Annual Report 2017-2018
Annual Report 2017-2018
Annual Report 2017-2018
“
His Majesty the Druk Gyalpo
awards Druk Thuksey Medal to the
Governor and RMA during the 110th
National Day in Haa.”
T
Gyalpo after the award ceremony in Haa.
Service awards 2018
he RMA is humbled and inspired by the
recognition bestowed on the Governor, In 2018, 33 officials of the RMA received medals
Dasho Penjore, and the institution, from His Majesty the Druk Gyalpo for their
by His Majesty the Druk Gyalpo. His dedicated service to the Nation. Of the total
Majesty awarded the prestigious Druk recipients, 19 officials were awarded with Bronze
Thuksey medal to Dasho Penjore during the 110th medal for serving 10 years, 7 officials received
National Day Celebration in Haa for his dedicated the Silver medal for serving 20 years, 6 senior
service—for always being guided by the need to officials, including the Governor, received Gold
medal for their dedicated service for 30 years stakeholders to further enhance financial
and more. In addition, Mr. Dupsang Tamang, inclusion, particularly among the children and the
Senior Administrattive Assistant, received life time youth - the foundation of our future.
service award.
T
submitted a net surplus of Nu. 1.5 billion to the
Royal Government of Bhutan (RGoB). The net
he last year was a historic year for surplus for FY 2017/18 was a record high reflecting
the RMA with the prestigious “Druk to some measure the efficiency in overall reserve
Thuksey” (Heart-Son of Bhutan) medal management.
being awarded by His Majesty the Druk
Gyalpo during the 110th National Day On the macroeconomic front, domestic economic
celebration in Haa on December 17, 2017. I was growth was recorded at 4.6 percent in 2017.
deeply humbled and overwhelmed to receive the Headline inflation decreased to a historic low of
Druk Thuksey which I believe was in recognition of 2.6 percent in June 2018 from 5.9 percent in June
my efforts in serving the country to the best of my 2017, largely due to a significant fall in prices of
abilities and in the interest of the nation as well as both domestic and imported goods.
a reminder to serve with renewed dedication and
sincerity. I was even happier that the RMA as an On the external front, the trade deficit improved
institution also received the Druk Thuksey which from 20.9 percent of GDP to 16.4 percent
will serve as a constant source of motivation for during FY 2017/18, resulting into a lower
all the staff to work with humility and in the larger current account deficit of 19 percent of GDP. As
interest of the nation. a result, international reserves remained at a
comfortable level sufficient to finance 13 months
The RMA continued to promote policies to build of merchandise imports.
an inclusive and resilient economy backed by a
strong financial system. Several initiatives and The medium term growth prospects remain
polices were launched during the FY 2017/18, optimistic. Real GDP is projected to grow at
such as the Priority Sector Lending (PSL) an average of 6.5 percent, supported by the
Guidelines, the Anti-Money Laundering and commissioning of hydro power projects and
Combating the Financing of Terrorism (AML/CFT) the services sector. Inflation is also anticipated
Act 2018, the Corporate Governance Rules and to remain at a moderate level, and external
Regulation 2018, the Rules and Regulations for imbalance to improve with the current
Cottage and Small Industries (CSI) Banks in Bhutan account deficit at 15.6 percent of GDP due to
2018, the National Financial Inclusion Strategy commissioning of major hydro power projects
(2018-2023) and the National Financial Literacy and subsequent reduction in the import for public
Strategy (2018-2023). investment projects.
Key Macroeconomic
2 21 6
Highlights Exchange Rate Arrangement &
Implications 71
Macroeconomic Developments 22
Policy Initiatives and Interventions 24 Exchange Rate Arrangement &
Priority Sector Lending 26 Implications 72
Macroeconomic Indicators 28 Box 6.1 Terms of Trade 76
Box 6.2 Development in EER 78
3 7
Macroeconomic Financial Inclusion & Payment
Review FY 2017/18 29 System 79
3.1 Real Sector 30 State of Financial Inclusion
3.2 Inflation 32 Financial Inclusion Initiatives 80
3.3 Labor Supply and Employment 34 Box: 6.1 Launch of “Jab-chor” 86
3.4 Fiscal Sector 36 Box: 6.2 BEFIT 2019 87
3.5 External Sector 38 Modernization of Payment System 89
3.6 Money and Credit 43 Box: 6.3 Connecting Bhutan & India
Box: 3.1 Assessment on National Financial Switch 91
Credit to GDP gap 47
Box: 3.2 Medium-term
8
Macroeconomic Outlook 48
4
Annual Financial Statement 93
Annual Audited Account: FY 2017/18 94
10
Box: 4.3 Interest Rates 58
Box: 4.4 Collateral Framework 61
Box: 4.5 Workshop on
Monetary Policy Frameworks 62 Chronology, Glossary & Acronyms 129
Chronology of Major Developments 130
Abbreviations and Symbols 132
OUR MISSION
Strategic Pillars Reinforcing stable and inclusive
1. Reinforcing stable and inclusive economic growth
economic growth.
Maintaining stability and integrity
2. Maintaining the stability and of the financial system
integrity of the financial system
Advancing innovative financial
services and technology
Our Values
3. Advancing innovation and
financial technology S -Sincere
4. Fostering organizational M -Mindful
excellence A -Astute
R -Resilient
T -Timeless
Our Mission
Astute- We will be astute in our service
delivery, leveraging on financial
technology to promote innovative,
efficient and inclusive financial
Drawing from the mandates of the RMA Act of
services to all sections of the society.
Bhutan 2010, the following are the missions:
The staff of RMA will demonstrate
ingenuity and excellence in their
I
n order to achieve our vision and mission, foundation of a just, equal and harmonious
the RMA’s strategic focus and priorities shall society. The strategic focus of the pillar shall be
be conducted through the following four to enhance the livelihood of the youth and the
strategic pillars. rural population.
A
s per the RMA Act 2010, Section 33, the of policies and corporate governance of the
Board constitutes seven members with Authority. All functions are carried out under the
three from the RMA (Governor and two general supervision of the Board supported by
Deputy Governors) and remaining from the RMA’s Executive Committee. The Department
the Government. The Governor is the of Internal Audit and Governor’s Office report
Chairman of the Board. directly to the Governor, while other departments
report to their respective Deputy Governors.
The Board is responsible for the formulation
Board of Directors
MEMBER
CHAIRMAN
M
r. Nim Dorji is the Secretary of Ministry
D
of Finance. Before he was appointed as
asho Penjore was appointed as the Governor the Finance Secretary, he served as the
of the RMA in December 2015. Director General of Department of Agriculture.
Dasho started his career in the RMA in 1987 He holds a Master’s degree in Business
and served as the Deputy Managing Director Administration (MBA) from the University of
from 2003 to 2006. In 2006, he was appointed as Canberra, Australia.
the Chief Chamberlain to His Majesty the Druk
Gyalpo and was conferred the Red Scarf and title
of “Dasho” in 2008 for his distinguished service
to the Nation. Before he was appointed as the
Governor, he was the Chief Executive Officer of
the National Pension and Provident Fund (NPPF) .
Dasho holds a Master’s degree in Economics from
the Northwestern University, Boston, USA.
M
110th National Day Celebration on December 17,
2017 for his dedicated service to the Nation. r. Thinley Namgyel is the Secretary of
Gross National Happiness Commission
Secretariat. He has a Master’s
degree in Business Administration from the
University of Canberra, Australia.
MEMBER
M
MEMBER r. Phajo Dorjee was appointed as the
Deputy Governor of RMA in June 2015.
M
r. Tashi is Zimpon Wogma (Deputy Prior to his appointment as Deputy
Chamberlain) under His Majesty’s Governor, he served the RMA as the Director of
Secretariat. Mr. Tashi is a certified IDI/ the Department of Banking and Department
INTOSAI Training Specialist. After completing of Currency Management. He holds a Master’s
his Bachelors of Commerce degree from degree in Public Administration and Economic
Sherubtse College in 1993, he pursued Policy Management from Columbia University,
his studies at the Chartered Institute of USA.
Management Accountants in London and
obtained an Advanced Diploma in Management
Accountants.
MEMBER
MEMBER
M
s. Yangchen Tshogyel was appointed
M
r. Sonam Tenzin is the Director of as the Deputy Governor of RMA in
Department of Trade, Ministry of September 2016. Prior to her appointment
Economic Affairs. He served as the as the Deputy Governor, she served as the
Executive Director of the newly established Director of the Department of Macroeconomic
Office of the Consumer Protection from January Research and Statistics. She has a Master’s
2014 to January 2016. He holds a Master’s degree in Public Policy, with specialization in
Degree in Management Studies (MMS) with Economic Policy from the Australian National
specialization in Finance and Accountancy. University, Australia.
Department Information
of Internal Security Steering
Audit Committee
Department of
Department of
Macroeconomic
Financial Regulation
Research & Statistics
& Supervision
Department
of Banking
Financial Intelligence
Department
Department of Foreign
Exchange & Reserve
Management
Department of
Currency Management
Department of
Information
Department Technology
of Administration
and Finance
Department
of Payment &
Phuentsholing Settlement Systems
Regional Offices
Mongar
A
s of August 2018, the RMA’s total service of the following senior
staff strength is 207. Of the total, 194
employees were stationed at the
officials who left the RMA in the
Head Office, while 10 employees were year 2018.
stationed at Phuntsholing Regional
Office and 3 employees at Mongar Regional
Office.
Gender Composition (%) Ms. Tendi Zangmo
Sr. Admin Assistant
Department of
Administration
and Finance
44%
M
s. Tendi was one of the senior most
staff of the RMA who superannuated in
56% 2018 with her life time service of more
than 37 years. She started her career at the
RMA in 1980 as a Stenographer (1980-1988), and
rose to the post of Personal Assistant to the
Managing Director and later to Sr. Administrative
Assistant at the Department of Administration
& Finance (2010- July, 2018). On her successful
superannuation in 2018, the RMA takes a great
Job Level Number
pride and admiration for her dedicated services.
Management 3 The RMA wish her a healthy and fulfilling life
ahead.
Executive Directors/Directors/
94
Officers
General Support Staff 110
M
v
banks, insurances, reinsurances, s. Rinzin voluntarily resigned from the
e-money issuers, CSI banks, micro RMA in 2018, under the early retirement
–finance, payment and settlement scheme. Ms. Rinzin initially started her
system, foreign exchange and Credit career as a Trainee Officer in February 1, 1991.
Information Bureau. She served the RMA under several capacities
during her long tenure, extending more than 27
v BAS Accounting Policy, Whistle Blowing
years. A brief profile of her career progression at
and Reserve management
the RMA is as follows;
v Guidelines on Priority Sector Lending.
v Trainee officer (Feb. 1991 - Jan. 1992)
v Anti-Money Laundering and Terrorist v Assistant Supervisor, DFRS (May 1992–Dec.
Financing. 1998)
v Strategy documents on National v Banking Officer, DB (Jan. 1999 – Dec. 2000)
Financial Inclusion and National v Research Officer/Director, DMRS (Jan. 2001 –
Financial Literacy. Dec. 2006)
v Director, DB (Jan. 2007 – Jan. 2011)
v Core banking system –Druk MicroFin.
v Director, DCM (Sept. 2012 – Jul, 2016)
v Opening of Regional Office (at P/ling v Executive Director, DPSS (Jul, 2016 – Jun, 2018)
and Mongar) and Currency Exchange
Counters at Paro, Mongar and P/ling. The RMA family takes the opportunity to extend
our sincere thanks and appreciation for her
valuable contribution and dedicated service to
the Nation. The RMA wishes her a healthy and
prosperous post retirement life ahead.
M
outstanding and dedicated career hardworking senior
r. Dupsang is one of at the RMA, for more than 31 years, official of the RMA.
the senior most staff Mr. Dupsang superannuated in
of the RMA. His service December 31, 2018, after receiving
at the RMA initially started as a life time service award from
a Note and Coin Examiner in His Majesty the Druk Gyalpo. The
the Department of Currency RMA family takes great pride and
Management on August 19, admiration for his long dedicated
1987. He served the RMA service and wish him and his family
in several capacities - as a healthy and fulfilling life ahead.
Dasho Governor with RMA staff and monks of Paro Rabdey during the hoisting of prayer flags and feast offering at
Chelela on April 29, 2018.
