Chaffee - The New Communication of Politics
Chaffee - The New Communication of Politics
Chaffee - The New Communication of Politics
Political Communication
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To cite this article: Steven Chaffee (2001) Studying the New Communication of
Politics, Political Communication, 18:2, 237-244, DOI: 10.1080/105846001750323573
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Political Communication, 18:237–244, 2001
Copyright ã 2001 Taylor & Francis
1058-4609/01 $12.00 + .00
STEVEN CHAFFEE
A research agenda set forth in the 1975 book Political Communication is well suited
for study in an era when conventional mass communication gives way to less cen-
tralized channels. Features of this approach include a focus on behavior and cogni-
tions rather than inferred attitudes, close attention to measurement of media experi-
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Everyone in this symposium is wondering how new technologies will alter political
communication and the ways we study it. Do we need to change our ways? In many
respects, we already have. Content analysts no longer spend long hours scanning and
then laboriously coding newspapers or TV news shows because most of this process can
readily be done via on-line keyword searches. Hypothesis-testing surveys are being con-
ducted on-line as well, and almost every recent study of media behaviors includes ques-
tions about people’s use of the Web. These research innovations are mindful of those
that greeted earlier technologies, such as television.
But beyond methods and sheer description, is anything fundamental in politics changing
because of the new ease of communication? Some say yes, while others are not so sure.
Bruce Bimber (2000), for example, points to a new kind of political organization, the
virtual group that mobilizes temporarily via a Web site over a ballot proposition. Robert
Putnam (2000), on the other hand, suggests that the Internet could turn out to be no
more revolutionary for politics than was the telephone. He questions whether it amounts
to more than an efficient way to do things people have been doing for a long time. For
us, the key question about new communication technologies is not technological in fo-
cus, it is whether they will lead to new communication.
We have long assumed that the structure of communication shapes the structure
of politics, both because so much of political activity consists of communication and
Steven Chaffee is Professor of Communication and the Arthur N. Rupe Chair in Social Ef-
fects of Mass Communication at the University of California, Santa Barbara. This essay was
prepared in response to a symposium marking his retirement in 2000 from Stanford University,
where he had been Janet M. Peck Professor of International Communication.
Address correspondence to Steven Chaffee, Department of Communication, University of
California—Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA 93106-4020, USA. E-mail: chaffee@sscf.ucsb.edu
237
238 Steven Chaffee
which did not receive extensive television coverage was likely to be wasted
activity. (p. 116)
In 1974, after Watergate had spawned a popular overestimate of the media’s power
to determine political outcomes, the Social Science Research Council appointed me to a
committee on mass communications and political behavior chaired by a Lazarsfeld product,
Eleanor Bernert Sheldon. One upshot of that committee was a book I edited called
Political Communication (Chaffee, 1975). As F. Gerald Kline, my series editor, and I
envisioned the study agenda at that time, it mainly concerned election campaigns, the
messages they got out to people, and television as the means of getting them there.
Television for most purposes meant the evening news programs of the three U.S. com-
mercial broadcast networks. We did give some attention to a few elite newspapers, but
TV with its huge audience was the channel under greatest scrutiny by the committee,
and in the book. It still is, although I sense that we are already entering a new era.
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The questions I want to consider here are how well the assumptions underlying that
1975 monograph have served the research field and how tenable they will be in the
coming era of new political communication. We assumed then that media had powerful
organizing effects but that directional persuasion was not the main issue, agenda-setting
was (McCombs & Shaw, 1972). We assumed, too, that political communication would
be studied within defined and bounded systems, such as national election campaigns,
which had offered great theatre in the era of the anti-war and civil rights movements.
Those assumptions are becoming more obsolete with each passing year.
