American Apartheid
American Apartheid
American Apartheid
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American Apartheid: Segregation and the
Making of the Underclass'
Douglas S. Massey
Universityof Chicago
By anymeasure,thecharacterofAmericanpovertychangedsignificantly
duringthe 1970s. The poor became poorerrelativeto therestof society,
and incomeinequalityincreased(Levy 1987). Povertybecamemoreper-
sistentas spells increased in frequencyand durationamong families
(Bane and Ellwood 1986; Corcoranet al. 1985; McLanahan, Garfinkel,
and Watson 1988). Povertyalso became more geographicallyconcen-
tratedwithininner-city neighborhoods(Bane and Jargowsky1988;Mas-
sey and Eggers 1990). These trendswere especiallyacute forblacks and
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AmericanJournalof Sociology
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AmericanApartheid
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AmericanJournalof Sociology
b,=4000 b,=4000 b,=4000 b,=4000 b1=8000 b1=8000 b,= 8000 b,= 8000
w1=4000 w1=4000 wi=4000 wi=4000 Iwv=O w= wl=O w1=0
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AmericanApartheid
LevelofClassSegregation
forBlacks: 0.625 forBlacks:
LevelofClassSegregation 0.625
NeighborhoodPoverty
forAve.Black: 0.125 Neighborhood forAve.Black:
Poverty 0.142
Neighborhood forAve.PoorBlack: 0.250
Poverty Neighborhood forAve.PoorBlack: 0.283
Poverty
LevelofClassSegregation
forWhites: 0.555 forWhites:
LevelofClassSegregation 0.555
NeighborhoodPoverty
forAve.White: 0.125 Neighborhood forAve.White:
Poverty 0.119
Neighborhood forAve.PoorWhite: 0.250
Poverty Neighborhood forAve.PoorWhite: 0.250
Poverty
pb=1600 pb=1600 pbl= 0 pbl= 0 pbl= 3200 pbl= 3200 pbl= 0 pbl= 0
pw=1200 pw=1200 pw,=0 pw,=0 pw,=0 pw,=0 pw,=0 pw,=0
13 14 15 16 13 14 15 16
LevelofClassSegregation
forBlacks: 0.625 forBlacks:
LevelofClassSegregation 0.625
Neighborhood forAve.Black:
Poverty 0.175 Neighborhood forAve.Black:
Poverty 0.200
Neighborhood forAve.PoorBlack: 0.350
Poverty Neighborhood forAve.PoorBlack: 0.400
Poverty
LevelofClassSegregation
forWhites: 0.555 forWhites:
LevelofClassSegregation 0.555
Neighborhood forAve.White:
Poverty 0.108 Neighborhood forAve.White:
Poverty 0.100
Neighborhood forAve.PoorWhite:0.250
Poverty Neighborhood forAve.PoorWhite: 0.200
Poverty
in threehypothetical
FIG. 2.-Effect of segregationon povertyconcentration
cities,assumingclass segregationwithinracial groups.
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AmericanJournalof Sociology
thepercentageoffamilieson publicassistance,thepercentageoffamilies
with female heads, and the median familyincome by takingpoverty
concentrations calculatedunderdifferent assumptionsofracial and class
segregation(fromtable 1) and insertingtheminto the predictionequa-
tions,along with the percentageof whitesin black neighborhoods (in-
cluded as a control).
A simpleexampleillustrateshow thisand all subsequenttables were
created. The firsttwo columnsin the firstline of table 2 containthe
medianhouseholdincomespredictedforpoorblackneighborhoods before
and afterthe incomeshift,assumingno racial or class segregation.The
table shows thatpoor blacks can expectto live in a neighborhoodwitha
medianirncome of $18,826 beforetheshiftand $17,488afterward.These
figureswere generatedby takingneighborhoodpovertyrates fromthe
firsttwo left-handcolumnsof thefirstrow of table 1 (12.5% and 15.0%)
and insertingthem into the equation that predictsmedian household
income(thefirstrow ofAppendixtableAl), togetherwiththepercentage
of whitesin each neighborhood(75%-see City 1, fig. 1). The equation
thuspredictsa loggedmedianneighborhoodincomeof 9.843 (= 10.187
+ 0.00033 x 75 - 0.0295 x 12.5), whose antilogis 18,826; afterthe
shiftit predictsa value of 9.769 (= 10.187 + 0.00033 X 75 - 0.0295 X
15), whose antilogis 17,488.
A majorconsequenceofanydownwardshiftin thedistributional struc-
ture of black income is a reductionof buyingpower in neighborhoods
where poor blacks live. In orderto simplifyexposition,I comparethe
situationof poor black neighborhoods createdunderfourpolar assump-
tions:no segregationby race or class, class segregationalone, complete
racial segregationwith no class segregation,and both class and racial
segregation.In the firstcircumstance,a rise in the black povertyrate
from20% to 30% is associatedwitha significant drop in medianneigh-
borhoodincomefrom$18,826 to $17,488, a declineof $1,338 or 7.1%.
This change impliesa substantialloss of demand in all neighborhoods
containingblacks.
If we assume that the median householdincomeis the same as the
mean (a conservativeassumptionforour purposes)and note thateach
neighborhoodcontainsabout 2,963 households(theneighborhood popu-
lation of 8,000 divided by the average U.S. householdsize, 2.7), then
each neighborhoodis expectedto lose about $3.96 millionin potential
demandas a resultoftheincomeshift(2,963 X 1,338 = 3.96 million).In
the absence of racial or class segregation,however,thisloss of buying
power is spread evenlythroughoutthe city.Retail profits,tax receipts,
and servicerevenuesfallforthecityas a whole,and somebusinessesand
serviceorganizationsclose, but no particularneighborhoodsuffersdis-
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AmericanApartheid
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AmericanApartheid
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AmericanJournalof Sociology
SUMMARYAND CONCLUSION
Duringthe 1970s, black povertybecame morepersistentand geographi-
cally concentratedin Americancities. Many observersexplainedthese
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AmericanApartheid
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AmericanApartheid
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AmericanApartheid
APPENDIX
TABLE Al
REGRESSION EQUATIONS USED TO PREDICT NEIGHBORHOOD ENVIRONMENTAL
CHARACTERISTICS IN HYPOTHETICAL CITIES
INDEPENDENT
VARIABLES
Equations estimatedacross
20,854 tractsin 60 SMSAs:
Median householdincome(logged):
Coefficient. .00033* -.03* 10.19* .75*
SE .(.00006) (.0002) (.006)
Percentagefamilieson assistance:
Coefficient.- .05* .75* 6.26* .79*
SE .......... (.002) (.004) (.16)
Percentagefemale-headedfamilies:
Coefficient.- .07* .60* 9.58* .75*
SE .(.002) (.004) (.16)
Equations estimatedacross
333 tractsin Philadelphia:
Percentagehouses boarded up:
Coefficient.- .02* .15* 1.58* .47*
SE .(.006) (.02) (.59)
Major crimerate:
Coefficient..02 .79* 36.55* .06*
SE .(.08) (.02) (8.47)
Childhooddeath rate:
Coefficient.- .05 .14* 14.37* .06*
SE .(.03) (.07) (2.74)
Percentagehighschool students
below fifteenthpercentileon CAT:
Coefficient.- .09* .53* 25.78* .61*
SE ...... (.02) (.04) (1.65)
High school dropoutrate:
Coefficient..01 .20* 6.49* .34*
SE .(.007) (.02) (.74)
* P < .05.
355
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