IF Hericourt Lecture1
IF Hericourt Lecture1
IF Hericourt Lecture1
1-1 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt 1-2 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt
• 1st step: broad overview of the current global financial • 100%: final quiz (30-40 multiple-choice questions),
environment; consequences of economic and financial sitted exam. Simple questions (multiple choices) on
integration some topics from the lectures…
• 3rd step: financing issues and tools for the global firm
1-3 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt 1-4 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt
Roadmap
Roadmap • Reading (Eiteman et al.):
Foreign Exchange Rate
6 March 9 Chapter 9
Determination and Intervention
Session Date Topic Readings and Activities • In-class problem set #6
• Reading (Eiteman et al.):
Course introduction – Chapter 10
• Course overview, review syllabus
syllabus & schedule; 7 March 16 Transaction Exposure • In-class problem set #7
• Reading (Eiteman et al.): • The academic view on a corporate
1 January 26 Global Financial
Chapter 1 issue
Environment –
• In-class problem set #1 • Reading (Eiteman et al.):
Opportunities & Challenges
8 March 23 Global Cost and Availability of Capital Chapter 13
• Reading (Eiteman et al.): • In-class problem set #8
The International Monetary • Reading (Eiteman et al.):
2 February 2 Chapter 2
System Chapter 14
• In-class problem set #2 9 March 30 Funding the Multinational Firms • In-class problem set #9
• Reading (Eiteman et al.): • The academic view on a corporate
Chapter 3 issue
3 February 9 The Balance of Payments • Reading (Eiteman et al.):
• In-class problem set #3
10 April 6 Multinational Tax Management Chapter 15
• In-class problem set #10
• Reading (Eiteman et al.): • Reading (Eiteman et al.):
The Foreign Exchange
4 February 16 Chapter 5 11 April 13 International Trade Finance Chapter 16
Market
• In-class problem set #4 • In-class problem set #11
• Reading (Eiteman et al.): • Questions about the course
International Parity 12 April 20 Review session •…
5 February 23 Chapter 6
Conditions
• In-class problem set #5
1-5 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt 1-6 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt
Syllabus
• Living, breathing document: may be modified along
the way.
• https://cours.univ-
paris1.fr/fixe/International_Finance Lecture 1
International
• Slides will be uploaded AFTER the lecture has been
Finance:
presented in class.
Intro /
Opportunities
• In addition to lectures: illustrative cases + and Challenges
presentation (in the 3rd part) of a few « home-
made » research papers on China and France, (ESM Chapter 1)
directly related to considered topics
1-7 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt
Lecture Learning Objectives Learning Objectives
1-9 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt 1-10 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt
1-11 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt 1-12 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt
BoP Effects The Global Financial Marketplace
Correlation of CNY / $ FX rate and Trade Balance
CNY / $1
• Linkages are the interbank networks using currency.
Without ready exchange of currencies the market is
• What is the relationship between CNY/$ FX rate and the China-US trade balance?
hard-pressed to operate efficiently.
• Relationship can even lead to sovereign debt default – e.g. Russia 1998
1-13 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt 1-14 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt
Assets
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Selected Global Currency Exchange Selected Global Currency Exchange
Rates for January 2, 2018 (1 of 2) Rates for January 2, 2018 (2 of 2)
Note that a number of different currencies use the same symbol (for example
both China and Japan have traditionally used the ¥ symbol, which means
“round” or “circle,” for yen and yuan respectively). All quotes are mid-rates, and
are drawn from the Financial Times.
1-17 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt 1-18 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt
1-19 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt 1-20 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt
Eurocurrencies and LIBOR/RFR Eurocurrencies and LIBOR/RFR
• The LIBOR survived until the end of 2021, and is now
• Eurocurrency Interest Rates: LIBOR replaced by RFR (“risk-free rates”), preventing any
– In the Eurocurrency market, the reference rate kind of manipulations:
of interest was the London Interbank Offered – LIBOR on GBP replaced by SONIA (Sterling Over Night Index
Rate (LIBOR) until December 31, 2021. Average)
– LIBOR on USD replaced by SOFR (Secured Overnight
– This rate was the most widely accepted rate of Financing Rate)
interest used in standardized quotations, loan – LIBOR on CHF replaced by SARON (Swiss Average Rate
agreements, and financial derivatives Overnight).
