ICT Notes Begin Below:: Inner Circle Trader Notes
ICT Notes Begin Below:: Inner Circle Trader Notes
ICT Notes Begin Below:: Inner Circle Trader Notes
Fibonacci Levels
Start by setting up your Fib retracement levels as follows
Level Description
1 100.0
0.618 %$ – 62 percent
0.79 %$ – 79 percent
-0.62 Target 2
-0.27 Target 1
-1 Symmetrical Swing
Michael also points out the ‘impulse leg’ and emphasizes its
significance but it’s not yet clear how this was defined and
singled out.
● A high (low) with two lower highs (lows) on either side of it
makes the high (low) in the middle a ‘significant high (low)’
Concept from Larry Williams (author of W%R and awesome
oscillator, good company to keep
● A significant high (low) being broken is more convincing than
the break of the short-term high.
3 bar swing
The daily TF is the most important (“a goldmine”).
A swing high (low) is a high (low) with two lower highs (lows)
flanking it on either side.
When you have a swing high you want to look at the previous day’s
lows (highs). If price broke through the prior day’s low (high) there is
a good probability that it will continue the following day.
Michael doesn’t define what he means by continuation but I’ll
assume “continue” is defined as setting a new higher high or lower
low the following day.
As Jake Bernstein says, always check things out for yourself. So I did
and found this to be generally true. Kind of amazing that it’s not
better known (or at least, discussed) among traders considering how
elementary and fundamental it is.
ICT W.E.N.T series part 1
● Forex is a good opportunity to make an exceptional living but
you need to be committed
● You should focus on the risk not the reward
● You need to treat it like a business owner running a business
● Go through all the material, don’t cherry-pick
● You are being trained like good sheep to go out and lose
money (“get slaughtered”). The market is a playground for the
banks. When I look at the way Forex is taught on sites like
Babypips I have to agree with this. Brokers want you to lose but
not too quickly, so that they can ‘milk’ you. Hence the oft-quoted
“only risk 1% of your account per trade” even though position
sizing should be tailored to the strategy, and a fixed equity
sizing system is not always the best in all situations. The herd
is taught all the same things on most sites- for ex.
MACD/crossovers, etc.
● Ground rules:
○ Leave your ego at the door
○ Know thyself; spend a week analyzing your personality –
it determines the type of trader you’ll be
○ Don’t underestimate the power of forming bad habits
during demo trading. Trade with the amount of leverage
that you’d be able to use in a live account.
○ Treat the demo account like your business equity
○ Learn to walk before you run – you don’t need hundreds
of pips a month to earn a good compounded return; if
you double your account in a year that’s still a
phenomenal result.
○ Keep your ego in check (see #1). Don’t brag on the
forums.
○ Avoid the trader’s graveyard – overtrading,
overleveraging, trading without a plan, trading without a
protective stop
○ It doesn’t require long hours; don’t burn out
● Swing points – a three candle pattern with the middle candle
flanked by two candles that are either lower or higher. If the
middle candle is higher than its brothers, it is a ‘swing high’, if
lower, then it’s a ‘swing low’.
● You should keep in mind the range between the highest high
and the lowest low of these swings. This needs a name.
Maybe a ‘swing range’?
● We can mark the high and low of the range with a horizontal
line. Is this something we should be doing in every analysis?
● “Over time you’ll adopt an eye for price swings and the ones
that will be most useful to you will become obviously much
more apparent as time goes on.” Can this be stated with more
specificity? For example in the form of when you see X perform
Y?
● The OHLC prices of those three candles are sensitive price
points.
● Budget your time. Make time for your family, life, etc.
ICT W.E.N.T series part 2
● It’s not a sprint, it’s a marathon
● If we improve stop accuracy we can reduce the pip goal and
still meet total profit objectives
● You can measure distance in pips using a rectangle
● Use the Monthly high/lows, the daily high/lows in swing points
to build levels off which you expect price to react
ICT W.E.N.T series part 3
● Finding your way in price
○ Know your trading timeframe
○ Frame trades on at least 3 timeframes
○ For position trading – monthly – weekly – daily
(trades last months or years)
○ For swing trading – daily – 4 hour – 1 hour (trades
last a week or more)
○ “Short-term trades” – 4 hour – 1 hour – M15
○ Day trading & scalping – 1 hour – M15 – M5
● Starting with the day trade/scalping timeframe gives you
immediate feedback
● The keys to multiple TF market structure
○ Manage trades on the highest or middle TF; focus should
be on the highest
○ Lowest is used to enter and signal potential reversals
○ Highest probability trades are made in the direction of
the highest TF
○ All trades are framed on key support & resistance levels
○ Market profiles help with market structure analysis
● A ‘break in microstructure’ is when price breaks past a swing
high or swing low.