T
he RMA Social Club is an initiative of i. The Club members along with other staff from
Dasho Governor. The club was formed the RMA rendered voluntary services during the
on March 25, 2016, with the objective of reconstruction of the historical Drukgyel Dzong at
taking additional responsibilities beyond Paro on March 17, 2018. The Club members also
the normal official duties. The Social made contribution during the renovation work
Club provides welfare support to RMA staff during of Lhading Lhakhang at Paro on August 4, 2018.
difficult times and promotes social integration by During the event, the RMA also sponsored lunch,
way of offering community services which are of tea and offered cash to the site workers.
national importance.
ii. For the well-being and happiness of all the
Currently, the Club consists of a President, Vice sentient beings, the Club also initiated hoisting
President and 30 members, nominated through of prayer flags and feast offering on April 29, 2018.
a secret ballot. Some of the activities undertaken Hoisting of prayer flags were presided by the
by the Club during FY 2017/18 includes the monastic body of Paro Dzongkhag.
following:
Voluntary labour contribution by RMA staff at Lhading Voluntary labour contribution by RMA staff at Drukgyel
Lhakhang at Paro on August 4, 2018 Dzong re-construction at Paro on March 17, 2018.
5.1%
8.0 7.1%
Demand
6.6
Supply
5.6
Private
4.6 consumption Services
NU 2.4%
4.4%
2014 2015 2016 2017 Government
Manufacturing
consumption
4.9
4.8
Nu.
3.6
2.6 2.2%
2.4%
Food prices Fuel prices
Decrease in vegetables, Fall in global
bread and cereal prices fuel prices
2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
Secondary
-2.3 -2.0 Income
-8.9 -8.6
12.5% 5.4%
-16.4
-19.0 -8.9%
-21.0
Accommodative Depreciation
Increase in domestic
production capacity
monetary and
fiscal policies
S of exchange
rate
40
30
68.1% 48.8%
20
Domestic Current
revenue
$ $ $ $
10 Money supply (M2) 31.5
(Growth, %)
0
31.9% 51.2%
2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 Grants Capital
Revenue Expenditure
15.8
$$ $$
10.4
Money supply growth slowed down
7.8
but continued to remain volatile
2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
28.7
Financial soundness indicators of
the FIs as of June 2018 (in % Share)
Trade & commerce
NPL: 21.3%
0.6 Share to total loan: 13.9%
16.2 -3.2
2016/17 2017/18
Services & tourism
Net foreign assets 11.5 Domestic credit Private sector credit NPL: 19.3%
$ $
Share to total loan: 23.1%
3.9
0.5
Housing
RWCAR NPL ROA ROE SLR NPL: 17.9%
Share to total loan: 23.6%
RWCAR : Risk Weighted Capital Adequacy Ratio
$ $
NPL : Non-Performing Loan
ROA : Return on Asset
ROE : Return on Equity
SLR : Statutory Liquidity Requirement
2. Reserve Management
$ $
Majesty’s benevolent reign on December 13, 2018.
with relevant agencies
initiated several activi- Youth Ethics (YE) Banking Incentive Day Program was observed
ties to promote financial on October 30, 2018; With YE Banking, the students of pilot
inclusion and literacy. schools (Arikha MSS, Wangsel Institute, Jigme Losel PS and
Bhutan YDF’s Young Volunteers in Action (YVIA) opened a
h total of 1,460 saving accounts with the BDBL and BNBL. The
total Bank Points (BP) achieved by all schools accumulated to
152,282 points; For 2018, with the adaptable incentive pegged
value to Bank Points as determined by the RMA, declared at
Nu. 2 per BP, a total of Nu. 0.31 million was paid out as total YE
Banking incentive payout for 2018.
Opportunities
• Possess huge potential and opportunity to
expand the financial services to the under-
Digital Financial Ser-
served and financially excluded society.
vices (DFS) delivers ba-
• Promote cashless banking and financial
sic financial services
inclusion.
to underserved and
financially excluded
segment of the society Challenges
through innovative • Cash remained a dominant and preferred
technologies like mode of payment system.
mobile-phone-enabled • Low trust and confidence in electronic pay-
solutions, electronic ment, given the lack of awareness.
money models and
digital payment plat-
forms. Policy response
• Payment & Settlement Systems Rules and
Regulations, 2018.
• E-Money Issuers Rules and Regulations 2017.
• Connection of Bhutan Financial Switch with
National Financial Switch of India.
120 115 12 11
100 99 10
80 8 7
65
60 6 5 5
4
4
34 37 4 3 3
40 2833 3
24 24 2 2
20 2 1 1
11 8 10 11 9
1 5 2 3 0 3
0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0
CHHUKHA
DAGANA
GASA
HAA
LHUENTSE
MONGAR
PARO
P/GATSHEL
PUNAKHA
S/JONGKHAR
SAMTSE
SARPANG
THIMPHU
TRASHIGANG
TRASHIYANGTSE
TRONGSA
TSIRANG
WANGDUE
ZHEMGANG
BUMTHANG
CHHUKHA
DAGANA
GASA
HAA
LHUENTSE
MONGAR
PARO
P/GATSHEL
PUNAKHA
S/JONGKHAR
SAMTSE
SARPANG
THIMPHU
TRASHIGANG
TRASHIYANGTSE
TRONGSA
TSIRANG
WANGDUE
ZHEMGANG
BUMTHANG
22%
30
of PSL applications were related
to non-agriculture CSI. 20 17
11 12
of applicants were in 31-40 10 6 7
5 6
4
38%
1 2 1 2
years of age group, 36% in 21-30
0
years,24% above 40 years and
BUMTHANG
CHHUKHA
DAGANA
GASA
HAA
PARO
SAMTSE
SARPANG
THIMPHU
TRASHIGANG
TRONGSA
TSIRANG
W/PHODRANG
PSL loan sanctioned by the FIs in PSL loan disbursed by the FIs in
Dzongkhags as of June 2018. Dzongkhags as of June 2018.
(Nu. in million ) (Nu. in million )
60
47.8
45
40
20 14.2
6 4
1 2.7 1 3
0.4
0 BOBL BNBL BDBL DPNBL Tbank RICBL
• Low level use of technology with lack of skills, innovative business ideas and creativity.
• Except for one or two groups, all proponents were Individuals and therefore projects were of
small scale and dispersed.
a) On a calendar year basis (eg: entry under 2015/16 is for 2015). b) Source: National Statistics Bureau c) Source:
Reserve Bank of India. Effective April 2011, the RBI has revised the base year from 2004/05 to 2011/12, creating a
break in the continuity and comparison of data. The newly calculated WPI commenced from the month of April 2011
onwards. d) Data for 2017/18 are revised estimates. e) Debt service payments in percent of exports of goods and
services. * Total expenditure includes net lending and other payments.
W
ith slowdown in hydro power a 10.7 percentage points increase in consumer
investment, the economic growth spending revealed that the economy continues to
dipped to 4.6 percent in 2017 be consumption oriented.
against 8 percent growth in 2016. In
consideration to the nearing completion of three Similarly, due to increase in tourism demand
mega projects, the hydro investment resulted in and unexpected growth in external demand
8.1 percentage points drop in the overall private for domestic manufactured goods and mineral
investment demand. products, the overall exports increased by
11.6 percent in 2017. Simultaneously, slowing
The modest growth was primarily supported import demand through subdued hydro power
by endured fiscal expansion and restoration investment curtailed the external demand.
of private consumption spending. The higher
investment for public infrastructure development On the production front, unfavourable
and increased capital grants disbursement to hydrological flows for electricity generation and
public entities expanded government investment dwindling hydro power construction activities has
demand by 23.4 percent in real terms. decelerated economic growth in 2017. Electricity
production comprised 15 percent of total output,
Upward government spending, moderate inflation a 3.8 percent point drop in electricity and a
level, improved access to credit and enhanced sharp slowdown in construction activities at 6.3
external demand on domestic products, along percent (2016:13.6%) during the year were main
with higher disposable income supported contributors for slower GDP growth.
the growth recovery of private consumption.
Given that almost 55 percent of total domestic On the upside, with gaining momentum of
expenditure is composed of private consumption, private consumption spending, expansionary
15
% Change
6.6 8.0
5.7
4.6
0 1.4
-15
-30
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
10 Electricity
Mining
8.0
Financial services
% Change
6.6
6 5.7 Agriculture
4.6 Trade & restaurant
Social services
Manufacturing
-2
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Public administration
fiscal operations boosted industrial and mining Given the limited domestic productive capacity,
production by 5.5 percent and 7 percent a sizeable portion of domestic demand is met
respectively. Likewise, a resilient demand in externally. Further, with the weak export-oriented
tourism sector (21.5% growth), production in manufactured products to meet external demand
transportation and restaurant services attained a has resulted persistent trade deficit. Therefore,
maximum growth at 12 percent and 11.1 percent the economic growth firmly anchored on domestic
respectively. This has been further boosted by the demand. The increase in real domestic demand
expansion of financial services through a financial by 2.7 percent translated into Nu.32.04 billion
inclusion and priority sector lending program. imports, constituting 40 percent of total demand.
At the same time, excessive aggregate demand
Meanwhile, the Government’s commitment for with a higher saving-investment gap posed serious
extending quality health and education services external imbalances-resulting into high current
through enhanced fiscal and monetary program account deficit and depletion of international
witnessed a reasonable level of growth in social reserves.
services (by 5.8%).
30
20
% Change
10
0
-10
-20
-30
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
I
n the midst of increased domestic demand, significant fall in the vehicle import prices1.
headline inflation was at record low of 2.6
percent in June 2018 (June 2017:5.9%). It Equally, underlying inflation, as measured by the
was primarily the enduring effect of fall in core inflation (excluding food and energy prices)
the crude oil prices in 2018 and impact of dropped significantly at 1.1 percent in June
second-round effects of declining fuel prices on 2017, compared to 3.7 percent in the previous
food and other non-food prices. Moreover, due to year. The deceleration in housing inflation, fall
Goods and Services Tax (GST) implementation in in the price of vehicle purchase, transportation,
India, since the last quarter of 2017, there was a communication and recreation services are
14
12
10
% Change
8
6
4
2
0
2014 2014 2014 2015 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018
M2 M6 M10 M2 M6 M10 M2 M6 M10 M2 M6 M10 M2 M6
Headline inflation Core Inflation (excluding food & fuel) Food & fuel inflation
1
The price of vehicle imports from India is estimated to fall by 14-21 percent with the waiving off excise
duty on vehicles under the new Goods & Services Tax regime in India.
Inflationary pressure
in food items remain
elevated within 5-6
percent even though a
slowdown was witnessed
in domestic vegetable
price level. Externally,
constant increase in
food prices in India due
to supply disruptions
and spillover effects
from global prices have Chart 3.2.4 Contribution by domestic
impacted the food and imported inflation (% share)
inflation in Bhutan.
Amongst food items,
import prices of cereals,
fruits and vegetables have
risen during the period.
A
lthough overall unemployment level constitutes 10.3 percent, accounting 54 percent
has been estimated within the natural of total unemployment . The unemployment rate
rate of unemployment, the labor among educated youth is five times higher with
market in Bhutan is characterized a university graduate and two times higher for
by structural issues. In 2017, overall secondary education level as compared to average
unemployment rate was low at 2.4 percent, but youth unemployment rate of 13.2 percent in
youth unemployment was almost five times of 2016.
national unemployment. About 60 percent of
total employment was in agricultural sector, on The persistent mismatch of skills between the
the contrary, the share of agriculture to GDP demand and supply in the labor market is a
constitutes less than 15 percent. Employability critical factor for rising youth unemployment.
70 18
68.6 13.2
68 67.4 15
Labour force participation rate
10.7
falls with the education level. Of the total For instance, in 2017, as indicated by available
unemployed persons, 70 percent remained vacancies, the demand for middle higher
unemployed for more than six months. With the education with certificates and diploma
gradual increase in education level among the constitutes about 54.7 percent, whereas only
labor force, labor force participation rate (LFPR) 20.8 percent were for university graduates. The
improved at 63.3 percent in 2017 (2016:62.2%). employability among educated youths with skills
The LFPR is much lower in rural areas compared were much higher than the general graduates.
to urban areas and is higher among the male
population. In terms of employment by economic sectors,
agriculture is the principal sector for absorbing
Of the given labor force of 354,652, the youth 57.2 percent of total employment. The
2
Reference to labor market analysis is based on 2016 data and labor market information for 2017 is
sourced from Population and Housing Census of Bhutan (PHCB),NSB.
