are only three possibilities, at least in the
United States. Of the three, only Merichem has a large enough capacity to
process the entire Great Plains crude streams.
76
Overseas markets probably offer the best opportunity at present because major
European users are attempting, for political reasons, to find sources other
than South Africa's Sasol.
Present market prices for refined cresylic acid are about $0.40 per pound. It
is estimated that refining costs are on the order of $0.25 and that sales
costs are on the order of $0.08 to $0.10 per pound. This leaves a net price
for crude cresylics of $0.05 to $0.07 per pound, or about $17 per barrel.
This corresponds to one refiner's estimate that the current price for crude
cresylics would be roughly equivalent to fuel oil value. This study did not
consider the option of toll processing through other facilities which may be
available. It is possible that lower costs might be obtainable through such
faci lities.
The very small nunber of producers of both synthetic and natural cresols makes
for a closed market situation. It nmy be very difficult for a new producer to
obtain a major share of a business which is held by only two or three
producers. The total potential cresylic acid production from Great Plains is
80 million pounds per year, which is of the same order of magnitude as current
total domestic demand. In other words, it would be necessary to drive all
other natural cresylic acid out of the market entirely if the Great Plains
output were all consumed domestically.
Market Outlook
The outlook for natural cresylic acids acknowledges two broad, long-term nega-
tive factors. One is the general loss of market share by natural products to
higher-purity synthetic materials. The other is the toxic and carcinogenic
nature of coal tar products, which prompts users to find more benign sub-
stitutes. Currently, low petroleum prices act to accentuate the conversion to
petroleuzn-derived substitutes.
None of the uses listed for natural cresylics has been identified as a high-
growth area. Although individual cresol isomers may see increasing demand,
these can be derived in high purity from petroleum components. Cresylics are
often low-performance feedstocks for resins and other uses. In ore flotation,
for instance, cresylic acid frothers are usually much less efficient than
glycols. Also, flotation reagents must contain essentially zero phenol be-
cause of water pollution problems. Because petroleum-derived synthetics can
substitute for all natural cresylic applications, future demand and price
levels will both be constrained by petroleum prices. The outlook therefore is
for no price increases relative to petroleum, and for static or decreasing
demand levels.
A compensating factor in the short term is the price of phenol derived from
benzene. Benzene prices are rising substantially due to demand for polys-
tyrene and for octane enhancement in the gasoline pool. Because cresols com-
pete with phenol in som applications, this will offer an opportunity for
cresol price increases until benzene prices return to equilibrium values.
77
irwiigwwpwwuwwwwwiniumirrigvv
1WVVV W"VWVW'WWVMWNWVVWVVWVWWVWW~uwuvwvwMxwRxwExE,wFN-m1., .P -.
Carbon black can be made by the partial conbustion of any carbonaceous liquid
or gaseous fuel with insufficient air. There are basically three modern
methods of making carbon black, known as the channel process, the furnace
process, and the thermal process. Almost all current United States production
is achieved via the furnace process using oil feedstocks. The process is
operated in an insulated furnace chamber. An auxiliary fuel is first burned
to completion to supply the necessary process heat, raising the tenperature of
the gas stream to about 2,500 *F. Oil is then mixed with the hot gas and
pyrolyzed instantly. The carbon black laden gas stream is cooled,and the
carbon black removed by cyclones, electrostatic precipitators or bag houses.
In the United States, carbon blacks are produced almst exclusively from
petroleum derived feedstock, although coal-derived liquids have been used, and
are mre widely used elsewhere in the world. Oil feedstocks must be highly
aromatic and have low ash and asphaltene contents. The United States Bureau
of Mines Correlation Index (BNIE) is used as an index of feedstock aromaticity
by most carbon black manufacturers. The BMCI is given by the formula:
where:
The mist inportant requirement for carbon black feedstock is that it be highly
aromatic. Large conpact mlecules with many double bonds and short side
chains have a greater tendency to polymerize and eventually form carbon than
long straight chain molecules which tend to crack into smaller fragments.
Compounds having two or more fused aromatic rings have very high BMNI values
and provide the best feedstock.
78
U'*
,pe -. . '. " - . " . " . " , " - - " , " 'e .,. -" . ,. ""- . . % - ". '."." -
TABLE 39
can be obtained from almost any oil feedstock by adjusting the furnace condi-
tions, the structure of the carbon black is determined largely by the
aronmticity of the feedstock. "Structure" is the linking together of carbon
black particles into chains. High structure indicates long chains, which are
required for good reinforcement and abrasion resistance in synthetic rubber.
The concentration of aromatics in the fuel determines the rate at which carbon
black nuclei are formed. High rates result in small particle size and high
structure.
Currently, the mst suitable carbon black feedstocks are the high boiling bot-
tom from fluid catalytic cracking processes. Carbon contents of over 90 per-
cent are typical.
Product ion
Current carbon black production figures are not available, but United States
production was essentially static at approximately three billion pounds per
year from 1970 to 1980. It is not believed to have changed significantly
since then. At a yield of 3.75 pounds per gallon, this would indicate a
carbon black oil demand on the order of 50,000 barrels per day. This number
was confirned in informal communications with the industry.
At moast, 50 percent of the Great Plains tar oil output, (the portion boiling
above 500 OF) or 2,500 barrels per day could conceivably qualify as carbon
black feedstock. This would represent five percent of the total United States
demand.
79
Price
Prices for carbon black feedstock are given in Figure 27. Prices are usually
based on Gulf Coast plus transportation. The base price is the price for
3 percent sulfur #6 residual fuel oil. Every 10 points increase in the BMI
value is worth $0.50 per barrel, and every percentage decrease in sulfur con-
tent below three percent is worth one percent increase in price. However, the
mxinum premium allowed over 3 percent sulfur residual fuel prices is almost
never nre than one dollar per barrel.
Residual fuels of the type used for carbon black feedstock are often difficult
to sell in the Great Plains mrketing region because of a low demand for
residual fuels in general and the lack of alternate uses for the rmterial.
Thus FCC recycle oil, a good carbon black feedstock, has recently been selling
for only $8 per barrel at the Amco refinery in Mandan, North Dakota, and only
$6 per barrel at the Frontier refinery in Cheyenne, Wyoming.
Consmers
Major carbon black plants are listed in Table 40 and Figure 27A. A con-
siderable consolidation of the industry occurred in the early 1980's, with al-
mst a billion pounds of production capacity closed down.
Producers
The major source of carbon black oil is fluid catalytic cracker bottom from
oil refineries. Thus all nmjor oil refineries are potential conpetitors for
this nmrket.
,t
80
.*. N N ...
TABLE 40
Carbon Black
Company Location Capacity, lMIb/yr
Total 3,076
811
~ V *~*~i1
$26
$25- -
$24-
-$22
1-
Market Structure
Most carbon black feedstock is purchased on the spot market and therefore fol-
lows spot oil prices very closely. Some is purchased under contract. in
either case, a new material, regardless of meeting specifications, would prob-
ably have to be subjected to a test burn before purchase. This might involve
a truck load of material.
Demnd for carbon black oil has declined as a result of inprovements in the
conversion efficiency of the furnace process and as a result of declining
demand for tire production.
There are many different comercial grades and varieties of carbon black. By
far the greatest use, however, is as a reinforcing agent in rubber tires
(90 percent). The finely divided state of carbon black greatly reduces oxida-
tion of the rubber and increases the tensile strength. It is a little-known
fact that carbon black ay account for over half of the weight of a tire.
Recent trends to smaller cars and smaller tires, longer wearing radials and
emrgency-only spares have all acted to retard the demand for autcmotive rub-
ber and thus for carbon black. These trends appear to have bottomed, and
carbon black may be ready to resume a modest growth period. Carbon black
feedstock prices, however, will remain strictly related to petroleum prices.
83
Z-, u
Definitions and Specifications
Almost all of the benzene and BTX (benzene, toluene, xylene) aromatics in the
United States are now derived from petroleum. Small amounts are derived from
coke oven light oil) Chemical grade benzene must meet a minimum freezing
point specification of 5.35 'C, corresponding to a product purity of 99.7 per-
cent. Other typical specifications are listed in Table 41. BTX mixtures are
not sold to general specifications.
Product ion
Benzene production data are given in Figure 28. These data represent only the
amount of benzene isolated as such, not the total amount produced by catalytic
reformers and left in the gasoline stream at refineries.
Benzene recovery from coke ovens declined drastically from 1979 to 1982
(Figure 29).
The volume of BTX isolated and used for chemicals production is relatively
small conpared to usage in gasoline. Because of high octane values, BTX liq-
uids are valuable gasoline conponents. It is estimated that 50 percent of to-
tal benzene and 90 percent of total toluene and xylenes end up in the gasoline
pool.
Most of the catalytic reforate and some pyrolysis gasoline is used directly
in gasoline without extracting the aromatics for chemical use. If only one
arormtic product is desired and low purity is acceptable, it can be removed
from the stream by extractive distillation with a solvent such as phenol. If
more than one product is desired, and high purity is inportant, then liquid-
liquid extraction is used. The most widely used extraction process is the
Sulfolane process.
Pries-
Because of the large usage in the gasoline market, the amunt of BTX available
for chemicals manufacture fluctuates from time to time, with a corresponding
effect on merchant prices. A benzene price history is given in Figure 30.
84
*1
0Q
CO
00 0
Cd 000 M
0 0
CO00 4-
0C'~ 0 C4 ~
4Ja) 0
00
o. 0
co c GoC0
0 -'4)
0
E 4J 10
-1I x 00.
~0c(q to
hi~. .t.~
00 W
o 04J4 0 '410 *
I. bO 0:
)0 4% -
-4-
Lf~ C.) e
0q 0
>0 a *I ;e 9
~00 1:0~i~ 0
0 L-- 0 inZ L z. I
-4C )
-4 c
L4 1
0 0
0a 0z
85
7 m0 1.7~ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
1 .6
1.5-
1.4.
FIGURE 28
BENZLNE PRODUCTION, ALL GRADES
45.
eo
-
201
11EEO
1960 1
YEAR
FIGURE 29
BENZENE PRODUCTION
BY COKE OVE OPERATOW
86
pUNCLASSIFIE
WW
46
9I-A6 PRODUCTION OF JET FUELS FROM COAL DERIVED LIQUIDS
VOLUME I MARKET RSSESSN. (U) NORTH DAKOTA UNIV GRAN
FORKS ENERGY RESEARCH CENTER J E SINOR AUG 6?
AFIML-TR-87-2042-VOL-1 HIPR-FY1435-66-N@65? F/G 21/4
2/3
mohmmmmhhhhl
smmohhhmsommlm
1.09
wq W jW .0 V -we~
5 - wr
r .
'V%
U~.00
1 .00
11.80
S1 .70
1 .601
S1.50
I 1.40
11.10-
I1
10.70-
so.c.o
10.4-0
1C.20 W
1 O ? I E,7' 13
I ' 3 16.',V
3 1S'7. 19 1932 19135
YEAR
FROURE SO
BeNZN PRICS
The largest volum uses for BTX aromatics (other than gasoline) are for the
manufacture of plastics and fibers. Major end products of benzene include
styrene mnomer for polystyrene production, cumene for phenol production and
cyclohexane for nylon production. Major end products of toluene Include sol-
vents, and toluene di-isocyanate for production of polyurethane foams.
Xylenes are used in paints, solvents, plastics and polyester fibers. Most o-
xylene is first converted to phthalic acid and most m-xylene is first con-
verted to isophthalic acid. Any excess materials simply find their way back
to the gasoline arket.
One option for Great Plains would be to sell the naphtha stream to a conipany
having excess hydrodealkylation capacity. A nunber of such facilities exist,
and same are being re-comnissioned in light of the 1987 benzene market. Those
being mentioned for re-comiissioning include Standard Oil in Lima, Ohio, Dow
Chemical in Freeport, Texas, Sun Oil in Toledo, Ohio, Coastal Corporation in
Corpus Christi, Texas, and Crown Central in Houston, Texas. These units,
however, probably could not accept the mixed Great Plains naphtha unless
blended in small quantities. Toluene hydrodealkylation units are based on
either catalytic (UOP's Hydeal and Houdry's Detol processes) or thermal
processes (HRI's HDA and Gulf's THD processes) which would not accept an im-
pure stream like the Great Plains naphtha unless blended off to small con-
centrations. Suitable processes for such a stream are Houdry's Pyrotol or
Litol processes. Ethylene plant by-products are generally processed with
Pyrotol and coal tar products with Litol. Litol units are installed at
Polysar/Petrosar in Sarnia, Ontario and at Bethlehem Steel in Baltimore.
87
The other option would be to build a hydrodealkylation unit at the Beulah
facility and sell benzene in the merchant rmrket. Possible consumers would
include any of the nnny rmnufacturers of the aronatic chemicals listed ear-
lier.
Proameers
Although the production of BTX liquids from coke oven by-products was once an
irportant factor it is no longer significant (Figure 29). In 1981 there were
six producers of BTX from coke oven light oil but the 1985 survey by the
United States International Trade Comnission identified only two renmining,
Bethlehem Steel and USS Chemicals. Only USS Chemicals (now Aristech) is
believed to be in the business at this time. Conpetition from this source
should have no effect on the narketability of benzene from Great Plains.
,-,)
88
I. ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ - R7.&
VUA Efz .
JUA W. I^- f. m AK K'm.
J %vm.
Market Structure
The maxinum Great Plains output of 32 million pounds per year from the lec-
tisol naphtha stream and 24 million pounds per year from the tar oil stream
would anount to less than one percent of United States benzene production
(Figure 28) and should have no effect on market prices.
The need for octane enhancement to replace lead in gasoline should have a
positive effect on the benzene market for several years. The recent sharp
rise in benzene prices, however, is most likely not sustainable. For the long
term, benzene prices will be set at the margin by the costs of toluene
hydrodealkylation. If benzene prices stay high, more dealkylation units will
come onstream until the price drops far enough that some of them will once
again shut down. Based on historical relationships, that price is estimated
to be $1.15 per gallon at early 1987 oil prices.
89
7
-i e.,
Definitions and Specificatioms
Product ion
In the bulk of its ultimate markets, phenol suffers from cyclical dennd, as
illustrated in Table 43 and Figure 31.
