BASF CEO Roadshow UK
BASF CEO Roadshow UK
BASF CEO Roadshow UK
1 2 3
At a glance Q3 2023 reporting Measures to increase
competitiveness
4 5 6
Battery the
Pushing materials driving
transition to a Unique position to capture Battery materials driving
electromobility
sustainable and future
economy growth in Asia electromobility and growth
growth
Population growth:
Driven by the
+22% Digitalization:
Rapid growth in
660
emerging markets 2022 to 2050 volume of data zettabytes in 2030
Circular economy:
Non-recycled plastic waste
~200 Electromobility:
Growing demand for
~22%
worldwide million metric tons per year battery materials per year
2022 to 2030
4 November 2023 | BASF Capital Market Story Sources: UN, IEA, Conversio, UBS Foresight, BASF
Unique position to deliver long-term value
Unique Verbund Industry-leading Strong and expanding Creating value to society Progressive
concept innovation platform local presence in fast and contributing to a dividend policy
growing Asian market sustainable development
6 Verbund sites €2.3 billion R&D 2 Verbund sites Target: 25% CO2 Practice to increase the
globally expenses in 2022 already emission2 reduction dividend per share each
by 2030 (compared year, or at least maintain
239 production ~10,000 employees ~70 production with 2018) it at the previous year’s
sites worldwide in total in R&D sites level
We aim to achieve
6.2 million metric tons Sales of ~€12 billion €21.8 billion1 sales net zero CO2 Dividend of €3.40 per
of CO2 avoided in 2022 with products in 2022 emissions2 by 2050 share for 2022
globally in 2022 launched during last
5 years
1 Salesin Asia Pacific by location of customer. Only includes sales from BASF entities fully consolidated according to IFRS 10/11
2 Scope 1 and Scope 2 (excluding the sale of energy to third parties, including offsetting). The target includes greenhouse gases
5 November 2023 | BASF Capital Market Story according to the Greenhouse Gas Protocol, which are converted into CO2 equivalents (CO2e).
The BASF Group’s segments
6 November 2023 | BASF Capital Market Story Other not depicted on the slide: Sales 2022: €4,368 million, EBIT before special items 2022: -€749 million
Our unique Verbund concept is one of BASF’s greatest assets
with multiple benefits strengthening the portfolio
Production Technologies
6.2 million metric tons of CO2 Leverage technological
emissions avoided globally in Verbund advantages and innovation across
2022 all segments
Integration enables drop-in Unique expertise in developing
solutions for bio-based and and integrating new, low-emission
recycled feedstock for low- technologies
carbon products
Europe
Sales (million €) 33,922
Employees 67,958
North America
Sales (million €) 23,869
Asia Pacific
Employees 16,036
Sales (million €) 21,823
Employees 20,452
8 November 2023 | BASF Capital Market Story Sales 2022 by location of customer
Priorities for the use of cash
1 2 3 4
Organic Progressive Portfolio Share
growth dividend management buybacks
Capex budget for 2023 to Practice to increase the Strengthen portfolio through Share buybacks are part of
2027 reduced to €24.8 billion dividend per share each selective M&A opportunities our toolbox but currently
(original capex budget: €28.8 year, or at least maintain it while maintaining price not being used
billion) at the previous year’s level discipline Between January 2022
Around €2.3 billion in R&D Strong balance sheet and Focus the portfolio with and February 2023 own
expenses per year high equity ratio1 support continued pruning measures shares were repurchased
dividend policy for ~€1.4 billion
9 November 2023 | BASF Capital Market Story 1 As of September 30, 2023: 48.8%
Increased focus on capex efficiency: Capex will be reduced by
~€4.0 billion in the period from 2023 to 2027
Capex budget
Billion €, 2023–2027
30 28,8 Capex budget of €28.8 billion for 2023 to 2027 originally
-1,0 communicated in February 2023 will be reduced to
24,8
-3.0 €24.8 billion
20
In 2023, capex will be reduced by ~€1.0 billion
– from €6.3 billion to €5.3 billion
Capex for 2024 to 2027 will be reduced by ~€3.0 billion
In February 2024, we will present the new capex budget
10
for the planning period from 2024 to 2028
0
Reduction 2023 Reduction 2024-2027
Capex budget as of February 2023 Capex budget adjusted end of October 2023
October 2023
Third and final phase of the MDI expansion project at the Verbund site in
Geismar, Louisiana, is fully on track
Additional upstream units and a splitter to increase production capacity to
approximately 600,000 metric tons per year by 2026