Employed Unemployed
60
57
42.8 42
45 41 40.4
Shares (%)
30
33
16.7 17
15
10
0
Agriculture Industry Services
GDP share (2010) GDP share (2016) Labor share (2016) Labor share (2010)
T
he budgetary operations of the double of the first year’s capital budget. Following
Government remains within the a constant build-up in capital in the past, the
prudential limits prescribed by the maintenance expenditure has increased over the
Public Finance Act 2007. During the years. Similarly, expansion in public employees
FY 2017/18, the fiscal deficit recorded by 3.9 percent in 2017 and periodic salary
low at 1.1 percent of GDP, with a surplus primary revisions, expenditure on pay and allowances
balance. comprised more than 40 percent of total current
expenditure. The establishment of state-owned
In the final budget of the 11th FYP, Government enterprises during the Plan put extra pressure
spending limit was almost 20 percent higher for capital and current grants and subsidies,
than the previous expenditure outlay. However, accounting 15 percent of total expenditure.
higher mobilization of domestic revenue and
external grants has positioned overall fiscal deficit Despite limited revenue enhancement measures,
4.1 3.0
30
Fiscal balance
1.6
20 -0.0
-1.2 -1.1
10 -3.0
-3.6
0 -6.0
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 (P)
comfortably below the target of 3 percent of GDP. the increase in collection of domestic revenue
Owing to minimal fiscal deficit, a surplus primary was primarily due to increased domestic demand
balance of about one percent of GDP reflects fuelled by growth in real disposable income.
motivation of creating some fiscal space for the
future use. Driven by increasing domestic demand, additional
excise duty refund has been collected for the
The aggregate demand in the economy was imports from India, and enhanced sales and
largely supported by the substantial expansion in business income tax from expansion in trade and
Government expenditure, recording 35.6 percent retail business. With the implementation of GST
of GDP. In the review period, following the fiscal in India, fall in price of selected imported goods
consolidation process at the end of 11th FYP, impacted revenue collection from international
spending on infrastructure and other economic trade. In addition, large disbursement of grants
activities accounted more than one third of the from development partners was able to finance
capital budget. The enhanced capital expenditure almost 60 percent of the capital expenditure.
towards the end of plan period was almost During the FY 2017/18 , the fiscal deficit recorded
low at 1.1 percent of GDP, with a surplus primary the corporate entities and the RMA, and
balance. As a result, the pressure on the current domestic Treasury Bills, the outstanding debt for
account deficit was limited to 19 percent of GDP, Government fiscal operation increased to Nu. 27.4
lower than 24.2 percent of GDP in FY 2016/17. billion at the end of FY 2017/18, equivalent to
16.7 percent of GDP.
Accordingly, the financing requirement from
both domestic and external sources were lower As an alternative source of financing for
due to managed fiscal deficit. Of the total deficit investment in financially viable sectors and
financing, almost two third were availed from for infrastructural development that has fiscal
domestic market borrowings, accounting 13.2 dividend, budgetary borrowings were incurred
percent of total domestic credit flow (Nu.16.24 without distressing fiscal sustainability and
billion). Largely on the part of improved fiscal crowding out private sector investment. For
stance and timely disbursement of external which, non-hydro budgetary loan has been always
grants, dependence on Treasury Bills for financing maintained within the threshold prescribed in
short term cash deficit was also minimized. This the Public Debt Policy and almost 100 percent is
has limited crowding out effect on private sector, external debt which are largely in concessional
supporting quick recovery of both private sector terms. However, the estimated depreciation
consumption and investment demand other than of Ngultrum against US dollar by 6.5 percent
hydro power investment. has directly impacted the cost of external debt
servicing and expanded the level of external debt
Excluding the hydro power, loan availed by stock.
30
20
18.2
Nu. in billion
16.7
16.3 16.4
15.6
23.3 27.4
10 21.7
19.2 19.5
0
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 (P)
T
low product diversification. Meanwhile, the
he health of the external sector is top ten imports constitute about 30 percent
mirrored through the developments in of total imports, contributed largely by fossil
the real, fiscal and monetary sectors. fuel. Statistics shows that the import value has
The nexus of the above three sectors doubled the export proceeds. For instance, export
translated into the level of current proceeds from electricity (Nu.11.99 billion) was
account deficit, its financing requirements, just sufficient to cover fuel import bill from India
pressure on international reserves and the (Nu. 9.53 billion).
exchange rate arrangement.
In terms of direction of trade, India continues to
Bhutan’s external imbalance continues to remain the largest trading partner, constituting
reflect underlying economic fundamentals of 84.8 percent of total export followed by
high dependency on imports (including a large Bangladesh, Italy and Netherlands. Nepal, Hong
expatriate labor force), grant, aid and debt. Kong, Germany and Japan also appeared in the
However, during the FY 2017/18, due to decrease top ten export destination during the FY 2017/18.
in merchandise trade deficit and increase in Similarly, India, South Korea and Japan are the top
-5
% of GDP
-15
-25
-35
capital and financial inflows, the overall balance of three import sources for Bhutan.
payment upturned to positive.
On the service front, the trade-in-service account
However, both trade and current account deficits deficit decreased slightly by 1.8 percent to Nu.
continues to remain elevated during FY 2017/18. 3.35 billion in the FY 2017/18, compared to Nu.
The current account deficit improved to 19 3.41 billion in the FY 2016/17. Within this, higher
percent of GDP, compared to 24.2 percent of GDP receipts were contributed by increase in earnings
during the previous year. The improvement was from Indian tourists recording Nu. 2.99 billion as
primarily due to narrowing of merchandise trade compared to Nu.1.19 billion in the previous year.
deficit from Nu. 31.15 billion in the FY 2016/17 The net primary income deficit registered at Nu.
to Nu.26.96 billion in the FY 2017/18. This was 14.19 billion in FY2017/18, recording 7.4 percent
reflection of increase in merchandise export by growth from the previous year. The increment
5.4 percent, aided by drop in merchandise import was due to increase in interest payment by 7.4
by 3.2 percent. percent on Indian Rupee (INR.12.14 billion) and
Convertible Currency (USD 22.75 million) debt.
About 60 percent of total export constitutes
The net surplus in the secondary income
Electricity 32.1
Ferro silicon 25.9
Cardamom 3.6
Pozzolana cement 3.3
Base metal 2.8
Dolomite 2.8 Top 10 Exports
Calcium carbide 2.3
Silicon carbide 1.9
Boulders 1.9
Ordinary cement 1.6
Diesel 9.9
Petrol 2.9
Iron ore 2.8
Turbine 2.7
Rice 2.5 Top 10 Imports
Machinery 2.2
Coke and semi-coke of coal 2.0
Wood charcoal 1.9
Electrical apparatus 1.7
Vehicles 1.5
5
Chart 3.5.3 Workers remittances
4
Nu. in billion
0
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
1.0
Nu in billion
0.5
-0.5
-1.0
increased to Nu. 13.19 billion from Nu.11.63 form of equity injections, reinvestment of earnings
billion of the previous year, mainly due to increase and inter-company debt inflows.
in disbursements of Convertible Currency grants,
and a receipt of excise duty refund of Nu. 4 billion Total outstanding external debt stood at USD 2.65
from the GoI. billion as of FY 2017/18, reflecting an increase
of USD 136.64 million from the previous year. Of
During the review period, due to decline in the total external debt, 73.5 percent (INR 133.19
hydropower capital transfer, the net receipts in billion) constitutes INR debt and USD 699.82
capital account was recorded at Nu. 11.88 billion, million in the form of Convertible Currency. Within
which is 4.1 percent lower than previous year. the INR debt, about 89.7 percent were related
While the financial account increased by 75.7 to hydropower projects and the remaining was
percent from Nu. 15.77 billion in the previous incurred to meet balance of payments deficit with
year. The increase was attributable to FDI inflows India. Of the total Convertible Currency debt, the
amounting to Nu.218.92 million, mainly in the concessional public debt constitutes 95.7 percent
150
Nu in billion
100
50
Hydropower loan (India) Non-hydropower loan (India) Public & publicly guaranteed loan
(COTI-Concessional)
and 4.3 percent were related to private sector. Deposits, and trade credits and advances of USD
59.9 million and USD 49.5 million respectively.
Consequently, the international reserves
amounted to USD 1.11 billion in June 2018, Total external financial liabilities increased by
compared to USD 1.10 billion in the previous 4.9 percent to USD 3.50 billion as of June 2018.
year. The international reserves were adequate to The increase in financial liabilities was mainly
meet 13 months of merchandise imports, which is driven by loans, comprising 92 percent of total
equivalent to 42.5 percent of external debt. financial liabilities. The external loan increased
to USD 3.22 billion from USD 3.06 billion of the
previous year. The Currency and Deposits, trade
International Investment
credits and advances and Special Drawing Rights
Position (IIP)* also represents the total external liabilities of the
economy.
As of June 2018, the volume of total external
financial assets amounted to USD 1.15 billion, As a result, the international investment position
a decrease of 3.1 percent from previous year. of Bhutan stood at negative, amounting to USD
Majority of assets (USD 1.04 billion) represents 2.36 billion as of June 2018.
the reserves asset followed by Currency and
1
Excludes US dollar pledge on any outstanding overdraft as of the reference date (Differences in value of reserve
assets reflected here from gross international reserves appearing elsewhere in the report may be due to exchange
rates for individual components); Revisions made to this series: (1) SDR holdings and allocations were sourced from
the IMF website and valued using relevant end of period exchange rates. (2) Coverage of data on trade credits and FDI
are being continuously improved. (3) From June 2013 onwards, C&D liabilities include accrued interest where available.
*
The IIP is the financial statement that depicts the values of country’s external financial assets and liabilities. The
difference between country’s international financial assets and liabilities is the net international investment position.
Positive net IIP indicates that the nation is the creditor while negative indicates a debtor.
40
30
20
10
T
he monetary development was characterized
by large volatility due to uncertainty of Reserve money (RM) or high-powered money
capital inflows particularly related to hydro signifies the Central Bank liabilities that influences
power projects, frequent recourse to government the expansion and contraction of broad money
borrowing to finance cash deficit, and change in supply. The behaviour of reserve money was
the currency demand. Due to absence of effective largely determined by the stance of liquidity
liquidity management operations and constant condition. The cash reserve ratio (CRR) is the only
build-up of excessive reserves in the banking monetary instrument so far used by the RMA to
system, the growth path of reserve money and manage the liquidity of the banking system.
money supply remained highly volatile. Other
combined macroeconomic factors such as The reserve money recorded negative growth
economic growth, level of inflation, interest rates of 2.5 percent in June 2018, due to dropped in
and exchange rate development also affected the bank’s deposit maintained at the RMA. With
demand for money. increase in digital payment and lower inflation,
growth in currency in circulation, which accounted
36.7 percent of total reserve money, slowed
down significantly to 6.4 percent from 19.2
Reserve money (M0)
fell by
percent during FY 2016/17. Banks’ deposit
(CRR and excess reserve) held with the RMA
also experienced a negative growth (7%) due to
2.5%
contributed by
decrease of deposits in the commercial banks.
0.40 0.40
0.36 0.36
0.31 0.31
0.27 0.27
Ratio
0.22 0.22
Ratio
0.18 0.18
0.13 0.13
0.09 0.09
0.04 0.04
0.00 0.00
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
(Jun)
Reserve-deposit ratio Excess reserve-deposit ratio Currency-deposit ratio Money multiplier (RHS)
(*) For monetary analysis, the balance sheets of banks are classified within the framework of the Monetary and
Financial Statistics Manual (MFSM 2000) of the IMF. Data classification and computation done by the Department of
Macroeconomic Research and Statistics of the RMA are not directly comparable to those compiled and published by
the Department of Financial Regulation and Supervision.
1
Reserve money comprises of central bank liabilities such as currency in circulation, cash reserve requirement and
excessive reserves.
