Property and Loans
Property and Loans
Property and Loans
Subtitles
… for your personal circumstances. Playback Speed
Closed Captions Slower Faster
4. Stability in lifestyle
No need to worry about a landlord asking you to leave or selling the property
9. Tangible
Shares and other investments are intangible. It is nice to be able to see your asset
∗ The concept of ‘market efficiency’ is concerned with how much current and past information is captured by the current price of an asset.
Low levels of market efficiency means that there can be opportunities to profit from uninformed people. But are you informed or uninformed?
The Bad
Lee Van Cleef
as ‘Angel Eyes’
The Bad … about buying a home rather than renting over the long-term
1. Non-divisibility
You cannot buy (or sell) 10% of a residential property. It is binary purchase (lumpy)
2. Poor liquidity
It can take months to buy or sell a property
5. Asset-specific risk
Local factors, flooding and leaks, pests (termites), rising damp, concrete cancer, fire …
The Bad … about buying a home rather than renting over the long-term
9. Decreased flexibility
High fees and low liquidity makes it harder to move, upgrade or downgrade
Deposit on property 2 3
Manage debt Plan for Plan to be
Pay off home loan the Future Content
Protect things you value Leverage and risk
Home and contents insurance Fixed v variable costs
Sydney Property Market
Australia
Sydney house prices
$1,400 Median house prices in $,000s Price gains = 5.9% per year
Rental yield ≈ 3.0% per year
$1,200 Total return ≈ 8.9% per year
$1,000
Sydney
$800
$600
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Australian Bureau of Statistics (2022) ‘Total Value of Dwellings (Table 2)’ from abs.gov.au
Property Prices in the short-term
Demand Supply
Number of buyers in the market Number of sellers in the market
Perceived shortages of properties Perceived glut of properties
Fear of missing out (FOMO) Fear of not getting out (FONGO)
Property Prices in the long-term
Demand Supply
Birth rates State government land releases
Death rates Local government density rules
Migration and overseas students New home construction
Average income Availability of credit for developers
Interest rates Public transport
Live with parents culture Motorways and roads
Savings culture Technology
Mainly determined by supply-side
Be careful with house price indices
These are averages (medians)
Micro-markets within Sydney and rural areas can be quite different
The quality of the average dwelling has changed
Median house prices don’t take into account maintenance costs
Micro-markets
Prices increase at different rates in different suburbs
Determined by supply and demand factors in that area
“Gentrification” is one factor that affects demand:
When middle class move into areas that were previously
lower socio-economic in nature.
Developers buy properties and develop
Middle-class renovate their units/homes
Council spends more money in area.
These are assumed long-term future expected rates of return for this course. The derivation will be discussed further in Units 9 and 10.
Asset categories price gains and income
Asset category Price gains Income Nominal return
1. Cash 0.0% + 3.0% = 3.0%
These are assumed long-term future expected rates of return for this course. The derivation will be discussed further in Units 9 and 10.
Property Tax
New South Wales, Australia
CGT main residence exemption
Main residence is exempt from capital gains tax (gain in price)
This must be the case to avoid ‘losing money’ when moving houses
This makes it an important method for creating and ‘storing’ wealth
A ‘place of convenience’
Only running costs are an allowable deduction for tax purposes
CGT main residence exemption still applies in full
Australian Taxation Office (2022) ‘Renting out part or all of your home’ at ato.gov.au
Australian Taxation Office (1985) ‘Taxation Ruling IT2167 Income Tax: rental properties – non-economic rental, holiday home, share of residence, etc.