● During periods of consolidation support and resistance levels
should be studied. These areas are more easily traded
because they have discernible price levels.
● A previous swing can be measured to project a price target for
a swing in the opposite direction; identified by a break in a
previous swing high/low. Is there a difference in the terms
‘price swing’ and ‘price leg’?
● By marking out your swing levels you build a framework that’s
needed to know if you’re in a long-term or intermediate term
price swing within your market structure.
● Traders need to be comfortable with uncertainty and having a
correct directional bias doesn’t guarantee profitability
● Moving from higher TF to lower TF we calibrate likely support
and resistance levels by finding historical areas of
consolidation
● Higher level charts dictate direction.
ICT W.E.N.T series part 4
● Support and resistance is more reliable than lagging
indicators
● Horizontal support and resistance is more reliable than
diagonal (trend lines)
● You need to find consistent trade setups and trade them the
same way consistently; otherwise you’re just gambling;
support and resistance is crucial to this
● There are two types of support and resistance – natural and
implied.
○ Natural types mostly break down into time periods
○ 12 month
○ Quarterly
○ Monthly
○ Weekly
○ Daily
○ Session
○ Intraday fractals
○ Trendline analysis – Channels
○ Implied
○ Fib levels
○ Pivot points
COT Reports
● COT reports – there are 3 groups reporting
○ Small speculators
○ Large speculators
○ Commercials – Users and suppliers
○ The commercials and large speculators are usually in
diametrically opposite positions
○ 12 month and 4 year highs/lows are significant
predictors of change
○ When commercials are extreme long, expect a low to be
forming, when extreme short, expect a top. This could
take months to unfold however.
○ COT Insider Tactic
○ When commercials are extreme long reduce risk on
shorts and start looking for long opportunities
○ When commercials move to net short positions,
there may be a downside correction, but don’t be
fooled; it’s still a bull market.
○ When commercials return to net long (less
extreme) look for swing or position long trades
(market will still be declining, yes? We are expecting
the market to decline while commercials are bullish
and vice versa?)
○ Commercials return to net short, expect more
short-term corrections, ok to take short-term short
trades
○ Commercials return to net long, smallest majority
position to date; look for buying opportunities
○ By the time commercials are at an extreme net
short position the market should have risen near its
top; reduce longs and start looking for shorts.
○ Having an understanding of support and
resistance/market structure along with the COT chart
can help you get in synch for monster position trades
(1000+pips)
● 90% of the best moves take place in a ‘turtle soup’
environment where there is a false break below an old low.
Assume the reverse is true as well. Sell stops are being taken
out right before price rallies. Smart money taking out dumb
money? Rejections/raids on liquidity pools? ABCD extension?
I’m just going to assume I”ll understand these terms once I’ve
watched 12-120 more videos.
● “Put this in your notes – when you see THIS.” What is ‘this’?
The sudden drop to take out an old low? Ok, it’s already in my
notes, I hope.
● Each low-to-high range (“measured move”) will repeat?
● When commercials rapidly change gears it might not be a
contrarian indicator the way it usually is (? Did I get this right? I
don’t understand the difference between the small bumps and
the big bumps in the commercial chart or the explanation given
for the possible difference.)
● Smart money buys when price is dropping, and presumably
vice-versa. You want to be trading in the opposite direction
you want to see a profit.
● Stop listening to the herd
● Focus on the smart money.
● You want to trade in the direction of the most recent 12 month
commercial net position (??) I think you mean in the direction
of the large speculators? We want to trade in the opposite
direction to the commercials who are hedging against the
actual anticipated price movement?)
● Wait for price to form intermediate swings? (“Intermediate” is
relative to trading horizon?)
● Use the OTE pattern to enter with the large traders (here you
mention you mean the speculators, not the commercials)
● Filter longs when commercials are extreme short
(12mth/4year) and vice versa.
USD/CAD Analysis
● London ICT Killzone? (I presume this was explained in another
video or maybe I missed it.)
● Barcharts.com – click ‘add study’ and choose ‘commitment of
traders’ (name changed since video was made) Using 5 year
period.
● Daily chart – using 18 & 40 period EMAs.
● Open interest – no longer on Barchart.com? Or is ‘volume’ the
same as total volume? Contract volume is also missing now.
What should we try using now?
● Trading on the higher timeframes puts you in synch with the
smart money.
● The opening of the distance between the MA’s is indicative of
‘stacking’. Which basically just means price was rising? Or
smart money was re-purchasing at every dip?