10.4%
supply was recorded at 10.4 percent as compared
Money Supply
to 31.5 percent in the FY 2016/17, mainly on
account of lower growth in aggregate deposits
(M2) growth fell to
and decline in NFA. in FY 2017/18 from
The growth in aggregate deposits, which forms
92 percent of money supply decelerated by 10.9
percent in the FY 2017/18. A lower growth in
both transferable deposits (saving and current
31.5%
in FY 2016/17
deposits) and other deposits (fixed and foreign
currency deposits) also contributed to slowdown
in aggregate deposits although, there has been from the financial sector to finance Government
little easing in the deposit rates. In addition, lower short-term cash deficit through Treasury Bills has
deposit mobilization by the banks also resulted also contributed to the growth in domestic credit.
into slowdown in domestic credit growth.
Money multiplier stood at 3.4 in the FY 2017/18,
In terms of sources of money supply, NFA which affected mainly by excess reserve-deposit ratio.
was the main driver of liquidity condition in the The currency-deposit ratio and reserve-deposit
banking system has been declining over the years. ratio remained stable over the years. On the other
The decline in NFA growth contributed to lower hand, the velocity of money remained constant
growth in money supply. The domestic credit at 1.5 percent, indicating stability in the financial
grew by 17.9 percent in the FY 2017/18, mainly system.
contributed by credit to private sector (15.7 %).
The Government borrowings
80 20
Growth in percent
Nu. in billion
60 15
40 10
20 5
0 0
Credit to commercial sector Growth (Y-o-Y) RHS
Nu. 108.81
Development in credit is generally influenced by
liquidity in the banking sector, quality of assets,
cost of fund and economic conditions. With
nascent stage of capital market development and billion (as of June 2018).
continued reliance on credit from the banking
…with nascent capital market
sector, the domestic credit market has been on
development and excess liquidity
an expansionary mode in the recent years. As of conditions, the banking sector influenced
June 2018, the total credit outstanding of the the domestic credit market.
15
10
0
Agriculture
Service &
tourism
Manufacturing
Building &
construction
Trade &
commerce
Transport
Personal
loans
Others
25
Dec 2017
Jun 2018
20
15
% share
10
0
Agriculture
Manufacturing
Service &
Housing
Transport
Others
tourism
Trade &
Personal loan
commerce
financial institutions recorded a growth of 13.3 agriculture increased by 11.1 percent in June
percent, increasing to Nu. 108.81 billion. It is 2018, while in terms of share to GDP, it remained
largely contributed by higher growth in transport constant at 5.2 percent. Meanwhile, the personal
(27.2%), services (25.9%) and housing sector loans which was generally considered high quality
(18.5%). assets recorded a negative growth of 6.1 percent
in the FY 2017/18.
Of the total credit, bank financed 82.1 percent
amounting to Nu. 89.50 billion, and remaining In terms of asset quality, the Non-Performing
17.9 percent (Nu. 19.32 billion) were financed by Loans (NPL) of FIs increased to Nu.12.54 billion in
the non-banks. June 2018, resulting into a marginal deterioration
of assets quality from 11.4 percent to 11.5
Credit to housing, which accounts for 23.6 percent percent.
of total credit, rose by 17.1 percent on account of
higher demand for construction and real estates. Most of the sectors experienced decline in the
On the other hand, flow of credit to tourism and NPL, except manufacturing, housing and transport
services (23.2%) and manufacturing sector (12.3%) sectors. In terms of share, the highest NPL is
declined significantly due to high exposure. While, recorded in trade and commerce (21.3%) followed
the growth in transport loan increased from 10.3 by services and tourism (19.2%) and housing
percent to 15.5 percent in the FY 2017/18. (17.9%) sectors.
The credit profile for trade and commerce, which However, the trend in asset quality is still
accounts 14 percent of total credit revived after a manageable since the loans recovery generally
significant decline in June 2017. begins from the third quarter of the year and the
NPL normally stabilizes towards end of the year.
With the implementation of the PSL, credit to
C
redit plays an important role in
economic growth, particularly in 180 Private sector credit and
nominal GDP trend
a bank–based financial system. 162
Given the shallow capital market 144
in Bhutan, the economy has been 126
relying largely on credit from banks and
Nu. in billion
108 Credit to Pvt. sector by FIs
non-banks to finance domestic investment. 90 Nominal GDP
72
In Bhutan, the banking sector credit alone
54
constituted around 64 percent of credit to
36
GDP, concentrating mainly in construction
and service sectors. Almost 90 percent of 18
credit were allocated to the private sector. 0
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Bhutan’s credit growth reflects high
volatility, largely determined by capital possible reasons for expansion of credit,
inflows. Over the year, credit to commercial which resulted into higher credit gap in
sector grew on an average by 22.2 percent, 2012. Although, the financial sector were
while the nominal gross domestic product well capitalized and resilient to potential
(GDP) grew only by 14.1 percent on vulnerabilities, the risk of spillover to the
average, indicating high macroeconomic real sector was imminent, causing external
vulnerabilities. Moreover, the productivity imbalance.
of credit expansion has been deteriorating
due to increasing allocation of credit in With measures put in place in 2012, the
consumption and import led sectors, leading credit gap continued to fall and remained
to unevenly distribution of credit and rising below the threshold. Based on current
bad assets in these sectors. empirical result, the credit gap has been
rising steadily, but remains within the
The prolonged excessive credit growth and threshold level. However, it is important
high leverage in these sectors would not to keep vigilance over credit growth and
only pose a systematic risk to financial leverage expansion because it is not
stability but also causes macroeconomic sustainable in the long run, given the
imbalances. The data shows strong persistent high current account deficit along
correlation between credit and nominal GDP with low domestic investment, low saving,
trend. The credit to GDP gap was used as an high external debt and limited policy buffers.
indicator to examine excess growth to signal
build-up of systematic vulnerabilities in the
banking sector. It is used as a benchmark
buffer guide for countercyclical capital
Credit to GDP gap 60
buffer as recommended by the Basel III 50
guidelines. 40
30
Percentage points (gap)
Ratio
1.0 20
An analysis from credit gap showed two .08 10
episodes of credit boom in Bhutan, with .06 00
one in 1998 and another in 2012. The gap .04
.02
generally refers to the deviation of credit-
.00
to GDP ratio from long term trend, which is -.02
computed by using an HP (lamda =100) filter. -.04
Compared to 1998, the credit gap was severe
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
C
onsidering the improving With additional tax measures, the domestic
performance of emerging revenue is expected to increase by around
economies, particularly India, 27.6 percent in FY 2019/20. At the same
and its structural and economic time, the outlay is expected to increase
reforms to support growth, the to 30.2 percent of GDP, due to increases
macroeconomic condition in Bhutan looks in current expenditure driven by pay
favourable in the medium-term. and allowances for civil servants and
resumption of infrastructure development
According to the MFCTC1 estimates, expenditure, resulting in higher fiscal
economic growth is projected to average deficit in FY 2019/20.
6.5 percent over the medium-term, driven
by construction and service sectors. The FY 2018/19
construction of new hydro power plants,
Real GDP growth Inflation
broadening of revenue base through tax
is projected at manageable at
rationalization and rescheduling of loan
6.1% 5%
disbursement of Puna I and II are the main
underlying assumptions for the revision
of higher growth prospects. Subsequently,
growth is expected to further accelerate
at 6.8 percent in FY 2019-20, largely due Fiscal deficit Current account
to coming on stream of two hydro power expected to deficit projected
projects. remain below to improve to
1
These projections are based on the multi-sector Macroeconomic Framework Coordination Technical
Committee’s (MFCTC) update for Q3 2018 and are subject to change in the next round of revisions. The
policy arm of the Committee is chaired by the Secretary of the Ministry of Finance
T
he RMA’s monetary policy operation rate arrangement, the RMA also has an important
framework implicitly aims to achieve role in monetary and credit management by
price stability. The intermediate target resorting to the reserve requirements and
for achieving price stability in Bhutan prudential measures.
is to maintain the one-to-one peg
exchange arrangement between Indian Rupee and Currently, the RMA conducts monetary policy
Ngultrum. through the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) and interest
rate policy to influence credit and monetary
Targeting the exchange rate, however, implies the aggregates. The RMA also relies on sweeping
acceptance of India’s monetary policy. In other arrangement to manage volatility of liquidity
words, an independent monetary policy in Bhutan conditions in the money market and commercial
is more or less, precluded. As a consequence, bank’s balance sheet.
monetary policy is confined to support the peg,
fulfilling the following basic conditions: Over the years, the liquidity sterilized from the
commercial banks through the CRR and sweeping
a) Readily making available sufficient Indian has increased gradually with the increase in
Rupee on demand for exchange with deposits of commercial banks. While, a part of
the Ngultrum for payments in India and excess liquidity is absorbed by the CRR, there still
provisioning 100 percent reserve backing for remains a substantial amount of excess liquidity in
all Ngultrum issued to ensure sustainability the banking system.
of the exchange rate system.
As an import-dependent economy, with high trade
b) Confidence-building measures for Ngultrum deficit, lending by financial institutions directly
( by making a credible monetary and fiscal translates into imports, putting subsequent
policies). pressure on international reserves requires a
broader framework to manage domestic liquidity.
c) Sterilizing persistent growth in the liquidity
to forestall possible build-up in the
inflationary pressure, weakening of balance Liquidity Conditions in the
of payments, and mitigate the contingent Banking Sector
effect in the financial system.
The development of liquidity in the banking
While ensuring the sustainability of the exchange sector affects growth of money and credit in the
25
Nu. in billion
20
15
10
-0.5
Jun 2016
Aug 2016
Oct 2016
Feb 2017
Apr 2017
Jun 2017
Aug 2017
Oct 2017
Dec 2017
Feb 2018
Apr 2018
Jun 2018
40
Nu. in billion
20
-20
Jun 2016
Aug 2016
Oct 2016
Feb 2017
Apr 2017
Jun 2017
Aug 2017
Oct 2017
Dec 2017
Feb 2018
Apr 2018
Jun 2018
-40
economy. An effective liquidity management and The liquidity conditions are based on the analysis
forecasting framework is the cornerstone for the of the autonomous factors sourced from the
RMA to fulfill legal mandate to formulate and balance sheet of the Central Bank. This is because
implement monetary policy. the Central Bank is the creator of liquidity in the
banking sector.
Having an effective liquidity management
framework will (i) allow the RMA to effectively Autonomous factors are defined as the items on
signal implement monetary policy transmission the central bank’s balance sheet, either on asset
and (ii) create supportive conditions for the or on the liability side that are not controlled by
development of money markets. the central bank through monetary policy. The
components of autonomous factors in the RMA’s
Table 4.1 Liquidity Position and Liquidity Management Operation (Nu.in billion)
Sweeping Accounts are the current account of RGOB, Hydropower Projects, other project accounts maintained
1
with commercial banks that are being swept by the RMA at the end of day. The accounts are swept due to its
unpredictability and volatility.
Lending
Longer-term liquidity
facility
management operations
Fine-tuning operations
Structural operations
2
Liquidity absorbing factors include Currency in circulation, Net domestic assets,
Net Government account and Sweeping accounts.
(*) Absorbing liquidity from the Banks for a specific period and rate that will be determined by the RMA
G
lobal experience over the past decade shows that the inflation dynamics are
undergoing significant changes – there are evidences of flattening of Phillips curve
(i.e. inflation is turning out to be less responsive to output gap1 ). This makes inflation
forecasting difficult and challenging. An augmented Philips Curve approach was
deployed for modelling inflation in Bhutan using data from 1999 to 2018.
The Phillips Curve framework postulates that inflation rate in the short run (over the course
of the business cycle) is determined by three main factors - (i) the level of economic activity
in relation to its potential (which can be proxied by estimates of the output gap) (ii) expected
inflation and (iii) supply shocks. Cross-country experience suggests that inflation expectations
are largely adaptive in nature (i.e. past inflation trends have a large influence on inflation
expectations), and this phenomenon is relevant for emerging and developing countries
including Bhutan. Thus, inflation in Bhutan can be considered as backward-looking. India being
the major trading partner of Bhutan with more than half of Bhutan’s inflation being imported,
inflation trends in India ( Indian wholesale price inflation in manufactured products are
included in the model to capture the supply shock.
Where;
Inft = CPI Inflation in Bhutan
gap = output gap in Bhutan
ind_inf = wholesale price index inflation (manufactured products) in India.