cases, family trust cases’ at ato.gov.au
CGT exemption for inherited dwellings
No tax is normally payable on inheritances of main residence
This must be the case to avoid a perceived ‘death tax’ on main residence
This makes it an important method of inter-generational wealth transfers
Property must be used as a main dwelling by the person inheriting the property
… or sold within 2 years of inheritance
Australian Taxation Office (2022), ‘CGT exemptions for inherited dwellings’ at ato.gov.au
The ‘6 year rule’
You can sometimes have a ‘main dwelling’ while not living in it
You can treat the dwelling as you main residence for:
1. Up to six years if it is used to produce income (usually rent)
2. Indefinitely if it not used to produce income
You cannot treat any other dwelling as main residence during the same period
It does not apply to a period before it became your main residence
It does not apply to properties owned by a company or trust
You can ‘reset’ the 6 years by moving back into it (with evidence)
Australian Taxation Office (2022), ‘Treating a dwelling as your main residence after you move out’ at ato.gov.au
NSW Stamp Duty also known as ‘transfer duty’
Property value here is assumed to be the total cost of buying the property including property price, transfer duty and other costs
LVR is a loan to value ratio and is calculated as Loan / Property value (including transfer duty and costs)
LMI is sometimes waived for doctors, accountants, lawyers, mining specialists, professional athletes (or entertainers) and for DHA properties.
LMI can be waived for first home buyers with 5% deposit under First Home Buyer Guarantee (FHBG)
Australian Government (2022), ‘First Home Guarantee’ at nhfic.gov.au
NSW Land Tax
A state tax payable on investment properties
Primary residence is generally exempt
It must have been your primary dwelling for the entire year
You must own the property directly (not via company or trust)
An underlying assumption of this method is that the observed prices are indeed ‘fair’ and there is no property asset price bubble
2. Price-Earnings Multiple
1. Observe sale price of properties sold (P)
2. Observe asking weekly rental prices for similar properties (C)
3. Estimate gross rent collected over one year (C × 50)
50 weeks assumes that 2 weeks per year will be untenanted
An underlying assumption of this method is that the observed prices are indeed ‘fair’ and there is no property asset price bubble
3. Value per square metre
This approach works best for apartments since they have no land
1. Observe sale price of apartment sold (P)
2. Find out the number of square metres of floor space (N)
3. Calculate value per square metre (V) 𝑷𝑷
𝑽𝑽 =
𝑵𝑵
4. For similar apartment, ask agent number of square metres (N)
5. Multiply V × N to estimate market value of apartment (P)
The approach can work for houses but you need to do it for land and building separately
An underlying assumption of this method is that the observed prices are indeed ‘fair’ and there is no property asset price bubble
4. Statistical regression
The approach taken by professional property price estimation companies
Collect prices and property features for many different properties
Estimate parameters (β) for relationship between variables (X) and price (P)
𝑷𝑷𝒊𝒊 = β𝟎𝟎 + β𝟏𝟏 𝑿𝑿𝟏𝟏 + β𝟐𝟐 𝑿𝑿𝟐𝟐 + β𝟑𝟑 𝑿𝑿𝟑𝟑 + β𝟒𝟒 𝑿𝑿𝟒𝟒 + β𝟓𝟓 𝑿𝑿𝟓𝟓 + β𝟔𝟔 𝑿𝑿𝟔𝟔 + 𝜺𝜺𝒊𝒊
An underlying assumption of this method is that the observed prices are indeed ‘fair’ and there is no property asset price bubble
5. Present value of future rent in perpetuity
0 1 2 3 4 …
C1 C1(1+g)1 C1(1+g)2 C1(1+g)3 …
P
𝑪𝑪𝟏𝟏
𝑷𝑷∞,𝒈𝒈 =
𝒓𝒓 − 𝒈𝒈
‘C1’ is the annual net rent (after agent and other costs)
… growing at a rate of ‘g’ per year forever ∞
‘r’ is the required rate of return per period (based on investments with similar risk)
‘P’ is value today of the property that can generate that rent
This is the first approach that we have covered that uses valuation fundamentals and doesn’t assume current prices are ‘fair’
5. Present value of future rent example
How much would John be willing to pay for an investment property today if
he believes it will generate $20,000 per year in rent indefinitely (after
deducting agent fees and other costs), growing at 2.5% above inflation if he
can achieve a real rate of return on similar investments of 5% per annum?
