2025 MandateForLeadership FULL
2025 MandateForLeadership FULL
2025 MandateForLeadership FULL
Project 2025
P R ESI D EN T I A L T R A N S I TI O N P R OJE C T
© 2023 by The Heritage Foundation
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ISBN: 978-0-89195-174-2
3. CENTRAL PERSONNEL AGENCIES:
MANAGING THE BUREAUCRACY.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69
Donald Devine, Dennis Dean Kirk, and Paul Dans
27. FINANCIAL REGULATORY AGENCIES. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 829
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
AND RELATED AGENCIES.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 829
David R. Burton
CONSUMER FINANCIAL PROTECTION BUREAU. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 837
Robert Bowes
28. FEDERAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 845
Brendan Carr
29. FEDERAL ELECTION COMMISSION.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 861
Hans A. von Spakovsky
30. FEDERAL TRADE COMMISSION. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 869
Adam Candeub
ONWARD!. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 883
Edwin J. Feulner
Acknowledgments
T
his work, Mandate for Leadership 2025: The Conservative Promise, is a col-
lective effort of hundreds of volunteers who have banded together in the
spirit of advancing positive change for America. Our work is by no means
the comprehensive compendium of conservative policies, nor is our group the
exclusive cadre of conservative thinkers. The ideas expressed in this volume are
not necessarily shared by all. What unites us is the drive to make our country better.
First and foremost, we thank the chapter authors and contributors who gave
so freely of their time in service of their country.
We were particularly grateful to have the help of dedicated members of The
Heritage Foundation’s management and policy teams. Executive Vice President
Derrick Morgan, Chief of Staff Wesley Coopersmith, Associate Director of Project
2025 Spencer Chretien, and Thomas A. Roe Institute for Economic Policy Studies
Director Paul Ray devoted a significant amount of their valuable time to reviewing
and editing the lengthy manuscript and provided expert advice and insight.
The job of transforming the work of dozens of authors and hundreds of
contributors into a cohesive manuscript fell upon Heritage’s formidable team of
editors led by Director of Research Editors Therese Pennefather, Senior Editor
William T. Poole, Marla Hess, Jessica Lowther, Karina Rollins, and Kathleen
Scaturro, without whose tireless efforts you would not be reading these words.
The talented work of Data Graphics Services Manager John Fleming, Manager of
Web Development and Print Projects Jay Simon, Director of Marketing Elizabeth
Fender, Senior Graphic Designer Grace Desandro, and Senior Designer Melissa
Bluey came together to bring the volume to life. We also thank the dedicated junior
staff who provided immeasurable assistance, especially Jordan Embree, Sarah
Calvis, and Jonathan Moy.
Most important, we are grateful to the leadership, supporters, and donors of
each of the Project 2025 advisory board member organizations and those of The
Heritage Foundation, without whom Project 2025 would not be possible.
Thank you.
— ix —
The Project 2025
Advisory Board
Alabama Policy Institute
Alliance Defending Freedom
American Compass
The American Conservative
America First Legal Foundation
American Accountability Foundation
American Center for Law and Justice
American Cornerstone Institute
American Council of Trustees and Alumni
American Legislative Exchange Council
The American Main Street Initiative
American Moment
American Principles Project
Center for Equal Opportunity
Center for Family and Human Rights
Center for Immigration Studies
Center for Renewing America
Claremont Institute
Coalition for a Prosperous America
Competitive Enterprise Institute
Conservative Partnership Institute
Concerned Women for America
Defense of Freedom Institute
Ethics and Public Policy Center
Family Policy Alliance
Family Research Council
First Liberty Institute
Forge Leadership Network
Foundation for Defense of Democracies
Foundation for Government Accountability
FreedomWorks
The Heritage Foundation
Hillsdale College
Honest Elections Project
— xi —
Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
— xii —
The 2025 Presidential
Transition Project
A NOTE ON
“PROJECT 2025”
W
e want you! The 2025 Presidential Transition Project is the conservative
movement’s
unified effort to be ready for the next conservative
Administration
to govern at 12:00 noon, January 20, 2025. Welcome
to the mission. By opening this book, you are now a part of it. Indeed, one set
of eyes reading these passages will be those of the 47th President of the United
States, and we hope every other reader will join in making the incoming Admin-
istration a success.
History teaches that a President’s power to implement an agenda is at its apex during
the Administration’s opening days. To execute requires a well-conceived, coordinated,
unified plan and a trained and committed cadre of personnel to implement it. In recent
election cycles, presidential candidates normally began transition planning in the late
spring of election year or even after the party’s nomination was secured. That is too late.
The federal government’s complexity and growth advance at a seemingly logarithmic
rate every four years. For conservatives to have a fighting chance to take on the Adminis-
trative State and reform our federal government, the work must start now. The entirety
of this effort is to support the next conservative President, whoever he or she may be.
In the winter of 1980, the fledging Heritage Foundation handed to President-elect
Ronald Reagan the inaugural Mandate for Leadership. This collective work by conser-
vative thought leaders and former government hands—most of whom were not part of
Heritage—set out policy prescriptions, agency by agency for the incoming President.
The book literally put the conservative movement and Reagan on the same page, and
the revolution that followed might never have been, save for this band of committed and
volunteer activists. With this volume, we have gone back to the future—and then some.
— xiii —
Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
It’s not 1980. In 2023, the game has changed. The long march of cultural Marxism
through our institutions has come to pass. The federal government is a behemoth,
weaponized against American citizens and conservative values, with freedom and
liberty under siege as never before. The task at hand to reverse this tide and restore
our Republic to its original moorings is too great for any one conservative policy shop
to spearhead. It requires the collective action of our movement. With the quickening
approach of January 2025, we have two years and one chance to get it right.
Project 2025 is more than 50 (and growing) of the nation’s leading conservative
organizations joining forces to prepare and seize the day. The axiom goes “person-
nel is policy,” and we need a new generation of Americans to answer the call and
come to serve. This book is functionally an invitation for you the reader—Mr. Smith,
Mrs. Smith, and Ms. Smith—to come to Washington or support those who can. Our
goal is to assemble an army of aligned, vetted, trained, and prepared conservatives
to go to work on Day One to deconstruct the Administrative State.
The project is built on four pillars.
professional profiles and our coalition members to review and voice their
recommendations. These recommendations will then be collated and shared
with the President-elect’s team, greatly streamlining the appointment process.
l In Pillar IV—the Playbook—we are forming agency teams and drafting tran-
sition plans to move out upon the President’s utterance of “so help me God.”
As Americans living at the approach of our nation’s 250th birthday, we have been
given much. As conservatives, we are as much required to steward this precious
heritage for the next generation. On behalf of our coalition partners, we thank you
and invite you to come join with us at project2025.org.
Paul Dans
Director, Project 2025
— xiv —
Authors
Daren Bakst is Deputy Director, Center for Energy and Environment, and Senior
Fellow at the Competitive Enterprise Institute (CEI). Before joining CEI, Daren
was a Senior Research Fellow at The Heritage Foundation, where he played a lead-
ing role in the launch of the organization’s new energy and environmental center.
For a decade, he led Heritage’s food and agricultural policy work, and he edited and
co-authored Heritage’s book Farms and Free Enterprise. He has testified numerous
times before Congress, has appeared frequently on media outlets, and has played
leadership roles in such organizations such as the Federalist Society, American
Agricultural Law Association, and Food and Drug Law Institute (serving on the
Food and Drug Law Journal’s editorial advisory board).
ously served as Chief Counsel for the Trump transition and earlier clerked for
Associate Justice Samuel Alito and Judge Jerry Smith of the U.S. Court of Appeals
for the Fifth Circuit. He is a graduate of Yale College and Columbia University
School of Law.
Lindsey M. Burke is Director of the Center for Education Policy at The Heritage
Foundation. Burke served on Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin’s transition
steering committee and landing team for education. She serves on the Board
of Visitors for George Mason University, the board of the Educational Free-
dom Institute, and the advisory board of the Independent Women’s Forum’s
Education Freedom Center. Dr. Burke’s research has been published in such
journals as Social Science Quarterly, Educational Research and Evaluation, and
Research in Educational Administration and Leadership. She holds a BA from
Hollins University, an MA from the University of Virginia, and a PhD from George
Mason University.
— xv —
Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Benjamin S. Carson, Sr., MD, is Founder and Chairman of the American Corner-
stone Institute and previously served as the 17th Secretary of the U.S. Department
of Housing and Urban Development. Born in Detroit to a single mother with a
third-grade education, Dr. Carson was raised to love reading and education. He
attended Yale and earned his MD from the University of Michigan Medical School.
For nearly 30 years, Dr. Carson served as Director of Pediatric Neurosurgery at
the Johns Hopkins Children’s Center, where he performed the first separation of
twins conjoined at the back of the head.
— xvi —
2025 Presidential Transition Project
Rick Dearborn served as Deputy Chief of Staff for President Donald Trump and
was responsible for the day-to-day operations of five separate departments of the
Executive Office of the President. He also served as Executive Director of the 2016
President-elect Donald Trump transition team. Before that, Rick served in several
roles, including as Chief of Staff, in the office of then-U.S. Senator Jeff Sessions
(R-AL) for nearly two decades. Between his two tours in Senator Sessions’ office,
he was appointed by President George W. Bush as Assistant Secretary of Energy for
Congressional Affairs. Earlier in his career, Rick worked for the National Repub-
lican Senatorial Committee, the Senate Republican Conference, and the Senate
Steering Committee. He graduated from the University of Oklahoma with a BA in
Public Administration and a minor in economics.
Veronique de Rugy is the George Gibbs Chair in Political Economy and Senior
Research Fellow at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University and a nation-
ally syndicated columnist. Her primary research interests include the U.S. economy,
the federal budget, taxation, tax competition, and cronyism. De Rugy is the author
of a weekly opinion column for the Creators Syndicate, writes regular columns
for Reason magazine, and blogs about economics at National Review Online’s The
Corner. She received her MA in economics from the Paris Dauphine University and
her PhD in economics from the Panthéon-Sorbonne University.
Donald Devine is Senior Scholar at The Fund for American Studies in Washington,
DC. He was President Ronald Reagan’s first-term Office of Personnel Management
Director when The Washington Post labeled him “Reagan’s Terrible Swift Sword of
the Civil Service” for cutting bureaucracy and reducing spending by billions of dol-
lars. He was a professor at the University of Maryland and Bellevue University and
is a columnist and author of 10 books, including his recent The Enduring Tension.
— xvii —
Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Office of Positioning, Navigation and Timing and Spectrum Management; and the
University Transportation Center program. Diana worked in senior roles in the
White House under Presidents Ronald Reagan, George H.W. Bush, and George W.
Bush, where she was Chief of Staff of the Council of Economic Advisers.
Counsel for the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee under Chair-
man Jim Inhofe. She received her BA from Mississippi College and her JD from
the University of Mississippi School of Law.
Gene Hamilton is Vice-President and General Counsel of America First Legal Foun-
dation. Gene served as Counselor to the Attorney General at the U.S. Department of
Justice; Senior Counselor to the Secretary of Homeland Security; General Counsel on
the Senate Committee on the Judiciary; Assistant Chief Counsel at U.S. Immigration
and Customs Enforcement; and as an Attorney Advisor in the Secretary’s Honors
Program for Attorneys at the Department of Homeland Security. Gene graduated
from the Washington and Lee University School of Law magna cum laude and Order
of the Coif and has a BA in international affairs from the University of Georgia.
Jennifer Hazelton has worked as a senior strategic consultant for the Depart-
ment of Defense in Industrial Base Policy and has held senior positions at USAID,
the Export–Import Bank of the United States, and the State Department. She was
also a communications director in the U.S. Congress and worked as an award-win-
ning journalist for CNN and Fox News Channel. Hazelton holds an MA in business
administration from Emory University and earned her BA from the Univer-
sity of Georgia.
— xviii —
2025 Presidential Transition Project
Karen Kerrigan is President and CEO of the Small Business & Entrepreneurship
Council and has helped to strengthen U.S. entrepreneurship and global business
growth for 28 years. She has provided counsel across the globe via training missions
focused on entrepreneurial development, effective advocacy, policy formation,
and implementation. Karen testifies regularly before Congress and has served on
numerous federal advisory boards representing the interests of entrepreneurs
and small businesses.
Dennis Dean Kirk is Associate Director for Personnel Policy with the 2025 Pres-
idential Transition Project at The Heritage Foundation. Born and raised in Kansas,
he graduated with honors from Northern Arizona University and Washburn Uni-
versity Law School. Dennis has over 45 years of experience in private law and
public federal government counsel services. He served in President George Bush’s
Administration in the U.S. Army’s Office of General Counsel and later as Associate
General Counsel for Strategic Integration and Business Transformation, where
he was recognized with the Exceptional Civilian and Meritorious Civilian Service
Awards and other awards. During the Trump Administration, Dennis served in
senior positions at the Office of Personnel Management and was nominated by
President Trump to be Chairman of the Merit Systems Protection Board.
Educated at the Catholic University of America and North Carolina State Univer-
sity, he has written on telecommunications, privacy, environmental, antitrust, and
consumer protection regulation as well as trade policy and the design of regulatory
systems. Kent’s policy research and advocacy have taken him to 45 state capitals,
more than a dozen countries, and deep into the heart of the federal regulatory state.
— xix —
Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Department of Defense, Miller was an Army Green Beret in the 5th Special Forces
Group with multiple combat tours in Iraq and Afghanistan, achieving the rank of
colonel. Miller earned a BA from George Washington University and an MA from
the Naval War College. He also graduated from the College of Naval Command and
Staff and the Army War College.
Mora Namdar is an attorney and Senior Fellow at the American Foreign Policy
Council. She speaks fluent Farsi and is an expert on U.S. national security, human
rights, global communications, the Middle East, and international law. Mora served
as senior advisor for critical issues at the U.S. State Department and was appointed
by President Donald Trump to perform the duties of the Assistant Secretary of
State for Consular Affairs. She also served as Vice President of Legal, Compliance,
and Risk at the U.S. Agency for Global Media.
Peter Navarro holds a PhD in economics from Harvard and was one of only three
senior White House officials to serve with Donald Trump from the 2016 campaign
to the end of the President’s first term. He was the West Wing’s chief China hawk
and trade czar and served as Director of the Office of Trade and Manufacturing
Policy and Defense Production Act Policy Coordinator. His books include The
Coming China Wars (2006); Death by China (2011); Crouching Tiger (2015); and his
White House memoirs In Trump Time (2021) and Taking Back Trump’s America
(2022). His top-rated Taking Back Trump’s America podcast appears on Apple
Podcasts and Google Podcasts.
— xx —
2025 Presidential Transition Project
Max Primorac is Director of the Douglas and Sarah Allison Center for Foreign
Policy Studies at The Heritage Foundation. He was acting Chief Operating Officer
and Assistant to the Administrator, Bureau for Humanitarian Assistance, at the
U.S. Agency for International Development. Previously he was deputy director of
Iraq’s reconstruction program at the U.S. Department of State and a senior adviser
in the Office of the Secretary. Max was educated at Franklin and Marshall College
and the University of Chicago.
Kiron K. Skinner is President and CEO of the Foundation for America and the
World, Taube Professor of International Relations and Politics at Pepperdine
University’s School of Public Policy, W. Glenn Campbell Research Fellow at the
Hoover Institution, and a Visiting Fellow and Senior Advisor at The Heritage
Foundation. Skinner served as Director of Policy Planning and Senior Advisor at
the U.S. Department of State from 2018 to 2019 and was a member of the Defense
Business Board at the U.S. Department of Defense in 2020. Skinner holds an MA
and a PhD in political science from Harvard University and undergraduate degrees
from Spelman College and Sacramento City College.
Hans A. von Spakovsky is Senior Legal Fellow and Manager of the Election Law
Reform Initiative in the Edwin Meese Center III Center for Legal and Judicial
Studies at The Heritage Foundation. He is a former member of President Donald
Trump’s Advisory Commission on Election Integrity. From 2006 to 2007, von
— xxi —
Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Russ Vought is Founder and President of the Center for Renewing America. A
longtime conservative leader on Capitol Hill, Russ served in President Trump’s
Cabinet as Director of the Office of Management and Budget, where he oversaw
the implementation of the presidential budget, key policies on deregulation, and
a landmark effort to eliminate critical race theory and other radical ideologies in
executive agencies. Prior to his White House service, Russ spent nearly two decades
in the broader conservative movement on Capitol Hill, including as Policy Direc-
tor for the House Republican Conference, Executive Director of the Republican
Study Committee, and Legislative Assistant to former U.S. Senator Phil Gramm.
Russ graduated with a BA from Wheaton College and received a JD from George
Washington University Law School.
He is the immediate past President of the Council for National Policy. His extensive
board service includes The Heritage Foundation, American Conservative Union,
American Enterprise Institute, U.S. Chamber of Commerce, National Venture Cap-
ital Association, and Financial Services Roundtable.
EDITORS
Paul Dans is Director of the 2025 Presidential Transition Project at The Heritage
Foundation, organizing policy and personnel recommendations and training for
appointees in the next presidential Administration. Before joining Heritage, he
served in the Trump Administration as Chief of Staff at the U.S. Office of Personnel
— xxii —
2025 Presidential Transition Project
Management, as OPM’s White House liaison, and as a senior advisor at the U.S.
Department of Housing and Urban Development. Paul has extensive experience
in high-stakes commercial litigation and worked for several large international law
firms in New York City from 1997 to 2012 before founding his own law firm. He is a
graduate of the University of Virginia School of Law and received his graduate and
undergraduate degrees from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
Steven Groves is the Margaret Thatcher Fellow in the Margaret Thatcher Center
for Freedom at The Heritage Foundation. Groves served in the Trump Adminis-
tration, first as Ambassador Nikki Haley’s Chief of Staff at the U.S. Mission to the
United Nations. He later joined the White House as Assistant Special Counsel,
representing the White House in the Mueller investigation. Groves also served as
White House Deputy Press Secretary. His prior positions include Senior Counsel
for the U.S. Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations and associate at
Boies, Schiller & Flexner LLP. Groves holds an LLM from Georgetown University
Law Center, a JD from Ohio Northern University's College of Law, and a BA from
Florida State University.
— xxiii —
Contributors
T
he contributors listed below generously volunteered their time and effort
to assist the authors in the development and writing of this volume’s 30
chapters. The policy views and reform proposals herein are not an all-inclu-
sive catalogue of conservative ideas for the next President, nor is there unanimity
among the contributors or the organizations with which they are affiliated with
regard to the recommendations.
Mark Albrecht
Chris Anderson, Office of Senator Steve Daines
Jeff Anderson, The American Main Street Initiative
Michael Anton, Hillsdale College
EJ Antoni, The Heritage Foundation
Andrew “Art” Arthur, Center for Immigration Studies
Paul Atkins, Patomak Global Partners
Julie Axelrod, Center for Immigration Studies
James Bacon
James Baehr
Stewart Baker, Steptoe and Johnson LLP
Erik Baptist, Alliance Defending Freedom
Brent Bennett, Texas Public Policy Foundation
John Berlau, Competitive Enterprise Institute
Russell Berman, Hoover Institution
Sanjai Bhagat, University of Colorado Boulder
Stephen Billy, Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America
Brad Bishop, American Cornerstone Institute
Willis Bixby, WWBX, LLC
Josh Blackman, South Texas College of Law
Jim Blew, Defense of Freedom Institute for Policy Studies
Robert Bortins, Classical Conversations
Rachel Bovard, Conservative Partnership Institute
Robert Bowes
Matt Bowman, Alliance Defending Freedom
Steven G. Bradbury, The Heritage Foundation
Preston Brashers, The Heritage Foundation
Jonathan Bronitsky, ATHOS
Kyle Brosnan, The Heritage Foundation
— xxv —
Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
— xxvi —
2025 Presidential Transition Project
Patty-Jane Geller, The Heritage Foundation
Andrew Gillen, Texas Public Policy Foundation
James S. Gilmore III, Gilmore Global Group LLC
Vance Ginn, Economic Consulting, LLC
Alma Golden, The Institute for Women’s Health
Mike Gonzalez, The Heritage Foundation
Chadwick R. Gore, Defense Forum Foundation
David Gortler, Ethics and Public Policy Center
Brian Gottstein, The Heritage Foundation
Dan Greenberg, Competitive Enterprise Institute
Rob Greenway, Hudson Institute
Rachel Greszler, The Heritage Foundation
DJ Gribbin, Madrus Consulting
Garrison Grisedale, American Cornerstone Institute
Joseph Grogan, USC Schaeffer School for Health Policy and Economics
Andrew Guernsey
Jeffrey Gunter, Republican Jewish Coalition
Joe Guy, Club for Growth
Joseph Guzman
Amalia Halikias, The Heritage Foundation
Gene Hamilton, America First Legal Foundation
— xxvii —
Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Abby Jones
Emilie Kao, Alliance Defending Freedom
Jared M. Kelson, Boyden Gray & Associates
Aaron Kheriaty, Ethics and Public Policy Center
Ali Kilmartin, Alliance Defending Freedom
Julie Kirchner, Federation for American Immigration Reform
Dan Kish, Institute for Energy Research
Kenneth A. Klukowski
Adam Korzeniewski, American Principles Project
Kathy Nuebel Kovarik, Sagitta Solutions, LLC
Bethany Kozma, Keystone Policy
Matthew Kozma
Julius Krein, American Affairs
Stanley Kurtz, Ethics and Public Policy Center
David LaCerte, Baker Botts, LLP
Paul J. Larkin, The Heritage Foundation
Kent Lassman, Competitive Enterprise Institute
James R. Lawrence III, Envisage Law
Paul Lawrence, Lawrence Consulting
Nathan Leamer, Targeted Victory
— xxviii —
2025 Presidential Transition Project
Clare Morell, Ethics and Public Policy Center
Mark Morgan, The Heritage Foundation
Hunter Morgen, American Cornerstone Institute
Rachel Morrison, Ethics and Public Policy Center
Jonathan Moy, The Heritage Foundation
Iain Murray, Competitive Enterprise Institute
Ryan Nabil, National Taxpayers Union
Michael Nasi, Jackson Walker LLP
Lucien Niemeyer, The Niemeyer Group, LLC
Nazak Nikakhtar, Wiley Rein LLP
Milan “Mitch” Nikolich
Matt O’Brien, Immigration Reform Law Institute
Caleb Orr, Boyden Gray & Associates
Michael Pack
Leah Pedersen
Michael Pillsbury, The Heritage Foundation
Patrick Pizzella, Leadership Institute
Robert Poole, Reason Foundation
Kevin Preskenis, Allymar Health Solutions
Pam Pryor, National Committee for Religious Freedom
Thomas Pyle, Institute for Energy Research
— xxix —
Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
— xxx —
2025 Presidential Transition Project
John “JV” Venable, The Heritage Foundation
Morgan Lorraine Viña, Jewish Institute for National Security of America
Andrew N. Vollmer, Mercatus Center
Hans A. von Spakovsky, The Heritage Foundation
Greg Walcher, Natural Resources Group, LLC
David M. Walsh, Takota Group
Erin Walsh, The Heritage Foundation
Jacklyn Ward, American Cornerstone Institute
Emma Waters, The Heritage Foundation
Michael Williams, American Cornerstone Institute
Aaron Wolff
Jonathan Wolfson
Alexei Woltornist, ATHOS
Frank Wuco
Cesar Ybarra, FreedomWorks
John Zadrozny, America First Legal Foundation
Laura Zorc, FreedomWorks
— xxxi —
Foreword
A PROMISE
TO AMERICA
Kevin D. Roberts, PhD
F
orty-four years ago, the United States and the conservative movement were
in dire straits. Both had been betrayed by the Washington establishment
and were uncertain whom to trust. Both were internally splintered and stra-
tegically adrift. Worse still, at that moment of acute vulnerability and division, we
found ourselves besieged by existential adversaries, foreign and domestic. The late
1970s were by any measure a historic low point for America and the political coa-
lition dedicated to preserving its unique legacy of human flourishing and freedom.
Today, America and the conservative movement are enduring an era of division
and danger akin to the late 1970s. Now, as then, our political class has been discred-
ited by wholesale dishonesty and corruption. Look at America under the ruling
and cultural elite today: Inflation is ravaging family budgets, drug overdose deaths
continue to escalate, and children suffer the toxic normalization of transgender-
ism with drag queens and pornography invading their school libraries. Overseas,
a totalitarian Communist dictatorship in Beijing is engaged in a strategic, cultural,
and economic Cold War against America’s interests, values, and people—all while
globalist elites in Washington awaken only slowly to that growing threat. Moreover,
low-income communities are drowning in addiction and government dependence.
Contemporary elites have even repurposed the worst ingredients of 1970s “radical
chic” to build the totalitarian cult known today as “The Great Awokening.” And
now, as then, the Republican Party seems to have little understanding about what
to do. Most alarming of all, the very moral foundations of our society are in peril.
Yet students of history will note that, notwithstanding all those challenges,
the late 1970s proved to be the moment when the political Right unified itself
—1—
Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
and the country and led the United States to historic political, economic, and
global victories.
The Heritage Foundation is proud to have played a small but pivotal role in that
story. It was in early 1979—amid stagflation, gas lines, and the Red Army’s inva-
sion of Afghanistan, the nadir of Jimmy Carter’s days of malaise—that Heritage
launched the Mandate for Leadership project. We brought together hundreds of
conservative scholars and academics across the conservative movement. Together,
this team created a 20-volume, 3,000-page governing handbook containing more
than 2,000 conservative policies to reform the federal government and rescue
the American people from Washington dysfunction. It was a promise from the
conservative movement to the country—confident, specific, and clear.
Mandate for Leadership was published in January 1981—the same month Ronald
Reagan was sworn into his presidency. By the end of that year, more than 60 percent
of its recommendations had become policy—and Reagan was on his way to ending
stagflation, reviving American confidence and prosperity, and winning the Cold War.
The bad news today is that our political establishment and cultural elite have
once again driven America toward decline. The good news is that we know the
way out even though the challenges today are not what they were in the 1970s.
Conservatives should be confident that we can rescue our kids, reclaim our culture,
revive our economy, and defeat the anti-American Left—at home and abroad. We
did it before and will do it again.
Freedom is a fragile thing and it’s never more than one generation away from
extinction. It is not ours by way of inheritance; it must be fought for and
defended constantly by each generation[.]1
This is the duty history has put before us and the standard by which our gen-
eration of conservatives will be judged. And we should not want it any other way.
The legacy of Mandate for Leadership, and indeed of the entire Reagan Rev-
olution, is that if conservatives want to save the country, we need a bold and
courageous plan. This book is the first step in that plan.
—2—
2025 Presidential Transition Project
and policy experts from across the conservative movement and around the country.
Contributors include former elected officials, world-renowned economists, and
veterans from four presidential Administrations. This is an agenda prepared by
and for conservatives who will be ready on Day One of the next Administration to
save our country from the brink of disaster.
The Heritage Foundation is once again facilitating this work. But as our dozens
of partners and hundreds of authors will attest, this book is the work of the entire
conservative movement. As such, the authors express consensus recommendations
already forged, especially along four broad fronts that will decide America’s future:
3. Defend our nation’s sovereignty, borders, and bounty against global threats.
What makes these four pieces of the conservative promise so valuable to the
next President is that they cut through superficial distractions and focus on the
moral and foundational challenges America faces in this moment of history. This
was one of the secrets of conservatives’ success in the Reagan Era, one our gener-
ation should emulate.
As in the late 1970s, Americans today experience the failures of political and cul-
tural elites in countless ways: in the job market and in the grocery store checkout
lines, on the streets and in our schools, in the media and within our institutions. But
in truth, these daily dysfunctions are not innumerable problems, but innumerable
manifestations of a few core crises.
In 1979, the threats we faced were the Soviet Union, the socialism of 1970s lib-
erals, and the predatory deviancy of cultural elites. Reagan defeated these beasts
by ignoring their tentacles and striking instead at their hearts.
His approach to the Cold War? “We win and they lose.”
His economic agenda? The human dignity of work and its many rewards.
His platform in the culture wars? The “community of values embodied in these
words: family, work, neighborhood, peace and freedom.”
This book—and Project 2025 as a whole—will arm the next conservative Pres-
ident with the same kind of strategic clarity, but for a new age.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
The noxious tenets of “critical race theory” and “gender ideology” should be
excised from curricula in every public school in the country. These theories poison
our children, who are being taught on the one hand to affirm that the color of their
skin fundamentally determines their identity and even their moral status while
on the other they are taught to deny the very creatureliness that inheres in being
human and consists in accepting the givenness of our nature as men or women.
Allowing parents or physicians to “reassign” the sex of a minor is child abuse and
must end. For public institutions to use taxpayer dollars to declare the superiority
or inferiority of certain races, sexes, and religions is a violation of the Constitu-
tion and civil rights law and cannot be tolerated by any government anywhere in
the country.
But the pro-family promises expressed in this book, and central to the next
conservative President’s agenda, must go much further than the traditional, narrow
definition of “family issues.” Every threat to family stability must be confronted.
This resolve should color each of our policies. Consider our approach to Big
Tech. The worst of these companies prey on children, like drug dealers, to get them
addicted to their mobile apps. Many Silicon Valley executives famously don’t let
their own kids have smart phones.2 They nevertheless make billions of dollars
addicting other people’s children to theirs. TikTok, Instagram, Facebook, Twitter,
and other social media platforms are specifically designed to create the digital
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
dependencies that fuel mental illness and anxiety, to fray children’s bonds with
their parents and siblings. Federal policy cannot allow this industrial-scale child
abuse to continue.
Finally, conservatives should gratefully celebrate the greatest pro-family win
in a generation: overturning Roe v. Wade, a decision that for five decades made a
mockery of our Constitution and facilitated the deaths of tens of millions of unborn
children. But the Dobbs decision is just the beginning. Conservatives in the states
and in Washington, including in the next conservative Administration, should
push as hard as possible to protect the unborn in every jurisdiction in America. In
particular, the next conservative President should work with Congress to enact the
most robust protections for the unborn that Congress will support while deploying
existing federal powers to protect innocent life and vigorously complying with
statutory bans on the federal funding of abortion. Conservatives should ardently
pursue these pro-life and pro-family policies while recognizing the many women
who find themselves in immensely difficult and often tragic situations and the hero-
ism of every choice to become a mother. Alternative options to abortion, especially
adoption, should receive federal and state support.
In summary, the next President has a moral responsibility to lead the nation in
restoring a culture of life in America again.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
elected legislators in both houses of Congress.
This exclusive authority was part of the Framers’ doctrine of “separated powers.”
They not only split the federal government’s legislative, executive, and judicial
powers into different branches. They also gave each branch checks over the others.
Under our Constitution, the legislative branch—Congress—is far and away the most
powerful and, correspondingly, the most accountable to the people.
In recent decades, members of the House and Senate discovered that if they give
away that power to the Article II branch of government, they can also deny responsi-
bility for its actions. So today in Washington, most policy is no longer set by Congress
at all, but by the Administrative State. Given the choice between being powerful but
vulnerable or irrelevant but famous, most Members of Congress have chosen the latter.
Congress passes intentionally vague laws that delegate decision-making over
a given issue to a federal agency. That agency’s bureaucrats—not just unelected
but seemingly un-fireable—then leap at the chance to fill the vacuum created by
Congress’s preening cowardice. The federal government is growing larger and less
constitutionally accountable—even to the President—every year.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l Bureaucrats at the State Department infuse U.S. foreign aid programs with
woke extremism about “intersectionality” and abortion.3
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est priority.
The next conservative President must possess the courage to relentlessly put
the interests of the everyday American over the desires of the ruling elite. Their
outrage cannot be prevented; it must simply be ignored. And it can be. The Left
derives its power from the institutions they control. But those institutions are only
powerful to the extent that constitutional officers surrender their own legitimate
authority to them. A President who refuses to do so and uses his or her office to
reimpose constitutional authority over federal policymaking can begin to correct
decades of corruption and remove thousands of bureaucrats from the positions
of public trust they have so long abused.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
To most Americans, this is common sense. But in Washington, D.C. and other
centers of Leftist power like the media and the academy, this statement of basic
civics is branded hate speech. Progressive elites speak in lofty terms of openness,
progress, expertise, cooperation, and globalization. But too often, these terms are
just rhetorical Trojan horses concealing their true intention—stripping “we the
people” of our constitutional authority over our country’s future.
America’s corporate and political elites do not believe in the ideals to which our
nation is dedicated—self-governance, the rule of law, and ordered liberty. They
certainly do not trust the American people, and they disdain the Constitution’s
restrictions on their ambitions.
Instead, they believe in a kind of 21st century Wilsonian order in which the
“enlightened,” highly educated managerial elite runs things rather than the humble,
patriotic working families who make up the majority of what the elites contemp-
tuously call “fly-over country.”
This Wilsonian hubris has spread like a cancer through many of America’s larg-
est corporations, its public institutions, and its popular culture. Those who run our
so-called American corporations have bent to the will of the woke agenda and care
more for their foreign investors and organizations than their American workers
and customers. Today, nearly every top-tier U.S. university president or Wall Street
hedge fund manager has more in common with a socialist, European head of state
than with the parents at a high school football game in Waco, Texas. Many elites’
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Wilson a century ago, the woke Left today seeks a world, bound by global treaties
they write, in which they exercise dictatorial powers over all nations without being
subject to democratic accountability.
That’s why today’s progressive Left so cavalierly supports open borders despite
the lawless humanitarian crisis their policy created along America’s southern
border. They seek to purge the very concept of the nation-state from the Amer-
ican ethos, no matter how much crime increases or resources drop for schools
and hospitals or wages decrease for the working class. Open-borders activism is a
classic example of what the German theologian Dietrich Bonhoeffer called “cheap
grace”—publicly promoting one’s own virtue without risking any personal incon-
venience. Indeed, the only direct impact of open borders on pro-open borders
elites is that the constant flow of illegal immigration suppresses the wages of their
housekeepers, landscapers, and busboys.
“Cheap grace” aptly describes the Left’s love affair with environmental extrem-
ism. Those who suffer most from the policies environmentalism would have us
enact are the aged, poor, and vulnerable. It is not a political cause, but a pseu-
do-religion meant to baptize liberals’ ruthless pursuit of absolute power in the
holy water of environmental virtue.
At its very heart, environmental extremism is decidedly anti-human. Stew-
ardship and conservation are supplanted by population control and economic
regression. Environmental ideologues would ban the fuels that run almost all of the
world’s cars, planes, factories, farms, and electricity grids. Abandoning confidence
in human resilience and creativity in responding to the challenges of the future
would raise impediments to the most meaningful human activities. They would
stand human affairs on their head, regarding human activity itself as fundamentally
a threat to be sacrificed to the god of nature.
The same goals are the heart of elite support for economic globalization. For 30
years, America’s political, economic, and cultural leaders embraced and enriched
Communist China and its genocidal Communist Party while hollowing out Ameri-
ca’s industrial base. What may have started out with good intentions has now been
made clear. Unfettered trade with China has been a catastrophe. It has made a
handful of American corporations enormously profitable while twisting their
business incentives away from the American people’s needs. For a generation, pol-
iticians of both parties promised that engagement with Beijing would grow our
economy while injecting American values into China. The opposite has happened.
American factories have closed. Jobs have been outsourced. Our manufacturing
economy has been financialized. And all along, the corporations profiting failed
to export our values of human rights and freedom; rather, they imported China’s
anti-American values into their C-suites.
Even before the rise of Big Tech, Wall Street ignored China’s serial theft of
American intellectual property. It outright cheered the elimination of American
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
manufacturing jobs. (“Learn to code!” they would gloat.) These were just the price
of progress. Engagement was at every step Beijing’s project, not America’s. The
Chinese Communist Party (CCP) dictated terms, only to break them whenever it
suited them. They stole our technology, spied on our people, and threatened our
allies, all with trillions of dollars of wealth and military power financed by their
access to our market.
Then came the rise of Big Tech, which is now less a contributor to the U.S.
economy than it is a tool of China’s government. In exchange for cheap labor and
regulatory special treatment from Beijing, America’s largest technology firms
funnel data about Americans to the CCP. They hand over sensitive intellectual
property with military and intelligence applications to keep the money rolling
in. They let Beijing censor Chinese users on their platforms. They let the CCP
set their corporate policies about mobile apps. And they run interference for our
rival’s political priorities in Washington. One side of Big-Tech companies’ business
model is old-fashioned American competitiveness and world-changing techno-
logical innovation; but increasingly, that side of these businesses is overshadowed
by their role as operatives in the lucrative employ of America’s most dangerous
international enemy.
If you want to understand the danger posed by collaboration between Big Tech
and the CCP, look no further than TikTok. The highly addictive video app, used by
80 million Americans every month and overwhelmingly popular among teenage
girls, is in effect a tool of Chinese espionage. The ties between TikTok and the
Chinese government are not loose, and they are not coincidental.
The same can be observed of many U.S. colleges and universities. Through the
CCP's Confucius Institutes, Beijing has been just as successful at compromising
and coopting our higher education system as they have at compromising and coopt-
ing corporate America.
A casual reader might take the last few pages as surveying a broad array of
challenges facing the American people and the next conservative President: supra-
national policymaking, border security, globalization, engagement with China,
manufacturing, Big Tech, and Beijing-compromised colleges.
But these really are not many issues, but two: (1) that China is a totalitarian
enemy of the United States, not a strategic partner or fair competitor, and (2) that
America’s elites have betrayed the American people. The solution to all of the above
problems is not to tinker with this or that government program, to replace this or
that bureaucrat. These are problems not of technocratic efficiency but of national
sovereignty and constitutional governance. We solve them not by trimming and
reshaping the leaves but by ripping out the trees—root and branch.
International organizations and agreements that erode our Constitution, rule
of law, or popular sovereignty should not be reformed: They should be aban-
doned. Illegal immigration should be ended, not mitigated; the border sealed, not
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
globalization since the 1990s. And it would clarify our intentions to Beijing that
the next President can ensure that a large part of America’s reindustrialization is in
the production of the equipment we will need to dissuade future foreign meddling
with U.S. vital interests.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
around the world. Still others find themselves happiest in their local voluntary
communities of friends, their neighbors, their civic or charitable work.
The American Republic was founded on principles prioritizing and maximizing
individuals’ rights to live their best life or to enjoy what the Framers called “the
Blessings of Liberty.” It’s this radical equality—liberty for all—not just of rights but
of authority—that the rich and powerful have hated about democracy in America
since 1776. They resent Americans’ audacity in insisting that we don’t need them
to tell us how to live. It’s this inalienable right of self-direction—of each person’s
opportunity to direct himself or herself, and his or her community, to the good—
that the ruling class disdains.
With the Declaration and Constitution, our nation’s Founders handed to us
the means with which to preserve this right. Abraham Lincoln wrote of the Dec-
laration as an “apple of gold” in a silver frame, the Constitution. So must the next
conservative President look to these documents when the elites mount their next
assault on liberty.
Left to our own devices, the American people rejected European monarchy
and colonialism just as we rejected slavery, second-class citizenship for women,
mercantilism, socialism, Wilsonian globalism, Fascism, Communism, and (today)
wokeism. To the Left, these assertions of patriotic self-assurance are just so many
signs of our moral depravity and intellectual inferiority—proof that, in fact, we
need a ruling elite making decisions for us.
But the next conservative President should be proud, not ashamed of Americans’
unique culture of social equality and ordered liberty. After all, the countries where
Marxist elites have won political and economic power are all weaker, poorer, and
less free for it.
The United States remains the most innovative and upwardly mobile society
in the world. Government should stop trying to substitute its own preferences
for those of the people. And the next conservative President should champion
the dynamic genius of free enterprise against the grim miseries of elite-di-
rected socialism.
The promise of socialism—Communism, Marxism, progressivism, Fascism,
whatever name it chooses—is simple: Government control of the economy can
ensure equal outcomes for all people. The problem is that it has never done so.
There is no such thing as “the government.” There are just people who work for
the government and wield its power and who—at almost every opportunity—wield
it to serve themselves first and everyone else a distant second. This is not a failing
of one nation or socialist party, but inherent in human nature.
Nighttime satellite images of the Korean peninsula famously show the free-mar-
ket South lit up, with homes, businesses, and cities electrified from coast to coast.
By contrast, Communist North Korea is almost completely dark, except for the
small dot of the capital city, Pyongyang, where a psychotic dictator and his cronies
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
live. The same phenomenon is on display in the infuriating fact that four of the
six richest counties in the United States are suburbs of Washington, D.C.—a city
infamous for its lack of native productive industries.
We see the same corruption expressed on an individual level whenever billion-
aire climate activists, who want to outlaw carbon-fueled transportation, fly to A-list
conferences on their private jets. Or when COVID-19 shutdown politicians like
former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and California Governor Gavin Newsom were
caught at the hair salon or dining at fancy restaurants after moralizing about how
everyone else must stay home and forgo such luxuries during the pandemic. For
socialists, who are almost always well-to-do, socialism is not a means of equalizing
outcomes, but a means of accumulating power. They never get around to helping
anyone else.
The Soviet empire was a social and economic failure. North Korea, despite the
opulence of its tyrants, is one of the poorest nations in the world. Cuba is so corrupt
that its people regularly risk their lives to escape to Florida on rafts. Venezuela was
once the richest nation in South America; today, a decade after a Marxist dictator
took over, 94 percent of Venezuelans live in poverty.4 Even socialist Senator Bernie
Sanders’ home state of Vermont was forced to repeal the state’s single-payer health
care system just three years after creating it.
In every case, socialist elites promised that if only they could direct the econ-
omy, everything would be better. Very quickly, everything got worse. In socialist
nation after socialist nation, the only way the government could keep its disgrun-
tled people in line was to surveil and terrorize them.
By contrast, in countries with a high degree of economic freedom, elites are
not in charge because everyone is in charge. People work, build, invest, save, and
create according to their own interests and in service to the common good of their
fellow citizens.
There is a reason why the private economy hews to the maxim “the customer
is always right” while government bureaucracies are notoriously user-unfriendly,
just as there is a reason why private charities are cheerful and government welfare
systems are not. It’s not because grocery store clerks and PTA moms are “good”
and federal bureaucrats are “bad.” It’s because private enterprises—for-profit or
nonprofit—must cooperate, to give, to succeed.
So as the American people take back their sovereignty, constitutional authority,
respect for their families and communities, they should also take back their right
to pursue the good life.
The next President should promote pro-growth economic policies that spur
new jobs and investment, higher wages, and productivity. Yes, that agenda should
include overdue tax and regulatory reform, but it should go further and include
antitrust enforcement against corporate monopolies. It should promote educa-
tional opportunities outside the woke-dominated system of public schools and
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BEST EFFORT
Ultimately, the Left does not believe that all men are created equal—they think
they are special. They certainly don’t think all people have an unalienable right to
pursue the good life. They think only they themselves have such a right along with
a moral responsibility to make decisions for everyone else. They don’t think any
citizen, state, business, church, or charity should be allowed any freedom until
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
will enter office on January 20, 2025, with a simple choice: greatness or failure. It
will be a daunting test, but no more so than every generation of Americans has
faced and passed.
The Conservative Promise represents the best effort of the conservative move-
ment in 2023—and the next conservative President’s last opportunity to save
our republic.
ENDNOTES
— 17 —
Section One
A
merica’s
Bicentennial, which culminated on July 4, 1976, was a spirited
and
unifying celebration of our country, its Founding, and its ideals. As we
approach our nation’s 250th anniversary, which will take place during the
next presidency, America is now divided between two opposing forces: woke revolu-
tionaries and those who believe in the ideals of the American revolution. The former
believe that America is—and always has been—“systemically racist” and that it is not
worth celebrating and must be fundamentally transformed, largely through a cen-
tralized administrative state. The latter believe in America’s history and heroes, its
principles and promise, and in everyday Americans and the American way of life. They
believe in the Constitution and republican government. Conservatives—the Ameri-
canists in this battle—must fight for the soul of America, which is very much at stake.
Just two years after the death of the last surviving Constitutional Convention
delegate, James Madison, Abraham Lincoln warned that the greatest threat to
America would come not from without, but from within. This is evident today:
Whether it be mask and vaccine mandates, school and business closures, efforts
to keep Americans from driving gas cars or using gas stoves, or efforts to defund
the police, indoctrinate schoolchildren, alter beloved books, abridge free speech,
undermine the colorblind ideal, or deny the biological reality that there are only
two sexes, the Left’s steady stream of insanity appears to be never-ending. The
next Administration must stand up for American ideals, American families, and
American culture—all things in which, thankfully, most Americans still believe.
Highlighting this need, former director of the Office of Management and Budget
Russ Vought writes in Chapter 2, “The modern conservative President’s task is to
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
limit, control, and direct the executive branch on behalf of the American people.”
At the core of this goal is the work of the White House and the central personnel
agencies. Article II of the Constitution vests all federal executive power in a Pres-
ident, made accountable to the citizenry through regular elections. Our Founders
wrote, “The executive Power shall be vested in a President of the United States
of America.” Accordingly, Vought writes, “it is the President’s agenda that should
matter to the departments and agencies,” not their own.
Yet the federal bureaucracy has a mind of its own. Federal employees are often
ideologically aligned—not with the majority of the American people—but with one
another, posing a profound problem for republican government, a government
“of, by, and for” the people. As Donald Devine, Dennis Kirk, and Paul Dans write
in Chapter 3, “An autonomous bureaucracy has neither independent constitu-
tional status nor separate moral legitimacy.” Byzantine personnel rules provide the
bureaucrats with their chief means of self-protection. What’s more, knowledge of
such rules is used to thwart the President’s appointees and agenda. As Devine, Kirk,
and Dans write, “Managing the immense bureaucracy of the federal government
is impossible without an understanding of the key central personnel agencies and
their governing laws and regulations.”
Many of these laws and regulations governing a largely underworked, over-
compensated, and unaccountable federal civilian workforce are so irrational that
they would be comical in a less important context. This is true whether it comes to
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Above all, the President and those who serve under him or her must be commit-
ted to the Constitution and the rule of law. This is particularly true of a conservative
Administration, which knows that the President is there to uphold the Constitu-
tion, not the other way around. If a conservative Administration does not respect
the Constitution, no Administration will. In Chapter 1, former deputy chief of
staff to the President Rick Dearborn writes that the White House Counsel “must
take seriously the duty to protect the powers and privileges of the President from
encroachments by Congress, the judiciary, and the administrative components of
departments and agencies.” Equally important, the President must enforce the
Constitution and laws as written, rather than proclaiming new “law” unilaterally.
Presidents should not issue mask or vaccine mandates, arbitrarily transfer student
loan debt, or issue monarchical mandates of any sort. Legislatures make the laws
in a republic, not executives.
It is crucial that all three branches of the federal government respect what Mad-
ison called the “double security” to our liberties: the separation of powers among
the three branches, and the separation of powers between the federal government
and the states. This double security has been greatly compromised over the years.
Vought writes that “the modern executive branch…writes federal policy, enforces
that policy, and often adjudicates whether that policy was properly drafted and
enforced.” He describes this as “constitutionally dire” and “in urgent need of repair,”
adding: “Nothing less than the survival of self-governance in America is at stake.”
When it comes to ensuring that freedom can flourish, nothing is more import-
ant than deconstructing the centralized administrative state. Political appointees
who are answerable to the President and have decision-making authority in the
executive branch are key to this essential task. The next Administration must not
cede such authority to non-partisan “experts,” who pursue their own ends while
engaging in groupthink, insulated from American voters. The following chapters
detail how the next Administration can be responsive to the American people (not
to entrenched “elites”); how it can take care that all the laws are “faithfully exe-
cuted,” not merely those that the President desires to see executed; and how it can
achieve results and not be stymied by an unelected bureaucracy.
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1
F
rom popular culture to academia, the American presidency has long been a
prominent fixture of the national imagination—naturally so since it is the
beating heart of our nation’s power and prestige. It has played, for instance,
a feature role in innumerable movies and television shows and has been prodded,
analyzed, and critiqued by countless books, essays, and studies. But like nearly
everything else in life, there is no substitute for firsthand experience, which this
manual has compiled from the experience of presidential appointees and provides
in accessible form for future use.
With respect to the presidency, it is best to begin with our Republic’s founda-
tional document. The Constitution gives the “executive Power” to the President.1
It designates him as “Commander in Chief”2 and gives him the responsibility to
“take Care that the Laws be faithfully executed.”3 It further prescribes that the
President might seek the assistance of “the principal Officer in each of the execu-
tive Departments.”4 Beginning with George Washington, every President has been
supported by some form of White House office consisting of direct staff officers as
well as a Cabinet comprised of department and agency heads.
Since the inaugural Administration of the late 18th century, citizens have chosen
to devote both their time and their talent to defending and strengthening our nation
by serving at the pleasure of the President. Their shared patriotic endeavor has
proven to be a noble one, not least because the jobs in what is now known as the
White House Office (WHO) are among the most demanding in all of government.
The President must rely on the men and women appointed to the WHO. There
simply are not enough hours in the day to manage the affairs of state single-handedly,
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
so delegation is not just advisable: It is essential. The decisions that assistants and
senior advisers make will directly impact the Administration, its legacy, and—most
important—the fate of the country. Their agenda must therefore be the President’s
agenda. Choosing who will carry out that agenda on a daily basis is not only one of
the first decisions a President makes in office, but also one of the most critical. The
tone and tempo of an administration are often determined on January 20.
CHIEF OF STAFF
As with most of the positions that will be covered in this first chapter, the Chief
of Staff is also an Assistant to the President. However, the chief is truly first among
equals. Of all presidential staff members, the chief is the most critical to implementa-
tion of the President’s vision for the country. The chief also has a dual role as manager
of the staffs of both the WHO and the Executive Office of the President (EOP).5
The Chief of Staff’s first managerial task is to establish an organizational chart
for the WHO. It should be simple and contain clear lines of authority and respon-
sibility to avoid conflicts. It should also identify specific points of contact for each
element of the government outside of the White House. These contacts should
include the White House Liaisons who are selected by the Office of Presidential
Personnel (PPO).
Receiving guidance from the President, the chief endeavors to implement the
President’s agenda by setting priorities for the WHO. This process begins by taking
The President is briefed on all of his policy priorities by his Cabinet and senior
staff as directed by the chief. The chief—along with senior WHO staff—maps out
the issues and themes that will be covered daily and weekly. The chief then works
with the policy councils, the Cabinet, and the Office of Communications and Office
of Legislative Affairs (OLA) to sequence and execute the rollout of policies and
announcements. White House Counsel and senior advisers and senior counselors
are also intimately involved.
All senior staff report to the Chief of Staff, either directly or through his two
or three deputies, unless the President determines that a particular Assistant to
the President reports directly to him. Most chiefs have interacted directly with
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Cabinet officers and a select number of direct reports. In most cases, the direct
reports to the chief are his two or three deputies, the Communications Director,
PPO Director, White House Counsel, and senior advisers. Occasionally, the Office
of Public Liaison (OPL), the Cabinet Secretary, and Intergovernmental Affairs
(IGA) also report directly to the chief. Usually, however, they report instead to a
Deputy Chief of Staff.
The Chief of Staff’s main challenge is time management. His use of his deputies,
meetings with senior staff, and direction provided to the WHO must all balance
with the daily needs of the President. A successful chief steers the West Wing using
his management of and influence with the various individuals and entities around
him. It goes without saying that selecting the right person to be chief is vital.
Not all Chiefs of Staff have tapped a principal deputy. A major reason is that
doing so adds another layer of command complexity. When principal deputies
have been installed, their roles have varied based on the needs of particular chiefs.
Most principal deputies have functioned as doorkeepers, sorting through action
items, taking on those that can be handled at their own level, and passing up others
that truly require the attention of the Chief of Staff or the President. Principal
deputies also have assumed control of the scheduling functions, normally under
the operations deputy, and have worked directly with the policy councils at the
direction of the Chief of Staff. The OPL and Office of Political Affairs (OPA) also
have reported to a principal deputy.
Deputy Chief of Staff for Management and Operations. The Deputy Chief
of Staff for Management and Operations oversees the President’s schedule and
all logistical aspects of his movement within and outside of the White House (for
example, both air travel on Air Force One and Marine One and ground transpor-
tation). This deputy also interfaces directly with the Secret Service as well as the
military offices tasked with keeping the President and his family safe.
In the past, this deputy has also worked with the NSC, the Secretary of Defense,
the Secretary of State, and the Intelligence Community and on advancing all foreign
trips. If their roles are separated from that of the policy deputy, this deputy should
have a strong grasp of international affairs and robust foreign policy credentials.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
This deputy further manages all facets of the working White House: technology,
grounds management, support staff, personnel administration, and communica-
tions. This individual therefore needs to be meticulous and ideally should possess
a great deal of command-and-control experience.
Deputy Chief of Staff for Policy. In some Administrations, the functions of
the IGA, OPA, and OPL and other advisers within the WHO have fallen under the
Deputy Chief of Staff for Policy. For conservatives, this arrangement could help
to connect the WHO’s outreach to political and external groups and be a strong
conduit for state and local elected officials, state party organizations, and both
grasstop and grassroots groups.
This deputy chief works directly with the Chief of Staff, Cabinet officers, and
all three policy councils to support the development and implementation of the
President’s agenda. This deputy chief should therefore have impressive policy cre-
dentials in the realms of economic, domestic, and social affairs.
SENIOR ADVISERS
Presidents have surrounded themselves with senior advisers whose experi-
ence and interests are not necessarily neatly defined. In recent Administrations,
senior advisers have been appointed to offer broad guidance on political matters
and communications issues; others have acted as “czars” for specific projects or
policy areas.
The most powerful senior advisers frequently have had a long personal relation-
ship with the President and often have spent a significant amount of time with him
within and outside of the White House. They have been asked not only to provide
guidance on a variety of policy issues, but also to offer instruction on communi-
cating with the American people and the media.
In a number of Administrations, new offices—or “councils”—have been created
to support senior advisers. For the most part, their functions have been duplicative
or overlapping, as a result of which these offices have tended to be short-lived. Even
so, senior advisers should be provided the staff and resources that their portfo-
lios require. To ensure that senior advisers are effective, their portfolios must be
clearly delineated and clearly communicated across the White House. This too is
a responsibility of the Chief of Staff.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
the President and his reports on how (within the bounds of the law) to pursue and
realize the President’s agenda.
While the White House Counsel does not serve as the President’s personal attor-
ney in nonofficial matters, it is almost impossible to delineate exactly where an
issue is strictly personal and has no bearing on the President’s official function. The
White House Counsel needs to be deeply committed both to the President’s agenda
and to affording the President proactive counsel and zealous representation. That
individual directly advises the President as he performs the duties of the office,
and this requires a relationship that is built on trust, confidentiality, and candor.
The Office of White House Counsel is also responsible for ensuring that each
component of the White House adheres to all applicable legal and ethical guide-
lines, which often requires ongoing training and monitoring to ensure compliance.
This means ensuring that White House staff regularly consult with office attor-
neys on required financial disclosures, received gifts, potential conflicts of interest,
and other ethical concerns. The Office of White House Counsel is the first line of
defense for the EOP. Its staff must take seriously the duty to protect the powers
and privileges of the President from encroachments by Congress, the judiciary,
and the administrative components of departments and agencies.
In addition to the White House Counsel, the office includes deputies, assistants,
associates, and legal support staff. The assistant and associate attorneys are often
specialists in particular areas of the law and offer guidance to the EOP on issues
related to national security, criminal law, environmental law, and a host of admin-
istrative and regulatory matters. Attorneys working in the Office of White House
Counsel serve as legal advisers to the White House policy operation by reviewing
executive orders, agency regulations, and other policy-related functions. Here
again, subordinates should be deeply committed to the President’s agenda and
see their role as helping to accomplish the agenda through problem solving and
advocacy. They should not erect roadblocks out of an abundance of caution; rather,
they should offer practical legal advice on how to promote the President’s agenda
within the bounds of the law.
The White House Counsel’s office cannot serve as a finishing school to credential
the next set of white-shoe law firm attorneys or federal judges in waiting who cabin
their opinions for fear their elite credentials could be tarnished through a policy
disagreement. Rather, it should function more as an activist yet ethical plaintiffs’
firm that advocates for its client—the Administration’s agenda—within the limits
imposed by the Constitution and the duties of the legal profession.
The Office of White House Counsel also serves as the primary gateway for
communication between the White House and the Department of Justice (DOJ).
Traditionally, both the White House Counsel and the Attorney General have issued
a memo requiring all contact between the two institutions to occur only between
the Office of White House Counsel and the Attorney General or Deputy Attorney
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
General. The next Administration should reexamine this policy and determine
whether it might be more efficient or more appropriate for communication to occur
through additional channels. The White House Counsel also works closely with
the DOJ Office of Legal Counsel to seek opinions on, for example, matters of policy
development and the constitutionality of presidential power and privileges and
with OLA and the DOJ Office of Legal Policy on presidential judicial nominees.
When a new President takes office, he will need to decide expeditiously how to
handle any major ongoing litigation or other pending legal matters that might pres-
ent a challenge to his agenda. To offer guidance, the White House Counsel must get
up to speed as quickly as possible on all significant ongoing legal challenges across
the executive branch that might affect the new Administration’s policy agenda and
must be prepared at the outset of the Administration to present recommenda-
tions to the President, including recommendations for reconsidering or reversing
positions of the previous Administration in any significant litigation. This review
will usually require consulting with the new political leadership at the Justice
Department, including during the transition period.
No day is predictable at the White House. Therefore, to handle the pace and
volatility of affairs, the Office of White House Counsel must offer measured legal
guidance in a timely manner. This often means forgoing law review–style memos
about esoteric legal concepts and instead quickly providing high-level yet incisive
guidance. Due to evolving world events, domestic affairs, and political pressures, the
office often faces legal questions for which there may not be a wealth of precedent.
Attorneys in the Office of White House Counsel must therefore work collaboratively
within the White House and the Department of Justice, relying on each other as a
team, to ensure that proper legal guidance is delivered to the President.
The President should choose a White House Counsel who is well-versed in
the Constitution, administrative and regulatory law, and the inner workings of
Congress and the political process. Instead of choosing a specialist, the President
should hire a counsel with extensive experience with a wide range of complex legal
subjects. Moreover, while a candidate with elite credentials might seem ideal, the
best one will be above all loyal to the President and the Constitution.
STAFF SECRETARY
The Office of the Staff Secretary is rarely visible to the outside world, but it
performs work of tremendous importance. The office is similar to a military com-
mander’s adjutant as it is responsible for fielding and managing a vast amount of
information at the top of its organization. This includes information on its way into
the Oval Office as well as information flowing out from the Oval Office. Because
of its gatekeeping function, the position of Staff Secretary is one of extreme trust,
and the individual who possesses it should be vetted to work as an “honest broker”
in the President’s service.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
The Office of the Staff Secretary has been described as the last substantive
control point before papers reach the Oval Office. A great deal of information is
headed toward the Oval Office at any moment. This includes presidential decision
memos; bills passed by Congress (which may be accompanied by signing or veto
statements); and briefing books, reading materials, samples of constituent mail,
personal mail, and drafts of speeches. The Staff Secretary makes certain that these
materials are complete, well-ordered, and up to date before they reach the Presi-
dent. This necessarily means that the Staff Secretary plays a key role in determining
who weighs in on policy matters and when.
As noted above, the Staff Secretary also handles information leaving the Oval
Office. The President may have questions after reviewing incoming material, may
wish to seek more information, or may demand revisions. The Staff Secretary is
often responsible for directing these requests to the appropriate places and fol-
lowing up on them to ensure that they are completed.
One of the Staff Secretary’s critical functions is managing and overseeing the
clearance process for the President’s daily/nightly briefing book. This book is filled
with all the reading material and leading documentation the President needs in
the morning and the evening to help him make decisions. The Staff Secretary also
oversees the use of the President’s signature, whether by hand or by autopen, and
manages the Office of the Executive Clerk, Office of Records Management, and
Office of Presidential Correspondence.
OFFICE OF COMMUNICATIONS
The Office of Communications, which operates under the Director of Com-
munications, conveys the President’s agenda to the public through various media,
including speeches and remarks, press briefings, off-the-record discussions with
reporters, and social media. Depending on how a President chooses to structure
his White House, the Office of Communications may include the Office of the Press
Secretary (Press Office), but no matter how it is structured, the office must work
closely with the Press Office as well as the President’s speechwriters and digital
strategists.
Operational functions of the Office of Communications include scheduling and
running press briefings, interviews, meetings, media appearances, speeches, and a
range of other events. The Office of Communications must maintain robust rela-
tionships with the White House Press Corps, the White House Correspondents’
Association, regional stakeholders, and key interest groups. No legal entitle-
ment exists for the provision of permanent space for media on the White House
campus, and the next Administration should reexamine the balance between media
demands and space constraints on the White House premises.
Leadership within the Office of Communications should include a Com-
munications Director (who is a direct report to the Chief of Staff ), a Deputy
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
American people. Especially for conservatives, this means navigating the main-
stream media to ensure that the President’s agenda is conveyed effectively and
accurately. The Communications Director must be politically savvy and very aware
of the ongoing activities of the other White House offices. The new Administration
should examine the nature of the relationship between itself and the White House
Correspondents Association and consider whether an alternative coordinating
body might be more suitable.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
for Policy). Regardless of the person to whom the OLA reports, however, the office
exercises a certain autonomy on behalf of the President and the Chief of Staff in
directly influencing congressional leaders of both major political parties. The OLA
often must function as the mediator among the parties and find common ground
to facilitate the successful enactment of the President’s agenda.
As is the case with many White House offices (but especially the Office of Com-
munications), the OLA must ensure that congressional leaders receive one unified
message. If other actors within the White House maintain their own relationships
with congressional leaders and staffers, it may appear that the President’s agenda
is fractured and lacks consensus. This dynamic has caused real problems for many
Presidents in the past.
Internally, OLA staffers need to be involved in policy discussions, budget reviews,
and other important meetings. They must also provide advice to policy staffers
regarding whether certain ideas are politically feasible. Externally, OLA staffers
have to communicate continuously with congressional offices of both parties in
both the House and the Senate to ensure that the President has enough support
to enact his legislative priorities or sustain votes.
The OLA requires staffers who are effective communicators and can provide a
dose of reality to other White House staffers when necessary. Although a policy
proposal from within the White House may be a great idea, OLA staffers must
ensure that it is politically feasible. OLA staffers must therefore be skilled in both
politics and policy. Furthermore, the President should seek out individuals who
can advance his agenda and at the same time forge pathways with members of the
opposing political party on other priorities.
Most important, the OLA must function as a well-oiled machine: precisely
synced. The President cannot afford to have a tennis player on—much less as the
leader of—his football team.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Frequently, many medium-tier and top-tier jobs have been filled by policy
experts tasked with accomplishing much of the work of the Administration. At
the same time, appointees in the entry-level jobs have brought invaluable energy
and commitment to the White House and have proved to be the “farm team” for
the conservative movement.
The Office of Presidential Personnel is responsible for:
l Playing “bad cop” in a way that other White House offices cannot
(including serving as the office that takes direct responsibility for firings
and hirings).
In most Administrations, PPO will staff more than 100 positions during a transi-
tion and thousands of noncareer positions during the President’s first term. Direct
authority and a strong relationship with the President are necessary attributes for
any PPO Director. Historically, PPO has had direct review and control of personnel
files, including security clearance dossiers.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
At the highest level, PPO is tasked with long-term, strategic workforce devel-
opment. The “billets” of political appointments are of immense importance in
credentialing and training future leaders. In addition, whatever one’s view of the
constitutionality of various civil service rules (for example, the Federal Vacancies
Reform Act of 19986) might be, it is necessary to ensure that departments and
agencies have robust cadres of political staff just below senior levels in the event
of unexpected vacancies.
relationship allows for the exchange of information between the White House and
political actors across the country. The OPA should have one director of political
affairs who reports either to the Chief of Staff or to a Deputy Chief of Staff. The
OPA should also include various deputy directors, each of whom is responsible for
a certain geographical region of the country.
Because nearly all White House activities are in some way inherently political,
the OPA needs to be aware of all presidential actions and activities—including
travel, policy decisions, speeches, nominations, and responses to matters of
national security—and consider how they might affect the President’s image. The
OPA must therefore have a designated staffer who communicates not only with
other White House offices, but also with the Cabinet and executive branch agencies.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
There should be one Cabinet Secretary who reports to the Chief of Staff’s office,
either directly or through a deputy chief, according to the chief’s preference and
focus. The Cabinet Secretary maintains a direct relationship with all members of
the Cabinet.
The OCA further consists of deputies and special assistants who work with each
department’s principal, Deputy Secretary, Under Secretaries, Assistant Secretaries,
and other senior staff. The OCA also connects the departments to WHO offices.
The OCA coordinates with the Chief of Staff’s office and the Office of Communi-
cations to promote the President’s agenda through the Cabinet departments and
agencies. The Cabinet’s communications staffers are obviously another critical
component of this operation.
In prior Administrations, the OCA has played a vital role by tracking the Pres-
ident’s agenda for the Chief of Staff, Deputy Chiefs, and senior advisers. It has
worked with each department and agency to advance policy priorities. In the future,
amplifying this function would truly benefit both the President and the conser-
vative movement.
From time to time throughout an Administration, travel optics, ethics chal-
lenges, and Hatch Act7 issues involving Cabinet members, deputies, and senior
staffers can arise. The OCA is normally tasked with keeping the WHO informed
of such developments and providing support if and when necessary.
The ideal Cabinet Secretary will have exceptional organizational skills and be
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
OPL has, by far, held more meetings in the Eisenhower Executive Office Building
(EEOB) and within the West Wing itself than any other office within the WHO.
The OPL is the chief White House enforcer and gatekeeper among these var-
ious interest groups. It has operated best whenever the Chief of Staff has given it
permission to use both the proverbial “carrot” and the proverbial “stick.” To make
this work, communication with the chief’s office is vital. Additionally, the OPL has
had an outsized role in presidential scheduling and both official and political travel.
The OPL Director should come from the President’s election campaign or Cap-
itol Hill—but should not have deeply entrenched connections to a K Street entity
or any other potential stakeholder. Some prior relationships can create real or
perceived biases toward one group or another. The Director should be amiable,
gregarious, highly organized, and willing to shoulder criticism and pushback from
interest groups and other elements of the Administration.
Unlike the Director, OPL deputies and special assistants need a deep under-
standing of the capital, from K Street to Capitol Hill. They should have extensive
experience in private industry, the labor sector, the conservative movement, and
among the specific interest groups with which they will be asked to engage on
behalf of the White House.
OPL staffers work with more external and internal parties than any other WHO
staffers. In turn, they must be effective communicators and initiative-takers. They
must also be able to influence, persuade, and—most important—listen to various
stakeholders and ensure that they feel heard. All OPL staffers must understand
from the outset that their jobs might be modified or even phased out entirely as
the Administration’s priorities change.
l Each deputy and that deputy’s staffers are responsible for a type of government.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
The IGA, as suggested above, represents the interests and perspectives of non–
federal government entities, but its primary job is to make sure that these entities
understand an Administration’s agenda and ultimately support it.
The IGA must work with all other White House offices, especially the OPA and
the OPL, and manage its staff throughout the departments and agencies. IGA staff-
ers must therefore have communication skills, understand political nuance, and
be willing to engage in complex policy discussions. They should also be not just
generally responsive, but also proactive in seeking out the interests and perspec-
tives of non–federal government entities.
l Policy Advice. By virtue of working in the White House, the heads of the
three policy councils will also function as independent policy advisers to
the President. This aspect of the role will vary depending on the individual
in this position and the President’s governing philosophy. Incumbents have
ranged from “honest brokers,” who mostly coordinate and ensure that all
opinions are fairly presented to the President, to “policy deciders,” who
largely drive a given policy topic on behalf of the President.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
distinct and more granular policy decisions along the way. It is essential
to have a centralized process for evaluating and coordinating these
decisions, especially if they involve more than one Cabinet department
or agency with differing opinions on the best approach for securing the
President’s goals.
The above functions have recently been managed by policy councils through
a tiered interagency policy process. This process helps to identify differences of
opinion and reach a decision without having to take every issue to the President. It
can be used to address a single question or monitor a recurring issue on an ongoing
basis. Typically, the process involves multiple Cabinet departments and agencies
that have a pertinent role, policy interest, or disagreement. Each policy council’s
process could involve the following committees:
implementation at the agency level.
Despite having seemingly clear and separate portfolios, the three policy coun-
cils frequently have areas of overlap, which can result in confusion, duplication,
or conflict. For example, there are the areas of immigration and border security
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
(either NSC or DPC); health care, energy, and environment (either NEC or DPC);
and trade and international economic policy (either NSC or NEC). Identifying
these potentially problematic areas and assigning policy responsibilities to only
one council where possible will help to speed up the policy-coordination process.
While other chapters will cover specific policy goals for each department or
agency, incoming policy councils will need to move rapidly to lead policy processes
around cross-cutting agency topics, including countering China, enforcing immi-
gration laws, reversing regulatory policies in order to promote energy production,
combating the Left’s aggressive attacks on life and religious liberty, and confronting
“wokeism” throughout the federal government.
National Security Council. The NSC is intended to be an interdepartmen-
tal body within the White House that can set national security policy with a
whole-of-government approach. Unlike the other policy councils, the NSC was
established by statute.8 Statutory members and advisers who are currently part of
the NSC include the President and Vice President; the Secretaries of State, Defense,
and Energy; the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff; and the Director of National
Intelligence.9
The NSC staff, and particularly the National Security Adviser, should be
vetted for foreign and security policy experience and insight. The National Secu-
rity Adviser and NSC staff advise the President on matters of foreign policy and
national security, serve as an information conduit in times of crisis, and as liaisons
ensuring that written communications are properly shared among NSC members.
Special attention should be given to the use of detailees to staff the NSC. In
recent years, the NSC’s staff size has been rightsized from its peak of 400 in 2015
down to 100–150 professional members. The next Administration should try to
limit the number of detailees to ensure more direct presidential control.
National Economic Council. The NEC was established in 1993 by executive
order and has four key functions:
l To “ensure that policy decisions and programs are consistent with the
President’s stated goals” and “that those goals are being effectively pursued.”
The NEC Director coordinates and implements the President’s economic policy
objectives by working with Cabinet secretaries, their departments, and multiple
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
NEC. The Director serves as the principal DPC adviser to the President, along with
members of the Cabinet, and the Deputy Director chairs the committee respon-
sible for coordinating domestic policy development at the Deputy Secretary level.
In this respect, both the Director and the Deputy Director have critical institu-
tional functions that affect the development of domestic policy throughout the
Administration.
The DPC also has policy experts (for example, Special Assistants to the Presi-
dent or SAPs) who are responsible for developing and coordinating, as well as for
advising the President, on specific issues. It is essential that DPC policy expertise
reflect the most prominent issues that are before the Administration: issues such
as the environment, health care, housing, and immigration. In addition, DPC SAPs
should demonstrate a working knowledge of the rulemaking process (although
they need not necessarily be experts on regulation) because a working knowledge
of the rulemaking process will facilitate the DPC’s effectiveness in coordinating
Administration policy.
The DPC also needs to work closely with other offices within the Executive
Office of the President to promote economic opportunity and private-sector inno-
vation. This includes working with the Office of Management and Budget and its
Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs as well as the Council of Economic
Advisers, Council on Environmental Quality, and Office of Science and Technology
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Policy. To this end, the Director should chair a standing meeting with the princi-
pals from each of the other EOP offices to enhance coordination from within the
White House.
Several areas will be especially important as the DPC works to develop a
well-defined domestic policy agenda. One is the promotion of innovation as a
foundation for economic growth and opportunity. The President should establish
an economic opportunity working group, chaired by the DPC Director, to coordi-
nate the development of policies that promote economic opportunity. Another
important area is the promotion of health care reform to bring down costs for the
American people and the pressure that spending on health programs puts on the
federal budget. Finally, DPC should coordinate with the NSC on a policy agenda
to enhance border security.
The VP’s proximity to the President—as well as to the Chief of Staff and additional
senior advisers—makes his or her role a powerful one within the West Wing.
Presidents typically tap VPs to lead various Administration efforts. These efforts
have included serving on the NSC Principals Committee, heading the National
Space Council, addressing immigration and border issues, leading the response
to health care crises, and supervising workforce programs. VPs traditionally also
spearhead projects of personal interest that have been authorized by the President.
The VP is also charged with breaking tie votes in the Senate and in recent years
has served abroad as a brand ambassador for the White House and more broadly
the United States, announcing Administration priorities and coordinating with
heads of state and other top foreign government officials. The Vice President, as
President of the Senate, could be a President’s emissary to the Senate.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
The first spouse normally appoints a chief of staff who has enough assistants
to support the spouse’s activities in the East Wing of the White House. This group
works exclusively with the first spouse and senior members of the White House
along with EOP personnel to implement and execute the first spouse’s priorities,
which reflect the first spouse’s passions and interests and are often identified as
important in discussions with the President. Executed well, they can be strategi-
cally useful in accelerating the Administration’s agenda. Past East Wing initiatives
have focused on such issues as combating bullying, fighting drug abuse, promoting
literacy, and encouraging physical education for young adults and children.
The first spouse is afforded significant resources. His or her staff also works with
the President’s policy team, members of the Cabinet, and other EOP staff.
AUTHOR’S NOTE: The preparation of this chapter was a collective enterprise of individuals involved in the
2025 Presidential Transition Project. All contributors to this chapter are listed at the front of this volume, but Edwin
Meese III, Donald Devine, Ambassador Andrew Bremberg, and Jonathan Bronitsky deserve special mention. The
author alone assumes responsibility for the content of this chapter, and no views expressed herein should be
attributed to any other individual.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
ENDNOTES
— 42 —
2
EXECUTIVE OFFICE
OF THE PRESIDENT
OF THE UNITED STATES
Russ Vought
I
n its opening words, Article II of the U.S. Constitution makes it abundantly
clear that “[t]he executive power shall be vested in a President of the United
States of America.”1 That enormous power is not vested in departments or
agencies, in staff or administrative bodies, in nongovernmental organizations or
other equities and interests close to the government. The President must set and
enforce a plan for the executive branch. Sadly, however, a President today assumes
office to find a sprawling federal bureaucracy that all too often is carrying out its
own policy plans and preferences—or, worse yet, the policy plans and preferences
of a radical, supposedly “woke” faction of the country.
The modern conservative President’s task is to limit, control, and direct the
executive branch on behalf of the American people. This challenge is created
and exacerbated by factors like Congress’s decades-long tendency to delegate its
lawmaking power to agency bureaucracies, the pervasive notion of expert “inde-
pendence” that protects so-called expert authorities from scrutiny, the presumed
inability to hold career civil servants accountable for their performance, and the
increasing reality that many agencies are not only too big and powerful, but also
increasingly weaponized against the public and a President who is elected by the
people and empowered by the Constitution to govern.
In Federalist No. 47, James Madison warned that “[t]he accumulation of all powers,
legislative, executive, and judiciary, in the same hands, whether of one, a few, or many,
and whether hereditary, self-appointed, or elective, may justly be pronounced the
very definition of tyranny.”2 Regrettably, that wise and cautionary note describes
to a significant degree the modern executive branch, which—whether controlled
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
important components.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
OMB cannot perform its role on behalf of the President effectively if it is not inti-
mately involved in all aspects of the White House policy process and lacks knowledge
of what the agencies are doing. Internally to the EOP, ensuring that the policy-for-
mulation procedures developed by the White House to serve the President include
OMB is one of any OMB Director’s major responsibilities. A common meme of those
who intend to evade OMB review is to argue that where “resources” are not being
discussed, OMB’s participation is optional. This ignores both OMB’s role in all down-
stream execution and the reality that it has the only statutory tools in the White
House that are powerful enough to override implementing agencies’ bureaucracies.
The Director must view his job as the best, most comprehensive approxima-
tion of the President’s mind as it pertains to the policy agenda while always being
ready with actual options to effect that agenda within existing legal authorities and
resources. This role cannot be performed adequately if the Director acts instead as
the ambassador of the institutional interests of OMB and the wider bureaucracy
to the White House. Once its reputation as the keeper of “commander’s intent”
is established, then and only then does OMB have the ability to shape the most
efficient way to pursue an objective.
Externally, the Director must ensure that OMB has sufficient visibility into
the deep caverns of agency decision-making. One indispensable statutory tool to
that end is to ensure that policy officials—the Program Associate Directors (PADs)
managing the vast Resource Management Offices (RMOs)—personally sign what
are known as the apportionments. In 1870, Congress passed the Anti-Deficiency
Act3 to prevent the common agency practice of spending down all appropriated
funding, creating artificial funding shortfalls that Congress would have to fill. The
law mandated that all funding be allotted or “apportioned” in installments. This
process, whereby agencies come to OMB for allotments of appropriated funding, is
essential to the effective financial stewardship of taxpayer dollars. OMB can then
direct on behalf of a President the amount, duration, and purpose of any appor-
tioned funding to ensure against waste, fraud, and abuse and ensure consistency
with the President’s agenda and applicable laws.
The vast majority of these apportionments were signed by career officials—the
Deputy Associate Directors (DADs)—until the Trump Administration placed this
responsibility in the hands of the PADs and thereby opened wide vistas of oversight
that had escaped the attention of policy officials. The Biden Administration sub-
sequently reversed this decision. No Director should be chosen who is unwilling
to restore apportionment decision-making to the PADs’ personal review, who is
not aggressive in wielding the tool on behalf of the President’s agenda, or who is
unable to defend the power against attacks from Congress.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
It should be noted that each of OMB’s primary functions, along with other
executive and statutory roles, is carried out with the help of many essential OMB
support offices. The two most important offices for moving OMB at the will of a
Director are the Budget Review Division (BRD) and the Office of General Counsel
(OGC). The Director should have a direct and effective relationship with the head
of the BRD (considered the top career official within OMB) and transmit most
instructions through that office because the rest of the agency is institution-
ally inclined toward its direction and responds accordingly. The BRD inevitably
will translate the directions from policy officials to the career staff, and at every
stage, it is obviously vital that the Director ensure that this translation is an
accurate one.
In addition, many key considerations involved in enacting a President’s agenda
hinge on existing legal authorities. The Director must ensure the appointment
of a General Counsel who is respected yet creative and fearless in his or her abil-
ity to challenge legal precedents that serve to protect the status quo. This is vital
within OMB not only with respect to the adequate development of policy options
for the President’s review, but also with respect to agencies that attempt to protect
their own institutional interests and foreclose certain avenues based on the mere
assertion (and not proof ) that the law disallows it or that, conversely, attempt to
disregard the clear statutory commands of Congress.
In general, the Director should empower a strong Deputy Director with author-
ity over the Deputy for Management, the PADs, and the Office of Information and
Regulatory Affairs (OIRA) to work diligently to break down barriers within OMB
and not allow turf disputes or a lack of visibility to undermine the agency’s prin-
cipal budget, management, and regulatory functions. OMB should work toward a
“One OMB” position on behalf of the President and represent that view during the
various policymaking processes.
Budget. The United States today faces an untenable fiscal situation and owes
$31 trillion on a debt that is steadily increasing. The OMB Director should present
a fiscal goal to the President early in the budget development process to address
the federal government’s fiscal irresponsibility. This goal would help to align the
months-long process of developing the actual proposals for inclusion in the budget.
Though some mistakenly regard it as a mere paper-pushing exercise, the Pres-
ident’s budget is in fact a powerful mechanism for setting and enforcing public
policy at federal agencies. The budget team includes six Resource Management
Offices that, together with the BRD and other components, help the Director of
OMB to develop and execute detailed agency spending plans that bear on every
major aspect of policy formation and execution at federal agencies. Through initial
priority-setting and ongoing supervision of agency spending, OMB’s budget team
plays a key role in executing policy across the executive branch, including at many
agencies wrongly regarded as “independent.”
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The RMOs, each of which is led by a political appointee known as the PAD and
a career DAD, are separated into six functional units:
l National Security.
l Health.
Because the RMOs are institutionally ingrained in nearly all policymaking and
implementation across the executive branch, they play a critical role in helping the
Director to implement the President’s public policy agenda. However, because each
RMO is responsible for formulating and supervising such a wide range of policy
details, many granular but critical policy decisions are effectively left to the career
professionals who serve across Administrations.
To enhance the OMB Director’s ability to help the President drive policy at the
agencies, the existing six RMOs should be divided into smaller subject-matter areas,
allowing for more PADs, and each of these PADs should have a Deputy PAD. This
expanded pool of RMOs with additional political leadership would enable more
comprehensive direction and oversight of policy development and implementation.
Regardless of whether Congress adopts the President’s full set of budget rec-
ommendations, the President should reintroduce the concept of administrative
pay-as-you-go, or administrative PAYGO. This simple procedural requirement
imposes budget neutrality on the discretionary choices of federal agencies, of
which there are many in nearly all areas of policymaking. This simple step forces
the executive branch to control what it can control. The principle may occasionally
yield to other overarching requirements, such as a presidential regulatory budget,
but in nearly all cases, administrative PAYGO plays a unique and indispensable
role in enforcing fiscal responsibility at federal departments and agencies.
The President should use every possible tool to propose and impose fiscal disci-
pline on the federal government. Anything short of that would constitute abject failure.
Management. The Management Office of OMB (the “M-Side” as it is often
called) is responsible for carrying out several important agency oversight functions,
many of which are statutory. The Management team includes the following offices
led by presidentially appointed Senate-confirmed individuals:
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l The Made in America Office (MIAO), which was added by the Biden
Administration and is not a Senate-confirmed slot.
Each of these offices has responsibilities and authorities that a President can
use to help drive policy across the government. It is vital that the Director and his
political staff, not the careerists, drive these offices in pursuit of the President’s
actual priorities and not let them set their own agenda based on the wishes of the
sprawling “good government” management community in and outside of govern-
ment. Many Directors do not properly prioritize the management portfolio, leaving
it to the Deputy for Management, but such neglect creates purposeless bureaucracy
that impedes a President’s agenda—an “M Train to Nowhere.”
OFPP. This office plays a critical role in leading the development of new policies
and regulations concerning federal contracting and procurement. Through the
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that will result in the least burdensome rules possible. The next President should
also revive the directive in Executive Order 138918 that significant guidance doc-
uments also must pass through OIRA review.
Because OIRA review often leads to fewer regulatory burdens, more regulatory
benefits, and better coordination of regulatory policy, funding for OIRA tends to
pay large dividends. Yet over the years, funding for OIRA has diminished. This
trend should be reversed. The budget should also include sufficient full-time equiv-
alent (FTE) employees to form regulatory advance teams that would consult with
agencies on cost-benefit analysis and good regulatory practices at the beginning
of the rulemaking process for the most important regulations. These teams would
help agencies take cost-benefit analysis into account from the beginning of their
rulemaking efforts, which in turn would result in higher-quality regulations and a
swifter eventual OIRA review. To preserve the integrity of OIRA review, the staff
who consult at the beginning of a rulemaking should not handle its eventual review.
The next President should also reinstate the many executive orders signed
by President Trump that were designed to make the regulatory process more
just, efficient, and transparent. Executive Orders 13771,9 13777,10 13891,11 13892,12
13893,13 13924 Section 6,14 13979,15 and 1398016 should be revived (with modifica-
tions as needed). Executive Order 1313217 on federalism should be strengthened
so that state regulatory and fiscal operations are not commandeered by the federal
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
staff should be the main day-to-day managers for interagency coordination and
implementation of their assigned national security policy objectives. They should
provide policy analysis for consideration by the broader NSC and relevant agencies
and ensure timely responses to decisions made by the President. The accountable
senior officials should be established at the direction of the NSA and draw on per-
sonnel and expertise from beyond the NSC, including OMB, the National Economic
Council, and relevant federal agencies.
The NSC staff and principals should work in tandem with the National Eco-
nomic Council and OMB at all levels, presenting a united effort to achieve the
President’s goals and drawing on the latter’s statutory authorities to guide the
bureaucracy. To accomplish national objectives effectively, foreign policy should
fully incorporate the economic instruments of national power. National security
policy must also include the prioritized allocation of resources. When policies are
divorced from the resources required to implement them, they are stillborn—aca-
demic exercises that undermine our national security and leave departments and
agencies to their own devices.
The accountable senior officials should be empowered to identify, recruit, clear,
and hire staff who are aligned with and willing to shepherd the President’s national
security priorities. NSC staff leads, under the direction of the NSA, should have
the discretion to reduce the number of positions that need high-level clearances,
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
and the NSC should be adequately resourced and authorized to adjudicate and
hold security clearances internally with investigators who work directly for the
NSC and whose sole task is to clear NSC officials. If certain staff are determined
not to need high-level clearances, the question becomes whether they should be
part of the NSC at all.
The NSC should take a leading role in directing the drafting and thorough review
of all formal strategies: the National Security Strategy, the National Defense Strat-
egy, the Nuclear Posture Review, the Missile Defense Strategy, etc. In particular,
the National Defense Strategy, which by tradition has evaded significant review,
should be prioritized for White House review by the NSC and OMB. Both should
also conduct reviews of operational war plans and global force planning and allo-
cations with the Secretary of Defense to align them with presidential priorities and
review all key policy and guidance intended for implementation by the heads of the
Department of Defense, the Department of State, and the Intelligence Community
before they are authorized for distribution. The NSC should rigorously review all
general and flag officer promotions to prioritize the core roles and responsibilities
of the military over social engineering and non-defense matters, including climate
change, critical race theory, manufactured extremism, and other polarizing policies
that weaken our armed forces and discourage our nation’s finest men and women
from enlisting to serve in defense of our liberty.
The NSC staff will need to consolidate the functions of both the NSC and the
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
the best strategic thinking of the President’s top advisers. History shows that an
unsupervised NSC staff can stray from its statutory role and adversely affect a Pres-
ident and his policies. Moreover, while the NSC should be fully incorporated into
the White House, it should also be allowed to do its job without the impediment
of dually hatted staff that report to other offices. For instance, the NSC needs its
own counsel to inform what legal options can be provided to the President. The
White House Counsel should be part of that policy process as the President’s top
legal adviser. These recommendations provide a clear road map for rapidly sizing
and solidifying the NSC staff to support and achieve the President’s objectives
beginning on Inauguration Day.
ate agency’s responsibility to implement it. The NEC’s policy process is also used
to determine whether the President should support or oppose legislation passed
by Congress.
In addition to its leadership, the NEC has policy experts (for example, Special
Assistants to the President or SAPs) who are responsible for developing and coor-
dinating, as well as advising the President, on specific issues. It is essential that
the policy expertise of the NEC reflect the current environment’s most pressing
issues. Today, this would include (among other topics) taxes, energy and envi-
ronment, technology, infrastructure, health care, financial services, workforce,
agriculture, antitrust and competition policy, and retirement programs. NEC’s
SAPs should have a working knowledge of how the Administration can implement
policy through the rulemaking process, although it is not necessary that they be
experts on regulation themselves, particularly given OMB’s role. This will facilitate
the NEC’s effectiveness in coordinating Administration policy.
The NEC needs to work closely with other offices within the Executive Office
of the President to promote innovation by the private sector and create an envi-
ronment that will stimulate economic activity while reducing federal spending
and debt. This includes working with the DPC, NSC, OMB, Council of Economic
Advisers, Office of Intergovernmental Affairs, Office of Cabinet Affairs, White
House Counsel, Council on Environmental Quality, Office of Legislative Affairs,
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and Office of Science and Technology Policy. To this end, the NEC Director should
chair a standing meeting with the principals from each of the other EOP offices to
enhance coordination from within the White House.
In the past, there has been tension among the DPC, NEC, and NSC over juris-
diction. It is important to set clear jurisdictions at the start of an Administration
to prevent needless and counterproductive turf fights. In addition, the Principal
Deputy for international economic policy is jointly appointed at NEC and NSC and
could end up serving two different interests. To avoid such problems, international
economic policy should be entirely coordinated from NEC.
It will be especially important for the NEC to work seamlessly with the Council
of Economic Advisers (CEA), which provides the President and the White House
offices with the latest economic data and forecasts, as well as estimates of the eco-
nomic impact of proposed policies, and prepares the annual Economic Report of
the President. The CEA is not a policy council and therefore does not run policy
processes, which is the responsibility of the NEC, DPC, and NSC. However, the
CEA does play a key role in ensuring that any policy considered by the councils is
rigorously evaluated for its economic impacts.
The NEC works closely with the White House Office of Communications and
Office of Speechwriting to ensure that the White House’s messaging and media
engagement communicate the President’s economic policy effectively.
The NEC also plays a key role in advancing the President’s economic agenda
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
The USTR’s mission is vitally important in reorienting the global trading system
in a direction that is open, fair, and prosperous. In order to achieve the President’s
policy goals, a strong USTR must be empowered to set trade policy from the White
House with the authority and resources to represent the interests of the Presi-
dent’s trade agenda with adequate budget, staff, analysis, and expertise to engage
meaningfully in internal and interagency policy deliberations. The USTR should
organize and harness existing interagency trade committees to serve the Presi-
dent’s trade agenda and drive a consensus among federal stakeholders, dispose
of legacy advisory committees with members who serve special interests, direct
action to implement policy priorities, measure progress toward implementing the
President’s agenda, and hold agencies and officials accountable for delivering the
President’s agenda. The USTR’s leadership should not only coordinate and enforce
the President’s agenda across the federal community, but also set and enforce the
President’s trade agenda internally.
Trade policy and priorities should be set by the President and implemented by
the U.S. Trade Representative in cooperation with the other economic and national
security officials, not by the range of governmental and nongovernmental interests
that attempt to force their policy preferences on the USTR. A strong USTR empow-
ered with the necessary resources, authorities, and interagency cooperation will
protect U.S. interests in the global marketplace more effectively.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
councils and other White House offices, but the CEA’s role, like the White House
Counsel’s, is to employ its unique expertise (particularly on the technical side) to
ensure that sound analysis is contributing to and shaping the policy discussion.
In practice, this means that CEA staff do not “coordinate” the policy process in
the way that the DPC or NEC would, but they should be integral to the EOP’s policy
development processes. CEA staff should support sound policy development and
execution by actively contributing to running policy dialogues, proactively raising
issues that need to be addressed, consulting on questions that arise, and guiding
EOP and agency officials on the analytical foundations of policy. Structurally, the
White House Chief of Staff should ensure that the CEA has a seat at the policymak-
ing table on all relevant policy.
Senior economists traditionally have not gone through the Office of Presidential
Personnel process and more often than not are hired on an academic-year cycle. As
a result, senior economists hired in the summer of a presidential election year tend
to remain on staff until the next summer even if a President from the opposite party
takes power and installs a new slate of CEA political appointees for chair, members,
etc. Although these hiring practices create some continuity, the presence of senior
economists who were never fully vetted for their alignment with White House
policy objectives or who were holdovers from a recently departed Administra-
tion can breed skepticism and distrust of the CEA by other units within the White
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
House, creating the risk that the CEA’s role in the policymaking process will be
diminished. A future Administration should consider hiring that reflects the White
House calendar (mid-January) and involves the Office of Presidential Personnel.
The Trump Administration’s major space policies—including the U.S. Space Force,
the Artemis program to land the next Americans on the moon, and support for a
strong commercial space sector—have endured under the Biden Administration.
Major challenges remain in implementation and regulatory reform to keep up
with rapidly evolving space markets and competitors. These include the long-term
sustainability of space activities in light of increasing orbital debris; creation of
space situational awareness services for civil and commercial uses; management
of mega-constellations; licensing of new commercial remote sensing capabilities;
keeping up with licensing demands due to high launch rates; transitioning Inter-
national Space Station operations to multiple, privately owned space platforms;
and (most important) accelerating the acquisition and fielding of national security
space capabilities in response to an increasingly aggressive China.
The Vice President should have a clear understanding with the National Secu-
rity Advisor and the White House Counsel that they and their respective staffs
will work within the White House to determine the scope and leadership of policy
reviews that can overlap multiple areas of responsibility. A similar understanding
is necessary with the heads of other policy councils such as the NEC, DPC, and
National Science and Technology Council (NSTC).
As a result of the President’s direction and the Vice President’s leadership, the
NSpC under the Trump Administration was able to coordinate a wide range of
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
space policy reviews, legislative proposals, and regulatory reforms smoothly. The
NSpC generally led on space issues within the EOP, but other White House offices
also took on space topics.
During the Trump Administration, if a topic was purely military, such as stand-
ing up the U.S. Space Command, the NSC took the lead. If a topic cut across military,
civil, and commercial sectors, as was the case with cybersecurity in space, the NSpC
and NSC would cochair the policy review groups.
Trusted, collegial relationships across the White House complex are critical to
successful space policy development, implementation, and oversight. Nowhere
is this more important than in the relationship between the NSpC staff and OMB
staff who oversee civil and national security–related space spending. Teamwork
between the NSpC and OMB staff can communicate clear presidential priorities
to departments and agencies, facilitating smooth development of the President’s
budget request. The NSpC and OMB have many opportunities to collaborate in
promoting presidential priorities while finding offsets in lower-priority programs
and funding lines.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
The OSTP’s functions, as contained in the law, are to advise the President of
scientific and technological considerations, evaluate the effectiveness of the federal
effort, and generally lead and coordinate the federal government’s R&D programs.
If science is being manipulated at the agencies to support separate political and
institutional agendas, the President should increase the prominence of the OSTP’s
Director either formally or informally. This would elevate the role of science in
policy discussions and subsequent outcomes and theoretically help to balance
out agencies like the Departments of Energy, State, and Commerce and the Envi-
ronmental Protection Agency and Council on Environmental Quality. The OSTP
can also help to bring technical expertise to regulatory matters in support of OMB.
The OSTP should continue to play a lead role in coordinating federal R&D pro-
grams. Recent legislation, especially the CHIPS and Science Act,34 has expanded
federal policy and funding across the enterprise, and there is a need for more sig-
nificant leadership in this area both to ensure effectiveness and to avoid duplication
of effort. As befitting its location in the White House, the OSTP must be concerned
with advancing national interests and not merely the parochial concerns of depart-
ments, agencies, or parts of the scientific community.
During the Trump and Biden Administrations, there has been a bipartisan focus
on prioritizing R&D funding around the so-called Industries of the Future (IOTF).
Under President Trump, IOTF priorities were artificial intelligence (AI), quantum
information science (QIS), advanced communications/5G, advanced manufacturing,
and biotechnology. Under President Biden, this list has been expanded to include
advanced materials, robotics, battery technology, cybersecurity, green products and
clean technology, plant genetics and agricultural technologies, nanotechnology, and
semiconductor and microelectronics technologies. These priorities should be eval-
uated and narrowed to ensure consistency with the next Administration’s priorities.
Given a long list of priorities, coordinating efforts across agencies and mea-
suring success are extremely challenging. The OSTP and OMB are required to
work together on an annual basis to prioritize the funding requests and whatever
Congress adds on top of them, but there continues to be concern about mission
creep and funds expended on nonscientific R&D.
The President should also issue an executive order to reshape the U.S. Global
Change Research Program (USGCRP) and related climate change research pro-
grams. The USGCRP produces strategic plans and research (for example, the
National Climate Assessment) that reduce the scope of legally proper options in
presidential decision-making and in agency rulemakings and adjudications. Also,
since much environmental policymaking must run the gauntlet of judicial review,
USGCRP actions can frustrate successful litigation defense in ways that the career
bureaucracy should not be permitted to control. The process for producing assess-
ments should include diverse viewpoints. The OSTP and OMB should jointly assess
the independence of the contractors used to conduct much of this outsourced
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government research that serves as the basis for policymaking. The next President
should critically analyze and, if required, refuse to accept any USGCRP assessment
prepared under the Biden Administration.
The President should also restore related EOP research components to their
purely informational and advisory roles. Consistent with the Global Change
Research Act of 1990,35 USGCRP-related EOP components should be confined to
a more limited advisory role. These components should include but not necessarily
be limited to the OSTP; the NSTC’s Committee on Environment; the USGCRP’s
Interagency Groups (for example, the Carbon Cycle Interagency Working Group);
and the Federal Coordinating Council for Science, Engineering, and Technology.
As a general matter, the new Administration should separate the scientific risk
assessment function from the risk management function, which is the exclusive
domain of elected policymakers and the public.
Finally, the next Administration will face a significant challenge in unwinding
policies and procedures that are used to advance radical gender, racial, and equity
initiatives under the banner of science. Similarly, the Biden Administration’s
climate fanaticism will need a whole-of-government unwinding. As with other
federal departments and agencies, the Biden Administration’s leveraging of the
federal government’s resources to further the woke agenda should be reversed and
scrubbed from all policy manuals, guidance documents, and agendas, and scientific
excellence and innovation should be restored as the OSTP’s top priority.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
further empower the FPISC by making its Executive Director an EOP appointee
with delegated presidential directive authority over executive branch permitting
agencies. For instance, the implementation of Executive Order 13807’s One Federal
Decision39 revealed many ways that the systems established by EO 13807 can be
improved. The new President should seek to issue a new executive order to create
a unified process for major infrastructure projects that includes giving project
proponents more control of any regulatory clocks.
The President should issue an executive order establishing a Senior Advisor to
coordinate the policy development and implementation of relevant energy and
environment policy by officials across the EOP (for example, the policy staff of the
NSC, NEC, DPC, CEQ, and OSTP) and abolishing the existing Office of Domestic Cli-
mate Policy. The Senior Advisor would report directly to the Chief of Staff. The role
would be similar to the role that Brian Deese and John Podesta had in the Obama
White House. This energy/environment coordinator would help to lead the fight
for sound energy and environment policies both domestically and internationally.
The President should eliminate the Interagency Working Group on the Social
Cost of Carbon (SCC), which is cochaired by the OSTP, OMB, and CEA, and by
executive order should end the use of SCC analysis.
Finally, the President should work with Congress to establish a sweeping mod-
ernization of the entire permitting system across all departments and agencies that
is aimed at reducing litigation risk and giving agencies the authority to establish
programmatic, general, and provisional permits.
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The National Drug Control Program agencies represented a total of $41 billion
in fiscal year 2022. Whereas the position for overseeing budget activities is tradi-
tionally held by a career official, it is imperative that a political appointee lead the
ONDCP budget office to ensure coordination between the OMB Program Associate
Director and the ONDCP budgetary appointee.
ONDCP grant-making activities have been controversial over the years, par-
ticularly within conservative Administrations concerned that the White House
lacks the expertise to oversee such programs directly. The ONDCP administers
two grant programs: the Drug-Free Communities Support Program and the High
Intensity Drug Trafficking Areas Program. While it makes sense to transfer these
programs eventually to the Department of Justice and Department of Health and
Human Services, respectively, it is vital that the ONDCP Director ensure in the
immediate term that these grant programs are funding the President’s drug control
priorities and not woke nonprofits with leftist policy agendas. Thus, the President
must insure that the ONDCP is managed by political appointees who are commit-
ted to the Administration’s agenda and not acquiesce to management by political
or career military personnel who oversaw the prior Administration’s ONDCP.
related to the establishment or promotion of the Gender Policy Council and its
subsidiary issues. Abolishing the Gender Policy Council would eliminate central
promotion of abortion (“health services”); comprehensive sexuality education
(“education”); and the new woke gender ideology, which has as a principal tenet
“gender affirming care” and “sex-change” surgeries on minors. In addition to elim-
inating the council, developing new structures and positions will have the dual
effect of demonstrating that promoting life and strengthening the family is a pri-
ority while also facilitating more seamless coordination and consistency across
the U.S. government.
Specifically, the President should appoint a position/point of contact with the
rank of Special Assistant to the President or higher to coordinate and lead the Pres-
ident’s domestic priorities on issues related to life and family in cooperation with
the Domestic Policy Council. This position would be responsible for facilitating
meetings, discussions, and agreements among personnel; coordinating Adminis-
tration policy; and ensuring agency support for implementation of policies related
to the promotion of life and family in the United States.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
the President of the Senate and is charged with breaking tie votes in that body. In
recent years, the Vice President has been granted office space in the West Wing
and the Eisenhower Executive Office Building.
The OVP is another one of the levers that the President should use to execute his
agenda. This is particularly true because there is significant and unique leverage
that the Vice President’s leadership of the OVP can evoke to shape policy discus-
sions and outcomes. Every other appointed White House official serves at the
pleasure of the President, whereas the Vice President is elected, and the process
for filling vacancies in that Article II constitutional office, which includes confir-
mation of a replacement Vice President by a majority of both Houses of Congress,
is governed by the Twenty-Fifth Amendment.42
The Vice President has his or her own economic advisers, domestic policy and
national security staff, and daily intelligence briefings. The Vice President should
fill his or her office with strong and sound policy minds to effectively assist the
President in fulfilling his agenda.
The Vice President is also a statutory member of the National Security Council.43
In theory, in light of the fact that the Vice President is a member of the Smithso-
nian Institution’s Board of Regents,44 there is nothing to prevent Congress from
assigning the Vice President additional statutory duties.
All of the component councils and offices discussed in this chapter include real
policy development and implementation authority, and a robust OVP should be
fully integrated into all policy-formation procedures. Only a Vice President who
is deeply steeped in the interworking of the interagency and policy councils can
offer useful advice and prove helpful in accomplishing the President’s agenda. It
is also obvious, in view of the fact that many former Vice Presidents have gone on
to be elected President in their own right,45 that the Vice Presidency can act as a
training ground for presidential office.
In the past, the Vice President has been tasked with leading certain initiatives or
issues. For example, Mike Pence was tasked with coordinating the federal response
to COVID-19, and both Pence and Kamala Harris have chaired the National Space
Council. Vice Presidents Richard Cheney and Dan Quayle were also active on the
deregulatory front and in imposing regulatory moratoria. However, OVP offi-
cials should be fully integrated into each and every process from the start of a
new Administration and not have to wait to be invited to join various meetings or
working groups on an ad hoc basis. For example, the budget and regulatory review
processes are linchpins in the execution of policy, and the OVP should have a seat
at the table through every phase of policy development.
Past Vice Presidents have also spent significant time abroad serving as a type of
brand ambassador for the White House and, more broadly, for the United States,
announcing Administration priorities and coordinating with heads of state and
other top officials of foreign governments. The Vice President, as President of the
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Senate, often serves as a presidential emissary to the Senate and thus can be espe-
cially helpful in securing passage of the President’s legislative agenda.
To the extent that he or she desires, a Vice President can have a direct role in
shaping Administration policy. A Vice President who regularly attends meetings
and disperses staff across the interagency and policy councils is a Vice President
whose voice will be heard.
AUTHOR’S NOTE: Special thanks to those who contributed to this chapter: Stephen Billy, Scott Pace, Casey
Mulligan, Edie Heipel, Mike Duffey, Vance Ginn, Iain Murray, Laura Cunliffe, Mario Loyola, Anthony Campau, Paige
Agostin, Molly Sikes, Paul Ray, Kenneth A. Klukowski, Michael Anton, Robert Greenway, Valerie Huber, James Rockas,
Paul Winfree, Aaron Hedlund, Brian McCormack, David Legates, Art Kleinschmidt, Paul Larkin, Kayla Tonnessen,
Jeffrey B. Clark, Jonathan Wolfson, and Bob Burkett.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
ENDNOTES
pdf (accessed January 31, 2023).
9. President Donald J. Trump, Executive Order 13771, “Reducing Regulation and Controlling Regulatory Costs,”
January 30, 2017, in Federal Register, Vol. 82, No. 22 (February 3, 20170, pp. 9339–9341, https://www.govinfo.
gov/content/pkg/FR-2017-02-03/pdf/2017-02451.pdf (accessed January 31, 2023).
10. President Donald J. Trump, Executive Order 13777, “Enforcing the Regulatory Reform Agenda,” February 24,
2017, in Federal Register, Vol. 82, No. 39 (March 1, 2017), pp. 12285–12287, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/
pkg/FR-2017-03-01/pdf/2017-04107.pdf (accessed January 31, 2023).
11. See note 8, supra.
12. President Donald J. Trump, Executive Order 13892, “Promoting the Rule of Law Through Transparency and
Fairness in Civil Administrative Enforcement and Adjudication,” in Federal Register, Vol. 84, No. 199 (October
15, 2019), pp. 55239–55243, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2019-10-15/pdf/2019-22624.pdf
(accessed January 31, 2023).
13. President Donald J. Trump, Executive Order 13893, “Increasing Government Accountability for Administrative
Actions by Reinvigorating Administrative PAYGO,” October 10, 2019, in Federal Register, Vol. 84, No. 200
(October 16, 2019), pp. 55487–55488, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2019-10-16/pdf/2019-22749.
pdf (accessed January 31, 2023).
14. President Donald J. Trump, Executive Order 13924, “Regulatory Relief to Support Economic Recovery,” May 19,
2020, in Federal Register, Vol. 85, No. 100 (May 22, 2020), pp. 31353–31356, esp. 31355, https://www.govinfo.
gov/content/pkg/FR-2020-05-22/pdf/2020-11301.pdf (accessed January 31, 2023).
15. President Donald J. Trump, Executive Order 13979, “Ensuring Democratic Accountability in Agency
Rulemaking,” January 18, 2021, in Federal Register, Vol. 86, No. 13 (January 22, 2021), pp. 6813–6815, https://
www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2021-01-22/pdf/2021-01644.pdf (accessed January 31, 2023).
16. President Donald J. Trump, Executive Order 13980, “Protecting Americans from Overcriminalization
Through Regulatory Reform,” January 18, 2021, in Federal Register, Vol. 86, No. 13 (January 22, 2021),
pp. 6817–6820, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2021-01-22/pdf/2021-01645.pdf (accessed
January 31, 2023).
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
17. President William J. Clinton, Executive Order 13132, “Federalism,” August 4, 1999, in Federal Register, Vol. 64,
No. 153 (August 10, 1999), pp. 43255–43259, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-1999-08-10/pdf/99-
20729.pdf (accessed January 31, 2023).
18. President Ronald Reagan, Executive Order 12630, “Governmental Actions and Interference with
Constitutionally Protected Property Rights,” March 15, 1988, in Federal Register, Vol. 53, No. 53 (March 18,
1988), pp. 8859–8862, https://www.regulationwriters.com/downloads/Executive_Orders/EO_12630.pdf
(accessed January 31, 2023).
19. Section 115 in H.R. 4577, Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2001, Public Law No. 106-544, 106th Congress,
December 21, 2000, https://www.congress.gov/106/plaws/publ554/PLAW-106publ554.pdf (accessed
January 31, 2023).
20. H.R. 6410, Paperwork Reduction Act of 1980, Public Law No. 96-511, 96th Congress, December 11, 1980, https://
www.congress.gov/96/statute/STATUTE-94/STATUTE-94-Pg2812.pdf (accessed January 31, 2023).
21. S. 3418, An Act to Amend Title 5, United States Code, by Adding a Section 552a, to Safeguard Individual
Privacy from the Misuse of Federal Records, to Provide that Individuals Be Granted Access to Records
Concerning Them Which Are Maintained by Federal Agencies, to Establish a Privacy Protection Study
Commission, and for Other Purposes (Privacy Act of 1974), Public Law No. 93-579, 93rd Congress,
December 31, 1974, https://www.congress.gov/93/statute/STATUTE-88/STATUTE-88-Pg1896.pdf (accessed
January 31, 2023).
22. Office of Management and Budget, “Guidance for Grants and Agreements,” Final Guidance, Federal Register,
Vol. 85, No. 157 (August 13, 2020), pp. 49506–49582, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2020-08-13/
pdf/2020-17468.pdf (accessed January 31, 2023), and “Guidance for Grants and Agreements,” Correcting
Amendments, Federal Register, Vol. 86, No. 33 (February 22, 2021), pp. 10439–10440, https://www.govinfo.
gov/content/pkg/FR-2021-02-22/pdf/2021-02969.pdf (accessed January 31, 2023).
23. H.R. 5, Regulatory Accountability Act of 2017, 115th Congress, introduced January 3, 2017, https://www.
congress.gov/bill/115th-congress/house-bill/5 (accessed January 31, 20/23), and S. 951, Regulatory
Accountability Act of 2017, 115th Congress, introduced April 26, 2017, https://www.congress.gov/bill/115th-
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
33. H.R. 10230, National Science and Technology Policy, Organization, and Priorities Act of 1976, Public Law No.
94-282, 94th Congress, May 11, 1976, https://www.congress.gov/94/statute/STATUTE-90/STATUTE-90-Pg459.
pdf (accessed February 1, 2023).
34. H.R. 4346, CHIPS [Creating Helpful Incentives to Produce Semiconductors] and Science Act, Public Law No.
117-167, 117th Congress, August 9, 2022, https://www.congress.gov/117/plaws/publ167/PLAW-117publ167.pdf
(accessed February 1, 2023).
35. S. 169, Global Change Research Act of 1990, Public Law No. 101-606, 101st Congress, November 16, 1990,
https://www.congress.gov/101/statute/STATUTE-104/STATUTE-104-Pg3096.pdf (accessed February 1, 2023).
36. S. 1075, National Environmental Policy Act of 1969, Public Law No. 91-190, 91st Congress, January 1, 1970,
https://uscode.house.gov/statutes/pl/91/190.pdf (accessed February 1, 2023).
37. Andrus v. Sierra Club, 442 U.S. 347, 358 (1979), https://tile.loc.gov/storage-services/service/ll/usrep/usrep442/
usrep442347/usrep442347.pdf (accessed March 7, 2023).
38. Title XLI (41) in H.R. 22, Fixing America’s Surface Transportation Act (FAST Act), Public Law No. 114-94, 114th
Congress, December 4, 2015, https://www.congress.gov/114/statute/STATUTE-129/STATUTE-129-Pg1312.pdf
(accessed February 1, 2023).
39. President Donald J. Trump, Executive Order 13807, “Establishing Discipline and Accountability in the
Environmental Review and Permitting Process for Infrastructure Projects,” August 15, 2017, in Federal Register,
Vol. 82, No. 163 (August 24, 2017), pp. 40463–40469, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2017-08-24/
pdf/2017-18134.pdf (accessed February 1, 2023).
40. H.R. 5210, Anti-Drug Abuse of 1988, Public Law No. 100-690, 100th Congress, November 18, 1988, https://www.
congress.gov/100/statute/STATUTE-102/STATUTE-102-Pg4181.pdf (accessed February 1, 2023).
41. President Joseph R. Biden Jr., Executive Order 14020, “Establishment of the White House Gender Policy
Council,” March 8, 2021, in Federal Register, Vol. 86, No. 46 (March 11, 2021), pp. 13797–13801, https://www.
govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2021-03-11/pdf/2021-05183.pdf (accessed January 31, 2023).
42. U.S. Constitution, Amendment XXV, https://www.law.cornell.edu/constitution/amendmentxxv (accessed
March 9, 2023).
43. 50 U.S.C. § 3021(c)(1), https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/50/3021 (accessed March 9, 2023).
44. 20 U.S.C. § 20(a), https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/20/42#:~:text=The%20business%20of%20the%20
Institution%20shall%20be%20conducted,no%20two%20of%20them%20of%20the%20same%20State
(accessed March 9, 2023).
45. Vice Presidents Gerald Ford and Lyndon Johnson assumed (Ford) or initially assumed (Johnson) the office of
the presidency by a process of succession.
— 67 —
3
OVERVIEW
From the very first Mandate for Leadership, the “personnel is policy” theme has been
the fundamental principle guiding the government’s personnel management. As the U.S.
Constitution makes clear, the President’s appointment, direction, and removal author-
ities are the central elements of his executive power.1 In implementing that power, the
people and the President deserve the most talented and responsible workforce possible.
Who the President assigns to design and implement his political policy agenda
will determine whether he can carry out the responsibility given to him by the
American people. The President must recognize that whoever holds a government
position sets its policy. To fulfill an electoral mandate, he must therefore give per-
sonnel management his highest priority, including Cabinet-level precedence.
The federal government’s immense bureaucracy spreads into hundreds of agen-
cies and thousands of units and is centered and overseen at the top by key central
personnel agencies and their governing laws and regulations. The major separate
personnel agencies in the national government today are:
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Title 5 of the U.S. Code charges the OPM with executing, administering, and
enforcing the rules, regulations, and laws governing the civil service.2 It grants the
OPM direct responsibility for activities like retirement, pay, health, training, federal
unionization, suitability, and classification functions not specifically granted to other
agencies by statute. The agency’s Director is charged with aiding the President, as
the President may request, in preparing such civil service rules as the President pre-
scribes and otherwise advising the President on actions that may be taken to promote
an efficient civil service and a systematic application of the merit system principles,
including recommending policies relating to the selection, promotion, transfer, per-
formance, pay, conditions of service, tenure, and separation of employees.
The MSPB is the lead adjudicator for hearing and resolving cases and contro-
versies for 2.2 million federal employees.3 It is required to conduct fair and neutral
case adjudications, regulatory reviews, and actions and studies to improve the
workforce. Its court-like adjudications investigate and hear appeals from agency
actions such as furloughs, suspensions, demotions, and terminations and are
appealable to the U.S. Court of Appeals.
The FLRA hears appeals of agency personnel cases involving federal labor griev-
ance procedures to provide judicial review with binding decisions appealable to
appeals courts.4 It interprets the rights and duties of agencies and employee labor
organizations—on management rights, OPM interpretations, recognition of labor
organizations, and unfair labor practices—under the general principle of bargain-
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
progressives have sought a system that could effectively select, train, reward,
and guard from partisan influence the neutral scientific experts they believe are
required to staff the national government and run the administrative state. Their
U.S. system was initiated by the Pendleton Act of 188310 and institutionalized by
the 1930s New Deal to set principles and practices that were meant to ensure that
expert merit rather than partisan favors or personal favoritism ruled within the
federal bureaucracy. Yet, as public frustration with the civil service has grown,
generating calls to “drain the swamp,” it has become clear that their project has
had serious unintended consequences.
The civil service was devised to replace the amateurism and presumed corrup-
tion of the old spoils system, wherein government jobs rewarded loyal partisans
who might or might not have professional backgrounds. Although the system
appeared to be sufficient for the nation’s first century, progressive intellectuals
and activists demanded a more professionalized, scientific, and politically neutral
Administration. Progressives designed a merit system to promote expertise and
shield bureaucrats from partisan political pressure, but it soon began to insulate
civil servants from accountability. The modern merit system increasingly made it
almost impossible to fire all but the most incompetent civil servants. Complying
with arcane rules regarding recruiting, rating, hiring, and firing simply replaced
the goal of cultivating competence and expertise.
In the 1970s, Georgia Democratic Governor Jimmy Carter, then a political
unknown, ran for President supporting New Deal programs and their Great Soci-
ety expansion but opposing the way they were being administered. The policies
were not actually reducing poverty, increasing prosperity, or improving the envi-
ronment, he argued, and to make them work required fundamental bureaucratic
reform. He correctly charged that almost all government employees were rated
as “successful,” all received the same pay regardless of performance, and even the
worst were impossible to fire—and he won the presidency.
President Carter fulfilled his campaign promise by hiring Syracuse University
Dean Alan Campbell, who served first as Chairman of the U.S. Civil Service Com-
mission and then as Director of the OPM and helped him devise and pass the Civil
Service Reform Act of 1978 (CSRA)11 to reset the basic structure of today’s bureau-
cracy. A new performance appraisal system was devised with a five rather than
three distribution of rating categories and individual goals more related to agency
missions and more related to employee promotion for all. Pay and benefits were
based directly on improved performance appraisals (including sizable bonuses) for
mid-level managers and senior executives. But time ran out on President Carter
before the act could be fully executed, so it was left to President Ronald Reagan
and his new OPM and agency leadership to implement.
Overall, the new law seemed to work for a few years under Reagan, but the Carter–
Reagan reforms were dissipated within a decade. Today, employee evaluation is back
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to pre-reform levels with almost all rated successful or above, frustrating any rela-
tion between pay and performance. An “outstanding” rating should be required for
Senior Executive Service (SES) chiefs to win big bonuses, but a few years ago, when
it was disclosed that the Veterans Administration executives who encouraged false
reporting of waiting lists for hospital admission were rated outstanding, the Senior
Executive Association justified it, telling Congress that only outstanding performers
would be promoted to the SES in the first place and that precise ratings were unnec-
essary.12 The Government Accountability Office (GAO), however, has reported that
pay raises, within-grade pay increases, and locality pay for regular employees and
executives have become automatic rather than based on performance—as a result
of most employees being rated at similar appraisal levels.13
OPM: Merit Hiring in a Merit System. It should not be impossible even
for a large national government to hire good people through merit selection. The
government did so for years, but it has proven difficult in recent times to select
personnel based on their knowledge, skills, and abilities (KSA) as the law dictates.
Yet for the past 34 years, the U.S. civil service has been unable to distinguish con-
sistently between strong and unqualified applicants for employment.
As the Carter presidency was winding down, the U.S. Department of Justice
and top lawyers at the OPM contrived with plaintiffs to end civil service IQ exam-
inations because of concern about their possible impact on minorities. The OPM
had used the Professional and Administrative Career Examination (PACE) gen-
eral intelligence exam to select college graduates for top agency employment, but
Carter Administration officials—probably without the President’s informed con-
currence—abolished the PACE through a legal consent court decree capitulating
to demands by civil rights petitioners who contended that it was discriminatory.
The judicial decree was to last only five years but still controls federal hiring and
is applied to all KSA tests even today.
General ability tests like the PACE have been used successfully to assess the use-
fulness and cost-effectiveness of broad intellectual qualities across many separate
occupations. Courts have ruled that even without evidence of overt, intentional
discrimination, such results might suggest discrimination. This doctrine of dispa-
rate impact could be ended legislatively or at least narrowed through the regulatory
process by a future Administration. In any event, the federal government has been
denied the use of a rigorous entry examination for three decades, relying instead
on self-evaluations that have forced managers to resort to subterfuge such as
preselecting friends or associates that they believe are competent to obtain qual-
ified employees.
In 2015, President Barack Obama’s OPM began to introduce an improved merit
examination called USAHire, which it had been testing quietly since 2012 in a few
agencies for a dozen job descriptions. The tests had multiple-choice questions with
only one correct answer. Some questions even required essay replies: questions
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
that would change regularly to depress cheating. President Donald Trump’s OPM
planned to implement such changes but was delayed because of legal concerns
over possible disparate impact.
Courts have agreed to review the consent decree if the Uniform Guidelines
on Employee Selection Procedures setting the technical requirements for sound
exams are reformed. A government that is unable to select employees based on
KSA-like test qualifications cannot work, and the OPM must move forward on this
very basic personnel management obligation.
The Centrality of Performance Appraisal. In the meantime, the OPM must
manage the workforce it has. Before they can reward or discipline federal employees,
managers must first identify who their top performers are and who is performing
less than adequately. In fact, as Ludwig von Mises proved in his classic Bureaucracy,14
unlike the profit-and-loss evaluation tool used in the private sector, government
performance measurement depends totally on a functioning appraisal system. If
they cannot be identified in the first place within a functioning appraisal system, it is
impossible to reward good performance or correct poor performance. The problem
is that the collegial atmosphere of a bureaucracy in a multifaceted appraisal system
that is open to appeals makes this a very challenging ideal to implement successfully.
The GAO reported more recently that overly high and widely spread perfor-
mance ratings were again plaguing the government, with more than 99 percent of
employees rated fully successful or above by their managers, a mere 0.3 percent
rated as minimally successful, and 0.1 percent actually rated unacceptable.15 Why?
It is human nature that no one appreciates being told that he or she is less than
outstanding in every way. Informing subordinates in a closely knit bureaucracy
that they are not performing well is difficult. Rating compatriots is even consid-
ered rude and unprofessional. Moreover, managers can be and often are accused
of racial or sexual discrimination for a poor rating, and this discourages honesty.
In 2018, President Trump issued Executive Order 1383916 requiring agen-
cies to reduce the time for employees to improve performance before corrective
action could be taken; to initiate disciplinary actions against poorly performing
employees more expeditiously; to reiterate that agencies are obligated to make
employees improve; to reduce the time for employees to respond to allegations
of poor performance; to mandate that agencies remind supervisors of expiring
employee probationary periods; to prohibit agencies from entering into settlement
agreements that modify an employee’s personnel record; and to reevaluate proce-
dures for agencies to discipline supervisors who retaliate against whistleblowers.
Unfortunately, the order was overturned by the Biden Administration,17 so it will
need to be reintroduced in 2025.
The fact remains that meaningfully evaluating employees’ performance is a
critical part of a manager’s job. In the Reagan appraisal process, managers were
evaluated on how they themselves rated their subordinates. This is critical to
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
agreement was reached in 1983 that supposedly ensured the passage of legislation
creating a new Performance Management and Recognition System (PMRS) for all,
(not just management) GS-13 through GS-15 employees.
Meanwhile, the OPM issued regulations to expand the role of performance
related to pay throughout the entire workforce, but congressional allies of the
employee unions, led by Representative Steny Hoyer (D) of government employee–
rich Maryland, stoutly resisted this extension of pay-for-performance and, with
strong union support, used the congressional appropriations process to block OPM
administrative pay reforms. Bonuses for SES career employees survived, but per-
formance appraisals became so high and widely distributed that there was little
relationship between performance and remuneration.
Ever since the original merit pay system for federal managers (GM-13 through
GM-15 grade levels, just below the SES) was allowed to expire in September 1993,
little to nothing has been done either to reinstate the federal merit pay program for
managers or to distribute performance rating evaluations for the SES, much less to
extend the program to the remainder of the workforce. A reform-friendly President
and Congress might just provide the opportunity to create a more comprehensive
performance plan; in the meantime, however, political executives should use exist-
ing pay and especially fiscal awards strategically to reward good performance to
the degree allowed by law.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
while the EEOC, MSPB, FLRA, and OSC may all apply essentially the same burden
of proof, the odds of success may be substantially different in each forum. In fact,
forum shopping among them for a friendlier venue is a common practice, but fre-
quent filers face no consequences for frivolous complaints. As a result, meritorious
cases are frequently delayed, denying relief and justice to truly aggrieved individuals.
The MSPB can and does handle all such matters, but it faces a backlog of an
estimated 3,000 cases of people who were potentially wrongfully terminated or
disciplined as far back as 2013. From 2017–2022 the MSPB lacked the quorum
required to decide appeals. On the other hand, as of January 2023, the EEOC had
a backlog of 42,000 cases.
While federal employees win appeals relatively infrequently—MSPB adminis-
trative judges have upheld agency decisions as much as 80 percent of the time—the
real problem is the time and paperwork involved in the elaborate process that
managers must undergo during appeals. This keeps even the best managers from
bringing cases in all but the most egregious cases of poor performance or mis-
conduct. As a result, the MSPB, EEOC, FLRA, and OSC likely see very few cases
compared to the number of occurrences, and nonperformers continue to be paid
and often are placed in nonwork positions.
Having a choice of appeals is especially unique to the government. If lower-pri-
ority issues were addressed in-house, serious adverse actions would be less subject
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
to delay. With the proper limitation of labor union actions, the FLRA should
have limited reason for appeals. The EEOC’s federal employee section should be
transferred to the MSPB, and many of the OCS’s investigatory functions should be
returned to the OPM. The MSPB could then become the main reviewer of adverse
actions, greatly simplifying the burdensome appeal process.
Making Civil Service Benefits Economically and Administratively Ratio-
nal. In recent years, the combined wages and benefits of the executive branch
civilian workforce totaled $300 billion according to official data. But even that
amount does not properly account for billions in unfunded liability for retirement
and other government reporting distortions. Official data also report employment
as approximately 2 million, but this ignores approximately 20 million contractors
who, while not eligible for government pay and benefits, do receive them indirectly
through contracting (even if they are less generous). Official data also claim that
national government employees are paid less than private-sector employees are
paid for similar work, but several more neutral sources demonstrate that pub-
lic-sector workers make more on average than their private-sector counterparts.
All of this extravagance deserves close scrutiny.
Market-Based Pay and Benefits. According to current law, federal workers
are to be paid wages comparable to equivalent private-sector workers rather than
compared to all private-sector employees. While the official studies claim that
federal employees are underpaid relative to the private sector by 20 percent or
more, a 2016 Heritage Foundation study found that federal employees received
wages that were 22 percent higher than wages for similar private-sector workers;
if the value of employee benefits was included, the total compensation premium
for federal employees over their private-sector equivalents increased to between
30 percent and 40 percent.18 The American Enterprise Institute found a 14 percent
pay premium and a 61 percent total compensation premium.19
Base salary is only one component of a federal employee’s total compensation.
In addition to high starting wages, federal employees normally receive an annual
cost-of-living adjustment (available to all employees) and generous scheduled
raises known as step increases. Moreover, a large proportion of federal employ-
ees are stationed in the Washington, D.C., area and other large cities and are
entitled to steep locality pay enhancement to account for the high cost of living
in these areas.
A federal employee with five years’ experience receives 20 vacation days, 13 paid
sick days, and all 10 federal holidays compared to an employee at a large private
company who receives 13 days of vacation and eight paid sick days. Federal health
benefits are more comparable to those provided by Fortune 500 employers with
the government paying 72 percent of the weighted average premiums, but this is
much higher than for most private plans. Almost half of private firms do not offer
any employer contributions at all.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
the federal pension program to save billions administratively. Under OPM pres-
sure, Reagan and Congress ultimately ended the old Civil Service Retirement
System (CSRS) entirely for new employees, which (counting disbursements for
the unfunded liability) accounted for 51.3 percent of the federal government's
total payroll. The retirement system that replaced it—the Federal Employees
Retirement System (FERS)—reduced the cost of federal employee retirement dis-
bursements to 28.5 percent of payroll (including contributions to Social Security
and the employer match to the Thrift Savings Plan). More of the pension cost was
shifted to the employee, but the new system was much more equitable for the 40
percent who received few or no benefits under the old system.
By 1999, more than half of the federal workforce was covered by the new system,
and the government’s per capita share of the cost (as the employer) was less than
half the cost of the old system: 20.2 percent of FERS payroll vs. 44.3 percent of
CSRS payroll, representing one of the largest examples of government savings
anywhere. Although the government pension system has become more like private
pension systems, it still remains much more generous, and other means might be
considered in the future to move it even closer to private plans.
GSA: Landlord and Contractor Management. The General Services
Administration is best known as the federal government’s landlord—designing,
constructing, managing, and preserving government buildings and leasing and
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
managing outside commercial real estate contracting with 376.9 million square feet
of space. Obviously, as its prime function, real estate expertise is key to the GSA’s
success. However, the GSA is also the government’s purchasing agent, connecting
federal purchasers with commercial products and services in the private sector
and their personnel management functions. With contractors performing so many
functions today, the GSA therefore becomes a de facto part of governmentwide
personnel management. The GSA also manages the Presidential Transition Act
(PTA) process, which also directly involves the OPM. A recent proposal would
have incorporated the OPM and GSA (and OMB). Fortunately, this did not take
place in that form, but it would make sense for GSA and OPM leadership and staff
to hold regular meetings to work through matters of common interest such as
moderating PTA personnel restrictions and the relationships between contract
and civil service employees.
Reductions-in-Force. Reducing the number of federal employees seems an
obvious way to reduce the overall expense of the civil service, and many prior
Administrations have attempted to do just this. Presidents Bill Clinton and
Barack Obama began their terms, as did Ronald Reagan and Donald Trump, by
mandating a freeze on the hiring of new federal employees, but these efforts did
not lead to permanent and substantive reductions in the number of nondefense
federal employees.
First, it is a challenge even to know which workers to cut. As mentioned, there
are 2 million federal employees, but since budgets have exploded, so has the
total number of personnel with nearly 10 times more federal contractors than
federal employees. Contractors are less expensive because they are not entitled
to high government pensions or benefits and are easier to fire and discipline. In
addition, millions of state government employees work under federal grants, in
effect administering federal programs; these cannot be cut directly. Cutting federal
employment can be helpful and can provide a simple story to average citizens, but
cutting functions, levels, funds, and grants is much more important than setting
simple employment size.
Simply reducing numbers can actually increase costs. OMB instructions fol-
lowing President Trump’s employment freeze told agencies to consider buyout
programs, encouraging early retirements in order to shift costs from current bud-
gets in agencies to the retirement system and minimize the number of personnel
fired. The Environmental Protection Agency immediately implemented such a
program, and OMB urged the passage of legislation to increase payout maximums
from $25,000 to $40,000 to further increase spending under the “cuts.” President
Clinton’s OMB had introduced a similar buyout that cost the Treasury $2.8 billion,
mostly for those who were going to retire anyway. Moreover, when a new employee
is hired to fill a job recently vacated in a buyout, the government for a time is paying
two people to fill one job.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
mance and Results Act of 1993,21 which required all federal agencies to define
their missions, establish goals and objectives, and measure and report their per-
formance to Congress. Three decades of endless time-consuming reports later,
the government continues to grow but with more paper and little change either
in performance or in the number of levels between government and the people.
The Brookings Institution’s Paul Light emphasizes the importance of the
increasing number of levels between the top heads of departments and the people
at the bottom who receive the products of government decision-making. He esti-
mates that there are perhaps 50 or more levels of impenetrable bureaucracy and no
way other than imperfect performance appraisals to communicate between them.22
The Trump Administration proposed some possible consolidations, but these
were not received favorably in Congress, whose approval is necessary for most such
proposals. The best solution is to cut functions and budgets and devolve respon-
sibilities. That is a challenge primarily for Presidents, Congress, and the entire
government, but the OPM still needs to lead the way governmentwide in managing
personnel properly even in any future smaller government.
Creating a Responsible Career Management Service. The people elect a
President who is charged by Article 2, Section 3 of the Constitution23 with seeing
that the laws are “faithfully executed” with his political appointees democratically
linked to that legitimizing responsibility. An autonomous bureaucracy has neither
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
ously promotes the CSRA principle of political leadership of the bureaucracy and
respects the professional autonomy of the career service. But this requires that
career SES employees should respect political rights too. Actions such as career
staff reserving excessive numbers of key policy positions as “career reserved” to
deny them to noncareer SES employees frustrate CSRA intent. Another evasion
is the general domination by career staff on SES personnel evaluation boards, the
opposite of noncareer executives dominating these critical meeting discussions
as expected in the SES. Career training also often underplays the political role in
leadership and inculcates career-first policy and value viewpoints.
Frustrated with these activities by top career executives, the Trump Adminis-
tration issued Executive Order 1395724 to make career professionals in positions
that are not normally subject to change as a result of a presidential transition but
who discharge significant duties and exercise significant discretion in formulating
and implementing executive branch policy and programs an exception to the com-
petitive hiring rules and examinations for career positions under a new Schedule
F. It ordered the Director of OPM and agency heads to set procedures to prepare
lists of such confidential, policy-determining, policymaking, or policy-advocating
positions and prepare procedures to create exceptions from civil service rules when
careerists hold such positions, from which they can relocate back to the regular
civil service after such service. The order was subsequently reversed by President
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Biden25 at the demand of the civil service associations and unions. It should be
reinstated, but SES responsibility should come first.
Managing Personnel in a Union Environment. Historically, unions were
thought to be incompatible with government management. There is a natural limit
to the bargaining power of private-sector unions, but the financial bottom line of
public-sector unions is not similarly constrained. If private-sector unions push
too hard a bargain, they can so harm a company or so reduce efficiency that their
employer is forced to go out of business and eliminate union jobs altogether. There
is no such limit in government, which cannot go out of business, so demands can
be excessive without negatively affecting employee and union bottom lines.
Even Democratic President Franklin Roosevelt considered union representa-
tion in the federal government to be incompatible with democracy. Striking and
even threats of bargaining and delay were considered acts against the people and
thus improper. It was not until President John Kennedy that union representation
in the federal government was recognized—and then merely by executive order.
Labor bargaining was not set in statute until the Carter Administration was forced
by Congress to do so in order to pass the CSRA, although all bargaining was placed
under OPM review.
The CSRA was able to maintain strong management rights for the OPM and
agencies and forbade collective bargaining on pay and benefits as well as manage-
ment prerogatives. Over time, OPM, FLRA, and agencies’ personnel offices and
courts, especially in Democratic Administrations, narrowed management rights
so that labor bargaining expanded as management rights contracted. But the man-
agement rights are still in statute, have been enforced by some Administrations,
and should be enforced again by any future OPM and agency managements, which
should not be intimidated by union power.
Rather than being daunted, President Trump issued three executive orders:
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
All were revoked by the Biden Administration29 and should be reinstated by the
next Administration, to include the immediate appointment of the FLRA General
Counsel and reactivation of the Impasses Panel.
Congress should also consider whether public-sector unions are appropriate
in the first place. The bipartisan consensus up until the middle of the 20th cen-
tury held that these unions were not compatible with constitutional government.30
After more than half a century of experience with public-sector union frustrations
of good government management, it is hard to avoid reaching the same conclusion.
Fully Staffing the Ranks of Political Appointees. The President must rely
legally on his top department and agency officials to run the government and on top
White House staff employees to coordinate operations through regular Cabinet and
other meetings and communications. Without this political leadership, the career
civil service becomes empowered to lead the executive branch without democratic
legitimacy. While many obstacles stand in his way, a President is constitutionally
and statutorily required to fill the top political positions in the executive branch
both to assist him and to provide overall legitimacy.
Most Presidents have had some difficulty obtaining congressional approval of
their appointees, but this has worsened recently. After the 2016 election, President
Trump faced special hostility from the opposition party and the media in getting
his appointees confirmed or even considered by the Senate. His early Office of
Presidential Personnel (PPO) did not generally remove political appointees from
the previous Administration but instead relied mostly on prior political appoin-
tees and career civil servants to run the government. Such a reliance on holdovers
and bureaucrats led to a lack of agency control and the absolute refusal of the
Acting Attorney General from the Obama Administration to obey a direct order
from the President.
Under the early PPO, the Trump Administration appointed fewer political
appointees in its first few months in office than had been appointed in any recent
presidency, partly because of historically high partisan congressional obstructions
but also because several officials announced that they preferred fewer political
appointees in the agencies as a way to cut federal spending. Whatever the reasoning,
this had the effect of permanently hampering the rollout of the new President’s
agenda. Thus, in those critical early years, much of the government relied on senior
careerists and holdover Obama appointees to carry out the sensitive responsibili-
ties that would otherwise belong to the new President’s appointees.
Fortunately, the later PPO, OPM, and Senate leadership began to cooperate to
build a strong team to implement the President’s personnel appointment agenda.
Any new Administration would be wise to learn that it will need a full cadre of
sound political appointees from the beginning if it expects to direct this enormous
federal bureaucracy. A close relationship between the PPO at the White House
and the OPM, coordinating with agency assistant secretaries of administration
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
and PPO’s chosen White House Liaisons and their staff at each agency, is essential
to the management of this large, multilevel, resistant, and bureaucratic challenge.
If “personnel is policy” is to be our general guide, it would make sense to give the
President direct supervision of the bureaucracy with the OPM Director available
in his Cabinet.
A REFORMED BUREAUCRACY
Today, the federal government’s bureaucracy cannot even meet its own civil
service ideals. The merit criteria of ability, knowledge, and skills are no longer the
basis for recruitment, selection, or advancement, while pay and benefits for com-
parable work are substantially above those in the private sector. Retention is not
based primarily on performance, and for the most part, inadequate performance
is not appraised, corrected, or punished.
The authors have made many suggestions here that, if implemented, could
bring that bureaucracy more under control and enable it to work more efficiently
and responsibly, which is especially required for the half of civilian government
that administers its undeniable responsibilities for defense and foreign affairs.
While a better administered central bureaucracy is crucial for both those and
domestic responsibilities, the problem of properly running the government goes
beyond simple bureaucratic administration. The specific deficiencies of the fed-
eral bureaucracy—size, levels of organization, inefficiency, expense, and lack of
responsiveness to political leadership—are rooted in the progressive ideology that
unelected experts can and should be trusted to promote the general welfare in just
about every area of social life.
The Constitution, however, reserved a few enumerated powers to the federal
government while leaving the great majority of domestic activities to state, local,
and private governance. As James Madison explained: “The powers reserved to
the several States will extend to all the objects, which, in the ordinary course of
affairs, concern the lives, liberties and properties of the people; and the internal
order, improvement and prosperity of the state.”31 Modern progressive politics
has simply given the national government more to do than the complex separa-
tion-of-powers Constitution allows.
That progressive system has broken down in our time, and the only real solution
is for the national government to do less: to decentralize and privatize as much as
possible and then ensure that the remaining bureaucracy is managed effectively
along the lines of the enduring principles set out in detail here.
AUTHORS’ NOTE: The authors are grateful for the collaborative work of the individuals listed as contributors to
this chapter for the 2025 Presidential Transition Project. The authors alone assume responsibility for the content of
this chapter, and no views expressed herein should be attributed to any other individual.
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ENDNOTES
to Do More to Ensure Meaningful Distinctions Are Made in SES Ratings and Performance Awards, GAO-15-
189, January 2015, https://www.gao.gov/assets/gao-15-189.pdf (accessed March 15, 2023); U.S. Government
Accountability Office, “Measuring Federal Employee Performance,” WatchBlog, posted October 18, 2016,
https://www.gao.gov/blog/2016/10/18/measuring-federal-employee-performance (accessed March 15, 2023);
Lisa Rein, “The Federal Workforce, Where Everyone’s Performance Gets Rave Reviews,” The Washington Post,
June 13, 2016, https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2016/06/13/heres-the-news-from-the-
federal-government-where-everyone-is-above-average-way-above/ (accessed March 15, 2023).
14. Ludwig von Mises, Bureaucracy (New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 1944), https://ia902300.us.archive.
org/17/items/mises-pdfs/1944-01-01_LudwigVonMises_Bureaucracy.pdf (accessed February 2, 2023).
15. Figure 1, “Permanent, Non-Senior Executive Service Employee Performance Rating Outcomes (All Rating
Systems, Calendar Year 2013),” in U.S. Government Accountability Office, “Federal Workforce: Distribution of
Performance Ratings Across the Federal Government, 2013,” p. 6.
16. President Donald J. Trump, Executive Order 13839, “Promoting Accountability and Streamlining Removal
Procedures Consistent with Merit System Principles,” May 25, 2018, in Federal Register, Vol. 83, No. 106 (June 1,
2018), pp. 25343–25347, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2018-06-01/pdf/2018-11939.pdf (accessed
February 2, 2023).
17. President Joseph R. Biden Jr., Executive Order 14003, “Protecting the Federal Workforce,” January 22, 2021, in
Federal Register, Vol. 86, No. 16 (January 27, 2021), pp. 7231–7233, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-
2021-01-27/pdf/2021-01924.pdf (accessed February 2, 2023).
18. Rachel Greszler and James Sherk, “Why It Is Time to Reform Compensation for Federal Employees,” The
Heritage Foundation, July 27, 2016, https://www.heritage.org/jobs-and-labor/report/why-it-time-reform-
compensation-federal-employees.
19. Andrew G. Biggs and Jason Richwine, “Comparing Federal and Private Sector Compensation,” American
Enterprise Institute Working Paper No. 2011-02, revised June 2011, https://www.aei.org/wp-content/
uploads/2011/10/AEI-Working-Paper-on-Federal-Pay-May-2011.pdf?x91208 (accessed February 2, 2023).
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
20. See Gene L. Dodaro, Comptroller General of the United States, “Government Efficiency and Effectiveness:
Opportunities to Reduce Fragmentation, Overlap, and Duplication and Achieve Billions in Financial Benefits,”
testimony before the Subcommittee on Emerging Threats and Spending Oversight, Committee on Homeland
Security and Governmental Affairs, U.S. Senate, GAO-21-544T, May 12, 2021, https://www.gao.gov/assets/gao-
21-544t.pdf (accessed February 2, 2023).
21. S. 20, Government Performance and Results Act of 1993, Public Law No. 103-62, 103rd Congress, August
3, 1993, https://www.congress.gov/103/statute/STATUTE-107/STATUTE-107-Pg285.pdf (accessed
February 2, 2023).
22. Paul Light, “The Real Crisis in Government,” The Capital Times (Madison, Wisconsin), January 22, 2010, https://
captimes.com/news/opinion/column/paul-c-light-the-real-crisis-in-government/article_9e139318-3d00-
5898-908d-4c7aee1e105d.html (accessed March 15, 2023).
23. U.S. Constitution, Article II, Section 3, https://www.law.cornell.edu/constitution/articleii#section3 (accessed
February 2, 2023).
24. President Donald J. Trump, Executive Order 13957, “Creating Schedule F in the Excepted Service,” October 21,
2020, in Federal Register, Vol. 85, No. 207 (October 26, 2020), pp. 67631–67635, https://www.govinfo.gov/
content/pkg/FR-2020-10-26/pdf/2020-23780.pdf (accessed February 2, 2023).
25. See note 17, supra.
26. President Donald J. Trump, Executive Order 13836, “Developing Efficient, Effective, and Cost-Reducing
Approaches to Federal Sector Collective Bargaining,” May 25, 2018, in Federal Register, Vol. 83, No. 106 (June 1,
2018), pp. 25329–25334, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2018-06-01/pdf/2018-11913.pdf (accessed
February 2, 2023).
27. President Donald J. Trump, Executive Order 13837, “Ensuring Transparency, Accountability, and Efficiency
in Taxpayer-Funded Union Time Use,” May 25, 2018, in Federal Register, Vol. 83, No. 106 (June 1, 2018),
pp. 25335–25340, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2018-06-01/pdf/2018-11916.pdf (accessed
February 2, 2023).
28. See note 16, supra.
29. See note 17, supra.
30. Philip K. Howard, Not Accountable: Rethinking the Constitutionality of Public Employee Unions (Garden City,
NY: Rodin Books, 2023).
31. James Madison, The Federalist Papers No. 45, January 26, 1788, https://founders.archives.gov/documents/
Madison/01-10-02-0254 (accessed February 1, 2023).
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Section Two
W
hile the lives of Americans are affected in noteworthy ways, for better or
worse,
by each part of the executive branch, the inherent importance of
national
defense and foreign affairs makes the Departments of Defense
and State first among equals. Originating in the George Washington Administra-
tion, the War Department (as it was then known) was headed by Henry Knox,
America’s chief artillery officer in the Revolutionary War; Thomas Jefferson, the
primary author of the Declaration of Independence, was the first Secretary of State.
Despite such long and storied histories, neither department is currently living up
to its standards, and the success of the next presidency will be determined in part
by whether they can be significantly improved in short order.
“Ever since our Founding,” former acting secretary of defense Christopher Miller
writes in Chapter 4, “Americans have understood that the surest way to avoid war is
to be prepared for it in peace.” Yet the Department of Defense “is a deeply troubled
institution.” It has emphasized leftist politics over military readiness, “Recruiting
was the worst in 2022 that it has been in two generations,” and “the Biden Admin-
istration’s profoundly unserious equity agenda and vaccine mandates have taken a
serious toll.” Additionally, Miller writes that “the atrophy of our defense industrial
base, the impact of sequestration, and effective disarmament by many U.S. allies
have exacted a high toll on America’s military.” Moreover, our military has adopted
a risk-averse culture—think of masked soldiers, sailors, and airmen—rather than
instilling and rewarding courage in thought and action.
The good news is that most enlisted personnel, and most officers, especially
below the rank of general or admiral, continue to be patriotic defenders of liberty.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
But this is now Barack Obama’s general officer corps. That is why Russ Vought
argues in Chapter 2 that the National Security Council “should rigorously review
all general and flag officer promotions to prioritize the core roles and responsi-
bilities of the military over social engineering and non-defense related matters,
including climate change, critical race theory, manufactured extremism, and other
polarizing policies that weaken our armed forces and discourage our nation’s finest
men and women from enlisting.” Ensuring that many of America’s best and bright-
est continue to choose military service is essential.
“By far the most significant danger” to America from abroad, Miller writes, “is
China.” That communist regime “is undertaking a historic military buildup,” which
“could result in a nuclear force that matches or exceeds America’s own nuclear
arsenal.” Resisting Chinese expansionist aims “requires a denial defense” whereby
we make “the subordination of Taiwan or other U.S. allies in Asia prohibitively
difficult.” However, Miller adds that “[c]ritically, the United States must be able
to do this at a level of cost and risk that Americans are willing to bear.”
The best gauge of such willingness is congressional approval. Accordingly, we
must rediscover and adhere to the Founders’ wise division of war powers, whereby
Congress, the most representative and deliberative branch, decides whether to
go to war; and the executive, the most energetic and decisive branch, decides how
to carry it out once begun. As the past 75 years have repeatedly demonstrated in
different ways—from Korea, to Vietnam, to Iraq, to Afghanistan—we depart from
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The solution to this problem is strong political leadership. Skinner writes, “The
next Administration must take swift and decisive steps to reforge the department
into a lean and functional diplomatic machine that serves the President and, thereby,
the American people.” Because the Senate has been extraordinarily lax in fulfilling
its constitutional obligation to confirm presidential appointees, she recommends
putting appointees into acting roles until such time as the Senate confirms them.
Skinner writes that State should also stop skirting the Constitution’s trea-
ty-making requirements and stop enforcing “agreements” as treaties. It should
encourage more trade with allies, particularly with Great Britain, and less with
adversaries. And it should implement a “sovereign Mexico” policy, as our neighbor
“has functionally lost its sovereignty to muscular criminal cartels that effectively
run the country.” In Africa, Skinner writes, the U.S. “should focus on core security,
economic, and human rights” rather than impose radical abortion and pro-LGBT
initiatives. Divisive symbols such as the rainbow flag or the Black Lives Matter flag
have no place next to the Stars and Stripes at our embassies.
When it comes to China, Skinner writes that “a policy of ‘compete where we
must, but cooperate where we can’…has demonstrably failed.” The People’s Repub-
lic of China’s (PRC) “aggressive behavior,” she writes, “can only be curbed through
external pressure.” Efforts to protect or excuse China must stop. She observes,
“[M]any were quick to dismiss even the possibility that COVID escaped from a
Chinese research laboratory.” Meanwhile, Skinner writes, “[g]lobal leaders includ-
ing President Joe Biden…have tried to normalize or even laud Chinese behavior.”
She adds, “In some cases, these voices, like global corporate giants BlackRock and
Disney”—or the National Basketball Association (NBA)—“directly benefit from
doing business with Beijing.”
Former vice president of the U.S. Agency for Global Media Mora Namdar writes
in Chapter 8 that we need to have people working for USAGM who actually believe
in America, rather than allowing the agencies to function as anti-American, tax-
payer-funded entities that parrot our adversaries’ propaganda and talking points.
Former acting deputy secretary of homeland security Ken Cuccinelli says in Chap-
ter 5 that the Department of Homeland Security (DHS), a creation of the George
W. Bush era, should be closed, as it has added needless additional bureaucracy and
expense without corresponding benefit. He recommends that it be replaced with
a new “stand-alone border and immigration agency at the Cabinet level” and that
the remaining parts of DHS be distributed among other departments.
Former chief of staff for the director of National Intelligence Dustin Carmack
writes in Chapter 7 that the U.S. Intelligence Community is too inclined to look
in the rearview mirror, engage in “groupthink,” and employ an “overly cautious”
approach aimed at personal approval rather than at offering the most accurate,
unvarnished intelligence for the benefit of the country. And in Chapter 9, former
acting deputy administrator of the U.S. Agency for International Development Max
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Primorac asserts that the United States Agency for International Development
(USAID) must be reformed, writing, “The Biden Administration has deformed the
agency by treating it as a global platform to pursue overseas a divisive political and
cultural agenda that promotes abortion, climate extremism, gender radicalism,
and interventions against perceived systematic racism.”