Figures in parentheses are t-statistics and **** indicate the significance at 1% ** at 5% and * at
10 %. Sample period for the estimation is 1999-2017.
R-square=0.96
Root Mean Squre Error (MSE)=1.28
Durbin-Watson d-statistic = 2.28
The model has a good explanatory power and all the variables are statistically significant. The
regression results suggest that inflation in Bhutan is highly inertial with a coefficient of 0.67
on lagged inflation. Output gap (an indicator for excess demand pressures in the economy) is
statically significant and positive. The point estimate suggests that an increase of one percent
change in output gap could increase inflation by 0.21 percent with a lag of one year.
This highlights the role of demand conditions on inflationary developments in Bhutan and
signifies the critical role of monetary policy in managing the domestic demand and inflation.
The role of imported inflation from India is confirmed by the regression estimates. The estimates
indicate that a one percentage point in Indian inflation (measured by wholesale manufactured
products inflation) pushes up inflation in Bhutan by 0.44 percent. Thus, higher inflation in
India contributes to inflationary pressures in Bhutan and ebbing of inflation in India eases
inflationary pressure in Bhutan.
1
The output gap is measured by the deviation of actual output from its potential level, expressed as a
percentage of potential output. The measurement of potential output level is quite challenging and data
intensive, especially for developing countries like Bhutan given the rapid structural transformation. A simple
and common approach, Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter is used to estimate potential output and output gap.
A
central element of the Monetary Policy is the Key Policy Rate. The Key Policy Rate is the
rate at which the central bank signal its monetary policy stance based on inflation,
output and broader macroeconomic considerations. For illustrative purpose, the RMA
used Taylor Rule to determine the key policy rate in Bhutan. The Taylor Rule is a simple
monetary policy rule that suggests how a central bank could adjust its interest rate
policy instrument in a systematic manner in response to developments in inflation and output.
Thus, it provides guidance to the Central Bank in determining interest rate policy.
According to the Taylor Rule, the nominal interest rate should respond to deviation of the actual
inflation rate from its target and size of the output gap. In the original version of the Taylor Rule,
the coefficient on inflation gap and output gap was estimated at 1.5 and 0.5, respectively [R1]
There are two common modifications of Taylor’s original rule for policy inputs. The first is
to introduce inertia in the rule proposed by Taylor (1993) with a weight of 0.85 on the lagged
interest rate [R2]. The second (Taylor 1999) suggested a coefficient on real output twice as high as
compared to the Taylor (1993) to give a balanced weights to inflation and output deviations [R3]
For Bhutan, using the three alternative Taylor Rules discussed above, the assumptions on the
neutral real interest rate and the inflation target, and forecasts of inflation from the Phillips curve
framework, the illustrative range of interest rates estimated from the various rules are set out in
the table below.
1
The inflation gap is the difference between current year’s inflation projection and the central bank’s target.
Since the RMA does not have any explicit inflation target, it is assumed that RMA has an interim inflation target
of 5% in 2018 and 4.75% in 2019.
2
Neutral real interest rate is the level of real interest rate when the economy is growing at its potential rate
and inflation is at its target. Since no estimates on real neutral interest rate are available for Bhutan, we
assumed that Bhutan’s neutral interest rate is close to that of India.
P
rior to 1999, the interest rates were directly set by the RMA. With the rapid financial sector
development and continued dependency for investment finance from the banking sector,
the interest rate in Bhutan was deregulated in April 1999, allowing the banks to determine
deposit and lending rates by the market forces.
To strengthen monetary policy operation, RMA introduced and implemented the base rate
system in September 2012. It is a minimum rate below which it is not viable for the financial
institutions to lend. It also served as the reference benchmark for floating rate loan products,
apart from other external market-based benchmark rates.
A review for the Base Rate system was conducted in early 2016, since it revealed some rigidities
in the banking system. To address the rigidities, a new forward looking and integrated interest
rate policy known as the Minimum Lending Rate (MLR) was introduced and implemented with
effect from August 1, 2016. The main objective of the MLR was to encourage competition and
develop professionalism among the Financial Institutions to result in a balanced approach for
financial intermediation.
i. Marginal Cost calculated based on interest rates times the weight. The weight
is derived as the percentage of total fund.
ii. Negative Carry Charges on CRR: The cost that the banks incur while
maintaining 10% reserve with the RMA (Required CRR * (Marginal Cost/
1-Required CRR)
iii. Operating Cost: Is arrived by dividing the operating cost by the total
deposits of the bank.
On the single MLR, each financial institution are free to add its expected spread to arrive at the
median final lending rate. Financial institutions compute their product-specific final lending
rates by adding the following components to the MLR: Credit risk and tenor premium, and an
item covering the bank’s business strategy cost.
Financial institutions cannot lend below the MLR except for selected loans such as:
As of June 2018, the Single MLR is computed at 6.3 percent, a decrease by 0.2 percentage
points from 6.5 percent as of June 2016. The table below illustrates the computation of MLR.
The decrease in MLR was mainly contributed by fall in operational cost to 0.9 percent
in June 2018 from 1.1 percent in June 2017. Wages and salaries continue to be a major
component of bank’s operating cost. Marginal cost and CRR cost remain constant at
4.8 percent and 0.5 percent respectively. The marginal cost which accounted 77.6
percent of total MLR, attributing to the cost on fixed deposits. Among the banks,
the BoBL has lowest marginal cost due to high current account deposits, mainly
contributed by the corporate and government deposits. While, CRR cost remained
constant over the period without revison on the CRR rate.
Implementation of the MLR has helped in moderation of the overall interest rate
structure and in bringing some level of competition in product pricing among banks.
However, the impact of this moderation is only felt by certain loan sectors such as
housing and construction, and consumption oriented loans. The BoBL, a dominant
bank continues to have a comparative advantage over smaller banks while pricing of
loans and limiting level playing field in determination of interest rate in the market.
Deposit Rates
The saving rates for all banks ranged at 5.0-6.0 percent as of June 2018. The lower
bound on the interest rate range for various time deposits with maturity up to 3 years
have marginally decreased in 2018. While the upper bound also decreased slightly by
200 basis points from 10 percent in June 2017.
Meanwhile, lower bound of interest rates for deposits with a maturity more than 3
years slightly declined by 25 basis points and the upper range has increased by 75
basis points in June 2018. On an average from June 2017 to June 2018, the deposit
rates of commercial banks declined from 7.1 percent to 6 percent, reflecting a fall in
the overall deposit rates of the banks.
Lending Rates
On the lending front, average lending rates of commercial banks across all the sectors increased
during the review year. The major sector such as housing marginally increased on average from
10.6 percent to 10.9 percent as of June 2018, while service sector also witnessed an increase
from 10 percent to 10.5 percent in June 2018. The personal and transport sectors also recorded
a marginal increase in the lending rates. On average, the overall lending rate of the banks
increased from 10.9 percent in 2017 to 11.5 percent in 2018.
The collateral framework also defines risk control measures based on issuer. With the
implementation of the monetary policy by the RMA, the banks can avail liquidity from the
RMA by pledging the eligible Securities. The RMA has identified three categories of debt
instrument based on issuers and credit risk.
6.0 3.0
Nu. in billion
5.0 2.5
In percent
4.0 2.0
3.0 1.5
2.0 1.0
1.0 0.5
0 0.0
3Jan, 18 3Feb, 18 3Mar, 18 3Apr, 18 3May, 18 3June, 18 3Jul, 18 3Aug, 18 3Sep, 18 3Oct, 18 3Nov, 18
During the year, T-bills rates remained on an average of 2.52 percent compared to around
1.57 percent in the previous year. The T-bills rates have been determined depending on the
liquidity in the banking system. In the month of November 2018, T-Bill (R302) amounting
Nu.4.5 billion were issued at the weighted average rate of 1.67 percent for the maturity
period of sixty-four days. The T-Bill was issued solely by RGoB to meet the day to day cash
requirement.
Mostly, it is the banks who are active in purchasing the T-bills as they have surplus short
term liquidity. It also shows that in the absence of short term investment avenues, banks
have been investing in T-bills.
The Workshop provided opportunity to discuss the modernization of India’s Monetary Policy
Framework of inflation targeting and the implication for Bhutan and Nepal, given the pegged
exchange arrangement with Indian Rupee. In addition to inflation spillovers to Bhutan and
Nepal, the discussions also touched on the setting of policy rates in Nepal and Bhutan and
the impact of capital account liberalization in India on Bhutan and Nepal. The Workshop also
discussed options to strengthen analytical capacity, including monetary transmission and
common challenge faced by central banks in emerging market economies.
The Workshop was attended by high-level officials from the Nepal Rastra Bank, Reserve Bank
of India and staff from the IMF and IMF SARTTAC. Participants from Bhutan included Members
of the RMA Board, two Honorable Members of the National Council and senior officials from the
RMA, MoF, GNHC, RIGSS and BCCI.
The Governor Dasho Penjore delivered the Opening Remarks during the Workshop held in Paro.
T
he financial system plays a critical role of financial system and to support sustainable
in the economy. It enables the financial economic growth and employment creation.
intermediation process which facilitates
the flow of funds between savers and
Financial Sector Review
borrowers, thus ensuring that financial
resources are allocated efficiently towards The financial sector of Bhutan consists of five
promoting economic growth and development. commercial banks and three non-banks (two
Financial stability describes the condition where insurance companies and one pension fund).
the financial intermediation process functions The existing level of liquidity and capital in the
smoothly and there is confidence in the operation financial sector indicated a favorable position.
T
he RMA Act 2010 empowers the RMA Section 8, RMA Act 2010 aims to promote
with explicit, statutory mandate to sound practices and good governance in the
protect and enhance financial stability financial services industry to protect it against
in Bhutan. This mandate includes efforts to systemic risk; and subject to the above,
prevent a systemic event and, should a crisis promotes macro-economic stability and
occur, assistance with restoring financial economic growth in Bhutan.
stability in the country.
Macroprudential Micro
Macroeconomic Policy prudential
Policies Policy
Individual
Financial Stability
Price Institutional
& Systemic Risk
Stability Risks
of key financial institutions and markets within the Further, the strengthening of the regulatory and
economy. supervisory framework and the risk management
measures enabled the financial sector to remain
When financial stability risks are managed resilient to external shocks.
well, systemic financial crises are less likely to
occur, and can easily manage and mitigate the Over the recent years, asset growth of financial
spill-over effects during the crisis. The RMA’s sector has averaged almost 10.5 percent, rising
prudential supervision of the financial institutions from Nu. 107.47 billion in June 2015 to Nu.
contributes towards an efficient functioning 161.15 billion in June 2018. The growth in asset
Chart 5.1: Loans and advances from the financial system 109
100 95
89.49
87
76.72
80 72 71.44
63
61.34
Nu in billion
60 55.27
40
18 19
20 15
10
8
Bank loans & advances Non-Banks loans & advances Total FIs loans & advances
was largely driven by the loans and advances. Of 49.5 percent, followed by bonds and borrowing at
the total asset, banks’ comprise of 86.3 percent 16.8 percent.
and the remaining 13.7 percent by non-banks.
The total credit of the financial sector stood at The overall capital funds position of the banking
Nu.108.81 billion as of June 2018 as compared to sector improved at Nu.17 billion as of June 2018,
Nu.95.06 billion in June 2017. Correspondingly, an increase of 6 percent, enlarging the buffer
the domestic credit to GDP ratio, increased to 65.2 available for absorbing risk. Further, both banking
percent in June 2018 from 64.2 percent in June and the non-banking sector saw an increase in the
2017 indicating expansion in the domestic credit. risk-weighted assets (RWA) of 11.8 percent and
8.4 percent respectively.
The total liabilities of the financial sector
increased to Nu. 161.15 billion in June 2018. Of Despite an increase in the capital fund, higher
this, the banking sector deposits accounted 70.4 increase in RWA has resulted in lowering the Risk
percent, followed by reserves and capital with Weighted Capital Adequacy Ratio (RWCA) and
13.5 percent. Core Capital Ratio (CCR) for both banks and non-
banks. Nevertheless, the ratios remained above
The major component of liability in the non- the minimum regulatory requirement of 12.5
banking sector was the insurance fund, comprising percent.
33.6%
Corporate deposits
16.4%
RWCAR ratio for banks
(Fell by 1.3%).