90
TABLE 42
P1UL 81?UlrIVIlT
Source: Monsanto
91
TABLE 43
!UIiM wI v
PS U8 (N Ovin10.OICS
3,1
3.0 -
2.6l
27-
2.6
2.5
2.4-
2I3-
21.
2.0-
I A.
1 ,7
1 "-
1 e=
PHNOL PRODUCTON
92
A history of list prices for phenol is given in Figure 32. These prices are
on a freight equalized basis, that is, including freight, assuming average
transportation costs. Prices paid by large-volume consumers are somewhat
lower. Contacts with industry in February, 1987 suggested a current market
price in the range of $0.21 to $0.25 per pound. However, by late April, 1987,
prices had jumped to $0.30 per pound.
Comneirs
Phenolic resins consume about 40 percent of the phenol produced in the United
States. Industrial chemicals, drugs and caprolactam (a nylon precursor) ac-
count for the remainder of phenol consumption.
The ultimate markets for phenol are heavily dominated by durable products,
(Figure 33). Resins and adhesives derived from phenol are used in auto-
mobiles and housing, with adhesives accounting for about 50 percent of
phenolic resin usage.
Large regional markets for phenol are present on the Gulf Coast, East Coast,
West Coast and Micvest. If we assume that the naximum phenol production from
Great Plains would be about 35 million pounds per year, this would represent
less than 10 percent of Gulf Coast nameplate capacity. Thus there should be
no problem with finding a market provided specifications can be met.
The heterogeneity of the Great Plains crude phenol stream makes the reaction
of polycondensation with formaldehyde of little value as a means of utilizing
total phenols. Polycondensation of total phenols with formaldehyde yields
products that contain low-molecular weight conpounds and is therefore un-
suitable for the production of thermosetting resins, varnishes, etc.
Monatomic phenols which consist of phenol hornlogs and also contain naphthol
homologs and heterocyclic phenols are suitable for the production of varnishes
and surface-active agents.
The top five producers of phenolic resins are Borden Chemical, Georgia
Pacific, Monsanto, Owens-Corning Fiberglass, and Reichhold Chemicals.
Producers
Almost all current phenol production is synthetic phenol, and most of that is
derived from cumene. Natural phenol production from coke ovens accounts for
an insignificant percentage of current production. Some natural phenol is
derived from petroleum.
93
50.30-
$0.20
SO5.2I-c
1S67 197 7 -5 S A9 1 ~
YEAR
FIGURE 32
PHENOL PRICES
S"N, TAWKS, PRT. EauALD
PWROTECTIVEa COATING
PLOONING A PAVMN
1POYCARSONATES APPUMICE
UHTMO a own
PMWNL- TRANSOMTTO
CAMWOACTM PnoNYO- - . TM mao
ALYLFIEOs AKNT)AJIT
SUNACTANIS
NALOPOLS U"mmcrnus
WOOD a I.EATNE
PUSRATVE
IPWAuACuIcALS
(MINY ASPIRIN
FIGURE 33
ULTIMATE MARKETS FOR PHENOL
94
Very little phenol Is Inported. The largest United States producers of syn-
thetic phenol, their plant locations and capacities, are listed in Table 44.
Samr 900 million pounds of capacity was closed between 1981 and 1987, but
Aristecb has recently announced plans for expansion.
Most natural phenol originates from petroleum caustic wash streams. Phenols
are generated as coproducts during catalytic cracking of petroleum. The ef-
fluent stream of the cracker is washed with sodium hydroxide, primarily to
remove mircaptans and other organic sulfur conpounds. The caustic wash opera-
tion simultaneously extracts phenols and cresols as the sodium salts. Natural
phenol producers process the caustic wash streams to regenerate and recover
phenol, cresols, xylenols, and mixtures.
Table 45 lists United States producers of natural phenol and their capacities.
In conparison with Table 44, the total production of natural phenol is an in-
significant market factor.
Market Structure
All of the major phenol producers listed in Table 44 use most of their output
for captive production of materials such as phenolic resins, bisphenol A,
Caprolactam, salicyclic acid, 2,4-D, pentachlorophenol, etc. Most of them
also produce excess material for merchant sale.
The merchant phenol market has been subject to violent price swings, as evi-
dent in Figure 32. In order to protect both sidez against these swings, long-
term contracts between buyers and sellers may be used. Because of the captive
production situation only a small percentage of the total phenol market is ac-
cessible to independent producers. In spite of the small fraction of the
phenol market which is non-captive, the amount of phenol represented by this
fraction is large with respect to the potential production from Great Plains.
As seen in Figure 31, phenol has shown long-term growth interrupted by large
cyclic ups and downs. Phenol's primary end uses are in the manufacture of
durable goods and the housing and construction industry, which are strongly
sensitive to economic cycles. Because the traditional phenol markets are
technologically mature, future demand growth is expected to be nominal, prob-
ably little more than overall GNP growth. Phenolic resins are the oldest
class of plastic materials in comiurcial production, having been first intro-
duced in 1910.
Future phenol prices will be related to both the cost of feedstock and the
cost of manufacturing. A new cumene production process developed by Monsanto
95
-
&Vic( W
TABLE 44
TABLE 45
Capacity,
Company Location MMIb/yr Source
97
P!OSIM OIL
Dfimltion ad Speclflctlm
The synthetic rubber industry uses a wide variety of processing oils. There
are twr broad classes of rubber processing oils: aronmtic and naphthenic.
The aromatic oils are used nmstly in tire production and the naphthenics are
used in lubrication.
On any new material, compounding tests and factory trials would be required.
This procedure could take up to two years and cost $250,000 in the rubber
manufacturer's facility before it would be known if a material is acceptable.
Because each manufacturer establishes his own specifications some parts of
the process might have to be repeated with each client. There would have to
be a large financial incentive for the rubber corpanies to consider such a new
source.
Prodkict,ion
Rubber products shipments are highly dependent on the motor vehicle market.
Approximately 85 percent of its shipments go to passenger cars, trucks, and
buses. Other markets include aircraft, agricultural, industrial, rmtorcycle,
and bicycle uses. Demand for rubber processing oils fluctuates in direct
linkage with rubber production. Estimated current demand is about 68 million
gallons per year (4,400 barrels per day) of naphthenic type oils and
90 million gallons per year(5,800 barrels per day) of aromatic oils. Thus the
total Great Plains tar oil stream would represent a significant percentage of
the total market in this area.
Prices
Because they are sold to detailed specifications and are not fungible com-
modities, rubber processing oils have not fallen in price in direct proportion
to crude petroleum prices. Recent prices (dollars per gallon) are estimated
as follows:
Cmairs
The major consumers are tire manufacturers, who are located mstly in the Mid-
west and East. The largest single consumer is probably Goodyear, with plants
in Alabanma, Kansas, North Carolina, Oklahona, Tennessee and Texas.
98
ilket Out look
The rubber industry faces stable or declining demand for new vehicles and
tires.
The North Amrican tire industry is expected to show little or no growth be-
cause of increased imports of tires and longer tire life. The industry has
shifted to higher-value, longer-lasting radial tires. More than 20 older tire
plants have closed. Employment in the rubber tire industry dropped form
114,000 in 1977 to 66,500 in 1985.
However, demand for specialty rubbers has grown as markets have developed for
new automotive applications. Performance requirements in automotive and other
applications have forced the substitution of specialty rubbers for general-
purpose rubbers and rubbers have been increasingly alloyed with plastics to
form new materials. Growth areas include roofing and oil additives, plus new
products created from alloys of rubber and plastics.
Because rubber processing oils are derived from petroleum, their prices should
eventually be a function of world oil prices. A near-term decline in prices
should be expected.
TABLE 46
*Mininum percentage
99
TABLE 47
ASTM
Test
Limits Method
Appearance Dark colored oil--
Specific Gravity 0.985-1.008 D1298
Saybolt Viscosity 115-150 SUS D88
Volatile Matter 0.8 percent maxint D972
Neutralization No.
(Mg KOII/g 0i1) 1.5 maximium D664
Aniline Point, *C 29.4-51.7 Dell
Flash Point, OC 204.4 mininwin D92
Pour Point, OC +29.4 maximum D97
Refractive Index 1.065-1.074 D2159
Viscosity Gravity Constant 0.930-0.960 D2501
Copper and Manganese Nil
Asphaltenes 0.10 percent nuxinumi D893
Resins (Polar Aromiatics) 8.0-16.0 D2007
Aromiatics 64.0-80.0 D2007
Saturates 10.0-22.0 D2007
100
Detimtious, Specificatious
Tar and tar crudes are basically the miterials which come directly from coke
plants and are marketed in this form. There are few end-users for tar crudes
in their original form; therefore purchasers are nnly tar processors who
fractionate the material into end products. They will be interested in buying
raw tar only if they can make specification grade products from it.
Product ion
The production of crude coal tar In the United States began a long decline in
about 1965 (Figure 34). The data show a nmdest rebound In 1984. Unfor-
tunately the Energy Infornstion Admninistration, United States Department of
Energy, discontinued collecting data on coal tar after 1984. The United
States International Trade Comission began collecting data for the 1986 year,
but at the tinie of this writing, those data were not yet available.
Priem
There are no published prices for tar crudes, perhaps because of the
variability of the product.
Prices for grade RT-12 coal tar, a processed product, have been stable at
$1.05 to $1.25 per gallon over the last three or four years.
Consuinrs
Major purchasers of raw coal tar are distillers who separate the tar into
pitch plus creosote. At present, only the pitch fraction is in demand. The
creosote mrket is over-supplied. Purchasers of raw coal tar are Reilly Tar
and Chemical, Allied Chemical, and Koppers Conpany.
Producers
tunaelythe Admnisratin,
nery Inormtio nitd SttesDepatmet o
Locations EnerT,
clletingdat
of tar
of producers rad crudles are shmvn in Figure 35.194.
iscotined oncoaltarafte Te Uite
Basically, these
Statesa Intenatinal C %.alssion began colctn data.*'
for te 198 yea ,.'"
are metallurgical coke plants for the steel industry. One of the largest
single producers is Allied Chemical, which produces 80-90 million gallons per
year, or about 25 percent of the total rmrket.
Market Structure
Independent coal tar refiners provide part of the market for tar crude. Som
producers of tar crude, such as Allied, also process additional material ob-
tained fromn other producers.
Although a nunber of different chemicals were at one time extracted from coal
tar, that nuaer has steadily dNindled. Even when the industry was strong,
the "chemical" products accounted for only about 10 percent of the tar. The
remaining 85 percent (allowing for liquor and distillation losses) was com-
posed of the tar oils and pitch. Historically, the profitability of the
10 196 bo n.
36 The -A,
d se Un1o
800
700-
102
chemicals production was never high enough to pay for the total recovery
operations. Profitable operation depended on the sale of the bulk tar oils
and pitch. The oils could be blended to give creosotes and cut-back oils for
pitch.
Before 1960 there were a large numiber of coal tar distillers in the United
States. By 1980, they had been reduced to a handful, with Koppers, United
States Steel, and Allied Chemical accounting for more than 85 percent of total
production. Since 1980, the production of chemicals from coal tar has vir-
tually ceased. The United States Steel Industrial Chemicals Division, for ex-
ample, shut down its coal tar facilities completely from 1981-1983. When it
was reactivated again in 1984, the operation was greatly simplified. Although
benzene, xylene and toluene are still produced, everything in the light oil
fraction now is simply put into creosote, with the remainder going into
electrode pitch or else being burned for fuel.
The market for raw coal tar now depends mstly on the aluminum industry and
the demand for pitch. No barriers to entry in this market are known, if
material suitable for the market can be provided.
Market Outlook
The market outlook for crude coal tar features both declining supply and
declining demand. Supply is determined by the state of the domestic steel in-
dustry. All signs point to a continuing shrinkage of the industry, due to a
combination of a less steel-intensive econonm and conpetition from overseas.
Demnd is determined by the state of the aluminum industry, which faces strong
conmpetition from overseas. On balance, the steel industry's problems seem
greater than those of the aluminum industry. ,'his leads to a prediction that
coal tar supplies for pitch production will be somewhat short of demand and
prices should remain firm.
103
Because coal tars and pitches contain several hundred individual conponents,
it is not possible to create specifications based on chemical conposition.
Rather, market specifications are based mostly on physical properties. The
most comn specifications for pitch used as electrode binder are the specific
gravity, the softening point, a minimum C/H ratio, maxima for ash content,
moisture content, volatile matter, quinoline insolubles, toluene insolubles,
and viscosity. Table 48 lists some typical values. Coal tar pitch for other
uses is mostly sold to individual users' specifications. Pitch intended for
roofing and waterproofing is covered by ASTM D450-71, and hot-applied tar-
based pipeline enamels are covered by American Waterworks Association
specification C203-73.
The largest current market for coal tar pitch is as a binder for the
electrodes used in aluminum smelting. However, the specifications for
electrode binder pitch, including high C/H ratio, high coking value and high
beta-resin content, effectively rule out unmodified pitches from low tempera-
ture tars. Experiments have been tried with air blowing of lignite tar to
make specification binder pitch, but these were unsuccessful.
Product ion
The production of crude coal tar in the United States began a long decline in
about 1965 (Figure 34). The data show a modest rebound in 1984. Unfor-
tunately the Energy Information Acinistration, United States Department of
Energy, discontinued collecting data on coal tar after 1984. The United
States International Trade Commission began collecting data for the 1986 year,
but at the time of this wrltirg, those data were not yet available.
104
TABLE 48
Prebaked Continuous
* Anodes Anodes
Softening Point, 0 C
Cube-In-Air 105-115
Cube- In-Water 65-90
Specific Gravity, at 25/25 °C 1.28-1.31 1.25-1.29
Quinoline Insolubles, % 5-18 5-15
Toluene Insolubles, % 20-35 15-25
Ash, % (Max) 0.3 0.3
Moisture, % (Max) 0.1 0.1
Sulfur, % (Max) 0.5 0.5
Conradson Carbon (Min) 57 50
Prim
Figures 37 and 38 show the pricing history for two categories of coal tar
pitch. The prices for industrial liquid, Figure 37, appear to be close to the
overall average price calculated from United States International Trade Com-
mission data. Industry contacts indicate that prices have been fairly stable
at these levels for 3 or 4 years. However, long flat periods followed by
sharp changes, such as seen in Figure 38, indicate that the data are based on
list prices rather than actual transactions. Such data may be badly out of
date at any point in time. A rising price trend (Figure 38) in the face of
declining production indicates that production (availability) is driving
prices rather than vice versa. Pitch production is declining for reasons
unrelated to prices, with a resulting upward pressure on prices.