More theoretically speaking, though, we assumed that most of the important re-
search questions were causal in nature and that the best way to address them would
be to test explicit hypotheses against empirical evidence. Much of the committee’s
discussion revolved around posited “effects” of mass communication, a term whose in-
escapable partner in theory is “cause.” We also assumed that our primary purpose as
researchers was to find out how well political communication was working; others would
presumably decide what to do about things that were found to be going awry. Although
each of us approached political communication practices with a critical eye, our main
goal was to understand and explain existing institutions, not to reform them.
Political Communication provides one kind of starting point for thinking about the
future of this field. Our scientific viability is tested each time an innovation in commu-
nication or politics occurs, and each time a political campaign—whether for a routine
election or a newly urgent cause—occurs. It is not enough that on such occasions we go
into the field and gather data to evaluate how our institutions are performing their func-
tions. We need some working ideas of how we can improve the work we do and build
theory rather than simply add to our knowledge.
independent Web sites on the Internet proliferates into the billions. The idea of a small
handful of willful men attempting to bend the world to their ends by control of a few
TV networks and other centralized media is already obsolete for organizing either re-
search or criticism. Today’s media are mostly commercial enterprises, and the behaviors
of their managers are predictable.
The study of political cognition, on the other hand, has a bright future if political
communication scholars pursue it in the nonjudgmental way that cognitive psychologists
have in the past few decades. We need to know a lot more about why, without our
necessarily trying, we come to have certain “pictures in our heads” but not others that
are equally available to us. Iyengar’s (1991) experiments on framing of television news
provide more clues than do conspiracy theories of mass media ownership. Much more
research attention will be given in the future to processes of attention and cognition,
such as how—if at all—people think about the news and other political messages they
receive (McLeod, Kosicki, & McLeod, 1994).
Measurement
Michael Rothschild’s (1975) chapter in Political Communication demonstrated how
multiple methods could be combined to create strong inferences from separate tests,
even though each measure in itself might be relatively weak. Reversing conventional
wisdom, he recommended exploring the viability of a hypothesis in controlled experi-
ments to test the reliability of a causal inference before indulging in expensive (and
causally ambiguous) field survey research. He also pointed out a number of frailties of
survey measurement that led many of us to become more careful about the questions we
expected respondents to be able to answer.
I’ll take just one example of how these strictures played out in my own work. In
the 1970s we were much concerned with opinion change as an effect, so we thought of
self-report issues as being mainly about dependent variables. When questions about our
questions arose, we comforted ourselves with a time-honored dictum: If you want to
know what people think about a subject, why not just ask them?
That rhetorical question turns out to have some disconcerting answers. In a behav-
ioral science, measurement of behaviors is—unless they can be manipulated experimen-
tally—essential. Now self-report may be satisfactory to find out what a person thinks,
but it is a much less reliable way of estimating how often the person does something.
Use of various media, for instance, is not an activity that many people keep track of as
Studying the New Communication of Politics 241
they do it, and yet we have built a considerable literature based on their guesses about
how often they watch TV news, for instance. We have also trusted people not to grossly
overestimate this behavior, although our questionnaires generally tip off respondents
that we place a high value on news and politics.
I have found that the conversation that is a survey interview is more likely to elicit
valid reports of television news exposure if we ask people about the “attention” they
pay to political news (Chaffee & Schleuder, 1986; McLeod & McDonald, 1985). Unfor-
tunately, this wording does not work satisfactorily for TV ads, perhaps because it is
counternormative to admit to paying attention to them (Martinelli & Chaffee, 1995).
Zaller (1996) has experimented quite successfully with measuring news reception via
knowledge tests, but his approach uses up one of my favorite dependent variables (cog-
nition), and while it is useful for evaluating overall effects of “media” it is not very
practical for making comparisons between media, such as newspapers versus television,
or between genres, such as news programs versus campaign advertisements. As we move
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into less specifiable media sources, indirect measures of our independent variables will
become an increasingly greater challenge to research ingenuity.