𝑪𝑪𝟏𝟏
𝑷𝑷∞,𝒈𝒈 =
𝒓𝒓 − 𝒈𝒈
This is the first approach that we have covered that uses valuation fundamentals and doesn’t assume current prices are ‘fair’
5. Present value of future rent example
How much would John be willing to pay for an investment property today if
he believes it will generate $20,000 per year in rent indefinitely (after
deducting agent fees and other costs), growing at 2.5% above inflation if he
can achieve a real rate of return on similar investments of 5% per annum?
𝑪𝑪𝟏𝟏
𝑷𝑷∞,𝒈𝒈 =
𝒓𝒓 − 𝒈𝒈
𝟐𝟐𝟐𝟐, 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎
=
𝟎𝟎. 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎 − 𝟎𝟎. 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎
= $𝟖𝟖𝟖𝟖𝟖𝟖, 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎
This is the first approach that we have covered that uses valuation fundamentals and doesn’t assume current prices are ‘fair’
6. Option to make improvements
Buying the property gives you the right, but not the obligation
… to make a follow-on investment (renovation)
… that could significantly increase the value of the property
Real Option Analysis is covered in my Advanced Finance channel … but it is very challenging!
Human Bias and Property
Buyers are biased by comparisons
1. Cheap property $500,000
Anchoring bias
Anchored on first price and adjust too little based on new information
Affect bias
Falling ‘in love’ with small features makes you willing to pay a premium
Visualising ‘having children’ or ‘growing old’ in the property
Endowment effect
Visiting the property in-person and touching surfaces
… makes you feel a sense of ownership that inflates perceived value
Human bias when selling
Endowment effect
You value something more highly when you own it
… and made worse by time and effort invested into renovations
Egocentric bias
Think that you have ‘good taste’ and others share your taste
Affect bias
Cherished memories and emotional attachment
Disposition effect
Reluctance to sell at a loss
Human bias and auctions
Reciprocity effect
Free coffee and ice-cream
Perceived scarcity
Opening pitch
Consistency effect
Start from below reservation price to get people to keep bidding
Loss aversion
Creating the fear of missing out
Winner’s curse
Derived from ‘game theory’ for auctions in Economics
The winner in a competitive auction overpays
You paid more than the maximum value attributed to the property by everyone else
Leasehold title
Government owns the land and you have a lease for X years (common in other countries)
Community title
Property is shared and owned by many people with fees for common ‘community areas’
Retirement villages
Can be strata, leasehold, community or other types … get legal advice it can be shonky!
4. Trust or company
A sophisticate strategy for ‘asset protection’ but may be subject to more land tax
2. Solicitor
Many solicitors (lawyers) handle property conveyancing as one of many matters
More expensive and may be better if an unusual situation arises
Tend to pass-on much of the work to legal secretary who does not have legal qualifications
3. Conveyancer
Property conveyancers do not have legal qualifications but only do property conveyancing
Less expensive and very experienced but may miss problems in unusual cases
Quality and capability of property conveyancers can vary significantly
A good starting point is conveyancing.com.au
Making an offer
There is an ‘art’ to negotiation
Find out the rules (eg. Low first offer, disinterest, be professional and courteous)
Practise your skills on some properties that you don’t want … but don’t be a time-waster
Remember that the ‘nice’ agent is acting on behalf of the vendor (seller)
Tell your bank and conveyancer that you are making a serious offer
They both may ask for a copy of the contract of sale (available from the real-estate agent)
2. Kitchen
Replace kitchen cupboard doors, taps (quality), cooktop and oven
3. Bathroom
Re-grout tiles (professional), replace mirror, cabinet doors and taps
4. Lights
Replace old light fixtures and but lots of modern lamps
5. Flooring
Replace carpet or polish floorboards
6. Technology
Invest in high quality wireless router and repeaters. Add Alexa or Google Home
Renovations that may not add value
Expensive professional landscaping
Unusual colour schemes
Renovations that do not have council approval
Pool
Selling … and then buying another property
The timing of selling a property then buying another is difficult
Uncertain time to find property to buy
+ uncertain time to sell current property
1. Make sure you have been together for 5 years before buying together
2. Men should expect zero equity upon family break-down
The main residence is usually awarded to the mother (if there are dependent children)
The father is still expected to support the children financially
… but now has to pay rent to live somewhere else
This is a generally a good system because it protects the vulnerable
20 Property Strategies
1. Buy and Hold
Buy investment property and hold it for the very long-term (20+ years)
Never pay tax on capital gains because you don’t sell it
Use equity from property to buy other investment properties or shares
Gradually moves from negative to positive cash flow
Repayments remain roughly the same over time
Rent gradually increases in line with nominal average incomes (including inflation)
2. CGT Main Residence Exemption
Main residence is one of the few assets
… with non-assessable gains for income tax
Make good use of it!