If the recommendations in the following chapters are adopted, what Skinner
says about the State Department could be true for other parts of the federal gov-
ernment’s national security and foreign policy apparatus: The next conservative
President has the opportunity to restructure the making and execution of U.S.
defense and foreign policy and reset the nation’s role in the world. The recom-
mendations outlined in this section provide guidance on how the next President
should use the federal government’s vast resources to do just that.
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4
DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE
Christopher Miller
T
he Constitution requires the federal government to “provide for the
common defence.”1 It assigns to Congress the authority to “raise and
support Armies” and to “provide and maintain a Navy”2 and speci-
fies that the President is “commander in Chief” of America’s armed forces.3
Ever since our Founding, Americans have understood that the surest way to
avoid war is to be prepared for it in peace—but when deterrence fails, we must
fight and win.
The Department of Defense (DOD) is the largest part of our federal government.
It has almost 3 million people serving in uniform or a civilian capacity throughout
the world and consumes approximately $850 billion annually—more than 50 per-
cent of our government’s discretionary spending.
The DOD is also a deeply troubled institution. Historically, the military has
been one of America’s most trusted institutions, but years of sustained misuse, a
two-tiered culture of accountability that shields senior officers and officials while
exposing junior officers and soldiers in the field, wasteful spending, wildly shifting
security policies, exceedingly poor discipline in program execution, and (most
recently) the Biden Administration’s profoundly unserious equity agenda and
vaccine mandates have taken a serious toll.
Our disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan, our impossibly muddled China
strategy, the growing involvement of senior military officers in the political arena,
and deep confusion about the purpose of our military are clear signals of a disturb-
ing decay and markers of a dangerous decline in our nation’s capabilities and will.
Additionally, more than 100,000 Americans die annually in large measure because
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
of illicit narcotics flows—more than four times as many people in one year as we
lost in our 20-year war against al-Qaeda.
We also are witnessing a transformation in the character of war. The democ-
ratization of technology and the collapse of time and space require dramatic,
thoughtful changes in how we defend, deter, and fight. As with any huge bureau-
cracy—and the DOD is one of the world’s largest—breaking the status quo requires
leadership and endurance. Technology is critical to maintaining our warfighting
primacy, but we must be leery of the siren song that technology alone can protect
us. More important is how new technologies are developed, tested, procured, and
used, and that relies on the true competitive advantages of our people: ingenuity,
common sense, and thoughtfulness grounded in a free society. Because war will
continue to be the most stressful and consequential human endeavor, the most
powerful weapon systems will remain the six inches between the ears of our citi-
zens and the strength of their hearts and content of their souls.
Military service is the most difficult task we ask of our citizens, and our nation is
enormously blessed that so many young, patriotic Americans eagerly volunteer to
carry such a heavy burden. We owe them everything, and we must do better. To do
better, however, means recognizing and implementing four overriding priorities:
This chapter offers recommendations for improving our armed forces and the
civilian organizations that support and oversee them.
DOD POLICY
By far the most significant danger to Americans’ security, freedoms, and pros-
perity is China. China is by any measure the most powerful state in the world other
than the United States itself. It apparently aspires to dominate Asia and then, from
that position, become globally preeminent. If Beijing could achieve this goal, it
could dramatically undermine America’s core interests, including by restricting
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
U.S. access to the world’s most important market. Preventing this from happening
must be the top priority for American foreign and defense policy.
Beijing presents a challenge to American interests across the domains of
national power, but the military threat that it poses is especially acute and signif-
icant. China is undertaking a historic military buildup that includes increasing
capability for power projection not only in its own region, but also far beyond as
well as a dramatic expansion of its nuclear forces that could result in a nuclear
force that matches or exceeds America’s own nuclear arsenal.
The most severe immediate threat that Beijing’s military poses, however, is to
Taiwan and other U.S. allies along the first island chain in the Western Pacific. If
China could subordinate Taiwan or allies like the Philippines, South Korea, and
Japan, it could break apart any balancing coalition that is designed to prevent Bei-
jing’s hegemony over Asia. Accordingly, the United States must ensure that China
does not succeed. This requires a denial defense: the ability to make the subordi-
nation of Taiwan or other U.S. allies in Asia prohibitively difficult. Critically, the
United States must be able to do this at a level of cost and risk that Americans are
willing to bear given the relative importance of Taiwan to China and to the U.S.
The United States and its allies also face real threats from Russia, as evidenced
by Vladimir Putin’s brutal war in Ukraine, as well as from Iran, North Korea, and
transnational terrorism at a time when decades of ill-advised military operations
in the Greater Middle East, the atrophy of our defense industrial base, the impact
of sequestration, and effective disarmament by many U.S. allies have exacted a
high toll on America’s military.
This is a grim landscape. The United States needs to deal with these threats
forthrightly and with strength, but it also needs to be realistic. It cannot wish away
these problems. Rather, it must confront them with a clear-eyed recognition of the
need for choice, discipline, and adequate resources for defense.
In this light, U.S. defense strategy must identify China unequivocally as the
top priority for U.S. defense planning while modernizing and expanding the
U.S. nuclear arsenal and sustaining an efficient and effective counterterrorism
enterprise. U.S. allies must also step up, with some joining the United States in
taking on China in Asia while others take more of a lead in dealing with threats
from Russia in Europe, Iran, the Middle East, and North Korea. The reality is
that achieving these goals will require more spending on defense, both by the
United States and by its allies, as well as active support for reindustrialization
and more support for allies’ productive capacity so that we can scale our free-
world efforts together.
Needed Reforms
l Prioritize a denial defense against China. U.S. defense planning should
focus on China and, in particular, the effective denial defense of Taiwan.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
This focus and priority for U.S. defense activities will deny China the first
island chain.
1. Require that all U.S. defense efforts, from force planning to employment
and posture, focus on ensuring the ability of American forces to prevail
in the pacing scenario and deny China a fait accompli against Taiwan.
3. Transform NATO so that U.S. allies are capable of fielding the great
majority of the conventional forces required to deter Russia while
relying on the United States primarily for our nuclear deterrent, and
select other capabilities while reducing the U.S. force posture in Europe.
5. Enable South Korea to take the lead in its conventional defense against
North Korea.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
1. Expand and modernize the U.S. nuclear force so that it has the size,
sophistication, and tailoring to deter Russia and China simultaneously.
2. Prioritize enhancing the capability of allies and partners to take the lead
in combating terrorism in their regions.
To succeed in this endeavor, we must optimize the systems and personnel that
the department uses, but the inflexible bureaucratic structure and risk-adverse
culture that have developed over the decades make it difficult to provide the tools
that warfighters need at the speed of relevance.
The number one problem is the DOD budgeting process (instituted in 1961)
that requires acquisition spending to be locked years in advance. Because tech-
nologies change so rapidly and requirements can change overnight, this creates
situations in which military personnel not only go to war with outdated technol-
ogy, but also may be fighting with equipment that is less capable than that of their
competitors. America owes its military many things, and the most important is
the resources they need to survive on the battlefield and carry out the tasks we
ask of them.
Needed Reforms
l Reform the planning, programming, budgeting, and execution
(PPBE) process.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
so that money can be used for what works and will work. Require
the Under Secretaries and service secretaries to brief the Secretary
annually on the results.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
4. Prioritize the U.S. and allies under the “domestic end product”
and “domestic components” requirements of the Build America,
Buy America Act.5 Currently, defense companies are required to
manufacture defense items for the U.S. government that are 100
percent domestically produced and at least 50 percent composed of
domestically produced components. However, there are loopholes that
allow companies to manufacture these items overseas. This can create
supply chain and other issues, especially in wartime. Manufacturing
components and end products domestically and with allies spurs
factory development, increases American jobs, and builds resilience in
America’s defense industrial base.
batteries); evaluate them according to the strategic landscape; and
expand or reprioritize the list as appropriate.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Needed Reforms
l Champion, engage, and focus the American innovation ecosystem.
To maintain leadership in the era of great-power competition and
succeed against our adversaries, a key DOD effort must be the creation
of mechanisms and processes to embrace America’s most significant
competitive advantage: innovation.
testing of advanced technology and concepts to the maturity level
necessary for acquisition and operational fielding.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
year (FY) 2021, U.S. government foreign military sales (FMS) nosedived to a low of
$34.8 billion from a record high of $55.7 billion in FY 2018.8 This decrease hinders
interoperability with partners and allies, decreases defense industrial base capac-
ity, and increases the taxpayer burden on the U.S. military’s own procurements.
Under previous Administrations, the United States built its reputation as a reliable
partner with a strong defense industrial base that could supply military articles
and goods in a timely manner. Today’s FMS process is encumbered by byzantine
bureaucracy, long contracting times, high costs, and mundane technology.
The United States can change this downward trajectory by improving inter-
nal processes that incentivize partners and allies to procure U.S. defense systems,
thereby expanding our “defense ecosystem.” We must reverse the recent dip in
FMS to ensure both that our partners remain interoperable with the United States
and that our defense industrial base regains much-needed capacity in preparation
for future challenges.
Needed Reforms
l Emphasize exportability with U.S. procurements. The record-low
FMS sales in 2021 were driven partly by the high costs of converting
weapon systems on the back end of production rather than emphasizing
exportability in initial capability planning.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
1. End the tiered review process to eliminate at least 20 days from the
FMS process.
l Minimize barriers to collaboration. The high cost of developing
advanced defense platforms requires the United States to collaborate with
key allies to minimize waste, complement strengths, and supplement our
defense industrial base to create a system that is greater than that of the
United States alone.
l Reform the FMS contracting process. The contracting timeline for the
FMS process is shockingly slow. On average, the DOD contracting timeline
takes approximately 18 months because of slow bureaucratic processes and
chronic understaffing.10
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
DOD PERSONNEL
The men and women of America’s armed forces are the most critical component
of our national defense strategy, but in recent years, they have been overextended,
undervalued, and insufficiently resourced. Their families help them to carry the
burden of service, but the assistance they receive is disproportionately less than
the sacrifices they make. Young civilians who would thrive in a military environ-
ment are disenfranchised when educators and influencers discourage them from
learning about military service and preparing for the honor of wearing Ameri-
ca’s uniform.
The United States military is an extraordinary institution, staffed by exceptional
people who have defended our nation and changed the course of history, but the
Biden Administration, through word and deed, has treated the armed forces as just
another place to work. We must restore our military to a place of honor and respect
and recruit and retain the individuals who will meet the rigorous standards of
excellence that are required for membership in the world’s greatest fighting force.
Needed Reforms
l Rescue recruiting and retention. Recruiting was the worst in 2022 that it
has been in two generations and is expected to be even worse in 2023. Some
of the problems are self-inflicted and ongoing. The recruiting problem is not
service-specific: It affects the entire Joint Force.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
1. Strengthen protections for chaplains to carry out their ministry
according to the tenets of their faith.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
5. Restrict the use of social media solely for purposes of recruitment and
discipline any armed services personnel who use an official command
channel to engage with civilian critics on social media.
2. Improve base housing and consider the military family holistically when
considering change-of-station moves.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
DOD INTELLIGENCE
Our national defense establishment must evolve to meet the rapid, pro-
found, and dynamic change in the global landscape, but absent significant effort
to evaluate and retool in critical areas—including our intelligence and security
portfolios—America’s competitive advantage against rivals and adversaries is at
serious risk. However, for any structural changes to succeed, the crisis in our Intel-
ligence Community (IC)/Defense Intelligence Enterprise (DIE) leadership must
be addressed.16
The DIE accounts for the bulk of the Intelligence Community’s personnel and a
significant portion of its budget. Of the IC’s 17 elements, eight are within DOD,17 two
are independent,18 and seven belong to various other departments and agencies.19
Overall, “[t]he DoD provides 86 percent of the personnel who conduct intelligence
activities, both military and civilian.”20
The Defense Intelligence Enterprise must deliver accurate, unbiased, and
timely insights consistently and with clarity, objectivity, and independence. If they
continue on their current path, however, both the DIE and the Intelligence Com-
munity writ large will continue to provide inaccurate and politicized intelligence
assessments that mislead policymakers.
Needed Reforms
Improve the intelligence process. Defense intelligence assets have been
l
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
5. Establish true alignment between DOD and DHS both to improve the
defense of critical U.S. infrastructure and national border integrity
and to develop vital information that enables defense against foreign
targeted disruptions.23
2. Elevate the DIE’s voice in national policy discussions, commensurate
with the DIE’s 75 percent share of the IC budget. Present defense
intelligence to senior policymakers, either independently to
avoid all-source bias or in consensus products like the National
Intelligence Estimates.
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U.S. ARMY
The U.S. Army’s mission is “[t]o deploy, fight and win our nation’s wars by pro-
viding ready, prompt and sustained land dominance by Army forces across the full
spectrum of conflict as part of the joint force.”24 Today, however, the Army cannot
execute its land dominance mission.25 The U.S. Army is at an inflection point that
is marked by more than a decade of steadily eroding budgets and diluted buying
power, an appreciable degradation in readiness and training capacity, a near crisis
in the recruiting and retention of critical personnel, and a bevy of aging weapons
systems that no longer provide a qualitative edge over peer and near-peer com-
petitors but will not be replaced in the near term.
All of these challenges are set against the backdrop of a complex and dynamic
global geopolitical environment that is exemplified and exacerbated by the triumph
of our adversaries in Afghanistan after a 20-year struggle there as well as recent
Russian outrages in the Ukraine and China’s bellicosity both on its borders and in
surrounding disputed regions. In spite of these ever-increasing operational pulls, our
Army is consistently being asked to do more with fewer resources. The status quo
is further marked by a pervasive politically driven top-down focus on progressive
social policies that emphasize matters like so-called diversity, equity, and inclusion
and climate change, often to the detriment of the Army’s core warfighting mission.
Needed Reforms
l Rebuild the Army. The total Army budget has decreased by roughly 11
percent since 2018, perilously affecting the service’s readiness and ability to
train and to procure new personnel and equipment. Declining budgets and
decreased buying power have forced the Army to lower training standards
and opportunities to train, propose reductions in end strength, slash
military construction programs to historically low levels, and scale back
essential modernization programs.
1. Increase the Army budget to remain the world’s preeminent land power.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
5. Reform recruiting efforts. The Army missed its 2022 recruitment goal
by 25 percent, or 15,000 soldiers.
4. Prepare to deploy forces from degraded U.S.-based transportation
infrastructure that is compromised by opposing forces.
l Transform Army culture and training. The Army can no longer serve
as the nation’s social testing ground. A rebuilt Army that is focused again
on its core warfighting mission and empowered it with the tools, resources,
and authorities it needs to accomplish that mission must be the next
Administration’s highest defense priority.
1. Stop using the Army as a test bed for social evolution. Misusing the
Army in this way detracts from its core purpose while doing little to
reshape the American social structure. The Army no longer reflects
national demographics to the degree that it did before 1974 when the
draft was eliminated.
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U.S. NAVY
As noted at the beginning of this chapter, the U.S. Constitution gives Congress
the power to “provide and maintain a Navy.” Inherent in this phrase is a recognition
that there is a vital national interest in the maritime environment and that this
national interest requires sustained planning and investment. This is as true today
as it was almost 250 years ago and will remain true into the future.
The U.S. Navy (USN) exists for two primary reasons: to project prompt, sus-
tained, and effective combat power globally, both at sea and ashore, and to deter
aggression by potential adversaries by maintaining a forward operating presence
in conjunction with allies and partners. Today, the People’s Republic of China Peo-
ple’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) can challenge the USN’s ability to accomplish
its mission in the Pacific and Indian Oceans.
In the production, employment, and control of maritime forces, the USN must
consider the scope and rate of technological change and, where appropriate, adapt
its processes and workforce development. In balancing the necessary long-term
industrial model of naval platforms against emerging short-term opportunities,
the USN must take account of advances that may present vulnerabilities and risks
as well as what is assured and secure.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Needed Reforms
l Invest in and expand force structure. The USN’s organizing principle
remains platform-centered: vessels manned by sailors. The manned surface
and subsurface forces act in concert with land-based, air-based, and space-
based forces to project power outside sovereign territory, principally by
operating in international waters. Investments must be closely coordinated
with these other elements of military power.
3. Require that range and lethality be the key factors in all procurement
and sustainment decisions for ships, aircraft, and munitions.
final decision authority over all requirements documents concerning
ships and the major defense systems fielded on ships. The individual
board members would ensure a broad base of knowledge as well as
independent thinking.28
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
4. Highlight in training and leader development that USN forces can and
must maintain the ability to operate from and/or defend sovereign
territory to include our allies and partners.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
(if pass-through funding, defined as money in the Air Force budget that does not
go to the Air Force, is removed from the equation) than the Army and Navy have
received. This underfunding has forced the Air Force to cut its forces and forgo
modernizing aging weapons systems that were never designed to operate in current
threat environments and are structurally and mechanically exhausted. The result
is an Air Force that is the oldest, smallest, and least ready in its history.
The decline in Air Force capacity and capability is occurring at the same time
the security environment demands the very options that the Air Force uniquely
provides. Combatant commanders routinely request more Air Force capabilities
than the service has the capacity to provide. The Air Force today simply cannot
accomplish all of the missions it is required to perform.
The Air Force has consistently stated on the official record that it is not sized to
meet the mission demands placed on it by the various U.S. Combatant Commands.
A 2018 study, “The Air Force We Need,”30 showed a 24 percent deficit in Air Force
capacity to meet the needs of the National Defense Strategy. Those conclusions
remain valid and are more pronounced today because of subsequent aircraft retire-
ments. The demand is also higher because of world events. To understand these
trends, one needs only to consider that the Air Force’s future five-year budget plan
retires 1,463 aircraft while buying just 467. This makes for a reduction of 996 air-
craft by 2027. The net result is a force that is smaller, older, and less ready at a time
when demand is burgeoning.
Needed Reforms
l Increase spending and budget accuracy in line with a threat-based
strategy. Returning the U.S. military to a force that can achieve deterrence
or win in a fight if necessary requires returning to a threat-based defense
strategy. Real budget growth combined with a more equitable distribution
of resources across the armed services is the only realistic way to create a
modernized Air Force with the capacity to meet the needs of the National
Defense Strategy. Additionally, as noted above, pass-through funding causes
numbers cited in current DOD budget documents to be higher than the
dollar amounts actually received by the Air Force.
1. Adopt a two-war force defense strategy with scenarios for each service
that will allow the Air Force to attain the resources it requires by
developing a force-sizing construct that reflects what is required to
accomplish strategic objectives.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
3. Increase the Air Force budget by 5 percent annually (after adjusting for
inflation) to reverse the decline in size, age, and readiness and facilitate
the transition to a more modern, lethal, and survivable force.
2. Build the capacity for a B-21 production rate of 15–18 aircraft per year along
with applicable elements of the B-21 long-range strike family of systems.
3. Increase Air Force airlift and aerial refueling capacity to support agile
combat employment operations that generate combat sorties from a
highly dispersed posture in both Europe and the Pacific.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
operations for which it is uniquely suited and directed by law. This lengthy diver-
gence from its primary mission led to deep concern that the Corps had become a
“second land army,” prompting senior Marine Corps leaders to push for the service
to return to the sea. In addition, the USMC spent nearly two decades fighting coun-
terinsurgency wars in Afghanistan and Iraq and developed capabilities that were
specifically geared to those fights but have limited utility in scenarios involving
evenly matched and advanced enemies or amphibious operations that are neces-
sary for the projection of naval power.
As a result, Marine Corps Commandant General David H. Berger developed
and began to implement Force Design 2030,31 a plan that, if completed, would be
the most radical transformation of the Marine Corps since World War II. The suc-
cessful implementation of this force redesign, coupled with reforms in the Marine
Corps’ personnel system and the Navy’s amphibious shipbuilding plans, will be
critical to ensuring the Corps’ future combat effectiveness.
Needed Reforms
l Divest systems to implement the Force Design 2030 transformation.32
Divesting equipment that is less relevant to distributed, low-signature
operations in a contested maritime environment will make funds available
for modernization.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
1. Align the USMC’s combat arms rank structure with the U.S. Army’s (squad
leader billets are for E-6s, and platoon sergeant billets are for E-7s).
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l Align Navy amphibious shipbuilding with Force Design 2030. The U.S.
Navy has struggled for decades to maintain an amphibious fleet that could
support USMC war plans around large-scale amphibious operations. In
addition, amphibious shipbuilding has often had to compete against other
priorities within a constrained budget and limited shipbuilding capacity.
land, and sea effectiveness, lethality, and superiority by providing secure broad-
band global communications (precision position, navigation, and timing accuracy);
attack warning and threat tracking and targeting capability (real-time intelligence,
surveillance, and reconnaissance information); and their assured continuity of
operations both by defending U.S. assets and by conducting offensive operations
that are capable of imposing unacceptable losses on adversaries that might seek
to attack them.
The U.S. Space Force (USSF) was established to assure continuous global and
theater combat support from space, to deter attacks against U.S. space assets, and
to prevail in space should deterrence fail. The USSF posture was conceived as a
balance of offensive and defensive deterrent capabilities designed for maximum
effectiveness.
Needed Reforms
l Reverse the Biden Administration’s defensive posture. The Biden
Administration has eliminated almost all offensive deterrence capabilities
and instead will rely solely on defensive capabilities of disaggregation,
maneuver, and reconstitution—the most costly, the slowest, and ultimately
the most fragile architecture selection.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
4. Seek arms control and “rules of the road” understandings only when
they are unambiguously in the interests of the U.S. and its allies, and
prohibit their unilateral implementation.
l Reduce overclassification. The USSF must move beyond the Cold War–
era culture of secrecy and overclassification that surrounded military space
to facilitate greater coordination and synchronization of efforts across the
government and commercial sectors.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
sensitive to and prepared to meet the challenges presented by bureaucratic silos,
inappropriately rigid tactical doctrine, and strategic thinking’s historic tendency
to lag behind technological capability.
The preliminary evidence from the war in Ukraine suggests that existing cyber
doctrine and certain capability and target assumptions may be incorrect or mis-
placed. The following recommendations therefore presuppose that there will be
a rigorous “lessons learned” analysis and review of existing U.S. doctrine in light
of the battlefield evidence.
Needed Reforms
l Ensure that USCYBERCOM is properly focused. Mission creep
is leading to wasteful overlap with the Department of Homeland
Security, National Security Agency, Department of Defense, and Central
Intelligence Agency.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
2. Mandate that development teams will include both coders and soldiers,
aircrew, and sailors with kinetic experience at the platoon level.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Needed Reforms
l Make irregular warfare a cornerstone of security strategy. The U.S.
can project strength through unified action with our Interagency,38 allies,
and partners by utilizing irregular warfare capabilities synchronized
with elements of national power. Broadly redefining irregular warfare to
address current state and nonstate actors is critical to countering irregular
threats that range from the Chinese use of economic warfare to Russian
disinformation and Islamist terrorism. A broad definition of irregular
warfare in the National Security Strategy would allow for a whole-of-
government approach, thereby providing resources and capabilities to
counter threats and ultimately serve as credible deterrence at the strategic
and tactical levels.
1. Define irregular warfare as “a means by which the United States uses all
elements of national power to project influence abroad to counter state
adversaries, defeat hostile nonstate actors, deter wider conflict, and
maintain peace in great-power competition.”
2. Characterize the state and nonstate irregular threats facing the U.S. by
region in the National Security Strategy.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
NUCLEAR DETERRENCE
Nuclear deterrence is one of the most critical elements of U.S. national security,
as it forms a backstop to U.S. military forces. Every operational plan relies on the
assumption that nuclear deterrence holds. Ever since the U.S. first acquired nuclear
weapons, Administrations of both parties have pursued a strategy designed to deter
nuclear and non-nuclear attack; assure allies; and, in the event of nuclear employ-
ment, restore deterrence at the lowest possible cost to the U.S. Today, however,
America’s ability to meet these goals is increasingly challenged by the growing
nuclear threats posed by our adversaries.
l
shifting the nuclear balance and forcing the U.S. to learn how to deter two
nuclear peer competitors (China and Russia) simultaneously for the first
time in its history.
l Russia is expanding its nuclear arsenal and using the threat of nuclear
employment as a coercive tactic in its war on Ukraine.
Meanwhile, all U.S. nuclear capabilities and the infrastructure on which they
rely date from the Cold War and are in dire need of replacement. The next Admin-
istration will need to focus on continuing the effort to modernize the nuclear triad
while updating our strategy and capabilities to meet the challenges presented by
a more threatening nuclear environment.
Needed Reforms
l Prioritize nuclear modernization. All components of the nuclear triad are
far beyond their intended lifetimes and will need to be replaced over the next
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
decade. This effort is required for the U.S. to maintain its nuclear triad—and
will be the bare minimum needed to maintain U.S. strategic nuclear deterrence.
2. Improve the ability of the U.S. to utilize the triad’s upload capacity in
case of a crisis.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l Correctly orient arms control. The U.S. should agree to arms control
agreements only if they help to advance the interests of the U.S. and its allies.
1. Reject proposals for nuclear disarmament that are contrary to the goal
of bolstering deterrence.
MISSILE DEFENSE
Missile defense is a critical component of the U.S. national security architecture.
It can help to deter attack by instilling doubt that an attack will work as intended,
take adversary “cheap shots” off the table, and limit the perceived value of mis-
siles as tools of coercion. It also allows space for diplomacy during a crisis and can
protect U.S. and allied forces, critical assets, and populations if deterrence fails.41
Adversaries are relying increasingly on missiles to achieve their aims.
l China and Russia, in addition to their vast and growing ballistic missile
inventories, are deploying new hypersonic glide vehicles and investing in
new ground-launched, air-launched, and sea-launched cruise missiles that
uniquely challenge the United States in different domains.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Needed Reforms
l Champion the benefits of missile defense. Despite its deterrence and
damage-limitation benefits, opponents argue incorrectly that U.S. missile
defense is destabilizing because it threatens Russian and Chinese second-
strike capabilities.
2. Commit to keeping homeland missile defense off the table in any arms
control negotiations with Russia and China.42
l Change U.S. missile defense policy. Historically, the U.S. has chosen
to rely solely on deterrence to address the Russian and Chinese ballistic
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
missile threat to the homeland and to use homeland missile defense only
against rogue nations.
3. Accelerate the Glide Phase Interceptor, which is intended to counter
hypersonic weapons.
AUTHOR’S NOTE: The mission of the Department of Defense is to provide the military forces needed to deter
war and ensure our nation’s security. This chapter provides a blueprint to ensure that the Department can meet our
national security needs. Its preparation was a collective enterprise of individuals involved in the 2025 Presidential
Transition Project. All contributors to this chapter are listed at the front of this volume, but Sergio de la Pena and
Chuck DeVore deserve special mention. The author alone assumes responsibility for the content of this chapter, and
no views expressed herein should be attributed to any other individual.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
ENDNOTES
https://thehill.com/opinion/congress-blog/3675933-how-to-reform-americas-military-sales-process/
(accessed February 15, 2023).
11. See Thomas W. Spoehr, “The Administration and Congress Must Act Now to Counter the Worsening Military
Recruiting Crisis, Heritage Foundation Issue Brief No. 5283, July 28, 2022, https://www.heritage.org/sites/
default/files/2022-07/IB5283.pdf.
12. Ibid.
13. Ronald Reagan Institute, “Reagan National Defense Survey,” conducted November 2021, p. 4, https://www.
reaganfoundation.org/media/358085/rndf_survey_booklet.pdf (accessed February 16, 2023).
14. See Paul J. Larkin, “Protecting the Nation by Employing Military Spouses,” Heritage Foundation Commentary,
June 6, 2019, https://www.heritage.org/jobs-and-labor/commentary/protecting-the-nation-employing-
military-spouses.
15. See Jude Schwalbach, “Military Families Deserve Flexible Education Options,” Heritage Foundation
Commentary, April 14, 2021, https://www.heritage.org/education/commentary/military-families-deserve-
flexible-education-options.
16. See Chapter 7, “The Intelligence Community,” infra.
17. The Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA); the National Security Agency (NSA); the National Geospatial-
Intelligence Agency (NGA); the National Reconnaissance Office (NRO); and the intelligence and
counterintelligence elements of the military services: U.S. Air Force Intelligence, U.S. Navy Intelligence, U.S.
Army Intelligence, and U.S. Marine Corps Intelligence, which also receive guidance and oversight from the
Under Secretary of Defense for Intelligence (USDI).
18. The Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) and the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA).
19. The Department of Energy’s Office of Intelligence and Counterintelligence; the Department of Homeland
Security’s Office of Intelligence and Analysis and the intelligence and counterintelligence elements of the
U.S. Coast Guard; the Department of Justice’s Federal Bureau of Investigation and the Drug Enforcement
Administration’s Office of National Security Intelligence; the Department of State’s Bureau of Intelligence and
Research; and the Department of the Treasury’s Office of Intelligence and Analysis.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
20. Staff Study, IC21: Intelligence Community in the 21st Century, Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence,
U.S. House of Representatives, 104th Congress, 1996, p. 71, https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/pdfs/ADA315088.pdf
(accessed February 15, 2023).
21. Ronald O’Rourke, “Great Power Competition: Implications for Defense—Issues for Congress,” Congressional
Research Service Report for Members and Committees of Congress No. R43838, updated November 8, 2022,
https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R43838/93 (accessed February 15, 2023).
22. U.S. Government Accountability Office, Defense Intelligence and Security: DOD Needs to Establish Oversight
Expectations and to Develop Tools That Enhance Accountability, GAO-21-295, May 2021, https://www.gao.gov/
assets/gao-21-295.pdf (accessed February 15, 2023).
23. The U.S. military has a long history of providing support to civil authorities, particularly in response to
disasters but for other purposes as well. The Defense Department currently defines defense support of civil
authorities (DSCA) as “Support provided by U.S. Federal military forces, DoD civilians, DoD contract personnel,
DoD Component assets, and National Guard forces (when the Secretary of Defense, in coordination with the
Governors of the affected States, elects and requests to use those forces in Title 32, U.S.C., status) in response
to requests for assistance from civil authorities for domestic emergencies, law enforcement support, and
other domestic activities, or from qualifying entities for special events. Also known as civil support.” U.S.
Department of Defense, Directive No. 3025.18, “Defense Support of Civil Authorities (DSCA),” December 29,
2010, p. 16, https://www.dco.uscg.mil/Portals/9/CG-5R/nsarc/DoDD%203025.18%20Defense%20Support%20
of%20Civil%20Authorities.pdf (accessed February 15, 2023).
24. U.S. Army, “Who We Are: The Army’s Vision and Strategy,” https://www.army.mil/about/ (accessed
February 17, 2023).
25. “[T]he Army’s internal assessment must be balanced against its own statements that unit training is focused
on company-level operations [reflective of counterintelligence requirements] rather than battalion or brigade
operations [much less division or corps to meet large-scale ground combat operations against a peer
competitor such as Russia or China]. Consequently, how these ‘ready’ brigade combat teams would perform
in combat operations is an open question.” “Executive Summary” in 2023 Index of U.S. Military Strength,
ed. Dakota L. Wood (Washington: The Heritage Foundation, 2023), p. 16, http://thf_media.s3.amazonaws.
com/2022/Military_Index/2023_IndexOfUSMilitaryStrength.pdf (accessed February 15, 2023).
26. For background on the USN’s fleet size, see Brent D. Sadler, “Rebuilding America’s Military: The United States
Navy,” Heritage Foundation Special Report No. 242, February 18, 2021, https://www.heritage.org/sites/default/
files/2021-02/SR242.pdf, and Ronald O’Rourke, “Navy Force Structure and Shipbuilding Plans: Background
and Issues for Congress,” Congressional Research Service Report for Members and Committees of Congress
No. RL32665, December 21, 2022, https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/RL/RL32665 (accessed
February 15, 2023).
27. The Joint Capabilities Integration and Development System (JCIDS) is the process by which the services
develop and the Joint Staff approves the requirements for major defense acquisitions. See Defense
Acquisition University, “Joint Capabilities Integration and Development System (JCIDA),” https://www.dau.
edu/acquipedia/pages/articledetails.aspx#!371 (accessed February 15, 2023).
28. The board would seek to balance a mix of active military and civilians with expertise in and responsibility
for major acquisitions and former military and civilians with experience in strategy and acquisitions. The
proposed composition would include the Vice Chief of Naval Operations as Chairman, with three-star level
membership from the Joint Staff, the Navy and Defense Acquisition Executives, and the Naval Sea Systems
Command. In addition, there would be four-star retired naval officers/Navy civil servants as members, one
each named by the Chairmen of the House and Senate Armed Services Committees, the Secretary of the
Navy, and the Secretary of Defense. Finally, there would be a member appointed by the Secretary of the Navy
who had previous senior experience in the defense industry.
29. See James Mattis, Secretary of Defense, Summary of the 2018 National Defense Strategy of the United States
of America: Sharpening the American Military’s Competitive Edge, U.S. Department of Defense, https://
dod.defense.gov/Portals/1/Documents/pubs/2018-National-Defense-Strategy-Summary.pdf (accessed
February 17, 2023), and U.S. Department of Defense, 2022 National Defense Strategy of the United States of
America Including the 2022 Nuclear Posture Review and the 2022 Missile Defense Review, https://oldcc.gov/
resource/2022-national-defense-strategy (accessed February 17, 2023).
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
30. U.S. Air Force, “The Air Force We Need: 386 Operational Squadrons,” September 17, 2018, https://www.
af.mil/News/Article-Display/Article/1635070/the-air-force-we-need-386-operational-squadrons/ (accessed
February 17, 2023).
31. General David H. Berger, Commandant of the Marine Corps, “Force Design 2030,” U.S. Department of the
Navy, U.S. Marine Corps, March 2020, https://www.hqmc.marines.mil/Portals/142/Docs/CMC38%20Force%20
Design%202030%20Report%20Phase%20I%20and%20II.pdf?ver=2020-03-26-121328-460 (accessed
February 17, 2023).
32. Department of the Navy, United States Marine Corps, “Force Design 2030,” March 2020, https://www.hqmc.
marines.mil/Portals/142/Docs/CMC38%20Force%20Design%202030%20Report%20Phase%20I%20and%20II.
pdf?ver=2020-03-26-121328-460 (accessed February 15, 2023).
33. Philip Athey, “Here Are Some of the Ways the Marines Are Trying to Improve Retention,” Marine Corps Times,
November 15, 2021, https://www.marinecorpstimes.com/news/your-marine-corps/2021/11/15/treat-people-
like-human-beings-here-are-some-of-the-ways-the-marines-are-trying-to-improve-retention/ (accessed
February 15, 2023).
34. Megan Eckstein, “Marines, Navy Near Agreement on Light Amphibious Warship Features,” Defense News,
October 5, 2022, https://www.defensenews.com/naval/2022/10/05/marines-navy-near-agreement-on-light-
amphibious-warship-features/ (accessed February 16, 2023).
35. Megan Eckstein, “Marines Explain Vision for Fewer Traditional Amphibious Warships,” Defense News, June
21, 2021, https://www.defensenews.com/naval/2021/06/21/marines-explain-vision-for-fewer-traditional-
amphibious-warships-supplemented-by-new-light-amphib/ (accessed February 16, 2023).
36. See Sidney J. Freedberg Jr., “Trump Eases Cyber Ops, but Safeguards Remain: Joint Staff,” Breaking Defense,
September 17, 2018, https://breakingdefense.com/2018/09/trump-eases-cyber-ops-but-safeguards-remain-
joint-staff/ (accessed March 7, 2023); Dustin Volz, “White House Confirms It Has Relaxed Rules on U.S. Use
of Cyberweapons,” The Wall Street Journal, September 20, 2018, https://www.wsj.com/articles/white-house-
confirms-it-has-relaxed-rules-on-u-s-use-of-cyber-weapons-1537476729 (accessed March 7, 2023); and
Federation of American Scientists, Intelligence Resource Program, “National Security Presidential Memoranda
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
45. Forum for American Leadership, “How Biden's Missile Defense Review Can Succeed,” October 21, 2021, https://
forumforamericanleadership.org/missile-defense-review (accessed February 16, 2023).
46. Tom Karako, Matt Strohmeyer, Ian Williams, Wes Rumbaugh, and Ken Harmon, North America Is a Region,
Too: An Integrated, Phased, and Affordable Approach to Air and Missile Defense for the Homeland, Center
for Strategic and International Studies, Missile Defense Project, July 2022, https://csis-website-prod.
s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/publication/220714_Karako_North_America.pdf?VersionId=BhIKa8jHHF_
kV94NXRMx6D4m2o6LQqUf (accessed February 16, 2023).
47. Rebeccah Heinrichs, “Why America Needs the Ability to Track Enemy Missiles from Space,” The Hill, April 16,
2019, https://thehill.com/opinion/national-security/438939-why-america-needs-the-ability-to-track-enemy-
missiles-from-space/ (accessed February 16, 2023).
— 131 —
5
DEPARTMENT OF
HOMELAND SECURITY
Ken Cuccinelli
PRIMARY RECOMMENDATION
Our primary recommendation is that the President pursue legislation to dis-
mantle the Department of Homeland Security (DHS). After 20 years, it has not
gelled into “One DHS.” Instead, its various components’ different missions have
outweighed its decades-long attempt to function as one department, rendering
the whole disjointed rather than cohesive. Breaking up the department along its
mission lines would facilitate mission focus and provide opportunities to reduce
overhead and achieve more limited government. In lieu of a status quo DHS, we
recommend that:
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l The U.S. Coast Guard (USCG) be moved to DOJ and, in time of full-scale
war (i.e., threatening the homeland), to the Department of Defense (DOD).
Alternatively, USCG should be moved to DOD for all purposes.
l The U.S. Secret Service (USSS) be divided in two, with the protective
element moved to DOJ and the financial enforcement element moved to the
Department of the Treasury.
l The Science and Technology Directorate (S&T) be moved to DOD and the
Office of Countering Weapons of Mass Destruction be moved to the FBI.
MISSION STATEMENT
The Department of Homeland Security protects the American homeland from
and prepares for terrorism and other hazards in both the physical and cyber realms,
provides for secure and free movement of trade and travel, and enforces U.S. immi-
gration laws impartially.
OVERVIEW
The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) was created in the aftermath of
the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, and subsequent mailings of anthrax
spores. The Homeland Security Act of 2002,1 which created the department, states
that DHS’s primary mission is to prevent terrorist attacks within the U.S.; reduce
the nation’s vulnerability to terrorism; minimize the damage from and assist in the
recovery from any terrorist attacks; prepare and respond to natural and manmade
crises and emergencies; and monitor connections between illegal drug trafficking
and terrorism, coordinate efforts to sever such connections, and interdict illegal
drug trafficking.
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spending and limit government’s role in Americans’ lives. These opportunities
include privatizing TSA screening and the Federal Emergency Management
Agency (FEMA) National Flood Insurance Program, reforming FEMA emergency
spending to shift the majority of preparedness and response costs to states and
localities instead of the federal government, eliminating most of DHS’s grant pro-
grams, and removing all unions in the department for national security purposes.
A successful DHS would:
l Secure the cyber domain and collaborate with critical infrastructure sectors
to maintain their security;
l Provide states and localities with a limited federal emergency response and
preparedness;
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be removed immediately from office billets and deployed to field billets to maxi-
mize law enforcement capacity.
Compliance for Grants and Other Federal Funding. The next Adminis-
tration should take steps to restore lawfulness and integrity to the department’s
massive regimen of federal grant programs, most of which are managed and dis-
tributed by the Federal Emergency Management Agency. The Secretary should
direct FEMA to ensure that all FEMA-issued grant funding for states, localities,
and private organizations is going to recipients who are lawful actors, can demon-
strate that they are in compliance with federal law, and can show that their mission
and actions support the broader homeland security mission. All applicants and
potential recipients of such grant funding should be required to meet certain pre-
conditions for eligibility (except for receipt of post-disaster or nonhumanitarian
funding) or should simply be considered ineligible for funding. Such preconditions
should include at least the following:
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and localities, that would include certification that all components of that
government, and not just the applicant agency, are registered with and
use E-Verify.
l The Secretary should make it clear that he or she will not use the Secretary’s
existing discretionary authority to increase the number of H-2B (seasonal
non-agricultural) visas above the statutorily set cap.
l The Secretary should not issue any regulations in support of the “H-2
eligible” country list, the effect of which would prevent favoring certain
foreign nationals seeking an H-2 guest worker visa based simply on their
nationality.
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Secretary, and Deputy Secretary can travel efficiently to facilities to maintain
appropriate situational awareness across the department’s vast mission set and
interact with the expansive workforce. Although CBP operates one of the largest
aviation components of any domestic U.S. law enforcement agency, executives are
prohibited from utilizing the agency’s aviation assets to facilitate official travel.
Executives are required to fly on commercial airlines, and this requirement sig-
nificantly limits their ability to have classified communications and takes them
offline for extended periods of time.
Border Patrol (BP) and OAM should be combined within CBP. BP has more than
20,000 personnel, and OAM has approximately 1,800. OAM’s assets are dedicated
in support of BP operations the vast majority of the time, yet redundant approv-
als, strategies, and independent hierarchal commands serve as impediments to
efficient and practical resource deployments.
CBP should restart and expand use of the horseback-mounted Border Patrol. As
part of this announcement, the Secretary should clear the records and personnel
files of those who were falsely accused by Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas of whip-
ping migrants and issue a formal apology on behalf of DHS and CBP.
The Secretary should combine the Office of Trade (OT) and Trade Relations
with the Office of Field Operations (OFO). The OT is the smallest of CBP’s compo-
nents, and its operational counterpart, OFO, has a workforce of more than 30,000.
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OT’s function is interwoven with that of its OFO operational counterpart. Combin-
ing OT with OFO would achieve streamlined operations and increase OT’s capacity
and capability by leveraging OFO’s expansive resources.
CBP, ICE, and USCIS all have authority to issue Notices to Appear (NTA) to
removable aliens in their presence, which begins removal proceedings. In most
instances, CBP should turn illegal aliens over to ICE for detention, and ICE can
then issue any needed NTA. CBP should issue NTAs only in limited situations
for humanitarian reasons, such as medical emergencies. In addition, CBP should
eliminate use of Notices to Report (NTR) altogether.
CBP’s established national standards of Transport, Escort, Detention, and
Search (TEDS) have been widely interpreted and expanded by lower courts. This
has resulted in unrealistic and differing detention standards for CBP facilities based
on the jurisdiction within which they fall, negatively impacting operations. ICE has
suffered similarly. A single nationwide detention standard should be codified that
prevents individual states from mandating that federal government agencies adhere
to widely expansive and ever-changing sets of standards. Such standards should allow
the flexibility to use large numbers of temporary facilities such as tents.
The annual costs associated with establishing and maintaining temporary facil-
ities to address the flow of illegal migration and associated care, transportation,
and processing are prohibitive, and CBP’s budget is inadequate. CBP is forced to
forgo critical mission-essential endeavors to fund the additional associated costs.
Often, this requires the reprogramming of funding at the DHS level, which has a
negative impact on other DHS components’ operations. This predictable cost that
has to be paid from existing CBP and DHS funding levels reduces CBP’s operational
readiness and ability to accomplish its diverse and critical missions to protect the
American people. The next President should request a realistic budget that fully
pays for these costs.
Increased funding is needed for BP to hire additional support personnel, which
would relieve uniformed BP agents from administrative duties associated with
processing aliens and allow them to return to their national security mission.
Congress should increase funding for facility upgrades at strategic land Ports of
Entry (POEs), including expanding state-of-the-art technology such as Non-Intru-
sive Inspection equipment. Today, the cartels exploit the aging facilities and lack
of adequate technology to smuggle illicit drugs, contraband, and more successfully
through our nation’s POEs.
Needed Reforms
Since the formation of DHS, ICE has increasingly been tasked with auxiliary
missions that have little or nothing to do with either immigration or customs
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enforcement. To return ICE to its primary mission, any new Administration that
wishes to restore the rule of law to our immigration enforcement efforts should:
l Order ICE to stop closing out pending immigration cases and apply
the Immigration and Nationality Act (INA) as written by Congress.3
The Biden Administration closed out tens of thousands of immigration
cases that had already been prepared and were slated for expedited removal
processing or hearings before the U.S. Immigration Court. This misguided
action constituted an egregious example of lawlessness that allowed
thousands of illegal aliens and other immigration violators to go free in the
United States.
l
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Most of the foregoing can be accomplished rapidly and effectively through exec-
utive action that is both lawful and appropriate. Additionally, ICE should clarify
who is responsible for enforcing its criminal and civil authorities. It should also
remove self-imposed limitations on its nationwide jurisdiction.
l To maximize the efficient use of its resources, ICE should make full
use of existing Expedited Removal (ER) authorities. The agency has
limited the use of ER to eligible aliens apprehended within 100 miles of the
border. This is not a statutory requirement.
New Policies
U.S. national security and public safety interests would be well-served if ICE
were to be combined with CBP and USCIS, as mentioned above. Additionally, ICE/
HSI, along with CBP, should be full participants in the Intelligence Community.
The use of Blackies Warrants should be operationalized within ICE. These civil
search warrants are commonly used for worksite enforcement when agents have
probable cause that illegal aliens are employed at a business. This would stream-
line investigations.
Safeguarding Americans will require not just securing the border, but con-
tinuous vetting and investigations of many aliens who exploited President
Biden’s open border for potentially nefarious purposes, including some Afghan
evacuees sent directly to the U.S. during America’s disastrous withdrawal from
Afghanistan.
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Budget
l Congress should mandate and fund additional bed space for alien
detainees. ICE should be funded for a significant increase in detention
space, raising the daily available number of beds to 100,000.
l Congress should fund ICE for at least 20,000 ERO officers and 5,000
Office of the Principal Legal Advisor (OPLA) attorneys.
Needed Reforms
Since January 2021, USCIS’s priorities have been misaligned, and this has trans-
formed it into an open-borders agency, ignoring the critical role that it plays in
national security, public safety, and safeguarding the integrity of our immigration
system. USCIS should be returned to operating as a screening and vetting agency.
Regulatory efforts have focused on easing asylum eligibility in a manner that is
guaranteed to exacerbate asylum fraud as people surge at the border. Emphasis
also has been placed on removing legal barriers to immigration, such as the use
of public benefits. These actions violate statutes, erode congressional intent, and
provide a significant magnet for continued illegal immigration.
Additionally, USCIS resources have been misappropriated to focus more on
creating and expanding large-scale parole and temporary status programs that
violate the law and are otherwise contrary to congressional intent instead of focus-
ing on a more secure and efficient process for those who are seeking benefits. The
ever-increasing number of applications filed has made it difficult to vet applica-
tions adequately for eligibility, fraud, and specific national security and public
safety problems.
The Fraud Detection and National Security Directorate (FDNS) is currently a
small directorate with assigned officers reporting through the chain of command in
the field, and this has led to stovepiping, lack of coordination in national policy, and
inconsistencies throughout the agency. To prioritize vetting and fraud detection,
FDNS should undergo a structural shift focused on direct reporting from the field
to headquarters, reclassification of leadership, and FDNS directives taking prece-
dence over those of other component entities. Correcting the current misalignment
of agency priorities and resources should begin with this primary shift in focus to
vetting and fraud detection. These actions would reform the agency, returning it
to its screening and vetting mission in protecting the homeland.
Other structural changes should include reimplementation of the USCIS denat-
uralization unit—an effort to maintain integrity in the system by identifying and
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New Policies
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all approved applications and petitions before approval notices are sent to the alien
or petitioner. Other efforts should be focused on adjudication standards returning
to nearly 100 percent interview requirements for all appropriate cases.
The incoming Administration should spearhead an immigration legislative
agenda focused on creating a merit-based immigration system that rewards high-
skilled aliens instead of the current system that favors extended family–based and
luck-of-the-draw immigration. To that end, the diversity visa lottery should be
repealed, chain migration should be ended while focusing on the nuclear family,
and the existing employment visa program should be replaced with a system to
award visas only to the “best and brightest.”
Internal efforts to limit employment authorization should be matched by con-
gressional action to narrow statutory eligibility to work in the United States and
mitigate unfair employment competition for U.S. citizens. The oft-abused H-1B
program should be transformed into an elite program through which employers
are vying to bring in only the top foreign workers at the highest wages so as not to
depress American opportunities. Additionally, Congress should:
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USCIS should make it clear that where no court jurisdiction exists, it will not
honor court decisions that seek to undermine regulatory and subregulatory efforts.
Finally, USCIS still requires access to all relevant national security and law enforce-
ment databases in the same vein as any other agency in the intelligence space. This
is a key concept that should be addressed as USCIS is returned to functioning
primarily as a vetting agency.
Budget
USCIS is primarily fee-funded, operating on revenue derived by those who are
seeking immigration benefits, work permits, and naturalization. The total agency
budget requested for fiscal year (FY) 2023, including both fees and a small appropri-
ation, is slightly less than $6 billion.8 The bulk of funds are derived from application
fees through the Immigrant Examinations Fee Account. As a general principle, adju-
dication of applications and petitions should be paid by applicants, not American
taxpayers. It is critical that any changes in the budget, even in the wake of a realigned
agency combined with ICE and CBP, should retain a fee-funded model.
Given the Obama and Biden Administrations’ lack of will, fees should be
increased agencywide to keep in step with inflation and the true cost of the adju-
dications. The incoming Administration should immediately submit a fee rule
that reflects such an increase. Aside from an increase in all fees, the rule should
drastically limit the availability for fee waivers and should implement a fee for
asylum applications. Additionally, Congress should allow for a 10 percent across-
the-board increase in all fees for all fee rules to account for the fact that new fee
rules always lag behind budget requirements.
USCIS should strive to increase opportunities for premium processing, a ben-
efit by which applicants can expedite their processing times. While this places
time burdens on adjudicators, it provides an opportunity for a significant influx
of money into the agency, which is not currently available. While simply raising
fees to the necessary levels to make the agency run efficiently would be prefera-
ble, without the need for expanded premium processing, this short-term measure
should be utilized, particularly if longer-term fee rules are unsuccessful.
At least until USCIS is caught up on all case backlogs, all applicants rejected for
any benefit or status adjudication should be required to leave the U.S. immediately.
Ordinary process can resume once all case backlogs have been adjudicated.
Finally, USCIS should pause the intake of applications in a benefit category
when backlogs in that category become excessive. Once USCIS adjudicators can
decrease that caseload to a manageable number, application intake should resume.
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Personnel
USCIS should be classified as a national security–sensitive agency, and all of
its employees should be classified as holding national security–sensitive posi-
tions. Leaks must be investigated and punished as they would be in a national
security agency, and the union should be decertified. Any employees who cannot
accept that change and cannot conform their behavior to the standards required
by such an agency should be separated. USCIS’s D.C. personnel presence should
be skeletal, and agency employees with operational or security roles should be
rotated out to offices throughout the United States. These USCIS employees
should live and work in the communities that are most affected by their daily
duties and decisions.
prevent future Administrations from exploiting them for political gain or per-
sonal ideology.
Legislative Proposals
l Title 42 authority in Title 8. Create an authority akin to the Title 42
Public Health authority that has been used during the COVID-19 pandemic
to expel illegal aliens across the border immediately when certain non-
health conditions are met, such as loss of operational control of the border.
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l Unaccompanied minors
needs and should allow for large-scale use of temporary facilities (for
example, tents).
l Asylum reform
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l Other pathways for border crossers. While Congress should use its
oversight authority to ensure that Expedited Removal is used to the fullest
extent and followed to the letter of the law, other paths for border crossers
should be included in a legislative package.
must be negotiated, Congress should mandate that the executive branch
work faithfully to negotiate and execute ACAs and set parameters
to ensure that an unwilling executive cannot renege on an existing
agreement or abandon the effort.
l Employment authorization
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Regulations
Withdraw Biden Administration regulations and reissue new
2. Public Charge.
l T-Visa and U-Visa reform. Unless and until T and U visas are repealed,
each program needs to be reformed to ensure that only legitimate victims
of trafficking and crimes who are actively providing significant material
assistance to law enforcement are eligible for spots in the queue.
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Executive Orders
l Pathways for border crossers
4. Prohibit the use of Notices to Report, the use of any funds for travel
into the interior of the United States, and government flights or
transportation for aliens.
5. Mandate that ICE use all detention space in full compliance with
Section 235 of the INA, issue weekly reports on detention capacity, and
provide authority for low-level temporary capacity (for example, tents)
once permanent space is full.
6. Eliminate the use of ATD for border crossers except in rare cases and
only with the explicit authority of the Secretary.
7. Prohibit the use of parole except in matters that are certified by the
Secretary of Homeland Security as requiring action for humanitarian or
significant public benefit reasons, and prohibit the use of parole in any
categorical circumstance.
l Enforcement
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Subregulatory Matters
l USCIS priorities/structural changes
3. Review and repeal any internal agency memo that is inconsistent with
the priorities described in this chapter.
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l Blackie’s Warrants. ICE OPLA, ERO, and HSI should issue a joint internal
memo on operationalizing Blackie’s Warrants for immediate use on
worksite enforcement and other appropriate investigations and operations.
Needed Reforms
FEMA is the lead federal agency in preparing for and responding to disasters,
but it is overtasked, overcompensates for the lack of state and local preparedness
and response, and is regularly in deep debt. After passage of the 1988 Stafford Act,12
the number of declared federal disasters rose dramatically as most disaster costs
were shifted from states and local governments to the federal government. In
addition, state-friendly FEMA regulations, such as a “per capita indicator,” failed
to maintain the pace of inflation and made it easy to meet disaster declaration
thresholds. This combination has left FEMA unprepared in both readiness and
funding for the truly catastrophic disasters in which its services are most needed.
Reform of FEMA requires a greater emphasis on federalism and state and local
preparedness, leaving FEMA to focus on large, widespread disasters.
Under the Stafford Act, FEMA has the authority to adjust the per capita indi-
cator for damages, which creates a threshold under which states and localities are
not eligible for public assistance. FEMA should raise the threshold because the per
capita indicator has not kept pace with inflation, and this over time has effectively
lowered the threshold for public assistance and caused FEMA’s resources to be
stretched perilously thin. Alternatively, applying a deductible could accomplish
a similar outcome while also incentivizing states to take a more proactive role in
their own preparedness and response capabilities. In addition, Congress should
change the cost-share arrangement so that the federal government covers 25 per-
cent of the costs for small disasters with the cost share reaching a maximum of 75
percent for truly catastrophic disasters.
FEMA is also responsible for the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP),
nearly all of which is issued by the federal government. Washington provides
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insurance at prices lower than the actuarially fair rate, thereby subsidizing flood
insurance. Then, when flood costs exceed NFIP’s revenue, FEMA seeks taxpay-
er-funded bailouts. Current NFIP debt is $20.5 billion, and in 2017, Congress
canceled $16 billion in debt when FEMA reached its borrowing authority limit.
These subsidies and bailouts only encourage more development in flood zones,
increasing the potential losses to both NFIP and the taxpayer. The NFIP should
be wound down and replaced with private insurance starting with the least risky
areas currently identified by the program.
Budget Issues
FEMA manages all grants for DHS, and these grants have become pork for states,
localities, and special-interest groups. Since 2002, DHS/FEMA have provided
more than $56 billion in preparedness grants for state, local, tribal, and territorial
governments. For FY 2023, President Biden requested more than $3.5 billion for
federal assistance grants.13 Funds provided under these programs do not provide
measurable gains for preparedness or resiliency. Rather, more than any objective
needs, political interests appear to direct the flow of nondisaster funds.
The principles of federalism should be upheld; these indicate that states better
understand their unique needs and should bear the costs of their particularized
programs. FEMA employees in Washington, D.C., should not determine how bil-
lions of federal tax dollars should be awarded to train local law enforcement officers
Personnel
FEMA currently has four Senate-confirmed positions. Only the Administrator
should be confirmed by the Senate; other political leadership need not be con-
firmed by the Senate. Additionally, FEMA’s “springing Cabinet position” should be
eliminated, as this creates significant unnecessary challenges to the functioning of
the whole of DHS at points in time when coordinated responses are most needed.
Needed Reforms
CISA is supposed to have two key roles: (1) protection of the federal civilian
government networks (.gov) while coordinating the execution of national cyber
defense and sharing information with non-federal and private-sector partners
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and (2) national coordination of critical infrastructure security and resilience. Yet
CISA has rapidly expanded its scope into lanes where it does not belong, the most
recent and most glaring example being censorship of so-called misinformation
and disinformation.
CISA’s funding and resources should align narrowly with the foregoing two
mission requirements. The component’s emergency communications and Chem-
ical Facility Anti-Terrorism Standards (CFATS) roles should be moved to FEMA;
its school security functions should be transferred to state homeland security
offices; and CISA should refrain from duplicating cybersecurity functions done
elsewhere at the Department of Defense, FBI, National Security Agency, and U.S.
Secret Service.
Of the utmost urgency is immediately ending CISA’s counter-mis/disinforma-
tion efforts. The federal government cannot be the arbiter of truth. CISA began
this work because of alleged Russian misinformation in the 2016 election, which
in fact turned out to be a Clinton campaign “dirty trick.” The Intelligence Commu-
nity, including the NSA or DOD, should counter foreign actors. At the time of this
writing, release of the Twitter Files has demonstrated that CISA has devolved into
an unconstitutional censoring and election engineering apparatus of the political
Left. In any event, the entirety of the CISA Cybersecurity Advisory Committee
should be dismissed on Day One.
For election security, CISA should help states and localities assess whether
they have good cyber hygiene in their hardware and software in preparation for
an election—but nothing more. This is of value to smaller localities, particularly by
flagging who is attacking their websites. CISA should not be significantly involved
closer to an election. Nor should it participate in messaging or propaganda.
Needed Reforms
The U.S. Coast Guard fleet should be sized to the needs of great-power compe-
tition, specifically focusing efforts and investment on protecting U.S. waters, all
while seeking to find (where feasible) more economical ways to perform USCG
missions. The scope of the Coast Guard’s mission needs to be focused on protecting
U.S. resources and interests in its home waters, specifically its Exclusive Economic
Zone (200 miles from shore). USCG’s budget should address the growing demand
for it to address the increasing threat from the Chinese fishing fleet in home waters
as well as narcotics and migrant flows in the Caribbean and Eastern Pacific. Doing
this will require reversing years of shortfalls in shipbuilding, maintenance, and
upgrades of shore facilities as well as seeking more cost-effective ship and facility
designs. In wartime, the USCG supports the Navy, but it has limited capability and
capacity to support wartime missions outside home waters.
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New Policies
The Coast Guard’s mission set should be scaled down to match congressio-
nal budgeting in the long term, with any increased funding going to acquisitions
based on an updated Fleet Mix Analysis. The current shipbuilding plan is insuf-
ficient based on USCG analysis, and the necessary numbers of planned Offshore
Patrol Cutters and National Security Cutters are not supported by congressional
budgets. The Coast Guard should be required to submit to Congress a long-range
shipbuilding plan modeled on the Navy’s 30-Year Shipbuilding Plan. Ideally this
should become part of the Navy plan in a new comprehensive naval long-range
shipbuilding plan to ensure better coherency in the services’ requirements.
Outside of home waters, and following the Caribbean and Eastern Pacific, the
Coast Guard should prioritize limited resources to the nation’s expansive Pacific
waters to counter growing Chinese influence and encroachment. Expansion of
facilities in American Samoa and basing of cutters there is one clear step in this
direction and should be accelerated; looking to free association states (Palau, the
Federated States of Micronesia, and the Republic of the Marshall Islands) for
enhanced and persistent presence, assuming adequate congressional funding, is
another such step.
The Secretary of the Navy should convene a naval board to review and reset
requirements for Coast Guard wartime mission support. To inform and validate
these updated requirements, the Chief of Naval Operations and the Coast Guard
Personnel
USCG is facing recruitment challenges similar to those faced by the military
services. The Administration should stop the messaging on wokeness and diversity
and focus instead on attracting the best talent for USCG. Simultaneously, consis-
tent with the Department of Defense, USCG should also make a serious effort to
re-vet any promotions and hiring that occurred on the Biden Administration’s
watch while also re-onboarding any USCG personnel who were dismissed from
service for refusing to take the COVID-19 “vaccine,” with time in service credited
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to such returnees. These two steps could be foundational for any improvements
in the recruiting process.
Needed Reforms
The U.S. Secret Service must be the world’s best protective agency. Currently, the
agency is distracted by its dual mission of protection and financial investigations.
The result has been a long series of high-profile embarrassments and security fail-
ures, perhaps most notably its allowing of then-Vice President-elect Kamala Harris
to be inside the Democratic National Committee office on January 6, 2021, while
a pipe bomb was outside. Despite the great size and scope of the January 6 inves-
tigation, this high-profile incident of danger to a protectee remains unresolved.
The failures of the USSS protective mission are too numerous to list here. A
December 2015 bipartisan report from the House Oversight Committee listed
dozens of such incidents as well as needed recommendations for reform.14 This
chapter adopts those findings and recommendations in whole, especially the
finding that USSS’s dual-mission structure detracts from the agency’s protective
capabilities.
At the time of that report, USSS agents spent only one-third of their work hours
on protection-related activities as opposed to investigative activities. USSS was
established initially to investigate counterfeit currency, but its mission has evolved
over the decades to prioritize electronic financial crimes. For example, as this chap-
ter was being written, all 15 of the USSS’s most wanted individuals were wanted
for financial crimes, many of them international in nature.
Notably, the last head of the agency left not for a protection-related job, but to be
the Chief Security Officer of social media company SnapChat. This is a pattern that
has developed over the years, with agents seeking to burnish their online financial
crimes credentials to secure corporate security jobs. Coupled with some of the
lowest morale in the federal government, the agency has completely lost sight of
the primacy of its protective mission.
New Policies
USSS should transfer to the Department of Justice and Department of the
Treasury all investigations that are not related to its protective function. It should
begin the logistical operation of closing all field offices throughout the country and
internationally to the extent they are not taken over by Treasury or Justice. USSS
agents stationed outside of Washington, D.C., should be transferred to work in
Immigration and Customs Enforcement field offices where they would continue to
be the “boots on the ground” to follow up on threat reports throughout the country
and liaise with local law enforcement for visits by protectees.
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The only investigations not related to USSS’s protective function that agents
should pursue would be directed by HSI and relate to tracking the financial crimes
associated with illegal immigration. This should include tracing remittances, any
funds that are used to pay coyotes or the cartels, and payments by businesses to
illegal aliens and all other crimes associated with illegal immigration.
USSS should keep visitor logs for all facilities where the President works or
resides. The Biden Administration has evaded such transparency with President
Biden spending a historic amount of time for a President at his Delaware residence.
This has left the American people in the dark as to who is influencing the highest
levels of their own government.
Budget
The suggested reforms would result in a significant USSS budget reduction,
primarily because the agency would relinquish dozens of physical offices through-
out the U.S. and internationally. Some amount of savings should be used to fix the
personnel problems and for recruitment initiatives aimed at individuals who are
inclined to join a protection-focused agency.
Personnel
As documented extensively in the above-referenced 2015 bipartisan congressio-
nal report, low morale and high turnover are key drivers of USSS problems. With
their mission focused on protection, agents would no longer spend the bulk of
their time developing unrelated skillsets. Instead, USSS agents could hone their
protection skills and pursue a protection career path in the agency rather than
quickly leaving USSS for high-paying corporate security jobs.
The Uniform Division (UD) of USSS requires a significant staffing increase.
As documented in the bipartisan report, understaffing results in unpredictable
and long hours, which in turn result in high turnover, which only compounds
the problem.
Another key issue is that UD officers lack the ability to enforce criminal laws
outside the immediate vicinity of the White House. As the District of Columbia
is a federal jurisdiction and currently is beholden to the trend of progressive pro-
crime policies, UD officers should enforce all applicable laws. The result would
be to allow UD officers to gain more law enforcement experience—an attractive
credential that would improve morale.
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lap and red tape exist between headquarters (HQ) and components with regard
to such functions as hiring, information technology, and procurement. Finance
is unique given that HQ needs to address reprogramming, and component bud-
gets need to roll up into all-department budgets. The Directorate requires intense
reform, the specifics of which should be further assessed given its expansive nature.
Front Office (FO). Immediately place a small team of advisers with a deep
understanding of operational management—but who have some experience in
government because they will need to understand the nuance of Reduction in Force
(RIF), appropriations hurdles when dealing with U.S. government reorganization,
etc.—to sit in the MGMT FO (reporting to the Secretary, ultimately either S1 or S2).
One of these advisers should understand U.S. government employment law and
be prepared to relocate personnel and downsize offices accordingly. This includes
reverting to the original understanding of the function of individuals appointed
to the Senior Executive Service: competent managers who can work capably with
any subject matter and in any location.
Over the first few months of the Administration, the advisers’ role should be
to assess what structural and procedural changes are appropriate. They should
dissect the current standing Management Directives and the approval processes
in place to implement and/or change them; Office of the Chief Human Capital
Officer’s processes and procedures; hurdles to the Office of Chief Procurement
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in the midst of heightened threats. Before the summer 2020 civil unrest, position-
ing FPS under MGMT was justified, but given the current climate, they should not
be reporting through MGMT. This may be especially problematic if a Management
Directorate Under Secretary lacking law enforcement or military experience is in place
when a situation like summer 2020 arises. FPS should report to the Secretary as other
components (e.g., FLETC) do. This would add little to the Secretary’s current burden
unless or until civil unrest arises, at which point reporting to the Secretary creates a
direct line between the primary DHS decision-maker (S1 or S2) and the FPS Director.
Regarding operational communication, there should be information-sharing
mandates (MOAs)—which are applicable under specific circumstances where fed-
eral facilities are involved—between FPS and the U.S. Marshals, U.S. Park Police,
and FBI. Agreements with U.S. Capitol Police and Supreme Court Police should
also be considered, but it is noteworthy that those entities are jurisdictionally out-
side of the executive branch.
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OFFICE OF INTELLIGENCE AND ANALYSIS (I&A)
The Office of Intelligence and Analysis should be eliminated both because
it has not added value and because it has been weaponized for domestic politi-
cal purposes.
The Intelligence Community (IC) already provides raw intelligence to DHS
components. In addition, the FBI, National Counter Terrorism Center, and other
agencies where necessary already provide holistic threat assessment products to
federal, state, local, tribal, and territorial governments as well as to private-sector
entities at both the classified and unclassified levels where appropriate. I&A’s work
as an interlocuter between the IC and DHS components’ individual intelligence
operations on the one hand and government and the private sector on the other,
as well as between the IC and the components, is at best duplicative. At worst, it
is used and discussed in the media as a political tool, resulting in more harm than
good to the U.S. government and IC writ large.
The Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, which is not a member
of the IC, should create cyber intelligence products in a collaborative fashion with
the National Security Agency and U.S. Cyber Command. Such efforts would lead
to timelier usable classified and unclassified products for stakeholders that exceed
the quality and capability of I&A’s efforts. This same principle applies to other
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components as well: CBP, TSA, etc. all have their own intelligence operations and
are better situated with their subject-matter experts to make their own assessments.
The National Operations Center (NOC) within the Office of Operations Coor-
dination (OPS) should absorb those select I&A functions and tactically proficient
personnel that need to be maintained (for example, technical support to the
National Vetting Center). The remainder of I&A should be eliminated. The OPS
entity should maintain IC status, and the only intelligence mission set should be
to provide situational awareness and the dissemination of operational information
or raw intelligence (no analysis or products) at classified and unclassified levels to
executive leadership across the department, not outside of DHS.
Needed Reforms
OGC should advise principals as to how DHS can execute its missions within
the law instead of advising principals as to why they cannot execute regulations,
policies, and programs.
Instead of each component’s chief counsel reporting to the Headquarters Gen-
eral Counsel (with a solid line) and indirectly to his or her component head (with
a dotted line), the accountability should be reversed. Due to the different missions
throughout the department, the components can better manage the legal issues
of their specific mission than headquarters can. Thus, the chief counsel (or equiv-
alent) of each component should report directly to the component head, report
indirectly to the DHS General Counsel, and be accountable to the component head.
The report to the General Counsel is to ensure consistency of advice across DHS.
OGC should hire significantly more Schedule C/political appointees who in
turn supervise career staff and manage their output. DHS’s mission is politically
charged, and the legal function cannot be allowed to thwart the Administration’s
agenda by providing stilted or erroneous legal positions and decision-making.
OGC should serve as the center of the response to the legal challenges facing the
department to ensure a streamlined, consistent response to a litany of issues facing
the department. It is important to ensure consistency across all potential legal
positions taken by the department, including those arising in litigation, congressio-
nal oversight, and inquiries received from the Inspector General, U.S. Government
Accountability Office (GAO), and Congressional Research Service and pursuant to
the Freedom of Information Act.
OGC should invest in e-discovery software and contract with a vendor to manage
the department’s e-discovery. This would be beneficial both in litigation and in
responding to congressional oversight. Removing delays in e-discovery processing
would also reduce the issuance of subpoenas to the department and the generation
of negative press for the Administration that comes from delayed responses.
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The old practice of relying on Executive Secretary taskings to pull documents for
congressional requests does not work: It is slow, the metrics for what documents
are gathered and how are unclear, and the components do not gather responsive
material in an efficient manner. Document gathering should come from the Office
of the Chief Information Officer or a relevant technological element within the
department that can pull responsive communications quickly.
also allow DHS to respond to crises effectively by shifting staff as needed to the
most pressing issues and better use underutilized staff at less active components.
Only political appointees in OLA should interact directly with congressional staff
on all inquiries, including budget and appropriations matters. To prevent congres-
sional staff from answer shopping among HQ OLA, the DHS OCFO, and components,
DHS legislative affairs appropriations staff should be moved from MGMT OCFO
into OLA. Regarding components, budget/appropriations staff should move from
component budget offices into component legislative affairs offices.
Because dozens of congressional committees and subcommittees either have or
claim to have jurisdiction over some DHS function, DHS staff from the Secretary
on down spend so much time responding to congressional hearing and briefing
requests, letters, and questions for the record that they are left with little time
to do their assigned job of protecting the homeland. The next President should
reach an agreement with congressional leadership to limit committee jurisdiction
to one authorizing committee and one appropriations committee in each cham-
ber. If congressional leadership will not limit their committees’ jurisdiction over
DHS, DHS should identify one authorizing and appropriations committee in each
chamber and answer only to it.
To focus more precisely on the DHS mission, OLA staff should also identify
outdated and needless congressional reporting requirements and notify Congress
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that DHS will cease reporting on such matters. For other congressional reports,
OLA should implement a sunset date so that Congress must regularly demonstrate
the need for specific data.
In both OPA and OLA, a change in mission and culture is needed. The clients
of both components are the President and the Secretary, not the media, external
organizations, or Congress. OPA and OLA should change from being compliance
correspondents for outside entities airing grievances to serving as messengers and
advocates for the President and the Secretary.
would be responsible for ongoing situational awareness for the Secretary and
Deputy Secretary.
In addition to long-term staffing, OPS would have cycling billets from each of
the major agencies and components to facilitate its most effective working rela-
tionships across DHS.
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and staff. Although the CRCL Officer and the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
Officer/Privacy Officer are statutory, their offices are not mandatory. CRCL and
PRIV Officers and employees should report to a Deputy General Counsel, who
would be a political appointee.
The CRCL Officer should focus on equal employment opportunity (EEO)
compliance and the civil liberties function and investigate matters only within
Headquarters or support components. Operational components’ civil liberties offi-
cers should investigate incidents regarding their own agencies. The CRCL Officer
should ensure that all civil liberties or civil rights complaints are sent to the Office
of Inspector General (OIG) for review. If the OIG chooses not to investigate, the
CRCL Officer should only provide supportive information on possible courses of
action for complainants.
The PRIV Officer and FOIA Officer should focus on FOIA, Privacy Compliance
Policy, and Privacy Incident Response. The Deputy General Counsel should provide
guidance to DHS leadership regarding Privacy Compliance and Privacy Incident
Response. To ensure that only U.S. persons and Lawful Permanent Residents are
provided protections as required by the Privacy Act, all DHS issuances should be
updated to reflect that DHS protects the privacy of individuals as required by the
Privacy Act (U.S. persons and lawful permanent residents);16 the Judicial Redress
Act of 2015;17 and any U.S.–European Union Data Protection and Privacy Agreement.
Because of the lack of public trust in the Office of Intelligence and Analysis,
CRCL and PRIV staff should no longer review intelligence products or provide
guidance on any intelligence products or reports.
A consistent, clear, and singular message is necessary for DHS’s mission.
Therefore, all communications and/or meetings with any federal, state, local, or
nongovernment groups should be limited to the Deputy General Counsel. In addi-
tion, given the narrower scope of work, OGC should disband the outside advisory
boards and the more than 50 working groups in which CRCL and PRIV currently
participate. Finally, CRCL and PRIV should no longer issue bulletins or periodicals.
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and manages complaints against agents through the OPR. In addition, CRCL, OIG,
GAO, and Congress all perform detention oversight. These multiple bodies place
unmanageable and unreasonable burdens on ICE to manage several sometimes
inconsistent audits/inspections at the same time.
If OIDO remains a DHS component, the Secretary should immediately issue a direc-
tive stripping CRCL of its immigration portfolio. OIDO is in a better position with
dedicated resources and immigration experts to perform this function than CRCL is.
Allowing both offices to conduct detention oversight is duplicative and wasteful.
The Secretary should conduct a thorough review of the effectiveness of Direc-
tive 0810.1,19 which is widely interpreted as requiring a wholesale referral of cases
to OIG. In reality, OIG investigates only a small fraction of them and often sits on
cases for longer than the five-day window specified in the directive. Meanwhile,
the other agencies wait in limbo to execute their duties.
CISOMB. The Office of the Citizenship and Immigration Services Ombudsman
should be eliminated. The DHS bureaucracy is too large, and the Secretary has too
many direct reports. CISOMB’s policy functions can be performed (and sometimes
already are) by OIG and GAO. The specialized case work can be moved into USCIS
as a special unit, much like the IRS Taxpayer Advocate. This would require a stat-
utory change to Section 452 of the Homeland Security Act of 2002.20
If CISOMB continues as a DHS component, a policy should be issued that
prohibits CISOMB from assisting illegal aliens to obtain benefits. Currently,
AGENCY RELATIONSHIPS
It is critical to the achievement of the President’s policy objectives that all agen-
cies and departments touching immigration policy work in sync with one another.
While there are numerous areas in which such cooperation is critical, immigration
has proven to be the most difficult. Accordingly, several objectives will be necessary
for each of the following departments.
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l Department of Education: Deny loan access to those who are not U.S.
citizens or lawful permanent residents, and deny loan access to students at
schools that provide in-state tuition to illegal aliens.
l Department of Labor: Eliminate the two (of four) lowest wage levels for
foreign workers.
AUTHOR’S NOTE: I had the honor of coordinating the efforts of the experts listed as contributors to this
book, nearly all of whom have spent more time inside or interacting with the Department of Homeland Security
than myself. I wrote only a small portion of the chapter and relied on the contributors’ experience and expertise
to give the chapter both its depth and policy impact. No views expressed herein should be attributed to any
single contributor.
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ENDNOTES
1. H.R. 5005, Homeland Security Act of 2002, Public Law No. 107-296, 107th Congress, November 25, 2002, §
101(b)(1), https://www.congress.gov/107/plaws/publ296/PLAW-107publ296.pdf (accessed March 14, 2023).
2. See, for example, “Elon Musk Slams CISA Censorship Network as ‘Propaganda Platform,’” Kanekoa News,
December 28, 2022, https://kanekoa.substack.com/p/elon-musk-slams-cisa-censorship-network (accessed
March 14, 2023).
3. H.R. 2680, An Act to Amend the Immigration and Nationality Act, and for Other Purposes, Public Law No.
89-236, 89th Congress, October 3, 1965, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/STATUTE-79/pdf/STATUTE-79-
Pg911.pdf (accessed March 14, 2023).
4. Added to the Immigration and Nationality Act by the Illegal Immigration Reform and Immigrant
Responsibility Act of 1996. See H.R. 3610, Omnibus Consolidated Appropriations Act, 1997, Public Law No.
104-208, 104th Congress, September 30, 1996, Division C, https://www.congress.gov/104/plaws/publ208/
PLAW-104publ208.pdf (accessed March 14, 2023).
5. 8 U.S. Code, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/8 (accessed March 14, 2023).
6. 18 U.S. Code, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/18 (accessed March 14, 2023).
7. 5 U.S. Code §§ 551–559, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/5/part-I/chapter-5/subchapter-II (accessed
March 14, 2023).
8. Table, “United States Citizenship and Immigration Services Budget Comparison and Adjustments
Appropriation and PPA Summary,” in U.S. Department of Homeland Security, United States Citizenship
and Immigration Services, Department of Homeland Security, United States Citizenship and Immigration
Services, Budget Overview, Fiscal Year 2023 Congressional Justification, p. CIS-4, https://www.uscis.gov/
sites/default/files/document/reports/U.S._Citizenship_and_Immigration_Services%E2%80%99_Budget_
Overview_Document_for%20Fiscal_Year_2023.pdf#:~:text=The%20FY%202023%20Budget%20includes%20
%24913.6M%2C%204%2C001%20positions%3B,of%20%24444.1M%20above%20the%20FY%202022%20
President%E2%80%99s%20Budget (accessed March 14, 2023), and Table, “United States Citizenship and
Immigration Services Comparison of Budget Authority and Request,” in ibid., p. CIS-5.
9. H.R. 7311, William Wilberforce Trafficking Victims Protection Reauthorization Act of 2008, Public Law No.
110-457, 110th Congress, December 23, 2008, § 235, https://www.congress.gov/110/plaws/publ457/PLAW-
110publ457.pdf (accessed March 15, 2023).
10. Matter of A-B-, Respondent, 27 I&N Dec. 316 (A.G. 2018), https://www.justice.gov/eoir/page/file/1070866/
download (accessed January 18, 2023).
11. Arizona v. United States, 567 U.S. 387 (2012), https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/567/387/ (accessed
January 18, 2023).
12. Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act [Public Law 93–288; Approved May 22, 1974]
[As Amended Through P.L. 117–328, Enacted December 29, 2022], https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/
COMPS-2977/pdf/COMPS-2977.pdf (accessed March 15, 2023).
13. U.S. Department of Homeland Security, Federal Emergency Management Agency, Department of Homeland
Security, Federal Emergency Management Agency, Budget Overview, Fiscal Year 2023 Congressional
Justification, p. FEMA-24, https://www.dhs.gov/sites/default/files/2022-03/Federal%20Emergency%20
Management%20Agency_Remediated.pdf (accessed March 15, 2023).
14. Report, United States Secret Service: An Agency in Crisis, Committee on Oversight and Government Reform,
U.S. House of Representatives, 114th Congress, December 9, 2015, https://republicans-oversight.house.gov/
wp-content/uploads/2015/12/Oversight-USSS-Report.pdf (accessed January 18, 2023).
15. 5 U.S. Code § 7103, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/5/7103 (accessed March 15, 2023).
16. S. 3418, Privacy Act of 1974, Public Law No. 93-579, 93rd Congress, December 31, 1974, https://www.govinfo.
gov/content/pkg/STATUTE-88/pdf/STATUTE-88-Pg1896.pdf (accessed March 15, 2023).
17. H.R. 1428, Judicial Redress Act of 2015, Public Law No. 114-126, 114th Congress, February 24, 2016, https://www.
congress.gov/114/plaws/publ126/PLAW-114publ126.pdf (accessed March 15, 2023).
18. H.R. 1158, Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2020, Public Law No. 116-93, 116th Congress, December 20, 2019,
https://www.congress.gov/bill/116th-congress/house-bill/1158 (accessed January 18, 2023).
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19. U.S. Department of Homeland Security, Office of Inspector General, Management Directive No. 0810.1, June 10,
2004, https://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/foia/mgmt_directive_0810_1_the_office_of_inspector_general.
pdf (accessed March 15, 2023).
20. H.R. 5005, Homeland Security Act of 2002, Public Law No. 107-296, 107th Congress, November 25, 2002,
https://www.congress.gov/bill/107th-congress/house-bill/5005 (accessed January 18, 2023).
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6
DEPARTMENT OF STATE
Kiron K. Skinner
T
he U.S. Department of State’s mission is to bilaterally, multilaterally, and
regionally implement the President’s foreign policy priorities; to serve U.S.
citizens abroad; and to advance the economic, foreign policy, and national
security interests of the United States.
Since the U.S. Founding, the Department of State has been the American gov-
ernment’s designated tool of engagement with foreign governments and peoples
throughout the world. Country names, borders, leaders, technology, and people
have changed in the more than two centuries since the Founding, but the basics of
diplomacy remain the same. Although the Department has also evolved throughout
the years, at least in the modern era, there is one significant problem that the next
President must address to be successful.
There are scores of fine diplomats who serve the President’s agenda, often
helping to shape and interpret that agenda. At the same time, however, in all
Administrations, there is a tug-of-war between Presidents and bureaucracies—
and that resistance is much starker under conservative Presidents, due
largely to the fact that large swaths of the State Department’s workforce are
left-wing and predisposed to disagree with a conservative President’s policy
agenda and vision.
It should not and cannot be this way: The American people need and deserve
a diplomatic machine fully focused on the national interest as defined through
the election of a President who sets the domestic and international agenda for
the nation. The next Administration must take swift and decisive steps to reforge
the department into a lean and functional diplomatic machine that serves the
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President and, thereby, the American people. Below is the basic but essential road-
map for achieving these repairs.
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service and civil service personnel who share the President’s vision and policy
agendas—to run the department. This can be done by taking these steps at the
outset of the next Administration.
Exert Leverage During the Confirmation Process. Notwithstanding the
challenges and slowness of the modern U.S. Senate confirmation process, the next
President can exert leverage on the Senate if he or she is willing to place State
Department appointees directly into those roles, pending confirmation. Doing so
would both ensure that the department has immediate senior political leadership
and would force the Senate to act on nominees’ appointments instead of being
allowed to engage in dilatory tactics that cripple the State Department’s function-
ality for weeks, months, or even years.
Assert Leadership in the Appointment Process. The next Administration
should assert leadership over, and guidance to, the State Department by placing
political appointees in positions that do not require Senate confirmation, including
senior advisors, Principal Deputy Assistant Secretaries, and Deputy Assistant Sec-
retaries. Given the department’s size, the next Administration should also increase
the number of political appointees to manage it.
To the extent possible, all non-confirmed senior appointees should be selected
by the President-elect’s transition team or the new President’s Office of Presiden-
tial Personnel (depending on the timing of selection) and be in place the first day
of the Administration. No one in a leadership position on the morning of January
20 should hold that position at the end of the day. These recommendations do not
imply that foreign service and civil service officials should be excluded from key
roles: It is hard to imagine a scenario in which they are not immediately relevant to
the transition of power. The main suggestion here is that as many political appoin-
tees as possible should be in place at the start of a new Administration.
Support and Train Political Appointees. The Secretary of State should use
his or her office and its resources to ensure regular coordination among all political
appointees, which should take the form of strategy meetings, trainings, and other
events. The secretary should also take reasonable steps to ensure that the State
Department’s political appointees are connected to other departments’ political
appointees, which is critical for cross-agency effectiveness and morale. The sec-
retary should capitalize on the more experienced political appointees by using
them as the foundation for a mentorship program for less experienced political
appointees. The interaction of political appointees must be routine and operational
rather than incidental or occasional, and it must be treated as a crucial dimension
for the next Administration’s success.
Maximize the Value of Career Officials. Career foreign service and civil
service personnel can and must be leveraged for their expertise and commit-
ment to the President’s mission. Indeed, the State Department has thousands of
employees with unparalleled linguistic, cultural, policy, and administrative skills,
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
and large numbers of them have been an enormous resource to the Secretaries of
State under which they have served. The secretary must find a way to make clear
to career officials that despite prior history and modes of operation, they need
not be adversaries of a conservative President, Secretary of State, or the team of
political appointees.
Reboot Ambassadors Worldwide. All ambassadors are required to submit
letters of resignation at the start of a new Administration. Previous Republican
Administrations have accepted the resignations of only the political ambassadors
and allowed the foreign service ambassadors to retain their posts, sometimes for
months or years into a new Administration.5 The next Administration must go
further: It should both accept the resignations of all political ambassadors and
quickly review and reassess all career ambassadors. This review should commence
well before the new Administration’s first day.
Ambassadors in countries where U.S. policy or posture would substantially
change under the new Administration, as well as any who have evinced hostility
toward the incoming Administration or its agenda, should be recalled immediately.
The priority should be to put in place new ambassadors who support the Presi-
dent’s agenda among political appointees, foreign service officers, and civil service
personnel, with no predetermined percentage among these categories. Political
ambassadors with strong personal relationships with the President should be pri-
oritized for key strategic posts such as Australia, Japan, the United Kingdom, the
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
policies, and use of resources.
The Secretary of State, in cooperation with the Office of the Attorney General
and the White House Counsel’s Office, should also conduct a review to identify
“agreements” that are really treaty commitments within the ordinary public mean-
ing of the Constitution,6 and suspend compliance pending presidential transmittal
of those agreements to the Senate for advice and consent. The next Administration
should also move to withdraw from treaties that have been under Senate consider-
ation for 20 years or more, with the understanding that those treaties are unlikely
to be ratified. Under circumstances in which ratification of a stale treaty before
the Senate still serves national interests, the treaty letter of transmittal and sub-
mission should be updated for current circumstances. The Secretary of State must
revoke most outstanding C-175 authorities that have been granted to other agen-
cies during previous Administrations, although such revocations should be closely
coordinated with the White House for logistical reasons.
Coordinate with Other Agencies. Interagency engagement in this new
environment must be similarly adjusted to mirror presidential direction. Indeed,
coordination among federal agencies is challenging even in the most well-oiled
Administrations. Although such coordination is inescapable and sometimes produc-
tive, agencies tend to leverage each other’s resources in ways that occasionally have
off-mission consequences for the agency or agencies with the resources. Ideally, the
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Secretary of State should work as part of an agile foreign policy team along with the
National Security Advisor, the Secretary of Defense, and other agency heads to flesh
out and advance the President’s foreign policy. Bureaucratic stovepipes of the past
should be less important than commitment to, and achievement of, the President’s
foreign policy agenda. The State Department’s role in these interagency discussions
must reflect the President’s clear direction and disallow resources and tools to be
used in any way that detracts from the presidentially directed mission.
Coordinate with Congress. Congress has both the statutory and appropri-
ations authority to impact the State Department’s operations and has a strong
interest in key aspects of American foreign policy. The department must therefore
take particular care in its interaction with Congress, since poor interactions with
Congress, regardless of intentions, could trigger congressional pushback or have
other negative impacts on the President’s agenda.
This will require particularly strong leadership of the Department of State’s
Bureau of Legislative Affairs. The Secretary of State and political leadership should
ensure full coordination with the White House regarding congressional engage-
ment on any State Department responsibility. This may lead to, for example, the
President authorizing the State Department to engage with Members of Congress
and relevant committees on certain issues (including statutorily designated con-
gressional consultations), but to remain “radio silent” on volatile or designated
issues on which the White House wants to be the primary or only voice. All such
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of immigration and domestic security issues, which are inextricably related. The
State Department’s apparent posture toward these two issues, which are of para-
mount importance to the American people, has historically been that they are of
lesser importance than other issues and that they can be treated as concessions in
broader diplomatic engagements. In other instances in which access to the U.S. in
the form of immigrant (permanent) and nonimmigrant (temporary) visas could
potentially serve as diplomatic leverage, it is almost never used. To some degree,
the State Department and many of its personnel appear to view the U.S. immigra-
tion system less as a tool for strengthening the United States and more as a global
welfare program.
To ensure the safety, security, and prosperity of all Americans, this must change.
Below are several key areas in which the department’s formal and informal postures
must adjust to reflect the current immigration and domestic security environment:
l Visa reciprocity. The United States should strictly enforce the doctrine
of reciprocity when issuing visas to all foreign nationals. For too long, the
U.S. has provided virtually unfettered access to foreign nationals from
countries that do not respond in kind—including countries that are actively
hostile to U.S. interests and nationals. Mandatory reciprocity will convey
the necessary reality that other countries do not have an unfettered right
to U.S. access and must reciprocally offer favorable visa-based access to U.S.
nationals. The State Department’s reaction time to other countries’ changes
in visa policies with respect to the U.S. must be streamlined to ensure it can
be updated in real time.
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PIVOTING ABROAD
Personnel and management adjustments are crucial preludes to refocus the
State Department’s mission, which is implementing the President’s foreign policy
agenda and, in so doing, ensuring that the interests of American citizens are given
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
priority. That said, the next President must significantly reorient the U.S. govern-
ment’s posture toward friends and adversaries alike—which will include much
more honest assessments about who are friends and who are not. This reorien-
tation could represent the most significant shift in core foreign policy principles
and corresponding action since the end of the Cold War.
Although not every country or issue area can be discussed in this chapter, below
are examples of several areas in which a shift in U. S. foreign policy is not only import-
ant, but arguably existential. The point is not to assert that everyone in the evolving
conservative movement, or, in some cases, the growing bipartisan consensus, will
agree with the details of this assessment. Rather, what is presented below demon-
strates the urgency of these issues and provides a general roadmap for analysis.
In a world on fire, a handful of nations require heightened attention. Some rep-
resent existential threats to the safety and security of the American people; others
threaten to hurt the U.S. economy; and others are wild cards, whose full threat
scope is unknown but nevertheless unsettling. The five countries on which the next
Administration should focus its attention and energy are China, Iran, Venezuela,
Russia, and North Korea.
country with a population of more than 1 billion people has the vision, resources,
and patience to achieve its objectives. Protecting the United States from the PRC’s
designs requires an unambiguous offensive-defensive mix, including protecting
American citizens and their interests, as well as U.S. allies, from PRC attacks and
abuse that undermine U.S. competitiveness, security, and prosperity.
The United States must have a cost-imposing strategic response to make Bei-
jing’s aggression unaffordable, even as the American economy and U.S. power grow.
This stance will require real, sustained, near-unprecedented U.S. growth; stronger
partnerships; synchronized economic and security policies; and American energy
independence—but above all, it will require a very honest perspective about the
nature and designs of the PRC as more of a threat than a competitor.10 The next
President should use the State Department and its array of resources to reassess
and lead this effort, just as it did during the Cold War. The U.S. government needs
an Article X for China,11 and it should be a presidential mandate. Along with the
National Security Council, the State Department should draft an Article X, which
should be a deeply philosophical look at the China challenge.
Many foreign policy professionals and national leaders, both in government and
the private sector, are reluctant to take decisive action regarding China. Many are
vested in an unshakable faith in the international system and global norms. They
are so enamored with them they cannot brook any criticisms or reforms, let alone
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
acknowledge their potential for being abused by the PRC. Others refuse to acknowl-
edge Beijing’s malign activities and often pass off criticism as conspiracy theories.
For instance, many were quick to dismiss even the possibility that COVID-19
escaped from a Chinese research laboratory. The reality, however, is that the PRC’s
actions often do sound like conspiracy theories—because they are conspiracies. In
addition, some knowingly or not parrot the Communist line: Global leaders includ-
ing President Joe Biden, have tried to normalize or even laud Chinese behavior.
In some cases, these voices, like the global corporate giants BlackRock and Disney,
directly benefit from doing business with Beijing.
On the other hand, others acknowledge the dangers posed by the PRC, but
believe in a moderating approach to accommodate its rise, a policy of “compete
where we must, but cooperate where we can,” including on issues like climate
change. This strategy has demonstrably failed.
As with all global struggles with Communist and other tyrannical regimes, the
issue should never be with the Chinese people but with the Communist dictator-
ship that oppresses them and threatens the well-being of nations across the globe.12
That said, the nature of Chinese power today is the product of history, ideology,
and the institutions that have governed China during the course of five millennia,
inherited by the present Chinese leaders from the preceding generations of the
CCP.13 In short, the PRC challenge is rooted in China’s strategic culture and not
just the Marxism–Leninism of the CCP, meaning that internal culture and civil
society will never deliver a more normative nation. The PRC’s aggressive behavior
can only be curbed through external pressure.
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ezuela (Venezuela) has all but collapsed under the Communist regimes of the late
Hugo Chavez and Nicolas Maduro. In the 24 years since Hugo Chavez was first
elected Venezuelan president in 1999, the country has violently cracked down on
pro-democracy citizens and organizations, shattered its once oil-rich economy,
empowered domestic criminal cartels, and helped fuel a hemispheric refugee crisis.
Venezuela has swung from being one of the most prosperous, if not the most
prosperous, country in South America to being one of the poorest. Its Communist
leadership has also drawn closer to some of the United States’ greatest interna-
tional foes, including the PRC and Iran, which have long sought a foothold in the
Americas. Indeed, Venezuela serves as a reminder of just how fragile democratic
institutions that are not maintained can be. To contain Venezuela’s Communism
and aid international partners, the next Administration must take important steps
to put Venezuela’s Communist abusers on notice while making strides to help the
Venezuelan people. The next Administration must work to unite the hemisphere
against this significant but underestimated threat in the Southern Hemisphere.
Russia
One issue today that starkly divides conservatives is the Russia–Ukraine con-
flict. The common ground seems to be recognition that presidential leadership
in 2025 must chart the course.
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l The tension between these competing positions has given rise to a third
approach. This conservative viewpoint eschews both isolationism and
interventionism. Rather, each foreign policy decision must first ask the
question: What is in the interest of the American people? U.S. military
engagement must clearly fall within U.S. interests; be fiscally responsible;
and protect American freedom, liberty, and sovereignty, all while recognizing
Communist China as the greatest threat to U.S. interests. Thus, with respect to
Ukraine, continued U.S. involvement must be fully paid for; limited to military
aid (while European allies address Ukraine’s economic needs); and have a
clearly defined national security strategy that does not risk American lives.
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Korea) must be deterred from military conflict. The United States cannot permit
the DPRK to remain a de facto nuclear power with the capacity to threaten the
United States or its allies. This interest is both critical to the defense of the Amer-
ican homeland and the future of global nonproliferation. The DPRK must not be
permitted to profit from its blatant violations of international commitments or to
threaten other nations with nuclear blackmail. Both interests can only be served
if the U.S. disallows the DPRK’s rogue regime behavior.
Western Hemisphere
The United States has a vested interest in a relatively united and economically
prosperous Western Hemisphere. Nonetheless, the region now has an overwhelm-
ing number of socialist or progressive regimes, which are at odds with the freedom
and growth-oriented policies of the U.S. and other neighbors and who increasingly
pose hemispheric security threats. A new approach is therefore needed, one that
simultaneously allows the U.S. to re-posture in its best interests and helps regional
partners enter a new century of growth and opportunity.
The following core policies must be part of this new direction:
l
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First, the United States must do everything possible, with both resources
and messaging, to shift global manufacturing and industry from more
distant points around the globe (especially from the increasingly hostile
and human rights-abusing PRC) to Central and South American countries.
“Re-hemisphering” manufacturing and industry closer to home will not only
eliminate some of the more recent supply-chain issues that damaged the U.S.
economy but will also represent a significant economic improvement for
parts of the Americas in need of growth and stabilization.
Similarly, the United States must work with Mexico, Canada, and other
countries to develop a hemisphere-focused energy policy that will reduce
reliance on distant and manipulable sources of fossil fuels, restore the free
flow of energy among the hemisphere’s largest producers, and work together
to increase energy production, including for nations that are looking for
dramatic economic expansion.
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l First, the U.S. must prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear technology and
delivery capabilities and more broadly block Iranian ambitions. This means,
inter alia, reinstituting and expanding Trump Administration sanctions;
providing security assistance for regional partners; supporting, through
public diplomacy and otherwise, freedom-seeking Iranian people in
their revolt against the mullahs; and ensuring Israel has both the military
means and the political support and flexibility to take what it deems to be
appropriate measures to defend itself against the Iranian regime and its
regional proxies Hamas, Hezbollah, and Palestinian Islamic Jihad.
and much longer than one new Administration—Middle Eastern oil will
play a key role in the world economy. Therefore, the U.S. must continue
to support its allies and compete with its economic adversaries, including
China. Relations with Saudi Arabia should be strengthened in a way that
seriously curtails Chinese influence in Riyadh.
l The U.S. cannot neglect a concern for human rights and minority rights,
which must be balanced with strategic and security considerations. Special
attention must be paid to challenges of religious freedom, especially the
status of Middle Eastern Christians and other religious minorities, as well as
the human trafficking endemic to the region.
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Sub-Saharan Africa
Africa’s importance to U.S. foreign policy and strategic interests is rising and
will only continue to grow. Its explosive population growth, large reserves of
industry-dependent minerals, proximity to key maritime shipping routes, and its
collective diplomatic power ensure the continent’s global importance. Yet as Afri-
ca’s strategic significance has grown, the U.S.’s relative influence there has declined.
Terrorist activity on the continent has increased, while America’s competitors are
making significant gains for their own national interests. The PRC’s companies
dominate the African supply chain for certain minerals critical to emerging tech-
nologies. African nations comprise major country-bloc elements that shield the
PRC and Russia from international isolation for their human rights abuses—and
African nations staunchly support PRC foreign policy goals on issues such as Hong
Kong occupation, South China Seas dispute arbitration, and Taiwan.
The new Administration can correct this strategic failing of existing policy by
prioritizing Africa and by undertaking fundamental changes in how the United
States works with African nations.
At a bare minimum, the next Administration should:
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United States, but at least some of them would eventually try if allowed to
consolidate their operations and plan such attacks. The immediate threat
they pose lies in their abilities and willingness to strike American targets in
their regions of operation or to harm U.S. interests in other ways. The U.S.
should support capable African military and security operations through
the State Department and other federal agencies responsible for granting
foreign military education, training, and security assistance.
(and reasonably) non-receptive to the U.S. social policies such as abortion
and pro-LGBT initiatives being imposed on them. The United States should
focus on core security, economic, and human rights engagement with
African partners and reject the promotion of divisive policies that hurt the
deepening of shared goals between the U.S. and its African partners.
Europe
American foreign policy has long benefited from cooperation with the countries
of Europe (generally, the EU), and any conservative Administration should build
on this resource. Yet the transatlantic relationship is complex, with security, trade,
and political dimensions.
First, the Europe, Eurasia, and Russia region is made up of relatively wealthy
and technologically advanced societies that should be expected to bear a fair share
of both security needs and global security architecture: The United States cannot
be expected to provide a defense umbrella for countries unwilling to contribute
appropriately. At stake after 2024 will be examining the status of the Wales Pledge
of 2 percent of gross domestic product toward defense by NATO members. The
new Administration will also want to encourage nations to exceed that pledge.
Second, transatlantic trade is a significant part of the global economy, and it is
in the U.S. national interest to amplify it, especially because this means weaning
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Europe of its dependence on China. However, there are also transatlantic trade
tensions that disturb the U.S.–EU relationship and that have been evident across
Administrations. The U.S. must undertake a comprehensive review of trade
arrangements between the EU and the United States to assure that U.S. businesses
are treated fairly and to build productive reciprocity. Outside the EU, trade with
the post-Brexit U.K. needs urgent development before London slips back into the
orbit of the EU.
Third, in the wake of Brexit, EU foreign policy now takes place without U.K.
input, which disadvantages the United States, given that the U.K. has historically
been aligned with many U.S. positions. Therefore, U.S. diplomacy must be more
attentive to inner-EU developments, while also developing new allies inside the
EU—especially the Central European countries on the eastern flank of the EU,
which are most vulnerable to Russian aggression.
the 2019 Department of Defense Indo–Pacific Strategy Report noted that the
Indian Ocean area “is at the nexus of global trade and commerce, with nearly
half of the world’s 90,000 commercial vessels and two thirds of global oil trade
traveling through its sea lanes. The region boasts some of the fastest-growing
economies on Earth.”14
Meanwhile, the threat of transnational terrorism remains acute. The humiliat-
ing withdrawal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan after a 20-year military campaign
has created new challenges. It has provided an opportunity to reset the deeply
troubled U.S.–Pakistan relationship and reassess U.S. counterterrorism strategy
in the region. The long-standing India–Pakistan rivalry and tensions regarding the
disputed territory of Kashmir continue to pose risks to regional stability, especially
because both countries are nuclear powers.
The State Department’s role in strengthening the regional security and eco-
nomic framework linking the U.S and India is crucial. In addition, the department
has important functional responsibilities in dealing with a range of threats from
nuclear proliferation to transnational proliferation. While American statecraft
should also seek to improve bilateral relations throughout the region, U.S. policy
must be clear-eyed and realistic about the perfidiousness of the Taliban regime in
Afghanistan and the military–political rule in Pakistan. There can be no expecta-
tion of normal relations with either.
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The Arctic
Because of Alaska, the U.S. is an Arctic nation. The Arctic is a vast expanse of
land and sea rich in resources including fish, minerals, and energy. For example,
the region is estimated to contain 90 million barrels of oil and one-quarter of the
world’s undiscovered natural gas reserves.16 The Arctic is lightly populated: Only
4 million people in the world live above the Arctic Circle, with more than half of
those living in Russia. Only around 68,000 people in Alaska live above the Arctic
Circle.17 However, the sheer immensity of the Alaskan Arctic means its population
density is less than one person per square mile.18
The United States has several strong interests in the Arctic region. The rate of
melting ice during summer months has led to increased interest not only from
shipping and tourism sectors, but also from America’s global competitors, who
are interested in exploiting the region’s strategic importance and accessing its
bounty of natural resources.
In the not-too-distant future, there will be a growing interest in the Arctic from
both state and non-state actors alike. China has been open about its interest in
the region, primarily as a highway for trade but also for its rich natural resources.
While the PRC’s increasing intervention in Arctic affairs is a bit strained because
it does not have an Arctic coastline, Russia does—and Russia has made no secret
of its view that the Arctic is vital for economic and military reasons. Russia has
invested heavily in new and refurbished Arctic bases and cold-weather equipment
and capabilities. The north star of U.S. Arctic policy should remain national sov-
ereignty, safeguarded through robust capabilities as well as through diplomatic,
economic, and legal attentiveness.
The next Administration should embrace the view that NATO must acknowl-
edge that it is, in part, an Arctic alliance. With the likely accession of Finland and
Sweden to NATO, every Arctic nation except for Russia will be a NATO member
state. NATO has been slow to appreciate that the Arctic is a theater that it must
defend, especially considering Russia’s brazen aggression against Ukraine. NATO
must develop and implement an Arctic strategy that recognizes the importance of
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the region and ensures that Russian use of Arctic waters and resources does not
exceed a reasonable footprint.
The U.S. should unapologetically pursue American interests in the Arctic by
promoting economic freedom in the region. Economic freedom spurs prosperity,
innovation, respect for the rule of law, jobs, and sustainability. Most important,
economic freedom can help to keep the Arctic stable and secure.
The U.S. should work to ensure that shipping lanes in the Arctic remain avail-
able to all global commercial traffic and free of onerous fees and burdensome
administrative, regulatory, and military requirements. While this should be the
next Administration’s policy with respect to all countries that might seek to block
free-flowing commercial traffic, the next Administration will clearly have to exert
substantial attention toward Russia.
Both the U.S. Coast Guard and the U.S. Navy are vital tools to ensure an unmo-
nopolized Arctic. It is imperative that the Navy and Coast Guard continue to
expand their fleets, including planned icebreaker acquisitions, to assure Arctic
access for the United States and other friendly actors. The remote and harsh con-
ditions of the Arctic also make unmanned system investment and use particularly
appealing for providing additional situational awareness, intelligence, surveillance,
and reconnaissance. The Coast Guard should also consider upgrading facilities,
such as its Barrow station, to reinforce its Arctic capabilities and demonstrate a
greater commitment to the region.
The People’s Republic of China has declared itself a “near-Arctic state,” which
is an imaginary term non-existent in international discourse. The United States
should work with like-minded Arctic nations, including Russia, to raise legitimate
concerns about the PRC’s so-called Polar Silk-Road ambitions.
Concerning Greenland, the opening of a U.S. consulate in Nuuk is welcome. A
formal year-round diplomatic presence is an effective way for the U.S. to better
understand local political and economic dynamics. Furthermore, given Green-
land’s geographic proximity and its rising potential as a commercial and tourist
location, the next Administration should pursue policies that enhance economic
ties between the U.S. and Greenland.
INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS
Defending and protecting the American people and advancing their interests
requires the United States to engage in a broad spectrum of bilateral and multilateral
relationships, including participating in international organizations. Working with
other governments through international organizations like the United Nations
(U.N.) can be tremendously useful—but membership in these organizations must
always be understood as a means to attain defined goals rather than an end in itself.
Engagement with international organizations is one relatively easy way for the
U.S. to defend its interests and to seek to address problems in concert with other
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nations, but it is not the only option—and American diplomats should be clear-
eyed about international organizations’ strengths and weaknesses. When such
institutions act against U.S. interests, the United States must be prepared to take
appropriate steps in response, up to and including withdrawal. The manifest failure
and corruption of the World Health Organization (WHO) during the COVID-19
pandemic is an example of the danger that international organizations pose to U.S.
citizens and interests.
The next Administration must end blind support for international organi-
zations. If an international organization is effective and advances American
interests, the United States should support it. If an international organization
is ineffective or does not support American interests, the United States should
not support it. Those that are effective will still require constant pressure from
U.S. officials to ensure that they remain effective. Serious consideration should
also be given to withdrawal from organizations that no longer have value, quietly
undermine U.S. interests or goals, or disproportionately rely on U.S. financial con-
tributions to survive.
The Trump Administration’s “tough love” approach to international organiza-
tions served American interests. For example, the Trump Administration withdrew
from, or terminated funding for, the United Nations Human Rights Council, the
United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization, the United
Nations Relief and Works Agency, and the WHO. The results were redeployment
of taxpayer dollars to better uses—and other organizations “getting the message”
that the United States will not allow itself and its money to be used to undermine
its own interests.
The Biden Administration reversed many of these decisions. Currently, U.S.
funding for international organizations is more than $16 billion in fiscal year
2021—a sharp increase from $10.8 billion in fiscal year 2015.19 Millions of American
taxpayer dollars go to support policies and initiatives that hurt the United States
and American citizens.
The next Administration should direct the Secretary of State to initiate a
comprehensive cost-benefit analysis of U.S. participation in all international
organizations. This review should take into account long-standing provisions in
federal law that prohibit the use of taxpayer dollars to promote abortion, popu-
lation control, and terrorist activities, as well as other applicable restrictions on
funding for international organizations and agencies with a view to withholding
U.S. funds in cases of abuses.
International organizations should not be used to promote radical social pol-
icies as if they were human rights priorities. Doing so undermines actual human
rights and weakens U.S. credibility abroad. The next Administration should use
its voice, influence, votes, and funding in international organizations to pro-
mote authentic human rights and respect for sovereignty based on the binding
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and Protection of the Family.21 All U.S. foreign policy engagements that were pro-
duced and expanded under the Obama and Biden Administrations must be aligned
with the Geneva Consensus Declaration and the work of the U.S. Commission on
Unalienable Human Rights.
The U.S. government should not and cannot promote or fund abortion in inter-
national programs or multilateral organizations. Technically, the United States can
prevent its international funding from going toward abortions, but the U.S. will
have a greater impact by including like-minded nations and building on the coali-
tion launched through the Geneva Consensus Declaration, with a view to shaping
the work of international agencies by functioning as a united front.
The COVID-19 pandemic made it painfully clear that both international organi-
zations—and some countries—are only too willing to trample human rights in the
name of public health. For example, the WHO was, and remains, willing to support
the suppression of basic human rights, partially because of its close relationship
with human rights abusers like the PRC.
The next Administration should unequivocally embrace the premise that
humanity and the international community can simultaneously tackle pandem-
ics and other emergent health threats without impeding the rights of people. It
must also become a vocal surrogate for people in countries where rights are being
suppressed in the name of health. This will likely require greater restrictions on
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the supply of federal dollars to the WHO and other health-focused international
organizations pending adjustment of their policies.
The United States must return to treating international organizations as vehi-
cles for promoting American interests—or take steps to extract itself from those
organizations.
particularly when it comes to the provision of direct and indirect foreign assistance.
Realistically, meaningful reform of the State Department will require significant
streamlining.
Below are some key structural and operational recommendations that will be
essential for the next Administration’s success, and which will lay crucial founda-
tions for other necessary reforms.
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can be carried out with and without congressional approval. Timelines for
action on these fronts should be developed accordingly, but speed should
be a priority.
The next Administration should take steps to ensure that future foreign
assistance clearly and unambiguously supports the President’s foreign
policy agenda. For example, the next administrator of the U.S. Agency
for International Development, which is technically subordinate to the
State Department, should be authorized to take on the additional role
of Director of Foreign Assistance with the rank of Deputy Secretary and
oversee all foreign assistance. This role—which existed briefly during
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Since the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 and the subsequent collapse
of Soviet and Eastern Bloc Communism, factors including the false
appeal of a so-called peace dividend triggered a slide in the U.S. ability to
communicate a pro-freedom message to the rest of the world and in its
commitment to do so. Ironically, this slide accompanied the rise of the
Internet and mobile phone technologies, which arguably facilitated the
most significant revolution in human communication since the invention of
the printing press.
recommitting to people-focused and pro-freedom messaging and content.
The model for cyberspace that the U.S. espouses is based on democracy
and freedom of information. It is “an open, interoperable, secure, reliable,
market-drive, domain that reflects democratic values and protects privacy.”25
Russia and China, meanwhile, are authoritarian regimes that use the
Internet to limit public opposition and control information. They have
created technological tools to enforce dominance over their peoples, and
at the U.N. and international organizations dealing with cyberspace, they
strive to push standards that assist their totalitarian efforts and undermine
Western nations.
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In short, the cyberspace era has gradually evolved from one of exploration,
innovation, and cooperation to one that retains these features but is also
marked by aggressive competition and persistent threats. To meet this
reality, the State Department must move beyond its traditional model of
attempting to establish non-binding, informal world standards of acceptable
cyberspace behavior. The State Department should work with allies to
establish a clear framework of enforceable norms for actions in cyberspace,
moving beyond the voluntary norms of the United Nations Group of
Governmental Experts.26
CONCLUSION
The next conservative President has the opportunity and the duty to restructure
the creation and execution of U.S. foreign policy so that it is focused on his or her
vision for the nation's role in the world. The policy ideas and reform recommen-
dations outlined in this chapter provide guidance about how the State Department
can contribute to this objective.
In the main, this chapter refocuses attention away from the special interests
and social experiments that are used in some quarters to capture U.S. foreign policy.
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The ideas and recommendations herein are premised on the belief that a rigorous
adherence to the national interest is the most enduring foundation for U.S. grand
strategy in the 21st century.
AUTHOR’S NOTE: Thanks to the entire State Department chapter team, the leaders and staff of the 2025
Presidential Transition Project, and my colleagues at The Heritage Foundation’s Davis Center. In particular, I would
like to acknowledge the following colleagues: Russell Berman, Sarah Calvis, James Carafano, Spencer Chretien,
Wesley Coopersmith, Paul Dans, Steven Groves, Simon Hankinson, Joseph Humire, Michael Pillsbury, Max Primorac,
Reed Rubenstein, Brett Schaefer, Jeff Smith, Hillary Tanoff, Erin Walsh, and John Zadrozny.
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ENDNOTES
1. U.S. Department of State, “About the U.S. Department of State: Our History,” https://www.state.gov/about/
(accessed March 9, 2023).
2. The balance of employment is 2,149 eligible family members and 50,223 locally employed staff. U.S.
Department of State, “GTM Fact Sheet: Facts About Our Most Valuable Asset—Our People,” Global Talent
Management, December 31, 2022, https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/GTM_Factsheet1222.
pdf (accessed March 9, 2023).
3. U.S. Commission on National Security, Road Map for National Security: Imperative for Change, Phase III Report,
February 15, 2001, p. x, http://govinfo.library.unt.edu/nssg/PhaseIIIFR.pdf (accessed March 9, 2023).
4. See Brett D. Schaefer, “How to Make the State Department More Effective at Implementing U.S. Foreign
Policy,” Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 3115, April 20, 2016, https://www.heritage.org/political-
process/report/how-make-the-state-department-more-effective-implementing-us-foreign.
5. Historically, roughly one-third of ambassadorial appointments have been political appointments, although
Republican Administrations have generally had a higher ratio of political appointments than Democratic
Administrations.
6. U.S. Constitution, art. 2, sec. 2, cl. 2.
7. News release, “Secretary Blinken Launches the Office of China Coordination,” U.S. Department of State,
December 16, 2022, https://www.state.gov/secretary-blinken-launches-the-office-of-china-coordination/
(accessed March 9, 2023).
8. Immigration and Nationality Act, 8 U.S. Code § 1101 et seq., § 1253.
9. See Michael Pillsbury, The Hundred Year Marathon: China’s Secret Strategy to Replace the United States as a
Global Superpower (NY: St. Martin’s Griffin, 2016).
10. For additional context regarding how countering China fits in a more robust U.S. strategy, see James Jay
Carafano et al., “Foreign Policy: Strategy for a Post-Biden Era,” Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 3715,
July 21, 2022, https://www.heritage.org/defense/report/foreign-policy-strategy-post-biden-era.
11. The Article X for China would follow George Kennan’s Article X for U.S.–Soviet competition. See George F.
Kennan, “The Sources of Soviet Conduct,” Foreign Affairs, July 1947, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/
russian-federation/1947-07-01/sources-soviet-conduct (accessed March 22, 2023).
12. Dean Cheng et al., “Assessing Beijing’s Power: A Blueprint for the U.S. Response to China Over the Next
Decades,” Heritage Foundation Special Report No. 221, February 20, 2010, https://www.heritage.org/asia/
report/assessing-beijings-power-blueprint-the-us-response-china-over-the-next-decades.
13. Eric W. Orts, “The Rule of Law in China,” Vanderbilt Journal of Transnational Law, Vol. 34, No. 1 (January 2001),
https://scholarship.law.vanderbilt.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1686&context=vjtl (accessed March 9, 2023).
14. U.S. Department of Defense, Indo–Pacific Strategy Report: Preparedness, Partnerships, and Promoting a
Networked Region, June 1, 2019, https://media.defense.gov/2019/Jul/01/2002152311/-1/-1/1/DEPARTMENT-OF-
DEFENSE-INDO-PACIFIC-STRATEGY-REPORT-2019.PDF (accessed July 28, 2022).
15. See Jeff Smith, “South Asia: A New Strategy,” Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 3721, August 29, 2022,
https://www.heritage.org/asia/report/south-asia-new-strategy.
16. Emma Bryce, “Why Is There So Much Oil in the Arctic?” Live Science, August 3, 2019, https://www.livescience.
com/66008-why-oil-in-arctic.html (accessed February 9, 2023).
17. “Changes in the Arctic: Background and Issues for Congress,” Congressional Research Service Report for
Congress, updated January 26, 2021, p. 6, https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R41153/177 (accessed
March 9, 2023).
18. U.S. Department of Homeland Security, Science and Technology, “Snapshot: Overcoming the Tyranny of
Distance in the Arctic,” April 20, 2020, https://www.dhs.gov/science-and-technology/news/2020/04/20/
snapshot-overcoming-tyranny-distance-arctic (accessed February 9, 2023).
19. U.S. Department of State, “U.S. Contributions to International Organizations, 2021,” September 20, 2022,
https://www.state.gov/u-s-contributions-to-international-organizations-2021/ (accessed March 9, 2023), and
U.S. Department of State, “U.S. Contributions to International Organizations, 2015,” November 1, 2016, https://
www.state.gov/u-s-contributions-to-international-organizations-2015/ (accessed March 9, 2023).
20. U.S. Department of State, Report on the Commission of Inalienable Rights, https://www.state.gov/wp-content/
uploads/2020/07/Draft-Report-of-the-Commission-on-Unalienable-Rights.pdf (accessed March 9, 2023).
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21. “Geneva Consensus Declaration on Promoting Women’s Health and Strengthening the Family,” October
22, 2021, https://www.theiwh.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/GCD-Declaration-2021-2.pdf (accessed
March 13, 2023).
22. U.S. Commission on National Security, Road Map for National Security.
23. U.S. Department of State, “Organization Chart,” November 2004, https://2009-2017.state.gov/s/d/rm/rls/
perfrpt/2004/html/39764.htm (accessed March 9, 2023); U.S. Department of State, “Organization Chart,”
November 2016, https://2009-2017.state.gov/documents/organization/263637.pdf (accessed March 9, 2023);
U.S. Department of State, “Organization Chart,” February 2020, https://2017-2021.state.gov/wp-content/
uploads/2021/01/Dept-Org-Chart-Feb-2020-508.pdf (accessed March 9, 2023); U.S. Department of State,
“DOS Org Chart August 2021,” August 2021, https://www.state.gov/department-of-state-organization-chart/
dos-org-chart-august-2021/ (accessed March 9, 2023); and U.S. Department of State, “Organization Chart,”
May 2022, https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/DOS-Org-Chart-5052022-Non-Accessible.
pdf (accessed March 9, 2023).
24. Emily O. Goldman, “Cyber Diplomacy for Strategic Competition: Fresh Thinking and New Approaches
Are Needed on Diplomacy’s Newest Frontier,” Foreign Service Journal, June 2021, http://afsa.org/cyber-
diplomacy-strategic-competition (accessed March 9, 2023).
25. Emily Goldman, “From Reaction to Action: Adopting a Competitive Posture in Cyber Diplomacy,” Texas
National Security Review, Vol. 3, No. 4 (Fall 2020), https://tnsr.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/TNSR-Vol3-
Iss4-Goldman.pdf (accessed March 9, 2023).
26. United Nations General Assembly, “Group of Government Experts on Advancing Responsible State Behaviour
in Cyberspace in the Context of International Security,” A/76/135, July 14, 2021, https://front.un-arm.org/wp-
content/uploads/2021/08/A_76_135-2104030E-1.pdf (accessed March 10, 2023).
27. Goldman, “Cyber Diplomacy.”
— 199 —
7
INTELLIGENCE
COMMUNITY
Dustin J. Carmack
MISSION STATEMENT
To arm a future incoming conservative President with the knowledge and tools
necessary to fortify the United States Intelligence Community; to defend against
all foreign enemies and ensure the security and prosperity of our sovereign nation,
devoid of all political motivations; and to maintain constitutional civil liberties.
OVERVIEW
The United States Intelligence Community (IC) is a vast, intricate bureaucracy
spread throughout 18 independent and Cabinet subagencies.1 According to the
Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI), the IC’s mission is “to col-
lect, analyze, and deliver foreign intelligence and counterintelligence information
to America’s leaders so they can make sound decisions to protect our country.”2
An incoming conservative President needs to use these intelligence authorities
aggressively to anticipate and thwart our adversaries, including Russia, Iran, North
Korea, and especially China, while maintaining counterterrorism tools that have
demonstrated their effectiveness. This means empowering the right personnel
to manage, build, and effectively execute actions dispersed throughout the IC to
deliver intelligence in an ever-challenging world. It also means removing redun-
dancies, mission creep, and IC infighting that could prevent these collection tools
from providing objective, apolitical, and empirically backed intelligence to the IC’s
premier customer: the President of the United States.
Today, as Abraham Lincoln famously said, “The occasion is piled high with
difficulty, and we must rise with the occasion…. [W]e must think anew, and act
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
authorities—to break institutional silos that had caused past intelligence inte-
gration failures.
Originally envisioned by the 9/11 Commission as a strengthened, authoritative
position, the final congressionally negotiated product signed by President Bush
has led to ambiguous and vague authorities that are dependent on who is selected
as DNI and Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) Director and their level of support
from the White House and National Security Council (NSC). 9/11 Commission
Executive Director Philip Zelikow warned in a 2004 hearing that creating a new
agency “lacking any existing institutional base…would require authorities at least
as strong as those we have proposed or else it would create a bureaucratic fifth
wheel that would make the present situation even worse.”6 The ODNI has become
that bureaucratic fifth wheel about which Zelikow warned.
For example, under the Bush Administration’s initial legislative proposal, the
CIA Director would have been under the “authority, direction, and control” of the
DNI and no longer the head of an autonomous agency. Additional mechanisms
envisioned full budget authority for the DNI, including within DOD’s intelligence
components, as opposed to coordinating authority. Through arduous “sau-
sage-making” and relatively quick negotiations, lawmakers produced statutorily
vague authorities that traded away the DNI’s ability to direct budgetary authority
across the entire IC, including DOD, and left the CIA a subordinate but indepen-
dent agency with duties to report to the DNI without explicit directing authority.
These statutory developments were what led President Bush’s first choice to
serve as DNI, Robert Gates, to turn down the position. In discussions with the
White House over the post, Gates noted that the “legislation weakened the lead-
ership of the community” and that “instead of a stronger person, you ended up
with a weaker person because the DNI had no troops and no additional powers
really on the budget, hiring, and firing.”7 Gates noted that success would require
the President to “make explicit publicly that the DNI is head of the Intelligence
Community, not some budgeter or coordinator,” and that “[t]he position’s only
prayer of success is for the president to say plainly…how he sees the job. Without
his explicit mandate…the endeavor is doomed to fail.”8
One of the two DNIs confirmed by the Senate during the Trump Administra-
tion, John Ratcliffe, acknowledged that Gates’s theoretical concerns became the
practical reality that he inherited:
Prior DNIs were the head of the IC only on paper and were routinely
accustomed to yielding IC actions and decisions to the preferences of the
CIA and other agencies. My ability to begin reversing that capitulation was
accomplished solely because President Trump made it repeatedly clear to the
entire national security apparatus that he expected all intelligence matters to
go through the DNI.9
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To help further the legislative intent behind IRTPA, DNI Ratcliffe advised
during the transition of incoming Biden DNI Avril Haines that the DNI should
be the only Cabinet-level intelligence official.10 While his recommendation was
adopted and has corrected the previously allowed imbalance by making the DNI
the only Cabinet official and head of the IC at the table, the ODNI’s effectiveness
and direction leave much to be desired.
A conservative President must decide how to empower an individual to oversee
and manage the Intelligence Community effectively. To be successful, the DNI
and ODNI must be able to lead the IC and implement the President’s intelligence
priorities. This includes being able to exercise both budget and personnel authority
and being able to rely on timely, useful feedback from subordinate components of
the IC, many of which are located within other Cabinet agencies.
The ODNI needs to direct, not replicate in-house, the other IC agencies’ analytic,
operational, and management functions. Considerations like mismanagement
of human resources, joint-duty assignments, and accelerated growth in senior
personnel can cause a President to dictate to his incoming DNI a desire to slash
redundant positions and expenditures while simultaneously giving the DNI the
authority to drive necessary changes throughout the IC to deal with the nation’s
most compelling threats, including those emanating from China. As John Ratcliffe
has noted, “These are essential to the DNI having the abilities and authorities to
effectively direct, coordinate, and tackle the immense national security challenges
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having the IC address the threats to the homeland from international terrorism
and the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction. There is scant mention of
cyber threats and the evolving national security challenges posed by China, Russia,
and other U.S. adversaries. By extension, the revised order fell short of stipulat-
ing how the DNI would execute his authority to organize the IC in a manner that
improves the delivery of timely intelligence to a wide array of customers.
Executive Order 12333 should be amended to take account of the changing
landscape of threats and improve the functional aspects of America’s intelligence
enterprise. To that end, a revised order should:
l Address the threats to the United States and its allies in cyberspace.
These threats range from cyberwarfare to information operations. The
amended order should clearly delineate the roles and responsibilities of
the various U.S. government cyber missions, including the recently created
National Cyber Director’s Office and power centers at the NSC, while
protecting the privacy and civil liberties of U.S. citizens.
Under the DNI’s direction, the cyber mission should explicitly identify
how information in the cyber domain will be shared promptly with the
warfighters, from law enforcement agencies to the broader IC and state,
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
local, and tribal elements. The order should consider stipulating what to
do with DOD cyber agencies, most notably the NSA, in terms of strategic
(for example, the President and the DNI) vs. tactical support (for example,
support for the warfighter) in conjunction with ongoing congressionally
mandated reviews of the future dual-hatted relationship.
The DNI should have the President’s direction to address emerging but
catastrophic threats such as those posed by bioweapons. Clarifying how
much budget authority the DNI has in conjunction (within the limits of
congressional appropriations) with OMB and IC-member Cabinet officials
to move around money and personnel is crucial, but positions will not
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
As executive agent for security clearances, the DNI must require results
from agencies that resist implementation, enforce the 48-hour reciprocity
guidance, and target human resources operations that fail to attract and
expediently onboard qualified personnel. Additional “carrots and sticks”
from executive order reform language, including moving the Security
Services Directorate from NCSC to ODNI with elevated status, may be
necessary. It is unacceptable for agencies to hinder opportunities for cross-
agency assignments, use public–private partnerships inefficiently because
of constraints on the transferability of security clearances, and lose future
talent because of extraordinary delays in backend operations. Proper vetting
to speed the onboarding of personnel with much-needed expertise is vital to
the IC’s future.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
threat from China and thereby counter it more effectively. They can also
aid the development of export control mechanisms and potential outbound
investment screening where necessary. Brief, specific governance language
should be considered that would apply counterterrorist authority models to
the broader functions of the U.S. government insofar as they are needed to
counter 21st century nation-state threats.
The success of any DNI rests with support from the President. Any revised
Executive Order 12333 must serve to express unequivocal support for the DNI in
executing the mandates that an amended order would provide.
the President implement that agenda while remaining apolitical, upholding the
Constitution and laws of the United States, and earning the public trust. The Pres-
ident requires a CIA that provides unbiased and apolitical foreign intelligence
information and, when necessary, can act capably and effectively on any covert
action findings.
Executing the Mission. The CIA’s success depends on firm direction from the
President and solid internal CIA Director–appointed leadership. Decisive senior
leaders must commit to carrying out the President’s agenda and be willing to take
calculated risks. Therefore:
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l The Director and Deputy Director should request briefings on all CIA
activities and presence overseas, as well as any CIA-controlled access
programs and existing covert action findings, without exception.
l The Director and Deputy Director should meet with all directorates and
mission centers, prioritizing those that are aligned most closely with the
President’s priorities and calibrating collection and operations based on
the President’s intelligence requirements. This includes any areas where
the CIA might be conducting its own diplomacy parallel to official State
Department policy. It must be clear that the CIA’s liaison relationships
overseas must follow and not contradict those set at the policy level by the
President through the State Department.
The other principal offices responsible for executing the CIA’s mission include
the Directorate of Operations, Directorate of Analysis, Directorate of Science and
Technology, Directorate of Support, and Directorate of Digital Innovation. If senior
leadership finds any program or operation to be inconsistent with the President’s
agenda, the Director should immediately halt that program or operation.
Reining in Bureaucracy. The CIA’s bureaucracy continues to grow. Because
mid-level managers lack accountability, there are areas in which personnel are not
responsive to any authority, including the President. The President should instruct
the Director to hire or promote new individuals to lead the various directorates
and mission centers. This new crop of mid-level leaders should carry out clear
directives from senior CIA leadership, which means more accountability and new
ways of thinking to benefit the mission.
In addition, the President should task the Director with significantly broadening
recruitment, expediting onboarding practices, and shifting resources away from
headquarters, including terminal generalist GS-15s when OPM buyouts, forced
rotations, or up-and-out personnel policies are set for particular positions. The
CIA must find creative ways to align mission requirements with hiring needs,
recruit diverse sets of individuals with unique backgrounds, and become more
open to hiring private-sector experts directly into senior positions. In addition,
the Director should break the cabal of bureaucrats in D.C. by permanently moving
various directorates, such as Support and Science and Technology, out of Virginia
and possibly open campuses outside of D.C. where analysts and other experts could
contribute virtually.
Redirecting Resources. Certain CIA employees and offices have focused on
promoting divisive ideological or cultural agendas and fostering a damaging cul-
ture of risk aversion and complacency. As soon as possible, the Director should
divert resources from any activities that promote unnecessary and distracting
social engineering. The Director should implement changes in promotion criteria
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
that reward individuals for creative thinking and quality of recruitments and prod-
ucts rather than numeric metrics or the achievement of benchmarks that are not
essential to the mission.
Not all careers in espionage are created equal, and the Director should incentiv-
ize and reward applicants who are willing to accept high risks over those who are
climbing the ranks simply by doing business as usual. The Director should refocus
the CIA to an OSS-like culture and mandate that all CIA employees acquire, as a
condition of securing senior (GS-14+) rank, additional or enhanced language skills,
technical or cyber expertise, or field training or serve in overseas assignments.
COVERT ACTION
Covert action can be a valuable tool in helping further the President’s foreign
policy agenda if implemented in concert with other forms of government power.
As codified in the U.S. Code, “the term ‘covert action’ means an activity or activities
of the United States Government to influence political, economic, or military con-
ditions abroad, where it is intended that the role of the United States Government
will not be apparent or acknowledged publicly….”16
The President initiates a covert action with a written finding that explains why
“such an action is necessary to support identifiable foreign policy objectives of the
United States and is important to the national security of the United States.”17 The
statute assumes the President will use the CIA as the principal action element to
achieve the objectives of covert action findings; however, the President need not
feel constrained to utilize only the CIA: “[E]ach finding shall specify each depart-
ment, agency, or entity of the United States Government authorized to fund or
otherwise participate in any significant way in such action.”18
For example, the Department of Defense maintains certain clandestine capa-
bilities under Title 10 authorities that may resemble but far exceed in scale similar
capabilities outside of DOD. Generally, such DOD capabilities can be employed
outside a combat theater only if they are determined to be traditional military
activities. In practical terms, this means that many DOD capabilities, including
those in the space and cyber domains, can be employed only after the initiation of
armed conflict.19 Given the range of global threats the United States faces today,
the President should consider whether DOD’s complete set of capabilities should
be used to support potential covert actions.
The problem, unfortunately, is that certain elements in the State Department,
IC, and DOD trade on risk aversion or political bureaucracy to delay execution
of the President’s foreign policy goals. A future conservative President should
therefore identify individuals on the transition team who are familiar with the
implementation of covert action with a view to placing them in key NSC, CIA,
ODNI, and DOD positions. These knowledgeable teams can assist in any review
of current covert actions and, potentially, planning for new actions.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Immediately after the inauguration, the President should task the NSC’s Senior
Director for Intelligence Programs with conducting a 60-day review of any current
covert action findings, including their effectiveness; evaluating new covert actions
that might be needed to implement the President’s foreign policy goals; and report-
ing back to the President. Such an assessment should be conducted independently
of the agencies responsible for the actions under review. As part of the review, the
Senior Director for Intelligence Programs should identify which departments or
agencies, such as the CIA or DOD, are best equipped to achieve the objectives set
out in new and existing findings.
After the 60-day review, the President should demand creative thinking and a
clear strategy as to how covert action fits within the President’s broader foreign
policy strategy, to include possibly modifying or rescinding any current findings,
drafting new findings, and streamlining or eliminating needless bureaucracy, par-
ticularly at State, to facilitate more expeditious decisions on tactical covert action.
Careful thought should be given to the metrics by which the effectiveness of covert
action programs will be measured to ensure the appropriate use of government
resources and to guard against the possibility of covert action’s being used with
little scrutiny in ways that are inconsistent with overt foreign policy goals.
gence Agency Act of 1949,20 which means they have greater latitude than the rest
of the federal government with respect to the hiring and firing of personnel. Both
organizations and other areas of the IC have struggled from a human resources
and talent management standpoint to recruit, onboard, and maintain personnel
in a timely fashion to fill the IC’s ever-changing needs. At a time when the Intelli-
gence Community needs significantly more personnel with the proper technical,
language-capable, and diverse backgrounds, including applicants from elements
of the business community, the incoming Directors of both agencies need to make
this effort a top priority.
Past DNIs’ Chiefs of Staff and additional front-office staff historically have come
from outside the IC, commonly under a misconstrued “staff-reserve” structure
that is intended to avoid a Schedule C designation within the IC. The Director
should handpick qualified, properly cleared personnel for front-office and mana-
gerial leadership positions, such as the DNI’s Chief of Staff and heads of Legislative
Affairs and Strategic Communications, to oversee those divisions with career IC
staff reporting to them.
The incoming DNI and CIA Director should also consider changes in the Senior
National Intelligence Service (SNIS)/Senior Intelligence Services (SIS). Senior
officers should be required to sign mobility agreements that allow ODNI and CIA
leadership to move them within the IC every two years if necessary. Many qualified
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
and distinguished senior officers serve throughout the IC, but some long-serving
generalist officers no longer perform at a high capacity, are management-driven,
do not serve the IC’s changing needs, and limit junior officers’ prospects for growth
and advancement. An incoming Administration should consider studying and
implementing additional requirements as a condition for promotion to GS-15/
SNIS/SIS and explore concepts such as “Up and Out” beginning at the GS-14/15
levels and above for some fields.
The IC should evaluate areas of bloat and underperforming cadre and work
with OPM on authority for voluntary separation buyouts. Allowing ODNI and CIA
leadership to shrink size and reduce duplication of effort while promoting healthy
turnover within their senior ranks would encourage new ideas and perspectives
from mid-career officers and, potentially, from employees hired from outside
their agencies. The ODNI and CIA should maximize their direct-hire and incen-
tive-building authorities to bring in talented and properly cleared individuals to
serve in positions requiring technical, language, and cyber expertise.
Finally, the human resources and talent management systems for onboarding
purposes at the ODNI, CIA, and some other elements of the IC are fundamentally
broken. For example, according to current CIA Director William Burns, it recently
took more than 600 days, on average, for a CIA applicant to receive his or her
necessary security clearance.21 Although security clearance procedures have been
somewhat improved in recent years and Burns has committed CIA to reducing that
to no more than 180 days, degradation in other areas of the process has limited the
IC’s capacity to attract qualified and needed expertise.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
The ODNI and CIA are undergoing a crisis of confidence based on several factors.
First, President Barack Obama’s CIA Director, John Brennan, gravely damaged the
CIA by minimizing the Directorate of Operations and exploiting intelligence analy-
sis as a political weapon after he left office. Brennan's role in the letter signed by 51
former intelligence officials before the 2020 election is unclear, but in dismissing
the Hunter Biden laptop as “Russian disinformation,” the CIA was discredited, and
the shocking extent of politicization among some former IC officials was revealed.
Restoring respect for the IC as an independent provider of information and
analysis while also ensuring that it is responsive to the legitimate needs of poli-
cymakers will require reinforcing essential norms and institutions. However, we
should also recognize that achieving the perfect balance that avoids the pathologies
of too much distance or too much closeness and responsiveness to policymakers
is not only difficult, but probably impossible.22 Thus, given the very nature of the
business and the political process, much will depend on the promotion of certain
norms or virtues on both sides of the principal–agent relationship. Specifically:
l The DNI and CIA Director should use their authority under the National
Security Act of 1947 to expedite the clearance of personnel to meet mission
needs and remove IC employees who have abused their positions of trust.
An area of particular concern is that personnel under investigation for
improprieties have been allowed to retire before internal investigations
have been completed. Directors of both agencies must instill further
confidence in their workforces, Congress, and the American people that
they can and will deal effectively with personnel that fail to live up to their
oath to the Constitution, adhere to ethical and moral standards as expected
by America’s taxpayers, and faithfully execute the law.
l The President should direct the DNI and the Attorney General, by direction
of the respective Inspectors General and IC Analytic Ombudsman, to
conduct a further audit of all IC equities of past politicization and abuses
of intelligence information. For example, a recent IC ombudsman analysis
during the 2020 election cycle noted, “If our political leaders in the White
House and Congress believe we are withholding intelligence because of
organizational turf wars or political considerations, the legitimacy of the
Intelligence Community’s work is lost.”23
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l In addition, the Department of Justice should use all of the tools at its
disposal to investigate leaks and should rescind damaging guidance by
Attorney General Merrick Garland that limits investigators’ ability to
identify records of unauthorized disclosures of classified information to
the media. Personnel have sufficient access to legitimate whistleblower
claims under protections provided by Inspectors General and Congress. The
Director and IC must prioritize hiring additional counterintelligence and
security personnel to assist in this effort.
l Intelligence leaders need to model norms of neutrality and respect for the
decision-making authority of the President, appointed officials, and Congress.
This includes building trust with key decision-makers by not using their
positions and privileged access to information to influence policymaking
indirectly or directly in an inappropriate fashion (especially by engaging in
threat inflation). IC leaders should practice extreme restraint in engaging
with the public and the media. They should seek to work in the shadows
rather than in the limelight. Potential restrictions on such appearances could
supplement this norm, preventing political leaders from using IC officials to
support an Administration position as they do with military leaders.
l Congress should not use IC leaders as pawns in policy struggles with the
President or the other party during their appearances before committees of
the House and Senate. While Congress has a proper oversight role, it should
distinguish between information that needs to be public and information
that should be discussed in private with members of the IC. A DNI should
call “balls and strikes” to those on both sides of the aisle on Capitol
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l Intelligence leaders and professionals should never “cook the books” for
Presidents or change or shape their analysis to preserve access or status.25
their communications pass through the United States. While this authority may
lapse if Congress does not resolve the issue by the end of 2023, Section 702 should
be understood as an essential tool in the fight against terrorism, malicious cyber
actors, and Chinese espionage. These are two major national security priorities
for an incoming President, and it is imperative that the need to use properly main-
tained and accountable authorities to counter these challenges be recognized.
Section 702 is a vital program that often provides the lion’s share of intelligence
used in the President’s Daily Brief (PDB).27 An independent review by the Privacy
and Civil Liberties Oversight Board (PCLOB) found that it was not abused. Nev-
ertheless, Congress should review the PCLOB’s upcoming 2023 report to help it
determine whether any reforms or codification of recent administrative changes
in FISA processes are needed.
Other authorities in Title I and Title III, often referred to as “traditional” FISA,
have elicited valid concerns about the politicization of intelligence collection
authority in recent years. When seeking surveillance of Trump campaign adviser
Carter Page, for example, the FBI and the Department of Justice concealed vital
information from a specialized court and submitted applications that were riddled
with errors. An incoming conservative President should consider reforms designed
to prevent future partisan abuses of national security authority. A package of strong
provisions to protect against such partisanship might include:
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
To keep intelligence credentials from being used for partisan purposes, former
high-ranking intelligence officials who retain a clearance should remain subject to
the Hatch Act after they leave government to deter them from tying their political
stands or activism to their continuing privilege of access to classified government
information. The IC should be prohibited from monitoring so-called domestic
disinformation. Such activity can easily slip into suppression of an opposition
party’s speech, is corrosive of First Amendment protections, and raises questions
about impartiality when the IC chooses not to act.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
government and allied partners and inspire unified action to counter them. In
addition, to combat China’s economic espionage, authorities and loopholes in the
Foreign Agents Registration Act (FARA)30 will have to be examined and addressed
in conjunction with the Attorney General.
Many issues within the broader government can be tied back to a more general
congressional understanding of the threat due to the compartmentalization of
committee jurisdictions and the responsibilities of executive agencies to brief on
the nature of the threat. Broader committee jurisdictions should receive additional
intelligence from IC agencies as necessary to inform China’s unique and more com-
prehensive threat across layers of the U.S. government bureaucracy and economy.
Former DNI John Ratcliffe increased the intelligence budget as it related to
China by 20 percent. “When people ask me why I did that,” he explained in an
interview, “I say, ‘Because no one would let me increase it by 40%.’ I had an $85
billion combined annual budget for both the national intelligence program and
military intelligence program. My perspective was, ‘Whatever we’re spending on
countering China, it isn’t enough.’”31 From an intelligence standpoint, the need
to understand Chinese motivations, capabilities, and intent will be of paramount
importance to a future conservative President. It is therefore also of paramount
importance that the “whole of government” be rowing together.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
requires significant additional resources and legal authorities to fulfill its statu-
tory role as the lead operational counterintelligence agency in dealing with the
ever-growing threats posed by our adversaries. The CEA should be updated to
include foreign espionage efforts aimed at universities.
Corporate America, technology companies, research institutions, and academia
must be willing, educated partners in this generational fight to protect our national
security interests, economic interests, national sovereignty, and intellectual prop-
erty as well as the broader rules-based order—all while avoiding the tendency
to cave to the left-wing activists and investors who ignore the China threat and
increasingly dominate the corporate world. Reinstitution of the National Security
Higher Education Advisory Board and the National Security Business Alliance
Council should be prioritized with leadership from the NCSC, the FBI, or a com-
bination of both entities.
When the CCP steals at least $400 billion–$600 billion in intellectual prop-
erty each year, it is time to devote some strategic thinking to exactly how and to
what degree counterintelligence efforts can help to protect America’s commercial
endeavors. If Chinese strategic technology gains are happening almost entirely in
transnational commercial space, for example, and the private sector is also gath-
ering and analyzing some critical intelligence, these essential data points should
assist in national-level counterintelligence efforts.
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The NCSC was created in the aftermath of 9/11 as the Terrorist Threat Integra-
tion Center (TTIC), which later became the National Counterterrorism Center
(NCTC) pursuant to President George W. Bush’s Executive Order 13354.33 The
NCTC was an organization of approximately three dozen detainees from across
the U.S. government with a mandate to integrate counterterrorism intelligence
and missions, including terrorist screening. Eventually:
NCSC has added value in such areas as fusing cross-community intelligence for
terrorism watchlisting purposes and improving information sharing while carrying
roughly half of the overall cadre for the ODNI. An incoming Administration should
focus NCTC on integrative tasks, many of which cannot be carried out elsewhere
in the IC, but should not use personnel and resources for redundant analyses that
duplicate the work of such other IC entities as the FBI and CIA.
l Failures such as the failures to warn of the collapse of the Soviet Union and
the specific threat of 9/11;
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Historically, this tradecraft has been passed on in the form of unwritten rules
learned on the job and in agency-specific training classes, but increasingly since the
intelligence reforms of 2004, they have been codified IC-wide under the direction
of the Deputy Director of National Intelligence for Mission Integration.
A RAND study of U.S. intelligence tradecraft notes that the “vast majority of
intelligence analysts reside outside the Central Intelligence Agency and do work
that is tactical, operational, and current.”35 The study goes on to note that the
Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) has as many analysts as the CIA has and that
the National Security Agency (NSA) has several times as many analysts, as does
the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA), indicating both the breadth
of the IC’s technical collection and its emphasis both on developing analysts who
can interpret secret human or technical intelligence in quick-turnaround pieces
and on countering tactical, asymmetric threats like terrorism.
During the Cold War, however, there was a more balanced analytic focus with
greater emphasis on strategic intelligence issues as a means of outcompeting the
Soviet Union. This kind of analysis deals not only in secrets, but also in myster-
ies—making well-founded but ultimately unknowable predictions about future
actions by a competitor or adversary. The tradecraft necessary to succeed in stra-
tegic analysis requires substantive regional and topical expertise developed over
the years to supplement experience in the daily collection and understanding
of secrets. Institutionally, it also requires that agencies’ analytic processes be
open to discussion, debate, and dissent because analysts must work together to
describe a probable range of future outcomes and warn about unproven current
threats rather than using the collection to solve a single puzzle with a defin-
itive answer.
Regarding its mission to follow longer-term issues, the IC is falling short in
resourcing and in openness to dissenting opinions, which (if taken seriously) can
help responsible officials respond more effectively to threats and threat actors.
The IC Analytic Ombudsman has expressed concern that hyperpartisanship “has
threatened to undermine the foundations of our Republic, penetrating even into
the Intelligence Community.”36
For example, the Ombudsman noted in a report on the IC’s handling of elec-
tion-threat analysis in 2020 that, in his view, CIA officials had deliberately
downplayed dissenting views and coordination comments expressed by experts
at the National Intelligence Council and elsewhere who felt there was evidence of
Beijing’s intent to exert at least some influence on the 2020 election as opposed
to the consensus view that Beijing did not interfere in U.S. elections. Senior CIA
analysts and leaders made it “difficult to have a healthy analytic conversation in
a confrontational environment” while violating multiple official IC tradecraft
standards. By not allowing dissents or considering alternatives, the CIA exercised
“undue influence on intelligence.”37 Subsequent exposure of China-linked online
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influence and the FBI’s warnings about continued efforts through the 2022 mid-
terms highlight the folly of undue certainty without consideration of alternatives.
On election influence and other controversial issues, such as the origin of
COVID-19, analysts at the most powerful intelligence agencies have increasingly
tended to use the leeway they have been given to insert their political views into
their work in order to influence (if possibly even control) the analytic process. They
do this in ways that attempt to squash dissent and impair the creation of a culture
in which entrenched views are challenged and unpopular analytical lines can sur-
vive or not according to their merits.
To help the United States and its leaders to outcompete China across mul-
tifaceted societal, economic, military, and technological threats, the IC’s
capability to conduct strategic intelligence analysis that is relevant to policymak-
ers in both parties must be rebuilt and strengthened. Because Beijing may be a
peer or even exceed U.S. capabilities in some areas, the post-9/11 analytic focus
on quick-turnaround secrets is not good enough. Strategic planning—informed
by intelligence—must take place for the United States to stay ahead of whatever
new threats China may pose.
An incoming conservative President will have the opportunity to signal the
demand for such strategic products and prioritize their production through
communications to intelligence leaders and formal mechanisms such as shifting
priorities within the National Intelligence Priority Framework and structuring the
President’s Daily Brief. The incoming DNI should also emphasize implementing
the recommendations in the Ombudsman’s report, especially regarding objectiv-
ity, the inclusion of dissenting viewpoints, and more serious efforts to hold senior
leaders accountable for backchannel attempts to change or suppress analytic views.
Accounting for the long history of intelligence failures and surprises, an incom-
ing conservative President must appreciate the ambiguity, complexity, limits, and
assumptions inherent in intelligence assessments. Intelligence often deals with the
human dimension in complex decision systems within a foreign country or organi-
zation, and this makes consistently accurate predictions difficult if not impossible
to develop. Seeing something and understanding what you are seeing are two dif-
ferent things, so a President should consistently and patiently press the IC about
its potential biases, assumptions, methodology, and sourcing.
With regard to election-threat analysis and politically controversial topics,
agency leaders should take seriously the Ombudsman’s admonition that we need
to maintain tradecraft standards across all countries and topics by ensuring that
equitable standards apply across all foreign threat actors. Analysis should be put
forward without regard to the domestic political ramifications of intelligence
conclusions.
“Obligation to Share” and Real-Time Auditing Capability. The fed-
eral government has made admirable progress in recent years by being more
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
a real-time auditing capability is essential to decreasing the risk for the heads of
intelligence agencies in meeting their statutory requirements to ensure that they
protect sources and methods associated with the classified information their agen-
cies collect.
Overclassification. There is broad consensus across the U.S. government and
among stakeholders that the system for classifying, declassifying, and otherwise
marking and handling sensitive information is at a crossroads. Exorbitant amounts
of classified data are created daily, and agency personnel often mistakenly choose
classification as the default selection to ensure national security. At the same time,
the effectiveness of downgraded and carefully declassified information to support
foreign policy efforts has been borne out in, for example, alerting the broader world
of Russia’s buildup and likely plans for its invasion of Ukraine.