105
3.0-
05
FIGURE 36
PITCH OF TAR PRODUCTION
5S360
5340-
5320-
$300-
5260 V.
$240- INDUSMAL UQUID ~...
5200-
18c0 C
514.0
YEAR
FIGURE 37, 38
COAL TAR PITCH PRICES
106
Cosuamrs
The imjor outlet for coal tar pitch in the United States is the binder for
electrodes used in aluminum smelting. Older smelters use Soderberg furnaces
which incorporate continuously forming electrodes from a mixture of about
70 percent petroleum coke or pitch coke and 30 percent of a mdiun-hard coke
oven pitch. The paste is added to the top of the electrode well, and as it
slowly moves downward is first baked into a hard electrode and then consumed
in the electrolytic smelting process. Newer smelters use prebaked electrodes
requiring less pitch (18 percent) for binder.
Other minor uses for coal tar pitch include binder for electrodes in electric
arc steel furnaces (in aluminum smelters the carbon electrodes participate
chemically in the reduction process and are therefore consumed at much higher
rates than in steel furnaces), binder for briquettes, adhesive for membrane
roofs, feedstock for coke, impregnant for pitch-fiber pipes, binder for
foundry cores, sealant for dry batteries, and raw material for clay pigeons.
Roofing pitch is the second largest use after electrode binder pitch.
Producers
Market Structure
Coal tar pitch is produced and sold both by the primary coke oven operators
and by intermediate tar distillers who purchase crude coal tar and sell pitch
to the aluminum smelters and anode manufacturers. The intermediate tar dis-
tillers currently have a shortage of good pitch feedstock and would welcome
new sources.
The electrode pitch market is of course dependent upon the market for
aluminum. The United States is the world's largest consumer on both an ab-
solute and a per capita basis, but per capita consunption has been flat for
10 years (Table 51).
United States aluminum producers have not been faring well of late. After
maintaining almost flat primry aluminum smelting capacity of five million
tons per year from 1974 to 1984, primary aluminum capacity fell in the United
States to 4.4 million tons in 1985. Production of metal followed this trend
and was reduced to 3.5 from 4.1 million tons.
107
0
TABLE 49
108
FIGURE 39
ALUMINUM SMELTER LOCATIONS
FIGURE 40
COAL TAR PITCH PRODUCERS
109
K..A
TABLE 50
TABLE 51
110
IL
All of the major producers have revealed their intention to cut back prirmry
production to meet only their own demand or else to diversify into other busi-
ness areas offering higher return. Recent closures are noted in Table 49.
In contrast to the United States picture, overseas producers with either low-
cost electricity or government support continue to add to capacity. Expan-
sions or new facilities are under way in Argentina, Brazil, Canada, Mexico,
Venezuela, Norway, Iceland, Australia, Bahrain, Dubai and others. Low
electric power costs are the driving force for aluminum Industry relocations.
In Australia, the aluminum producers are obtaining new power contracts for
15 mills/kWh, in Brazil for 18 mills/kWh, and in Canada for less than
20 mills. On the other hand, United States producers outside the Pacific
Northwest may be subject to rates of 28-30 mills/kh or mre.
-- --
PAY 111 OOMMQNS
Coal tar and petroleum asphalt are both used as binders in road construction.
There is a great deal of confusion over terminology.
Various grades of road tars may be made either by the fractional distillation
of crude coal tar, or by blending different refined coal tars, or by blending
base pitch with a coal-tar derived flux oil.
Grades of tar have been defined ranging from RT-1 through RT-14. The most
widely used paving grade is RT-12.
Mobil has recently patented a process for making a road paving nmaterial by
mixing used tires, coal-tar pitch and fluid-catalytic-cracking bottoms.
lowever, the process is not comnercial.
Work with asphalt derived from shale oil has shown that the nitrogen compounds
112
%.J
in shale oil asphalt have superior resistance to nristure danmge and could
therefore be useful as "anti-strip" agents. These agents inprove the bond be-
tween the bitunmen and the aggregate in asphaltic concrete. It may be possible
that the nitrogen conpounds in the Great Plains tar oil could perform the same
function. This is only speculative, and no market evaluation was attenpted.
TABLE 52
Asphalt Road
Material Type: Cement Tar
Grade: AC-10 RT-12
C 85.8 92.2
H 9.7 5.2
N 0.6 1.5
0 0.5 1.0
S 2.8 0.6
C/H Atomic Ratio 0.74 1.49
Molecular Weight, (Number Average) 1,030 420
Aronmt ic Carbon 34 80
Naphthene Carbon 23 15
Paraffin Carbon 43 5
113
L ,,-. , L. '.',' . ... e. .. ..... -. -. ",','v .,." " . .". ' "" .2.'', .%""4. ""V " , ,',
TABLE 53
Original Material:
Viscosity
140 OF, Poises 1,057 133
275 OF, Centistokes 341 36
77 OF, (Initial), Megapoise 0.64 0.17
Penetration
77 OF (100g, 5S), 0.1 nrm 116 Too Soft
32 OF, (2 00g, 60s), 0.1 n 22 22
Ductility
77 OF, cm 100+ Too Soft
60 OF, cm 100+ 100+
Viscosity
140 OF, Poises 2,478 465,000
275 OF, cS 49594
114
Deflitms and Specifiteatime
Recent data on coal tar naphthalene production have not been published by the
International Trade Conmission due to the small number of companies reporting.
However, production declined steadily over the period 1968 to 1982, from 526
million pounds per year to 233 million pounds per year.
Production has declined for two reasons: a declining availability of coal tar
from the steel industry; and a declining demand for naphthalene to make
phthalic anhydride. The production of phthalic anhydride has been the largest
use for naphthalene, but o-xylene derived from petroleum has supplanted naph-
thalene as the preferred feedstock.
Pries
Although demand for crude naphthalene has been shrinking over the past several
years, this has been offset by shrinking availability, with the result that
prices appear to have held firm (Figure 41). Petroleum naphthalene (phthalic
anhydride grade) sells for about $0.08 per pound more than coal-tar-derived
material. These prices are from the Chemical Marketing Reporter for the years
shown.
There appears to be some doubt about the validity of their prices in recent
years due to the use of posted prices and the small nuner of suppliers in the
market. Direct contact with producers indicates that current prices for high
purity, refined naphthalene are around $0.31 per pound, while phthalic an-
hydride grades are $0.16 to $0.23 per pound. Coal-tar-derived material would
probably sell at the bottom end of this range.
115
~, "0
Naphthalene has a wide variety of uses, from insecticides to leather tanning
agents, but the majority of naphthalene produced is used in manufacturing
phthalic anhydride. Estimated uses of naphthalene in different markets are
shown in Table 54.
As noted above, the phthalic anhydride market has been usurped by o-xylene.
Naphthalene is one of the principal raw materials for the insecticide known
generically as carbaryl, and more comm~nly by the trade name Sevin. Union
Carbide is the United States producer of Sevin.
I 5.1
Naphthalene -based surfactants derived from naphthalene sulfonic acid are used
as superplasticizers in concrete formuilations made by a nunber of conpanies.
S0.24-
50.23-
50122
10.21
$0.20
50.19
50.17
SSCI. 13 -
$0.112 -
50.1 1-
sc.16 190-2 17 9 i
NAPHIAEN PRCE
1967 9 70R.9E, TAKS
19O/WO1RKS
116
Pro toers
Market Structure
The market for merchant naphthalene is thin because much of the production is
captively consumed. Only Allied and Koppers appear to be major suppliers on
the merchant market. Ashland has recently discontinued production but con-
tinues to market naphthalene. They could be a potential buyer for Great
Plains naphthalene if a high purity material is produced.
TABLE 54
Percent
Use Of Total
Phthalic Anhydride 59
Insecticides (Sevin) 20
2-Naphthol (Dyes, Pigments,
Intermediates) 8
Synthetic Tanning (Leather) 6
Moth Repellants 2
Surfactants 4
Miscel laneous 1
117
". "",..Z """ - . . "'. ."o" , . " , .. ., .° . "- . ". '. -- -"++"". + " + " . "" - """ + . . . -""""" , - - -
TABLE 55
Total 700+
118
..I
Various liquids can be used to control dust emissions during coal handling and
shipping. In the Powder River Federal Coal Region (southern Montana and
northeastern Wyoming), a heavy oil is used at several mines as a dust suppres-
sant. The oil is delivered to the mines by trucks, and is sprayed onto the
coal at the tipple. Other materials have also been tested as dust suppres-
sants, but the heavy oil is preferred because it adds approximately
150,000 BTUs per gallon of oil to the heating value of the coal. .4
It has been indicated that the amount of oil sprayed on the coal is from 1.5
to 4 gallons per ton. The mDst comrnly quoted figure Is 2 gallons of oil per .
ton of coal. The four coal mines known to have installed oiling systems
produce approximately 20 million tons per year. Thus, the demand for heavy "
oil dust suppressants at these four mines alone could be in excess of
2,600 barrels per day. For the entire region, approximately 115 million tons
per year is shipped out of the Powder River.
The use of heavy oil as a dust suppressant in other areas of the country is
not conmon. Unlike other regions, most of the coal produced in the Powder
River region is shipped long distances to markets. Powder River subbituminous
coal is also subject to more decrepitation and dusting problems than most
coals. The specifications for coal dust suppressants are primarily set by the
consuming utilities. The oil functions to control dust during handling and r
shipping, to inhibit moisture loss from or addition to the coal thereby
preventing freezing of the coal, to suppress spontaneous combustion, and to
prevent decrepitation during shipment. Little is known about the chemical and
physical characteristic of oils that contribute to good or poor performance.
Oils that have been tested and rejected include: Bunker C, No. 6 fuel oil,
and crude oil. It is unknown if Great Plains tar oil could meet performance
specifications. Odor would obviously be a problem.
Known specifications for the dust suppressant are given in Table 56. p.
It is likely that health concerns and odor problems would prevent the use of
tar oil in this application. In any event, the selling price is estimated to
be not appreciably higher than the price for residual fuel.
Drilling Md
p.
119
~ ~PP%
~f~d ? 'J . - p .- -..- '...* *p7*
TABLE 56
It has been suggested that methyl aryl ethers manufactured from coal liquids
would be a desirable anti-knock additive for gasoline.
Because phenols are present in coal liquids and are undesirable in fuels, and
because destroying the phenols by hydrotreating is expensive, it was proposed
to convert the phenols to methyl aryl ethers. Methyl aryl ethers are also
knows as anisoles. (Anisole is C 6H 5 OC11 3 ). They can be prepared by direct
reaction of methanol and phenol.
Compared with the alkyl ethers (e.g. methyl tert-butyl ether, MTBE), the aryl
ethers have higher boiling points and densities, and lower octane blending
values (Table 57).
The logic put forth for investigating the methyl aryl ethers was that, if coal
liquefaction and/or gasification becomes comnercially significant, far more
phenolics will be produced than can be absorbed by the combined demnd of all
chemical industries utilizing phenolics. That is certainly not the case with
respect to the Great Plains plant and the current outlook for coal conversion.
The phenols would have to be extracted first, before reacting with methanol to
make the ethers. At the point where phenol is extracted it becomes a saleable
product. There are nmny other products which can be rmde from phenols if it
is desired to extend the nmnufacturing process downstream. No special atten-
tion to methyl aryl ethers is warranted in this study.
120
,,--.'
Briquette Binder
Coal tars are used as briquette binders in various applications. One pos-
sibility in the Great Plains marketing region is the FC formcoke plant at
Kenmerer, Wyoming. This plant makes a metallurgical coke from non-
metallurgical grade coal via the FMC Formeoke process. In this process the
coal is carbonized, the tar is separated and processed to make a good binder,
and then the tar is mixed back with the char and formed into briquettes.
Insufficient pitch binder is obtained from the process itself, so FM buys ad-
ditional binder material. Their total binder pitch requirements are about
20,000 tons per year.
Inportant characteristics for this use are softening point (ring and ball),
coking yield (at least 50 percent), quinoline insolubles (20 percent maximn),
and nutual solubility with other binder coniponents.
Other
Many exanples can be found in the literature of other products which can be
made from coal-derived liquids. Notable among these are the many coal tar
.w bases which have not been discussed. Pyridine derivatives of all types can be
produced. Specialty solvents, such as 2,4,6-trimethyl pyridine were commr-
cially produced at one time. None of these uses which were examined seem to
provide a large enough market opportunity to justify significant development
efforts at this time.
TABLE 57
0
% Boiling Point, Density (20 C), Performance
0
P . Conpounds C g/ml Numbera
4121
TRANSPOfrATION ROUTES AND OPTIONS
The data in the figure indicate the potential Great Plains disadvantage. Long
rail distances would be required to reach a significant fraction of total U.S.
manufacturing capability. A 500 mile radius enconpasses only about two per-
cent of total United States manufacturing activity:
500 2.0
1,000 15.0
1,500 49.0
2,000 96.0
2,500 98.0
Distances by railroad and highway to cities of interest in the inrmedlate
region, and in the nation as a whole are given in Table 58.
RMICJAL PIPELINES
A 10-Inch Anrmo products pipeline runs from Plandan, North Dakota through Min- N,
nesota to Minneapolis/St. Paul. The line continues to Dubuque, Iowa where it
122 .,
0.905 .62 3-10 6'3 . .30 a,
0.44~FIUR 4.028.5 .1
MANUFACTland IN EAHSATE
SA ii
K TC En Aa M ANo
ITO nBA S nc a
2 Kaeb cCena Litle mer. Ra7
3 enx Ite'pov0f dCooc kMotea
Cooco 0
4 MACO 2 Wilias e onamers1 Muntanee
4
ott. 9Mdcn o 3 YO fExn aPtoCnd
ND 12 M
12p
WY 5 D
TABLE 58
Distance By Distance By
Railroad Highway
Regional
National
124
then splits into two directions. One 10-inch line connects to Chicago and
Detroit. The other, a 12-inch line, connects to Kansas City. Information olx
flows in this line was not available.