For couples with two properties
... each individual can have different declared ‘main residence’
3. Negative Gearing
1. Buy investment property
2. Take out maximum investment loan possible as interest-only loan
3. Make sure your investment property reduces taxable income
Assessable income: Rent
Allowable deductions: Investment loan interest, agent fees, maintenance ….
Taxable income = Assessable income less allowable deduction
Buy apartments that are 20+ years old because problems have surfaced
9. Distressed Sales
Deceased estates
Insolvencies
People who have bought new property but cannot sell old one
ATO has made it clear that gain from flipping is assessable income
Works best in a ‘hot’ property market
How much of the gain is from the renovation and how much from general price increase?
Sean Callery (2018), ‘House Flipping in Australia – Easy Profit or Overhyped Fantasy?’ at canstar.com.au
12. Granny Flat
Buy a house with a larger block of land (usually above 500m2)
Build a small ‘granny flat’ on a property for under $80,000
If it complies with the law, council approval may not be necessary
Rent it out for more than $200+ per week
This is a gross rental yield of $200 × 50 weeks / $80,000 = 12.5%
2. Aggressively pay down home loan with four incomes for X years
3. After X years both leave and retain as investment property
Both couples borrow against equity to buy their next property
17. Inter-State Roll-Up
1. Buy first property in Sydney
Aggressively pay down home loan and wait for increase in price
5. …
Buying properties in different states helps to avoid paying land tax
Is sometimes done in ‘trust’ structure but this can have implications for land tax in NSW
18. Subdivision
Buy a property with a large land size (usually above 1,000m2)
Wait for local council to change subdivision rules
Sub-divide property into two then:
1. Sell off 500m2 parcel of land; OR
2. Build a house and sell land and house
19. Downsizing
After age 65 …
1. Kick out any remaining adult kids (boomerangs)
2. Sell the 4 bedroom family home that you have owned for 10+ years
3. Buy a smaller 2 to 3 bedroom home or 2 bedroom apartment
4. Invest $300,000 each into superannuation
Note that the Downsizing Contribution into super can be done as early as age 60
20. Commercial Property
Shops, small offices or warehouses
Stable tenants over many years (reduces risk)
Higher rental yield than residential property
Diversification away from residential property reduces some risk
… but what if businesses leave the area (increases risk)
… and minimum entry price can be a lot higher than residential property
Remember … The Bad
1. Non-divisibility
You cannot buy (or sell) 10% of a residential property. It is binary purchase (lumpy)
2. Poor liquidity
It can take months to buy or sell a property
5. Asset-specific risk
Local factors, flooding and leaks, pests (termites), rising damp, concrete cancer, fire …
Remember … The Bad
6. Poor diversification across asset categories
Cash, fixed interest, residential and commercial property, domestic and internationals shares
9. Decreased flexibility
High fees and low liquidity makes it harder to move, upgrade or downgrade
50 50
Break-even Break-even
25 25
0 0
0 25 50 75 100 0 25 50 75 100
Income ($,000s) Income ($,000s)
Operating Leverage and Risk Calculations
Fixed Fred Flexible Fiona
Expenses = 40,000 + 0.2 × Income Expenses = 10,000 + 0.8 × Income
Profit = 0.8 × Income – 40,000 Profit = 0.2 × Income – 10,000
Income
$0 $50,000 $100,000
Fixed Fred’s Profit – 40,000 0 + 40,000 High Operating Leverage
$80,000 variation
Risk is variation
Two types of leverage
1. Operating leverage
High fixed expenses in proportion to total expenses increases risk
2. Financial leverage
High fixed interest expenses in proportion to total expenses increases profit risk (income leverage)
High levels of debt in proportion to total assets increases equity risk (capital leverage)
Example of leverage using property
Two investors would like to buy a property for $1,000:
Ursa has $1,000 cash and will not borrow anything (unlevered)
Liam has $500 cash and will borrow $500 at 5% per annum (levered)
Assume no taxes or transaction costs
Each investor plans to buy the property then flip (sell) it in 1 year.