66.4% 15.1%
RWCAR ratio for non-banks
Retail deposits
(Fell by 2.3%)
The fall in corporate deposits Both the ratios remained above the
has decreased liquidity of minimum regulatory requirement
banks due to its seasonal and of 12.5% (including the capital
unpredictable nature. conservation buffer of 2.5%).
20% 97.47
100 94.44 95.4
20
17.5% 17.9%
17.2%
16.4%
80
Nu in billion
75.12
In percent
14.1% 14.1%
15.2% 13.4%
13.2%
15
60
10
40
Profitability of both banks and non-banks have billion with an excess liquidity of Nu.13.39 billion
improved, generating a combined net profit to meet the payment obligations.
of Nu.802.72 million in June 2018. While the
profitability indicators have improved, the Return SLR position for non-banks also remained well
on Assets (0.5 %) and Return on Equity (3.9%) above the minimum statutory requirement of
remained below satisfactory level. 10 percent of the total liabilities. The position
improved by 2.7 percent mainly due to the
Banks liquidity position (SLR) stood at 31 increase in quick assets of non-banks by Nu.
percent, which is above the minimum statutory 663.39 million. The quick assets amounted to
requirement of 20 percent of the total liabilities. Nu. 2.4 billion against the minimum requirement
The quick assets amounted to Nu. 37.66 billion of Nu. 1.86 billion with an excess liquidity of
against the minimum requirement of Nu. 24.27 Nu.573.44 million .
14.2%
18.52
13.2%
17.40
12%
In percent
11.9%
11.3%
15 9.9% 10
10
5
50 3.27
3.74 3.06 3.52
2.43 2.91 2.48 2.78
1.97 2.19
11%
12%
Nu.1.74 billion
&
Housing
Service/Tourism
5% in June 2018.
6%
5%
2017 29.36
2016 22.75
2015 23.99
2014 22.50
2013 19.93
2012 17.63
2011 14.38
2010 10.01
2009 8.07
2008 7.37
2007 5.03
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Nu. in billion
70,000
Number of shareholders
60,000
48,005 48,077
50,000
40,774
40,000
30,000
17,654
20,000
11,782 12,851
10,000
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
B
hutan’s external sector has been a direct impact on price movement in Bhutan.
characterized by persistent current While ensuring sustainability of the exchange rate
account deficit, particularly with India. arrangement, the RMA has a vital role in managing
As an aid, import and hydro dependent domestic credit, as it has direct implications on
economy, the imperatives of managing price level and reserves. The monetary policy
the foreign exchange reserves prudently, without operation, therefore, is pursued through (i) cash
compromising with the existing exchange rate peg reserve ratio and interest rate policy to influence
arrangement, becomes challenging. credit and monetary aggregates, and (ii) prudent
management of international reserves to support
Given the close economic and financial linkages the peg.
with India, Bhutan opted to peg the Ngultrum at
par with the Indian Rupee since its introduction With rapid pace of economic development,
in 1974. Over the years, the existing exchange Bhutan has been experiencing persistent external
rate arrangement, complemented by free and imbalances, which is partly reflected in elevated
preferential trade agreement, have further current account deficit (19 % of GDP), implying
facilitated and deepened Bhutan’s economic that the country has been building up foreign
engagement with India. With limited monetary liabilities that are largely financed through
policy flexibility due to fixed exchange rate financial inflows rather than export performances.
regime, the monetary policy operation, therefore,
is guided by the principle of safeguarding the Over the decades, Bhutan’s openness increased
exchange rate peg with the Indian Rupee through rapidly, particularly with India. However, the
readily making available Indian Rupee on demand openness has been principally led by imports,
for exchange and payment in India. constituting almost 75 percent of total trade with
India. With lack of export diversification, Bhutan
Therefore, monetary policy conducted in the continues to remain import dependent. Generally,
context of peg arrangement, involves keeping diversification can occur across products, sectors,
close track of macroeconomic developments of or trading partners, and often involves a shift
India and aligning to evolving policy stance. A to a more varied production structure, through
substantial reliance on imports from India has the introduction of new products or expansion
50 0
40
Nu in billion
-10
30
20 -20
10
-30
0
-40
-10
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
and upgrading of existing products. Due to high investment avenue for international investors,
production costs and the lack of economies of leading to continued inward long-term direct
scale, as is the case in small developing countries, investment. The total inward FDI position stood
the introduction of new products (extensive at Nu. 10.04 billion as of end-June 2018, of which
export diversification) becomes generally difficult. 34.3 percent were from India as the single largest
Export diversification, therefore, happens mostly
through the intensive margin in these economies
i.e. through a more evenly balanced mix of Chart 6.2 FDI Position by investors
existing export products or trading partners. 4.0 as of June 2018 (Nu in Billion)
India
Hongkong
Singapore
British
Unallocated
Thailand
Samoa
USA
France
Swizerland
Others
extinction from the market remained high during
the last ten years.
Chart 6.3 FDI inflows by sectors as of June 2018 (in % share to total FDI)
2.6% Agriculture
0.4% 10.7%
Generation & Sale of electricity
10.7%
3.3% Diary & Agro products
Pharmaceutical
Other services
1400 13.0
1000 12.6
800 12.4
600 12.2
400 12.0
200 11.8
0 11.6
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
Debt Policy in 2016, which restricts excessive to defend against potential future exigencies.
borrowings, further easing the distress of debt The RMA, being the manager and owner of the
burden on the economy. The joint World Bank- official external assets, uses its best endeavours
IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis Report (2017) to manage the external reserves through the
also considers Bhutan’s risk of debt distress to principles of maintaining safety, liquidity and yield,
be ‘moderate’ based on the unique mitigating in that order, and maintain the external reserves
factors. at an adequate level for meeting necessary
international transactions. The RMA also adopts
One of the most important factors for the appropriate policy guidelines for decisions
sustainability of current account deficit is the level regarding the allocation and composition of
of international reserves as they serve as a buffer reserves in accordance with international best
at the time of crisis. practices.
Given the rising debt and import, in absence of Bhutan’s international reserves are comprised of
domestic capacity, international reserves has reserve assets of the RMA and the commercial
been playing a crucial role in mitigating external banks. Given the trade pattern, these reserve
pressure. Since Bhutan’s international reserves assets are maintained in (i) CC and (ii) Indian
are not built through export performance but Rupees (INR). The INR reserves carry more weight
rather through liability creating external flows, a in terms of day to day liquidity needs and to
wide range of monetary policy instruments have anchor currency to reduce the foreign currency
been developed along with prudent management exposure risk. The conversion of CC to INR has
of reserves to manage external pressure on remained instrumental in financing the INR
the economy. It also commensurate with the liquidity needs.
precautionary constitutional mandate, which
states: “A minimum foreign currency reserves Total international reserve at the end of FY
that is adequate to meet the cost of not less than 2017/18 stood at US $ 1,110.90 million, of
one year’s essential import must be maintained.” which 78.9 percent were CC and remaining 21.1
This adequacy measure may be way above “the percent INR reserves. International reserves
reserve adequacy assessed to be around 6 months remained adequately to finance 13.4 months of
of imports” considered by IMF, although defining merchandise imports, while covering 42.5 percent
the adequacy has its own limitations and requires of public external debt.
judgment for each country.
Given Bhutan’s financial and trade integration
While keeping in mind constitutional requirement, with India, and high composition of INR debt,
the RMA’s reserve management policy is maintaining the Ngultrum peg exchange rate with
further guided by the principles to safeguard that of INR continues to remain relevant in the
the exchange rate peg with the Indian Rupee context of Bhutan’s economy.
(backing of domestic currency by external assets),
T
erms of Trade (ToT) is one
of the important indicators 320 120
for measuring the external
position in the context of
256 96
foreign trade. It measures
relative price of exports to imports
and reflects purchasing power 72
192
Price Index
of exports. Higher the ToT, more
Terms of trade
favourable the price development
of domestic products in the 128 48
international trade market. If price
of product that a country intends
to export develops more favourably 64 24
than the price of a product that it
intends to import, then country will
experience improvement in terms 0 0
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
of trade.
According to the price indices, Import price index Export price index
with the commissioning of Tala Terms of Trade (RHS)
hydro project, Bhutan’s terms of
trade improved during 2006 to
2008. However, since 2009, ToT 250
started deteriorating and remained
below 100 percent. There has been
constant decline in ToT with an 200
average of 2.9 percent annually
with higher increase in import price
compared to export price level. 150
Price Index
1
Terms of Trade for Bhutan is computed using Custom data compiled by the Department of
Revenue and Customs, Ministry of Finance.
Terms of trade
-5 66
increase in overall export price.
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
soley due to fall in import volume
on account of declining hydro power
related imports. Overall drop in Trade balance (% of GDP)
volume of imports was more than Terms of Trade (RHS)
adequate to cover 11.6 percent
increase in import prices. While
than sufficient to finance a liter of diesel
growth in export price level and volume has
imports and 24 units (additional 9 units) of
equally contributed for 5.8 percent increase
electricity were required to export for a liter
in merchandise exports in 2017, where
of diesel import in 2014, indicating a loss
export price level rose by 2.8 percent. This
in purchasing power of electricity export
clearly indicates that deterioration in ToT
relative to fuel imports.
adversely affects the trade balance.
Although sharp drop in global fuel prices
The ToT for fuel is defined as relative change
in 2015 and 2016 has positively impacted
in export price of electricity and other fuel
ToT position, the recent increase in oil price
(bitumen and coal) exports to import price of
has affected ToT in 2017. Of 13.3 percent
fossil fuels, largely petrol and diesel. Global
year-on-year growth in fuel imports in 2017,
fuel price increased from USD 60 per barrel
8.9 percentage points was accounted for
in 2009 to almost USD 100 per barrel in 2014.
change in prices and rest due to increase
in volume of fuel imports. While drop in
On the contrary, there has been minimal
electricity exports by 8.0 percent was mainly
growth in electricity export prices, the
due to fall in volume of electricity exports.
average electricity export price increased
to Nu. 2.1 per unit in 2014 from Nu. 1.8 in
The change in ToT has large impact on
2009. Owing to steep rise in fuel import
trade. The trade balance closely follows the
prices from 2010 to 2014 and marginal
movements of ToT. As per income ToT, due
growth in electricity export price, the fuel ToT
to declining purchasing power of exports
worsened at record low of 61 in 2014 from
between 2009-2017, average trading loss was
93 in 2010. For instance, in the year 2009,
estimated about 10% annually.
16 units of electricity exports were more
Similarly, the movement in the real 110 Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER)
effective exchange rate in Bhutan is
strongly affected by change in INR
exchange rate and price developments in 104
India. At the end of second quarter of 2018,
REER depreciated by 4.1 percent, more
98
than depreciation of NEER. The higher real
depreciation in Ngultrum was mainly due
to record low inflation at 2.5 percent in 92
Bhutan, compared to 4.9 percent inflation
in India. Despite favourable exchange
rate in the recent years, there has been 86
limited impact on the export growth due to
narrow domestic productive capacity. The
80
depreciation rather negatively impacted on
2010Q1
2010Q4
2011Q1
2011Q4
2012Q1
2012Q4
2013Q1
2013Q4
2014Q1
2014Q4
2015Q1
2015Q4
2016Q1
2016Q4
2017Q1
2017Q4
2018Q1
2018Q2
1
The nominal and real effective exchange rate are computed using price and nominal exchange rate data
compiled by the IMF.
A
ccess to useful and affordable time, greater inclusion will make the interest rates
financial products and services are more effective as a policy tool, facilitating the
necessary elements for operating central bank’s efforts to maintain price stability.
transactions, payments, savings, In addition, with financial inclusion, a broader
credit and insurance for a financially base of depositors and presence of more
inclusive economy. diversified lending will also contribute to financial
stability. However, greater financial access will
Financial inclusion can be an important enabler of also increase financial risks if it results from
overall economic transformation since access to rapid credit growth or the expansion of relatively
financial services and digitization and technology unregulated parts of the financial system.
moves hand in hand in this modern era.