Two executive orders principally govern how the U.S. government handles clas-
sified and sensitive information.
information that requires safeguarding or dissemination controls.
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expansion of Commercial Cloud services (which facilitate the rapid testing and
deployment of new tools and technologies).
However, technology is not a panacea; human expertise in information holdings
and routine validation of the technology will always be necessary. With or with-
out machine assistance, agencies will require more people and more varied skill
sets to improve their ability to meet the electronic records era’s classification and
declassification demands and serve an incoming Administration’s goals.
Broader U.S. Government and IC Intelligence Needs. Increasingly, con-
flicts among U.S. adversaries such as China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea are
conducted in the realms of technology and finance.40 This challenge requires new
tools, authorities, and technological expertise across the U.S. government, par-
ticularly at the Commerce Department’s Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS)
and the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS), which
is housed at the Treasury Department.
An incoming conservative President should task his DNI and Secretary of
Commerce with increasing coordination, the resources needed for BIS and SCIF
capacity, and proper and necessary intelligence sharing to counter the activities of
multifaceted adversaries such as China. This would include additional work with
private-sector expertise, granting clearances to niche sector experts and United
States citizen commercial and financial partners as needed.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Cover in the Digital Age. Even in the public domain, it is becoming increas-
ingly clear that protecting the identities of undercover intelligence officers is
difficult in the digital age.41 The truth is that as our daily activities are conducted
predominantly in the digital domain, our antiquated system for providing cover to
undercover officers has lagged woefully behind the threat from foreign adversaries.
The DIA, CIA, and FBI are increasingly aware of this threat and are devoting
resources to the problem. Their back-office infrastructure, however, is such that
they are still using methods for providing cover from decades past that put valuable
intelligence officers at unnecessary risk. How intelligence officers and their fami-
lies are taught to use smartphones and social media, travel, conduct banking, and
take and share pictures—even how and when they are paid—can make it difficult
to protect identities.42 Legends, fake backstories, and identities are often weak,
incomplete, and unable to stand up to a basic Google search.43 Officers operat-
ing under nonofficial cover are offered even less protection and training to help
them succeed.
In addition, ubiquitous technical surveillance (UTS) techniques being refined by
technologies emanating from the regimes in China and Russia will continue to be
highly challenging for intelligence officers. An incoming Administration will need
to double down on resourcing and training so that members of the IC will have the
expertise they need to operate clandestinely (and successfully) against hard targets.
Privacy Shield. For many years, the European Union (EU) has tried to force U.S.
companies operating in Europe to follow its data privacy regulations. Misleading
claims in the 2013 Snowden leaks destroyed the initial Safe Harbor Framework44
that allowed American companies to transfer data across the Atlantic; its succes-
sor, the Privacy Shield Framework,45 was struck down by European courts on the
grounds that it provides insufficient protections for EU citizens against hypothet-
ical U.S. government surveillance. Those same European courts exempted the
intelligence services of EU member states from the standards applied to the U.S.,
suggesting that trade protectionism may be the real motive behind data privacy
regulations.
In 2022, the Biden Administration negotiated a new agreement, the Trans-At-
lantic Data Privacy Framework,46 intended to withstand European legal challenges.
Given the fate of its predecessors, it is not certain that it will survive. Executive
Order 14086, “Enhancing Safeguards for United States Signals Intelligence Activi-
ties,”47 implements this new framework by attempting to align signals intelligence
collection practices with European privacy regulations. At most, the executive
order’s changes will be helpful support for the framework in future European
litigation; at worst, they could throw sand in the gears of important intelli-
gence programs.
An incoming conservative President should reset Europe’s expectations. Brus-
sels has always arbitraged the difference between being a military ally against, for
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
example, Russia and conducting a full-blown trade conflict with the United States.
Restrictions on data exports have been part of the trade conflict, but now they could
seriously harm our military and intelligence capabilities. Moreover, restrictions
on U.S. intelligence collection hurt the Europeans themselves, especially as the
United States shares unprecedented amounts of intelligence on Russia’s invasion
of Ukraine with Europeans.48
Europe is telling the United States to meet intelligence oversight standards
that no European country meets. At the same time, exports of data to China are
unexamined and (so far) free from legal challenges. That violates World Trade
Organization agreements as an arbitrary and discriminatory data protection stan-
dard. It is a betrayal by a nominally allied jurisdiction. European court rulings that
struck down prior data privacy frameworks were grounded not in constitutional
law but in a treaty among European nations. If the EU accepted an international
agreement that data may flow to the United States under a more reasonable stan-
dard than the one adopted by the court, that interpretation would be binding, at
least as a gloss on the earlier treaty.
The United States has never seriously pushed back against the EU; now is the
time. An incoming President should ask for an immediate study of the implemen-
tation of Executive Order 14086 and suspend any provisions that unduly burden
intelligence collection. At the same time, in negotiations with the Europeans, the
United States should make clear that the continued sharing of intelligence with
EU member states depends on successful resolution of this issue within the first
two years of a President’s term. It is time for a real solution, not the 30 years of
stopgaps imposed by Brussels.
President’s Daily Brief (PDB). An incoming conservative President should
make clear what the President’s Daily Brief is and is not. The PDB should be for
the President specifically, with a much narrower distribution and addressing areas
of strategic concern. During the transition, the future National Security Advisor,
along with the DNI, should conduct a review of current PDB recipients and deter-
mine which should remain recipients when the President’s term begins.
Instead of being used as the statement of record for the agencies, the PDB often
misses the areas of interest for Presidents and their senior advisers. The President
should want the PDB to focus on providing the information needed for the often
imperfect and complex decisions that a President needs to make, which should
always be based on the best intelligence that can be gathered. Where consensus
and agreement are possible, an IC-coordinated product is excellent, but insights
provided by properly channeled dissent can lead a President to ask relevant ques-
tions of his DNI and IC.
A future DNI determines the PDB briefer based on recommendations made by
the Deputy Director of National Intelligence for Mission Integration (MI). His-
torically, briefers have come from the CIA, but a future President and DNI should
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
NIC’s membership and that the first-among-equals NIC Chairman is an outsider
from one of the three major IC agencies with reporting responsibility to the PDDNI.
Opening these senior analytic roles to the best analysts regardless of agency would
also encourage the continued maturation of analytic cadres and tradecraft at those
agencies and give them an equal voice in interagency analytical disputes, which in
turn would give the President access to the best thinking and a variety of sources
and perspectives from across the entire IC rather than from the CIA alone.
IC Chief Information Officer. The Intelligence Community Chief Informa-
tion Officer (ICCIO) directs and oversees all aspects of the classified IT budget for
all of the IC’s 18 elements. As the DNI’s principal adviser for technology, the ICCIO
must be well-versed in technology, acquisitions, operations, and intra-agency coop-
eration to advance our technical prowess and simultaneously direct a bureaucracy
that, left unchecked, will serve each element’s own preferences. To ensure that
procured and implemented technology and policy reflect the Administration’s
agenda, the ICCIO must have the support of the DNI and possess the ability to
command cooperation between and promote interoperability across IC members.
Because of the unique responsibilities entrusted to this position, incumbency
has seesawed between political appointees and career civilians; due to its con-
gressionally capped salary, the position is often filled by an SES-level member
administratively detailed to support the DNI. At times, the ICCIO is incorrectly
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
referred to as the ODNI CIO. By law, and to secure unbiased execution across all of
the IC’s 18 elements, the same individual may not serve as ICCIO and ODNI CIO.
They are two distinct positions.
Critical areas and IC IT portfolio priorities for the ICCIO include but are
not limited to:
l Recognized and uniform security access for people, systems, and capabilities
to enable interoperability across IC elements;
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
The Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) and S&T should
focus primarily on challenging technology problems. Avoiding duplication of what
is already being done well in the private sector in such areas as practical defense
cyber intelligence and artificial intelligence research would help to focus the agen-
cies on the complex shadow tasks at hand while simultaneously freeing limited
resources for advancement in other areas.
President’s Intelligence Advisory Board and PIAB Intelligence Oversight
Board. The President’s Intelligence Advisory Board (PIAB) is charged with pro-
viding the President with an independent source of advice on the IC’s effectiveness
while offering insights into the IC’s future plans. The Board is meant to have access
to all information needed to perform its functions and to have direct access to the
President. The Intelligence Oversight Board is a standing committee within the
PIAB. These entities should be tasked with giving independent, informed advice
and opinion concerning major matters of national security focused on long-term,
enduring issues central to advancing and protecting American interests. This
should include taking a broader, deeper look at critical trends, developments, and
their implications for U.S. national and economic security relying on unclassified
and open-source information.
The Importance of Space. With China developing increasingly capable space
and counterspace technologies and Russia taking more aggressive action in space,
space has emerged as the latest warfighting domain. In response, the DNI cre-
ated the Office of the Space Executive (OSX) in 2018 as an experiment to promote
greater integration of IC space activities without incurring excessive overhead.
The DNI mandated greater collaboration across the enterprise without adding
personnel, altering authorities, and increasing budgets.
The Space Executive’s design reflects the original design principles of the ODNI.
The ODNI was explicitly not designed to be a departmental headquarters with com-
mand and control of the 18 agencies’ vast bureaucracies. Rather, it was designed
to be small and lightweight with a mission to coordinate and integrate the criti-
cal activities of the IC’s 18 agencies without creating new bureaucracy. That goal
should remain in force, and calls by outside entities or Congress to add new centers
and layers should be rejected.
The Office of the Space Executive has been recognized as an effective governance
model and has spawned similar efforts, including the Election Threats Executive,
Economic and Threat Finance Executive, and Cyber Executive. With this in mind,
the following initiatives should be pursued:
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
AN UNFINISHED EXPERIMENT
The Intelligence Community, including specifically the role of the DNI and
ODNI, is an unfinished experiment. The envisioned design principle was a conser-
vative one: a small, network-centric model for enterprise coordination as opposed
to a large monolithic bureaucracy like DHS. The ODNI, however, has reverted
in some ways to a bureaucratic and hierarchical model characterized by limited
effectiveness.
Historically, the CIA has undercut the DNI and maintains primacy in the IC
hierarchy, especially regarding the White House. An incoming conservative Pres-
ident can right the ship and return the IC governance model to first principles
by using a limited but empowered leadership and coordination design to serve
the nation’s intelligence and national security needs while reclaiming the public
trust with fiscal responsibility, political neutrality, personnel accountability, tech-
nological prowess, and necessary human capital needed to counter the immense
nation-state and asymmetrical threats facing our country.
AUTHOR’S NOTE: The preparation of this chapter was a collective enterprise of individuals involved in
the 2025 Presidential Transition Project. No particular policy statement, reform recommendation, or other view
expressed herein should be attributed to any individual contributor or to the author.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
ENDNOTES
1. “Two independent agencies—the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) and the Central
Intelligence Agency (CIA); Nine Department of Defense elements—the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA),
the National Security Agency (NSA), the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA), the National
Reconnaissance Office (NRO), and intelligence elements of the five DoD services; the Army, Navy, Marine
Corps, Air Force, and Space Force. Seven elements of other departments and agencies—the Department of
Energy’s Office of Intelligence and Counter-Intelligence; the Department of Homeland Security’s Office of
Intelligence and Analysis and U.S. Coast Guard Intelligence; the Department of Justice’s Federal Bureau of
Investigation and the Drug Enforcement Agency’s Office of National Security Intelligence; the Department of
State’s Bureau of Intelligence and Research; and the Department of the Treasury’s Office of Intelligence and
Analysis.” Office of the Director of National Intelligence, “What We Do: Members of the IC,” https://www.dni.
gov/index.php/what-we-do/members-of-the-ic (accessed March 8, 2023).
2. Office of the Director of National Intelligence, “Mission,” https://www.intelligence.gov/mission#:~:text=The%20
Intelligence%20Community's%20mission%20is,law%20enforcement%2C%20and%20the%20military
(accessed February 24, 2023).
3. Abraham Lincoln, Second Annual Message to Congress, December 1, 1862, https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/
documents/second-annual-message-9 (accessed March 6, 2023).
4. Christopher Porter, “Seven Questions the Next President Will Need the Intelligence Community to Answer
to Win the Technology Competition with China,” LinkedIn, March 14, 2023, https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/
seven-questions-next-president-need-intelligence-community-porter/?trackingId=Dl9RF5CnSwWnAO7r9gg
HiQ%3D%3D (accessed March 18, 2023).
5. H.R. 2845, Intelligence Reform and Terrorism Prevention Act of 2004, Public Law No. 108-458, 108th Congress,
December 17, 2004, https://www.congress.gov/108/plaws/publ458/PLAW-108publ458.pdf (accessed
March 6, 2004).
6. Testimony of Philip Zelikow, Executive Director, National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United
States, in hearing, Assessing America’s Counterterrorism’s Capabilities, Committee on Governmental Affairs,
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
19. Michael E. DeVine, “Covert Action and Clandestine Activities of the Intelligence Community: Selected
Definitions,” Congressional Research Service Report for Members and Committees of Congress No. R45175,
updated November 29, 2022, https://sgp.fas.org/crs/intel/R45175.pdf (accessed February 24, 2023).
20. H.R. 2663, Central Intelligence Agency Act of 1949, Public Law No. 81-110, 81st Congress, June 20, 1949, https://
govtrackus.s3.amazonaws.com/legislink/pdf/stat/63/STATUTE-63-Pg208.pdf (accessed March 6, 2023).
21. Nicole Ogrysko, “Intelligence Community Workforce Is More Diverse, but Still Struggles with Retention and
Promotion,” Federal News Network, October 27, 2021, https://federalnewsnetwork.com/workforce/2021/10/
intelligence-community-workforce-is-more-diverse-but-still-struggles-with-retention-and-promotion/
(accessed March 18, 2023).
22. See James J. Wirtz, “The Intelligence Policy Nexus,” in Loch K. Johnson, ed., Strategic Intelligence, Volume
1: Understanding the Hidden Side of Government (Westport, CT: Prager, 2007), and Richard K. Betts,
“Analysis, War, and Decision: Why Intelligence Failures Are Inevitable,” World Politics, Vol. 30, No. 1 (October
1978), pp. 61–89.
23. Letter from Barry A. Zulauf, IC Analytic Ombudsman, Office of the Director of National Intelligence, to
Senator Marco Rubio, Acting Chairman, and Senator Mark Warner, Vice Chairman, Select Committee on
Intelligence, U.S. Senate, “RE: SSCI #2020-3029,” January 6, 2021, https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/
ic-ombudsman-election-interference-with-responses/c50e548011fd6168/full.pdf (accessed March 14, 2023).
24. Joshua Rovner, Fixing the Facts: National Security and the Politics of Intelligence (Ithaca, NY: Cornell
University Press, 2011), pp. 30–31.
25. Joshua Rovner, “Is Politicization Ever a Good Thing?” Intelligence and National Security, Vol. 28, No. 1
(2013), p. 58.
26. S. 1566, Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act of 1978, Public Law No. 95-511, 95th Congress, October
25, 1978, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/STATUTE-92/pdf/STATUTE-92-Pg1783.pdf (accessed
March 6, 2023).
27. The Cipher Brief, “702 Reauthorization: Defending a Key Intelligence Tool,” remarks of Benjamin Powell,
former General Counsel to the Director of National Intelligence, stating that FISA 702 provides “between
40 and 60 percent” of the intelligence in the PDB, December 18, 2017, https://www.youtube.com/
watch?v=mRJ09GHVRFk&ab_channel=TheCipherBrief (accessed March 18, 2023).
28. An intelligence alliance that includes Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, and the United
States. Office of the Director of National Intelligence, National Counterintelligence and Security Center, “Five
Eyes Intelligence Oversight and Review Council (FIORC),” https://www.dni.gov/index.php/ncsc-how-we-
work/217-about/organization/icig-pages/2660-icig-fiorc (accessed March 10, 2023).
29. Porter, “Seven Questions the Next President Will Need the Intelligence Community to Answer to Win the
Technology Competition with China.”
30. H.R. 1591, An Act to Require the Registration of Certain Persons Employed by Agencies to Disseminate
Propaganda in the United States and for Other Purposes, Public Law No. 75-583, 75th Congress, June 8, 1938,
https://govtrackus.s3.amazonaws.com/legislink/pdf/stat/52/STATUTE-52-Pg631.pdf (accessed March 6, 2023).
31. Kristina Wong, “Exclusive: Former DNI John Ratcliffe Pleased CIA Following His Lead on China Threat,”
Breitbart, October 13, 2021, https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2021/10/13/exclusive-john-ratcliffe-pleased-
cia-following-lead-china-threat/ (accessed March 11, 2023).
32. H.R. 4628, Intelligence Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2003, Public Law No. 107-306, 107th Congress,
November 27, 2002, Title IX, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/STATUTE-116/pdf/STATUTE-116-Pg2383.pdf
(accessed March 6, 2023).
33. President George W. Bush, Executive Order 13354, “National Counterterrorism Center,” August 27, 2004, in
Federal Register, Vol. 69, No. 169 (September 1, 2004), pp. 53589–53592, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/
pkg/FR-2004-09-01/pdf/04-20050.pdf (accessed March 6, 2023).
34. Office of the Director of National Intelligence, National Counterintelligence and Security Center, “Who
We Are: History of NCSC,” https://www.dni.gov/index.php/ncsc-who-we-are/ncsc-history (accessed
March 11, 2023).
35. Gregory F. Treverton and C. Bryan Gabbard, Assessing the Tradecraft of Intelligence Analysis, RAND
Corporation, National Security Research Division Technical Report, 2008, p. 6, https://www.rand.org/pubs/
technical_reports/TR293.html (accessed March 1, 2023).
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
36. Letter from Barry A. Zulauf, IC Analytic Ombudsman, Office of the Director of National Intelligence, to
Senator Marco Rubio, Acting Chairman, and Senator Mark Warner, Vice Chairman, Select Committee on
Intelligence, U.S. Senate, “RE: SSCI #2020-3029,” January 6, 2021, https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/
ic-ombudsman-election-interference-with-responses/c50e548011fd6168/full.pdf (accessed March 6, 2023).
37. “Independent IC Analytic Ombudsman’s [Report] on Politicization of Intelligence,” attached to January 6,
2021, Zulauf letter.
38. President Barack Obama, Executive Order 13526, “Classified National Security Information,” December 29,
2009, in Federal Register, Vol. 75, No. 2 (January 5, 2010), pp. 707–731, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/
FR-2010-01-05/pdf/E9-31418.pdf (accessed March 7, 2023).
39. President Barack Obama, Executive Order 13556, “Controlled Classified Information,” November 4, 2010, in
Federal Register, Vol. 75, No. 216 (November 9, 2010), pp. 68675–68677, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/
pkg/FR-2010-11-09/pdf/2010-28360.pdf (accessed March 7, 2023).
40. Agathe Demarais, “How the U.S.–Chinese Technology War Is Changing the World,” Foreign Policy, November
19, 2022, https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/11/19/demarais-backfire-sanctions-us-china-technology-war-
semiconductors-export-controls-biden/ (accessed February 28, 2023).
41. Scott Stewart, “The Risk to Undercover Operatives in the Digital Age,” Stratfor Worldview, October 29, 2015,
https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/risk-undercover-operatives-digital-age (accessed February 24, 2023).
42. Lauren Pitruzzello, “Human Intelligence: Former CIA Officer Talks About Espionage in the Digital Age,
University of Delaware UDaily, March 22, 2012, https://www1.udel.edu/udaily/2012/mar/global-agenda-
grenier-032212.html (accessed February 24, 2023).
43. Jenna McLaughlin and Zach Dorfman, “‘Shattered’: Inside the Secret Battle to Save America’s Undercover
Spies in the Digital Age,” Yahoo News, December 30, 2019, https://news.yahoo.com/shattered-inside-
the-secret-battle-to-save-americas-undercover-spies-in-the-digital-age-100029026.html (accessed
February 24, 2023).
44. U.S. Federal Trade Commission, “U.S.–Safe Harbor Framework,” https://www.ftc.gov/business-guidance/
privacy-security/us-eu-safe-harbor-framework (accessed March 11, 2023).
45. “Fact Sheet: Overview of the EU–U.S. Privacy Shield Network,” U.S. Department of Commerce,
https://2014-2017.commerce.gov/sites/commerce.gov/files/media/files/2016/eu-us_privacy_shield_fact_
sheet.pdf (accessed March 11, 2023).
46. “Fact Sheet: United States and European Commission Announce Trans-Atlantic Data Privacy Framework,” The
White House, March 25, 2022, https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/03/25/
fact-sheet-united-states-and-european-commission-announce-trans-atlantic-data-privacy-framework/
(accessed March 11, 2023).
47. President Joseph R. Biden Jr., Executive Order 14086, “Enhancing Safeguards for United States Signals
Intelligence Activities,” October 7, 2022, in Federal Register, Vol. 87, No. 198 (October 14, 2022), pp. 62283–
62297, (accessed March 7, 2023).
48. Warren P. Strobel, “Release of Ukraine Intelligence Represents New Front in U.S. Information War with Russia,”
The Wall Street Journal, updated April 4, 2022, https://www.wsj.com/articles/release-of-secrets-represents-
new-front-in-u-s-information-war-with-russia-11649070001 (accessed February 24, 2023).
49. President Joseph R. Biden Jr., “National Security Memorandum on Promoting United States Leadership in
Quantum Computing While Mitigating Risks to Vulnerable Cryptographic Systems,” The White House, May
4, 2022, https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/05/04/national-security-
memorandum-on-promoting-united-states-leadership-in-quantum-computing-while-mitigating-risks-
to-vulnerable-cryptographic-systems/#:~:text=To%20mitigate%20this%20risk%2C%20the%20United%20
States%20must,the%20quantum%20risk%20as%20is%20feasible%20by%202035 (accessed March 12, 2023).
See also President Joseph R. Biden Jr., Executive Order 14073, “Enhancing the National Quantum Initiative
Advisory Committee,” May 4, 2022, in Federal Register, Vol. 87, No. 89 (May 9, 2022), pp. 27909–27911, https://
www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2022-05-09/pdf/2022-10076.pdf (accessed March 12, 2023); and “Fact
Sheet: President Biden Announces Two Presidential Directives Advancing Quantum Technologies,” The White
House, May 4, 2022, https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/05/04/fact-
sheet-president-biden-announces-two-presidential-directives-advancing-quantum-technologies/ (accessed
March 12, 2023).
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8
MEDIA AGENCIES
MISSION STATEMENT
The mission of United States Agency for Global Media (USAGM) is to inform,
engage, and connect people around the world in support of freedom and democ-
racy.1 However, this mission statement does not reflect the current work of the
agency. The mission is noble, but the execution is lacking. To fulfill its mission,
USAGM should also aim to present the truth about America and American policy—
not parrot America’s adversaries’ propaganda and talking points.2
OVERVIEW
Originally formed as the Broadcasting Board of Governors (BBG) in 1994, the BBG
changed its name in 2018 to the United States Agency for Global Media. The USAGM is
a sub-Cabinet agency of the U.S. government with a budget of just under $1 billion. The
agency oversees two government broadcasting networks: the Voice of America (VOA)
and the Office of Cuba Broadcasting (OCB). USAGM also oversees 100 percent of the
grant funding for several “independent” grantee organizations, including the Middle
East Broadcasting Network (MBN), Radio Free Asia (RFA), Radio Free Europe/Radio
Liberty (RFE/RL), and the newly formed Open Technology Fund (OTF).3
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
than 80 years, VOA journalists have supplied news and information about
the U.S., audience-specific regions of interest and concern, and the world at
large. VOA radio and television signals are broadcast to approximately 3,500
affiliates, and satellite transmissions reach countries where free speech is
banned or where civil society is under threat.4
VOA uses digital, web, and mobile media as well, which, while sometimes
useful in propagating valuable information globally, has created specific
violations of the agency’s prohibition against broadcasting to the domestic
U.S. audience—particularly with regard to flagrantly political content, as
has been the practice with recent and current VOA content directors and
managers.5 The network once had a generally well-received brand value,
but it has deteriorated under decades of poor leadership and a loss of its
once-prized unbiased reporting. There are bright spots within VOA, but
mismanagement and declining production values have diluted its once-
great reputation as a singular voice in American news broadcasting abroad.
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Founded in the early days of the Cold War (Radio Free Europe in 1949
and Radio Liberty in 1953) and merged in 1976, Radio Free Europe and
Radio Liberty were intended to execute edgy and daring information
operations and unrestricted news reporting deep behind the Iron Curtain.
Unfortunately, like other broadcast organizations under USAGM, RFE/RL
has surrendered much of its rich history to an approach that favors political
trends as opposed to operations that support and represent America abroad.
While there are some bright spots within RFE/RL, much of the network has
redundant programming with certain VOA language services, often with
competing, counterproductive, or dissimilar messaging.
RFA also provides educational and cultural programming, as well as forums
for audiences to engage in open dialogue and freely express opinions. RFA
utilizes on-the-ground reporters and networks of in-country sources, citizen
journalists, and eyewitnesses who provide leads, tips, images, and video.10
Several reports from the Office of the Inspector General (OIG) were released
showing waste and self-dealing, including security vulnerabilities and RFA lead-
ership awarding insiders millions of dollars of grant funding.11 For example, as
the OIG stated in one report, the then-president of RFA “established the Free-
dom2Connect Foundation (Foundation)” and thereafter “awarded two contracts,
totaling $1.2 million” to the foundation she herself founded.12 Furthermore:
[The] OIG found that RFA did not comply with Federal procurement
requirements for grantees. OIG identified instances in which RFA and
its agents did not comply with OMB [Office of Management and Budget]
conflict-of-interest procurement requirements for grantees. Specifically,
OIG found that RFA entered into 14 contracts, totaling $4.0 million
(51 percent of the amount of OTF FYs 2012 and 2013 project-related
contracts), with organizations that had some affiliation with either RFA
officials or members of OTF Advisory Council.13
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Although OTF touts large user numbers, this could not be substantiated
upon requests for information, and it was discovered by former senior
USAGM leadership that OTF makes extremely small, insubstantial
donations to much larger messaging applications and technology to bolster
its unsubstantiated claims.14 Despite its vibrant self-lobbying and publicity
efforts, OTF remains a wasteful and redundant boondoggle. Its grantee
The OIF, which predates OTF, was historically under USAGM’s Office of
Chief Strategy Officer and for years had been performing the same tasks as
OTF within USAGM headquarters for the benefit of all USAGM broadcast
networks. With much greater transparency, OIF succeeded with fewer staff
while simultaneously fielding more diverse and robust technologies. Absent
a meaningful organizational impact analysis to justify the wastefulness of
the decision-making process, OTF usurped the entire OIF budget and was
set up as a new grantee organization.
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ATTEMPTS AT REFORM
Late in the Trump Administration, following the long-delayed Senate confirma-
tion of Michael Pack as USAGM Chief Executive Officer (CEO),17 agency leadership
rapidly initiated long-overdue and necessary reforms,18 including security reforms
repeatedly requested by the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) and the Office
of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) that had been ignored by USAGM
leadership.19 Unfortunately, as was the case with the OTF, the Biden Administration
immediately reinstated personnel who had been fired for gross security violations,
placing the agency back into its previously failed posture—one that poses a danger
to national security.
The Firewall Saga. The vital error in USAGM’s current organizational/cul-
tural calculus is the agency’s selective application of a journalistic “firewall.” The
amorphous interpretation of a firewall shifts, depending on which Administration
is in office and who is asking questions.
Although a firewall should ensure journalistic independence, it has been used
without formal regulation for decades in order to shirk legitimate oversight of
everything from promoting adversaries’ propaganda to ignoring journalistic safety.
Often, the “firewall” is touted when journalists are either promoting anti-American
propaganda that parrots adversarial regime talking points or promoting politically
biased viewpoints in opposition to the VOA charter.20
Such weak oversight, alien to any other large media network or news organi-
zation—particularly one derivative of U.S. foreign policy and national security
goals—was erroneously enshrined in a document known as the Firewall Regula-
tion.21 The Firewall Regulation was entered into the Federal Register on the eve
of the Senate confirmation of President Donald Trump’s USAGM CEO, Michael
Pack. It was the quintessential “midnight reg” designed to throttle the statutory
and executive authority of the agency head. It stipulated that agency management,
by standards unknown to most large broadcast companies, was forbidden from
engaging in oversight and direction of content in any way—even false content.
It ran counter to the law, including the Smith–Mundt Act,22 and it was harmful
to the agency itself and to the foreign policy and national security goals of the
U.S. government.
Even content that went well beyond fair and accurate reporting on U.S. domestic
and political problems could not be reined in by front office leadership under the
Firewall Regulation. Soon, VOA’s White House correspondent was posting content
highly critical of, and personally insulting to, the U.S. President—in contradiction
of VOA’s own journalistic standards, policies, and procedures. USAGM career offi-
cials considered such content sacrosanct and bravely independent “journalistic”
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
content protected by the “spirit of” the Firewall Regulation—despite ample evi-
dence to the contrary.
Late in the Trump Administration, USAGM political leadership, following an
intensive U.S. Department of Justice review, revoked the Firewall Regulation over
the protests of journalistic organizations—none more vociferous than VOA itself.23
While the abuses of the Firewall Regulation are particularly disconcerting, they
encompass just a fraction of similar overreaches of the agency’s journalistic mission.
Current and former USAGM/VOA leadership who wanted to maintain virtually
zero accountability and oversight waged a campaign of interference, resistance, and
disinformation to stifle change at the agency. Perhaps not coincidentally, various
media outlets with relationships to former and future USAGM leadership published
near-daily criticisms of Trump Administration appointees and also of grantee organi-
zation leaders who were appointed by CEO Pack to implement long-overdue reforms.24
Agency Mission Failure. Currently, the USAGM, by and large, is not fulfilling
its mission, which remains so ill-defined and ambiguous that it enables the organi-
zation to go about its business largely unguided with little to no oversight. Rather
than providing news and information in an accurate, reliable way that promotes
and supports freedom and democracy, the agency is mismanaged, disorganized,
ineffective, and rife with waste and redundancy.
These shortfalls are either oriented toward, or directly contribute to, the agen-
cy’s media organizations joining the mainstream media’s anti-U.S. chorus and
NECESSARY REFORMS
Security Issues. The Office of Personnel Management30 and the Office of
the Director of National Intelligence flagged severe security failures during four
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
left the USAGM and rolled into other federal agencies with reciprocal clearance
authorizations. Many others disappeared into U.S. society. As of January 2021, the
USAGM had not yet determined the whereabouts of these individuals.34
The USAGM must never again be entrusted with delegated authority over its
personnel security programs and suitability determinations until such time as it
can prove that these failures will not happen again. These responsibilities must
remain with the Department of Defense and the Office of Personnel Management,
to which they were transferred in the final weeks of the Trump Administration.
Journalists’ Security. Agency journalists, both on and off American soil, have
faced danger,35 yet their superiors have done little to protect them. Whistleblowers
and Trump Administration officials found that protection of USAGM American
and foreign journalists employed by USAGM networks and grantee organizations
was severely lacking.
Against often-significant resistance, political appointees forced action to
enable broadcasters (who were under verified threats) to broadcast from remote
locations while being protected by federal law enforcement officers. Likewise,
political appointees met resistance from senior career officials when insisting
that foreign-based journalists in high-risk countries make their locations known
to the agency in the event they required rescue, extraction, or safe housing. Such
safety measures, argued career officials, would somehow represent a violation of
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
journalistic independence. With only rare exceptions, resistance to the most basic
journalist safety measures was the knee-jerk response from USAGM career officials.
Wasting Taxpayer Dollars. The USAGM’S current operations, properly man-
aged, can be conducted on less than $700 million per year. Prior to the arrival of
President Donald Trump’s appointees in June 2020, budgeting, financial responsi-
bility, and spending totaled over $800 million per year, with virtually no oversight
or supervision. Waste, unnecessary spending, nepotism for pet projects, redundant
programs, and unnecessary hiring abounded.
Consolidation and Reduction of Redundant Services. Currently, the USAGM
funds numerous redundant services through its own offices, through Voice of Amer-
ica and the Office of Cuba Broadcasting, and through its grantees. For example, VOA
has a Mandarin-language service but also funds redundant services through Radio
Free Asia. VOA also has a Farsi-language service that duplicates one funded through
Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty. Surplus services in the same languages are often
unnecessary and counterproductive. Fiscal responsibility and transparency should
return to the USAGM, with consolidation being a cornerstone of the strategy.
As noted previously, the Open Technology Fund duplicates activities that
already existed at the USAGM in the Office of Internet Freedom. Numerous career
whistleblowers came forward to sound the alarm to President Trump’s USAGM
political team about OTF’s abuse and overreach.36 Its opaque, expensive, and
unnecessary usurpation of an existing USAGM office is an egregious example of
government waste and illustrates the general disdain for U.S. taxpayers that is rife
within this agency. Full reinstatement of OIF would allow full agency and congres-
sional oversight into how so-called “Internet freedom” money is being spent.37
J-1 Visa Program Abuses. Rather than use the appropriate I visa38 intended
for foreign journalists, the USAGM uses the J-1 “cultural exchange” visas to allow
foreign nationals to transition easily into jobs that American citizens with cul-
tural and linguistic expertise could satisfy. The J-1 visa is intended for cultural and
academic exchange programs, among others—none of which include journalism.39
Additionally, J-1 visas are meant for non-immigrant temporary exchanges. The
USAGM’s J-1 visa holders often go on to apply for permanent residency, which
violates the intention of this visa.
Shortwave Transmission Upgrades and Improvements. Non-web-based
technologies that are proven and durable, such as shortwave radio transmission
stations, have been grossly deemphasized in budgeting in favor of newer web-
based technologies. This move is dangerously short-sighted and puts the U.S. at a
perilous strategic disadvantage in the event of a major conflict, particularly with
Russia or China.
There is great concern about the vulnerability of undersea cable trunks that
make up the Internet cloud. The vast majority of global Internet traffic—95 per-
cent—is transmitted through these cables, including news transmissions and
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
ORGANIZATIONAL ISSUES
Personnel. Personnel is one of the biggest concerns for the USAGM and its
grantees. Attracting talented staff who will stay and letting go of poorly perform-
ing personnel are hurdles. Additionally, whistleblowers have come forward with
numerous credible allegations of illegal nepotism and improper hiring practic-
es.40 Past agency leaders have ignored national security procedures when hiring
and have failed to adequately vet staff.41 Government hiring policies and federal
law must be followed, and serious policy changes must be implemented to end
these practices.
Relevant Government Entities
l The White House. As an executive branch agency, the USAGM ostensibly
should report to the President and coordinate activities with the
National Security Council (NSC)—especially given the direct and implied
national security aspects of the agency’s messaging globally. However,
there currently is no specific office in the White House or NSC liaison
for the USAGM.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l The State Department. VOA was most effective before and during the
Cold War when it was under the direct supervision and control of the War
and State Departments, respectively. If VOA is not put in the direct chain of
command under the NSC, serious consideration should be given to putting
VOA under the direct supervision of the Office of Global Public Affairs at the
Department of State. The Office of Global Public Affairs was formed during
the Trump Administration by consolidation of the State Department’s Bureau
of International Information Programs and Bureau of Global Public Affairs.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l Congress. The USAGM receives its budget and mandates directly from
Congress. Often, changes in major functions at the agency happen because
of the lobbying efforts of a few connected individuals—often grantees
lobbying for more funds and less accountability. Those changes can and
do handcuff leadership from any meaningful oversight. An overhaul of the
agency with review from Congress to modernize, streamline, and reduce
waste must be done with congressional support.
CONCLUSION
The USAGM is a story of a lost opportunity both to help restore the world’s con-
fidence in the promise and ideals of America and to set a high mark for journalistic
integrity and unbiased reporting. These two areas have suffered severely under two
decades of USAGM mismanagement and lack of oversight. Finding solutions to
these problems and the restoration of the agency’s networks must be the priorities
of future agency leadership.
To accomplish this, the USAGM must be fully reformed top to bottom with
congressional and White House support. The possibility of consolidating not only
the agency’s subparts, but bringing the entire agency under the supervision of the
NSC, the State Department, or both would dramatically aid that reform.
If the de facto aim of the agency simply remains to compete in foreign markets
using anti-U.S. talking points that parrot America’s adversaries’ propaganda, then
this represents an unacceptable burden to the U.S. taxpayer and a negative return
on investment. In that case, the USAGM should be defunded and disestablished.
If, however, the agency can be reformed to become an effective tool, it would be
one of the greatest tools in America’s arsenal to tell America’s story and promote
freedom and democracy around the world.
AUTHOR’S NOTE: The preparation of this chapter was a collective effort involving many individuals to
whom thanks is owed. These individuals include, but are not limited to, Victoria Coates, Michael Pack, Frank
Wuco, and several brave whistleblowers who prefer not to be named. Their efforts were integral to the chapter
and are greatly appreciated.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
E very Republican President since Richard Nixon has tried to strip the Corpora-
tion for Public Broadcasting (CPB) of taxpayer funding. That is significant not
just because it means that for half a century, Republican Presidents have failed to
accomplish what they set out to do, but also because Nixon was the first President
in office when National Public Radio (NPR) and the Public Broadcasting Service
(PBS), which the CPB funds, went on air.
In other words, all Republican Presidents have recognized that public funding
of domestic broadcasts is a mistake. As a 35-year-old lawyer in the Nixon White
House, one Antonin Scalia warned that conservatives were being “confronted with
a long-range problem of significant social consequences—that is, the development
of a government-funded broadcast system similar to the BBC.”47
All of which means that the next conservative President must finally get
this done and do it despite opposition from congressional members of his
own party if necessary. To stop public funding is good policy and good politics.
The reason is simple: President Lyndon Johnson may have pledged in 1967
that public broadcasting would become “a vital public resource to enrich our
homes, educate our families and to provide assistance to our classrooms,”48
but public broadcasting immediately became a liberal forum for public affairs
and journalism.
Not only is the federal government trillions of dollars in debt and unable to
afford the more than half a billion dollars squandered on leftist opinion each year,
but the government should not be compelling the conservative half of the country
to pay for the suppression of its own views. As Thomas Jefferson put it, “To compel
a man to furnish contributions of money for the propagations of opinions which
he disbelieves and abhors, is sinful and tyrannical.”49
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
thrive. As George Will wrote, “If ‘Sesame Street’ programming were put up for
auction, the danger would be of getting trampled by the stampede of potential
bidders.”53 Indeed, “Sesame Street” is on HBO now, which shows its potential as
a money earner.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
ENDNOTES
1. U.S. Agency for Global Media, https://www.usagm.gov/ (accessed March 20, 2023).
2. Ben Weingarten, “Security Failures USG Media Agency Prove Need to Hire Americans First,” Newsweek,
August 10, 2020, https://www.newsweek.com/security-failures-usg-media-Agency-prove-need-hire-
americans-first-opinion-1523895 (accessed March 20, 2023).
3. U.S. Agency for Global Media, “Who We Are,” https://www.usagm.gov/who-we-are/history/ (accessed
March 20, 2023).
4. U.S. Agency for Global Media, “Voice of America,” https://www.usagm.gov/networks/voa/ (accessed
March 20, 2023).
5. Daniel Lippman, “Deleted Biden Video Sets Off a Crisis at Voice of America,” Politico July 30, 2020, https://
www.politico.com/news/2020/07/30/deleted-biden-video-sets-off-a-crisis-at-voice-of-america-388571
(accessed March 20, 2023).
6. U.S. Agency for Global Media, “Office of Cuba Broadcasting,” https://www.usagm.gov/networks/ocb/
(accessed March 20, 2023).
7. Rafael Bernal, “Bipartisan Group Asks Office of Cuba Broadcasting to Rescind Layoffs,” September 13, 2022,
The Hill, https://thehill.com/latino/3641445-bipartisan-group-asks-office-of-cuba-broadcasting-to-rescind-
layoffs/ (accessed March 20, 2023).
8. U.S. Agency for Global Media, “Middle East Broadcasting Networks,” https://www.usagm.gov/networks/mbn/
(accessed March 20, 2023).
9. U.S. Agency for Global Media, Consolidation Report, p. 13, https://docs.house.gov/meetings/FA/
FA00/20210930/114085/HMKP-117-FA00-20210930-SD002.pdf (accessed March 22, 2023).
10. U.S. Agency for Global Media, “Radio Free Asia,” https://www.usagm.gov/networks/rfa/ (accessed
March 20, 2023).
11. U.S. Department of State and the Broadcasting Board of Governors, Office of the Inspector General, Audit of
Radio Free Asia Expenditures, June 2015, https://www.stateoig.gov/uploads/report/report_pdf_file/aud-fm-
ib-15-24_1.pdf (accessed March 22, 2023).
12. Ibid.
13. Ibid., p. 16.
14. Susan Crabtree, “‘Lax’ Internet Freedom Group Balks at New Pack Oversight,” https://www.realclearpolitics.
com/articles/2020/08/24/lax_internet_freedom_group_balks_at_new_pack_oversight_144043.html
(accessed March 22, 2023).
15. Ibid.
16. Ibid.
17. Nomination of Michael Pack to the Broadcasting Board of Governors, 116th Cong., 2nd Sess. (2020), https://
www.congress.gov/nomination/116th-congress/1590 (accessed March 20, 2023).
18. James Robbins, “More Rot at America’s Public Diplomacy Mouthpiece,” The Hill, November 7, 2020, https://
thehill.com/opinion/national-security/524924-more-rot-at-americas-public-diplomacy-mouthpiece/
(accessed March 20, 2023).
19. U.S. Office of Personnel Management, Suitability Agency Executive Programs, Follow Up Review of U.S.
Agency for Global Media, July 2020, https://bbgwatch.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/OPM-SuitEA-
July-2020.pdf (accessed March 20, 203).
20. If the agency were not an extension of U.S. foreign policy and national security goals, then its staffing
positions would not be classified in their entirety as Tier 3 and Tier 5 national-security sensitive positions,
which they are. See U.S. Agency for Global Media, Consolidation Report, p. 13.
21. Federal Register, Vol. 85, No. 115 (June 15, 2020), pp. 36150–36153.
22. U.S. Information and Educational Exchange Act of 1948 (“Smith–Mundt Act”), Public Law 80–402.
23. Jessica Jerreat, “USAGM CEO Criticized Over Move to Rescind Firewall Regulation,” October 28, 2020, https://
www.voanews.com/a/usa_usagm-ceo-criticized-over-move-rescind-firewall-regulation/6197671.html
(accessed March 20, 2023).
24. Byron York, “America’s Lost Voice,” Washington Examiner, February 4, 2021, https://www.washingtonexaminer.
com/politics/americas-lost-voice (accessed March 20, 2023).
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
25. Sasha Gong, “VOA Problems: Racism, Xenophobia, Mediocrity, and Nepotism,” BBG-USAGM Watch, December
25, 2018, archived at https://web.archive.org/web/20220105101300/https://bbgwatch.com/bbgwatch/voa-
problems-racism-xenophobia-mediocrity-and-nepotism/ (accessed March 20, 2023).
26. U.S. Agency for Global Media Watch, “Big Mistake in Rewarding Failed Voice of America (VOA) Managers
U.S. Agency for Global Media Managers,” November 11, 2022, https://www.usagmwatch.com/big-mistake-
in-rewarding-failed-voice-of-america-voa-and-u-s-Agency-for-global-media-usagm-managers/ (accessed
March 20, 2023).
27. America First Legal Foundation,“AFL Asks Biden Administration to Withdraw Nomination of Amanda
Bennett Citing National Security and Related Failures,” June 30, 2022, https://aflegal.org/afl-asks-biden-
administration-to-withdraw-nomination-of-amanda-bennett-citing-national-security-and-related-failures/
(accessed March 20, 2023).
28. U.S. Agency for Global Media, Consolidation Report, p. 13.
29. U.S. Agency for Global Media Watch, “Extraordinary Leadership Dysfunction at USAGM Continues,” October 4,
2022, https://www.usagmwatch.com/extraordinary-leadership-dysfunction-at-usagm-continues/ (accessed
March 20, 2023).
30. U.S. Office of Personnel Management, Follow-Up Review of the U.S. Agency for Global Media
Suitability Program.
31. Ibid.
32. U.S. Agency for Global Media, Consolidation Report, p. 13.
33. U.S. Office of Personnel Management, Follow-Up Review of the U.S. Agency for Global Media
Suitability Program.
34. Robbins, “More Rot at America’s Public Diplomacy Mouthpiece.”
35. U.S. Department of Justice, “Manhattan U.S. Attorney Announces Kidnapping Conspiracy Charges Against
an Iranian Intelligence Officer And Members Of An Iranian Intelligence Network,” July 13, 2021, https://www.
justice.gov/usao-sdny/pr/manhattan-us-attorney-announces-kidnapping-conspiracy-charges-against-iranian
(accessed March 20, 2023).
36. James Robbins, “The Trouble with the Open Technology Fund,” Newsweek, August 9, 2020, https://www.
newsweek.com/trouble-open-technology-fund-opinion-1528998 (accessed March 20, 2023).
37. Susan Crabtree, “Lax Internet Freedom Group Balks at New Pack Oversight,” Real Clear Politics, August 24,
2020, https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2020/08/24/lax_internet_freedom_group_balks_at_new_
pack_oversight_144043.html (accessed March 20, 2023).
38. U.S. Department of State, “Visas for Members of the Foreign Media, Press, and Radio,” https://travel.state.
gov/content/travel/en/us-visas/employment/visas-members-foreign-media-press-radio.html (accessed
March 20, 2023).
39. Authorized positions for J-1 visas include: au pair, camp counselor, college/university student, government
visitor, intern, international visitor, physician, professor, research scholar, secondary school student, short-term
scholar, specialist, STEM initiatives, summer work travel, teacher, and trainee. See U.S. Department of State,
“Exchange Visitor Visa,” https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/us-visas/study/exchange.html (accessed
March 20, 2023).
40. News release, “McCaul Demands Answers on USAGM Personnel and Management,” Foreign Affairs
Committee, October 28, 2021, https://foreignaffairs.house.gov/press-release/mccaul-demands-answers-on-
usagm-personnel-and-management/ (accessed March 20, 2023).
41. U.S. Agency for Global Media Watch, “USAGM: Past Leaders Ignored National Security Procedures, Failed to
Adequately Vet Staff,” August 8, 2020, https://www.usagmwatch.com/usagm-past-agency-leaders-ignored-
national-security-procedures-failed-to-adequately-vet-staff/ (accessed March 20, 2023).
42. U.S. Agency for Global Media, “CEO Pack Launches Investigation Into Pro-Biden VOA Content, U.S. Election
Interference,” July 30, 2020, https://www.usagm.gov/2020/07/30/ceo-pack-launches-investigation-into-pro-
biden-voa-content-u-s-election-interference/ (accessed March 22, 2023).
43. America First Legal Foundation, “AFL Asks Biden Administration to Withdraw Nomination of Amanda
Bennet Citing National Security and Related Failures,” June 30, 2022, https://aflegal.org/afl-asks-biden-
administration-to-withdraw-nomination-of-amanda-bennett-citing-national-security-and-related-failures/
(accessed March 20, 2023).
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44. U.S. Agency for Global Media Watch, https://www.usagmwatch.com/ (accessed March 20, 2023).
45. BBG-USAM Watch, https://bbgwatch.com/bbgwatch/ (accessed March 20, 2023).
46. Whistleblower Protection Project, “Congress Releases Long-Awaited Investigative Report on Chronically
Mismanaged USAGM,” February 9, 2022, https://whipproj.org/congress-releases-long-awaited-usagm-
investigative-report-revealing-Agencys-chronic-mismanagement/ (accessed March 20, 2023).
47. National Telecommunications and Information Administration, “Nixon Administration Public Broadcasting
Papers, Summary of 1971,” February 23, 1979, https://current.org/1979/02/nixon-administration-public-
broadcasting-papers-summary-of-1971/ (accessed March 21, 2023).
48. President Lyndon B. Johnson, State of the Union Address, January 10, 1967, https://www.infoplease.com/
primary-sources/government/presidential-speeches/state-union-address-lyndon-b-johnson-january-10-1967
(accessed March 21, 2023).
49. Joyce Appleby and Terence Ball, eds., Jefferson: Political Writings (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge
University Press, 1999), p. 390.
50. Pew Research Center, “Where News Audiences Fit on the Political Spectrum,” October 21, 2014, http://www.
journalism.org/interactives/media-polarization/outlet/pbs/ (accessed March 21, 2023.
51. Ibid.
52. Corporation for Public Broadcasting, Corporation for Public Broadcasting Appropriation Request and
Justification FY 2023/FY 2025, Submitted to the Labor, Health and Human Services, Education and Related
Agencies Subcommittee of the House Appropriations Committee and the Labor, Health and Human Services,
Education and Related Agencies Subcommittee of the Senate Appropriations Committee, March 28, 2022,
p. 2, https://www.cpb.org/sites/default/files/appropriation/FY-2023-2025-CPB-Budget-Justification.pdf
(accessed March 21, 2023).
53. George F. Will, “Public Broadcasting’s Immortality Defies Reason,” The Washington Post, June 2, 2017, https://
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/public-broadcastings-immortality-defies-reason/2017/06/02/f5de02be-
46fe-11e7-a196-a1bb629f64cb_story.html?utm_term=.8df3a01f6ca6 (accessed March 21, 2023).
54. Federal Communications Commission, “FM Radio,” https://www.fcc.gov/general/fm-radio (accessed
March 21, 2023).
55. Federal Communications Commission, “Regulatory Fee Exemptions for FY 2021,” FCC Regulatory Fees
Factsheet No. DA-21-1142, September 10, 2021, p. 2.
— 251 —
9
AGENCY FOR
INTERNATIONAL
DEVELOPMENT
Max Primorac
MISSION
The U.S. Agency for International Development leads the U.S. government’s
international development and disaster assistance programs. USAID helps com-
munities to lead their own development journeys by reducing the impact of conflict;
preventing hunger and the spread of pandemic disease; and counteracting the driv-
ers of violence, instability, transnational crime, and other threats. In alignment
with U.S. national security interests, the agency promotes American prosperity
through initiatives that expand markets for U.S. exports; encourage innovation;
create a level playing field for U.S. businesses; and support more stable, resilient,
and democratic societies that are less likely to act against American interests and
more likely to respect family, life, and religious liberty.
OVERVIEW
USAID was established during the presidency of John F. Kennedy pursuant
to the Foreign Assistance Act of 19611 to promote the foreign policy, security, and
national interests of the United States. At the height of the Cold War with the
Soviet Union, it sought to halt the spread of Communism by assisting peoples in the
developing world in their efforts to advance economically, socially, and politically.
The agency helped to transition Central and Eastern Europe from socialism to
free market–based democracies. Today, USAID leads the U.S. government’s global
development and humanitarian disaster assistance responses.
Over the years, USAID expanded the number of countries assisted, the scope
and size of its activities, and especially its budget. The Trump Administration faced
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
nized our partners in Asia, Africa, and Latin America. It has decoupled U.S. assistance
from free-market reforms that are the keystone of economic and political stability
and has teamed with global institutions to impose central planning diktats on an
unprecedented scale. Wasteful budget increases requested by the Administration
and appropriated by Congress have outstripped USAID’s capacity to spend funds
responsibly, and U.S. foreign aid has been transformed into a massive and open-
ended global entitlement program captured by—and enriching—the progressive Left.
The next conservative Administration should scale back USAID’s global foot-
print by, at a minimum, returning to the agency’s 2019 pre–COVID-19 pandemic
budget level. It should deradicalize USAID’s programs and structures and build
on the conservative reforms instituted by the Trump Administration. This will
require working closely with the U.S. Congress to make deep cuts in the interna-
tional affairs “150 Account” while granting USAID greater flexibility in spending
its appropriated funds to achieve better developmental outcomes.
KEY ISSUES
Aligning U.S. Foreign Aid to U.S. Foreign Policy. U.S. foreign aid is too often
disconnected from the strategy and practice of U.S. foreign policy. Its coordination
is made difficult as the aid budget is divided among approximately 20 offices, agen-
cies, and departments that provide some form of foreign assistance.
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The World Bank estimates that 60 percent of all BRI loans are in financial
distress, leading many countries to seek emergency financial help from Western
donors. Chinese-funded projects are known for employing substandard labor and
environmental practices, fueling corruption, promoting wasteful financial deci-
sions by governments, advancing China’s geostrategic interests, and creating an
unequal trade relationship in which China secures raw materials from developing
countries and sells those countries manufacturing products. For example, Brazil,
a world leader in shoe production, saw its industry collapse under a flood of cheap
Chinese imports. China’s mercantilist penetration of the developing world and
the negative consequences for developing countries’ healthy economic growth
have undercut U.S. strategic relationships in those countries and wasted billions
in U.S. foreign aid.
During the Trump Administration, USAID:
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Climate Change. Upon taking office, President Biden issued executive orders
to “put the climate crisis at the center of U.S. foreign policy and national security”
and mitigate “the devastating inequalities that intersect with gender, race, ethnic-
ity, and economic security.”6 USAID subsequently declared itself “a climate agency”
and redirected its private-sector engagement strategy—teaming with America’s
corporate sector to wean countries off foreign aid through private investment and
trade—to support the Administration’s global policy to “transition from fossil fuels
to renewable energy.”
The Administration has incorporated its radical climate policy into every
USAID initiative. It has joined or funded international partnerships dedicated to
advancing the aims of the Paris Climate Agreement and has supported the idea of
giving trillions of dollars more in aid transfers for “climate reparations.”
The Biden Administration’s extreme climate policies have worsened global
food insecurity and hunger. Its anti–fossil fuel agenda has led to a sharp spike in
global energy prices. Inflation has hit the poor the hardest as they expend a higher
proportion of income on food purchases. Farmers in poor countries can no longer
afford to buy expensive natural gas–based fertilizers that are key to achieving high
yields of food production. Under advice from climate radicals, the government of
Sri Lanka even banned chemical fertilizers entirely without having any replace-
ments in place. The result has been hunger and violent political instability.
The aid industry claims that climate change causes poverty, which is false.
Enduring conflict, government corruption, and bad economic policies are the
main drivers of global poverty. USAID’s response to man-made food insecurity
is to provide more billions of dollars in aid—a recipe that will keep scores of poor
countries underdeveloped and dependent on foreign aid for years to come.
The impact on Africa is especially acute. South Africa, for example, relies on
coal-powered plants to generate 80 percent of its power needs. It would need $26
billion in foreign aid to make the full transition away from coal. Multiplying this
amount by dozens of other countries on the continent, the financial resources
needed to transition away from fossil fuels are unachievable. In Latin America,
countries that are global leaders in oil and gas production have sharply curtailed
their energy production in line with climate activists, upending the hemisphere’s
major source of export revenues and condemning it to years of economic and polit-
ical instability.
USAID should cease its war on fossil fuels in the developing world and support
the responsible management of oil and gas reserves as the quickest way to end
wrenching poverty and the need for open-ended foreign aid. The next conservative
Administration should rescind all climate policies from its foreign aid programs
(specifically USAID’s Climate Strategy 2022–20307); shut down the agency’s offices,
programs, and directives designed to advance the Paris Climate Agreement; and
narrowly limit funding to traditional climate mitigation efforts. USAID resources
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are best deployed to strengthen the resilience of countries that are most vulner-
able to climatic shifts. The agency should cease collaborating with and funding
progressive foundations, corporations, international institutions, and NGOs that
advocate on behalf of climate fanaticism.
Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion Agenda. USAID installed advisers on
Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) committees “in all its Bureaus, Offices, and
[overseas] Missions” and created “an agency-wide dashboard and DEI scorecard
for all bureaus, offices, and missions” to track staff compliance with the Adminis-
tration’s DEI directives. A Chief DEI Officer oversees this DEI infrastructure and
sits in the Administrator’s office. DEI directives are now part of all agency policies
and are incorporated as standard clauses in all contract and grant awards. Those
seeking to do business with the agency must “describe the approaches they will
use to diversify their partner base.”8 USAID often ties DEI to “gender and climate
equity,” corrupting every aspect of the agency’s overseas work.
The upshot has been to racialize the agency and create a hostile work environ-
ment for anyone who disagrees with the Biden Administration’s identity politics.
This pursuit of ideological purity threatens merit-based professional advancement
for staff who do not overtly conform, hyperpoliticizes what should be a nonpartisan
federal workplace environment, creates an institutionalized cadre of progressive
political commissars, corrupts the award process, and discourages potential con-
tractors and grantees that disagree with this radical agenda from applying for
USAID funding.
The next conservative Administration should dismantle USAID’s DEI apparatus
by eliminating the Chief Diversity Officer position along with the DEI advisers and
committees; cancel the DEI scorecard and dashboard; remove DEI requirements
from contract and grant tenders and awards; issue a directive to cease promotion
of the DEI agenda, including the bullying LGBTQ+ agenda; and provide staff a
confidential medium through which to adjudicate cases of political retaliation
that agency or implementing staff suffered during the Biden Administration. It
should eliminate funding for partners that promote discriminatory DEI practices
and consider debarment in egregious cases.
As federal departments and agencies cannot play partisan politics, staff—irre-
spective of hiring mechanism—as well as implementers and grantees that engage
in ideological agitation on behalf of the DEI agenda should be dismissed, and enti-
ties should be debarred. The next conservative Administration should return the
authority over all civil rights issues at USAID to the agency’s Office of Civil Rights,
which is the appropriate locus for ensuring that all Americans have guaranteed
equality of career opportunity at USAID.
Refocusing Gender Equality on Women, Children, and Families. Instead
of protecting women’s and children’s unalienable human rights and propelling
their ability to thrive in society, past Democrat Administrations have nearly erased
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what females are and what femininity is through “gender” policies and practices.
For instance, these Administrations have diluted USAID’s focus on assisting vul-
nerable women, children, and families around the globe by adding protections for
and ideological advocacy on behalf of progressive special-interest groups. USAID
now aggressively promotes abortion on demand under the guise of “sexual and
reproductive health and reproductive rights,” “gender equality,” and “women’s
empowerment” and advocates for those who claim minority status or vulnerability.
Families are the basic unit of and foundation for a thriving society. Without
women, there are no children, and society cannot continue. As evidenced by the
confirmation testimony of now-Associate Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson, the
progressive Left has so misused and altered the definition of what a “woman” is
that one of our U.S. Supreme Court Justices was unable to delineate clearly the
fundamental biological and sexual traits that define the group of which she is a
part. USAID cannot advocate for and protect women when they have been erased
globally along with the values and traditional structures that have supported them.
The next conservative Administration should rename the USAID Office of
Gender Equality and Women’s Empowerment (GEWE) as the USAID Office of
Women, Children, and Families; refocus and realign resources that currently
support programs in GEWE to the Office of Women, Children, and Families; redes-
ignate the Senior Gender Coordinator as an unapologetically pro-life politically
appointed Senior Coordinator of the Office of Women, Children, and Families; and
eliminate the “more than 180 gender advisors and points of contact…embedded in
Missions and Operating Units throughout the Agency.”9
In addition, the next conservative Administration should rescind President
Biden’s 2022 Gender Policy and refocus it on Women, Children, and Families
and revise the agency’s regulation on “Integrating Gender Equality and Female
Empowerment in USAID’s Program Cycle.”10 It should remove all references, exam-
ples, definitions, photos, and language on USAID websites, in agency publications
and policies, and in all agency contracts and grants that include the following
terms: “gender,” “gender equality,” “gender equity,” “gender diverse individu-
als,” “gender aware,” “gender sensitive,” etc. It should also remove references to
“abortion,” “reproductive health,” and “sexual and reproductive rights” and con-
troversial sexual education materials.
In the past, the word “gender” was a polite alternative to the word “sex” or term
“biological sex.” The Left has commandeered the term “gender,” which used to
mean either “male” or “female,” to include a spectrum of others who are seeking to
alter biological and societal sexual norms. The promotion of gender radicalism is
anathema to the traditional norms of many societies where USAID works, causes
resentment by tying lifesaving assistance to rejecting the aid recipient’s own firmly
held fundamental values regarding sexuality, and produces unnecessary conster-
nation and confusion among and even outright bias against men.
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The next Administration should ensure that USAID’s goal in service of its
mission is to help protect and propel all members of society—women, children,
and men—from conception to natural death. To do so, USAID’s Office of Women,
Children, and Families should strive to ensure that communities have their basic
human needs, without which they will be unable to thrive, met first and foremost.
Basic human needs include equal and safe access to potable water, sanitation, food,
education, health care, houses of worship, justice, pregnancy and family resource
centers, working capital, electricity, technology, and business opportunities. The
Office of Women, Children, and Families should implement the Geneva Consen-
sus Declaration on Women’s Health and Protection of the Family and prioritize
partnerships with local organizations, including faith-based organizations (FBOs).
Protecting Life in Foreign Assistance. Protecting life should be among the
core objectives of United States foreign assistance. Shortly after taking office, how-
ever, President Biden issued a memorandum that reversed a myriad of pro-life
policies and revoked the Protecting Life in Global Health Assistance (PLGHA)
policy, widely known as the Mexico City Policy. Biden also restored funding to
the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA), which supports and implements
China’s coercive abortion and sterilization regimen.
PLGHA requires foreign NGOs, as a condition of receiving assistance, to agree
not to perform or actively promote abortions as a method of family planning in
foreign countries. Previous pro-life Presidents beginning with Ronald Reagan
applied these conditions to family planning assistance, but President Trump for
the first time expanded the Mexico City Policy to protect “global health assistance
furnished by all departments or agencies” (estimated to be $8.8 billion annually).
The Biden Administration restored abortion subsidies to pro-abortion NGOs
including Planned Parenthood International and MSI Reproductive Choices. In
reversing PLGHA, Biden declared a radical assault on the policy of protecting life,
choosing instead to promote abortion on demand around the world under the
guise of “sexual and reproductive health and rights.” USAID’s priority of funding
the global abortion industry negates programs that promote life, women’s health,
and the family.
Even under PLGHA, several loopholes allowed support for the global abortion
industry to continue. International NGOs that perform and promote abortions
overseas like Population Services International, Pathfinder, PATH, the Population
Council, EngenderHealth, and WomanCare Global International continued to
receive funding from USAID under PLGHA and now, under Biden, receive tens
of millions more in U.S. taxpayer dollars in foreign assistance annually without
any oversight. When the United Nations Secretariat promoted abortion and abor-
tion-inducing drugs under the umbrella of “sexual and reproductive health” as
an element of its COVID-19 Global Humanitarian Response Plan in May 2020,
the exemptions in PLGHA for humanitarian aid and multilateral organizations
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bilateral government-to-government agreements. All entities funded by USAID,
both directly and indirectly, should report their compliance with the PLGHA, and
USAID should institute penalties, including debarment from future federal funding,
for violations of it. The new executive order also should instruct the Administrator
of USAID to publish reports on implementation of the PLGHA by both prime and
sub-prime recipients.
In addition, the Helms Amendment should continue to be applied, as it has been
by both Republican and Democratic Administrations for more than 50 years, as a
complete ban on the use of taxpayer dollars to pay for abortions abroad.
International Religious Freedom. Conservatives believe international
religious freedom is central to USAID’s development efforts. President Trump’s
Executive Order 13926 on “Advancing International Religious Freedom”13
instructed the Secretary of State, in consultation with the USAID Administrator,
to budget at least $50 million a year for programs that advance international reli-
gious freedom and “ensure that faith-based and religious entities, including eligible
entities in foreign countries, are not discriminated against on the basis of religious
identity or religious belief when competing for Federal funding.”
Under the Trump Administration, the agency set up a senior-level Chief Adviser
for International Religious Freedom who reported directly to the Administra-
tor with the task of coordinating a “whole-of-USAID” approach to achieving this
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agreements. The Administration should restore the Senior Official Accountabil-
ity Review (SOAR) or create a similar process to ensure that proposed programs
above a certain dollar threshold in Total Estimated Cost/Total Estimated Amount
receive a close review by policymakers in each bureau and office and, for large
awards, in the agency’s front office.
“Localization” is a buzzword within the aid community but correctly assumes
that more funding through local organizations produces better aid outcomes. Shift-
ing from giant U.S.-based implementers has proved difficult to achieve, however,
given intense internal bureaucratic resistance; opposition from the aid industrial
complex; and foot-dragging from progressives, who view local NGOs—especially
faith-based NGOs prominent in Africa and Latin America—as obstacles to promot-
ing abortion, gender radicalism, climate extremism, and other woke ideas.
The President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) has shown that
localization at scale is possible within a short time span. Over the four years of the
Trump Administration, the multibillion-dollar program increased the amount
of funding disbursed to local entities from about 25 percent to nearly 70 percent
with positive overall results. This model should be replicated across all of USAID.
In addition, the next conservative Administration should expand use of the New
Partnership Initiative (NPI) to every bureau and office; reset the requirements for
USAID’s overseas missions to craft and execute NPI action plans; and assign each
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Focusing on Holistic Health Care and Support for Women, Children, and
Families. The continued high rate of maternal and infant mortality is a persistent
global tragedy. Contrary to current publicity, this problem is not solved by abortion.
Families genuinely cherish children. The next leadership at USAID must focus
attention on women and children’s health (including unborn children) as well
as health risks across life spans, including childhood infections, cervical cancer,
adolescent risks, and family stability, by utilizing a coordinated approach. The
Bureau should implement a “Request for Application for Resilient Families” that
harvests collaborative funds from siloed programs and makes individuals and the
family, not diseases or conditions, the true focus of intervention.
Increasing USAID Collaboration with Faith-Based Organizations. FBOs
historically have been much more successful in outreach to remote and vulnerable
populations, based on trust built through decades of service. The value of collab-
orating with FBOs was demonstrated in the October 2020 Evidence Summit on
Religious Engagement. In sub-Saharan Africa, FBOs often provide more than 80
percent of health care, especially to the extremely poor. In contrast, the Global
Health Bureau historically has provided 85 percent of its funding to large U.S. NGOs
with significant overhead costs, as a result of which only 20 percent–30 percent of
funding reaches people in need.15
Leveraging the Strength and Experience of Presidential Initiatives. Mil-
lions of people are alive today because of the American people’s investment in
PEPFAR and PMI. The training, laboratory, clinical intervention, health educa-
tion, data collection, and organizational platforms of these programs became the
bedrock for responding to the COVID pandemic. It is time for these programs to
become part of an integrated, strong, and sustainable network of health care and
public health in developing countries. A smooth transition to national ownership
and funding, however, will require better coordination of USAID’s own stovepiped
programs with PEPFAR and PMI.
Strengthening the Collection and Use of Data. Good decisions are based on
accurate data. For decades, global health programs have relied mostly on statis-
tical modeling (rather than actual data) or survey data (the weakest type of data).
Poor data quality undermines both the evaluation and improvement of desired
outcomes achieved by our global health programs. The Trump Administration
implemented critical updates of PEPFAR’s systems for the collection and reporting
of data to increase transparency and hold funded partners and overseas missions
accountable. The next conservative Administration should apply these reforms
to all of USAID’s global health programs.
Strengthening Private-Sector Engagement. The Bureau’s Center for Inno-
vation and Impact (CII) should be empowered to expand networks of private
and faith-based health organizations that can develop projects using develop-
ment-impact bonds, capital funds, and innovative technologies, including with the
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benefits financially from extending and expanding these large-scale programs for
years, even decades, ensures little scrutiny of these ever-increasing appropriations.
The massive growth in “emergency” aid distorts humanitarian responses, wors-
ens corruption in the countries we support, and exacerbates the misery of those
we intend to help. The permanence of this assistance, particularly in countries
where we have little to no in-country presence and must rely on U.N. agencies to
self-monitor, has morphed into a co-governance scheme in which the U.S. govern-
ment effectively finances the social services obligations of corrupt regimes that
threaten the United States. These governments can then redirect scarce budget
resources away from costly health and education toward financing their wars, sup-
porting terrorism, repressing their citizens, and enriching themselves. Examples
of this abuse are spread throughout the world.
l Over the past decade, the U.S. government has expended $14 billion in aid to
Syria where the bloody regime of Bashar al-Assad—a close ally of Iran and
Russia—skims nearly half of foreign aid through inflated official exchange
rates, the diversion of food baskets to its military units, and procurement
arrangements with compromised local contractors.
compete against “free food” while irrigation systems remain in disrepair,
leaving the country to suffer from water shortages during long summer
droughts and flooding during its rainy season. Iran-backed Houthi rebels
divert substantial amounts of aid to support their war efforts.
l In Burma, U.S. aid finances all of the food and medical care for hundreds of
thousands of persecuted Rohingya that the military regime forces to live in
open-air concentration camps.
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l Work with Congress to make deep cuts in the IDA budget by ending
programs that do more harm than good in places controlled by malign
actors, such as in Yemen, Syria, and Afghanistan, where our aid is consumed
by fraud, diversion, and partner overhead costs.
l Require that BHA avail itself of existing IDA authorities that it fails to use,
including to dispense with the cost-reimbursement model that disqualifies
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remittances, and private charities, all demonstrating the power of America’s pri-
vate sector to promote wealth-generating economic development in poor countries.
Leaders in the developing world routinely press U.S. officials about their preference
for “trade and investment, not aid.”
Instead, the Biden Administration is leveraging private-sector financing to
promote its climate and other progressive agendas worldwide. The next conser-
vative Administration must return USAID to a foreign aid model that leverages
its resources to promote private-sector solutions to the world’s true development
problems and end the need for future foreign aid. Private capital investment in
these markets is the greatest enabler of job creation and sustainable economic
growth throughout the developing world.
A key tool of American soft-power leadership is the U.S. Development Finance
Corporation (DFC). Launched in December 2019, DFC sought to unleash the power
of America’s private sector to advance our interests by providing emerging markets
with blended financing opportunities to help end wretched poverty, create new
markets for U.S.-made products, strengthen bilateral partnerships in strategic
parts of the world, and offset China’s predatory loans and investments. The Trump
Administration launched a USAID–DFC Working Group to maximize development
outcomes and review individual investment projects through a counter-China lens
and ensure a cohesive interagency development response.
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should reorient the bulk of F staff from focusing on the formulation of the annual
President’s budget proposal to the execution of already appropriated resources.
This should include eliminating the duplicative Mission and Bureau Resource
Requests; speeding up the availability of appropriations by delivering to Congress
within 60 days the report required by Section 653(a) of the Foreign Assistance Act
(FAA); and fast-tracking the approval of Congressional Notifications (CNs) and
other pre-obligation requirements.
Management Bureau. As indicated previously, the next conservative Admin-
istration should name a political appointee as USAID’s Senior Procurement
Executive and Director of the agency’s Office of Acquisition and Assistance (M/
OAA). Political appointees with the appropriate credentials (including warrants)
should be placed within M/OAA, and the agency should exercise its authority to
engage qualified experts from other federal departments and agencies and outside
of government (if they are free of conflicts of interest) on the Technical Commit-
tees that review applications for USAID’s contract and grant competitions. The
Administration should change the designation of USAID’s Competition Advocate
to an individual favorable to innovative types of contracts that can reduce the aid
oligopoly’s grip on the agency.
Office of Human Capital and Talent Management. As soon as possible after
Inauguration Day, the next conservative Administration should name a political
appointee as USAID’s Chief Human Capital Officer (CHCO) and Director of the
Office of Human Capital and Talent Management. USAID’s White House Liaison
must be an individual with substantial experience with federal personnel sys-
tems. The White House Office of Presidential Personnel should allow the USAID
Administrator to explore with counterparts at the Office of Personnel Management
whether the agency could hire personnel under both the Administratively Deter-
mined authority and Schedule C of the Excepted Service of the Federal Civil Service.
USAID should be one of the agencies to pilot-test a reinstated Executive Order
13957,16 which created a Schedule F within the Excepted Service, and should aggres-
sively recruit and place candidates into term-limited positions under Schedule A
of the Excepted Service (especially veterans). The new CHCO should examine how
the existing members of the Senior Executive Service (SES) at USAID should be
reworked throughout the agency and should institute an SES Mobility Program to
encourage the regular rotation of senior career leaders, including through details
to other departments and agencies.
Bureau for Policy, Planning, and Learning. The next conservative Admin-
istration should shift the policy functions of the Bureau for Policy, Planning, and
Learning (PPL) to the Office of Budget and Resource Management (BRM), located
in the Office of the Administrator. It should rename BRM the Office of Budget,
Policy, and Resource Management (BPRM) and staff the policy team with political
appointees. The Administration should also move the responsibility for reviewing
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and processing proposed changes in USAID’s policy bible, the Automated Direc-
tives System (ADS), from the Management Bureau to the new BPRM.
Even before these changes, the Assistant Administrator for PPL should decree
an immediate freeze on changes in the ADS and agencywide policy documents to
allow for the priority publication of amendments to reflect the new Administra-
tion’s viewpoint. All major agency policies should be reviewed and amended or
withdrawn within the new Administration’s first calendar year in office.
Bureau for Legislative and Public Affairs. The next conservative Admin-
istration should invest no more than 10 percent of USAID’s allocation of
Administratively Determined politically appointed positions in the Bureau for
Legislative and Public Affairs. A priority for these positions (combined with hires
under Schedule A) should be the review and editing of the agency’s public-facing
web pages and social media accounts to eliminate material that does not conform to
the new Administration’s policies. The agency should accelerate the review of Con-
gressional Notifications within LPA and publish all CNs and congressional reports.
To ensure consistency and clarity of public messaging, LPA should gain direct
authority over the communications staff scattered through USAID’s various
Bureaus and Offices. LPA should expand its public-facing efforts to include con-
servative allies that are active in global development and humanitarian aid work,
including industry groups, nonprofits, trade associations, foundations, and advo-
cacy organizations, and correspondingly reduce the aid industrial complex’s grip
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REGIONS
Asia. Asia is the most populous continent and ground zero in the battle against
Communist China’s efforts to exploit the development needs of poor countries for
geopolitical gain. America’s Indo-Pacific Strategy should guide USAID’s approaches
to disbursing foreign aid in the region.
USAID should intensify its bilateral relationships with pro–free market Japan,
Australia, South Korea, and India so that they can jointly advance private-sector
solutions to secure financing for power generation, infrastructure, digital con-
nectivity, investment and trade expansion, and other economic activities. USAID
enjoys a strong in-country presence in India, buttressed by recent coordination
on the global response to COVID-19 as India is a global leader in vaccine produc-
tion. Those ties should be expanded. So too should development cooperation with
Taiwan, which boasts effective pandemic response capacity that should be shared
with developing countries.
China’s island-hopping efforts to capture vulnerable Pacific states is a direct
strategic threat to U.S. maritime supremacy and homeland security, and USAID
and its allied donors should neutralize these efforts through the deployment of
targeted assistance such as helping countries combat the effects of China’s ille-
gal fishing. While China outpaces the ability of the democratic alliance to deploy
state-backed financing to developing countries, it is unable to compete with our
collective private-sector capacity to deploy trillions of dollars of capital.
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l Foreign aid must advance the Abraham Accords. Increased trade and
investment between Israel and its Arab neighbors represent the most
effective path toward reducing poverty, fostering the emergence of a middle
class, and solidifying peace. USAID should therefore focus its development
assistance on countries such as Morocco and Sudan through joint
investment collaboration with the more economically advanced economies
such as the UAE and Israel.
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Africa. Since its inception, USAID has had a strong presence in Africa, saving
millions of lives through its pandemic and infectious disease responses, especially
for malaria and HIV-AIDS. It has led global efforts to provide lifesaving emergency
assistance to those who are fleeing conflict and suffering from devastating natural
disasters. American generosity knows no equal.
Yet the agency’s efforts to reduce poverty and hunger have failed as it spends
ever-higher amounts of aid partnering with a costly and ineffective aid indus-
trial complex that has little interest in “working itself out of a job.” Long-term,
multibillion-dollar humanitarian responses lack exit strategies, while numer-
ous development projects lead neither to measurable results nor to government
reforms. Despite the tens of billions of dollars spent, the continent remains poor,
unstable, and riven with conflict, corruption, and Islamic terrorism. This situation
has also resulted in vast illegal migration from the continent.
Failure to generate wealth has provided opportunities for China to step in and
become the continent’s leader in trade, loans, and investment. As a result, Beijing
controls most of the continent’s strategic minerals that are critical to advanced
technology. Moreover, USAID is criticized by Africans for exporting cultural values
that are anathema to their traditional norms, further abetting Chinese continen-
tal supremacy.
The Biden Administration’s radical global climate policies have cut off billions
in investment to develop clean fossil fuels, denying Africa’s billion-plus people
access to cheap energy to further their own development and finance their own
social services in health, water, education, and agriculture, while increasing its
dependence on China’s renewables industry. It has exacerbated hunger by increas-
ing the costs of fertilizers to levels that many African farmers can no longer afford.
Poverty-inducing dependence on aid grows daily.
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USAID efforts in Africa require a rethink. In 2025, USAID will update its five-
year Country Development and Cooperation Strategies. This will give the next
Administration an opportunity to pursue a new development course for Africa
that promotes economic self-reliance, catalyzes private-sector solutions for job
creation through increased trade and investment, terminates legacy and nonper-
forming programs, and supports diversified energy approaches. Critically, it must
hold China accountable for its extractive investments that violate international
labor, environmental, and anticorruption norms and practices; undercut business
opportunities for U.S. companies; and sabotage Africa’s development.
l The Africa Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA)18 provides Africa duty-
free access to U.S. markets. The next Administration should extend AGOA
beyond its 2025 term but within a strategic framework that rewards good
governance and pro–free market economic policies. There is no point in
wasting massive sums of aid to countries whose governments fail to keep
their promises to reform.
Japan has committed $30 billion in aid to Africa over three years to stem China’s
economic and political grip on the continent. Gulf-based sovereign funds also are
investing billions in African energy, infrastructure, mining, water, food production,
information and communications technology, and other strategic industries. Other
allied donors are promoting investment-based aid. There is no lack of funding to
support Africa’s economic rise. What is lacking is strategic direction among U.S.
government foreign aid agencies.
PEPFAR has saved countless lives over the years and constitutes America’s most
successful aid program. During the Trump Administration, PEPFAR increased the
share of funding to local entities from about 20 percent to nearly 70 percent with
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commensurate improvements that have had lasting impact. The next Administra-
tion should extend that localization model to all global health and humanitarian
assistance in view of how local African entities have strengthened their capacity for
direct management of U.S. programs. Correspondingly, USAID should aggressively
ramp down its partnerships with wasteful, costly, and politicized U.N. agencies,
international NGOs, and Beltway contractors. All new programs in Africa should
build on existing local initiatives that enjoy the support of the African people.
Latin America. U.S. foreign assistance throughout the Western Hemisphere
is designed to respond to national security threats that emanate from the region,
such as illicit drug and arms trafficking; illegal immigration flows; terrorism;
pandemics; and strategic threats from China, Russia, and Iran. Over the past
decade, the United States has provided billions of dollars in security, humani-
tarian, and development assistance in Central America and the Andes, including
$1 billion in food and non-food emergency aid to millions of Venezuelan refu-
gees who have fled the Maduro dictatorship. USAID is always first to respond to
natural disasters in Central America and the Caribbean and employs a network
of dedicated experts in the region to deliver this assistance. During the COVID
pandemic, the United States provided millions of doses of vaccines and other
emergency health support.
Yet years of foreign aid have failed to bring peace, prosperity, and stability to
the hemisphere. Poverty, joblessness, and social unrest have led to leftist electoral
victories from Mexico to Chile. These regimes are hostile to American interests and
private enterprise, breed corruption, implement radical policies that will further
impoverish their people and threaten their democracies, and are more open to
striking partnerships with Communist China. Left-wing authoritarian kleptocra-
cies in Cuba, Nicaragua, and Venezuela deny their people basic freedoms, violently
and ruthlessly suppress any dissent, repress communities of faith, and generate
such misery that hundreds of thousands of their citizens have attempted to cross
our southern border over the past two years. No recent Administration has made
any progress in reducing the chaos and desperation in Haiti.
Conversely, Latin America is a major global source of energy and food, which
generates substantial income that can finance internal social and economic devel-
opment. The nations of the hemisphere share a natural and massive geographic
trade and investment advantage through their proximity to the United States,
supplemented by free-trade agreements. The United States remains the favored
destination for higher education and business opportunities for Latin Americans.
Successful diasporas in the United States serve as powerful economic, cultural,
and political bridges to every country in the region.
The Trump Administration focused on promoting trade and investment,
especially in infrastructure, through an interagency effort called América Crece
(America Grows), by which USAID played a key role in providing technical
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l Challenge the socialist ideas that have captured too many of the region’s
governments and their nations’ youth.
l Fund partnerships with the private sector and support civil-society groups,
including university centers and think tanks that advocate for pro–free
market and democratic ideas.
Finally, Latin America is the perfect proving ground for reducing USAID’s reli-
ance on large U.S.-based implementers, and the agency should commit to shifting
PERSONNEL
The Trump Administration agenda for USAID was undercut from the outset
both by recalcitrant career personnel and by inexperienced political personnel.
The next conservative Administration should implement personnel policies from
the beginning so that the agency can be effectively managed according to high stan-
dards. The rapid deployment of reforms will require key experienced personnel
installed quickly at USAID’s headquarters and missions. Delay will only impede
progress. In general, areas of focus should be appointing effective lawyers in key
positions, reforming career hiring/firing mechanisms, and getting a grip on the
grantmaking process.
The Administration should staff the Office of the General Counsel with at least
four politically appointed attorneys (besides the General Counsel). The General
Counsel should have two political deputies, one of whom should cover Human
Capital and Talent Management (HCTM) and the other the Office of Acquisition
and Assistance (OAA).
The Administration should name a political appointee with long experience in
federal personnel systems as USAID’s Chief Human Capital Officer and Director
of HCTM. This appointee would help to scope and shepherd position descriptions,
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clearances, and other components of the hiring process that are necessary for
immediate onboarding while coordinating with the White House to bring in new
appointees and make internal career employee changes. On Day One, USAID
should halt all agencywide training and replace it with training modules to advance
the President’s agenda.
The Administration should appoint a Senior Accountable Official (SAO) to
report on the agency’s adherence to Administration policy priorities, including on
Protecting Life in Foreign Assistance, critical race theory, climate change, gender,
and diversity and inclusion. It should also create a program to staff hard-to-fill
positions overseas.
Finally, the Administration should create a recruiting program for veterans
and other groups to participate in career job opportunities at USAID. Former mis-
sionaries, veterans, members of diasporas, and faith community stakeholders with
overseas experience should be recruited to work at USAID on Schedule A appoint-
ments, as Institutional Services Contractors, as Personal Services Contractors, and
as Foreign Service Officers.
CONCLUSION
The next conservative Administration will have a unique opportunity to realign
U.S. foreign assistance with American national interests and the principles of good
governance and more accurately reflect the U.S. taxpayer’s unmatched charita-
ble desire to help those in need. It can build on a strong baseline of conservative
reforms undertaken by the Trump Administration to counter Communist China’s
strategy of world domination. However, this will require that bold steps are taken
on Day One to undo the gross misuse of foreign aid by the current Administration
to promote a radical ideology that is politically divisive at home and harms our
global standing.
AUTHOR’S NOTE: The preparation of this chapter was a collective enterprise of individuals involved in
the 2025 Presidential Transition Project. All contributors to this chapter are listed at the front of this volume,
but Dr. William Steiger, Bethany Kozma, and Dr. Alma Golden deserve special mention. The author assumes
full responsibility for the content of this chapter, and no views expressed therein should be attributed to any
other individual.
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ENDNOTES
1. S. 1983, Foreign Assistance Act of 1961, Public Law No. 87-195, 87th Congress, September 4, 1961, https://www.
govinfo.gov/content/pkg/STATUTE-75/pdf/STATUTE-75-Pg424-2.pdf (accessed January 19, 2023).
2. U.S. Agency or International Development, “Journey to Self-Reliance Fact Sheet,” June 3, 2020,
https://2017-2020.usaid.gov/documents/1870/journey-self-reliance-fact-sheet#:~:text=WHAT%20
IS%20THE%20JOURNEY%20TO%20SELF-RELIANCE%3F%20USAID%20is,greater%20
developmentoutcomesandworktowardatimewhenforeignassistanceisnolongernecessary.%20
It%E2%80%99s%20called%20the%20Journey%20to%20Self-Reliance (accessed March 17, 2023).
3. News release, “U.S. Agency for International Development Administrator Mark Green’s Interview with
C-Span’s ‘Newsmakers’ Host Susan Swain and Washington Post’s Carl Morello and Wall Street Journal’s Ben
Kesling,” U.S. Agency for International Development, November 26, 2018, https://2017-2020.usaid.gov/news-
information/press-releases/nov-26-2018-administrator-mark-green-interview-cspan-newsmakers (accessed
March 17, 2023).
4. U.S. Agency for International Development, Digital Strategy 2020–2024, https://www.usaid.gov/sites/default/
files/2022-05/USAID_Digital_Strategy.pdf.pdf://www.usaid.gov/digital-development/usaid-digital-strategy
(accessed March 17, 2023).
5. “U.S. Strategic Framework for the Indo-Pacific,” declassified in part by Assistant to the President for
National Security Affairs Robert C. O’Brien, January 5, 2021, https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/wp-
content/uploads/2021/01/IPS-Final-Declass.pdf (accessed March 18, 2023), and Robert C. O’Brien, Assistant
to the President for National Security Affairs, “A Free and Open Indo-Pacific,” January 5, 2021, https://
trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/OBrien-Expanded-Statement.pdf (accessed
March 18, 2023).
6. News Release, “Fact Sheet: Prioritizing Climate in Foreign Policy and National Security,” The White House,
October 21, 2021, https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2021/10/21/fact-sheet-
prioritizing-climate-in-foreign-policy-and-national-security/ (accessed January 28, 2023).
7. U.S. Agency for International Development, Climate Strategy 2020–2030, April 2022, https://www.usaid.gov/
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16. President Donald J. Trump, Executive Order 13957, “Creating Schedule F in the Excepted Service,” October 21,
2020, in Federal Register, Vol. 85, No. 207 (October 26, 2020), pp. 67631–67635, https://www.govinfo.gov/
content/pkg/FR-2020-10-26/pdf/2020-23780.pdf (accessed March 18, 2023).
17. Prosper Africa, “Increasing Trade & Investment Between the U.S. and African Countries,” https://www.
prosperafrica.gov/ (accessed March 18, 2023).
18. H.R. 434, Trade and Development Act of 2000, Public Law 106-200, 106th Congress, May 18, 2000, Title I,
Subtitle A, https://agoa.info/images/documents/2385/AGOA_legal_text.pdf (accessed March 18, 2023).
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Section Three
W
hen our Founders wrote in the Constitution that the federal government
would
“promote the general Welfare,” they could not have fathomed a
massive
bureaucracy that would someday spend $3 trillion in a single
year—roughly the sum, combined, spent by the departments covered in this section
in 2022. Approximately half of that colossal sum was spent by the Department of
Health and Human Services (HHS) alone—the belly of the massive behemoth that
is the modern administrative state.
HHS is home to Medicare and Medicaid, the principal drivers of our $31 trillion
national debt. When Congress passed and President Lyndon B. Johnson signed
into law these programs, they were set on autopilot with no plan for how to pay
for them. The first year that Medicare spending was visible on the books was 1967.
From that point on through 2020—according to the American Main Street Initia-
tive’s analysis of official federal tallies—Medicare and Medicaid combined cost $17.8
trillion, while our combined federal deficits over that same span were $17.9 trillion.
In essence, our deficit problem is a Medicare and Medicaid problem.
HHS is also home to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
and the National Institutes of Health (NIH), the duo most responsible—along
with President Joe Biden—for the irrational, destructive, un-American mask and
vaccine mandates that were imposed upon an ostensibly free people during the
COVID-19 pandemic. All along, it was clear from randomized controlled trials—
the gold standard of medical research—that masks provide little to no benefit in
preventing the spread of viruses and might even be counterproductive. Yet the
CDC ignored these high-quality RCTs, cherry-picked from politically malleable
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“observational studies,” and declared that everyone except children and infants
below the age of two should don masks. Under COVID, as former director of HHS’s
Office of Civil Rights Roger Severino writes in Chapter 14, the CDC exposed itself
as “perhaps the most incompetent and arrogant agency in the federal government.”
Nor is the CDC the only villain in this play. Severino writes of the National
Institutes of Health, “Despite its popular image as a benign science agency, NIH
was responsible for paying for research in aborted baby body parts, human animal
chimera experiments”—in which the genes of humans and animals are mixed, “and
gain-of-function viral research that may have been responsible for COVID-19.”
Severino writes that “Anthony Fauci’s division of the NIH”—the National Institute
of Allergy and Infectious Diseases—“owns half the patent for the Moderna COVID-
19 vaccine,” and “several NIH employees” receive “up to $150,000 annually from
Moderna vaccine sales.” That would be the same experimental mRNA vaccine that
the CDC now wants to force on children, who are at little to no risk from COVID-19
but at great risk from public health officials.
The incestuous relationship between the NIH, CDC, and vaccine makers—with
all of the conflict of interest it entails—cannot be allowed to continue, and the
revolving door between them must be locked. As Severino writes, “Funding for
scientific research should not be controlled by a small group of highly paid and
unaccountable insiders at the NIH, many of whom stay in power for decades. The
NIH monopoly on directing research should be broken.” What’s more, NIH has long
“been at the forefront in pushing junk gender science.” The next HHS secretary
should immediately put an end to the department’s foray into woke transgen-
der activism.
HHS also pushes abortion as a form of “health care,” skirting and sometimes
blatantly defying the Hyde Amendment in the process. Severino writes that the
“FDA should…reverse its approval of chemical abortion drugs because the polit-
icized approval process was illegal from the start.” In addition, HHS programs
often violate the spirit, and sometimes the letter, of conscience-protection laws.
Severino writes that the HHS “Secretary should pursue a robust agenda to pro-
tect the fundamental right to life, protect conscience rights, and uphold bodily
integrity rooted in biological realities, not ideology.” The next secretary should
also reverse the Biden Administration’s focus on “‘LGBTQ+ equity,’ subsidizing
single-motherhood, disincentivizing work, and penalizing marriage,” replacing
such policies with those encouraging marriage, work, motherhood, fatherhood,
and nuclear families.
If there is another department that has gone off the rails like HHS during the
Obama and Biden Administrations, it is the once proud Department of Justice
(DOJ). As former counselor to the attorney general Gene Hamilton writes in Chap-
ter 17, the department “has a long and noble history”—Edmund Randolph, the
first attorney general, took office the same year as President Washington—yet its
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without any action from Congress.”
Elsewhere, DOJ should target violent and career criminals, not parents; work
to dismantle criminal organizations, partly by rigorously prosecuting interstate
drug activity; and restart the Trump Administration’s “China Initiative” (to address
Chinese espionage and theft of trade secrets), which the Biden Administration “ter-
minated…largely out of a concern for poor ‘optics.’” It should also enforce existing
federal law that prohibits mailing abortifacients, rather than harassing pro-life
demonstrators; respect the constitutional guarantee of the freedom of speech,
rather than trying to police speech on the internet; and enforce federal immigra-
tion laws, rather than pretending there is no border.
In contrast to DOJ’s long history, the Department of Education (the depart-
ment, or ED), discussed by Lindsey Burke in Chapter 11, is a creation of the Jimmy
Carter Administration. The department is a convenient one-stop shop for the woke
education cartel, which—as the COVID era showed—is not particularly concerned
with children’s education. Schools should be responsive to parents, rather than to
leftist advocates intent on indoctrination—and the more the federal government
is involved in education, the less responsive to parents the public schools will be.
This department is an example of federal intrusion into a traditionally state and
local realm. For the sake of American children, Congress should shutter it and
return control of education to the states.
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Short of this, the Secretary of Education should insist that the department
serve parents and American ideals, not advocates whose message is that children
can choose their own sex, that America is “systemically racist,” that math itself
is racist, and that Martin Luther King, Jr.’s ideal of a colorblind society should
be rejected in favor of reinstating a color-conscious society. The next head of
this department will have a lot to do—hopefully culminating in the department’s
closure and the salutary restoration of educational control to states, localities,
and parents.
The next Secretary of Energy will similarly have much work to do. Under the
next President, the Department of Energy should end the Biden Administration’s
unprovoked war on fossil fuels, restore America’s energy independence, oppose
eyesore windmills built at taxpayer expense, and respect the right of Americans
to buy and drive cars of their own choosing, rather than trying to force them
into electric vehicles and eventually out of the driver’s seat altogether in favor of
self-driving robots. As former commissioner of the Federal Energy Regulatory
Commission Bernard L. McNamee says in Chapter 12, “A conservative President
must be committed to unleashing all of America’s energy resources and making
the energy economy serve the American people, not special interests.”
In Chapter 10, Daren Bakst writes that the Biden Administration’s Department
of Agriculture claims to be “transforming the food system as we know it.” But the
government “does not need to transform the food system”; instead, “it should
respect American farmers, truckers,” and families. In Chapter 13, former chief of
staff at the Environmental Protection Agency Mandy Gunasekara writes that the
EPA’s “current activities and staffing levels far exceed its congressional mandates
and purpose,” whereas its “initial success” in its “infancy” (in the 1970s) was a
product of “clear mandates, a streamlined structure, [and] recognition of the states’
prominent role.” Having since become a “coercive” agency, full of embedded activ-
ists, its “structure and mission should be greatly circumscribed.”
Former secretary of the Department of Housing and Urban Development Dr.
Benjamin S. Carson writes in Chapter 15 that HUD is beset with “mission creep”
and regularly crosses the line into exercising quasi-legislative powers. In the next
Administration, it should refocus on its core duties and keep “noncitizens…from
living in federally assisted housing,” provide enhanced “oversight of foreign own-
ership of [U.S.] real estate,” and “reinvigorate paths to upward economic mobility”
and economic “self-sufficiency.” In Chapter 18, former acting assistant secretary
of policy at the Department of Labor Jonathan Berry writes that the department
and related agencies should pursue pro-family, pro-worker policies to help “restore
the family-supporting job as the centerpiece of the American economy,” in lieu of
the current Administration’s “left-wing social-engineering agenda”—“the most
assertive” in history—which empowers race, gender, and climate-change activists
at the expense of American workers.
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— 287 —
10
DEPARTMENT OF
AGRICULTURE
Daren Bakst
A
merican
farmers efficiently and safely produce food to meet the needs of
individuals
around the globe. Because of the innovation and resilience
of the nation’s farmers, American agriculture is a model for the world. If
farmers are allowed to operate without unnecessary government intervention,
American agriculture will continue to flourish, producing plentiful, safe, nutritious,
and affordable food.
The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) can and should play a limited role,
with much of its focus on removing governmental barriers that hinder food pro-
duction or otherwise undermine efforts to meet consumer demand. The USDA
should recognize what should be self-evident: Agricultural production should first
and foremost be focused on efficiently producing safe food.
This chapter provides important background on the USDA and identifies many
of the USDA-specific issues that will be faced by an incoming Administration. It
provides specific recommendations for the next Administration about how to
address these issues and lays out a conservative vision for what the USDA should
look like in the future.
MISSION STATEMENT
The current mission statement as stated by the Biden Administration highlights
the broad scope of the USDA:
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The first part of the mission statement regarding the issues covered is not new
to the Biden Administration; it reflects the overly broad nature of the USDA’s work.
However, the language bringing in equity and climate change is new to the Biden
Administration and part of the USDA’s express effort to transform agricultural
production.2
The USDA’s new vision statement illuminates the focus of this effort:
An equitable and climate smart food and agriculture economy that protects and
improves the health, nutrition and quality of life of all Americans, yields healthy
land, forests and clean water, helps rural America thrive, and feeds the world.3
This effort is one of a federal central plan to put climate change and envi-
ronmental issues ahead of the most important requirements of agriculture—to
efficiently produce safe food. The USDA would apparently use its power to change
the very nature of the food and agriculture economy into one that is “equitable and
climate smart.” As an initial matter, the USDA should not try to control and shape
the economy, but should instead remove obstacles that hinder food production.
Further, it should not place ancillary issues, such as environmental issues, ahead
of agricultural production itself.
A Proper Mission Statement. Even before the Biden Administration’s rad-
ical effort to reshape the USDA’s work, the USDA’s mission was and is too broad,
including serving as a major welfare agency through implementation of programs
such as food stamps. This far-reaching mission is not the fault of the USDA, but of
Congress, which has given the department its extensive power.
Congress must limit the USDA’s role. A proper mission would clarify that the
department’s primary focus is on agriculture and that the USDA serves all Amer-
icans. The USDA’s “client” is the American people in general, not a subset of
interests, such as farmers, meatpackers, environmental groups, etc.
Within this agricultural focus, the USDA should develop and disseminate
information and research (the historical role of the USDA); identify and address
concrete threats to public health and safety arising directly from food and agri-
culture; remove unjustified foreign trade barriers blocking market access for
American agricultural goods; and generally remove government barriers that
undermine access to safe and affordable food across the food supply chain.
Core principles should be included within any mission statement, including
a recognition that farmers, and the food system in general, should be free from
unnecessary government intervention. Further, there should be clear statements
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
about the importance of sound science to inform the USDA’s work and respect for
personal freedom and individual dietary choices, private property rights, and the
rule of law.
Taking these factors into account, below is a model USDA mission statement:
OVERVIEW
In 1862, President Abraham Lincoln signed into law the legislation that created
the USDA.4 The department had a very narrow mission focused on the dissemi-
nation of information connected to agriculture and “to procure, propagate and
distribute among the people new valuable seeds and plants.”5 During the last 160
years, the scope of the USDA’s work has expanded well beyond that narrow mis-
sion—and well beyond agriculture itself. In addition to being a distributor of farm
subsidies, the USDA runs the food stamp program and other food-related wel-
fare programs and covers issues including conservation, biofuels, forestry, and
rural programs.
Based on the USDA’s fiscal year (FY) 2023 budget summary, outlays are esti-
mated at $261 billion: $221 billion for mandatory programs and $39 billion for
discretionary programs.6 These outlays are broken down as follows: nutrition assis-
tance (70 percent); farm, conservation, and commodity programs (14 percent); “all
other,” which includes rural development, research, food safety, marketing and
regulatory, and departmental management (11 percent); and forestry (5 percent).7
The USDA has provided a summary of its size, explaining, “Today, USDA is com-
prised of 29 agencies organized under eight Mission Areas and 16 Staff Offices,
with nearly 100,000 employees serving the American people at more than 6,000
locations across the country and abroad.”8
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The federal government does not need to transform the food system or develop
a national plan to intervene across the supply chain. Instead, it should respect
American farmers, truckers, and everyone who makes the food supply chain so
resilient and successful. One of the important lessons learned during the COVID-
19 pandemic was how critical it is to remove barriers in the food supply chain—not
to increase them.
The Biden Administration’s centrally planned transformational effort mini-
mizes the importance of efficient agricultural production and instead places issues
such as climate change and equity front and center. The USDA’s Strategic Plan
Fiscal Years 2022–2026 identifies six strategic goals, the first three of which focus
on issues such as climate change, renewable energy, and systemic racism. In the
Secretary of Agriculture’s message, there is only one mention of affordable food—
and nothing about efficient production and the incredible innovation and respect
for the environment that already exists within the agricultural community.11
The Biden Administration’s USDA strongly supported12 the recent United
Nations (U.N.) Food Systems Summit. According to the USDA:
The stated goal of the Food Systems Summit was to transform the way the
world produces, consumes and thinks about foods within the context of the
2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and to meet the challenges of
poverty, food security, malnutrition, population growth, climate change, and
natural resource degradation.13
Not unlike those who oppose reliable and affordable energy production, there
is a disdain, especially by some on the Left, for American agriculture and the food
system.14 The Biden Administration’s vision of a federal government developing
a plan that “fixes” agriculture and focuses on issues secondary to food production
is very disturbing.
A recent USDA-created program captures both the disrespect for American
farmers and the Biden Administration’s effort to dictate agricultural practices.
The USDA explained that it was concerned with farmers not transitioning to
organic farming, and therefore announced that it will dedicate $300 million to
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
induce farmers to adopt organic farming.15 There was no recognition that farmers
know how to farm better than D.C. politicians16 or a that organic food is expensive17
and land-intensive.18 The Biden Administration has also been pushing so-called
“climate-smart”19 agricultural practices which received additional support in the
partisan Inflation Reduction Act.20
American agriculture should not need defending. According to the USDA’s latest
data, farm output nearly tripled (a 175 percent increase) from 1948 to 2019, while
the amount of land farmed decreased. In fact, as farm output increased by 175
percent, all agricultural inputs increased by only 4 percent.21
In 2021, despite high food prices—a major problem and regressive—Ameri-
can consumers spent an average of about 10 percent of their personal disposable
income on food, which is close to historic lows. For decades, this share has been in
decline.22 America’s farmers efficiently produce food using fewer resources, making
it possible for food to be affordable. This reality is not only something that should
be defended but also touted as a prime example of what makes American agricul-
ture so successful. The connection between efficiency and affordability seems lost
in the Biden Administration’s effort to transform the food system.
RECOMMENDATIONS
Proactively Defend Agriculture. From the outset, the next Administration
should: Denounce efforts to place ancillary issues like climate change ahead of
food productivity and affordability when it comes to agriculture.
l Remove the U.S. from any association with U.N. and other efforts to push
sustainable-development schemes connected to food production.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
to transforming the food system on its web site and other department-dis-
seminated material, and it should expressly and regularly communicate the
principles informing the objectives listed above, as well as promote these prin-
ciples through legislative efforts. The USDA should also carefully review existing
efforts that involve inappropriately imposing its preferred agricultural practices
onto farmers.
Address the Abuse of CCC Discretionary Authority. With the exception of
federal crop insurance, the Commodity Credit Corporation (CCC) is generally the
means by which agricultural-related farm bill programs are funded. The CCC is a
funding mechanism, which, in simple terms, has $30 billion a year at its disposal.24
Section 5 of the Commodity Credit Corporation Charter Act (Charter Act)25
gives the Secretary of Agriculture broad discretionary authority to spend “unused”
CCC money. However, in general, past Agriculture Secretaries have not used this
power to any meaningful extent. This changed dramatically during the Trump
Administration, when this discretionary authority was used to fund $28 billion
in “trade aid” to farmers, consisting primarily of the Market Facilitation Program.
In 2020, this authority was used for $20.5 billion in food purchases and income
subsidies in response to the COVID-19 pandemic.26
At the time, critics warned that this use of the CCC, which in effect created a
USDA slush fund, would lead future Administrations to abuse the CCC, such as
by pushing climate-change policies.27 Predictably, this is precisely what the Biden
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l Limit spending to directly help farmers and ranchers address issues due
to unforeseen events not already covered by existing programs and that
constitute genuine emergencies that must be addressed immediately.
l Prohibit the CCC from being used to assist parties beyond farmers and ranchers.
Tighten the discretion within section 5 and identify ways for improper
l
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
support went to just six commodities—corn, cotton, peanuts, rice, soybeans, and
wheat—that together account for only 28 percent of farm receipts.32 Although many
farmers do not receive much in the way of subsidies, especially those in the areas
of livestock and specialty crops (fruit, vegetable, and nuts),33 there are still a sig-
nificant number of farmers growing row crops like corn and cotton that do receive
significant farm subsidies.
The primary subsidy programs include the Agriculture Risk Coverage (ARC)
program,34 the Price Loss Coverage (PLC) program,35 and the federal crop insur-
ance program.36 Farmers can participate on a crop-by-crop basis in the ARC
program or the PLC program. These programs cover about 20 different crops.37 The
ARC program protects farmers from what are referred to as “shallow” losses, pro-
viding payments when their actual revenues fall below 86 percent of the expected
revenues for their crops.38 The PLC program provides payments to farmers when
commodity prices fall below a fixed, statutorily established reference price.39
The federal crop insurance program is broader in scope than ARC and PLC,
and in crop year 2019 covered 124 commodities.40 Farmers pay a portion of a
premium to participate in the program. Taxpayers on average pay about 60 per-
cent41 of the premium. As explained by CRS, “Revenue Protection was the most
frequently purchased policy type in 2019, accounting for almost 70 [percent] of
policies purchased.”42
While there are certainly other subsidy programs besides ARC, PLC, and federal
crop insurance, one program that deserves special mention is the federal sugar
program. This program, unlike most other subsidy programs, intentionally tries
to restrict supply43 and thereby drives up prices. The program costs consumers as
much as $3.7 billion a year.44
When it comes to reforming subsidy programs, the next Administration will
primarily have to look to legislative solutions. The next Administration should
champion legislation that would:
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l Stop paying farmers twice for price and revenue losses during the
same year. Farmers can receive support from the ARC or PLC programs
and the federal crop insurance program to cover price declines and revenue
shortfalls during the same year. Congress should prohibit this duplication by
prohibiting farmers from receiving an ARC or PLC payment the same year
they receive a crop insurance indemnity.
CBO has found that reducing the premium subsidy to 47 percent would
save $8.1 billion over 10 years and have little impact on crop insurance
participation or on the number of covered acres.49 In that analysis, there
would be a reduction in insured acres of just one-half of 1 percent, and
only 1.5 percent of acres would have lower coverage levels. 50 This reform
is basically all benefit with little to no cost. In its recently released report
identifying options to reduce the federal deficit, CBO found that reducing
the premium subsidy to 40 percent would save $20.9 billion over 10 years.51
The farm bill too often is developed behind closed doors and without any
chance for real reform. The White House, given the power of the bully pulpit,
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Move the Work of the Food and Nutrition Service. The USDA implements
many means-tested federal support programs, including the largest food assis-
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Even in a strong economy, work expectations are fairly limited: Individuals
who are work-capable and without dependents are required to work or
prepare for work for 20 hours per week.58 The work requirements are then
implemented unless the state requests a waiver from the USDA’s Food and
Nutrition Services.59 Waivers from statutory work requirements can be
approved in two instances: an unemployment rate of more than 10 percent
or a lack of sufficient jobs.60
Under the new rule, in order to waive the work requirement, the state’s
unemployment rate had to be above 6 percent for more than 24 months.
The rule also defined “area” in such a way that states would be unable to
combine non-contiguous counties in order to maximize their waivers.62 Of
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the more than 40 million food stamp beneficiaries, the Trump rule would
have applied only to 688,000 individuals in fiscal year 2021.63
The Trump reform was scheduled to go into effect, but a D.C. district court
federal judge enjoined the rule.64 The USDA filed an appeal in late December
2020,65 but the Biden Administration withdrew from defending the
challenge, and the rule was never implemented.66
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Although the 2018 farm bill instructed FNS to update the Thrifty Food Plan
by 2023 and every five years thereafter, every previous Thrifty Food Plan
has been always cost-neutral ( just an inflation update)—exactly what CBO
estimated as cost of the 2018 farm bill.74
The 2014 farm bill tightened this loophole by requiring that a household must
receive more than $20 annually in LIHEAP payments to be eligible for the larger
utility deduction and subsequently higher food stamp benefits.76 Nonetheless,
states continue to inflate their standard utility allowances. Under the Trump
Administration, the USDA proposed a rule, which was not finalized, that would
have standardized the utility allowance.77
Reform WIC. Turning to WIC, this program distributes money through EBT
cards to help low-income women, infants, and children under six purchase nutri-
tion-rich foods and nutrition education (including breastfeeding support). As of
August 2022, approximately 6.3 million people participated in WIC each month
to purchase food.78 In 2021, WIC federal outlays were $5 billion.79
The next Administration should:
l Reform the state voucher system. State agencies control WIC costs
by approving only one brand of infant formula through competitive
bidding for infant formula rebate contracts. Because 50 percent of baby
formula is purchased through the federal WIC program, it is vital that
regulation for these competitive bidding contracts does not unintentionally
create monopolies.
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Return to the Original Purpose of School Meals. Federal meal programs for
K–12 students were created to provide food to children from low-income families
while at school.81 Today, however, federal school meals increasingly resemble enti-
tlement programs that have strayed far from their original objective and represent
an example of the ever-expanding federal footprint in local school operations.
The NSLP and SBP are the two largest K–12 meal programs provided by federal
taxpayer money. The NSLP launched in 1946 and the SBP in 1966, both as options
specifically for children in poverty.82 During the COVID-19 pandemic, federal
policymakers temporarily expanded access to school meal programs, but some
lawmakers and federal officials have now proposed making this expansion per-
manent.83 Yet even before the pandemic, research found that federal officials had
already expanded these programs to serve children from upper-income homes,
and these programs are rife with improper payments and inefficiencies.
Heritage Foundation research from 2019 found that after the enactment of
the Community Eligibility Provision (CEP) in 2010, the share of students from
middle- and upper-income homes receiving free meals in states that participated in
CEP doubled, and in some cases tripled—all in a program meant for children from
families with incomes at or below 185 percent of the federal poverty line (Children
from homes at or below 130 percent of the federal poverty line are eligible for free
lunches, while students from families at or below 185 percent of poverty are eligible
for reduced-priced lunches).84
Under CEP, if 40 percent of students in a school or school district are eligible for
federal meals, all students in that school or district can receive free meals. However,
the USDA has taken it even further, improperly interpreting the law85 to allow a
subset of schools within a district to be grouped together to reach the 40 percent
threshold, As a result, a school with zero low-income students could be grouped
together with schools with high levels of low-income students, and as a result all
the students in the schools within that group (even schools without a single low-in-
come student) can receive free federal meals.86 Schools can direct resources meant
for students in poverty to children from wealthier families.
Furthermore, the NSLP and SBP are among the most inaccurate federal
programs according to PaymentAccuracy.gov, a project of the U.S. Office of Man-
agement and Budget and the Office of the Inspector General.87 Before federal
auditors reduced the rigor of annual reporting requirements in 2018, the NSLP
had wasted nearly $2 billion in taxpayer resources through payments provided to
ineligible recipients.88 Even after the auditing changes, which the U.S. Government
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Accountability Office said results in the USDA not “regularly assess[ing] the pro-
grams’ fraud risks,” the NSLP wasted nearly $500 million in FY 2021.89 The SBP
now wastes nearly $200 million annually.90
Despite the ongoing effort to expand school meals under CEP and the evidence
of waste and inefficiency, left-of-center Members of Congress and President Biden’s
Administration have nonetheless proposed further expansions to extend federal
school meals to include every K–12 student—regardless of need.91 The Administra-
tion recently proposed expanding federal school meal programs offered during the
school year to be offered during the summer as part of the “American Families Plan,”
and also proposed expanding CEP. Other federal officials, including Senator Bernie
Sanders (I–VT), have, in recent years, proposed expanding the NSLP to all students.92
To serve students in need and prevent the misuse of taxpayer money, the next
Administration should focus on students in need and reject efforts to transform
federal school meals into an entitlement program.
Specifically, the next Administration should:
l Work with lawmakers to eliminate CEP. The NSLP and SBP should be
directed to serve children in need, not become an entitlement for students
from middle- and upper-income homes. Congress should eliminate CEP.
Further, the USDA should not provide meals to students during the summer
unless students are taking summer-school classes. Currently, students can
get meals from schools even if they are not in summer school, which has, in
effect, turned school meals into a federal catering program.93
Federal school meals should be focused on children in need, and any efforts
to expand student eligibility for federal school meals to include all K–12 students
should be soundly rejected. Such expansion would allow an inefficient, wasteful
program to grow, magnifying the amount of wasted taxpayer resources.
Reform Conservation Programs. Farmers, in general, are excellent stewards
of the land, if not for moral or ethical considerations, then out of self-interest to
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make sure their land and—by extension, their livelihoods—remain intact. Farmers
are often called the original conservationists.94
When evaluating federal conservation programs, it is important to remember
the importance of the land to farmers. In terms of USDA federal conservation
programs, both the USDA’s Farm Service Agency (FSA) and Natural Resources
Conservation Service (NRCS) oversee numerous programs.95
As a general matter, the next Administration should ensure that these programs
address genuine and specific environmental concerns with a focus on currently
existing environmental problems, not those that are speculative in nature. These
conservation programs should have clearly identifiable goals, with the success or
failure of these programs being directly measurable. Any assistance to farmers to
take specific actions should not be provided unless the assistance will directly and
clearly help to address a specific environmental problem. Further, any assistance
to encourage farmers to engage in certain practices should only be provided if
farmers would not have adopted the practices in the first place.
There are specific issues that the next Administration should address. The
Conservation Reserve Program,96 which is run by FSA, pays farmers to not farm
some of their land. This program has recently received attention, as agricultural
groups rightfully seek to farm without penalty voluntarily idled land, in light of
the consequences to food prices of Russia invading Ukraine.97
There is also a need to reform USDA’s conservation easements. These easements
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and to require instead that each farm (as a function of eligibility) must have
created a general best practices plan. Such a plan could be approved by the
local county Soil and Water Conservation District (SWCD). The local SWCD
commissioners are elected by their peers in each respective county and are
better suited than the NRCS to provide guidance for farm operations in
their respective jurisdictions.
facilities may only be sold in intrastate commerce, with limited exceptions. 101
This is despite the fact that states with USDA-approved inspection programs
must meet and enforce requirements that are “at least equal to” those imposed
under the Federal Meat and Poultry Products Inspection Acts and the Humane
Methods of Slaughter Act of 1978.102 This is an unnecessary regulatory barrier
that makes it difficult to get meat and poultry into interstate commerce to create
more options for consumers and farmers. Legislation entitled the New Mar-
kets for State-Inspected Meat and Poultry Act of 2021 would help to remove
this obstacle.103
The next Administration should:
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programs,104 and they focus on research and promotion of commodities such as beef
and eggs. Marketing orders cover research and promotion, but also cover issues
such as quality regulations and volume controls. The latter issue, volume controls,
is a means to restrict supply, which drives up prices for consumers. Fortunately,
there are few active volume controls.105
Marketing orders and checkoff programs are some of the most egregious pro-
grams run by the USDA. They are, in effect, a tax—a means to compel speech—and
government-blessed cartels. Instead of getting private cooperation, they are tools
for industry actors to work with government to force cooperation.
The next Administration should:
Focus on Trade Policy, Not Trade Promotion. The USDA’s Foreign Agri-
cultural Service (FAS) covers numerous issues, including “trade policy,” which
is a reference to removing trade barriers, among other things, to ensure an envi-
ronment conducive to trade.108 It also covers trade promotion.109 This includes
programs like the Market Access Program110 that subsidizes trade associations,
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businesses, and other private entities to market and promote their products
overseas. FAS should play a proactive and leading role to help open upmarkets
for American farmers and ranchers. There are numerous barriers, such as sani-
tary and phytosanitary measures, blocking American agricultural products from
gaining access to foreign markets.111 However, FAS should not help businesses and
industries promote their exports, something these businesses and industries can
and should do on their own.
The next Administration should:
a federal mandate to label genetically engineered food.113 This legislation was argu-
ably just a means to try to provide a negative connotation to GE food. There are
other challenges as well for agricultural biotechnology. For example, Mexico plans
to ban the importation of U.S. genetically modified yellow corn.114
The next Administration should:
l Counter scare tactics and remove obstacles. The USDA should strongly
counter scare tactics regarding agricultural biotechnology and adopt
policies to remove unnecessary barriers to approvals and the adoption of
biotechnology.
l Repeal the federal labeling mandate. The USDA should work with
Congress to repeal the federal labeling law, while maintaining federal
preemption, and stress that voluntary labeling is allowed.
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the behavior of wildfire because there would be less biomass. Timber sales and
timber harvested in public forests dropped precipitously in the early 1990s and
still remain very low. For example, in 1988, the volume of timber sold and harvested
by volume was about 11 billion and 12.6 billion board feet (BBF), respectively.121 In
2021, timber sold was 2.8 BBF and timber harvested was 2.4 BBF.
In 2018, President Donald Trump issued Executive Order 13855 to, among
other things, promote active management of forests and reduce wildfire risks.122
The executive order stated, “Active management of vegetation is needed to treat
these dangerous conditions on Federal lands but is often delayed due to challenges
associated with regulatory analysis and current consultation requirements.”123 It
further explained the need to reduce regulatory obstacles to fuel reduction in
forests created by the National Environmental Policy Act and the Endangered
Species Act.124
The next Administration should:
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The next Administration should:
ORGANIZATIONAL ISSUES
Based on the recommended reforms identified as ideal solutions, the USDA
would look different in many respects. One of the biggest changes would be a USDA
that is not focused on welfare, given that means-tested welfare programs would
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be moved to HHS. The Food and Nutrition Service that administers the food and
nutrition programs would be eliminated.
The Farm Service Agency, which administers many of the farm subsidy pro-
grams, would be significantly smaller in size if the ideal farm subsidy reforms
were adopted.
Most important, a conservative USDA, as envisioned, would not be used as a
governmental tool to transform the nation’s food system, but instead would respect
the importance of efficient agricultural production and ensure that the government
does not hinder farmers and ranchers from producing an abundant supply of safe
and affordable food.
For a conservative USDA to become a reality, and for it to stay on course with
the mission as outlined, the White House must strongly support these reforms and
install strong USDA leaders. These individuals almost certainly will be faced with
opposition from some in the agricultural community who would fight changing
subsidies in any fashion, although many of the reforms would likely be embraced
by those in agriculture.
There would be strong opposition from environmental groups and others who
want the federal government to transform American agriculture to meet their ideo-
logical objectives. Finally, there would be opposition from left-of-center groups
who do not want to reform SNAP and would expand welfare and dependency—such
as through universal free school meals—as opposed to reducing dependency.
Reducing the scope of government and promoting individual freedom may not
always be easy, but it is something that conservatives regularly should strive for.
The listed reforms to the U.S. Department of Agriculture would help to accom-
plish these objectives and are well worth fighting for to achieve a freer and more
prosperous nation.
CONCLUSION
This chapter started with a discussion of the incredible success of American
farmers and American agriculture in general. This is how the chapter should close
as well. Americans are blessed with an agricultural sector, and a food system in
general, which are worthy of incredible respect. A conservative USDA should
appreciate this while recognizing that its role is to serve the interests of all Amer-
icans, not special interests. By being a champion of unleashing the potential of
American agriculture, a conservative USDA would help to ensure a future with
an abundant supply of safe and affordable food for individuals and families in the
United States and across the globe.
AUTHOR’S NOTE: The author would like to thank all the contributors for their assistance, expertise, and insight
into the development of this chapter. In addition, special thanks are due to Rachael Wilfong, who was instrumental
in getting the chapter ready for submission.
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ENDNOTES
1. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Fiscal Year 2023 Budget Summary, p.1, https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/
files/documents/2023-usda-budget-summary.pdf (accessed December 14, 2022).
2. See, for example, U.S. Department of Agriculture, “Transforming the U.S. Food System,” https://www.usda.
gov/fst (accessed December 14, 2022).
3. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Fiscal Year 2023 Budget Summary, p.1.
4. U.S. Department of Agriculture, “USDA Celebrates 150 Years,” https://www.usda.gov/our-agency/about-usda/
history (accessed December 16, 2022).
5. The law stated, “[T]here is hereby established at the seat of government of the United States a Department
of Agriculture, the general designs and duties of which shall be to acquire and to diffuse among the people
of the United States useful information on subjects connected with agriculture in the most general and
comprehensive sense of that word, and to procure, propagate, and distribute among the people new and
valuable seeds and plants.” Gladys L. Baker et al., Century of Service: The First 100 Years of the United States
Department of Agriculture, (Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1963) p. 13, https://babel.
hathitrust.org/cgi/pt?id=uc1.b4254098&view=1up&seq=33 (accessed December 16, 2022).
6. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Fiscal Year 2023 Budget Summary, p. 2.
7. Ibid., p. 2.
8. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Strategic Plan: Fiscal Years 2022–2026, p. 3, https://www.usda.gov/sites/
default/files/documents/usda-fy-2022-2026-strategic-plan.pdf (accessed December 14, 2022).
9. News release, “USDA Announces Framework for Shoring Up the Food Supply Chain and Transforming the
Food System to Be Fairer, More Competitive, More Resilient,” U.S. Department of Agriculture, June 1, 2022,
https://www.usda.gov/media/press-releases/2022/06/01/usda-announces-framework-shoring-food-supply-
chain-and-transforming (accessed December 14, 2022).
10. U.S. Department of Agriculture, “Transforming the U.S. Food System.”
11. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Strategic Plan: Fiscal Years 2022–2026, pp. 1–2.
12. U.S. Department of Agriculture, “Background on the U.S. Approach to the 2021 UN Food Systems Summit,”
August 4, 2021, https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/Background-on-US-approach-2021-UN-
Food-Systems-Summit.pdf (accessed December 14, 2022).
13. U.S. Department of Agriculture, “UN Food Systems Summit,” https://www.usda.gov/oce/sustainability/un-
summit (accessed December 14, 2022).
14. Mark Bittman et al., “How a National Food Policy Could Save Millions of American Lives,” The Washington
Post, November 7, 2014, https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/how-a-national-food-policy-could-
save-millions-of-american-lives/2014/11/07/89c55e16-637f-11e4-836c-83bc4f26eb67_story.html (accessed
December 14, 2022); Daren Bakst and Gabriella Beaumont-Smith, “No, We Don’t Need to Transform the
American Food System,” The Daily Signal, February 26, 2021, https://www.dailysignal.com/2021/02/26/
no-we-dont-need-to-transform-the-american-food-system/ (accessed December 14, 2022); and Daren
Bakst, “Biden’s Food Conference Should Put People First, Not Environmental Extremism,” The Daily Signal,
September 22, 2022, https://www.dailysignal.com/2022/09/22/bidens-food-conference-should-put-people-
first-not-environmental-extremism/ (accessed December 14, 2022).
15. News release, “USDA to Invest Up to $300 Million in New Organic Transition Initiative,” U.S. Department of
Agriculture, August 22, 2022, https://www.usda.gov/media/press-releases/2022/08/22/usda-invest-300-
million-new-organic-transition-initiative (accessed December 14, 2022).
16. Gary Baise, “Sri Lanka’s Green New Deal Was a Disaster,” Farm Futures, November 14, 2022, https://www.
farmprogress.com/commentary/sri-lankas-green-new-deal-was-disaster (accessed December 16, 2022).
17. See, for example, Catherine Greene et al., “Growing Organic Demand Provides High-Value Opportunities for Many
Types of Producers,” Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, February 6, 2017, https://www.
ers.usda.gov/amber-waves/2017/januaryfebruary/growing-organic-demand-provides-high-value-opportunities-
for-many-types-of-producers/#:~:text=ERS%20research%20shows%20that%20many,flavor%20desired%20
by%20the%20consumer (accessed December 14, 2022), and Andrea Carlson, “Investigating Retail Price Premiums
for Organic Foods,” Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, May 24, 2016, https://www.ers.
usda.gov/amber-waves/2016/may/investigating-retail-price-premiums-for-organic-foods/ (accessed December
16, 2022). Further, there are many myths, such as those regarding the alleged health benefit of organic food. One
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meta study found that “[t]he published literature lacks strong evidence that organic foods are significantly more
nutritious than conventional foods.” Crystal Smith-Spangler et al., “Are Organic Foods Safer or Healthier Than
Conventional Alternatives,” Annals of Internal Medicine, Vol. 157, No. 5 (September 4, 2012), pp. 348–366, https://
www.acpjournals.org/doi/epdf/10.7326/0003-4819-157-5-201209040-00007 (accessed December 16, 2022).
18. Steve Savage, “USDA Data Confirm Organic Yields Significantly Lower Than With Conventional Farming,”
Genetic Literacy Project, February 16, 2018, https://geneticliteracyproject.org/2018/02/16/usda-data-confirm-
organic-yields-dramatically-lower-conventional-farming/ (accessed December 16, 2022).
19. See, for example, U.S. Department of Agriculture, “Notice: Climate-Smart Agriculture and Forestry
Partnership Program, Request for Comments,” USDA–2021–0010, October 21, 2021, https://www.regulations.
gov/document/USDA-2021-0010-0001 (accessed December 16, 2022).
20. Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, Public Law 117–169.
21. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, “Productivity Growth in U.S. Agriculture
(1948–2019),” https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/agricultural-productivity-in-the-u-s/productivity-
growth-in-u-s-agriculture-1948-2019/ (accessed December 14, 2022).
22. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, “Total Food Budget Share Increased from 9.4
Percent of Disposable Income to 10.3 Percent in 2021,” July 15, 2022, https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/
chart-gallery/gallery/chart-detail/?chartId=76967 (accessed December 14, 2022).
23. U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, “Quintiles of Income Before Taxes: Annual Expenditure
Means, Shares, and Standard Errors, and Coefficients of Variation, Consumer Expenditure Surveys,” 2021,
Table 1101, https://www.bls.gov/cex/tables/calendar-year/mean-item-share-average-standard-error/cu-
income-quintiles-before-taxes-2021.pdf (accessed December 16, 2022), and Daren Bakst and Patrick Tyrrell,
“Big Government Policies That Hurt the Poor and How to Address Them,” Heritage Foundation Special Report
No.176, April 5, 2017, p. 7, https://www.heritage.org/sites/default/files/2017-04/SR176.pdf.
24. Daren Bakst and Joshua Sewell, “Congress Should Stop Abrogating Its Spending Power and Rein in the USDA
Slush Fund,” Heritage Foundation Issue Brief No. 6052, February 19, 2021, p. 2, https://www.heritage.org/
budget-and-spending/report/congress-should-stop-abrogating-its-spending-power-and-rein-the-usda.
25. Commodity Credit Corporation Charter Act of 1948, Public Law 80–806.
26. Bakst and Sewall, “Congress Should Stop Abrogating Its Spending Power.”
27. Ibid., p. 3.
28. Daren Bakst, “Comment from Bakst, Darren” on “Notice: Climate-Smart Agriculture and Forestry Partnership
Program, Request for Comments,” USDA–2021–0010, October 21, 2021,” November 1, 2021, https://www.
regulations.gov/document/USDA-2021-0010-0001/comment?filter=bakst (accessed December 16, 2022).
29. U.S. Department of Agriculture, “Notice: Climate-Smart Agriculture and Forestry Partnership Program.”
30. Megan Stubbs, “The Commodity Credit Corporation (CCC),” Congressional Research Service Report for
Congress, updated January 14, 2021, https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R44606 (accessed
December 16, 2022).
31. “Overall, 34 percent of all farms reported receiving some type of Government payment in 2021,” and “[o]verall,
14 percent of U.S. farms participated in Federal crop insurance programs.” Christine Whitt, Noah Miller, and
Ryan Olver, “America’s Farms and Ranches at a Glance: 2022 Edition,” U.S. Department of Agriculture,
Economic Research Service, pp. 24 and 26, https://www.ers.usda.gov/webdocs/publications/105388/eib-247.
pdf?v=527.4 (accessed March 18, 2023). This data, which apparently does not cover crop insurance, included
payments beyond just commodity payments, such as conservation payments.
32. Randy Schnepf, “Farm Safety-Net Payments Under the 2014 Farm Bill: Comparison by Program Crop,”
Congressional Research Service Report for Congress, August 11, 2017, https://fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R44914.pdf
(accessed December 14, 2022).
33. Although livestock and specialty crop producers do receive some subsidies, former American Farm Bureau
Federation President Bob Stallman captured the subsidy issue well. He “dismisse[d] outright the claim that
farmers couldn’t survive without subsidy money. ‘Why does the livestock industry survive without subsidies?’
he ask[ed]. ‘Why does the specialty crop [fruit and vegetable] industry survive?’” Tamar Haspel, “Why Do
Taxpayers Subsidize Rich Farmers?” The Washington Post, March 15, 2018, https://www.washingtonpost.
com/lifestyle/food/why-do-taxpayers-subsidize-rich-farmers/2018/03/15/50e89906-27b6-11e8-b79d-
f3d931db7f68_story.html (accessed March 18, 2023).
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34. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Farm Service Agency, “ARC/PLC Program,” https://www.fsa.usda.gov/
programs-and-services/arcplc_program/index (accessed December 16, 2022).
35. Ibid.
36. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, “Crop Insurance at a Glance,” May 31, 2022,
https://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/farm-practices-management/risk-management/crop-insurance-at-a-glance/
(accessed December 16, 2022).
37. U.S. Department of Agriculture, “Agriculture Risk Coverage (ALC) & Price Loss Coverage (PLC),” Farm
Service Agency Fact Sheet, August 2019, https://www.fsa.usda.gov/Assets/USDA-FSA-Public/usdafiles/
FactSheets/2019/arc-plc_overview_fact_sheet-aug_2019.pdf (accessed December 16, 2022).
38. See, for example, U.S Department of Agriculture, Farm Service Agency, Agriculture Risk Coverage and Price
Loss Coverage Handbook, last amended October 5, 2020, https://www.fsa.usda.gov/Internet/FSA_File/1-
arcplc_r01_a10.pdf (accessed March 18, 2023); Mesbah Motamed, “Federal Commodity Programs Price Loss
Coverage and Agriculture Risk Coverage Address Price Yield Risks Faced by Producers,” U.S. Department
of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, August 6, 2018, https://www.ers.usda.gov/amber-waves/2018/
august/federal-commodity-programs-price-loss-coverage-and-agriculture-risk-coverage-address-price-
and-yield-risks-faced-by-producers/ (accessed March 18, 2023); and Taxpayers for Common Sense, “Shallow
Loss Agriculture Programs 101,” https://www.taxpayer.net/agriculture/shallow-loss-agriculture-programs-101/
(accessed March 18, 2023).
39. Ibid.
40. Stephanie Rosch, “Federal Crop Insurance: A Primer,” Congressional Research Service Report for Congress,
February 18, 2021, p. 1, https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R46686 (December 14, 2021).
41. Congressional Budget Office, Options for Reducing the Deficit, 2023 to 2032: Volume II; Smaller Reductions,
December 2022, p. 6, https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2022-12/58163-budget-options-small-effects.pdf
(accessed December 14, 2022).
42. Rosch, “Federal Crop Insurance: A Primer,” p. 17.
43. “Farm Bill Primer: Sugar Program,” Congressional Research Service In Focus, updated May 15, 2018, https://
www.everycrsreport.com/files/2018-05-15_IF10689_42900e56be67f5cfa17e40953ad9acb54561d3db.pdf
(accessed December 16, 2022).
44. See, for example, Agralytica, “Economic Effects of the Sugar Program Since the 2008 Farm Bill & Policy
Implications for the 2013 Farm Bill,” June 3, 2013, p. 1, https://fairsugarpolicy.org/wordpress/wp-content/
uploads/2018/03/AgralyticaEconomicEffectsPaperJune2013.pdf (accessed December 16, 2022).
45. U.S. Department of Labor, “Quintiles of Income Before Taxes,” and Bakst and Tyrrell, “Big Government Policies
That Hurt the Poor and How to Address Them.”
46. Congressional Budget Office, Options for Reducing the Deficit, 2023 to 2032, p. 3. See also Congressional
Budget Office, “Reduce Subsidies in the Crop Insurance Program,” in Congressional Budget Office, “Options
for Reducing the Deficit: 2021 to 2030,” December 9, 2020, https://www.cbo.gov/budget-options/56815
(accessed December 14, 2022).
47. Congressional Budget Office, Options for Reducing the Deficit, 2023 to 2032, p. 6.
48. “Reduce Premium Subsidies in the Federal Crop Insurance Program,” Budget Blueprint for Fiscal Year 2023,
https://www.heritage.org/budget/pages/recommendations/2.350.171.html.
49. Congressional Budget Office, “Reduce Subsidies in the Crop Insurance Program.”
50. Ibid.
51. Congressional Budget Office, Options for Reducing the Deficit, 2023 to 2032, p. 6.
52. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Food and Nutrition Service, “Center for Nutrition Policy and Promotion
(CNPP),” https://www.fns.usda.gov/cnpp (accessed December 16, 2022), and U.S. Department of
Agriculture, “About CNPP,” Food and Nutrition Service, https://www.fns.usda.gov/about-cnpp (accessed
December 16, 2022).
53. Dietary Guidelines for Americans, “Purpose of the Dietary Guidelines,” https://www.dietaryguidelines.gov/
about-dietary-guidelines/purpose-dietary-guidelines (accessed December 16, 2022).
54. Robert Rector and Vijay Menon, “Understanding the Hidden $1.1 Trillion Welfare System and How to Reform
It,” Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 3294, April 5, 2018, https://www.heritage.org/welfare/report/
understanding-the-hidden-11-trillion-welfare-system-and-how-reform-it.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
55. U.S. Department of Agriculture, “SNAP Data Tables,” Food and Nutrition Service, December 9, 2022, https://
www.fns.usda.gov/pd/supplemental-nutrition-assistance-program-snap (accessed December 16, 2022).
56. Ibid.
57. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Food and Nutrition Service, “SNAP Work Requirements,” May 2019, https://
www.fns.usda.gov/snap/work-requirements#:~:text=Work%20at%20least%2080%20hours,least%2080%20
hours%20a%20month (accessed December 16, 2022).
58. 7 U.S. Code § 2015, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/7/2015 (accessed December 16, 2022).
59. Ibid.
60. 7 U.S. Code § 2015(o)(4). The USDA has approved nearly all waivers under the “lack of sufficient jobs” option.
61. Federal Register, Vol. 84, No. 234 (December 5, 2019) p. 66782, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-
2019-12-05/pdf/2019-26044.pdf (accessed December 14, 2022).
62. Ibid., p. 66795.
63. Ibid., pp. 66807–66810.
64. District of Columbia, et al. v. U.S. Department of Agriculture, 496 F. Supp. 3d 213 (2020), https://oag.dc.gov/
sites/default/files/2020-10/SNAP-ABAWD-Opinion.pdf (accessed December 16, 2022).
65. Ibid. On December 16, 2020, the Trump Administration appealed the District Court decision. See, for example,
News release “Fudge Slams Administration for Appealing ABAWD Ruling,” House Committee on Agriculture,
December 16, 2020, https://agriculture.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2069 (accessed
December 16, 2022).
66. News release, “Statement by Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack on D.C. Circuit Court’s Decision
Regarding ABAWDs Rule,” U.S. Department of Agriculture, March 24, 2021, https://www.usda.gov/media/
press-releases/2021/03/24/statement-agriculture-secretary-tom-vilsack-dc-circuit-courts (accessed
December 16, 2022).
67. U.S. Department of Agriculture, “SNAP Employment and Training Screening and Referral Guidance,” July 13,
2022, https://www.fns.usda.gov/snap/et-screening-and-referral-guidance (accessed December 16, 2022).
68. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Food and Nutrition Service, “Regulatory Reform at a Glance: Proposed Rule;
— 314 —
2025 Presidential Transition Project
79. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Food and Nutrition Service, “WIC Data Tables,” December 9, 2022, https://
www.fns.usda.gov/pd/wic-program (accessed December 16, 2022).
80. U.S. Food and Drug Administration, “Regulations and Information on the Manufacture and Distribution of
Infant Formula,” May 16, 2022, https://www.fda.gov/food/infant-formula-guidance-documents-regulatory-
information/regulations-and-information-manufacture-and-distribution-infant-formula (accessed
December 14, 2022).
81. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Food and Nutrition Service, “History of the National School Lunch Program,”
January 17, 2008, https://www.fns.usda.gov/nslp/program-history (accessed December 14, 2022).
82. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Food and Nutrition Service, “School Breakfast Program History,” July 24,
2013, https://www.fns.usda.gov/sbp/program-history (accessed December 14, 2022), and U.S. Department of
Agriculture, Food and Nutrition Service, “History of the National School Lunch Program.”
83. Crystal FitzSimons, “Free School Meals for All Is the Key to Supporting Education and Health Outcomes,”
Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, Vol 41, No. 1 (2022), pp. 358–364, https://econpapers.repec.org/
article/wlyjpamgt/v_3a41_3ay_3a2022_3ai_3a1_3ap_3a358-364.htm (accessed December 14, 2022).
84. Jonathan Butcher and Vijay Menon, “Returning to the Intent of Government School Meals: Helping Students
in Need,” Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 3399, March 22, 2019, https://www.heritage.org/sites/
default/files/2019-03/BG3399.pdf.
85. Daren Bakst and Jonathan Butcher, “A Critical Fix to the Federal Overreach on School Meals,” Heritage
Foundation Issue Brief No. 4976, July 11, 2019, https://www.heritage.org/hunger-and-food-programs/report/
critical-fix-the-federal-overreach-school-meals.
86. Ibid., and U.S. Department of Agriculture, Food and Nutrition Service, “Community Eligibility Provision,” April
19, 2019, https://www.fns.usda.gov/cn/community-eligibility-provision (accessed December 16, 2022).
87. See Payment Accuracy, https://www.paymentaccuracy.gov/ (accessed December 16, 2022).
88. Payment Accuracy, “Payment Integrity Scorecard,” https://www.cfo.gov/wp-content/uploads/2022/Q3/
FNS%20National%20School%20Lunch%20Program%20(NSLP)%20Payments%20Integrity%20Scorecard%20
FY%202022%20Q3.pdf (accessed December 14, 2022).
89. U.S. Government Accountability Office, “School Meals Programs: USDA Has Reported Taking Some Steps to
Reduce Improper Payments But Should Comprehensively Assess Fraud Risks,” GAO–19–389, May 21, 2022,
https://www.gao.gov/products/gao-19-389 (accessed December 14, 2022).
90. Payment Accuracy, “Payment Integrity Scorecard.”
91. White House, “Fact Sheet: The American Families Plan,” April 28, 2021, https://www.whitehouse.gov/
briefing-room/statements-releases/2021/04/28/fact-sheet-the-american-families-plan/ (accessed
December 14, 2022).
92. Universal School Meals Program Act of 2021, S. 1530, 117th Cong., 1st Sess., https://www.congress.gov/
bill/117th-congress/senate-bill/1530 (accessed December 14, 2022).
93. See, for example, U.S. Department of Agriculture, “Find Meals for Kids When Schools Are Closed,” Food and
Nutrition Service, September 22, 2022, https://www.fns.usda.gov/meals4kids (accessed December 16, 2022),
and U.S. Department of Agriculture, Food and Nutrition Service, “Seamless Summer and Other Options for
School,” July 16, 2013, https://www.fns.usda.gov/sfsp/seamless-summer-and-other-options-schools (accessed
December 16, 2022).
94. Tom Driscoll, “From the Field: Farmers Are the Original Conservationists,” National Farmers Union, August
30, 2017, https://nfu.org/2017/08/30/from-the-field-farmers-are-the-original-conservationists/ (accessed
December 16, 2022).
95. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Farm Service Agency, “Conservation Programs,” https://www.fsa.usda.gov/
programs-and-services/conservation-programs/index (accessed December 16, 2022), and U.S. Department of
Agriculture, Natural Resources Conservation Service, “Programs and Initiatives,” https://www.nrcs.usda.gov/
programs-initiatives (accessed December 16, 2022).
96. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Farm Service Agency, “Conservation Reserve Program: About the
Conservation Reserve Program (CRP),” https://www.fsa.usda.gov/programs-and-services/conservation-
programs/conservation-reserve-program/ (accessed December 16, 2022).
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97. American Bakers Association et al., letter to U.S. Department of Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack, March 23,
2022, https://www.dropbox.com/s/yfyv04ilkom11zd/USDA%20Letter%20to%20Secretary%20Vilsack%20on%20
Tools%20to%20Address%20Global%20Commodity%20Supply%20Challenges%203.23.22_.pdf?dl=0 (accessed
December 15, 2022). It is also necessary to increase food production to mitigate high food inflation. Approximately
25 percent of idled land is considered prime farmland. Therefore, one-quarter of idled land is merely idling,
not producing food—and this does not include other land that may viably be used for food production. The
Conservation Reserve Program should be eliminated. There are also two issues connected to property rights and
fairness that should be addressed: challenging NRCS determinations and problems with USDA easements. To be
eligible for many USDA programs, farmers must comply with certain conservation provisions enforced by NRCS.
Conservation compliance of wetlands and highly erodible lands consist of federal restrictions that prevent farmers
from using parts of their property. If farmers plant crops or modify the areas federal officials deem protected,
farmers can lose all access to USDA programs and support. For farmers, there are real, practical concerns to
challenging NRCS determinations, including the time and costs of challenging the federal bureaucracy. NRCS is
empowered to declare areas wetlands and highly erodible areas, which are therefore off limits for farming. If these
wetland-or-erodible-declared areas are used in a manner deemed unacceptable by federal officials, NRCS may
revoke access to federal resources and subsidies by making technical determinations that carry potential penalties.
There must be a fair and reasonable process for farmers to challenge such actions. See Daren Bakst, “Food Price
Inflation Continues to Worsen. Here’s What Should Be Done About It,” The Daily Signal, April 25, 2022, https://
www.dailysignal.com/2022/04/25/food-price-inflation-continuing-to-worsen-heres-what-should-be-done-
about-it/ (accessed December 15, 2022); American Bakers Association et.al., letter to Vilsack; U.S. Department of
Agriculture, Natural Resources Conservation Service, “Conservation Compliance Appeals Process,” https://www.
nrcs.usda.gov/getting-assistance/compliance/conservation-compliance-appeals-process (accessed December 15,
2022); and Chris Bennett, “Regulatory Hell: Farmer and Veteran Wins 10-Year Wetlands Fight With Government,”
AG Web, August 30, 2021, https://www.agweb.com/news/crops/crop-production/regulatory-hell-farmer-and-
veteran-wins-10-year-wetlands-fight (accessed December 15, 2022).
98. Fortunately, there are already resources available to help states establish their own wetlands conservation
programs. One particular example, the American Legislative Exchange Council’s Wetlands Mapping and
Protection Act model policy, is available for states to define the procedures, guidelines, and administration of
wetlands programs. American Legislative Exchange Council, “Wetlands Mapping and Protection Act,” November
16, 2017, https://alec.org/model-policy/wetlands-mapping-and-protection-act/ (accessed December 16, 2022). The
new Administration should focus on best practices instead of imposing prescriptive federal practices. It should
support the policies contained within the “NRCS Wetland Compliance and Appeals Reform Act” and modify NRCS
compliance rules to protect farmers and ranchers by adding protections against regulatory overreach—such as
banning the practice of re-engaging farmers in new technical determinations appeals processes for the same
areas of their farms. See NRCS Wetland Compliance and Appeals Reform Act, S. 4931, 117th Cong., 2nd Sess.,
https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/senate-bill/4931?s=1&r=8 (accessed December 15, 2022).
99. Ibid
100. See, for example, Daren Bakst and Jeremy Dalrymple, “Reducing Federal Barriers for the Sale of Meat,”
Heritage Foundation Issue Brief No. 5078, June 1, 2020, https://www.heritage.org/agriculture/report/
reducing-federal-barriers-the-sale-meat, and U.S. Department of Agriculture, Food Safety and Inspection
Service, “State Inspection Programs,” updated January 12, 2023, https://www.fsis.usda.gov/inspection/state-
inspection-programs (accessed December 15, 2022).
101. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Food Safety and Inspection Service, “Cooperative Interstate Shipping
Program,” September 7, 2022, https://www.fsis.usda.gov/inspection/state-inspection-programs/cooperative-
interstate-shipping-program (accessed December 15, 2022).
102. U.S. Department of Agriculture, “State Inspection Programs.”
103. The Senate bill removes obstacles for both meat and poultry. The House version does not appear to cover
poultry. New Markets for State-Inspected Meat and Poultry Act of 2021, S. 107, 117th Cong., 1st Sess., https://
www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/senate-bill/107#:~:text=This%20bill%20allows%20meat%20and,be%20
sold%20in%20interstate%20commerce (accessed December 15, 2022), and Expanding Markets for State-
Inspected Meat Processors Act of 2021, H.R. 1998, 117th Cong., 1st Sess., https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-
congress/house-bill/1998 (accessed December 15, 2022).
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
104. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Marketing Service, “Specialty Crops Marketing Orders &
Agreements,” https://www.ams.usda.gov/rules-regulations/moa/fv (accessed December 15, 2022).
105. See, for example, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Marketing Service, “Commodities Covered
by Marketing Orders,” https://www.ams.usda.gov/rules-regulations/moa/commodities (accessed March
18, 2023), and Elayne Allen and Darren Bakst, “How the Government Is Mandating Food Waste,” August 19,
2016, https://www.dailysignal.com/2016/08/19/how-the-government-is-mandating-food-waste/ (accessed
March 18, 2023).
106. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Marketing Service, “Frequently Asked Questions Regarding the
Beef Checkoff Program Petition Process,” https://www.ams.usda.gov/rules-regulations/research-promotion/
beef/petition (accessed December 16, 2022); “Beef Producers: Do You Want to Vote on the Checkoff?” Beef
Magazine, July 28, 2020, https://www.beefmagazine.com/marketing/beef-producers-do-you-want-vote-
checkoff (accessed December 16, 2022); and Steve White, “Group Seeking Beef Checkoff Referendum Asks for
Access to Producer Database,” Nebraska TV, May 4, 2021, https://nebraska.tv/news/ntvs-grow/group-seeking-
beef-checkoff-referendum-asks-for-access-to-producer-database (accessed December 16, 2022). As reported,
“There has not been a referendum of the mandatory National Beef Checkoff Program in 35 years.”
107. See, for example, Federal Register, Vol. 86, No. 213 (November 8, 2021), p. 61718, https://www.govinfo.gov/
content/pkg/FR-2021-11-08/pdf/2021-24301.pdf (accessed December 16, 2022).
108. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service, “Topics,” https://www.fas.usda.gov/topics
(accessed December 15, 2022).
109. Ibid.
110. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service, “Market Access Program (MAP),” https://www.fas.
usda.gov/programs/market-access-program-map (accessed December 16, 2022).
111. To learn about trade barriers for food and agricultural products, see, for example, News release, “USTR
Releases 2022 National Trade Estimate Report on Foreign Trade Barriers,” Office of the U.S. Trade
Representative, March 31, 2022, https://ustr.gov/about-us/policy-offices/press-office/press-releases/2022/
march/ustr-releases-2022-national-trade-estimate-report-foreign-trade-barriers (accessed
December 16, 2022).
112. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, “Recent Trends in GE Adoption,” September 14,
2022, https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/adoption-of-genetically-engineered-crops-in-the-u-s/recent-
trends-in-ge-adoption/ (accessed December 15, 2022).
113. National Bioengineered Food Disclosure Standard, Public Law 114–216.
114. Noi Mahoney, “Trade Dispute Arising Over Mexico’s Plan to Block Imports of Genetically Modified Corn,”
Freight Waves, November 22, 2022, https://www.freightwaves.com/news/trade-dispute-arising-over-
mexicos-plan-to-block-imports-of-gm-corn (accessed December 15, 2022), and News release, “Grassley, Ernst,
Urge USTR to Intervene In Mexico’s Ban on American Corn,” Office of Chuck Grassley, November 14, 2022,
https://www.grassley.senate.gov/news/news-releases/grassley-ernst-urge-ustr-to-intervene-in-mexicos-ban-
on-american-corn (accessed December 15, 2022).
115. “The Federal Land Management Agencies,” Congressional Research Service In Focus, updated February 16,
2021, https://sgp.fas.org/crs/misc/IF10585.pdf (accessed December 16, 2022).
116. Ibid.
117. U.S. Department of Agriculture, U.S. Forest Service, Fiscal Year 2023: Budget Justification, March 2022, p. 1,
https://www.usda.gov/sites/default/files/documents/30a-2023-FS.pdf (accessed December 16, 2022).