Cenex
Co0o0
Flow in the Continental pipeline averages 10,000 barrels per day from Billings
to Sinclair. Flow in the Medicine Bow pipeline averages 19,000 barrels per
day from Sinclair to Comnerce City. Flow in the Pioneer pipeline averages
30,000 barrels per day from Sinclair to Salt Lake City.
Dome Petroleum has a 12-inch propane line that originates in Ft. Saskatchewan,
Alberta and flows southeast through Saskatchewan, North Dakota, Minnesota, and
on to Ontario via Illinois, Indiana and Ohio. The flow nostly passes through
provinces and states in the Great Plains region, with small deliveries of
3,000 barrels per day in Saskatchewan and 7,000 barrels per day in Minnesota.
The flow into Saskatchewan averages 40,000 barrels per day while the flow out
of Minnesota averages 30,000 barrels per day.
Interprovincial
125
- & . bh *
.....-
at 10,000 barrels per day in the other. Both lines are six inches in
diameter. Direction of flow is north into Minnesota from Iowa.
Pet ro-C4mada
The six-inch Petro-Canada line moves products from just west of the
Alberta/Saskatchewan border into Saskatchewan and Manitoba. Average
deliveries to Manitoba are 10,700 barrels per day.
Williams
Wyco
TABLE 59
Fig- 6
ure # Direction BPD Size Capacity (BPD)
12%
126/
~ ~~A% jTi-(,'. %-
RAILIKMDS
A significant fact is that the Great Plains region is served by only a single
railroad, the Burlington Northern, with only a single route through that
region. Thus anyone using the railroad in this area becomes a "captive
shipper".
The Staggers Rail Act legislation, passed in 1980, partially deregulated the
railroads. Previously, the Interstate Commerce Conmission (ICC) assigned
routes and authorized rates. Sam irnrdiate results of the Staggers Rail Act
have been:
Railroads now have increased flexibility in setting rates. Rates can be in-
creased on a 20-day notice, and reduced on a 10-day notice. The ICC can ques-
tion a rate if it exceeds 180 percent of the revenues to variable cost ratio.
The existing Burlington Northern rail system in Central North Dakota connects
to the east with rail lines in Fargo, North Dakota and Minneapolis, Min-
nesota. To the west, connections are made in Terry, Billings, Helena and
Butte, Montana. Connections from Montana can be made to the West and Gulf
Coasts.
127
NCP CaainPcfc
SL SooLn
MAJO RALODSIRATPANSRGO
Plantt O
FIUR 45
OUTE FORGREA
MAJORRAILOAD PLANS POUT
N SL8
C&NW
Na NW.
The Burlington Northern provided a current quote for products transport based
on Rule 35. Their rate for Beulah, North Dakota to Minneapolis, Minnesota is
$3 per hundred-weight or about $10.50 per barrel. These rates would clearly
be uneconomical. BN was asked to supply an estimate of rates which could be
provided under long term contract. Although the contract rates they were
willing to suggest on a casual quote are likely to be somewhat different than
could be negotiated in an actual situation, these rates are probably within
20 percent of a realistic value. Estimated rates for shipment to key cities
are shown in Table 60. Using these rates as a basis, and applying the same
ton-mile rate as a function of distance, the costs for mving liquid products
to various major cities in the United States are given in Table 61.
These rates are for shipper-owned cars. Thus, total costs must include an
added arunt for car ownership or leasing. Ownership or leasing from third
parties is generally cheaper than using railroad-owned cars. In the latter
case, charges may be on the order of $0.60 per mile for a 100-ton car, or
0.6 cents per ton-mile.
Rates will also vary with the density of the product. The rates used in
Table 61 assume that 190,000 pounds can be shipped in a standard 23,000 gallon
tank car. If a light liquid is shipped, so that only 140,000 pounds can be
loaded per car, rates would be 20 percent higher.
TABLE 60
129
TABLE 61
Route Dollars
Destination Miles Railroads Per barrel
Railroad Key:
BN Burlington Northern
B&O Baltimore and Ohio
CP Canadian Pacific
CR Consolidated Rail
ICG Illinois Central Gulf
MP Missouri Pacific
UP Union Pacific
1.3
130
If the jLotal Great Plains liquid stream were shipped to a single destination,
the volume would be nmrginally large enough to qualify for unit train treat-
rent. A mininum of 60-80 cars at a tire to a single destination would be
required. With a unit train turnaround time of one week, this eans that an
average daily shipment of 4,000 to 5,000 barrels would be necessary.
Unit train costs are strongly influenced by whether more than one railroad is
involved. When crossing from one railroad system to another, the train rey be
stopped, the engines and caboose disconnected, and a new set of engines and
caboose hooked up to continue the journey.
Truck transport is not conpetitive with railroads in mving bulk products over
long distances. Truck transport offers an option for transporting liquids
over relatively short distances where pipelines or railroads either do not ex-
ist or are not appropriate. Trucks could possibly be used for delivery of
products to Minneapolis/St. Paul or Duluth for barge shipping down the Missis-
sippi or across the Great Lakes. Truck transport can be cost-conpetitive in
some situations because the only capital costs are for tractors and trailers,
whereas for rail transport capital expenditures are required for the track.
The costs for truck transport were calculated from infornmtion provided by two
trucking conpanies located in Minneapolis:
The naxirnvn truck size allowed in Minnesota is 80,000 pounds gross weight or
about 170 barrels net. In North Dakota, double bottoms are allowed, or
120,000 to 140,000 pounds gross weight. These nine-axle units can haul about
90,000 pounds of payload or about 250 barrels of heavy oil.
For shipments within North Dakota, where double trailer rigs can be used,
trucking costs could be competitive with rail rates, with both In the range
$0.01 per barrel per mile.
131
River transport of bulk liquid products is acconplished primarily by towboats
pushing rafts of barges. The towboats can range in size from less than
1,000 horsepower up to 10,500 horsepower. Larger towboat designs in the fu-
ture are unlikely due to limited channel depths and lock sizes. The average
power rating for most towboats on United States waterways is about
5,000 horsepower.
There has been little standardization in the sizes of barges, except that due
to the size of existing locks on the rivers. The size and number of barges
used depends on the size of the locks which will be traversed and the width
and depth of the river. A list of typical barge sizes and their capacity is
given below:
Capacity
Length (ft) Width (ft) Draft (ft) (Barrels)
175 26 9 7,000
195 35 9 10,000
290 54 9 23,000
The size, shape, and capacity of an integrated barge tow is greatly affected
by the physical dimensions of the waterway and the construction of the lock
systems. Figure 46 shows navigable rivers accessible to Great Plains
products, once transported to Minneapolis or Duluth.
Lock chaners of proper size are extremely inportant to the overall economics
of a barge operation. If the tow nust pass through small locks, then breakup
of the tows will be necessary. Breakup and reassembly of the barges, together
with tow loekage operations, can add substantial charges to the total
transportation costs. It is inportant that tows move smoothly in and out of
locks. Traffic surges and delays in and around locks can produce the same
types of problems as are encountered on highways at peak usage times.
The movement between Minneapolis and New Orleans using dedicated boats/barges,
totals 25-30 days round-trip, assuming one day at the origin for loading and
one day at the destination to unload. Movement to Houston or Corpus Christi
uses the Port Allen cut-off from Baton Rouge to Morgan City, Louisiana, and
then westward on the Intracoastal Waterway. The Houston destination adds
8.5 days to the round trip transit time, and Corpus Christi adds 13.5 days.
As with unit trains, operating costs make up a large percentage of the total
costs associated with a tow. Because of this, future barge rates are expected
to rise approximately parallel to the general rate of inflation. Many escala-
132
FIGURE 46
The barge industry for the most part is unregulated. Each operator can set
his own rate depending on his particular situation. For instance, if a back-
haul load is available for one operator and not another, the rates quoted may
be vastly different. Rates not only vary widely, but can change rapidly.
Contacts in the barge industry currently consider prices to be depressed and
expect this to continue until the overabundance of equipment on the rivers is
diminished in two to three years.
133
the Great Lakes Is possible from Minneapolis down the Mhississippi to just
above St. Louis, then up the Illinois River to Joliet where the Chicago ship
canal connects to the Great Lakes. Scrw lce problems can be avoided by spot-
ting with smaller barges fron Minneapolis to St. Louis, but this increases
costs significantly.
Major cities in the East are reached via the Ohio River system.
41
134'
BK PRICES
mum" PRICES
In order to carry out economic evaluations for the various product pos-
sibilities which exist, it was necessary to determine market prices for each
of the products.
Because of great changes in the prices for many products over the last two or
three years, there is considerable uncertainty with regard to the prices which
would exist at the time any by-products actually reach the market. Neverthe-
less, it was assumed that, in most cases, the most recent prices available
would be the mst valid for establishing an economic base case. Wherever pos-
sible, early 1987 prices were used.
Direct contacts were used as a check against prices in the CMR. If CPAR prices
were found to correspond approximately with prices obtained by direct contact,
then the OM prices were assumed to be valid and were used. If a significant
discrepancy showed up, then further effort was devoted to direct contacts in
order to assess actual market prices. An adjustmrent to the CTIR price was then
made on the basis of the best information available.
Even direct contacts may not be fruitful in cases where there are few transac-
tions taking place, and where products are purchased on long-term contracts or
on once-a-year tenders.
A major difficulty airises when products are sold in various grades, usually as
a function of purity, at significantly different pri levels. It is tenpt-
ing, but unrealistic, to use the highest prices reported. Price differences
between grades must be attributed to the cost of refining or upgrading the
product from one grade to another. For the purposes of a first-stage economic
analysis, it should be assumed that these costs equal the price differences.
Although the prices used in this analysis are conservative in the above
aspect, they are undoubtedly optimistic in many cases sinply because the
processes and costs required to upgrade the Great Plains liquids to a par-
135
.~ .Y - A V.,
ft.
In sumnary this study uses the rmst current (early 1987) price information
available to construct an economic base case for each product slate which is
of interest. These prices are usually for the lowest-value grade found in
conmerce. Although this assunption seems safely conservative, It must be em-
phasized that it may be necessary to accept even lower prices until product
performance has been established.
TRANSPORTATION
For products which could be sold in different parts of the country, transpor-
tation costs will ultimately define the imrket locations in which the Great
Plains products will be rmst conpetitive. One approach to the market analysis
would have been to siaply conpute the cost of transportation to the nearest
potential buyer. However, there may be any reasons why that particular buyer
would not end up purchasing all, or even any, of the Great Plains products.
An average transportation cost to a region with potential demand several times
the Great Plains output would be a mere conservative assunption.
NK1MX PRICES
Subtracting transportation costs from market prices yields the netback value
of products at the Great Plains plant gate. Calculated netback values used in
the economic analysis are listed in Table 62.
136
:..-:
::- .:.- :'--...
. . . -- . : .. .. _-
liliIiil iii~ lllill
lil. ... .. ........ :.: : 1,. ..
; ".:.: :..-.....
"-"""'... "'"
.. ...... ,.,,
"t
II-v- -% o~
TABLE 62
Benzene 0.157
Carbon Black Feedstock 0.029
Cresols, Cresylic Acid,
Refined Cresylics 0.383
o-Cresol 0.503
m,p-Cresol 0.551
Creosote 0.090
Gasoline 0.081
Lignite Tar 0.108
Methane 0.343
Naphtha lene 0.143
Phenol 0.213
P itch 0.108
Raffinate 0.060
Rubber Processing Oil 0.053
Solvent Oil 0.108
Toluene 0.125
Xylene 0.160
Xylenols 0.503
61 -
.,XVt -
137
PIEXZSSIM OPTIONS
RFINERY FEED3I7X
The Great Plains tar oil stream would amount to only about five percent of the
Unicracker's capacity, and thus could possibly be blended into the feedstream.
Fuel gem
C Lighte
Light
naphtha'h
Heavy
naphtha S
Tbne or
7,UR 470.
UNICRACKING PROCESS ,
13ed
138
.- ~•.. .'/'
DISTIIUATICIN
Coal tar distillation was once a widespread industry in the United States,
producing a wide spectrum of products. Today it has shrunk to the point that
the few refineries left operating are for the most part only splitting the tar
to make a creosote product and a pitch product. A multiproduct tar oil refin-
ing facility at the Great Plains plant might resenile the older operations at
the coal tar refineries.
The warning that low tenperature tars are entirely different materials than
coke oven tars applies to the basic process of distillation as well as to any
other processing unit. Established processing techniques for coke oven tars
may not be applicable to the Great Plains materials. There are no large tar
distilleries in the United States operating on a similar feedstream, although
there are installations in Europe.
The laboratory results indicate that to distill material in the 260 to 300 OC
range, vacuum distillation would be required to avoid smoking. It might be
just barely possible to fractionate off the cresylic acids before this hap-
pens.
It is not clear what the effect of smoking would be on distillation. The ac-
tual corposition of the bottoms does not appear to change significantly, at
least in a short period of time.
Because of the instability problem, a tar oil distillation system would have
139
0
w
z
U z
zz
40 ~doe
0C
'Tr
uw
00
z4
La
00
IC.
1401
The topped tar from the base of the first column is heated in a separate heat-
ing coil in the furnace and injected Into the pitch flash chamber that, like
the final fractionating column, is maintained under a vacuum of 100 rrm Hg.
The residual oil vapors separated from the pitch are divided into a heavy wash
oil, and a light and heavy anthracene oil in the vacuum column.
The detail of the preceding design would not apply directly to the Great
Plains tar oil because of its much lower content of high boiling material.
The high content of tar acids found in the Great Plains tar oil stream may af-
fect distillation econoics because of their corrosive effect. In most tar
distillation systems, the crude tar is doped with a small amount of aqueous
alkali to neutralize aninnium salts and thus prevent corrosion. If this is
not effective, more expensive materials of construction would have to be used
to avoid corrosion problems.
PITCH
The coke yield from coal tar pitch has been increased by adding an air blowing
or catalytic oxidation step before coking. If an analogous process could be
devised for low temperature lignite tar without increasing the quinoline in-
solubles, perhaps a suitable binder could be produced. Domtar Inc. has
reported (1984) success with a new filtration process for removing quinoline
insolubles. Quinoline insolubles consist of various resins (true QI) plus
particles of dirt, coke, crystals, etc. which agglomerate to form lumps in the
pitch. These lumps are detrimental to the flow and irrpregnating properties of
pitch when mixed with coke to form electrode paste. It is conceivable that
the Domtar proc-ss could be coupled to a pitch rodification step.