Investment of $780 million in final expansion phase (2022–2025)
Including the first and second phases, the MDI expansion project is BASF’s
largest wholly owned investment in the United States
0,00
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Yield1 3.5% 4.0% 4.1% 3.4% 3.4% 5.3% 4.9% 5.1% 5.5% 7.3%
Outlook 2023
Sales €73 billion – €76 billion
EBIT before special items €4.0 billion – €4.4 billion
ROCE 6.5% – 7.1%
CO2 emissions 17.0 – 17.6 million metric tons
Underlying assumptions
Growth in gross domestic product: 2.0%
Growth in industrial production: 1.0%
Growth in chemical production: 0.0%
Average euro/dollar exchange rate: $1.10 per euro
Average annual oil price (Brent crude): $80 per barrel
1 2 3
At a glance Q3 2023 reporting Measures to increase
competitiveness
4 5 6
Battery the
Pushing materials driving
transition to a Unique position to capture Battery materials driving
electromobility
sustainable and future
economy growth in Asia electromobility and growth
growth
Q2 2023
1.931
2.000
Earnings in the Agricultural Solutions and Surface
Technologies segments increased compared with Q3 2022 1.348
1.007
Overall, EBIT before special items declined by €772 million 1.000
compared with Q3 2022 and amounted to €575 million, 575
373
in line with average analyst estimates of €601 million1
0
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
2022 2022 2023 2023 2023
21 November 2023 | BASF Capital Market Story 1 Average analyst estimates compiled by Vara on behalf of BASF on October 9, 2023
BASF Group Q3 2023 and Q1–Q3 2023: Financial figures
Million € % Million € %
24 November 2023 | BASF Capital Market Story 1 Current ratings: Moody’s A3/P-2/outlook stable, S&P A-/A-2/outlook stable, Fitch A/F1/outlook stable
Chemicals
Petrochemicals
1,733 400
323
-37% 241
Intermediates 202
697 200
-32%
€2,430 47
-36% 0
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
-200 -79
2022 2023
0
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
2022 2023
0
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
2022 2023
0
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
2022 2023
-20%
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
-19 -15
-100
2022 2023
1.000 400
213
122 53
7
0 0
Q3 2022 Q3 2023 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
2022 2023
Other businesses 0 7
EBIT -83 17
1 2 3
At a glance Q3 2023 reporting Measures to increase
competitiveness
4 5 6
Battery the
Pushing materials driving
transition to a Unique position to capture Battery materials driving
electromobility
sustainable and future
economy growth in Asia electromobility and growth
growth
1 Annual run rate of >€300 million confirmed to be achieved by the end of 2023
33 November 2023 | BASF Capital Market Story 2 Net effect; this figure includes new positions to be created, in particular in hubs
Adaptation of Verbund structures in Ludwigshafen to improve the
competitiveness of the site; measures to be concluded by end of 2026
34 November 2023 | BASF Capital Market Story 1 Expected Scope 1 and Scope 2 emission reduction for BASF SE
Technical optimization and substitution have significantly reduced
the overall natural gas demand at the Ludwigshafen site
Gas supply threshold in %
Measures implemented in 2023
based on average consumption in 2021
Conversion of two gas turbines in combined heat and
power plants to allow operation with either gas or fuel oil
~50% Natural gas saving measures have been implemented in
production facilities, e.g., using the by-product ethane from
our steam crackers to feed our acetylene plant
~30% Measures to be implemented by end of 2024
Accelerate access to renewable energy
Invest in green hydrogen production (electrolyzer)
Continue procurement of LNG and secure access to
terminal capacities
Continue flexible switch between power import and own
production
Spring 2022 End of 2022 End of 2023
1 2 3
At a glance Q3 2023 reporting Measures to increase
competitiveness
4 5 6
Battery the
Pushing materials driving
transition to a Unique position to capture Battery materials driving
electromobility
sustainable and future
economy growth in Asia electromobility and growth
growth
25%
2030 CO2 emissions
reduction
(compared with 2018)1 net zero
2050 CO2 emissions1
37 November 2023 | BASF Capital Market Story 1 Scope 1 and Scope 2; 2030 target compared with 1990: 60% CO2 reduction
No downstream decarbonization without upstream decarbonization
22
BASF greenhouse gas emissions 2018 Global GHG emissions
Million metric tons per year Scope 1+2
11 11
Energy production Chemical production1