118. Forests and Rangelands, The National Strategy: The Final Phase in the Development of the National Cohesive
Wildland Fire Management Strategy, April 2014, https://www.forestsandrangelands.gov/documents/strategy/
strategy/CSPhaseIIINationalStrategyApr2014.pdf (accessed December 16, 2022).
119. U.S. Department of Agriculture, U.S. Forest Service, “Unplanned Fires,” https://www.fs.usda.gov/detail/inyo/
landmanagement/resourcemanagement/?cid=stelprd3804071 (accessed December 16, 2022).
120. See, for example, Sherry Devlin, “A Conversation with Jim Hubbard: Unplanned Wildfires Rule West’s
Forests,” TreeSource, March 28, 2017, https://treesource.org/news/lands/jim-hubbard-forest-service-wildfires/
(accessed December 16, 2022).
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
121. U.S. Department of Agriculture, U.S. Forest Service, “FY 1905–2021 National Summary Cut and Sold Data
Graphs,” https://www.fs.usda.gov/forestmanagement/documents/sold-harvest/documents/1905-2021_Natl_
Summary_Graph_wHarvestAcres.pdf (accessed December 16, 2022), and U.S. Department of Agriculture, U.S.
Forest Service, “Forest Products Cut and Sold from the National Forests and Grasslands,” https://www.fs.usda.
gov/forestmanagement/products/cut-sold/index.shtml (accessed December 16, 2022).
122. Donald J. Trump, “Promoting Active Management of America’s Forests, Rangelands, and Other Federal Lands
to Improve Conditions and Reduce Wildfire Risk,” Executive Order 13855, December 21, 2018, https://www.
govinfo.gov/content/pkg/DCPD-201800866/pdf/DCPD-201800866.pdf (accessed December 16, 2022).
123. Ibid.
124. Ibid.
125. Dietary Guidelines for Americans, https://www.dietaryguidelines.gov/ (accessed December 16, 2022).
126. Dietary Guidelines for Americans, “History of the Dietary Guidelines,” https://www.dietaryguidelines.gov/
about-dietary-guidelines/history-dietary-guidelines (accessed December 16, 2022).
127. Daren Bakst, “Extreme Environmental Agenda Hijacks Dietary Guidelines: Comment to the Advisory
Committee,” The Daily Signal, July 17, 2014, https://www.dailysignal.com/2014/07/17/extreme-environmental-
agenda-hijacks-dietary-guidelines-comment-advisory-committee/ (accessed December 16, 2022).
128. Healthy, Hunger-Free Kids Act of 2010, S. 3307, 111th Cong., 2nd Sess., https://www.congress.gov/bill/111th-
congress/senate-bill/3307/text (accessed December 16, 2022), and Dietary Guidelines for Americans, “Current
Dietary Guidelines,” https://www.dietaryguidelines.gov/usda-hhs-development-dietary-guidelines (accessed
December 16, 2022).
— 318 —
11
DEPARTMENT OF
EDUCATION
Lindsey M. Burke
MISSION
Federal education policy should be limited and, ultimately, the federal Depart-
ment of Education should be eliminated. When power is exercised, it should
empower students and families, not government. In our pluralistic society, fami-
lies and students should be free to choose from a diverse set of school options and
learning environments that best fit their needs. Our postsecondary institutions
should also reflect such diversity, with room for not only “traditional” liberal arts
colleges and research universities but also faith-based institutions, career schools,
military academies, and lifelong learning programs.
Elementary and secondary education policy should follow the path outlined
by Milton Friedman in 1955, wherein education is publicly funded but education
decisions are made by families. Ultimately, every parent should have the option
to direct his or her child’s share of education funding through an education sav-
ings account (ESA), funded overwhelmingly by state and local taxpayers, which
would empower parents to choose a set of education options that meet their child's
unique needs.
States are eager to lead in K–12 education. For decades, they have acted inde-
pendently of the federal government to pioneer a variety of constructive reforms
and school choice programs. For example, in 2011, Arizona first piloted ESAs, which
provide families roughly 90 percent of what the state would have spent on that
child in public school to be used instead on education options such as private school
tuition, online courses, and tutoring. In 2022, Arizona expanded the program to
be available to all families.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
The future of education freedom and reform in the states is bright and will
shine brighter when regulations and red tape from Washington are eliminated.
Federal money is inevitably accompanied by rules and regulations that keep the
influx of funds from having much, if any, impact on student outcomes. It raises the
cost of education without raising student achievement. To the extent that federal
taxpayer dollars are used to fund education programs, those funds should be block-
granted to states without strings, eliminating the need for many federal and state
bureaucrats. Eventually, policymaking and funding should take place at the state
and local level, closest to the affected families.
Although student loans and grants should ultimately be restored to the private
sector (or, at the very least, the federal government should revisit its role as a guarantor,
rather than direct lender) federal postsecondary education investments should bolster
economic growth, and recipient institutions should nourish academic freedom and
embrace intellectual diversity. That has not, however, been the track record of federal
higher education policy or of the many institutions of higher education that are hostile
to free expression, open academic inquiry, and American exceptionalism. Federal post-
secondary policy should be more than massive, inefficient, and open-ended subsidies
to “traditional” colleges and universities. It should be rebalanced to focus far more on
bolstering the workforce skills of Americans who have no interest in pursuing a four-
year academic degree. It should reflect a fuller picture of learning after high school,
placing apprenticeship programs of all types and career and technical education on an
even playing field with degrees from colleges and universities. Rather than continuing
to buttress a higher education establishment captured by woke “diversicrats” and a
de facto monopoly enforced by the federal accreditation cartel, federal postsecondary
education policy should prepare students for jobs in the dynamic economy, nurture
institutional diversity, and expose schools to greater market forces.1
OVERVIEW
For most of our history, the federal government played a minor role in education.
Then, over a 14-month period beginning in 1964, Congress planted the seeds for
what would become the U.S. Department of Education (ED or the department).
In July of that year, President Lyndon B. Johnson signed into law the Civil Rights
Act of 1964, after Congress reached a consensus that the mistreatment of black
Americans was no longer tolerable and merited a federal response. In the case
of the Elementary and Secondary Education Act of 1965 (ESEA)2 and the Higher
Education Act of 1965 (HEA),3 Congress sought to improve educational outcomes
for disadvantaged students by providing additional compensatory funding for
low-income children and lower-income college students.
Spending on ESEA and the HEA—part of Johnson’s “War on Poverty”—grew
exponentially in the years that followed. By Fiscal Year 2022, ESEA programs
received $27.7 billion in appropriations, in addition to $190 billion that came
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
of Education Organization Act8 into law in 1979, believing in part that it would
reduce administrative costs and improve efficiency by housing most of the federal
education programs that had proliferated in the wake of Johnson’s War on Poverty
under one roof.
It has had the opposite effect. Instead, special interest groups like the National
Education Association (NEA), American Federation of Teachers (AFT), and the
higher education lobby have leveraged the agency to continuously expand federal
expenditures—a desirable funding stream from their vantage point because federal
budgets are not constrained like state and local budgets that must be balanced each
year. By FY 2022, the department’s discretionary and mandatory appropriation
topped $80 billion, not including student loan outlays. Each of its programs has
attendant federal strings and red tape.
One recent example is the Biden Administration’s requirement that state educa-
tion agencies and school districts submit “equity” plans as a condition of receiving
COVID recovery ESSER funds in the American Rescue Plan (ARP).9 This exercise
led to the hiring of numerous new government employees as the rules were pro-
mulgated, plans were created after collecting public feedback, and those plans
were eventually deemed satisfactory.
The next Administration will need a plan to redistribute the various congres-
sionally approved federal education programs across the government, eliminate
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
those that are ineffective or duplicative, and then eliminate the unproductive red
tape and rules by entrusting states and districts with flexible, formula-driven block
grants. This chapter details that plan.
As the next Administration executes its work, it should be guided by a few core
principles, including:
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
NEEDED REFORMS
Federal intervention in education has failed to promote student achievement.
After trillions spent since 1965 on the collective programs now housed within
the walls of the department, student academic outcomes remain stagnant. On
the main National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), reading out-
comes on the 2022 administration have remained unchanged over the past 30
years. Declines in math performance are even more concerning than students’
lack of progress on reading outcomes. Fourth- and eighth-grade math scores
saw the largest decline since the assessments were first administered in 1990.
Average fourth-grade math scores declined five points, and average eighth-grade
math scores declined eight points. Just one-third of eighth graders nationally
are proficient in reading and math. Just 27 percent of eighth graders were pro-
ficient in math in 2022, and just 31 percent of eighth graders scored proficient
in reading in 2022.
The NAEP Long-term Trend Assessment shows academic stagnation since the
1970s, with particular stagnation in the reading scores of 13-year-old students since
1971, when the assessment was first administered. Math scores, though modestly
improved, are still lackluster.
Additionally, the department has created a “shadow” department of education
operating in states across the country. Federal mandates, programs, and proclama-
tions have spurred a hiring spree among state education agencies, with more than
48,000 employees currently on staff in state agencies across the country. Those
employees are more than 10 times the number of employees (4,400)10 at the federal
Department of Education, and their jobs largely entail reporting back to Washing-
ton. Research conducted by The Heritage Foundation’s Jonathan Butcher finds
that the federal government funds 41 percent of the salary costs of state educa-
tion agencies.11
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
CHART 1
265
263
260
260
255
1992 1994 1998 ’02 ’03 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2022
220
220
217
215
210
1992 1994 1998 2000 ’02 ’03 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2022
SOURCES: The Nation’s Report Card, “National Average Scores,” Grade 4, https://www.nationsreportcard.gov/
reading/nation/scores/?grade=4 (accessed March 17, 2023), and The Nation’s Report Card, “National Average
Scores,” Grade 8, https://www.nationsreportcard.gov/reading/nation/scores/?grade=4 (accessed March 17, 2023).
A heritage.org
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This bloat has persisted for decades. In 1998, a commission led by Repre-
sentative Pete Hoekstra released a critical report based on extensive fieldwork,
interviews, and analysis of the Department of Education. The report, Education
at a Crossroads: What Works and What’s Wasted in Education Today, detailed the
suffocating bureaucratic red tape Carter’s agency had wrapped around states.12 The
commission estimated that states completed nearly 50 million hours of paperwork
just to get their federal education spending, which at that time, they estimated,
resulted in just 65 cents to 70 cents of each federal taxpayer dollar making its way
to the classroom. The situation has only worsened since the Hoekstra report. More
recent evidence of Washington’s bureaucratic paperwork burden can be found
in the growing number of non-teaching staff in public schools across the country,
which doubled relative to growth in student enrollment from 1992 to 2015.
The labyrinthian nature of federal education programs—convoluted funding
formulas, competitive grant applications, reporting requirements, etc.—has likely
contributed to the considerable bureaucratic bloat in state and local school districts
across the country and is one of the key areas of needed reform. Streamlining exist-
ing programs and funding so that dollars are sent to states through straightforward
per-pupil allocations or in the form of grants that states can put toward any lawful edu-
cation purpose under state law would bring a needed easing of the federal compliance
burden. The federal government should confine its involvement in education policy
to that of a statistics-gathering agency that disseminates information to the states.
To improve educational opportunities for all Americans, the next Administra-
tion should work with Congress to pass a Department of Education Reorganization
Act to reform, eliminate, or move the department’s programs and offices to appro-
priate agencies. The following is an overview of what should happen within each
of the offices and to each of the programs currently operated by the department.
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OESE also currently manages the federal Impact Aid program, which provides fund-
ing to school districts to compensate for reductions in property tax revenue due to the
presence of federal property (such as that associated with a military base or tribal lands).
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l To the extent that OSERS supports federal efforts to enforce our laws
against discrimination of individuals with disabilities, those assets
should be moved to the Department of Justice (DOJ) along with the
Office for Civil Rights (OCR).
Institute of Education Sciences (IES)
l Move ED’s statistical office, the National Commission for Education
Statistics (NCES), to the Department of Commerce’s Census
Bureau. If Congress believes the federal government can play a valuable
research role, those research centers can be moved to the National Science
Foundation. If Congress decides to maintain IES as an independent agency,
it needs to address major governance and management issues that keep
it from being a productive contributor to the knowledge base related to
teaching and learning.
With a statutory charge that it preserve the federal student loan portfolio for
the benefit of the taxpayers and students, this new entity would be (1) profession-
ally governed by an agency head and board of trustees appointed by the President
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CHART 2
290
280
282
274
270
260
1990 1992 1996 2000 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2022
240
241
236
230
220
210
1990 1992 1996 2000 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2022
SOURCES: The Nation’s Report Card, “National Average Scores,” Grade 4, https://www.nationsreportcard.gov/
mathematics/nation/scores/?grade=4 (accessed March 17, 2023), and The Nation’s Report Card, “National Average
Scores,” Grade 8, https://www.nationsreportcard.gov/mathematics/nation/scores/?grade=4 (accessed March 17, 2023).
A heritage.org
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CHART 3
280
13–YEAR-OLDS
260
263 260
240
NINE–YEAR-OLDS
220
221 220
200
1971 1975 1980 1984 ’88 ’90 ’92 ’94 ’96 1999 2004 2008 2012 2020
MATH, AVERAGE SCORES
300
13–YEAR-OLDS
280 285
280
260
NINE–YEAR-OLDS
240
244 241
220
200
1978 1982 1986 ’90 ’92 ’94 ’96 1999 2004 2008 2012 2020
A heritage.org
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with the advice and consent of the Senate; (2) funded with annual appropriations
from Congress; and (3) operated by professional managers. Federal loans would
be assigned directly to the Treasury Department, which would manage collections
and defaults. The new federal student loan authority would manage the loan port-
folio, handle borrower relations, administer loan applications and disbursements,
monitor institutional participation and accountability issues, and issue regulations.
based on their expertise and the needs of other agencies should be made available.
For example, OGC higher education lawyers would join the newly independent
Federal Student Aid Office or the Department of Labor, and OGC civil rights attor-
neys would join DOJ. These positions must first be determined to serve a continued
mission need prior to being transferred.
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l
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
to create and collect data on a new “nonbinary” sex category (in addition to the
current “male” or “female” sex categories) and to retire data collection that indi-
cates the number of (1) high school–level interscholastic athletics sports in which
only male and female students participate, (2) high school–level athletics teams
in which only male or female students participate, and (3) participants on high
school–level interscholastic athletics sports teams in which only male or only
female students participate. These poorly conceived changes are contrary to law,
fail to take account of student privacy interests and statutory protections favoring
parental rights under the Protection of Pupils Rights Amendment, and jettison
longstanding data collections that assist in the enforcement of Title IX.
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The Trump Administration’s 2020 Title IX regulation protected the founda-
tional right to due process for those who are accused of sexual misconduct. The
Biden Administration’s proposed change to the interpretation of Title IX disposes
of these rights.
At the same time, there is no scientific or legal basis for redefining “sex” to
“sexual orientation and gender identity” in Title IX. Such a change misrepresents
the U.S. Supreme Court’s opinion in Bostock, threatens the American system of
federalism, removes important due process protections for students in higher
education, and puts girls and women in danger of physical harm. Facilitating social
gender transition without parental consent increases the likelihood that children
will seek hormone treatments, such as puberty blockers, which are experimental
medical interventions. Research has not demonstrated positive effects and long-
term outcomes of these treatments, and the unintended side effects are still not
fully understood.
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l At the same time, the political appointees in the Office for Civil
Rights should begin a full review of all Title IX investigations that
were conducted on the understanding that “sex” referred to gender
identity and/or sexual orientation.
l The Secretary should make it clear that FERPA allows parents full
access to their children’s educational records, so any practice of
paperwork obfuscation on this front violates federal law.
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l As part of this effort, the new Administration should also direct the
department and DOJ jointly to issue enforcement guidance stating
that the agencies will no longer investigate Title VI cases that
exclusively rest on allegations of disparate impact.
l
Getting the federal government out of the business of dictating school discipline
policy is a good start. But if the next conservative Department of Education simply
rescinds the Biden-era regulation, it could very easily be enforced again on Day
One through a Dear Colleague Letter by another leftist Administration.
l In addition to rescinding the policy and any related guidance, the next
Secretary should work with the next Attorney General on a regulation
that would clarify current regulations to state that Title VI of the
Civil Rights Act does not include a disparate impact standard.
As law professor Gail Heriot has noted, the alleged existence of a disparate
impact standard under Title VI makes everything presumed illegal unless given
special dispensation by the federal government.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l The next Administration should prohibit the USDA or any other
federal agency from withholding services from federal or state
agencies—including but not limited to K–12 schools—that choose not to
replace “sex” with “SOGI” in that agency’s administration of Title IX.
The Administration will have significant support for this policy change among
state officials and Members of Congress. Twenty-two state attorneys general filed
a lawsuit after the USDA’s announcement that the agency intended to withhold
spending from schools that do not replace sex with SOGI. Members of Congress
also introduced legislation in 2022 that would prohibit the agency from carrying
out its intentions regarding Title IX.
l The Secretary should phase out all existing IDR plans by making new
loans (including consolidation loans) ineligible and should implement
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
a new IDR plan. The new plan should have an income exemption equal to
the poverty line and require payments of 10 percent of income above the
exemption. If new legislation is possible, there should be no loan forgiveness,
but if not, existing law would require forgiving any remaining balance
after 25 years.
The National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) and other data col-
lections currently release data by race, ethnicity, socioeconomic status, English
language proficiency, disability, and sex. However, one of the most important—if
not the most important—factor influencing student educational achievement and
attainment is family structure. As education scholar Ian Rowe has noted, NAEP
already collects data on students’ family structure; it just does not make those
data publicly available.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
wages to account for regional differences in earnings and cost of living; and
develop a reliable methodology for risk adjusting institutional and program
outcomes to more accurately reflect the value added of education programs
(as opposed to their admissions selectivity).
to be delivering good care, and hospitals treating low-income patients will appear
to be delivering poor care. Higher education outcomes data should be similarly
“risk adjusted” to more carefully isolate the impact of educational quality versus
socioeconomic status and other factors on college outcomes.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
If Congress is unwilling to reform federal student aid, then the next Adminis-
tration should consider the following reforms:
l Consolidate all federal loan programs into one new program that
The Biden Administration has mercilessly pillaged the student loan portfolio
for crass political purposes without regard to the needs of current taxpayers or
future students. This must never happen again.
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use litigation and other efforts to block school choice and advocate for additional
taxpayer spending in education. They also lobbied to keep schools closed during
the pandemic. All of these positions run contrary to robust research evidence
showing positive outcomes for students from education choice policies; there is
no conclusive evidence that more taxpayer spending on schools improves student
outcomes; and evidence finds that keeping schools closed to in-person learning
resulted in negative emotional and academic outcomes for students. Furthermore,
the union promotes radical racial and gender ideologies in schools that parents
oppose according to nationally representative surveys.
This move would not be unprecedented, as Congress has rescinded the federal
charters of other organizations over the past century. The NEA is a demonstrably
radical special interest group that overwhelmingly supports left-of-center policies
and policymakers.
taxpayer money the NEA has used for radical causes favoring a single
political party.
By its very design, critical race theory has an “applied” dimension, as its found-
ers state in their essays that define the theory. Those who subscribe to the theory
believe that racism (in this case, treating individuals differently based on race) is
appropriate—necessary, even—making the theory more than merely an analyti-
cal tool to describe race in public and private life. The theory disrupts America’s
Founding ideals of freedom and opportunity. So, when critical race theory is used
as part of school activities such as mandatory affinity groups, teacher training
programs in which educators are required to confess their privilege, or school
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assignments in which students must defend the false idea that America is sys-
temically racist, the theory is actively disrupting the values that hold communities
together such as equality under the law and colorblindness.
l Again, specifically for K–12 systems under federal authority,
Congress and the next Administration should support existing state
and federal civil rights laws and add to such laws a prohibition on
compelled speech.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
pronouns). The federal government could demand that schools include curriculum
or lessons regarding critical race or gender theory in a way that violates parental
rights, especially if it requires minors to disclose information about their religious
beliefs, or beliefs about race or gender in violation of the Protection of Pupil Rights
Amendment (20 USC Sec. 1232h).
To remedy the lack of clear and robust protection for parental rights, the next
Administration should:
At the same time, Congress should also consider equipping parents with a
private right of action. Two federal laws provide certain privacy protections for
students attending educational institutions or programs funded by the department.
The Family Educational Rights and Privacy Act (FERPA) protects the privacy of
student education records and allows parents and students over the age of 18 to
inspect and review the student’s education records maintained by the school and
to request corrections to those records. FERPA also authorizes a number of excep-
tions to this records privacy protection that allow schools to disclose the student’s
education records without the consent or knowledge of the parent or student. The
Protection of Pupil Rights Amendment (PPRA) requires schools to obtain paren-
tal consent before asking questions, including surveys, about political affiliations
or beliefs; mental or psychological issues; sexual behaviors or attitudes; critical
appraisals of family members; illegal or self-incriminating behavior; religious prac-
tices or beliefs; privileged relationships, as with doctors and clergy; and family
income, unless for program eligibility.
The difficulty for parents is that FERPA and PPRA do not authorize a private
right of action. If a school refuses to comply with either statute, the only remedy is
for the parent or student (if over the age of 18) to file an administrative complaint
with the U.S. Department of Education, which must then work with the school
to obtain compliance before taking any action to suspend or terminate federal
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financial assistance. Investigations can take months if not years. The department
has never suspended or terminated the funding for an educational institution or
agency for violating FERPA or PPRA. In essence, Congress has granted parents
and students important statutory rights without an effective remedy to assert
those rights.
Empowering Parents Act,15 sponsored by Representative Bob Good (R-VA);
H.R. 6056, the Parents’ Bill of Rights Act,16 sponsored by Representative
Julia Letlow (R-LA); and H.J.Res. 99,17 proposing an amendment to the
Constitution relating to parental rights, sponsored by Representative
Debbie Lesko (R-AZ).
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
surgeries without parental involvement does not reduce the suicidality of these
young people and may even increase suicide rates.
School officials in some states are requiring teachers and other school employ-
ees to accept a minor child’s decision to assume a different “gender” while at
school—without notifying parents. In California, New Jersey, and certain districts
in Kansas and elsewhere, educators are prohibited from informing parents about
children’s confusion over their sex if the children do not want their parents to know.
Such policies allow schools to drive a wedge between parents and children. The
next Administration should work with Congress to provide an example to state
lawmakers by requiring K–12 districts under federal jurisdiction, including Wash-
ington, D.C., public schools, Bureau of Indian Education schools, and Department
of Defense schools, with legislation stating that:
or guardians.
State lawmakers should use this model and adopt similar provisions for public
schools within their borders. Federal lawmakers should not allow public school
employees to keep secrets about a child from that child’s parents.
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students at or below 185 percent of the federal poverty line. The maximum schol-
arship amount is $9,401 for students in kindergarten through eighth grade and
$14,102 for students in grades nine through 12. The average scholarship amount
is around $10,000, or less than half of the current per-student funding amount in
D.C. Public Schools.
Under the Jurisdiction of Congress
The federal government oversees three school systems that Washington should
transform into examples of quality learning environments for every child in those
systems: students attending schools in Washington, D.C.; students in active-duty
military families, including students attending schools operated by the U.S. Depart-
ment of Defense; and students attending schools on tribal lands, which include
schools under the Bureau of Indian Education. In each of these systems, federal
lawmakers should allow every student the option of using an education savings
account so that parents can select different education products and services to
meet their child’s needs.
Nearly 50,000 students attended public schools in the District of Columbia in
the 2021–2022 school year. In 2022, fourth grade math students scored 11 points
lower than fourth graders in 2019, which means District children lost an entire
year of learning over the course of the pandemic. Eighth graders also lost an entire
year of learning in math.
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Heritage Foundation research found that if even 10 percent of the students eli-
gible for accounts under such a proposal transferred from an assigned school to an
education savings account, the change for the sending district would be 0.1 percent
of that school district’s K–12 budget. Even in heavily impacted districts (districts
with a large number of students receiving Impact Aid), the budgetary effect would
be less than 2 percent. Yet these children would then have the chance to receive a
customized education that meets their unique needs. As with state ESA programs,
families who are homeschooling are distinct in statute from families who use an
ESA to customize an education at home.
Furthermore, research from the Claremont Institute used documents pro-
vided by a whistleblower demonstrating how educators at Department of Defense
schools around the world are using radical gender theory and critical race theory
The next Administration should make the K–12 systems under federal juris-
diction examples of quality learning opportunities and education freedom.
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requirements for their children with special needs.
State-level education options often exclusively serve children with special needs
for these very reasons. Florida, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Mississippi, South Carolina,
and North Carolina, to name a few states, all have education savings accounts or
K–12 private school scholarship options for children with special needs.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
would give the families of children with special needs approximately $1,800
per child to help meet a child’s unique learning needs.
Research finds, though, that this enormous investment has not produced positive
results for children in need. The achievement gap between children from the highest
and lowest income deciles has not improved over the past 50 years. And recent, dismal
outcomes on the National Assessment of Educational Progress showed declines for
all students, with math scores registering declines for the first time in history.
l Over a 10-year period, the federal spending should be phased out and
states should assume decision-making control over how to provide a
quality education to children from low-income families.
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as the Educational Choice for Children Act. This bill would create a
federal scholarship tax credit that would incentivize donors to contribute to
nonprofit scholarship granting organizations (SGOs). Eligible families could
then use that funding from the SGOs for their children’s education expenses
including private school tuition, tutoring, and instructional materials.
allow states to put their share of federal funding toward any lawful
education purpose under state law. This policy has been advanced over
the years via a proposal known as the Academic Partnerships Lead Us to
Success (APLUS) Act.
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The current system is not working. A radical overhaul of the HEA’s accreditation
requirements is thus in order. The next Administration should work with Congress
to amend the HEA and should consider the following reforms:
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The next Administration and Congress might also consider amending the HEA
to remove accreditors from the program triad entirely to allow accreditation
to return to its original role of voluntary quality assurance. This would permit
accreditors to put some “teeth” back into their standards without creating high-
stakes disasters, such as institutional loss of Title IV access through paperwork
submission errors, a state exercising its constitutional authority to administer its
public colleges and universities, or an institution freely exercising the religious
beliefs of its founders. With this option, neither the department nor the states
would oversee or recognize accrediting agencies. The department’s role would
be limited to evaluating the institution’s compliance with federal accounting
requirements pursuant to evaluations conducted by appropriately credentialed
auditors who have no conflicts of interest in performing the review paid for by
the federal agency charged with overseeing compliance—not the institutions
being reviewed.
The federal government does not have the proper incentives to make sound
lending decisions. The new Administration should consider:
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l Consolidate all federal loan programs into one new program that
a) utilizes income-driven repayment, b) includes no interest rate
subsidies or loan forgiveness, c) includes annual and aggregate
limits on borrowing, and d) includes skin in the game to hold
colleges accountable.
l Eliminate Grad PLUS loans (for graduate students) and Parent PLUS
loans (for parents of undergraduates).
Graduate students are already eligible for unsubsidized Stafford student loans;
Grad PLUS loans are redundant. They also lack some of the safeguards of Stafford
loans, such as annual and aggregate borrowing limits. Parent PLUS loans are also
redundant because there are many privately provided alternatives available.
should be terminated.
Whatever Congress chooses to do with future loans, there is still the question of
the government’s responsible stewardship of the existing student loan portfolio—a
substantial taxpayer asset. The current Administration has recklessly engaged in
the policy fetish of forgiving and canceling student loans with abandon.
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Cap indirect costs at universities. Currently, the federal government pays a por-
tion of the overhead expenses associated with university-based research. Known
as “indirect costs,” these reimbursements cross-subsidize leftist agendas and the
research of billion-dollar organizations such as Google and the Ford Foundation.
Universities also use this influx of cash to pay for Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion
(DEI) efforts. To correct course,
NEW REGULATIONS
Attacking the Accreditation Cartel
For a college to participate in federal financial aid programs, it must be accred-
ited, but accreditors have been abusing their quasi-regulatory power to impose
non-educational requirements and ideological preferences on colleges.
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l Work with Congress to amend the HEA to tie the HEA’s foreign
source reporting requirements to an institution's ability to receive
federal financial assistance, particularly participation in programs
funded under Titles IV and VI of the HEA.
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Guidance Documents
l The President should immediately reinstate and reissue Executive
Order 13891: Promoting the Rule of Law Through Improved
Agency Guidance Documents, 84 Fed. Reg. 55235 (Oct. 9, 2019),
and Executive Order 13892: Promoting the Rule of Law Through
Transparency and Fairness in Civil Administrative Enforcement and
Adjudication (Oct. 15, 2019).
These executive orders required all federal agencies to treat guidance documents
as non-binding in law and practice and also forbade federal agencies from imposing
new standards of conduct on persons outside the executive branch through guid-
ance documents. They required all federal agencies to apply regulations and statutes
instead of guidance documents in any enforcement action. President Biden revoked
these executive orders on January 20, 2021, demonstrating that these executive
orders effectively restrained the abuses of an expansive administrative state.
and comment.
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l The reissuing of the report on school safety from 2018 with updated
information,
Association (ABA).
Organizational Issues
Historical Budget Information. Congressional appropriations for the U.S.
Department of Education have risen from $14 billion in 1980 to $95.5 billion in
2021, an astounding increase, especially in light of the lack of improvements in
student outcomes.
Recommend Budget Cuts, Shifts, and Augmentations, If Any. Transferring
most of the programs at the U.S. Department of Education to other agencies and
eliminating duplicative and ineffective programs would yield significant taxpayer
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CHART 4
$100 $95.5
$80
$60
$40
$20 $14
$0
A heritage.org
savings. The proposal would immediately save more than $17 billion annually in
various programs. Savings over a decade would be far more robust, as the revenue
responsibility for many formula grant programs would be returned to the states.
Some highlights include:
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l Eliminate the PLUS loan program. As mentioned above, the PLUS loan
program, which provides graduate student loans and loans to the parents
of undergraduate students, should be eliminated. This would generate an
estimated $2.3 billion in savings.
Personnel
The Department of Education currently employs approximately 4,400 indi-
viduals. As programs are eliminated or transferred to other agencies, those
employees whose positions are determined to be essential to the mission would
move with their constituent programs. Current salaries and expenses at ED total
$2.2 billion annually.
AUTHOR’S NOTE: The preparation of this chapter was a collective enterprise of individuals involved in the
2025 Presidential Transition Project. All contributors to this chapter are listed at the front of this volume, but
Jonathan Butcher, Bob Eitel, Jim Blew, Diane Auer Jones, Erin Valdez, Andrew Gillen, and Max Eden deserve special
mention. The author alone assumes responsibility for the content of this chapter, and no views expressed herein
should be attributed to any other individual.
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ENDNOTES
impracticable, unnecessary, or contrary to the public interest (within the meaning of section 553(b)(3)(B) of
[the APA]), and publishes the basis for such determination in the Federal Register at the same time as the
proposed regulations in question are first published.” 20 U.S.C. §1098a(b)(2). Congressional Research Service,
“Negotiated Rulemaking: In Brief,” April 12, 2021, https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R46756
(accessed March 13, 2023).
15. H.R. 8767, Empowering Parents Act, 117th Congress.
16. H.R. 5, Parents Bill of Rights Act.
17. H.J.Res. 99, Public Law 115-30.
18. National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2022.
19. National Center for Education Statistics, “Fast Facts: Title I,” https://nces.ed.gov/fastfacts/display.asp?id=158
(accessed February 28, 2023).
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12
DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY
AND RELATED COMMISSIONS
Bernard L. McNamee
energy; create good-paying jobs; support domestic manufacturing and technology
leadership; and strengthen national security. Achieving these goals will require
bold policy action and reforms that involve the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE);
the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC); and the Nuclear Regulatory
Commission (NRC).
American Energy Dominance. Access to affordable, reliable, and abundant
energy is vital to America’s economy, national security, and quality of life. Yet
ideologically driven government policies have thrust the United States into a new
energy crisis just a few short years after America’s energy renaissance, which began
in the first decade of the 2000s, transformed the United States from a net energy
importer (oil and natural gas) to energy independence and then energy dominance.
Americans now face energy scarcity, an electric grid that is less reliable, and arti-
ficial shortages of natural gas and oil despite massive reserves within the United
States—all of which has led to higher prices that burden both the American people
and the economy.
The new energy crisis is caused not by a lack of resources, but by extreme “green”
policies. Under the rubrics of “combating climate change” and “ESG” (environmen-
tal, social, and governance), the Biden Administration, Congress, and various states,
as well as Wall Street investors, international corporations, and progressive spe-
cial-interest groups, are changing America’s energy landscape. These ideologically
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
driven policies are also directing huge amounts of money to favored interests and
making America dependent on adversaries like China for energy. In the name of
combating climate change, policies have been used to create an artificial energy
scarcity that will require trillions of dollars in new investment, supported with
taxpayer subsidies, to address a “problem” that government and special interests
themselves created. The result has been increased energy costs that:
l Make businesses that create the jobs that drive our economy and quality of
life less competitive; and
grid is so dangerous.
At the same time, adversaries like China, Russia, North Korea, Iran, and
non-state actors are constantly engaged in cyberattacks against our energy infra-
structure. We have already seen what supposedly “minor” attacks, such as the
cyberattack on the Colonial Oil Pipeline1 or the physical attack on electric infra-
structure in North Carolina,2 can do. A coordinated cyber and physical attack on
natural gas pipelines and the electric grid during an extended cold spell could be
catastrophic. Yet the current Administration’s first concern is plowing taxpayer
dollars into intermittent wind and solar projects and ending the use of reliable
fossil fuels.
A conservative President must be committed to unleashing all of America’s
energy resources and making the energy economy serve the American people, not
special interests. This means that the next conservative Administration should:
l Affirm an “all of the above” energy policy through which the best attributes
of every resource can be harnessed for the benefit of the American people.
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l Allow individuals, families, and business to use the energy resources they
want to use and that will best serve their needs.
l Secure and protect energy infrastructure from cyber and physical attacks.
l Promote U.S. energy resources as a means to assist our allies and diminish
our strategic adversaries.
l Refocus FERC on ensuring that customers have affordable and reliable
electricity, natural gas, and oil and no longer allow it to favor special
interests and progressive causes.
American Science Dominance. Ever since the age of Benjamin Franklin, the
United States has been at the forefront of scientific discovery and technological
advancement. Beginning with the groundbreaking science of the Manhattan Proj-
ect, the U.S. has developed 17 National Laboratories that conduct fundamental and
advanced scientific research. The National Labs have been critical in supporting
national defense and ensuring that the United States leads on scientific discoveries
with transformative applications that benefit America and the world.
In recent years, however, U.S. science has been under threat. Externally,
adversaries like the Chinese military have been engaged in scientific espionage,
infiltrating taxpayer-funded scientific research projects, and funding their own
science research. In addition, the National Labs have been too focused on climate
change and renewable technologies.
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OVERVIEW
DOE was created by the Department of Energy Organization Act of 19775 in
response to the 1970s oil crisis, consolidating various energy programs that pre-
viously had operated without coordination throughout the federal government in
a single department. In addition to addressing energy issues, DOE is tasked with:
l Cleaning up the Manhattan Project and Cold War nuclear material and
weapons sites;
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To ensure that the American people have access to abundant, affordable, and
reliable energy, DESAS’s energy role should be focused on:
l Promoting U.S. energy resources as a means to assist our allies, diminish our
strategic adversaries, and ensure the existence of markets that will support
domestic energy production.
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l Focus on studying threats to the electric grid, natural gas, and oil
infrastructure; sharing such information with the energy industry;
promoting the reliability and security of energy resources and
infrastructure; and developing strategies and technologies to combat
threats by working with the National Labs. The following offices would
report to the DESAS Undersecretary of Energy Security:
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l
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National Energy Security Strategy (NESS). This strategy would take account
of the energy landscape across the globe to inform the President in his foreign
policy and defense roles, but it should not be a tool for U.S. industrial policy,
although it might highlight how current domestic industrial and climate
policies threaten U.S. energy and national security.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
and the Cold War at America’s nuclear development sites is a massive and com-
plicated process led by DOE’s Office of Environmental Management. Projected
liabilities and costs to be borne by America’s taxpayers, according to DOE’s FY
2023 budget request, total $887,205 billion.13 In addition, the federal government is
required by law to dispose of nuclear waste produced by the private sector, includ-
ing spent fuel rods from nuclear power plants. The new DESAS should:
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l Expand the U.S. Navy and develop new nuclear naval reactors to
ensure that the Navy has the nuclear propulsion it needs to secure
America’s strategic interests.
Budget
DOE’s total FY 2023 budget request (which does not include IIJA, IRA, and CHIPS
and Science Act funding) was for $48,183,451,000.16 Many DOE activities are required
by various authorization and appropriations bills. To implement many of the policies
contained in these proposals, several laws will need to be amended, including the
Department of Energy Organization Act, IIJA, IRA, and possibly portions of the
CHIPS (Creating Healthy Incentives to Produce Semiconductors) and Science Act.17
Ending taxpayer subsidies will promote an “all of the above” energy policy, lead to
more energy resources, reduce costs, and save taxpayers billions of dollars.
Mission/Overview
CESER’s mission is to “enhance the security and resilience of U.S. critical energy
infrastructure to all hazards,” to “mitigate the impacts of disruptive events and risk
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to the sector overall through preparedness and innovation,” and to “respond to and
facilitate recovery from energy disruptions in collaboration with other Federal
agencies, the private sector, and State, local, tribal, and territory governments.”18
Needed Reforms
The threats to U.S. energy infrastructure are real and persistent, and CESER’s
role—working to support national security by working with the private sector to
ensure energy security—is a proper one for government. Though CESER is properly
focused on the threat to the grid from inverter-based resources like wind and solar, it
needs to focus on the entire energy system, including the interdependence between
natural gas and electric generation and cybersecurity. A good first step would be to
reinstate an iteration of the Trump Administration’s Executive Order 13920, “Secur-
ing the United States Bulk-Power System.”19 The Biden Administration also placed
the Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) and DOE’s Federal Power Act 202(c) author-
ity20 under the CESER office, which should continue in the next Administration.
New Policies
CESER should be refocused to prioritize the cybersecurity, physical security,
and resilience of critical infrastructure. Through research and development, tech-
nical assistance to states and industry, and emergency exercises, CESER can make
a difference in our energy security posture.
Budget
CESER received $177 million for FY 2022 under the Energy and Water Develop-
ment and Related Agencies Appropriations Bill, 2022,21 and $550 million through
the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act.22 The FY 2023 budget request is for
$202 million.23 In addition, the White House has sent a letter to Congress request-
ing additional appropriations of $500 million to modernize the SPR.24
Mission/Overview
OE was created after the 2003 blackouts to improve grid reliability and energy
assurance.25 OE works to defend and promote the reliability and resiliency of the
electric grid through power grid modeling and analytics, cyber resilience programs,
and coordination with private-sector electricity providers. It also works to identify
Defense Critical Electric Infrastructure.
Needed Reforms
l Focus more intently on grid reliability. There are significant cyber,
physical, and reliability threats to the electric grid, and it is important
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New Policies
l Prioritize grid security. OE (along with CESER if they are combined)
should focus on the security of critical infrastructure equipment used
in the bulk power system as envisioned in President Trump’s May 2020
Executive Order 13920 and a related December 2020 Prohibition Order,26
which was revoked in April 2021 by President Biden.27 In addition,
CESER/OE should:
Budget
OE’s FY 2021 enacted budget was $211,720,000, and DOE has requested
$297,386,000 for FY 2023.28
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Mission/Overview
The Office of Nuclear Energy’s “mission is to advance nuclear energy science
and technology to meet U.S. energy, environmental, and economic needs.” It has
five stated goals: “Enable continued operation of existing U.S. nuclear reactors,”
“Enable deployment of advanced nuclear reactors,” “Develop advanced nuclear
fuel cycles,” “Maintain U.S. leadership in nuclear energy technology,” and “Enable
a high-performing organization.”29 Under the Nuclear Waste Policy Act,30 the Office
of Nuclear Energy “has also been responsible for the DOE’s statutory requirements
to collect and dispose of spent nuclear fuel…since the Obama Administration’s
dissolution of the Office of Civilian Radioactive Waste Management.”31
Needed Reforms
NE is too influential in driving the business decisions of commercial nuclear
energy firms. Instead of focusing on a limited set of basic research and devel-
opment activities that solve foundational technical issues that apply broadly to
energy production, NE intervenes in nearly all aspects of the commercial nuclear
energy industry. Absent wholesale reforms that restructure the federal energy and
science bureaucracy to eliminate such functional energy offices, the next Admin-
istration should:
l Substantially limit NE’s size and scope.
New Policies
NE should transition to a more limited scope of responsibilities that focuses on
basic research, solving broadly applicable technology challenges, and solving the
nuclear waste management issue as it relates to the development and deployment
of advanced next-generation reactors, which can include small modular reactors
(SMR). While respecting existing contractual obligations, NE should not initi-
ate any new civilian reactor demonstration and commercialization projects. NE
also should:
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Budget
The above reforms would cost substantially less than the $1,675,060,000
requested for FY 2023.32 Legislation such as the IIJA placed additional funding for
new reactor demonstration projects outside of NE. These responsibilities and their
associated funds should be moved to NE as appropriate. NE should not simply add
or subtract programs, as some programs may help to support NE’s new priorities.
The better approach would be to build a new budget and program strategy that
accounts for related DOE programs and submit a new budget request reflecting
NE’s new priorities.
Mission/Overview
DOE is authorized by law to increase the conversion efficiency of all forms of
fossil energy, reduce costs, improve environmental performance, and increase the
energy security of the United States.33 In recent years, the Office of Fossil Energy
(FE) has been transformed from its statutory role of improving fossil energy pro-
duction to one that is focused primarily on reducing the carbon dioxide emissions
from fossil fuel extraction, transport, and combustion. This change is reflected in
the office’s new name, the Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management (FECM),
effective as of July 2021, and FECM’s mission: “to minimize the environmental
impacts of fossil fuels while working towards net-zero emissions.”34
Needed Reforms
l Eliminate carbon capture utilization and storage (CCUS) programs.
Despite the recent expansion of the 45Q tax credit for carbon capture
utilization and storage (CCUS) to $87 per ton, most carbon capture
technology remains economically unviable, although private-sector
innovations are on the horizon. CCUS programs should be left to the private
sector to develop.35 If the office continues any CCUS research, that research
should be focused more on innovative utilization.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
majority of critical materials are mined or processed (or both) in Russia and
China.36 The processing of critical materials from fossil fuel waste products
(primarily coal) has shown some potential and, in view of our vast domestic
reserves of coal and abundant waste from coal mining and combustion,
should be pursued.
New Policies
l Eliminate FECM. The next Administration should work with Congress to
eliminate all of DOE’s applied energy programs, including those in FECM
(with the possible exception of those that are related to basic science for
new energy technology). Taxpayer dollars should not be used to subsidize
preferred businesses and energy resources, thereby distorting the market
and undermining energy reliability.
the reduction of costs).37
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Budget
The FY 2023 budget request for FECM was approximately $893.2 million.40
FECM’s requested appropriation can be compared to the more than $4.0 billion
requested for the Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy.41 The disparity
in funding demonstrates how DOE’s research activities and substantial portions
of its organizational structure are now focused entirely on the reduction of CO2
emissions rather than energy access or energy security.
Mission/Overview
The Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy traces its roots to the
Energy Policy and Conservation Act of 1975,42 but most of its programs today
are rooted in the Energy Policy Act of 2005.43 Under the Biden Administration,
EERE’s mission is “to accelerate the research, development, demonstration, and
deployment of technologies and solutions to equitably transition America to net-
zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions economy-wide by no later than 2050” and
“ensure [that] the clean energy economy benefits all Americans.”44 The office is
made up of three “pillars”: energy efficiency, renewable energy, and sustainable
transportation.
Needed Reforms
l End the focus on climate change and green subsidies. Under the Biden
Administration, EERE is a conduit for taxpayer dollars to fund progressive
policies, including decarbonization of the economy and renewable
resources. EERE has focused on reducing carbon dioxide emissions to
the exclusion of other statutorily defined requirements such as energy
security and cost. For example, EERE’s five programmatic priorities
during the Biden Administration are all focused on decarbonization of the
electricity sector, the industrial sector, transportation, buildings, and the
agricultural sector.45
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
New Policies
l Eliminate EERE. The next Administration should work with Congress to
eliminate all of DOE’s applied energy programs, including those in EERE
(with the possible exception of those that are related to basic science for
new energy technology). Taxpayer dollars should not be used to subsidize
preferred businesses and energy resources, thereby distorting the market
and undermining energy reliability.
l
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Budget
EERE was funded at slightly more than $2.8 billion in FY 2021, and DOE
requested slightly more than $4.0 billion for FY 2023.47 Congress needs to rescind
the appropriated monies that EERE has not spent and begin fresh with new
appropriations.
Mission/Overview
The Grid Deployment Office was established to implement parts of the Infra-
structure Investment and Jobs Act. Pursuant to the IIJA, GDO administers funds
appropriated by Congress to support transmission expansion and low/zero carbon
resources. In addition, GDO is developing studies of the electric grid to address
congestion, enhance reliability and resilience, and promote “clean” energy.48
Needed Reforms
l End grid planning and focus instead on reliability. FERC and NERC
have the primary responsibility for addressing reliability, states have the
primary authority to site and permit transmission lines, and regional
transmission organizations assist in planning regional transmission needs
for parts of the country, but Congress granted some grid planning and siting
authority to FERC and DOE through the Energy Policy Act of 2005 and
IIJA, as well as grid funding through the Inflation Reduction Act. Instead
of focusing on grid expansion for the benefit of renewable resources or
supporting low/carbon generation, GDO should be incorporated into the
reformed Office of Cybersecurity, Energy Security, and Emergency Response,
which would work to enhance the grid’s reliability and resilience. To the
extent that they remain in effect, the funding programs that GDO oversees
and administers should emphasize grid reliability, not renewables expansion.
l Consider whether to defund the civil nuclear tax credit program and
hydroelectric power efficiency and production incentives established
in the IIJA and administered through GDO. If subsidies for renewable
resources are not repealed, it may be necessary to continue subsidies for
nuclear and hydro to ensure grid reliability.
New Policies
l Eliminate GDO and assign necessary activities to the reformed
CESER. It appears that GDO’s current purpose is to promote the
integration of low/zero carbon resources onto the grid by supporting
subsidies for such resources and building new transmission facilities at
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l Defund most GDO programs. GDO oversees nearly $20 billion in new
appropriations created by the IIJA, including a grid modernization grant
program, the transmission facilitation program, and the civil nuclear
credit program, among others. Congress should rescind any money not
already spent.
Budget
Congress appropriated $10 million for GDO in FY 2021, and DOE has requested
$90.2 million for FY 2023.50
Mission/Overview
The OCED was established in December 2021 to implement the IIJA. Its mis-
sion is “[to] deliver clean energy demonstration projects at scale in partnership
with the private sector to accelerate deployment, market adoption, and the equi-
table transition to a decarbonized energy system.”51
Needed Reforms
l End market distortions and stop shifting technology and
development risks to taxpayers. The OCED is distorting energy
markets and shifting the risk of new technology deployment from the
private sector to taxpayers. The IIJA provided more than $20 billion in
government subsidies to help the private sector deploy and market clean
energy and decarbonizing resources. Government should not be picking
winners and losers and should not be subsidizing the private sector to bring
resources to market.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
New Policies
l Eliminate OCED. The next Administration should work with Congress
to eliminate all DOE energy demonstration programs, including those
in OCED. Taxpayer dollars should not be used to subsidize preferred
businesses and energy resources, thereby distorting the market and
undermining energy reliability.
Budget
DOE’s FY 2023 budget request includes $214 million “to initiate a new $150
million competition to support demonstrations that address integration issues of
renewable energy into the U.S. transmission and distribution grids.”52 Overall, the
“$21.5 billion provided by the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law”53 supports several
OCED programs:
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Personnel
By drawing resources from across the DOE, the OCED has already grown to 70
personnel in six months. If OCED is eliminated, those positions can be eliminated.
If OCED is reduced, its personnel can be reduced to fit its scope.
Mission/Overview
“LPO’s mission is to finance next-generation U.S. energy infrastructure,”
serve “as a bridge to bankability for breakthrough projects and technologies,”
and “de-risk[] them at early stages of investment so they can be developed at
commercial scale and achieve market acceptance.”55 The Biden Administration
directed the program to subsidize the Administration’s “net zero” energy tran-
sition away from conventional fuels by 2050 and to promote union jobs and
domestic supply chains.56
The LPO coordinates with the U.S. Treasury Federal Financing Bank and is
organized into seven divisions: Outreach and Business Development, Origination,
Portfolio Management, Risk Management, Technical and Project Management,
Legal, and Management and Operation. Its loan programs were originally designed
as temporary programs but have since been amended and expanded. Specifically:
The IRA expanded the authority in [LPO’s] existing programs, 1703, ATVM,
and Tribal Energy Finance, by $100B. IRA also created the Energy
Infrastructure Reinvestment (EIR) Financing Program (1706) which
can support up to $250B in loan authority. The CO2 Infrastructure
Finance and Innovation Act (CIFIA)—authorized by the [bipartisan
infrastructure law], appropriates $2.1B to support approximately $25B in
flexible, low-interest loans. This new legislation will create jobs and wealth,
address environmental justice and equity priorities and strengthen our
energy security and supply chains.57
Needed Reforms
Taxpayers should not be backing risky business ventures or politically pre-
ferred commercial enterprises. To save tax dollars and reduce current risk, the
new Administration:
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DOE-backed loans and loan guarantees put taxpayers at undue risk, distort
private-sector investment decisions, shift private money toward projects with
political support, and create additional barriers to entry for companies that are
outside of the government’s definition of “innovative” or for companies that choose
not to participate.
New Policies
To the extent that DOE loan programs cannot be repealed, the new Adminis-
tration should:
Mission/Overview
ARPA–E was created in 2007 as part of the America Competes (Creating Oppor-
tunities to Meaningfully Promote Excellence in Technology Education) Act.59 Its
statutory goals are “to enhance the economic and energy security of the United
States through the development of energy technologies” that reduce “imports of
energy from foreign sources;” reduce “energy-related emissions, including green-
house gases;” improve “the energy efficiency of all economic sectors;” and “ensure
that the United States maintains a technological lead in developing and deploying
advanced energy technologies.”60
Some in Congress see ARPA–E as beneficial because the COMPETES Act pro-
vides it with more bureaucratic flexibility than other federal programs are allowed.
Its goals are essentially the same as those of DOE’s applied energy offices, but its
structure is different, and it is focused around individual programs instead of
around offices with longer-term agendas.
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Needed Reforms
l Stop risking taxpayer dollars as venture capital for the private
sector. ARPA–E tends to see its mission as bringing technology from
idea to commercialization. Often called the investment trough, ARPA–E
is effectively funding projects that the private sector is unwilling to fund.
Taxpayers should not in effect be picking winners and losers—and having
their dollars at risk but not gaining the economic rewards of success.
New Policies
l Eliminate ARPA-E. The next Administration should work with Congress
to eliminate ARPA–E. The agency is unnecessary, risks taxpayer dollars,
and interferes with risk-benefit decisions that should be made by the
private sector.
Budget
Congress appropriated $427 million for ARPA–E in FY 2021, and slightly more
than $700 million has been requested for FY 2023.61
Mission/Overview
The Federal Energy Management Program (FEMP) describes its mission
as working with “other federal agencies to meet energy-related goals, identify
affordable solutions, facilitate public–private partnerships, and provide energy
leadership to the country by identifying government best practices.”62 Congress has
created a number of energy and energy efficiency requirements and guidelines for
federal agencies,63 and FEMP works with those agencies to help them meet their
congressionally mandated goals.
Needed Reforms
As the world’s largest single energy consumer, the federal government should
use energy efficiently and cost-effectively—especially because the taxpayer is
paying the energy bills. The Obama Administration required the federal govern-
ment to set extrastatutory and aggressive goals regarding the use of renewable
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
New Policies
A conservative Administration should follow the language of Executive Order
13834 and direct federal agencies to “reduce waste, cut costs, enhance the resilience
of Federal infrastructure and operations, and enable more effective accomplish-
ment of its mission.” For FEMP, this means focusing on helping federal agencies
to follow the law and use energy efficiently and cost-effectively.
Budget
FEMP was funded at $40 million in FY 2022,65 and slightly less than $170 mil-
lion is requested for FY 2023.66 If it is focused on helping the federal government
to carry out its statutorily based energy goal, much less money is needed.
Mission/Overview
Under the IIJA, “the Clean Energy Corps is charged with investing more than
$62 billion to deliver a more equitable clean energy future for the American peo-
ple[.]”67 The Corps says that it will “focus on deploying next generation clean energy
technology” to “help America meet its goals of a carbon-free power sector in 2035
and a decarbonized economy in 2050.”68
Needed Reforms
The Clean Energy Corps is a taxpayer-funded program to create new govern-
ment jobs for employees “who will work together to research, develop, demonstrate,
and deploy solutions to climate change.” DOE anticipates recruiting “an additional
1,000 employees using a special hiring authority included in the Bipartisan Infra-
structure Law.”69 Taxpayers should not have to fund a cadre of federal employees
to promote a partisan political agenda.
New Policies
Eliminate the Clean Energy Corps by revoking funding and eliminating all posi-
tions and personnel hired under the program.
Budget
Funding for Clean Energy Corps employees is not clearly defined in the FY 2023
DOE budget request.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Mission/Overview
The U.S. Energy Information Administration “collects, analyzes, and dis-
seminates independent and impartial energy information to promote sound
policymaking, efficient markets, and public understanding of energy and its inter-
action with the economy and the environment.”70
Needed Reforms
EIA is not an inherently problematic agency and historically has provided inde-
pendent and impartial analysis. Requests for EIA analyses can be made by the
Administration or from Members of Congress or congressional committees. EIA
needs to be committed to providing unbiased forecasting and data so that poli-
cymakers, industry, and the public can have a clear understanding of our energy
resources and energy economy. Strong leadership will be needed to ensure that
data and reporting are not misused to promote a politicized “energy transition.”
New Policies
l Clarify levelized cost of electricity. “Levelized cost of electricity (LCOE)
refers to the estimated revenue required to build and operate a generator
over a specified cost recovery period.”71 It is used in the National Energy
Modeling System (NEMS) to compare the cost of technologies to determine
which technologies are expected to be constructed in the future. Although it
is useful in comparing the costs of resources over time, LCOE can also mask
the massive amounts of capital needed to deploy new generation. Moreover,
in the case of intermittent resources such as wind and solar, LCOE does not
include the cost for backup or firming power from dispatchable resources.
EIA should ensure that its reporting provides an accurate assessment of
generation costs. The cost of backup power for when wind and solar resources
are not available should be included when comparing the technologies and
reported as a separate component in the modeling documents.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l Assess the case for privatization. There are some who think that EIA
should be privatized. The cost savings to taxpayers should be considered. On
the other hand, EIA has generally demonstrated neutral data presentation
that is helpful to policymakers and the private sector.
Budget
Congress appropriated $126.8 million for EIA in FY 2021, and the FY 2023
budget request is for approximately $144.5 million.73
Mission/Overview
“The Office of International Affairs has primary responsibility for addressing
international energy issues that have a direct impact on research, development,
utilization, supply, and conservation of energy affecting the United States.”74 It
“focuses on enhancing global energy security through countering malign influence,
diversifying supplies, and increasing energy access” and “is committed to increas-
ing U.S. energy exports and trade to enhance growth.” 75
Needed Reforms
l Expand IA’s role and focus its activities on U.S. international energy
security interests. International energy activities should be consolidated
under IA (and the Department of State’s Bureau of Energy Resources
should be eliminated) to ensure a proper understanding of domestic energy
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
policy and how it affects foreign policy, as well as the international energy
landscape and how it affects U.S. national and economic security.
New Policies
l Identify U.S. energy security interests and promote American energy
dominance. To this end, IA should work closely with the DESAS Office of
Policy on the National Energy Security Strategy.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Mission/Overview
AE was established during the Trump Administration to create a central office
overseeing U.S. Arctic interests in Alaska and the other Arctic nations in response
to the growing strategic sensitivity of this geographic region and the natural
resources it contains. It “serves as the principal advisor to the Under Secretary
on all domestic Arctic issues, including energy, science, and national security.”77
Needed Reforms
In October 2022, the Biden Administration released its National Strategy
for the Arctic Region.78 Although recognizing national security threats in the
Artic, it also focuses heavily on climate change, sustainability, and international
cooperation. The United States must establish a strategic plan to promote its
national security, energy, and economic interests in the Arctic. An analysis and
plan to support the responsible development of Alaska’s energy assets should
be a priority.
New Policies
l Defend American interests in the Artic Circle. The next Administration
needs to define American strategic and economic interests in the Arctic
Circle. AE should help to identify those interests, as well as threats posed by
countries like Russia and China, and develop appropriate policy options for
the President’s consideration.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Personnel
AE should provide a senior Arctic Energy official to the U.S. Arctic Council del-
egation in recognition of the key role that energy plays in Arctic development.
Mission/Overview
DOE’s Office of Intelligence and Counterintelligence “is responsible for all intel-
ligence and counterintelligence activities throughout the DOE complex, including
nearly thirty intelligence and counterintelligence offices nationwide.” It “lever-
age[s] the Energy Department’s unmatched scientific and technological expertise
in support of policymakers as well as national security missions in defense, home-
land security, cyber security, intelligence, and energy security” and “is a member
of the U.S. Intelligence Community.”79
Needed Reforms
Robust security protocols are necessary to protect DOE technology and innova-
tions from foreign penetration and espionage. In addition, DOE’s general isolation
from the rest of the Intelligence Community prevents appropriately cleared senior
staff from getting the thorough issue briefings that their colleagues elsewhere in
the national security realm receive.
New Policies
l Improve accountability and utilization. IAC should be led by a qualified
appointee and report directly to the Secretary and Deputy Secretary. IAC
will require strong political leadership, which means finding an appointee
with an IC background. In addition, upgrading the new DESAS’s general
security posture would require the Secretary’s direct intervention to
improve protocols and access the necessary resources from the rest of the
IC. This would not be achievable at a lower level.
Mission/Overview
OP has taken various roles over different Administrations. During the Obama
Administration, OP was a large office and was tasked with drafting the Quadrennial
Energy Review (QER). The Trump Administration shut down the QER and gave
OP a leaner research and advisory role. Under the Biden DOE, OP appears to be
focused on preparing reports on climate change and renewables.80
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Needed Reforms
l Help to develop policy. Because the appointees running DOE’s various
program offices are properly focused on managing their programs, not
enough thought is given to identifying future challenges and developing
potential solutions to benefit the American people.
New Policies
l Develop a National Energy Security Strategy. OP could be tasked with
developing a National Energy Security Strategy for the Secretary. This strategy
could be prepared in conjunction with the White House National Security
Strategy and the DOD National Defense Strategy to convey these priorities
to Congress and design policy initiatives for their implementation. Such a
strategy could summarize cyber and physical threats to energy infrastructure,
challenges involved in obtaining rare earth minerals to support domestic
energy production and consumption, and foreign actions that threaten U.S.
Mission/Overview
The Secretary of Energy authorized the creation of this office in 2015. Its mis-
sion “is to expand the public impact of the department’s research, development,
demonstration, and deployment (RDD&D) portfolio to advance the economic,
energy and national security interests of the nation.” OTT serves as “the front door
to U.S. Department of Energy’s…products, facilities and expertise” and “integrates
‘market pull’ into its planning to ensure the greatest return on investment from
DOE’s RDD&D activities to the taxpayer.”81
Needed Reforms
OTT should ensure that the best emerging technologies from DOE and the
National Labs are properly supported and protected. Because America’s techno-
logical edge is a key national security asset, and in view of China’s predatory thefts
of intellectual property, OTT should:
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l Ensure that R&D funds are used for projects that protect and
advance that edge.
New Policies
l Focus on benefits to Americans. OTT’s operations should be based on
the recognition that the new technologies generated by American taxpayers’
investment in DOE are a significant national security asset rather than some
neutral scientific gift to humanity.
Mission/Overview
The Office of Science (SC) supports and oversees research facilities and pro-
grams that cover basic science through its application to the demonstration and
deployment of energy technologies. SC oversees 10 of the 17 DOE National Labs
and 28 major federal research user facilities. Its mission is to preserve U.S. leader-
ship in science, fund and perform basic research, and provide the scientific facilities
that the private sector is unable or unwilling to provide. New initiatives include
quantum information sciences and artificial intelligence. SC is led by a Senate-con-
firmed Director at the Assistant Secretary level and has eight program offices.82
Needed Reforms
The next conservative President should commit the United States to scientific
dominance to support national and economic security, especially in light of similar
efforts by China. To aid in this effort, the Office of Science should:
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
New Policies
l Commit to U.S. science dominance. The United States is losing its
dominance in scientific discoveries and technological development. China
and other adversaries have been stealing American science and technology
for years and are now on the verge of dominating science—a development that
is fraught with negative strategic and economic implications for the United
States. The next Administration must commit itself to ensuring that the U.S.
continues to dominate scientific discovery and technological advancement.
role in national defense) and conduct basic research that the private sector
would not otherwise conduct. Activities that duplicate those of other
government agencies or the private sector should be eliminated.
Budget
The Office of Science was appropriated slightly more than $7 billion in FY 2021,
and DOE requested slightly less than $7.8 billion for FY 2023.84
Mission/Overview
The Office of Environmental Management’s mission is to “complete the
safe cleanup of [the] environmental legacy resulting from decades of nuclear
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Needed Reforms
Some states (and contractors), see EM as a jobs program and have little interest
in accelerating the cleanup. EM needs to move to an expeditious program with
targets for cleanup of sites. The Hanford site in Washington State is a particular
challenge. The Tri-Party Agreement (TPA) among DOE, the Environmental Pro-
tection Agency, and Washington State’s Department of Ecology has hampered
attempts to accelerate and innovate the cleanup. A central challenge at Hanford
is the classification of radioactive waste. High-Level Waste (HLW) and Low-Level
Waste (LLW) classifications drive the remediation and disposal process. Under
President Trump, significant changes in waste classification from HLW to LLW
enabled significant progress on remediation. Implementation needs to continue
across the complex, particularly at Hanford.
New Policies
The next Administration should:
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Budget
Mission/Overview
The Nuclear Waste Policy Act (NWPA) of 1982 conferred the responsibility
for commercial nuclear waste disposal on the federal government,93 and in 2002,
Congress designated a single repository located at Yucca Mountain in Nevada as
the national repository site. The act also established the Office of Civilian Radio-
active Waste Management (OCRWM).94 The Obama Administration shut down
OCRWM in 2010. The Office of Spent Fuel and Waste Disposition, which is headed
by a non-confirmed Deputy Assistant Secretary in the Office of Nuclear Energy, is
currently responsible for the management of nuclear waste, and interim disposal
is taking place on various sites. Providing a plan for the proper disposal of civilian
nuclear waste is essential to the promotion of nuclear power in the United States.
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Needed Reforms
l Work with the Nuclear Regulatory Commission as it reviews DOE’s
permit application for Yucca Mountain. According to both the scientific
community and global experience, deep geologic storage is critical to any
plan for the proper disposal of more than 75 years of defense waste and
80,000 tons of commercial spent nuclear fuel.95 Yucca Mountain remains a
viable option for waste management, and DOE should recommit to working
with the Nuclear Regulatory Commission as it reviews DOE’s permit
application for a repository. Finishing the review does not mean that Yucca
Mountain will be completed and operational; it merely presents all the
information for the State of Nevada, Congress, the nuclear industry, and the
Administration to use as the basis for informed decisions.
consent-based siting for a civilian waste nuclear repository has been a way
to delay any politically painful decisions about siting a permanent civilian
nuclear waste facility. In 2022, DOE announced $16 million to support local
communities in consent-based siting.96 The next Administration should
use the consent-based-siting process to identify and build temporary or
permanent sites for a civilian waste nuclear repository (or repositories).
New Policies
l Restart Yucca Mountain licensing. DOE should restart the Yucca
Mountain licensing process. Any continuation of interim storage facilities
should be made part of an integrated waste management system that
includes geologic storage. Further, building on the consent-based siting
process already underway, DOE should find a second repository site.
l Fix the policy and cost drivers that are preventing nuclear storage.
The federal government continues to hold $46 billion97 in the Nuclear
Waste Fund (NWF),98 funded by utilities and their ratepayers for permanent
disposal of nuclear waste. However, no such storage exists, and spent
nuclear fuel remains on site at most nuclear plants. Meanwhile, Congress
uses those funds to finance unrelated spending. Moreover, DOE’s
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violation of its contractual obligation to take the waste has resulted in the
payment of “approximately $10.1 billion in settlements and judgments to
contract holders.”99
Budget
Within the Office of Nuclear Energy budget, approximately $100 million is set
aside for fuel cycle and waste management activities.100 These funds should be
transferred to the newly established OCRWM, which should also be responsible
for managing the Nuclear Waste Fund and given access to the fund as necessary
to carry out its responsibilities.
Mission/Overview
NNSA’s primary mission is to provide and maintain a modern, safe, and effective
nuclear deterrent for the United States. This includes the design and production of
nuclear warheads, their integration with delivery systems, and their safe storage
and decommissioning. NNSA’s responsibilities also include developing nuclear
reactors for the U.S. Navy and “work[ing] to prevent nuclear weapon proliferation
and reduce the threat of nuclear and radiological terrorism around the world.”101
NNSA was established by the NNSA Act, which also defines its authority.102
Needed Reforms
The United States, through the NNSA, needs to make the design, development,
and deployment of new nuclear warheads a top priority. Existing warheads were
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designed and built during the Cold War, and the U.S. lacks sufficient plutonium
production capabilities.103 Because this process will take time, NNSA and the
NNSA Labs need to ensure that existing nuclear warheads are viable and provide
an appropriate strategic deterrent.
New Policies
The expansion of Chinese nuclear forces, the continued nuclear threat
from Russia, and active nuclear programs in North Korea, Iran, and elsewhere
require NNSA’s recommitment to the nuclear mission. A conservative Adminis-
tration should:
l Continue to develop new warheads for each branch of the triad (land,
sea, and air defenses). If possible, reverse the Biden Administration’s
decision to retire the B83 bomb (in order to maintain two aircraft-delivered
warheads) and its decision to cancel the submarine-launched cruise
missile (SLCM).104 Also undertake an evaluation of the need for nuclear
antisubmarine and air defense weapons in light of emerging threats.
l Reject ratification of the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty and
indicate a willingness to conduct nuclear tests in response to
adversary nuclear developments if necessary. This will require
that NNSA be directed to move to immediate test readiness to give the
Administration maximum flexibility in responding to adversary actions.
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Budget
Concurrent modernization of the nuclear triad and its warheads will be a major
challenge to the DOD and DOE budgets over the coming decade. DOE non-nuclear
programs should be the first source of additional resources for NNSA activities.
Divestment of non-nuclear activities from NNSA laboratories can address some
overhead and operational costs. NNSA received $19.7 billion in 2021, and its FY
2023 budget request was $21.4 billion.106 The next Administration should ensure
that funding is targeted to the accelerated development of new warheads.
Personnel
NNSA has tended to act as though it is not part of DOE and has resisted oversight
by the Secretary of Energy. The NNSA Act grants some autonomy to the NNSA, but
it also makes it clear that NNSA is under the authority of the Secretary. NNSA’s
leaders need to understand that ultimately, they report to the Secretary.
Mission/Overview
The Federal Power Act tasks FERC, along with the FERC-designated North
American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC), with promoting the reliability
of the bulk power system (the transmission and generation needed to power the
electric grid).107 NERC develops technical standards, and FERC adopts them as
mandatory standards (including cyber security standards) with which transmis-
sion providers, generators, and utilities must comply. Under the Federal Power
Act, critical electric infrastructure security and issues like electromagnetic pulse
(EMP) are addressed by both FERC and DOE.108 In addition, the Infrastructure
Investment and Jobs Act directed FERC to establish incentive-based rate treat-
ments by encouraging utilities to invest in advanced cyber security technology and
participate in cyber security threat information-sharing programs.
Needed Reforms
There is a growing problem with the electric grid’s reliability because of the
increasing growth of subsidized intermittent renewable generation (like wind and
solar) and a lack of dispatchable generation (for example, power plants powered
by natural gas, nuclear, and coal), especially during hot and cold weather.109 FERC
and NERC have been studying the potential for generation shortages across the
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nation in the summer110 and winter.111 Cyber and physical attacks also threaten the
grid. Specific areas for reform include the following:
reliability challenges for all times of the day and year.
l Protect against cyber and physical attacks. The threat of cyber and
physical attacks on electric infrastructure by foreign actors like China,
Russia, North Korea, and Iran, as well as terrorists, continues to grow. The
attacks with guns on substations in North Carolina in December 2022 that
left customers without power demonstrate the grid’s vulnerability.114
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New Policies
l Reform RTOs to require reliability. FERC should direct RTOs to
establish reliability pricing for eligible dispatchable generation resources
or require intermittent resources to procure backup power for times when
they are not available to operate. In addition, Congress should repeal
subsidies for generation resources.
l Support resource diversity and reliability. FERC, NERC, and DOE play
key roles in balancing consumer, industrial, and national defense interests
to ensure an ongoing reliable, plentiful, and accessible national electricity
supply. NERC reliability reviews and FERC’s reliability roles should be
aware that overreliance on any one power generation fuel source entails
concurrent cost and availability risk. FERC should reform market rules that
unduly discriminate against dispatchable resources needed for reliability.
Mission/Overview
For more than 20 years, FERC has issued regulations and directed policies for
the creation and operation of regional transmission organizations (RTOs) and
independent system operators (ISOs) to manage the dispatch of generation and
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Needed Reforms
Too many conservatives have assumed that because RTOs are described as
“electric power markets,” market forces of supply and demand set electric prices
and benefit customers. RTOs are complex regulatory constructs (with rules set
by FERC) that obscure government interference and preferences for preferred
resources. Furthermore, government preferences and subsidies for resources like
wind and solar distort price formation for electricity that is undermining the reli-
ability of the grid. Finally, customers are not seeing the full economic benefits that
non-fuel, subsidized resources should provide. Additionally:
distortions have driven out reliable, dispatchable resources like coal, natural
gas, and nuclear generation in various RTOs. The result: Electric reliability
is decreasing in many parts of the country.116 As noted, FERC and NERC
have been studying the potential for summer and winter shortages.117
l Big Green and Big Tech want RTO expansion. Renewable developers,
large industrial users, and Big Tech tend to want RTO expansion for their
own economic and ESG reasons. These entities can benefit economically
from the complexity and marginal pricing regime of the RTOs. Increased
costs and reliability problems are often shifted to other customers.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
New Policies
FERC must make reliability of the grid and service to end use top priorities. To
do so, it should:
l Reexamine the premise of RTOs. RTOs no longer seem to work for the
benefit of the American people. Marginal price auctions for energy are not
ensuring the reliability of the grid and are not passing the full economic
benefits of subsidized renewables on to customers. FERC needs to
reexamine the RTOs under its jurisdiction to make sure that they procure
reliable and affordable electricity for the benefit of the American people.
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Mission/Overview
Under the Federal Power Act, FERC has the authority to regulate the rates,
terms, and conditions of interstate electric transmission. (Pursuant to court cases,
interstate transmission can be entirely within a state, although the part of Texas
served by ERCOT is not under FERC transmission jurisdiction.)
Needed Reforms
FERC has been considering how to plan for and allocate costs for new trans-
mission lines and how new generation resources will be interconnected to the
transmission grid. (Transmission expansion and replacement decisions are usu-
ally made by local utilities or by an RTO or regional planning entity). Through
two major rulemakings,118 FERC is attempting to facilitate the building of more
long-range transmission lines and to socialize more of the costs of transmission
buildouts to more customers in order to make it cheaper for renewable develop-
ers (primarily) to interconnect to the grid and sell their power. Socializing such
costs is a form of subsidy for generators and will cause further price distortions
in RTOs and ISOs that will make it less economical for reliable, dispatchable
resources like coal, nuclear, and natural gas to stay operational and support
reliability.119
Also, under the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, DOE and FERC are
granted authority to site and permit high-priority transmission lines as National
Interest Electric Transmission Corridors (NIETCs). The Inflation Reduction Act
provides funding to DOE to support transmission expansion.120 These initiatives
will undermine state input and decision-making. FERC will consider rules on how
NIETC transmission applications are to be made.
New Policies
FERC should either change course on its existing transmission rulemakings (if
still in progress) or issue a new rulemaking to:
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l Prevent socializing costs for customers who do not benefit from the
projects or justifying such cost shifts as advancing vague “societal
benefits” such as climate change.
With respect to NIETCs, FERC and the new DESAS should ensure that state
interests are respected and not allow such NEITC transmission lines to be devel-
oped as a mere subsidy to renewable developers. Furthermore, much of the
transmission buildout (including its attendant costs) is being driven by renewable
developers seeking market share. These projects are causing rates for customers
to go up and hurting reliability. FERC needs to ensure that transmission buildouts
are planned for the benefit of customers.
Mission/Overview
FERC permits, sites, and authorizes the construction and operation of inter-
state natural gas pipelines.121 It also regulates the rates for the shipping of natural
gas122 (but not the price of the natural gas commodity, which is market based).
FERC is charged with ensuring that natural gas pipelines are approved if they are
required by the “public convenience and necessity.”123 Pipeline permitting is sub-
ject to environmental reviews under NEPA, and the rate for the pipeline and the
shipping of the commodity is set by FERC under a just and reasonable standard.
Once FERC approves a project, the holder of the certificate has the sovereign’s
power of eminent domain.
Needed Reforms
Natural gas pipelines are vital for the economy, manufacturing, heating, and
electric generation. Opposition from “Keep it in the ground” environmentalists
has made it harder to gain approvals for natural gas pipelines. Under Democrat
leadership, FERC has proposed official policies to consider upstream and down-
stream GHG emissions from the use of the natural gas that would be shipped in
the pipeline to be part of FERC’s public-interest determination when deciding
whether to approve a pipeline. There is conflicting direction from the D.C. Circuit
on the GHG issue, which also could be seen as a “major questions” issue under the
U.S. Supreme Court’s West Virginia v. EPA decision.124
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New Policies
FERC should:
l Limit its NEPA analysis to the impacts of the actual pipeline itself,
not indirect upstream and downstream effects.
In addition, Congress, the states, and FERC should consider how better to pro-
tect and compensate property owners whose property is taken for the benefit of the
public. FERC also needs to be mindful that natural gas pipelines and projects are
important for domestic access to natural gas, including local natural gas utilities,
natural gas–fired electric generation, and manufacturing, as well as for exports of
liquefied natural gas.
Mission/Overview
FERC permits, sites, and authorizes the construction and operation of LNG
export facilities.125 It does not authorize the export of natural gas; DOE exercises
that authority. LNG export facilities are important for delivering natural gas to
markets around the world and have become an important policy tool in limiting
the ability of Russia and Middle Eastern countries to use energy as a tool in for-
eign affairs.
Needed Reforms
LNG exports are opposed by climate activists. In addition, some domestic man-
ufacturers argue that LNG exports decrease available U.S. supplies of natural gas
and increase the domestic price, thereby harming the competitive advantages of
U.S. manufacturers in world markets.
Currently, most LNG export facilities are along the Gulf of Mexico in Texas and
Louisiana.126 Attempts to build facilities on the west coast (Jordan Cove LNG127)
and the east coast have not moved forward for a variety of reasons; delays and
costs of litigation can cause developers to cancel projects. An Alaska facility was
approved by FERC in 2020, and the Biden Administration has indicated its sup-
port.128 An east coast facility in Pennsylvania (or nearby) would unlock Marcellus
shale natural gas for export.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
New Policies
Since Congress through the NGA has already determined that LNG exports to
countries with free trade agreements are in the public interest,129 and because LNG
exports help to ensure America’s ability to support our friends and allies around
the world while also supporting domestic natural gas production, FERC:
l Should ensure that the natural gas pipelines that are needed deliver
more of the product to market, both for domestic use and export, and
are reviewed, developed and constructed in a timely manner.
Mission/Overview
The Energy Reorganization Act of 1974130 created the Nuclear Regulatory Com-
mission (NRC). Before then, the commercial nuclear industry was regulated by
the Atomic Energy Commission (AEC), which was established by the 1954 Atomic
Energy Act.131 Importantly, the AEC was responsible for encouraging and regulat-
ing commercial nuclear power. Broad criticism of this dual function was a major
factor in the establishment of the NRC, which held regulatory authority while the
newly established Department of Energy held the advocacy function. Today, the
NRC is responsible for a broad range of regulatory activities, including reactor
safety, oversight of nuclear materials, and protection against radiation as well as
permitting new reactors, certifying new reactor designs, and regulating nuclear
waste management activities.
Needed Reforms
In 1989, the NRC established alternative licensing processes that were meant to
provide a more predictable and efficient regulatory pathway for new Light Water
Reactors (LWRs) by combining construction and operating nuclear power plant
licenses, allowing for Early Site Permits, and establishing a framework for pre-
approval of reactor designs. More recently, the Nuclear Energy Innovation and
Modernization Act directed the NRC to establish a technology-neutral licensing
process for new, advanced reactor technologies.132 Despite these efforts, the NRC
remains a significant cost and regulatory barrier to new nuclear power. Especially
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frustrating is that these costs to a large extent are due to the agencies being overly
prescriptive rather than outcomes-focused and fall on well-known and understood
LWR reactor technologies.
New Policies
While refocusing its regulatory efforts on new reactor technologies, the NRC
should also continue to ensure the security of radiological sources and mitigate
cybersecurity risks across the industry. Applications for Combined Operating
Licenses (COLs) and design certifications that rely on light-water technology
should generally be completed within two years. Early Site Permits should gener-
ally be issued within one year for construction on or adjacent to an existing reactor
site. Additionally, the NRC should:
l Work with Congress to reform its funding approach so that licensee
fees are generally required for activities that are specific to a
regulated entity, with other agency costs being provided through
normal appropriations.
Budget
In FY 2022, the NRC was required to recover approximately 85 percent of its
$887.7 million budget through licensee fees.133 The Nuclear Energy Innovation
and Modernization Act requires the NRC to recover nearly all of its costs through
fees. These reforms would likely not cost additional money but could rebalance
the fee-versus-appropriations calculation.
AUTHOR’S NOTE: The preparation of this chapter was the work of many individuals. All contributors to this
chapter are listed at the front of this volume, but I wish to give special thanks to Brent Bennett, Willis Bixby, Travis
Fisher, Ben Lieberman, Brian McCormack, Tom Pyle, Mark Robeck, Daniel Simmons, Jack Spencer, Katie Tubb, and
David Walsh. Though informed by many, the author alone assumes responsibility for the content of this chapter,
and no views expressed herein should be attributed to any particular individual.
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ENDNOTES
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2. Jacob Knutson, “N.C. Power Company: Substation Repairs Complete After Alleged Attack,” Axios, December
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3. H.R. 3684, Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, Public Law No. 117-58, 117th Congress, November 15, 2021,
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6. DOE also promotes domestic energy security by providing research and coordination between government
and the private sector on physical and cyber-related threats to energy security. This work should continue and
be enhanced under the next Administration.
7. Elimination of OE, NE, FE, and EERE might also be considered; however, there are benefits from having
political appointees run separate offices. Specifically, separate program offices can focus on threats that are
unique to their energy areas, and having political appointees run separate offices helps to ensure focused,
unobstructed pursuit of policy objectives.
8. H.R. 6586, Natural Gas Act, Public Law No. 75-688, 75th Congress, June 21, 1938, https://govtrackus.
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advance-diversity-equity-inclusion-and-accessibility (accessed February 14, 2023).
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Advanced Research Projects Agency, Department of Homeland Security Science and Technology Directorate,
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
19. President Donald J. Trump, Executive Order 13920, “Securing the United States Bulk-Power System,” May 1,
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Budget Request, Budget in Brief, pp. 19, 21, 23, and 52.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
41. U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Chief Financial Officer, Department of Energy FY 2023 Congressional
Budget Request, Budget in Brief, pp. 3, 6, 12, 19, 21, and 23.
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www.congress.gov/94/statute/STATUTE-89/STATUTE-89-Pg871.pdf (accessed February 27, 2023).
43. H.R. 6, Energy Policy Act of 2005, Public Law No. 109-58, 109th Congress, August 8, 2005, https://www.
congress.gov/109/plaws/publ58/PLAW-109publ58.pdf (accessed February 27, 2023).
44. U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, “About the Office of Energy
Efficiency and Renewable Energy,” https://www.energy.gov/eere/about-office-energy-efficiency-and-
renewable-energy (accessed February 28, 2023).
45. Ibid.
46. See note 41, supra.
47. U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Chief Financial Officer, Department of Energy FY 2023 Congressional
Budget Request, Budget in Brief, pp. 19, 23, 43, and 49.
48. See U.S. Department of Energy, Grid Deployment Office, “About Us,” https://www.energy.gov/gdo/about-us
(accessed February 13, 2023).
49. U.S. Department of Energy, Grid Deployment Office, “Building a Better Grid Initiative,” https://www.energy.
gov/gdo/building-better-grid-initiative (accessed February 13, 2023).
50. U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Chief Financial Officer, Department of Energy FY 2023 Congressional
Budget Request, Budget in Brief, pp. 2, 19, 21, 23, and 84. “The FY 2023 Budget Request to Congress proposes
to split the Electricity appropriation account into two accounts: Electricity and Grid Deployment Office (GDO).
Had the proposed FY 2023 structure been in place in FY 2021 and FY 2022, the $7,000,000 shown under the
Electricity account’s Transmission Permitting and Technical Assistance (TPTA) program would have appeared
under Grid Technical Assistance in GDO and the $3,000,000 shown under Program Direction in the Electricity
account represents the estimated share of Electricity PD funding associated with TPTA and would have
appeared under Program Direction in GDO.” Ibid., p. 84, note.
51. U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Clean Energy Demonstrations, “About Us: Our Mission,” https://www.
— 412 —
2025 Presidential Transition Project
62. U.S. Department of Energy, Federal Energy Management Program, “About the Federal Energy Management
Program: Mission and Stakeholders,” https://www.energy.gov/eere/femp/about-federal-energy-
management-program (accessed February 13, 2023).
63. See, for example, 42 U.S. Code § 8252, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/42/8252 (accessed February
13, 2023); § 8253, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/42/8253 (accessed February 13, 2023); § 8254,
https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/42/8254 (accessed February 13, 2023); § 8255, https://www.law.
cornell.edu/uscode/text/42/8255 (accessed February 13, 2023); § 8256, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/
text/42/8256 (accessed February 13, 2023); § 8257, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/42/8257
(accessed February 13, 2023); § 8258, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/42/8258 (accessed February
13, 2023); § 8259b, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/42/8258b (accessed February 13, 2023); § 15852,
https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/42/15852 (accessed February 13, 2023); and § 17143, https://www.
law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/42/17143 (accessed February 13, 2023).
64. President Donald J. Trump, Executive Order 13834, “Efficient Federal Operations,” May 17, 2018, Federal
Register, Vol. 83, No. 99 (May 22, 2018), pp. 23771–23774, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2018-05-
22/pdf/2018-11101.pdf (accessed February 28, 2023).
65. U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, “FY 2022 Request Overview
Briefing,” June 2021, p. 11, https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/2021-06/FY2022-EERE-budget-request-
energy-efficiency.pdf (accessed February 28, 2023).
66. U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Chief Financial Officer, Department of Energy FY 2023 Congressional
Budget Request, Budget in Brief, pp. 19 and 21.
67. U.S. Department of Energy, Clean Energy Corps, “Careers,” https://www.energy.gov/CleanEnergyCorps
(accessed March 13, 2023).
68. Ibid.
69. U.S. Department of Energy, “DOE Kicks Off Recruitment to Support Implementation of Bipartisan
Infrastructure Law,” January 13, 2022, https://www.energy.gov/articles/doe-kicks-recruitment-support-
implementation-bipartisan-infrastructure-law (accessed March 13, 2023).
70. U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, “About EIA,” https://www.eia.gov/about/
(accessed February 13, 2023).
71. U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, “Levelized Costs of New Generation Resources
in the Annual Energy Outlook 2022,” March 2022, p. 1, https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/pdf/electricity_
generation.pdf (accessed March 13, 2023).
72. U.S. Department of Energy, U.S. Energy Information Administration, Direct Federal Financial Interventions and
Subsidies in Energy in Fiscal Year 2016, April 2018, https://www.eia.gov/analysis/requests/subsidy/pdf/subsidy.
pdf (accessed March 1, 2023).
73. U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Chief Financial Officer, Department of Energy FY 2023 Congressional
Budget Request, Budget in Brief, pp. 19, 24, and 105.
74. U.S. Department of Energy, Office of International Affairs, “Mission: Our Mission,” https://www.energy.gov/ia/
our-mission (accessed February 13, 2023).
75. U.S. Department of Energy, Office of International Affairs, “Priorities: Our Objectives,” https://www.energy.
gov/ia/priorities (accessed February 13, 2023).
76. Editorial Board, “Biden Signs Up for Climate Reparations,” The Wall Street Journal, November 20, 2022,
https://www.wsj.com/articles/biden-signs-up-for-climate-change-reparations-europe-fund-un-john-kerry-
poor-countries-bank-capitalism-11668974219 (accessed February 13, 2023).
77. U.S. Department of Energy, Arctic Energy Office, “About the Arctic Energy Office,” https://www.energy.gov/
arctic/about-arctic-energy-office (accessed March 1, 2023).
78. National Strategy for the Arctic Region, The White House, October 2022, https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-
content/uploads/2022/10/National-Strategy-for-the-Arctic-Region.pdf (accessed March 13, 2023).
79. U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Intelligence and Counterintelligence website, https://www.energy.gov/
intelligence/office-intelligence-and-counterintelligence (accessed February 13, 2023).
80. See U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Policy, “Publications,” https://www.energy.gov/policy/office-policy
(accessed February 13, 2023).
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
81. U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Technology Transitions, “About Us: Mission,” https://www.energy.gov/
technologytransitions/mission-0 (accessed February 13, 2023).
82. Advanced Scientific Computing Research (ASCR); Basic Energy Sciences (BES); Biological and Environmental
Research (BER); Fusion Energy Sciences (FES); High-Energy Physics (HEP); Nuclear Physics (NP); Isotope
R&D and Production (IRP); and Accelerator R&D and Production (ARDAP). U.S. Department of Energy, Office
of Chief Financial Officer, Department of Energy FY 2023 Congressional Budget Request, Volume 5, Science,
April 2022, pp. 10–14, https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/2022-05/doe-fy2023-budget-volume-5-
science-v2.pdf (accessed March 1, 2023).
83. For example, the CHIPS and Science Act authorizes $50 billion for the Office of Science. U.S. Department of
Energy, “Statement by Secretary Granholm on Congressional Passage of the CHIPS and Science Act,” July
28, 2022, https://www.energy.gov/articles/statement-secretary-granholm-congressional-passage-chips-and-
science-act (accessed February 13, 2023).
84. U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Chief Financial Officer, Department of Energy FY 2023 Congressional
Budget Request, Volume 5, Science, April 2022, p. 7, https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/2022-05/doe-
fy2023-budget-volume-5-science-v2.pdf (accessed March 2, 2023).
85. U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Environmental Management, “Mission,” https://www.energy.gov/em/
mission (accessed March 1, 2023).
86. U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Environmental Management, “Cleanup Sites,” https://www.energy.gov/
em/cleanup-sites (accessed March 1, 2023).
87. U.S. Government Accountability Office, “DOE’s Environmental Liability,” GAO-21-585R, June 2021, p. 2, https://
www.gao.gov/assets/gao-21-585r.pdf (accessed March 13, 2023).
88. Chart, “EM’s Annual Spending and Estimated Environmental Liability (Fiscal Years 2011–2020),” in ibid., p. 1.
89. U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Chief Financial Officer, Department of Energy FY 2023 Congressional
Budget Request, Volume 6, Environmental Management, April 2022, p. 53, https://www.energy.gov/sites/
default/files/2022-09/doe-fy2023-budget-volume-6-em-v3.pdf (accessed March 1, 2023).
90. Ibid.
91. U.S. Government Accountability Office, Nuclear Waste: DOE Needs Greater Leadership Stability and
Commitment to Accomplish Cleanup Mission, GAO-22-104805, https://www.gao.gov/assets/gao-22-104805.
pdf#:~:text=DOE%20Needs%20Greater%20Leadership%20Stability%20and%20Commitment%20to,May%20
2022%20GAO-22-104805%20United%20States%20Government%20Accountability%20Office May 2022,
(accessed February 14, 2023).
92. U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Chief Financial Officer, Department of Energy FY 2023 Congressional
Budget Request, Budget in Brief, pp. 23 and 93.
93. H.R. 3809, Nuclear Waste Policy Act of 1982, Public Law No. 97-425, Title I, Subtitle B.
94. Ibid., Title III, § 304.
95. See, for example, Chapter 4, “The Need for Geologic Disposal,” in Blue Ribbon Commission on America’s
Nuclear Future, Report to the Secretary of Energy, January 2012, pp. 27–31, https://www.energy.gov/sites/
default/files/2013/04/f0/brc_finalreport_jan2012.pdf (accessed February 14, 2023).
96. Press release, “DOE Announces $16 Million to Support Consent-Based Siting for Spent Nuclear Fuel,” U.S.
Department of Energy, September 20, 2022, https://www.energy.gov/articles/doe-announces-16-million-
support-consent-based-siting-spent-nuclear-fuel (accessed February 14, 2023).
97. U.S. Department of Energy, Agency Financial Report, Fiscal Year 2022, DOE/CF-0191, p. 58, https://www.
energy.gov/sites/default/files/2022-11/fy-2022-doe-agency-financial-report.pdf (accessed March 13, 2023).
98. H.R. 3809, Nuclear Waste Policy Act of 1982, Public Law No. 97-425, Title III, § 302.
99. Ibid., p. 57.
100. Table, “Department of Energy Comparative Organization by Congressional Control, FY 2023,” p. 5, in U.S.
Department of Energy, Office of the Chief Financial Officer, “FY 2023 Budget Justification: Summary Budget
Documents,” https://www.energy.gov/cfo/articles/fy-2023-budget-justification (accessed March 13, 2023).
101. U.S. Department of Energy, National Nuclear Security Administration, “Missions,” https://www.energy.gov/
nnsa/missions#:~:text=NNSA%20ensures%20the%20United%20States%20maintains%20a%20safe%2C,of%20
nuclear%20and%20radiological%20terrorism%20around%20the%20world (accessed March 2, 2023).
— 414 —
2025 Presidential Transition Project
102. S. 1059, National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2000, Public Law 106-65, 106th Congress, October
5, 1999, §§ 3201–3299, https://www.congress.gov/106/plaws/publ65/PLAW-106publ65.pdf (accessed
February 14, 2023).
103. See Geller, “U.S. Nuclear Weapons.”
104. U.S. Department of Defense, 2022 National Defense Strategy of the United States of America, Including the
2022 Nuclear Posture Review and the 2022 Missile Defense Review, pp. 3 and 20, https://media.defense.
gov/2022/Oct/27/2003103845/-1/-1/1/2022-NATIONAL-DEFENSE-STRATEGY-NPR-MDR.PDF (accessed
March 2, 2023).
105. U.S. Department of Energy, National Nuclear Security Administration, “Plutonium Pit Production,” https://
www.energy.gov/nnsa/plutonium-pit-production (accessed March 13, 2023).
106. U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Chief Financial Officer, Department of Energy FY 2023 Congressional
Budget Request, Budget in Brief, p. 27.
107. 16 U.S. Code § 824o, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/16/824o (accessed March 2, 2023).
108. 16 U.S. Code § 824o-1, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/16/824o-1 (accessed March 2, 2023).
109. For example, the California blackouts in August 2020 and the Texas blackouts and deaths in February 2021.
110. North American Electric Reliability Corporation, “Announcement: Extreme Weather Heightens Reliability Risks
This Summer,” May 18, 2022, https://www.nerc.com/news/Headlines%20DL/May%2018%202022%20SRA%20
Announcement.pdf (accessed February 14, 2023).
111. Ethan Howland, “ISO-NE, ERCOT, MISO Face Possible Capacity Shortfalls in Extreme Winter Weather: FERC,”
Utility Dive, October 21, 2022, https://www.utilitydive.com/news/FERC-iso-ne-ercot-miso-extreme-winter-
weather-report/634682/ (accessed February 14, 2023), and North American Energy Reliability Corporation,
“Announcement: NERC Warns Generation Resources Tight in Large Portion of North America This Winter,”
November 17, 2022, https://www.nerc.com/news/Headlines%20DL/2022%20WRA%20Release%20final.pdf
(accessed February 14, 2023).
112. Note that the challenges to the grid are coming mainly from subsidized renewable resources. Renewable
resources have beneficial attributes, and the electric grid can benefit from embracing an all-of-the-above
approach to power generation.
113. See U.S. Department of Energy, U.S. Energy Information Administration, “Glossary: Reserve Margin,” https://
www.eia.gov/tools/glossary/index.php?id=reserve_margin (accessed February 14, 2023).
114. Dan Frosch and Ginger Adams Otis, “North Carolina Power Outage Leaves 33,000 Without Electricity
After Substation Attack,” The Wall Street Journal, December 5, 2022, https://www.wsj.com/articles/
attack-on-north-carolina-power-substations-leaves-45-000-without-electricity-11670200585 (accessed
February 14, 2023).
115. U.S. Department of Energy, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, “Power Sales and Markets: RTOs and
ISOs,” last updated May 3, 2022, https://www.ferc.gov/power-sales-and-markets/rtos-and-isos (accessed
February 14, 2023).
116. Such as the blackouts and shortages in California (August 2020, summer 2022) and Texas (February 2021,
summer 2022).
117. See notes 110 and 111, supra; North American Electric Reliability Corporation, “2022 Summer Reliability
Assessment,” May 2022, https://www.nerc.com/pa/RAPA/ra/Reliability%20Assessments%20DL/NERC_
SRA_2022.pdf (accessed March 13, 2023); and North American Electric Reliability Corporation, “2022–2023
Winter Reliability Assessment,” November 2022, https://www.nerc.com/pa/RAPA/ra/Reliability%20
Assessments%20DL/NERC_WRA_2022.pdf (accessed March 13, 2023).
118. U.S. Department of Energy, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, “Building for the Future Through Electric
Regional Transmission Planning and Cost Allocation and Generator Interconnection,” Notice of Proposed
Rulemaking, Federal Register, Vol. 87, No. 86 (May 4, 2022), pp. 26504–26611, https://www.govinfo.gov/
content/pkg/FR-2022-05-04/pdf/2022-08973.pdf (accessed February 14, 2023), and U.S. Department of
Energy, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, “Improvements to Generator Interconnection Procedures
and Agreements,” Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, Federal Register, Vol. 87, No. 127 (July 5, 2022), pp.
39934–40032, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2022-07-05/pdf/2022-13470.pdf (accessed
February 14, 2023).
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
119. During the deregulation-induced 230,000 MW combined cycle plant boom of 1999 to 2003 and beyond,
developers were able to move ahead only with projects that were supported by adequate available gas
transmission and near existing localized transmission hubs. Delinking transmission responsibility from
power generation, coupled with the heavy incentivization of renewable over gas projects, has promoted the
construction of a large class of partially usable and often partially stranded generation-only assets.
120. U.S. Department of Energy, Grid Deployment Office, “Grid Deployment Office Launches Transmission Siting
and Economic Development Grants Program with $760M Inflation Reduction Act Investment,” January
13, 2023, https://www.energy.gov/gdo/articles/grid-deployment-office-launches-transmission-siting-and-
economic-development-grants (accessed March 13, 2023).
121. H.R. 6586, Natural Gas Act, Public Law No. 75-688, § 7.
122. Ibid., §§ 4 and 5.
123. Ibid., § 7(c).
124. West Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. ___ (2022), https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/21pdf/20-1530_n758.pdf
(accessed March 2, 2022).
125. H.R. 6586, Natural Gas Act, Public Law No. 75-688, § 3.
126. U.S. Department of Energy U.S.-based operating export LNG terminals are located in Louisiana (3); Texas
(2); Alaska (1); Georgia (1); and Maryland (1). Map, “North American LNG Export Terminals: Existing,” in U.S.
Department of Energy, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, “North American LNG Export Terminals—
Existing, Approved not Yet Built, and Proposed,” February 8, 2023, https://www.ferc.gov/natural-gas/lng
(accessed February 14, 2023).
127. Niina H. Farah, Miranda Wilson, and Carlos Anchondo, “Jordan Cove Project Dies. What It Means for FERC,
Gas,” Energywire, December 2, 2021, https://www.eenews.net/articles/jordan-cove-project-dies-what-it-
means-for-ferc-gas/ (accessed February 14, 2023).
128. Carlos Anchondo, “Biden Admin Backs Contested Alaska LNG Project,” Energywire, October 25, 2022, https://
www.eenews.net/articles/biden-admin-backs-contested-alaska-lng-project/ (accessed February 14, 2023).
129. As discussed in the section on the Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management, infra, these automatic
approvals should be extended to allies of the United States, not just to those with free trade agreements.
130. H.R. 11510, Energy Reorganization Act of 1974, Public Law No. 93-438, 93rd Congress, October 11, 1974, https://
www.congress.gov/93/statute/STATUTE-88/STATUTE-88-Pg1233.pdf (accessed February 27, 2023).
131. H.R. 9757, Atomic Energy Act of 1954, Public Law No. 83-703, 83rd Congress, August 30, 1954, §§ 21–28,
https://www.congress.gov/83/statute/STATUTE-68/STATUTE-68-Pg919.pdf (accessed February 27, 2023).
132. S. 512, Nuclear Energy Innovation and Modernization Act, Public Law No. 115-439, January 14, 2019, § 103,
https://www.congress.gov/115/plaws/publ439/PLAW-115publ439.pdf (accessed March 2, 2023).
133. U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Congressional Budget Justification Fiscal Year 2022, June 2021,
p. xii, https://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-collections/nuregs/staff/sr1100/v37/index.html (accessed
March 2, 2023).
— 416 —
13
ENVIRONMENTAL
PROTECTION AGENCY
Mandy M. Gunasekara
MISSION STATEMENT
Creating a better environmental tomorrow with clean air, safe water, healthy soil,
and thriving communities.
A conservative U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) will take a more
supportive role toward local and state efforts, building them up so that they may
lead in a meaningful fashion. This will include the sharing of federal resources and
agency expertise. Creating environmental standards from the ground up is con-
sistent with the concept of cooperative federalism embedded within many of the
agency’s authorizing statutes and will create earnest relationships among local offi-
cials and regulated stakeholders. This in turn will promote a culture of compliance.
A conservative EPA will track success by measured progress as opposed to the
current perpetual process and will convey this progress to the public in clear, con-
cise terms. True transparency will be a defining characteristic of a conservative
EPA. This will be reflected in all agency work, including the establishment of open-
source science, to build not only transparency and awareness among the public,
but also trust.
The challenge of creating a conservative EPA will be to balance justified skep-
ticism toward an agency that has long been amenable to being coopted by the Left
for political ends against the need to implement the agency’s true function: pro-
tecting public health and the environment in cooperation with states. Further, the
EPA needs to be realigned away from attempts to make it an all-powerful energy
and land use policymaker and returned to its congressionally sanctioned role as
environmental regulator.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
OVERVIEW
The Status Quo. Not surprisingly, the EPA under the Biden Administration
has returned to the same top-down, coercive approach that defined the Obama
Administration. There has been a reinstitution of unachievable standards designed
to aid in the “transition” away from politically disfavored industries and technolo-
gies and toward the Biden Administration’s preferred alternatives. This approach
is most obvious in the Biden Administration’s assault on the energy sector as the
Administration uses its regulatory might to make coal, oil, and natural gas opera-
tions very expensive and increasingly inaccessible while forcing the economy to
build out and rely on unreliable renewables.1 This approach has also been applied
to pesticides and chemicals as the Biden Administration pushes the “greening” of
agriculture and manufacturing among other industrial activities.
As a consequence of this approach, we see the return of costly, job-killing
regulations that serve to depress the economy and grow the bureaucracy but do
little to address, much less resolve, complex environmental problems. In some
instances, these actions even work to undermine environmental efforts as they
push industries overseas to countries whose enforcement of pollution-control
requirements is seriously deficient—if indeed they have any meaningful require-
ments at all. Meanwhile, agency costs and staffing have increased significantly.
The EPA’s fiscal year (FY) 2023 request included a 28.8 percent increase in fund-
ing and a 13.3 percent increase in staffing, making it the “highest funding ever”
in EPA’s history.2
Compared to the Obama Administration, there is one key difference in the
Biden Administration’s approach: In a concerted effort to diminish congressio-
nal oversight, the position of EPA Administrator has been overshadowed by the
creation of multiple “Climate Czars” at the Biden White House. In effect, current
EPA Administrator Michael Regan, who has a reputation as a well-meaning, gen-
erally capable former state official, has been left out of the political loop, serving
mostly as a pleasant distraction from EPA’s expansive, costly, and economy-de-
stroying agenda.
A Coopted Mission. The EPA has been a breeding ground for expansion of
the federal government’s influence and control across the economy. Embedded
activists have sought to evade legal restraints in pursuit of a global, climate-themed
agenda, aiming to achieve that agenda by implementing costly policies that oth-
erwise have failed to gain the requisite political traction in Congress. Many EPA
actions in liberal Administrations have simply ignored the will of Congress, align-
ing instead with the goals and wants of politically connected activists.
Pursuit of this globally focused agenda has distracted the agency from fulfilling
its core mission, thereby creating a backlog of missed statutory deadlines,3 and
at times has even led to preventable environmental disasters. During the Obama
Administration, for example, the U.S. experienced two of the worst environmental
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
disasters in decades, including the Flint, Michigan, water crisis in 20144 and the
Gold King Mine spill in 2015.5
Beyond creating such immediate and tangible harm in various communities,
an EPA led by activism and a disregard for the law has generated uncertainty in
the regulated community, vendetta-driven6 enforcement, weighted analytics,
increased costs, and diminished trust in final agency actions. Although the U.S.
environmental story is very positive, there has been a return to fear-based rhetoric
within the agency, especially as it pertains to the perceived threat of climate change.
Mischaracterizing the state of our environment generally and the actual harms
reasonably attributable to climate change specifically is a favored tool that the Left
uses to scare the American public into accepting their ineffective, liberty-crushing
regulations, diminished private property rights, and exorbitant costs. In effect, the
Biden EPA has once again presented a false choice to the American people: that
they have to choose between a healthy environment and a strong, growing economy.
Historical Role and Purpose. For many decades, rapid industrial activity
with an unorganized approach to environmental standards significantly degraded
the country’s environment. Particle pollution in the form of a thick, fog-like haze
that at times was laced with harmful metals was a frequent occurrence across the
country.7 More than 40 percent of communities failed to meet basic water quality
standards, and in 1969, the Cuyahoga River infamously caught fire after sparks
from a passing train ignited debris in the water, which was filled with heavy indus-
trial waste.8
EPA was established on December 2, 1970, following a call by President Rich-
ard Nixon to “rationally and systematically” organize existing piecemeal efforts
to clean up and protect the environment.9 Under Reorganization Plan No. 3, the
EPA was to initiate a “coordinated attack on the pollutants which debase the air
we breathe, the water we drink, and the land that grows our food.”10 Numerous
authorities were consolidated and given to the EPA including research, monitor-
ing, standard-setting, and enforcement activities. The mission to protect public
health and the environment was born, and the first Administrator was sworn in
on December 4, 1970.
Congress followed suit with the landmark Clean Air Act of 1970 (CAA)11 and
the Federal Water Pollution Control Act of 1972.12 The subsequent Clean Air Act
Amendments of 199013 played a significant role in the expansion of EPA’s responsi-
bilities and legal authority with the agency then being tasked with the development
of new regulatory mechanisms that included, among other things, cap-and-trade
programs for the control of sulfur dioxide and technological standards for nitrogen
oxide emissions from coal-fired power plants, a vastly expanded hazardous air
pollutant program, a federal operating permit program, and new regulations gov-
erning phaseout of the production of ozone-depleting substances in conjunction
with U.S. ratification of the Montreal Protocol in 1988.14
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l State Leadership. EPA should build earnest relationships with state and
local officials and assume a more supportive role by sharing resources and
expertise, recognizing that the primary role in making choices about the
environment belongs to the people who live in it.
solutions to clean up the air, water, and soil, and the results should be
measured and tracked by simple metrics that are available to the public.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l
more accessible to the areas they serve and deliver cost savings to the
American people.
l Relocating the Office of Children’s Health Protection and the Office of Small
and Disadvantaged Business Utilization from the AO and reabsorbing
those functions within the media offices (air, water, land, and emergency
management, etc.).
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Day One Executive Order. To initiate the review and reorganization, a Day
One executive order should be drafted for the incoming President with explicit
language requiring reconsideration of the agency’s structure with reference to
fulfilling its mission to create a better environmental tomorrow with clean air, safe
water, healthy soil, and thriving communities. The order should set up “pause and
review” teams to assess the following:
l Grants. Stop all grants to advocacy groups and review which potential
federal investments will lead to tangible environmental improvements.
l Legal Settlements. Reassess any “sue and settle” cases and develop a
new policy to establish standard review and oversight, including public
notification and participation.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Personnel
The majority of the political appointee team must be assembled, vetted, and
ready to deploy before Day One. To the extent provided by the Federal Vacan-
cies Reform Act,15 appointees in consideration for Senate-confirmed positions
(excluding the Administrator) should be prepared to serve as a Deputy or Principal
Deputy to get into the agency on Day One while their nomination and affiliated
confirmation processes proceeds. In addition to a deputy slated for the Assistant
Administrator role, each office will need a political chief of staff, senior advisers
designated to run suboffices, and energized assistants. Teams should be balanced
with technical knowledge, legal expertise, and political exposure. Ideally, they
should also be geographically diverse. Appointee positions should also extend to
all the regional offices and specialty labs.
the reach of the federal government. The U.S. Supreme Court has stopped and
stricken several actions from OAR under liberal Administrations, citing a lack of
requisite legal support. A reformed OAR should focus on EPA’s mission of limiting
and minimizing criteria and hazardous air pollutants in partnership with the states.
Cross-Cutting Reforms. OAR consists of four suboffices with two located in
Washington, D.C.; one in Ann Arbor, Michigan; and one at Research Triangle Park
in Raleigh, North Carolina. The following reforms should be implemented across
all OAR offices:
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l Ensure that all provisions of CAA § 307(d)17 are observed. Congress placed
special constraints on air rules, and that intent should be respected.
l To the extent that the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA)18 remains in place,
ensure to the maximum extent possible that grants and funding are
provided to state regulatory entities and not to nonprofits.
Policy-Specific Actions
National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS)
l Ensure that the Clean Air Scientific Advisory Committee (CASAC) considers
all of the statutorily charged factors (for example, social and economic
effects resulting from NAAQS attainment and maintenance strategies).
l Ensure that the requirements EPA puts on a state that has achieved
attainment status from nonattainment status are limited to those that
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Climate Change
Remove the Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program (GHGRP) for any source
l
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l Review the existing “ramp rate” for car standards to ensure that it is
actually achievable.
l Include life cycle emissions of electric vehicles and consider all of their
environmental impacts.
l Ensure that other states can adopt California’s standards only for
traditional/criteria pollutants, not greenhouse gases.
l Develop reforms to ensure that when a facility improves efficiency within its
production process, new permitting requirements are not triggered.
l Restore the Trump EPA position on Once-In, Always-In (that major sources
can convert to area sources when affiliated emissions standards are met).
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l Defend the position that petitions to object to Title V should not be used to
second-guess previous state decisions.
l Clarify the relationship between New Source Review and Title V to ensure
that Title V is used only as intended by Congress.
l Restore the position that EPA cannot regulate a new pollutant from an
already regulated source category without making predicate findings for
that new pollutant.
l Unregulated point or non-point source (fugitive emissions) of an already
regulated hazardous air pollutant do not require a Maximum Available
Control Technology (MACT) standard.
l Ensure that Section 112 regulations are harmonized with Section 111
regulations that apply to the same sector/sources.
Radiation
l Assess and update the agency’s radiation standards so that they align with
those of other agencies, including the Nuclear Regulatory Commission,
Department of Energy, and Department of Transportation, as well as
international standards.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l Establish a political Chief of Staff in D.C. to manage the entire air office.
l Pull the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) program out of OTAQ; establish
its own suboffice in D.C. (with status parallel to OTAQ and OAQPS) that
is headed by a political appointee; and establish a Memorandum of
Understanding with the Department of Agriculture and the Department of
Energy to work together to establish RFS programs.
l Require regional air offices to receive approval from OAR before moving
forward with enforcement actions in order to ensure that enforcement
is meeting the requirements established by regulations and is not going
beyond them.
Needed Reforms
The overarching theme for reform is guidance on guidance. OW relies heav-
ily on guidance documents that are outdated and that sometimes have been in a
“deliberative” state for years. Additionally, there are significant issues surrounding
OW’s holding up guidance as something more than simply guidance: as something
akin to law in certain circumstances. The August 6, 2019, “Office of Water Policy for
Draft Documents” memorandum28 should be strictly enforced to ensure transpar-
ency as well as good governance by not letting guidance linger in draft form and
by also ensuring that guidance documents are clearly just that: guidance. They do
not have the effect of law and should not be treated by the office as if they did have
any such effect.
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New Policies
New regulations should include the following:
l A WOTUS rule that makes clear what is and is not a “navigable water” and
respects private property rights. Coordinate with Congress to develop
legislation, if necessary, to codify the definition in Rapanos v. United States
that “waters of the United States” can refer only to “relatively permanent,
standing or continuously flowing bodies of water…as opposed to ordinarily
dry channels through which water occasionally or intermittently flows.”30
A rule that provides clarity and regulatory certainty regarding the CWA
l
Section 401 water quality certification process to limit unnecessary delay for
needed projects, including by establishing a discharge-only approach with
a limited scope (from point sources into navigable waters), assessing only
water quality factors that are consistent with specific CWA sections, and
excluding speculative analysis regarding future potential harm.
l A rule to ensure that CWA Section 30831 has a clear and enforced time limit.
l A rule to clarify the standard for criminal negligence under CWA Sections
40232 and 404.33
l A rule on updates necessary for the effective use of the CWA needs survey.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l An executive order requiring EPA to find avenues and expedite the process
for states obtaining primacy in available CWA and SDWA programs. This
order would require coordination with the Army Corps of Engineers and the
Department of the Interior.
Budget
While the overall goal is certainly to reduce government spending, there is one
very targeted area where increased spending would be in the nation’s interest. The
Clean Water Act needs survey is the entire basis for how congressionally appro-
priated funds directed to state revolving funds—standard annual appropriations
that are the true underpinning of all infrastructure funding for drinking water and
clean water—are distributed by EPA across the country. Because this program is
currently underfunded, money is being thrown at untargeted locations while water
infrastructure is crumbling at other locations. Increased targeted funding would
greatly benefit water systems across the country at a time when intervention is
crucial, leaving fewer communities with significant water service challenges.
Personnel
OW would benefit greatly from the reshifting of SES employees to different
programs and from headquarters out to regional offices.
Needed Reforms
OLEM’s main function is to oversee the execution of cleanups under CERCLA
and RCRA; therefore, it is critical that OLEM staff focus on project management
more than policy creation. Emphasizing productivity more than process and policies
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can result in more work on the ground in communities where Americans live and
work. OLEM can accomplish this goal by determining the scope of work based on
an actual reduction in exposure to chemicals as opposed to the elimination of the-
oretical potential exposures. To manage cleanups more effectively, OLEM should:
l Adopt EPA’s Lean Management System (ELMS) across all OLEM programs.
New Policies
Superfund. To execute more efficient and effective cleanups, the following
changes are needed in the Office of Superfund Remediation and Technology Inno-
vation (OSRTI):
l Revise the National Oil and Hazardous Substances Pollution Contingency
Plan (NCP) to modernize and streamline the cleanup process using lessons
learned from the execution of the NCP over the past 40-plus years.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l Expand and fully stand up the Office of Mountains, Deserts and Plains to
support innovative approaches to the cleaning up of abandoned mines.
l Develop and execute a 10-year cleanup plan to address lead at all existing
cleanup sites that includes benchmarks and milestones that allow for
congressional and public oversight of the schedule.
electronic system and eliminate all paper manifests and manual filing and
data input. This system should operate from a range of common handheld
devices and could be expanded to accommodate solid waste and materials
for reuse and recycling.
Personnel
The following organizational changes could create resource efficiencies to focus
on the highest-value opportunities:
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Budget
While the overall goal is certainly to reduce government scope and spending,
OLEM’s programs present the best opportunity to use taxpayer dollars to execute
EPA’s core mission of cleaning up contamination.
OFFICE OF CHEMICAL SAFETY AND
POLLUTION PREVENTION (OCSPP)
OCSPP primarily oversees the regulation of new and existing chemicals under
the Toxic Substances Control Act (TSCA)38 and the regulation of pesticides under
the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act (FIFRA)39 and Federal
Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act (FFDCA).40 These activities are managed in two
separate offices within OCSPP: the Office of Pollution Prevention and Toxics (OPPT,
chemicals) and Office of Pesticide Programs (OPP, pesticides). OCSPP is constantly
pressured to ban the use of certain chemicals, typically based on fear as a result of
mischaracterized or incomplete science.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l For new chemicals, reset the program to ensure that reviews are completed
on a timeline that is consistent with the statute. This includes revising the
regulations governing the reviews of new chemicals.
l Ensure that risk evaluations and risk management rules presume that
workplaces are following all OSHA requirements, including requirements
for personal protective equipment (PPE).
l Apply real-world use of chemicals when assessing conditions of use for risk
evaluations.
l Right-size the TSCA fee’s rule so that it is consistent with the tasks that the
agency is actually completing within the timelines of the statute and is not
covering the costs of EPA inefficiency or overreach.
l Develop a framework rule for risk management approaches that will be used
under TSCA for existing chemicals.
l OPP has rigorous testing requirements that registrants must meet before
pesticides are allowed on the market. However, when pesticides undergo
registration review every 15 years, EPA relies on publicly available data with
differing levels of quality and transparency. Data standards are needed to
ensure that information relied on by EPA is made available to the agency at
a similar level as the original testing data conducted by registrants to ensure
that EPA can conduct a robust review and analysis of the data.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l New policies are needed to ensure that other program offices (such as ORD,
OW, and OLEM) will defer to OPP on toxicity issues. OPP has rigorous
testing requirements for pesticide ingredients and products to ensure
before they go to market that their use will not harm human health and the
environment. Assessments by other offices are redundant.
Budget
The Biden Administration has expanded the scope and breadth of regulatory
actions with respect to OPPT and OPP, but both programs continue to maintain
that resources are insufficient.
OPPT (chemicals) suffers from a lack of leadership and an inability to complete
the most basic requirements efficiently and in a timely fashion. While EPA has
asked for more resources, including higher industry fees, it is not clear that it has
the capacity to use additional dollars efficiently.
With regard to OPP (pesticides), pesticide manufacturers feel that the program
is underfunded and would like its budget to be increased so that pesticide actions
can be reviewed more quickly. Manufacturers are also willing to pay higher fees
to the fee-based portion of the program. However, grower groups have been dis-
appointed by EPA’s actions and have significant concerns about EPA’s ability to
conduct science-based risk assessments and take risk management actions that
appropriately balance benefits and risks as required by FIFRA. Guardrails and
third-party audits should be part of any funding increases through the Pesticide
Registration Improvement Act (PRIA)43 or other mechanisms.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
science advisory, peer review, risk assessment, and risk management activities. This
enterprise includes the Office of Research and Development (ORD), the agency’s
largest employer, as well as science activities across other key programs, regions,
and cross-cutting parts of the Administrator’s office. EPA’s scientific enterprise,
including ORD, has rightly been criticized for decades as precautionary, bloated,
unaccountable, closed, outcome-driven, hostile to public and legislative input, and
inclined to pursue political rather than purely scientific goals.
l Pause for review all contracts above $100,000 with a heavy focus on major
external peer reviews and regulatory models.
l Call for the public to identify areas where EPA has inconsistently assessed
risk, failed to use the best science, or participated in research misconduct.
l Eliminate the use of unauthorized regulatory inputs like the social cost of
carbon, black box and proprietary models, and unrealistic climate scenarios,
including those based on Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5.
Personnel
l Quickly nominate a reform-minded Assistant Administrator for Research
and Development.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l Suspend and review the activities of EPA advisory bodies, many of which
have not been authorized by Congress or lack independence, balance, and
geographic and viewpoint diversity.
l Eliminate the use of Title 42 hiring authority that allows ORD to spend
millions in taxpayer dollars for salaries of certain employees above the civil
service scale.
increase for what is already the largest EPA office with well above 10 percent of
the agency’s workforce.44 ORD conducts a wide-ranging series of science and peer
review activities, some in support of regulatory programs established by our envi-
ronmental laws, but often lacks authority for these specific endeavors.
Several ORD offices and programs, many of which constitute unaccountable
efforts to use scientific determinations to drive regulatory, enforcement, and legal
decisions, should be eliminated. The Integrated Risk Information System, for
example, was ostensibly designed by EPA to evaluate hazard and dose-response for
certain chemicals. Despite operating since the 1980s, the program has never been
authorized by Congress and often sets “safe levels” based on questionable science
and below background levels, resulting in billions in economic costs. The program
has been criticized by a wide variety of stakeholders: states; Congress; the National
Academies of Science, Engineering, and Medicine (NASEM); and the U.S. Govern-
ment Accountability Office (GAO), among others. EPA has failed to implement
meaningful reforms, and this unaccountable program threatens key regulatory
processes as well as the integrity of Clean Air Act and TSCA implementation.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
and their membership has too often been handpicked to achieve certain politi-
cal positions. In the Biden Administration, key EPA advisory committees were
purged of balanced perspectives, geographic diversity, important regulatory and
private-sector experience, and state, local, and tribal expertise. Contrary to con-
gressional directives and recommendations from the GAO and intergovernmental
associations, these moves eviscerated historic levels of participation on key com-
mittees by state, local, and tribal members from 2017 to 2020. As a result, a variety
of EPA regulations lack relevant scientific perspectives, increasing the risks of
economic fallout and a failure of cooperative federalism. EPA also has repeatedly
disregarded legal requirements regarding the role of these advisory committees
and the scope of scientific advice on key regulations.46
l Avoid proprietary, black box models for key regulations. Nearly all major
EPA regulations are based on nontransparent models for which the
public lacks access or for which significant costs prevent the public from
understanding agency analysis.
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Legislative Reforms
While some reforms can be achieved administratively (especially in areas where
EPA clearly lacks congressional authorization for its activities), Congress should
prioritize several EPA science activity reforms:
l Reform EPA’s Science Advisory Board and other advisory bodies to ensure
independence, balance, transparency, and geographic diversity.
l
l Reject funds for programs that have not been authorized by Congress
(like IRIS) as well as peer review activities that have not been authorized
by Congress.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Needed Reforms
AIO should be significantly elevated as a stand-alone EPA Assistant Admin-
istrator office. This would send a clear message to American Indians and Alaska
Native Villages that the agency takes seriously the environmental issues plaguing
Indian Country. While designated a “headquarters” office with direct reporting
to the Administrator, its location should be in the American West, closer to most
tribal nations. This could include Oklahoma City, Oklahoma; Dallas, Texas; or
Denver, Colorado. The state of Oklahoma is considered the tribal center of Amer-
ica and is home to 39 federally recognized tribes, including the “Five Civilized
Tribes.” The other two options are also close to numerous tribes and home to EPA
regional offices.
New Policies
All EPA tribal grants and tribal matters should be run from this office as a one-
stop-shop for all tribal affairs.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Administration should pause and review all ongoing EJ and Title VI actions
to ensure that they are consistent with any forthcoming SCOTUS decision.
l Establish a policy of legally speaking with one voice. Some EPA offices
(for example, the Office of Enforcement and Compliance Assurance and the
Offices of Regional Counsel) assert legal positions and interpretations of
the law that conflict with an Administration’s interpretation as articulated
by OGC with input from program offices. It is unacceptable for the agency
to have inconsistent legal positions, particularly with respect to key
interpretative issues. All attorneys with authority to represent EPA—not
necessarily all attorneys—should therefore be housed in OGC. These
offices include:
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Personnel
l Review OGC resources to consider reorganization of other attorney functions
and leadership for consolidation into a Cross-Cutting Issues Law Office.
l Review telework policies and attorneys with permanent duty stations not at
EPA headquarters or a regional office.
l Consider invoking the rotation of SES managers within OGC and ORCs to
other EPA offices where appropriate.
l Do not allow public events at which the agency puts forth its legal position
unless they are specifically approved (for example, agency webinars on
sensitive issues).
Budget
OGC’s budget will increase with consolidation of FTE funding that follows attor-
neys who come from other EPA offices.
Reassess duplicative skill sets with the consolidation and allow for
l
attrition if needed.
Grant Reform
EPA now awards up to $30 billion in grants annually—up to half of the agen-
cy’s annual budget. Of these funds, $500 million is awarded as discretionary. This
grantmaking—discretionary and otherwise—is driven by ideology instead of
need. Of particular concern is a practice whereby numerous small-dollar grants
are administered to a great number of grantees while larger grants are given to
academic institutions. As a result, grant funds produce little to no meaningful
improvements in the environment and public health and instead fund questionably
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l Institute a pause and review for all grants over a certain threshold.
l Cap the number and dollar amounts of grants that the Office of Research
and Development can award and require that they be reviewed by the
Administrator’s office.
Needed Reforms
EPA has been audited by the agency’s Inspector General for decades, well
beyond accepted norms for private-sector financial audits. Audit teams should be
diversified. Staffing assignments, especially at the senior level, should be reviewed
and streamlined, and the office should consolidate space to save agency costs. For
example, six offices need six security contracts to protect employees when one
contract would suffice.
New Policies
Review travel and reimbursement policies for best practices aligned for
industry norms.
Personnel
The Deputy Chief Financial Officer position is currently reserved for a career
official, but political appointees may serve as Associate CFO, Special Advisor, and
other senior officials. In addition to evaluating whether the Deputy Chief Finan-
cial Officer position should be reserved for a career official, a new Administration
should immediately fill these positions with political appointees and establish a
new political leadership position for Appropriations Liaison, which is currently
overseen by career employees.
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Budget
OCFO is responsible for drafting and sharing the President’s budget with Con-
gress. The CFO often testifies along with the Administrator. Efforts to simplify the
budget request could improve the overall transparency and general understanding
of the agency’s work.
CONCLUSION
A more conservative EPA that aligns with the policies outlined in this chapter
will lead to a better environmental future without unintended consequences. It
will prevent unnecessary expenditures by the regulated community, allowing for
investment in economic development and job creation, which are keys to thriving
communities. Cutting EPA’s size and scope will deliver savings to the American
taxpayer. Improved transparency will serve as an important check to ensure that
the agency’s mission is not distorted or coopted for political gain. Importantly, a
conservative EPA will deliver tangible environmental improvements to the Amer-
ican people in the form of cleaner air, cleaner water, and healthier soils.
AUTHOR’S NOTE: This chapter could not have been completed without the assistance of numerous policy
experts, legal professionals, and former appointees. A special note of thanks to David Harlow, Justin Schwab,
Aaron Szabo, Clint Woods, and Scott Mason IV. The author alone assumes responsibility for this chapter. No views
expressed herein should be attributed to any other individual.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
ENDNOTES
1. Gabriella Hoffman, “Fact Check: Is Net Zero an Effective Policy for Stopping Climate Change?” Independent
Women’s Forum, October 31, 2022, https://www.iwf.org/2022/10/31/fact-check-is-net-zero-an-effective-
policy-for-stopping-climate-change/ (accessed January 25, 2023).
2. Stephen Lee, Pat Rizzuto, Dean Scott, and Jennifer Hijazi, “EPA Would See Highest Funding Ever Under
Biden Budget Plan (2),” Bloomberg Law, March 28, 2022, https://news.bloomberglaw.com/environment-
and-energy/epa-would-see-highest-funding-level-ever-under-biden-budget-plan (accessed January 25,
2023). See also U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, United States Environmental Protection Agency Fiscal
Year 2023 Justification of Appropriation Estimates for the Committee on Appropriations, April 2022, https://
www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2022-04/fy-2023-congressional-justification-all-tabs.pdf (accessed
March 20, 2023).
3. William Yeatman, “EPA’s Missed Deadlines Cause Widespread Dysfunction,” Competitive Enterprise Institute
Blog, August 3, 2016, https://cei.org/blog/epas-missed-deadlines-causing-widespread-dysfunction/
(accessed January 25, 2023).
4. Shannon Osaka, “The EPA Failed Flint. Now We Know Exactly How,” Grist, July 19, 2018, https://grist.org/
article/the-epa-failed-flint-now-we-know-exactly-how/ (accessed January 25, 2023).
5. Alan Neuhauser, “EPA to Blame for ‘Preventable’ Gold King Mine Spill,” US News & World Report, October 22,
2015, https://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2015/10/22/epa-to-blame-for-preventable-gold-king-mine-
spill-interior-dept-finds (accessed January 25, 2023).
6. Christopher Helman, “EPA Official Not Only Touted ‘Crucifying’ Oil Companies, He Tried It,” Forbes, April 26,
2012, https://www.forbes.com/sites/christopherhelman/2012/04/26/epa-official-not-only-touted-crucifying-
oil-companies-he-tried-it/?sh=5b7472b15dc9 (accessed March 20, 2023).
7. News release, “EPA Celebrates 50 Year[s] of Progress, Dedicates Conference Center to First Administrator,”
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, December 2, 2020, https://www.epa.gov/newsreleases/
epa-celebrates-50-year-progress-dedicates-conference-center-first-administrator (accessed
January 25, 2023).
8. Case Western Reserve University, “Encyclopedia of Cleveland History: Cuyahoga River Fire,” https://case.edu/
ech/articles/c/cuyahoga-river-fire (accessed January 25, 2023).
9. President Richard Nixon, “Reorganization Plan No. 3 of 1970: Special Message from the President to the
Congress About Reorganization Plans to Establish the Environmental Protection Agency and the National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,” July 9, 1970, https://www.epa.gov/archive/epa/aboutepa/
reorganization-plan-no-3-1970.html (accessed January 25, 2023).
10. Ibid.
11. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, “Summary of the Clean Air Act, 42 U.S.C. §7401 et seq. (1970),” last
updated September 12, 2022, https://www.epa.gov/laws-regulations/summary-clean-air-act (accessed
January 27, 2023).
12. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, “Summary of the Clean Water Act, 33 U.S.C. §1251 et seq. (1972),”
last updated July 6, 2022, https://www.epa.gov/laws-regulations/summary-clean-water-act (accessed
January 25, 2023).
13. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, “1990 Clean Air Act Amendment Summary,” last updated November
28, 2022, https://www.epa.gov/clean-air-act-overview/1990-clean-air-act-amendment-summary (accessed
January 25, 2023).
14. U.S. Department of State, Office of Environmental Quality, “The Montreal Protocol on Substances That Deplete
the Ozone Layer,” https://www.state.gov/key-topics-office-of-environmental-quality-and-transboundary-
issues/the-montreal-protocol-on-substances-that-deplete-the-ozone-layer/ (accessed January 25, 2023).
15. 5 U.S. Code § 3345 et seq., https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/5/3345 (accessed March 20, 2023).
16. 42 U.S. Code § 7261(a), https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/USCODE-2013-title42/html/USCODE-2013-
title42-chap85-subchapIII-sec7621.htm (accessed January 25, 2023).
17. 42 U.S. Code § 7607(d), https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/USCODE-2013-title42/html/USCODE-2013-
title42-chap85-subchapIII-sec7607.htm (accessed January 25, 2023).
18. H.R. 5376, Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, Public Law No. 117-169, 117th Congress, August 16, 2022, https://
www.congress.gov/117/plaws/publ169/PLAW-117publ169.pdf (accessed March 20, 2023).
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
35. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, “Summary of the Comprehensive Environmental Response,
Compensation, and Liability Act (Superfund), 42 U.S.C. §9601 et seq. (1980),” last updated September
12, 2022, https://www.epa.gov/laws-regulations/summary-comprehensive-environmental-response-
compensation-and-liability-act (accessed January 27, 2023).
36. 42 U.S. Code § 7412(r), https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/42/7412 (accessed January 27, 2023).
37. 42 U.S. Code § 6924(n), https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/42/6924 (accessed January 27, 2023).
38. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, “Summary of the Toxic Substances Control Act, 15 U.S.C. §2601 et seq.
(1976),” last updated October 4, 2022, https://www.epa.gov/laws-regulations/summary-toxic-substances-
control-act (accessed January 27, 2023).
39. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, “Summary of the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide
Act, 7 U.S.C. §136 et seq. (1996),” last updated September 12, 2022, https://www.epa.gov/laws-regulations/
summary-federal-insecticide-fungicide-and-rodenticide-act (accessed January 27, 2023).
40. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, “Summary of the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act, 21 U.S.C. §301
et seq. (2002),” last updated September 12, 2022, https://www.epa.gov/laws-regulations/summary-federal-
food-drug-and-cosmetic-act (accessed January 27, 2023).
41. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, “The Frank R. Lautenberg Chemical Safety for the 21st Century Act,”
last updated March 24, 2022, https://www.epa.gov/assessing-and-managing-chemicals-under-tsca/frank-r-
lautenberg-chemical-safety-21st-century-act (accessed January 27, 2023), and “Highlights of Key Provisions
in the Frank R. Lautenberg Chemical Safety Act for the 21st Century,” last updated February 12, 2020, https://
www.epa.gov/assessing-and-managing-chemicals-under-tsca/highlights-key-provisions-frank-r-lautenberg-
chemical (accessed January 27, 2023).
42. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, “Summary of the Endangered Species Act, 16 U.S.C. §1531 et seq.
(1973),” last updated September 12, 2022, https://www.epa.gov/laws-regulations/summary-endangered-
species-act (accessed January 27, 2023).
43. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, “PRIA Overview and History,” last updated July 19, 2022, https://www.
epa.gov/pria-fees/pria-overview-and-history (accessed January 27, 2023).
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
44. Table, “EPA Budget by National Program Manager and Major Office,” in U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,
United States Environmental Protection Agency Fiscal Year 2023 Justification of Appropriation Estimates for
the Committee on Appropriations, p. 1076.
45. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, “All Federal Advisory Committees at EPA,” last updated March 10, 2023,
https://www.epa.gov/faca/all-federal-advisory-committees-epa (accessed March 20, 2023).
46. For example, EPA has steadfastly refused to follow Clean Air Act requirements that the Clean Air Scientific
Advisory Committee provide, in the words of the U.S. Supreme Court, “unquestionably pertinent” advice on
the “relative contribution to air pollution concentrations of natural… activity” as well as “any adverse public
health, welfare, social, economic, or energy effects which may result from various strategies for attainment
and maintenance” of the NAAQS. Memorandum from E. Scott Pruitt, Administrator, Environmental Protection
Agency, to Assistant Administrators, “Subject: Back-to-Basics Process for Reviewing National Ambient
Air Quality Standards,” May 9, 2018, p. 4, https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2018-05/documents/
image2018-05-09-173219.pdf (accessed January 25, 2023) (cited hereafter as Pruitt Memorandum, May
9, 2018), and Whitman v. American Trucking Associations, 531 U.S. 457, 470 n.2 (2001), https://supreme.
justia.com/cases/federal/us/531/457/case.pdF (accessed January 25, 2023). Similarly, EPA has refused to
follow legal requirements dating to the late 1970s regarding congressional requests for scientific advice.
Pruitt Memorandum, May 9, 2018; U.S. Government Accountability Office, “EPA Science and Advisory
Panels: Preliminary Observations on the Processes for Providing Scientific Advice,” testimony of J. Alfredo
Gómez, Director, Natural Resources and Environment, GAO, before the Subcommittee on Superfund,
Waste Management, and Regulatory Oversight, Committee on Environment and Public Works, U.S. Senate,
GAO-15-636T, May 20, 2015, https://www.gao.gov/products/gao-15-636t (accessed January 25, 2023);
and U.S. Government Accountability Office, “EPA Science Advisory Board: Policy Statement on Science
Quality and Integrity,” GAO-17-526R, June 8, 2017, https://www.gao.gov/assets/gao-17-526r.pdf (accessed
January 25, 2023).
47. 31 U.S. Code § 3729 et seq., https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/31/3729 (accessed March 20, 2023).
48. See Pruitt Memorandum, May 9, 2018.
49. H.R. 4383, Federal Advisory Committee Act, Public Law 92-463, 92nd Congress, October 6, 1972, https://www.
congress.gov/92/statute/STATUTE-86/STATUTE-86-Pg770.pdf (accessed March 20, 2023).
50. 15 U.S. Code Chapter 56A, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/15/chapter-56A (accessed
January 27, 2023).
51. Indian Environmental General Assistance Act of 1992, 42 U.S. Code § 4368b, https://www.law.cornell.edu/
uscode/text/42/4368b (accessed January 27, 2023).
52. See U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of General Counsel, EPA Legal Tools to Advance
Environmental Justice, May 2022, https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2022-05/EJ%20Legal%20
Tools%20May%202022%20FINAL.pdf (accessed January 25, 2023), and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,
Office of General Counsel, Office of Policy, “Interim Environmental Justice and Civil Rights in Permitting
Frequently Asked Questions,” August 2022, https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2022-08/EJ%20
and%20CR%20in%20PERMITTING%20FAQs%20508%20compliant.pdf (accessed January 25, 2023).
53. 2 U.S. Code §§ 2000d–2000d-7, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/42/chapter-21/subchapter-V
(accessed January 27, 2023).
54. Students for Fair Admissions, Inc. v. University of North Carolina, No. 1:14CV954 (M.D.N.C. Sep. 30, 2019),
https://www.leagle.com/decision/infdco20191008j38 (accessed January 27, 2023).
55. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, EPA Region 2 Environmental Justice Action Plan, p. 24, https://www.
epa.gov/sites/default/files/2016-03/documents/region_2_environmental_justice_action_plan.pdf (accessed
January 27, 2023).
56. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, “Summary of the National Environmental Policy Act, 42 U.S.C. §4321
et seq. (1969),” last updated September 12, 2022, https://www.epa.gov/laws-regulations/summary-national-
environmental-policy-act (accessed January 27, 2023).
57. 31 U.S. Code § 1115, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/31/1115 (accessed January 27, 2023).
— 448 —
14
DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH
AND HUMAN SERVICES
Roger Severino
I
f the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) were a separate coun-
try, its approximately $1.6 trillion budget would rank as the world’s fifth-largest
national budget. For good or ill, HHS activities personally impact the lives of more
Americans than do those of any other federal agency. Under President Trump, HHS
was dedicated to serving “all Americans from conception to natural death, including
those individuals and families who face…economic and social well-being challenges.”1
Under President Biden, the mission has shifted to “promoting equity in everything
we do” for the sake of “populations sharing a particular characteristic” including race,
sexuality, gender identification, ethnicity, and a host of other categories.2
As a result of HHS’s having lost its way, U.S. life expectancy, instead of return-
ing to normal after the COVID-19 pandemic, continued to drop precipitously to
levels not seen since 1996 with white populations alone losing 7 percent of their
expected life span in just one year.3 Nothing less than America’s long-term survival
is at stake. Accordingly, HHS must return to serving the health and well-being of
all Americans at all stages of life instead of using social engineering that leaves us
sicker, poorer, and more divided.
OVERVIEW
HHS consists of 11 operating divisions that have varying degrees of practical
independence from the Secretary of Health and Human Services and 15 staff
divisions that are directly under the Office of the Secretary. This chapter’s rec-
ommendations are limited to those divisions that most need reform and address,
wherever possible, five cross-cutting goals.
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Goal #1: Protecting Life, Conscience, and Bodily Integrity. The Secretary
should pursue a robust agenda to protect the fundamental right to life, protect con-
science rights, and uphold bodily integrity rooted in biological realities, not ideology.
From the moment of conception, every human being possesses inherent dignity
and worth, and our humanity does not depend on our age, stage of development,
race, or abilities. The Secretary must ensure that all HHS programs and activities
are rooted in a deep respect for innocent human life from day one until natural
death: Abortion and euthanasia are not health care.
A robust respect for the sacred rights of conscience, both at HHS and among gov-
ernments and institutions funded by it, increases choices for patients and program
beneficiaries and furthers pluralism and tolerance. The Secretary must protect
Americans’ civil rights by ensuring that HHS programs and activities follow the
letter and spirit of religious freedom and conscience-protection laws.
Radical actors inside and outside government are promoting harmful identity
politics that replaces biological sex with subjective notions of “gender identity” and
bases a person’s worth on his or her race, sex, or other identities. This destructive
dogma, under the guise of “equity,” threatens American’s fundamental liberties as
well as the health and well-being of children and adults alike. The next Secretary
must ensure that HHS programs protect children’s minds and bodies and that
HHS programs respect parents’ basic right to direct the upbringing, education,
and care of their children.
Goal #2: Empowering Patient Choices and Provider Autonomy. Basic eco-
nomics holds that costs tend to decrease and quality and options tend to increase
when there is robust and free competition in the provision of goods and services.
Health care is no exception. Health care reform should be patient-centered and
market-based and should empower individuals to control their health care–related
dollars and decisions.
Of course, providers who deliver health care also need the freedom to address
the unique needs of their patients. States should be the primary regulators of the
medical profession, and the federal government should not restrict providers’ abil-
ity to discharge their responsibilities or limit their ability to innovate through
government pricing controls or irrational Medicare and Medicaid reimburse-
ment schemes.
Finally, America’s broken insurance system, run largely through confusing pro-
vider networks and third-party payers (employers), induces overconsumption of
health care, limits consumer shopping, and hides true costs from patients.
The federal government should focus reform on reducing burdens of regulatory
compliance, unleashing innovation in health care delivery, ceasing interference in
the daily lives of patients and providers, allowing alternative insurance coverage
options, and returning control of health care dollars to patients making decisions
with their providers about their health care treatments and services.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Goal #4: Preparing for the Next Health Emergency. The COVID-19 pan-
demic demonstrated how catastrophic a micromanaging, misinformed, centralized,
and politicized federal government can be. Basic human rights, medical choice, and
the doctor–patient relationship were trampled without scientific justification and
for extended periods of time. Excess deaths, not due to COVID-19, skyrocketed
because of forced lockdowns, isolation, vaccine-related mass firings, and colossal
disruptions of the economy and daily rhythms of life.
The federal government’s public health apparatus has lost the public’s trust.
Before the next national public health emergency, this apparatus must be funda-
mentally restructured to ensure a transparent, scientifically grounded, and more
nimble, efficient, transparent, and targeted response that respects the unique
needs and input of patient populations and providers.
Every one of the overreaching policies during the pandemic—from lockdowns
and school closures to mask and vaccine mandates or passports—received its
supposed legal justification from the state of emergency declared (and renewed)
by the HHS Secretary. Tellingly, however, the threshold for what constitutes a
public health emergency—how many cases, hospitalizations, deaths, etc.—was
never defined. For the sake of democratic accountability, we must know with clarity
what will trigger the next emergency declaration and, just as important, what will
trigger its end.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Unaccountable bureaucrats like Anthony Fauci should never again have such
broad, unchecked power to issue health “guidelines” that will certainly be the basis
for federal and state mandates. Never again should public health bureaucrats be
allowed to hide information, ignore information, or mislead the public concerning
the efficacy or dangers associated with any recommended health interventions
because they believe it may lead to hesitancy on the part of the public. The only
way to restore public trust in HHS as an institution capable of acting responsibly
during a health emergency is through the best of disinfectants—light.
Goal #5: Instituting Greater Transparency, Accountability, and Over-
sight. The next Administration should guard against the regulatory capture of our
public health agencies by pharmaceutical companies, insurers, hospital conglomer-
ates, and related economic interests that these agencies are meant to regulate. We
must erect robust firewalls to mitigate these obvious financial conflicts of interest.
All National Institutes of Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention,
and Food and Drug Administration regulators should be entirely free from pri-
vate biopharmaceutical funding. In this realm, “public–private partnerships” is a
euphemism for agency capture, a thin veneer for corporatism. Funding for agencies
and individual government researchers must come directly from the government
with robust congressional oversight.
We must shut and lock the revolving door between government and Big Pharma.
Regulators should have a long “cooling off period” on their contracts (15 years
would not be too long) that prevents them from working for companies they have
regulated. Similarly, pharmaceutical company executives should be restricted from
moving from industry into positions within regulatory agencies.
Finally, HHS should adopt metrics across the agency that can objectively deter-
mine the extent to which the agency’s policies and programs achieve desired health
and welfare outcomes (not agency outputs). What is not measured is not achieved.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
souls saved? The CDC has no business making such inherently political (and often
unconstitutional) assessments and should be required by law to stay in its lane.
The CDC’s initial COVID-19 testing failures were largely the result of that agen-
cy’s prioritizing its own development and production of tests using its internal
staff and facilities. The private sector is much better positioned to tackle the chal-
lenges inherent in developing and manufacturing novel products, as illustrated by
the relative success of the alternative approach to facilitating the development of
COVID-19 vaccines and therapeutics by private companies that was adopted by
the Food and Drug Administration (FDA).
When it comes to testing, the CDC’s role should similarly be to facilitate rather
than supplant the efforts of private test developers, academic laboratories, state
public health laboratories, and clinical testing providers. When responding to a
novel pathogen, the CDC should focus on gathering and disseminating information,
including specimens needed for development of positive controls and reference
panels, and ensuring that test developers can develop and validate diagnostic
tests. These changes will require a shift in priorities and culture at the CDC—and
throughout HHS more broadly.5
Most problematically, the CDC presented itself as a kind of “super-doctor” for
the entire nation. The CDC is a public health institution, not a medical institution.
According to its mission statement, the agency focuses on “disease prevention and
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
control, environmental health, and health promotion and health education activi-
ties.”6 It is not qualified to offer (and usually does not purport to offer) professional
medical opinions applicable to specific patients.
From time to time, the CDC offers findings and recommendations that compe-
tent medical practitioners often will consider in arriving at a professional medical
judgment for a particular patient. In this respect, CDC guidelines are analogous
to guidelines from other public health associations or medical societies: They are
informative, not prescriptive.
By statute or regulation, CDC guidance must be prohibited from taking on a
prescriptive character. For example, never again should CDC officials be allowed to
say in their official capacity that school children “should be” masked or vaccinated
(through a schedule or otherwise) or prohibited from learning in a school building.
Such decisions should be left to parents and medical providers. We have learned
that when CDC says what people “should” do, it readily becomes a “must” backed by
severe punishments, including criminal penalties. CDC should report on the risks
and effectiveness of all infectious disease-mitigation measures dispassionately
and leave the “should” and “must” policy calls to politically accountable parties.
Conflicts of Interest. There was a time when the CDC could not take money
from the pharmaceutical industry, but in 1992, the agency discovered a loophole in
federal law that allowed it to accept pharma contributions through the nonprofit
CDC Foundation. The money started flowing immediately: From 2014 through
2018, the CDC Foundation received $79.6 million from pharmaceutical corpo-
rations like Pfizer, Biogen, and Merck.7 This practice presents a stark conflict of
interest that should be banned.
Data Systems. The COVID-19 pandemic has revealed the disastrous public
health consequences of the CDC’s failure to follow multiple congressional
mandates to modernize its data infrastructure. Current reporting methods are
burdensome for frontline medical workers, yet they result only in fragmented data
that are not available in real time or usable across systems.
Congress should require HHS to prioritize the electronic collection and dis-
semination of robust, privacy-protected data that better leverages existing systems
while reducing burdens on clinicians. HHS should also enter into a public–private
partnership with a data-management expert to develop a system that makes crit-
ical information available to health care workers and policymakers in real time.8
The CDC operates several programs related to vaccine safety including the Vac-
cine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS); Vaccine Safety Datalink (VSD);
and Clinical Immunization Safety Assessment (CISA) Project. Those functions and
their associated funding should be transferred to the FDA, which is responsible for
post-market surveillance and evaluation of all other drugs and biological products.
Respect for Life and Conscience. The CDC should eliminate programs and
projects that do not respect human life and conscience rights and that undermine
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
family formation. It should ensure that it is not promoting abortion as health care.
It should fund studies into the risks and complications of abortion and ensure that
it corrects and does not promote misinformation regarding the comparative health
and psychological benefits of childbirth versus the health and psychological risks
of intentionally taking a human life through abortion.
The CDC oversaw and funded the development and testing of the COVID-19
vaccines with aborted fetal cell lines, insensitive to the consciences of tens of
thousands to hundreds of thousands of people who objected to taking a vac-
cine with such a link to abortion. As evidenced by litigation across the country,
it is likely that thousands were fired unjustly because of the exercise of their
consciences or faith on this question, which could have been avoided with a
modicum of concern for this issue from CDC. There is never any justification for
ending a child’s life as part of research, and the research benefits from splicing or
growing aborted fetal cells and aborted baby body parts can easily be provided
by alternative sources. All such research should be prohibited as a matter of
law and policy.
CDC should update its public messaging about the unsurpassed effectiveness of
modern fertility awareness–based methods (FABMs) of family planning and stop
publishing communications that conflate such methods with the long-eclipsed
“rhythm” or “calendar” methods. CDC should fund studies exploring the evi-
dence-based methods used in cutting-edge fertility awareness.
Data Collection. The CDC’s abortion surveillance and maternity mortality
reporting systems are woefully inadequate. CDC abortion data are reported by
states on a voluntary basis, and California, Maryland, and New Hampshire do not
submit abortion data at all. Accurate and reliable statistical data about abortion,
abortion survivors, and abortion-related maternal deaths are essential to timely,
reliable public health and policy analysis.
Because liberal states have now become sanctuaries for abortion tourism, HHS
should use every available tool, including the cutting of funds, to ensure that every
state reports exactly how many abortions take place within its borders, at what
gestational age of the child, for what reason, the mother’s state of residence, and
by what method. It should also ensure that statistics are separated by category:
spontaneous miscarriage; treatments that incidentally result in the death of a child
(such as chemotherapy); stillbirths; and induced abortion. In addition, CDC should
require monitoring and reporting for complications due to abortion and every
instance of children being born alive after an abortion. Moreover, abortion should
be clearly defined as only those procedures that intentionally end an unborn child’s
life. Miscarriage management or standard ectopic pregnancy treatments should
never be conflated with abortion.
Comparisons between live births and abortion should be tracked across vari-
ous demographic indicators to assess whether certain populations are targeted by
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
abortion providers and whether better prenatal physical, mental, and social care
improves infant outcomes and decreases abortion rates, especially among those
who are most vulnerable.
The Ensuring Accurate and Complete Abortion Data Reporting Act of 20239
would amend title XIX of the Social Security Act and Public Health Service Act
to improve the CDC’s abortion reporting mechanisms by requiring states, as a
condition of federal Medicaid payments for family planning services, to report
streamlined variables in a timely manner.