Example of leverage using property
Two investors would like to buy a property for $1,000:
Ursa has $1,000 cash and will not borrow anything (unlevered)
Liam has $500 cash and will borrow $500 at 5% per annum (levered)
Assume no taxes or transaction costs
Each investor plans to buy the property then flip (sell) it in 1 year.
𝑫𝑫
𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳 = Unlevered
𝑽𝑽
𝟎𝟎
= = 𝟎𝟎
𝟏𝟏, 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎
LVR is ‘Loan to value ration’ which is the total loan (debt) divided by the total value of the asset (A) or (V)
Balance sheets
URSA LIAM
Assets (A) 1,000 Debt (D) 0 Assets (A) 1,000 Debt (D) 500
Value (V) 1,000 Value (V) 1,000 Value (V) 1,000 Value (V) 1,000
𝑫𝑫 𝑫𝑫
𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳 = Unlevered 𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳 = Levered
𝑽𝑽 𝑽𝑽
𝟎𝟎 𝟓𝟓𝟓𝟓𝟓𝟓
= = 𝟎𝟎 = = 𝟎𝟎. 𝟓𝟓
𝟏𝟏, 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎 𝟏𝟏, 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎
LVR is ‘Loan to value ration’ which is the total loan (debt) divided by the total value of the asset (A) or (V)
Ursa’s return on equity (unlevered)
Return on asset rA = 0%
Buy property at t = 0 –1,000
Sell property at t = 1 +1,000
Profit 0
Equity invested 1,000
Return on equity (profit / equity) rE = 0%
Ursa’s return on equity (unlevered)
Return on asset rA = 0% rA = 10%
Buy property at t = 0 –1,000 –1,000
Sell property at t = 1 +1,000 +1,100
Profit 0 +100
Equity invested 1,000 1,000
Return on equity (profit / equity) rE = 0% rE = +10%
Liam’s return on equity (levered)
Return on asset rA = 0%
Buy property at t = 0 –1,000
Sell property at t = 1 +1,000
Pay 5% interest on loan –25
Profit –25
Equity invested 500
Return on equity (profit / equity) rE = –5%
Liam’s return on equity (levered)
Return on asset rA = 0% rA = 10%
Buy property at t = 0 –1,000 –1,000
Sell property at t = 1 +1,000 +1,100
Pay 5% interest on loan –25 –25
Profit –25 +75
Equity invested 500 500
Return on equity (profit / equity) rE = –5% rE = +15%
Financial leverage increases risk
Return on asset rA = 0% rA = 10%
Ursa’s return on equity rE = 0% rE = +10%
Liam’s return on equity rE = –5% rE = +15%
Return on asset
0% 5% 10%
Liam return on equity – 5% 5% + 15% High Financial Leverage
20% variation
Risk is variation
Financial leverage
Involves borrowing money to buy an investment
It magnifies the possible outcomes
… which also magnifies risk
Financial leverage is a key strategy for creating wealth over the long-term
… but it does so with a higher level of risk
When financial leverage goes wrong …
Failure to repay debt can cause bankruptcy
Close to half of the bankruptcies involves loans less than $15k
* By default you should assume that the cash flows occur at the end of each period (unless otherwise specified)
Borrowing capacity example
0 1 2 3 4 5
10 10 10 10 10
P
−𝒏𝒏
𝟏𝟏 − 𝟏𝟏 + 𝒓𝒓
𝑷𝑷𝒏𝒏 = 𝑪𝑪 ×
𝒓𝒓
How much we borrow if we can pay $10 p.a. for 5 years at 5% p.a.?