Time of Decision
Lazarsfeld et al. (1944) pioneered in the use of panel designs, which fit quite naturally
with their study topic, an election campaign. But that research team did not take much
advantage of the over-time feature of their data set; they examined mostly static predic-
tors of which way the person would vote, apparently because they could find very few
respondents who changed their minds during the campaign year.
Time of final voting decision became a pivotal variable in Lazarsfeld’s search for
media influence, but either way one looked at it effects were bound to be limited. Most
respondents in 1940 already knew which party they would vote for even before the
candidates were named; they were in general highly partisan and more likely to become
part of the campaign than to be affected by it (see also Berelson et al., 1954). In con-
trast, the remainder of voters (“late deciders”) had little interest in the campaign, paid
little attention to it, and were little influenced due to lack of exposure.
As voters’ party identification declined, though, I began to think that Lazarsfeld’s
straight-line reasoning was inadequate. When we followed a panel of Wisconsin voters
during the issue-oriented campaign of 1976 (Chaffee & Choe, 1980), there was a sub-
stantial intermediate group who were very interested but not very partisan. These “cam-
paign deciders” chose between Jimmy Carter and Gerald Ford during the fall, when the
campaign was at its height. It helped that the candidates revived the dormant tradition of
televised debates, which proved quite informative to voters (Chaffee, 1978).
In 1992 I organized another panel study of voters, hoping to replicate the 1976
finding, but I had not reckoned with Ross Perot. His candidacy rivaled those of George
Bush and Bill Clinton so successfully that a great many voters did not make their final
choices until very late in the campaign (Chaffee & Rimal, 1996). This result contra-
dicted Lazarsfeld’s original analysis—and mine as well—in that this time it was the
“last-minute deciders” who were most attentive to the campaign and debates. Time of
decision may walk like a behavioral variable, but it does not talk like one.
Election campaign research, outlined nicely in Political Communication by O’Keefe
(1975), is of course not going away. To the contrary, there are today election studies
afoot in many countries that in 1975 had never experienced democracy. Hopefully this
tradition will last and grow, even as communication moves more and more on-line.
242 Steven Chaffee
Meanwhile, to study the processes involved in voter decision making we need to sharpen
our intellectual tools. For example, the first step in concept explication (Chaffee, 1991)
is to specify the unit of analysis. I should have realized earlier on that the unit of
analysis for time of decision is the decision, not the person, and organized my theoriz-
ing accordingly.
Comparative Research
A theme sounded in Political Communication by Jay Blumler and Michael Gurevitch
(1975) was that comparative cross-national research was a grossly underexplored genre
that deserved serious theoretical and empirical attention. How prescient they were! In
the years since, they have been leaders among the growing cadre of scholars who are
comparing political communication processes across national boundaries. Both political
systems and media systems (even in relatively compact Western Europe) vary a lot
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across nations but very little within a given country. So to study whether structural
conditions matter, cross-national research commends itself to us. So does historical study—
which is to say comparative across time (Blumler, McLeod, & Rosengren, 1992)—after
a nation changes its political system or when technological innovation alters the struc-
ture of communication.
As the Internet connects countries that are greatly separated geographically as well
as in terms of political and media arrangements, the possibility of testing theories of
political communication cross culturally is fast becoming a reality (Bennett, 2000). In
my own limited forays into comparative study I have found that general hypotheses
about media effects on political behavior tend to hold up, although the levels of civic
engagement can vary dramatically even when one is comparing industrialized democra-
cies (Chaffee, Morduchowicz, & Galperin, 1998). Comparative research is uniquely suited
to evaluating general propositions about structural factors, whereas many kinds of re-
search can deal with individual or micro-social behaviors.
been devised for empirical comparisons (Chaffee & Mutz, 1988). Still, the comparison
has been with us since Lazarsfeld, and the interplay between the two is inherently in-
teresting, as illustrated by two decades of scholarly interest in the spiral-of-silence model
(Noelle-Neumann, 1984).
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