Pitch once was stored in solid form at the tar distillery in open bays, from
which it was removed by small explosive charges, and then loaded by mechanical
shovel. Now, pitch is stored in tanks heated by steam or circulating hot-oil
coils and transported in liquid form in insulated rail or road tankers. When
transport as a hot liquid is not feasible because of distance or quantity or
need for long-term storage, the pitch is converted into a dust-free particu-
late form (short rods termed pencils, pastilles, or flakes).
Some plants employ cooled-belt flakers. Molten pitch flows from a tank over a
weir to give a flat thin sheet on a flexible steel belt, which is cooled from
below by water sprays. At the end of the belt, the solid pitch is broken up
by rotating tines.
141
tained. The stream of pitch solidifies into solid rods about 10-20 an thick
which break up into short lengths as they are forced around a bend in the
tube.
With the Lurgi gasifier tar oils, it will be necessary to renDve the tar acids
before naphthalene can be crystallized.
WISILIC ACID
Because phenol, the cresols and the xylenols all boll over a narrow tenlpera-
ture range, a crude tar acid cut can be obtained from the tar oil by distilla-
tion. This cut will also contain neutral oils and tar bases. Because these
other materials boil in the same range, the tar acids cannot be purified by
distillation. Three different methods of separation which have been practiced
eomnrcially are described in the following.
Caustic Extraction
The tar acids can be separated from the neutral oil and tar bases by first ex-
tracting the acids with caustic, then "springing" them from the caustic by
neutralization with carbon dioxide.
Refined cresylic acid rmy then be produced by sieple distillation. Phenol and
o-cresol ,nuy be separated relatively easily, but the other cresol and xylenol
iomers have boiling points too close together to separate easily by distilla-
tion alone.
In n typical pr,),odtir-, t.ir oils are ,nix.d with a slight excess of 10% aqueous
caustic soda in stirred vessls or continuous extraction columns. The extrac-
tion i,§ ,arri,,d out at i:vbiint teiperature or just above the crystallizing
t42
point of the oil. It is best carried out in two stages, using 90 percent of
the alkali to contact the fresh oil and the remainder to conplete the removal
of the phenols. The crude phenate or cresylate solution is separated, and
contains some neutral and basic naterial which must be removed by extracting
with phenol-free light oil and/or treating with live steam.
In the next stage in the recovery and refining of tar acids, water and pitch
are removed from the crude tar acids in a continuous-vacuum still. The
aqueous phenol overhead distillate is recycled, the stream of once-run tar
acids is refined, and the phenolic pitch bottoms are burned.
The once-run tar acids are fractionated in three continuous-vacuum stills con-
taining 40-50 bubble trays and operating at reflux ratios between 15 and 20:1.
The overhead product from the first column is 90-95% phenol; from the second,
90% o-cresol; and from the third, a 40/60 m,p-cresol mixture. Further frac-
tionation is required to give the pure products.
At other refineries, only two continuous stills in series are used, but these
are of 80-100 plate efficiency and yield pure grades of phenol and o-cresol
and a base mixture of cresols, xylenols, and higher boiling tar acids. The
latter are fractionated batch-wise to various salable grades of cresylic
acids.
A flow sheet of a typical tar acid extraction and refining plant according to
the above description is shown in Figure 49.
Phenoraff in Extractlon
143
4L4
I-
144U
is is i ~
.IGHIT MAPSIINA C0 PHNO FEWh ETON Von ar
EfiLTTAM
Cra N PtENISOL
AaWEOUS PEI0AIEUTO
EXTRACT WAS"
FIGURE 50
PHENORAFFIN EXTRACTION PROCESS
Light naphtha and neutral oils are separated by distillation, the light naph-
tha being returned to the extractor.
Methanol/Hexane ExtractionV
This sanm system was used in a pilot plant extraction facility for the lignite
tars produced by the Parry carbonizer which was built at Rockdale, Texas. The
sauim approach was planned to be used for the proposed low-tentperature tar
refinery at Cresap, West Virginia. It has also been used by Merichem, the
largest U~nitedl States producer of cresylie ntr'ids.
145
Distillation Purification
After extraction by any of the above methods, the phenols stream can be
separated into phenol and individual cresol isomers and xylenols. A typical
distillation scheme is shown in Figure 51.
The extracted phenols are fractionated under vacuum batchwise in one or two
columns, if the capacity of the plant is small, or continuously in a series of
coluns, if the capacity of the plant is large.
In the first colun, phenol and o-cresol are distilled overhead together with
the low-boilers. This overhead product is fractionated further in a second
column. The second colunn overhead product consists of aqueous low-boilers,
the side-stream fraction is pure phenol, and the bottoms product is an
o-cresol fraction which is supplied to an intermediate storage tank. The
first colufn bottoms product consisting of m- and p-cresol and xylenol is fed
to a second intermediate tank. In a third column, o-cresol, m- and p-cresol
and xylenols are alternately treated batchwise, depending on the specification
of the required product.
Modern cresylic acid processors have developed their own proprietary tech-
niques both for producing isomers other than o-cresol, and for remving cer-
tain impurities to meet specific consumer needs. This processing technology
is neither public knowledge nor offered for license. It would be difficult %
for a new producer to obtain enough processing knowledge-to be able to supply%-
specification grade products to all consumers on startup.
LOW SOILERS
_O-CAROL
"uot c soto
O-CESO"
REFINED
FEEDPHENoOL CONTINOUG YL ML
MP-CftSOL r
PHNENOL, O.- RMSO COLUMN "INTEMEIATE RlUNS
m ~O-C
E SOL
-
MYL.ENOL.
~RE SIOUIE
MW-CBffSft
FIGURE 51
FRACTIONATION OF PHENOLS
146
.I
*L~j N%.N~ . .. d5. I*( .. '-. .%
Great Plains may have a feedstock cost advantage over other natural cresylic
acid producers. In going from cresylic acid to pure cresols, however, Great
Plains would have no advantage, other than econonm of scale, over any other
producer. Thus, if an intermediate marketing arrangement could be worked out
with a producer or producers having existing surplus refining capacity, this
would result in the best overall production economics. New capital investment
would not be required. Merichem in Houston may have enough capacity to
process all the Great Plains material by rearranging feedstocks and flows in
their plant.
BENZEE
Sulfolane Extraction
Two basically different process routes are available to recover benzene from
the naphtha stream. The first is solvent extraction. The process chosen for
evaluation is the Sulfolane process offered by UOP, Inc. A schematic flow
sheet is given in Figure 52.
Fresh feed enters the extractor and flows upward, counter-current to a stream
of lean solvent. As the feed flows through the extractor, aromatics are
selectively dissolved In the solvent, and raffinate of very low aromatics con-
tent is withdrawn from the top of the extractor.
Rich solvent from the extractor enters the extractive stripper, in which par-
tial stripping of hydrocarbon from the rich solvent takes place. The non-
aromatic components having volatilities higher than that of benzene are essen-
tially completely stripped from the solvent and removed in the overhead
stream. This stream is returned to the extractor as reflux for recovery of
aromat ics.
The bottoms stream from the extractive stripper consists of solvent and
aromatic conponents, substantially free of non-aromatics. It enters the
recovery column, in which the aromatic product is separated from the solvent
stream. Because of the large difference in boiling point between sulfolane
and the heaviest desired aromatic product, this separation is acconfplished
readily. Loan solvent from the column bottom is returned to the extractor.
Raffinate from the extractor is contacted with water to remnve dissolved sul-
folane, and the rich water is returned to the extract recovery column as
stripping steam generated via exchange with the hot circulating solvent in the
water stripper reboiler. Dissolved sulfolane accunulates in the water strip-
per bottom and is punfped buck to the recovery column.
147
000
0 0
WOF
It-
LPx
148
The UOP LT Unibon process is a two stage hydrotreating process employing
suitable catalysts to allcPN the selective hydrogenation of a wide range of di-
olefins, rnono-olefins, sulfur and nitrogen contaminants, without the formation
of troublesome gum, polymer and coke on heat exchangers, heater tubes, and
catalyst beds. Hydrocracking of feed to light ends is minimal and is confined
to those fragments created by the fracturing of the sulfur and nitrogen con-
taining compounds.
Two LT Unibon unita have been built which operate on coke oven light oils.
The Litol process was developed for the purification of coke oven light oils.
Benzene yield is significantly greater than benzene present in feed because of
dealkylation of heavier aromatics to benzene, and dehydrogenation of naph-
thenes.
BEEINE + PHENOL
Figure 55 illustrates the basic flow scheme of the Dynaphen Process. The
alkylphenolic feed to the process is mixed with hydrogen and sent to the
Dynaphen preheater and reactor. The reactor effluent is cooled by exchange
with reactor feed (and other process streams) for heat recovery, and is
separated into vapor- and liquid-phase components. Some light gas is produced
in this process, mostly methane and some carbon monoxide.
The liquid reactor effluent may be sent through a stabilizer and a clay tower
before distillation. Benzene and phenol are recovered in two series-connected
149
Rerun Reactor Healer Reactor Separator, SI!.Rper
Column
C. TOC,
NAC C.RA
PROCSSIN
n STNA
4-7A PCAR-OCEElactofIi
11101nK TOLUEN
Ce RCYCL GASCv RODUT PRDU.
FIGURE 54
LITOL HYDRODEALKYLATION PROCESS
150
distillation towers. Unconverted aikylphenols are recycled to the Dynaphen
reactor. Dehydroxylation by-products, prinmrily toluene and xylene, are also
recycled, eventually producing benzene. Thus, the net products of the
Dynaphen system are benzene and phenol.
__2_TO__FUEL___GAS__BENZENE
PLANT
fOULA
N.XILPHEMOLS
FEED
EEFFLUENT
FE
DYKAHENDNAPHNEN PROCESS
T 151NO
PH"SSIfG HOOtMaICS
Capital and operating cost data from available sources were updated to 1986
costs and prices. A complete economic analysis was then carried out for
several different product slates, process configurations, and capital cost es-
timates. It must be emphasized that the available cost data are far from
investment-grade. The data are from preliminary feasibility studies which
were not based on plants which had actually been built and operated in the
recent past.
WOONGMIC PARANUE'
Ground rules for performing the economic runs included the following:
6. Operating and capital costs, and product prices are assuned to esca-
late according to the Data Resources Inc. United States GNP deflator
forecast.
10. At the time of beginning this study, the North Dakota tax structure
allmved federal taxes to be deductible. This is likely to change in
the future, but for this study it was necessary to assume no change.
North Dakota's tax structure contains some complex provisions for special
taxes on coal convr-rsion facilities. The "coal conversion facilities
privilege tax" is imposed on the operator of a coal conversion facility for
the privilege of producing electricity or other products from coal conversion
plants. The coal conversion tax is in lieu of property taxes on the plant it-
self. For coal gasification plants, the tax amounts to 15 cents per
1,000 cubic feet of gas produced for sale, or else 2.5 percent of gross
receipts, whichever is greater. The definition of gross receipts excludes any
financial assistance from the federal govcrnment.
152
A five-year exenption fron the tax may be allowed for any facilities con-
structed after July 1, 1985. This exel)tion is discretionary, and is granted
in consideration of new jobs created by the facility. Privilege tax revenues
are distributed 65 percent to the state and 35 percent to the county. The
county may grant or deny a five-year exeryption to their own portion of the
tax. If an exemption is granted by the county the facility owner can then
apply to the state for a similar exenption.
In this analysis, it was assumed that the new capital investment required for
by-products upgrading would be a free-standing project. It would buy already-
converted liquids from Great Plains and upgrade them for sale. As such, it
would not be a coal conversion plant and would not be subject to the coal con-
version privilege tax. Increased revenues flowing to the Great Plains plant
under this arrangement might be subject to the 2.5 percent gross receipts tax.
However, if the gas were being sold at current conditions, the rate of
15 cents per thousand cubic feet on the gas product would be much greater than
2.5 percent of total revenues. Therefore, there would be effectively no addi-
tional privilege tax to be paid as a result of added by-product revenues.
The other major unknown in each case, besides the transfer cost for the raw
by-product streams, is the capital cost for the upgrading facilities. There
are no reliable data available. No coal tar refining plants have been built
for many years, and no up-to-date cost estimates were found. A numter of the
processes which might be used have never been demon:strated on a similar
feedstock, and/or have not been built in the size range which would be neces-
sary. This places an extrenely high neasure of uncertainty on the capital
cost estimates. To partially account for this uncertainty, each cast was run
a second time, with the capital cost arbitrarily increased by 100 percent. It
should be noted that it is possible that actual costs wolId be less than the
base case. Verbal cmniiunication with ANG personnel ind ioat es that ti,h 'ap itatl
cost for a cresylic acids process coti ld be -rnt
-0 less than the I ) P;vs,
1II-)
.53
The first case analyzed was based on work carried by El Paso Products Company
for a comnercial coal gasification project in New Mexico. This was a paper
study only, the plant was never built. The El Paso by-products flow sheet is
shown in Figure 56. It is a total utilization scheme, converting all the liq-
uid by-product schemes to saleable products. Flow rates have been adjusted to
correspond to the quantities produced at the Great Plains plant. The product
slate resulting from this configuration is given in
Table 63. Prices are early 1987 prices. r
The El Paso cost data are considered to be especially applicable because the
plant was based on Lurgi gasifiers running on New Mexico subbituminous coal.
The liquid by-products from such a facility would more nearly resemble the
Great Plains lignite tar liquids than would liquids from coke oven tars (the
liquids for which most tar refining facilities have been designed). %
Results of the economic analysis are given in Figure 57. Discounted cash flow
rate of return varied from 14.3 percent at a liquids transfer cost of
$1.00 per million BTU to 2.6 percent at a transfer cost of $3.00 per million
BTU. Increasing the capital investment by 100 percent dropped the rate of
return by over seven percent.
Instead of the cryogenic separation it was assumed that hydrogen would be ob-
taimed over-the-fence fron a pressure-swing adsorption unit located at the
gasification plant (Figure 58). k menufactured hydrogen cost of $1.70 per
thousand cubic feet was provided by ANG Coal Gasification Company. This
figurf is based on a value of $3.00 per million BTU for the synthesis gas, and
return of the carbon monoxide to the process. The product slate, capital in-
vestmTnt, and operating costs for this case are given in Tables 66, 67 and 68,
respl ct iv,' I y.