The CDC should immediately end its collection of data on gender identity, which
legitimizes the unscientific notion that men can become women (and vice versa)
and encourages the phenomenon of ever-multiplying subjective identities.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
add facility codes to drug packaging and construct a searchable database that
cross-references product codes and facility codes. That would enable wholesalers
and pharmacy benefit managers to identify and preference drugs manufactured at
more reliable facilities, thus encouraging generic drug manufacturers to compete
on reliability as well as on price.
For its part, HHS should exempt multi-source generic drugs from requirements
to pay rebates to Medicaid and other federally funded health programs, as those
provisions penalize new investments in expanding manufacturing capacity when
supply is unable to meet demand.15 Additionally, FDA and NIH should promote
efficacy trials of new applications for generic drugs, which might include NIH fund-
ing such trials or conducting its own.
Abortion Pills. Abortion pills pose the single greatest threat to unborn chil-
dren in a post-Roe world. The rate of chemical abortion in the U.S. has increased
by more than 150 percent in the past decade; more than half of annual abortions
in the U.S. are chemical rather than surgical.
The abortion pill regimen is typically a two-part process. The first pill, mifepris-
tone, causes the death of the unborn child by cutting off the hormone progesterone,
which is required to sustain a pregnancy. The second pill, misoprostol, causes con-
tractions to induce a delivery of the dead child and uterine contents, usually into a
toilet at home. The abortion-pill regimen is currently approved for up to 70 days
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
(10 weeks) into pregnancy and before Biden was subject to a heightened safety
restriction called a Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS) that requires
an in-person visit with a physician who can check for dangerous contraindications
such as ectopic pregnancies and can advise the mother seeking an abortion of the
risks of chemical abortion, including hemorrhaging, and what to do in such cir-
cumstances. Chemical abortion has been found to have a complication rate four
times higher than that of surgical abortion.
Since its approval more than 20 years ago, mifepristone has been associated with
26 deaths of pregnant mothers, over a thousand hospitalizations, and thousands
more adverse events, but that number does not account for all complications. Of
course, this does not count the hundreds of thousands to millions of babies whose
lives have been unjustly taken through chemical abortion. FDA should therefore:
safeguards for pregnant girls and women who undergo this dangerous drug
regimen. Furthermore, at no point in the past two decades has the FDA ever
acknowledged or addressed federal laws that prohibit the distribution of
abortion drugs by postal mail; to the contrary, the FDA has permitted and
actively encouraged such activity.
Now that the Supreme Court has acknowledged that the Constitution
contains no right to an abortion, the FDA is ethically and legally obliged to
revisit and withdraw its initial approval, which was premised on pregnancy
being an “illness” and abortion being “therapeutically” effective at treating
this “illness.” The FDA is statutorily charged with guaranteeing the
safety and efficacy of drugs and therefore should withdraw this drug that
is proven to be dangerous to women and by definition fatally unsafe for
unborn children.
As an interim step, the FDA should immediately restore the REMS by removing
the in-person dispensing requirement to eliminate dangerous tele-abortion and
abortion-by-mail distribution.
Mail-Order Abortions. Allowing mail-order abortions is a gift to the abortion
industry that allows it to expand far beyond brick-and-mortar clinics and into
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
pro-life states that are trying to protect women, girls, and unborn children from
abortion. The FDA should therefore:
l Implement a policy of transparency about inspections of the abortion
pill’s sponsors, Danco and GenBioPro, as well as facilities that
manufacture the pills. The FDA should respond to congressional requests
and Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) requests about inspections,
compliance, and post-marketing safety in a timely manner.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
public health issues. The FDA or Congress should regulate where and how paid
advertising is used by pharmaceutical companies more stringently, especially on
media outlets.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Trump Administration’s HHS chose that course. Subsequently, however, the Biden
Administration restored unrestricted funding of abortion-derived fetal tissue
research. HHS should:
health policy. Because the male–female dyad is essential to human nature and
because every child has a right to a mother and father, three-parent embryo cre-
ation and human cloning research should be banned. A new NCB should convene
leading experts to examine these issues and provide policy recommendations for
the new frontier of bioethical questions that our country will have to address in
the coming years.
Finally, HHS should create and promote a research agenda that supports pro-
life policies and explores the harms, both mental and physical, that abortion has
wrought on women and girls.
Conflicts of Interest. NIH maintains inappropriate industry ties that create
serious conflicts of interest. In 2018, it was revealed that a $100 million NIH study
on the benefits of moderate drinking was funded by the beer and liquor industry.19
More recently, the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID),
Anthony Fauci’s division of the NIH, owns half of the patent for the Moderna
COVID-19 vaccine, among thousands of other pharma patents.20 Rather than pro-
viding grants to university-based investigators to run the clinical trials on their own
Moderna vaccine, the NIH conducted this research internally—a clear conflict of
interest. The NIAID will earn millions from this vaccine’s revenue with several
NIH employees (and their heirs) personally receiving up to $150,000 annually
from Moderna vaccine sales.21
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l Ensure sustainability and value for beneficiaries and taxpayers.
Prices are best for patients when determined by economic value rather
than political power and when they are known in advance of the receipt of
services. Government’s use of non-market-based methods to determine
reimbursement leads to overspending on low-value services and products
and underpayment for high-value services and products, stifles beneficial
innovation, and because of Medicare’s size distorts payments throughout
the health care system. Intermediate entities that can manage financial risk
and ensure quality of care are important in transitioning to value-based care
within the Medicare program.
l Reduce waste, fraud, and abuse, including through the use of artificial
intelligence for their detection.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
LEGISLATIVE PROPOSALS
l Remove restrictions on physician-owned hospitals. The Affordable
Care Act (ACA)24 imposed restrictions prohibiting Medicare from
reimbursing physician-owned and specialty hospitals. The current
restrictions do little more than serve the special interests of large hospital
systems and undercut consumer choice of high-quality, specialty care.
These restrictions should be removed so that physician-owned hospitals can
compete with other hospitals in serving Medicare patients.25
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l
based payments to empower patients to find the care that best serves
their needs.
l Repeal harmful health policies enacted under the Obama and Biden
Administrations such as the Medicare Shared Savings Program28 and
Inflation Reduction Act.29
Medicare Part D Reform. The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) created a drug
price negotiation program in Medicare that replaced the existing private-sector
negotiations in Part D with government price controls for prescription drugs.
These government price controls will limit access to medications and reduce
patient access to new medication.
This “negotiation” program should be repealed, and reforms in Part D that
will have meaningful impact for seniors should be pursued. Other reforms should
include eliminating the coverage gap in Part D, reducing the government share in
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
the catastrophic tier, and requiring manufacturers to bear a larger share. Until the
IRA is repealed, an Administration that is required to implement it must do so in a
way that is prudent with its authority, minimizing the harmful effects of the law’s
policies and avoiding even worse unintended consequences.30
Medicaid. Over the past 45 years, Medicaid and the health safety net have
evolved into a cumbersome, complicated, and unaffordable burden on nearly every
state. The program is failing some of the most vulnerable patients; is a prime target
for waste, fraud, and abuse; and is consuming more of state and federal budgets.
The dramatic increase in Medicaid expenditures is due in large part to the ACA
(Obamacare), which mandates that states must expand their Medicaid eligibility
standards to include all individuals at or below 138 percent of the federal poverty
level (FPL), and the public health emergency, which has prohibited states from
performing basic eligibility reviews.
The overlap of available benefits among the various health agencies has led
to a complex, confusing system that is nearly impossible to navigate—even for
recipients. Recipients are often faced with a “welfare cliff” of benefit losses as they
earn above a certain amount, which is contrary to the fundamental purpose of
empowering individuals to achieve economic independence. Benefits increasingly
involve nonmedical services such as air conditioning and housing, many of which
are already handled by departments other than HHS.
Improper payments within Medicaid are higher than those of any other federal
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
should be allowed for improvements in states’ current fraud and abuse
and eligibility systems. Innovative programs that show a positive return
on investment for both the state and federal governments should be
allowed without the onerous waiver process.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
1. Clarify that states have the ability to adopt work incentives for able-
bodied individuals (similar to what is required in other welfare
programs) and the ability to broaden the application of targeted
premiums and cost sharing to higher-income enrollees.
l Allow private health insurance. Congress should allow states the option
of contributing to a private insurance benefit for all members of the family
in a flexible account that rewards healthy behaviors. This reform should also
allow catastrophic coverage combined with an account similar to a health
savings account (HSA) for the direct purchase of health care and payment of
cost sharing for most of the population.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
wellness and should give the balance of responsibility for Medicaid program
management to states. This reform would include adding Section 111535
waiver requirements in some cases (such as imposing work requirements
for able-bodied adults) while rescinding requirements in others (such as
non–health care benefits and services related to climate change).
process has sown confusion among arbiters and regulators as judges have
sought to ascertain its meaning. The No Surprises Act should scrap the
dispute resolution process in favor of a truth-in-advertising approach
that will protect consumers and free doctors, insurers, and arbiters from
confused and conflicting standards for resolving disputes that the disputing
parties can best resolve themselves.38
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
(OMB) to give consumers more flexibility with their health care dollars through
expanded access to health savings accounts.
EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS
l Expand the scope of practice of low-complexity and moderate-
complexity clinical laboratories. During the COVID-19 pandemic,
allowing laboratories greater regulatory flexibility regarding CLIA
requirements increased access to testing. However, the need for regulatory
flexibility is not limited to emergency situations. Ongoing innovations
in medical care will continue to drive demand for clinical testing and
new tests. One way that increasing demand for other medical services
has been accommodated is by revising restrictions on scope of practice
to enable providers to practice at the so-called top of their license. CMS
should similarly revise CLIA rules regarding scope of practice for clinical
laboratories and testing personnel.42
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
CMS should create pathways for granting non-clinical laboratories and their
testing personnel CLIA certification equivalency. Non-clinical researchers
already demonstrate their technical expertise through online training and
certification programs. CMS should build on that existing framework so that
those laboratories and personnel can similarly demonstrate their clinical
testing capabilities.43
Two of the first actions of a pro-life Administration should be for HHS
to withdraw the Medicaid guidance (and any Section 1115 waivers issued
thereunder) and for DOJ OLC to withdraw and disavow its interpretation of
the Hyde Amendment.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Parenthood comes through the Medicaid program. HHS should take two
actions to limit this funding:
Congress should pass the Protecting Life and Taxpayers Act,50 which
would accomplish the goal of defunding abortion providers such as
Planned Parenthood.
CMS should resolve pending Section 1115 waivers from Idaho, South Carolina,
and Tennessee, which, like Texas in January 2022, are seeking both to prohibit
abortion providers from participating in state-run Medicaid programs and to
work with other states to do the same. Abortion is not health care, and states
should be free to devise and implement programs that prioritize qualified
providers that are not entangled with the abortion industry.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
promote abortion. It should also encompass a review of Medicaid managed
care plans in pro-abortion states.
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HHS should rescind the guidance and end CMS and state agency
investigations into cases of alleged refusals to perform abortions. DOJ
should agree to eliminate existing injunctions against pro-life states,
withdraw its enforcement lawsuits, and in lawsuits against CMS on the
guidance agree to injunctions against CMS and withdraw appeals of
injunctions.
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should either be consistently included in any upcoming Section 1557 rulemaking
or be proposed in a new individual rule.
COVID-19 Vaccination and Mask Requirements. Health care workers were
praised for their self-sacrifice in caring for sick patients at the beginning of the
COVID-19 pandemic, but then they were fired if they objected to receiving COVID-
19 vaccines with or without complying with onerous masking requirements and
regardless of whether they already had the virus and had gained natural immunity.
With the disease being endemic and constantly mutating, vaccines and univer-
sal masking in health care facilities do not have appreciable benefits in reducing
COVID-19 transmission throughout the community. Moreover, more recent
COVID strains pose fewer health risks than the earlier strains, and the pandemic
has been declared to be at an end. CMS should:
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targets are reduced if their assistance caseloads have fallen since 2005. As a result,
21 states had a work engagement target of zero percent in 2017.
Generally, states apply their work requirement only to beneficiaries receiv-
ing basic assistance, who account for 22.3 percent of TANF outlays. The Trump
Administration proposed a Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP)
rule to “increase program integrity and reduce fraud, waste, and abuse” that would
have prevented an individual from qualifying for SNAP simply because he or she
received a pamphlet from the TANF program.60 This rule defined non-cash benefits
as those that are worth at least $50 a month and received for at least six months.
The tenets of this rule should be applied to the TANF program as well. This defi-
nitional change would apply the TANF work requirements to any noncash benefit
worth $50 a month and received for six consecutive months.
To increase transparency, HHS should clarify how states, in their quarterly and
annual reports, ought to track and audit the outcomes from how they spend TANF
funds to meet the TANF program’s four statutory purposes.
Additionally, TANF priorities are not implemented in an equally weighted
way. Marriage, healthy family formation, and delaying sex to prevent pregnancy
are virtually ignored in terms of priorities, yet these goals can reverse the cycle
of poverty in meaningful ways. CMS should require explicit measurement of
these goals.
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will serve fewer students and can have more positive results). These same param-
eters should apply to sex education programs at ACF. Any lists with “approved
curriculum” or so-called evidence-based lists should be abolished; HHS should
not create a monopoly of curriculum, adding to the profit of certain publishers.
Furthermore, lists created in the past have given priority to sex-promotion text-
books. HHS should create a list of criteria for evaluating the sort of curriculum
that should be selected for any sex education grant programs, both at OASH and
at ACF, with the aim of promoting optimal health and adhering to the legislative
language of each program.
Adoption Reform. There are roughly 400,000 children across the nation on the
waiting list for foster care and 100,000 awaiting adoptive families, and the opioid/
fentanyl crisis is putting more at risk every day. Unfortunately, many of the faith-
based adoption agencies that serve these children are under threat from lawsuits,
or else their licenses and contracts have been halted because they cannot in good
conscience place children in every household due to their religious belief that a
child should have a married mother and father.
HHS, through ACF and the Assistant Secretary for Financial Resources (ASFR),
should repeal the unnecessary 2016 regulation61 that imposes nonstatutory sexual
orientation and gender identity nondiscrimination conditions on agency grants
and return to the policy of maximizing the options for placing vulnerable children
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in their forever homes. ACF and OCR should also survey their programs to consider
whether additional waivers of HHS grant conditions—waivers the Biden Admin-
istration revoked in 2021—are needed for faith-based agencies.
Additionally, Congress should pass the Child Welfare Provider Inclusion Act62 to
ensure that providers and organizations cannot be subjected to discrimination for
providing adoption and foster care services based on their beliefs about marriage.
Office of Refugee Resettlement (ORR). The Office of Refugee Resettlement
should be moved to the Department of Homeland Security. Having health and
welfare functions managed by HHS and border security functions managed by
DHS has created intolerable failures in both. HHS and ORR have forgotten their
original refugee-resettlement mission and instead have provided a panoply of free
programs that incentivize people to come to the U.S. illegally. Even more troubling,
ORR has too often placed children into dangerous situations when releasing them
into the country.
Nearly all of HHS’s care, custody, and placement of children is done through
cooperative agreements with private agencies, many of which may have broken
federal law by inducing or being accomplices in illegal immigration. Those
arrangements could be handled far more effectively by DHS. Congress should
reform the Trafficking Victims Protection Reauthorization Act63 to transfer all
ORR duties for unaccompanied alien children to DHS and eliminate the Flores
settlement agreement.64
Regardless of where ORR’s functions reside, ORR staff and care providers should
never be allowed to facilitate abortions for unaccompanied children in its cus-
tody, including by transporting minors across state lines from pro-life states to
abortion-friendly states. Pregnant, unaccompanied girls in ORR custody should
be treated with dignity, not trafficked across state lines to be victimized by the
abortion industry. ORR should withdraw its policy of allowing elective abortions
for children in ORR care and issue a new policy of instructing care providers not
to allow girls to be transported for elective abortions. HHS OGC and the White
House should insist that DOJ fight to defend that policy up to the U.S. Supreme
Court in light of Dobbs.
Office of Child Support Enforcement (OCSE) Congress established Aid to
Families with Dependent Children in 1935 to assist single-parent families who
were suffering financially from the loss of a bread-winning husband and father.
Within two decades, however, the majority of families receiving aid were depen-
dent because of paternal abandonment rather than death. Today, nearly a third of
America’s children live without a father present in the home, and a fourth of them
are enrolled to receive child support.
The glaring issue in child support enforcement today is a non-resident father’s
ability to provide full or consistent child support payments. The literature reflects
this divide as fathers have been categorized as “deadbeat” dads, then as “deadbroke”
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dads, and now as “disconnected” dads who do not commit to the mother and child.
Child support in the United States should strengthen marriage as the norm, restore
broken homes, and encourage unmarried couples to commit to marriage.
Child Support Tax Credit. National or state guidelines and tax law should be
updated to ensure that nonresident parents with child support orders can receive
a nondependent, child support tax credit. Single filers of up to $41,756 and married
or joint filers of up to $47,646 would be eligible for a child support tax credit similar
to the current earned income tax credit. Filers could receive a maximum of $538
in annual returns for one child and a maximum of $3,584 in annual returns for two
or more children (based on a credit rate of 34 percent). A child support tax credit
would use the low-income, nonresident parents’ own earned income and history
of employment to assist them further in the task of caring for their children.
The key to this policy is that it empowers fathers with their own resources and
money rather than creating another government assistance program (or a fully
refundable credit) devoid of the father’s own monetary efforts. This way, the non-
resident father’s role as financial provider and relational figure is affirmed, and
much-needed financial resources are given to the children.
Visitation. Visitation is key to revitalizing child support and increasing pay-
ment frequency. The most effective way to lower a nonresident parent’s monthly
child support order is to spend more court-accounted-for time with the child. For
example, Texas combined its child support court with its visitation court to ensure
that resident and nonresident parents received state-mandated financial support
orders and enforceable visitation orders.
Child Support Payment and Interactive Smartphone Application. Each
state should be induced to implement a high-tech, easy-to-use application to cen-
tralize child support payments. As with Venmo or Cash App, nonresident parents
would link their bank accounts and provide one-click monthly payments (or con-
tribute incrementally throughout the month while tracking how much is due).
Additionally, the nonresident parents could track “informal” gifts from money,
groceries, clothes, sports gear, and more through the app.
This would address one of the main issues within current child support pay-
ment systems: nonresident parents claim that they are spending much of their
own money to provide for children outside of their monthly payments and resident
parents’ claim that they spend little and neglect their official child support orders.
Currently, only the latter claim can be tracked reliably. This process would enable
nonresident parents to track the amount of informal support they provide and the
reason for it while ensuring that the resident parent acknowledges and accepts
the contribution.
Healthy Marriage and Relationship Education (HMRE) Program. The
HMRE program is part of the ACF Office of Family Assistance. The following pol-
icies should be implemented.
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Children are far more likely to experience abuse when they are raised
outside of their married-parent family. Title II of the Child Abuse Preven-
tion and Treatment Act provides grants to communities for the purpose
of preventing child abuse and neglect, and one of the stated purposes
for which the grants can be used is for efforts to increase family stability.
However, Congress could change the law to make it clear that Title II
funding can be used for healthy marriage and relationship education.
some of their Title IV-B funding for providing healthy marriage and
relationship education for families at risk of having their children placed
in foster care.65
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For the sake of child well-being, programs should affirm that children
require and deserve both the love and nurturing of a mother and the play
and protection of a father. Despite recent congressional bills like the
Respect for Marriage Act that redefine marriage to be the union between
any two individuals, HMRE program grants should be available to faith-
based recipients who affirm that marriage is between not just any two adults,
but one man and one unrelated woman.
Healthy Marriage and Responsible Fatherhood (HMRF) Program. This
program is located within the ACF Office of Family Assistance. Its goal, like that
of the HMRE program, is to provide marriage and parenting guidance for low-in-
come fathers. This includes fatherhood and marriage training, curriculum, and
subsequent research.
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between October 2015 and May 2020.”68 Research has demonstrated that
federal Head Start centers, which provide preschool care to children from
low-income families, have little or no long-term academic value for children.
Given its unaddressed crisis of rampant abuse and lack of positive outcomes,
this program should be eliminated along with the entire OHS. At the very
least, the program’s COVID-19 vaccine and mask requirements should
be rescinded.
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Americans are far more mobile and technologically advanced today than
they were when most health care laws were written. Telehealth has become
increasingly important, particularly during the height of the COVID-19
pandemic. It also has great potential in rural and other areas where there
are shortages of health care providers. HRSA’s Office for the Advancement
of Telehealth includes a program known as the Licensure Portability Grant
Program, which bolsters state efforts to reform licensing laws to maximize
telehealth flexibility. HRSA does not have the authority through this office
to dictate licensure laws; that power has typically been reserved to the
states. However, telehealth across state lines, when permitted, is interstate
commerce, which can be regulated by the federal government according to
the Constitution.
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it appears the proposed rule would change the existing regulations for
religious and moral exemptions to the ACA’s contraception mandate.
There is no need for further rulemaking that curtails existing exemptions
and accommodations.
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l Eliminate the week-after-pill from the contraceptive mandate as a
potential abortifacient. One of the emergency contraceptives covered
under the HRSA preventive services guidelines is Ella (ulipristal acetate).
Like its close cousin, the abortion pill mifepristone, Ella is a progesterone
blocker and can prevent a recently fertilized embryo from implanting in a
woman’s uterus. HRSA should eliminate this potential abortifacient from
the contraceptive mandate.
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4. Require states that receive HHS funds to issue regulations or enter into
arrangements with accrediting bodies to comply with the Coats–Snowe
Amendment’s prohibition of mandatory abortion training by individuals
or institutions. The Coats–Snowe Amendment specifically requires
such state regulations or arrangements.
for school. And more than one in four of children (28%) who experience
abuse or neglect are under 3 years old.”72 Concurrently, children who spend
significant time in day care experience higher rates of anxiety, depression,
and neglect as well as poor educational and developmental outcomes.
Instead of providing universal day care, funding should go to parents
either to offset the cost of staying home with a child or to pay for familial,
in-home childcare.
Maternal and Child Health. Currently, the HRSA Maternal and Child Health
program is collecting data on the benefits of doulas in improving the health, safety,
and emotional well-being of mothers at birth. Doulas provide a patient-focused,
nonmedical support system for single or married mothers that “decreases the
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overall cesarean rate by 50%, the length of labor by 25%, the use of oxytocin by
40%, and requests for an epidural by 60%. Doulas often use the power of touch
and massage to reduce stress and anxiety during labor.”73
Given concerns about maternal mortality or postpartum depression that is
worsened by poor birth experiences, doulas should be an active option for all
women whether they are giving birth in a traditional hospital, through midwifery,
or at home. Additionally, since most Doulas’ services are not covered by traditional
insurance programs, the Maternal and Child Health program should work to pro-
vide funding for low-income mothers.
resources during public health emergencies (PHEs). Even before the pandemic,
services available to these populations through federal resources and personnel
(such as vision care) were often scarce or nonexistent.
Patients in these populations should be empowered to rely on alternatives to
IHS through better access to private health care providers. Exploring positive
reforms contained in the VA MISSION Act74 could reveal similar opportunities
for increased options and access for American Indians and Alaska Natives.
RURAL HEALTH
A growing concern is the decreasing access to health care services for Americans
living in rural, less populated areas. Many find themselves in regions that were not
previously as rural as industries move away, taking with them economic prosperity
and often medical providers. Others are in essential professions such as farming
that by nature necessitate living in regions with fewer city accommodations and
economic opportunities. Seeking space for one’s family and cultivating the land
are valued goals that are deeply rooted in America’s fabric.
Both Congress and an Administration must continually keep in mind how
health care policies uniquely affect these regions because their market trends
and populations are different from those of more populous regions. Often, rural
patients face an hour’s drive to the nearest medical provider or facility or have
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l Reduce the regulatory burden and unleash private innovation that can
discover solutions to unique, local needs.
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The Life Agenda. The Office of the Secretary should eliminate the HHS Repro-
ductive Healthcare Access Task Force and install a pro-life task force to ensure
that all of the department’s divisions seek to use their authority to promote the life
and health of women and their unborn children. Additionally, HHS should return
to being known as the Department of Life by explicitly rejecting the notion that
abortion is health care and by restoring its mission statement under the Strategic
Plan and elsewhere to include furthering the health and well-being of all Americans
“from conception to natural death.”
The next Administration should create a dedicated Special Representative
for Domestic Women’s Health. In the Trump Administration, there was a Special
Representative for Global Women’s Health that focused on international issues,
but this position lacked authority to be the lead on international policies because
of overlapping issues with the U.S. Department of State and USAID (and at times
a lack of clarity as to the lead point of contact and policy decisions at the White
House). The new Special Representative would serve as the lead on all matters of
federal domestic policy development related to life and family with support from
the DPC for implementation and coordination among agencies. In the post-Dobbs
era, advancing support for mothers will include coordination among agencies out-
side of HHS, and the Special Representative would provide a clear focal point for
all issues related to protecting life and serving families.
The Family Agenda. The Secretary’s antidiscrimination policy statements
should never conflate sex with gender identity or sexual orientation. Rather, the
Secretary should proudly state that men and women are biological realities that
are crucial to the advancement of life sciences and medical care and that married
men and women are the ideal, natural family structure because all children have
a right to be raised by the men and women who conceived them.
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designating the ASH as liaison to the CDC). The SG officially oversees the daily oper-
ations of the USPHS, although those are actually under the control of the Director
of the USPHS Commissioned Corps Headquarters. The SG also issues information
to the public (Surgeon General’s advisories, Calls to Action, and Reports), serving
in effect as a key public health spokesperson for the federal government.
USPHS officers are assigned to various agencies such as the CDC, NIH, and
Bureau of Prisons. Their organizational structure is similar in some respects to the
National Guard’s, and their salaries are paid primarily by the agencies to which they
are assigned (which serves to limit USPHS appropriations). USPHS officers can be
deployed on missions to respond to domestic or international crises (for example,
a hurricane in Florida or an Ebola outbreak in Africa) at any time.
The USPHS should be restructured to make it more like its sister uniformed
services with a more streamlined chain of command and corresponding appro-
priations to ensure efficiency and clarity of mission. Its core mission should be
refocused to emphasize prompt, responsive deployments that meet specific criteria
and are less dependent on the various agencies to which the officers are assigned.
Fulfillment of specific tasks should not be duplicated by non-uniformed civil ser-
vants and USPHS officers, and any roles that can be filled by civilians should be
filled by them.
The ASH and SG positions should be combined into one four-star position with
the rank, responsibilities, and authority of the ASH retained but with the title of
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in the Office of Science and Medicine to drive investigative review of literature for a
variety of issues including the effect of abortion on prematurity and breast cancer;
lack of evidence for so-called gender-affirming care; and physical and emotional
damage following cross-sex treatments, especially on children. The OASH should
withdraw all recommendations of and support for cross-sex medical interventions
and “gender-affirming care.”
Title X. The Title X family planning program should be reframed with a focus
on better education around fertility awareness and holistic family planning and a
Deputy Assistant Secretary for Population Affairs that understands the program
and is able to work within its legislative framework (ideally, an MD). In addition,
the Office of Population Affairs should eliminate religious discrimination in grant
selections and guarantee the right of conscience and religious freedom of health
care workers and participants in the Title X program.
In 2021, HHS reversed a Trump Administration regulation that required grant-
ees to maintain strict physical and financial separation between Title X activity and
abortion-related activity.76 Under the Biden Administration’s regulation,77 Title X
activity can be conducted alongside abortion activity without strict physical and
financial separation. The regulation also requires grantees to refer for abortions
despite sincere moral or religious objections. This effectively bans otherwise qual-
ified pro-life grantees from participating in the program.
HHS should rescind the Biden Administration’s regulation and reinstate the
Trump Administration regulation for the program. It should also do this quickly
(the Biden Administration completed its regulatory process and issued a final rule
in less than nine months) and expand the potential grantee population beyond
abortion providers like Planned Parenthood.
Congress should complement these efforts by passing legislation such as the
Title X Abortion Provider Prohibition Act,78 which would prohibit family planning
grants from going to entities that perform abortions or provide funding to other
entities that perform abortions. This would help to protect the integrity of the
Title X program even under an abortion-friendly Administration.
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Strategic National Stockpile. The President should invoke the Defense Pro-
duction Act,79 which is a form of temporary takeover of private enterprises, only
in the gravest circumstances. The Strategic National Stockpile (SNS) should be
reformed to consider the potential supply chain disruptions of pandemics or global
conflicts. Also, during the COVID pandemic, many states received ventilators from
the SNS and hoarded them in places where a rush of COVID patients needing ven-
tilators never materialized. The SNS should clarify its mission as supplier of last
resort to the federal government, state governments, or first responders and key
medical staff and should not portray itself as serving the public as a whole.
l Rescind its PREP Act liability memo. OGC issued a PREP Act liability
memo that suspended application of civil rights and other laws in the
l Rescind the OGC legal analysis saying that the injunction in Bowen
v. American Hospital Association81 prevents any proposed HHS
regulations or enforcement actions concerning the denial of care
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
with coordination for all health diplomacy emanating from OGA.
l OGA should have a clear and consistent voice for the Administration’s
pro-life and pro-family priorities in all international engagements.
l Every effort should be made to locate all OGA staff in the same
building for better oversight and communication.
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provide a private right of action that would allow victims to seek legal redress in
court. At the same time, when it continues to fund governmental and private enti-
ties that violate these laws, HHS is spending taxpayer funds unlawfully. Under
liberal Administrations, OCR has amassed a poor record of devoting resources to
conscience and religious freedom enforcement and is often complicit in approving
or looking the other way at the Administration’s own attacks on religious liberty.
Congress should pass the Conscience Protection Act so that victims can pursue
redress through courts without having to depend exclusively on OCR. In addition:
The Secretary, the Deputy Secretary, and principals in other HHS divisions
should endorse the remedial measures recommended by OCR CRFD and
limit territorial objections and slow-down attempts by other divisional
officials including OGC. HHS should withdraw funding from any violating
entities that refuse to correct their behavior, and OCR CRFD should work
with ASFR to ensure that all grant announcements and instruments inform
grantees and applicants of their obligations to comply with federal health
care conscience laws specifically as a condition of obtaining or maintaining
their funding.
l A draft OCR RFRA and religious freedom rule from the Trump
Administration should be issued and finalized. These regulations would
provide a clear process for OCR’s enforcement in coordination with other
HHS divisions and existing HHS grants regulations.
l HHS should reestablish waivers for state and child welfare agencies
for religious exemptions, especially for faith-based adoption and
foster care agencies. It should also rescind subjective case-by-case eval-
uations for religious and faith-based organizations that request religious
exemptions. These case-by-case determinations are currently coordinated
with ACF and OCR. The recommended waivers should be granted to all
states and agencies that request them, and OCR memos finding that RFRA
would be violated if the waivers are not granted should be restored.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l HHS should restore Section 1557, Section 504, and other OCR
regulations and fix guidance documents. In 2020, the Trump
Administration’s OCR published regulations under Section 1557 of the
Affordable Care Act that restored the agency’s enforcement of that law
to the limits of its statutory text, deferred to the ACA’s widespread use of
a binary biological conception of sex discrimination, and specified that
the regulation must comply with the religious exemption and abortion
neutrality clauses in Title IX from which it is derived as well as the Religious
Freedom Restoration Act and other laws. Courts blocked core provisions of
that rule from going into effect.
against the interpretation on which it is based.
2. Issue a general statement of policy specifying that it will not enforce any
prohibition on sexual orientation and gender identity discrimination in
the Section 1557 regulation and that it will prioritize compliance with
the First Amendment, RFRA, and federal conscience laws in any case
implicating those claims. DOJ should commit to defending these actions
aggressively against inevitable court challenges, including under cases
such as Heckler v. Chaney.84
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AUTHOR’S NOTE: The preparation of this chapter was a collective enterprise of selfless individuals involved
in the 2025 Presidential Transition Project. All contributors to this chapter are listed at the front of this volume
and include former officials in the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services and other agencies, as well as
academics, attorneys, and experts in the health care and insurance fields.
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ENDNOTES
1. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Strategic Plan, FY 2018–2022, p. 50, https://aspe.hhs.gov/
sites/default/files/documents/feac346aca967bfadc446398679e14ec/hhs-strategic-plan-fy-2018-2022.pdf
(accessed February 7, 2023).
2. “Strategic Goal 1: Protect and Strengthen Equitable Access to High Quality and Affordable Healthcare” in ibid.
“In the context of HHS, this Strategic Plan adopts the definition of underserved communities listed in Executive
Order 13985: Advancing Racial Equity and Support for Underserved Communities through the Federal
Government to refer to ‘populations sharing a particular characteristic, as well as geographic communities,
who have been systematically denied a full opportunity to participate in aspects of economic, social, and civic
life’; this definition includes individuals who belong to underserved communities that have been denied such
treatment, such as Black, Latino, and Indigenous and Native American persons, Asian Americans and Pacific
Islanders and other persons of color; members of religious minorities; lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, and
queer (LGBTQ+) persons; persons with disabilities; persons who live in rural areas; and persons otherwise
adversely affected by persistent poverty or inequality. Individuals may belong to more than one underserved
community and face intersecting barriers. This definition applies to the terms underserved communities and
underserved populations throughout this Strategic Plan.” Ibid. Emphasis in original.
3. Karen Weintraub, “Americans’ Life Expectancy Continues to Fall, Erasing Health Gains of the Last Quarter
Century,” USA Today, December 22, 2022, https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/health/2022/12/22/us-life-
expectancy-continues-fall-erasing-25-years-health-gains/10937418002/ (accessed February 6, 2023).
4. Apoorva Mandavilli, “The C.D.C. Isn’t Publishing Large Portions of the Data It Collects,” The New York Times,
updated February 22, 2022, https://www.congress.gov/117/meeting/house/114450/documents/HHRG-117-
IF02-20220302-SD004.pdf (accessed March 22, 2023).
5. Zachary B. Sluzala and Edmund F. Haislmaier, “Lessons from COVID-19: How Policymakers Should Reform the
Regulation of Clinical Testing,” Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 3696, March 28, 2022, https://www.
heritage.org/public-health/report/lessons-covid-19-how-policymakers-should-reform-the-regulation-clinical.
6. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, “Centers for
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
11. Sluzala and Haislmaier, “Lessons From COVID-19: How Policymakers Should Reform the Regulation of
Clinical Testing.”
12. Ibid.
13. H.R. 5471, Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments of 1988, Public Law No. 100-578, 100th Congress,
October 31, 1988, https://uscode.house.gov/statutes/pl/100/578.pdf (accessed March 17, 2023).
14. Sluzala and Haislmaier, “Lessons From COVID-19: How Policymakers Should Reform the Regulation of
Clinical Testing.”
15. Edmund F. Haislmaier, “Ensuring Americans’ Access to Pharmaceuticals: A Primer and Road Map for
Policymakers,” Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 3545, October 20, 2020, https://www.heritage.org/
sites/default/files/2020-10/BG3545.pdf.
16. 18 U.S.C. 1461, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/18/1461 (accessed March 16, 2023), and 18 U.S.C. 1462,
https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/18/1462 (accessed March 16, 2023).
17. H.R. 1308, Religious Freedom Restoration Act of 1993, Public Law No. 103-141, 103rd Congress, November 16,
1993, https://www.congress.gov/103/statute/STATUTE-107/STATUTE-107-Pg1488.pdf (accessed March 18, 2023).
18. Charles Piller, “Is FDA’s Revolving Door Open Too Wide?” Science, Vol. 361, No. 6397 (July 6, 2018), p. 21,
https://www.science.org/doi/epdf/10.1126/science.361.6397.21 (accessed February 6, 2023).
19. Joel Achenbach, “NIH Halts $100 Million Study of Moderate Drinking That Is Funded by Alcohol Industry,” The
Washington Post, May 17, 2018, https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/to-your-health/wp/2018/05/17/nih-
halts-controversial-study-of-moderate-drinking/ (accessed February 6, 2023).
20. Alexander Tin, “Moderna Offers NIH Co-ownership of COVID Vaccine Patent amid Dispute with Government,”
CBS News, November 15, 2021, https://www.cbsnews.com/news/moderna-covid-vaccine-patent-dispute-
national-institutes-health/ (accessed February 6, 2023).
21. Informed Consent Action Network, “NIH Officials Profiting from COVID-19 Vaccine,” June 3, 2021, https://www.
icandecide.org/nih-officials-profiting-from-covid-19-vaccine/ (accessed February 6, 2023).
22. Adam Andrzejewski, “Substack Investigation: Fauci’s Royalties and the $350 Million Royalty Payment
Stream HIDDEN by NIH,” Open the Books Substack, May 9, 2022, https://openthebooks.substack.
com/p/faucis-royalties-and-the-350-million?utm_source=/profile/24758236-adam-andrzejewski&utm_
medium=reader2&s=w (accessed February 6, 2023).
23. Robert E. Moffit, “Time to Reverse Hospital Market Consolidation,” Heritage Foundation Commentary, January 5,
2022, https://www.heritage.org/health-care-reform/commentary/time-reverse-hospital-market-consolidation.
24. H.R. 3590, Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, Public Law No. 111-148, 111th Congress, March 23, 2021,
https://www.congress.gov/111/plaws/publ148/PLAW-111publ148.pdf (accessed March 16, 2023).
25. Brian J. Miller, Robert E. Moffit, James Ficke, Joseph Marine, and Jesse Ehrenfeld, “Reversing Hospital
Consolidation: The Promise of Physician-Owned Hospitals,” Health Affairs Forefront, April 12, 2021, https://
www.healthaffairs.org/do/10.1377/forefront.20210408.980640/ (accessed February 13, 2023).
26. Robert E. Moffit, “Medicare’s Future: Challenges and Opportunities,” testimony before the Special Committee
on Aging, U.S. Senate, November 21, 2022, https://www.heritage.org/testimony/medicares-future-challenges-
and-opportunities.
27. 42 U.S. Code § 256b, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/42/256b (accessed March 16, 2023).
28. H.R. 3590, Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, § 3022.
29. H.R. 5376, Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, Public Law No. 117-169, 117th Congress, August 16, 2022, https://
www.congress.gov/117/plaws/publ169/PLAW-117publ169.pdf (accessed March 16, 2023).
30. Robert E. Moffit, “Reducing Patient Access to New Medications Is the Left’s Latest Medicare Price-Fixing
Scheme,” Heritage Foundation Commentary, July 22, 2022, https://www.heritage.org/medicare/commentary/
reducing-patient-access-new-medications-the-lefts-latest-medicare-price-fixing, and Badger, “How Congress
Can Make Real Progress on Drug Prices.”
31. Nina Owcharenko Schaefer, “Medicaid at 55: Understanding the Design, Trends, and Reforms Needed to
Improve the Health Care Safety Net,” Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 3604, April 14, 2021, https://
www.heritage.org/sites/default/files/2021-04/BG3604_0.pdf, and Brian C. Blase, “Punishing Conservative
States: Payment Cuts to Hospitals Where Federal Spending Is Already Low,” Paragon Health Institute,
December 2021, https://paragoninstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Punishing-Conservative-States-
HTML.html (accessed February 13, 2023).
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
32. Owcharenko Schaefer, “Medicaid at 55: Understanding the Design, Trends, and Reforms Needed to Improve
the Health Care Safety Net.”
33. Brian Blase, “Managed Care in Medicaid: Need for Oversight, Accountability, and Reform,” Paragon Health
Institute Policy Brief, October 13, 2022, https://paragoninstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/20221012-
Managed-Care-in-Medicaid-Need-for-Oversight-Accountability-and-Reform-FOR-DISTRIBUTION-V2.pdf
(accessed February 13, 2023).
34. Owcharenko Schaefer, “Medicaid at 55: Understanding the Design, Trends, and Reforms Needed to Improve
the Health Care Safety Net.”
35. 42 U.S. Code § 1315, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/42/1315 (accessed March 17, 2023).
36. Chad D. Savage and Lee S. Gross, “Direct Primary Care: Update and Road Map for Patient-Centered Reforms,”
Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 3635, June 28, 2021, https://www.heritage.org/sites/default/
files/2021-06/BG3635.pdf.
37. H.R. 133, Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2021, Public Law No. 116-260, 116th Congress, December 27,
2020, Division BB, Title I, https://www.congress.gov/116/plaws/publ260/PLAW-116publ260.pdf (accessed
March 17, 2023).
38. Doug Badger, “On Surprise Medical Bills, Congress Should Side with Consumers, Not Special Interests,”
Heritage Foundation Commentary, January 31, 2020, https://www.heritage.org/health-care-reform/
commentary/surprise-medical-bills-congress-should-side-consumers-not-special.
39. Edmund F. Haislmaier and Abigail Slagle, “Premiums, Choices, Deductibles, Care Access, and Government
Dependence Under the Affordable Care Act: 2021 State-by-State Review,” Heritage Foundation Backgrounder
No. 3668, November 2, 2021, https://www.heritage.org/sites/default/files/2021-11/BG3668.pdf.
40. U.S. Department of the Treasury, Internal Revenue Service; U.S. Department of Labor, Employee Benefits
Security Administration; and U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, “Transparency in Coverage,”
Final Rule, Federal Register, Vol. 85, No. 219 (November 12, 2020), pp. 72158–72310, https://www.govinfo.gov/
content/pkg/FR-2020-11-12/pdf/2020-24591.pdf (accessed March 17, 2023).
41. David N. Bernstein and Robert E. Moffit, “New Price Transparency Rule Will Help Transform America’s Health
— 500 —
2025 Presidential Transition Project
54. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Office of Civil
Rights, and Office of the Secretary, “Special Responsibilities of Medicare Hospitals in Emergency Cases and
Discrimination on the Basis of Disability in Critical Health and Human Service Programs or Activities,” draft
of Proposed Rule, January 14, 2021, https://www.hhs.gov/sites/default/files/infants-nprm.pdf (accessed
March 17, 2023).
55. H.R. 26, Born-Alive Abortion Survivors Protection Act, 118th Congress, introduced January 9, 2023, https://
www.congress.gov/118/bills/hr26/BILLS-118hr26pcs.pdf (accessed March 17, 2023).
56. H.R. 7, No Taxpayer Funding for Abortion and Abortion Insurance Full Disclosure Act of 2023, 118th Congress,
introduced January 9, 2023, https://www.congress.gov/118/bills/hr7/BILLS-118hr7ih.pdf (accessed March 17, 2023).
57. S. 401, Conscience Protection Act of 2021, 117th Congress, introduced February 24, 2021, https://www.congress.
gov/117/bills/s401/BILLS-117s401is.pdf (accessed March 17, 2023).
58. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, and Office of the
Secretary, “Nondiscrimination in Health Programs and Activities,” Notice of Proposed Rulemaking; Notice of
Tribal Consultation, Federal Register, Vol. 87, No. 149 (August 4, 2022), pp. 47824–47920, https://www.govinfo.
gov/content/pkg/FR-2022-08-04/pdf/2022-16217.pdf (accessed March 17, 2023).
59. Ibid., p. 47916.
60. The regulation was not finalized before the end of the Administration. U.S. Department of Agriculture,
Food and Nutrition Services, “Revision of Categorical Eligibility in the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance
Program (SNAP),” Proposed Rule, Federal Register, Vol. 84, No. 142 (July 24, 2019), pp. 35570–55581, https://
www.federalregister.gov/documents/2019/07/24/2019-15670/revision-of-categorical-eligibility-in-the-
supplemental-nutrition-assistance-program-snap (accessed March 17, 2023).
61. 45 Code of Federal Regulations § 75.300(c) and (d), https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-45/subtitle-A/
subchapter-A/part-75/subpart-D/subject-group-ECFR911e5e1a30bfbcb/section-75.300 (accessed
March 17, 2023).
62. H.R. 1750, Child Welfare Provider Inclusion Act of 2021, 117th Congress, introduced March 10, 2021, https://
www.congress.gov/117/bills/hr1750/BILLS-117hr1750ih.pdf (accessed March 17, 2023), and S. 656, Child Welfare
Provider Inclusion Act of 2021, 117th Congress, introduced March 10, 2021, https://www.congress.gov/117/bills/
s656/BILLS-117s656is.pdf (accessed March 17, 2023).
63. S. 3949, Trafficking Victims Protection Reauthorization Act of 2022, Public Law No. 117-348, 117th Congress,
January 25, 2023, https://www.congress.gov/117/plaws/publ348/PLAW-117publ348.pdf (accessed March 17, 2023).
64. Kelsey Y. Santamaria, “Child Migrants at the Border: The Flores Settlement Agreement and Other Legal
Developments,” Congressional Research Service In Focus No. IF11799, April 1, 2021, https://crsreports.congress.
gov/product/pdf/IF/IF11799 (accessed March 17, 2023).
65. Report, Building a Happy Home: Marriage Education as a Tool to Strengthen Families, Social Capital Project
Report No. 1-22, March 2022, p. 17, https://www.jec.senate.gov/public/_cache/files/3d102525-6f0d-48ed-
92f4-d71edd468ad6/building-a-happy-home.pdf (accessed March 17, 2023). The cover of the report reflects
that the Social Capital Project is “[a] project of the Joint Economic Committee – Republicans.”
66. See, for example, Alan J. Hawkins, “Are Federally Supported Relationship Education Programs for Lower-Income Individuals
and Couples Working? A Review of Evaluation Research,” American Enterprise Institute, September 2019, https://www.
congress.gov/117/plaws/publ228/PLAW-117publ228.pdf (accessed March 17, 2023).
67. H.R. 8404, Respect for Marriage Act, Public Law No. 117-228, 117th Congress, December 13, 2022, https://www.
congress.gov/117/plaws/publ228/PLAW-117publ228.pdf (accessed March 17, 2023).
68. Madison Marino, “Over 1,000 Safety Violations Mar Head Start. Children Deserve Better,” Heritage Foundation
Commentary, November 10, 2022, https://www.heritage.org/education/commentary/over-1000-safety-
violations-mar-head-start-children-deserve-better.
69. American Hospital Association v. Becerra, 596 U.S. ___ (2022), https://www.supremecourt.gov/
opinions/21pdf/20-1114_09m1.pdf (accessed March 17, 2023).
70. U.S. Department of the Treasury, Internal Revenue Service; U.S. Department of Labor, Employee Benefits
Security Administration; and U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Medicare and
Medicaid Services, “Coverage of Certain Preventive Services Under the Affordable Care Act,” Notice of
Proposed Rulemaking, Federal Register, Vol. 88, No. 22 (February 2, 2023), pp. 7236–7281, https://www.
govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2023-02-02/pdf/2023-01981.pdf (accessed March 17, 2023).
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
81. Bowen v. American Hospital Association, 476 U.S. 610 (1986), https://tile.loc.gov/storage-services/service/ll/
usrep/usrep476/usrep476610/usrep476610.pdf (accessed 22, 2023).
82. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Office of the Secretary, “Notification of Interpretation and
Enforcement of Section 1557 of the Affordable Care Act and Title IX of the Education Amendments of 1972,”
Federal Register, Vol. 86, No. 99 (May 25, 2021), pp. 27984–27985, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-
2021-05-25/pdf/2021-10477.pdf (accessed March 18, 2023).
83. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Office for Civil Rights, “HHS Notice and Guidance on Gender
Affirming Care, Civil Rights, and Patient Privacy,” March 2, 2022, https://www.hhs.gov/sites/default/files/hhs-
ocr-notice-and-guidance-gender-affirming-care.pdf (accessed March 18, 2023).
84. Heckler v. Chaney, 420 U.S. 821 (1985), https://caselaw.findlaw.com/us-supreme-court/470/821.html (accessed
March 18, 2022).
85. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Office for Civil Rights, “Guidance to Nation’s Retail
Pharmacies: Obligations Under Federal Civil Rights Laws to Ensure Access to Comprehensive Reproductive
Health Care Services,” content last reviewed July 14, 2022, https://www.hhs.gov/civil-rights/for-individuals/
special-topics/reproductive-healthcare/pharmacies-guidance/index.html (accessed March 18, 2023).
86. H.R. 3103, “Health Insurance and Portability and Accountability Act of 1996, Public Law No. 104-191, 104th
Congress, August 21, 1996, https://www.congress.gov/104/plaws/publ191/PLAW-104publ191.pdf (accessed
March 18, 2023).
87. U.S. Department of Human Services, “HIPAA Privacy Rule and Disclosures of Information Relating to
Reproductive Health Care,” content last reviewed June 29, 2022, (accessed March 18, 2023). See also
“Protecting the Privacy and Security of Your Health Information When Using Your Personal Cell Phone or
Tablet,” content last reviewed June 29, 2022, https://www.hhs.gov/hipaa/for-professionals/privacy/guidance/
cell-phone-hipaa/index.html (accessed March 18, 2023).
— 502 —
15
DEPARTMENT OF HOUSING
AND URBAN DEVELOPMENT
Benjamin S. Carson, Sr., MD
T
he U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) admin-
isters a web of federal programs with mandates to support access to
homeownership and affordable rental housing, relieve temporary hous-
ing instability for homeless persons, preserve a stable inventory of public housing
units, and enforce mandates with powers to settle compliance matters ranging
from housing quality standards to housing discrimination cases.
Politicians across party lines use HUD to promise ever-greater public bene-
fits. In addition, HUD programs tend to perpetuate the notion of bureaucratically
provided housing as a basic life need and, whether intentionally or not, fail to
acknowledge that these public benefits too often have led to intergenerational
poverty traps, have implicitly penalized family formation in traditional two-parent
marriages, and have discouraged work and income growth, thereby limiting upward
mobility. A new conservative Administration will therefore need to:
l Reset HUD. This effort should specifically include a broad reversal of the
Biden Administration’s persistent implementation of corrosive progressive
ideologies across the department’s programs.
l Implement an action plan across both process and people. This plan
should include both the immediate redelegation of authority to a cadre
of political appointees and the urgent implementation of administrative
regulatory actions with respect to HUD policy and program eligibility.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
OVERVIEW
HUD was created by the Housing and Urban Development Act of 19652 and
since then has administered several programs that had been administered by
the Housing and Home Finance Agency. With a proposed fiscal year (FY) budget
authority totaling $71.9 billion and 8,326 full-time equivalent (FTE) employees,3
it remains the largest government agency charged with implementing federal
housing policy.
In addition to its headquarters in Washington, D.C., HUD has 10 regional
offices as well as field offices and centers to implement specialized operational
and enforcement responsibilities.4 HUD program offices also interface with various
networks of implementing organizations such as locally chartered public housing
agencies (PHAs) and federal, state, and local government and judicial bodies as
well as such private industry participants as mortgage lenders.
The Secretary of Housing and Urban Development can delegate authority to
various entities across an array of HUD programs.5 The Secretary also oversees
the Office of the Deputy Secretary;6 the Office of Hearings and Appeals (OHA);7
the Office of Small and Disadvantaged Business Utilization (OSDBU);8 and the
Center for Faith-Based and Neighborhood Partnerships (CFBNP).9 The Office of
the Secretary also comprises a team of politically appointed positions and career
support staff. Each of the following offices should be headed by political appointees
except where otherwise noted.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Native Hawaiian housing assistance and loan guarantee programs under
the Native American Housing Assistance and Self-Determination Act
(NAHSDA).14 Tenant-Based Rental Assistance represents the major portion
of HUD’s nonemergency discretionary budget. HUD describes its Housing
Choice Voucher Program as “an essential component of the Federal housing
safety net for people in need.”15 PIH also implements funding for the Self-
Sufficiency Coordinator Program; the Public Housing Fund (operating
and capital funds for PHA administration of Section 9 public housing and
Section 8 voucher programs); and Choice Neighborhoods (zeroed out during
the Trump Administration budget request but included in HUD’s FY 2023
budget, which requests $250 million for the program).16
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Program (MMIF) and various other mortgage insurance, direct loan, and
loan guarantee programs for single-family housing, multifamily housing,
hospitals, and health care facilities that meet certain conditions.17
Section 109 of the Housing and Community Development Act of 1974. After
informal efforts to resolve noncompliance, the AS for FHEO may make a
formal finding of noncompliance and initiate enforcement action before an
administrative tribunal or a referral to the Department of Justice.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
paint regulations under Title X) and the Centers for Disease Control
and Prevention’s Healthy Homes Initiative, Childhood Lead Poisoning
Prevention Program, and National Asthma Control Program.
enforcement powers over HUD programs, HUD OIG works closely with the
Office of General Counsel, the Departmental Enforcement Center, and HUD
program offices. The Inspector General serves as an adviser to and non-
voting member of the FHA Mortgagee Review Board.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
It is hoped that a future Congress under conservative leadership will enact legis-
lative reforms of HUD programs. With or without congressional action, however, it
is vital that a conservative Administration immediately institute guardrails across
HUD programs to remove the administrative state’s bureaucratic overreach of
Article I authorities, thereby ensuring formal execution of Article II process and
personnel reforms of the sort outlined below.
l The President should issue an executive order making the HUD Secretary
a member of the Committee on Foreign Investment in the U.S., which will
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
would threaten the protection of the life and health of individuals and
fail to encourage upward mobility and economic advancement through
household self-sufficiency. Where admissible in regulatory action, HUD
should implement reforms reducing the implicit anti-marriage bias in
housing assistance programs,34 strengthen work and work-readiness
requirements,35 implement maximum term limits for residents in PBRA
and TBRA programs,36 and end Housing First37 policies so that the
department prioritizes mental health and substance abuse issues before
jumping to permanent interventions in homelessness.38 Notwithstanding
administrative reforms, Congress should enact legislation that protects
life and eliminates provisions in federal housing and welfare benefits
policies that discourage work, marriage, and meaningful paths to upward
economic mobility.
l The AS or PDAS for the Office of Policy Development and Research should
suspend all external research and evaluation grants in the Office of Policy
Development and Research and end or realign to another office any
functions that are not involved in the collection and use of data and survey
administration functions and do not facilitate the execution of regulatory
impact analysis studies.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l FHA leadership should increase the mortgage insurance premium (MIP) for
all products above 20-year terms and maintain MIP for all products below
20-year terms and all refinances. FHA should encourage wealth-building
homeownership opportunities, which can be accomplished best through
shorter-duration mortgages.39 Ideally, Congress would contemplate a
fundamental revision of FHA’s statutory restriction of single-family housing
mortgage insurance to first-time homebuyers.40 This would include (with
support from HUD leadership):
l The HUD Secretary should move the HUD Real Estate Assessment Center
(REAC) from PIH to the Office of Housing, which already implements
property standards in its multifamily housing lending programs through
the multifamily accelerated processing (MAP) lending guidelines. Giving
HUD the authority to streamline the enforcement of compliance with
housing standards across the federal government and flexibility for physical
inspections through private accreditation should also be considered.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
housing portfolio has waned for decades with the department effectively working
to maintain the public housing portfolio from the late 1990s when the Faircloth
Amendment capped HUD’s public housing portfolio.43
Longer-term reforms of HUD rental assistance programs should encourage
choice and competition for renters, encourage participation by landlords where
appropriate,44 and encourage all non-elderly, able-bodied adults to move toward
self-sufficiency. This can be pursued through regulations and legislative reforms
that seek to strengthen work requirements, limit the period during which house-
holds are eligible for housing benefits, and add flexibility to rent payment terms
to facilitate the movement of households toward self-sufficiency.
Obviously, using government vouchers or other such programs to expand hous-
ing choice options is not without its downsides. The turn toward mobility vouchers
constitutes an abandonment of America’s public housing stock, and efforts to
increase competition in the public housing market must not come at the expense
of local autonomy and the ability of cities, towns, neighborhoods, and commu-
nities to choose for themselves the sort of housing they want to allow. Freedom
of association and self-government at the most local level possible must remain
primary considerations in any conservative effort to increase competition in the
public housing market.
Congress should also consider those areas in which federal policy negatively
interacts with private markets, including when federal policy crowds out pri-
vate-sector development and exacerbates affordability challenges that persist
across the nation. It is essential that legislation provides states and localities max-
imal flexibility to pursue locally designed policies and minimize the likelihood of
federal preemption of local land use and zoning decisions.
In the same manner, Congress should prioritize any and all legislative support
for the single-family home. Homeownership forms the backbone of the American
Dream. The purchase of a home is the largest investment most Americans will
make in their lifetimes, and homeownership remains the most accessible way to
build generational wealth for millions of Americans. For these reasons, American
homeowners and citizens know best what is in the interest of their neighborhoods
and communities. Localities rather than the federal government must have the
final say in zoning laws and regulations, and a conservative Administration should
oppose any efforts to weaken single-family zoning. Along the same lines, Congress
can propose tax credits for the renovation or repair of housing stock in rural areas
so that more Americans are able to access the American Dream of homeownership.
Additionally, enhanced statutory authorities for local autonomy should extend
to the prioritizing of federal rental assistance subsidies that emphasize choice and
mobility in housing voucher subsidies over static, site-based subsidies and provide
authority for maximal flexibility to direct PHA land sales that involve the existing
stock of public housing units. Congress must consider the future of the public
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
housing model. At best, any new public investments will provide maintenance
funds to bring substandard housing units and properties up to livability standards
but will still fail to address larger aims of upward mobility and dynamism for local
housing markets where land can be sold by PHAs and put to greater economic
use, thereby benefiting entire local economies through greater private investment,
productivity and employment opportunities, and increased tax revenue.
Any long-term view of HUD’s future must include maintaining the strong
financial operations and reliable reporting that are needed to run a $50 billion-
per-year agency. Before the Trump Administration, HUD effectively did not have
a Chief Financial Officer (CFO) for eight years, and HUD’s financial infrastructure
inevitably deteriorated. The department’s auditors were unable to conclude that
HUD’s internal operations were producing accurate financial reporting. The audi-
tors had identified multiple material weaknesses and significant deficiencies in
the department’s internal financial controls. Overall, the deterioration of HUD’s
financial infrastructure led to a lack of accountability with respect to the use of
taxpayer funds as well as to pervasive difficulties with operations and program
implementation.
However, by hiring a new CFO from the private sector with a proven track record
of visionary leadership, HUD was able to implement an agencywide governance
structure that improved its financial processes and internal controls and harnessed
the power of innovative new technologies to bring a modernized business mindset
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
ENDNOTES
1. At a 1998 Senate hearing, then-HUD Secretary Andrew Cuomo acknowledged that the department “faced a
competence gap” and had “the dubious distinction of being the only federal agency designated as ‘high risk’
by the General Accounting [now Government Accountability] Office (GAO),” even referencing the Section
8 rental subsidy as “on the brink of becoming the next savings and loan scandal,” and explained how the
department was stepping up enforcement efforts “focused on closing the competence gap by eliminating
waste, fraud, and abuse.” See “Testimony of Secretary Andrew Cuomo before the House Appropriations
Subcommittee on VA, HUD, and Independent Agencies,” March 25, 1998, https://archives.hud.gov/
testimony/1998/tst32598.cfm (accessed March 4, 2023).
2. H.R. 7984, Housing and Urban Development Act of 1965, Public Law No. 89-117, 89th Congress, August 10,
1965, https://www.congress.gov/89/statute/STATUTE-79/STATUTE-79-Pg451.pdf (accessed March 4, 2023).
3. U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, 2023 Budget in Brief, pp. 2 and 7, https://www.hud.gov/
sites/dfiles/CFO/documents/2023_BudgetInBriefFINAL.pdf (accessed March 4, 2023).
4. For example, the Special Applications Center (SAC) located in Chicago, Illinois, was established in 1998
as a division of the Office of Public and Indian Housing to accept, review, and approve all nonfunded,
noncompetitive applications and plans for demolition, disposition, and conversion of land subject to an
annual contributions contract (ACC) in public housing.
5. The Secretary has delegated full authority for the Administration and enforcement of the Fair Housing Act to
the Assistant Secretary of the Office of Fair Housing and Equal Opportunity but also has delegated limited
assignment and decision-making authority to the General Counsel.
6. Effectively the HUD Chief Operating Officer and appointed by the President with Senate advice and consent.
7. The Office of Hearings and Appeals (OHA) is an independent adjudicatory office within the Office of the
Secretary. Led by a Director who is appointed by the Secretary, it supervises the Administrative Judges of
the Office of Appeals, the administrative law judges of the Office of Administrative Law Judges, and the OHA
support staff. The HUD Secretary appoints administrative judges and administrative law judges in accordance
with the Administrative Procedure Act, 5 U.S.C. Chapter 5, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/5/part-I/
chapter-5 (accessed March 4, 2023).
8. HUD currently has a Departmental Equity Assessment Working Group, supported with five FTEs funded by
the OSDBU, “as part of the President’s Executive Order 13985, Executive Order On Advancing Racial Equity
and Support for Underserved Communities Through the Federal Government.” See U.S. Department of
Housing and Urban Development, 2023 Congressional Justifications, p. 35-15, https://www.hud.gov/sites/
dfiles/CFO/documents/2023HUDCongressionalJustificationsFINALelectronicversion.pdf (accessed March 4,
2023), and President Joseph R. Biden Jr., Executive Order 13985, “Advancing Racial Equity and Support for
Underserved Communities Through the Federal Government,” January 20, 2021, in Federal Register, Vol. 86,
No. 14 (January 25, 2021), pp. 7009–7013, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2021-01-25/pdf/2021-
01753.pdf (accessed March 4, 2023).
9. Interestingly, “[t]he 2023 President’s Budget requests $748 thousand for CFBNP, which is $436 thousand less
than the 2022 Annualized CR level. The Budget reflects total funding (carryover and new authority) of $1.2
million, $448 thousand less than 2022 total funding.” U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development,
2023 Congressional Justifications, p. 35-16.
10. See H.R. 558, Stewart B. McKinney Homeless Assistance Act, Public Law No. 100-77, 100th Congress, July 22,
1987, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/STATUTE-101/pdf/STATUTE-101-Pg482.pdf (accessed March 5,
2023). Later renamed the McKinney–Vento Homeless Assistance Act.
11. Established under the Housing and Community Development Act of 1974, 42 U.S.C. §§ 5301 et seq., https://
www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/42 (accessed March 4, 2023).
12. S. 566, Cranston–Gonzalez National Affordable Housing Act, Public Law No. 101-625, 101st Congress,
November 28, 1990, Title II, https://www.congress.gov/101/statute/STATUTE-104/STATUTE-104-Pg4079.pdf
(accessed March 5, 2023).
13. S. 1, Uniform Relocation Assistance and Real Property Acquisition Policies Act of 1970, Public Law No. 91-646,
91st Congress, January 2, 1971, https://www.congress.gov/91/statute/STATUTE-84/STATUTE-84-Pg1894.pdf
(accessed March 4, 2023). “The URA establishes the minimum Federal requirements for the acquisition of real
property for Federally-funded programs and projects, and for the relocation of persons who must move from
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
their homes, businesses, or farms as a direct result of acquisition, rehabilitation, or demolition for a Federally-
funded program or project.” U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, HUD Exchange, “49 CFR
Part 24–URA Regulations,” published February 2005, https://www.hudexchange.info/resource/804/ura-and-
real-property-acquisition-policies-act-49-cfr-part-24/ (accessed March 4, 2023). HUD is one of the 18 federal
departments and agencies that “are subject to the Uniform Act.” U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal
Highway Administration, “Uniform Relocation Assistance and Real Property Acquisition for Federal and
Federally Assisted Programs,” Federal Register, Vol. 84, No. 243 (December 18, 2019), pp. 69466–69521, esp. p.
69484, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2019-12-18/pdf/2019-25558.pdf (accessed March 4, 2023).
14. H.R. 3219, Native American Housing Assistance and Self-Determination Act of 1996, Public Law No. 104-330,
104th Congress, October 26, 1996, https://www.congress.gov/104/plaws/publ330/PLAW-104publ330.pdf
(accessed March 4, 2023).
15. U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, 2023 Congressional Justifications, p. 6-1. The U.S.
Housing Act of 1937 (Wagner–Steagall Act) established the origins of locally chartered housing agencies
that administer federal funding for various rental assistance programs—a quintessentially progressive New
Deal–era policy that expanded the administrative state’s powers to the housing market—with the primary
legislative intent of eradicating slum housing in urban areas, boosting jobs, and providing housing for the
working poor. 42 U.S.C. §§ 1437 et seq., https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/42 (accessed March 4, 2023).
A decade later, the Housing Act of 1949 codified federal standards for housing livability—a rationale that
HUD and federal legislators have continued to use to justify federal intervention in housing—establishing as
a national policy objective the provision of a minimum standard of housing quality for all Americans. This
legislation also statutorily established many of the rural housing programs that are administered at USDA and
expanded programs facilitating the removal of slum housing in urban areas. 42 U.S.C. §§ 1441 et seq., https://
www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/42 (accessed March 4, 2023).
16. U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, 2023 Congressional Justifications, pp. 1-2 and 2-2.
17. The National Housing Act of 1934 established the FHA and the statutory authority for the secondary market. The
main stated premise was to stimulate jobs and facilitate the housing and construction sector during the Great
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25. Process must prioritize where political leadership can implement administrative reforms through regulatory
action and subregulatory guidance reforms.
26. China and other foreign nations should not be able to disrupt our nation’s housing markets, including by
artificially driving up prices and reducing affordability and access to housing for Americans who are crowded
out of the market by such market participation.
27. These initiatives are maintained under such designations as diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI); critical race
theory (CRT); black, indigenous, Pacific Islander, and other people of color (BIPOC); and environmental, social,
and governance (ESG).
28. At a minimum, these efforts duplicate what the federal government already collects and assesses; at worst,
they institute arbitrary procedures in real estate appraisal practices that undermine integrity and perversely
introduce arbitrary biases into what should be an unbiased system for determining financial value.
29. Revise regulatory and subregulatory guidance, where applicable within statutory authorities, that adds
unnecessary delay and costs to the construction and development of new housing and has been estimated to
account for about 40 percent of new housing unit costs in multifamily housing.
30. The Biden Administration has issued a proposed rule to replace the Trump Administration’s “Preserving
Community and Neighborhood Choice” rule that had repealed earlier rules expanding AFFH enforcement.
See U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Office of Fair Housing, “Preserving Community
and Neighborhood Choice,” Final Rule, Federal Register, Vol. 85, No. 153 (August 7, 2020), pp. 47899–47912,
https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2020-08-07/pdf/2020-16320.pdf (accessed March 5, 2023), and
U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Office of the Secretary, “Affirmatively Furthering Fair
Housing,” Proposed Rule, Federal Register, Vol. 88, No. 27 (February 9, 2023), pp. 8516–8590, https://www.
govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2015-07-16/pdf/2015-17032.pdf (accessed March 5, 2023).
31. Certain pilot initiatives may encourage greater take-up of loan products designed for faster equity
accumulation, including loans with shorter terms and accelerated amortization schedules. In concept, the
FHA’s Home Equity Accelerator Loan (HEAL) and Good Neighbor Next Door (GNND) pilot initiatives might
lead to meaningful wealth generation for first-time buyers, but they should be available to all eligible
households only when they do not arbitrarily discriminate based on race or other characteristics.
32. Housing supply does remain a problem in the U.S., but constructing more units at the low end of the market
will not solve the problem. Investors and developers can deliver at more efficient cost new units that will allow
for greater upward mobility of rental and ownership housing stock and better target increased construction
of mid-tier rental units. Further, and more fundamental to the housing supply challenge in markets across
the U.S., localities can consider revising land use, zoning, and building regulations that constrict new housing
development, adding time delays and costs that impede construction. Federal housing policy should get out
of the way where possible and minimize the distortive impact that stimulating greater demand through loose
lending can have in driving up housing prices for households that are looking for affordable entry into the
housing market.
33. U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Office of the Secretary, “Housing and Community
Development Act of 1980: Verification of Eligible Status,” Proposed Rule, Federal Register, Vol. 84, No. 91
(May 10, 2019), pp. 20589–20595, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2019-05-10/pdf/2019-09566.pdf
(accessed March 5, 2023).
34. Reforms should contemplate rent payment flexibilities, allow escrow savings, and set maximum term
limits that can reduce implicit penalties for increasing household incomes over eligibility terms for housing
assistance and reweight waiting-list prioritization for two-parent households.
35. Some PHAs have been able to implement work requirements and term limit policies in various congressionally
authorized demonstration programs, notably the Moving to Work (MTW) demonstration program established
in 1996 for 39 PHAs (Congress has since authorized another 100 PHAs) in which participating MTW PHAs
were given authority to implement rent reforms, work requirements and other experimental policies in rental
assistance programs along with flexibilities in the use of capital and operating appropriations.
36. The FSS program has a general five-year term with a possible two-year extension, which could be applied
at the term limit for overall benefits, and certain PHAs have imposed five-year to seven-year term limits.
Families in these programs build escrow savings during their term eligibility that helps to facilitate successful
transitions to family self-sufficiency and unassisted housing.
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37. HUD should implement administrative changes in regulation and guidance and seek statutory authority to
end all Housing First directives of Continuum of Care (CoC) grantees and contract homelessness providers in
addition to establishing restrictions on local Housing First policies where HUD grant funds are used.
38. The U.S. Interagency Council on Homelessness (USICH) was established in the 1990s, and numerous
Administrations have devoted enormous resources to the Housing First model, experimenting with various
ways to provide federally financed rapid rehousing and permanent housing opportunities. Housing First is a
far-left idea premised on the belief that homelessness is primarily circumstantial rather than behavioral. The
Housing First answer to homelessness is to give someone a house instead of attempting to understand the
underlying causes of homelessness. Federal intervention centered on Housing First has failed to acknowledge
that resolving the issue of homelessness is often a matter of resolving mental health and substance
abuse challenges. Instead of the permanent supportive housing proffered by Housing First, a conservative
Administration should shift to transitional housing with a focus on addressing the underlying issues that
cause homelessness in the first place.
39. The Senate Low-Income First-Time Homebuyers (LIFT) Act would address this policy goal. See S. 2797,
Low-Income First-Time Homebuyers Act of 2021 (LIFT Homebuyers Act of 2021), 117th Congress, introduced
September 22, 2021, https://www.congress.gov/117/bills/s2797/BILLS-117s2797is.pdf (accessed March 5, 2023).
40. FHA did not facilitate the widespread use of 30-year mortgages until the 1950s when, interacting with
Federal Reserve policies, federal agencies began broader adoption of the mortgages, which, despite lowering
the monthly repayment terms, result in slow equity accumulation and wealth-building opportunities.
41. The Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008 fundamentally revised the scope of federal regulation
in the nation’s housing finance system, placing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac under the purview of a newly
established Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) and establishing a Housing Trust Fund (HTF) that
is administered in the HUD Office of Community Planning and Development. See H.R. 3221, Housing and
Economic Recovery Act of 2008, Public Law No. 110-289, 110th Congress, July 30, 2008, https://www.congress.
gov/110/plaws/publ289/PLAW-110publ289.pdf (accessed March 5, 2023).
42. Guiding questions: What reforms should be proposed that could be accomplished within five years? What
reforms can be done administratively, and what reforms would need legislative authorization? Are there
functions that HUD administers that could be achieved more effectively at another department or agency?
What big-picture reforms should be proposed that might take more than five years that would reorganize
HUD and its programs to meet the objectives in the vision or mission? What would occur in the absence
of these public finance subsidies? How much crowd-out do these subsidies create in the market? Would
America be a seriously underhoused nation without these subsidies? Who are the policies intended to
benefit? What organizational changes must be made?
43. The Faircloth Amendment (Quality Housing and Work Responsibility Act of 1998) amended the Housing
Act of 1937 to maintain public housing units at 1999 levels, preventing housing authorities from maintaining
more public housing than they did then. H.R. 4194, Departments of Veterans Affairs and Housing and Urban
Development, and Independent Agencies Appropriations Act, 1999, Public Law No. 105-276, 105th Congress,
October 21, 1998, Title V, https://www.congress.gov/105/plaws/publ276/PLAW-105publ276.pdf (accessed
March 5, 2023). In recent years, the statutory restriction on new construction of public housing units has
been circumvented through some narrow uses of preservation programs such as the Rental Assistance
Demonstration (RAD) program, initially authorized in 2012 and reauthorized several times since under higher
program unit conversion caps. Congress also provided paths for renewal and continuation of a portion
of existing public housing; project/site-based housing stock (refinancing with long-term HAP contract
commitments); and Section 8 units through the Multifamily Assisted Housing Reform and Affordability Act
of 1997 (MAHRA). H.R. 2158, Departments of Veterans Affairs and Housing and Urban Development, and
Independent Agencies Appropriations Act, 1998, Public Law No. 105-65, 105th Congress, October 27, 1997,
Title V, https://www.congress.gov/105/plaws/publ65/PLAW-105publ65.pdf (accessed March 5, 2023).
44. As the evolution of HUD rental assistance transitions away from the public housing model toward housing
choice vouchers, there should be adequate landlord participation to ensure that the supply of housing units
for rent in these programs meets the demand for rent among eligible tenants. This issue has been addressed
in various ways, including by a task force instituted at the department during the Trump Administration, but
could likely remain a challenge in the administration of the program.
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16
DEPARTMENT OF
THE INTERIOR
William Perry Pendley
T
he U.S. Department of the Interior (DOI) oversees, manages, and protects
the nation’s natural resources and cultural heritage; provides scientific
and other information about those resources; and honors the nation’s trust
responsibilities or special commitments to American Indians, Alaska Natives, and
affiliated island communities.
AGENCY OVERVIEW
DOI’s purview encompasses more than 500 million acres of federal lands,
including national parks and national wildlife refuges; 700 million acres of sub-
surface minerals; 1.7 billion acres of the Outer Continental Shelf (OCS); 23 percent
of the nation’s energy; water in 17 western states; and trust responsibilities for 566
Indian tribes and Alaska Natives. DOI’s 2024 budget request totals $18.9 billion, an
increase of $2 billion, or 12 percent, more than the 2023 enacted level. The budget
also provides an estimated $12.6 billion in permanent funding in 2024. In 2024,
DOI will generate receipts of $19.6 billion.
A “Home Department” had been considered in 1789 and urged by Presidents
over the decades until DOI’s creation in 1849. The variety of its early responsibil-
ities—the Indian Bureau, the General Land Office, the Bureau of Pensions, and
the Patent Office, among others—earned it various nicknames, including “Great
Miscellany,” “hydra-headed monster,” and “Mother of Departments.”1 Its mission
became more focused on natural resources with the rise of the conservation move-
ment in the early 20th century; however, it kept its historic (since the days of the
Founding Fathers) role as overseer of vast working landscapes involving grazing,
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logging, mining, oil, and gas and, with the Bureau of Reclamation in 1902, as the
nation’s dam builder. Today, DOI has 70,000 employees in approximately 2,400
locations with offices across the United States, Puerto Rico, and U.S. Territories
and Freely Associated States.
Historically, DOI operated in a bipartisan manner consistent with the laws
enacted by Congress pursuant to its powers under the Property Clause.2 Thus,
DOI fulfilled its statutory responsibilities in a manner that ensured the ability of
western states, counties, and communities to be sustained by both economic and
recreational activities on neighboring federal lands, especially given that in some
rural western counties, federal lands constituted 50, 60, 70, 80—even 90 percent
of the county’s landmass.3
That ended with the Administration of President Jimmy Carter, who, beholden
to environmental groups that supported his election, adopted DOI policies consis-
tent with their demands, much to the horror of western governors, most of whom
were Democrats. President Ronald Reagan campaigned against this “War on the
West,” declared himself a “Sagebrush Rebel,” and, on taking office,4 quelled the
rebellion by reversing Carter Administration policies. President George H. W.
Bush distanced himself from Reagan’s western policies, committed to a “kinder
and gentler America,” and proclaimed his desire to be “the environmental Pres-
ident,” which resulted in changes at the his Administration’s DOI—again, much
to the dismay of westerners.5 President Bill Clinton resumed Carter’s “War on
the West,” epitomized by his DOI’s deploying of wolves into the states bordering
Yellowstone National Park; the decreed death of a world-class mine in Montana;
and the designation of a vast national monument in Utah over the objections of
Utah leaders—but with the support of the Hollywood elite.6
Although Texas Governor George W. Bush and former Wyoming Representative
Dick Cheney (R–WY) campaigned in 2000 against Clinton’s worst outrages, includ-
ing the Utah monument, there was no significant ratcheting back of DOI policies
that were either objected to by westerners or contrary to the express provisions of
federal statutes. President Barack Obama’s DOI resumed the anti-economic fed-
eral lands policies activated by Carter and amplified by Clinton; however, Obama’s
DOI’s antipathy to oil and gas activity on federal lands as mandated by Congress
could not have come at a worse time.
After the demonstrated success of fracking on Bureau of Land Management
(BLM) acreage in Wyoming in 1993, the fracking revolution soon swept the nation,7
yielding massive discoveries on state and private land from coast to coast, but not,
thanks to Obama, on western federal lands.8 President Donald Trump, on the other
hand, immediately ordered his DOI to comply with federal law, conduct congressio-
nally mandated lease sales, and seek to achieve energy dominance or independence.
Thanks in part to the success of oil and gas operations on federal land in the West,
the United States achieved energy security for the first time since 1957 in 2019.9
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
lands under its jurisdiction are managed, but it also insists on implementing a vast
regulatory regime (for which Congress has not granted authority) and overturning,
by unilateral regulatory action, congressional acts that set forth the productive
economic uses permitted on DOI-managed federal land.
BUDGET STRUCTURE
At $18.9 billion, DOI’s 2024 proposed budget is small relative to many other
federal agencies. On the other side of the ledger, the DOI forecasts it will generate
more than $19.6 billion in “offsetting receipts” from oil and gas royalties, timber
and grazing fees, park user fees, and land sales, among other sources. Most of the
proposed allocations are divided among nine bureaus.
Bureau of Indian Affairs. Fulfills Indian trust responsibilities on behalf of
566 Indian tribes; supports natural resource education, law enforcement, and
social service programs delivered by tribes; operates 182 elementary and secondary
schools and dormitories and 29 tribally controlled community colleges, universi-
ties, and post-secondary schools.
Bureau of Land Management. Manages and conserves resources for 245
million acres of public land and 700 million acres of subsurface federal mineral
estate, including energy and mineral development, forest management, timber
and biomass production, and wild horse and burro management.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
endangered species recovery; protects migratory birds and some marine mammals.
U.S. Geological Survey. Conducts scientific research in ecosystems, climate,
and land-use change, mineral assessments, environmental health, and water
resources; produces information about natural hazards (earthquakes, volcanoes,
and landslides); leads climate change research for the department.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
federal lands from “multiple”—that is, productive—use.
DOI is abusing National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA)14 processes, the
Antiquities Act,15 and bureaucratic procedures to advance a radical climate agenda,
ostensibly to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, for which DOI has no statutory
responsibility or authority.16 The Federal Land Policy and Management Act
(FLPMA), Outer Continental Shelf Lands Act (OSCLA), General Mining Law,17
and other congressional acts clearly set forth multiple-use principles and processes
that include production of coal, oil, natural gas, and other minerals, as legitimate
activities consistent with the welfare of all Americans and of environmental
stewardship.
Biden’s DOI is hoarding supplies of energy and keeping them from Americans
whose lives could be improved with cheaper and more abundant energy while
making the economy stronger and providing job opportunities for Americans.
DOI is a bad manager of the public trust and has operated lawlessly in defiance of
congressional statute and federal court orders.
ADMINISTRATION PRIORITIES
Rollbacks. A new Administration must immediately roll back Biden’s orders,
reinstate the Trump-era Energy Dominance Agenda, rescind Secretarial Order
(SO) 3398, and review all regulations, orders, guidance documents, policies, and
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similar agency actions made in compliance with that order.18 Meanwhile, the
new Administration must immediately reinstate the following Trump DOI sec-
retarial orders:
l SO 3354: Supporting and Improving the Federal Onshore Oil and Gas
Leasing Program and Federal Solid Mineral Leasing Program;24
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l Conduct offshore oil and natural gas lease sales to the maximum extent
permitted under the 2023–2028 lease program,34 with the possibility to
move forward under a previously studied but unselected plan alternative.35
l Develop immediately and finalize a new five-year plan, while working with
Congress to reform the OCSLA by eliminating five-year plans in favor of
rolling or quarterly lease sales.
l Review all resource management plans finalized in the previous four years
and, when necessary, select studied alternatives to restore the multi-use
concept enshrined in FLPMA and to eliminate management decisions that
advance the 30 by 30 agenda.
l Set rents, royalty rates, and bonding requirements to no higher than what is
required under the Inflation Reduction Act.36
leasing and development program in the Coastal Plain, an area of Alaska
that was set aside by Congress specifically for future oil and gas exploration
and development. It is often referred to as the “Section 1002 Area” after
the section of ANILCA that excludes the area from Arctic National Wildlife
Refuge’s wilderness designation.37
l Conclude the programmatic review of the coal leasing program, and work
with the congressional delegations and governors of Wyoming and Montana
to restart the program immediately.38
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l Rescind the Biden rules and reinstate the Trump rules regarding:
2. The Endangered Species Act rules defining Critical Habitat and Critical
Habitat Exclusions;41
hiring must be reinstituted to bring success to these reforms. Consistent with the
theme of bringing successful state resource management examples to the forefront
of federal policy, DOI should also look for opportunities to broaden state–federal
and tribal–federal cooperative agreements.
IMMEDIATE ACTIONS
BLM Headquarters. BLM headquarters belongs in the American West. After
all, the overwhelming majority of the 245 million surface acres (10 percent of the
nation’s landmass) managed by the agency lies in the 11 western states and Alaska:
A mere 50,000 surface acres lie elsewhere. Moreover, 97 percent of BLM employees
are located in the American West.
Thus, the Trump Administration’s decision to relocate BLM headquarters from
Washington, D.C., to the West was the epitome of good governance: That is, it was
not only well-informed, but it was also implemented efficiently, effectively, and
with an eye toward affected career civil servants. Plus, despite overblown chatter
from the inside-the-Beltway media, Congress, with bipartisan support, approved
funding the move.
Meanwhile, state, tribal, and local officials, the diverse collection of stakehold-
ers who use public lands and western neighbors became accustomed to having
top BLM decision-makers in Grand Junction, Colorado, rather than up to four
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
time zones away. All of them also appreciated that the BLM’s top subject matter
experts were located not in the District of Columbia, but in the western states
that most need their knowledge and expertise. Westerners no longer had to travel
cross country to address BLM issues. Neither did officials in the West, closest to
the resources and people they manage.
On July 16, 2019, Secretary of the Interior David L. Bernhardt delivered to Con-
gress the proposal for the relocation of nearly 600 BLM headquarters employees.
On August 10, 2020, Secretary Bernhardt formally established the Robert F. Burford
headquarters—named after the longest-serving BLM director, a Grand Junction
native—with a staff of 41 senior officials and assistants. Another 76 positions were
assigned to BLM state offices in western communities such as Billings, Montana;
Boise, Idaho; Reno, Nevada; Salt Lake City, Utah; and Cheyenne, Wyoming, to meet
critical needs. Scores of other positions were assigned to the states that required
BLM expertise. For example, wild horse and burro professionals were relocated
to Nevada, home to nearly 60 percent of these western icons. Sixty-one positions
were retained in Washington, D.C., to address public, congressional, and regulatory
affairs, Freedom of Information Act compliance, and budget development.
Despite the dislocating impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the BLM success-
fully filled hundreds of long-vacant positions, as well as those that opened because
of the move West. The BLM saw notable numbers of applicants for these positions—
so numerous that the BLM capped the number of eligible applicants to no more
than 50. Obviously, reduced commuting times (often from hours to mere minutes),
lower cost of living, and opportunity to access vast public lands for recreation made
these jobs attractive to potential employees. Many, if not most, applicants stated
they would not have applied had the positions been based in Washington, D.C. At
the same time, western positions attracted those with the skills needed to meet
the BLM’s multiple-use, sustained-yield mandate, disproving the claim that the
BLM was suffering a “brain drain.”
The Trump Administration recognized that, despite its attractions, not every-
one employed by BLM in Washington, D.C., could move West. The Administration
applied a hands-on approach, with all-employee briefing and question-and-answer
sessions, regular email communications, and a website devoted to frequently asked
questions. Two human resources teams aided employees wishing to remain in
federal jobs in the D.C. area: All received new opportunities.
The BLM’s move West incurred no legal challenges, no formal Equal Employ-
ment Opportunity or U.S. Merit Systems Protection Board complaints, and no
adverse union activity. It is hard to please everyone, but the Trump Administra-
tion’s BLM did just that, putting the lie to assertions, by some, that the BLM was
trying to “fire” federal employees.
The total cost of $17.9 million for relocation incentives, permanent change-of-
station moves, temporary labor, travel, printing, rent, supplies, equipment, and
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
other contracts will save money for the American people. For example, in fiscal
2020, the BLM estimated $1.6 million in travel costs savings, which will grow
slightly over time, and $1.9 million in savings from its terminated lease in Wash-
ington, D.C. Furthermore, BLM estimated that, by October 2022, the BLM move
West would generate a net savings of $3.5 million, which, the following fiscal year,
would increase to $10.3 million.
Those funds can be devoted to reducing the risk of wildfires, increasing recre-
ational opportunities, conserving public lands, and addressing tough issues such
as wild horses and burros. Moreover, those funds will be used more wisely thanks
to the efficiency of senior, seasoned managers working closely with BLM field
employees in near daily contact with western officials, stakeholders, and neighbors.
In late 2022, Secretary of the Interior Deb Haaland announced the return of
headquarters and scores of highly paid, senior employees to Washington, D.C. Sub-
sequently, BLM Director Tracy Stone-Manning revealed 56 BLM jobs in BLM’s
“Western Headquarters” and 70 other BLM jobs will remain in Grand Junction,
an increase of 15 from the 41 announced by Trump’s BLM in 2019, and an increase
of 40 other jobs above the 16 first announced by Biden officials. Thus, the director,
the two deputy directors, six of seven assistant directors (ADs) and their staffs are
now or soon will be in Washington.
The Biden Administration failed to recognize the wisdom of having BLM’s lead-
ership, including its director, deputy directors, and ADs in the West. That is why,
decades ago, the AD and staff in charge of BLM’s firefighters were relocated to Boise,
Idaho, where they remain. Not so the head of BLM law enforcement and security,
who supervises over 200 uniformed law enforcement rangers and 76 special agents
stationed mainly in 11 western states and Alaska. Haaland moved that official to
Washington, far from state troopers, county sheriffs and deputies, and city police
with whom BLM law enforcement officers keep the peace in the West’s wide-open
spaces. BLM’s “top cop” might as well be on the moon.
The AD in charge of oil, gas, and minerals was also moved to Washington, D.C.,
notwithstanding that most oil, gas, and minerals are in the West and Alaska; New
Mexico’s Permian Basin, for example, is second only to Alaska in petroleum poten-
tial, and Montana and Wyoming’s Powder River Basin contains the world’s best
low-sulfur coal. The AD responsible for wild horses and burros was moved east as
well, despite the fact that the uncontrolled growth of wild horses and burros poses
an existential threat to public lands; 60 percent of the nation’s wild horses are in
Nevada,45 but thousands are in nine other western states. There is no way these
and other ADs can professionally manage issues thousands of miles and multiple
time zones away.
It is not just effective and responsive management that has been lost; Colorado
lost its chance to become a must-visit destination for BLM’s stakeholders. Those
seeking to develop world-class mineral deposits in Minnesota or another Prudhoe
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Bay in Alaska; to expand recreation across BLM’s vast, diverse, and unique land-
scapes; or to manage timber and rangelands to prevent wildfires, would all journey
to Grand Junction. Convention opportunities on Colorado’s western slope would
abound for BLM’s disparate constituencies to congregate and meet with BLM
leadership. The Western States Sheriffs’ Association, for example, whose annual
gathering attracts hundreds of law enforcement officers from 17 western and plains
states might have moved its event to Grand Junction.
Law Enforcement Officers. In 2002, at the direction of the Secretary of the
Interior in the days following the 9/11 attack, the Inspector General (IG) for DOI
made a series of department-wide recommendations regarding law enforcement.
Then-Secretary of the Interior Gale Norton ordered adoption of those recom-
mendations, which drew strong bipartisan support from Congress. Over the years,
most were implemented. One, however, remained undone: placing all BLM law
enforcement officers (LEOs), that is, its 212 Law Enforcement Rangers and 76
Special Agents, in an exclusively law enforcement chain of command.
This was not just the IG’s recommendation in 2002, but that of every IG who fol-
lowed. It is also the strong recommendation of the department’s top LEO. Moreover,
it has been the urgent recommendation of law enforcement professionals across
the country, especially in the West, for decades, including the Western States Sher-
iffs Association. Unfortunately, over time, BLM leadership stonewalled, adhering
to a haphazard system in which LEOs reported to non-LEO superiors, including
not only state directors, but also district and field managers with expertise in other
fields—range management or petroleum engineering, for example—with only 24
hours of law enforcement study. Obviously, those managers lack a comprehensive
understanding of law enforcement issues—constitutional, legal, and tactical. In
addition, they do not uniformly apply or enforce rules of conduct or ethical stan-
dards for LEOs and special agents, leading to weakened esprit de corps and morale.
Worse yet, because of their duties as managers of the multiple-use lands under
their jurisdiction, they are exposed to conflicts of interests and may intentionally
or unintentionally prevent LEOs from investigating violations or applying the law.
In the final days of the Trump Administration, Secretary David L. Bernhardt
ordered, and Deputy Director William Perry Pendley implemented, the IG’s recom-
mendation. Of course, leadership heads exploded; they were furious with their loss
of authority, not to mention subordinates and budgets. Unfortunately, in the first
days of the Biden Administration, BLM Deputy Director Mike Nedd suspended
Pendley’s order.
Nonetheless, LEOs, the BLM, and westerners want LEOs—who make life-and-
death decisions—to be as well-trained and well-equipped as possible. They should
report to a professional, expert, and knowledgeable chain of command. After all,
they protect visitors to BLM lands and the natural and cultural resources of those
lands, as well as the employees who manage those lands.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
BLM’s LEOs must keep in touch, work closely, and coordinate with fellow fed-
eral, state, and local law enforcement officers. In the Trump Administration, they
joined state and local law enforcement in arresting dangerous suspects in Cortez,
Colorado; responded to a request from a rural sheriff in Arizona to rescue a family
stuck in freezing temperatures; and, teamed up in an all-hands-on-deck effort to
locate a missing American Indian teenager in rural Montana. More important,
western LEOs need the assurance that the BLM LEOs with whom they work are
professionals who report through a professional chain of command.
Wild Horses and Burros. In 1971, Congress ordered the BLM to manage wild
horses and burros to ensure their iconic presence never disappeared from the
western landscape. For decades, Congress watched as these herds overwhelmed
the land’s ability to sustain them, crowded out indigenous plant and other animal
species, threatened the survival of species listed under the Endangered Species
Act, invaded private and permitted public land, disturbed private property rights,
and turned the sod into concrete. BLM experts said in 2019 that some affected land
will never recover from this unmitigated damage.
There are 95,000 wild horses and burros roaming nearly 32 million acres in the
West—triple what scientists and land management experts say the range can sup-
port. These animals face starvation and death from lack of forage and water. The
population has more than doubled in just the past 10 years and continues to grow
at a rate of 10 to 15 percent annually. This number includes the more than 47,000
animals the BLM has already gathered from public lands, at a cost to the American
taxpayer of nearly $50 million annually to care for them in off-range corrals.
This is not a new issue—it is not just a western issue—it is an American issue.
What is happening to these once-proud beasts of burden is neither compassionate
nor humane, and what these animals are doing to federal lands and fragile ecosys-
tems is unacceptable. In 2019, the American Association of Equine Practitioners
and the American Veterinary Medication Association—two of the largest organi-
zations of professional veterinarians in the world—issued a joint policy calling for
further reducing overpopulation to protect the health and well-being of wild horses
and burros on public lands. The National Wild Horse and Burro Advisory Board,
a panel of nine experts and professionals convened to advise the BLM, endorsed
the joint policy. Furthermore, animal welfare organizations such as the American
Society for the Prevention of Cruelty to Animals and the Humane Society of the
United States recognize that the prosperity of wild horses and burros on public
lands is threatened if herds continue to grow unabated.
The BLM’s multi-pronged approach in its 2020 Report to Congress46 included
expanded adoptions and sales of horses gathered from overpopulated herds;
increased gathers and increased capacity for off-range holding facilities and pas-
tures; more effective use of fertility control efforts; and improved research, in
concert with the academic and veterinary communities, to identify more effective
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
contraceptive techniques and strategies. All of that will not be enough to solve
the problem, however. Congress must enact laws permitting the BLM to dispose
humanely of these animals.
and as it neared, the Carter Administration, impatient and worried, decided to force
Congress’s hand. The Administration unilaterally withdrew 100 million acres from
any use by the state or Native Alaskans.52 Alaska promptly sued, charging that the
Administration had failed to comply with the National Environmental Policy Act.53
In a lame duck session at the end of 1980, Congress passed (over the objec-
tions of the Alaskan delegation) the Alaska National Interest Lands Conservation
Act, which revoked all of the withdrawals of the Carter Administration and sub-
stituted congressional designations that put 100 million acres permanently in
federal enclaves, doubled the acreage of national parks and refuges, and tripled the
amount of land declared to be wilderness.54 Through all of this, Alaska pressed for
the DOI to convey the lands to which Alaska was entitled by federal law, but the
department grudgingly transferred only portions of that land.
By the time Ronald Reagan took office, Alaska had received less than half the
lands to which it was entitled after its admission into the Union, and Native Alas-
kans had received only one-third of the land due to them.55 From January of 1981
through 1983, however, under Reagan, Alaska received 30 million acres and a com-
mitment of land transfers at the rate of 13 million acres annually. In the same
period, Native Alaskans received 11 million acres, which constituted nearly 60
percent of their entitlement, and an additional 15 million acres were transferred
by the end of 1988.56
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Despite the passage of nearly 40 years since the end of the Reagan Adminis-
tration, the federal government has yet to fulfill its statutory obligation to Alaska
and Alaska Natives—specifically, each group has 5 million acres of entitlement
remaining. Standing in the way are Public Land Orders (PLOs) issued by the BLM
seizing that land for the agency. Those PLOs must be lifted to permit Alaska and
Alaska Natives to select what was promised by Congress.
For example, revocation of PLO 515057 will provide the state of Alaska 1.3 million
acres of its remaining state entitlement. This revocation should be a top priority.
BLM recommended this revocation in the 2006 report to Congress based on the
Alaska Land Transfer Acceleration Act, and the Interior Secretary has authority
to revoke based on the Alaska Native Claims Settlement Act under section d(1).58
All other remaining BLM PLOs—all of which are more than 50 years old—should
be revoked immediately.
Alaska has untapped potential for increased oil production, which is important
not just to the revitalization of the nation’s energy sector but is vital to the Alaskan
economy. One-quarter of Alaska’s jobs are in the oil industry, and half of its overall
economy depends on that industry. Without oil production, the Alaskan economy
would be half its size.
A new Administration must take the following actions immediately:
l Approve the 2020 Willow EIS, the largest pending oil and gas projection in
the United States in the National Petroleum Reserve-Alaska, and expand
approval from three to five drilling pads.59
Minerals. Alaska is not just blessed with an abundance of oil, it has vast
untapped mineral potential. Therefore, the new Administration must immedi-
ately approve the Ambler Road Project60 across BLM-managed lands, pursuant
to the Secretary’s authority under the ANILCA and based on the Final Envi-
ronmental Impact Statement on the project.61 This will permit construction of
a new 211-mile roadway on the south side of the Brooks Range, west from the
Dalton Highway to the south bank of the Ambler River, and open the area only
to mining-related industrial uses, providing high-paying jobs in an area known
for unemployment.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l Revoke National Park Service and U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service rules
regarding predator control and bear baiting, which are matters for state
regulation. Such revocation is permitted under the 2017 Congressional
Review Act.62
l Recognize Alaska’s authority to manage fish and game on all federal lands
in accordance with ANILCA as during the Reagan Administration, when
each DOI agency in Alaska signed a Memorandum of Understanding with
the Alaska Department of Fish and Game ceding to the state the lead on fish
and wildlife management matters.63
requires Alaska to prove navigability at its own expense—including the
BLM’s preposterous assertion that the mighty Yukon River is non-navigable.
l Reinstate President Trump’s 2020 Alaska Roadless Rule64 for the Tongass
National Forest in Alaska, which was replaced by a Biden Roadless Rule
that continues a 2001 Clinton rule affecting 9.37 million of the forest’s 16.7
million acres.65 The Clinton rule affects an area where communities are in
small islands with no road access. It has prevented multiple infrastructure
projects, including roads, electric transmission lines, and water and sewer
projects, and it forces residents to use a heavily subsidized ferry system.
Logging has been shut down to the extent that New York harvests more
timber than does all of Alaska.
OTHER ACTIONS
The 30 by 30 Plan.66 President Biden’s Executive Order 14008 (30 by 30
plan)67 requires that the federal government, which already owns one-third of
the country: (1) remove vast amounts of private property from productive use;
and (2) end congressionally mandated uses of all federal land. The end result
will be “total federal control of an additional 440 million acres of land or oceans
in the U.S. by 2030.”68
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Although the new President should vacate that order, DOI under a conservative
President must take immediate action on the 30 by 30 plan by vacating a secre-
tarial order issued by the Biden DOI69 that eliminated the Trump Administration’s
requirement for the approval of state and local governments before federal acquisi-
tion of private property with monies from the Land and Water Conservation Fund.70
National Monument Designations. As has every Democratic President before
him beginning with Jimmy Carter, Joe Biden has abused his authority under the
Antiquities Act of 1906. Like the outrageous, unilateral withdrawals from public use
of multiple use federal land under the Carter, Clinton, and Obama Administrations,
Biden’s first national monument was one in Colorado—adopted over the objections
of scores of local groups and at least one American Indian tribe.71 In the days before
the 2024 election, Biden will likely designate more western monuments.
Although President Trump courageously ordered a review of national mon-
ument designations, the result of that review was insufficient in that only two
national monuments in one state (Utah) were adjusted.72 Monuments in Maine
and Oregon, for example, should have been adjusted downward given the finding
of Secretary Ryan Zinke’s review that they were improperly designated. The new
Administration’s review will permit a fresh look at past monument decrees and
new ones by President Biden.
Furthermore, the new Administration must vigorously defend the downward
adjustments it makes to permit a ruling on a President’s authority to reduce the
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
to prominently display and provide open access to any and all litigation settlements
into which DOI or its agencies entered, and any attorneys’ fees paid for ending
the litigation.80 Biden’s DOI, aware that the settlements into which it planned to
enter and the attorneys’ fees it was likely to pay would cause controversy, ended
this policy.81 A new Administration should reinstate it.
The Endangered Species Act. The Endangered Species Act was intended
to bring endangered and threatened species back from the brink of extinction
and, when appropriate, to restore real habitat critical to the survival of the spe-
cies. The act’s success rate, however, is dismal. Its greatest deficiency, according
to one renowned expert, is “conflict of interest.”82 Specifically, the work of the
Fish and Wildlife Service is the product of “species cartels” afflicted with group-
think, confirmation bias, and a common desire to preserve the prestige, power,
and appropriations of the agency that pays or employs them. For example, in one
highly influential sage-grouse monograph, 41 percent of the authors were federal
workers. The editor, a federal bureaucrat, had authored one-third of the paper.83
Meaningful reform of the Endangered Species Act requires that Congress
take action to restore its original purpose and end its use to seize private prop-
erty, prevent economic development, and interfere with the rights of states over
their wildlife populations. In the meantime, a new Administration should take the
following immediate action:
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l Delist the gray wolf in the lower 48 states in light of its full recovery
under the ESA.85
l Direct the Fish and Wildlife Service to end its abuse of Section 10( j) of the
ESA by re-introducing so-called “experiment species” populations into
areas that no longer qualify as habitat and lie outside the historic ranges
of those species, which brings with it the full weight of the ESA in areas
previously without federal government oversight.86
l Direct the Fish and Wildlife Service to design and implement an impartial
conservation triage program by prioritizing the allocation of limited
resources to maximize conservation returns, relative to the conservation
l Direct the Fish and Wildlife Service to make all data used in ESA decisions
available to the public, with limited or no exceptions, to fulfill the public’s
right to know and to prevent the agency’s previous opaque decision-making.
l Direct the Fish and Wildlife Service to: (1) design and implement an
Endangered Species Act program that ensures independent decision-
making by ending reliance on so-called species specialists who have
obvious self-interest, ideological bias, and land-use agendas; and (2) ensure
conformity with the Information Quality Act.88
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l Revise the Applicant Violator System, the nationwide database for the
federal and state programs, to permit federal and state regulators to
consider extenuating circumstances.
l Maintain the current “Ten-Day Notice” rule, which requires OSM to work
with state regulators in determining if a SMCRA violation has taken place in
recognition of the fact that a coal mining state with primacy has the lead in
implementing state and federal law.
Western Water Issues. The American West, from the Great Plains to the Cas-
cades Range, is arid, as recognized by John Wesley Powell during his famous trip
across a large part of its length. Pursuant to an Executive Order signed by President
Trump, and consistent with its authority along with other federal agencies, DOI’s
Bureau of Reclamation must take the following actions:
l Develop additional storage capacity across the arid west, including by:
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l Implement actions identified in the Federal Action Plan for Improving Fore-
casts of Water Availability,93 especially by adopting improvements related to:
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l Despite Indian nations having primary responsibility for their lands and
environment and responsibility for the safety of their communities, the
Biden Administration is reversing efforts to put Indian nations in charge of
environmental regulation on their own lands.
Moreover, Biden Administration policies, including those of the DOI, have dis-
proportionately impacted American Indians and Indian nations.
that trust their children to that federal agency.
The new Administration must take the following actions to fulfill the nation’s
trust responsibilities to American Indians and Indian nations:
l End the war on fossil fuels and domestically available minerals and
facilitate their development on lands owned by Indians and Indian nations.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
AUTHOR’S NOTE: The preparation of this chapter was a collective enterprise of individuals involved in the
2025 Presidential Transition Project. All contributors to this chapter are listed at the front of this volume, but some
deserve special mention. Kathleen Sgamma, Dan Kish, and Katie Tubb wrote the section on energy in its entirety. I
received thoughtful, knowledgeable, and swift assistance from Aubrey Bettencourt, Mark Cruz, Lanny Erdos, Aurelia
S. Giacometto, Casey Hammond, Jim Magagna, Chad Padgett, Jim Pond, Rob Roy Ramey II, Kyle E. Scherer, Tara
Sweeney, John Tahsuda, Rob Wallace, and Gregory Zerzan. The author alone assumes responsibility for the content
of this chapter; no views expressed herein should be attributed to any other individual.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
ENDNOTES
1. See generally William Perry Pendley, Sagebrush Rebel: Reagan’s Battle with Environmental Extremists and
Why It Matters Today (Regnery, 2013), preface, pp. xvi-xxii.
2. U.S. Const. art. IV, § 3, cl. 2. “The Congress shall have Power to dispose of and make all needful Rules and
Regulations respecting the Territory or other Property belonging to the United States.”
3. In Wyoming, the federal government owns 48 percent of the land; in Wyoming’s Teton County, the federal
government owns 97 percent of the land.
4. Pendley, Sagebrush Rebel.
5. Keith Schneider, “The 1992 Campaign; Bush on the Environment: A Record of Contradictions,” New York Times,
July 4, 1992, https://www.nytimes.com/1992/07/04/us/the-1992-campaign-bush-on-the-environment-a-
record-of-contradictions.html (accessed March 15, 2023).
6. William Perry Pendley, War on the West: Government Tyranny on America’s Great Frontier (Regnery, 1995).
7. William Perry Pendley, “Bureau of Land Management Yesterday and Today: Energy Independence,” Cowboy
State Daily, April 5, 2022, https://cowboystatedaily.com/2022/04/05/bureau-of-land-management-
yesterday-and-today-energy-independence/ (accessed March 15, 2023).
9. Ibid.
9. William Perry Pendley, “Perspective: Biden’s War on Western Energy,” The Gazette, November 6, 2022, https://
gazette.com/opinion/perspective-biden-s-war-on-western-energy/article_3823a584-5bb2-11ed-a598-
235c22e34687.html (accessed March 15, 2023).
10. Ibid.
11. Multiple-Use Sustained-Yield Act of 1960, Public Law 86–517.
12. Federal Register, Vol. 86, No. 159 (August 20, 2021), pp. 46873–46877.
13. Federal Register, Vol. 86, No. 19 (February 1, 2021), pp. 7619–7633, and White House, “Executive Order on
Protecting Public Health and the Environment and Restoring Science to Tackle the Climate Crisis,” January
20, 2021, https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2021/01/20/executive-order-
protecting-public-health-and-environment-and-restoring-science-to-tackle-climate-crisis/ (accessed
March 16, 2023).
14. National Environmental Policy Act, Public Law 91–160.
15. Antiquities Act of 1906, Public Law 59–209.
16. “You know what there’s not is a shall for? ‘I shall manage the land to stop climate change,’ or something
similar to that,” Secretary of the Interior David Bernhardt testified. “You guys come up with the shalls.” Chris
D’Angelo, “Interior Secretary Blames Congress for His Inaction on Climate Change,” High Country News,
May 9, 2019.
17. Federal Land Policy and Land Management Act of 1976, Public Law 94–579; Outer Continental Shelf Lands Act,
Public Law 95–372; and 30 U.S.C. § 21 et seq.
18. U.S. Department of the Interior, “Order No. 3398: Revocation of Secretary’s Orders Inconsistent with
Protecting Public Health and the Environment and Restoring Science to Tackle the Climate Crisis,” April
16, 2021, https://www.doi.gov/sites/doi.gov/files/elips/documents/so-3398-508_0.pdf (accessed
March 16, 2023).
19. U.S. Department of the Interior, “Order No. 3348: Concerning the Federal Coal Moratorium,” March 29, 2017,
https://www.doi.gov/sites/doi.gov/files/uploads/so_3348_coal_moratorium.pdf (accessed March 16, 2023).
20. U.S. Department of the Interior, “Order No. 3349: American Energy Independence,” March 29, 2017, https://
www.doi.gov/sites/doi.gov/files/uploads/so_3349_-american_energy_independence.pdf (accessed
March 16, 2023).
21. U.S. Department of the Interior, “Order No. 3350: America First Offshore Energy Strategy,” May 1, 2017,
https://www.doi.gov/sites/doi.gov/files/press-release/secretarial-order-3350-offshore-508.pdf (accessed
March 16, 2023).
22. U.S. Department of the Interior, “Order No. 3351: Strengthening the Department of the Interior’s Energy
Portfolio,” May 1, 2017, https://www.doi.gov/sites/doi.gov/files/press-release/secretarial-order-3351-energy-
counselor-508.pdf (accessed March 16, 2023).
23. U.S. Department of the Interior, “Order No. 3352: National Petroleum Reserve—Alaska,” May 31, 2017, https://
www.doi.gov/sites/doi.gov/files/uploads/so-3352.pdf (accessed March 16, 2023).
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
24. U.S. Department of the Interior, “Order No. 3354: Supporting and Improving the Federal Onshore Oil and Gas
Leasing Program and Federal Solid Mineral Leasing Program, July 6, 2017, https://www.doi.gov/sites/doi.gov/
files/uploads/so_-_3354_signed.pdf (accessed March 16, 2023).
25. U.S. Department of the Interior, “Order No. 3355: Streamlining National Environmental Policy Reviews and
Implementation of Executive Order 13807, “Establishing Discipline and Accountability in the Environmental
Review and Permitting Process for Infrastructure Projects,” August 31, 2017, https://www.doi.gov/sites/doi.gov/
files/elips/documents/3355_-_streamlining_national_environmental_policy_reviews_and_implementation_
of_executive_order_13807_establishing_discipline_and_accountability_in_the_environmental_review_
and_permitting_process_for.pdf (accessed March 16, 2023).
26. U.S. Department of the Interior, “Order No. 3358: Executive Committee for Expedited Permitting,” October
25, 2017, https://www.doi.gov/sites/doi.gov/files/elips/documents/so_3358_executive_committee_for_
expedited_permitting_0.pdf (accessed March 16, 2023).
27. U.S. Department of the Interior, “Order No. 3360: Rescinding Authorities Inconsistent with Secretary’s Order
3349, “American Energy Independence,” December 22, 2017, https://www.doi.gov/sites/doi.gov/files/elips/
documents/3360_-_rescinding_authorities_inconsistent_with_secretarys_order_3349_american_energy_
independence.pdf (accessed March 16, 2023).
28. U.S. Department of the Interior, “Order No. 3380: Public Notice of the Costs Associated with Developing
Department of the Interior Publications and Similar Documents,” March 10, 2020, https://www.doi.gov/sites/
doi.gov/files/elips/documents/so-3398-508_0.pdf (accessed March 16, 2023).
29. U.S. Department of the Interior, “Order No. 3385: Enforcement Priorities,” September 14, 2020, https://
www.doi.gov/sites/doi.gov/files/elips/documents/signed-so-3385-enforcement-priorities.pdf (accessed
March 16, 2023).
30. U.S. Department of the Interior, “Order 3389: Coordinating and Clarifying National Historic Preservation Act
Section 106 Reviews,” September 14, 2020, https://www.doi.gov/sites/doi.gov/files/elips/documents/signed-
so-3385-enforcement-priorities.pdf (accessed March 16, 2023).
31. Bureau of Land Management, “Updating Oil and Gas Leasing Reform: Land Use Planning and Lease Parcel
Reviews,” IM 2018–034, January 31, 2018, https://www.blm.gov/policy/im-2018-034 (accessed March 16, 2023).
32. Lease Now Act, S. 4228, 117th Cong., 2nd Sess. (2022).
33. ONSHORE Act, S. 218, 116th Cong., 2nd Sess. (2019). https://www.congress.gov/bill/116th-congress/senate-
bill/218/text (accessed March 18, 2023).
34. Federal Register, Vol. 87, No. 130 (July 8, 2022), pp. 40859–40863.
35. The Biden Administration’s 2023–2028 proposed program is fatally flawed. Katie Tubb, “Comment for the
2023–2028 National OCS Oil and Gas Leasing Proposed Program,” BOEM–2022–0031, October 6, 2022, http://
thf_media.s3.amazonaws.com/2022/Regulatory_Comments/BOEM%202023-2028%20lease%20plan%20
comment%20KTubb.pdf (accessed March 16, 2023).
36. See Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, Public Law No. 117–169, §§ 50261–50263.
37. Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, Public Law No. 115–97, § 20001, and U.S. Department of the Interior, “Order No.
3401: Comprehensive Analysis and Temporary Halt on All Activities in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge Relating
to the Coastal Plain Oil and Gas Leasing Program,” June 1, 2021, https://www.doi.gov/sites/doi.gov/files/elips/
documents/so-3401-comprehensive-analysis-and-temporary-halt-on-all-activitives-in-the-arctic-national-
wildlife-refuge-relating-to-the-coastal-plain-oil-and-gas-leasing-program.pdf (accessed March 16, 2023).
38. In 2016, Interior Secretary Sally Jewell instituted a moratorium on new coal leases while conducting a
programmatic environmental impact statement under NEPA to address concerns about competition and
inconsistency with the Obama Administration’s climate policy. In 2017, Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke lifted
the moratorium and ended development of a programmatic environmental impact statement. In April 2021,
Interior Secretary Debra Haaland rescinded Zinke’s order and initiated a new review of the coal-leasing
program. See U.S. Department of the Interior, “Order No. 3338: Discretionary Programmatic Environmental
Impact Statement to Modernize the Federal Coal Program,” January 15, 2016, https://www.doi.gov/sites/doi.
gov/files/elips/documents/archived-3338_-discretionary_programmatic_environmental_impact_statement_
to_modernize_the_federal_coal_program.pdf (accessed March 16, 2023); U.S. Department of the Interior,
“Order No. 3348”; U.S. Department of the Interior, “Order No. 3398”; and Federal Register, Vol. 86, No. 159
(August 20, 2021), pp. 46873–46877.
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39. Katie Tubb, “No More Standoffs: Protecting Federal Employees and Ending the Culture of Anti-Government
Attacks and Abuse,” testimony before the Subcommittee on National Parks, Forests, and Public Lands,
Committee on Natural Resources, U.S. House of Representatives, pp. 2–4, October 22, 2019, https://congress.
gov/116/meeting/house/110104/witnesses/HHRG-116-II10-Wstate-TubbK-20191022.pdf (accessed March 16, 2023).
40. News release, “Secretary Haaland Announces Steps to Establish Protections for Culturally Significant Chaco
Canyon Landscape,” U.S. Department of the Interior, November 15, 2021, https://www.doi.gov/pressreleases/
secretary-haaland-announces-steps-establish-protections-culturally-significant-chaco (accessed March
16, 2023); News release, “Biden–Harris Administration Proposes Protections for Thompson Divide,” U.S.
Department of the Interior, October 12, 2022, https://www.doi.gov/pressreleases/biden-harris-administration-
proposes-protections-thompson-divide (accessed March 16, 2023); News release, “Biden Administration Takes
Action to Complete Study of Boundary Waters Area Watershed,” U.S. Department of the Interior, October
20, 2021, https://www.doi.gov/pressreleases/biden-administration-takes-action-complete-study-boundary-
waters-area-watershed (accessed March 16, 2023); and News release, “Interior Department Takes Action on
Mineral Leases Improperly Renewed in the Watershed of the Boundary Waters Wilderness,” U.S. Department
of the Interior, January 26, 2022, https://www.doi.gov/pressreleases/interior-department-takes-action-
mineral-leases-improperly-renewed-watershed-boundary (accessed March 16, 2023).
41. Endangered Species Act, Public Law 91–135, § 4(b)(2), and Federal Register, Vol. 85, No. 244 (December 18,
2020), pp. 82376–82389.
42. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, “Governing the Take of Migratory Birds Under the Migratory Bird Treaty Act.”
https://www.fws.gov/regulations/mbta (accessed March 16, 2023).
43. Dino Grandoni and Anna Phillips, “Biden Restores Climate Safeguards in Key Environmental Law,
Reversing Trump,” Washington Post, April 19, 2022, https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-
environment/2022/04/19/biden-nepa-climate-trump/ (accessed March 16, 2023).
44. Donald Trump, “Executive Order on Creating Schedule F in the Accepted Service,” Executive Order 13957,
October 21, 2020, https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/presidential-actions/executive-order-creating-
schedule-f-excepted-service/ (accessed March 16, 2023).
45. Kathleen Masterson, “Nevada Wild Horse Population Skyrockets To New High,” KUNR Public Radio, July 22,
2019, https://www.kunr.org/energy-and-environment/2019-07-22/nevada-wild-horse-population-skyrockets-
to-new-high (accessed March 20, 2023).
46. U.S. Department of the Interior, Bureau of Land Management, “Report to Congress: An Analysis of Achieving
a Sustainable Horse and Burro Program,” Fact sheet, May 8, 2020, https://www.blm.gov/sites/blm.gov/files/
Final%20Fact%20Sheet%20WHB%20Report%20To%20Congress.pdf (accessed March 17, 2023).
47. Pendley, Sagebrush Rebel, pp. 45–47.
48. James D. Linxwiler, The Alaska Native Claims Settlement Act At 35: Delivering on the Promise, Rocky Mountain
Mineral Law Institute, Vol. 53, Chap. 12 (2007), § 12.03(1)(a)(iv), https://www.guessrudd.com/wp-content/
uploads/sites/1600422/2020/05/The-Alaska-Native-Claims-Settlement-Act-at-35.pdf (accessed March 16, 2023).
49. Ibid., § 12.03(1)(a)(vii). See generally Richard S. Jones, Alaska Native Claims Settlement Act of 1971 (Public
Law 92–203): History And Analysis Together With Subsequent Amendments, Report No. 81–127 GOV, June
1, 1981, http://www.alaskool.org/PROJECTS/ANCSA/reports/rsjones1981/ANCSA_History71.htm (accessed
March 16, 2023).
50. 43 U.S. Code, Ch. 33. ANCSA also created 12 Native-owned regional corporations and authorized $962 million
in “seed money.” Linxwiler, The Alaska Native Claims Settlement Act At 35, § 12.03(2)(e).
51. ANCSA provided that the withdrawal of the lands would expire in 1978 if Congress had not designated the
lands as federal enclaves. John K. Norman Cole and Steven W. Silver, Alaska’s D-2 Lands, Rocky Mountain
Mineral Law Institute, Vol. 6B, Ch. 5, September 1978, and Raymond A. Peck, Jr., And Then There Were None:
Evolving Federal Restraints on the Availability of Public Lands for Mineral Development, Rocky Mountain
Mineral Law Institute, Vol. 25, Ch. 3, 1979.
52. Andrus used purported authority under the FLPMA to withdraw 40 million acres, and Carter used purported
authority under the Antiquities Act of to withdraw 56 million acres. James D. Linxwiler, The Alaska Native
Claims Settlement Act: The First Twenty Years, Rocky Mountain Mineral Law Institute, Vol. 38 Ch. 2, 1992 at
2.04(8)(c), https://ancsa.lbblawyers.com/wp-content/uploads/ANCSA-Paper-with-Table-of-Contents-1992.pdf
(accessed March 16, 2023).
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
53. Alaska’s request for an injunction was denied. State of Alaska v. Carter, 462 F. Supp. 1155, 1156 (D. Alaska
1978) (NEPA does not apply to presidential proclamations under the Antiquities Act). Alaska’s lawsuit was
similar to one filed by Wyoming challenging use of the Antiquities Act to designate the Grand Teton National
Monument. Wyoming v. Franke, 58 F. Supp. 890 (D. Wyo. 1945). See generally Carol Hardy Vincent and
Kristina Alexander, “National Monuments and the Antiquities Act,” Congressional Research Service Report for
Congress, R41330, July 20, 2010, https://digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc813640/m2/1/high_res_d/
R41330_2011Aug22.pdf (accessed March 16, 2023). In December 1980, President Carter signed the Alaska
National Interest Lands Conservations Act; subsequently, during the Reagan Administration, Alaska dropped
its lawsuit.
54. Alaska National Interest Lands Conservation Act, Public Law 96–487 (codified as amended in scattered
sections of 16 U.S.C., 43 U.S.C., 48 U.S.C.), and Joseph J. Perkins, Jr., The Great Land Divided But Not
Conquered: The Effects of Statehood, ANCSA, and ANILCA on Alaska, Rocky Mountain Mineral Law Institute,
Vol. 34, Ch. 6, 1988, § 6.02.
55. U.S. Department of the Interior, 1983: A Year Of Enrichment: Improving The Quality Of Life For All Americans,
October 1983, p. 25, https://www.reaganlibrary.gov/public/digitallibrary/smof/publicliaison/blackwell/box-
006/40_047_7006969_006_022_2017.pdf (accessed March 16, 2023).
56. Ibid. The conveyances by the Reagan Administration to Alaska and Native Alaskans greatly exceeded the
amount of land transferred to each during the Carter Administration. See U.S. Department of the Interior,
1983: A Year Of Enrichment, pp. 86–87.
57. Federal Register, Vol. 36, No. 252 (December 31, 1971), pp. 25410–25412. “On December 28, 1971, ten days
after enactment of ANCSA, the Secretary of Interior through his Assistant Secretary issued Public Land Order
(PLO) 5150 which withdrew and reserved various federal public lands, subject to valid existing rights, as a
utility and transportation corridor for the Alaska oil pipeline. 36 Fed. Reg. 25410 (December 31, 1971). The land
order was issued ‘by virtue of the authority vested in the President and pursuant to Executive Order 10355 of
May 26, 1952 (17 Fed. Reg. 4831)….PLO 5150 established a corridor extending from the North Slope of Alaska
(Prudhoe Bay) south to Valdez on Prince William Sound.’” Wisenak, Inc. v. Andrus, 471 F. Supp. 1004, 1006 (D.
Alaska 1979).
58. Alaska Land Transfer Acceleration Act, Public Law 108–452.
59. Philip Elliott, “Biden May Be About to Sign Off on a Huge Alaska Oil Drilling Project,” Time, December 13, 2022,
https://time.com/6240733/biden-alaska-oil-drilling-willow-project/ (accessed March 16, 2023). A Biden
approval of the bare minimum three pads for ConocoPhillips disincentivized the ability of any other oil and
gas company to make the huge investment necessary to operate in NPRA.
60. Alaska Department of Natural Resources, Division of Mining, Land and Water, “Ambler Road Project,” https://
dnr.alaska.gov/mlw/ambler-road/ (accessed March 17, 2023).
61. U.S. Department of the Interior, Bureau of Land Management, Ambler Road: Environmental Impact Statement:
Vol. 1, March 2020, https://eplanning.blm.gov/public_projects/nepa/57323/20015364/250020506/Ambler_
FEIS_Volume_1-_Chp_1-3_&__Appendices_A-F_.pdf (accessed March 18, 2023).
62. 5 U.S. Code § 801(a)(1)(A).
63. U.S. Department of the Interior, “Master Memorandum of Understanding Between the Alaska Department
of Fish and Game, Juneau, Alaska and the U.S. National Park Service,” October 14, 1982; U.S. Department
of the Interior, “Master Memorandum of Understanding Between the Alaska Department of Fish and
Game, Juneau, Alaska and the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Survey,” March 13, 1982; and U.S. Department of the
Interior, “Master Memorandum of Understanding Between the Alaska Department of Fish and Game, Juneau,
Alaska and the Bureau of Land Management,” August 3, 1983, https://eplanning.blm.gov/public_projects/
lup/66967/84127/100727/Memorandum_of_Understanding_BLM_and_ADFG.pdf (accessed March 16, 2023).
64. Federal Register, Vol. 85, No. 210 (October 29, 2020), pp. 68668–68703.
65. Federal Register, Vol. 88, No. 18 (January 27, 2023), pp. 5252–5272.
66. E. Dinerstein et al., “A Global Deal For Nature: Guiding Principles, Milestones, and Targets,” Science Advances,
Vol. 5, No. 4 (April 19, 2019), https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aaw2869 (accessed March 18, 2023).
67. Joseph R. Biden, “Tackling the Climate Crisis at Home and Abroad,” Executive Order 14008, https://www.
whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2021/01/27/executive-order-on-tackling-the-climate-
crisis-at-home-and-abroad/ (accessed March 17, 2023).
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
68. Karen Budd Falen, “Biden’s ‘30 By 30 Plan’: A Slap at American Private Property Rights,” Cowboy State Daily,
April 15, 2021, https://cowboystatedaily.com/2021/04/15/bidens-30-by-30-plan-a-slap-at-american-private-
property-rights/ (accessed March 16, 2023).
69. U.S. Department of the Interior, “Order No. 3396: Rescission of Secretary’s Order 3388, ‘Land and Water
Conservation Fund Implementation by the U.S. Department of the Interior,’” February 11, 2021, https://www.
doi.gov/sites/doi.gov/files/elips/documents/so-3396-signed-2-11-21-final.pdf (accessed March 17, 2021).
70. Ibid.
71. Associated Press, “Ute Indian Tribe Criticizes Biden’s Camp Hale Monument Designation,” KUER 90.1,
October 13, 2022.
72. William Perry Pendley, “Trump Wants to Free Up Federal Lands, His Interior Secretary Fails Him,” National
Review Online, September 25, 2017, https://www.nationalreview.com/2017/09/secretary-interior-ryan-zinke-
monuments-review-trump-executive-order-antiquities-act-environmentalists/ (accessed March 16, 2023).
73. The Oregon and California Revested Lands Sustained Yield Management Act of 1937, Public Law 75-405, 43
U.S. Code § 2601.
74. Ibid., and American Forest Resource Council v. Hammond, 422 F. Supp. 3d 184, 187 (D.D.C. 2019).
75. American Forest Resource Council v. Hammond, 422 F. Supp. 3d, pp. 187–188.
76. Federal Register, Vol. 55, No. 26 (June 26, 1990), p. 26114–26194.
77. Federal Register, Vol. 65, No. 114 (June 13, 2000), pp. 37249–37252.
78. Federal Register, Vol. 82, No. 11 (January 18, 2017), pp. 6145–6150.
79. American Forest Resource Council v. Hammond, 422 F. Supp. 3d 184 (D.D.C. 2019).
80. U.S. Department of the Interior, “Final Consent Decrees/Settlement Agreements,” https://www.doi.gov/
solicitor/transparency/final (accessed March 16, 2023).
81. Michael Doyle, “Interior Order Erases Litigation Website,” E&E News, June 17, 2022, https://www.eenews.net/
articles/interior-order-erases-litigation-website/ (accessed March 16, 2023).
82. Rob Roy Ramey, On the Origin of Specious Species (Lexington Books 2012), pp. 77–97.
83. William Perry Pendley, “Killing Jobs to Save the Sage Grouse: Junk Science, Weird Science, and Plain
Nonsense,” Washington Times, May 31, 2012, https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/may/31/killing-
jobs-to-save-the-sage-grouse/ (accessed March 16, 2023).
84. Michael Lee, “Wyoming’s Push to Delist Grizzly Bears from Endangered Species List Faces Opposition from
Anti-Hunting Group,” Fox News, January 21, 2022, https://www.foxnews.com/politics/wyoming-delist-grizzly-
endangered-species-list-opposition-anti-hunting-group (accessed March 18, 2023).
85. News release, “Trump Administration Returns Management and Protection of Gray Wolves to States and
Tribes Following Successful Recovery Efforts,” October 29, 2020, https://www.doi.gov/pressreleases/trump-
administration-returns-management-and-protection-gray-wolves-states-and-tribes (accessed March 18, 2023).
86. 50 Code of Federal Regulations §17, and Sean Paige, “‘Rewilding’ Will Backfire on Colorado,” The Gazette,
June 19, 2022, https://gazette.com/opinion/guest-column-rewilding-will-backfire-on-colorado/article_
d0016672-ed79-11ec-b027-abe62ba840a1.html (accessed March 18, 2023).
87. Madeleine C. Bottrill et al., “Is Conservation Triage Just Smart Decision Making?” Trends in Ecology & Evolution,
Vol. 23, No. 12 (December 2008), pp. 649–654, https://karkgroup.org/wp-content/uploads/Bottrill-et-al-2008.
pdf (accessed March 16, 2023).
88. Rob Roy Ramey II, testimony before the Committee on Resources, U.S. House of Representatives, April 8, 2014,
https://naturalresources.house.gov/uploadedfiles/rameytestimony4_8.pdf (accessed March 16, 2023).
89. Surface Mining Control and Reclamation Act of 1977, Public Law 95–87.
90. Pennsylvania is the nation’s third-largest coal producer, and its state program was the model for SMCRA.
91. Federal Register, Vol. 85, No. 207 (October 26, 2020), pp. 67631–67635.
92. U.S. Department of the Interior, Office of Surface Mining Reclamation and Enforcement, “Approximate Original
Contour,” INE–26, June 23, 2020, https://www.osmre.gov/sites/default/files/pdfs/directive1003.pdf (accessed
March 18, 2023).
93. Tim Gallaudet and Timothy R. Petty, “Federal Action Plan for Improving Forecasts of Water Availability,”
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, October 2019, https://www.noaa.gov/sites/default/files/
legacy/document/2019/Oct/Federal%20Action%20Plan%20for%20Improving%20Forecasts%20of%20
Water%20Availability.pdf (accessed March 17, 2023).
— 543 —
Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
— 544 —
17
DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE
Gene Hamilton
T
he Department of Justice (DOJ) has a long and noble history. That history
began with the creation of the Office of the Attorney General pursuant to
the Judiciary Act of 17891 and has continued through the creation of the
department in 1870,2 the formation of the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) in
1908,3 reforms following the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, and to the pres-
ent day. Properly understood within the framework of a constitutional republic
that values ordered liberty, the Department of Justice has two primary functions:
protecting public safety and defending the rule of law.
Unfortunately, the department has lost its way in recent years and has forfeited
the trust of large segments of the American people. Large swaths of the depart-
ment have been captured by an unaccountable bureaucratic managerial class and
radical Left ideologues who have embedded themselves throughout its offices and
components. The department also suffers from institutional inattentiveness to its
core functions. Instead of being perceived as possessing the utmost impartiality
and fairness as it advances the national interest on behalf of the American people—
fighting crime and defending the rule of law—the DOJ has become a department
that 46.6 percent of Americans recently indicated is, in their view, “too political,
corrupt, and not to be trusted.”4
The weight of the publicly available evidence indicates that there are many rea-
sons for this lack of trust. For example:
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the story into the 2016 election through strategic media leaks, falsified
Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) warrant applications, and lied
to Congress.6
l The DOJ engaged in conduct to chill the free speech rights of parents across
the United States in response to supposed “threats” against school boards,8
yet it failed to engage in any concerted campaign to protect the rights
of Americans who actually were terrorized by acts of violence like those
perpetrated against pregnancy care centers.9
l The FBI tasked agents with monitoring social media and flagging content
they deemed to be “misinformation” or “disinformation” (not associated
with any plausible criminal conspiracy to deprive anyone of any rights) for
platforms to remove.10
l The department has consistently threatened that any conduct not aligning
with the liberal agenda “could” violate federal law—without actually taking
a position that the conduct in question is illegal—using the prospect of
protracted litigation and federal sanctions to chill disfavored behavior
such as with state efforts to restrict abortion14 or prevent genital mutilation
of children.15
l The department has sued multiple states regarding their efforts to enhance
election integrity.16
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l The department has failed to do its part to stop the flood of fentanyl and
other deadly drugs that are flowing across our borders and decimating
families and communities across the United States.17
It is essential that the next conservative Administration place a high priority on
reforming the DOJ and its culture to align the department with its core purposes
and advance the national interest. Critically, this must include the FBI. Anything
other than a top-to-bottom overhaul will only further erode the trust of significant
portions of the American people and harm the very fabric that holds together our
constitutional republic. At a practical level, not reforming the Department of Jus-
tice will also guarantee the failure of that conservative Administration’s agenda
in countless other ways.
Successful reform will require more than minor peripheral adjustments. It
will require a holistic, energetic, leadership-driven effort to remedy the damage
that has been done and advance the national interest. Additionally, some needed
reforms will not be possible without legislative changes from Congress. While
it is true that certain offices and components—like the FBI or the Civil Rights
Division—will require more attention than others, committed direction from the
department’s political leadership can restore the department’s focus on its two
core functions: protecting public safety and defending the rule of law.
This chapter features prominently the things the department must do to restore
its focus on these functions. Of course, there are other important reforms that do
not necessarily fit within either of those core functions, so this chapter includes
an additional section to address those areas.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
formation.”22 A department that prosecutes FACE Act cases while ignoring dozens
of violent attacks on pregnancy care centers and/or the coordinated violation of
laws that prohibit attempts to intimidate Supreme Court Justices by parading out-
side of their homes23 has clearly lost its way. A department that has twice engaged
in covert domestic election interference and propaganda operations—the Russian
collusion hoax in 2016 and the Hunter Biden laptop suppression in 2020—is a
threat to the Republic.24
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
leadership consistent with the new chain of command (discussed below).
The department should also consider issuing a public report of the findings
from this review as appropriate.
l Align the FBI’s placement within the department and the federal
government with its law enforcement and national security
purposes. DOJ veterans often opine that the FBI views itself as an
independent agency—accountable to no one and on par with the Attorney
General in terms of stature—but the fact remains that “[t]he Federal
Bureau of Investigation is located in the Department of Justice.”31 It is
not independent from the department ( just as Immigration and Customs
Enforcement is not independent from the Department of Homeland
Security) and does not deserve to be treated as if it were.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Such a structure would allow the FBI to play an important role in advising
the department’s leadership on emerging threats and updating notable
investigations through daily briefings conducted with the Criminal Division
and National Security Division leadership, but it would also place the FBI
under a politically accountable leader with fewer things to manage than the
Deputy Attorney General or the Attorney General have. All notifications and
approvals that currently run to the Deputy Attorney General or the Attorney
General should be evaluated and redirected in the first instance, where
appropriate, to the relevant Assistant Attorney General.
Such a move would better align the FBI with the mission of the divisions
with which it most often interacts and emphasize the need for the areas on
which it should focus. In general, however, under no circumstances should
the FBI ever be able to go around the Attorney General or the department’s
leadership on any matter within its area of responsibility.
The United States government and, by extension, the FBI have absolutely
no business policing speech, whether in the public square, in print, or
online. The First Amendment prohibits it. The United States is the world’s
last best hope for self-government,33 and its survival relies on the ability
of our people to have healthy debate free from government intervention
and censorship. The government, through its officials, is certainly able to
speak and provide information to the public. That is a healthy component
of an informed society. But government must never manipulate the scales
and censor information that is potentially harmful to it or its political
leadership. This is the way of totalitarian dictatorships, not of free
constitutional republics.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
The DOJ needs a hard firewall between its legitimate activities (monitoring
online activity for potential threats in its mission space, looking at social
media profiles for evidence of intent or other criminal activity, etc.) and
those in which it must not engage (asking or demanding public forums or
publishers to remove material based on the content and/or viewpoints
expressed or itself censoring speech).
Office of Congressional Affairs separate and apart from the DOJ Office of
Legislative Affairs, nor does it need its own Office of Public Affairs.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
anti–law enforcement advocates for so-called criminal justice reform. The pleas-
ant-sounding terminology of reform masks the darker reality of this movement,
which is one that has supported dismantling effective federal, state, and local
law enforcement and stripped away some of the most fundamental tools that law
enforcement has long had at its disposal. This campaign is not just ill-advised; it
has clearly had real-world consequences in the form of catastrophic increases in
crime—particularly violent crime—nationwide. As discussed in the next section,
the Department of Justice has a special obligation to restore law and order in
such districts.37
Juxtaposed against this increase in violent crime are things like Attorney Gen-
eral Merrick Garland’s October 4, 2021, memorandum directing the commitment
of significant resources and energies to combating imaginary, politically conve-
nient threats of violence toward members of school boards and their staffs during
the heat of the Virginia gubernatorial race.38 There was no similar effort to inves-
tigate elected officials and other public officers who conspired with outside allies
to target and harass parents who were merely exercising their constitutional and
statutory rights.39 If we are to continue to have informed and civil dialogue in the
United States on issues of public concern, the DOJ must enforce applicable civil
rights laws in an even-handed way when citizens’ livelihoods are threatened merely
because they have exercised their rights.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l Where warranted and proper under federal law, initiate legal action
against local officials—including District Attorneys—who deny
American citizens the “equal protection of the laws” by refusing to
prosecute criminal offenses in their jurisdictions. This holds true
particularly for jurisdictions that refuse to enforce the law against criminals
based on the Left’s favored defining characteristics of the would-be offender
(race, so-called gender identity, sexual orientation, etc.) or other political
considerations (e.g., immigration status).
There are valid reasons for sentence reductions in particular cases (for
example, if the defendant has provided substantial assistance in prosecuting
other offenders). At the same time, the DOJ must ensure that its line
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
attorneys are consistently using the tools at their disposal in cases with
violent offenders, including pursuing mandatory minimum sentences under
the Armed Career Criminal Act (ACCA).43 The department should also
support legislative efforts to provide further tools, such as the Restoring the
Armed Career Criminal Act, which Senators Tom Cotton (R–AR), Marsha
Blackburn (R–TN), and Cindy Hyde-Smith (R–MS) introduced in 2021 in
response to U.S. Supreme Court decisions neutering the ACCA.44
Criminal organizations are as old as crime itself, but are more extensive,
sophisticated, and dangerous today than at any other point in history. The
Department of Justice has a key role in tackling transnational criminal orga-
nizations like Mara Salvatrucha (MS-13) and Mexican drug cartels as well as
purely domestic criminal organizations like those built on the more traditional
mafia crime model as part of its obligation to ensure the safety and security of
the American people.
The department’s primary directive under the next Administration should be
to return to an unapologetic focus on dismantling these criminal organizations
and incarcerating their membership. Once this reprioritization occurs, the depart-
ment’s political leadership should take concrete steps to use agency reach and
resources to prevent these criminal organizations from operating and surviving.
Assaulting the business model of these criminal organizations—which are massive,
diversified enterprises with nationwide or international operations—is essential
for success. The next Administration will therefore need to:
l Revitalize the DOJ’s use of the array of statutory tools that exist for
dealing with the threat of criminal organizations. The most potent
ones are the simplest. For example, the department should:
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l Secure the border,48 which is the key entry point for many criminal
organizations and their supplies, products, and employees. Mexico—
which is arguably functioning as a failed state run by drug cartels—is
the main point of transit for illegal drugs produced in Central and South
America, fentanyl precursors from the Chinese Communist Party–led
People’s Republic of China,49 weapons, human smuggling and trafficking,
and other contraband. Mexican drug cartels, including the dominant
Sinaloa Cartel and the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG), are the main
drivers of fentanyl production and distribution in the United States. The
southwestern land border is sufficiently porous that Mexican drug cartels
have operational control of large sections of the border, which facilitates
easy movement of product and personnel. These cartels are also violent and
not afraid to demonstrate force on both sides of the border. Their conduct
represents a clear and present danger to the United States and its citizens.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
There can be no serious dispute that the Biden Administration has opened
the southwest border to whomever wants to enter and that some of those
entrants are smuggling fentanyl into the country. More than 100,000
Americans died in a one-year period from opioid overdoses, and many of
them died specifically from having used fentanyl.50 The federal government
should treat this problem as aggressively as necessary. Enforcing the
customs and immigration laws is a matter of life and death.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
commitment and willpower, but they will be essential to restoring the trust of the
American people.
Promptly and Properly Eliminating Lawless Policies, Investigations, and
Cases, Including All Existing Consent Decrees. Few things undermine the
DOJ’s credibility more than brazenly partisan and ideologically driven prosecution
of an Administration’s perceived political enemies, yet the department has readily
indulged in such misadventures during the Biden Administration. Before even
entering the Robert F. Kennedy building on January 20, 2025, the next Adminis-
tration should:
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
An egregious example of the need for such a review is provided by the depart-
ment’s use of the Freedom of Access to Clinic Entrances (FACE) Act55 to harass
pro-life demonstrators while not pursuing similar investigations of shocking acts
of violence committed against pro-life pregnancy resource centers. On the morning
of September 23, 2022, pro-life activist Mark Houck was arrested by more than
15 FBI agents at his home in Pennsylvania in front of his wife and small children.
Agents came to his door with guns drawn to arrest the 48-year-old father of seven
whose alleged crime involved a minor altercation with an activist who was harass-
ing one of his children in front of an abortion clinic almost one year before Mr.
Houck’s arrest by the FBI.56 Similarly, Paul Vaughn, a 55-year-old father of 11, was
arrested at his home in Mt. Juliet, Tennessee, by armed FBI agents for allegedly
participating in a peaceful protest at an abortion clinic one year earlier.57
These arrests stand in stark contrast to the department’s virtual silence on the
wave of vandalism and violence directed at religiously affiliated institutions, includ-
ing pregnancy resource centers, following the Supreme Court’s decision in Dobbs
v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization.58 The Catholic News Agency reported
more than one hundred such incidents as of September 2022.59
By engaging in disparate and viewpoint-based enforcement of an already con-
troversial law like the FACE Act against pro-life activists, the DOJ has needlessly
undermined its credibility with law-abiding people of faith. The department should
make every effort to uphold equal protection of the law and avoid politically moti-
l Ensure that its review extends beyond ending the absurd double
standards embodied in the ongoing campaign of FACE Act
prosecutions and instead be a thorough and holistic review of all DOJ
activities, including all consent degrees and settlement agreements
currently in force.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
tion, but those calls must always be consistent with the President’s policy agenda
and the rule of law. A line attorney should never either directly or indirectly pursue
a policy agenda through litigation that is inconsistent with the agenda of his or her
client agency or the President. The department should also be cognizant of any
attempts to slow litigation and outlast the Administration to avoid finality. The
next conservative Administration should therefore:
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
A recent Supreme Court case illustrates the problems that arise when the DOJ
takes a cramped interpretation of the First Amendment in service of a political
ideology. In 303 Creative LLC v. Elenis, the department argued in favor of the
government’s ability to coerce and compel what the lower courts all found to be
pure speech.64 The oral argument made clear the department’s view that it was
the viewpoint expressed that gave the government power to censor and compel
speech. During oral argument, the United States took the remarkable position
that government can compel a Christian website designer to imagine, create, and
publish a custom website celebrating same-sex marriage but cannot compel an
LGBT person to design a similar website celebrating opposite-sex marriage.65 In
the government’s view, declining to create the latter website was based on an objec-
tion to the message, while the former was based on status rather than message,
but this argument inevitably turns on the viewpoint expressed. It means that the
government gets to decide which viewpoints are protected and which are not—a
frightening and blatantly unconstitutional proposition.
Just as troubling, the government’s arguments against free speech are not lim-
ited to the facts of 303 Creative. As Colorado admitted to the lower courts, all sorts
of artists and speakers like speechwriters, photographers, and videographers can be
compelled to design custom messages that violate their most fundamental convic-
tions as long as it serves a certain viewpoint that the government wants to promote.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
In fact, it was only a few years ago, in Masterpiece Cakeshop, that the govern-
ment acknowledged the constitutional problems involved in compelling artists
to speak government-favored messages. In that case, the United States acknowl-
edged “a basic First Amendment principle that ‘freedom of speech prohibits the
government from telling people what they must say.’”66 The department had it
right when it argued that the government may not “compel the dissemination of
its own preferred message,” because the First Amendment protects the “individual
freedom of mind.”67 It was also correct when it argued that “[a]n artist cannot be
forced to paint, a musician cannot be forced to play, and a poet cannot be forced
to write.”68 The United States’ directly contrary position in 303 Creative is hard
to explain based on anything other than its support for the message the State of
Colorado was attempting to compel.
It is black letter law that no official “can prescribe what shall be orthodox…or
force citizens to confess by word or act their faith therein.”69 Rather, the First
Amendment places “the decision as to what views shall be voiced largely into the
hands of each of us, in the hope that use of such freedom will ultimately produce a
more capable citizenry and more perfect polity.”70 As the Supreme Court has noted,
government officials have frequently sought to “coerce uniformity of sentiment
in support of some end thought essential to their time and country.”71 In the face
of such attempts to coerce orthodoxy, the DOJ should maintain its commitment
to upholding the Constitution’s neutral principles of free speech, which commit
the government “to preserve an uninhibited marketplace of ideas in which truth
will ultimately prevail.”72
Pursuing Equal Protection for All Americans by Vigorously Enforcing
Applicable Federal Civil Rights Laws in Government, Education, and the
Private Sector. Entities across the private and public sectors in the United States
have been besieged in recent years by an unholy alliance of special interests, rad-
icals in government, and the far Left. This unholy alliance speaks in platitudes
about advancing the interests of certain segments of American society, but that
advancement comes at the expense of other Americans and in nearly all cases vio-
lates long-standing federal law.
Even though numerous federal laws prohibit discrimination based on notable
immutable characteristics such as race and sex,73 the Biden Administration—
through the DOJ’s Civil Rights Division and other federal entities—has enshrined
affirmative discrimination in all aspects of its operations under the guise of “equity.”
Federal agencies and their components have established so-called diversity, equity,
and inclusion (DEI) offices that have become the vehicles for this unlawful discrim-
ination, and all departments and agencies have created “equity” plans to carry out
these invidious schemes.74 To reverse this trend, the next conservative Adminis-
tration should:
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l Reorganize and refocus the DOJ’s Civil Rights Division to serve as the
vanguard for this return to lawfulness. The Attorney General and other
DOJ political leadership should provide the resources and moral support
needed for these efforts. The Civil Rights Division should spend its first year
under the next Administration using the full force of federal prosecutorial
resources to investigate and prosecute all state and local governments,
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Voter fraud includes unlawful practices concerning voter registration and ballot
correction. When state legislatures are silent as to procedures for absentee ballot
curing or provide specific rules governing that curing, neither counties nor courts
may create a cure right where one does not exist, may not modify the law on curing,
and certainly cannot engage in creating consent orders with the force of law that
are inconsistent with the orders of other similarly situated counties.
The DOJ has ceded substantial discretion concerning voter suppression to
the Civil Rights Division. Since the Bush Administration, DOJ leadership has
determined that using the Election Crimes Branch to prosecute fraudulent voter
registration, including mail-in ballot fraud, was too politically costly.78 The Crim-
inal Division’s Federal Prosecution of Election Offenses handbook advised that
schemes that violated equal protection constituted “voter suppression” prosecut-
able under 18 U.S. Code § 241 as part of the guidelines for which the department’s
criminal prosecutors were trained.79 State-based investigations of election crimes
are supposed to be referred to the Public Integrity Section for review. Historically,
18 U.S. Code § 241 (conspiracy against rights) was used as a basis for investigating
state officials whose statements or orders violated the equal protection rights of
voters or deliberately misinformed voters concerning the eligibility of their ballots.
Nevertheless, the Department of Justice has formalized the Civil Rights Divi-
sion’s (as opposed to the Criminal Division’s) jurisdiction over 18 U.S. Code § 241
investigations and prosecutions. The Criminal Division is no longer involved in
consultation or review of 18 U.S. Code § 241 investigations.80 The Criminal Division
has accordingly advised states that “[i]n the case of a crime of violence or intimida-
tion,” they should “call 911 immediately and before contacting federal authorities”
because “[s]tate and local police have primary jurisdiction over polling places,”81
despite clearly applicable federal law.
This is a mistake. With respect to the 2020 presidential election, there were no
DOJ investigations of the appropriateness or lawfulness of state election guidance.
Consider the state of Pennsylvania. The Secretary of State sent guidance to the
counties stating that:
HAVA, however, mandates provisional ballots only for eligible voters who were
not on a state’s voter registration list.83 It does not apply to those who registered
for mail-in voting but whose ballots were rejected due to some form of spoliation.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
[The elector] shall not be eligible to vote at a polling place on election day
unless the elector brings the elector’s mail-in ballot to the elector’s polling
place, remits the ballot and the envelope containing the declaration of the
elector to the judge of elections to be spoiled and signs a statement subject
to the penalties under 18 Pa.C.S. § 4904 (relating to unsworn falsification to
authorities) to the same effect.84
The law in Pennsylvania clearly states that no county may affirmatively provide
provisional ballots: The mail-in voter must vote in person and sign a new affidavit.
In the 2020 election, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court recognized that “the Election
Code contains no requirement that voters whose ballots are deemed inadequately
verified be apprised of this fact. Thus, unlike in-person voters, mail-in or absentee
voters are not provided any opportunity to cure perceived defects in a timely man-
ner.”85 Given the Pennsylvania Secretary of State’s use of guidance to circumvent
state law, the Pennsylvania Secretary of State should have been (and still should be)
investigated and prosecuted for potential violations of 18 U.S. Code § 241.
Investigations and prosecutions under 18 U.S. Code § 241 are currently within
the jurisdictional oversight of the Civil Rights Division, not the Criminal Division.86
Only by moving authority for 18 U.S. Code § 241 investigations and prosecutions
back to the Criminal Division will the rule of law be appropriately enforced.
