Technical Analysis
Technical Analysis
Technical Analysis
Secondary Trend
Minor Trend
• Primary Trends Have Three Phases (Bull Market)
-
Accumulation Phase
Public Participation or Big move
Excess or Phenomenal Advance
In Bear Market -
Distribution Phase
Public participation Phase
Panic or Despair Phase
• Volume Must Confirm the Trend
• Trends Persist Until a Clear Reversal Occurs
• What is Support - Support is a price level where a
downtrend can be expected to pause due to a
concentration of demand or buying interest.
• A support level exists at a price where considerable
demand for the stock is expected to prevent a further
fall in the price level.
• In the support level, the fall in the price may be
halted for the time being or it may result even in
price reversal.
• What is Resistance – its an indication when
asset has reached a price level that market
participants are unwilling to continue
buying, which causes the price to stop rising.
• More and more sellers will be active the closer
the price gets to the resistance level
• Resistance is a price level at which upward
movement may be restrained
• Trend line is one of the chart patterns
• It is constructed by joining two or more price
points with a straight line.
• The purpose of a trend line is to identify the
mother trend of the price movements
• Trend lines are used to predict support and
resistance
• The trend line is usually extended forward to
identify sloped areas of support and resistance.
• A Channel is a set of parallel trend lines defined
by the highs and lows
• Price will move up and down between the
support and resistance lines of the price channel.
• Channel lines are used as entry and exit
signals because they play the role of a support and
resistance.
• Types of Channels – Ascending , Descending and
Horizontal
• Trends formation is an essential element when it
comes to Technical analysis. Without knowing the
underlying trend, it would be difficult to predict
future prices.
• Trends are formed across all time frames, monthly,
weekly, daily and also to intraday time frames as
well.
• A market trend is a tendency of financial markets
to move in a particular direction over time
• Trends are made up of peaks and troughs
• All trends fall under one of the following three categories
Uptrend
downtrend
sideways trend
• Uptrend - An uptrend is defined as a series of price
movements which form higher highs and higher lows
• Downtrend - In downtrend prices make lower lows
compared to the previous lows while also making lower
highs
• Sideways Trend – In sideways trend no Fresh highs or
fresh low are being established
Magnetic Trading
- Prices never move in a straight line, it always move in
waves
- Magnetic Trading are often referred to as price
retracements or price correction
- Magnetic Trading is typical price movement after
giving a breakout of an important level of support or
resistance
- The pros of magnetic trading in uptrends are that
you’re buying low and selling high and vice a versa in
downtrend
• Doji is single candle
pattern which formed
when both open and
closing price is same.
• It represents indecision
in the markets.
• Indecision reigns, as
neither the buyers and
sellers are in control.
• The Hammer candle formed when the
open, high, and close are roughly the
same price. Also, there is a long lower
shadow, twice the length as the real
body.
• There should be no upper shadow or
a very small upper shadow.
• The color of the body does not matter
• A Hammer candlestick pattern is
considered as a bullish reversal
pattern when formed during a
downtrend.
• One can enter once the high gets break
with keeping stop out level below the
low of the candle
• The hanging man is a single
candle pattern which occurs
in uptrend.
• Don’t confuse the Hammer
with the Hanging Man.
• A Hanging Man looks
identical but only forms at
the end of an uptrend, while
the Hammer forms after a
downtrend.
• One can enter once the low gets
break with keeping stop out
level above the high of the
candle
• Bullish Engulfing is Two candle
pattern
• The Bullish Engulfing
Candlestick Pattern is a bullish
reversal pattern, usually
occurring at the bottom of a
downtrend
• Formation consist of bearish
candle is encompassed by the
body of a consequent bullish
candle.
• Also white candle should open
with gap down
• One can enter once the high of
the green candle gets break with
keeping stop out level below the
low of the green candle
• Bullish Engulfing is Two candle
pattern
• The Bearish Engulfing
candlestick pattern is considered
to be a bearish reversal pattern
and occurs after a significant
uptrend.
• Formation consist of bullish
candle is encompassed by the
body of a consequent bearish
candle.