Particularly for a central bank, financial inclusion Recognizing the significant role of financial
acts as a double edged sword. inclusion in spurring economic transformation,
the RMA has embarked to achieve greater
Firstly, access to appropriate financial instruments financial inclusion in the economy adopting three
allow the poor or the disadvantaged to invest in important principles- collaboration, coordination
physical assets and education, reducing income and consolidation. The National Financial Inclusion
inequality and contributing to economic growth. Strategy (NFIS) 2018-2023 and National Financial
Secondly, financial inclusion has an important Literacy Strategy (NFLS) 2018-2023 which was
implication for monetary and financial stability, implemented in August 2018, provides an
and policy areas that sit at the very core of central enabling, coordinated and collaborative space for
banking. Increased financial inclusion will help joint participatory planning in promoting overall
to significantly change the behaviour of business financial inclusion in Bhutan, touching both the
firms and consumers, and consequently, influence demand as well as the supply front dynamics.
the effectiveness of monetary policy. At the same
VISION
Enhanced access to and usage of quality and
affordable formal financial services by all Bhutanese
through an inclusive financial system
The main financial players in promoting financial 14 percent of total loans and advances in 2017.
inclusion includes five banks, three insurance The underdeveloped infrastructure, poor business
companies (two direct insurers and one re- development and limited alternative sources of
insurer), three micro-finance institutions (MFIs) financing were identified as constraints for CSI
and other financial services providers (FSPs) development.
including the Credit Information Bureau of
Access points remain important indicator to
Bhutan (CIB), National Pension and Provident
evaluate the access to finance. The access points
Fund (NPPF), Central Registry (CR), Royal
includes bank branches, ATM agents or PoS devices
Securities Exchange of Bhutan Limited (RSEBL)
that perform cash-in and cash-out transactions.
and Nubri Capital Private Ltd. The deposits, loans,
MBoB and MPay are not included in access points.
insurances, reinsurance, pension and provident
As of December 2017, 64 percent all access points
funds, credit assessment and payments are the
(3,314) are agents (bank & Insurances) and 23
main financial products and services available to
percent are Point of Sale (PoS). Of the 2,133 agents
100
80
% share
36%
84%
82%
60
40
64%
20
16% 18%
0
Saving Credit Insurance
Inclusion Exclusion
His Excellency, Ambassador of Bhutan to Kuwait represented the RMA and received 2018 Global Inclusion Awards
in July 2018
G20 Presidency and Global Partnership for The RMA launched the NFIS 2018-2023 and NFLS
Financial Inclusion with the support of the G20- 2018-2023 on August 30, 2018 at the Financial
2020 Saudi Secretariat. His Excellency, Kutshab Institutions Training Institute. Both the Strategy
Tshering Gyaltshen Penjor, Ambassador of Bhutan documents are the outcome of the international
to Kuwait represented and accepted the award on conference, hosted under Bhutan Economic
behalf of RMA and Bhutan. Forum for Innovative Transformation, which was
themed towards promoting financial inclusion.
The RMA is deeply honored to receive the global
recognition on behalf of the collective efforts As per the implementation plan, three NFIS
put in by all financial institutions, government
The RMA launched the NFIS 2018-2023 and NFLS 2018-2023 on August 30, 2018 at FITI, Thimphu
working groups have been formed, comprising is an important priority of the RMA’s objective
Products, Channel and Consumer Protection and of broadening access to credit where MFIs and
Financial Literacy. CSI play a crucial role in financial inclusion, by
empowering people to use access to financial
The Groups have also formulated the cross- services for productive purposes. The system
sector NFIS Action Plan 2018-2023. To promote is expected to lay down strong foundation and
awareness, the RMA also conducted the NFIS and catalyze the evolution of MFI and CSI sectors
NFLS sensitization workshop with the financial through enhanced operational efficiency and
institutions and representatives of the financial increased productivity.
service providers, relevant government agencies,
key international development partners, NGOs The Hon’ble Finance Minister graced the event
and other relevant stakeholders. which was attended by senior officials from the
Government and the financial institutions.
iii. Druk MicroFin—An Integrated MFI
and CSI Banking Platform iv. Students Business Seedling (SBS)
Program
The RMA launched Druk MicroFin Solution on May
16, 2018. It is an integrated core banking system Following His Majesty’s visit to Desi High School
hosted at the RMA for the MFIs and the CSI banks. on March 01, 2018, the RMA was commanded
The system enabled end-to-end with a hand-held to organize a competition for business ideas
micro ATMs and Mobile Banking delivery channels with the objective of encouraging creativity and
in real-time to increase access and delivery of innovation and introducing students to the idea of
financial services, particularly in reaching remote entrepreneurship and self-employment as viable
areas that are underbanked and underserved by alternative to limited public sector employment.
mainstream financial services and products. As a result, the SBS Program was initiated by the
RMA as a structured model to allow replication
The integrated system was implemented with in other schools and incorporation into the
the view to reduce cost and resource burden mainstream education curriculum, if successful.
to the MFIs and the CSI, given their relatively
small- and medium-sized businesses. The system A total of 154 students participated in the
The Hon’ble Finance Minister graced the launching of Druk MicroFin on May 16, 2018 at FITI, Thimphu
Dasho Governor launched “Jab-chor” Platform on December 13, 2018 at BCCI, Thimphu
Background
Bhutan Economic Forum for Innovative Transformation (BEFIT) was inspired by His Majesty’s
vision that our recent example in ensuring a successful democratic transition must be
accompanied by successful economic transformation based on the foundations of a just,
equal and harmonious society. The BEFIT is a national platform to bring together a wide
range of expertise to share best practices and discuss innovative solutions to emerging
national and regional economic challenges, with the overarching objective of transforming
and bettering lives.
The BEFIT aims to establish itself as a credible and impact-oriented national forum.
Therefore, partnerships with domestic institutions and reputed multilateral institutions are
important in ensuring meaningful dialogues and sustainable results. The theme for each
BEFIT event is carefully selected to address a pressing current need in close consultation
with relevant stakeholders. The expected outcomes are clearly identified from the beginning
while partnerships ensure collective ownership and sustained commitments to implement
the expected outcomes.
T
o facilitate smooth flow of payment iv. Authorization of Payment
systems and to foster an enabling
environment for innovation and Systems
promote digital based payment The RMA authorized the wallet services, mobile
platform, the RMA in collaboration check deposit, mobile application and PoS service
with the banks and private business entities, providers. Application from 27 e-commerce
initiated several payment system infrastructures entities were also integrated to the RMA payment
during 2017. In continuation to the past efforts, gateway. Currently, there are 19 licensed
significant progress has been made by the RMA in e-commerce entities integrated to the RMA
terms of payment and settlement systems through payment gateway.
reforms in the legal frameworks and automation
of systems. Some of the notable initiatives during v. National Financial Switch
the FY 2017/18 includes the following:
of India and Bhutan Financial
i. E-Money Issuers Rules and Switch (NFS-BFS) Integration
Regulations 2017 Project
The NFS-BFS integration project was initiated
E-Money Issuers Rules and Regulations was
to integrate the Bhutan Financial Switch of
approved by the RMA Board during the 130th
Bhutan and National Financial Switch of India to
Board meeting held on September 29, 2017 with
enable the cross-border ATM transactions for
the objective to promote regulated electronic
Cash Withdrawal, Balance Enquiry and Reversals
money and financial inclusion through extension
along with Purchase, Void and Reversals for PoS
of financial services beyond the conventional
terminals in India and Bhutan. The project is
branch-based channels.
planned to be executed in two phases. Under
Phase I, the BFS will accept the RuPay co-branded
ii. Payment & Settlement Systems cards issued by the participating banks in India
Rules and Regulation 2018 at all card acceptance channels of BFS ATM and
The Payment & Settlement Systems Rules and PoS terminals in Bhutan. Under Phase II, the
Regulations 2018 was implemented on January participating banks in Bhutan will issue RuPay
30, 2018 for effectively regulating, supervising, co-branded cards to be accepted at all card
and overseeing payment service providers and acceptance channels of NFS ATM and PoS in India.
payment system. Connection of this two Switches will be a new
milestone in promoting a seamless payment and
settlement system between India and Bhutan.
iii. Operating Procedural
Guidelines for Bhutan Financial vi. Global Interchange for
Switch Financial Transactions (GIFT)
Operating procedural Guidelines for BFS was Payment System
approved during the 56th EC Meeting held
on June 21, 2018. The Operating Procedural The RMA also initiated the implementation of
Guidelines defines in detail the operating and GIFT Payment System to support the following 3
settlement procedures for the members of the types of payment services – RTGS, BISS and Bulk
BFS network to follow the best practices to ensure payment services.
smooth, secure, and effective operation of the
system, including provisions on effective dispute a) Real Time Gross Settlement
management. The BFS is a PCI DSS Certified Service (RTGS)
ecosystem “Payment Card Industry Data Security
Payments made through this service are settled
Standards”, an international standard in terms of
immediately on receipt. The RTGS would allow
card data security and processing.
the transfer of money from one bank to any other
A
s part of celebration of the facility is expected to usher safe, convenient
50th year of diplomatic and less-cash cross border digital payments
relation between Bhutan and between the two countries. In particular,
India, the RMA and National integration will enable the tourists from
Payments Corporation of India in India to access more the 231 ATMs and 759
collaboration with the Reserve Bank of India PoS terminals, deployed by our banks across
(RBI) is preparing to launch an innovative the country. This will benefit the country in
financial services of connecting the Bhutan earning Indian Rupees by stimulating digital
Financial Switch and National Financial Switch purchasing power to acquire transactions of
of India, to further strengthen the economic the tourists/travelers from India to Bhutan,
and financial linkages between two countries. and reduces the inconveniences and inherent
risk associated with carrying large amounts of
Financial Switch System is the process of
INR cash.
inter-connecting the cross-border Automated
Teller Machines (ATM) and Point-of Sales (PoS) In the same way, the second phase of the
between two countries. The RMA initiated the project will enable issuance of our local cards
project in June 217, aimed of interconnecting for use in India at more than 250,000 ATMs
the ATMs and the PoS in the two countries and 210,000 PoS terminals. The facility is
to facilitate the travelers to seamlessly use expected to ease Bhutanese who visit India for
their banks Debit/ATM cards at AMTs and studies, pilgrimage and medical treatments,
PoS access points, without the need to rely and also address the inconveniences and risks
upon international cards- such as Visa and of carrying INR cash.
MasterCard, which are prohibitively expensive
The cross-border digitization will enable
to use. The project is developed at the cost of
proper monitoring of currency flows and
Nu. 24.7 million.
improved real-time statistical records for
The Authority accorded highest importance informed decision-making and pave way for
to cyber security and has conducted an policies and strategies for regulating currency
assessment towards achieving security flows. Furthermore, the integration will
accreditation of cyber security and streamline the flow of Indian Rupees into
information security to mitigate cyber the mainstream banking system and, as a
intrusion and threats from disrupting and result, enhance Indian Rupee earning into the
damaging confidentiality, integrity, and mainstream banking system and, as a result,
availability of Switch services. Being certified enhance Indian Rupee earning capacity. A
PCI DSS v3.2.1 and ISO 270001:2013 by tourist from India, for example, withdrawing
the British Standard Institute of the United Nu. 10,000 from our ATM will entail crediting
Kingdom-RMA has implemented robust set of the RMA account with the State Bank of India
control mechinisam including technologies, by INR 10,000, and so on.
policies, processes, organizational structures
The accumulated settlement amount-over
to enhance customer and stakeholders’
and above the threshold requirement, will be
confidence.
transferred into our INR reserve. In addition,
The project is implemented under two due to one-to-one fixed exchange regime with
phases. The first phase of the project will be India, there are no exchange and settlement
launched in January 2019 in Bhutan. Given the risks involved. The integration will be a
growing number of tourists from India, the significant cost saving mechanism and curtail
I
n accordance with Section 164 of the RMA Assets
Act of Bhutan 2010, the annual audit of the The total assets of the RMA comprises of foreign
Authority’s accounts for the period ending assets, domestic assets, and non- financial assets.