5 6 9 2
Electric power Steam Upstream Downstream
Continuous opex2
38 November 2023 | BASF Capital Market Story 1 Includes emissions from process energy 2 Operational excellence measures
Our roadmap is backed by robust calculations and solid planning
31
Lower CO2 emissions Projected emissions
already materialized without mitigation 2018
29
until 2020 11 million tons of CO2
Opex avoided annually by 2030
27
25 Grey-to-green
(including RECs)
23
Baseline 2018
21 21.9
Technology-based CO2
19 abatement projects
17 Target 2030
16.4
15
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
50
16% of demand
covered with
renewables BASF power consumption expected to
of demand increase strongly due to electrification
covered with on our journey to net zero
renewables
Grey energy Green energy Additional need for green energy for electrification, depending on availability
Naphtha
Raw Startup of the demonstration plant planned
olefins
for 2023
850°C
eFurnace
Renewable
energy
CO2
Software solution
Product carbon Customer benefits
footprints of Transparency on CO2
sales products emissions
Identification of main
TÜV-certified2 reduction levers
Scope 1 + 2
Meets ISO standards3 Certified software
Emissions caused by own
operations1 Calculates product carbon footprints Transparent
cradle-to-gate documentation
ISO 14067:2018
2
42 November 2023 | BASF Capital Market Story 3 ISO 14040:2006, 14044:2006, 14067:2018, GHG Protocol Product Standard
We create transparency on the CO2 emissions of our raw materials
as an important step in reducing BASF’s Scope 3 emissions
43 November 2023 | BASF Capital Market Story 1 GHG protocol Scope 3.1: purchased goods and services: 51 million tons CO2e, thereof 49 million tons purchased raw materials
BASF’s Circular Economy Program: Targets
45 November 2023 | BASF Capital Market Story 1 Compared to conventional plastic production and incineration of plastic waste
BASF in sustainability ratings and rankings
ISS ESG
In 2023, BASF held its Prime Status (B-), being among the top decile rank of
the companies assessed.
1 2 3
At a glance Q3 2023 reporting Measures to increase
competitiveness
4 5 6
Battery the
Pushing materials driving
transition to a Unique position to capture Battery materials driving
electromobility
sustainable and future
economy growth in Asia electromobility and growth
growth
0,0
2022 2030
Source: BASF 1 Real chemical production excluding pharmaceuticals, US$ base year 2015
48 November 2023 | BASF Capital Market Story Figures may not add up due to rounding effects.
BASF’s Verbund site in Nanjing is a prime example of our success
in China
Real chemical gross output, 2015-based, inferred by gross output/value added ratio for China, Guangdong Bureau of Statistics
2
3 Guangdong Bureau of Statistics
4 Real private consumption, 2015-based. National Bureau of Statistics with S&P Global forecast, subject to retrospective revision
50 November 2023 | BASF Capital Market Story 5 Guangdong Bureau of Statistics, S&P Global
Location in Zhanjiang enables BASF to capture long-term profitable
growth in the fastest growing chemical market worldwide
51 November 2023 | BASF Capital Market Story The inset illustration is indicative and is not an accurate map of the depicted area
Main construction phases of the new Verbund site in Zhanjiang, China
– stepwise approach
Initial phase Phase 1 Phase 2 Update on progress
on stream: 2022–2023 start-up: as of 2025 start-up: as of 2028 First downstream plants
started up in August 2022 and
First downstream plants: Heart of the Verbund: Verbund expansion in September 2023
Performance Materials for auto- Petrochemicals plus further and diversification
motive and consumer industries downstream plants The construction of the core of
the Verbund is in full swing
Engineering plastics C2 value chain
Steam Additional Stepwise construction approach
and thermoplastic C3 value chain allows for flexibility, especially
cracker downstream plants
polyurethanes C4 value chain with regard to phase 2
Up to €10 billion
€4.0–5.0 billion €1.0–1.2 billion
sales EBITDA
total capital expenditure
(peak: 2023–2025)
The greenfield character of the new Verbund site results in a higher share of infrastructure
investments compared with a brownfield project
The new Verbund site will be BASF’s key platform for long-term profitable and sustainable
growth in China even beyond phase 1 and phase 2
China’s Guangdong BASF is very BASF has a The new Verbund site
macroeconomic province is the well positioned proven track will be a key