Rejecting Third-Party Requests for Politically Motivated Investigations
or Prosecutions. The DOJ should reject demands from third-party groups that
ask it to threaten politically motivated investigation or prosecution of those engag-
ing in lawful and, in many cases, constitutionally protected activity. By acceding to
such demands, the department risks diminishing its credibility with the American
public. This risk is exacerbated by the fact that communications between govern-
ment officials and third-party groups are generally unprotected by privilege and
subject to disclosure, whether via subpoena to the third-party group or via request
made pursuant to the Freedom of Information Act. These communications can
even be made public voluntarily by the third-party group.
A recent example illustrates the risks posed by such activity. On October 4, 2021,
Attorney General Merrick Garland issued a memorandum to the Director of the
FBI, the Executive Office for U.S. Attorneys, and the Assistant Attorney General,
Criminal Division, calling on the FBI to work with each U.S. Attorney to “con-
vene meetings with federal, state, local, Tribal, and territorial leaders” to discuss
strategies for addressing “threats against school administrators, board members,
teachers, and staff.”87 Subsequent reporting and investigation revealed that the
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
memorandum was prompted by a September 29, 2021, letter sent by the National
School Boards Association (NSBA) to President Biden demanding a federal law
enforcement response to perceived threats to school board members and pub-
lic-school employees.
The NSBA letter made outlandish demands in response to protests that were
then occurring at school board meetings in response to COVID policies and revela-
tions about the use of critical race theory–infused curricula in classrooms. Among
the letter’s demands was a call for a federal investigation into parents’ actions (“hei-
nous actions” that “could be the equivalent to a form of domestic terrorism and
hate crimes”) under a variety of federal laws including the “Gun-Free Zones Act,
the PATRIOT Act in regards to domestic terrorism, the Matthew Shepard and
James Byrd Jr. Hate Crimes and Prevention Act, the Violent Interference with
Federally Protected Rights statute, and the Conspiracy Against Rights statute”
and “an Executive Order to enforce all applicable federal laws for the protection
of students and public school district personnel, and any related measure.”88
Both the Attorney General’s memorandum and the NSBA letter drew swift
public condemnation, including from 14 sitting state Attorneys General.89 A sub-
sequent internal investigation commissioned by the NSBA revealed that officials
at the White House had been in discussions with NSBA officials about the contents
of the letter weeks before it was issued. The investigation also revealed that White
House officials indicated they planned to raise the contents of the draft letter with
DOJ officials a full week before the NSBA’s letter was issued.90
This cooperation by a third-party group, the White House, and the DOJ to craft
and coordinate a response to an ill-advised and politically motivated letter under-
mines the department’s credibility as an impartial law enforcement agency. In the
words of the 14 state Attorneys General who wrote to oppose the department’s
memorandum, “potential collusion between the White House, the Department,
and the NSBA in the actual creation of the September 29 letter—as a pretext for
threats against parents—raises serious concerns.”91
The DOJ should carefully scrutinize all requests for law enforcement assis-
tance and reject requests by third parties to engage in political grandstanding that
ignores the department’s traditional jurisdictional limits and that would trample
politically controversial but constitutionally protected activity.
Ensuring Proper Distribution of DOJ Grant Funds. DOJ grants are an
underutilized asset in most conservative Administrations. When used properly,
they can be highly effective in implementing the President’s priorities. The Office
of Justice Programs (OJP) is comprised of six components and is responsible for
most DOJ grants to local law enforcement, juvenile justice, and victims of crime
as well as for criminal justice research and statistics. The opportunity to support
a President’s agenda may be greater through OJP grant funding than it is through
any of the federal government’s other grant-making components.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
tion suffered a series of setbacks from several hostile courts, it obtained from the
Second Circuit Court of Appeals a decision upholding the department’s authority
to impose these conditions.92
To ensure that taxpayer-funded grants are prioritized and distributed properly,
the next conservative Administration should:
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offenses. The brunt of these offenses is born by districts along the
southwestern border with Mexico, but the simple fact remains that
immigration and immigration-related offenses are present in every
district across the country. Successfully pursuing the priorities outlined
in this chapter will require creative use of the various immigration and
immigration-related authorities in close partnership with the Department
of Homeland Security, the Department of State, and other appropriate
federal entities depending on the situation.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
correct erroneous decisions, provide clarity, and align Executive Office for
Immigration Review (EOIR) decisions with the law.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
It is not enough for political appointees to serve in obvious offices like the
Office of the Attorney General or the Office of the Deputy Attorney General.
The next conservative Administration must make every effort to obtain the
resources to support a vast expansion of the number of appointees in every
office and component across the department—especially in the Civil Rights
Division, the FBI, and the EOIR.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
information officers in which there are some political appointees who lead the
office and provide support, but also career appointees who serve as public infor-
mation officers for individual divisions (Criminal Division, National Security
Division, etc.). The career officials handle the day-to-day work of the division,
which entails monitoring important cases, assisting in editing, and distribut-
ing press releases, and the political appointees will step in for larger issues that
advance the Administration’s initiatives. This could be made more efficient by
having political appointees for each division under the supervision of the Direc-
tor of Public Affairs.
Additionally, given the interplay of function between the Office of Legislative
Affairs (OLA) and the Office of Public Affairs, as well as the fact that the Assistant
Attorney General for the OLA is a Senate-confirmed position, the two offices should
be folded into one for more efficiency and proper coordination. Under an Office
of Public and Legislative Affairs, the Assistant Attorney General’s portfolio would
encompass both, with one Director/Deputy for Public Affairs and one Director/
Deputy for Legislative Affairs.
Pursuing Other Changes in Reporting Chains to Ensure Consistency with
the Law and Administration Priorities. The next conservative Administration
should undertake a comprehensive review of the DOJ’s current organizational
chart and make decisions about its structure—consistent with any authority to do
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l Is the current reporting structure for the Associate Attorney General’s Office
the best and optimal for the achievement of the department’s mission?
l What should the Office of Legal Policy’s role be in the next conservative
Administration? Should it continue to be responsible for assisting with
judicial nominations, or should that function be assigned to the Office of
Legislative Affairs, which interacts with Congress on a daily basis?
employed by Main Justice who are compensated under the GS scale. Ensuring that
the department can attract and retain top legal talent outside of the D.C. market is
essential and will help to emphasize the importance of the field’s work in achieving
the department’s various missions.
Protecting the Integrity of the Bureau of Justice Statistics and the National
Institute of Justice. The DOJ’s statistical and research arms should serve the Amer-
ican people and not special interests. The Director of the Bureau of Justice Statistics
should focus the BJS on producing the statistics of greatest interest to everyday
Americans, and hence of policymakers, rather than those of particular interest to crim-
inal-justice academics. The Director should insist that such statistics be as accurate
as possible and presented as clearly as possible. The intellectually engaged, everyday
American citizen should be able to read and understand the BJS’s published statistics
and reports rather than having to trust “experts” because the statistics are not clear.
The BJS should focus on the core statistics involving crime and punishment,
such as those relating to serious crimes committed, imprisonment, time served,
recidivism, and the like. It should not pursue the niche political agendas of aca-
demics or advocates. Moreover, a clear line should be maintained between official
government statistics and third-party contractor reports. There should be no
reports that look like official BJS reports but are authored by private entities such
as the Urban Institute as happened under the Obama Administration.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
AUTHOR’S NOTE: The preparation of this chapter involved contributions from members of the 2025
Presidential Transition Project. Most contributors to this chapter are listed at the front of this volume—and in
the perfect cancel-proof world, all contributors of ideas would be listed—but the staff at America First Legal
Foundation deserves special mention for their assistance while juggling other responsibilities. The author alone
assumes responsibility for the content of this chapter, and no views expressed herein should be attributed to any
other individual.
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ENDNOTES
1. Judiciary Act of 1789, ch. 20, sec. 35, 1 Stat. 73 (1789), https://judicial-discipline-reform.org/docs/Judiciary_
Act_1789.pdf (accessed February 3, 2023).
2. An Act to Establish the Department of Justice, Public Law No. 41-97, 16 Stat. 162 (1870), https://www.justice.
gov/sites/default/files/jmd/legacy/2013/10/23/act-pl41-97.pdf (accessed February 3, 2023).
3. John F. Fox, Jr., “The Birth of the Federal Bureau of Investigation,” U.S. Department of Justice, Federal Bureau
of Investigation, “History,” July 2003, https://bit.ly/3G4LmD0 (accessed February 3, 2023).
4. Trafalgar Group, “Nationwide Issues Survey August 2022,” pp. 19, 22, and 25, https://www.thetrafalgargroup.
org/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/COSA-FBI_DOJ-Opinion-Full-Report-0824.pdf (accessed
February 3, 2023).
5. John Solomon, “FBI Email Chain May Provide Most Damning Evidence of FISA Abuses Yet,” The Hill, December
5, 2018, https://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/419901-fbi-email-chain-may-provide-most-damning-evidence-of-fisa-
abuses-yet/ (accessed February 3, 2023); Post Editorial Board, “The FBI Knew RussiaGate Was a Lie—But Hid
That Truth,” New York Post, June 11, 2022, https://nypost.com/2022/06/11/the-fbi-knew-russiagate-was-a-lie-
but-hid-that-truth/ (accessed February 3, 2023).
6. John Solomon, “Collusion Bombshell: DNC Lawyers Met with FBI on Russia Allegations Before Surveillance
Warrant,” The Hill, October 3, 2018, https://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/409817-russia-collusion-bombshell-dnc-
lawyers-met-with-fbi-on-dossier-before/ (accessed February 3, 2023); Eric Tucker, “Ex-FBI Lawyer Admits to
False Statement During Russia Probe,” AP News, August 19, 2020, https://apnews.com/article/election-2020-
b9b3c7ef398d00d5dfee9170d66cefec (accessed February 3, 2023).
7. Jesse O’Neill, “FBI Pressured Twitter, Sent Trove of Docs Hours Before Post Broke Hunter Laptop Story,” New
York Post, December 19, 2022, https://nypost.com/2022/12/19/fbi-reached-out-to-twitter-before-post-broke-
hunter-biden-laptop-story/ (accessed February 3, 2023).
8. Memorandum from Attorney General Merrick Garland to Director, Federal Bureau of Investigation; Director
of the Executive Office for U.S. Attorneys; Assistant Attorney General, Criminal Division; and United States
Attorneys, “Subject: Partnership Among Federal, State, Local, Tribal, and Territorial Law Enforcement to
Address Threats Against School Administrators, Board Members, Teachers, and Staff,” October 4, 2021, https://
www.justice.gov/ag/page/file/1438986/download (accessed February 3, 2023) (cited hereafter as Garland
Memorandum, October 4, 2021).
9. Dillon Burroughs, “25 States Have Now Left National School Boards Association as Nebraska Departs,” Daily
Wire, June 13, 2022, https://www.dailywire.com/news/25-states-have-now-left-national-school-boards-
association-as-nebraska-departs (accessed February 3, 2023).
10. Brianna Herlily, “FBI Met Weekly with Big Tech Ahead of the 2020 Election, Agent Testifies,” Fox News,
December 3, 2022, https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fbi-weekly-big-tech-ahead-2020-election-agent-
testifies (accessed February 3, 2023); Allie Griffin, “Latest ‘Twitter Files’ Show FBI Bullied Executives Over Not
Reporting ‘State Propaganda’ Enough, New York Post, December 18, 2022, https://nypost.com/2022/12/18/
latest-twitter-files-show-fbi-questioned-executives-over-users-spouting-state-propaganda/ (accessed
February 3, 2023).
11. Michael Shellenberger (@ShellenbergerMD), “In the end, the FBI's influence campaign aimed at executives
at news media, Twitter, & other social media companies worked: they censored & discredited the Hunter
Biden laptop story. By Dec. 2020, Baker and his colleagues even sent a note of thanks to the FBI for its work,”
Twitter, December 19, 2022, 1:35 PM), https://twitter.com/ShellenbergerMD/status/1604908212628598784
(accessed February 3, 2023).
12. Press release, “Eleven Charged with FACE Act Violations Stemming from 2021 Blockade of Mount Juliet
Reproductive Health Clinic,” U.S. Department of Justice, United States Attorney’s Office, Middle District of
Tennessee, October 5, 2022, https://www.justice.gov/usao-mdtn/pr/eleven-charged-face-act-violations-
stemming-2021-blockade-mount-juliet-reproductive (accessed February 3, 2023); Kaelan Deese, “DOJ
Official Touts Prosecution of Anti-Abortion Advocates While Vandalized Pregnancy Centers Await Justice,”
Washington Examiner, December 14, 2022, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/justice/doj-official-
admits-to-prosecuting-pro-life-advocates (accessed February 3, 2023); S. 636, Freedom of Access to Clinic
Entrances Act of 1994, Public Law No. 103-259, 103rd Congress, May 26, 1994, https://www.congress.gov/103/
statute/STATUTE-108/STATUTE-108-Pg694.pdf (accessed February 5, 2023).
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
13. Aruna Viswanatha and Sadie Gurman, “Almost Half of Federal Cases Against Portland Rioters Have Been
Dismissed,” The Wall Street Journal, updated April 15, 2021), https://www.wsj.com/articles/almost-half-
of-federal-cases-against-portland-rioters-have-been-dismissed-11618501979 (accessed February 3, 2023);
Just the News Staff, “Antifa-led Portland Rioter Charged with Assault Police [sic] Has Case Dismissed After
Community Service,” Just the News, updated December 30, 2021, https://justthenews.com/government/
courts-law/antifa-led-portland-rioter-charge-assault-police-has-case-dismissed-after (accessed
February 3, 2023).
14. Press release, “Justice Department Sues Texas Over Senate Bill 8: Complaint Alleges Senate Bill 8 Violates the
Constitution by Effectively Banning Most Abortions,” U.S. Department of Justice, September 9, 2021, https://
www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-sues-texas-over-senate-bill-8 (accessed February 3, 2023).
15. Dorian Geiger, “DOJ Warns States Over Blocking Access to Gender-Affirming Treatment,” Axios, March
31, 2022, https://www.axios.com/2022/03/31/doj-warns-states-blocking-gender-affirming-care (accessed
February 3, 2023).
16. Joyce White Vance, “The Justice Department Is Suing Georgia. Don’t Expect Garland to End There,” The
Washington Post, June 29, 2021, https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2021/06/29/merrick-garland-
suing-georgia-voting/ (accessed February 3, 2023); David Nakamura and Devlin Barrett, “Justice Dept.
Sues Texas Over State Redistricting Maps, Citing Discrimination Against Latinos,” The Washington Post,
December 6, 2021, https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/texas-maps-garland-latinos-
justice/2021/12/06/4011ce78-56aa-11ec-9a18-a506cf3aa31d_story.html (accessed February 3, 2023); Holmes
Lybrand and Paul LeBlanc, “Justice Department Sues Arizona Over New Election Law Requiring Proof of
Citizenship,” CNN, updated July 5, 2022, https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/05/politics/arizona-election-law-
justice-department/index.html (accessed February 3, 2023).
17. Zachary Pottle, “America’s Fentanyl Crisis Is Getting Worse,” Addiction Center, August 26, 2022, https://www.
addictioncenter.com/news/2022/08/americas-fentanyl-crisis/ (accessed February 3, 2023).
18. Emily Jacobs, “Merrick Garland Speaks at DOJ Before Swearing-in by VP Kamala Harris,” New York Post,
updated March 11, 2021, https://nypost.com/2021/03/11/merrick-garland-speaks-at-doj-before-swearing-in-
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22. Editorial Board, “About Those Domestic-Terrorist Parents,” The Wall Street Journal, October 26, 2021, https://www.
wsj.com/articles/about-those-domestic-terrorists-national-school-boards-association-merrick-garland-memo-
fbi-11635285900 (accessed February 3, 2023); John Malcom, “Are Parents Being Tagged as ‘Domestic Terrorists’
by the FBI? Justice Department Needs to Show Its Cards,” Heritage Foundation Commentary, November 18, 2021,
https://www.heritage.org/crime-and-justice/commentary/are-parents-being-tagged-domestic-terrorists-the-
fbi-justice (accessed February 3, 2023); Victor Nava, “FBI Treated Twitter as a ‘Subsidiary,’ Flagged Tweets and
Accounts for ‘Misinformation,’” New York Post, updated December 16, 2022, https://nypost.com/2022/12/16/fbi-
treated-twitter-as-subsidiary-flagged-tweets-for-misinformation/ (accessed February 3, 2023).
23. Mary Margaret Olohan, “DOJ’s Kristen Clarke: A Pro-Abortion Activist Enforcing the Law Against Pro-Lifers,”
The Daily Signal, October 26, 2022, https://www.dailysignal.com/2022/10/26/dojs-kristen-clarke-pro-
abortion-activist-enforcing-law-pro-lifers/ ; Josh Gerstein, “DOJ Official Pressed on Targeting of Supreme
Court Justices,” Politico, July 28, 2022, https://www.politico.com/news/2022/07/28/doj-official-pressed-on-
targeting-of-supreme-court-justices-00048506 (accessed February 3, 2023).
24. Solomon, “FBI Email Chain May Provide Most Damning Evidence of FISA Abuses Yet”; Post Editorial Board,
“The FBI Knew RussiaGate Was a Lie—But Hid That Truth”; O’Neill, “FBI Pressured Twitter, Sent Trove of Docs
Hours Before Post Broke Hunter Laptop Story.”
25. U.S. Department of Justice, Federal Bureau of Investigation, “History: The Nation Calls, 1908–1923,” https://
www.fbi.gov/history/brief-history/the-nation-calls (accessed February 3, 2023).
26. Press release, “FBI and Law Enforcement Partners Arrest Nearly 6,000 Violent Criminals This Summer,” U.S.
Department of Justice, Federal Bureau of Investigation, September 13, 2022, https://www.fbi.gov/news/
press-releases/press-releases/fbi-and-law-enforcement-partners-arrest-nearly-6000-violent-criminals-this-
summer (accessed February 3, 2023).
27. See, for example, Joseph Goldstein, “As Seen in ‘Goodfellas’: Arrest Is Made in ’78 Lufthansa Robbery,” The
New York Times, January 23, 2014, https://www.nytimes.com/2014/01/24/nyregion/arrests-in-cold-case-
investigation-including-78-lufthansa-heist.html (accessed February 3, 2023).
28. Danielle Wallace, “FBI Nationwide Operation Locates 121 Actively Missing Kids, Child Sex Trafficking Victims,”
Fox News, August 15, 2022, https://www.foxnews.com/us/fbi-nationwide-operation-locates-actively-missing-
kids-child-sex-trafficking-victims (accessed February 3, 2023).
29. Adam Shaw, “FBI Stepped in After Suspected Chinese Spy Got Close to Swalwell, Other Politicians, Report
Finds,” Fox News, December 8, 2020, https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fbi-chinese-spy-swalwell-other-
politicians (accessed February 3, 2023).
30. The precise scope and contours of this review warrant special consideration. A review of all ongoing drug
trafficking investigations or specific violent crime investigations may not warrant the department’s attention
in the same way as high-profile, politically sensitive investigations likely will. Nevertheless, the goal should be
as comprehensive a review as possible.
31. 28 U.S. Code § 531, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/28/531 (accessed February 3, 2023).
Emphasis added.
32. The same could be said to apply to the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms and potentially to the U.S.
Marshals Service, although the USMS’s mission protecting the federal courts could present compelling reasons
why the department should maintain it as a direct report to the Deputy Attorney General.
33. See, for example, Alexander Hamilton, The Federalist Papers No. 1, October 27, 1787, https://founders.archives.
gov/documents/Hamilton/01-04-02-0152 (accessed February 3, 2023).
34. An argument could also be made that the upper echelons of the FBI’s leadership should physically relocate
back to the Robert F. Kennedy building to ensure proper accountability and to emphasize organizational
reality: The FBI is a component of the department, not its equal, as outlined above.
35. U.S. Department of Justice, Office of the Inspector General, Audit of the Roles and Responsibilities of the
Federal Bureau of Investigation’s Office of the General Counsel in National Security Matters, Report No. 22-116,
September 2022, https://oig.justice.gov/sites/default/files/reports/22-116.pdf (accessed February 3, 2023).
36. S. 2212, Crime Control Act of 1976, Public Law No. 94-503, October 15, 1976, § 203, 90 Stat. 2427 (codified as
amended at 28 U.S. Code § 532), https://www.congress.gov/94/statute/STATUTE-90/STATUTE-90-Pg2407.
pdf (accessed February 3, 2023).
37. See “Enhancing Federal Focus and Resources in Jurisdictions with Rule-of-Law Deficiencies,” infra.
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38. Garland Memorandum, October 4, 2021; press release, “America First Legal Seeks Two Federal Investigations
on Attorney General Merrick Garland’s Infamous Oct. 4th Memo Siccing the FBI on Concerned Parents,”
America First Legal Foundation, March 14, 2022, https://aflegal.org/america-first-legal-seeks-two-federal-
investigations-on-attorney-general-merrick-garlands-infamous-oct-4th-memo-siccing-the-fbi-on-concerned-
parents/ (accessed February 3, 2023).
39. Luke Rosiak, “In Aftermath of Enemies List, School Committee Pledges to ‘Silence the Opposition,’” Daily Wire,
March 27, 2021, https://www.dailywire.com/news/after-enemies-list-school-body-pledges-to-silence-the-
opposition (accessed February 3, 2023).
40. The language of the Equal Protection Clause “reflects that ‘achieving equal protection against lawbreakers
was at the core of the Clause’s objectives.’” Lefebure v. D’Aquilla, 15 F.4th 650, 669 (5th Cir. 2021) (Graves, J.
dissenting) (quoting Lawrence Rosenthal, “Policing and Equal Protection,” Yale Law & Policy Review, Vol.
21, No. 53 (2003), p. 70) cert. denied, 212 L. Ed. 2d 791, 142 S. Ct. 2732 (2022)), https://casetext.com/case/
lefebure-v-daquilla-2 (accessed February 3, 2023).
41. See, for example, Portland Mayor Ted Wheeler’s actions in 2020 calling on federal officials—executing their
mission to protect federal property and officials—to leave the city, saying, “They’re not wanted here” despite
the fact that local reports found that “[o]ut of more than a thousand arrests reported by the Portland Police
Bureau and other local law enforcement since late May 2020, only about 8.4% of the cases are still open”
and that the “rest have been dismissed or listed as no complaint, which means authorities are not currently
pursuing charges.” BBC News, “Portland Protests: Mayor Demands Federal Officers Leave City,” July 20, 2020,
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-53466718 (accessed February 3, 2023), and Hannah Lambert,
“91% of Portland Protest Arrests Not Being Prosecuted,” Portland Tribune, January 5, 2021, https://archive.ph/
OSDbz (accessed February 3,2023).
42. Figure 4, “Trend in Average Guideline Minimum and Average Sentence Imposed for Armed Career Criminals
Fiscal Years 2010–2019,” in U.S. Sentencing Commission, Federal Armed Career Criminals: Prevalence, Patterns,
and Pathways, March 2021, p. 26, https://www.ussc.gov/sites/default/files/pdf/research-and-publications/
research-publications/2021/20210303_ACCA-Report.pdf (accessed February 3, 2023).
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54. U.S. Department of Justice, “About DOJ: Our Mission,” https://www.justice.gov/about (accessed February 4, 2023).
55. 18 U.S. Code § 248, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/18/248 (accessed February 4, 2023).
56. Danielle Wallace and Jake Gibson, “Pro-life Activist Mark Houck Pleads Not Guilty to Federal Charges After FBI
Arrest,” Fox News, September 27, 2022, https://www.foxnews.com/us/pro-life-activist-mark-houck-pleads-
not-guilty-federal-charges-fbi-arrest (accessed February 4, 2023).
57. Patty Knap, “Paul Vaughn, Pro-life Father of 11 Arrested by FBI Speaks Out,” National Catholic Register,
October 18, 2022, https://www.ncregister.com/news/paul-vaughn-pro-life-father-of-11-arrested-by-fbi-speaks-
out (accessed February 4, 2023).
58. 597 U.S. ___ (2022), https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/597/19-1392/case.pdf (accessed
February 4, 2023).
59. Jonah McKeown, “TRACKER: Pro-Abortion Attacks in the U.S. Continue (Updated),” Catholic News Agency,
last updated September 22, 2022, https://www.catholicnewsagency.com/news/251553/map-vandalism-
attacks-continue-at-pro-life-centers-across-us (accessed February 4, 2023).
60. 28 U.S. Code § 516, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/28/516 (accessed February 4, 2023).
61. 28 U.S. Code § 519, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/28/519 (accessed February 4, 2023).
62. 295 U.S. 602 (1935), https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/295/602/ (accessed February 6, 2023).
63. 591 U.S. ___ (2020), https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/19pdf/19-7_new_0pm1.pdf (accessed
February 6, 2023).
64. See Brief for the United States, 303 Creative v. Aubrey Elenis, No. 21-476, August 2022, https://www.
supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/21/21-476/234119/20220819182151542_21-476%20303%20Creative%20LLC%20
v.%20Elenis%20FINAL.pdf (accessed February 4, 2023).
65. Oral Argument Transcript, 303 Creative v. Aubrey Elenis, No. 21-476, December 5, 2022, https://
www.supremecourt.gov/oral_arguments/argument_transcripts/2022/21-476_8n59.pdf (accessed
February 4, 2023).
66. Brief for the United States, Masterpiece Cakeshop Ltd. v. Colorado Civil Rights Commission, No. 16-111,
September 2017, p. 9, https://www.scotusblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/16-111-tsac-USA.pdf
(accessed February 4, 2023) (quoting Agency for International Development v. Alliance for Open Society
International, Inc., 133 S. Ct. 2321, 2327 (2013), quoting in turn Rumsfeld v. Forum for Academic & Institutional
Rights, Inc., 547 U.S. 47, 61 (2006)).
67. Ibid., p. 10.
68. Ibid., pp. 10–11.
69. West Virginia State Board of Education v. Barnette, 319 U.S. 624, 642 (1943), https://tile.loc.gov/storage-
services/service/ll/usrep/usrep319/usrep319624/usrep319624.pdf (accessed February 4, 2023).
70. Cohen v. California, 403 U.S. 15, 24 (1971), https://constitutionallawreporter.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/
Cohen-v_-California.pdf (accessed February 4, 2023).
71. West Virginia State Board of Education v. Barnette, 319 U.S. 640.
72. McCullen v. Coakley, 573 U.S. 464, 476 (2014), https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/573/12-1168/
case.pdf (accessed February 4, 2023) (quoting FCC v. League of Women Voters of California, 468 U. S. 364,
377 (1984)).
73. See, for example, 42 U.S. Code § 2000d, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/42/2000d (accessed February
4, 2023); 42 U.S. Code § 2000e, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/42/2000e (accessed February 4,
2023); 20 U.S. Code § 1681, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/20/1681 (accessed February 4, 2023)
74. See “Advancing Equity and Racial Justice Through the Federal Government,” The White House, https://www.
whitehouse.gov/equity/ (accessed February 4, 2023).
75. 18 U.S. Code § 1461, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/18/1461 (accessed February 6, 2023). See also 18
U.S. Code § 1462, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/18/1462 (accessed February 6, 2023).
76. 18 U.S. Code § 241, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/18/241 (accessed February 6, 2023).
77. A similar argument could be advanced for the department’s other criminal law enforcement responsibilities
such as those within the Environmental and Natural Resources Division.
78. See, for example, Paul Kiel, “Controversial USA Delivered ‘Voter Fraud’ Indictments Right on Time,” TPM
Muckraker, May 1, 2007, https://web.archive.org/web/20070503021505/http://www.tpmmuckraker.com/
archives/003107.php (accessed February 4, 2023).
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
79. See Craig C. Donsanto and Nancy L. Simmons, Federal Prosecution of Election Offenses, 7th Edition,
U.S. Department of Justice, May 2007 (revised August 2007), pp. 61–63, https://www.justice.gov/sites/
default/files/criminal/legacy/2013/09/30/electbook-rvs0807.pdf#page=79 (accessed February 4, 2023).
See also Richard C. Pilger, ed., Federal Prosecution of Election Offenses, 8th Edition, U.S. Department of
Justice, December 2017, pp. 56–58, https://www.justice.gov/criminal/file/1029066/download (accessed
February 4, 2023).
80. See U.S. Department of Justice, “Capital Eligible Statutes Assigned by Section,” https://www.justice.
gov/archives/jm/criminal-resource-manual-71-capital-eligible-statutes-assigned-section (accessed
February 5, 2023).
81. See U.S. Department of Justice, “Contact List: District Election Officers,” October 31, 2022, p. 1, https://www.
justice.gov/criminal/file/1329606/download (accessed February 4, 2023).
82. Pennsylvania Department of State, “Pennsylvania Provisional Voting Guidelines,” October 21, 2020, Version 1.1,
p. 2, https://www.dos.pa.gov/VotingElections/OtherServicesEvents/Documents/PADOS_ProvisionalBallots_
guidance_1.0.pdf#page=2 (accessed February 4, 2023).
83. 52 U.S. Code § 21082, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/52/21082 (accessed February 4, 2023).
84. Pennsylvania General Assembly, SB 422, Pennsylvania Election Code—Omnibus Amendments, Act of
March 27, 2020, P.L. 41, No. 12, Section 1302-D, https://www.legis.state.pa.us/cfdocs/Legis/LI/uconsCheck.
cfm?txtType=HTM&yr=2020&sessInd=0&smthLwInd=0&act=12 (accessed February 4, 2023).
85. In re November 3, 2020 General Election, 240 A.3d 591 (Pa. 2020), https://www.leagle.com/decision/
inpaco20201026a01 (accessed February 4, 2023).
86. U.S. Department of Justice, “Enforcement of Civil Rights Criminal Statutes,” https://www.justice.gov/jm/jm-
8-3000-enforcement-civil-rights-criminal-statutes (accessed February 4, 2023); U.S. Department of Justice,
“Capital Eligible Statutes Assigned by Section,” updated January 17, 2020, https://www.justice.gov/archives/jm/
criminal-resource-manual-71-capital-eligible-statutes-assigned-section (accessed February 4, 2023).
87. Garland Memorandum, October 4, 2021.
88. See Viola M. Garcia, President, NSBA, and Chip Slavin, Interim Executive Director and CEO, to President
Joseph R. Biden, “Re: Federal Assistance to Stop Threats and Acts of Violence Against Public Schoolchildren,
Public School Board Members, and Other Public School District Officials and Educators,” September 29, 2021,
https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/21098209/nsba-letter-to-president-biden-concerning-threats-to-
public-schools-and-school-board-members-929211.pdf (accessed February 4, 2023). Emphasis in original.
89. See letter from Todd Rokita, Indiana Attorney General; Steve Marshall, Alabama Attorney General; Treg R.
Taylor, Alaska Attorney General; Mark Brnovich, Arizona Attorney General; Leslie Rutledge, Arkansas Attorney
General; Christopher M. Carr, Georgia Attorney General; Derek Schmidt, Kansas Attorney General; Daniel
Cameron, Kentucky Attorney General; Eric S. Schmitt, Missouri Attorney General; Austin Knudsen, Montana
Attorney General; John M. O’Connor, Oklahoma Attorney General; Alan Wilson, South Carolina Attorney
General; Jason R. Ravnsborg, South Dakota Attorney General; and Ken Paxton, Texas Attorney General to
President Joseph R. Biden, Jr., and Attorney General Merrick B. Garland, Attorney General, “Re: NSBA’s Fraud
on the American People,” October 26, 2021, https://www.texasattorneygeneral.gov/sites/default/files/global/
images/DOJ%20Letter%20based%20on%20NSBA%20Apology%20Letter%20%2010.26.21%20final.pdf
(accessed February 4, 2023). Cited hereafter as Rokita et al. Letter, October 26, 2021.
90. Philip G. Kiko, Final Report on the Events Surrounding the National School Boards Association’s
September 29, 2021, Letter to the President, n.d., https://www.nsba.org/-/media/Files/NSBA-Report.
pdf?la=en&hash=A001354D23C9AE88B54D398270C9790D91B01FF9 (accessed February 4, 2023); news release,
“NSBA Announces Completion of Independent Review; Takes Action Based on Findings,” National School Boards
Association, May 20, 2022, https://www.nsba.org/News/2022/independent-review#:~:text=In%20February%20
2022%2C%20the%20National%20School%20Boards%20Association,and%20assistance%20with%20events%20
at%20school%20board%20meetings. (accessed February 4, 2023).
91. Rokita et al. Letter, October 26, 2021.
92. State of New York, State of Connecticut, State of New Jersey, State of Washington, Commonwealth
of Massachusetts, Commonwealth of Virginia, State of Rhode Island, City of New York v. United States
Department of Justice, 964 F.3d 150 (2d Cir. 2020), https://casetext.com/case/new-york-v-us-dept-of-justice-1
(accessed February 4, 2023).
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93. H.R. 5005, Homeland Security Act of 2002, Public Law No. 107-296, 107th Congress, November 25, 2002, 116
Stat. 2135, https://www.congress.gov/107/plaws/publ296/PLAW-107publ296.pdf (accessed February 3, 2023).
94. See, for example, 8 U.S. Code §§ 1103(a)(1) and 1103(g), https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/8/1103
(accessed February 3, 2023).
95. See, for example, 8 U.S. Code §§ 1324–1326, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/8/chapter-12/
subchapter-II/part-VIII (accessed February 3, 2023).
96. Press release, “Justice, Labor Departments Reach Settlements with Facebook Resolving Claims of
Discrimination Against U.S. Workers and Potential Regulatory Recruitment Violations,” U.S. Department
of Justice, October 19, 2021, https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-labor-departments-reach-settlements-
facebook-resolving-claims-discrimination-against (accessed February 3, 2023).
97. “Every four years, just after the Presidential election, the ‘United States Government Policy and Supporting
Positions,’ commonly known as the Plum Book, is published, alternately, by the Senate Committee on
Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs and the House Committee on Oversight and Government
Reform.” Senate Committee Print No. 114-26, United States Government Policy and Supporting Positions,
Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs, U.S. Senate, 114th Cong., 2nd Sess., December
1, 2016, p. iii, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/GPO-PLUMBOOK-2016/pdf/GPO-PLUMBOOK-2016.pdf
(accessed February 5, 2023).
98. Allen J. Beck, “Race and Ethnicity of Violent Crime Offenders and Arrestees, 2018,” U.S. Department of Justice,
Office of Justice Programs, Bureau of Justice Statistics, Statistical Brief No. NCJ 255969, January 2021, https://
bjs.ojp.gov/content/pub/pdf/revcoa18.pdf (accessed February 3, 2023).
— 579 —
18
DEPARTMENT OF LABOR
AND RELATED AGENCIES
Jonathan Berry
MISSION STATEMENT
At the heart of The Conservative Promise is the resolve to reclaim the role of
each American worker as the protagonist in his or her own life and to restore the
family as the centerpiece of American life. The role that labor policy plays in that
promise is twofold: Give workers the support they need for rewarding, well-paying,
and self-driven careers, and restore the family-supporting job as the centerpiece of
the American economy. The Judeo-Christian tradition, stretching back to Genesis,
has always recognized fruitful work as integral to human dignity, as service to God,
neighbor, and family. And Americans have long been known for their work ethic.
While it is primarily the culture’s responsibility to affirm the dignity of work, our
federal labor and employment agencies have an important role to play by protect-
ing workers, setting boundaries for the healthy functioning of labor markets, and
ultimately encouraging wages and conditions for jobs that can support a family.
OVERVIEW
The labor agencies covered in this chapter include the Department of Labor
(DOL), the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC), the National
Labor Relations Board (NLRB), the National Mediation Board (NMB), the Federal
Mediation and Conciliation Service (FMCS), and the Pension Benefit Guaranty
Corporation (PBGC). Congress has provided these agencies with the authority to
enforce a wide range of federal statutes regulating workplace conduct, workforce
development, employee benefits, labor organization and bargaining, and interna-
tional labor conditions.
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In the sweep of American history, these authorities are relatively new. They largely
come from Congress’s attempts in the middle of the 20th century to resolve major
political questions brought about by labor conflict, the civil rights movement, and the
emergence of the modern workplace. The 21st century has brought about new chal-
lenges, ranging from collapsing manufacturing sector employment and a decrease in
family-supporting jobs, to the massive expansion of an increasingly radical human-re-
sources bureaucracy. In many cases, these challenges are as significant as the 20th
century labor crises and workplace changes that the agencies were developed to manage.
But the agencies have failed to respond to these challenges. Despite significant
progress by the Trump Administration, a massive administrative state now hangs
over productive industry and labor organization, acting as a damper on social and
economic life. And under the Biden Administration, that administrative state has
imposed the most assertive left-wing social-engineering agenda in the agencies’
history and ratcheted up regulatory costs on small businesses and other productive
industry. The agencies’ authorities have been abused by the Left to favor human
resources bureaucracies, climate-change activists, and union bosses—all against
the interest of American workers.
NEEDED REFORMS
Reverse the DEI Revolution in Labor Policy. Under the Obama and Biden
Administrations, labor policy was yet another target of the Diversity, Equity, and
Inclusion (DEI) revolution. Under this managerialist left-wing race and gender ideol-
ogy, every aspect of labor policy became a vehicle with which to advance race, sex, and
other classifications and discriminate against conservative and religious viewpoints
on these subjects and others, including pro-life views. The next Administration
should eliminate every one of these wrongful and burdensome ideological projects.
Eliminate Racial Classifications and Critical Race Theory Trainings. The
Biden Administration has pushed “racial equity” in every area of our national life,
including in employment, and has condoned the use of racial classifications and
racial preferences under the guise of DEI and critical race theory, which categorizes
individuals as oppressors and victims based on race. Nondiscrimination and equal-
ity are the law; DEI is not. Title VII flatly prohibits discrimination in employment
on the basis of race, color, and national origin. The President should:
l Direct DOJ and EEOC to enforce Title VII. The President should
direct the Department of Justice and Equal Employment Opportunity
Commission to enforce Title VII to prohibit racial classifications and quotas,
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l Amend Title VII. The next Administration should work with Congress
to amend Title VII to prohibit the Equal Employment Opportunity
Commission from collecting EEO-1 data and any other racial classifications
in employment for both private and public workplaces.
motive or intent is irrelevant; the outcome is what matters. But all
workplaces have disparities.
Congress should:
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Court explicitly limited its holding to the hiring/firing context in Title VII and
did not purport to address other Title VII issues, such as bathrooms, locker rooms,
and dress codes, or other laws prohibiting sex discrimination. Notably, the Court
focused on the status of the employees and used the term “transgender status”
rather than the broader and amorphous term “gender identity.”
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PRO-LIFE MEASURES
l Promote pro-life workplace accommodations for mothers. Federal
law should protect life and promote pro-family policies. Current law, the
Pregnancy Discrimination Act,3 provides nondiscrimination protections
in the workplace for pregnancy, childbirth, or related medical conditions.
The Pregnant Workers Fairness Act (PWFA)4 requires employers to make
reasonable accommodations for women “to the known limitations related
to the pregnancy, childbirth, or related medical conditions,” unless “the
accommodation would impose an undue hardship on the operation of
the [employer’s] business.” The Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA)
also provides nondiscrimination and accommodation protections in the
workplace for certain pregnancy-related disability.5 None of these laws
requires an employer provide health insurance benefits for elective abortion.
l Pass a law requiring equal (or greater) benefits for pro-life support
for mothers and clarifying abortion exclusions. Congress should pass a
law requiring that to the extent an employer provides employee benefits for
abortion, it must provide equal or greater benefits for pregnancy, childbirth,
maternity, and adoption. That law should also clarify that no employer is
required to provide any accommodations or benefits for abortion.
RELIGION
l Provide robust protections for religious employers. America’s religious
diversity means that workplaces include people of many faiths and that
many employers are faith-based. Nevertheless, the Biden Administration
has been hostile to people of faith, especially those with traditional beliefs
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Unless the Supreme Court overrules its bad precedent, Congress should
clarify that undue hardship means “significant difficulty or expenses,” not
“more than a de minimis cost” as the Court has previously held.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Refocusing Labor Regulation on the Good of the Family. The DEI revo-
lution in labor affected not only the administrative state, but it has also targeted
much of the private sector. Owing to the combination of regulatory pressure and
eager human resources offices in the private sector, much of American labor and
employment policy has become institutionally oriented toward “woke” goals.
Retracting regulations that support this revolution is a good first step, but more
is needed. We must replace “woke” nonsense with a healthy vision of the role of
labor policy in our society, starting with the American family.
l Congress should enact the Working Families Flexibility Act. The
Working Families Flexibility Act would allow employees in the private
sector the ability to choose between receiving time-and-a-half pay or
accumulating time-and-a-half paid time off (a choice that many public
sector workers already have). For example, if an individual worked two
hours of overtime every week for a year, he or she could accumulate four
weeks of paid time off to use for paid family leave, vacation, or any reason.
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Family Statistics. Every month, DOL’s Bureau of Labor Statistics surveys tens
of thousands of households to generate detailed estimates of labor market condi-
tions and price levels. And every quarter, the Department of Commerce’s Bureau
of Economic Analysis estimates the change in the entire economy’s output to the
fraction of a percentage point. Yet data on the state of the American family and its
economic welfare are released at best annually, and generally a year or more after
the fact. Metrics like marriage and fertility rates, the share of children living with
both biological parents, the cost of a standard basket of middle-class essentials,
and the share of families whose highest-income worker earns more than twice the
poverty threshold should be measured and reported monthly and in real-time and
incorporated in releases for other labor statistics.
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Alternative View. While metrics on the state of American families and civil soci-
ety are important and useful, monthly statistics would be of little additional value
and could end up causing unnecessary confusion and concern. Funding should be
oriented towards improving the timeliness of annual family statistics.
Sabbath Rest. God ordained the Sabbath as a day of rest, and until very recently
the Judeo-Christian tradition sought to honor that mandate by moral and legal
regulation of work on that day. Moreover, a shared day off makes it possible for
families and communities to enjoy time off together, rather than as atomized
individuals, and provides a healthier cadence of life for everyone. Unfortunately,
that communal day of rest has eroded under the pressures of consumerism and
secularism, especially for low-income workers.
Alternative View. While some conservatives believe that the government should
encourage certain religious observance by making it more expensive for employers
and consumers to not partake in those observances, other conservatives believe
that the government’s role is to protect the free exercise of religion by eliminating
barriers as opposed to erecting them. Whereas imposing overtime rules on the Sab-
bath would lead to higher costs and limited access to goods and services and reduce
work available on the Sabbath (while also incentivizing some people—through
higher wages—to desire to work on the Sabbath), the proper role of government
in helping to enable individuals to practice their religion is to reduce barriers to
work options and to fruitful employer and employee relations. The result: ample
job options that do not require work on the Sabbath so that individuals in roles
that sometimes do require Sabbath work are empowered to negotiate directly with
their employer to achieve their desired schedule.
Teleworking. COVID made telework ubiquitous, but the law and regulations
are still stuck in an era when telework was unique.
l Congress should clarify that overtime for telework applies only if the
employee exceeds 10 hours of work in a specific day (and the total
hours for the week exceed 40).
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
qualify as an independent contractor or employee under the FLSA and NLRA. The
Biden Administration is replacing those rules with vague and expansive definitions
that would add uncertainty, increase costs, and reduce options for Americans who
want to work independently.
l NLRB and DOL should return to their 2019 and 2021 independent
contractor rules that provided much-needed clarity for workers
and employers.
nesses across America engage in mutually beneficial affiliation arrangements with
other businesses. These arrangements include janitorial services, staffing firms,
construction contractors and subcontractors, technology support services, and
many other vendor and contracting services. They also include the nearly 775,000
independently owned franchise businesses, which employ 8.2 million workers
across the United States. The franchise structure offers a proven business model for
individuals who want to own and operate their own small business. An Obama-era
regulation changed the definition of a joint employer to make corporate franchi-
sors jointly liable for employees of individual franchisee owners, even without the
franchisor exercising any direct control over those employees. The Biden Admin-
istration is advancing an even more expansive definition of a joint employer that
would upend the franchise business model, taking away ownership and income
opportunities from small-business entrepreneurs, costing jobs, and raising prices.
l Congress should enact the Save Local Business Act, which would
codify the long-standing definition that has existed outside the
Obama-era and Biden-proposed rules.
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Overtime Pay Threshold. Overtime pay is one of the most challenging aspects
of the Fair Labor Standards Act rules. “Nonexempt workers” (e.g., workers whose
job duties fall within the law’s power or whose total pay is low enough) must be
paid overtime (150 percent of the “regular rate”) for every hour over 40 in a work-
week. Overtime requirements may discourage employers from offering certain
fringe benefits such as reimbursement for education, childcare, or even free meals
because the benefits’ value may be included in the “regular rate” that must be
paid at 150 percent for all overtime hours. And because some of these fringe ben-
efits may be more valuable (and often come with tax preferences that benefit the
worker), the goal should be to set a threshold to ensure lower-income workers have
the protections of overtime pay without discouraging employers from offering
these benefits.
l Congress should clarify that the “regular rate” for overtime pay is
based on the salary paid rather than all benefits provided. This would
enable employers to offer additional benefits to employees without fear that
those benefits would dramatically increase overtime pay.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
rely on the vagueness of the law to bring enforcement activity against businesses
that fail to meet an inspector or agency head’s personal standard. This is not fair
to regulated parties and results in disfavored companies bearing the brunt of the
agencies’ enforcement efforts even though their behavior may be within the main-
stream of employer behavior.
Clear and Restrictive Rules on Guidance Documents. Federal agencies not only
issue regulations to fill in gaps left by legislation, but also supplement those reg-
ulations with “guidance” documents that occupy a unique and often confusing
area between law and “helpful advice.” Unfortunately, wielded by overzealous
enforcement agents, such guidance, some of it even hidden from public view,
morphs into binding law used against unsuspecting employers. Guidance can be
a tricky thing and can be used for good or bad. It should be used to make compli-
cated regulations easier to understand, so that businesses can do their actual jobs
and focus on providing jobs to American workers and value to consumers (really,
compliance assistance). But guidance is often used to create new rules overnight
without following legal requirements—like giving the public an opportunity to
provide valuable input. This wrongful use of guidance hurts workers and those
who employ them. In October 2019, President Trump signed an executive order
ending this abusive practice and created a new, fairer system for American busi-
nesses and their employees. In response, DOL published its PRO Good Guidance
rule,10 which expressly limits its use of guidance in enforcement actions and gives
the public the opportunity to submit comments to influence the department’s deci-
sions on creating, revising, and even rescinding guidance. Under this rule, agencies
cannot treat guidance as legally binding and must make all guidance documents
readily accessible on their searchable online databases. This rule was immediately
rescinded by the Biden Administration.
l DOL should reinstitute the PRO Good Guidance rule via notice
and comment.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Hazard-Order Regulations. Some young adults show an interest in inherently
dangerous jobs. Current rules forbid many young people, even if their family is
running the business, from working in such jobs. This results in worker shortages
in dangerous fields and often discourages otherwise interested young workers from
trying the more dangerous job. With parental consent and proper training, certain
young adults should be allowed to learn and work in more dangerous occupations.
This would give a green light to training programs and build skills in teenagers who
may want to work in these fields.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Federal “BA Box.” The American labor market continues to experience a glut
of college degrees. The country produces more college graduates than suitable jobs
for them to fill. Meanwhile, employers exacerbate the problem, fueling demand
for college by needlessly requiring degrees for many jobs. In 2020, the Trump
Administration took an important step toward pro-worker, skills-based hiring
practices. Executive Order 13932, Modernizing and Reforming the Assessment and
Hiring of Federal Job Candidates,13 directed the Office of Personnel Management
to reduce degree-based practices in the federal civil service. Maryland’s Governor
Larry Hogan issued an executive order in 2022 to adopt this rule for Maryland state
employees, and Utah’s Governor Spencer Cox in December of 2022 announced
that Utah would do the same. Today, federal civil service job descriptions must
“be based on the specific skills and competencies required to perform those jobs,”
and may prescribe a “minimum educational requirement” only if it is otherwise
legally required. The same policies do not extend beyond the civil service. Federal
agencies continue to require college degrees for contract employees, and federal
contractors are rarely able to place workers without four-year degrees on federal
projects, regardless of their qualifications. Private employers consistently impose
a BA requirement on jobs even when existing workers in the role do not have one.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Alternative View. While the federal government has a duty to promote economy
and efficiency in federal hiring and contracting, and thus should base decisions on
skills as opposed to degrees, it is not the federal government’s role to determine
whether private employers may or may not include degree requirements in job
descriptions and in their hiring decisions. The inappropriate reverence given to
degree requirements is a byproduct of the federal government’s heavy subsidi-
zation of BA degrees. Phasing down federal subsidies would be a better way to
eliminate barriers to jobs for individuals without BA degrees.
Federal Workforce Development Programs. Existing federally funded work-
force development and training programs should be reassessed to ensure they are
outcome-based and truly deliver value to taxpayers and job seekers.
As of 2019, the federal government spent approximately $17 billion annually on
43 federal employment and training programs administered across nine federal
agencies, many of which overlap with at least one other program. Many of these
programs track only inputs or individuals served, not outcomes or outputs, and do
not swiftly identify bad-actor grantees. The federal government should identify
underperforming programs and eliminate or redirect that funding to programs
with strong outcome-based metrics.
Innovation and Opportunity Act (WIOA),14 Congress should evaluate and
streamline the existing workforce development programs to ensure there
is no overlap or fragmentation between programs. Congress should also
ensure strong evidence-based outcomes for each program and tie federal
funding for those programs to the outcomes achieved.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
2. Creates an “Employee Involvement Organization” (EIO) to facilitate
voluntary cooperation on critical issues like working conditions,
benefits, and productivity.
Alternative View. While some conservatives lament that workers lack sufficient
voice in today’s workplace, others interpret the rise in independent and flexible
work opportunities, significant expansion in family-friendly policies like paid
family leave, and the decline in private sector unionization as indicators of workers’
increasing competency and control. Another way to help expand workers’ freedom
and voices in traditional workplaces is by allowing them to choose who represents
them in negotiations with their employer. The Worker’s Choice Act19 would accom-
plish this by ending exclusive representation so that unions in right-to-work states
are no longer forced to represent workers who do not want to join them.
Union Transparency. Private-sector unions must file detailed financial infor-
mation with DOL—on matters including union spending, income, loans, assets,
membership information, and employee salary—but unions composed entirely
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
of state or local employees are exempt from this filing requirement. These dis-
closure requirements help workers and the public understand how union leaders
are raising and spending union dues; they also can serve as a vital source of infor-
mation that helps workers decide if the unions they are asked to join are good
stewards of the funds they collect. DOL, under both George W. Bush and Donald
Trump, tried rulemakings (known as the Intermediate Bodies Rule) that would
require some government unions to file the same information that is required of
private-sector unions.
Under President Trump, OLMS required unions to disclose involvement in
trusts that they either own a majority stake in or control. In the past, union trust
spending has been hidden, and it appears that trust assets have occasionally
been corruptly spent for the benefit of private interests in union leadership—
such as $30,000 spent on a private party, $37,500 spent on a Montblanc pen,
condominiums for those in power, golf outings, and a Ferrari.20 But the Biden
DOL eliminated a transparency rule requiring the filing of the T-1 Trust
Annual Report.
More generally, OLMS, which is charged with enforcing the law of union dis-
closure, has historically been underfunded when compared to other DOL agencies.
This relative lack of funding has made ensuring disclosure more difficult.
should pass into law, either through rulemaking or through legislation. The
T-1 Trust Annual Report annual filing requirement should be restored.
l Increase funding levels. Congress should expand the funding of the Office
of Labor-Management Standards.
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The NLRB has issued extreme interpretations of these activities, such as deter-
mining that a business’s requiring its employees to be courteous to customers and
one another is an unlawful infringement on the free speech rights implicit in the
protected concerted activity protections in the NLRA.
and 91 percent of the time in 2021.
l Increase the use of 10( j) injunctive relief. The NLRB should increase
its use of 10( j) and should articulate guidelines for situations in which it
intends to seek injunctive relief; the board should delegate authority to
pursue such injunctions to the general counsel and the general counsel
should establish a policy of considering them expeditiously in all retaliation
cases identified by regional offices.
Dues-Funded Worker Centers. Under current law, both labor unions and
unionized employers must file financial disclosures with DOL on an annual basis
to ward off potential fraud and corruption of the sort that has been seen recently
within the United Automobile, Aerospace and Agricultural Implement Workers of
America (UAW). However, worker centers, which have grown in number and influ-
ence enormously over the past decade, are not required to file these disclosures.
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l DOL should rescind the persuader rule once again should the Biden
Administration revive it.
Unionizing the Workplace: Card Check vs. Secret Ballot. Under the
NLRA, instead of having a secret ballot election about the decision to unionize
a workplace, a union may instead collect signed pro-union cards from a majority
of the employees it wishes to represent and then ask the employer and National
Labor Relations Board for voluntary union recognition. That request gives the
employer the option to hold a secret-ballot election or to recognize the union with-
out any such election. This “card check” procedure is likely to induce employees
to provide their signed cards in ways that do not accurately reflect their true pref-
erences—ranging from a desire not to offend the signature requestor to a wish to
avoid intimidation and coercion to signing based on false information provided
by union organizers. In short, the card check procedure sidesteps many aspects of
democratic decision-making that free and fair elections conducted by secret ballot
are supposed to accomplish. Notably, the general counsel of the National Labor
Relations Board has recently proposed an esoteric legal theory that card-check
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decision-making is required under the law, basing this theory on an old NLRB
case, Joy Silk, even though the Supreme Court has repeatedly rejected mandatory
card-check recognition.
l Discard “card check.” Congress should discard “card check” as the basis of
union recognition and mandate the secret ballot exclusively.
Contract Bar Rule. Although current labor law allows a union to establish itself
at a workplace at more or less any time, the calendar for any attempt to decertify
a union is considerably more constrained. If a union is recognized as a collective
bargaining agent, then employees may not decertify it or substitute another union
for it for at least one year under federal law (the “certification bar”). Similarly, when
a union reaches a collective bargaining agreement with an employer, it is immune
from a decertification election for up to three years (the “contract bar”). A typical
consequence of these rules is that employees must often wait four years before
they are allowed a chance at decertification. Employees then have only a 45-day
window to file a decertification petition; if the employer and union sign a successor
contract, then the contract bar comes into play once again—meaning employees
with an interest in decertification must wait another three years.
Eliminate the contract bar rule. NLRB should eliminate the contract bar
l
Alternative Policy. While some conservatives (including the author of this chap-
ter) believe that it would be a mistake to antagonize unions’ core interests, others
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argue that the next Administration should end Project Labor Agreement require-
ments and repeal the Davis–Bacon Act. And while some conservatives have chosen
not to address massive federal subsidies for unionized labor, others believe that
current laws and regulations that pick winners and losers to the detriment of the
majority of construction workers and to all taxpayers should not be ignored.
Project Labor Agreements (PLAs) are short-term collective bargaining
agreements that apply to construction projects. There are a few reasons that con-
struction projects may benefit from a PLA, and there are many reasons that even
when actively encouraged to do so public construction projects have declined
to use PLAs. Among the consequences: The majority of construction firms and
construction workers are not unionized and their temporary forced unionization
results in large-scale wage theft; construction companies are significantly less
likely to bid on projects with PLAs; and PLAs consistently drive up construction
costs by 10 percent to 30 percent.
The Davis–Bacon Act23 requires federally financed construction projects to pay
“prevailing wages.” In theory, these wages should reflect going market rates for
construction labor in the relevant area. However, both the Government Account-
ability Office and the Department of Labor’s Inspector General have repeatedly
criticized the Labor Department for using self-selected, statistically unrepresenta-
tive samples to calculate the prevailing-wage rates that drive up the cost of federal
construction by about 10 percent. The Davis–Bacon Act redistributes wealth from
l End PLA requirements. Agencies should end all mandatory Project Labor
Agreement requirements and base federal procurement decisions on the
contractors that can deliver the best product at the lowest cost.
THE STATES
Worker-led Benefits Experimentation. Workers depend on unemployment
benefits to navigate inevitable market frictions and seek new employment oppor-
tunities. But existing unemployment insurance (UI) is bureaucratic, ineffective,
and unaccountable. The outdated system’s myriad failures during the COVID-19
pandemic highlighted the need for innovations that respond to recipients’ needs.
The most promising avenue for innovation is to involve workers and private-sec-
tor organizations more directly, freed from unnecessary bureaucratic strictures.
Americans take for granted that unemployment benefits must be administered by
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government agencies, but other Western market democracies feature effective and
popular benefits administered by non-public worker organizations.
The next conservative Administration should encourage UI innovation by capi-
talizing on a key feature of the system and principle of conservative policymaking:
federalism. State governments already administer unemployment benefits and
have broad discretion over their programs. Existing statutory language in the Social
Security Act24 does not prohibit non-public organizations from administering the
program, nor does it specifically authorize states to do so. Further, the Adminis-
tration can replicate state-level experiments in welfare programs and empower
state officials to adapt UI to local conditions and needs.
l Offer waivers for suitable alternatives. DOL should offer waivers from
the standard requirements imposed on unemployment compensation by §
303(a) and § 303(d) of the Social Security Act to states that propose suitable
alternatives.
l
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
so, the question relevant to DOL is whether, and under what conditions,
fiduciaries should be permitted to follow this path as well.
While Americans are free to invest their own savings however they wish,
in ERISA, Congress imposed strict duties on employer-sponsored worker
retirement plans as a prophylactic protection of workers’ retirement
security in general. Recognizing the unique status of employer-managed
retirement savings, in ERISA, Congress required that fiduciaries
exclusively seek the best interests of plan beneficiaries. Because ESG
investing necessarily puts other considerations before the interests of the
beneficiary, ESG investing by plan managers is an inappropriate strategy
under ERISA.
l DOL should consider taking enforcement and/or regulatory action to
subject investment in China to greater scrutiny under ERISA. Many
large retirement and pension plans remain invested in China despite its
lack of compliance with U.S. accounting standards and state control over all
aspects of private capital.
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PENSION REFORMS.
Public Pension Plan Disclosure. Residents of states that responsibly manage
their public pension plans (pension plans for State and local government employ-
ees) should not be responsible for bailing out states that do not do so. Money is
ultimately fungible, so federal aid to States can effectively be used to free up other
State funds for pension contributions. Although the federal government does not
impose funding rules on public pension plans, these plans should be required to
disclose the fair market value of plan assets and liabilities (using the Treasury
yield curve as the discount rate) on an annual basis. In the aggregate, these plans
were underfunded on a market basis by $6.501 trillion as of Fiscal Year (FY) 2021,
even though the plans reported underfunding of only $1.076 trillion using overly
optimistic assumptions.
l Disclose the fair market value of plan assets and liabilities. Congress
should require public pension funds to disclose the fair market value of plan
assets and liabilities (using the Treasury yield curve as the discount rate) on
an annual basis.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
development. Finally, ESOPs can enable greater investment returns for employees.
However, ESOPs have to date lacked clear rules under ERISA that recognize their
unique structure and benefits, and this opacity can serve as a barrier to employers
considering adopting ESOPs.
Immigration. The H-2A visa, meant to allow temporary agricultural work-
ers into the United States, also suffers frequent employer abuse. The low cost of
H-2A workers undercuts American workers in agricultural employment. The H-2A
program is not subject to any statutory numerical cap and has been expanding in
recent years, surpassing 200,000 visa issuances for the first time in 2019.
l Cap and phase down the H-2A visa program. Congress should
immediately cap this program at its current levels and establish a
schedule for its gradual and predictable phasedown over the subsequent
10 to 20 years, producing the necessary incentives for the industry to
invest in raising productivity, including through capital investment in
agricultural equipment, and increasing employment for Americans in the
agricultural sector.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l Phase out the H-2B visa program. The H-2B visa, for nonagricultural
seasonal workers, suffers from many of the same harms and abuses as H-2A,
albeit of lesser scope because of its cap and distribution across many sectors.
Congress should immediately cap this program at its current levels and
establish a schedule for its gradual and predictable phasedown over no more
than 10 years.
Alternative View. As with the H-2A program, some conservatives see the H-2B
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l Congress must amend the law so that employers can again have the
freedom to make hiring Americans a priority. Despite the significant
advantages that preferring citizens over (work-authorized) aliens in hiring
would provide to American workers, businesses, and the country at large,
such a practice has been illegal since 1986.25 This makes no sense.
Alternative View Some conservatives believe that the government has a duty to
limit its spending in order to limit how much it takes from American families. This
means that when the government spends money, it must find the most econom-
ical and effective way to do so. Excessive government spending will be borne by
American workers and families through reduced incomes and purchasing power.
There may be good reasons to require a certain percentage of American workers on
federal contracts, but those decisions should be based on economy and efficiency
as opposed to arbitrary quotas.
Visa Fraud. American businesses that commit visa fraud and hire illegal immi-
grants should not be the beneficiaries of federal spending. But a 2020 report by
the Department of Labor’s Office of Inspector General (OIG) examined the depart-
ment’s process for excluding employers who commit visa fraud and abuse from
federal contracts and found much to be desired.
l
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
American workers have, as a consequence, seen their earning power erode. While
negotiating stronger trade agreements with robust labor provisions should be the
primary tool with which to regulate international labor competition, the federal
government can also take steps to identify the worst labor abuses and rule breakers.
DOL’s Bureau of International Labor Affairs (ILAB) plays a critical role in monitor-
ing and enforcing the labor provisions of U.S. trade agreements and trade preference
programs as well as investigating child labor and human trafficking violations.
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ORGANIZATIONAL AGENDA
Budget
l Reduce the agencies’ budgets to the low end of the historical
average. The Trump Administration’s FY 2020 request, $10.9 billion,
would provide a workable target for spending reductions for DOL,
for example.
Personnel
l Maximize hiring of political appointees. At its best, the Trump
Administration Department of Labor worked with up to 150 political
appointees. That is still a tiny percentage of the department. The number of
political appointees should be maximized in order to improve the political
accountability of the department.
l Appoint new EEOC and NLRB general counsels on Day One. The Biden
Administration broke significant precedent by firing the EEOC and NLRB
general counsels despite their term appointments. The next Administration
should do the same and expand on the Biden Administration’s new
precedent by refusing to acknowledge terms in other offices, where
applicable, and installing acting or full new officers immediately.
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CONCLUSION
The good of the American family is at the heart of conservative labor policy
recommendations. The longstanding tradition of a strong work ethic in American
culture must be encouraged and strengthened by policies that promote family-sus-
taining jobs. By eliminating the policies promoted by the DEI agenda, promoting
pro-life policies that support family life, expanding available apprenticeship
programs including by encouraging the role of religious organizations in appren-
ticeships, making family-sustaining jobs accessible, simplifying employment
requirements, and allowing employers to prefer American citizens when making
hiring decisions, among the other policy recommendations discussed above, we
can begin to secure a future in which the American worker, and by extension the
American family, can thrive and prosper.
AUTHOR’S NOTE: Many contributors, listed at the front of this volume, deserve credit for this work, but Oren
Cass, Rachel Greszler, Rachel Morrison, Caleb Orr, and Jonathan Wolfson deserve special mention. The author alone
assumes responsibility for the content of this chapter, and no views expressed herein should be attributed to any
other individual.
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ENDNOTES
1. Gretchen Livingston and Anna Brown, “Intermarriage in the U.S. Fifty Years after Loving v. Virginia,” Pew
Research Center, May 18, 2017, https://www.pewresearch.org/social-trends/2017/05/18/intermarriage-in-the-
u-s-50-years-after-loving-v-virginia/ (accessed March 4, 2023).
2. President Lyndon B. Johnson, Executive Order 11246, “Equal Employment Opportunity,” https://www.
presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/executive-order-11246-equal-employment-opportunity (accessed
March 7, 2023).
3. Pregnancy Discrimination Act of 1978, Public Law, 95-555. The Pregnancy Discrimination Act amended Title
VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964.
4. Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023, Public Law No. 117-328, div. II, 136 Stat. 4459 (2022).
5. Americans with Disabilities Act of 1990, 42 U.S.C. § 12101 et seq.
6. Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, No. 19-1392, June 24, 2022, https://www.supremecourt.gov/
opinions/21pdf/19-1392_6j37.pdf (accessed March 7, 2023).
7. Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974, 29 U.S.C. Ch. 18 § 1001 et seq.
8. Religious Freedom Restoration Act of 1993, 42 U.S.C. Ch. 21B § 2000bb et seq.
9. Fair Labor Standards Act of 1938, 29 U.S.C. § 203.
10. Department of Labor, Promoting Regulatory Openness Through Good Guidance, Federal Register, Vol. 85, No.
168, August 28, 2020, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2020-08-28/pdf/2020-18500.pdf (accessed
March 7, 2023).
11. Administrative Procedure Act, 5 U.S.C. Ch. 5, subchapter 1, § 500 et seq.
12. Regulatory Flexibility Act, 5 U.S.C. Ch. 6 § 601 et seq.
13. Donald J. Trump, Executive Order 13932, “Modernizing and Reforming the Assessment and Hiring of Federal
Job Candidates,” Federal Register, Vol. 85, No. 187 (July 1, 2020) pp. 39457–39459, https://www.federalregister.
gov/documents/2020/07/01/2020-14337/modernizing-and-reforming-the-assessment-and-hiring-of-federal-
job-candidates (accessed March 7, 2023).
14. Workforce Investment and Opportunity Act, Public Law 113-128.
15. Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act, S.3548, 116th Congress, 2nd Sess.
16. Federal Unemployment Tax Act, I.R.C., Ch. 23.
17. American Rescue Plan Act of 2021, Public Law 117-2.
18. Teamwork for Employees and Managers (TEAM) Act of 2022, S. 3585, 117th Congress, 2nd Sess.
19. Worker’s Choice Act of 2019, H.R. 5147, 116th Congress, 1st Sess.
20. F. Vincent Vernuccio, “Back to Business,” October 8, 2020, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/
back-to-business (accessed March 4, 2023).
21. Fair Labor Standards Act of 1938, 29 U.S.C. § 203.
22. Occupational Safety and Health Act of 1970, 29 U.S.C. Ch. 15 § 651 et seq.
23. Davis–Bacon Act of 1931, Public Law 71-798.
24. Social Security Act of 1935, 42 U.S.C. Ch. 7.
25. The Immigration Reform and Control Act of 1986, Public Law 99-603.
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19
DEPARTMENT OF
TRANSPORTATION
Diana Furchtgott-Roth
INTRODUCTION
America needs transportation that is more abundant and affordable as well as
dignified, accessible, and family friendly. Transportation plays a vital role in the
prosperity and flourishing of the United States. Americans use trucks, tankers,
and trains to keep our supply chains running and cars, transit, and planes to go
where we want to go.
Two hundred and forty years ago, Adam Smith recognized that connections
were a bedrock of society because they stimulate specialization, innovation, and
capital investment. In the following decades, America’s growth was made possible
by transportation—first ports and transatlantic shipping, then roads, canals, and
eventually railroads pushing westward to create the nation we call home. Access
to transportation is part of what made our country great.
The U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT), with a requested fiscal year (FY)
2023 budget of $142 billion,1 was originally intended simply to provide a policy
framework for transportation safety, rulemaking, and regulation. However, it has
evolved to believe that its role is “to deliver the world’s leading transportation
system”2—that is, to select individual projects and allocate taxpayer funds in the
actual planning, developing, and building of transportation assets. Such a role is
held more appropriately by transportation asset owners: primarily states, munic-
ipalities, and the private sector.
In addition to providing a safety and regulatory framework through its 11 sub-
components, known as modes, the department has become a de facto grantmaking
and lending organization. DOT provides approximately $50 billion in discretionary
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and formula grants, known as obligations, annually in areas ranging from transit
systems to road construction to universities and has lent or subsidized more than
$60 billion since the Transportation Infrastructure Finance and Innovation Act
(TIFIA) program,3 now managed by the Build America Bureau, was created in 1998.
This evolved role as a major, and often primary, funding and financing source is far
from the department’s original policy framework. It also removes incentives for
state and local officials to ensure that investments are worthwhile, because federal
money removes the need to get public buy-in to build and maintain infrastructure
projects as funding becomes “someone else’s money.”
Despite the department’s tremendous resources, congressional mandates and
funding priorities have made it difficult for DOT to focus on the pressing trans-
portation challenges that most directly affect average Americans, such as the high
cost of personal automobiles, especially in an era of high inflation; unpredictable
and expensive commercial shipping by rail, air, and sea; and infrastructure spend-
ing that does not match the types of transportation that most Americans prefer.
Transforming the department to address the varied needs of all Americans more
effectively remains a central challenge.
DOT is particularly difficult to manage because its 11 major components—nine
modal administrations, the Office of the Secretary, and the Office of the Inspector
General—all have their own sets of personnel including administrators, deputy
administrators, chiefs of staff, and general counsels. Most grants flow through the
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from being a top–down system that is misaligned with the needs of so
many Americans. Increasing private-sector financing could revolutionize
travel and increase everyday mobility to its greatest potential in a way that
Americans prefer. Doing so would keep transportation decisions out of the
hands of bureaucrats in Washington, D.C., who are far removed from local
problems and preferences.
l If funding must be federal, it would be more efficient for the U.S. Congress
to send transportation grants to each of the 50 states and allow each state
to purchase the transportation services that it thinks are best. Such an
approach would enable states to prioritize different types of transportation
according to the needs of their citizens. States that rely more on automotive
transportation, for example, could use their funding to meet those needs.
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the private financing sector, it must maintain underwriting discipline and continue
best practices of requiring rigorous financial modeling and cushion for repayment
of loans in a variety of economic scenarios. In addition:
l The BAB should ensure that these loans do not become grants in another
form by maintaining the requirement that all project borrowers be rated
at least investment grade by the major ratings agencies and that project
sponsors remain liable to ensure that all financing is repaid, even in periods
of financial stress and economic downturns.
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PUBLIC–PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS
Much infrastructure could be funded through public–private partnerships (P3s),
a procurement method that uses private financing to construct infrastructure. In
exchange for providing the financing, the private partner typically retains the right
to operate the asset under requirements specified by the government in a contract
called a concession agreement. In addition, the private partner is given the right
either to collect fees from the users of the asset or to receive a periodic payment
from the government conditioned on the asset’s availability: If a highway is not
open to traffic when it should be, for example, the government’s payment to the
private concessionaire is reduced.
The best practice for a government that is interested in using a P3 to deliver
a project is for the government first to perform a value-for-money study, which
compares the costs and benefits of procuring the asset under a typical procurement
against the costs and benefits of utilizing a P3. Since private equity is involved, the
financing costs for P3s are higher, but they also are frequently more than offset by
the private sector’s ability to generate efficiencies and cost savings in the design,
construction, maintenance, and operation of the asset. If the value-for-money
study finds that the efficiencies of a P3 and the value of risk shifted to the private
sector exceed the additional financing costs, then utilizing a P3 is good public policy
because Americans have better infrastructure at a lower cost.
As well as providing better transportation facilities for Americans, P3s offer a
number of benefits to governments. Specifically, they:
l Provide access to some of the world’s best talent with vast experience in
delivering infrastructure,
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It should be noted that project funding and P3s are not synonymous. Policy-
makers and government leaders frequently mistake the financing that P3s provide
for funding. A P3 allows the government to obtain equity from the private sector,
but that equity has to be paid back with interest. Like a loan, a P3 can be used to
accelerate revenues and provide needed capital to help pay the upfront costs of a
project, but also like a loan, the private P3 investors must be paid back for investors
to realize a financial return.
Some mistakenly think that using a P3 would allow a road or bridge to be deliv-
ered without increases in tolls or taxes. It is important to remember that all funding
for governmental infrastructure comes from either taxes or user fees. P3 financing
can be used to make those funding sources more efficient, but it cannot replace the
need for taxes or user fees to provide the funding for the project.
In addition, a poorly managed P3 procurement process (the process govern-
ment uses to identify the best private P3 partner) can result in excessive consultant
costs and years-long delays in delivery. While P3s can offer efficiencies in delivering
the project, the P3 procurement process itself can be significantly longer and more
expensive than traditional procurement processes.
Finally, and possibly most important, a P3 gives a private party the ability to
collect fees or payments over decades (a period well beyond the length of the
careers of the political appointees who sign contracts with private parties). Thus,
P3s create an opportunity for current governmental leaders to obtain a higher
upfront payment from the private party in exchange for greater user fees paid by
future generations who will use the asset. In other words, a governmental CEO
(governor, mayor, head of an authority) can use a P3 to impose unnecessarily high
costs on users decades in the future in exchange for upfront cash. It is important
that contracts be transparent in order to minimize this possibility.
A P3’s greatest public value is realized when the procurement model is used for
a project that is unusually risky or a type of project with which the government
has limited experience such as a tunnel or light rail line. P3s are an excellent tool
for transferring risk from the public sector to the private sector and can create
considerable value for the taxpaying public. However, a high degree of expertise
is required to ensure that the risk transfer warrants the higher financing and pro-
curement costs that P3s impose.
EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES
As private companies develop a future of new, emerging technologies, one role
for DOT is driving clarity in the government’s role and setting standards for safety,
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security, and privacy without hampering innovation. DOT can oversee the testing
and deployment of a wide variety of new technologies, allowing communities and
individuals to choose what best fits their needs. It is the role of the private sector,
not the government, to pick winners and losers in technology development. If a
technology underperforms, the private sector should be liable, not the government.
The department should ensure a tech-neutral approach to addressing any
emerging transportation technology while keeping safety as the number one
priority. As part of this, it should work to facilitate the safe and full integration
of automated vehicles into the national transportation system. Over time, these
advanced technologies can save lives, transform personal mobility, and provide
additional transportation opportunities—including for people with disabili-
ties, aging populations, and communities where car ownership is expensive or
impractical.
NHTSA’s and FMCSA’s current regulations were written before the advent of
automated vehicles and driving systems. Both operating administrations have
issued Advance Notices of Proposed Rulemakings (ANPRMs) that begin the pro-
cess of updating their regulations to reflect this new technology. However, these
regulations have stalled under the Biden Administration, which has chosen to
use the department’s tools to get people to take transit and drive electric vehicles
instead of helping people to choose the transportation options that suit them best.
l NHTSA should work to remove regulatory barriers by focusing on updating
vehicle standards as well as publishing performance-based rules for the
operations of automated vehicles (AVs).
l FMCSA should work to clarify the regulations to align with DOT’s AV 3.0
guidance, which would allow the drivers to be safely removed from the
operations of a commercial motor vehicle.
From a nonregulatory point of view, DOT has pivoted from a successful focus
on the voluntary sharing of data to improve safety outcomes to adoption of a more
compulsory and antagonistic approach to mandating data collection and publica-
tion through a Standing General Order related to automated vehicles. This needs
to be reversed.
Many of these new and innovative technologies rely on wireless communica-
tions that depend on the availability and purchase of radio frequency spectrum,
a trend that is consistent with what we see in connectivity in our everyday lives.
There is a role for DOT in ensuring that in the fight over spectrum, transportation
gets its fair share.
For technologies to work in transportation, and in particular to work for
transportation safety, they have to meet the unique needs of a transportation
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
model year. The standards must be achievable using available ICE technologies
running on gasoline, diesel fuel, or similar combustible fuels and must not be set so
high as to prevent automakers from profitably producing new vehicles at sufficient
volume to meet consumer demand.
Congress recognized that the ICE-powered automobile has been instrumen-
tal to advancing the mobility and prosperity of the American people and that the
domestic mass production of new ICE vehicles generates millions of jobs and
remains critical to the overall health of the U.S. economy and the strength of the
nation’s industrial base. Accordingly, Congress took care to ensure that the mileage
requirements issued by DOT would not undermine the vitality of America’s auto
industry or interfere with the market economics that drives consumer demand
for new vehicles.
This rulemaking authority, which has been delegated by the Secretary to
the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, is exclusive to DOT. EPCA
expressly preempts states from adopting or enforcing any different requirement
“related to fuel economy standards” for new motor vehicles. While the statute
instructs DOT to consult with the Department of Energy and the Environmental
Protection Agency (EPA) in formulating its standards, no other federal agency,
including EPA, has clear authority to set fuel economy requirements in place of
NHTSA. The Clean Air Act7 gives EPA general authority to establish emissions
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limits for new motor vehicles for air pollutants that are found to pose a danger to
humans. However, there is no reason to believe Congress ever contemplated that
EPA’s authority to address automotive air pollution might be used to displace or
supersede NHTSA’s fuel economy mandate under EPCA.
Congress chose to assign the power to set fuel economy standards to DOT
rather than EPA. This was not only because DOT understands the technologies
and economics of the auto industry, but also because NHTSA is the nation’s leading
motor vehicle safety regulator, and Congress sought to ensure that fuel economy
requirements would not adversely affect highway safety. Unfortunately, the Biden
Administration has flouted these statutory limitations in nearly every respect. The
predictable result is higher expected transportation costs for Americans.
l Moreover, and contrary to Congress’s design, the Biden EPA has been
given preeminence in the regulation of fuel economy through the setting
of carbon dioxide emissions limits for new motor vehicles under the Clean
Air Act. Because carbon dioxide emissions levels correspond to mileage
in automobiles powered by fossil fuels, these EPA rules are de facto fuel
economy requirements that apply independently of NHTSA’s standards.
l The Biden Administration has also granted California a special waiver under
the Clean Air Act that permits the California Air Resources Board (CARB) to
issue its own fuel economy directives, notwithstanding EPCA’s prohibition
on state standards. Under this waiver, CARB has ordered automakers to
phase out the sale of ICE-powered automobiles in California and transition
to the production of zero-emission vehicles by 2035. The Clean Air Act
allows other states to follow California’s requirements; thus, CARB is
effectively determining fuel economy policies for the entire nation.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
translate into a loss of auto industry jobs for American workers: It will also mean a
significant increase in traffic deaths and injuries. As fewer new cars are purchased,
the price of used cars will rise, and more Americans will be left driving older cars,
which traffic statistics show are much less safe than newer vehicles. NHTSA itself
has acknowledged that the Biden Administration’s fuel economy standards will
generate hundreds of additional fatalities and thousands of additional injuries
on U.S. highways. Because older cars also produce more harmful air pollution, the
aging of America’s fleet will also have negative consequences for air quality.
In addition, the Biden Administration’s efforts to accelerate EV sales by reg-
ulatory fiat work against the national security interests of the United States in
contravention of Congress’s goals under EPCA. Increasing the production of EVs
will make the U.S. more dependent on China and other foreign countries that
control the supply and processing of rare earth minerals that are needed for EV
batteries. And the faster deployment of EVs will put a major strain on America’s
vulnerable power grid, requiring large investments in critical infrastructure and
a big boost in the nation’s electricity production, including from gas-fired and oil-
fired power plants.
In exchange for all of these harmful effects—on traffic safety, consumer choice,
American jobs, the nation’s air quality, and U.S. national security—the Biden fuel
economy regulations are predicted to have no meaningful effect on global tem-
perature trends over the long term.8
The next Administration must return the federal fuel economy program to the
limits established by Congress. The standards issued by NHTSA must be reset at
reasonable levels that are technologically feasible for ICE automobiles and con-
sistent with an increase in domestic auto production and healthy growth in the
sale of safer and more affordable new vehicles. To achieve these goals, the next
Administration should:
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
The Biden Administration has broadened the FHWA’s scope by emphasizing the
priorities of progressive activists instead of pursuing practical goals. These policies
include a focus on “equity,” a nebulous concept that in practice means awarding
grants to favored identity groups, as well as imposing obligations on states concern-
ing carbon dioxide emissions from highway traffic—areas not encompassed within
FHWA’s statutory authorities. Furthermore, the Biden Administration’s embrace
of the “Vision Zero” approach to safety often means actively seeking congestion
for automobiles to reduce speeds. Finally, the Administration has sought to use
a “guidance memo” to impose policies not enacted by Congress, most notably to
make it harder for growing states to expand highway capacity. Instead, the next
Administration should:
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
AVIATION
Americans value the ability to travel safely and inexpensively by air. In the
United States, the private sector has developed the world’s safest, most effective
passenger and cargo air transport networks. Current policies threaten to undo that
legacy and to strangle the development of new technologies such as drones and
“advanced air mobility,” including small aircraft to serve as air taxis or to conduct
quiet vertical flights.
Starting in the 1970s, deregulation and increased competition turned air travel
from a luxury to an affordable travel option enjoyed by most Americans. The United
States has four major airlines, each with roughly 20 percent of the domestic market.
They compete with each other over the vast majority of routes. Several smaller
carriers provide additional competition and other options for travelers.
The current Administration’s policies are self-contradictory. In order to pla-
cate specific labor groups, the Biden Administration not only opposes the growth
of the major airlines, which would reduce the price of air travel, but also opposes
measures—such as low-fare foreign competition and joint ventures of smaller U.S.
carriers—that would increase competition.
Another problematic area is aviation consumer protection. Congress has autho-
rized DOT to prohibit specific “unfair and deceptive practices” in the airline industry
after undertaking a hearing process—authority exercised by the Office of Aviation
Consumer Protection within the General Counsel’s Office. Beginning with the Obama
Administration, this authority has been used to justify broad new regulations—in the
name of achieving “fair” competition—that would impose burdensome disclosure
mandates and other costly requirements without a sufficient process for gathering
supporting evidence. The Trump Administration reformed the process for issuing
such “unfair and deceptive practices” rules,9 but the Biden Administration promptly
reversed those reforms.10 A new Administration should restore them.
In general, the next Administration should focus its efforts on making air
travel more affordable and abundant, increasing safety, increasing competition
to benefit the flying public, and removing obstacles to the rapid deployment of
emerging aviation technologies that hold the promise of improved safety, compe-
tition, opportunity, and growth. To achieve a more level playing field and increase
options for the traveling public, the next Administration should:
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
are providing access to capital to foreign airlines for innovations and new
equipment purchases that U.S. airlines cannot match. The U.S. should
use the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS)
process to keep out nefarious foreign actors while allowing investment
from investors in designated like-minded countries so long as U.S.-based
investors maintain plurality ownership.
In a perfect world, the market would dictate these options, but in the highly
regulated international aviation sector, the current incentives are to keep out com-
petitors. Slot regulations have not been updated since the 1990s.
Well-meaning legislation and the pilot shortage are adversely affecting aviation
safety. In the wake of the 2009 Colgan Airlines crash, all commercial pilots and
copilots were required to have 1,500 flight hours. Today, facing a pilot shortage,
larger and safer twin-engine planes with two pilots are being phased out of service
at smaller airports and replaced by single-engine planes that have only one pilot.
This trend could be reversed if copilots were required to have fewer flight hours
or could count certified simulator training.
Federal subsidies are also distorting the commercial market. The Essential
Air Service (EAS) program subsidizes flights to 200 small airports that are not
otherwise commercially viable. The program was established in the 1970s as a
temporary measure to cushion deregulation. It has since been made permanent.
Finally ending the program would free hundreds of pilots to serve larger markets
with more passengers. A new Administration could reform regulations to encour-
age airports in lower-served areas of the nation.
International air travel is regulated and restricted by individual treaties between
the United States and other countries. The new Administration should remain
committed to the laudatory goal of “Open Skies.” However, many of the largest
emerging markets are not fully open, and our aviation policies should reflect that
reality and ensure that U.S. air carriers compete on a level playing field. Specifically,
so long as U.S. carriers are not able to fly over Russian airspace, the U.S. should not
allow foreign carriers serving markets in East Asia and South Asia to enjoy a com-
petitive advantage by continuing to allow them to fly to the U.S. China has failed to
put in place several of the policies to which it has already agreed; the U.S. should
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
not offer additional negotiations until the Chinese implement the agreements
they have already signed.
The current Administration’s policies in several areas that affect aviation and
limit America’s future opportunities for growth are internally inconsistent. In
addition to a New Entry Initiative, the new Administration should establish an
interagency clearinghouse to drive consistent policies across the government on
spectrum, drones, and advanced air mobility.
avionics, and engine reliability, but despite many well-intentioned attempts, there
have been few changes in the FAA’s funding structure. The FAA is still improperly
organized and financed, and the management reforms provided in the late 1990s
remain largely unused.
The FAA is 10 years older than DOT. It provides two separate and functionally
different services: the world’s largest and most complex Air Navigation Service
Provider (ANSP) and, at the same time, the world’s largest civil aviation regulatory
and certificatory agency. The first is a 24/7/365 air traffic service provider. The
second is an inherently governmental organization responsible for ensuring that
aerospace operators, vehicles, airports, and ANSPs are properly certified and follow
all FAA regulations. These two different organizations ought to run separately.
The FAA is the only modern Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) in the world that
does not assess fees for its services. Its funding structure, subject to the annual
appropriations process, stifles efficiency and innovation—and the FAA does not
innovate well. It spends too much time and money on research and development
(R&D) and is not very good at either one. It should get out of the R&D business and
focus on testing, evaluating, and certifying private-sector innovation much more
quickly than it does today.
The FAA workforce needs to modernize. The agency needs safety and certifi-
cation experts, not professional airframe and powerplant mechanics (A&Ps). It
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needs to hire people trained to oversee mechanics, engineers, and pilots. It is time
to consider promoting the FAA’s top executive team from within and requiring
strict professional requirements for its top appointees. Organizations such as the
FAA whose sole responsibility is public safety should be fully auditable and led by
experts in their field or industry with oversight from DOT leadership.
For 60 years, the FAA was the global leader in aerospace, from general aviation
to commercial space, but the U.S. lead has vanished. The FAA’s overly bureaucratic,
legalistic, byzantine, and more recently hyperpoliticized way of processing regu-
lations, adopting innovation, publishing rules, and procuring new technologies
has been eclipsed by foreign CAAs and ANSPs that are eagerly certifying drones
and creating environments in which new technologies and new entrants, such as
air taxis, can thrive. To regain America’s global leadership in aviation, the next
Administration should:
l Separate the FAA from DOT or, at a minimum, separate the ATO
from the FAA.
l Require the FAA to operate more like a business. The FAA has not made
good use of the unique authority it has been given in areas like personnel
and acquisition.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
These shortcomings have been documented over many decades by the Govern-
ment Accountability Office and DOT Inspector General. One peer-reviewed study
for the Hudson Institute by scholar Robert Poole identified the ATO’s underlying
problems as including an overly cautious culture, a growing lack of technological
and managerial expertise, the inability to finance major capital projects with rev-
enue bonds, and overdependence on aerospace/defense contractors.12
All of these problems are interrelated. Because of the ATO’s lack of top-notch
engineers and program managers, it has become dependent on aerospace contrac-
tors, unlike counterparts in Canada and the United Kingdom. Operating within the
constraints imposed by the annual congressional appropriations process—and with
no bonding authority—the ATO is forced to implement major projects piecemeal
over many years. The ATO’s overly cautious culture appears to stem from its being
embedded in a safety regulatory agency rather than being regulated at arm’s length
(as are airlines and airports).
Three organizational changes, all requiring legislation, offer the likelihood of
dealing with these problems based on the experiences of air traffic providers in
Canada and Europe. They could be implemented one at a time or together.
l Shift from aviation user taxes to fees for air traffic services paid
directly to the ATO.
l Allow the ATO to issue long-term revenue bonds for major projects.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
commutes from urban buses to rideshare or electric scooter, the use of public
transit decreases. A better definition for public transit (which also would require
congressional legislation) would be transit provided for the public rather than
transit provided by a public municipality.
The COVID-19 pandemic caused a substantial decline in usage for all forms of
transportation. Mass transit has been the slowest mode to recover, with October
2022 ridership reaching only 64 percent of the level seen in October 2019. The
sustained increase in remote work has caused changes in commuting patterns.
Since facilitating travel for workers is one of the core functions of mass transit
systems, a permanent reduction in commuting raises questions about the viability
of fixed-route mass transit, especially considering that transit systems required
substantial subsidization before the pandemic.
Regrettably, the 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act13 authorized tens
of billions of dollars for the expansion of transit systems even as Americans were
moving away from them and into personal vehicles. Lower revenue from reduced
ridership is already driving transit agencies to a budgetary breaking point, and
added operational costs from system expansions will make this problem worse.
The Capital Investment Grants (CIG) program is another example of Washing-
ton’s tendency to fund transit expansion rather than maintaining or improving
current facilities. The CIG program, which began in 1991, funds only novel transit
projects. These can include new rail lines (regardless of the demand for preexisting
rail in the area) and costly operations such as streetcars.
Because Americans have demonstrated a strong preference for alternative
means of transportation, rather than throwing good money after bad by continuing
federal subsidies for transit expansion, there should be a focus on reducing costs
that make transit uneconomical. The Trump Administration urged Congress to
eliminate the CIG program, but the program has strong support on Capitol Hill.
At a minimum, a new conservative Administration should ensure that each CIG
project meets sound economic standards and a rigorous cost-benefit analysis.
The largest expense in transit operational budgets is labor. Compensation costs
for transit workers exceed both regional and sector compensation averages. This
is driven by generous pension and health benefits rather than by exorbitant wages.
Since workers value wages more than they value fringe benefits, this has led to a
perverse situation in which transit agencies have high compensation costs yet are
struggling to attract workers.
The next Administration can remove the largest obstacle to reforming labor
costs. Section 10(c) of the Urban Mass Transportation Act of 196414 was initially
intended to protect bargaining rights for workers in privately owned transit sys-
tems that were being absorbed by government-operated agencies. The provision
has mutated into a requirement that any transit agency receiving federal funds
cannot reduce compensation, an interpretation that far exceeds the original statute.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Returning to the original intent would allow transit agencies to adjust fringe ben-
efits without fearing a federal lawsuit.
It is also vital to move away from using the Highway Trust Fund to prop up
mass transit. The fund was driven into insolvency (and repeated bailouts) through
decades of transfers to transit without any increase in transit usage to show for it.
With the federal government facing mounting debt, the best course of action would
be to remove federal subsidies for transit spending, allowing states and localities
to decide whether mass transit is a good investment for them.
making decisions that are consistent with the agency’s safety mission.
FRA’s procedures call for decisions on waivers to be made by its Safety Board.
Appeals can be taken to the Administrator. However, FRA has deviated from these
procedures as the Administrator has injected himself into Safety Board decisions.
FRA needs to review its actions with respect to specific proceedings where the
agency’s direction cannot be justified. For example:
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
FRA and the railroads that has existed for decades. FRA should make its decisions
on where to spend its research dollars solely on the merits of improving the safety
and efficiency of the railroad industry.
MARITIME POLICY
The Maritime Administration (MARAD) was established by President Harry
Truman in 1950 and was transferred to DOT in 1981. A principal function is “main-
tain[ing] the overall health of the U.S. Merchant Marine,”15 which is important
both to national defense and to foreign and domestic commerce. MARAD is also
in charge of the United States Merchant Marine Academy and operates ships and
funding for the six state maritime academies.
MARAD would be better served by being transferred from DOT to the Depart-
ment of Homeland Security (DHS). MARAD is the only DOT modal administration
that does not regulate the industry that it represents: The maritime industry is
regulated by the U.S. Coast Guard (ships and personnel) and by the Federal Mari-
time Commission (cargo rates and competitive practices).
Furthermore, MARAD has responsibilities both in peacetime commerce and
operationally in wartime/crisis sealift through its responsibility to manage the
National Defense Reserve Fleet and 45-ship Ready Reserve Force for the U.S. Navy.
These missions are unique to MARAD within DOT. As a result, MARAD’s missions
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
and purpose, and therefore its funding priorities, are not well understood and his-
torically have been minimalized in planning and budgeting.
MARAD, including its subordinate Service Academy (the U.S. Merchant Marine
Academy) should be transferred to the Department of Defense (if the Coast Guard
is located there because DHS has been eliminated) or to the Department of Home-
land Security. In this way, the two agencies charged with oversight and regulation
of the Maritime sector—MARAD and the United States Coast Guard—would be
aligned under the same department where operational efficiencies could be real-
ized more easily.
Serious consideration should be given to repealing or substantially reforming
the Jones Act,16 which would require legislation. The economic costs of the Jones
Act, which is notionally in place to promote a robust Merchant Marine, vastly
exceed its effect on the supply of domestic ships. For instance, no liquified natural
gas (LNG) can be shipped from Alaska to the lower 48 states because there are no
U.S.-flagged ships that carry LNG. If there are genuine concerns about U.S. fleet
capacity in the absence of the Jones Act, it would be possible to do so through an
expansion of the Defense Reserve Fleet.
Another DHS agency, the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), is a
frequent user of MARAD Ready Reserve Force shipping during disaster assistance
missions. Transferring MARAD to DHS would make coordination and requisition
of those vessels a smoother and more rapid process. DHS has responsibility for
reviewing and approving Jones Act waivers. This process first requires a market
survey of available shipping tonnage that is completed by MARAD. The processing
of Jones Act waiver requests would be streamlined if both agencies were in the
same department.
Finally, DHS as a department is experienced in administering and budgeting for
the operation of an existing federal service academy, the U.S. Coast Guard Academy,
which is similar to the U.S. Merchant Marine Academy in size. There would be
increased efficiencies and better alignment of the missions of these two institutions
if they were under one single department that has equity in the industries served
by these academies.
CONCLUSION
Americans need more abundant and affordable transportation. They need more
affordable and safer cars as well as physical aspects of transportation such as roads,
bridges, airports, ports, and rail lines. The Department of Transportation should
be evaluating which aspects of transportation are contributing to the economic
competitiveness of the United States and the well-being of Americans—and that
therefore should continue to be funded.
All too often, DOT’s mission is described as reducing the number of trips, using
less fuel, and raising the costs of travel to Americans through increased use of
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renewables. These goals are not compatible with what should be DOT’s purpose:
to make travel easier and less expensive. That is what the American people want,
and that is what DOT should provide.
AUTHOR’S NOTE: The preparation of this chapter was a collective enterprise of individuals involved in the
2025 Presidential Transition Project. All contributors to this chapter are listed at the front of this volume, but Steven
Bradbury, David Ditch, and Robert Poole deserve special mention. The author alone assumes responsibility for the
content of this chapter, and no views expressed herein should be attributed to any other individual.
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ENDNOTES
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20
DEPARTMENT OF
VETERANS AFFAIRS
Brooks D. Tucker
MISSION STATEMENT
The Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) is the primary provider of health care,
benefits, and memorial affairs for America’s veterans and their families. The VA
has the noble responsibility to render exceptional and timely support and services
with respect, compassion, and competence. The veteran is at the forefront of every
VA process and interaction. The VA must continually strive to be recognized as a
“best in class,” “Veteran-centric”1 system with an organizational ethos inspired
by and accountable to the needs and problems of veterans, not subservient to the
parochial preferences of a bureaucracy.
OVERVIEW
At the end of the Obama Administration, the VA was held in low esteem both
by the veterans it served and by the employees who served these former warriors.
Eroding morale caused by the downstream effects of a health care access crisis
in 2014 led to the resignation of Secretary Eric Shinseki and extensive oversight
investigations by Congress from 2015–2016.
By 2020, however, the VA had become one of the most respected U.S. agencies.
This significant progress was due in part to the leadership of Secretary Robert Wilkie
(2018–2021) and his team of political appointees and career senior executives, many
of them veterans, who led the effort to ensure that the VA became “Veteran-centric”
in its governance decisions and fostered a more positive work environment.
This mindset translated into a department that was better attuned to employees’
and veterans’ needs and experiences in the daily operations of health care, benefits,
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
and memorial affairs. During that period, the VA received the largest number of
watershed congressional authorizations to reform its health care and benefits that
it had received since the post–Vietnam War years along with historic increases in
annual appropriations, which have tripled since the last full year of the George W.
Bush Administration.
The current VA leadership team of Biden appointees has adopted some of their
predecessors’ governance processes. However, they have not sustained the previous
Administration’s commitment to a genuine “Veteran-centric” philosophy, most nota-
bly with respect to the delivery of health care, and harbor a bias toward expanding the
unionized federal employee workforce that has not always been aligned with a focus
on “Veteran-centric” care. There also is growing concern in Congress and the veteran
community that the VA is poorly managing and in some cases disregarding provisions
of the VA MISSION [Maintaining Internal Systems and Strengthening Integrated Out-
side Networks] Act of 20182 that codify broad access for veterans to non-VA health care
providers. Efforts to expand disability benefits to large populations without adequate
planning have caused an erosion of veterans’ trust in the VA enterprise.
Additionally, the current VA leadership is focusing very publicly on “social
equity and inclusion” within departmental policy discussions toward ends that
will affect only a small minority of the veterans who use the VA. For the first time,
the VA is allowing access to abortion services, a medical procedure unrelated to
military service that the VA lacks the legal authority and clinical proficiency to
DEPARTMENTAL HISTORY
Following the Civil War, state veterans homes were established to provide med-
ical and hospital treatment for all injuries and diseases. When the United States
entered World War I in 1917, “Congress established a new system of Veterans
benefits, including programs for disability compensation, insurance for service
personnel and Veterans, and vocational rehabilitation for the disabled”3 that was
overseen by three different federal programs: the Veterans Bureau, the Department
of the Interior’s Bureau of Pensions, and the National Home for Disabled Volunteer
Soldiers. In 1921, Congress combined those programs into the Veterans Bureau.
Following World War II, a national VA hospital system, much of which remains
operational today, was established to care for millions of returning veterans.
Following the Vietnam War, the VA’s federally owned and operated hospital
network expanded again to meet the needs of the volunteer and draftee population.
In the past two decades, the VA has purposely transitioned to leasing medical prop-
erties rather than building expensive new facilities that can take years to complete
and often experience budget overruns. As the nature of health care has evolved
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
with a growth in same-day surgical procedures and outpatient care, so has the VA,
and in 2018 Congress added access to private-sector urgent care outlets as one of
the VA’s health care benefits.
Today, the VA operates 172 inpatient VA Medical Centers (VAMCs), which are
an average of 60 years old, and 1,113 Community Based Outpatient Clinics (CBOCs),
which are newer facilities designed to meet the needs of veterans closer to home.
The VA also manages a Community Care Network (CCN) through contracts with
Optum and TriWest, third-party health care administrators responsible for build-
ing and maintaining a robust population of community providers to meet the needs
of veterans referred for care outside of the VA system. Currently, approximately
6.4 million veterans out of 18 million nationally (and out of the 9.1 million who are
enrolled) use the VA for health care; the remainder use employer-sponsored plans,
Tricare, Medicare, and Medicaid.
The disability benefits system evolved significantly in the years between the
Cold War era and the global war on terrorism, a period when the VA enrolled large
numbers of veterans from World War II, Korea, and Vietnam who were seeking
disability benefits and health care. Disability compensation is the largest VA benefit,
but there also are dozens of others, the next largest of which are the GI Bill and
the Home Loan Guaranty. These benefits are administered through 56 Regional
Benefits Offices (RBOs) and hundreds of satellite sites around the country.
The Agent Orange Act of 19914 significantly expanded the scope of disability ben-
efits for those who had deployed to Vietnam, and the cost of those benefits began to
increase dramatically as the Vietnam generation of veterans aged and began to expe-
rience adverse health conditions, some of which were presumed to have been caused
by defoliant chemicals used in Southeast Asia. In 2016 and 2017, a burdensome
backlog of appeals of denied disability claims from multiple wartime generations—a
backlog numbering in the hundreds of thousands—led to a joint effort by the VA, Vet-
eran Service Organizations (VSOs), and Congress to pass legislation that streamlined
appeal processes. Implemented in 2017, this historic “good governance” success has
helped the VA to reduce the number of these appeals dramatically.
The Sergeant First Class Heath Robinson Honoring Our Promise to Address
Comprehensive Toxics (PACT) Act of 20225 addressed adverse health outcomes
presumed to be the result of veterans’ exposure to airborne toxins during the global
war on terrorism and further expanded disability benefits to the most recent gen-
eration of veterans. These ambitious authorities, like the 1991 authorities, have
the potential to overwhelm the VA’s ability to process new disability claims and
adjudicate appeals. Currently, the VA is seeking to hire large numbers of personnel
to process these claims while exploring the use of an automated process to accel-
erate claims reviews and decisions. The ever-present lag in the hiring and training
of new employees could result in major problems with the timely adjudication of
benefits well into the next Administration in 2025.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
In sum, the VA for the foreseeable future will experience significant fiscal,
human capital, and infrastructure crosswinds and risks. Budgets are at historic
highs, and with a workforce now above 400,000, the VA is contending with a
lack of new veteran enrollees to offset the declining population of older veterans.
Recruitment of medical and benefits personnel has become more challenging.
Veterans are migrating from the northern states to the southern and western
states for retirement and employment. Meanwhile, VA information technol-
ogy (IT) is struggling to keep pace with the evolution of patient care and record
keeping. Consequently, VA leaders in the next Administration must be wise and
courageous political strategists, experienced managers to run day-to-day oper-
ations more effectively, innovators to address the changing veteran landscape,
and agile “fixers” to mitigate and repair systemic problems created or ignored
by the present leadership team.
Needed Reforms
l Rescind all departmental clinical policy directives that are contrary to
principles of conservative governance starting with abortion services
and gender reassignment surgery. Neither aligns with service-connected
conditions that would warrant VA’s providing this type of clinical care, and
both follow the Left’s pernicious trend of abusing the role of government to
further its own agenda.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
in legislation to prevent the VA from avoiding or watering down the
requirements in the future.
First and foremost, a veterans bill of rights is needed so that veterans and
VA staff know exactly what benefits veterans are entitled to receive, with a
clear process for the adjudication of disputes, and so that staff ensure that
all veterans are informed of their eligibility for Community Care. Currently,
veterans are not routinely and consistently told that they are eligible for
Community Care unless they request information or are given a referral.
1. Sections 101 and 103 (Community Care eligibility for access standards
and the best medical interest of the veteran).
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
4. Section 152 (returning the Office for Innovation of Care and Payment to
the Office of Enterprise Integration with a joint governance process set
up with the VHA).
l Require the VHA to report publicly on all aspects of its operation, including
quality, safety, patient experience, timeliness, and cost-effectiveness, using
standards similar to those in the Medicare Accountable Care Organization
program so that the government may monitor and achieve continuous
improvement in the VA system more effectively.
Budget
l Conduct an independent audit of the VA similar to the 2018 Department of
Defense (DOD) audit to identify IT, management, financial, contracting, and
other deficiencies.
l Assess the misalignment of VHA facilities and rising infrastructure costs. The
VHA operates 172 inpatient medical facilities nationally that are an average of
60 years old. Some of these facilities are underutilized and inadequately staffed.
Facilities in certain urban and rural areas are seeing significant declines in the
veteran population and strong competition for fresh medical staff.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
reimagine the health care footprint in some locales, and spur a realignment
of capacity through budgetary allocations. Specifically:
Personnel
l Extend the term of the Under Secretary for Health (USH) to five years.
Additionally, authority should be given to reappoint this individual for a
second five-year term both to allow for continuity and to protect the USH
from political transition.
l Identify a workflow process to bring wait times in compliance with VA
MISSION Act–required time frames wherever possible.
1. Assess the daily clinical appointment load for physicians and clinical
staff in medical facilities where wait times for care are well outside of
the time frames required by the VA MISSION Act.
2. Require VHA facilities to increase the number of patients seen each day
to equal the number seen by DOD medical facilities: approximately 19
patients per provider per day. Currently, VA facilities may be seeing as
few as six patients per provider per day.
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Needed Reforms
The most evident and ongoing concern is the complexity of benefits, which
can lead to confusion for the veteran and, if not mitigated early in the veteran’s
interactions, long-term distrust of and animosity toward the VA. Wholesale ben-
efits reform is unnecessary and politically a “third rail,” but effective managerial
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
approaches and technology tools that currently exist in the private sector could
be employed to improve existing VBA activities.
This problem is most pronounced in the disability claims process, which needs
more and better management attention focused on streamlining the procedures
involved in processing claims and administering benefits. The VA must improve
timeliness of claim adjudication and benefits delivery: Veterans want the VBA
to provide timely responses to requests for benefits support, render empathetic
customer service and understandable explanations of those benefits, and deliver
those benefits without frustrating delays (weeks, not months).
l Develop a new pilot “Express 30” commitment for a veteran’s first fully
developed disability compensation claim and organize the VBA to complete
the first claim in 30 days.
l Increase automation. Hiring additional staff to process claims is costly,
is inflexible, and has yielded mixed results. Attempting to change laws
and regulations simply to adjudicate claims would be a herculean effort
given their complexity. The best way to provide benefits faster and more
accurately is by using technology to perform most of the work. Technology
currently exists in the private sector, but the VBA lacks the expertise
to use it. This would be more of an organizational challenge than a
technology hurdle.
Budget
The VA’s Schedule for Rating Disabilities (VASRD) has assigned disability
ratings to a growing number of health conditions over time; some are tenuously
related or wholly unrelated to military service. The further growth in presumptive
service-connected medical conditions pursued by Congress and Veteran Service
Organizations, begun with Agent Orange and most recently for Burn Pits/Airborne
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Toxins, has led to historic increases in mandatory VBA spending in recent years.
The VA has a time-phased plan to reassess the VASRD and its ratings for com-
pensation, but this internal process can be slow and laborious, requires Office of
Management and Budget (OMB) approvals, and can become politically charged
both in Congress and with VSOs.
Personnel
Pursue reforms of the Human Capital Management process and operations
within the VBA to build a more blended workforce with more contractors to
process claims. This would free federal employees to perform other duties
and be involved solely with the final decision to award benefits.
l Improve the VBA acquisition workforce. The VBA needs more world-class
contractor support. Currently, few of the top companies have contracts with
the VBA, and the VBA needs to conduct more outreach to the private sector
through senior leader engagement and industry conferences.
l For most of its existence, the VBA has been a risk-averse, insular, paper-based
organization, implementing technology only over the past decade. This
insularity has led to a predominantly “build it ourselves” approach, partly
because VBA staff has limited experience or insight into current private-
sector tools and methods and partly because the VBA struggles to compete
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with the VHA for IT funding. Senior executive leadership needs more
innovators and trail blazers—qualities that have sometimes been lacking
in the VBA’s senior ranks. Recruiting a more relevantly knowledgeable and
technologically savvy team, along with robust political control of the VA, could
bring about better solutions to the VBA’s workflow challenges.
Needed Reforms
l Rescind all delegations of authority promulgated by the VA under the prior
Administration.
l Transfer all career SES out of PA/PAS-designated positions on the first day
and ensure political control of the VA.
l Take a close and analytically critical look at where hybrid and remote work
is a net positive as a functional necessity and where in-person collaboration
and presence will help to instill a strong work ethic and a more cohesive
environment for productivity from the Office of the Secretary across the
headquarters enterprise.
The COVID-19 pandemic spurred a significant shift to hybrid and telework
options for large segments of the staff in the Washington headquarters, in its sat-
ellites, and at some VBA Regional Offices. The “remote work” expectation has
been amplified and formalized within the Biden Administration team at VA to
the extent that the current Secretary, Deputy Secretary, and their staffs are not “in
office” as a matter of a routine presence while VA staff in Washington, D.C., have
limited in-person meetings, relying more frequently on video conference calls. The
short-term and long-term effects of this policy on the department are unknown,
but generally, the policy may be undermining the cohesiveness and competencies
of some staff functions and diluting general organizational accountability and
responsiveness.
Budget
l Expedite the acquisition of a new Human Resources Information
Technology (HRIT) system. The current system is not user-friendly; has
minimal fusion, middle-ware capacity; and is not conducive to data driven
personnel decisions. Personnel data needs to be organized and managed
to its full potential. The HRIT system, associated databases, and other
“shadow” personnel systems have no shortage of data; the problem comes
with effective management of the data.
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l Broaden pay and benefits in critical VA skill sets (beyond medical care
occupations) to be more competitive with private-sector industry. IT,
acquisition, cyber, and economists are some examples of skill sets that
are difficult for the VA to recruit, largely because of the limitations of
federal pay scales.
l Continue to maximize the use of new VA hiring and pay authorities provided
by Congress in the RAISE Act6 and PACT Act7 as well as existing authorities in
student loan forgiveness and the Public Service Loan Forgiveness program.
Personnel
l Foster a culture that is mission (veteran) driven, alert, engaged, and
habitually responsive to the veteran, and structure an environment that
promotes a flexible and agile workplace.
workplace culture and reward those who do it well. Ensure that senior
leaders (SES) set the proper example.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
1. Ensure that any agenda that includes labor/civil service reform in the VA
has a clear direction from the Secretarial level, support from the General
Counsel, alignment with the Assistant Secretary for Human Resources
and Administration, and a unified and strong political will to carry it out.
Without those elements, labor reforms are very difficult to accomplish.
2. Ensure that each senior leader in the process gets buy-in from reform-
minded career employees willing to accept and support change. Those
mid-level and senior-level managers exist, but they will need to be
identified early and shown trust and confidence.
3. Ensure that the White House communicates the labor reform agenda
swiftly. Trump Administration executive orders on civil service reform
(official time, government-furnished office space) were issued too late,
and departments and agencies were not prepared to execute them.
5. Ensure that the White House is prepared to support a concerted
and deliberate effort on implementation to avoid perceptions of a
disconnected strategy and disaggregated effort.
6. Remain mindful of which labor contracts end, when they end, and what
the agency’s goals for renegotiation are. If not done effectively, contract
end dates will be missed or lack notification. It is therefore essential to
have a clear strategy with respect to what leadership wants from a new
contract: Do not make the perfect the enemy of the good in contract
negotiations.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
AUTHOR’S NOTE: The preparation of this chapter was a collective enterprise of individuals involved in
the 2025 Presidential Transition Project. All contributors to this chapter are listed at the front of this volume,
but Darin Selnick, Paul R. Lawrence, and Christopher Anderson deserve special mention. The author alone
assumes responsibility for the content of this chapter, and no views expressed herein should be attributed to any
other individual.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
ENDNOTES
1. U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs, Veterans Health Division, VHA Directive 1003, “VHA Veteran Patient
Experience,” April 14, 2020, pp. 1 and B-1.
2. S. 2372, VA Mission Act of 2018, Public Law No. 115-182, 115th Congress, June 6, 2018, https://www.congress.
gov/115/plaws/publ182/PLAW-115publ182.pdf (accessed January 30, 2023).
3. U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs, VA History Office, “VA History,” last updated May 27, 2021, https://www.
va.gov/HISTORY/VA_History/Overview.asp (accessed January 28, 2023).
4. 38 U.S. Code § 1116, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/38/1116 (accessed January 28, 2023).
5. S. 3373, Sergeant First Class Heath Robinson Honoring Our Promise to Address Comprehensive Toxics Act of
2022 (Honoring Our PACT Act of 2022), Public Law No. 117-168, 117th Congress, August 10, 2022, https://www.
congress.gov/117/plaws/publ168/PLAW-117publ168.pdf (accessed January 28, 2023).
6. H.R. 2471, Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2022, Public Law No. 117-103, 117th Congress, March 15, 2022,
Division S, Title I, https://www.congress.gov/117/plaws/publ103/PLAW-117publ103.pdf (accessed March 18,
2023). Known variously as the Department of Veterans Affairs Nurse and Physician Assistant Retention and
Income Security Enhancement Act and the VA Nurse and Physician Assistant RAISE Act.
7. See note 5, supra.
— 655 —
Section Four
THE ECONOMY
T
he next Administration must prioritize the economic prosperity of ordi-
nary Americans. For several decades, establishment “elites” have failed
the citizenry by refusing to secure the border, outsourcing manufacturing
to China and elsewhere, spending recklessly, regulating constantly, and generally
controlling the country from the top down rather than letting it flourish from the
bottom up. The proper role of government, as was articulated nearly 250 years
ago, is to secure our God-given, unalienable rights in order that we might enjoy
the pursuit of happiness, the benefits of free enterprise, and the blessings of liberty.
Finding the right approach to trade policy is key to the fortunes of everyday
Americans. In Chapter 26, president of the Competitive Enterprise Institute Kent
Lassman and former White House director of trade and manufacturing policy Peter
Navarro debate what an effective conservative trade policy would look like. Lass-
man argues that the best trade policy is a humble, limited-government approach
that would encourage free trade with all nations. He maintains that aggressive
trade policies involve an increased government role that future leftist Administra-
tions will utilize to push “climate change” and “equity”-based activism. Focusing
more on gross domestic product (GDP) growth than on median income, he writes
that “people mistakenly believe that U.S. manufacturing and the U.S. economy
are in decline” when in truth “American manufacturing output is currently at an
all-time high.” Meanwhile, we continue to experience “record-setting real GDP”
despite our “long-run decline in manufacturing employment.”
Lassman does not think that an aggressive U.S. trade policy would lead to more
manufacturing jobs. Rather, he writes, “Federal Reserve research shows” that the
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Trump Administration’s steel tariffs, and the retaliatory tariffs levied by other
nations in response, “have cost about 75,000 manufacturing jobs while creating
only about 1,000 jobs in the steel industry.” Furthermore, he writes that “pro-
tectionism and similar progressive policies tend to weaken American security.”
Lassman maintains that “trade creates peace,” and if China weren’t so reliant upon
trade with the U.S., it would be “much more unstable and dangerous.” He thinks
American influence in China—“Internet memes, fashion, movies”—can “play a
vital role in helping to turn China from an authoritarian threat into a freer and
less hostile power.”
Ultimately, Lassman believes that we should lower or repeal tariffs—including
eliminating “the destructive Trump–Biden tariffs”—in order to make goods more
affordable for Americans. He thinks free trade will improve our economy, enhance
our national security, and keep future left-leaning Congresses from insisting that
future left-leaning Presidents “negotiate for as many trade-unrelated provisions
as possible to benefit labor and green constituencies.”
Navarro disagrees with Lassman almost across the board. He writes, “Trade policy
can and must play an essential role in an American manufacturing and defense indus-
trial base renaissance,” which he says is crucial to our country’s future. But two forces
in particular “are pushing America in the opposite direction.” First, the World Trade
Organization’s (WTO) “most favored nation” rules encourage our trade partners to
adopt high tariffs, which lead to our “chronic” trade deficits and make us “the globe’s
biggest trade loser and victim of unfair, unbalanced, and non-reciprocal trade.” For
example, Navarro writes, tariffs on imported automobiles are 2.5 percent in the U.S.,
10 percent in the European Union, and 15 percent in China. Second, China’s “eco-
nomic aggression” in the form of “tariffs, nontariff barriers, dumping, counterfeiting
and piracy, and currency manipulation” further weakens our “manufacturing and
defense industrial base even as the fragility of globally dispersed supply chains has
been brought into sharp relief by the COVID-19 pandemic.”
In contrast to Lassman, Navarro thinks that “trade deficits matter a great deal.”
He writes that “offshoring not only suppresses the real wages of American blue-col-
lar workers and denies millions of Americans the opportunity to climb up the rungs
of the ladder to the middle class,” but it also “raises the specter of a manufacturing
and defense industrial base that, unlike our experience in World Wars I and II,
will not be able to provide the weapons and matériel that would be needed should
America enter another major world war.” Also, China controls “much of the world’s
pharmaceutical production and supply chains.” It is therefore essential, he writes,
that our trade policy be guided by “the principle of reciprocity,” whereby we coax
other countries into lowering their trade barriers if possible and raise ours as nec-
essary. Moreover, he says we should “decouple” our economy from China’s.
China’s goal, Navarro says, is “to shift the world’s manufacturing and supply
chains” to its soil, thereby strengthening its “defense industrial base and associated
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
field of play.”
Opposing the bank, de Rugy writes, “EXIM operates in effect as a protectionist
agency that picks winners and losers in the market by providing political privileges
to firms that are already well-financed.” She denies it promotes exports and argues
it hurts small businesses, which often have to compete against large businesses
that are able to get the loans. She writes that it also helps foreign companies, such
as state-run China Air, that buy U.S. exports from American companies such as
Boeing. The bottom line, she says, “is that the Bank should be abolished.”
In Chapter 21, former assistant secretary of commerce Thomas F. Gilman
describes the Department of Commerce as dominated by career staff who are unin-
terested in implementing the President’s priorities. The department clearly needs
far more political leadership, including at the Census Bureau, as Gilman notes.
The Census Bureau, unlike much of the federal government, has a constitution-
ally required mission. Yet the 2020 Census was at least somewhat compromised
by overly risk-averse COVID policies that prevented census field representatives
from going door-to-door for much of that year. The Census Bureau’s website, one
of the worst in the federal government, buries crucial statistics where only aca-
demics or advocates are likely to find them. In addition, Gilman writes that a new
Administration should ensure that the Bureau of Economic Affairs, also housed at
Commerce, “conducts its statistical analysis in a consistent and objective manner.”
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Tax policy has a powerful impact on the economy. The Treasury Department
should develop and promote tax reform legislation that will promote
prosperity. To accomplish this, tax reform should improve incentives to
work, save, and invest. This, in turn, is accomplished primarily by reducing
marginal tax rates, reducing the cost of capital, and broadening the tax base to
eliminate tax-induced economic distortions by eliminating special-interest
tax credits, deductions, and exclusions. Tax compliance costs will decline
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
digital currency, which “would provide unprecedented surveillance and potential
control of financial transactions,” should be rejected.
Even more ambitiously, Winfree suggests that the next Administration should
think about proposing legislation that would “effectively abolish” the Federal
Reserve and replace it with “free banking,” whereby “neither interest rates nor
the supply of money” would be “controlled by government.” Free banking would
produce a “stable and sound” currency and a “strong” financial system, “while
allowing lending to flourish.” Alternatively, Winfree writes, the next Administra-
tion should “consider the feasibility of a return to the gold standard.”
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21
DEPARTMENT OF
COMMERCE
Thomas F. Gilman
T
he Department of Commerce is charged with promoting economic growth,
innovation, and competitiveness while providing the data that American
businesses need to succeed. Intended to serve with clarity of purpose as
the voice of business in any President’s Cabinet, the Department of Commerce has
suffered from decades of regulatory capture, ideological drift, and lack of focus. One
long-standing joke maintains that the department, with its lack of coherence, is a
holding company for the parts of the federal government that could not be housed
elsewhere. Thus, in the 1990s, calls emerged to abolish the department and either
spin off, zero-out, or consolidate its functions among other entities.1
At the same time, the department has a higher profile now than perhaps ever
in its history. It possesses key tools to address decades of poor decision-making
in Washington and is central to any plan to reverse the precipitous economic
decline sparked by the Biden Administration and to counter Communist China.
Both assertions can be equally true, that the department possesses the expertise,
programs, and authorities that will be crucial to the success of a conservative
presidency and that its role in the federal bureaucracy would benefit from
streamlining and reform.
Many programs at the Department of Commerce overlap in whole or part with
other governmental programs, and consolidating and streamlining these could
increase both accountability and return on taxpayer investment. Any exercise in
government-wide budgeting and reform should review the department with an eye
toward consolidation, elimination, or privatization that examines the efficiency,
effectiveness, and underlying philosophy of each individual component. Though
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
not an exhaustive set of proposals, the next conservative President should con-
sider whether:
The U.S. Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO) should be made into a
Almost every element of the department can be viewed through this lens, but
with today’s political reality and multiple competing congressional committee
jurisdictions, drastic structural change to the department is neither imminent
nor likely. Thus, this chapter largely accepts the baseline of today’s department
and proposes a bold, but achievable, set of proposals for an incoming conservative
Administration.
Whatever the imperfections of the Department of Commerce, it is blessed with
many quality civil servants and strong statutory authorities that, directed properly,
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
can help ensure U.S. success in 2025 and beyond. With that in mind, this chapter
focuses primarily on policy, strategy, and occasionally tactics that are either imme-
diately implementable under strong leadership or are critical to mission success.
detailees with trusted and knowledgeable career staff on an as-needed basis.
Department of Commerce leadership should also fight to restore direct fund-
ing and additional political appointee positions to OS and its constituent parts
involved in implementing and communicating the Commerce Secretary’s and
President’s policy priorities.
Administration, Budget, and Appropriations. Recent practice has been for
career staff to serve as gatekeepers between department leadership and external
budget and appropriations partners at the OMB and on Capitol Hill. By serving
not just as a central point of contact but as the sole staff-level communicators of
departmental priorities, these career officials can, have, and will slow down—and
even stop—changes in policy, even at the line-office level.
Although the following is true at all agencies, it is particularly important at the
Department of Commerce that political leadership be immediately installed at the
Office of the Chief Financial Officer (CFO) and Assistant Secretary for Administra-
tion (ASA), and that political appointees receive a mandate to communicate with
external partners alongside career staff at every stage of the budget and appropri-
ations process. Political appointees must also monitor internal CFO operations
down to the operating division level to ensure that funds are not being diverted
to programs that do not align with Administration priorities, as has regularly hap-
pened in years past.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
China, continually seek to undermine U.S. interests, the U.S. cannot unilaterally
disarm. To do so would harm the cause of free trade in the long term, and, in any
event, Congress is not likely to drastically change the composition or authoriza-
tion of the ITA. Thus, a policy and management agenda that serves conservative
priorities is crucial.
In a conservative Administration, the ITA should operate with the follow-
ing priorities:
l Enable the private sector to drive innovation and remain globally competitive.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
against trade-distorting actions by other governments. Procedures governing the
day-to-day administration of proceedings, as well as policies driving critical deci-
sions in proceedings, require a fresh look. Ultimately, E&C’s mandate is to conduct
a rigorous but also fair, objective, and balanced review of the record in each pro-
ceeding and to make decisions without bias.
It is exceedingly unlikely that Congress would abolish or limit the activity of
E&C. Therefore, the proposals below are made under the assumption that an
incoming Administration will operate E&C within its current legal, institutional,
and political confines and set a path forward to wield E&C’s considerable power to
achieve the goals of a conservative Administration. These proposals can be broken
into three categories: process, policy, and addressing China.
Process
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l Work with Customs and Border Protection (CBP) and other relevant
agencies to address circumvention and duty evasion, and promote policies
that encourage full duty collection to ensure the integrity of AD/CVD and
circumvention orders.
Policy
l Reverse the practice of giving the benefit of the doubt to foreign companies
versus U.S. companies in AD/CVD proceedings.
l Establish a policy for addressing companies that invest heavily in the U.S.
and thus have large import volumes, exposing them to AD/CVD petitions.
Addressing China
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
In addition to these changes, continued support for steel and aluminum market
analysis and import monitoring remains crucial to the U.S. defense industrial base
and the health of global manufacturing. Without these functions, it is difficult to
address massive subsidization, overcapacity, and dumping by China.
Industry and Analysis. Industry and Analysis (I&A) consists of a team of econ-
omists and industry experts that provides important analysis to partners across
the government, including the White House and USTR, as well as the public.
As the Department of Commerce’s Committee on Foreign Investments in the
United States (CFIUS) lead, I&A performs crucial work to ensure that the proper
economic impact/supply chain analysis is brought to national security risk assess-
ments. This analysis is needed for CFIUS to be an effective tool in preventing China
and other adversaries from exploiting the U.S.’s open investment climate.
I&A also provides impact assessments and economic modeling for policy
options under Administration consideration; plays a critical role in identifying
trade barriers and providing industry-specific expertise for USTR during free trade
agreement (FTA) negotiations; and does indispensable work ensuring cross-bor-
der data flows, particularly with Europe, remain open and relatively unrestricted.
However, outside of these functions, implementation of I&A’s mission as an
intellectual engine for U.S. trade and investment policy can often lack energy and
focus. For instance, the Top Market Reports that represent a large volume of I&A
work do not serve a specific strategic function and could be better replaced by
industry competitiveness assessments in critical sectors of the economy.
Strong and capable leadership is needed in I&A to ensure Administration pri-
orities permeate the organization and that staff support Administration priorities.
I&A produces a mandatory report to Congress regarding the Miscellaneous Tariff
Bill, which focuses solely on U.S. capacity in the goods being considered for tariff
exclusions and does not include highly relevant information on capacity among
FTA partners and close allies. The resulting final report has thus been used to lobby
for tariff reductions on thousands of imports from China without concern for any
other factors. This lack of priority given to FTA partners is troubling.
Going forward, I&A should be permanently restructured to perform supply-chain
analysis on an ongoing basis for the U.S. government, identifying potential vulner-
abilities like those exposed by the pandemic and resulting shortages in everything
from semiconductors to baby formula. Furthermore, permanent standing teams
should be established and staffed by properly aligned political appointees and trusted
career staff to analyze and spur action on the following priority policy issues:
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Global Markets and the U.S. and Foreign Commercial Service. For more
than a decade, strategic planning at Global Markets (GM) and the U.S. and For-
eign Commercial Service (CS) has been consistently undermined by increased
costs associated with overseas staff and flat or reduced budgets. The Trump
Administration introduced crucial, long-overdue business practices such as the
implementation of software to manage and track workflow, but a further strategic
overhaul of resource allocation is needed to set GM and the CS on a firm footing.
Currently, CS manages staff spread over 106 domestic offices in 77 countries
around the world. Abroad, several “partner posts” utilize interagency staff and
regionally located CS officials to offer services without a permanent physical
in-country CS presence. Given the rapidly rising costs imposed by the State Depart-
ment on CS posts overseas, a drastic expansion of this model is likely needed.
Ultimately, difficult decisions must be made about the value of CS posts and
whether individual posts can be justified given current resources and the above
criteria. If the State Department deems the diplomatic value of a permanent
in-country CS post to be vital to the national interest, then State should bear more
of the cost of maintaining that post.
Global Markets should also consolidate and elevate the Advocacy Center and
SelectUSA as relatively low-cost tools to drive large-scale export transactions
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
and foreign direct investment (FDI). SelectUSA is a low-cost and effective tool in
attracting FDI to the U.S. and to re-shore manufacturing and research and devel-
opment. In a world in which corruption is rampant, these are among the most
effective tools in leveling the playing field for U.S. communities and companies
seeking to engage with governments and potential overseas investors.
Given the value placed on senior-level engagement by many governments and
companies, this consolidated Office of Trade and Investment Advocacy should be
headed by a Deputy Assistant Secretary. The new office should also seek congres-
sional authorization to utilize its FDI-promotion tools to encourage reshoring by
U.S. businesses.
Rather than promulgate policies to better prevent technology transfer, the U.S.
government has either ignored the problem or, worse, from 2008 through 2016
instituted a government-wide “Export Control Reform” process to loosen the
Export Administration Regulations (EAR) governing exports of dual-use items
to facilitate technology transfer to adversaries, either directly or indirectly through
third-country transfers.
Those reforms still present in the Department of Commerce’s EAR must be
reversed. The United States needs stronger rules to protect technology transfer
to adversaries while promoting technology integration and interoperability with
allies. Further, U.S. export control regulations should be utilized to prevent theft
of personally identifiable information and to encourage U.S. companies to shift
production out of China and further diversify their supply chains to better advance
U.S. national security interests.
For all the below recommendations, BIS needs to move unilaterally while it
works with allies to implement complementary export control policies. Waiting
to act until allies are ready to move in lockstep is not an option while America’s
national security is at risk.
Emerging and Foundational Technologies. The Export Control Reform Act
of 2018 (ECRA) gave BIS permanent statutory authority to regulate exports of
dual-use items (goods, software, and technology). ECRA also mandated that BIS
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
need to lead the dispute resolution, and this process should be revised by giving lead
authority to BIS’s Under Secretary, who is better able to account for diverging views.
Moreover, BIS’s authority to overrule other agency votes should be changed.
Each agency should have one equal vote and, if a licensing dispute remains unre-
solved, the final decision should be elevated to the National Security Advisor and
the Secretaries of Defense, State, Commerce, and Energy.
Additionally, to improve congressional oversight of BIS’s license adjudication
process, BIS should provide specific congressional committees with data from the
Automated Export System on a quarterly basis. Electronic files should contain
U.S. exporter by name; product description (e.g., harmonized system code and
ECCN/U. S. Munitions List designation); end user and destination country; and
when a license was required, whether the license was granted or denied. BIS cur-
rently denies just 1.2 percent of export licenses. These data reporting requirements
can help Congress better determine whether BIS is adequately protecting national
security through appropriate use of export controls or whether additional direction
from Congress is required.
Improve End-Use Checks. The integrity of the export control system may be
validated only through adequate end-use checks. BIS must deny export licenses
to countries that do not permit adequate end-use checks (e.g., China/Russia) by
U.S. authorities. BIS should also strengthen the forensic audit capabilities of its
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Export Enforcement officers through improved and frequent training so they are
able to detect export-control violations.
EAR Revisions. The U.S. Government needs a new export control moderniza-
tion effort to tighten the EAR policies governing licenses to countries of concern,
including China and Russia (specifically, revise and/or reverse the 2008 through
2016 policies).
When authoritarian governments explain what they plan to do, believe them unless
hard evidence demonstrates otherwise. Case in point: China’s and Russia’s stated
civil–military fusion policies demand central government command-and-control
style systems in which every private entity serves the interests of the state and is
forced to provide technology, services, capacity, and data to the central govern-
ment and the military. Through this structure, commercial activities are routinely
weaponized by authoritarian regimes that repeatedly identify the U.S. as an enemy.
Accordingly, U.S. export control policies must be updated to reflect these realities
and the associated threats to national security.
Key priorities for EAR modernization for countries of concern should be:
l Eliminating license exceptions;
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
The next few years will prove or disprove the assertion that the U.S. stands on
the precipice of a Cold War with China. Many believe that a Cold War has already
begun; if so, then strategic decoupling from China is necessary and, fundamentally,
any exports of goods, software, and technology to countries of concern, whether
directly or indirectly, should be prohibited or controlled in the absence of good
cause (e.g., humanitarian and medical aid, food aid).
Entity List and Sanctions. There are currently just over 500 Chinese and over
500 Russian companies on the Department of Commerce’s Entity List, which reg-
ulates exports of controlled and uncontrolled items to designated entities. Given
China’s Civil–Military Fusion Strategy and Russia’s massive war efforts facili-
tated by a broad range of the Russian economy, BIS must add more entities to the
Entity List and apply a license review “policy of denial” that prohibits exports to
these entities.
Entity List parties that violate export controls should be placed on the BIS
Denied Persons List (and thereby lose export privileges) and, if the violations are
significant enough, they should also be sanctioned by the Department of Treasury.
Data Transfer and Apps Used for Surveillance. Department of Commerce
leadership should work across government agencies to address privacy and data
concerns arising out of “big tech” from national security and export control per-
spectives. In particular, they should draft and implement an executive order (EO)
based on the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, which expands export
control authority beyond ECRA’s scope (goods, software, technology) to regulate and
restrict exports of U.S. persons’ data to countries of concern. The EO should establish
a framework for the types of personal data subject to export controls and licensing
policy by country, and the BIS should implement the EO through regulations.
BIS should additionally designate app providers (such as WeChat and
ByteDance/TikTok) known for undermining U.S. national security through data
collection, surveillance, and influence operations, to the Entity List. This listing
would prevent app users from program updates, which would quickly make these
apps non-operational in the United States.
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Together, these form a colossal operation that has become one of the main
drivers of the climate change alarm industry and, as such, is harmful to future
U.S. prosperity. This industry’s mission emphasis on prediction and management
seems designed around the fatal conceit of planning for the unplannable. That is
not to say NOAA is useless, but its current organization corrupts its useful func-
tions. It should be broken up and downsized.
NOAA today boasts that it is a provider of environmental information services,
a provider of environmental stewardship services, and a leader in applied scientific
research. Each of these functions could be provided commercially, likely at lower
cost and higher quality.
Focus the NWS on Commercial Operations. Each day, Americans rely on
weather forecasts and warnings provided by local radio stations and colleges that
are produced not by the NWS, but by private companies such as AccuWeather.
Studies have found that the forecasts and warnings provided by the private com-
panies are more reliable than those provided by the NWS.2
The NWS provides data the private companies use and should focus on its
data-gathering services. Because private companies rely on these data, the NWS
should fully commercialize its forecasting operations.
NOAA does not currently utilize commercial partnerships as some other
agencies do. Commercialization of weather technologies should be prioritized
to ensure that taxpayer dollars are invested in the most cost-efficient technol-
ogies for high quality research and weather data. Investing in different sizes of
commercial partners will increase competition while ensuring that the govern-
ment solutions provided by each contract is personalized to the needs of NOAA’s
weather programs.
The NWS should be a candidate to become a Performance-Based Organization
to better enforce organizational focus on core functions such as efficient delivery
of accurate, timely, and unbiased data to the public and to the private sector.3
Review the Work of the National Hurricane Center and the National
Environmental Satellite Service. The National Hurricane Center and National
Environmental Satellite Service data centers provide important public safety and
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
business functions as well as academic functions, and are used by forecasting agen-
cies and scientists internationally. Data continuity is an important issue in climate
science. Data collected by the department should be presented neutrally, without
adjustments intended to support any one side in the climate debate.
Transfer NOS Survey Functions to the U.S. Coast Guard and the U.S. Geo-
logical Survey. Survey operations have historically accounted for almost half the
NOS budget. These functions could be transferred to the U.S. Coast Guard and U.S.
Geological Survey to increase efficiency. NOS’ expansion of the National Marine
Sanctuaries System should also be reviewed, as discussed below.
Streamline NMFS. Overlap exists between the National Marine Fisheries
Service and the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service. Overly simplified, the NMFS handles
saltwater species while the Fish and Wildlife Service focuses on fresh water. The
goals of these two agencies should be streamlined.
Harmonize the Magnuson–Stevens Act with the National Marine Sanctuaries
Act. Under the auspices of NOS, marine sanctuaries (including no-fishing zones)
are being established country-wide, often conflicting with the goals of the Magnu-
son–Stevens Act fisheries management authorities of NOAA Fisheries, regional
fishery management councils, and relevant states.
Withdraw the 30x30 Executive Order and Associated America the Beautiful Ini-
tiative. The 30x30 Executive Order and the American the Beautiful Initiative are
being used to advance an agenda to close vast areas of the ocean to commercial
activities, including fishing, while rapidly advancing offshore wind energy devel-
opment to the detriment of fisheries and other existing ocean-based industries.
Modify Regulations Implementing the Marine Mammal Protection Act and the
Endangered Species Act. These acts are currently being abused at a cost to fisheries
and Native American subsistence activities around the U.S.
Allow a NEPA Exemption for Fisheries Actions. All the requirements for robust
analysis of the biological, economic, and social impacts of proposed regulatory
action in fisheries are contained with the Magnuson–Stevens Act, the guiding Act
for fisheries. NEPA overlays these requirements with onerous, redundant, and
time-consuming process requirements, which routinely cause unnecessary delays
in the promulgation of timely fisheries management actions. The Department
of Commerce and the Council on Environmental Quality should collaborate to
reduce this redundancy.
Downsize the Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research. OAR provides
theoretical science, as opposed to the applied science of the National Hurricane
Center. OAR is, however, the source of much of NOAA’s climate alarmism. The
preponderance of its climate-change research should be disbanded. OAR is a large
network of research laboratories, an undersea research center, and several joint
research institutes with universities. These operations should be reviewed with
an aim of consolidation and reduction of bloat.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
ership in one of the most crucial industries of the future. The Office’s current
mission has been lost owing to its position within NESDIS, which sees no role
for itself in advancing the industry and the space economy, including ensuring
global competitiveness. OSC is, by law, the Department of Commerce’s lead on
space policy and must therefore link directly to all the bureaus and other orga-
nizations within the department. The Office needs to be returned to OS, within
which it existed for the first two decades of its existence. From OS, the Office
could serve as a coordinating entity for the whole-of-government commercial
space policy desperately needed to secure America’s place as the global leader
in commercial space operations.
There presently exists no unified U.S. government policy on commercial space
operations, with the Federal Communications Commission largely responsible
for establishing space policy by default through its regulation of radio spectrum
licenses. Now that routine space operations are commercially viable, it is critical
that a new Administration establish reasonable government policies that ensure
the U.S. will continue to be the flag of choice for commercial space activities. The
President should, by executive order, direct the Office of Space Commerce, working
with the National Space Council, to establish a whole-of-government policy for
licensing and oversight of commercial space operations.
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CENSUS BUREAU
The Census Bureau’s core mission is to execute the executive branch’s constitu-
tional mandate to conduct a census every 10 years, but its activities have steadily
grown and shifted to include the economic census, American Communities Survey,
and further functions outside of its core mission.
An incoming conservative Administration should focus on three areas: day-to-
day management, the decennial census, and other programs. Each of these will
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Day-to-Day Management
l Command and control. Strong political leadership is needed to increase
efficiency and align the Census Bureau’s mission with conservative
principles. Personnel is key to ensuring that a new Administration can guide
preparations for the 2030 census and oversee the continued operation
of the Bureau’s many surveys. To move bureaucracy on key priorities,
appointed staff should be in place at the Bureau as early as feasible after
a new President takes office. This will require the Office of Personnel
Management to allocate additional political appointee positions to the
Census Bureau.
technology, and human resources systems of the Census Bureau.
Decennial Census
l Fully vet existing planning and budgeting from Day One. Planning
and budgets for the 2030 decennial census will be finalized in fall 2025,
including many decisions on how to use, develop, and administer the count.
An incoming Administration should immediately audit the lifecycle cost
estimate (LCCE) for the 2030 census and conduct a new LCCE if necessary.
This will ensure that budget requests are accurate and up-to-date and
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information.
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l Building on the initial success of Opportunity Zones, which incentivized
over $75 billion in private sector investment in distressed communities by
the end of 2020 with little up-front cost to the taxpayer.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l Support like-minded countries as candidates for leadership in the World
Intellectual Property Organization and build strong relationships with
international partners to strengthen intellectual property rights.
l Take a balanced approach to the Patent Trial and Appeal Board and
prioritize rapid and transparent processing of applications and appeals.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
that do not allow open access to their markets should not be setting the
standards for markets that do allow open access. The incoming Administration
should consider increased government-sponsored participation by private
companies and government employees with relevant expertise.
challenge of rapidly deploying 5G without compromising other priorities. Further
recommendations include:
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CONCLUSION
The above policies, strategies, and tactics will set a new Administration on
firm footing that allows the Department of Commerce to assist the President in
implementing a bold agenda that delivers economic prosperity and strong national
security to the American people. While many of the department’s functions fall
outside the remit of the federal government, its unique authorities in diverse areas
provide critical tools that can and should be brought to bear in implementing a
conservative governing philosophy that keeps Americans safe and provides oppor-
tunity for all.
AUTHOR’S NOTE: This chapter includes invaluable input from over a dozen alumni of the Department of
Commerce and numerous other members of the 2025 Presidential Transition Project. All contributors to this
chapter are listed at the front of this volume, but James Rockas, Nazak Nikakhtar, Louis Heinzer, Robert Burkett,
Iain Murray, Michael Gonzalez, David Legates, and Kristen Eichamer deserve special recognition. The author alone
assumes responsibility for the content of this chapter, and no views expressed herein should be attributed to any
other individual.
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ENDNOTES
1. Commerce Department Termination and Government Reorganization Act of 1995, S. Rep. 104–164, 104th
Cong., 1st Sess., October 20, 1995; Angela Antonelli, “Five Good Reasons to Close Down The Department
of Commerce,” Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 1181, May 20, 1998, https://www.heritage.org/
budget-and-spending/report/five-good-reasons-close-down-the-department-commerce; and Competitive
Enterprise Institute, “Shrinking Government Bureaucracy: Reorganizing the Executive Branch to Boost
Economic Growth and Freedom,” August 2017, https://cei.org/shrinking-government-bureaucracy/ (accessed
December 16, 2022).
2. News release, “Latest Study of 120 Million Forecasts Proves AccuWeather Forecasts Are More Accurate,”
AccuWeather, January 14, 2020, https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/latest-study-of-120-million-
forecasts-proves-accuweather-forecasts-are-most-accurate-300986848.html (accessed December 16, 2022).
3. In general, performance-based organizations are established to set forth clear measures of performance,
hold the head of the organization accountable for achieving results, and grant the head of the organization
authority to deviate from government rules if needed to achieve agreed-upon results.
4. Federal Register, Vol. 34, No. 45 (March 7, 1969), pp. 4935–4938.
5. U.S. Department of Commerce, Minority Business Development Agency, “The History of the MBDA,” https://
www.mbda.gov/about/history (accessed March 15, 2023).
6. Ashley Winston, The Contribution of Minority Business Enterprises to the U.S. Economy, U.S. Department
of Commerce, Minority Business Development Agency, September 2021, p. 7, https://www.mbda.gov/sites/
default/files/2021-09/The%20Contribution%20of%20MBEs%20to%20US%20Economy%20Report%20%20
-%20September%202021.pdf (accessed March 2, 2023).
7. 35 U.S. Code § 101.
8. National Institute of Standards and Technology, “About NIST,” https://www.nist.gov/about-nist (accessed
December 16, 2022).
9. Donald J. Trump, “Executive Order on Securing the Information and Communications Technology and Services
Supply Chain” Executive Order No. 13873, May 15, 2019, https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/presidential-
actions/executive-order-securing-information-communications-technology-services-supply-chain/ (accessed
March 20, 2023).
— 689 —
22
DEPARTMENT OF
THE TREASURY
William L. Walton,
Stephen Moore,
and David R. Burton
INTRODUCTION
The U.S. Treasury Department has a broad regulatory and policy reach. The
next Administration should make major policy changes to: (1) reduce regulatory
impediments to economic growth that reduce living standards and endanger pros-
perity; (2) reduce regulatory compliance costs that increase prices and cost jobs;
(3) promote fiscal responsibility; (4) promote the international competitiveness
of U.S. businesses; and (5) better respect the American people’s due process and
privacy rights.
These goals should be accomplished through: executive action (primar-
ily treasury orders and treasury directives) and departmental reorganization;
rulemakings; promoting constructive policies in Congress; actions in international
organizations; and treaties.
The primary subject matter focus of the incoming Administration’s Treasury
Department should be:
l Fiscal responsibility;
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Why has the Biden Administration failed to achieve virtually all components of
its mission? Under the leadership of Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, the depart-
ment has made “equity” and “climate change” among its top five priorities. The
next Administration must act decisively to curtail activities that fall outside Trea-
sury’s mandate and primary mission. Treasury must refocus on its core missions
of promoting economic growth, prosperity, and economic stability.
For a clear statement of Treasury’s mission drift, one need look no further
than Secretary Yellen’s introduction in the Treasury Department’s Fiscal Year
2022–2026 Strategic Plan:
We will have to address the structural problems that have plagued our
economy for decades: the decline in labor force participation, income and
racial inequality, and serious underinvestment in crucial public goods like
childcare, education, and physical infrastructure. And then there are rising
challenges, like climate change, which, left unchecked, will undermine every
aspect of our economy from supply chains to the financial system.3
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sible for financing the federal government, promoting economic prosperity, and
ensuring the financial security of the United States. In fiscal year 2022, Treasury
received discretionary appropriations of approximately $16.4 billion.7 It also has
highly variable “mandatory” expenses (COVID-related CARES Act spending,
for example).
In fiscal year (FY) 2022, Treasury employed approximately 96,000 full-time
employees, including approximately 81,000 at the Internal Revenue Service
(IRS).8 Approximately four-fifths of Treasury’s discretionary funds are used for
IRS operations. The remaining amounts are for its offices, bureaus, and interna-
tional assistance programs.
Treasury is organized into various departmental offices,9 seven bureaus,10 and
four inspectors general.11
Departmental Offices. Departmental offices are composed of divisions headed
by under-secretaries and assistant secretaries who are primarily responsible for
policy formulation and overall management of the Treasury Department.
Domestic Finance is run by the Under Secretary for Domestic Finance, to whom
the assistant secretaries for financial markets, financial stability, financial institu-
tions and the fiscal assistant secretary report. Additionally, the Financial Stability
Oversight Council (FSOC) Secretariat and the Office of Financial Research report
to the Under Secretary for Domestic Finance.
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The Alcohol and Tobacco Tax and Trade Bureau collects federal excise taxes
on alcohol, tobacco, firearms, and ammunition, and is responsible for enforcing
and administering laws covering the production, use, and distribution of alco-
hol products.
The Internal Revenue Service is the largest of the department’s bureaus, account-
ing for about 85 percent of Treasury’s personnel and about four-fifths of its
appropriated budget. It administers and enforces U.S. tax laws.
The Bureau of Engraving and Printing develops and produces U.S. currency notes.
The Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) is designed to protect
the financial system from illicit use. It also administers the beneficial ownership
reporting regime mandated by the Corporate Transparency Act.12
The Bureau of the Fiscal Service provides central payment services to federal
program agencies, operates the U.S. government’s collections and deposit systems,
provides government-wide accounting and reporting services, manages the collec-
tion of delinquent debt owed to the U.S. government, borrows the money needed to
operate the government through the sale of U.S. Treasury securities (including the
state and local government series), and accounts for and services the public debt.
The United States Mint designs and mints U.S. circulating and bullion coins.
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) charters, regulates, and
supervises national banks and federal savings associations (thrifts) to ensure that
they operate in a safe and sound manner, provide fair access to financial services,
and comply with applicable laws and regulations. The OCC also supervises fed-
eral branches and agencies of foreign banks and has rulemaking authority for all
savings associations.
TAX POLICY
Tax policy has a powerful impact on the economy. The Treasury Department
should develop and promote tax reform legislation that will promote prosperity.
To accomplish this, tax reform should improve incentives to work, save, and invest.
This, in turn, is accomplished primarily by reducing marginal tax rates,13 reducing
the cost of capital14 and broadening the tax base to eliminate tax-induced economic
distortions by eliminating special-interest tax credits, deductions, and exclusions.
Tax compliance costs will decline precipitously if the tax system is substantially
simplified.15 The Treasury Department should also promote tax competition rather
than supporting an international tax cartel.
Principles of Good Tax Policy. These are the principles governing
good tax policy.
l First, the tax system should raise the revenue necessary to fund a limited
government for constitutionally appropriate activities. It should raise this
revenue such that it: (a) applies the least economically destructive forms of
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
taxation;16 (b) has low tax rates on a broad, neutral tax base; (c) minimizes
interference with the operation of the free market and free enterprise; and
(d) minimizes the cost to taxpayers of compliance with and administration
of the tax system.
l Second, the tax system should minimize its adverse impact on the family
and the core institutions of civil society.
The current tax system is inconsistent with these principles and needs to be
reformed to promote prosperity, reduce compliance costs, and improve fairness.
The incoming Administration should promote immediate intermediate reforms
to the existing system. It should then pursue fundamental tax reform.
Intermediate Tax Reform. The Treasury should work with Congress to sim-
plify the tax code by enacting a simple two-rate individual tax system of 15 percent
and 30 percent that eliminates most deductions, credits and exclusions. The 30
percent bracket should begin at or near the Social Security wage base to ensure
the combined income and payroll tax structure acts as a nearly flat tax on wage
income beyond the standard deduction. The corporate income tax rate should
be reduced to 18 percent. The corporate income tax is the most damaging tax in
the U.S. tax system, and its primary economic burden falls on workers because
capital is more mobile than labor.17 Capital gains and qualified dividends should
be taxed at 15 percent. Thus, the combined corporate income tax combined with
the capital gains or qualified dividends tax rate would be roughly equal to the top
individual income tax rate.18 The system should allow immediate expensing for
capital expenditures and index capital gains taxes for inflation.