Results of tho r'conomf. ;inalysis are plotted in Figure 59. The rate of return
wa' irnprovtd consid'rnbly, with a mnxirrun return of 20.2 percent for a liquids
transfer cost of $1.00 per million BTU, dropping to 10.7 percent at $3 per
million B111. Doubling tht capital cost had about the same effect as before.
154
"
",,"
.. ,,r
" '.. ",,"
,-"" , ° '"+.,',,, "."
-" ","
-- t"
" .'..
",. .. ' '. '-." ,'- .' - ,.. - ' j . J' " '-.' . ," " "-"". - ". j ,q. *. . " .,,"
WATER A OILI 7 __
ELARTO
B1PODCT
PASO SCHEM
(ADJUSTED~~~~
FOTRATPANSROS
320
PIT
4RC 8
PICC
20DE EL ICHA
-JTSLSYGS6. I0L N ULII W
owTRAI$ PTHCRBNBAKP.9
.. k 15I IPR~ HEO 0
=VPEO 7 VOCR4LCAISI
UE
ELPS0YRDCSSHM
35
25230
20ISTANFR-U~ SMT
FIUE0
ELPSOCS
(TTLPRD.S CEE
is-5
TABLE 63
K
BLO U
M EL AID CAME
T44LI b4
Ig- 6. (010f
I *' e .00. WhifD
NO-s I-tumm, .n I I flf
* . -q ~ oft
1,~ .~~*a94 ,,
M.- S~II~'n
TABLE 65
COM FR ELhD
iOMMIN . CAW
(1986 Dollars Per Year)
EL ASiBPROUTSSCEM
1LN2FR01
0 T "gets-4
EL PASO CASSE2
rv@ADJIa O GRT hAN O
N W ~ s f okw I
PQS NVIA
a S~ j~~ d~2~:..~:& .
-- ,W U" 'f R 'E "W.NJ "
TABLE 66
TABLE 67
I .)p. ."~
"%"
TABLE 68
The product slate, capital investment, and operating costs for this case are
given In Tables 69, 70 and 71, respectively. Results of the economic analysis
are graphed in Figure 61. The maximxun discounted cash flow rate of return
dropped sharply, to 10.8 percent. This result suggests that the benzene
product itream is of major irnportanep to the economics of by-product refining.
It had been assumd that the tar acids could be the moat valuabl, constituents
in the by-products. Becaune the Great Plains plant would have the option of
continuing t) burn any of the liquid by-products instead of attempting to
upgrade them, the El Paso flow schenw was modified to process only the tar
tcids. 4ll other liquids were returned to plant fut.l. A co-product of the
phenols extraction pro.ess would be an aronatic raffinate strewn which could
be sold for rr than plant fuel value (Figure 62).
The product slate, capital investmnt, and operating coqts for this (ase are
given in Table 72, 73 and 74 respectively. The re-sults of the economic
analysii are shown in Figure 63. The results were not encouraging, with a
nruxinmaia rate of return of 12.8 percent at a liqui'ta transfer (oat of $1.00 per
million BiIJ, and only 5.0 perent for a liquids transfer c-ost of $3.00 per
million B'). Doubling the ostifmuted plant vost dropped the rate of return to
zero st a Iiquild trantsfr ('ost of $3.00 per million IT.
- 1 (W. CMI
r %jet) Ify the f low oho.wnF. F'rther, and v I aintnat t the .ooqt of tar tol 114.ti-
Sati on, it vano viis teies i ed in whic i al) the'- trutlv: ph.'no I it re',v Wa%
pIro'essed. Al ither itreanw ,ont tinuetl I )4e t a Ii ed iq plant fuel
(Fiur. 4 .
Theo pluvt 'pi tta i nviostepnt , Find topCritting itunl-e for thaso f-ocs.- tire
flt,
giv et in Tsitol,. N,5, 71i atnd 77, rptpoectav,.ly. Resultq of the ,cwova ni" si€n lyot 4
to r,- shown ir FtVI lir,. bi . Net u r or t I nvo s trvu'nt wa , favorable- than for the.
tro-viou% ,'.,., in whic.h phenols were nttroicted friwn t))th the crude, phenol
ntr.atn sndi the tar oil 9 trewn. The' rvurmr i i j it-,iurit.d co.a h fl.m rit#, (if
retUrn w II .11pi nrt for a I iq ris t rtinifr -()4t of $1 .000 per tll II Itfi l1,
fk*a'reat Ing t,) 4.7 perceo t ,1 $3.00 p.r tua I ' in Hr . Increa. ing the. tpi . tal
coqt by 100 percent re,qilt,.d irt a negative rat., -it return when usang the
higifi'v t liqluift- trI nsfo-r t'9 t. -
.%
*5,
*5
Ii~ I
* . . . .
NO-YROEAEAAO 1WAR
ta C6 A IdLCAFID3
0, I NloW3 of p6 6Po4
SID'
0C ~ 2~' 3.
PRGM IMN01-11MRGMA
SLAE EL P'ASO CASK
TABLE 70
Distillation 2,776,000
Residual Oil and pitch 7,012,000
Tar Acid Processing 16,369,000
Offsites a 50%1,3,0
Subtotal 39,718,000
163
A.
TABLE 71
164
PLOW LUO"iWas TO PLSANTFUEL 62.8 a
FIIRELI
02CAPW 4s
IIAAO .
AE
S.*A ION
CREIVCTA
ACD CIDM
AM
TANO NL 2UI.)
IhINSIL
TABLE 72
TABLE 73
Deihydrat i (m 352,000
Di1st illationi 2.776,000
Rib-%idui Oil and piteh 7,012,000
Tiar keld Proves~Ang 22,424,000
Phenol Fratctionatio 2130,0
Stahltale >2.296.000OJ
Ai
TABLE 74
40I
POCTISOI. NAPHTHA SO NANN TO PLANT F~L
OGSIIR9
R 64"TN
~~IG
TANA
E3TA5 IL 2
NETA G0FCA
PIC
TA CD a
NE PHNL9
20T PTHN
TA A 3PHNO 4.8
CRSTILLC ACIDOL
SCHEM
PHEN(S ONY SCEEI ONLY)
36168
TABLE 75
TABLE 76
ItJ.:
TA&Lt - 7
170
MO o %oIh Ffi t 490 1 'ad If I I' at I-W~ 440."1 41 -a
, 1'111 J to II.. of
.9.. ' """.
fIg1 V 1'i 46 is 'F1111 I~ IY
*1t - **I a* ft* FI ~. t pas., 41-" av V. .1 t IHV~9 I* .fo t rot 114-01
8h. , 4~*
qsr Iph rt' 01 l t Olt.. 'M '1011* i
us fe'ytam 1oh, 41r .
-. 1111vtV *.-al 1- % .4~4 '140fy ItI.-oo- ! lot iof It%- iti p t o , i, r too
, *I f 'I 1 1 " 1 , , ~ fl I
I 4gYjvipoi-foi )f , i#
19, *'jt
a i 'at
to -t i priOi 4"ofi In t he Grad~y M , -ame -ind I t#
Pol%, -no roc.t tt'IIs t he F I Psc vrmae, andI suggpo -
,in +-.rihly rrwuire det qi I in
t i wim 'f h.
ItI *'j~ewnitl t - r-, of -- ino ide roil) I y mpwro- '.ngi ne. r I ng dies I gCh efftort . Fur
t ho.r vwupe rI %tin re.-eeutc 1t1hat t1he nojor di mgrepancy I q I n the *4t Inuted i'oat of
th.. t .4r o i 'd -- %Itrsat li lint . The Grady 'ii uiu. u.se#s ft vc ust it, 4-xt reet In flpro)-
"e..kj r. aoie rest the' 1,.1 P~oe%.a case in bma.'aI 'n Lurgi '% Phenoraff in sol vent ex -
t ut in pr 10 41toOl. r,) i I I i t rate the #-ffo-1*'if this unit tn the eecnzn, the
(Jrady iAM; aaeta was ro-runi by subst itutI ig El Paso's coat for the tar acid ex -
trittt ion unit in plavo. of (ir.'iy 's cost est imate.
The priodut 'ilate, capital coat and operating coat for this case are given in
Tabieps 81, 82 and 83, respectively. Figure 68 shows the results of the
ecoorltifc analysiis. Ths- miaximn return on investment was calculated to be
15.4 percent, very sirmiuur to the 14.3 percent obtained in the El Paso case.
This return drops to 7.8 perce~nt at a $3.00 per maillion B~lJ transfer cost for
the liquids. The high v &Itje declines by about seven percent if the capital
cost for the facility is douaied.
-. The results of thii case clearly illustrate the crucial importance of a reli-
able cost estimte for the tar acids extraction unit. While the Lurgi es-
tiiute provided to the El Paso project riuy have been reasonably valid at that
tine, no Phenoraffin units have been built since 1963. There rmy be manny
questions about such old cost estimates being accurate, especially in today's
envir(mnental setting. The Grady estimaite is not convincing in its depth of
detail. No reliable cost estimte is available.
As was done with the El Paso scheme~, the Grady/ANG flow sheet was rearranged
to elfiminate the hydrotreating step (Figure 69). The product slate, capital
costs and operating costs are given in Tables 84, 85 and 86, respectively.
The economic results are shown in Figure 70. The mximum rate of return (at a
liquids transfer cost of $1.00 per million BTU) increases slightly to
32.0 percent frtxn 28.9 percent. This Is In contrast to the El Paso case,
where the return dropped sharply when the hydrogenation step was eliminated.
171
ai sil cdllo,"tlot PU2427
GRADY/ANG
SCEM ~ ~
WiHHDOTET pa
IUR 66
35f
30m7 ILNt
F tot@Olt2To
20Iof0a o
0 MA6
0NA 111,11311
TheID ToAftE PRICEN OIL 1A.MU
FIGUEI6
RAYAGRADY/ANHGYDOTEAIN
25172
TABLE 78
TABLE 79
173
TABLE 80
1A
5,
q
174
A -!
TABLE 81
TABLE 82
35-
30-
25-7
20-
0
10
15
10
0 FIGURE 684
176
650RA OIL 106 PITCU.
FIGURE 6INTETN9VO
TANOI
ool 25DK I
AT PEO K4CT
OTE156r
0 44665 05
30-
.P%
15 -B'B J ' % % ~
TABLE 84
TABLE 85
178
TABL.E 86
179
iniL raw n-umm
The previous oase was noditled by again substituting EL Paso's estinmte of the
coOt for the tar acid extraction unit. The product slate, capital cost and
operating coat are given in Tables 87, 86 and 89, respectively.
Figure 71 illustrates the economic results. The maximum discounted cash flow
rate of return is 17.4 percent compared to the previously obtained value of
16.4 percent for the comparable hydrotreated case.
The first case involves processing only the naphtha stream by hydrodealkyla-
tion to produce benzene. Houdry's Litol process was selected.
The product slate, capital cost and operating cost for this case are given in
Table 90. Results of the economic analysis are shown in Figure 73. The nax-
imum rate of return was calculated to be 23.3 percent at a liquids transfer
cost of $1.00 per million BTU, falling to 17.0 percent at $3.00 per million
BTU. Increasing the capital cost by 100 percent decreased the rate of return
from 23.3 to 13.6 percent.
This case is based on UOP's LT Unibon process for hydrotreating, and their
Sulfolane process for extraction. The product slate, capital cost and operat-
ing cost are given in Table 91. Economic results are seen in Figure 74. The
maxinmn rate of return was found to be 26.8 percent at a liquids transfer cost
of $1.00 per million BTU. This is essentially equivalent to the result ob-
tained for the Litol/benzene case. However, the assumed product revenues are
overly optimistic because prices for the pure components were used.
180
ProduactW Pounds Pe r Y-#.mar S
lbSYea r
35-
25--
20-
10
5-.
0 1 4
10181
TABLE 88
lv
-R194 646 PRODUCTION OF JET FUELS FROM COAL DERIYED LIQUIDS 3/'3
VOLUME I MARKET ASSESSM.. (U) NORTH DAKOTA UNIV GRAND
FORKS ENERGY RESEARCH CENTER J E SINOR AUG 07
LAShhhhhh
UNCLASSIFIED AFUL-TR-67-2042-YOL-1 MI PR-FY1455-96-NSES? F/G 21/4 N
m700h00h010I
1111n W2. 2.5
L3
11111i~ W-0'It
W % % ,.%~~* . .* *~ a - * * t*** $
.t ?o . tJ*rtr a.a' %-.
TABLE 89
183
cI-
U. w
Z4 U. I
-j 0
0 1
0 1
z w
49 w Z .
-h z wi 0
0
ALN
lu N Z
z tU
z 0
IL
0
4c~
I.- z
0.O LU c 0
au 0
9-0 0
z ILUSW
A. z Z
z w
0 I0
P 0
z
z zI
0 0
P.
0L
ww
z z
I-z
x N N
z
l* 0
184
TABLE 90
Product
Benzene 0 7.34 lb/gal 32,000,000 lb/year
Revenue C $0.157/ib $5,024,000
Cqpital Cost
Depreciable Capital Cost $7,500,000
Working Capital 837,000
Pre-Production Startup Expense 300,000
$8,637,000
Operating Cost
Fixed Operating Cost $432,000
Hydrogen @ 1.70 380,000
Liquids transfer net cost @ $1/MMBTU 576,000
I 1l
Aida.,b
_V * *
TABLE 91
Prodmet slate
Capital Cost
Depreciable Capital Cost $6,000,000
Working Capital 786,000
Pre-Production Startup Expense 280,000
$7,066,000
Operating Cost
Fixed Operating Cost $403,000
Hydrogen 190,000
Liquids Transfer Net Cost @ $1/F4STU -554,000
I 30-
25-
S20-
15
10
04
I 30-
25-
S 20-
00
0 1 234
UOWDTAS M PRICE C$/AU
FIGURE 74
UNIBON & SULFOLANE
(NAPHTH4A ONLY)
187
Having denmnstrated the attractiveness of producing only benzene as a product
In a relatively simple processing ache=m, It was desirable to study the effect
of co-producing phenol frain the crude phenol stream. Because phenol is worth
even nwre than benzene, producing it as a co-product instead of converting it
to benzene seean logical.