𝟏𝟏 − 𝟏𝟏. 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎−𝟓𝟓 Calculator
𝑷𝑷𝒏𝒏 = 𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏 × 𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏 × 𝟏𝟏 − 𝟏𝟏. 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎 𝒙𝒙∎ − 𝟓𝟓 → ÷ 𝟎𝟎. 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎 =
𝟎𝟎. 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎
Spreadsheet
= $𝟒𝟒𝟒𝟒. 𝟐𝟐𝟐𝟐 = 𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏 ∗ ( 𝟏𝟏 − 𝟏𝟏. 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎 ^ − 𝟓𝟓 )/ 𝟎𝟎. 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎
* By default you should assume that the cash flows occur at the end of each period (unless otherwise specified)
Loan repayment example
0 1 2 3 4 5
C C C C C
$43.29
−𝒏𝒏
𝟏𝟏 − 𝟏𝟏 + 𝒓𝒓
𝑪𝑪 = 𝑷𝑷𝒏𝒏 ÷
𝒓𝒓
We borrow $43.29 now. Yearly payments for 5 years at 5% p.a.?
* By default you should assume that the cash flows occur at the end of each period (unless otherwise specified)
Loan repayment example
0 1 2 3 4 5
C C C C C
$43.29
−𝒏𝒏
𝟏𝟏 − 𝟏𝟏 + 𝒓𝒓
𝑪𝑪 = 𝑷𝑷𝒏𝒏 ÷
𝒓𝒓
We borrow $43.29 now. Yearly payments for 5 years at 5% p.a.?
Calculator
𝟏𝟏 − 𝟏𝟏. 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎−𝟓𝟓 𝟒𝟒𝟒𝟒. 𝟐𝟐𝟐𝟐 ÷ ( 𝟏𝟏 − 𝟏𝟏. 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎 𝒙𝒙∎ − 𝟓𝟓 → ÷ 𝟎𝟎. 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎 ) =
𝑪𝑪 = 𝟒𝟒𝟒𝟒. 𝟐𝟐𝟐𝟐 ÷
𝟎𝟎. 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎 Spreadsheet
= $𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏. 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎 = 𝟒𝟒𝟒𝟒. 𝟐𝟐𝟐𝟐 / ( ( 𝟏𝟏 − 𝟏𝟏. 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎 ^ − 𝟓𝟓 )/ 𝟎𝟎. 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎 )
* By default you should assume that the cash flows occur at the end of each period (unless otherwise specified)
How much can David borrow?
David is able to afford monthly loan repayments of $1,000 per month. He is
considering taking a home loan with a loan term of 25 years (300 months) at
an interest rate of 6% per year compounded monthly (0.5% per month). The
first loan repayment would be in one month. How much can he borrow?
−𝒏𝒏
𝟏𝟏 − 𝟏𝟏 + 𝒓𝒓
𝑷𝑷𝒏𝒏 = 𝑪𝑪 ×
𝒓𝒓
How much can David borrow?
David is able to afford monthly loan repayments of $1,000 per month. He is
considering taking a home loan with a loan term of 25 years (300 months) at
an interest rate of 6% per year compounded monthly (0.5% per month). The
first loan repayment would be in one month. How much can he borrow?
−𝒏𝒏
𝟏𝟏 − 𝟏𝟏 + 𝒓𝒓
𝑷𝑷𝒏𝒏 = 𝑪𝑪 ×
𝒓𝒓
𝟏𝟏 − 𝟏𝟏. 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎−𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑
= 𝟏𝟏, 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎 ×
𝟎𝟎. 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎
= $𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏, 𝟐𝟐𝟐𝟐𝟐𝟐
What will be Fiona’s loan repayments?
Fiona would like to borrow $400,000 to buy a new home. She is considering
a loan term of 30 years (360 months) at an interest rate of 6% per year
compounded monthly (0.5% per month). The first loan repayment would be
in 1 month. What will be her monthly loan repayments?