• Also red candle should open
with gap up
• One can enter once the low of
the red candle gets break with
keeping stop out level above the
high of the red candle
• Bullish Piercing is two candle
Reversal pattern
• Formation consist of a black
candlestick followed by a white
candle
• The white candle should open with
gap down
• white candle should close above
the median of the black candle
• The size of the piercing
candlesticks is large in relation to
the previous candles
• One can enter once the high of the
green candle gets break with
keeping stop out level below the
low of the green candle
• Bearish Piercing is two candle Reversal
pattern
• Formation consist of a Green
candlestick followed by a Red candle
• The Red candle should open with gap
up
• Red candle should close below the
median of the green candle
• The size of the piercing candlesticks is
large in relation to the previous
candles
• One can enter once the low of the red
candle gets break with keeping stop out
level above the high of the red candle
• Bullish Harami is two candle Reversal
pattern
• Bullish Harami is Bullish reversal
Pattern by nature
• Formation consists of a bearish candle
with a large body, followed by a bullish
candle with a small body enclosed
within the body of the previous
candle
• A small Green candle should open with
a strong gap up
• One can enter once the high of the
green candle gets break with keeping
stop out level below the low of the red
candle
• Bearish Harami is two candle Reversal
pattern
• Bearish Harami is Bearish reversal
Pattern by nature
• Formation consists of a bullish candle
with a large body, followed by a bearish
candle with a small body enclosed
within the body of the previous
candle
• A small red candle should open with a
strong gap down
• One can enter once the low of the red
candle gets break with keeping stop out
level above the high of the green candle
• Morning star is Three candle reversal
pattern
• It warns of weakness in a downtrend
that could potentially lead to a trend
reversal.
• Formation consist of a long red candle
extending the current downtrend, a small
middle candle with gap down opening
and long green candle that open with a
gap up and should close above the
median of the first candle
• Morning star should form after
consistent downtrend
• One can enter once the high of the green
candle gets break with keeping stop out
level below the low of the center candle
•
• Evening star is Three candle
reversal pattern
• It warns of strength in a uptrend that
could potentially lead to a trend
reversal.
• Formation consist of a long green
candle extending the current
uptrend, a small middle candle with
gap up opening and long red
candle that open with a gap up and
should close below the median of
the first candle
• Evening star should form after
consistent uptrend
• One can enter once the low of the red
candle gets break with keeping stop
out level above the high of the center
candle
THREE WHITE SOLDIER
• A Pennant is basically a
variant of a Flag where
the area of consolidation
has converging trend
lines, similar to a
Triangle.
Cup & Handle Pattern
• A Cup and Handle pattern is a bullish
continuation pattern
• The cup part of the pattern is where the
price gradually changes its direction from
bearish to bullish
• The handle part is where the price pullback
slightly before roars higher and continues
the mother trend
• Volume should decrease as prices move
down & remain lower than average in the
base of the bowl, it should then increase
when the stock starts to make its move
higher
• Target determined by calculating a
distance between the bottom & the
pattern breakout level.
• A double top is a trend reversal pattern that happens at
the end of bull market.
• A Double Top is a chart pattern where the prices made a
high twice but fails to break out higher.
• A double top is simply a retest of a resistance line
• A pattern look like “M”
• The pullback between the two highs should be moderate
and that minor support is called Neckline
• The pattern gets confirmed once the price breaches the
Neckline
• Target can be calculated as second peak minus
neckline and stop out level is high of the second peak
• Double Bottom is bullish reversal pattern by nature
usually occurs at the end of the bear market
• A Double Bottom is a chart pattern where the price holds a
low two times and fails to break down lower during the
second attempt, and instead continues higher.
• It look like “W”
• Double bottom formed in downtrend and reverse it to
uptrend as price breaks through strong resistance line
• Target can be calculated as neckline minus second
bottom and stop out level is below low of second low
• Head &Shoulder is bearish reversal pattern by nature
• Formation consist of the left shoulder, the head, the right
shoulder, and the neckline
• The H&S pattern has the shape of a head and two
shoulders, as the name suggests
• The line that connects the lows, often called the
“neckline”, the pattern is confirmed once the price
breaches the neckline
• Targets can be calculated by deducting value of head
and neckline
• Stop out level in H&S is always right shoulder
• Inverted head and shoulder pattern is a bullish
reversal pattern by nature
• Inverse H&S pattern is usually formed in
declining market or after strong decline
• Ideally, the two shoulders would be equal in
height and width
• Traders looks to get in (Long) once neckline
gets break decisively
• Technical indicators are based on
mathematical equations that produce a value
that is then plotted on your chart. Eg. Moving
Average
• A technical indicator offers a different
perspective from which to analyze the strength
and direction of the underlying price action.
• There are two categories of technical
indicators:
Leading indicators give trade signals
where a trend is about to start . For example –
RSI
Lagging indicators follow the price
action. – Moving Average
• There are two basic types of technical
indicators:
Overlays
Oscillators
• Overlay - Technical indicators that use the
same scale as prices are plotted over the top of
the prices on a stock chart. Eg- Moving
average
• Oscillators - Technical indicators that oscillate
between a local minimum and maximum are
plotted above or below a price chart. Eg- RSI
• RSI is one of the most popular oscillator
• A big component of its formula is the
ratio between the average gain and
average loss over the last 14 periods
• The RSI is bound between 0 – 100 and is
considered overbought above 70 and
oversold when below 30.
• Readings over 50 indicate price
movement that is generally rising
• Readings below 50 indicate price
movement that is generally falling