DEMAND

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MARKET ANALYSIS

I. Target Market

The segmentation strategy of the business is based on their year level. The business is targeting the 1 st
year students in Eastern Samar State University since they are the one who are into snacks considering
less expenses in academic requirements unlike the upper year level who are just rarely into buying
snacks. The respondents comprised of 26.9% 1st year students, 25.1% 2nd year students, 32.8% 3rd year
students who got the highest percentage and 15.5% of 4th year students.

II. Sample Size

To get the sample size, the proponents use Slovin’s Formula.

n= N(1+Ne^2)

N (Total Population) = 10,080

e (Margin of Error) = 5%

= 10,080/ (1+10,080*0.0025)

= 10,080 / 30

= 387 Respondents

Table 1

Population Growth Figure

YEAR TOTAL POPULATION OF NO. OF TARGET CUSTOMERS


EASTERN SAMAR STATE (1st Year Students)
UNIVERSITY STUDENTS
2023 10,080 3,693
Table 2

Historical Population

YEAR TOTAL POPULATION 1ST YEAR POPULATION


2019 6,038 1,905
2020 6,084 1,489
2021 7,744 2,223
2022 9,186 2,911
2023 10,080 3,693

We now have our historical population of EASTERN SAMAR STATE UNIVERSITY.

III. Demand

Based on the survey conducted by the proponents, 93.3% of the respondents are willing to buy
the product once it is already available in ESSU. Total respondents comprised of 26.9% 1 st year students,
25.1% 2nd year student, 32.8% 3rd students and 15.5% 4th year students. The average consumption of
snack per piece of the respondents is 3 times a week basing on the survey as it has a highest percentage
of 53%.
To determine the number of respondents, the proponents used the Slovin’s formula in
determining the sample population size which is 387. The demand on the survey conducted by the
proponents in Eastern Samar State University.

Table 3

Historical Demand of Snacks

YEAR TOTAL DEMAND


2019 255,940
2020 200,050
2021 298,664
2022 391,098
2023 469,161

To get the historical demand, the total population (1st year students) has been multiplied by the
percentage of the respondents who are willing to patronized the proposed business. Then, the answer
obtained was multiplied by the annual average snack consumption of the respondents.
TO GET THE PROJECTED DEMAND

COMPUTATION:

Take the actual demand for last year: 469,161

Less: Demand for 1st year (2019): 255,050

Difference/Increase: 214,111

Take the average increase/decrease over the same number of years in question:

214,111 / 4 = 53,527

Table 4.

Projected Demand for Snacks

YEAR DEMAND
2024 469,161 + 53,527 = 522,688
2025 522,688 + 53,527 = 576,215
2026 576,215 + 53,527 = 629,742

IV. Supply

Based on the survey and actual interview conducted by the proponents, 100% of the respondents
answered that they are producing an average of 10 snacks per day. Approximately they supply the
market by making 16,800 pieces of snacks annually. Lastly, the competitors also assumed their
production increase for the past 5 years. In 2019, the average production they stated was 4 pieces a day.
In 2020, they don’t have any product offered to the market due to the COVID 19 Pandemic schools are
temporarily closed. In 2021, we got an average of 5 pieces of snack per day in each competitor,
approximately they are making 8,400 pieces in annual basis. In 2022, we got an average production of 8
pieces of snack in a day per competitor as what they’ve stated on the actual interview, making 13,440
pieces of snacks in annual basis.
Table 5.

Historical Supply for Snacks

YEAR INDIRECT COMPEPTITORS SUPPLY IN QUANTITY


2019 6,720 6,720
2020 0 0
2021 8,400 8,400
2022 13,440 13,440
2023 16,800 16,800
(Source: Actual Interview)

TO GET THE PROJECTED DEMAND

COMPUTATION:

Take the actual demand for last year: 16,800

Less: Demand for 1st year (2019): 6,720

Difference/Increase: 10,080

Take the average increase/decrease over the same number of years in question:

10,080 / 4 = 2,520

Table 6.

Projected Supply of Snacks

YEAR SUPPLY (QUANTITY)


2024 16,800 + 2,520 = 19,320
2025 19,320 + 2,520 = 21,840
2026 21,840 + 2,520 = 24,360
V. Demand and Supply Analysis

YEAR DEMAND SUPPLY DEAMAND - SHARE OF


SUPPLY GAP UNFILLED
DEMAND
2024 522,688 19,320 503,368 96%
2025 576,215 21,840 554,375 96%
2026 629,742 24,360 605,382 96%

This resulted to a very high Demand and Supply Gap due to the huge amount of the population.
The Businesses in line with snacks is not enough to supply the target market. According to survey, the 8
Indirect competitors only produce an average of 10 pieces snacks each of them per day, having 16,800
pieces of snacks annually. Hence, we have high percentage of unfilled demand for the 3 consecutive
projected years.

COMPETITIVE ANALYSIS

Computation of Market Share

Indirect Competitors

Market Share = Supply 2023/Demand 2023 x 100

= 16,800/469,161 x 100

= 4%

Mango Chips

No. of Mango Chips No. of Days Available Total Supply


(per piece)

36,000 365 36,000

Market Share = Supply 2023/Demand 2023 x 100

= 36,000/469,161 x 100

= 7%
MARKET SHARE

Indirect Competitor Unfilled Demand Mango Chips Bites

7% 4%

89%

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