−𝒏𝒏
𝟏𝟏 − 𝟏𝟏 + 𝒓𝒓
𝑪𝑪 = 𝑷𝑷𝒏𝒏 ÷
𝒓𝒓
What will be Fiona’s loan repayments?
Fiona would like to borrow $400,000 to buy a new home. She is considering
a loan term of 30 years (360 months) at an interest rate of 6% per year
compounded monthly (0.5% per month). The first loan repayment would be
in 1 month. What will be her monthly loan repayments?
−𝒏𝒏
𝟏𝟏 − 𝟏𝟏 + 𝒓𝒓
𝑪𝑪 = 𝑷𝑷𝒏𝒏 ÷
𝒓𝒓
𝟏𝟏 − 𝟏𝟏. 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎−𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑
= 𝟒𝟒𝟒𝟒𝟒𝟒, 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎 ÷
𝟎𝟎. 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎
= $𝟐𝟐, 𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑𝟑
Interest Rates
Interest Rates driven by Monetary Policy
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) influences interest rates
Monetary policy involves:
1. Setting the ‘cash rate’ which directly influences all interest rates
2. Buying and selling government bonds to influence liquidity
The goal of this is to influence aggregate expenditure in the economy
Higher interest rates decrease consumption and investment
Lower interest rates can stimulate consumption and investment
0 1 2 3
3% 4% 5%
Calculate average* Then add liquidity premium
i1 + i2 + i3
i = i f 4% + 0.5%
=
3
= 4.5%
3% + 4% + 5%
= 4%
3
∗ A geometric average is normally used but I’ve used an arithmetic average here for simplicity!
Term structure of interest rates and yield curves
Fixed interest rate = average expected variable rate + liquidity premium
3. Split rates
Part variable and part fixed … people use them to ‘hedge their bets’
Attractive if you want a fixed rate but also some the flexibility of variable products (redraw)
Repayment terms
Period over which loan must be repaid
Maximum is usually 30 years
Shorter the term
Higher the compulsory repayments
The lower the total interest in the long-run
Less likely to be able to make voluntary extra repayments
Choose if you need the bank to force you to make high payments
Redraw facility
Allows you to withdraw extra repayments at any time
$250,000
$200,000
$150,000
$100,000
$50,000
$0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
2. Avoid borrowing ‘to capacity’
3. Avoid paying Lenders Mortgage Insurance
Borrow less than 80% or use a Family Security Guarantee
4. Use Family Security Guarantee if possible
Borrow 100% of value of property
Place your 20% deposit on ‘redraw’
You still have access to these funds
… for emergency or to make other investments
5. Increase your payment frequency to weekly
This will make a slight difference if you don’t have a mortgage offset
6. Move all your savings into redraw
Any savings in the redraw facility can be accessed within 24 hours
They effectively earn the home loan’s rate of interest (tax free)
7. Be careful of too much in offset account
Keeping $100,000 in an offset account is the same as $100,000 in redraw
… but you will feel ‘richer’ every time you see your transaction balance
… and will end up spending a lot more!
8. Negotiate a good interest rate
Shop around, use a mortgage broker
… threaten to refinance with another bank!
9. Variable rates should be better over long-run
You are saving the ‘liquidity premium’
… and have a lot more flexibility to make additional repayments
… and refinance the home loan (lower rates)
10. Positive cash flow v negative gearing
Australians seem to be obsessed with paying less tax (negative gearing)
Negatively geared properties are usually negative cash flow
… although not always due to deprecation tax deductions not being a cash flow
Positive cash flow investments = less cash flow stress and happier life!
Your Financial Plan
What is your long-term strategy for property?
Will you focus on only your primary residence or investment properties too?
Perform some detailed research for your next property acquisition
What will be your ‘dwelling’ needs for each of your life stages
What will be your borrowing strategy for each life-stage?
What product features are attractive to you? Why?
Details of the drop-in session are towards the top of the course website
If you can’t attend then you are welcome to ask questions on General Forums