In addition, intermediate tax reform should repeal all tax increases that were
passed as part of the Inflation Reduction Act,19 including the book minimum tax,
the stock buyback excise tax, the coal excise tax, the reinstated Superfund tax, and
excise taxes on drug manufacturers to compel them to comply with Medicare price
controls. The next Administration should also push for legislation to fully repeal
recently passed subsidies in the tax code, including the dozens of credits and tax
breaks for green energy companies in Subtitle D of the Inflation Reduction Act.20
Universal Savings Accounts. All taxpayers should be allowed to contribute
up to $15,000 (adjusted for inflation) of post-tax earnings into Universal Savings
Accounts (USAs). The tax treatment of these accounts would be comparable to
Roth IRAs. USAs should be highly flexible to allow Americans to save and invest as
they see fit, including, for example, investments in a closely held business. Gains
from investments in USAs would be non-taxable and could be withdrawn at any
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time for any purpose. This would allow the vast majority of American families to
save and invest without facing a punitive double layer of taxation.
Entrepreneurship. To encourage entrepreneurship, the business loss limita-
tion should be increased to at least $500,000. Businesses should also be allowed to
fully carry forward net operating losses. Extra layers of taxes on investment and
capital should also be eliminated or reduced. The net investment income surtax
and the base erosion anti-abuse tax should be eliminated. The estate and gift tax
should be reduced to no higher than 20 percent, and the 2017 tax bill’s temporary
increase in the exemption amount from $5.5 million to $12.9 million (adjusted
for inflation) should be made permanent.21 The tax on global intangible low-taxed
income should be reduced to no higher than 12.5 percent, with the 20 percent
haircut on related foreign tax credits reduced or eliminated.22
All non-business tax deductions and exemptions that were temporarily sus-
pended by the 2017 tax bill should be permanently repealed, including the bicycle
commuting expense exclusion, non-military moving expense deductions, and the
miscellaneous itemized deductions.23 The individual state and local tax deduction,
which was temporarily capped at $10,000, should be fully repealed. Deductions
related to educational expenses should be repealed. Special business tax pref-
erences, such as a special deduction for energy-efficient commercial building
properties, should be eliminated.24
Wages vs. Benefits. The current tax code has a strong bias that incentivizes
businesses to offer employees more generous benefits and lower wages. This limits
the freedom of workers and their families to spend their compensation as they
see fit—and it can trap workers in their current jobs due to the jobs’ benefit pack-
ages. Wage income is taxed under the individual income tax and under the payroll
tax. However, most forms of non-wage benefits are wholly exempt from both of
these taxes.
To reduce this tax bias against wages (as opposed to employee benefits), the
next Administration should set a meaningful cap (no higher than $12,000 per year
per full-time equivalent employee—and preferably lower) on untaxed benefits
that employers can claim as deductions. Employee benefit expenses other than
tax-deferred retirement account contributions should count toward the limita-
tion, whether offered to specific employees or whether the costs relate to a shared
benefit like building gym facilities for employees.25 Tax-deferred retirement con-
tributions by employers should not count toward this limitation insofar as they
are fully taxable upon distribution. Only a percentage of Health Savings Accounts
(HSA) contributions (which are not taxed upon withdrawal) should count toward
the limitation.26 The limitation on benefit deductions should not be indexed to
increase with inflation.27 Employers should also be denied deductions for health
insurance and other benefits provided to employee dependents if the dependents
are aged 23 or older.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
globally. The U.S. should not outsource its tax policy to international organizations.
Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development. The Organi-
zation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), in conjunction with
the European Union, has long tried to end financial privacy and impose regulations
on countries with low (or no) income taxes. In fact, on tax, environmental, corpo-
rate governance and employment issues, the OECD has become little more than
a taxpayer-funded left-wing think tank and lobbying organization.32 The United
States provides about one-fifth of OECD’s funding.33 The U.S. should end its finan-
cial support and withdraw from the OECD.
TAX ADMINISTRATION
The Internal Revenue Service is a poorly managed, utterly unresponsive and
increasingly politicized agency, and has been for at least two decades. It is time for
meaningful reform to improve the efficiency and fairness of tax administration,
better protect taxpayer rights, and achieve greater transparency and accountability.
A substantial number of the problems attributed to the IRS are actually a function
of congressional action that has made the Internal Revenue Code ridiculously
complex, imposed tremendous administrative burdens on both the public and the
IRS, and given massive non-tax missions to the IRS. But the culture, administrative
practices, and management at the IRS need to change.
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Doubling the IRS? The Inflation Reduction Act contains a radical $80 billion
expansion of the IRS—enough to double the size of its workforce.34 Unless Congress
reverses this policy, the IRS will become much more intrusive and impose still
greater costs on the American people.
The Biden Administration has also sought to make the tax system’s adminis-
trative burden much worse in other ways. For example, it has proposed creating a
comprehensive financial account information reporting regime that would apply to
all business and personal accounts with more than $600. Banks would be required
to collect the taxpayer identification numbers of and file a revised Form 1099-K
for all affected payees, as well as provide additional information.35 This massive
increase in the scope and breadth of information reporting should be unequivo-
cally opposed.
Management. The IRS has approximately 81,000 employees.36 Of those, only
two are presidential appointments—the Commissioner and the Chief Counsel.37
As a practical matter, it is impossible for these two officials to overcome bureau-
cratic inertia and to implement policy changes that the IRS bureaucracy wants to
impede. That is why, notwithstanding decades of sound and fury, almost nothing
has changed at the IRS.
For the IRS to change and become more accountable, more transparent, and
better managed, there is a need to increase the number of Presidential appoint-
ments subject to Senate confirmation, and not subject to Senate confirmation, at
the IRS. At the very least, Congress should ensure that the Deputy Commissioner
for Services and Enforcement, the Deputy Commissioner for Operations Support,
the National Taxpayer Advocate, the Commissioner of the Wage and Investment
Division, the Commissioner of the Large Business and International Division,
the Commissioner of the Small Business Self-Employed Division, and the Com-
missioner of the Tax Exempt and Government Entities Division are presidential
appointees.38
Information Technology. Despite the investment of billions of dollars for at
least two decades, IRS information technology (IT) systems remain deficient.39
The IRS inadequately protects taxpayer information, its IT systems do not ade-
quately support operations or taxpayer services, and its matching and detection
algorithms are antiquated.
These problems are not primarily about resources. The IRS has spent approxi-
mately $27 billion on IT during the past decade, with $7 billion of that designated
as “development, modernization and enhancement.“40 The problem is one of man-
agement. The bureaucracy is not up to the task, and neither Congress nor a long
line of IRS commissioners has forced changes.
A Deputy Commissioner for Operations Support with strong IT management
skills should be appointed by the IRS Commissioner or the President (once the
position is made a presidential appointment). The various subordinates to the
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Congress should provide the Office of the Taxpayer Advocate with greater
resources so that it may better assist taxpayers suffering from wrongful IRS actions.
The office should also be strengthened by, among other things:
l Ensuring that the National Taxpayer Advocate can make his or her own
personnel decisions to protect its independence;
Administrative Burden. In 2021, Americans filed 261 million tax returns and
an astounding 4.7 billion information returns (such as Form W-2s, Form 1098s
and Form 1099s).46 Complying with tax law costs Americans more than $400 bil-
lion annually, or about 2 percent of gross domestic product.47 Although the IRS
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INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS
The Treasury Department should withdraw from Senate consideration the
Protocol Amending the Convention on Mutual Administrative Assistance in Tax
Matters.48 The protocol will lead to substantially more transnational identity theft,
crime, industrial espionage, financial fraud, and suppression of political oppo-
nents and religious or ethnic minorities by authoritarian and corrupt governments,
including China, Colombia, Nigeria, and Russia. Unlike the original multilateral
convention, the amended convention is open to all governments—including many
that are either hostile to the United States, have serious corruption problems, or
have inadequate privacy protections. The new Administration should also oppose
the multilateral Competent Authority Agreement on Automatic Exchange of
Financial Account Information.49
International organizations such as the OECD, the World Bank, and the Inter-
national Monetary Fund espouse economic theories and policies that are inimical
to American free market and limited government principles. The global elites who
operate the IMF regularly advance higher taxes and big centralized government.
The IMF has intervened in American policy debates—and has even recommended
that the U.S. raise taxes. The IMF’s record of advancing global financial stability
has been mixed at best. Its development assistance and lending programs in third-
world countries have more often than not retarded growth rather than advancing it.
The Treasury Department plays an important role in these international
institutions and should force reforms and new policies. The U.S., however, should
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
withdraw from both the World Bank and the IMF and terminate its financial con-
tribution to both institutions.
If the U.S. is to provide economic assistance or humanitarian aid to other nations,
it should do so unilaterally—not through the pass-throughs of international aid orga-
nizations, non-governmental organizations, or other nations. These organizations
and countries simply create expensive middle-men, while U.S. funds are intercepted
before being distributed to those in need. Also, these foreign entities have interests
that do not coincide with American national security and economic interests.
FISCAL RESPONSIBILITY
Treasury should make balancing the federal budget a mission-critical objective.
The federal budget absorbs enormous resources from the economy, both in money
taken from taxpayers and in money borrowed. The budget should be balanced by
driving down federal spending while maintaining a strong national defense and
not raising taxes.
To reduce interest payments on the debt, Treasury should lock in current rel-
atively low interest rates by issuing longer duration bonds, and even consider
creating a 50-year treasury bill. Most of the federal debt rolls over on average about
every three to four years. But interest rates, even with the latest Federal Reserve
rate increases, are still below the 5 percent historical average. Treasury would thus
save taxpayers money during the next several decades by issuing fewer short-term
notes that will probably have to be rolled over at higher rates in the future.
To promote transparency of finances, each year Americans should receive a
financial statement of the U.S. government alerting citizens of the revenues, expen-
ditures, deficit, and debt for the preceding fiscal year. The statement should also
include this individual family’s pro-rata share of the debt based on family size.
INTERNATIONAL COMPETITIVENESS
The Treasury must act more assertively in international financial institutions to
protect and advance U.S. national interests—and oppose those that do not. It should
employ a carrot-and-stick approach by increasing its activity and commitment to
those financial institutions that are willing and able to adjust to this new approach
and by zeroing out or potentially exiting those institutions that rely on U.S. capital
while advancing agendas that run counter to U.S. interests.
l The U.S. must insist on the hiring and support of this human capital as a
condition to future funding.
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l The U.S. should also examine increasing or decreasing its ownership levels
in these institutions in order to achieve maximum leverage.
cerns an equal voice at the table, and petition Congress to amend the law to cover
Chinese greenfield investments.
CFIUS should publish a penalty schedule for violations of CFIUS reporting and
mitigation requirements. Publishing a penalty schedule for CFIUS violations will
reduce the discretion of the committee to waive penalties or impose mere “wrist
slap” costs on violators of the law. Additionally, a standardized penalty schedule
would likely increase the deterrence of CFIUS enforcement by reducing the per-
ception among parties to covered transactions that they can avoid enforcement
by the committee or secure special exceptions based on appeals to the commit-
tee’s discretion.
As a legal matter—and in application by CFIUS—mitigation monitoring has
developed as the Wild West. There are no clear rules that guide the entire com-
mittee on mitigation monitoring, nor is there the same level of oversight or
accountability within and among the agencies as applies when CFIUS reviews
a transaction or when it pursues a civil money penalty. Indeed, it is a credit to
transaction parties and the professionalism of the governmental officials and con-
tractors who conduct mitigation monitoring on behalf of the government that, by
and large, mitigation monitoring has worked adequately during the last several
decades. But dependency on the personality and capabilities of individuals creates
unnecessary risk both for CFIUS and for transaction parties.
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Greenfield investments by Chinese SOEs pose a unique threat, and they should be
met with the highest scrutiny by all levels of government.
Greenfield investments result in the control of newly built facilities in the U.S.,
and they were not addressed in FIRRMA primarily because governors and state
governments embrace them. That is understandable; they typically bring the
promise of creating American jobs. However, the goal of such Chinese SOEs is to
siphon assets, technological innovation, and influence away from U.S. businesses
in order to expand the global presence of the Chinese Communist Party. While the
Chinese government keeps its domestic markets largely insulated from foreign
influence, it regularly invests in the U.S. and other countries under the “green-
field” model. Firms fully owned by China’s Communist regime are increasingly
buying land, building factories, and taking advantage of state and local tax breaks
on American soil.
Treasury should examine creating a school of financial warfare jointly with
DOD. If the U.S. is to rely on financial weapons, tools, and strategies to prosecute
international defensive and offensive objectives, it must create a specially trained
group of experts dedicated to the study, training, testing, and preparedness of these
deterrents. Recent experience has demonstrated that the U.S. cannot depend on
the rapid development and deployment of untested, academically developed finan-
cial actions, stratagems, and weapons on an ad hoc basis.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Treasury must also seriously evaluate U.S. foreign direct investment in China.
Particular focus should be paid to investments in CCP or other state-owned enter-
prises, investments that result in technology transfers from the U.S. to China,
investments that enhance China’s military capacity, and investments that pose
risks to critical U.S. supply chains by sourcing critical components or feedstocks
in China. An enhanced reporting system is warranted, and greater legal authority
and restrictions are appropriate.
cial companies should perform. It was never a good idea either to restrict banks
to taking deposits and making loans or to prevent investment banks from taking
deposits. Doing so makes markets less stable. All financial intermediaries function
by pooling the financial resources of those who want to save and funneling them
to others that are willing and able to pay for additional funds. This underlying
principle should guide U.S. financial laws.
Policymakers should create new charters for financial firms that eliminate activ-
ity restrictions and reduce regulations in return for straightforward higher equity
or risk-retention standards. Ultimately, these charters would replace government
regulation with competition and market discipline, thereby lowering the risk of
future financial crises and improving the ability of individuals to create wealth.
Dodd–Frank Revisions. Congress should repeal Title I, Title II, and Title VIII
of the Dodd–Frank Act.52 Title I of Dodd–Frank created the Financial Stability
Oversight Council, a kind of super-regulator tasked with identifying so-called
systemically important financial institutions and singling them out for especially
stringent regulation. The problem, of course, is that this process effectively iden-
tifies those firms regulators believe are “too big to fail.”53
Title VIII of Dodd–Frank gives the FSOC similarly broad special-designation
authority for specialized financial companies known as financial market utilities.54
Title II of Dodd–Frank established the controversial provision known as orderly
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
liquidation authority (OLA), the law’s alternative to bankruptcy for large financial
firms. OLA was based on the faulty premise that large financial institutions cannot
fail in a judicial bankruptcy proceeding without causing a financial crisis. It gives
such companies access to subsidized funding and creates incentives for manage-
ment to overleverage and expand high-risk investments.55 Congress should repeal
each of these provisions to guard against bailouts and too-big-to-fail problems.56
Treasury plays a role in funding the conservatorships of Fannie Mae and Freddie
Mac. It should work to end the conservatorships and move toward privatization of
these massive housing finance agencies. This would restore a sustainable housing
finance market with a robust private mortgage market that does not rely on explicit
or implicit taxpayer guarantees.
Direct government ownership has worsened the risks that government-spon-
sored enterprises (GSEs) pose to the mortgage market, and stock sales and other
reforms should be pursued. Treasury should take the lead in the next President’s
legislative vision guided by the following principles:
l Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (both GSEs) must he wound down in an
orderly manner.
l Barriers to private investment must be removed to pave the way for a robust
private market.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
There were 2 .7 million suspicious activity reports (SARs) filed in 2021.60 The
number of CTRs filed were approximately 10 times that number.61 In 2014, FinCEN
anti-money laundering/countering the financing of terrorism (AML-CFT) rules
cost an estimated $5 billion to $8 billion per year.62 Undoubtedly, this cost is now
substantially higher both because of inflation and because the rules have become
more onerous.63 Yet there is little evidence that this massive expenditure of
resources is doing much good,64 and there is no evidence regarding which aspects
of the AML-CFT regime are effective and which are not. The AML-CFT regime is a
major contributing factor causing the decline in the number of small broker-deal-
ers and the decline in the competitiveness of community banks.
Congress must require FinCEN to annually publish data regarding:
l
l The number and aggregate amount of AML-CFT fines imposed and the type
of institution upon which the fine was imposed; and
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
beneficial ownership reporting rule will impose costs exceeding $1 billion annu-
ally and is exceedingly poorly drafted.69 FinCEN itself estimates that more than
33 million businesses will be affected and that costs will be $547 million to $8.1
billion annually.70
l Expose and make public all training materials and initiatives designed to
single out any race, ethnicity, or sex for special treatment.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
principal goals. The next Administration should eliminate the Climate Hub Office
and withdraw from climate change agreements that are inimical to the prosperity
of the United States.
The Climate Hub office “coordinates Treasury’s work to inform, guide, incen-
tivize, and mobilize financial flows for climate mitigation and climate adaptation
and supports the broader alignment of the financial system with a path to net-
zero emissions by mid-century.“71 According to the Biden Administration’s Fiscal
Year 2022–2026 Strategic Plan for Treasury, the fourth of five Treasury strategic
goals reads:
The United States and the world face a climate crisis and a narrowing
window of action to avoid the worst impacts of climate change. At the same
time, the transition to a low carbon economy represents a historic economic
opportunity for the U.S. and global economy. The U.S. federal government
must work alongside our domestic and international partners to respond
ambitiously to tackle the challenges of climate change, adapt to an already
changing climate, mitigate the risks, and position the global economy for
clean and sustainable growth.72
Yet history shows that economic growth and technological/scientific advance
through human ingenuity are by far the best ways to prevent and mitigate extreme
weather events. Moreover, virtually all of the initiatives that the Biden Administra-
tion has adopted would, even if successful, have a de minimis impact on changing
global weather patterns, in part because most nations—notably China—are not
cooperating with climate summits and international agreements. Virtually all
nations, for example, that signed the Paris Agreement73 have not met their treaty
obligations. Such routinely violated treaties weaken the U.S. economy with no off-
setting societal benefits. To that end, the next conservative Administration should
withdraw the U.S. from the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change74 and
the Paris Agreement.
The next Administration should use Treasury’s tools and authority to promote
investment in domestic energy, including oil and gas. It should reverse support for
international public- (and private-) based efforts promoting Environmental, Social,
and Governance75 and Principles for Responsible Investment,76 both of which have
badly damaged U.S. energy security.
OTHER REFORMS
U.S. Coast Guard and the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and
Explosives. Congress should examine whether to return the Treasury’s former
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
in-house law enforcement capabilities via the return of the United States Coast
Guard and the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives. Bringing
these agencies back from the Department of Homeland Security and the Depart-
ment of Justice, respectively, would allow Treasury, in the case of U.S. Coast Guard,
to increase border security via a vigilance with respect to economic crimes (for
example, drug smuggling and tax evasion).
U.S. Trade and Development Agency. Congress should eliminate the U.S.
Trade and Development Agency (USTDA). The USTDA is intended to help com-
panies create U.S. jobs through the export of U.S. goods and services for priority
development projects in emerging economies. The USTDA links U.S. businesses
to export opportunities by funding project planning activities, pilot projects, and
reverse-trade missions while creating sustainable infrastructure and economic
growth in partner countries.
These activities more properly belong to the private sector. The best way to
promote trade and development is to reduce tariff and non-tariff trade barriers.
Another way is to reduce the federal budget deficit, and thereby federal borrowing
from abroad, freeing more foreign dollars to be spent on U.S. exports instead of
federal treasury bonds.
Other Issues. Many Treasury Department issues cut across multiple parts of
Treasury or other governmental agencies. Several are discussed in this chapter,
but not all can be covered here in depth. Other issues of concern include China,
cybersecurity, digital assets, digital services taxes, international debt defaults, Iran,
Social Security and Medicare Trust Funds and private sector pensions, sanctions
policy, and treasury auction and debt issuance.
AUTHORS’ NOTE: The preparation of this chapter was a collective enterprise of individuals involved in the
2025 Presidential Transition Project. All contributors to this chapter are listed at the front of this volume, but Monica
Crowley, Tom Dans, John Berlau, Austin Bramwell, Preston Brashers, Alexandra Harrison Gaiser, Nathan Hitchen,
Adam Korzeniewski, and Jonathan Moy deserve special mention. The authors alone assume responsibility for the
content of this chapter, and no views expressed herein should be attributed to any other individual.
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ENDNOTES
1. EJ Antoni, “Biden Keeps Making Claims About the Economy That Just Aren’t True. These Facts Don’t Lie,”
Heritage Foundation Commentary, February 8, 2023, https://www.heritage.org/markets-and-finance/
commentary/biden-keeps-making-claims-about-the-economy-just-arent-true-these.
2. “Fidelity 2022 Retirement Analysis: In the Midst of Inflation and Uncertainty, Retirement Account Balances
Are Rising,” table, “Average Retirement Account Balances,” February 23, 2023, https://newsroom.fidelity.com/
pressreleases/fidelity--2022-retirement-analysis--in-the-midst-of-inflation-and-uncertainty--retirement-
account-ba/s/095bb4a8-cf3a-484e-a911-bc0c61c460ff (accessed March 22, 2023).
3. See U.S. Department of the Treasury, Fiscal Year 2022–2026 Strategic Plan and Budget Request for FY 2023,
2022, https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/266/COMBINED-CJ-Web-Version-FY-2023.pdf (accessed
March 18, 2023).
4. U.S. Department of the Treasury, Agency Financial Report: Fiscal Year 2015, November 16, 2015, p.4 https://
home.treasury.gov/system/files/266/AFR-FY15-508.pdf (accessed March 19, 2023).
5. Domestic Finance, U.S. Department of the Treasury https://home.treasury.gov/about/offices/domestic-finance.
6. U.S. Constitution, art. I, sec. 9.
7. Ibid., p. ES 1.
8. Including direct and reimbursable employees. See ibid., “Fiscal Year Comparison of Full-Time Equivalent (FTE)
Staffing (Direct and Reimbursable),” p. ES 4.
9. U.S. Department of the Treasury, “Offices,” https://home.treasury.gov/about/offices (accessed March 18, 2023).
10. U.S. Department of the Treasury, “Bureaus,” https://home.treasury.gov/about/bureaus (accessed
March 18, 2023).
11. U.S. Department of the Treasury, Office of the Inspector General, “Overview,” https://oig.treasury.gov
(accessed March 19, 2023).
12. William M (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021, Public Law 116–283,
§§ 6001–6511.
13. See, for example, Timothy Vermeer, “The Impact of Individual Income Tax Changes on Economic Growth,” Tax
Foundation Fiscal Fact No. 793, June 2022, https://files.taxfoundation.org/20220610142519/The-Impact-of-
Individual-Income-Tax-Changes-on-Economic-Growth-2.pdf (accessed March 18, 2023), and Karel Mertens
and José Luis Montiel Olea, “Marginal Tax Rates and Income: New Time Series Evidence,” Quarterly Journal of
Economics, Vol. 133, No. 4 (November 2018), pp. 1803–1884.
14. The current tax system is not neutral toward investment. This neutrality criterion is sometimes expressed as
ensuring that the private rate of return equals the social rate of return, that the tax system does not raise the
user cost of capital, that all factor incomes are taxed once and equally, that the tax system defines income
properly, or that the tax is a consumption tax. For the basic user cost of capital analysis with taxes, see Robert
E. Hall and Dale W. Jorgenson, “Tax Policy and Investment Behavior,” American Economic Review, Vol. 57, No.
3 (June, 1967), pp. 391–414, https://web.stanford.edu/~rehall/Tax-Policy-AER-June-1967.pdf (accessed March
19, 2023). See also Kevin A. Hassett and Kathryn Newmark, “Taxation and Business Behavior: A Review of the
Recent Literature,” in John W. Diamond and George R. Zodrow, eds., Fundamental Tax Reform: Issues, Choices,
and Implications (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2008), and Alan J. Auerbach, “Taxation and Capital Spending,”
University of California, Berkeley, September 2005, http://eml.berkeley.edu//~auerbach/capitalspending.pdf
(accessed March 19, 2023).
15. Scott A. Hodge, “The Compliance Costs of IRS Regulations,” Tax Foundation Fiscal Fact No. 512, June 2016,
https://files.taxfoundation.org/legacy/docs/TaxFoundation_FF512.pdf (accessed March 19, 2023), and Jason J.
Fichtner and Jacob M. Feldman, “The Hidden Costs of Tax Compliance,” Mercatus Center, May 20, 2013, https://
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2267971 (accessed March 19, 2023).
16. In formal terms, tax policy should seek to minimize the excess burden or deadweight loss of the tax system.
See John Creedy, “The Excess Burden of Taxation and Why it (Approximately) Quadruples When the Tax
Rate Doubles,” New Zealand Treasury Working Paper No. 03/29, December 2003, https://www.econstor.eu/
bitstream/10419/205534/1/twp2003-29.pdf (accessed March 19, 2023). See also, for example, N. Gregory
Mankiw, Principles of Economics, 4th ed. (South-Western College Pub, 2006), ch. 8, or many other textbooks
on price theory, microeconomics, or principles of economics.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
17. For a detailed discussion, see David R. Burton, “Tax Reform: Eliminating the Double Taxation of Corporate
Income,” Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 3216, May 18, 2017, https://www.heritage.org/sites/default/
files/2017-05/BG3216.pdf.
18. One hundred dollars in corporate income less an 18 percent tax leaves $82. A 15 percent capital gains tax or
qualified dividends tax is $12.30, which leaves $69.70, for an effective marginal tax rate of 30 percent. This, of
course, abstracts away from certain timing issues.
19. Inflation Reduction Act, Public Law 117–169.
20. Ibid.
21. Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, Public Law 115–97, § 11061, amending Internal Revenue Code § 2010(c). The amounts
before inflation adjustments are $5 million and $10 million, respectively. See also Internal Revenue Service,
“What’s New: Estate and Gift Tax, Basic Exclusion Amount for Year of Death,” https://www.irs.gov/businesses/
small-businesses-self-employed/whats-new-estate-and-gift-tax (accessed March 22, 2023).
22. The effective tax rate on foreign-derived intangible income should remain equal to the tax rate on global
intangible low-taxed income.
23. For miscellaneous itemized deductions, see Internal Revenue Code (26 U.S. Code § 67). Business deductions
that were suspended by the 2017 tax bill (other than those related to depreciation) should also be extended.
This includes the local lodging expense deduction and entertainment expense deductions. The 2017 tax bill’s
modifications to the deduction for personal casualty and theft losses should be made permanent. The Pease
limitation on itemized deductions should be permanently eliminated.
24. Bonus depreciation provisions applied to specific industries should be maintained.
25. Employer-provided childcare expenses should also count toward the limitation on benefit deductions.
26. HSAs are flexible and portable, and they help contain costs by giving health care consumers skin in the game.
27. For additional revenue to fund pro-growth tax cuts, lawmakers could gradually phase down the limitation on
benefit deductions.
28. Early versions of the 2017 tax bill envisioned reforming the corporate income tax into a destination-based
cash flow tax, a form of consumption tax. A tax system that taxes labor and capital-factor incomes equally—
and only once—results in higher output and higher incomes. Usually, in the modern public finance literature,
this is called a consumption tax. On the economic superiority of consumptions taxes, see N. Gregory Mankiw
et al., “Optimal Taxation in Theory and Practice,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 23, No. 4 (2009), pp.
147–174, https://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10.1257/jep.23.4.147 (accessed March 19, 2023); Alan J. Auerbach,
“The Choice Between Income and Consumption Taxes: A Primer,” NBER Working Paper No. 12307, June 2006,
https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w12307/w12307.pdf (accessed March 19, 2023); and
Charles E. Walker and Mark A. Bloom eld, eds., The Consumption Tax: A Better Alternative? (Cambridge, MA:
Harper and Row, Ballinger, 1987).
29. Hoover Institution, “Simplifying the Tax System: The History of the Flat Tax,” March 1, 2019, https://www.
hoover.org/research/simplifying-tax-system-history-flat-tax (accessed March 20, 2023).
30. David R. Burton, “Four Conservative Tax Plans with Equivalent Economic Results,” Heritage Foundation
Backgrounder No. 2978, December 7, 2022, https://www.heritage.org/taxes/report/four-conservative-tax-
plans-equivalent-economic-results. Consumption tax plans generally include carveouts that exempt very
low-income Americans from federal tax liability.
31. Daniel J. Mitchell and Chris Edwards, Global Tax Revolution: The Rise of Tax Competition and the Battle to
Defend It (Washington, DC: Cato Institute, 2008); Preston Brashers, “Like Constitutional Checks and Balances,
Tax Competition Is a Bulwark Against Growth of Government,” March 17, 2022, https://www.heritage.org/
taxes/commentary/constitutional-checks-and-balances-tax-competition-bulwark-against-growth (accessed
March 19, 2023).
32. James M. Robers et al., “Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD): What America
Should Do,” Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 3593, March 16, 2021, https://www.heritage.org/
sites/default/files/2021-03/BG3593.pdf; Preston Brashers. “The OECD Crusade To Raise Taxes,” Heritage
Foundation Commentary, February 4, 2022, https://www.heritage.org/taxes/commentary/the-oecd-crusade-
raise-taxes; David Burton, “How the OECD is Promoting More Identity Theft, Crime, Industrial Espionage, and
Suppression of Political Dissidents,” July 15, 2016, Heritage Foundation Commentary, https://www.heritage.
org/taxes/commentary/how-the-oecd-promoting-more-identity-theft-crime-industrial-espionage-and;
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David R. Burton “Towards a Global Tax Cartel?” Policy, Vol. 18, No. 4 (Summer 2002–2003), Center for
Independent Studies (Australia), https://www.cis.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/images/stories/policy-
magazine/2002-summer/2002-18-4-david-r-burton.pdf (accessed March 19, 2023).
33. Roberts et al., “Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).”
34. See Inflation Reduction Act, § 10301. See also Preston Brashers, “IRS and Allies Downplay 87,000-Person
Hiring Binge,” The Daily Signal, August 12, 2022, https://www.dailysignal.com/2022/08/12/the-irs-and-its-
allies-downplay-87000-person-hiring-binge/ (accessed March 19, 2023).
35. U.S. Department of the Treasury, General Explanations of the Administration’s Fiscal Year 2022 Revenue
Proposals, May 2021, pp. 88–89, https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/General-Explanations-FY2022.pdf
(accessed March 19. 2023).
36. See U.S. Department of the Treasury, Fiscal Year 2022–2026 Strategic Plan.
37. U.S. House of Representatives, Committee on Oversight and Reform, Policy and Supporting Positions,
December 2020 (the “plumb book”), p. 127 https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/GPO-PLUMBOOK-2020/
pdf/GPO-PLUMBOOK-2020.pdf (accessed March 19, 2023).
38. Internal Revenue Service, “Organization and Top Officials,” https://www.irs.gov/pub/newsroom/marketing/
internet/irs-organization-chart.pdf (accessed March 19, 2023). See also Internal Revenue Code (26 U.S. Code §
7803(a)–(b)).
39. For a summary of various GAO reports on various IRS IT problems, see Vijay A. D’Souza, “Information
Technology: IRS Needs to Address Operational Challenges and Opportunities to Improve Management,”
testimony before the Subcommittee on Government Operations, Committee on Oversight and Reform,
U.S. House of Representatives, October 7, 2020, GAO–21–178T, https://www.gao.gov/assets/gao-21-178t.
pdf (accessed March 19, 2023). Charles O. Rossotti was named IRS Commissioner by President Bill Clinton
primarily so that Rossotti could address widely acknowledged IT issues. He made some improvements
between 1997 and 2002, but despite large investments, he did not really resolve the IT problems at the IRS.
Since that time, the problems have worsened.
40. D’Souza, “Information Technology,” figure 1, p. 5.
41. Internal Revenue Service, IRS Integrated Modernization Business Plan, April 2019, https://www.irs.gov/pub/
irs-pdf/p5336.pdf (accessed March 20, 2023).
42. See, for example, the Omnibus Taxpayers’ Bill of Rights, Public Law 100–647, Subtitle J of Title VI of
the Technical and Miscellaneous Revenue Act of 1988; Taxpayer Bill of Rights 2, Public Law 104–168; IRS
Restructuring and Reform Act of 1998, Public Law 105–206, Title III; Consolidated Appropriations Act, Public
Law 114–113, Title IV, Subtitle A (adding Internal Revenue Code § 7803(a)(3) and other changes); and Taxpayer
First Act, Public Law 116–25, Title I.
43. For a list of 68 proposed reforms, see National Taxpayer Advocate, 2022 Purple Book: Compilation of
Legislative Recommendations to Strengthen Taxpayer Rights and Improve Tax Administration, December 31,
2021, https://www.taxpayeradvocate.irs.gov/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/ARC21_PurpleBook.pdf (accessed
March 19, 2023). Most, though not all, of these proposals have merit. Regarding penalty reform, see Jeremiah
Coder, “Achieving Meaningful Civil Tax Penalty Reform and Making It Stick,” Akron Tax Journal, Vol. 27 (2012),
https://ideaexchange.uakron.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1153&context=akrontaxjournal (accessed
March 19, 2023).
44. Internal Revenue Service, 2023 Congressional Budget Justification & Annual Performance Report and
Plan, Rev. 3–2022, https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/266/Internal-Revenue-Service-FY-2023-CJ.pdf
(accessed March 19, 2023).
45. Internal Revenue Service, 2021 IRS Data Book: October 1, 2020 to September 30, 2021, table 11, p. 26, https://
www.irs.gov/pub/irs-pdf/p55b.pdf (accessed March 19, 2023).
46. Ibid., 2021 IRS Data Book, table 2, p. 4.
47. Scott A. Hodge, “The Compliance Costs of IRS Regulations, Tax Foundation Fiscal Fact No. 512, June 2016
https://files.taxfoundation.org/legacy/docs/TaxFoundation_FF512.pdf (accessed March 19, 2023).
48. Organization for Economic Cooperation, The Multilateral Convention on Mutual Administrative Assistance
in Tax Matters: Amended by the 2010 Protocol, https://read.oecd-ilibrary.org/taxation/the-multilateral-
convention-on-mutual-administrative-assistance-in-tax-matters_9789264115606-en#page1 (accessed
March 20, 2023).
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
49. David Burton, “Two Little Known Tax Treaties Will Lead to Substantially More Identity Theft, Crime, Industrial
Espionage, and Suppression of Political Dissidents,” Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 3087, December
21, 2015 file:///C:/Users/DRBar/Downloads/BG3087-3.pdf.
50. U.S. Department of the Treasury, “CFIUS Enforcement and Penalty Guidelines,” https://home.treasury.
gov/policy-issues/international/the-committee-on-foreign-investment-in-the-united-states-cfius/cfius-
enforcement-and-penalty-guidelines (accessed March 20, 2023).
51. John S. McCain National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2019, Public Law 115–232. Title XVII, https://
home.treasury.gov/sites/default/files/2018-08/The-Foreign-Investment-Risk-Review-Modernization-Act-of-
2018-FIRRMA_0.pdf (accessed March 20, 2023).
52. Dodd–Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, Public Law 111–203.
53. Peter J. Wallison, “Title I and the Financial Stability Oversight Council,” in Norbert Michel, ed., The Case
Against Dodd–Frank: How the “Consumer Protection” Law Endangers Americans, https://www.heritage.org/
government-regulation/report/the-case-against-dodd-frank-how-the-consumer-protection-law-endangers.
54. Norbert J. Michel, “Fixing the Dodd–Frank Derivatives Mess: Repealing Titles VII and VIII,” in Norbert Michel,
ed., The Case Against Dodd–Frank: How the “Consumer Protection” Law Endangers Americans, Heritage
Foundation, https://www.heritage.org/government-regulation/report/the-case-against-dodd-frank-how-the-
consumer-protection-law-endangers.
55. Paul Kupiec, “Title II: Is Orderly Liquidation Authority Necessary to Fix ‘Too Big to Fail’?” in Michel, The Case
Against Dodd–Frank.
56. Norbert J. Michel, “Money and Banking Provisions in the Financial CHOICE Act: A Major Step in the Right
Direction,” in Prosperity Unleashed: Smarter Financial Regulation (Washington, DC: The Heritage Foundation,
2017), https://www.heritage.org/prosperity-unleashed#:~:text=Smarter%20financial%20regulations%3A%20
solutions%20to,and%20accountable%20than%20ever%20before.
57. Federal Housing Finance Agency, “Single Security Initiative and Common Securitization Platform,” https://
www.fhfa.gov/PolicyProgramsResearch/Policy/Pages/Securitization-Infrastructure.aspx (accessed
March 20, 2023).
58. U.S. Department of the Treasury, Financial Crimes Enforcement Network, Congressional Budget Justification
and Annual Performance Plan and Report, FY 2023, Table 1.1, p. 3, https://home.treasury.gov/system/
files/266/13.-FinCEN-FY-2023-CJ.pdf (accessed March 19, 2023).
59. See Financial Crimes Enforcement Network, “Annual Report,” https://www.fincen.gov/annual-report (accessed
March 19, 2023).
60. Financial Crimes Enforcement Network, “Suspicious Activity Report Statistics (SAR Stats),” https://www.fincen.
gov/reports/sar-stats (accessed March 19, 2023).
61. David R. Burton and Norbert J. Michel, “Financial Privacy in a Free Society,” Heritage Foundation
Backgrounder No. 3157, September 23, 2016, table 1, p. 10, http://thf-reports.s3.amazonaws.
com/2016/BG3157.pdf.
62. Ibid., table 2, p. 11.
63. A recent report showed that just 14 surveyed financial institutions spent $2.4 billion on AML/CFT compliance.
Bank Policy Institute, “Getting to Effectiveness: Report on U.S. Financial Institution Resources Devoted to
BSA/AML & Sanctions Compliance,” October 29, 2018, p. 4, https://bpi.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/
BPI_AML_Sanctions_Study_vF.pdf (accessed March 19, 2023).
64. Burton and Michel, “Financial Privacy in a Free Society;” Norbert J. Michel and Jennifer J. Schulp, “Revising
the Bank Secrecy Act to Protect Privacy and Deter Criminals,” Cato Institute Policy Analysis No. 932, July 26,
2022 , https://www.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/2022-07/PA_932_2.pdf (accessed March 19, 2023); Michael
Levi and Peter Reuter, “Money Laundering,” Crime and Justice: A Review of Research, Vol. 34 (2006); and
Mariano-Florentino Cuellar, “The Tenuous Relationship between the Fight Against Money Laundering and
the Disruption of Criminal Finance,” Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology, Vol. 93, No. 2 (Winter 2003)
https://scholarlycommons.law.northwestern.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=7123&context=jclc (accessed
March 19, 2023).
65. This would be in cooperation with the IRS because Form 8300 is a joint IRS-FinCEN endeavor.
66. This data, as well as AML-CFT convictions, would published be in cooperation with the U.S.
Department of Justice.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
67. On banks, credit unions, broker-dealers, and other financial institutions as normally understood, but note that
31 U.S. Code §5312(a)(2) also defines “financial institutions” to include money service businesses; insurance
companies; jewelers; pawnbrokers; travel agencies; dealers in automobiles, airplanes, and boats; persons
involved in real estate closings and settlements; casinos; and telegraph companies.
68. David R. Burton, “The Corporate Transparency Act and the ILLICIT CASH Act,” Heritage Foundation
Backgrounder No. 3449, November 7, 2019, https://www.heritage.org/sites/default/files/2019-11/BG3449_0.
pdf, and David R. Burton to AnnaLou Tirol, Financial Crimes Enforcement Network, “Re: Beneficial Ownership
Information Reporting Requirements,” Comment, May 5, 2021 http://thf_media.s3.amazonaws.com/2022/
Regulatory_Comments/FINCEN-2021-0005-0132_attachment_1.pdf (accessed March 19, 2023).
69. Burton comment, ibid.
70. Federal Register, Vol. 87, No. 189, September 30, 2022, pp. 59498–59596.
71. U.S. Department of the Treasury, Fiscal Year 2022–2026 Strategic Plan.
72. Ibid.
73. United Nations, “Paris Agreement,” 2015, https://unfccc.int/files/essential_background/convention/
application/pdf/english_paris_agreement.pdf (accessed March 20, 2023).
74. United Nations, “United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change,” GE.5–62220, 1992, https://unfccc.
int/resource/docs/convkp/conveng.pdf (accessed March 20, 2023).
75. “What Is ESG?” ESG Hurts, https://esghurts.com/ (accessed March 22, 2023), and Samuel Gregg, “Why
Business Should Dispense with ESG,” American Institute for Economic Research, December 4, 2022, https://
www.aier.org/article/why-business-should-dispense-with-esg/ (accessed March 22, 2023).
76. PRI Association, “What are the Principles for Responsible Investment?” https://www.unpri.org/about-us/
what-are-the-principles-for-responsible-investment (accessed March 22, 2023). The PRI Association is a U.N.-
affiliated non-governmental organization. See also PRI Association, “Articles of Association of PRI Association,”
Art. 9, November 14, 2016, https://d8g8t13e9vf2o.cloudfront.net/Uploads/g/e/r/2016-11-14-Articles-of-
Association-of-PRI-Association-.pdf (accessed March 22, 2023).
— 715 —
23
EXPORT–IMPORT BANK
agency that was established in 1934 to provide export subsidies through tax-
payer-backed financing to private exporting corporations, as well as to foreign
companies buying U.S. exports, with the ostensible purpose of promoting American
exports, creating jobs, supporting small businesses, improving U.S. competitive-
ness, and protecting U.S. taxpayers.
In 1986, David Stockman, who served as Director of the Office of Management
and Budget under President Ronald Reagan, wrote that:
Since then, very little has changed. EXIM operates in effect as a protectionist
agency that picks winners and losers in the market by providing political privi-
leges to firms that are already well-financed. By doing so, it risks taxpayer funds
as it stymies economic growth. This reality is not altered by the argument that the
Bank could be a weapon to fight China—an argument that rests on a misguided
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BACKGROUND
The Export–Import Bank was created in 1934 as an export credit agency (ECA)
to finance trade with the Soviet Union. It was reorganized as an independent gov-
ernment agency in 1945. President Franklin Roosevelt’s Executive Order 6581
gave it “the power to aid in financing and to facilitate exports and imports and
the exchange of commodities between the United States and other Nations or the
agencies and nationals thereof” to create jobs in the United States.2
EXIM has four main tools with which to pursue these goals: loan guarantees,
working capital guarantees, direct loans, and export-credit insurance. Importantly,
for four years starting at the end of 2015, the Bank became incapacitated. Lacking
a quorum for its board of directors, it could not extend financing that exceeded $10
million per project. That put an end to about 85 percent of the Bank’s financing
obligations. As the numbers below show, the Bank hasn’t yet recovered from that
long interruption.
Total Bank authorizations in recent years have gone from $12.6 billion in fiscal
year (FY) 20073 to $21.5 billion in FY 20144 to $5.2 billion in FY 2022.5 A better
way to understand these numbers is to look at the amount of financial exposure
the Bank has—that is, the risk the Bank takes for which taxpayers are ultimately
responsible. During this same period, the Bank’s total exposure increased from
$57.42 billion in FY 20076 to $112.1 billion in FY 20147 and then fell to $41.3 billion
in FY 20218 and $35.4 billion in FY 2022.9
— 718 —
2025 Presidential Transition Project
but the unseen effects are ignored. For example, funding for one industry or firm
might take more jobs away from other industries and firms, resulting in a net job
loss even though jobs are created for the financed firm. At best, it could be said that
the Bank redistributes employment from unsubsidized firms to subsidized firms.
However, with very rare exceptions, most exports financed by EXIM would
have taken place without government support. Many companies have said so
themselves;13 the procurement happens before the decision to get government
support; and, as noted above, most EXIM deals go to large companies with easy
access to capital. Thus, the agency is taking credit for jobs that would have existed
in any event.
The Bank does not promote exports. EXIM presidents commonly claim
that the agency’s mission is to support U.S. jobs by facilitating American exports
through its export-financing tools. However, trade economists have long known
that export credit subsidies merely redistribute exporting opportunities to subsi-
dized firms instead of increasing the net number of exports—something that also
slows economic growth.14
Even more telling is the performance of the U.S. economy and American exports
during the four years when EXIM lacked a board quorum (2015–2019) and was
barred from finalizing deals in excess of $10 million. During that time, EXIM autho-
rizations fell from $21 billion in FY 2014 to $3.6 billion in FY 2018 (adjusted for
inflation).15 However, also during that time, regular big-ticket EXIM beneficiaries
continued to benefit from their easy access to capital markets and still had the
ability to finance their export activities.
Further, U.S. exports were utterly unaffected by the reductions in the Bank’s
activities.16 U.S. unemployment fell to a level not seen in half a century, but exports
soared with financing provided by commercial lenders. The only negative eco-
nomic impact from EXIM’s lack of a board quorum was its effect on the Bank
itself. This contradicts EXIM’s claim that its activities are crucial for the success
of U.S. exporters and economic growth. Instead, it shows that economic growth
is the best booster of U.S. exports and job creation and that it does not depend on
EXIM subsidies.
Subsidy-boosted exports do not boost economic growth. EXIM’s primary
reason for existing is to increase exports, as if more exports themselves represent
more jobs and economic growth. Recent expressions of this fallacious belief can be
found in a book by former EXIM President Fred Hochberg. According to Hochberg,
“We know that trade, and exports in particular, can have a big impact on jobs.”17
While this is a common misconception about exports, it is one worth correcting.
As trade economists know, exports are a cost to the economy: They subtract from
GDP. Imports, on the other hand, add to GDP. If the U.S. could acquire all of the
imports that it currently gets without exporting anything in exchange, that would
be the best of all worlds. Unfortunately, one reason that foreigners are so eager
— 719 —
Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
to sell us their goods is that they want our dollars to buy our debt, invest in the
country, and buy our exports. That is why exports drop when overall imports drop.
Exports promote U.S. economic growth only if the value of the resources used to
produce them is less than the value of what we receive as imports in exchange for
those exports. By subsidizing American exports, EXIM causes too many resources
to be devoted to producing exports. As a result, the total value of our exports is
made larger than it would otherwise be to obtain any given amount of imports.
In other words, EXIM thus compels American taxpayers to subsidize foreigners’
standards of living at no appreciable benefit to the U.S.
Unfortunately, this misunderstanding and the constant glamorization of
exports and their impact on jobs and growth are used to justify government sup-
port for some exports (on average, 98 percent of exports are not backed by EXIM
financing). It also is extremely unfair. Because capital will tend to shift from unsub-
sidized companies to subsidized companies (taxpayers foot the bill if companies
backed by the Bank default), unsubsidized export companies face higher borrowing
costs, which could translate into fewer jobs in unsubsidized companies or lower
pay for their workers.
The Bank does not promote growth by leveling the playing field. EXIM’s
charter stipulates that one of its missions is to support U.S. exports with the goal
of creating jobs and promoting economic growth through the provision of export
financing via its loan-guarantee and insurance programs. In particular, EXIM is
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l Consider Italy’s hyperactive ECA. In 2019, Italy was ranked first among
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
countries in terms of volume and was highlighted in the report as an example
for other countries to follow. Yet the Italian ECA’s hyperactivity appears to
have had little impact on that country’s economic growth or employment.
l Germany was the second-highest ranked OECD country on this list in 2019.
While Germany had respectable economic growth at the time of the report,
only 0.7 percent of its exports were backed by ECA financing. These data
provide little support for the argument that Germany’s strong economic
performance has much, if anything, to do with the German ECA.
China by all accounts had a hyperactive ECA: It ranked first on the list in
l
l The report highlights the eighth-ranked U.S. for its unusually low level
of EXIM-backed exports. At the time of the report, the U.S. economy
was thriving, wages and employment were up, and the country still had
flourishing trade—but it was also striving when EXIM was mostly dormant.
In other words, one cannot argue that the bustling economy was the result
of EXIM support.
— 721 —
Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
The Bank does not support small businesses. Most of the Bank’s funding
goes to large corporations such as Boeing—a recipient of 68 percent of EXIM’s
loan guarantees and 30 percent of EXIM’s overall activities.22 Over the years, 10
large domestic corporations have received roughly 65 percent of the Bank’s total
assistance (it is closer to 70 percent today). More than 99.9 percent of U.S. small
businesses receive no benefits from EXIM and are often placed at a competitive
disadvantage by the subsidies doled out to larger competitors. In fact, the Bank’s
support for small businesses has declined from $2.3 billion in FY 201923 to “more
than $2.0 billion” in FY 202024 to only $1.6 billion in FY 2021.25 This decline
occurred amid a pandemic that hit small businesses especially hard, and it con-
tinues today.
The Bank is not a good deal for taxpayers. The Bank’s accounting practices
are deficient, and the Bank miscalculates its budget savings. While it claims that
its operations will save taxpayers $14 billion over the next decade, the Congres-
sional Budget Office has found that EXIM programs will actually cost taxpayers
$2 billion.26 Numerous audits done by the Bank’s internal inspector general
also show that the Bank’s risk analyses, default assumptions, internal reporting
procedures, and financial reporting practices are not reliable enough to ensure
the safe stewardship of taxpayer funds and responsible management of EXIM’s
vast portfolio.27
— 722 —
2025 Presidential Transition Project
has been making its most important investments. Instead, its obsession with other
ECAs has caused EXIM to direct the vast majority of its funding to large foreign
companies in higher-income nations. Data available on the OECD website show
that the level of ECA financing in high-income countries in 2019 was more than
double the amount in low-income countries.29 The same was true for previous years.
In other words, EXIM and the ECAs of the OECD are competing in markets where
commercial lending is abundant—a trend that continues today.
The failure to deliver on its congressionally imposed obligation—however mis-
guided that obligation may be—is also noticeable in the fact that EXIM’s China
and Transformation Exports Program (CTEP) extended only $141.3 million in
financing in FY 2022—a fraction of the $27 billion it is supposed to deliver by the
end of 2026.30 The Bank’s efforts have also included a misplaced focus on emerging
technologies such as quantum computing and artificial intelligence, which do not
need EXIM financing because their foreign sales attract commercial financing
without government support. The lack of demand for EXIM products could also
be reflected in the Bank’s authorization of $5.2 billion in loan guarantees and sup-
port in FY 2022,31 down from its FY 2012 peak of “over $35.7 billion” during the
Obama Administration.32
This lack of activity also extends to the semiconductor industry, which has been
picked as a focal point for a governmentwide industrial policy effort to counter
China’s ambition to dominate that industry. Ironically, at the same time that some
want to become more like China to fight China, China’s leaders are realizing that
their heavy-handed semiconductor subsidies are weakening the Chinese economy.
According to Bloomberg News:
Top [Chinese] officials are discussing ways to move away from costly
subsidies that have so far borne little fruit and encouraged both graft and
American sanctions, people familiar with the matter said. While some
continue to push for incentives of as much as 1 trillion yuan ($US145 billion),
other policymakers have lost their taste for an investment-led approach that’s
not yielded the results anticipated, the people said.33
CONCLUSION
The Export–Import Bank should be abolished because it wastes taxpayer money,
adversely affects American businesses, and does not promote economic growth
— 723 —
Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
effectively. Furthermore, any attempts to reorient the agency and make it a weapon
with which to fight against China are going to fail. Economic fights and national
security fights are not won with subsidies.
I n 1986, President Ronald Reagan signed a bill extending the charter of the
Export–Import Bank (EXIM) by an additional six years. In a signing statement
attached to the bill, the President declared that “[t]his sends an important signal
to both our exporting community and foreign suppliers that American exporters
will continue to be able to compete vigorously for business throughout the world.”34
As a candidate for President, Ronald Reagan was opposed to EXIM, but as Pres-
ident, he learned the challenges America’s businesses face when competing for
opportunities overseas, and his position on EXIM evolved. As President Reagan
once famously remarked, “Why would I want our businesses competing with two
hands tied behind their backs?” On January 30, 1984, the President said, “Exports
create and sustain jobs for millions of American workers and contribute to the
growth and strength of the United States economy. The Export–Import Bank con-
tributes in a significant way to our nation’s export sales.”
President Reagan was exactly right. EXIM provides a mechanism that American
companies can use to vie for projects that would otherwise be out of reach, notably
deals that the banking industry won’t finance because of the risk associated with
the host country or because the host nation itself requires a sovereign guarantee
in order to submit a bid. EXIM is the only American vehicle that can provide that
sovereign guarantee.
Since Reagan’s presidency, the global economic order has shifted dramatically,
and a rising China has completely disrupted the export credit sector.
l In Reagan’s era, export credit financing was a means for nations to compete
for and win projects overseas in order to create more jobs at home. It was a
benign tool for economic expansion. China, however, has morphed export
credit financing into a weapon of national security.
l Where most nations have just one export credit agency (ECA), China
has three, all targeted for specific stages of economic and industrial
development. The amount of money China has put behind these three
instruments is staggering.
l It is estimated that in 2018, China provided more than $500 billion in export
credit, approaching in that one year the total amount of financing EXIM has
provided in its 90-year history.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l China’s export credit activity is greater than that of the ECAs of the
entire G7 combined. Today, China is the world’s largest official creditor,
maintaining a portfolio more than twice the size of the World Bank and
International Monetary Fund combined.
l China’s highly aggressive Belt and Road Initiative, which has prompted
international criticism for ensnaring the developing world in “debt-trap
diplomacy,” has created a sphere of economic and strategic influence that
includes about 150 countries, rivaling the relationships of the United States
and her allies.
Unlike America and the G7 economies, China does not subscribe to the rules-
based order that has governed export credit financing for nearly a century. As in
so many other things, China plays by its own rules and is opaque in how it operates,
weaponizing its export credit financing deals by offering developing nations terms
that are often “too good to be true.” Once the project is underway, the Chinese have
been known to change the terms, making a project unaffordable for the purchasing
country. These tactics have yielded China important strategic plunder like mines
and critical minerals, satellites, and even ports like those in Hambantota, Sri Lanka,
and Mombasa, Kenya.
Export credit is a strategic weapon in China’s whole-of-government approach
to enhance its global power, economic might, and national security. The only
country that has the economic heft to counter China’s aggressions in export credit
financing is the United States. Not only do American companies risk losing out to
Chinese competitors for international opportunities if EXIM is not there to offer
support, but a United States without a functioning export credit agency also leaves
an unchecked China with a wide-open field to claim jurisdiction over swaths of
ocean and shipping lanes, expand its economic influence, and create major changes
in the global balance of power.
In response to Chinese aggression in export credit, the ECAs of other coun-
tries have reacted defensively to change their policies and programs to avoid
losing access to large chunks of global markets. Many countries, including strong
U.S. allies like the United Kingdom, Canada, Japan, and Italy, have changed the
mission of their ECAs from one of leveling the playing field for their exporters
to hunting proactively for transactions for their businesses and advancing their
national strategic interests over the long term. In addition, foreign buyers, par-
ticularly those looking to build large international projects, have been indicating
that the availability of government-backed financing is a core component of their
evaluation of bids and identification of sourcing. Allied nations have taken steps
like lowering their content requirements in order to lure more deals, often at
U.S. expense.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Meanwhile, U.S. content requirements have remained constant, and the United
States continues to abide by traditional Organisation for Economic Cooperation
and Development (OECD) rules. For example:
l Italy’s ECA offered General Electric export credit financing in exchange for
moving the production of some of its turbine components from the United
States to Italy.
China’s tactics, as well as those of some of America’s allies, have been success-
ful in drawing manufacturing and the jobs associated with that production away
from U.S. soil. EXIM’s 2018 Competitiveness Report accurately documents how
extensively foreign ECAs have expanded programs aimed at embedding their small
and medium-sized exporters into the global supply chain to the detriment of U.S.
exporters, particularly small businesses.35 To ignore these changes and leave the
United States without its own export financing weapon is to resign the United
States to a reduced role in world geopolitical affairs and accept fewer jobs and
lower standards of living for many Americans.
Critics of EXIM employ a host of defamatory slurs like “crony capitalism” and
l When EXIM does provide financing, usually in the form of a loan or loan
guarantee, the borrower pays interest rates that are driven by the market.
l EXIM does not undercut the private sector. It does not solicit any
applications for financing, and all applications are judged on the merits of
the transactions.
— 726 —
2025 Presidential Transition Project
This ability to manage risk successfully is why EXIM actually makes a profit
for American taxpayers, described in government parlance as “negative subsidy,”
sending more than $9 billion to the U.S. Treasury for debt reduction since 1992.
The bank has also supported hundreds of thousands of U.S. jobs, most of them in
manufacturing, during the past decade.
Export credit financing has become a critical lever for macroeconomic growth
for many countries, allies and competitors of the U.S. alike. Other nations are using
ECAs strategically to influence decisions and procure economic opportunities,
hindering the participation of U.S. firms and costing American jobs, particularly
in manufacturing.
China’s aggressive actions in export finance bleed beyond economic advance-
ment and are clearly an effort to expand both its national security and its global
power. The United States would be foolish to abandon this field of play, surren-
dering it to China and other nations, and to relinquish EXIM as a powerful tool in
America’s asymmetrical warfare toolbox.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
ENDNOTES
1. David A. Stockman, The Triumph of Politics: Why the Reagan Revolution Failed (New York: Harper & Row,
1986), pp. 113–114.
2. President Franklin D. Roosevelt, “Executive Order 6581 Creating the Export–Import Bank of Washington,”
February 2, 1934, https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/executive-order-6581-creating-the-
export-import-bank-washington#:~:text=Executive%20Order%206581%20Creating%20The%20Export-
Import%20Bank%20of,by%20promoting%20the%20fullest%20possible%20utilization%20of%20 (accessed
February 23, 2023).
3. Export–Import Bank of the United States, Annual Report 2007, p. 14, https://img.exim.gov/s3fs-public/
managed-documents/ar2007.pdf (accessed March 21, 2023).
4. Export–Import Bank of the United States, Annual Report 2014, pp. 84 and 86, https://img.exim.gov/s3fs-
public/reports/annual/EXIM-2014-AR.pdf (accessed March 21, 2023).
5. Export–Import Bank of the United States, Annual Management Report for the Year-Ended September 30,
2022, and September 30, 2021, pp. 1 and 7, https://img.exim.gov/s3fs-public/reports/annual/2022/EXIM%20
FY22%20AMR%20Final_SignOff_508_v27_FINAL.pdf (accessed March 22, 2023).
6. Export–Import Bank of the United States, Annual Report 2008, pp. 35 and 63, https://img.exim.gov/s3fs-
public/reports/annual/2008AnnualReport.pdf (accessed March 22, 2023).
7. Export–Import Bank of the United States, Annual Report 2015, pp. 28 and 42, https://img.exim.gov/s3fs-
public/reports/annual/EXIM-2015-AR.pdf (accessed March 22, 2023).
8. Export–Import Bank of the United States, Annual Management Report for the Year-Ended September 30,
2022, and September 30, 2021, pp. 1 and 18, https://img.exim.gov/s3fs-public/reports/annual/2022/EXIM%20
FY22%20AMR%20Final_SignOff_508_v27_FINAL.pdf (accessed March 22, 2023).
9. Ibid.
10. Veronique de Rugy, “Export–Import Is Still Boeing’s Bank,” Mercatus Center at George Mason University Data
Visualization, March 3, 2015, https://www.mercatus.org/research/data-visualizations/export-import-still-
boeings-bank (accessed March 21, 2023).
11. Veronique de Rugy, “The Export–Bank: Winners and Losers of Government-Granted Privilege,” Testimony
before the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, U.S. Senate, June 2, 2015, https://www.
mercatus.org/research/federal-testimonies/export-import-bank-winners-and-losers-government-granted-
privilege (accessed February 23, 2023).
12. Veronique de Rugy, Nita Ghei, and Michael Wilt, “Should the US Export–Import Bank Be Reauthorized?”
Mercatus Center at George Mason University Policy Brief, July 28, 2015, https://www.mercatus.org/research/
policy-briefs/should-us-export-import-bank-be-reauthorized (accessed February 23, 2023).
13. Veronique de Rugy, “Emirates to Ex–Im Bank: We’ll Be Just Fine Without You,” National Review, The Corner,
September 8, 2014, https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/emirates-ex-im-bank-well-be-just-fine-without-
you-veronique-de-rugy/ (accessed February 22, 2023).
14. Sallie James, “Time to X Out the Ex–Im Bank,” Cato Institute, Herbert A. Stieffel Center for Trade Policy, Trade
Policy Analysis No. 47, July 6, 2011, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1960016 (accessed
February 22, 2023), and Salim Furth, “Export–Import Bank: What the Scholarship Says,” Heritage Foundation
Backgrounder No. 2934, August 7, 2014, https://www.heritage.org/trade/report/the-export-import-bank-
what-the-scholarship-says.
15. Veronique de Rugy and Justin Leventhal, “Ex–Im Bank: A Comparative Analysis of Pre- and Post-Quorum
Lending,” Mercatus Center at George Mason University Policy Brief, April 23, 2019, pp. 1 and 2, https://www.
mercatus.org/research/policy-briefs/ex-im-bank-comparative-analysis-pre-and-post-quorum-lending
(accessed February 22, 2023).
16. Ibid., p. 5.
17. Fred P. Hochberg, Trade is Not a Four-Letter Word: How Six Everyday Products Make the Case for Trade (New
York: Simon & Schuster/Avid Reader Press, 2020), p. 71.
18. Export–Import Bank of the United States, Agency Management Report for the Years Ended
September 30, 2020, and September 30, 2019, pp. 2 and 4, https://img.exim.gov/s3fs-public/reports/
annual/2020/508Compliant_EXIM%20Q4%20FY20%20AMR%20FINAL_Signoff_updated12.1.2020.pdf
(accessed February 22, 2023).
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
19. Veronique de Rugy, “Ex–Im Bank Competitiveness Doesn’t Help Export Competitiveness,” testimony before
the Ex–Im Bank Advisory Committee, September 30, 2021, https://www.mercatus.org/research/federal-
testimonies/ex-im-bank-competitiveness-doesnt-help-export-competitiveness (accessed February 22, 2023).
20. Export–Import Bank of the United States, Report to the U.S. Congress on Global Export Credit Competition
for the Period January 1, 2020 Through December 31, 2020, June 2021, p. 3, https://img.exim.gov/s3fs-public/
reports/competitiveness_reports/2020/EXIM_2020_CompetitivenessReport_Web-Ready_Single%20pages.
pdf (accessed February 23, 2023).
21. Export–Import Bank of the United States, Report to the U.S. Congress on Global Export Credit Competition
for the Period January 1, 2019 Through December 31, 2019, June 2020, p. 38, https://img.exim.gov/s3fs-
public/reports/competitiveness_reports/2019/2019-EXIM-Competitiveness-Report-FINAL.pdf (accessed
February 22, 2023).
22. De Rugy and Leventhal, “Ex–Im Bank: A Comparative Analysis of Pre- and Post-Quorum Lending,”
pp. 7 and 10.
23. Export–Import Bank of the United States, Keeping America Strong: Export–Import Bank of the United States
2019 Annual Report, pp. 6 and 10, https://img.exim.gov/s3fs-public/reports/annual/2019/EXIM_2019%20
AnnualReport_508C_Web.pdf (accessed February 22, 2023).
24. Export–Import Bank of the United States, All America: Export–Import Bank of the United States 2020 Annual
Report, pp. 7 and 42, https://img.exim.gov/s3fs-public/reports/competitiveness_reports/2019/2019-EXIM-
Competitiveness-Report-FINAL.pdf (accessed February 22, 2023).
25. Export–Import Bank of the United States, Building a Better America: Export–Import Bank of the United States
2021 Annual Report, p. 22, https://img.exim.gov/s3fs-public/reports/annual/2021/EXIM_2021_AnnualReport.
pdf (accessed February 22, 2023).
26. Congressional Budget Office, “Fair-Value Estimates of the Cost of Selected Federal Credit Programs for
2015 to 2024,” May 2014, pp. 1 and 5, https://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/cbofiles/attachments/45383-
FairValue.pdf (accessed February 22, 2023).
27. Export–Import Bank of the United States, Office of Inspector General, Report on Portfolio Risk and Loss
Reserve Allocation Policies, OIG-INS-12-02, September 28, 2012, https://img.exim.gov/s3fs-public/oig/Final-
20Report-20Complete-20Portfolio-20Risk-20120928-1.pdf#:~:text=Date%3A%20September%2028%2C%20
2012%20I%20am%20pleased%20to,measure%2C%20price%2C%20and%20reserve%20for%20its%20
portfolio%20risk. (accessed March 21, 2023). See also Export–Import Bank of the United States, Office of
Inspector General, Export–Import Bank’s Management of Direct Loans and Related Challenges, OIG-AR-13-05,
September 26, 2013, https://img.exim.gov/s3fs-public/oig/audit/OIG-Final-Report-Audit-of-Ex-Im-Bank-s-
Management-of-Direct-Loans-and-Related-Challenges-09-26-13-2.pdf (accessed March 21, 2023).
28. Veronique de Rugy and Justin Leventhal, “The Ex–Im Bank Is More Responsible Without a Quorum,” Mercatus
Center at George Mason University Data Visualization, December 11, 2018, https://www.mercatus.org/research/
data-visualizations/ex-im-bank-more-responsible-without-quorum#:~:text=At%2063%20percent%20
without%20a%20quorum%2C%20the%20Ex-Im,is%20doing%20better%20without%20the%20Ex-Im%20
Bank%E2%80%99s%20aid (accessed February 22, 2023).
29. Figure 3, “Arrangement Official Export Credits—Destination Countries by Income Level (Billion USD),” in
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, “Export Credit Statistics: Trends and Cashflow:
Trends in Arrangement Official Export Credits (2009–2019),” https://www.oecd.org/trade/topics/export-
credits/statistics/ (accessed March 21, 2023).
30. Export–Import Bank of the United States, Building a Better America: Export–Import Bank of the United States
2021 Annual Report, pp. 19, 44, and 47.
31. Export–Import Bank of the United States, Annual Management Report for the Year-Ended September 30,
2022, and September 30, 2021, pp. 1, 7 and 57.
32. News release, “Ex–Im Bank FY 2012 Annual Report Details Fourth Consecutive Record-Breaking Year,” Export–
Import Bank of the United States, November 26, 2012, https://www.exim.gov/news/ex-im-bank-fy-2012-
annual-report-details-fourth-consecutive-record-breaking-year (accessed March 21, 2023).
33. Bloomberg News, “China Retreats on Going Toe-to-Toe with US on Critical Tech,” The Sydney Morning Herald,
January 4, 2023, https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/china-retreats-on-going-toe-to-toe-with-
us-on-critical-tech-20230104-p5cae9.html (accessed February 23, 2023).
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
34. President Ronald Reagan, “Statement on Signing the Export–Import Bank Act Amendments of 1986,” October
15, 1986, https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/statement-signing-the-export-import-bank-act-
amendments-1986 (accessed February 22, 2023).
35. Export–Import Bank of the United States, Report to the U.S. Congress on Global Export Credit Competition for
the Period January 1, 2018, Through December 31, 2018, June 2019, https://img.exim.gov/s3fs-public/reports/
competitiveness_reports/2019/EXIM2019CompetitivenessReport-final.pdf (accessed February 18, 2023).
— 730 —
24
FEDERAL RESERVE
Paul Winfree
M
oney is the essential unit of measure for the voluntary exchanges that
constitute the market economy. Stable money allows people to work
freely, helps businesses grow, facilitates investment, supports saving
for retirement, and ultimately provides for economic growth. The federal govern-
ment has long made policy regarding the nation’s money on behalf of the people
through their elected representatives in Congress.1 Over time, however, Congress
has delegated that responsibility first to the Department of the Treasury and now
to the quasi-public Federal Reserve System.
The Federal Reserve was created by Congress in 1913 when most Americans lived
in rural areas and the largest industry was agriculture. The impetus was a series of
financial crises caused both by irresponsible banks and other financial institutions that
overextended credit and by poor regulations. The architects of the Federal Reserve
believed that a quasi-public clearinghouse acting as lender of last resort would reduce
financial instability and end severe recessions. However, the Great Depression of the
1930s was needlessly prolonged in part because of the Federal Reserve’s inept manage-
ment of the money supply. More recessions followed in the post–World War II years.
In the decades since the Federal Reserve was created, there has been a down-
turn roughly every five years. This monetary dysfunction is related in part to the
impossibility of fine-tuning the money supply in real time, as well as to the moral
hazard inherent in a political system that has demonstrated a history of bailing
out private firms when they engage in excess speculation.
Public control of money creation through the Federal Reserve System has
another major problem: Government can abuse this authority for its own advantage
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
by printing money to finance its operations. This necessitated the original Federal
Reserve’s decentralization and political independence. Not long after the central
bank’s creation, however, monetary decision-making power was transferred away
from regional member banks and consolidated in the Board of Governors.
The Federal Reserve’s independence is presumably supported by its mandate
to maintain stable prices. Yet central bank independence is challenged in two addi-
tional ways. First, like any other public institution, the Federal Reserve responds to
the potential for political oversight when faced with challenges.2 Consequently, its
independence in conducting monetary policy is more assured when the economy is
experiencing sustained growth and when there is low unemployment and price stabil-
ity—but less so in a crisis.3 Additionally, political pressure has led the Federal Reserve
to use its power to regulate banks as a way to promote politically favorable initiatives
including those aligned with environmental, social, and governance (ESG) objectives.4
Even formal grants of power by Congress have not markedly improved Federal
Reserve actions. Congress gave the Federal Reserve greater regulatory authority
over banks after the stock market crash of 1929. During the Great Depression, the
Federal Reserve was given the power to set reserve requirements on banks and to
regulate loans for the purchase of securities. During the stagflation of the 1970s,
Congress expanded the Federal Reserve’s mandate to include “maximum employ-
ment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates.”5 In the wake of the
2008 global financial crisis, the Federal Reserve’s banking and financial regulatory
authorities were broadened even further. The Great Recession also led to innova-
tions by the central bank such as additional large-scale asset purchases.
Together, these expansions have created significant risks associated with “too big
to fail” financial institutions and have facilitated government debt creation.6 Collec-
tively, such developments have eroded the Federal Reserve’s economic neutrality.
In essence, because of its vastly expanded discretionary powers with respect
to monetary and regulatory policy, the Fed lacks both operational effectiveness
and political independence. To protect the Federal Reserve’s independence and
to improve monetary policy outcomes, Congress should limit its mandate to the
sole objective of stable money.
This chapter provides a number of options aimed at achieving these goals along
with the costs and benefits of each policy recommendation. These recommended
reforms are divided into two parts: broad institutional changes and changes involv-
ing the Federal Reserve’s management of the money supply.
BROAD RECOMMENDATIONS
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and bank credit. In the 1970s, the Federal Reserve’s mission was amended
to maintain macroeconomic stability following the abandonment of the
gold standard.7 This included making the Federal Reserve responsible for
maintaining full employment, stable prices, and long-term interest rates.
Reserve to include environmental or redistributionist “equity” goals in its
policymaking, which will likely enable additional federal spending.9
l Wind down the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet. Until the 2008 crisis,
the Federal Reserve never held more than $1 trillion in assets, bought largely
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
to influence monetary policy.12 Since then, these assets have exploded, and
the Federal Reserve now owns nearly $9 trillion of mainly federal debt
($5.5 trillion)13 and mortgage-backed securities ($2.6 trillion).14 There is
currently no government oversight of the types of assets that the Federal
Reserve purchases.
These purchases have two main effects: They encourage federal deficits
and support politically favored markets, which include housing and even
corporate debt. Over half of COVID-era deficits were monetized in this way
by the Federal Reserve’s purchase of Treasuries, and housing costs were
driven to historic highs by the Federal Reserve’s purchase of mortgage
securities. Together, this policy subsidizes government debt, starving
business borrowing, while rewarding those who buy homes and certain
corporations at the expense of the wider public.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
above the prior record high of 7.0 set in 2005.18 The mortgage-payment-to-
income ratio hit 43.3 percent in August 2022—breaking the highs of the prior
housing bubble in 2008.19 Mortgage payment on a median-priced home (with
a 20 percent down payment) jumped to $2,408 in the autumn of 2022 vs.
$1,404 just one year earlier as home prices continued to rise even as mortgage
rates more than doubled. Renters have not been spared: Median apartment
rental costs have jumped more than 24 percent since the start of 2021.20
Numerous cities experienced rent increases well in excess of 30 percent.
A primary driver of higher costs during the past three years has been the
Federal Reserve’s purchases of mortgage-backed securities (MBS). Since
March 2020, the Federal Reserve has driven down mortgage interest rates
and fueled a rise in housing costs by purchasing $1.3 trillion of MBSs from
Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae. The $2.7 trillion now owned by
the Federal Reserve is nearly double the levels of March 2020. The flood of
capital from the Federal Reserve into MBSs increased the amount of capital
available for real estate purchases while lower interest rates on mortgage
borrowing—driven down in part by the Federal Reserve’s MBS purchases—
induced and enabled borrowers to take on even larger loans.21 The Federal
Reserve should be precluded from any future purchases of MBSs and should
wind down its holdings either by selling off the assets or by allowing them to
mature without replacement.
l Stop paying interest on excess reserves. Under this policy, also started
during the 2008 financial crisis, the Federal Reserve effectively prints
money and then “borrows” it back from banks rather than those banks’
lending money to the public. This amounts to a transfer to Wall Street at
the expense of the American public and has driven such excess reserves
to $3.1 trillion, up seventyfold since 2007.22 The Federal Reserve should
immediately end this practice and either sell off its balance sheet or simply
stop paying interest so that banks instead lend the money. Congress should
bring back the pre-2008 system, founded on open-market operations. This
minimizes the Fed’s power to engage in preferential credit allocation.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
government deficits and pressure to print money to boost the economy artificially
until the next election. Because both will always exist with self-interested politi-
cians, the only permanent remedy is to take the monetary steering wheel out of
the Federal Reserve’s hands and return it to the people.
This could be done by abolishing the federal role in money altogether, allowing
the use of commodity money, or embracing a strict monetary-policy rule to ward
off political meddling. Of course, neither free banking nor a allowing commodi-
ty-backed money is currently being discussed, so we have formulated a menu of
reforms. Each option involves trade-offs between how effectively it restrains the
Federal Reserve and how difficult each policy would be to implement, both polit-
ically for Congress and economically in terms of disruption to existing financial
institutions. We present these options in decreasing order of effectiveness against
inflation and boom-and-bust recessionary cycles.
Free Banking. In free banking, neither interest rates nor the supply of money
is controlled by the government. The Federal Reserve is effectively abolished, and
the Department of the Treasury largely limits itself to handling the government’s
money. Regions of the U.S. actually had a similar system, known as the “Suffolk
System,” from 1824 until the 1850s, and it minimized both inflation and economic
disruption while allowing lending to flourish.23
Under free banking, banks typically issue liabilities (for example, checking
accounts) denominated in dollars and backed by a valuable commodity. In the
19th century, this backing was commonly gold coins: Each dollar, for example, was
defined as about 1/20 of an ounce of gold, redeemable on demand at the issuing
bank. Today, we might expect most banks to back with gold, although some might
prefer to back their notes with another currency or even by equities or other assets
such as real estate. Competition would determine the right mix of assets in banks’
portfolios as backing for their liabilities.
As in the Suffolk System, competition keeps banks from overprinting or lending
irresponsibly. This is because any bank that issues more paper than it has assets
available would be subject to competitor banks’ presenting its notes for redemp-
tion. In the extreme, an overissuing bank could be liable to a bank run. Reckless
banks’ competitors have good incentives to police risk closely lest their own hold-
ings of competitor dollars become worthless.24
In this way, free banking leads to stable and sound currencies and strong finan-
cial systems because customers will avoid the riskier issuers, driving them out
of the market. As a result of this stability and lack of inflation inherent in fully
backed currencies, free banking could dramatically strengthen and increase both
the dominant role of America’s financial industry and the use of the U.S. dollar
as the global currency of choice.25 In fact, under free banking, the norm is for the
dollar’s purchasing power to rise gently over time, reflecting gains in economic
productivity. This “supply-side deflation” does not cause economic busts. In fact,
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
by ensuring that cash earns a positive (inflation-adjusted) rate of return, it can pre-
vent households and businesses from holding inefficiently small money balances.
Further benefits of free banking include dramatic reduction of economic cycles,
an end to indirect financing of federal spending, removal of the “lender of last
resort” permanent bailout function of central banks, and promotion of currency
competition.26 This allows Americans many more ways to protect their savings.
Because free banking implies that financial services and banking would be gov-
erned by general business laws against, for example, fraud or misrepresentation,
crony regulatory burdens that hurt customers would be dramatically eased, and
innovation would be encouraged.
Potential downsides of free banking stem from its greatest benefit: It has mas-
sive political hurdles to clear. Economic theory predicts and economic history
confirms that free banking is both stable and productive, but it is radically different
from the system we have now. Transitioning to free banking would require polit-
ical authorities, including Congress and the President, to coordinate on multiple
reforms simultaneously. Getting any of them wrong could imbalance an otherwise
functional system. Ironically, it is the very strength of a true free banking system
that makes transitioning to one so difficult.
Commodity-Backed Money. For most of U.S. history, the dollar was defined in
terms of both gold and silver. The problem was that when the legal price differed
from the market price, the artificially undervalued currency would disappear from
circulation. There were times, for instance, when this mechanism put the U.S. on
a de facto silver standard. However, as a result, inflation was limited.
Given this track record, restoring a gold standard retains some appeal among
monetary reformers who do not wish to go so far as abolishing the Federal Reserve.
Both the 2012 and 2016 GOP platforms urged the establishment of a commis-
sion to consider the feasibility of a return to the gold standard,27 and in October
2022, Representative Alexander Mooney (R–WV) introduced a bill to restore the
gold standard.28
In economic effect, commodity-backing the dollar differs from free banking in
that the government (via the Fed) maintains both regulatory and bailout functions.
However, manipulation of money and credit is limited because new dollars are not
costless to the federal government: They must be backed by some hard asset like
gold. Compared to free banking, then, the benefits of commodity-backed money
are reduced, but transition disruptions are also smaller.
The process of commodity backing is very straightforward: Treasury could
set the price of a dollar at today’s market price of $2,000 per ounce of gold. This
means that each Federal Reserve note could be redeemed at the Federal Reserve
and exchanged for 1/2000 ounce of gold—about $80, for example, for a gold coin the
weight of a dime. Private bank liabilities would be redeemable upon their issuers.
Banks could send those traded-in dollars to the Treasury for gold to replenish their
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Friedman proposed the K-Percent Rule was very different from monetary policy
today. Adopting a K-Percent Rule would require considering what transitions need
to take place.
Inflation-Targeting Rules. Inflation targeting is the current de facto Federal
Reserve rule.32 Under inflation targeting, the Federal Reserve chooses a target infla-
tion rate—essentially the highest it thinks the public will accept—and then tries
to engineer the money supply to achieve that goal. Chairman Jerome Powell and
others before him have used 2 percent as their target inflation rate, although some
are now floating 3 percent or 4 percent.33 The result can be boom-and-bust cycles
of inflation and recession driven by disruptive policy manipulations both because
the Federal Reserve is liable to political pressure and because making economic
predictions is very difficult if not impossible.
Inflation and Growth–Targeting Rules. Inflation and growth targeting is a
popular proposal for reforming the Federal Reserve. Two of the most prominent
versions of inflation and growth targeting are a Taylor Rule and Nominal GDP
(NGDP) Targeting. Both offer similar costs and benefits.
Economists generally believe that the economy’s long-term real growth trend
is determined by non-monetary factors. The Fed’s job is to minimize fluctuations
around that trend nominal growth rate. Speculative booms and destructive busts
caused by swings in total spending should be avoided. NGDP targeting stabilizes
total nominal spending directly. The Taylor Rule does so indirectly, operating
through the federal funds rate.
NGDP targeting keeps total nominal spending growth on a steady path. If the
demand for money (liquidity) rises, the Fed meets it by increasing the money
supply; if the demand for money falls, the Fed responds by reducing the money
supply. This minimizes the effects of demand shocks on the economy. For example,
if the long-run growth rate of the U.S. economy is 3 percent and the Fed has a 5 per-
cent NGDP growth target, it expands the money supply enough to boost nominal
income by 5 percent each year, which translates into 3 percent real growth and 2
percent inflation. How much money must be created each year depends on how
fast money demand is growing.
The Taylor Rule works similarly. It says the Fed should raise its policy rate
when inflation and real output growth are above trend and lower its policy rate
when inflation and real output growth are below trend. Whereas NGDP targeting
focuses directly on stable demand as an outcome, the Taylor Rule focuses on the
Fed’s more reliable policy levers.
The problem with both rules is the knowledge burden they place on central
bankers. These rules state that the Fed should neutralize demand shocks but
not respond to supply shocks, which means that it should “see through” demand
shocks by tolerating higher (or lower) inflation. In theory, this has much to recom-
mend it. In practice, it can be very difficult to distinguish between demand-side
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
destabilization and supply-side destabilization in real time. There also are political
considerations: Fed officials may not be willing to curb unjustified economic booms
and all too willing to suppress necessary economic restructuring following a bust.
Either rule likely outperforms a strict inflation target and greatly outperforms
the Fed’s current pseudo-inflation target. While NGDP targeting and the Taylor
Rule have much to commend them, they might be harder to explain and justify to
the public. Inflation targeting has an intelligibility advantage: Voters know what
it means to stabilize the dollar’s purchasing power. Capable elected officials must
persuade the public that the advantages of NGDP targeting and the Taylor Rule,
especially in terms of supporting labor markets, outweigh the disadvantages.
l Have elected officials compel the Fed to specify its target range for
inflation and inform the public of a concrete intended growth path.
There should be no more “flexible average inflation targeting,” which
amounts to ex post justification for bad policy.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
AUTHOR’S NOTE: The preparation of this chapter was a collective enterprise of individuals involved in the
2025 Presidential Transition Project. All contributors to this chapter are listed at the front of this volume, but
Alexander Salter, Judy Shelton, and Peter St Onge, deserve special mention. The chapter reflects input from all the
contributors, however, no views expressed herein should be attributed to any specific individual.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
ENDNOTES
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
19. Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, “Metro Area Home Ownership Affordability Monitor (HOAM) Index,”
October 2022, https://www.atlantafed.org/center-for-housing-and-policy/data-and-tools/home-ownership-
affordability-monitor.aspx (accessed January 24, 2023).
20. Apartment List Research Team, “Apartment List National Rent Report,” January 4, 2023, https://www.
apartmentlist.com/research/national-rent-data (accessed January 24, 2023).
21. Primary drivers of rising real estate prices nationally also include government subsidies and government
guarantees through government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs)—namely, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. “The
unpriced implicit guarantee, which reduced interest rates for mortgage borrowers, helped cause more of the
economy’s capital to be invested in housing than might otherwise have been the case.” Congressional Budget
Office, “Transitioning to Alternative Structures for Housing Finance: An Update,” August 2018, p. 7, https://
www.cbo.gov/system/files/2018-08/54218-GSEupdate.pdf (accessed January 24, 2023).
22. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Reserves of Depository Institutions Data Series
(TOTRESNS), 1960–2022, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/TOTRESNS (accessed January 24, 2023).
23. George A. Selgin, The Theory of Free Banking: Money Supply Under Competitive Note Issue (Totowa, NJ:
Rowman & Littlefield, 1998). See also Alexander William Salter and Andrew T. Young, “A Theory of Self-
Enforcing Monetary Constitutions with Reference to the Suffolk System, 1825–1858,” Journal of Economic
Behavior & Organization, Vol. 156 (December 2018), pp 13–22.
24. Reforms should also strengthen the incentives of bank depositors (customers) and bank shareholders
(owners) to monitor bank portfolios. Deposit insurance undermines the former, as even President Franklin
Roosevelt recognized. Bailouts and last-resort lending undermine the latter.
25. Under the current system, banks are supplying the U.S. dollars. Legislation would been needed that includes a
mechanism for supplying the correct number of U.S. dollars along with their own notes.
26. F. A. Hayek, Denationalization of Money: An Analysis of the Theory and Current Practice of Concurrent
Currencies (London, UK: Institute of Economic Affairs, 1976).
27. Kate Davidson, “GOP Platform Includes Proposal to Study Return to Gold Standard,” The Wall Street Journal,
July 20, 2016, https://www.wsj.com/articles/gop-platform-includes-proposal-to-study-return-to-gold-
standard-1469047214?mod=article_inline (accessed January 24, 2023).
28. H.R. 9157, To Define the Dollar as a Fixed Weight of Gold, and for Other Purposes (Gold Standard Restoration
Act), 117th Congress, introduced October 7, 2022, https://www.congress.gov/117/bills/hr9157/BILLS-117hr9157ih.
pdf (accessed January 24, 2023).
29. Judy Shelton, “Gold and Government,” Cato Journal, Vol. 32, No. 2 (Spring/Summer 2012), pp. 333–347,
https://www.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/serials/files/cato-journal/2012/7/v32n2-9.pdf?mod=article_inline
(accessed January 24, 2023).
30. Lawrence H. White, “Making the Transition to a New Gold Standard,” Cato Journal, Vol. 32, No. 2 (Spring/
Summer 2012), pp. 411–421, https://www.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/serials/files/cato-journal/2012/7/v32n2-
14.pdf (accessed January 24, 2023).
31. Juha Kilponen and Kai Leitemo, “Model Uncertainty and Delegation: A Case for Friedman’s k-Percent Money
Growth Rule?” Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 40, No. 2/3 (March–April 2008), pp. 547–556.
32. Adam Shapiro and Daniel J. Wilson, “The Evolution of the FOMC’s Explicit Inflation Target,” Federal Reserve
Bank of San Francisco, FRBSF Economic Letter No. 2019–12, April 15, 2019, https://www.frbsf.org/wp-content/
uploads/sites/4/el2019-12.pdf (accessed January 24, 2023).
33. WSJ Pro, “Research Says a 3% Fed Inflation Target Could Boost Job Market,” The Wall Street Journal, August
18, 2021, https://www.wsj.com/articles/research-says-a-3-fed-inflation-target-could-boost-job-market-
11629308829#:~:text=Research%20Says%20a%203%25%20Fed%20Inflation%20Target%20Could%2-
0Boost%20Job%20Market,-Aug.&text=Two%20former%20high%2Dlevel%20Federal,help%20bolster%20
the%20job%20market (accessed January 24, 2023). See also Oliver Blanchard, “It Is Time to Revisit the 2%
Inflation Target,” Financial Times, November 28, 2022, https://www.ft.com/content/02c8a9ac-b71d-4cef-a6ff-
cac120d25588 (accessed January 24, 2023).
34. Alexander William Salter, “CBDC in the USA: Not Now, Not Ever,” American Institute for Economic
Research, December, 13, 2022, https://www.aier.org/article/cbdc-in-the-usa-not-now-not-ever/ (accessed
February 1, 2022).
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25
SMALL BUSINESS
ADMINISTRATION
Karen Kerrigan
MISSION STATEMENT
The U.S. Small Business Administration (SBA) supports U.S. entrepreneurship
and small business growth by strengthening free enterprise through policy advo-
cacy and facilitating programs that help entrepreneurs to launch and grow their
businesses and compete effectively in the global marketplace.
OVERVIEW
Created almost 70 years ago, the SBA was launched under the Small Business
Act with a mission to “aid, counsel, assist and protect, insofar as is possible, the
interests of small business concerns.”1 According to its current mission statement:
The U.S. Small Business Administration (SBA) helps Americans start, grow,
and build resilient businesses.
The SBA’s founding mission has evolved over time as programs have been
expanded or implemented, subject to the philosophical grounding of each Admin-
istration as well as assorted economic challenges and the occurrence of natural
disasters. Because of its distinct role in the federal government, the SBA became
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
the default agency for providing disaster loans to small businesses, homeowners,
renters, and organizations. As a result, hundreds of billions of taxpayer dollars have
been funneled through the agency to businesses and individuals over the years.
Some SBA programs are effective; others are not. The largest program in SBA’s
history, the Paycheck Protection Program (PPP), has been credited with saving
millions of jobs during the COVID-19 pandemic.3 A conservative Administration
would rightly focus on saving small businesses during such a crisis. At the same
time, however, various SBA programs have generated waste, fraud, and misman-
agement of taxpayer dollars.
For example, and more recently, more than $1 trillion in COVID-19 relief was
distributed through the SBA.4 The SBA’s EIDL (Economic Injury Disaster Loan)
Advance program in particular shows the dangers that can come with direct
government lending. EIDL Advance provided direct cash grants and loans to
small businesses. The SBA Office of Inspector General “identified $78.1 billion in
potentially fraudulent EIDL loans and grants paid to ineligible entities,”5 which
represented more than half of all funds spent through the program. Although PPP
worked through private lenders and as a result experienced relatively less fraud
than EIDL experienced, it is estimated “that at least 70,000 [PPP] loans were
potentially fraudulent.”6
In 1954, the agency began to execute such core functions as “making and
guaranteeing loans for small businesses,” “ensuring that small businesses earn
a ‘fair proportion’ of government contracts and sales of surplus property,” and
“provid[ing] business owners with management and business training.”7
In 1970, President Richard Nixon’s Executive Order 11518 enhanced the agen-
cy’s advocacy role by providing for the “increased representation of the interests
of small business concerns before departments and agencies of the United States
Government.”8 This advocacy role was strengthened with the adoption of the Small
Business Amendments of 1974,9 which established the Chief Counsel for Advocacy,
and was then reinforced and expanded in 1976 with the creation of the Office of
Advocacy, providing additional resources to ensure that small businesses had a
voice in the regulatory process.
In 1980, the Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA)10 further strengthened the Office
of Advocacy’s role, providing accountability across federal agencies to ensure that
they considered the impact of their rulemakings on small businesses. The RFA
requires federal agencies “to consider the effects of their regulations on small
businesses and other small entities,”11 and the Office of Advocacy is charged with
ensuring that federal agencies abide by the law and is required to provide an annual
report to the President and the Senate and House Committees on Small Business.12
In addition, the Trade Facilitation and Trade Enforcement Act (TFTEA) of 201613
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
established a new role for the Office of Advocacy: “to facilitate greater consider-
ation of small business economic issues during international trade negotiations.”14
This small office has been relatively effective over the years—and more produc-
tive during periods when a strong Chief Counsel for Advocacy has been installed
to utilize the Office of Advocacy’s authority aggressively to provide a check on
regulatory overreach. The office is one of the bright spots within the SBA that a
conservative Administration could supercharge to dismantle extreme regulatory
policies and advance limited-government reforms that promote economic freedom
and opportunity.
Currently, the SBA’s four core functions include:
ensure that small businesses win 23 percent of prime contracts.
BUDGETARY FLUCTUATION
SBA’s budget and programs have expanded significantly under some Admin-
istrations and have been scaled back under others. President Ronald Reagan cut
the SBA’s budget by more than 30 percent, and his annual budgets regularly pro-
posed to eliminate the agency altogether.15 Under President George W. Bush, SBA
Administrator Hector Barreto said that SBA’s goal was “to do more with less,”16
but this changed because of Hurricane Katrina and a surge in disaster funding.
In 2016, President Barack Obama considered streamlining and combining SBA
programs and other business-related agencies and programs under one entity at
the U.S. Department of Commerce, but opposition within the small-business lobby
in Washington scuttled the effort.17
In general, SBA budget fluctuations have been driven by several factors such as
efforts by Administrations either to cut or to greatly expand programs, the need to
boost disaster assistance because of economic or weather-related events, business
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Overall, the SBA’s appropriations have ranged from a high of over $761.9
billion in FY2020 to a low of $571.8 million in FY2007. Much of this volatility
is due to significant variation in supplemental appropriations for disaster
assistance to address economic damages caused by major hurricanes and for
SBA lending program enhancements to help small businesses access capital
during and immediately following recessions. For example, in FY2020, the
SBA received over $760.9 billion in supplemental appropriations to assist
small businesses adversely affected by the novel coronavirus (COVID-
19) pandemic.18
The CRS further notes that “[o]verall, since FY2000, appropriations for SBA’s
other programs, excluding supplemental appropriations, have increased at a pace
that exceeds inflation.”19
In terms of current loan volume, the SBA “reached nearly $43 billion in fund-
ing to small businesses, providing more than 62,000 traditional loans through its
7(a), 504, and Microloan lending partners and over 1,200 investments through
SBA licensed Small Business Investment Companies (SBICs) for Fiscal Year (FY)
2022.”20 The agency’s total budgetary resources for FY 2022 amount to $44.25
billion, which represents 0.4 percent of the FY 2022 U.S. federal budget.21
HISTORY OF MISMANAGEMENT
Throughout its history, various SBA programs and practices have generated
negative news headlines and scathing Government Accountability Office (GAO)
and Inspector General (IG) reports that have centered on mismanagement, lack
of competent personnel and/or systems, and waste, fraud and abuse.22 From the 8a
program23 to Hurricane Katrina24 to the more current COVID-19 (EIDL) program
and PPP lending program,25 the SBA has managed to maintain its lending role even
when repeated system failures have affected its distribution of funds.
Congress has been somewhat responsive, pressuring the SBA to clean up
fraud-related matters within its COVID-19 lending and grant programs.26 Repub-
licans in the U.S. House of Representatives have gone farther, specifying that the
SBA needs to improve transparency and accountability and deal with mission creep,
the expansion of unauthorized programs, and structural and reporting deficiencies
that have allowed mismanagement and fraud to reoccur, largely through massive
supplemental appropriations.27
The SBA is led by an Administrator (currently a member of the President’s
Cabinet) and a Deputy Administrator. Senate-confirmed appointees include
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or geographically situated small businesses and entrepreneurs.
Today, initiatives aimed at “inclusivity” are in fact creating exclusivity and
stringent selectivity in deciding what types of small businesses and entities can
use SBA programs. For example, even though the SBA under President Donald
Trump proposed a rule to remove all of the unconstitutional religious exclusions
from its regulations29 to conform with Supreme Court decisions that have made
their unconstitutionality clear, the SBA has not acted on the proposed rule and
still uses religious exclusions in determining eligibility for business loans. Several
other specific concerns include but are not limited to:
l The creation of duplicative channels and “pilot programs” for the delivery of
business training rather than working through existing counseling partners.
The programs are largely duplicative of private, state and local government,
and educational system offerings.31
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l A full accounting of and an end to waste, fraud, and abuse in all COVID-19
relief programs, including the PPP and EIDL programs, and action that
follows the rule of law by ensuring that loan recipients who are not eligible
for loan forgiveness or who falsified loan applications either pay back the
funds or are referred to law enforcement.
l Outreach to all small businesses and those that are eligible for program
support across sectors and geographic areas. Through congressionally
authorized programs and collaboration with partners and business
associations, the SBA could use the latest technology and platforms to
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IG report, failure to adopt procedures that would reliably capture data and
information for various programs, coupled with significant challenges and
weaknesses regarding IT investments, systems development, and security
controls, presents significant risks to program integrity and increased
risk of waste, fraud, and abuse.34 Addressing these shortcomings and risks
should be a priority challenge and action item for the next Administration.
As underscored by the Inspector General in his introduction to the report,
“Pandemic response has, in many instances, magnified the challenging
systemic issues in SBA’s mission-related work.”35
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
reforms, the Office of Advocacy could be a powerful weapon against the adminis-
trative state’s regulatory extremism.
l Amend the RFA so that all agencies are required to provide a copy
of any proposed rule (other than bona fide emergency rules) along
with initial regulatory flexibility analysis to the Office of Advocacy
at least 60 days before a notice of proposed rulemaking is submitted
for publication in the Federal Register. The Office of Advocacy would
submit comments to agencies within 30 days, and each agency would have
to consider these comments, make changes in the proposed rule based
on those comments, or explain in a revised regulatory flexibility analysis
why it chose not to change the proposed rule. The Office of Advocacy’s
pre-proposing comments would be published on the agencies’ and its
own websites.
l Explicitly direct federal agencies to comply with the RFA. This would
be similar to the approach adopted by President Trump in his January and
February 2017 executive orders directing agencies to relieve the cost and
burden of regulation on business.37 Advocacy should organize regional
roundtables, onsite small-business visits, and an online platform to hear
directly from small businesses and entities as it did from June 2017 through
September 2018.38 This activity produced 26 letters to federal agencies
and highlighted specific regulations that need reform and how Congress
had addressed the most burdensome rules through the Congressional
Review Act.39
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For example, under the CARES Act,41 PPP loan applicants generally were
eligible only if, together with all their affiliates, they had no more than 500
employees. Numerous Planned Parenthood affiliates self-certified eligibility
for PPP loans during the initial wave of loans that were governed by the
CARES Act’s size requirement. Many Senators and Representatives asserted
that these Planned Parenthood organizations were ineligible because—
considered together with their affiliates—they exceeded the maximum
eligible size.42 The Trump Administration SBA notified several Planned
Parenthood PPP recipients of its preliminary determination of their
ineligibility and of SBA’s authority to take various actions against applicants
that falsely certified their eligibility.43
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Disaster Loan Program and Direct Lending. The SBA’s disaster loan pro-
gram provides low-interest loans to personal, business, and nonprofit borrowers
following a federally declared disaster. The program suffers from problems of
coordination with Federal Emergency Management Administration (FEMA) disas-
ter assistance. For example, disaster relief applicants have an incentive to avoid
being approved for SBA disaster loans in order to increase the amount of FEMA
assistance for which they are eligible. Moreover, the availability of disaster loans
reduces individuals’ incentives to purchase disaster-related insurance. More than
90 percent of SBA disaster loans are loans to individuals such as homeowners, not
to small businesses.
In view of the challenges the SBA has experienced in its administration of this
program, as well as the fraud and abuse in the EIDL COVID-19–related program
and the IG’s concern that the systemic problems within this lending program
undermine the SBA’s work, the next Administration should:
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
The SBA uses the same “Religious Eligibility Worksheet,” SBA Form 1971, to
make eligibility determinations for all affected programs, including the Business
Loan Programs. Thus, the SBA continues to act as though the unconstitutional
regulation were still in place, and there is no Establishment Clause basis for doing
so. The next Administration should immediately:
l Notify Congress under 28 U.S. Code § 530D that it will not enforce
these unconstitutional regulations.
SBIR requires that 3.2 percent of spending by agencies with extramural R&D
budgets of $100 million or more must be directed to small businesses. STTR allo-
cates 0.45 percent of federal research spending to small firms.58 Research has shown
that this small portion of federal R&D spending is disproportionately effective.59
The SBIR program has consistently demonstrated its ability to fund advanced
technologies through to private-market viability and invests more in America’s
heartland than venture capital invests.60
SBIR and STTR have overcome the tendency of federal contracting officers
to deal only with large firms that are familiar to them and have the expertise and
lobbying clout to navigate the federal procurement process. The next Adminis-
tration should:
l Continue the SBIR and SBTT programs as they successfully fund the
next wave of technological innovation to compete with Big Tech.
l Urge Congress to expand the amount that other agencies are required
to set aside from their general R&D budgets for the SBIR program.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
The SBA’s existing programs should be reformed to expand the private market
for capital in small-manufacturer expansion. The next Administration should:
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
largely duplicates private-sector venture capital to the extent that the sector
receiving much of its support is software and information technology, which
already receive the lion’s share of venture capital investment.65
considering medium-sized enterprises along with small businesses, often referred
to collectively as small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). Medium-sized and
regional businesses are increasingly critical to maintaining competition. The next
Administration should:
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l The Fair and Open Competition Act71 would disallow the use of project labor
agreements (PLAs) in federal contracting as required in President Biden’s
Executive Order 14063,72 which puts small businesses at a competitive
disadvantage and works against the SBA’s governmentwide contracting goal
for small businesses.
Budget
The next Administration should undertake a comprehensive review of the
effectiveness of its various loan and grant programs and provide a report to
Congress within six months. The report should rank programs by cost-effective-
ness. In the interim, the roughly $1 billion overall agency budget should be held
constant until the report is considered, after which Congress should terminate
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Personnel Challenges
The SBA continues to expand programs and initiatives without first document-
ing the effectiveness of existing programs or whether they involve areas in which
the agency lacks staff expertise. For example, the SBA wants to expand the number
of licensed Small Business Lending Companies (SBLCs), implement a new “Mis-
sion-Based SBLC,” and remove a requirement for loan authorization within the
7(a) and 504 Loan programs and rely solely on a lender’s documents.
Various IG reports have noted that the lack of skilled employees within the
SBA has fueled fraud and mismanagement in COVID-19 lending programs, and
congressional leaders have expressed alarm about these “changes that haphazardly
overextend the SBA’s responsibilities at a time when they are devastated by fraud
and underperforming on their core mission of serving the nation’s 33 million small
businesses.”74 A conservative Administration should rein in these idealistic and
impractical efforts, get current programs under control and properly staffed with
people who can manage and perform competently, and outsource efforts where
private-sector expertise is appropriate and more efficient.
AUTHOR’S NOTE: The preparation of this chapter was a collective enterprise of individuals involved in the
2025 Presidential Transition Project. All contributors to this chapter are listed at the front of this volume, but David
Burton and Caleb Orr deserve special mention. The author alone assumes responsibility for the content of this
chapter, and no views expressed herein should be attributed to any other individual.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
ENDNOTES
1. H.R. 7953, Small Business Act, Public Law 85-536, 85th Congress, July 18, 1958, § 2, https://uscode.ecfr.io/
statutes/pl/85/536.pdf (accessed February 17, 2023), amended by H.R. 4877, One Stop Shop for Small
Business Compliance Act of 2021, Public Law 117-188, 117th Congress, October 20, 2022, https://www.congress.
gov/117/plaws/publ188/PLAW-117publ188.pdf (accessed February 17, 2023).
2. U.S. Small Business Administration, “About SBA: Organization: Mission,” https://www.sba.gov/about-sba/
organization (accessed February 19, 2023).
3. Michael Faulkender, Robert Jackman, and Stephen I. Miran, “The Job-Preservation Effects of Paycheck
Protection Program Loans,” U.S. Department of the Treasury, Office of Economic Policy, Working Paper
No. 2020-01, December 2020, p. 9, https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/226/Job-Preservation-Effects-
Paycheck-Protection-Program-Loans.pdf (accessed February 16, 2023).
4. Kate Rogers, Scott Zamost, Karina Hernandez, and Jennifer Schlesinger, “As Pandemic Aid Was Rushed
to Main Street, Criminals Seized on Covid Relief Programs,” CNBC, April 15, 2021, https://www.cnbc.
com/2021/04/15/as-pandemic-aid-was-rushed-to-main-street-criminals-seized-on-ppp-eidl-.html (accessed
February 16, 2023).
5. Kevin Brewer, “Bills Extend Statute of Limitation for Prosecuting PPP, EIDL Fraud,” Journal of Accountancy,
August 10, 2022, https://www.journalofaccountancy.com/news/2022/aug/bills-extend-statute-limitation-
prosecuting-ppp-eidl-fraud.html (accessed February 16, 2023).
6. Sacha Pfeiffer, “Virtually All PPP Loans Have Been Forgiven with Limited Scrutiny,” NPR, October 12, 2022,
https://www.npr.org/2022/10/12/1128207464/ppp-loans-loan-forgiveness-small-business#:~:text=As%20
COVID-19%20shutdowns%20threatened,early%20days%20of%20the%20pandemic (accessed
February 16, 2023).
7. U.S. Small Business Administration, “About SBA: Organization: SBA History,” https://www.sba.gov/about-sba/
organization (accessed February 19, 2023).
8. President Richard Nixon, Executive Order 11518, “Providing for the Increased Representation of the Interests
of Small Business Concerns Before Departments and Agencies of the United States Government,” March 20,
1970, in Federal Register, Vol. 35, No. 56 (March 21, 1970), pp. 4939–4940, https://tile.loc.gov/storage-services/
service/ll/fedreg/fr035/fr035056/fr035056.pdf (accessed February 18, 2023).
9. S. 3331, Small Business Amendments of 1974, Public Law 93-386, 93rd Congress, August 23, 1974, https://www.
congress.gov/93/statute/STATUTE-88/STATUTE-88-Pg742.pdf (accessed February 19, 2023).
10. S. 299, Regulatory Flexibility Act, Public Law No. 96-354, 96th Congress, September 19, 1980, https://www.
congress.gov/96/statute/STATUTE-94/STATUTE-94-Pg1164.pdf (accessed February 19, 2023).
11. Maeve P. Carey, “The Regulatory Flex Act: An Overview,” Congressional Research Service In Focus No. IF11900,
August 16, 2021, https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IF/IF11900 (accessed February 18, 2023).
12. U.S. Small Business Administration, Office of Advocacy, “The Regulatory Flexibility Act,” https://advocacy.sba.
gov/resources/the-regulatory-flexibility-act/ (accessed February 18, 2023).
13. H.R. 644, Trade Facilitation and Trade Enforcement Act of 2015, Public Law No. 114-125, 114th Congress,
February 24, 2026, https://www.congress.gov/114/statute/STATUTE-130/STATUTE-130-Pg122.pdf (accessed
March 21, 2023).
14. U.S. Small Business Administration, Office of Advocacy, “Advocacy Releases Trade Report,” December 21, 2018,
https://advocacy.sba.gov/2018/12/21/advocacy-releases-trade-report/ (accessed March 21, 2023).
15. Associated Press, “Reagan Offers $994-Billion ‘Hard-Choices’ 1987 Budget,” Los Angeles Times,
February 5, 1986, http://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-1986-02-05-mn-4369-story.html (accessed
February 18, 2023).
16. Testimony of Hon. Hector V. Barreto, Administrator, Small Business Administration, in hearing, The President’s
FY 2006 Budget Request for the Small Business Administration, Committee on Small Business and
Entrepreneurship, U.S. Senate, 109th Congress, 1st Session, February 17, 2005, p. 8, https://books.google.com/
books?id=UwD-2ICa8k8C&printsec=frontcover&source=gbs_ge_summary_r&cad=0#v=onepage&q&f=false
(accessed February 18, 2023). See also Report No. 109-49, Summary of Legislative and Oversight Activities
During the 108th Congress, Committee on Small Business and Entrepreneurship, U.S. Senate, 109th Congress,
1st Session, March 30, 2005, p. 21, https://www.congress.gov/109/crpt/srpt49/CRPT-109srpt49.pdf (accessed
February 18, 2023).
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17. Editorial, “The Small Business Administration Needs Reforming,” The Washington Post, December 18, 2016,
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/the-sba-needs-reforming/2016/12/18/b639fc4c-c159-11e6-8422-
eac61c0ef74d_story.html (accessed February 18, 2023).
18. Robert Jay Dilger, Anthony A. Cilluffo, and R. Corinne Blackford, “Small Business Administration Funding:
Overview and Recent Trends,” Congressional Research Service Report for Members and Committees of
Congress No. R43486, updated July 14, 2022, Summary, https://sgp.fas.org/crs/misc/R43846.pdf (accessed
November 18, 2022).
19. Ibid., p. 2. Emphasis added.
20. Press release, “SBA Announces End-of-Year Capital Benchmarks Showing Historic Support for Small
Businesses Under Administrator Guzman,” U.S. Small Business Administration, December 13, 2022, https://
www.sba.gov/article/2022/dec/13/sba-announces-end-year-capital-benchmarks-showing-historic-support-
small-businesses-under?utm_medium=email&utm_source=govdelivery (accessed February 18, 2023).
21. USASpending,gov, “Agency Profile: Small Business Administration (SBA),” data through September 29, 2022,
https://www.usaspending.gov/agency/small-business-administration?fy=2022 (accessed February 18, 2023).
22. Testimony and prepared statement of Tad DeHaven, Budget Analyst, Cato Institute, in hearing, An
Examination of SBA Programs: Eliminating Inefficiencies, Duplications, Fraud, and Abuse, Committee on Small
Business and Entrepreneurship, U.S. Senate, 112th Congress, 1st Session, June 16, 2011, pp. 80–90, https://www.
govinfo.gov/content/pkg/CHRG-112shrg88373/pdf/CHRG-112shrg88373.pdf (accessed February 18, 2023).
23. Sarah Westwood, “Feds Gave $400 Million in Contracts to Ineligible Firms,” Washington Examiner, September
28, 2014, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/feds-gave-400-million-in-contracts-to-ineligible-firms
(accessed February 18, 2023).
24. Keith Girard, “Inside the SBA’s Monumental Katrina Loan Scandal,” AllBusiness.com, https://www.allbusiness.
com/inside-the-sbas-monumental-katrina-loan-scandal-11793824-1.html (accessed February 18, 2023).
25. Arnold & Porter, “CARES Act Fraud Tracker,” last updated January 2, 2023, https://www.arnoldporter.com/en/
general/cares-act-fraud-tracker (accessed February 18, 2023).
26. Jay Edwards, “Bipartisan Call to Crack Down on COVID-19 PPP/EIDL Fraud, Prosecute Fraudsters to the
Fullest Extent of the Law,” WRNJ Radio (Hackettstown, New Jersey), October 21, 2022, https://wrnjradio.com/
bipartisan-call-to-crack-down-on-covid-19-ppp-eidl-fraud-prosecute-fraudsters-to-the-fullest-extent-of-the-
law/ (accessed March 21, 2023).
27. See, for example, H.R. 7628, IMPROVE the SBA Act, 117th Congress, introduced April 28, 2022, https://www.
congress.gov/117/bills/hr7628/BILLS-117hr7628ih.pdf (accessed February 18, 2023).
28. In varying degrees, almost every small-business advocacy organization and trade association engages
with the SBA. During periods of hyper-regulatory activity fueled by an activist Administration, the small-
business community engages more frequently with the Office of Advocacy through its roundtables and
other mechanisms in the hope of warding off costly and intrusive rulemakings. A future conservative
Administration can look to the following groups, among others, for support in advancing both SBA
and broader policy reform: American Hotel and Lodging Association; Asian American Hotel Owners
Association; Association of Builders and Contractors; Associated Equipment Distributors; Ceramic Tile
Distributors Association; Consumer Technology Association; Family Business Coalition; Foodservice
Equipment Distributors Association; Heating, Air-conditioning, and Refrigeration Distributors International;
Independent Bakers Association; Independent Community Bankers Association; Independent Electrical
Contractors’ International Association of Plastics Distributors; International Franchise Association;
Metals Service Center Institute; National Association of Electrical Distributors; National Association of
Manufacturers; National Association of Wholesaler-Distributors; National Fastener Distributors Association;
National Marine Distributors Association; National Federation of Independent Business; National Ready Mix
Concrete Association; National Small Business Association; Small Business and Entrepreneurship Council;
and U.S. Hispanic Chamber of Commerce. Additionally, the small-business community is diverse and broad,
and several key groups strongly support SBA lending but vigorously oppose tax, regulatory, and spending
policies that are intrusiveness or costly to business. Conservative think tanks and taxpayer organizations
like The Heritage Foundation, the Cato Institute, the National Taxpayers Union, Citizens Against
Government Waste, the Taxpayers Protection Alliance, and Americans for Tax Reform (among others) also
have a stake in an improved and cost-effective SBA.
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29. U.S. Small Business Administration, “Ensuring Equal Treatment for Faith-Based Organizations in SBA’s Loan
and Disaster Assistance Programs,” Proposed Rule, Federal Register, Vol. 86, No. 11 (January 19, 2021), pp.
5036–5040, https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2021/01/19/2021-00446/ensuring-equal-treatment-
for-faith-based-organizations-in-sbas-loan-and-disaster-assistance-programs (accessed February 18, 2023).
30. President Joseph R. Biden Jr., Executive Order 14019, “Promoting Access to Voting,” March 7, 2021, in
Federal Register, Vol. 86, No. 45 (March 10, 2021), pp. 13623–13627, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/
FR-2021-03-10/pdf/2021-05087.pdf (accessed February 19, 2023). See also press release, “Small Business
Committee Republicans: The SBA Should Stay Out of Elections and Focus on Our Small Businesses,” Small
Business Committee Republicans, Committee on Small Business, U.S. House of Representatives, April 4, 2022,
https://republicans-smallbusiness.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=404061 (accessed
February 18, 2023).
31. Press release, “SBA Administrator Guzman, Biden–Harris Administration Announce Community Navigator
Pilot Program Grantees,” U.S. Small Business Administration, October 28, 2021, https://www.sba.gov/
article/2021/oct/28/sba-administrator-guzman-biden-harris-administration-announce-community-navigator-
pilot-program (accessed February 18, 2023).
32. John Reosti, “SBA Hasn’t Given Up on Direct Lending,” American Banker, May 2, 2022, https://www.
americanbanker.com/creditunions/news/sba-hasnt-given-up-on-direct-lending (accessed February 18, 2023).
33. Goldman Sachs, 10,000 Small Businesses Voices, “22 Years Is Too Long: Support Small Businesses.
Reauthorize the SBA,” Open Letter to Congress, November 16, 2022, https://www.goldmansachs.com/
citizenship/10000-small-businesses/US/voices/reauthorize-the-sba-letter/index.html (accessed February 18,
2023). According to Goldman Sachs, the letter “was published in Politico on Wednesday, November 16 to kick
of a broader campaign to prioritize small businesses and modernize the SBA in the next Congress” and “was
signed by over 3,000 small business owners from all 50 states.” Ibid.
34. See, for example, “Challenge 3: SBA Faces Significant Challenges in IT Investment, System Development, and
Security Controls,” in U.S. Small Business Administration, Office of Inspector General, Top Management and
Performance Challenges Facing the Small Business Administration in Fiscal Year 2023, Report 23-01, October
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40. U.S. Small Business Administration, Office of Inspector General, Top Management and Performance
Challenges Facing the Small Business Administration in Fiscal Year 2023, p. iv.
41. H.R. 748, CARES (Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security) Act, Public Law No. 116-136, 116th
Congress, March 27, 2020, https://www.congress.gov/116/plaws/publ136/PLAW-116publ136.pdf (accessed
February 19, 2023).
42. Sarah McCammon, “Planned Parenthood Asked to Return Funds from Paycheck Protection Program,” NPR,
May 21, 2020, https://www.npr.org/2020/05/21/859991359/planned-parenthood-asked-to-return-funds-
from-paycheck-protection-program (accessed February 18, 2023).
43. Letter from William Manger, Associate Administrator, U.S. Small Business Administration, to Laura Meyers,
Planned Parenthood of Metropolitan Washington, “Re: Notice of Investigation and Request for Records,”
May 19, 2020, https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/6922122/SBA-Letter-Planned-Parenthood-DC.pdf
(accessed February 18, 2023).
44. Press release, “Lankford, HSGAC Republicans Demand Details on Illegal PPP Loans to Planned Parenthood
Affiliates,” Office of U.S. Senator James Lankford, April 28, 2022, https://www.lankford.senate.gov/news/press-
releases/lankford-hsgac-republicans-demand-details-on-illegal-ppp-loans-to-planned-parenthood-affiliates
(accessed February 18, 2023).
45. Press release, “Romney, Colleagues Request Information from SBA Administrator Guzman on Illegal PPP
Loans Given to Planned Parenthood Affiliates,” Office of U.S. Senator Mitt Romney, April 28, 2022, https://
www.romney.senate.gov/romney-colleagues-request-information-from-sba-administrator-guzman-on-
illegal-ppp-loans-given-to-planned-parenthood-affiliates/ (accessed February 18, 2023).
46. 13 C.F.R. §§ 109.400(b)(11), https://www.law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/13/109.400; 123.301(g), https://www.law.
cornell.edu/cfr/text/13/123.301; 123.502(n), https://www.law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/13/123.502; and 123.702(b)(6),
https://www.law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/13/123.702 (all accessed February 19, 2023).
47. U.S. Small Business Administration, “Religious Eligibility Worksheet for all 7(a) and 504 Loan
Programs” SBA Form 1971, http://www.sba.gov/sites/default/files/2020-11/sba-form-1971.pdf (accessed
February 18, 2023).
48. U.S. Small Business Administration, “Ensuring Equal Treatment for Faith-Based Organizations in SBA’s Loan
and Disaster Assistance Program.”
49. See, for example, Carson v. Makin, 596 U.S. ___ (2022), https://www.supremecourt.gov/
opinions/21pdf/20-1088_dbfi.pdf (accessed February 19, 2023).
50. 28 U.S. Code § 530d, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/28/530D (accessed February 19, 2023).
51. U.S. Small Business Administration, “Ensuring Equal Treatment for Faith-Based Organizations in SBA’s Loan
and Disaster Assistance Program.”
52. 13 CFR 120.110(k), https://www.law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/13/120.110 (accessed February 19, 2023).
53. U.S. Small Business Administration, “Regulatory Reform Initiative: Streamlining and Modernizing the 7(a),
Microloan, and 504 Loan Programs to Reduce Regulatory Burden,” Final Rule, Federal Register, Vol. 87, No.
125 (June 30, 2022), pp. 38900–38910, https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2022/06/30/2022-13483/
regulatory-reform-initiative-streamlining-and-modernizing-the-7a-microloan-and-504-loan-programs-to
(accessed February 18, 2023).
54. Ibid.
55. U.S. Department of Justice, Office of Legal Counsel “Religious Restrictions on Capital Financing for
Historically Black Colleges and Universities,” Memorandum Opinion for the Acting General Counsel,
Department of Education, August 15, 2019, https://www.justice.gov/sites/default/files/opinions/
attachments/2021/01/01/2019-08-15-hbcu-capfin-2.pdf. (accessed February 18, 2023).
56. U.S. Small Business Administration, Office of Investment and Innovation, SBIR and STTR Annual Report, Fiscal
Year 2019, p. 8, https://www.sbir.gov/sites/default/files/SBA_Final_FY19_SBIR_STTR_Annual_Report.pdf
(accessed February 18, 2023).
57. S. 4900, SBIR and STTR Extension Act of 2022, Public Law No. 117–183, 117th Congress, September 30, 2022,
https://www.congress.gov/117/plaws/publ183/PLAW-117publ183.pdf (accessed February 18, 2023).
58. U.S. Small Business Administration, Office of Investment and Innovation, SBIR and STTR Annual Report, Fiscal
Year 2019, pp. 6, 40, and 108.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
59. Peter L. Singer, “Federally Supported Innovations: 22 Examples of Major Technology Advances that Stem from
Federal Support,” Information Technology and Innovation Foundation, February 2014, https://wrnjradio.com/
bipartisan-call-to-crack-down-on-covid-19-ppp-eidl-fraud-prosecute-fraudsters-to-the-fullest-extent-of-the-
law/ (accessed March 21, 2023).
60. Wells King, “Uncle Sam’s Top-Performing Venture Fund,” American Compass Case Study, November 2022,
https://americancompass.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/AC-Case-Study_SBIR_final2.pdf (accessed
February 18, 2023).
61. Elisabeth B. Reynolds, Hiram M. Samel, and Joyce Lawrence, “Learning by Building: Complementary Assets
and the Migration of Capabilities in U.S. Innovative Firms,” MIT Industrial Performance Center Working
Paper No. MIT-IPC-13-001, March 2013, https://ipc.mit.edu/sites/default/files/2019-01/13-001.pdf (accessed
February 18, 2023).
62. American Compass, “Where’s The Growth? Assessing the Results of the Globalization Experiment,” March
2022, pp. 3–5, https://americancompass.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/AC-Atlas-Wheres-the-Growth.pdf
(accessed February 18, 2023).
63. Sridhar Kota and Tom Mahoney, “Innovation Should Be Made in the U.S.A.,” The Wall Street Journal,
November 15, 2019, https://www.wsj.com/articles/innovation-should-be-made-in-the-u-s-a-11573833987
(accessed February 18, 2023).
64. S. ___, SBA Reauthorization and Improvement Act of 2019, 116th Congress, 1st Session, Title III, §
303, https://www.rubio.senate.gov/public/_cache/files/80533629-2905-433f-a588-7c4e032f7347/
C096ED9C1EBA68E041CFDA143E01C66C.mir19891.pdf (accessed February 18, 2023).
65. David Adler, “Financing Advanced Manufacturing: Why VCs Aren’t the Answer,” American Affairs, Vol. III, No.
2 (Summer 2019), https://americanaffairsjournal.org/2019/05/financing-advanced-manufacturing-why-vcs-
arent-the-answer/ (accessed February 18, 2023).
66. National Association of Manufacturers, “Overview of the Senate HEALS Act,” July 28, 2020, https://documents.
nam.org/comm/HEALSActInfo.pdf (accessed February 19, 2023). See also remarks by Senator Mitch
McConnell, “HEALS Act,” Congressional Record, Vol. 166, No. 132 (July 27, 2020), pp. S4491–S4492, https://
— 764 —
26
TRADE
For decades the world has struggled with a shifting maze of punitive tariffs,
export subsidies, quotas, dollar-locked currencies, and the like. Many
of these import-inhibiting and export-encouraging devices have long
been employed by major exporting countries trying to amass ever larger
[trade] surpluses.
The United States of America is the world’s dominant superpower and remains
the world’s arsenal of democracy. To maintain that global positioning—and thereby
best protect the homeland and our own democratic institutions—it is critical that
the United States strengthen its manufacturing and defense industrial base at the
same time that it increases the reliability and resilience of its globally dispersed
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
supply chains. That will necessarily require the onshoring of a significant portion
of production currently offshored by American multinational corporations.
Trade policy can and must play an essential role in an American manufacturing
and defense industrial base renaissance. However, several major challenges in the
international trading environment are pushing America in the opposite direction.
The first challenge is rooted in MFN: the “most favored nation” rule of the World
Trade Organization (WTO). According to the MFN rule, WTO members must apply
the lowest tariffs that they apply to the products of any one country to the products
of every other country.3 However, WTO members can charge higher tariffs if they
apply these nonreciprocal tariffs to all countries.
The practical result has been the systematic exploitation of American farmers,
ranchers, manufacturers, and workers through higher tariffs institutionalized by
MFN. In turn, this unfair and nonreciprocal trade has resulted in chronic U.S. trade
deficits with much of the rest of the world. This systemic trade imbalance serves as
a brake and bridle on both GDP growth and real wages in the American economy
while encumbering the U.S. with significant foreign debt.
The second challenge is part of the broader existential threat posed by the
Chinese Communist Party (CCP) in its quest for global dominance. That chal-
lenge is rooted in the CCP’s continued economic aggression, which begins with
mercantilist and protectionist trade policy tools such as tariffs, nontariff barriers,
dumping, counterfeiting and piracy, and currency manipulation. However, Com-
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
TABLE 1
SOURCE: Exhibit 14, “U.S. Trade in Goods by Selected Countries and Areas: 2022,” in press release, “Monthly U.S.
International Trade in Goods and Services, October 2022,” U.S. Department of Commerce, U.S. Census Bureau,
December 6, 2022, https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/Press-Release/ft900/ft900_2210.pdf (accessed
March 21, 2023).
A heritage.org
capital goods, and the category of foods, feeds, and beverages were the highest on
record, and imports of industrial supplies and materials were the highest since 2014.
As for the U.S. trade deficit in goods, which primarily measures manufacturing
output, Table 1 catalogues that deficit for the top 13 countries plus the European
Union (EU) in fiscal year (FY) 2022. Note that the trade deficit in goods with Com-
munist China is by far the largest: It accounts for fully one-third of that deficit and
is more than twice the size of the deficit with the EU.
These trade deficit statistics implicitly measure the large amounts of Ameri-
ca’s manufacturing and defense industrial base and supply chains that have been
offshored to foreign lands. Such offshoring not only suppresses the real wages of
American blue-collar workers and denies millions of Americans the opportunity
to climb up the rungs of the ladder to the middle class, but also raises the specter of
a manufacturing and defense industrial base that, unlike our experience in World
Wars I and II, will not be able to provide the weapons and matériel that would be
needed should America enter another major world war or seek to assist a major ally
like Europe, Japan, or Taiwan. It is wise to recall Stalin’s admonition that “quantity
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
has a quality of its own.” In World War II in particular, it was not just the brave
soldiers, sailors, and pilots who beat the Nazis and Imperial Japan. It was America’s
factories—its “arsenal of democracy”—that overwhelmed the Axis forces.
In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, almost certainly spawned in a CCP
biological weapons lab in Wuhan, China,5 global supply chains have been under
significant pressures from lockdown policies, energy price shocks, and other dis-
ruptions, including labor market disruptions. At the height of the pandemic, the
rising geopolitical risk associated with globalized supply chains was underscored
when Communist China, which controls much of the world’s pharmaceutical pro-
duction and supply chains, threatened to plunge America “into a mighty sea of
coronavirus” through pharmaceutical export controls6 if American politicians
dared to investigate what happened at the Wuhan lab.
Add all this up, and America’s trade situation and massive trade imbalances
pose not only a severe economic security threat, but also a national security threat.
As President Donald Trump indicated in announcing his 2017 National Security
Strategy, “economic security is national security.”7
Tonight, I am also asking you to pass the United States Reciprocal Trade
The World Trade Organization, with its 164 members, governs international
trade rules. Under its most favored nation (MFN) rule, each WTO member must
apply the lowest tariffs it applies to the products of any one country to the products
of every other WTO country. Importantly, nothing in the MFN rule requires a WTO
member to provide equal—that is, reciprocal or mirror—tariff rates to its trading
partners. Rather, under MFN, WTO members can charge systematically higher
tariffs to other countries to the extent negotiated in their WTO tariff schedules
so long as they apply those same higher tariffs to all countries.
As a poster child for the kind of nonreciprocal tariffs that American manufactur-
ers often face, the MFN tariff for automobiles applied by the U.S. is only 2.5 percent.
In contrast, the EU charges 10 percent, Communist China 15 percent, and Brazil 35
percent. Similarly, while the U.S. applies an MFN tariff rate of 6.2 percent on the
rice it buys from Malaysia, Malaysia applies an ad-valorem equivalent tariff of 40
percent on rice from the U.S. Meanwhile, European milk producers are shielded
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
TABLE 2
A heritage.org
by 67 percent tariffs while American milk producers benefit only from a 15 percent
tariff on foreign imports.9
From the perspective of strategic game theory, the WTO’s MFN rule provides
little or no incentive for higher-tariff countries to lower their tariffs. Rather, under
these conditions, the dominant strategy of any relatively high-tariff country is
simply to maintain those high tariffs while free riding off the lower-tariff countries.
The U.S. is disproportionately harmed by the WTO’s nonreciprocal tariff regime.
The countries that are hurt most by the WTO’s nonreciprocal tariff regime are
those like the United States that charge the lowest tariffs on average. This point is
illustrated in Table 2, which reports information on nonreciprocal tariffs that are
applied under the MFN rule on product lines at the six-digit level of the Harmo-
nized Commodity Description and Coding System (HS6).10
Table 2 presents results for a broad sample of 132 countries that account for
more than 60 percent of total U.S. trade and 98 percent of U.S. trade that is not cov-
ered by free trade agreements (FTAs). Within this broad sample of 132 countries,
U.S. exporters face higher tariffs in 467,015 different cases compared to 141,736
cases in which the U.S. charges higher nonreciprocal rates. In other words, U.S.
exporters face higher tariffs more than three times as often as the U.S. applies
higher tariffs.
Moreover, when American exporters face higher tariffs, the nonreciprocal tar-
iffs are typically much higher. As row 4 of Table 2 indicates, in the 467,015 cases in
which foreign partners charge higher tariffs, the average rate applied by the foreign
partners is 12.3 percentage points above the rate applied by the U.S. In contrast,
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
in the 141,736 cases in which the U.S. charges the higher tariff, the average U.S.
applied rate is only 8.7 percentage points higher than the average applied tariff of
the foreign partner.
Separately, Communist China levies higher tariffs on 10 products for every
one Chinese product that is subject to a U.S.-applied higher tariff.11 India’s ratio is
even higher at 13 to one. Further, both Communist China and India also feature
significant nontariff barriers. Collectively, these higher nonreciprocal tariffs in
Communist China and India block American exporters from selling goods at com-
petitive prices to more than one-third of the world’s population.
Trade Deficit Impacts of the U.S. Reciprocal Trade Act. Under current
United States laws and regulations, an American President has limited ability
to fight back against the higher MFN tariffs now being levied against American
workers, farmers, ranchers, and manufacturers. Accordingly, behind the WTO’s
protective MFN shield, America’s free-riding trading partners have little or no
incentive to come to the bargaining table to negotiate lower tariffs.
To address this nonreciprocity stalemate, President Trump urged Congress in
his 2019 State of the Union address to pass the United States Reciprocal Trade Act
(USRTA).12 Under the USRTA, the President would have the authority to bring any
American trading partner that is currently applying higher nonreciprocal tariffs to
the negotiating table. If that trading partner refused to lower tariffs to U.S. levels,
the President then would have the authority to raise U.S. tariffs to match or “mirror”
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
TABLE 3
A heritage.org
calculate the trade deficit reductions under Scenario One and Scenario Two, the
analysis relied on the World Bank’s SMART tariff simulator. Table 3 provides the
simulation results.
In Scenario One, if all 132 countries were to lower their higher nonreciprocal
tariffs to U.S. levels, the overall U.S. trade deficit in goods would be reduced by
$58.3 billion, or about 9.4 percent of that deficit. In contrast, in Scenario Two, if
these countries were to refuse to reciprocate and the U.S. were to raise its tariffs
to mirror those countries’ levels, the reduction in the U.S. trade deficit would
be slightly larger: an estimated $63.6 billion, or 10.2 percent of the deficit. This
suggests that implementing the USRTA would help to create between 350,000
and 380,000 jobs.
The slightly larger reduction in the trade deficit in Scenario Two as a result
of the U.S. raising its tariffs to mirror those of its partners, as opposed to foreign
countries lowering their tariffs to U.S. levels, may seem surprising to those who are
steeped in Ricardian dogma and the textbook lessons of free trade. However, this
result speaks to the fact that so many of America’s trading partners are applying
significantly higher tariffs to thousands of American products.
Estimated Impacts on Key U.S. Bilateral Trade Deficits. If the USRTA were
enacted, a President would likely have to prioritize which countries he should
negotiate with first. One way to create such a priority list would be to choose those
countries that have relatively large trade deficits with the U.S. and apply relatively
high tariffs. This is illustrated in Figure 1, which maps bilateral trade deficits
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
FIGURE 1
India
8%
Thailand
China
Taiwan
6%
Vietnam
4%
2%
0%
0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 $400 $450
BILATERAL TRADE DEFICIT, 2018, IN BILLIONS OF U.S. DOLLARS
SOURCE: White House Office of Trade and Manufacturing Policy, The United States Reciprocal Trade Act: Estimated
Job & Trade Deficit Effects, May 2019, p. 20, https://www.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/RTAReport.pdf?
mod=article_inline (accessed March 21, 2023).
A heritage.org
against tariff differentials for eight major U.S. trading partners, which account for
47.6 percent of total U.S. trade and 88.6 percent of the U.S. trade deficit in goods.
Figure 1 shows that the USRTA priority list would include the countries in
red—Communist China and India—along with trading partners in the yellow zone.
This yellow zone includes the European Union, which features a very high deficit,
along with Thailand, Taiwan, and Vietnam, which feature particularly high tariff
differentials.
Table 4 estimates the improvement in the U.S. trade deficit under Scenario
One, in which partner countries match the U.S. tariff rate under pressure from
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
TABLE 4
SOURCE: White House Office of Trade and Manufacturing Policy, The United States Reciprocal Trade Act: Estimated
Job & Trade Deficit Effects, May 2029, p. 21, https://www.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/RTAReport.
pdf?mod=article_inline (accessed March 21, 2023).
A heritage.org
the American President, and then under Scenario Two, in which the U.S. matches
the tariffs of partners that refuse to lower their tariffs. Columns 2 and 4 in Table 4,
when the USRTA is applied first to Communist China and then to the EU, show the
largest absolute dollar reductions in bilateral trade deficits. This results in bilat-
eral deficit reductions in Scenario One of $18.5 billion for China and $8.0 billion
for the EU. In Scenario Two, the impacts for Communist China and the EU are
substantially larger: $70.6 billion and $25.3 billion, respectively.
Note further that the largest relative dollar reductions in percent terms come
from applying the USRTA first to India and then to Taiwan and Vietnam. For exam-
ple, if India were to reduce its tariffs to U.S. levels, as in Scenario One, this would
reduce the bilateral trade deficit with India by 24 percent. If the U.S. raised its
tariffs to mirror India’s levels, the result would be a far more dramatic 88 percent
— 773 —
TABLE 5
Capture
Emerging
High-Tech
Industries that
Protect Secure and Acquire Key Drive Future
China's Home Control Dominate Technologies Growth and
China's Acts, Policies, Market from Expand China’s Core Natural Traditional and IP from Advancements
and Practices of Competition Share of Global Resources Manufacturing Other Countries in Defense
Economic Aggression and Imports Markets Globally Industries and the U.S. Industry
Adverse Administrative
Approvals and Licensing % % %
Processes
Anti-monopoly Law Extortion % % % %
— 774 —
Bid-Rig Foreign Government
% % %
Procurement Contracts
“Brand Forcing” — Forced
%
Use of Chinese Brands
Burdensome and
% % %
Intrusive Testing
Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Capture
Emerging
High-Tech
Industries that
Protect Secure and Acquire Key Drive Future
China's Home Control Dominate Technologies Growth and
China's Acts, Policies, Market from Expand China’s Core Natural Traditional and IP from Advancements
and Practices of Competition Share of Global Resources Manufacturing Other Countries in Defense
Economic Aggression and Imports Markets Globally Industries and the U.S. Industry
— 775 —
National Champions
Counterfeiting and Piracy
% % %
Steals Intellectual Property
Currency Manipulation
2025 Presidential Transition Project
% % %
and Undervaluation
Cyber-Enabled
% % % %
Espionage and Theft
Data Localization Mandates % % %
“Debt-Trap” Financing to
% %
Developing Countries
TABLE 5
Capture
Emerging
High-Tech
Industries that
Protect Secure and Acquire Key Drive Future
China's Home Control Dominate Technologies Growth and
China's Acts, Policies, Market from Expand China’s Core Natural Traditional and IP from Advancements
and Practices of Competition Share of Global Resources Manufacturing Other Countries in Defense
Economic Aggression and Imports Markets Globally Industries and the U.S. Industry
— 776 —
Discriminatory Patent and
% % % %
Other IP Rights Restrictions
Dumping Below Cost
% % %
Into Foreign Markets
Evasion of U.S. Export
% %
Control Laws
Expert Review Panels
Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Force Disclosure of % % %
Proprietary Information
Export Restraints Restrict
% % % % %
Access to Raw Materials
TABLE 5
Capture
Emerging
High-Tech
Industries that
Protect Secure and Acquire Key Drive Future
China's Home Control Dominate Technologies Growth and
China's Acts, Policies, Market from Expand China’s Core Natural Traditional and IP from Advancements
and Practices of Competition Share of Global Resources Manufacturing Other Countries in Defense
Economic Aggression and Imports Markets Globally Industries and the U.S. Industry
— 777 —
Development (“R&D % %
Localization”)
Foreign Ownership Restrictions
% % %
Force Technology and IP Transfer
2025 Presidential Transition Project
Government Procurement
%
Restrictions
Indigenous Technology
% % %
Standards
“Junk Patent” Lawsuits %
Lack of Transparency %
TABLE 5
Capture
Emerging
High-Tech
Industries that
Protect Secure and Acquire Key Drive Future
China's Home Control Dominate Technologies Growth and
China's Acts, Policies, Market from Expand China’s Core Natural Traditional and IP from Advancements
and Practices of Competition Share of Global Resources Manufacturing Other Countries in Defense
Economic Aggression and Imports Markets Globally Industries and the U.S. Industry
— 778 —
Open Source Collection of
Science and Technology % %
Information
Overcapacity Drives
% % %
Out Foreign Rivals
Physical Theft of
Technologies and IP Through % % % %
Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Economic Espionage
Placement of Chinese Employees
%
with Foreign Joint Ventures
Price Controls to Restrict Imports %
TABLE 5
Capture
Emerging
High-Tech
Industries that
Protect Secure and Acquire Key Drive Future
China's Home Control Dominate Technologies Growth and
China's Acts, Policies, Market from Expand China’s Core Natural Traditional and IP from Advancements
and Practices of Competition Share of Global Resources Manufacturing Other Countries in Defense
Economic Aggression and Imports Markets Globally Industries and the U.S. Industry
— 779 —
Regional Security Issues % % %
as Bargaining Chip
Quotas and Tariff-Rate Quotas %
Recruitment of Science,
2025 Presidential Transition Project
Technology, Business, % % %
and Finance Talent
Retaliation and
% % % %
Retaliatory Threats
Reverse Engineering % %
TABLE 5
Capture
Emerging
High-Tech
Industries that
Protect Secure and Acquire Key Drive Future
China's Home Control Dominate Technologies Growth and
China's Acts, Policies, Market from Expand China’s Core Natural Traditional and IP from Advancements
and Practices of Competition Share of Global Resources Manufacturing Other Countries in Defense
Economic Aggression and Imports Markets Globally Industries and the U.S. Industry
— 780 —
% % %
Technology Standards
Security Reviews Force
% %
Technology and IP Transfer
Structuring Transactions to
Avoid CFIUS Review of Chinese % %
Investment in the U.S.
Subsidized Factor
Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Capture
Emerging
High-Tech
Industries that
Protect Secure and Acquire Key Drive Future
China's Home Control Dominate Technologies Growth and
China's Acts, Policies, Market from Expand China’s Core Natural Traditional and IP from Advancements
and Practices of Competition Share of Global Resources Manufacturing Other Countries in Defense
Economic Aggression and Imports Markets Globally Industries and the U.S. Industry
Technology-Seeking,
State-Directed Foreign % % %
Direct Investment
— 781 —
Traditional Spycraft % % %
Transship to Evade Antidumping
%
and Countervailing Duties
Value-Added Tax Adjustments
and Rebates Subsidize % %
2025 Presidential Transition Project
Chinese Exports
Weak and Laxly Enforced
% %
Environmental Laws
SOURCE: White House Office of Trade and Manufacturing Policy, How China’s Economic Aggression Threatens the Technologies
and Intellectual Property of the United States and the World, June 2018, https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/wp-content/
uploads/2018/06/FINAL-China-Technology-Report-6.18.18-PDF.pdf (accessed March 21, 2023). A heritage.org
Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
reduction in the U.S. bilateral trade deficit with India. Similarly, if Taiwan were to
reduce its tariffs to U.S. levels, the size of the U.S. bilateral trade deficit with Taiwan
would fall by 6 percent. If the U.S. imposed a mirror tariff, its bilateral trade deficit
with Taiwan would fall by 59 percent.
These results again underscore the high degree of unfair, unbalanced, and
nonreciprocal trade that currently exists between the U.S. and much of the rest
of the world, which penalizes American farmers, ranchers, manufacturers, and
workers because of the WTO-MFN conundrum. These simulations also demon-
strate that implementation of the USRTA most likely would substantially reduce
the U.S. trade deficit while creating hundreds of thousands of new jobs. These
benefits notwithstanding, however, the U.S. would still face a substantial over-
all trade deficit and substantial bilateral trade deficits with many of its major
trading partners.
Why might this be so? Because under WTO rules, America still faces numerous
nonreciprocal nontariff barriers around the world. For example, one of America’s
largest trading partners, Japan, runs a significant bilateral trade surplus in goods
with the U.S.—more than $70 billion a year. While Japan has relatively low tariffs,
it ranks high on the nontariff barrier scale. In such cases, which are numerous, pas-
sage of the USRTA would likely also be very helpful in reducing nontariff barriers.
This is because under the powers provided by the USRTA, if a foreign country
imposes significantly higher nontariff barriers, then the President has the authority
to “negotiate and seek to enter into an agreement” that “commits the country to…
eliminate [its] nontariff barriers.”16 If the country refuses to come to the negoti-
ating table and lower its nontariff barriers, the President has the authority to levy
reciprocal duties to offset or mirror those barriers.
In summary, passage of the USRTA would go a long way toward leveling the
playing field for American farmers, ranchers, manufacturers, and workers who are
now forced to compete in an intrinsically unfair, unbalanced, and nonreciprocal
WTO-MFN system.
Nor is the USRTA necessarily the only possible legislative way to address this
issue. In 2017, then-House Speaker Paul Ryan (R–WI) and then-House Ways and
Means Committee Chairman Kevin Brady (R–TX) proposed a “border adjust-
ment tax.” The proposed border adjustment would have eliminated the ability of
corporations to deduct the cost of imports while eliminating the tax on income
attributable to exports. This border adjustment tax would have shifted the U.S.
corporate income tax from an origin-based tax applying to the production of goods
and services in the United States to a destination-based tax applying to the con-
sumption of goods and services in the U.S.
This tax—strongly opposed by American multinational corporations and big-
box retailers—not only would have leveled the playing field with respect to WTO
rules, but also would have provided an innovative alternative to the application of
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
American President who takes office in January 2025 must view the U.S.–China
trade relationship and associated policy reforms within the context of the broader
existential threat posed by Communist China. The question is whether that next
President should seek to decouple economically and financially from Communist
China as America’s first best response to China’s unrelenting aggression or con-
tinue efforts to negotiate with an authoritarian country and brutal dictatorship
with a well-established reputation for failing to abide by any agreements it enters.
Institutionalized Aggression. Table 5 depicts more than 50 types of policy
aggression institutionalized by the CCP across six different categories of such
aggression. Viewed as whole, the extent of Communist China’s aggression is
breathtaking.
At the trade policy level, Communist China relies heavily on a wide range of
mercantilist and protectionist tools to protect its own markets and unfairly exploit
foreign markets. These instruments of Communist Chinese trade aggression
include high tariffs and nontariff barriers, currency manipulation, a heavy reli-
ance on sweatshop labor and pollution havens, the dumping of unfairly subsidized
exports, and widespread counterfeiting and piracy: Communist China is the world’s
largest source of counterfeit and pirated products.
In addition, Communist Chinese enterprises benefit from preferential policies
that have burdened world markets with subsidized overcapacity. The resultant glut
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
of Communist Chinese exports in turn depresses world prices and pushes foreign
rivals out of the global market—steel is a major example.20 Industrial policy tools
that further reinforce Communist China’s mercantilist and protectionist trade
policies include numerous direct and indirect subsidies to boost exports and the
consolidation of heavily subsidized state-owned enterprises into “national champi-
ons” that can compete with foreign companies in both domestic and global markets.
Communist China also uses a predatory “debt trap” model of economic develop-
ment aid that proffers substantial financing to developing countries in exchange for
their willingness to mortgage their natural resources and allow Communist China
access to their markets. The practical effect of this debt trap model is to give Com-
munist China a competitive edge internationally that stems from its preferential
access to relatively lower-cost commodities needed in the manufacturing process.
These commodities range from bauxite, copper, and nickel to rarer commodities
such as beryllium, titanium, and rare earth minerals.
As a complement to this debt trap gambit and to exploit its commanding share
of a wide range of critical raw materials that are essential to the global supply
chain and production of high-technology and high-value-added products, Com-
munist China strategically uses protectionist export restraints, including export
quotas and export duties. These export restraints thereby restrict access to raw
materials such as rare earth, tungsten, and molybdenum that are essential in
the high-technology production space. The result is to drive up world prices and
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Information Harvesting. Every year, more than 300,000 Communist Chi-
nese nationals attend U.S. universities or are hired at U.S. national laboratories,
innovation centers, incubators, and think tanks. To put this in perspective, accord-
ing to the Chinese Ministry of Education, only 20,000 American nationals were
studying abroad at Chinese universities on the mainland in 2018.25 These Chinese
nationals—often members (or the sons and daughters of members) of the Chinese
Communist Party—now account for approximately one-third of foreign university
and college students in the United States and about 25 percent of graduate students
specializing in science, technology, engineering, or math (STEM).26 As a Defense
Innovation Unit Experimental (DIUx) report has warned:
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
— 786 —
2025 Presidential Transition Project
tariffs33 on Chinese products that would eventually rise to cover more than $500
billion of Chinese imports. These tariffs would lead Communist China’s lead nego-
tiator, Vice Premier Liu He, to agree tentatively in April of 2019 to what would
have been the most comprehensive trade deal in global history.34 On May 3, 2019,
however, Liu would renege on that 150-page deal and seek its drastic re-trading.35
Finally, on January 15, 2020, the U.S. and Communist China signed a “Phase
One” deal that was a pale shadow of the original deal.36 This so-called Skinny Deal
(as it was derisively and rightly called) combined proposed modest Communist
Chinese reforms on issues related to forced technology transfer and intellectual
property theft with promises of large-scale purchases of agricultural, manufactur-
ing, and energy products. To date, this deal has been a predictable bust: Communist
China has failed to consummate a significant fraction of its promised purchases
and has made little or no progress on reforming its mercantilist, protectionist, and
technology transfer–forcing policies.
The clear lesson learned in both the Obama and Trump Administrations is that
Communist China will never bargain in good faith with the U.S. to stop its aggres-
sion. An equally clear lesson learned by President Trump, which he was ready to
implement in a second term, was that the better policy option was to decouple
both economically and financially from Communist China as further negotiations
would indeed be both fruitless and dangerous.
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TABLE 6
SOURCE: White House Office of Trade and Manufacturing Policy, How China’s Economic Aggression Threatens the
Technologies and Intellectual Property of the United States and the World, June 2018, https://trumpwhitehouse.
archives.gov/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/FINAL-China-Technology-Report-6.18.18-PDF.pdf (accessed March 21, 2023).
A heritage.org
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l Strategically expand tariffs to all Chinese products and increase tariff rates
to levels that will block out “Made in China” products, and execute this
strategy in a manner and at a pace that will not expose the U.S. to lack of
access to essential products like key pharmaceuticals.
l Prohibit the use of Communist Chinese–made drones in American airspace.
l Ban all Chinese social media apps such as TikTok and WeChat, which pose
significant national security risks and expose American consumers to data
and identity theft.
l Delist any Communist Chinese stocks that do not meet Public Company
Accounting Oversight Board standards or, alternatively, close off the
Chinese “A shares” stock market to U.S. investment and deregister U.S.-
sanctioned Communist Chinese companies.
l Prohibit the use of Hong Kong clearinghouses as transit points for American
capital investing in the Chinese mainland.
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l Reinvigorate and expand the DHS crackdown on the CCP’s use of e-sellers
(including third-party sellers) and the shippers and operators of major
warehouses such as Amazon, eBay, and Alibaba to flood U.S. markets with
counterfeit and pirated goods.
Compel the closure of all Confucius Institutes in the U.S., which serve as
l Hold the CCP accountable for the COVID-19 virus, which almost certainly
originated as a genetically engineered virus from the Wuhan Institute of
Virology, and do so through the establishment of a presidential commission
or select congressional committee that would investigate the origins of
the virus; its various costs, both economically and in human life; and the
possible means of collecting damages from the CCP, which are likely to rise
to the trillions of dollars.
If the new U.S. President wishes to defend this country against the serious exis-
tential threat posed by Communist China, that President will adopt all of these
proposals through the requisite presidential executive orders or memoranda.
Effective Trade Policy in the Real World. To conclude this analysis, it is
useful to offer brief reflections on a number of key obstacles to implementing the
policy initiatives recommended in this chapter. These obstacles include:
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l The dogma of the Ricardian free-trade model, which has been used as
propaganda to thwart the adoption of measures that seek to level the global
trading field for American manufacturers, farmers, ranchers, and workers;
l The politics of trade policy, which has led to a great divide that makes trade
policy reforms difficult to implement;
l The economics of trade deficits, which are not adequately understood either
by the American public or by the policymaking intelligentsia; and
The Dogma of Free Trade. Clearly, the fair and balanced trade orientation
of this chapter runs starkly against the free trade grain of the globalist Ricardian
orthodoxy, which is predicated on the theory that free trade represents the best
path by which to achieve both American and global prosperity. This orthodoxy
is based on the ivory tower academic conclusion that if countries trade freely
among each other, each will pursue its own comparative advantages; production
will be most efficient around the world; the economic pie will be bigger both
for the globe and for each free trading country; and (so long as workers who
lose their jobs are fairly compensated from the gains from trade) everyone will
be better off.