RIl has a process still In the deveiopiment stage, Dynaphen, which co-produces
benzene and phenol fromn a mixed stream containing aikylated aromatics and
phenols.
Results of the economic analysis are seen in Figure 75. The maximum rate of
return Is 35.9 percent at a liquids transfer value of $1.00 per million BTU.
At a transfer cost of $3.00 per million BTU, the rate of return drops to
22.5 percent. If the capital cost is then doubled, the return drops to
13.6 percent.
In order to provide the rnaxinuim econonWr of scale for the Dynaphen process,
along with the greatest cash flow, a second Dynaphen case was constructed in
which the phenolics from the tar oil stream were processed in addition to the
naphtha and crude phenol streams. The product slate, capital cost and operat-
ing cost are given in Table 93.
It should be noted that no allowance was made for the cost of a tar oil dis-
tillation colun to cut out the phenolic streamn. This omission was justified
on the grounds that this case would probably be implemented only if jet fuel
were rnude fromn the tar oil and that the still would be provided as part of the
jet fuel manufacturing facilities.
188
mA.'u 9
TABLE 92
Product Slate
Capital Cost
Depreciable Capital Cost $11,000,000
Working Capital 3,147,000
Pre-Production Startup Expense 513,000
$14,660,000
Operating Cost
Fixed Operating Cost $1,888,000
Hydrogen 1,340,000
Liquids Transfer Net Cost C $1/hMBTU 2t414,000
189
TABLE 93
Product Slate
Capiital Cost
Depreciable Capital Cost $15,000,000
Working Capital 4,082,000
Pre-Production Startup Expense 652,000
$19,734,000
Operating Cost
Fixed Operating Cost $2,5410000
Hydrogen 2,010,000
Liquids Transfer Net Cost 4 $1/MMBTU 2,993,000
190
30-
25-
S20-
0
5 15-
10-
0 1 2 34
OWDS TRANSFER PRICE (S/TU)
FIGURE 75
DYNAPHEN BENZENE PLUS PHENOL
NAPHIH a PINOLS"
35-
I 30-
25-
3t 20-
0
* 15-
10-
0 1 2 4
UQtXDS TRANSFER PRICE ($/MNBTU)
FIGURE 76
DYNAPHEN BENZENE PLUS PHENOL
(NAPHTHA, PHENOLS, TAN OIL)
191 *
OWOa
O ' WOGUuIC RU TS
Summary pages from the computer printout for each run may be found in the Ap-
pendix. The major financial parameters of interest are the discounted cash
flow rate of return on investment, the net present value, and the total net
cash flow over the project life. These parameters are listed for the base
case (best estimate for capital cost) runs in Table 94. The calculation of
net present value depends upon the assumed value for threshold rate of return.
Because both eight percent and ten percent are often used for threshold rate
of return, the net present value was calculated both ways.
Four different cases showing attractive rates of return are based on the flow
schemes which were referred to as the Benzene case (Benzene), the BTX case
(BTX), the Dynaphen II case (Benzene + Phenol) and the Grady/ANG case
(Maltiproduct ).
The Benzene and BTX cases treat only the naphtha stream and produce essen-
tially a single product; the Benzene + Phenol treat the naphtha and phenol
streams and part of the tar oil stream to produce two products; and the Multi-
product case treats all by-product streams to produce a wide range of
products. It was of interest to see how these four different cases might vary
in their sensitivity to the cost of transporting products to market.
Sensitivity cases were run for each of these four process concepts by changing
the product transportation costs by plus or minus 100 percent. The starting
point in each case was a liquids transfer cost of $2 per million BTU. The
results of the sensitivity analysis are listed in Table 95 and plotted in
Figure 77. As noted in Table 95 a doubling of the product transportation cost
over the base case estimate leads to a decrease of three to four percentage
points in the discounted cash flow rate of return on investment. This con-
firms initial assumptions that product transportation is a significant factor
in marketing by-products from the Great Plains plant.
Figure 77 indicates that all four product slates are affected to about the
same degree.
The same four cases as above were also tested for sensitivity to product
prices. A sensitivity range of -25 percent to +50 percent was tested, using
the same base cases as before. Results are shown in Table 96 and Figure 78.
The effects were very similar in all cases, with the rate of return on invest-
ment increasing alnst in proportion to product prices. The multiple product
cases benefit somewhat rmre than the single product cases.
192
TABLE 94
193
".p
TABLE 94 (Continued)
i OF Bu (MxIC RRI5LTS
(Results in 1987 Dollars)
194
TABLE. 95
Net Present
Value at Total net
DCFROR, 10% DCFROR Cash Flow,
Case Percent $ Million $ Million
nzene
Low Transport Cost 23.1 9.63 39.5
Base Case 20.2 7.18 32.6
High Transport Cost 17.1 4.72 25.6
Benzene + Pbenol
Low Transport Cost 31.5 37.0 139.3
Base Case 27.8 30.8 116.0
High Transport Cost 23.8 22.5 92.8
Mult iproduct
Low Transport Cost 28.1 90.1 336.8
Base Case 24.2 67.0 271.5
High Transport Cost 19.9 43.9 206.3
195
00
0 T
10-
-100%"BE 100%
CASE
RELATIVE PRODUCT TRANSPORTATION COST
MiGMR 77
SENSITIVITY TO PRODUCT TRANSPORTATION COSTS
35-
25-
S 20-
0
40
a 5
-5BAE*25% #50%
CASE
RELATIVE PRODUCT PRICE (S/MMBTU)
FIGUR 78
SENSITIVITY TO PRODUCT PRICES
19 b
TABLE 96
Net Present
Value at Total Net
DCFROR, 1096 DCFIK)R, Cash Flow,
Case Percent $ Million $ Million
aM
it iprodmet
High Product Prices 41.1 182.4 597.6
Base Case 24.2 67.0 271.5
Low Product Prices 12.5 9.7 109.5
19
U
197
RISK ANALYSIS
The expected values for DCFROR and NPV were changed very little by the risk
analyses, although the Dynaphen (Benzene + Phenol) case showed a gain of a
little over one percentage point in DCFROR.
This makes it even more clearly the case with the best rate of return.
Table 97 suggests that it Is also the case with the most risk (uncertainty)
associated with the estimated rate of return. The standard deviation about
the mean DCFROR is 4.4 percentage points for the Dynaphen case, conpared to a
standard deviation no larger than 3.6 percentage points for the other cases.
However, this is partly due siply to having a larger expected DCFROR. On a
relative basis, the Benzene case, with a DCFROR of 20.2 +/- 3.35, exhibits a
wider range of uncertainty.
TABLE 97
198
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OUTLOOK 70 1995
The market outlook for individual products which might be produced from the
Great Plains liquid by-product streams was discussed in the "Market
Assessment" section for each product. Each product forms a part of, and is
keyed to, the state of the overall econon-'. The overall econom swings
through both short-term and long-term business cycles, which define generally
favorable and unfavorable periods for capital investment. In undertaking to
produce a basic coniodity, it is important to analyze how that connvdity will
be affected by general trends in the econorr. It is always desirable to try
to separate short-term effects from the longer-term outlook, over which any
capital investment would have to be repaid.
The period 1984 to 1986 saw a sharp world-wide decline in the prices of mst
non-fuel basic comnwdities. From the second quarter of 1984 to the third
quarter of 1986, comwdity prices, as measured by the International Monetary
Fund index of prices for 34 non-fuel conndities, fell by nearly one fourth in .3
terms of United States dollars and by ore than one third in terms of Special
Drawing Rights. In the third quarter of 1986 these indices were at their
lowest levels since the first halt of 1976, when prices were low in the wake
of the 1975 recession. It is difficult to make precise comparisons for longer .
term novements of comnodity prices in real terms, i.e. prices adjusted for in-
flation, because of the difficulties in obtaining consistent historical data.
However, it seems clear that real commodity prices in the third quarter of
1986 had fallen to a level not experienced since at least the 1930s. Some ex-
aryples include copper, down 37 percent since 1980, aluminum, down 35 percent
since 1980, iron ore down 20 percent, tin down 46 percent, zinc down
24 percent.
Because these price drops pre-date the fall in oil prices, they are obviously
not a consequence of the latter. They are a consequence of the fact that
major industries, world-wide, have over-invested in production capacity.
This, combined with a downturn in denand, has created the pricing problem.
Theoretically, the forces of supply and demand will produce prices which even-
tually cause the shutdown of "excess" capacity until the remaining producers
can operate at a profit. This has been slow to occur, however, because of
governmental and institutional incentives in many countries to keep producing
regardless of price levels.
OW3#IIC C ICALS
201
and are finally seeing some growth In plant capacity utilization. According
to the Chemical Manufacturers Association chemical plant capacity factors
rose to 80.5 percent from 66 percent five years ago. The association expects
plant use to reach 82.3 percent in 1987.
The wave of plant closures in the early 1980's represented a dranmtic tur-
naround from the industry's building boom in the mid-1970's. After six years
of restructuring, cutbacks now appear to have succeeded in bringing capacity
back in line with demand. Total production in 1986 at 540 billion pounds was
essentially unchanged from 1985, and was still below the peak of 575 billion
pounds reached in 1979, but was decidedly inproved over the decade low point
of 464 billion pounds registered in 1982. Although overall demand was flat
between 1985 and 1986, the total was conposed of a 9.2 percent increase in
demnd for organic chemicals, coupled with a further 5.1 percent decline in
inorganic chemicals. Thus, the organic chemicals sector, which would encom-
pass all the Great Plains by-products, appears to be fully recovered.
Some organic chemicals are already in short supply. Polystyrene plants are
calculated to be running at 94 percent of capacity. Recent sharp price in-
creases for benzene and phenol were discussed earlier. Several plans for new,
smll, specialty chemicals plants are under consideration. Business cycle
analysis suggests that now would be an ideal time to invest in new organic
chemical plant capacity. Such an investment should only be made in a project
which is economically feasible now; but the investment can be ade with a high
degree of confidence that conditions in general will inprove rather than
deteriorate by 1995.
FEZ oLNN
Producers of organic chemicals derived from petroleum nmy worry less about oil
prices than about excess mnufacturing capacity. Their business is based on
conpetition over the mnufacturing mrkup on petroleum prices, regardless oL
the price of petroleum itself. Producers of coal-based chemicals, such as
Great Plains, however, must be vitally concerned about the absolute level of
petroleum prices. Because world oil prices are subject to mnipulation by the
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, it is difficult to make price
forecasts based strictly on a supply/denmnd analysis.
The dramatic break in oil prices in 1986 created serious problems for the
petroleum industry. It was, of course, almost totally disastrous for economi-
cally mrginal sources of oil such as synthetic fuel processes based on coal.
For the long-term picture, little has changed. Petroleum is a finite resource
which will eventually be consumed.
Faced with an inexorable decline in the demand for their oil, several oil ex-
porting countries abandoned, in late 1985, the strategy of curtailing produc-
tion to keep prices high and, instead began to increase production for sale at
market-determined prices. The resulting significant excess of supply over
demand drove prices down sharply in 1986. The innediate effect of this price
drop, in terms of decreased exploration activity, canceling new production
plans and shutting in marginal producing wells, indicates clearly that 1986
oil prices would be insufficient to maintain supplies at current levels. We
can therefore safely conclude that the economically optimum world price for
oil in the near-to mid-term future is somewhere between $14 and $28 per ba, -
rel. There is a mild consensus by industry analysts that for the near-term it
is probably in the neighborhood of $18 to $20 per barrel, although wide dif-
ferences of opinion, both higher and lower, exist. By 1995, prices should
again be approaching the top of the optimum range, or $28 per barrel.
With respect to the Great Plains situation, the difference between the price
of oil and the price of coal is of fundamental concern. It is this difference
which will justify or not justify burning coal instead of tar oil in the plant
and using the tar oil to make petroleum-related products.
The relative share of the energy market captured by coal and oil undergoes
slow but massive changes over time as a function of relative prices. Conpar-
ing oil and coal prices over a period of only a few years can be extremely
misleading because of the lagging effects of long-term purchase contracts, the
effects of inflation on capital costs for new mines, etc.
Any such general conparison also suffers from the non-fungible nature of coal,
intermixing of data for thermal coal and metallurgical coal, contract versus
spot market prices, world versus domestic markets, regional differences, etc.
Nevertheless, a long-term conparison can be instructive. Figure 81 shows
inflation-corrected prices for oil and coal over approximately the last
120 years. Although the possible shortcomings of such data must be remern-
bered, there is a rough overall correlation between oil and coal prices.
Because there is no application where coal and oil conpete in which coal would
be preferable to oil at the same price per BTU, coal will take market share
from oil only if it is available at a substantially lower price. Another way
of looking at the situation is that converting either the form of coal (so
that it can be used in oil-fueled equipment) or the form of equipment (so that
it can use coal instead of oil) requires a differential between coal and oil
prices. If oil is lower priced, no substitution will occur. Even when oil is
higher priced, the coal/oil differential (COD) must be large enough to make
some conversions feasible.
The constant-dollar COD is plotted in Figure 82. When the COD is positive, it
indicates the amount of cash flow per BTU of fuel consumed which can be
203
•
mi'," . ' , l ",- m ,° *• ' kq.'.*-' l '. .' ",J% ' '%j' -. ";%""
- "',. ''. %"% , "' .. " "•.% ,","' "
-COAL
4.0 -OL
1.6
0.8 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
FIGURE 8 1
INFLATION -CORRECTED COAL & OIL PRICES
3
0
*w 2
IS
0)
-1
18460 1900 YEA 1940 19 80
FIGURE 82
THE COAL - OIL DIFFERENTIAL
204
WS*E~sw% NIWiNW ~naW
Only after 1970 did the COD show a great increase, sparking widespread inter-
est and activity in synthetic fuels from coal. Viewed from this perspective,
the 1986 drop in oil prices appears to have returned the COD to its historical
range. It appears prudent to conduct planning on the basis of a long-term COD
of much less than the $5 per million BTU evidenced in 1980. The COD ap-
plicable to a particular coal would have to be adjusted for the difference be-
tween the production cost for that coal and the average production cost repre-
sented in Figure 82.