transactions • EURIBOR on EUR should remain, though with some
• In 2008, a complex financial scandal modifications
involving UBS, Barclays and Royal Bank of – ESTER (Euro Short-TErm Rate) should replace the EONIA
(Euro Overnight Index Average) (https://www.banque-
Scotland showed massive and profitable france.fr/en/statistics/rates/main-euro-area-interbank-
manipulations of the LIBOR. market-rates
1-21 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt 1-22 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt
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– Because the factors of production cannot be moved freely • Although international trade might have approached the
from Country A to Country B, the benefits of specialization comparative advantage model during the nineteenth
are realized through international trade
century, it certainly does not today, for the following
reasons:
– The way the benefits of the extra production are shared
depends on the terms of trade, the ratio at which – Countries do not appear to specialize only in those products
quantities of the physical goods are traded that could be most efficiently produced by that country’s
particular factors of production (as a result of government
interference and ulterior economic motivations)
– Each country’s share is determined by supply and demand
in perfectly competitive markets in the two countries – At least three factors of production – labor, capital and
technology – now flow directly and easily between countries
– Neither Country A nor Country B is worse off than before
trade, and typically both are better off, albeit perhaps
unequally
ICPS1.3
1-27 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt 1-28 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt
The Theory
The Theory of Comparative Advantage
of Comparative Advantage Strengths
Weaknesses cont’d
• Comparative advantage is however still a relevant theory to
– Modern factors of production (land, capital, technology) are more explain why particular countries are most suitable for exports
numerous than in this simple model – e.g. entrepreneurship, legal of goods and services that support the global supply chain of
structure, tax differentials etc. both MNEs and domestic firms.
– Although the terms of trade are ultimately determined by supply and • The comparative advantage of the 21st century, however, is
demand, the process by which the terms are set is different from
that visualized in traditional trade theory one based more on services, and their cross-border facilitation
by telecommunications and the Internet – i.e., outsourcing
– Comparative advantage shifts over time, as less developed countries
become developed and realize their latent opportunities • The source of a nation’s comparative advantage is still created
from the mixture of its own labor skills, access to capital and
– The classical model of comparative advantage did not really address technology.
certain other issues, such as the effect of uncertainty and
information costs, the role of differentiated products in imperfectly
competitive markets, and economies of scale
1-29 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt 1-30 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt
• Many locations for supply chain outsourcing exist today • Primary differences:
• It takes a relative advantage in costs, not just an 1. Culture and history differ among countries
absolute advantage, to create comparative advantage 2. Corporate governance, e.g. regulation
• Clearly, the extent of global outsourcing is reaching out 3. Greater levels of foreign exchange and political
to every corner of the globe risks
Political impact: {Saritha Rai, 12/4/2017 on Infosys’ new 4. Financial theory and applications are modified
CEO} in the global versus domestic marketplace
5. Specialized and complicated financial
instruments become tools of the trade, e.g.
derivatives
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What Is Different About International Market Imperfections: A Rationale for the
Financial Management? Existence of the Multinational Firm
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• Strategic motives drive the decision to invest abroad • Stage I: early domestic phase growing into the
and become a MNE and can be summarized under international trade phase (next slide)
the following categories:
1. Market seekers • Stage II: A successful firm will continue to grow
from simple international trade to the multinational
2. Raw material seekers phase characterized by production and investment
3. Production efficiency seekers both at home and abroad
4. Knowledge seekers
• The increase in foreign subsidiaries increases
5. Political safety seekers currency risks and exposures
1-37 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt 1-38 U Paris 1 – Econ Masters| J. Hericourt
-Globalization.
-Economic
growth/efficiency
-Innovation. Slides of this course are inspired by those taught by D. K.
Eiteman, A. I. Stonehill, M. H. Moffett, and M. Desoky
-Corruption.
-Fraud.
-Market-
manipulation.
-Economic
inefficiency.
-Limits
globalization.
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