Statistics Probability The Central Limit Theorem

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Central Limit Theorem was

summarized as follows:
1. As the sample size n increases,
the sampling distribution of the means
approaches a normal distribution.
2. The mean of the sampling
distribution of means is equal to the
mean of the population.
3. The variance of the sampling
distribution of means is equal to the
variance of the population divided by the
sample size.
4. The standard deviation of the
sampling distribution of means is equal
to the standard deviation of the
population divided by the square root of
the sample size.
KEY TAKEAWAYS:
The central limit theorem (CLT) states
that the distribution of sample means
approximates a normal distribution as the
sample size gets larger, regardless of the
population's distribution.
Sample sizes equal to or greater than
30 are often considered sufficient for the
CLT to hold.
A key aspect of CLT is that the average of the
sample means and standard deviations will
equal the population mean and standard
deviation.
A sufficiently large sample size can predict
the characteristics of a population more
accurately.
CLT is useful in finance when analyzing a
large collection of securities to estimate
portfolio distributions and traits for returns,
risk, and correlation.
As a general rule, sample sizes of around 30-
50 are deemed sufficient for the CLT to hold,
meaning that the distribution of the sample
means is fairly normally distributed.
Therefore, the more samples one takes, the
more the graphed results take the shape of a
normal distribution. Note, however, that the
central limit theorem will still be
approximated in many cases for much
smaller sample sizes, such as n = 8 or n = 5.
The central limit theorem is often used in
conjunction with the law of large numbers,
which states that the average of the sample
means and standard deviations will come
closer to equaling the population mean and
standard deviation as the sample size
grows, which is extremely useful in
accurately predicting the characteristics of
populations.
Key Components of the Central Limit Theorem
The central limit theorem is comprised of
several key characteristics. These
characteristics largely revolve around
samples, sample sizes, and the population of
data.

Sampling is successive. This means some


sample units are common with sample units
selected on previous occasions.
Sampling is random. All samples
must be selected at random so that they
have the same statistical possibility of
being selected.
Samples should be independent. The
selections or results from one sample
should have no bearing on future
samples or other sample results.
Samples should be limited. It's often
cited that a sample should be no more
than 10% of a population if sampling is
done without replacement. In general,
larger population sizes warrant the use
of larger sample sizes.
Sample size is increasing. The
central limit theorem is relevant as
more samples are selected.

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