The most obvious problem with this orthodoxy (there are many more) is that
nowhere is Ricardian free trade mirrored in the real world. Instead, America
trades in a world where the WTO’s MFN rules are stacked against us, scofflaws
like Communist China run roughshod over what meager WTO rules there are, and
the United States among all of the world’s developed nations is the biggest victim
of the free trade Ricardian orthodoxy.
During his first term, President Donald Trump preached that there can be no
free trade without fair, reciprocal, and balanced trade. He was right then, and who-
ever is the next President in 2025 should heed this critical principle whenever the
flag of free trade is waved to prevent the adoption of needed reforms.
The Politics of Trade Policy: Who Benefits? Today, there is a great divide
among Americans that stands in the way of constructive trade policy reforms. This
great divide is certainly not about a partisan desire for low taxes and a reduced
regulatory burden. Rather, it is over whether our borders should be open or secure
and whether it is prudent to offshore our manufacturing and defense industrial
base and associated supply chains.
Those who support secure borders and seek to onshore more of American pro-
duction and supply chains do so to boost the real wages of American workers and to
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
enhance our national security. Some Americans historically have supported open
borders and offshoring under the flag of the Ricardian trade model, which assumes
the free flow of both labor and capital. Yet it is equally true that open borders and
offshoring also help American multinational corporations to maximize their profits
by minimizing their labor and environmental protection costs.
In particular, an open border policy, which allows for the unlimited migration of
cheap labor, depresses American wage rates and thereby boosts corporate profits.
At the same time, offshoring gives American corporations readier access to the
sweatshops and pollution havens of Asia and Latin America. Our skies and water
may be cleaner, and our products may be cheaper, Main Street manufacturers and
workers bear the brunt of these policies.
The obvious political problem in adopting many of the policies proposed here
is that they will be opposed by the special-interest groups that benefit from open
borders and offshoring and that contribute lavishly to both political parties. These
special-interest groups range from the hedge funds of Wall Street and tech entre-
preneurs of Silicon Valley to big-box retailers that stuff their aisles particularly
with cheap “Made in China” goods.
[O]ur country has been behaving like an extraordinarily rich family that
Warren Buffett37
Historically, one line of attack against attempts to implement fair trade policies
in the name of reducing America’s massive and chronic trade deficit has been the
claim that “trade deficits don’t matter.” The intellectual tip of this spear has often
been think tanks that generate reams of analyses in support of a purely free trade
(and open borders) American posture.38 Yet both common sense and several very
good reasons tell us that trade deficits matter a great deal.
Economic Security. The economic security argument that trade deficits matter
begins with the observation that growth in any country’s real, inflation-adjusted
gross domestic product (GDP) depends on only four factors: consumption, gov-
ernment spending, business investment, and net exports (the difference between
exports and imports). Reducing a trade deficit through implementation of the U.S.
Reciprocal Trade Act, the application of tariffs, or renegotiating a bad trade deal
like NAFTA all represent ways to increase net exports—and thereby boost the rate
of economic growth.
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Suppose, for example, that under the USRTA the American President persuaded
India to reduce its very high protectionist tariffs and Japan to lower its formidable
nontariff barriers. America would surely sell more Florida oranges, Washington
apples, California wine, Wisconsin cheese, and Harley-Davidson motorcycles. The
resultant fall in the trade deficit would increase America’s GDP, and the real wages
of blue-collar America would rise from Seattle and Orlando to Sonoma and Mil-
waukee. But that’s not all.
Consider, too, the investment term in the GDP growth equation. When U.S.
companies offshore their production to chase cheap labor or manufacture in a
“pollution haven” country like Communist China or India with lax environmental
regulations, the result is reduced nonresidential fixed investment—and a GDP
growth rate that is lower than it would be otherwise. Moreover, if such offshored
production results in more foreign exports to the U.S.—for example, an American
consumer buys a Made in Mexico Dodge Journey or Chevrolet Trax rather than a
vehicle assembled in Detroit—the trade deficit rises along with the fall in invest-
ment, further reducing GDP growth.
National Security. The national security argument that trade deficits matter
begins with America’s national-income accounting double-entry system and this
accounting identity: Any deficit in the current account caused by imbalanced
trade must be offset by a surplus in the capital account, meaning foreign invest-
ment in the U.S.
In the short term, this balance-of-payments equilibrium may indeed “not
matter” as foreigners return our trade-deficit dollars to American shores by
seemingly benignly investing in U.S. government bonds and stocks. Of course,
this infusion of foreign capital lowers American mortgage rates and keeps the
stock market bullishly capitalized, which appears to be all to the good. Over time,
however, running large and persistent trade deficits leads to a massive transfer
of American wealth offshore into foreign hands. This wealth transfer happens as
foreigners use their export dollars to buy American real estate, companies, and
financial assets like the aforementioned stocks and government bonds.
The American investor Warren Buffett has referred to such wealth transfers
offshore as “conquest by purchase.” To Buffett, the big danger is that foreigners
will eventually own so many U.S. government bonds that Americans will wind up
working longer hours just to survive and service that foreign debt.
There is an even bigger national security danger, however, that Mr. Buffett has
missed: an alternative conquest-by-purchase scenario. Suppose, for example, that
one of the biggest holders of U.S. dollars is a rapidly militarizing strategic rival like
Communist China that is intent on world hegemony. By buying up America’s com-
panies, technologies, farmland, food producers, and key elements of the domestic
supply chain, Communist China can thereby gain more and more control of the
U.S. manufacturing and defense-industrial base.
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In this scenario, might America thereby lose a broader war for America’s freedom
and prosperity, not by shots fired but by American cash registers ringing up “Made
in China” products? Might America even lose a broader hot war because it sent its
defense industrial base abroad on the wings of a persistent trade deficit? It follows
that for both economic and national security reasons, trade deficits do indeed matter.
It is therefore of critical importance that we bring America’s global trade back into
balance through free, fair, balanced, and reciprocal trade and that we do so through
the kind of policy initiatives and reforms recommended in this chapter.
lenging Communist China, too much of his trade policy was disrupted or derailed
by key personnel who did not share the President’s vision of fair, balanced, and
reciprocal trade.
In thinking about the personnel positions that are most essential to effective
implementation of trade policy, the most obvious position to get exactly right is
that of the United States Trade Representative. The USTR is at least putatively
the top official on trade policy, and it is critical that this position be filled wisely.
Historically, during Republican Administrations, the USTR has been a free
trader who rarely challenged the protectionist and mercantilist policies of Amer-
ica’s trading partners and typically would seek to expand global trade. The Trump
Administration broke this globalist Republican tradition by appointing as USTR
attorney Robert E. Lighthizer, who not only had a keen understanding of the vari-
ous legal levers a President can use to advance trade policy, but also was committed
to the President’s fair, balanced, and reciprocal trade agenda. The next Adminis-
tration should make every effort to find someone with that understanding and that
commitment to fill this position.
Less obvious—but almost as important—is the need to fill the position of Under
Secretary of Commerce for International Trade wisely. One of the most important
functions of the International Trade Administration, which is an agency in the
Department of Commerce, is to impose antidumping and countervailing duties
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against trade cheaters who dump products below cost into American markets or
unfairly subsidize their exports. In fact, much of the cheating that does take place
in the global trading arena can be addressed through such antidumping (AD) and
countervailing duty (CVD) cases.
Within the West Wing itself, it is equally critical that the National Security
Adviser, the Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Director
of the National Economic Council (NEC) all be aligned on trade policy. During the
Trump Administration, with the notable exception of the President’s third National
Security Adviser, Robert O’Brien, and third CEA Chairman, Tyler Goodspeed, this
regrettably was not the case.
Finally, and perhaps surprisingly, the Secretary of Defense plays a key role in
trade policy, at least when it comes to advancing Section 232 cases. Under Section
232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962,40 the President has the authority, through
tariffs or other means, to reduce imports from other countries “if the President
determines that such reduction or elimination would threaten to impair the
national security.” As a practical matter, the Secretary of Commerce spearheads
any Section 232 cases, but in order to proceed with a Section 232 case, Commerce
must obtain signoff from the Secretary of Defense.
When President Trump wanted to implement steel and aluminum tariffs, he
had a willing servant in Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross. However, Secretary
of Defense James Mattis resisted. Mattis simply did not understand a key tenet of
the Trump Administration: Economic security is also national security. Without
vibrant steel and aluminum industries, it will be difficult for America to provide
the Pentagon with the kind of weapons it needs to defend the homeland.
CONCLUSION
A Harvard professor once told me during my doctoral thesis days that “if I tell
you how it is, I’ve told you why it can’t change.” Despite the obvious exploitation
of American farmers, ranchers, manufacturers, and workers by the international
trading system and Communist Chinese aggression, powerful political forces none-
theless exist that profit from the status quo.
The stark lesson of this chapter is that America gets fleeced every day in the
global marketplace both by a predatory Communist China and by an institution-
ally unfair and nonreciprocal WTO. Addressing these two challenges would go a
long way toward restoring American greatness, both economically and militarily.
Ignoring these two challenges will simply continue the parasitic draining of the
American manufacturing and defense industrial base.
AUTHOR’S NOTE: The author alone assumes responsibility for the content of this chapter, and no views
expressed herein should be attributed to any other individual. However, the author would particularly like to thank
Joanna Miller for her dedicated work and significant contribution to the chapter.
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T rade policy is about more than goods and services: It is a statement of Amer-
ican identity. Our trade policy choices reveal America’s values and where we
put our trust. Do we place our trust in Washington elites to revive a declining coun-
try, or do we trust in America’s tradition of entrepreneurs and everyday people
blazing new trails? Do we follow China by copying its strong-arm trade policies,
or do we lead China and the rest of the world by forging our own path? Our trade
policy decisions will tell you what we Americans really think of ourselves.
l Trade can lower consumer prices for ordinary Americans and open new
markets for American businesses and their goods.
l Trade can help American workers and businesses to specialize in what they
do best—which is how they outcompete the rest of the world in technology,
manufacturing, agriculture, and other areas.
At the same time, sound trade policy requires humility. It is not a panacea for
every policy problem. Trade policy cannot favor one sector over another without
causing tradeoffs that outweigh the benefits.41 Neither free trade nor protectionism
will create jobs. Trade affects the types of jobs people have, but it has no long-run
effect on the number of jobs. Labor force size is tied to population size more than
anything else. The American people are smart and sophisticated enough to hear
these truths.
It is not just conservatives who overestimate the power of trade policy. Recent
progressive attempts to use trade policy to advance whole-of-government initia-
tives on climate, equity, and other issues will fail for the same reason that a hammer
cannot turn a screw: It is the wrong tool for the job. Conservatives should be sim-
ilarly skeptical of recent attempts on the Right to use progressive trade policy to
punish political opponents, remake manufacturing, or accomplish other objectives
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for which it is not suited. The next Administration needs to end the mission creep
that has all but taken over trade policy in recent years.
Trade policy works best when it sticks to trade and treats separate issues
separately. Trade agreements since the North American Free Trade Agreement
(NAFTA) have been increasingly burdened by trade-unrelated provisions involving
labor, environmental, intellectual property, and other regulations. Where these
were a side agreement to NAFTA in the 1990s, they were integrated into the main
text of the United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement (USMCA) in 2019. The
Indo-Pacific Economic Framework for Prosperity (IPEF) that the Biden Admin-
istration is currently pursuing consists entirely of trade-unrelated provisions:
Negotiations are steering clear of trade altogether.
Trade-unrelated provisions are routinely hijacked by progressives and rent-seek-
ers and dilute otherwise worthwhile trade agreements. They also create additional
points of contention that make agreements unnecessarily difficult to pass. A con-
servative trade policy should limit trade-unrelated provisions in trade agreements.
This does not mean that conservatives should ignore international negotiations
on labor, environment, intellectual property, and other non-trade issues. It means
they are more likely to succeed by treating each of them separately rather than
letting them die in committee with each providing an additional sticking point
for delaying the others.
A conservative trade policy must also take seriously the reality that in a democ-
racy, the other side holds power about half of the time, but progressives run most
agencies almost all of the time. A cardinal rule in public policy is not to give yourself
powers you wouldn’t want your opponents to have. That means building institu-
tion-level safeguards against mission creep to limit abuses.
Foreign policy considerations are not as separate from trade as are labor or
environmental standards. China deserves special consideration, as does the World
Trade Organization (WTO) along with its possible successors or alternatives. While
trade is not the star of American foreign policy, it does play a supporting role. It
should be used to strengthen alliances to help counter China, Russia, and other
threats while making economic and cultural inroads inside them. The next Amer-
ican President should use this aspect of trade to the nation’s advantage.
Drawing from America’s Roots. In 1776, nearly 90 percent of Americans were
farmers. For 10 people to eat, nine had to farm. That meant fewer people could
be factory workers, doctors, or teachers, or even live in cities, because they were
needed on the farm. Accordingly, life expectancy was around 40 years, and literacy
was 13 percent.42
Today, fewer than 1 percent of Americans work on farms, yet America is a net
exporter of food. People have infinite wants, so as rising productivity pushed some
people off of farms, there were countless other jobs they could do. In true American
fashion, many of these jobs were in brand new industries.
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This was possible because the same can-do cultural values that inspired the
American founding were accurately reflected in its new government. The U.S. Con-
stitution created what was then the world’s largest free trade area, and it did so on
purpose.43 The combination of the American self-improvement ethos and the large,
free internal market guaranteed by the Constitution yielded intensive growth on
a scale never before seen.
Many displaced farm laborers got jobs making the very farm equipment that
made intensive agricultural growth possible, from railroad networks to cotton gins.
Each fed the other. Agriculture and industry are not separate; they are as inter-
connected as everything else in the economy. None of this could have happened
had the government enacted policies to preserve full agricultural employment.
Understanding Value. Just as communication is impossible without agreed-
upon definitions of words, coherent policymaking is impossible without coherent
categories. Policies are not likely to succeed when they try to separate an intercon-
nected economy into arbitrary categories. The factory worker who builds a tractor
does as much to boost farm production as the farmers themselves, yet economic
planners put them in different categories. This problem is baked into industrial
policy, as progressive planners have learned again and again.
A conservative approach to economic policy should treat value as value, whether
it is created on a farm, in a factory, or in an office. A dollar of value created in
manufacturing is neither more nor less valuable than a dollar of value created in
agriculture or services.
Pursuing Access to Growing Markets. American history holds lessons for
today’s conservative trade policy. Some modern analysts see a correlation between
high tariffs and high growth and confuse it for causation,44 but 19th century Amer-
ica teaches a different lesson.
While the Constitution banned internal tariffs in the U.S., international tariffs
reached their highest levels in U.S. history during the 19th century, beginning with
the 1828 Tariff of Abominations.45 At their peak in 1830, the average tariff on duti-
able goods was 62 percent.46 Fortunately, however, the tariffs’ distorting effects
were outweighed by market growth elsewhere. The 19th century saw Western
expansion and a growing population (including millions of immigrants) working
for the American dream. America’s growing internal free trade zone allowed for
still more specialization and more trade across state borders.
America’s geographic expansion ended long ago, but population growth, the
U.S.-led rules-based international trading system, and the steady 75-year decline
in tariffs after World War II have made possible decades of continued prosperity.
Intensive growth requires specialization, and the larger the market, the more spe-
cialization is possible.
Fighting Pessimistic Bias. Farmers’ share of the population continued to
decline through this entire period, yet employment remained high, and the
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CHART 1
$60,000
$50,000
$40,000
$30,000
$20,000
$10,000
$0
1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
SOURCE: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, “Real Gross Domestic Product per Capita,”
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/ A939RX0Q048SBEA (accessed March 2, 2023). A heritage.org
economy continued to grow. Factories were not the only beneficiaries of agri-
culture’s productivity boom and the labor it freed; services also grew. In fact,
service-sector employment surpassed manufacturing employment around 1890—
far earlier than most people realize.47
Pessimistic bias is one of the most important cultural problems that conserva-
tive policymakers need to address. In trade, as in most other areas, few people ever
zoom out to see the big picture, which is one reason why so many people mistakenly
believe that U.S. manufacturing and the U.S. economy are in decline.
The data do not show American economic carnage. They show more than two
centuries of intensive growth, made possible by a growing internal market through-
out the 19th century and a growing international market in the post–World War
II era. The transition from farm to factory did not shrink the labor force or farm
output. Later, the transition from factories to services did not shrink the labor
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
force, factory output, or farm output. Both transitions affected the types of jobs,
not the number of jobs.
Americans today can more easily afford everything from air conditioning to
flat-screen televisions and smartphones, and trade is one reason why. Bigger mar-
kets mean more specialization, more innovative ideas, more customers, and more
people from whom to buy.
America’s official unemployment rate went as low as 3.5 percent during 2022,
while real per capita gross domestic product (GDP) rose to an all-time record.
Clearly, people who wanted to work were able to find work that paid well even as
manufacturing jobs grew more slowly than service jobs.
l Enact mutual recognition policies with allies. If a product is safe enough for
European or Japanese consumers, then it is safe enough for Americans as
well—and vice versa. This can reduce regulatory costs and open new markets.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l Repeal the Jones Act,48 a century-old “Buy American” maritime law that
has decimated the U.S. shipbuilding industry.
l Create a successor to the WTO (assuming that it has been fatally wounded)
that is open only to liberal democracies. This would prevent authoritarian
countries like China from abusing the organization for their own ends.
l Reorient the proposed Indo-Pacific Economic Framework for Prosperity to
focus only on trade issues, which it currently ignores in favor of progressive
wish-list policies.
Tariff Relief. When people try something repeatedly and it still doesn’t work,
they should stop doing it—especially when the consequences turn out to be just
what conservative economists have long predicted they would be.49 With tariffs,
the proper reform is not only to get rid of the individual tariffs that have backfired,
but also to build institutional safeguards against future abuse.
We are five years into the biggest experiment with tariffs since the Great Depres-
sion, and the results are in: The new tariffs raise consumer prices for ordinary
Americans by about $1,200 per household every year50 and benefit only a small
number of special interests. Steel and aluminum tariffs, enacted on national
security grounds, angered allies. Beijing made not a single substantive reform in
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
response to four rounds of tariffs plus an attempted Phase One agreement. The
Biden Administration has left the tariffs in place and is expanding them to pursue
progressive policy goals.
The first order of business for a new Administration that is focused on American
workers and consumers is to repeal all tariffs enacted under Section 232 of the
Trade Expansion Act of 196251 and Sections 201 and 301 of the Trade Act of 1974.52
The President can do this unilaterally, and Congress can do it through legislation.
The second order of business requires Congress to pass legislation repealing
Sections 232, 201, and 301. The U.S. Constitution places all taxing authority with
Congress53 and none with the President. Congress used those provisions of law
to delegate some of its taxing authority to the President because it was having
trouble passing “clean” tariff legislation in the 1960s and 1970s. Unless and until
this constitutional question about delegation is addressed, important reforms are
available to the next Congress and the next President.
Congress faced a problem of collective action in the 1960s and 1970s. As a whole,
Members generally wanted to lower tariffs, but few individual Members were will-
ing to remove tariffs that benefited special interests in their districts. Trade bills
were invariably watered down through amendments and logrolling. The thinking
was that the President, whose constituency is the entire nation, would be less prone
to special-interest pleading than Members of Congress would be, so Congress del-
egated some of its tariff-making authority to the President in 1962 and 1974 trade
legislation.
Delegating tariff-making might have worked in the short run, but in the long
run, it was both constitutionally dubious and ripe for abuse. That came to pass in
2018. The Section 232 steel and aluminum tariffs, invoked in 2018 against Canada,
Europe, and other allies on national security grounds, raised car prices by an aver-
age of $250 per vehicle and gave America the world’s highest steel prices. They
also harmed the construction, canned food and beverage, and other metal-us-
ing industries.
While this may have benefited the steel industry itself, each steel job saved cost
an average of $650,000 per year that had been taken from elsewhere in the econo-
my.54 That is no way to strengthen American manufacturing. The New York Federal
Reserve estimated in 2019 that the Section 301 China tariffs cost the average house-
hold $831 per year,55 a figure that has likely increased with inflation.
The new tariffs have a clear record of failure—as conservative economists
almost unanimously warned would be the case. Job number one for the next
Administration is to return to sensible trade policies and eliminate the destruc-
tive Trump–Biden tariffs.
Strengthening American Manufacturing. The decline of American manu-
facturing is a common political trope in both parties, typically invoked before a call
for more government intervention. This narrative has several problems. One is that
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Extensive growth is the Soviet and Chinese model for manufacturing: If you have
more people use more resources, they will create more output. Extensive growth
is doing more with more; intensive growth is doing more with less. That is where
America’s superpower lies. The story of American manufacturing is one of intensive
growth dating back to our agricultural origins. Conservative leaders should draw
on this history to position America for continued success. With intensive growth,
it is not manufacturing or services; it is manufacturing and services.
Retaliatory Tariffs. Raising tariffs on another country almost always invites
retaliatory tariffs against the U.S. The latter tend to be directed at politically sen-
sitive American exports. Retaliatory tariffs by both China and American allies in
response to the 2018 steel tariffs were targeted primarily at American agriculture.
According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture, those tariffs cost farmers $27
billion with losses concentrated particularly in heartland states.57
Retaliatory tariffs also targeted U.S. industries that were not protected by tar-
iffs. Many imports become inputs into U.S. manufacturing. The motorcycle maker
Harley-Davidson was already facing higher production costs as domestic steel
producers raised their prices to accommodate the new steel tariff. A retaliatory
tariff on its motorcycles imposed by the European Union further raised its prices
and hurt its export business. Harm to such innocent bystanders was another unin-
tended (though foreseen) consequence.
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CHART 2
INDEX 2017=100
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
SOURCE: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, “Industrial Production: Total Index,”
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/INDPRO (accessed March 2, 2023). A heritage.org
Federal Reserve research shows that the tariffs have cost about 75,000 manufac-
turing jobs while creating only about 1,000 jobs in the steel industry—not including
the effects of the retaliatory tariffs described above.58 Higher steel prices added an
average of $250 to the price of new cars, and larger trucks—the vehicle of choice
in rural America—were hit even more dramatically.59
Trade is generally a win-win for both participants. Tariffs are a lose-lose-lose
game, with the tariff raiser losing affordable goods, the tariff target losing exports,
and the tariff raiser losing again from retaliatory tariffs. Tariffs also have an addi-
tional overlooked hidden cost: Companies redirect resources to dodge tariffs by
redesigning products, switching to more expensive suppliers, using lower-qual-
ity materials, and lobbying. This might be good for lawyers, but it is bad for the
economy. These resources could have been used instead to make a better product
more cheaply.
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Context is also important to adjustment efforts. Technological change costs
approximately six times more jobs as does trade (though, again, only in the short
run).62 Any argument made against trade’s disruptive effects applies even more
strongly to technological change, yet no one seriously argues for reversing the
dramatic changes the Internet has wrought.
More than 11 million American jobs turn over through hirings, firings, retire-
ments, layoffs, and resignations every month,63 and nearly 85 percent of all
jobs turn over in the course of a year. Yet America has suffered only four bouts
of double-digit unemployment during the past century. Two of them, the Great
Depression and the comedown from the 1970s stagflation, were due to monetary
mismanagement, not trade.64 The third, the Great Recession, was due to a financial
crisis worsened by monetary mismanagement, not trade.65 The fourth was due to
COVID-19 lockdowns, not trade.66
Using trade restrictions to slow this churn is a mistake for two reasons: (1) trade
is at best a minor contributor to job churn compared to other factors like tech-
nology, changing consumer tastes, inflation, and business cycles, and (2) churn is
evidence of a healthy economy. Agricultural economies have low job churn and
low living standards.
When people see better opportunities, they should be allowed to pursue them.
To do otherwise slows economic growth, harms individual dignity, removes
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humanity from our policies, and can contribute to societal ills like depression,
addiction, and isolation.
Trade adjustment could be made easier by regulatory reforms to remove its
attendant friction. These include:
People who need help should be able to get it. Progressive trade policies
help only special interests while harming the very people they are supposedly
intended to help.
Trade Adjustment Assistance. Trade adjustment assistance is a popular
policy for aiding displaced workers. Though flawed, it is a bargaining tool that
can potentially help to get sound trade policy adopted. A conservative Adminis-
tration should approach trade adjustment assistance with caution and use it as a
last-resort political bargaining tool and not as a first-resort policy. Funding for job
training programs and the like will typically find its way to labor union slush funds,
left-leaning nonprofits, and other progressive causes that will not necessarily help
displaced workers.
A better approach to trade adjustment assistance, if it must be expanded, is
direct cash transfers. Not only would this prevent progressive hijacking of pro-
grams and their funding, but cash is the most flexible type of aid. It treats people as
adults and lets them make their own choices about their next steps. Major life deci-
sions should be made by individuals for themselves, not for them in Washington.
Trade adjustment assistance should treat workers who lose their jobs to inter-
national trade the same as workers who lose their jobs for any other reason are
treated. While that will not likely come to pass in the near future, steps in that
direction are possible. Technological change displaces six times as many workers
as trade displaces, yet workers displaced by technology get no special treatment.
Nor should they. Unemployment remains low because it grows alongside pop-
ulation, and real wages continue to rise over time. Trade-displaced workers
should be eligible for the same benefits for which anyone else is eligible, no more
and no less.
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That happened early in 2022 when contamination entered a Michigan facility that
makes about 40 percent of America’s baby formula. Trade protectionism all but
eliminated other options for many parents, who suddenly found empty shelves and
sky-high prices for an essential item that many of them were already struggling to
afford—while families in other countries were unaffected.
In response, Congress passed the Formula Act68 in the summer of 2022. The act
eased formula tariffs and loosened never-needed labeling requirements and other
import restrictions, but it was temporary. It expired at the end of 2022, leaving
families still vulnerable to the cascading consequences that ensue if one thing
goes wrong at only one plant.
The baby formula debacle has two lessons for the next Administration.
l Strength comes from openness. In the real world, markets fail. Factories will
get contaminated, and health inspectors will not always be as thorough as
they should be. The baby formula market is essentially a natural experiment
in self-sufficient industrial policy. When something went wrong, that single
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failure point crashed the whole system. It should not be that way, and the
next President can change it.
Part of the problem is that the supply chain analogy itself causes sloppy thinking.
In a chain, a link is connected only to the link ahead of it and the link behind it and
not to any other links. Real-world supply chains are more like networks in which
each point connects directly to countless others and is rarely more than six degrees
of separation from nearly anywhere on Earth. Because market failures happen
all the time, it is important to have as many connections as possible. Americans
need access to more ways to adapt and reroute around failure points, especially
for essential products like baby formula.
Trade protectionism makes us more vulnerable, but free trade makes our fam-
ilies and communities more resilient. Loosening restrictions similar to the ones
that stunt the baby formula market would make it easier to navigate future crises
while preventing the progressive and rent-seeking power grabs that come with
every crisis, whether it is as isolated as a baby formula shortage or as expansive
as a pandemic.
Mutual Recognition. A simple way to reduce friction in supply networks is
mutual recognition of other industrialized countries’ regulatory standards. This
can be done either in a larger trade agreement or independently. For baby for-
mula, this would mean allowing in brands that meet European Union standards
even if they do not meet Food and Drug Administration (FDA) labeling require-
ments. Infants’ nutritional needs do not change across borders. If a formula is
deemed healthy for European babies, then it is also healthy for American babies.
The reverse is equally true.
Mutual recognition could help to open new markets for American producers in
countless industries and give American consumers access to countless new prod-
ucts on more competitive terms. For example, U.S. regulations require washing
machine power cords to be at least six feet long, while the U.K. requires them to be
at least two meters.69 The difference (about six inches) affects neither safety nor
performance, but it does keep American-made washing machines out of an import-
ant foreign market. A mutual recognition policy would circumvent the problem.
Given the recent interest in increased antitrust enforcement, conservatives
should embrace policies like mutual recognition that have the double benefit of
increasing market competition while decreasing government’s regulatory footprint.
The U.S. should enact mutual recognition agreements for a wide variety goods
with the United Kingdom, European Union, Japan, South Korea, Australia, and
other governments with high standards comparable to our own. This would have
especially large benefits for pharmaceuticals, because America’s FDA drug approval
process is both slower and more expensive than those of other countries with-
out being any safer. Americans would gain access to more and lower-cost medical
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it could operate in a free market, but the maritime lobby prefers a quiet, cozy exis-
tence on the dole even as it harms American consumers and national security. The
next conservative Administration should unleash American potential by unilater-
ally enacting Jones Act exemptions wherever allowed, as currently happens most
years during hurricane season, and working with Congress to repeal the Jones Act.
Trade and Inflation. The post-COVID inflation spike may be over long before
the next Administration takes office, but keeping it under control should remain
a high priority. Free traders should not oversell their case by saying that liberal-
ization would solve inflation. Inflation is predominantly a monetary phenomenon,
not a trade phenomenon, but tariff relief can help at the margin by immediately
lowering prices on tariffed goods and slightly boosting long-term growth.72 While
this would not affect the money supply, which is inflation’s key variable, even roll-
ing back the tariffs enacted since 2017 would likely have a positive effect on the
Consumer Price Index.
The easiest way to curb inflation (or to create it) is for the Federal Reserve to
work the monetary side of the equation, but the real output side has a similar effect
on prices. Lifting trade barriers is one way to boost output. It also has the added
benefit of requiring no additional spending. At the very least, this can make the
Federal Reserve’s job easier as the spending excesses of Congress and President
Biden continue unabated in the coming years.
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ism and similar progressive policies tend to weaken American security, but trade
creates peace. The more countries trade, the less likely they are to fight one another
and the more robust their supply networks will be. Going to war with customers
is bad for business.
Without a strong economic interest in continued U.S. investment and exports,
for example, China’s behavior would likely become increasingly less predictable
and more dangerous. Anyone who thinks Chinese Communist Party (CCP) General
Secretary Xi Jinping and the government in Beijing are bad actors now—which they
are—should consider what would happen if the Chinese convinced liberal countries
like the United States to decouple from them, leaving them free to pursue whatever
policies they wish without the significant counterweight that America can provide.
That is one reason for Xi Jinping’s emphasis on centralization and self-suffi-
ciency. He does not like international pressure about his government’s human
rights violations and bad-faith trading policies, and decoupling from trading part-
ners like America is one way to avoid that pressure. A less constrained China would
be poorer but much more unstable and dangerous to its neighbors and to America
than it would be if it still had to engage regularly with the rest of the world.
Trade Promotion Authority. Trade agreements can take years to negotiate.
One way to accelerate the process is for Congress to grant the President Trade
Promotion Authority (TPA). It was first granted under the 1974 Trade Act, which
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contains the Sections 201 and 301 tariff delegations. TPA, then called fast-track,
has aided several trade agreements, including NAFTA and the USMCA, which took
effect in 2020. TPA has lapsed before during slow periods in trade policy, most
recently in July 2021, and remains lapsed today.
The President should work with Congress to renew TPA to rationalize negoti-
ations for upcoming trade agreements with the United Kingdom, the European
Union, and others.
Both supporters and critics have questions regarding TPA’s implications for the
constitutional separation of powers, and policymakers should take those questions
seriously. As things currently stand, Congress has some oversight powers over the
President’s negotiations under TPA, but they are limited. Congress can increase
its oversight by passing new legislation superseding relevant provisions of the
1974 Trade Act. However, that is a double-edged sword. A Congress that largely
favors free trade could exercise oversight to keep the President on the straight and
narrow in trade negotiations. A progressive Congress would instead insist that the
President negotiate for as many trade-unrelated provisions as possible to benefit
labor and green constituencies while pushing progressive policies on the U.S. and
its trading partners.
On balance, a single voice at the negotiating table that is subject to congressional
oversight is the best posture for American workers and consumers. A fractious
Congress has yet to demonstrate the capacity to negotiate with other nations, but
it can help to hold the Administration accountable.
Trade Agreements with the United Kingdom, European Union, and
Others. Even with a renewed TPA, trade agreement negotiations will likely take
years. The Trump and Biden Administrations were not inclined to start the process,
so that job may well fall to the next Administration. In that sense, the delays may
end up being worth it.
If there is one lodestar to follow, it is to restrict these agreements to trade issues
only. Ever since NAFTA, trade-unrelated provisions have taken on a greater role
in trade agreements. These create sticking points and are routinely hijacked by
rent-seeking special interests and progressive ideologues who demand subsidies,
carve-outs, and economically distorting labor and environmental standards that
have nothing to do with trade. If governments are to negotiate these issues, they
should do so in separate agreements so they do not torpedo efforts to liberalize
and engage with allies. Trade agreements should lighten burdens, not create new
ones by attempting to address non-trade issues.
Policy leaders in the United States and the United Kingdom, including
experts from The Heritage Foundation and the Competitive Enterprise Insti-
tute, have prepared a model trade agreement along these lines.73 Along with TPA
renewal, this would greatly reduce negotiating costs. This template is also readily
adaptable for agreements with Europe and any other allies that are willing to
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liberalize their economies and build a stronger alliance with America. The draft
U.S.–U.K. agreement includes an accession chapter to allow others to join on
the same terms.
Restoring or Replacing the WTO Dispute Resolution Process. The World
Trade Organization as we know it may be mortally wounded. This deprives the U.S.
of the WTO’s dispute resolution process, under which the U.S. it won 85 percent of
the cases it brought. The WTO’s slow death began under the Obama Administra-
tion, which refused to allow appointees to the WTO’s appellate board, which as a
consequence is now nonfunctional. Both the Trump and Biden Administrations
have continued the Obama Administration’s approach.
That means that every case in the dispute resolution process will sputter to
a halt as parties file appeals that cannot be heard. If the WTO is no longer fit for
that purpose, it may be better to look in a different direction. More than 20 years
ago, a Heritage Foundation senior fellow proposed that America and other free
economies should form a Global Free Trade Alliance that is open to all countries
that adhere to a truly free market system with appropriate safeguards such as
property rights, lack of corruption, and enforcement of contracts.74 Alongside a
general agreement on low to zero tariffs, the alliance would move to reduce the
effect of nontariff barriers (such as the previously noted baby formula ingredient
and labeling barriers) by basing trade around the principle of mutual recognition.
Such an alliance could be started by a trade agreement between the United States
and, for example, the United Kingdom with an accession chapter allowing others
to join if they meet the criteria.
It would be essential for a Global Free Trade Alliance to avoid the WTO’s most
serious problem: the exemptions from its rules that are granted to developing
countries. When China joined the WTO in 2001, it was granted developing-na-
tion status, which it continues to use to dodge rules that should apply to it. Other
countries have used that status to delay needed reforms. Rule exemptions give
some countries a perverse incentive to remain poor and autocratic.
A Global Free Trade Alliance would allow the U.S. to enjoy the benefits of a rules-
based international trading system without the WTO’s shortcomings. Negotiation
costs would be lower because the countries would already be allied on many issues.
In addition, there would be no separate tiers with different rules, and this would
give developing countries an incentive to liberalize. In addition to being good for
its own sake, liberalization would give them entry into a prestigious club that tilted
toward America’s orbit and away from China’s.
Closing the Export–Import Bank. The Export–Import Bank (EXIM) is an
unusually clear example of how vulnerable trade protectionism is to being hijacked
by special interests.75 In most years, about half of EXIM’s business benefits a single
company, Boeing. Their relationship is so cozy that EXIM’s nickname around
Washington is “the Bank of Boeing.”
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Unlike most other agencies, EXIM has a charter that expires. Congress must
renew it periodically, or else the agency will permanently close. Its current charter
expires at the end of 2026. Closing this New Deal–era legacy agency would be a
conservative victory on a number of fronts. It is also a winnable battle: Congress
just needs to do nothing.
Conservatives have both foreign policy and economic reasons to oppose
EXIM. EXIM has a long history of providing financing for authoritarian govern-
ments in China, Russia, and the Middle East that often oppose U.S. foreign policy
interests, and its deals often oppose U.S. economic interests. EXIM financing
also harms domestic airlines. Many EXIM financing deals enable foreign state-
run airlines to buy Boeing jets at a discount. These foreign airlines, subsidized
by the U.S. government, then compete directly with U.S. airlines on interna-
tional routes.
More recently, the Biden Administration has expanded EXIM’s mission to
advance progressive policy goals, including limits on financing for projects that
involve fossil fuels or contribute to climate change, preferential treatment for
renewable energy projects, and quotas for projects that benefit women-owned and
minority-owned businesses. All of these could raise EXIM’s default rates, putting
taxpayer dollars at risk.
The strongest argument in EXIM’s favor is that it boosts U.S. exports by financ-
ing projects that would otherwise never receive financing. We now have evidence
that this argument is false: EXIM does not finance additional exports; instead, it
largely substitutes for other forms of export financing that would occur anyway.
EXIM’s authorization lapsed in 2014–2015 because of conservative opposition
to renewing its charter. During this lapse, EXIM maintained its existing portfo-
lio but was unable to take on new business. Boeing reported no trouble finding
alternative financing and even reported record profits during EXIM’s lapse while
working to fulfill a seven-year backlog of orders.76
EXIM boasts an extremely low default rate, but that is because of selection
bias. EXIM overwhelmingly takes on low-risk projects that private banks would
be happy to finance, although this admittedly could change somewhat with EXIM’s
Biden-era mandates to finance climate and other policy-focused projects.
EXIM is also a textbook example of regulatory capture.
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l Its beneficiaries have proven they can get adequate financing from
private banks.
EXIM’s charter expires at the end of 2026. The agency will close automatically
unless Congress and the President decide to extend it. Closing EXIM should be
one of the next Administration’s easiest decisions.
Adopting a Multi-Pronged China Strategy. An effective American policy
toward China needs to take a realistic view of the country, its leaders, their
strengths, and the serious challenges they face. It should be comprehensive and
flexible. A threatened CCP is dangerous, perhaps now more than at any time since
Mao Tse-Tung, as Xi Jinping continues to use strong-arm tactics to consolidate his
power and saber-rattling to challenge the international order.
At the same time, recent revelations about China’s official statistics overstating
its GDP by 30 percent track well with other problems that were already known.77
These include one of the world’s worst demographic aging curves thanks to China’s
one-child policy; a population that may already be declining; an unsustainable debt
load that is already causing problems; countless failed boondoggles, from empty
cities to its underwhelming Belt-and-Road Initiative, that are wasting significant
resources; Xi Jinping’s authoritarian turn; increasing state control of the economy;
and a zero-COVID policy that has sabotaged the economy and driven away foreign
investment.78
America has its problems, but it is in better shape than China on nearly every
measure, especially in the long run. While the facts on the ground should inoculate
the next Administration against the most strident China fearmongering circulating
in the media and in Washington, that does not mean that the government in Beijing
is no threat to American interests. The question is: What should we do about it?
A serious China policy will require American policymakers to integrate doc-
trines, institutional prerogatives, expertise, and realistic objectives. Traditional
Cabinet-level bureaucracies like those at the Departments of Defense, State, and
Commerce will need to work together to pursue a comprehensive American strat-
egy. Scores of incremental, narrowly targeted policies are necessary. They will not
make for good soundbites on cable news, and many will operate slowly and out of
sight from most news cycles even as progress is made.
An effective China policy must also allow for adaptation because the CCP will
not sit idly by. As people react to developments, America needs flexible options.
Trade isolationism is inherently inflexible because it reduces the number of con-
tact points with China.
This is a tougher political sell than loud, simplistic jeremiads, but going the extra
mile to solve these difficult coordination problems is vital to America’s interests.
Trade and engagement with China are necessary if we are to contain the threats
that China poses to its neighbors and to the U.S. The next Administration should:
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l Use a target, not a blanket. There should be actions against Chinese firms
that are known to have engaged in unfair trade practices such as intellectual
property theft. Rather than blanket tariffs or non-tariff barriers aimed
at entire Chinese industry sectors, firms that act in bad faith should be
targeted individually. This policy was employed to good effect early in the
Trump Administration but was abandoned in favor of a less effective blanket
tariff policy.
American input or influence, under the Comprehensive and Progressive
Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPATPP) to develop a modern
institutional framework to contain Chinese commercial imperialism.
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countries are mostly China’s neighbors in Asia. Like the TPP, it seeks to
create an alliance to push China toward the rule of law, but the Biden
Administration so far has left trade entirely out of the agreement. Instead,
the IPEF negotiations are focusing entirely on non-trade issues like climate
and labor policy—issues that give progressives opportunities to impose their
policies on other countries and provide rent-seeking opportunities for labor
unions and politically connected businesses in renewable energy and other
favored industries.
IPEF has the potential to be a powerful diplomatic tool that helps to bring
countries into America’s orbit and away from China’s. Beijing’s chauvinistic
approach to foreign policy has alienated most of China’s neighbors and
allies. They follow along because they lack alternatives. IPEF and the TPP
could offer them a way out and make it easier for China’s smaller neighbors
to stand up for themselves in a united front as they move toward American-
style institutions that protect civil, political, and economic liberties.
IPEF could do all that, and so could the TPP, but America currently has
no voice in the TPP, and IPEF risks becoming little more than another
tool that progressives can use to force their policy wish list on countries
that don’t want it. From the perspective of IPEF’s members, the Biden
l Play the long game. It took two generations to win the Cold War, and
there were many reasons for that success. The fact that the planned
economy is inherently inferior to free-market capitalism played a role. So
did diplomatic, military, and economic pressure from free countries. But
culture was just as important, and it did not come from any government.
Blue jeans and rock ’n’ roll helped to win the Cold War as much as any
deliberate policy did. So did images of fashion and prosperity in American
movies and television shows like Dallas.
Such informal bottom-up processes will also play a vital role in helping to
turn China from an authoritarian threat into a freer and less hostile power.
It will take a long time, and the slow process will garner few headlines, but
it can work. A conservative Administration will support efforts by ordinary
Americans to engage with ordinary Chinese people through social networks,
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Effective outreach to the Chinese people will need the same humility that
other sound trade policies require. Government-directed cultural and
economic outreach risks being heavy-handed and could backfire. Everyone
involved needs to know that the process is generational in scope and will
not work overnight. At the very least, Washington should stay out of the way
as much as possible when regular people want to contact each other across
national, language, and cultural divides.
CONCLUSION
A conservative trade policy needs a conservative vision. America’s found-
ing institutions, based on free trade and entrepreneurship, have made America
the world’s leading economy and will help keep America strong through the
next century.
However, recent departures from those principles have hurt America’s econ-
omy and weakened alliances that are necessary to contain threats from Russia and
China. Reaffirming those principles through policies of openness, dynamism, and
free trade will boost America’s economy, make us more resilient against crises, and
remove opportunities for progressives and rent-seekers to use the levers of gov-
ernment for their own purposes. Rediscovering conservative principles on trade
policy and embracing America’s long history as the world’s leading commercial
republic are an important part of restoring a government of, by, and for the people.
AUTHOR’S NOTE: The preparation of this analysis could not have been completed without the valuable
support of a small, sturdy, and principled community of trade policy experts. Among them, my colleagues at the
Competitive Enterprise Institute, Ryan Young, Iain Murray, and Ivan Osorio were essential. The author alone is
responsible for this report. No views herein should be attributed to any other individual or institution.
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ENDNOTES
1. Warren E. Buffett and Carol J. Loomis, “America’s Growing Trade Deficit Is Selling the Nation Out from
Under Us. Here’s a Way to Fix the Problem—And We Need to Do It Now,” Fortune, November 10, 2003,
https://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/fortune_archive/2003/11/10/352872/index.htm (accessed
February 25, 2023).
2. 2017 Annual Report to Congress of the U.S.–China Economic and Security Review Commission, 115th Congress,
1st Session, November 2017, p. 24, https://www.uscc.gov/sites/default/files/2019-09/2017_Annual_Report_to_
Congress.pdf (accessed February 25, 2023).
3. JayEtta Z. Hecker, Associate Director, International Relations and Trade Issues, National Security and
International Affairs Division, U.S. Government Accountability Office, “China Trade: WTO Membership and
Most-Favored-Nation Status,” Testimony before the Subcommittee on Trade, Committee on Ways and Means,
U.S. House of Representatives, GAO/T-NSIAD-98-209, June 17, 1998, p. 1, https://www.gao.gov/assets/t-
nsiad-98-209.pdf (accessed February 25, 2023).
4. News release, “U.S. Trade in International Goods and Services, December and Annual 2022,” U.S. Department
of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, February 7, 2023, https://www.bea.gov/news/2023/us-
international-trade-goods-and-services-december-and-annual-2022 (accessed February 25, 2023); “Table
1. U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services: Exports, Imports, and Balances,” U.S. Department of
Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, last updated November 3, 2022, https://www.bea.gov/sites/default/
files/2022-11/trad-time-series-0922.xlsx (accessed February 25, 2023).
5. U.S. Department of State, “Fact Sheet: Activity at the Wuhan Institute of Virology,” January 15, 2021,
https://2017-2021.state.gov/fact-sheet-activity-at-the-wuhan-institute-of-virology/index.html (accessed
February 25, 2023); Interim Report, An Analysis of the Origins of the COVID-19 Pandemic, Minority Oversight
Staff, Committee on Health, Education, Labor and Pensions, U.S. Senate, October 2022, https://www.help.
senate.gov/imo/media/doc/report_an_analysis_of_the_origins_of_covid-19_102722.pdf (accessed
February 25, 2023).
6. Barmini Chakraborty, “China Hints at Denying Americans Life-Saving Coronavirus Drugs,” Fox News,
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14. Adam Behsudi, “Duffy Finds 18 Co-sponsors for Bill to Increase Trump’s Tariff Powers,” Politico, January 24,
2019, https://www.politico.com/story/2019/01/24/duffy-finds-18-co-sponsors-for-bill-to-increase-trumps-
trade-powers-2555509 (accessed February 26, 2023).
15. FTAs like NAFTA represent a carve-out from the WTO’s unconditional MFN rule and generally lead to tariffs
that tend to be set at more reciprocal levels.
16. H.R.764, United States Reciprocal Trade Act, § 3(b)(1) and (b)(2).
17. Damian Paletta, “Speaker Ryan Admits Defeat, Giving up on Border Adjustment Tax,” The Washington Post,
July 27, 2017, https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2017/07/27/paul-ryan-admits-defeat-giving-
up-on-border-adjustment-tax/ (accessed February 25, 2023).
18. This section draws on analyses in White House Office of Trade and Manufacturing Policy, How China’s
Economic Aggression Threatens the Technologies and Intellectual Property of the United States and the World,
June 2018, https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/FINAL-China-Technology-
Report-6.18.18-PDF.pdf (accessed February 25, 2023).
19. Bloomberg News, “Xi’s Vow of World Dominance by 2049 Sends Chill Through Markets,” October 26, 2022,
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-26/xi-s-vow-of-world-dominance-by-2049-sends-chill-
through-markets?leadSource=uverify%20wall (accessed February 25, 2023).
20. Executive Office of the President, United States Trade Representative, 2017 Report to Congress on China’s
WTO Compliance, January 2018, https://ustr.gov/sites/default/files/files/Press/Reports/China%202017%20
WTO%20Report.pdf (accessed February 25, 2023).
21. White House Office of Trade and Manufacturing Policy, How China’s Economic Aggression Threatens the
Technologies and Intellectual Property of the United States and the World.
22. The National Medium- and Long-Term Program for Science and Technology Development Plan (2006–2020):
An Outline, The State Council, The People’s Republic of China, p. [55], https://www.itu.int/en/ITU-D/
Cybersecurity/Documents/National_Strategies_Repository/China_2006.pdf (accessed March 21, 2023).
23. Commission on the Theft of American Intellectual Property, Update to the IP Commission Report: The Theft
of American Intellectual Property: Reassessments of the Challenge and United States Policy, February 2017,
pp. 2, 11, and 12, http://www.ipcommission.org/report/IP_Commission_Report_Update_2017.pdf (accessed
February 25, 2023).
24. The laws, which have been put in place for national security purposes, have been promulgated under the
Arms Export Control Act (AECA), 22 U.S.C. Ch. 39, §§ 2751–2756, 2761–2781, 2785, and 2791–27999aa-2,
https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/22/chapter-39 (accessed February 25, 2023) and the International
Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), 50 U.S.C. Ch. 35, §§ 1701–1708, https://www.law.cornell.edu/
uscode/text/50/chapter-35 (accessed February 25, 2023).
25. Ministry of Education, People’s Republic of China, “Statistics on Studying in China in 2018,” http://www.moe.
gov.cn/was5/web/search?searchword=Statistics+on+Studying+in+China+in+2018&channelid=254028&page=1
(accessed March 21, 2023).
26. Michael Brown and Pavneet Singh, “China’s Technology Transfer Strategy: How Chinese Investments in
Emerging Technology Enable a Strategic Competitor to Access the Crown Jewels of U.S. Innovation, Updated
with 2016 and 2017 Data,” Defense Innovation Unit Experimental (DIUx), January 2018, https://admin.govexec.
com/media/diux_chinatechnologytransferstudy_jan_2018_(1).pdf (accessed February 25, 2023). The DIUx
describes itself as “the only DOD Organization focused on accelerating the adoption of commercial and dual-
use technology to solve operational challenges at speed and scale.” Defense Innovation Unit Experimental,
“About,” https://www.diu.mil/ (accessed February 25, 2023).
27. Brown and Singh, “China’s Technology Transfer Strategy: How Chinese Investments in Emerging Technology
Enable a Strategic Competitor to Access the Crown Jewels of U.S. Innovation, Updated with 2016 and 2017
Data,” p. 18.
28. Ingrid Lunden, “Huawei Puts $1M into a New AI Research Partnership with UC Berkeley,” TechCrunch, October
11, 2016, https://techcrunch.com/2016/10/11/huawei-puts-1m-into-a-new-ai-research-partnership-with-
ucberkeley/ (accessed February 25, 2023).
29. Press release, “President Trump Announces Strong Actions to Address China’s Unfair Trade,” Office of the
United States Trade Representative, March 22, 2018, https://ustr.gov/about-us/policy-offices/press-office/
press-releases/2018/march/president-trump-announces-strong (accessed February 25, 2023).
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
30. “From China with Love: AI, Robotics, AR/VR Are Hot Areas for Chinese Investment In US,” CB Insights, August
1, 2017, https://www.cbinsights.com/research/chinese-investment-us-tech-expert-research/ (accessed
February 25, 2023).
31. “Remarks by President Obama and President Xi of the People's Republic of China in Joint Press
Conference,” The White House, September 25, 2015, https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-
pressffice/2015/09/25/remarks-president-obama-and-president-xi-peoples-republic-china-joint (accessed
February 25, 2023).
32. Ankit Panda, “It’s Official: Xi Jinping Breaks His Non-Militarization Pledge in the Spratlys,” The Diplomat,
December 16, 2016, https://thediplomat.com/2016/12/its-official-xi-jinping-breaks-his-non-militarization-
pledge-in-the-spratlys/ (accessed February 25, 2023).
33. Press release, “USTR Issues Tariffs on Chinese Products in Response to Unfair Trade Practices,” Office of the
United States Trade Representative, June 15, 2018, https://ustr.gov/about-us/policy-offices/press-office/press-
releases/2018/june/ustr-issues-tariffs-chinese-products (accessed February 25, 2023).
34. Yen Nee Lee, “‘New Consensus’ Reached on US–China Trade, Says Chinese Vice Premier Liu He,” CNBC,
updated April 5, 2019, https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/05/us-china-trade-new-consensus-reached-says-
chinas-liu-he.html (accessed February 25, 2023).
35. Reuters, “China Backtracked on Nearly All Aspects of US Trade Deal: Sources,” CNBC, May 8, 2019, https://
www.cnbc.com/2019/05/08/china-backtracked-on-nearly-all-aspects-of-us-trade-deal-sources.html
(accessed February 25, 2023).
36. Fact Sheet, “Economic and Trade Agreement Between the United States of America and the People’s Republic
of China,” Office of the United States Trade Representative, January 15, 2020, https://ustr.gov/sites/default/
files/files/agreements/phase%20one%20agreement/US_China_Agreement_Fact_Sheet.pdf (accessed
February 25, 2023).
37. Warren Buffett, “Warren Buffett: Here’s How I Would Solve the Trade Problem,” Fortune, April 29, 2016, http://
fortune.com/2016/04/29/warren-buffett-foreign-trade/ (accessed February 25, 2023).
38. See, for example, Jeffrey Miron, “Forget the Wall Already, It’s Time for the U.S. to Have Open Borders,” Cato
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
43. Randy E. Barnett and Andrew Koppelman, “The Commerce Clause: Common Interpretation,” National
Constitution Center, https://constitutioncenter.org/the-constitution/articles/article-i/clauses/752 (accessed
February 21, 2023); Randy E. Barnett, “The Original Meaning of the Commerce Clause,” University of Chicago
Law Review, Vol. 68, No. 1 (2001), pp. 101–147, https://chicagounbound.uchicago.edu/cgi/viewcontent.
cgi?article=5074&context=uclrev (accessed February 21, 2023).
44. Wells King, “Rediscovering a Genuine American System,” American Compass, Rebooting the American System,
May 4, 2020, https://americancompass.org/rediscovering-a-genuine-american-system/ (accessed February 21,
2023). See also Phillip W. Magness and James R. Harrigan, “Henry Clay’s ‘American System’ Is Bad News for the
American Economy,” American Institute for Economic Research, December 8, 2022, https://www.aier.org/article/
henry-clays-american-system-is-bad-news-for-the-american-economy/ (accessed February 21, 2023), and Iain
Murray, “The Founding Fathers and Free Trade,” Competitive Enterprise Institute, Open Market Blog, September
20, 2022, https://cei.org/blog/the-founding-fathers-and-free-trade/ (accessed February 21, 2023).
45. Douglas A. Irwin, Clashing over Commerce: A History of U.S. Trade Policy (Chicago: University of Chicago Press,
2018), pp. 147–154.
46. Ibid., p. 125.
47. Michael Urquhart, “The Employment Shift to Services: Where Did it Come From?” U.S. Department of Labor,
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Monthly Labor Review, Vol. 107, No. 4 (April 1984), p. 16, https://stats.bls.gov/opub/
mlr/1984/04/art2full.pdf (accessed February 21, 2023).
48. H.R. 10378, Merchant Marine Act of 1920, Public Law 66-261, 66th Congress, June 5, 1920, https://govtrackus.
s3.amazonaws.com/legislink/pdf/stat/41/STATUTE-41-Pg988.pdf (accessed February 22, 2023.
49. Tori K. Smith, “The Proof Is In: Tariffs Are Hurting the U.S.,” Heritage Foundation Commentary, August 27, 2019,
https://www.heritage.org/trade/commentary/the-proof-tariffs-are-hurting-the-us.
50. Congressional Budget Office, The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2020 to 2030, January 2020, p. 33, https://
www.cbo.gov/publication/56073 (accessed February 21, 2023).
51. H.R. 11970, Trade Expansion Act of 1962, Public Law No. 87-794, 87th Congress, October 11, 1962, https://www.
govinfo.gov/content/pkg/STATUTE-76/pdf/STATUTE-76-Pg872.pdf (accessed February 22, 2023).
52. H.R. 10710, Trade Act of 1974, Public Law No. 93-618, 93rd Congress, January 3, 1975, https://www.congress.
gov/93/statute/STATUTE-88/STATUTE-88-Pg1978-2.pdf (accessed February 22, 2023).
53. U.S. Constitution, Article I, Section 8, https://constitution.congress.gov/constitution/article-1/ (accessed
February 22, 2023).
54. Gary Clyde Hufbauer and Eujin Jung, “Steel Profits Gain, but Steel Users Pay, Under Trump’s Protectionism,”
Peterson Institute for International Economics, Trade and Investment Policy Watch, December 20, 2018,
https://www.piie.com/blogs/trade-and-investment-policy-watch/steel-profits-gain-steel-users-pay-under-
trumps (accessed February 21, 2023).
55. Mary Amiti, Stephen J. Redding, and David E. Weinstein, “New China Tariffs Increase Costs to U.S. Households,”
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Liberty Street Economics Blog, May 23, 2019, https://libertystreeteconomics.
newyorkfed.org/2019/05/new-china-tariffs-increase-costs-to-us-households/ (accessed February 21, 2023).
56. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED), Series CLF16OV, “Civilian
Labor Force Level,” https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CLF16OV (accessed February 21, 2023).
57. Stephen Morgan, “Retaliatory Tariffs Reduced U.S. States’ Exports of Agricultural Commodities,” U.S.
Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, Amber Waves, March 7, 2022, https://www.ers.usda.
gov/amber-waves/2022/march/retaliatory-tariffs-reduced-u-s-states-exports-of-agricultural-commodities/
(accessed February 21, 2023).
58. Aaron Flaaen and Justin Pierce, “Disentangling the Effects of the 2018–2019 Tariffs on a Globally Connected
U.S. Manufacturing Sector,” Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Finance and Economics
Discussion Series No. 2019-086, December 23, 2019, https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/
files/2019086pap.pdf (accessed February 21, 2023); U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics,
“Data Tools: Industries at a Glance: Primary Metal Manufacturing: NAICS 331,” data extracted February 17, 2023,
https://www.bls.gov/iag/tgs/iag331.htm (accessed February 21, 2023).
59. Ryan Young, “Lessons from the GM layoffs: End the Tariffs and the Subsidies,” Fox Business, November 28,
2018, https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/lessons-from-the-gm-layoffs-end-the-tariffs-and-the-subsidies
(accessed February 21, 2023).
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
60. Irwin, Clashing over Commerce, pp. 400–410. For a book-length treatment of Smoot–Hawley, see Douglas A.
Irwin, Peddling Protectionism: Smoot–Hawley and the Great Depression, (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University
Press, 2011).
61. Kevin D. Williamson, Big White Ghetto: Dead Broke, Stone-Cold Stupid, and High on Rage in the Dank Wooly
Wilds of the “Real America (Washington: Regnery, 2020).
62. Stephen J. Hicks and Srikant Devaraj, “The Myth and Reality of Manufacturing in America,” Conexus Indiana
and Ball State University Center for Business and Economic Research, June 2015 and April 2017, https://
conexus.cberdata.org/files/MfgReality.pdf (accessed February 21, 2023).
63. Economic News Release, “Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary,” U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau
of Labor Statistics, February 1, 2023, https://www.bls.gov/news.release/jolts.nr0.htm (accessed February 21,
2023). The release reports “Job Openings and Labor Turnover—December 2022.”
64. Allen H. Meltzer, A History of the Federal Reserve, Volume 1: 1913–1951 (Chicago: University of Chicago Press,
2004); Allen H. Meltzer, A History of the Federal Reserve, Volume 2, Book 2, 1970–1986 (Chicago: University of
Chicago Press, 2014).
65. John B. Taylor, Getting Off Track: How Government Actions and Interventions Caused, Prolonged, and
Worsened the Financial Crisis (Stanford, CA: Hoover Institution Press, 2009); Scott Sumner, The Money
Illusion: Market Monetarism, the Great Recession, and the Future of Monetary Policy (Chicago: University of
Chicago Press, 2021), pp. 267–284.
66. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED), Series Unemployment Rate
(UNRATE), updated February 3, 2023, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE (accessed February 21, 2023).
67. Ryan Young, “How to Make Sure Reformed #NeverNeeded Regulations Stay That Way,” Competitive
Enterprise Institute, Open Market Blog, July 8, 2020, https://cei.org/studies/how-to-make-sure-reformed-
neverneeded-regulations-stay-that-way/ (accessed February 21, 2023).
68. H.R. 8351, Formula Act, Public Law No. 117-160, 117th Congress, July 21, 2022, https://www.congress.gov/117/
plaws/publ160/PLAW-117publ160.pdf (accessed February 22, 2023).
69. Iain Murray, “A New Kind of Trade Agreement,” Competitive Enterprise Institute, Open Market Blog,
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77. Luis Martinez, “How Much Should We Trust the Dictator’s GDP Growth Estimates?” Becker–Friedman Institute
for Economics at the University of Chicago, Working Paper No. 2021-78, July 2021, https://bfi.uchicago.edu/
wp-content/uploads/2021/07/BFI_WP_2021-78.pdf (accessed February 21, 2023).
78. Nicholas R. Lardy, The State Strikes Back: The End of Economic Reform in China? (Washington: Peterson
Institute for International Economics, 2019); Elizabeth C. Economy, The Third Revolution: Xi Jinping and the
New Chinese State (Oxford and New York: Oxford University Press, 2018).
— 823 —
Section Five
INDEPENDENT
REGULATORY
AGENCIES
I
n addition to the executive departments and agencies discussed previously,
a number of independent commissions exist that are loosely affiliated with
the executive branch. In general, the President can appoint people to these
commissions but cannot remove them, which makes them constitutionally prob-
lematic in light of the Constitution’s having vested federal executive power in the
President. Nevertheless, they exist, their constitutional legitimacy has generally
been upheld by the courts, and there will be an opportunity for the next Adminis-
tration to use them as forces for good, particularly by making wise appointments.
Few appointments to these commissions will be as important as the President’s
selection of the next chairman of the Federal Communications Commission (FCC).
In Chapter 28, FCC Commissioner Brendan Carr writes that the FCC chairman “is
empowered with significant authority that is not shared” with other FCC members.
Under a new chairman, he writes, “[t]he FCC needs to change course and bring new
urgency to achieving four main goals: [r]eining in Big Tech; [p]romoting national
security; [u]nleashing economic prosperity; and [e]nsuring FCC accountability
and good governance.”
“The FCC,” writes Carr, “has an important role to play in addressing the threats
to individual liberty posed by corporations that are abusing dominant positions
in the market.” Nowhere is that clearer “than when it comes to Big Tech and its
attempts to drive diverse political viewpoints from the digital town square.” Carr
writes that the FCC should require more transparency from Big Tech, which today
“offers a black box.” And it should issue “an order that interprets Section 230”—
which provides protection from legal liability to online computer services that
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moderate content in good faith—“in a way that eliminates the expansive, non-tex-
tual immunities that courts have read into the statute.” In addition to taking
unilateral action, Carr says, the FCC should work with Congress on legislative
changes to ensure that “Internet companies no longer have carte blanche to censor
protected speech while maintaining their Section 230 protections.”
Carr writes that during the Trump Administration, the FCC took an “appro-
priately strong approach to the national security threats posed by the Chinese
Communist Party.” The FCC put Huawei on its Covered List of entities—its list
of those posing “an unacceptable risk” to U.S. national security. Carr writes that
TikTok also poses a “serious and unacceptable” risk to U.S. national security, while
providing “Beijing with an opportunity to run a foreign influence campaign by
determining the news and information that the app feeds to millions of Americans,”
and the next Administration should ban it. What’s more, Carr writes, “U.S. busi-
nesses are aiding Beijing—often unwittingly”—in its effort to become, by 2030, “the
global leader in artificial intelligence.” In part, they are doing so by providing “Bei-
jing access to their high-powered cloud computing services.” Carr asserts that “it is
time for an Administration to put in place a comprehensive plan that aims to stop
U.S. entities from directly or indirectly contributing to China’s malign AI goals .”
Former Federal Election Commissioner Hans von Spakovsky writes in Chap-
ter 29 that while “the authority of the President over the actions of” the Federal
Election Commission “is extremely limited,” the President “must ensure that the
[Justice Department], just like the FEC, is directed to only prosecute clear viola-
tions” of the Federal Election Campaign Act. “The department must not construe
ambiguous provisions…in a way that infringes on protected First Amendment
activity,” he writes. The FEC has six members, three from each party, and its
determinations require a majority—so, they require the support of at least one
member of each party. DOJ should not “prosecute an individual for supposedly
violating the law when the FEC has previously determined that a similarly situated
individual has not violated the law,” writes von Spakovsky. Moreover, he writes
that the “President should vigorously oppose all efforts”—such as the language
in the “For the People Act of 2021”—“to change the structure of the FEC” so that
it would have an “odd number” of members. The current structure “ensures that
there is bipartisan agreement before any action is taken and protects against the
FEC being weaponized.”
In Chapter 27, David R. Burton writes that the Securities and Exchange Com-
mission (SEC) “should be reducing impediments to capital formation, not radically
increasing them” by pushing a costly “climate change” agenda, as it is doing under
the Biden Administration. Discussing the Federal Trade Commission, Adam Can-
deub writes in Chapter 30, “Antitrust law can combat dominant firms’ baleful
effects on democratic” notions—“such as free speech, the marketplace of ideas,
shareholder control, and managerial accountability as well as collusive behavior
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
with government.” Under the Biden FTC, he writes, firms try “to get out of anti-
trust liability by offering climate, diversity, or other forms of ESG-type offerings.”
Candeub says that state AGs “are far more responsive to their constituents” than
the federal government generally is, and he recommends that the FTC establish
a position in the chairman’s office that is “focused on state AG cooperation and
inviting state AGs to Washington, DC, to discuss enforcement policy in key sectors
under the FTC’s jurisdiction: Big Tech, hospital mergers, supermarket mergers,
and so forth.”
— 827 —
27
FINANCIAL
REGULATORY
AGENCIES
T he primary purposes of the laws and regulations governing capital markets and
of capital market regulators are to deter and punish fraud and other material
misstatements to investors; foster reasonable, scaled disclosure of information
that is material to investors’ financial outcomes and proxy voting decisions; and
maintain fair, orderly, and efficient secondary capital markets.
The Securities Act of 19331 and the Securities Exchange Act of 19342 reflect
nearly nine decades of rushed and haphazard amendments. The securities laws
are now extremely complex and do not constitute a coherent, rational regulatory
regime. For example, the current SEC has proposed a climate change reporting
rule that would quadruple the costs of being a public company.3 This would have
a substantial adverse impact on existing companies. Over time, it would also sub-
stantially reduce the number of public companies and therefore the number of
investing options available to ordinary Americans. The Securities and Exchange
Commission (SEC) should be reducing impediments to capital formation, not rad-
ically increasing them.
The SEC and Congress should fundamentally reform the securities laws gov-
erning issuers, broker–dealers, exchanges, and other market participants. Among
other things, they should establish a simplified and rationalized securities disclo-
sure system with:
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
The SEC needs to be reformed to achieve its important core functions more
effectively, to improve transparency and due process, and to reduce unnecessary
regulatory impediments to capital formation.6 Under current law, the SEC Chair-
man has the authority to make almost all of the necessary changes.7 Unfortunately,
financial regulators, particularly the SEC and the Financial Industry Regulatory
Authority (FINRA), are poorly managed and organized.
With regulatory authority delegated by the government, both the Public
Company Accounting Oversight Board (PCAOB) and FINRA have proved to be
ineffective, costly, opaque, and largely impervious to reform. To reduce costs and
improve transparency, due process, congressional oversight, and responsiveness,
PCAOB and FINRA should be abolished, and their regulatory functions should
be merged into the SEC. Furthermore, Congress should establish an indepen-
dent board or commission and charge it with producing a detailed report within
18 months that examines the degree to which the regulatory functions of the var-
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l Exempt peer-to-peer lending from federal and state securities laws and
reduce the regulatory burden on Regulation CF debt securities.
registered firm for their audits.
Congress should:
l Abolish Rule 144 and other regulations that restrict securities resales and instead
require a company that has sold securities to provide sufficient current informa-
tion to the market to permit reasonable investment decisions and secondary sales.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Congress should:
SEC ADMINISTRATION
To enable it to achieve its core mission more effectively, the SEC should:23
l Ensure that SEC resources flow toward its core functions and away from
ancillary and support functions or from missions that do not fall within the
SEC’s statutory charge.
l Ensure that any three SEC Commissioners are empowered to place an item
on the agenda and to receive adequate staff support to do so even without
the Chairman’s support.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Congress should:
justice. With adequate management processes, the SEC should not need
more than two years even for complicated matters.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l Amend Section 2 of the CEA to authorize the CFTC Chairman to remove the
agency’s Executive Director without a Commission vote.
l Allocate more resources to core agency functions rather than ancillary and
support operations.
Replace the existing position limits rule, which reduces liquidity and makes
l Apply the definitions of “U.S. Person” and “Guarantee” in the CFTC’s 2020
rule on cross-border application of swaps regulations (2020 Cross-Border
Rule)29 to the regulatory requirements that remain covered by the CFTC’s
2013 guidance on the subject (2013 Guidance).30 Currently, the definition
of each of these foundational terms differs depending on whether the
requirement in question is covered by the 2020 Cross-Border Rule or the
2013 Guidance.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
DIGITAL ASSETS
Both the SEC and the CFTC have been irresponsible actors in the digital asset
area. They have had more than a decade to promulgate rules governing digital
assets, yet the SEC has utterly failed to do so, and the CFTC has provided only
minimal guidance. Instead, both agencies have chosen regulation by enforce-
ment—and have done it poorly. They neither adequately protect investors nor
provide responsible market participants with the regulatory environment that
they need to thrive.
The SEC and CFTC should clarify the treatment of digital assets (coins or
tokens). Specifically, they should:
Amend the definition of commodity to include digital assets that are not
l
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l Require that all SRO fines, including those imposed by FINRA, should
go either to a newly established investor reimbursement fund or to the
Treasury. SROs should not have a financial interest in imposing fines.
l Require all SROs to publish rules in proposed format and seek public
comment before they are submitted to the SEC or the CFTC.
Congress should:
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l Require the SEC and the CFTC to publish a detailed annual report on SRO
supervision.
AUTHOR’S NOTE: The preparation of this chapter was a collective enterprise of individuals involved in the
2025 Presidential Transition Project. All contributors to this chapter are listed at the front of this volume, but Paul
Atkins, C. Wallace DeWitt, Christopher Iacovella, Brian Knight, Chelsea Pizzola, and Andrew Vollmer deserve special
mention. The author alone assumes responsibility for the content of this chapter, and no views expressed herein
should be attributed to any other individual.
ning “to create a so-called Civil Penalty Fund from its own shakedown operations
targeting financial institutions” that would use “ramped-up (and trumped-up)
anti-discrimination lawsuits and investigations” to “bankroll some 60 liberal non-
profits, many of whom are radical Acorn-style pressure groups.”34
The CFPB has a fiscal year (FY) 2023 budget of $653.2 million35 and 1,635 full-
time equivalent (FTE) employees.36 From FY 2012 through FY 2020, it imposed
approximately $1.25 billion in civil money penalties;37 in FY 2022, it imposed
approximately $172.5 million in civil money penalties.38 These penalties are
imposed by the CFPB Civil Penalty Fund, described as “a victims relief fund, into
which the CFPB deposits civil penalties it collects in judicial and administrative
actions under Federal consumer financial laws.”39
The CFPB is headed by a single Director who is appointed by the President to
a five-year term.40 Its organizational structure includes five divisions: Operations;
Consumer Education and External Affairs; Legal; Supervision, Enforcement and
Fair Lending; and Research, Monitoring and Regulations.41 Each of these divisions
reports to the Office of the Director, except for the Operations Division, which
reports to the Deputy Director.
Passage of Title X of Dodd–Frank was a bid to placate concern over a series
of regulatory failures identified in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis. The law
imported a new superstructure of federal regulation over consumer finance and
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
The CFPB is not subject to congressional oversight, and its funding is not
determined by elected lawmakers in Congress as part of the typical congressional
appropriations process. It receives its funding from the Federal Reserve, which
is itself funded outside the appropriations process through bank assessments.
CFPB funding represents 12 percent of the total operating expenses of the Fed-
eral Reserve and is disbursed by the unelected Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System.47 This is not the case with respect to any other federal agency.
On October 19, 2022, in Community Financial Services Association of America
v. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fifth
Circuit held that the CFPB’s “perpetual insulation from Congress’s appropriations
power, including the express exemption from congressional review of its funding,
renders the Bureau ‘no longer dependent and, as a result, no longer accountable’
to Congress and, ultimately, to the people”48 and that “[b]y abandoning its ‘most
complete and effectual’ check on ‘the overgrown prerogatives of the other branches
of the government’—indeed, by enabling them in the Bureau’s case—Congress ran
afoul of the separation of powers embodied in the Appropriations Clause.”49 The
Court further remarked that the CFPB’s “capacious portfolio of authority acts ‘as
a mini legislature, prosecutor, and court, responsible for creating substantive rules
for a wide swath of industries, prosecuting violations, and levying knee-buckling
penalties against private citizens.’”50
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
On February 27, 2023, the Supreme Court granted the petition for a writ of
certiorari.51 The Court should issue its final decision by 2024.
The CFPB is a highly politicized, damaging, and utterly unaccountable federal
agency.52 It is unconstitutional. Congress should abolish the CFPB and reverse
Dodd–Frank Section 1061, thus returning the consumer protection function of
the CFPB to banking regulators53 and the Federal Trade Commission. Provided
the Supreme Court affirms the Fifth Circuit holding in Community Financial Ser-
vices Association of America, the next conservative President should order the
immediate dissolution of the agency—pull down its prior rules, regulations and
guidance, return its staff to their prior agencies and its building to the General
Services Administration.
Until this can be accomplished, however, Congress should:
l Ensure that any civil penalty funds not used to recompense wronged
consumers go to the Department of the Treasury. The funds should not
be retained by the Bureau to be dispensed at the pleasure of the Director—
potentially to political actors. Moreover, the CFPB should not have a
financial incentive to impose penalties.
lending to small firms, raises costs, and limits small businesses’ access
to capital.54
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
ENDNOTES
1. H.R. 5480, Securities Act of 1933, Public Law No. 73-22, 73rd Congress, May 27, 1933, https://govtrackus.
s3.amazonaws.com/legislink/pdf/stat/48/STATUTE-48-Pg74.pdf (accessed February 20, 2023).
2. H.R. 9323, Securities Exchange Act of 1934, Public Law No. 73-291, 73rd Congress, June 6, 1934, https://
govtrackus.s3.amazonaws.com/legislink/pdf/stat/48/STATUTE-48-Pg881a.pdf (accessed February 20, 2023).
3. Mark T. Uyeda, Commissioner, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, “Remarks at the 2022 Cato
Summit on Financial Regulation,” November 17, 2022, https://www.sec.gov/news/speech/uyeda-remarks-
cato-summit-financial-regulation-111722 (accessed February 20, 2023); Hester M. Peirce, Commissioner, U.S.
Securities and Exchange Commission, “It’s Not Just Scope 3: Remarks at the American Enterprise Institute,”
December 7, 2022, https://www.sec.gov/news/speech/peirce-remarks-american-enterprise-institute-120722
(accessed February 20, 2023); comment letter from David R. Burton to Vanessa A. Countryman, Secretary,
Securities and Exchange Commission, “Re: The Enhancement and Standardization of Climate-Related
Disclosures for Investors [File No. S7-10-2; Release No. 33-11042; RIN 3235-AM87],” June 17, 2022, https://www.
sec.gov/comments/s7-10-22/s71022-20131980-302443.pdf (accessed February 20, 2023).
4. Size would probably be measured best by public float or the number of beneficial owners.
5. See David R. Burton, “Securities Disclosure Reform,” Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 3178, February
13, 2017, https://www.heritage.org/sites/default/files/2017-02/BG3178.pdf; David R. Burton, “Offering and
Disclosure Reform,” Chapter 11 in Reframing Financial Regulation: Enhancing Stability and Protecting
Consumers, ed. Hester Peirce and Benjamin Klutsey (Arlington, VA: Mercatus Center at George Mason
University, 2016), pp. 277–315, https://www.mercatus.org/research/books/reframing-financial-regulation
(accessed February 20, 2023); Andrew N. Vollmer, “Investor-Friendly Securities Reform to Increase Economic
Growth,” Securities Regulation & Law Report, Bloomberg BNA, Vol. 49, June 5, 2017.
6. See, for example, David R. Burton, “Reforming the Securities and Exchange Commission,” Heritage
Foundation Backgrounder No. 3378, January 30, 2019, https://www.heritage.org/sites/default/files/2019-01/
BG3378.pdf; Andrew N. Vollmer, “Testimony on Workforce Management Disclosures and Other SEC Issues,”
submitted to the Subcommittee on Investor Protection, Entrepreneurship, and Capital Markets, Committee
— 840 —
2025 Presidential Transition Project
of Management and Budget, Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs, “Fall 2022 Unified Agenda of
Regulatory and Deregulatory Actions: Active Regulatory Actions Listed by Agency,” https://www.reginfo.gov/
public/do/eAgendaMain (accessed February 20, 2023); “Human Capital Management Disclosure,” RIN: 3235-
AM88, https://www.reginfo.gov/public/do/eAgendaViewRule?pubId=202204&RIN=3235-AM88 (accessed
February 20, 2023); “Corporate Board Diversity,” RIN: 3235-AL91, https://www.reginfo.gov/public/do/
eAgendaViewRule?pubId=202204&RIN=3235-AL91 (accessed February 20, 2023).
10. 15 U.S. Code § 77z–3, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/15/77z-3 (accessed February 20, 2023); 15 U.S.
Code § 78mm, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/15/78mm (accessed February 20, 2023).
11. S. ___, Jumpstart Our Business Startups Act of 2022, discussion draft, 117th Congress, 2nd Session, https://
www.banking.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/the_jobs_act_4.0discussiondraft.pdf (accessed February 20,
2023); David R. Burton, “Entrepreneurial Capital Formation,” Testimony before the Committee on Banking,
Housing, and Urban Affairs, U.S. Senate, April 5, 2022, https://www.heritage.org/testimony/entrepreneurial-
capital-formation; “Removing Barriers to Small Business Capital Formation and Expanding Investor
Opportunities,” Section 6 in Nicholas Anthony, Norbert J. Michel, Jennifer J. Schulp, George Selgin, and Jack
Solowey, “Sound Financial Policy: Principled Recommendations for the 118th Congress,” ed. Norbert J. Michel
and Ann Rulon, Cato Institute, 2022, pp. 22–27, https://www.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/2022-10/sound-
financial-policy-118th-congress.pdf (accessed February 20, 2023); David R. Burton and Norbert J. Michel,
Proposals to Foster Economic Growth and Capital Formation, Submission to Committee on Banking, Housing,
and Urban Affairs, U.S. Senate, March 18, 2021, https://www.banking.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/David%20
Burton%20and%20Norbert%20Michel%20-%202021-3-18.pdf (accessed February 20, 2023); David R. Burton,
“Improving Entrepreneurs’ Access to Capital: Vital for Economic Growth,” Heritage Foundation Backgrounder
No. 3182, February 14, 2017, https://www.heritage.org/sites/default/files/2017-02/BG3182.pdf.
12. The small issues exemptive authority has been in the Securities Act since its initial enactment.
13. The crowdfunding exemption was created by Title III of the 2012 JOBS Act. See H.R. 3606, Jumpstart Our
Business Startups Act, Public Law No. 112-106, 112th Congress, April 5, 2021, Title III, § 302, https://www.
govinfo.gov/content/pkg/PLAW-112publ106/pdf/PLAW-112publ106.pdf (accessed February 20, 2023).
14. Burton, “Improving Entrepreneurs’ Access to Capital: Vital for Economic Growth”; Rutheford B. Campbell
Jr., “The Case for Federal Pre-Emption of State Blue Sky Laws,” Chapter 6 in Prosperity Unleashed: Smarter
Financial Regulation, https://www.heritage.org/sites/default/files/2017-02/06_ProsperityUnleashed_
Chapter06.pdf.
15. Andrew N. Vollmer, “Abandon the Concept of Accredited Investors in Private Securities Offerings,” Securities
Regulation Law Journal, Vol. 49, No. 5 (Spring 2021), https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_
id=3719280 (accessed February 20, 2023); Thaya Brook Knight, “Your Money’s No Good Here: How Restrictions
on Private Securities Offerings Harm Investors,” Cato Institute Policy Analysis No. 833, February 9, 2018, https://
www.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/pubs/pdf/pa833.pdf (accessed February 20, 2023); David R. Burton, “Congress
Should Increase Access to Private Securities Offerings,” Heritage Foundation Issue Brief No. 4899, August 29,
2018, https://www.heritage.org/sites/default/files/2018-08/IB4899.pdf; Andrew N. Vollmer, “Evidence on the
Use of Disclosure Documents in Private Securities Offerings to Accredited Investors,” Mercatus Center at George
Mason University Working Paper, October 22, 2020, https://www.mercatus.org/publications/financial-regulation/
evidence-use-disclosure-documents-private-securities-offerings-0 (accessed February 20, 2023).
16. For a detailed discussion, see “Micro-Offerings,” Section IId in Burton and Michel, Proposals to Foster
Economic Growth and Capital Formation, pp. 15–17.
17. David R. Burton, “Let Entrepreneurs Raise Capital Using Finders and Private Placement Brokers,” Heritage
Foundation Backgrounder No. 3328, July 10, 2018, https://www.heritage.org/sites/default/files/2018-07/
BG3328.pdf; Andrew N. Vollmer, “Make It Easy for Startups to Sell Stock,” Mercatus Center at George Mason
University Discourse, September 21, 2020, https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/commentary/make-it-easy-
startups-sell-stock (accessed February 20, 2023).
18. See H.R. 531, S-Corp Access to Crowdfunding Act, 115th Congress, introduced January 13, 2017, https://www.
govinfo.gov/content/pkg/BILLS-115hr531ih/pdf/BILLS-115hr531ih.pdf (accessed February 20, 2023); David
Burton, “The Tax Law Makes It Almost Impossible for ‘S Corporations’ to Use Equity Crowdfunding,” The Daily
Signal, April 19, 2016, https://www.dailysignal.com/2016/04/19/the-tax-law-makes-it-almost-impossible-for-
s-corporations-to-use-equity-crowdfunding/.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
19. Burton, “Improving Entrepreneurs’ Access to Capital: Vital for Economic Growth”; Campbell, “The Case for
Federal Pre-Emption of State Blue Sky Laws.”
20. David R. Burton, “Why the SEC’s Consolidated Audit Trail Is a Bad Idea,” Heritage Foundation Commentary,
December 5, 2019, https://www.heritage.org/monetary-policy/commentary/why-the-secs-consolidated-
audit-trail-bad-idea; Hester M. Peirce, Commissioner, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, “Statement
on the Order Granting Temporary Conditional Exemptive Relief from Certain Requirements of the National
Market System Plan Governing the Consolidated Audit Trail,” July 8, 2022, https://www.sec.gov/news/
statement/peirce-statement-consolidated-audit-trail-070822 (accessed February 20, 2023).
21. Peirce, “It’s Not Just Scope 3: Remarks at the American Enterprise Institute”; Uyeda, “Remarks at the 2022
Cato Summit on Financial Regulation.”
22. David R. Burton, “How Dodd–Frank Mandated Disclosures Harm, Rather than Protect, Investors,” Heritage
Foundation Issue Brief No. 4526, March 10, 2016, http://thf-reports.s3.amazonaws.com/2016/IB4526.pdf.
23. For a detailed discussion of SEC administration, see Burton, “Reforming the Securities and Exchange
Commission.”
24. See, for example, Andrew N. Vollmer, “Accusers as Adjudicators in Agency Enforcement Proceedings,”
University of Michigan Journal of Law Reform, Vol. 52, No. 1 (Fall 2018), pp. 103–155, https://repository.law.
umich.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1602&context=mjlr (accessed February 20, 2023).
25. 7 U.S.C. § 1a(9), https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/7/1a (accessed February 20, 2023).
26. Or the CFTC can undertake a rulemaking.
27. 7 U.S.C. § 2(i), https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/7/2 (accessed February 20, 2023).
28. 7 U.S.C. § 7b–3, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/7/7b-3 (accessed February 20, 2923).
29. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, “Cross-Border Application of the Registration Thresholds and
Certain Requirements Applicable to Swap Dealers and Major Swap Participants,” Final Rule, Federal Register,
Vol. 85, No. 178 (September 14, 2020), pp. 56924–57016, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2020-09-
14/pdf/2020-16489.pdf (accessed February 21, 2023).
30. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, “Interpretive Guidance and Policy Statement Regarding Compliance
with Certain Swap Regulations,” Federal Register, Vol. 78, No. 144 (July 26, 2013), pp. 45292–45374, https://
www.cftc.gov/sites/default/files/idc/groups/public/@lrfederalregister/documents/file/2013-17958a.pdf
(accessed February 21, 2023).
31. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, “Margin Requirements for Uncleared Swaps for Swap Dealers and
Major Swap Participants—Cross-Border Application of the Margin Requirements,” Final Rule, Federal Register,
Vol. 81, No. 104 (May 31, 2016), pp. 34818–34854, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2016-05-31/
pdf/2016-12612.pdf (accessed February 21, 2023).
32. H.R. 4173, Dodd–Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, Public Law 111–203, 111th Congress,
July 21, 2010, Title X, https://www.congress.gov/111/plaws/publ203/PLAW-111publ203.pdf (accessed March 23,
2023). See also Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, “About Us,” https://www.consumerfinance.gov/about-
us/ (accessed March 23, 2023).
33. See, for example, Paul Sperry, “Trump Is Finally Fixing This Economy-Killing Agency,” New York Post,
December 2, 2017, https://nypost.com/2017/12/02/trump-is-finally-fixing-this-economy-killing-agency/
(accessed March 23, 2023). See also Jeb Hensarling “How We’ll Stop a Rogue Federal Agency,” The
Wall Street Journal, February 8, 2017, https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-well-stop-a-rogue-federal-
agency-1486597413 (accessed March 23, 2023), and H.R. 3389, CFPB Slush Fund Elimination Act of 2013, 113th
Congress, introduced October 30, 2013, https://www.congress.gov/113/bills/hr3389/BILLS-113hr3389ih.pdf
(accessed March 23, 2023).
34. Editorial, “CFPB Joins Justice in Shaking Down Banks for Democrat Activist Groups,” Investor’s Business Daily,
June 17, 2015, https://www.investors.com/politics/editorials/cfpb-diverts-civil-penalty-funds-to-democrat-
activist-groups/ (accessed March 23, 2023).
35. Table, “Budget by Program,” in Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, Annual Performance Plan and
Report, and Budget Overview, February 2023, p. 15, https://files.consumerfinance.gov/f/documents/cfpb_
performance-plan-and-report_fy23.pdf (accessed March 23, 2023).
36. Table, “FTE by Program,” in ibid., p. 16.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
37. Table 7, “Civil Penalty Fund Significant Activity,” in Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, Financial Report
of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, Fiscal Year 2022, November 15, 2022, p. 21, https://files.
consumerfinance.gov/f/documents/cfpb_financial-report_fy2022.pdf (accessed March 23, 2023).
38. Ibid.
39. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, Financial Report of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, Fiscal
Year 2022, p. 20.
40. 12 U.S. Code § 5491, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/12/5491 (accessed March 23, 2023).
41. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, “Bureau Structure,” last updated March 15, 2023, https://www.
consumerfinance.gov/about-us/the-bureau/bureau-structure/ (accessed March 23, 2023).
42. See Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, “Consumer Financial Civil Penalty Fund Rule,” https://www.
consumerfinance.gov/rules-policy/final-rules/consumer-financial-civil-penalty-fund-rule/ (accessed
March 23, 2023).
43. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, “Civil Penalty Fund: Consumer Education and Financial Literacy,”
https://www.consumerfinance.gov/enforcement/payments-harmed-consumers/civil-penalty-fund/consumer-
education-financial-literacy/ (accessed March 23, 2023).
44. U.S. Government Accountability Office, Consumer Financial Protection Bureau: Opportunity Exists to Improve
Transparency of Civil Penalty Fund Activities, GAO-14-551, June 2014, https://www.gao.gov/assets/gao-14-551.
pdf (accessed March 23, 2023).
45. Seila Law LLC v. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, 591 U.S. ___ (2020), https://www.supremecourt.gov/
opinions/19pdf/19-7_n6io.pdf (accessed March 23, 2023).
46. Ibid., p. 37.
47. See 12 U.S. Code § 5497(a)(1), https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/12/5497 (accessed March 23, 2023).
Congress specified that the amount transferred to the CFPB “shall not exceed” 12 percent “of the total
operating expenses of the Federal Reserve System…in fiscal year 2013, and in each year thereafter.” Ibid., §
5497(2)(A)(iii).
48. Community Financial Services Association of America v. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (5th Cir. 2022),
pp. 31–32, https://www.ca5.uscourts.gov/opinions/pub/21/21-50826-CV0.pdf (accessed March 23, 2023).
49. Ibid., p. 32.
50. Ibid. (quoting Seila Law LLC v. CFPB, 140 S. Ct. 2183, 2202 n. 8 (2020)).
51. U.S. Supreme Court, “Order List: 598 U.S.,” February 27, 2023, Docket No. 22–448, CFPB et al. v. Com. Fin.
Services Assn., et al., https://www.supremecourt.gov/orders/courtorders/022723zor_6537.pdf (accessed
March 23, 2023).
52. Devin Watkins, Competitive Enterprise Institute, “Consumer Financial Protection Bureau: Ripe for Reform,”
testimony before the Subcommittee on Financial Institutions and Monetary Policy, Committee on
Financial Services, U.S. House of Representatives, March 9, 2023, https://docs.house.gov/meetings/BA/
BA20/20230309/115384/HHRG-118-BA20-Wstate-WatkinsD-20230309.pdf (accessed March 23, 2023);
Norbert J. Michel, “7 Steps Next Director Can Take to Make the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau Less
Awful,” Heritage Foundation Commentary, July 28, 2018, https://www.heritage.org/markets-and-finance/
commentary/7-steps-next-director-can-take-make-the-consumer-financial.
53. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Federal Reserve,
and National Credit Union Administration. Those functions performed by the Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS)
prior to Dodd–Frank should be transferred to the OCC since OTS has merged with OCC.
54. See “Section 1071 of the Dodd–Frank Act” in David R. Burton, “Improving Small Business Access to Capital,”
Consumer Financial Protection Bureau Symposium on Section 1071 of the Dodd–Frank Act, Small Business
Lending Panel, November 6, 2019, https://files.consumerfinance.gov/f/documents/cfpb_burton-written-
statement_symposium-section-1071.pdf (accessed March 23, 2023).
55. 5 U.S. Code Chapter 5, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/5/part-I/chapter-5 (accessed March 23, 2023).
56. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, “Administrative Adjudication Proceedings,” https://www.
consumerfinance.gov/administrative-adjudication-proceedings/ (accessed March 23, 2023), and 12 Code of
Federal Regulations Part 1081—Rules of Practice for Adjudication Proceedings, https://www.law.cornell.edu/
cfr/text/12/part-1081 (accessed March 23, 2023).
— 843 —
28
FEDERAL
COMMUNICATIONS
COMMISSION
Brendan Carr
MISSION STATEMENT
The FCC should promote freedom of speech, unleash economic opportunity,
ensure that every American has a fair shot at next-generation connectivity, and
enable the private sector to create good-paying jobs through pro-growth reforms
that support a diversity of viewpoints, ensure secure and competitive communi-
cations networks, modernize outdated infrastructure rules, and represent good
stewardship of taxpayer dollars.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
into office—though this is not required by law. By resigning, the exiting Commis-
sioner enables the President to nominate someone from his own political party
to the FCC, and this typically shifts the political balance on the FCC toward the
President’s political party. The President generally designates one of the existing
Commissioners of the President’s same political party as Chairperson—either on
an acting or a permanent basis—on or shortly after Inauguration Day.
Under a tradition that dates back a few decades, when a relevant vacancy arises,
the President allows the leader of the opposite political party in the Senate to select
the person who will serve in the minority Commissioner role. The President then
formally nominates the person identified by Senate leadership. This also is not
required by law.
As specified in the Communications Act of 1934, the FCC’s Chairperson serves
as the agency’s CEO and is empowered with significant authority that is not shared
with other Commissioners.6 For instance, the Chairperson sets the FCC’s agenda,
decides what matters the agency will vote on and when, and has authority to orga-
nize and coordinate the FCC’s work.7 There is no separate Senate confirmation
process for the position of FCC Chairperson; the President designates one of the
Commissioners to serve as Chairperson through a short one-sentence or two-sen-
tence letter.8 There are no limits on the number of terms that a person can serve
as an FCC Commissioner, though Commissioners need to be nominated and con-
firmed for each five-year term.
FCC Budget and Structure. In recent years, the FCC has employed between
1,300 and 1,500 people.9 The FCC’s fiscal year 2023 budget request is for approx-
imately $390.2 million.10 While Congress appropriates funds for the FCC, the
agency’s budget is offset by what are known as regulatory fees—fees the FCC col-
lects from the licensees and other entities that it regulates and uses to offset its
budget request. The FCC also raises revenue for the government by auctioning
spectrum licenses. In fact, the FCC has generated more than $200 billion for the
U.S. Treasury through spectrum auctions.11
The FCC is organized into a series of bureaus and offices based on function.
These include an Office of General Counsel, Office of Inspector General, Office of
Legislative Affairs, Media Bureau, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau, Wireline
Competition Bureau, Enforcement Bureau, and more.12
High-Profile FCC Matters. The FCC addresses a number of important mat-
ters. For instance, Section 230 is codified in the Communications Act,13 and the
FCC has authority to interpret that law and thus provide courts with guidance
about the proper application of the statutory language.14 The FCC has addressed
“net neutrality” rules and the regulatory framework that should apply to broadband
offerings. Any merger that involves a wireless company, broadcaster, or similar
entity that holds an FCC license must obtain FCC approval (assuming that the
merger will involve the transfer of the FCC license).
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
The FCC has facilitated the transition from 3G to 4G and now 5G offerings in
two ways. First, it has freed spectrum—the airwaves needed to deliver wireless ser-
vices. Second, it has preempted state and local siting and permitting laws that could
otherwise slow down the buildout of next-generation infrastructure. One of the
FCC’s great success stories from 2017 to 2020 was securing U.S. leadership in 5G.
The FCC also administers an approximately roughly $9 billion-a-year program
called the Universal Service Fund (USF), which has been funded by a line-item
charge that traditional telephone companies add to consumers’ monthly bills.
Expenditures from this fund subsidize rural broadband networks and low-income
programs as well as connections for schools, libraries, and rural health care facil-
ities. Through various COVID-era laws, Congress has also provided the FCC with
a one-time $24 billion appropriation for various low-income initiatives.
POLICY PRIORITIES
The FCC needs to change course and bring new urgency to achieving
four main goals:
l Unleashing economic prosperity, and
Reining in Big Tech. The FCC has an important role to play in addressing
the threats to individual liberty posed by corporations that are abusing dominant
positions in the market. Nowhere is that clearer than when it comes to Big Tech
and its attempts to drive diverse political viewpoints from the digital town square.
Today, a handful of corporations can shape everything from the information
we consume to the places we shop. These corporate behemoths are not merely
exercising market power; they are abusing dominant positions. They are not simply
prevailing in the free market; they are taking advantage of a landscape that has
been skewed—in many cases by the government—to favor their business models
over those of their competitors. It is hard to imagine another industry in which a
greater gap exists between power and accountability. That is why a new Adminis-
tration should support FCC action on several fronts. Specifically, the FFC should:
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
As one of the FCC’s previous General Counsels noted, the FCC has authority
to take this action because Section 230 is codified in the Communications
Act.16 The FCC’s Section 230 reforms should track the positions outlined
in a July 2020 Petition for Rulemaking filed at the FCC near the end of
the Trump Administration.17 Any new presidential Administration should
consider filing a similar or new petition.
As Justice Clarence Thomas has made clear, courts have construed Section
230 broadly to confer on some of the world’s largest companies a sweeping
immunity that is found nowhere in the text of the statute.18 They have done
so in a way that nullifies the limits Congress placed on the types of actions
that Internet companies can take while continuing to benefit from Section
230. One way to start correcting this error is for the FCC to remind courts
how the various portions of Section 230 operate.
At the outset, the FCC can clarify that Section 230(c)(1) does not apply
broadly to every decision that a platform makes. Rather, its protections
apply only when a platform does not remove information provided by
someone else. In contrast, the FCC should clarify that the more limited
Section 230(c)(2) protections apply to any covered platform’s decision
to restrict access to material provided by someone else. Combined, these
l Impose transparency rules on Big Tech. Today, Big Tech offers a black
box. After Google manipulates search results, a small business can see its
web traffic drop precipitously overnight for no apparent reason, potentially
flipping its outlook from black to red. On Facebook, social media posts
are left up or taken down, accounts suspended or permanently banned,
without any apparent consistency. Out of the blue, YouTube can demonetize
individuals who have risked their capital and invested their labor to build
online businesses.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
Big Tech, and it should look to Section 230 and the Consolidated Reporting
Act as potential sources of authority.19 In acting, the FCC could require these
platforms to provide greater specificity regarding their terms of service, and it
could hold them accountable by prohibiting actions that are inconsistent with
those plain and particular terms. Within this framework, Big Tech should be
required to offer a transparent appeals process that allows for the challenging
of pretextual takedowns or other actions that violate clear rules of the road.
In all of this, Congress can make certain points clear. It could focus
legislation on dominant, general-use platforms rather than specialized
ones. This could include excluding comment sections in online publications,
specialized message boards, or communities within larger platforms that
self-moderate. Similarly, Congress could legislate in a way that does not
require any platform to host illegal content; child pornography; terrorist
speech; and indecent, profane, or similar categories of speech that Congress
has previously carved out.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
It should be noted at this point that the views expressed here are not shared
uniformly by all conservatives. There are some, including contributors to
this chapter, who do not think that the FCC or Congress should act in a way
that regulates the content-moderation decisions of private platforms. One
of the main arguments that this group offers is that doing so would intrude—
unlawfully in their view—on the First Amendment rights of corporations to
exclude content from their private platforms.
l Require that Big Tech begin to contribute a fair share. Big Tech
has avoided accountability in several additional ways as well. One of
them concerns the FCC’s roughly $9 billion Universal Service Fund.
This initiative provides the support necessary to subsidize the agency’s
affordable Internet and rural connectivity programs. The FCC obtains this
funding through a line-item charge that carriers add to consumers’ monthly
bills for traditional telecommunications service.
While Big Tech derives tremendous value from the federal government’s
universal service investments—using those federally supported networks
to deliver their products and realize significant profits—these large
corporations have avoided paying a fair share into the program. On top of
that, the FCC’s current funding mechanism has been on an unsustainable
Conservatives are not unanimous in agreeing that the FCC should expand
the USF contribution base. Instead, some argue that Congress should revisit
the program’s entire funding structure and determine whether to continue
subsidizing the provision of service. Future funding decisions, the argument
goes, should be made by Congress through the normal appropriation process
through which the USF program can compete for funding with other national
initiatives. These decisions should be made with an eye to right-sizing
the federal government’s existing broadband initiatives in light of both
technological advances and the recent influx of billions of dollars in new
appropriations that can be used to support efforts to end the digital divide.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
security threats posed by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). During that time,
the FCC eliminated federal subsidies for telecommunications equipment from
Huawei and ZTE, thereby greatly reducing the chances of that equipment finding a
way into our nation’s communications networks. The FCC also stood up a program
to rip and replace insecure network gear to ensure that it did not remain a threat
lurking inside our systems. The FCC revoked or denied the licenses of carriers like
China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom, which presented unacceptable
national security risks. There are, however, additional strong actions that the FCC
can and should take to address the CCP’s malign campaign. Specifically:
l
l End the unregulated end run. As noted above, China Telecom and similar
entities have been banned from operating in the U.S. in a manner that would
require an FCC license or authorization because of the national security
risks that those entities pose. However, many of these same entities are
still operating in the U.S. and offering services very similar to the ones that
they are prohibited from providing. China Telecom, for instance, continues
to provide services to data centers by offering the services on a private or
“unregulated” basis. A new Administration should work with the FCC to
close this loophole. One way to do so would be for the FCC to prohibit any
regulated carrier from interconnecting with an insecure provider.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
l Fully fund the federal “rip and replace” program. In 2019, Congress
established a $1.9 billion Secure and Trusted Communications Networks
Reimbursement Program (known colloquially as the “rip and replace”
program) to reimburse communications providers for the reasonable
expenses they would incur to remove, replace, and dispose of insecure
Huawei and ZTE gear. However, $1.9 billion is about $3 billion short of the
total amount of funding needed to complete the rip and replace process. A
new Administration should ensure that the program is fully funded and
should look first at repurposing and applying unused COVID-era emergency
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l Refill America’s spectrum pipeline. From 2017 through 2020, the FCC
took unprecedented steps to free the airwaves needed to power 5G and
other next-generation wireless services. This work not only helped to secure
America’s wireless leadership and bolster competition, but also enabled the
private sector to create jobs and grow the economy. Recently, the FCC has
failed to match the pace and cadence of those spectrum actions. Therefore,
the FCC and a new Administration should work together to develop a
national spectrum strategy that both identifies the specific airwaves that
the FCC can free for commercial wireless services and sets an aggressive
timeline for agency action.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
The FCC has not engaged in any similar infrastructure reforms in recent
years, and there is much more that needs to be done. For instance, the FCC’s
prior reforms focused on streamlining the rules for small wireless facilities.
The FCC should now explore similar action for the deployment of other
wired infrastructure by imposing limits on the fees that local and state
governments can charge for reviewing those wireline applications and time
restrictions on the government’s decision-making process.
The next Administration should also work to address the delays that
continue to persist when it comes to building Internet infrastructure on
federal lands. This is an area where the FCC itself has very little jurisdiction,
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
l End wasteful broadband spending policies. Many of the broadband
spending policies being pursued by the current Administration are
poised to waste taxpayer money while leaving rural communities and
unconnected Americans behind. At the same time, the dramatic recent
increases in funding through the American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA) and the
Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act mean that the federal government
has more than enough resources to meet its broadband connectivity
goals. Congress should therefore hold the agencies accountable so that
taxpayer money is used effectively to promote broadband connectivity
across the nation.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Administration gave the green light for recipients to spend those funds to
overbuild existing high-speed networks in communities that already have
multiple broadband providers. A new Administration should eliminate
government-funded overbuilding of existing networks.
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
service requirements.
AUTHOR’S NOTE: The preparation of this chapter was a collective enterprise of individuals involved in the
2025 Presidential Transition Project. All contributors to this chapter are listed at the front of this volume. While this
chapter identifies certain issues on which the contributors did not all agree, the author alone assumes responsibility
for the content of this chapter, and no views expressed herein should be attributed to any other individual.
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ENDNOTES
roslynlayton/2022/04/29/spectrum-auctions-have-raised-230-billion-the-fccs-authority-to-conduct-them-
will-lapse-soon-if-congress-doesnt-act/?sh=4d32066908eb (accessed January 23, 2023).
12. For a full listing of the FCC’s Bureaus and Offices, along with their functions and an organization chart, see
U.S. Federal Communications Commission, “Organizational Charts of the FCC,” https://www.fcc.gov/about-fcc/
organizational-charts-fcc (accessed January 23, 2023).
13. 47 U.S.C. § 230, https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/47/230 (accessed January 23, 2023).
14. Thomas M. Johnson Jr., “The FCC’s Authority to Interpret Section 230 of the Communications Act,” October
21, 2020, https://www.fcc.gov/news-events/blog/2020/10/21/fccs-authority-interpret-section-230-
communications-act (accessed January 23, 2023).
15. This chapter does not purport to set forth a comprehensive agenda for the FCC. Rather, it focuses on a
selected handful of issue areas that may quickly rise to the attention of a new Administration. Similarly, not
every contributor to this chapter agrees with every policy idea included here; this document attempts to
reflect a range of views and perspectives.
16. Johnson, “The FCC’s Authority to Interpret Section 230 of the Communications Act.”
17. U.S. Department of Commerce, National Telecommunications and Information Administration, “NTIA Petition
for Rulemaking to Clarify Provisions of Section 230 of the Communications Act,” July 27, 2020, https://
ntia.gov/fcc-filing/ntia-petition-rulemaking-clarify-provisions-section-230-communications-act (accessed
January 23, 2023).
18. Malwarebytes, Inc. v. Enigma Software, 592 U.S. ___ (2020) (Thomas, J., statement respecting the denial of
certiorari), https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/20pdf/19-1284_869d.pdf (accessed January 23, 2023).
19. See 47 U.S.C. § 230; see also Ray Baum’s Act of 2018, Division P, Title IV, § 401 (codifying the Consolidated
Reporting Act), in H.R. 1625, Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2018, Public Law No. 115-141, 115th
Congress, March 23, 2018, https://www.congress.gov/115/plaws/publ141/PLAW-115publ141.pdf (accessed
January 23, 2023).
20. NetChoice, L.L.C. v. Paxton, 49 F.4th 439 (5th Cir. 2022), https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/legaldocs/
gdpzqyobyvw/alisonn%201.pdf (accessed January 23, 2023).
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
21. Hal J. Singer and Ted Tatos, Subsidizing Universal Broadband Through a Digital Advertising Services Fee: An
Alignment of Incentives, Econ One, September 2021, p. 1 (“[T]he current USF mechanism is unsustainable and
will fail to meet the needs of its target consumer base within the next five years.”), https://www.econone.com/
wp-content/uploads/2021/09/Digital-Divide-HSinger-TTatos-2.pdf (accessed January 23, 2023).
22. FBI Director Christopher Wray, testimony in video of hearing, Worldwide Threats to the Homeland, Committee
on Homeland Security, U.S. House of Representatives, November 15, 2022, at 02:27, https://democrats-
homeland.house.gov/activities/hearings/11/04/2022/worldwide-threats-to-the-homeland (accessed January
23, 2023); John D. McKinnon, Arunav Viswanatha, and Stu Woo, “TikTok National-Security Deal Faces More
Delays as Worry Grows Over Risks,” The Wall Street Journal, updated December 6, 2022, https://www.wsj.
com/articles/tiktok-national-security-deal-faces-more-delays-as-worry-grows-over-risks-11670342800
(accessed January 23, 2023).
23. U.S. Federal Communications Commission, “List of Equipment and Services Covered by Section 2 of the
Secure Networks Act,” updated September 20, 2022, https://www.fcc.gov/supplychain/coveredlist (accessed
January 23, 2023).
24. H.R. 820, Foreign Adversary Communications Transparency Act, 118th Congress, introduced February 2, 2023,
https://www.congress.gov/118/bills/hr820/BILLS-118hr820ih.pdf (accessed March 6, 2023).
25. U.S. Department of State, “The Clean Network,” https://2017-2021.state.gov/the-clean-network/index.html
(accessed January 23, 2023).
26. U.S. Government Accountability Office, Broadband: National Strategy Needed to Guide Federal Efforts to
Reduce Digital Divide, GAO-22-104611, May 2022, https://www.gao.gov/assets/gao-22-104611.pdf (accessed
January 23, 2023).
27. Document No. 144, “Federal Communications Commission: Message from the President of the United
States Recommending that Congress Create a New Agency to be Known as the Federal Communications
Commission,” U.S. Senate, 73rd Cong., 2nd Sess., February 26, 1934, https://docs.fcc.gov/public/attachments/
DOC-298207A1.pdf (accessed January 23, 2023).
28. 47 U.S.C, Chapter 5, §§ 151 et seq., (accessed March 6, 2023).
— 859 —
29
FEDERAL
ELECTION
COMMISSION
Hans A. von Spakovsky
MISSION/OVERVIEW
The Federal Election Commission (FEC) is an independent federal agency that
began operations in 1975 to enforce the Federal Election Campaign Act (FECA)
passed by Congress in 1971 and amended in 1974.1 FECA governs the raising and
spending of funds in all federal campaigns for Congress and the presidency. The
FEC has no authority over the administration of federal elections, which is per-
formed by state governments.
While the FEC has exclusive civil enforcement authority over FECA,2 the
U.S. Justice Department has criminal enforcement authority, which is defined
as a knowing and willful violation of the law.3 Because the FEC is an independent
agency and not a division or office directly within the executive branch, the author-
ity of the President over the actions of the FEC is extremely limited.
As former FEC Commissioner Bradley Smith has said, the FEC’s “[r]egulation
of campaign finance deeply implicates First Amendment principles of free speech
and association.”4 The FEC regulates in one of the most sensitive areas of the Bill of
Rights: political speech and political activity by citizens, candidates, political par-
ties, and the voluntary membership organizations that represent Americans who
share common views on a huge range of important and vital public policy issues.
NEEDED REFORMS
Nomination Authority. The President’s most significant power is the appoint-
ment of the six commissioners who govern the FEC, subject to confirmation by
the U.S. Senate. Commissioners may only serve a single term of six years but
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because they stay in office until a new commissioner has been confirmed, many
commissioners continue to serve past their terms.5 Currently, the longest serv-
ing commissioner still at the FEC is Ellen Weintraub (D), whose regular term
expired in 2007.
Under FECA, no more than three commissioners may be from the same party.6
While that means that a commissioner could be an independent or a member of the
Libertarian or Green Parties, in practice, this has meant that the FEC has always
had three Democrat and three Republican commissioners.7
There is a long-held political tradition since the FEC’s founding that when a
commission slot held by a member of the opposition political party opens up, the
President consults with, and nominates, the chosen nominee of the opposition
party’s leader in the Senate. In exchange, the Senate party leader and his caucus
agree to approve the President’s nominee to fill an empty position for the Presi-
dent’s political party. It has also been customary to advance the two nominees of
the differing political parties at the same time; this bipartisan pairing has histori-
cally permitted easy confirmation of both parties’ selectees.
Thus, by convention, a Republican President will nominate a Republican and
a Democrat for two open commission slots, including the choice of the Democrat
Senate leader for his party’s seat. In turn, the senator will direct his party to vote
to confirm both nominees. In the almost 50-year history of the FEC, this tradition
has only been broken once—when Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid refused to
approve one of George W. Bush’s nominees (Hans von Spakovsky) for a Republican
commission slot.8
In 2025, when a new President assumes office, the term of five of the current
FEC commissioners will have either expired or be about to expire:9
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l Also, to the extent that the President has the ability to negotiate with
the Democratic Party leader in the Senate, he should try to temper
any choice of the opposition party to ensure that this individual does
not have extreme views on aggressive overenforcement that would
severely restrict political speech and protected party, campaign, and
associational activities.
The President must ensure that the DOJ, just like the FEC, is
l
l The President should direct the DOJ and the attorney general not to
prosecute individuals under an interpretation of the law with which
the FEC—the expert agency designated by Congress to enforce the
law civilly and issue regulations establishing the standards under
which the law is applied—does not agree.
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the general counsel of the FEC to defend a lawsuit filed against the agency, and
those commissioners have refused to provide that fourth vote, so “the public was
treated to the scandalous spectacle of the Commission—an independent agency
of the United States government—defaulting in litigation before federal courts.”11
These cases involved enforcement matters in which the commissioners dis-
agreed on whether a violation of the law had occurred. Accordingly, the final
votes of the commissioners did not approve moving forward with enforcement
because there were not four affirmative votes that a violation of the law occurred.
When private plaintiffs then sued the FEC for failing to take action, Democrat
commissioners refused to authorize the defense of the FEC in litigation as a
way of circumventing the prior final action of the FEC and the FECA four-vote
requirement to authorize an enforcement action. Such defaults in litigation are
unacceptable.
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There are also multiple instances of existing statutory provisions of FECA and
the accompanying FEC regulations having been found unlawful or unconstitu-
tional by federal court decisions, yet those statutory provisions remain in the U.S.
Code and the implementing regulations remain in the Code of Federal Regula-
tions.12 In such instances, those regulated by the law, from candidates to the public,
have no way of knowing (without engaging in extensive legal research) whether
particular statutory provisions and regulations are still applicable to their actions
in the political arena.
l In the event that the FEC fails to act, the President should direct
the attorney general to prepare a guidance document from the
Department of Justice for the public that outlines all of the FECA
statutory provisions and FEC regulations that have been changed,
amended, or voided by specific court decisions.
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With only five commissioners, three members of the same political party could
control the enforcement process of the agency, raising the potential of a powerful
federal agency enforcing the law on a partisan basis against the members of the
opposition political party. Efforts to impose a “nonpartisan” or so-called “inde-
pendent” chair are impractical; the chair will inevitably be aligned with his or her
appointing party, at least as a matter of perception.
There are numerous other changes that should be considered in FECA and
the FEC’s regulations. The overly restrictive limits on the ability of party com-
mittees to coordinate with their candidates, for example, violates associational
rights and unjustifiably interferes with the very purpose of political parties: to
elect their candidates.
CONCLUSION
When taking any action related to the FEC, the President should keep in mind
that, as former FEC Chairman Bradley Smith says, the “greater problem at the
FEC has been overenforcement,” not underenforcement as some critics falsely
allege.15 As he correctly concludes, the FEC’s enforcement efforts “place a substan-
tial burden on small committees and campaigns, and are having a chilling effect
on some political speech…squeezing the life out of low level, volunteer politi-
cal activity.”16
Commissioners have a duty to enforce FECA in a fair, nonpartisan, objective
manner. But they must do so in a way that protects the First Amendment rights
of the public, political parties, and candidates to fully participate in the political
process. The President has the same duty to ensure that the Department of Justice
enforces the law in a similar manner.
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ENDNOTES
Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, 140 S. Ct. 2183 (2020); and Collins v. Yellen, 141 S. Ct. 1761 (2021).
14. H.R. 1, 117th Cong. (2021–2022).
15. Bradley A. Smith and Stephen M. Hoersting, “A Toothless Anaconda: Innovation, Impotence and
Overenforcement at the Federal Election Commission,” 1 Election Law Journal 2 (2002), p. 171.
16. Id.
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30
FEDERAL TRADE
COMMISSION
Adam Candeub
MISSION/OVERVIEW
America’s antitrust laws are over a century old. In 1890, the U.S. Congress
enacted the Sherman Act,1 the first federal prohibition on trusts and restraints of
trade. The Clayton Act,2 adopted in 1914, builds upon the Sherman Act, outlawing
certain practices, such as price fixing, while bringing other business combinations,
such as mergers and acquisitions, under regulatory scrutiny.
The Federal Trade Commission Act (FTCA),3 also adopted in 1914, gives the
federal government legal tools to combat anticompetitive, unfair, and deceptive
practices in the marketplace, empowering the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) to
enforce provisions of the Sherman and Clayton Acts. The FTCA prohibits “unfair
methods of competition and unfair or deceptive acts or practices in or affecting
commerce.” Sections 3, 7, and 8 of the Clayton Act empower the FTC to block
unlawful tying contracts, unlawful corporate mergers and acquisitions, and inter-
locking directorates. Under an amendment to the FTCA, the Robinson–Patman
Act,4 the FTC has authority to prohibit practices involving discriminatory pricing
and product promotion. While the FTC has enforcement or administrative respon-
sibilities under more than 70 laws, the FTCA and the Clayton Act are the focus of
its regulatory energy.
FTC actions, therefore, turn on the antitrust principles and market principles
it adopts. Modern approaches to antitrust stress that the objective of antitrust law
is to assure a competitive economy—which in economic terms maximizes both
allocative efficiency (optimal distribution of goods and services, taking into account
consumer’s preferences, so that prices tend toward marginal cost) and productive
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
efficiency (using the least amount of resources for optimal output)—and thereby
maximizes consumer welfare.5
Recently, however, many in the conservative movement have taken a broader
view of antitrust. They point out that the authors of our antitrust laws did not
intend this purely economic understanding of competitive markets—and the
normative assumptions that undergird it—to guide their legislation. First, these
principles were only imperfectly worked out at the time the antitrust laws were
passed. Second, contemporaneous statements concerning the Sherman and Clay-
ton Acts demonstrate Congress’s concern about the political and economic power
of the oil and railroad trusts of the first Gilded Age, and their influence on dem-
ocratic institutions and civil society. Antitrust law can combat dominant firms’
baleful effects on democratic institutions such as free speech, the marketplace
of ideas, shareholder control, and managerial accountability as well as collusive
behavior with government.
Republican Senator John Sherman explained to Congress in support of his
eponymous legislation:
any commodity.6
The federal antitrust law is one of the most important statutes ever passed
in this country. It was a step taken by Congress to meet what the public had
found to be a growing and intolerable evil in combinations between many
who had capital employed in a branch of trade, industry, or transportation, to
obtain control of it, regulate prices, and make unlimited profit.
Taft saw in this economic threat broader implications for American society
since “the building of great and powerful corporations which had, many of them,
intervened in politics and through use of corrupt machines and bosses threatened
us with a plutocracy.”7
Others in the conservative movement have maintained for numerous decades
that an economic justification is the only coherent approach to the antitrust laws.
Many view the first 90 years of U.S. antitrust policy as unprincipled in its approach,
often resulting in policies that, by trying to protect smaller competitors, ended up
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
raising prices for consumers. Judge Robert Bork in his influential book The Anti-
trust Paradox found economic justifications for previously denounced behavior
including small horizontal mergers, all vertical and conglomerate mergers, vertical
price maintenance and market division agreements, tying arrangements, exclusive
dealings and requirements contracts, “predatory” price cutting, and price “discrim-
ination.” Bork also defended corporate “bigness” if it came about through internal
growth or acceptable mergers. He also defended agreements between competitors
on prices, territories, refusals to deal, and other “suppressions of rivalry” that are
“ancillary” to some economic efficiency. The practical contribution of his work was
to put consumer welfare at the heart of competition law.8
Beyond antitrust injury, we are witnessing in today’s markets the use of eco-
nomic power—often market and perhaps even monopoly power—to undermine
democratic institutions and civil society. Practices such as Environmental, Social,
and Governance (ESG) requirements on publicly traded corporations and their
inclusion in business agreements, the so-called “de-banking” of industries and
individuals, and the interference of large internet firms with democratic political
discourse undermine liberal democracy, a truly open society, and, indeed, rule of
law. Without rule of law, markets themselves will wither.9
Critical of the “social responsibility” agenda, Milton Friedman in his provoc-
atively titled essay “The Social Responsibility of Business Is to Increase Its
Profits” states,
[T]here is one and only one social responsibility of business—to use its
resources and engage in activities designed to increase its profits so long
as it stays in the rules of the game, which is to say, engages in open and free
competition, without deception or fraud.10
For Friedman, market mechanisms, not political mechanisms, are the appropri-
ate way to determine the allocation of scarce resources to alternative uses. Business
managers appropriate shareholder wealth when they use corporate resources to
further their personal political beliefs, even when pursuing what they consider
a “socially responsible” or “moral” agenda. The business of American business is
business, not ideology.
More broadly, there is less and less debate around the growth of monopoly rents
throughout the U.S. economy. The current data strongly suggest that U.S. corpo-
rations are systematically earning far higher profits than they were 25 or 30 years
ago. Combined with other evidence that large corporations are accounting for an
increasing share of revenue and employment, it certainly appears that many large
U.S. corporations are earning substantial incumbency rents, and have been doing
so for at least 15 years, apart from during the depths of the Great Recession that
began in 2008.
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While the explanations for this shift are not clear, what is particularly disturbing
is the possibility that these rents are extracted at least in part through regulatory
capture—which can function as a bar to entrance for new competitors. In addition,
the sheer cost of compliance with regulation favors large firms, which can more
efficiently spread the cost of regulation over a larger revenue base and have the
resources to invest in sophisticated government relations. The FTC must consider,
therefore, the role of government itself in maintaining market concentration in
areas ranging from pharmaceuticals and healthcare to avionics, banking, and real
estate brokerage.
Beyond undermining small businesses and reducing their salubrious moral
effect on American civil society, concentration of economic power facilitates col-
lusion between government and private actors, undermining the rule of law. The
continued emergence of evidence documenting collusion—between the Big Tech
internet platforms and the Biden White House and administrative agencies—to
censor criticism, scientific fact, and uncomfortable political truths demonstrates
this unfortunate development.
But, there are some caveats. First, the FTC lacks the power to revisit developments
in antitrust laws, which have brought an invaluable rigor to the antitrust law—mat-
ters such as analyzing vertical integration, for example. Nor should it. Second, the
FTC’s recent rescinding of its 2015 Policy Statement was undoubtedly ill-consid-
ered.11 Of course, the consumer welfare standard must guide FTC action, but, in
appropriate situations and with strong evidence, this standard must be expanded
to include more factors than just price. Further, a similar standard of proof used to
establish that a practice challenged by the Commission causes harm to competition
must also apply in demonstrating the efficiencies that justify the practices.
President Harry Truman reportedly made the famous quip, “Give me a one-
handed economist. All my economists say ‘on the one hand…’, then ‘but on the
other.’” When it comes to some of the more vexing issues in antitrust regulation,
the conservative movement is in the same predicament. Many wish to preserve the
productivity and efficiency focus of an economic-based consumer welfare standard
approach to antitrust enforcements; others are more willing to look at the effects
of business concentration in certain industries on innovation, the institutional
resilience of our democracy, and children’s development. The following discussion
sets forth policy principles and initiatives on which there was agreement among
the contributors to this chapter, and notes and explains where there was dissent.
NEEDED REFORMS
Should the FTC Enforce Antitrust—or Even Continue to Exist? Some
conservatives think that antitrust enforcement should be invested solely in the
Department of Justice (DOJ). The FTC’s commissioners are not removable at will
by the President, which many quite reasonably believe violates the Vesting Clause
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of Article II of the Constitution; it is for this reason that conservatives have long
believed in either ending law enforcement activities of independent agencies or
ending their independent status. The Supreme Court ruling in Humphrey’s Execu-
tor12 upholding agency independence seems ripe for revisiting—and perhaps sooner
than later.13
Others think that the post–New Deal expansion of the administrative state
has had baleful effects upon our society and earnestly share the hope that it can
be greatly curtailed if not eliminated—or that its authority can be returned to the
states and other democratically accountable political institutions. But, until there
is a return to a constitutional structure that the Founding Fathers would have rec-
ognized and a massive shrinking of the administrative state, conservatives cannot
unilaterally disarm and fail to use the power of government to further a conserva-
tive agenda. As experience shows, the administrative state will grow and further
its own agenda, often at odds with conservative thought, even under conservative
leadership. Unless conservatives take a firm hand to the bureaucracy and marshal
its power to defend a freedom-promoting agenda, nothing will stop the bureaucra-
cy’s anti–free market, leftist march.
ESG Practices as a Cover for Anticompetitive Activity and Possible
Unfair Trade Practices. It has long been suspected, and is now increasingly
documented, that corporate social advocacy on issues ranging from “Diversity,
Equity, and Inclusion” (DEI) to the “environmental, social, and governance”
(ESG) movement also serves to launder corporate reputation and perhaps obtain
favorable treatment from government actors. In a recent Senate Judiciary hear-
ing, Senator Josh Hawley asked FTC Chair Lina Khan if the FTC had conditioned
merger reviews on ESG or critical race theories adopted by the firms involved.
Khan responded by saying that she turned down deals when firms offered social
justice policies in return for approving unlawful deals. In response to a similar
question from Senator Tom Cotton, Khan responded that firms try to come to the
FTC to get out of antitrust liability by offering climate, diversity, or other forms of
ESG-type offerings, but that there is no ESG loophole in the antitrust laws.14
Her comments suggest that there is a movement of firms attempting to use
both ESG and DEI as a sort of reputational laundering to avoid enforcement of
potentially criminal activity. The FTC should set up an ESG/DEI collusion task
force to investigate firms—particularly in private equity—to see if they are using
the practice as a means to meet targets, fix prices, or reduce output.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
they will pursue profits for shareholders, bringing about economic growth.
Managers, particularly in publicly traded corporations, who use their power to
advance sets of fashionable moral beliefs, such as ESG/DEI, introduce agency
problems into the shareholder relationship and appropriate corporate wealth
for their own benefit.
Milton Friedman recognized this problem decades ago when answering the
question whether businesses have ethical or social obligations, as was mentioned
above. Contrary to his detractors, Friedman did not defend “greed is good.” Rather,
according to Friedman, socially responsible activities conducted by a corporation
distort economic freedom because shareholders do not decide how their money
will be spent—increasing the possibility for fraud or management opportunism.
This is especially the case in concentrated industries with market power.15
Managers who insert their own values into underwriting agreements, contracts
for professional services, or other business transactions coopt shareholder value
for their own personal utility. This is an unfair trade practice, particularly when it
occurs in industries that enjoy market power and special privileges or relationships
with the government.
Cancel Culture, Collusion, and Commerce. As a corollary, businesses that
make general offers of service to the public forego profits by refusing to service
a lawful activity, i.e., fossil fuel extraction or gun manufacturing, raising similar
concerns. When banks or internet platforms refuse customers based on their
political or social views (as distinguished from religious views), they forgo profits.
While such decisions are often justified on public relations, marketing, or branding
grounds—and normally such decisions, reflecting business judgment, should and
would receive deference, this presumption is harder to make in a highly parti-
san, ideologically divided America. This type of behavior can rise to the level of an
unfair trade practice when the business is (1) publicly traded; (2) highly regulated;
(3) enjoys legal privileges; (4) enjoys market power; and (5) appears to engage in
its own political or social agenda that is unrelated to any conceivable branding
concerns. The government, as guided by democratically passed laws, already reg-
ulates activities such as fossil fuel extraction and gun manufacturing. Businesses,
particularly those that enjoy certain government privileges or relationships and/
or market power, should not replace democratic decision-making with their own
judgment on controversial matters.
A related concern is the degree to which concentration of industries, particu-
larly in pharmaceuticals, health care, and the internet, encourages government
collusion that undermines democratic institutions. Collusion can be explicit, in the
case for example of government working with social media companies to censor
politically harmful news, or more implicit—for example, regulatory requirements
so burdensome that they deter market entrance by smaller entities without the
resources to bear them.
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Protecting Children Online. The FTC has long protected children in a variety
of different contexts. Internet platforms profit from obtaining information from
children without parents’ knowledge or consent—and social media’s effect on the
well-being of American children is well-documented. Around 2012, American
teens experienced a dramatic decline in wellness. Depression, self-harm, suicide
attempts, and suicide all increased sharply among U.S. adolescents between 2011
and 2019,16 with similar trends worldwide.17 The increase occurred at the same
time that social media use moved from rare to ubiquitous among teens,18 making
social media a prime suspect for the sudden rise in mental health issues among
teens. In addition, excessive social media use is strongly linked to mental health
issues among individuals. Several studies strongly support the notion that social
media use is a cause, not just a correlation, of subjective well-being and poor
mental health.19
Social media and other large platforms form millions of contracts every year
with American children. And even though a minor can void most contracts into
which he or she enters, most jurisdictions have laws that hold minors accountable
for the benefits received under the contract. Thus, children can make enforceable
contracts for which parents could end up bearing responsibility. Targeting chil-
dren to create potentially harmful contracts or making parents responsible for
such contractual relationships is an unfair trade practice. The FTC, therefore, has
the authority, interest, and duty to protect children online from such contractual
relationships.
Currently, the Child Online Privacy Protection Act (COPPA)20 regulates the
information internet firms can obtain from children. COPPA fails because it (1)
only protects children under the age of 13, leaving older teenagers completely
unprotected and (2) only prohibits platforms from collecting information from a
child using “actual knowledge” rather than abiding by the “constructive knowledge”
standard, which prohibits collecting information from a user reasonably assumed
to be underage. The FTC has rulemaking authority under this statute but has done
little with this authority, nor can it—given the statutory constraints. However,
l The FTC can and should institute unfair trade practices proceedings
against entities that enter into contracts with children without
parental consent. Personal parental responsibility is, of course, key, but
the law must respect, not undermine, lawful parental authority.
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Other conservatives are more skeptical concerning the effect of online expe-
rience on the young, comparing the concern about social media to concern about
video games, television, and bicycle safety. They point out, as does Cato fellow
Jeffrey A. Singer, that the psychiatric profession has yet to designate “internet
addiction” or “social media addiction” as a mental disorder in the authoritative
Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM-5-TR).21 These con-
servatives also maintain that calling for regulation undermines conservatives’ calls
for parental empowerment on education or vaccines as well as personal parenting
responsibility.
In addition, some of the methods used to regulate children’s internet access
pose the risk of unintended harms. For instance, age verification regulations would
inevitably increase the amount of data collection involved, increasing privacy con-
cerns. Users would have to submit to platforms proof of their age, which raises
the risks of data breach or illegitimate data usage by the platforms or bad actors.
Limited-government conservatives would prefer the FTC play an educational role
instead. That might include best practices or educational programs to empower
parents online.
Antitrust Enforcement. As is evidenced by a relentless focus on bringing Big
Tech lawsuits, state attorneys general (AGs) are far more responsive to their con-
stituents than is the FTC. Such a “boots on the ground” approach would benefit
the FTC enormously. Practically, this would mean establishing a distinct role in
the FTC Chairman’s office focused on state AG cooperation and inviting state AGs
to Washington, D.C., to discuss enforcement policy in key sectors under the FTC’s
jurisdiction: Big Tech, hospital mergers, supermarket mergers, and so forth.
FTC regional offices are substantially more in touch with local issues. Over the
past few decades, the reach and influence of regional offices has shrunk dramati-
cally. The FTC should consider returning authority to these offices.
Some conservatives however are less supportive of this idea. Conservative
enthusiasm for the idea of adding regional FTC offices to the states is a break from
the majority conservative position. Endorsing the federal government as a pre-
mier job creator runs counter to decades of conservative opinion that holds that
New Deal agencies and subsequent government bodies should never have been
created in the first place, and that their red tape and interference is a dominant
cause of economic inefficiency. Republicans used to seethe when Democrats tried
to move federal offices into the states. In the early 1990s, House Minority Whip
Newt Gingrich fumed about Senator Robert Byrd’s campaign to transfer certain
national intelligence facilities to West Virginia, calling it a “pure abuse of power.”
Some contributors to this chapter would remind conservatives that the unseen
mechanics of redistribution—by which taxpayer money paid to state employees is
taken from taxpayers nationwide—is a drag on the economy of the entire country.
Many conservatives fear that it would be impossible to uproot or even prune back
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
a bureaucracy the seeds of which have been planted in every state. State legislators
would struggle to slash funding from agencies that employ and generously pay
thousands of their constituents. FTC outposts would tie middle America inex-
tricably to big progressive government, remaking the heartland in Washington’s
image. It would be anything but decentralization; Americans need policy makers
to discipline the arrogance that prevails inside the Beltway, not spread it. It would
be “Swamp 2.0”: just as deep and many times as wide.
Big Tech and Antitrust. The large internet platforms have transformed the
U.S. economy, streamlining consumer purchases, networking billions of people,
and altering long-established business practices. Despite their enormous size, they
have avoided significant antitrust liability or prosecution. The reasons for this are
not entirely clear.
It may be because these platforms have been incredibly innovative and have
generated tremendous efficiencies for our society, with little to no evidence of
traditional consumer harm in the form of higher prices, reduced output, or a lack of
innovation. Also, Americans report a high level of satisfaction in and trust regard-
ing these companies.
The less friendly regulatory environment in the European Union would make
a good case study in expansive antitrust law. The continent boasts not one of the
top 10 global tech companies, while the U.S. can claim eight.22 Some claim that
the recent drop in value of former leader and current antitrust target Meta, along
with the rise of new competitors such as Zoom and Chinese-dominated TikTok,
indicates that competitive forces are healthy and at work benefiting consumers
in the tech space.
On the other hand, the platforms challenge traditional economic thinking
because arguably the firm structure they employ is radically different, and they
create different competition dynamics. First, there is some evidence that the major
internet platforms have market power, resulting in increased prices for advertis-
ers, costs that very well could be passed onto consumers. For instance, numerous
government studies have found evidence of market power.23 And while some data
show declining advertising costs, they also show increasing prices in this decade.24
Second, while consumers may report that they like social media, hedonics tells
a different story, suggesting that social media and other online activities diminish
human happiness. This evidence, while mixed at first,25 appears to have become
quite solid: Social media makes Americans less happy.26
Third, internet platforms have not created consumer price increases, but of
course they provide free services—and this creates a challenge for antitrust regu-
lation. For decades, antitrust economics has been focused on a paradigm in which
firm and consumer behavior are modeled as functions of price and output as the
primary variables. It may very well be that these models do not fully capture the
effect of technologies that enable increasing returns to scale based on data, such
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
CONCLUSION
Conservative approaches to antitrust and consumer protection continue to
trust markets, not government, to give people what they want and provide the
prosperity and material resources Americans need for flourishing, productive,
and meaningful lives. At the same time, conservatives cannot be blind to certain
developments in the American economy that appear to make government–private
sector collusion more likely, threaten vital democratic institutions, such as free
speech, and threaten the happiness and mental well-being of many Americans,
particularly children. Many, but not all, conservatives believe that these develop-
ments may warrant the FTC’s making a careful recalibration of certain aspects of
antitrust and consumer protection law and enforcement.
AUTHOR’S NOTE: The preparation of this chapter was a collective enterprise of individuals involved in the
2025 Presidential Transition Project. All contributors to this chapter are listed at the front of this volume, but Rachel
Bovard, John Ehrett, Christopher Iacovella, Jessica Melugin, and Jon Schweppe deserve special mention. The author
alone assumes responsibility for the content of this chapter, and no views expressed herein should be attributed to
any other individual.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
ENDNOTES
14. U.S. Senate Committee on the Judiciary, Oversight of Federal Enforcement of the Antitrust Laws, September
20, 2022, https://www.judiciary.senate.gov/committee-activity/hearings/oversight-of-federal-enforcement-of-
the-antitrust-laws (accessed March 9, 2023).
15. Milton Friedman, “A Friedman Doctrine.”
16. Joan Luby and Sarah Kurtz, “Increasing Suicide Rates in Early Adolescent Girls in the United States and the
Equalization of Sex Disparity in Suicide: The Need to Investigate the Role of Social Media,” JAMA Network
Open, Vol. 2, No. 5 (2019) https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/article-abstract/2733419 (last
visited March 21, 2023); Brett Burstein, “Suicidal Attempts and Ideation Among Children and Adolescents in US
Emergency Departments, 2007–2015.” JAMA Pediatrics, Vol. 173, No. 6 (2019), pp. 598–600, https://jamanetwork.
com/journals/jamapediatrics/articlepdf/2730063/jamapediatrics_burstein_2019_ld_190006.pdf (last visited
March 21, 2023); Katherine M. Keyes, Dahsan Gary, et al., “Recent Increases in Depressive Symptoms Among U.S.
Adolescents: Trends from 1991 to 2018,” Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology, Vol. 54, No. 8 (2019), pp.
987–99, https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00127-019-01697-8 (last visited March 21, 2023); Ramin Mojtabai,
Mark Olfson, and Beth Han, “National Trends in the Prevalence and Treatment of Depression in Adolescents and
Young Adults,” Pediatrics, Vol. 138, No. 6 (2014), https://publications.aap.org/pediatrics/article-abstract/138/6/
e20161878/52639/National-Trends-in-the-Prevalence-and-Treatment-of (last visited March 21, 2023); Gregory
Plemmons, Matthew Hall, et. al., Hospitalization for Suicide Ideation or Attempt: 2008–2015,” Pediatrics, Vol. 141,
No. 6 (2018), https://publications.aap.org/pediatrics/article/141/6/e20172426/37690/Hospitalization-for-Suicide-
Ideation-or-Attempt (last visited March 21, 2023); Henry A. Spiller, John P. Ackerman, et al., “Sex- and Age-Specific
Increases in Suicide Attempts by Self-poisoning in the United States Among Youth and Young Adults from 2000
to 2018,” Journal of Pediatrics, Vol. 210, (2019), pp. 201–208, https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/
pii/S002234761930277X?casa_token=jms1NxTEV10AAAAA:Ouz_vL9ElIZ58p21w_5SuwOs0OJTNJZtCakf5O3I_
NJCcXWoBm0zDvDTvm-YB0Ma5pZhiKXN (last visited March 21, 2023); Jean M. Twenge, A. Bell Cooper, Thomas
E. Joiner, et al., “Age, Period, and Cohort Trends in Mood Disorder Indicators and Suicide-related Outcomes in a
Nationally Representative Dataset, 2005–2017,” Journal of Abnormal Psychology, Vol. 128 (2019), pp. 185–199,
https://psycnet.apa.org/doiLanding?doi=10.1037%2Fabn0000410 (last visited March 21, 2023).
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
17. Jean M. Twenge, Jonathan Haidt, Andrew B. Blake, Cooper McAllister, Hannah Lemon, and Astrid Le Roy,
“Worldwide Increases in Adolescent Loneliness,” Journal of Adolescence Vol. 93 (2019), pp. 257–269, https://
www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0140197121000853 (accessed March 23, 2023).
18. Jean M. Twenge, Gabrielle N. Martin, and Brian H. Spitzberg, “Trends in U.S. Adolescents’ Media Use, 1976–
2016: The Rise of Digital Media, the Decline of TV, and the (Near) Demise of Print,” Psychology of Popular
Media Culture, Vol. 8, No. 4 (2019), pp. 329–345, https://www.researchgate.net/publication/327121650_
Trends_in_US_Adolescents'_Media_Use_1976-2016_The_Rise_of_Digital_Media_the_Decline_of_TV_and_
the_Near_Demise_of_Print (last visited March 21, 2023).
19. Hunt Allcott, Luca Braghieri, Sarah Eichmeyer, and Matthew Gentzkow. “The Welfare Effects of Social Media,”
American Economic Review Vol. 110, No. 3 (2020), pp. 629–676; Melissa G. Hunt, Rachel Marx, Courtney Lipson,
and Jordyn Young, “No More FOMO: Limiting Social Media Decreases Loneliness and Depression,” Journal of
Social and Clinical Psychology, Vol. 37, No. 10 (2018), pp. 751–768, https://guilfordjournals.com/doi/abs/10.1521/
jscp.2018.37.10.751 (last visited March 21, 2023).
20. The Child Online Privacy Protection Act of 1998, 15 U.S.C. § 6501.
21. The Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM-5-TR) is the authoritative publication of the
American Psychiatric Association.
22. Ceren Kurban, “World’s 22 Biggest Tech Companies of 2023,” UserGuiding Blog, March 13, 2023, available at
https://userguiding.com/blog/biggest-tech-companies/.
23. Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (June 2019), available at https://openresearch-repository.
anu.edu.au/bitstream/1885/276408/1/AusComp_85.pdf; UK Competition & Markets Authority, Online
Platforms and Digital Advertising Market Study Final Report, July 2020, available at https://www.gov.
uk/cma-cases/online-platforms-and-digital-advertising-market-study; European Union, Expert Group
for the Observatory on the Online Platform Economy: Market Power and Transparency in Open Display
Advertising—A Case Study, Final Reports, February 2021, available at https://digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu/en/
news/final-reports-eu-observatory-online-platform-economy.
24. St. Louis Fed, Producer Price Index by Commodity: Advertising Space and Time Sales: Internet Advertising
Sales, Excluding Internet Advertising Sold by Print Publishers, available at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/
graph/?g=vtTd.
25. Allcott, supra note 19; see also Jean M. Twenge, Jonathan Haidt, Jimmy Lozano, and Kevin M. Cummins,
“Specification Curve Analysis Shows that Social Media Use Is Linked to Poor Mental Health, Especially Among
Girls,” Acta Psychologica, Vol. 224 (2022), p.103512, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.actpsy.2022.103512 (accessed
March 23, 2023).
26. Markus Appel, Caroline Marker, and Timo Gnambs, “Are Social Media Ruining Our Lives? A Review of Meta-
Analytic Evidence," Review of General Psychology, Vol. 24, No.1 (2020), pp. 60–74.
27. Leah Nylen, “How Washington Fumbled the Future,” Politico, March 16, 2021, https://www.politico.com/
news/2021/03/16/google-files-ftc-antitrust-investigation-475573 (accessed March 10, 2023).
28. Frank H. Easterbrook, “The Limits of Antitrust,” Texas Law Review, Vol. 63, No. 1 (1984), pp. 1–41, https://
chicagounbound.uchicago.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2152&context=journal_articles (accessed
March 23, 2023).
29. Allcott et al., “The Welfare Effects of Social Media.”
30. Adam Candeub, “Behavioral Economics, Internet Search, and Antitrust,” ISJLP, Vol. 9, No. 407 (2013),
pp. 407–434.
— 881 —
ONWARD!
Edwin J. Feulner
T
he idea of Mandate for Leadership was first conceived in the fall of 1979
at a Heritage Foundation board of trustees meeting when former Trea-
sury Secretary Bill Simon and former General Services Administration
Administrator Jack Eckerd discussed the predicament they had faced when they
first joined a new, more conservative presidential Administration: They received
no practical plans on how to move their part of the federal bureaucracy to reflect
a more conservative policy direction other than vague exhortations to promote
free markets; smaller, more efficient government; and a stronger national defense.
In their new positions, they were briefed either by holdover appointees from the
former liberal Administration or by career civil servants who, inevitably, had a
vested interest in maintaining the status quo.
The discussion became quite animated as these Heritage board members
recalled transitioning to government positions from their former lives in the
private sector—moving their families, finding new homes, and uprooting their
children’s education while they assumed new responsibilities in a very different
environment.
Frank Shakespeare, who had headed the United States Information Agency
during the Cold War, noted that electoral politics is what gets a President and Vice
President elected and sent to Washington, but then policy politics is what they had
to focus on to do the right thing once they got the big job.
Former Navy Secretary and Ambassador Bill Middendorf added that there must
be a better way to prepare for real change in a more conservative direction in the
political environment in Washington. If a conservative candidate were to become
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
history—with an annual growth rate that has not been rivaled since then. The rec-
ommendations led to a rebuilding of the United States military, helped to bring an
end to the Cold War and to the Soviet Union itself, and reinvigorated the Ameri-
can people with a collective sense of pride and patriotism that many thought had
vanished forever.
After that first edition, a new Mandate was produced every four years. But the
2016 edition was one of particular note. It earned significant attention from the
Trump Administration, as Heritage had accumulated a backlog of conservative
ideas that had been blocked by President Barack Obama and his team.
Soon after President Donald Trump was sworn in, his Administration began
to implement major parts of the 2016 Mandate. After his first year in office, the
Administration had implemented 64 percent of its policy recommendations.
As a result of those recommendations, the Trump Administration cut taxes and
eliminated unnecessary regulations, creating a growing economy and the lowest
unemployment rate in five decades—including among minorities and women. It
made America a net energy exporter for the first time in half a century. It also
prioritized veterans’ care and rebuilt our national defenses.
As I noted above, in his first year in office, President Reagan implemented nearly
half of Mandate’s recommendations—an extraordinary feat. In 2018, in an inter-
view on Fox News, I mentioned that President Trump had implemented more
recommendations in his first year than Ronald Reagan did in his. Of course, at
the time, Reagan did not have both a Republican House and Senate as Trump did.
Nonetheless, President Trump liked being compared to a former President he
deeply admired, and he touted the comparison frequently.
This anecdote illustrates how Mandate provides a yardstick for conserva-
tive Presidents to measure their performance relative to one another. And, very
importantly, it allows the American people to see concrete evidence of the prog-
ress an Administration is making toward reversing the growth of government and
implementing conservative solutions in its stead. In essence, it allows the Amer-
ican people to hold their politicians accountable to the principles they profess
to believe in.
When we were producing that first Mandate edition, we had suffered under four
years of Jimmy Carter with double-digit inflation, double-digit interest rates, high
unemployment, gasoline rationing, weakness overseas, and what Carter himself
called a malaise that he had induced in the American people.
In the 1981 Mandate foreword, I wrote:
The full recovery of our nation in both the economic and foreign policy spheres
will require the sustained application of sound policies over several years. There
are no “quick fix” solutions to problems that have been years in the making. But
no time must be lost in taking the first decisive steps on the road to recovery.
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Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise
Today, President Joe Biden has brought us back to the days of Jimmy Carter—
actually, even worse—with full-bore economic, military, cultural, and foreign policy
turmoil. The advice that I wrote more than four decades ago just as easily could
have been written today. A conservative Administration coming on board in 2025
will need to hit the ground running just to undo the significant damage that will
have been done during the Biden years.
Something that is essential to ensuring that a new President in 2025 can suc-
cessfully implement a conservative agenda is having the right personnel to run the
executive branch departments and their agencies.
This is why it is so often said that “people are policy.” The Cabinet secretaries,
deputy secretaries, undersecretaries, assistant secretaries, deputy assistant secre-
taries, administrators, agency heads, and on and on that a new President chooses
to place throughout the executive branch must be principled individuals already
aligned with the President’s conservative vision. And they must be willing to exe-
cute it on the President’s behalf.
These personnel choices will ultimately determine the success or failure of the
policy agenda and, hence, of the whole Administration.
Presidential appointees not only are critical to implementing the policy agenda,
but also must serve to “watch the watchers” in the departments and agencies they
oversee. They must ensure accountability as well as provide a check on the inherent
nature of the administrative state to overreach its authority.
For example, they must rein in the Environmental Protection Agency, which
declared backyard streams navigable waterways that then fall under its author-
ity. They must rein in the Internal Revenue Service, including its 87,000 new
employees hired to pick through every detail of what Americans make and how
they spend their money. They must rein in agencies such as the Occupational
Safety and Health Administration, which the Biden Administration weapon-
ized to attempt to force COVID-19 vaccine mandates on 84 million Americans
through their workplaces.
When these new presidential appointees come into office, it is often the career
bureaucrats who end up orienting them to their new positions. Many of these
bureaucrats are all too comfortable with the status quo. Appointees have only four
years (eight at the most) to effect change and make a difference. They need a road
map to do that starting on Day One.
That road map is exactly what Mandate provides. It is not a mandate to main-
tain the status quo but just do it a little more efficiently. Rather, it is a mandate to
significantly advance conservative principles in practice and demonstrate to the
American people that where liberal policies generally fail, conservative solutions
succeed in making life better for all of us.
From the original 1981 Reagan-era Mandate for Leadership to this edition for
2025, the purpose remains the same: to present concrete proposals to revitalize
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2025 Presidential Transition Project
our economy, strengthen our national security, and halt the centralization of power
in the federal government.
In Washington, there are no permanent victories. But neither are there per-
manent defeats. Rather, there are permanent battles throughout the policy arena.
The other side is never standing still. While we may achieve tremendous successes
under conservative leaders, the Left is always working to chip away at them, which
is why we must constantly be prepared for the next fight.
That’s why today, Heritage President Kevin Roberts, Project 2025 Director Paul
Dans, the whole Heritage team, more than 50 organizations, and more than 360
experts from throughout the conservative movement have come together to con-
tinue the Mandate for Leadership tradition of creating policy solutions to solve
the biggest issues facing America—solutions based on the core principles of free
enterprise, limited government, individual freedom, traditional American values,
and a strong national defense.
We do this not to expand government, grow its largesse for some special interest,
or centralize more control in Washington. Instead, we do this to build an America
where freedom, opportunity, prosperity, and civil society flourish for all.
One final note: As most readers know, this section of a book is usually called the
“Afterword,” but we have decided to title it “Onward!”
In all the decades that I served as The Heritage Foundation’s founder and
president—and to this day as a member of its Board of Trustees—I have ended
my communications with the exhortation “Onward!” This has been my charge to
encourage friends, colleagues, and allies that we must always be advancing. There
are always new battles and new opportunities ahead to challenge us to do even
more, and we must be ready for them, willing to engage, and use them to work for
the betterment of this nation and her people.
An afterword connotes finality, but “Onward!” signals that our next mission is
just beginning.
That is the message I leave you with today. Onward!
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