environment is economic to capture future record of strong top platform for
robust and growth engine growth in China by line and earnings long-term
develops toward more of China leveraging its unique growth in Greater profitable and
China
self-sufficiency and a powerhouse Verbund know-how sustainable
and sustainability and longstanding
of BASF’s key growth of
customer industries relationships
BASF Group
1 2 3
At a glance Q3 2023 reporting Measures to increase
competitiveness
4 5 6
Battery the
Pushing materials driving
transition to a Unique position to capture Battery materials driving
electromobility
sustainable and future
economy growth in Asia electromobility and growth
growth
100
12%
80
16%
60
29%
40 ICE
FHEV >70% RoW
>45% PHEV North America
20 43%
BEV Europe
FCEV China
0
2022 2025 2030 2030
By 2030, we expect that >45% of all new cars will be BEVs and PHEVs
with China and Europe representing >70% of global demand
57 November 2023 | BASF Capital Market Story
The chemical content per car is higher in a BEV compared to ICE,
with CAM as the single largest growth opportunity
Chemical content per car Main contributors1
difference in € per car vs. conventional
ICE BEV
x2.5
The cathode active material (CAM) as key component of any battery cell more than
doubles the chemical content which can be found in today’s average ICE vehicle
1 Only representative for relative change in projected sales
58 November 2023 | BASF Capital Market Story 2 Emission catalyst vs. cathode active material (both incl. metals)
The CAM market will grow by ~24% per year and reach a total size
of 7,700 kt by 2030
59 November 2023 | BASF Capital Market Story market size can vary significantly due to volatility in metal prices; status as of February 2023
Product innovation enables the broadest CAM portfolio in the
industry, and we continue to add new solutions
+ + Energy density
+ Cost benefit
- Thermal stability
Ultra-high Ni
0% 100%
Ultra-high Ni CAM, ≥220 Ah/kg
Ni >90%, Co <5%
HED™ products
Up to stabilized LNO
Pushing boundaries for high-performance applications
High energy density NCA and NCM Ni
cathode materials Co-free CAM
Ni content ranging from 60% to >90% Co
Ni-rich NMx
Already used in xEV applications today
Over-lithiated Mn-rich, e.g., NCM-307
10% 30% Focus on lower cost and improved safety
Candidate for mass market entry due to price advantage
0% Mn 80%
+ Energy density + + Cost benefit
+ Thermal stability + + Thermal stability
+ Cycle life + Sustainability
- Sustainability - Cycle life (currently)
Our technology toolbox offers customized solutions for all cell formats
and provides a basis for innovations beyond classical lithium-ion batteries
60 November 2023 | BASF Capital Market Story
BASF has production assets and R&D hubs in close proximity to the
most important BEV markets in every region
2012 2022
Europe
greenfield 2023 2015 2017
First CAM Intention to production CAM precursor Foundation of BASF Tripled capacity at BASF
production facility acquire land for footprint production facility TODA Battery Materials, TODA Battery Materials
in Elyria, Ohio production in Harjavalta, Japan, with R&D center in Onoda, Japan
(CAM, PCAM) Finland
and recycling
in Bécancour,
Canada
Production
2018 R&D center R&D center 2022–2024 in China 2024
Second CAM in Beachwood, in Ludwigshafen, CAM production Next capacity increase at BASF
production facility Ohio Germany facility, TODA Battery Materials
in Battle Creek, battery recycling 2021 in Onoda, Japan
Michigan prototype plant BASF Shanshan Battery
and black mass Materials with R&D Center
recycling plant serving the largest battery
in Schwarzheide, materials market, China
Germany
2020
BASF and Eramet evaluate
nickel-cobalt refining
Production sites complex
Research & development hubs in Weda Bay, Indonesia
61 November 2023 | BASF Capital Market Story Map for indicative purposes, not adjusted for completeness or accuracy
The Battery Materials business will become a significant earnings
contributor to the BASF Group
Continue to ramp up existing sales of the CAM portfolio and secure further commercial outlets
Build on customer proximity with our domestic production footprint to meet customer needs
Realize new business opportunities and further cost reductions with continued product development
Utilize our broad knowledge of the industry to support the ongoing transformation of the sector
The battery materials and recycling business is set to become one of the key
growth engines in BASF’s portfolio, establishing a leading and profitable position
63 November 2023 | BASF Capital Market Story