Using the SIC manual and the latest published national input-output tables,
it is possible to determine which industries are significant purchasers of
the products which could be produced at Great Plains. This section describes
the national input/output relationships between industries and the outlook
for industries which are purchasers of potential Great Plains products.
Relationships were found for the following:
Product Industry
205
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Binder pitch Aluminum smelting - SIC 3334
Rubber products shipments are highly dependent on the motor vehicle market.
Approximately 85 percent of shipments go to passenger cars, trucks, and buses. "
Other markets include aircraft, agricultural, industrial, motorcycle, and
bicycle uses. Inner tubes represent less than two percent of shipments now
that tubeless tires dominate most markets.
As the rubber tires industry has shifted to longer-lasting radial tires, more
than 20 older tire plants have closed. Employment in the rubber tire industry
has dropped from 114,000 in 1977 to 66,500 in 1985. There have also been sig-
nificant gains in imports of foreign automobiles with tires mounted and in
imports of replacement tires. Import of replacement tires increased from 20
million annually during 1972-82 to 37 million in 1984. This trend is expected
to continue. Tire exports go mainly to Canada; imports are shifting away from
Canada and Europe to Asia. Asia accounted for 44 percent of United States
tire imports in 1985.
Slow growth is seen for the rubber industry, based on a number of conflicting
forces. Tires will be longer lasting. But demand will be enhanced by in-
creases in the driving-age population and in motor vehicle mileage driven.
Motor vehicles will remain a primary form of transportation and the number in
operation will grow. S.
However, demand for specialty rubbers has grown as markets have developed for
new automotive applications. Performance requirements in automotive and other
applications have forced the substitution of specialty rubbers for general-
purpose rubbers and rubbers have been increasingly alloyed with plastics to
form new materials.
During 1985, shipments of synthetic rubber declined six percent from 1984;
there also was a three percent decline in exports and a 17 percent increase in
imports. The United States has lost world market share over the last few
years but exports still amounted to $655 million in 1985.
Synthetic rubber prospects depend on the demand for rubber products in general
and on the industry's ability to develop new rubber-based alloyed materials.
Growth areas include roofing and oil additives, plus new products created from
alloys of rubber and plastics. %
S.
206
The plastics materials industry is capital intensive, and its highly autoated
production facilities need relatively few production workers. Shipments of
plastics in 1985 increased approximately 4 percent in real terms over 1984.
U.S. exports of plastics accounted for about 11 percent of U.S. output in
1985. Saudi Arabia has recently entered the world rrmrket, a negative factor,
but the formerly strong dollar is declining and weak overseas economies seem
to be strengthening.
United States imports of plastics materials have been in an upward trend since
1977. Imports in 1985 were up nearly 16 percent following increases of 42
percent in 1984 and 75 percent in 1983. Major sources of imported plastics
materials are Japan, Canada and West Germany. Producers in oil-rich countries
have a favorable cost position in feedstocks and will continue to build up
their capacity.
One of the mre dynamic sectors of the plastics industry involves reinforced
plastics or composites. Major fibers currently being used ire glass, cel-
lulose, aranid, and carbon or graphite. Consunption of plastics composites
has been increasing rapidly.
The paints and coatings industry uses more than a thousand different raw
materials to produce binders, pigments, solvents and additives. Strengthened
economic conditions improved both the quantity and value of shipments in 1985.
Most of the sales effort of the United States industry is directed towards the
domestic market. Its ability to compete in foreign trade is limited by the
high cost of transportation and fragmentation of the industry. Major export
markets for the United States industry have been Canada and Mexico. Import
conpetition is small, but growing.
Shipments by the industry should continue to grow about three percent per
year. Growth areas include specialty coatings to pretreat polymer conposites
surfaces for bonding and new improved paints and specialty coatings for use by
electronics manufacturers. Advances in corrosion protection should increase
sales of special-purpose coatings.
The nunber of conpanies in the industry will probably decrease because of the
continued investment needed for production and research and development.
207
products tailored to meet the needs of many end-use markets. Packaging is the
major market for adhesives, in addition to the construction, transportation,
furniture, textile, shoe, bookbinding, and electronics industries.
Long term prospects for the industry are favorable. High performance ad-
hesives and sealants are gaining acceptance in a wide variety of applications,
and the development and use of new materials are creating demands for inproved
and new adhesives. Growth will be based on the ability of adhesives to reduce
the weight, increase the strength, and improve the quality of products, while
also reducing manufacturing costs. Research and development will continue to
be a controlling factor.
Thus, the domestic aluminum industry is facing a future that should see sig-
nificant changes in the structure of the industry. In the wake of new off-
shore capacity are shut-downs of domestic smelters, which could not conpete
against relatively low electricity costs, low labor costs, and/or increased
foreign government involvement.
The rate of growth in demand for primary aluminum has significantly declined
due to increased secondary recovery, saturation of certain end use markets,
and product improvements. These developments mean that the reopening of smel-
ters that are currently closed is unlikely.
208
-- """
"
The railroad tie industry is complying with EPA directives that preservatives,
such as creosote, should be used only by certified treatnent plants or ap-
plicators. The EPA has also expressed concern over possible leakage of
creosote during railroad tie treatment and in storage yards. In addition,
there is concern over proper and safe disposal of used creosote-treated rail-
road ties by railroads.
Exports of treated wood products fell about 20 percent in 1985, due nostly to
the strength of the United States dollar. Most of these exports were treated
telephone poles that went to Bangladesh, Canada, the Caribbean, and Saudi
Arabia. Exports of these products probably will not increase nuch unless
foreign countries begin new rail, telephone, or port developnent projects.
The demand for coal tar pitch used in roofing compounds depends primErily on
the construction industry, principally the residential construction industry.
The inflation-adjusted value of new construction put in place rose by six per-
cent in 1985 and exceeded the previous peak year of 1973.
209
DIWINITION OF OFTIEN PEU f SlIATE
Many factors enter into the definition of an optinum product slate. The
"optimim" slate could be chosen strictly on the basis of the highest indicated
rate of return on investment. It could be chosen on the basis of the highest
net cash flow above a threshold rate of return. Other factors influencing the
choice could be the amount of process (technical) risk, the long-term
prospects for market demand, the prospects for future increase in product
prices, etc.
Considering only the discounted cash flow rate of return, the case involving
HRI's Dynaphen process to nuke benzene and phenol from the naphtha and crude
phenols streams would be assigned the highest ranking. A DCFROR of 22.5 to
35.9 percent was calculated. The only other process configurations achieving
a axinrun rate of return above 25 percent are the BTX case, based on UOP's
Unibon hydrotreating plus Sulfolane extraction technology for the naphtha
stream alone, and two nultiproduct cases based on cost estimates prepared by
R.B. Grady & Associates.
In all of these cases, there is considerable doubt about the accuracy of the
capital cost estinate. The Dynaphen process is not yet conmercialized, the
Unibon and Sulfolane units are usually built in nuch larger sizes and have not
been operated on similar feedstocks, and the Grady estimates were not based on
detailed engineering. If the capital cost estimate is doubled, only the
Dynaphen schemes show a rate of return above 20 percent.
The DCFROR criterion determines the greatest rate of return per dollar in-
vested. However, a highly profitable but very small project will not con-
tribute nuch to the total cash flow of a large corporation. It is also inpor-
tant to consider the net present value of all the cash flows generated over
the lifetime of the project. When the cash flows are discounted back to the
present, using a discount rate of 10 percent, the highest ranking goes to the
Grady nultiproducts case.
Of course the larger the project, the mere noney at risk if the project runs
into difficulty.
210
to make extensive sample runs before purchasing a product. In this respect,
the multiproduct schemes are at a disadvantage because there will be many dif-
ferent specifications that have to be met in order for the plant to be
prof itable.
NAKE! SIZE
The most desirable market to enter is one in which the amount of product which
will be produced is small in relation to the total market volume. A product
manufactured in large volumes cannot be introduced into a small volume market
without depressing prices.
Those products nost sensitive to market volume are the cresylic acid cases,
where the Great Plains output could be of the same order of magnitude as the
United States demand. Creosote could also be affected by market size. Poten-
tial benzene and phenol production from Great Plains is very small with
respect to the total size of the market.
PNOCESS RAMIi S
Each of the process configurations was ranked with respect to the others in
accordance with the preceding discussion. The results are seen in Table 98.
The two Benzene/Phenol cases (Dynaphen) clearly outranked all the other cases.
The Benzene and BTX cases were next, in spite of a very low ranking for net
present value. The lowest ranked cases were the Cresylic Acids Only cases.
Although this analysis is helpful in pointing out the more promising avenues
to explore, and it points out problem areas which may require attention in
some of the cases, it should not be accepted as a definitive judgment on the
relative merits of each case. Although the ranking criteria used in Table 98
are commonly encountered, other criteria could be defined which would yield
different results. Special situations can greatly change the ranking under
any criterion. For exanmple, a sales contract with a cresylic acid processor
could renove rost of the uncertainty concerning the ability to meet product
specifications. This would materially improve the ranking for this process.
There are many unknowns with respect to the high-ranked Dynaphen process. The
economic analysis was based on 100 percent conversion of all alkyl phenols to
phenol. This could never be achieved in practice and a much lower yield would
greatly reduce the estimated rate of return. A 75 percent yield, for exanple,
would reduce the maximum rate of return from 34 percent to about 25 percent,
and drop Dynaphen out of the top economic ranking.
There are strong national security arguments for demonstrating the production
of military jet fuel at the Great Plains plant. However, the benzene and
phenol components of the raw liquid streams are not of value for jet fuel
211
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production. Benzene is too low boiling for jet fuel and the phenolic con-
stituents, if hydrotreated, would be converted to additional light aromatics.
These conponents are not only of the highest value in themselves, but are of
the least value for making jet fuel. Therefore an optimum strategy clearly
suggests that the light aromatics and phenols in the naphtha and crude phenols
streams be treated separately from the tar oil stream. Although it may even-
tually be possible to recover additional phenols from the tar oil stream, in-
cluding this source does not appear to increase profitability, and would add
additional complexity and technical risk.
V The optinum product slate is therefore defined as follows:
Great Plains
Plant Stream Disposition Final Product
A *213
. U
0ONCLUSIGS AND R c TIIs
The major conclusion of this study is that there are profitable opportunities
for by-product development, even if the transfer price assigned to the crude
liquid stream from the gasification plant is as high as $3 per million BTU.
The profitability of any by-products production scheme is largely affected by
the liquids transfer price, and becomes questionable for almst all schemes if
the transfer price rises over $3.
Unless petroleum prices increase strongly in the near future (not forecast to
occur) none of the potential Great Plains liquid products which would conpete
directly with crude oil or heavy fuels are likely to be economically practi-
cal. This includes such products as refinery feedstock carbon black
feedstock, gasoline, fuel oils and rubber processing oil.
It was not within the scope of this study to investigate the economics of
producing military jet fuels from the gasification plant streams. It was
determined that a suitable demnd exists within the state of North Dakota to
absorb the potential production without having to ship for excessive dis-
tances. It is highly unlikely that a jet fuel mnufacturing operation could
be successful on a conmercial basis. A firm purchase contract with the
Department of Defense and having a price floor would be required. Since some ..
of the jet fuel supplied to Minot Air Force Base is currently trucked in from
Canada, supplying this base from the Great Plains plant would reduce overall
petroleum inports.
The Great Plains mrket region, consisting of five states and two provinces,
is a net exporter of crude oil, and is approximately in balance with respect
to production and consunption of refined products. It is concluded that any
new production of refined products in the region, including jet fuel,
gasoline, fuel oils and residual oil, would probably result in a slight
decrease in regional refinery runs. The decrease In refinery purchases of
crude would probably result in mrre crude oil being exported to other states.
rauc SLATE
The economic evaluations carried out in this study suggest that if jet fuel Is
produced, the naphtha and crude phenols streams are the most suitable for by- w.
214
product development. Because these streams are not desirable feedstocks for
jet fuel production, the optinum product slate consists of jet fuel from tar
oil plus chemicals from the naphtha and crude phenols streams. Based on the
preliminary economic analyses carried out with the limited cost data avail-
able, benzene and phenol would appear to be the nmst promising candidates.
However, this appearance can be affected by a number of factors.
No good capital cost estinates for this process block are available. Using
the available information, switching from the first process listed above to
the second one made a difference of over 14 percentage points in the maximum
calculated discounted cash flow rate of return. It is not possible to make
sound judgments on process development routes to follow until the data in this
area are improved. It is therefore reconnended that some preliminary en-
gineering design effort be expended to arrive at credible up-to-date costs for
the tar acid extraction step. If jet fuel is not produced, extraction of
cresols from the tar acids would produce the largest total revenue stream.
There are several processes available which might be suitable for making ben-
zene from the naphtha stream. Both thermal and catalytic hydrodealkylation
processes have been connercialized, or a solvent extraction process could be
used. However, there are large question marks concerning the ability of these
processes to handle the Great Plains liquids and concerning the costs for such
processes if constructed at the relatively small scale dictated by the Great
Plains flows. Further definition of the engineering parameters and costs is
required.
*O IN Pi MUxrIN OF BUIZUEMAND
) a
The combined production of benzene and phenol by the HRI Dynaphen process is
theoretically intriguing. It would make it possible to take advantage of the
natural characteristics of the gasification by-product liquids (i.e. high
phenol content) rather than simply using brute force to transform the con-
stituents Into other, saleable materials.
215
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process would appear to justify such an effort, and it is recomnended that
this be initiated.
If the liquids transfer price is above $3.00 per million BTU, however, it will
be difficult to develop a profitable operation based on significant upgrading
unless the product selling prices are at least $5 per million BTU, or ap-
proximetely $30 per barrel ($0.10 per pound). Products clearly meeting this
criterion include benzene and other light arommtics, phenol and cresylic
acids. Almost all other products become marginal under these conditions.
MICK OUTLOOK
Prices for most chemical and petroleum commodities have suffered significant
declines over the past few years. Further significant declines appear un-
likely because present levels are low enough to have resulted in the shutting
down of most "excess" capacity. Demand for some chemicals (such as benzene)
in the petrochemical sector has recently surged, and there are solid prospects
for future growth In demand.
On the whole, the downside risk for future prices of most products should be
relatively small. Projects which can be shown to be profitable under current
conditions should be even more profitable in the future. It is recomiended
that planning for by-products production be given a high project priority.
4.
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