June 30, 2018 was carried out by Rinzing Foreign Assets increased by 4.6 percent from
Financial Group. Nu.73.27 billion in 2017 to Nu.76.66 billion in
In this overview of the RMA’s Annual Audited 2018, mainly on account of the significant increase
Accounts, FY 2016/17 is referred to as 2017 and in term deposits from abroad which has increased
FY 2017/18 as 2018. Factors that influenced the to Nu. 49.74 billion in 2018 compared to Nu.42.15
RMA’s annual accounts for the year 2017 are billion in 2017.
summarized below. Domestic Assets increased from Nu. 598.57
Balance Sheet million in 2017 to Nu. 750.33 million on account of
The total assets and liabilities of the RMA for the increase in cash in hand, balances with banks and
year 2018 was Nu. 77.76 billion, which increased other financial assets which increased by 487.7
by 4.8 percent from Nu. 74.18 billion in 2017. percent, 27 percent and 14 percent respectively.
Non-Financial Assets includes fixed assets,
Liabilities inventories and other assets, increased by 12.9
Total Liabilities of the RMA are made up of
percent from Nu.308.29 million in 2017 to
three major components, namely the Capital
Nu. 348.16 million in 2018. The increase was
and Reserves, Foreign Liabilities and Domestic
contributed by increase in fixed assets and
Liabilities.
inventories during the year.
Capital and Reserves increased by 17.5 percent
from Nu.17.82 billion in 2017 to Nu. 20.93 billion Income and expenditure
in 2018. An increase in capital and reserves was The total operating income of the RMA in 2018
driven by the revaluation gain amounting to Nu. was Nu.2.10 billion, which improved by 7.3
2.94 billion in the year 2018. There was also an percent from Nu.1.95 billion in 2017.
increase of 48.3 percent in the profit in 2018 as The contributing factor for this improvement was
compared to 2017. On the other hand, revaluation owing to higher interest on foreign investment,
reserves decreased marginally from Nu.13.95 interest of ways and means advance from
billion in 2017 to Nu.13.61 billion in 2018. RGOB, commission and fees, income from
Foreign Liabilities1 stood at Nu. 20.23 billion other sources and other income. On ther hand,
in 2018 which was an increase of 55.3 percent components such as interest on rupee investment,
compared to the previous year. This increase was interest on domestic investment, royalty from
on account of increase in due to international commemorative coins and sale of foreign
institutions from Nu. 3.90 billion in 2017 to Nu. currencies experienced a decline in the review
10.85 billion in 2018, on account of the RBI swap period.
facility amounting to INR 6.7 billion. Concurrently,
The total operating expenses decreased by 13.5
the amount due to IMF, due to government and
percent from Nu. 385.28 million in 2017 to Nu.
interest accrued has increased by 8.4 percent,
333.38 million in 2018. The decrease was mainly
25.6 percent and 132 percent respectively.
contributed by extraordinary expenses and
Domestic Liabilities2 decreased by 15.5 percent hospitality and entertainment by 87.9 percent and
in the year 2018 mainly on account of decrease in 80.8 percent respectively.
sweeping account of banks from Nu. 6.27 billion
in 2017 to Nu. 2.81 billion in 2018. Additionally, The surplus generated during the year was
the decrease in amount due to banks, due to Nu. 1,763.35 million, recording growth of 12.5
government, other liabilities and managed fund percent. After accounting for the cost of monetary
also contributed to this decrease. policy operation of Nu. 519.71 million, the net
surplus of Nu.1,585.24 million was transferred to
the balance sheet.
1
Consists of dues to the IMF, government and government agencies’ foreign currency accounts, deposits of other
foreign financial institutions such as the World Bank, ADB, and Kuwait Central Bank, GOI Stand-by credit facility.
2
Consists of notes and coins in circulation, due to banks, due to government (MoF Refundable deposit & MoF
revaluation reserve), sweeping accounts and other miscellaneous liabilities.
Source: National Accounts Statistics. Discrepancies in the figures are due to rounding.
Period
Item Weight 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
in
percent Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
%
Index
Food 39.9 209.61 104.86 109.64 114.46 115.51 117.69 120.32 121.26 121.09 121.12 122.94 124.60 124.87 125.61 127.92 131.12 133.33 135.23 137.04 139.99 142.42 142.50
non- 60.1 172.06 105.23 108.37 109.27 110.49 111.66 116.33 117.10 118.52 119.10 120.89 121.85 122.21 122.86 123.45 125.29 127.42 127.79 128.27 127.96 127.97 128.75
Food
Total 100.0 183.95 105.08 108.87 111.31 112.47 114.03 117.91 118.75 119.54 119.90 121.71 122.94 123.24 123.95 125.22 127.59 129.74 130.71 131.70 132.63 133.55 134.07
Non-
food 60.1 8.66 7.14 8.89 9.27 7.02 6.11 7.35 7.17 7.27 6.66 3.92 4.06 3.11 3.16 2.12 2.83 4.26 4.01 3.90 2.13 0.44 0.75
Total 100.0 8.37 5.51 9.12 11.31 9.47 8.55 8.38 6.68 6.28 5.15 3.23 3.53 3.03 3.31 2.82 3.71 5.27 5.45 5.18 3.96 2.94 2.57
PPN 1.00 0.54 0.94 0.91 0.89 0.89 0.87 0.85 0.84 0.84 0.83 0.82 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.80 0.78 0.77 0.77 0.76 0.75 0.75 0.75
Source: National Statistics Bureau. 1) 2003 Household Income and Expenditure Survey; includes rent. 2) Base year used for PPN Q2, 2013 is of December 2012 and the figures represented is month-on-month. As of Q2, 2013 the NSB has
increased the weight of food in the CPI from 31.67% to 39.92%, and correspondingly decreased the weight for non-food from 68.33% to 60.08%.
Domestic Inflation
December 2012=100
Index Percent Change (%)
Imported inflation
December 2012=100
Index Percent Change (%)
Item Weight in 2018 2018
percent %
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Food 22.15 138.92 139.43 140.22 140.32 140.32 139.76 7.06 6.67 7.27 6.69 6.49 6.20
Non-food 29.84 125.32 125.51 125.51 126.21 126.94 127.30 1.04 0.81 0.46 1.09 1.32 1.63
Total 51.99 130.94 131.26 131.58 132.04 132.48 132.47 3.56 3.27 3.31 3.44 3.49 3.56
Source: National Statistics Bureau, Bhutan
Transport 5.91 128.39 128.34 128.35 121.15 122.10 122.23 0.28 0.78 0.10 -5.64 -4.86 -4.77
Information and communication 4.47 89.76 89.76 89.76 89.57 89.57 89.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.20 -0.20 -0.20
Source: National Statistics Bureau. (Note: An entry of “0.0” indicates a marginal value compared to “-” which indicates no value for that particular item)
All Products 100.00 121.11 120.93 120.80 125.62 126.09 126.05 0.18 0.37 -0.04 3.73 4.27 4.35
Logging 0.72 134.79 134.79 134.79 134.79 134.79 134.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ores and minerals; electricity, gas and water 5.81 127.41 127.49 125.85 124.86 125.56 125.17 1.76 0.56 -0.31 -2.00 1.51 -0.54
Food products, beverages and tobacco; textiles, apparel and 3.56 112.63 112.38 112.44 113.46 113.39 113.39 -0.12 -0.06 0.00 0.74 0.90 0.85
leather products
Other transportable goods, except metal products, machinery 15.36 126.06 127.34 127.44 118.92 120.27 117.39 0.37 1.14 -2.39 -5.67 -5.55 -7.88
and equipment
Metal products, machinery and equipment 28.75 119.01 117.77 117.59 141.61 142.22 143.95 0.04 0.43 1.22 18.99 20.76 22.41
Distributive trade services; accommodation, food and beverage 41.34 124.42 124.41 124.41 123.39 123.53 123.55 0.04 0.11 0.01 -0.83 -0.71 -0.70
serving services; transport services; and electricity, gas and water
109
TABLE 9. Indian Wholesale
Price Index of all Commodities
2011-12 =100
Year
Period
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Jan 108.00 113.60 110.80 108.00 112.60 115.80
Feb 108.40 113.60 109.60 107.10 113.00 116.10
Mar 108.60 114.30 109.90 107.70 113.20 116.30
Apr 108.60 114.10 110.20 109.00 113.20 117.30
May 108.60 114.80 111.40 110.40 112.90 117.90
Jun 110.10 115.20 111.80 111.70 112.70 119.10
Jul 111.20 116.70 111.10 111.80 113.90
Aug 112.90 117.20 110.00 111.20 114.80
Sep 114.30 116.40 109.90 111.40 114.30
Oct 114.60 115.60 110.10 111.50 115.50
Nov 114.30 114.10 109.90 111.90 116.40
Dec 113.40 112.10 109.40 111.70 115.70
Percentage change on the previous year
Jan 8.0 5.2 -2.5 -2.5 4.3 2.8
Feb 8.4 4.8 -3.5 -2.3 5.5 2.7
Mar 8.6 5.2 -3.8 -2.0 5.1 2.7
Apr 3.7 5.1 -3.4 -1.1 3.9 3.6
May 3.1 5.7 -3.0 -0.9 2.3 4.4
Jun 4.6 4.6 -3.0 -0.1 0.9 5.7
Jul 4.7 4.9 -4.8 0.6 1.9
Aug 5.6 3.8 -6.1 1.1 3.2
Sep 6.2 1.8 -5.6 1.4 2.6
Oct 6.7 0.9 -4.8 1.3 3.6
Nov 6.5 -0.2 -3.7 1.8 4.0
Dec 5.9 -1.1 -2.4 2.1 3.6
Source: Reserve Bank of India. Effective April 2011, the RBI has revised the base year from 2004-05
to 2011-12, creating a break in the continuity and comparison of data. The newly-calculated WPI
commences from the month of April 2011 onwards.
Ngultrum in Million
Item
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 (r) 2018/19 (est.)
Revenue & Grants 37,819.12 36,231.05 42,039.30 42,673.13 54,666.72 40743.07
Domestic Revenue 23,244.61 25,141.03 28,033.81 29,713.60 36,178.37 35,855.00
Tax 16,182.77 18,387.34 19,884.63 21,707.00 26,173.13 26,150.96
Non-tax 7,061.84 6,753.69 8,149.19 8,006.60 10,005.25 9,704.04
Other Receipts (Net) 338.16 1,135.00 -884.13 -7.23 1,055.27 0.00
Grants 14,236.35 9,955.02 14,889.61 12,986.75 17,433.08 4,888.07
GOI 10,684.43 6,593.76 10,721.70 9,882.57 13,781.13 2,117.52
Others 3,551.92 3,361.26 4,167.91 3,104.18 3,651.95 2,770.54
Program 1,749.69 2,125.00 2,340.02 2,125.00 1,700.00 150.00
GOI 1,625.00 2,125.00 1,275.00 2,125.00 1,700.00 0.00
Others 124.69 0.00 1,065.02 0.00 0.00 150.00
Project tied 12,486.66 7,830.02 12,549.60 10,861.75 15,733.08 4,738.07
GOI 9,059.43 4,468.76 9,446.70 7,757.57 12,081.13 2,117.52
Others 3,427.23 3,361.26 3,102.90 3,104.18 3,651.95 2,620.54
Outlay 33,522.83 34,334.26 43,603.00 48,017.99 56,513.50 38,307.49
Total expenditure 34,609.90 36,475.85 44,688.45 49,966.61 58,607.28 39,847.47
Current 17,941.15 21,032.04 22,880.59 24,129.59 28,616.64 29,075.17
Capital 16,668.75 15,443.80 21,807.86 25,837.02 29,990.64 10,772.30
Net Lending -1,331.99 -2,552.75 -1,885.33 -2,003.12 -2,093.78 -1,539.97
Advances/Suspense (Net) 244.92 411.16 799.88 54.50 0.00 0.00
Overall Balance 4,296.29 1,896.79 -1,563.70 -5,344.86 -1,846.78 2,435.57
Financing -4,296.29 -1,896.79 1,563.70 5,344.86 1,846.78 -2,435.57
Net Borrowing -1,042.31 -1,086.41 -1,215.48 524.33 203.21 -2,435.57
Borrowing 1,534.54 1,685.27 1,818.68 3,227.66 3,023.53 1,248.76
External 1,534.54 1,685.27 1,818.68 3,227.66 1,073.53 1,248.76
Internal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1,950.00 0.00
Repayment 2,576.86 2,771.68 3,034.16 2,703.34 2,820.32 3,684.34
External 2,401.55 2,596.37 2,850.33 2,694.14 2,810.41 2,016.09
Internal 175.30 175.30 183.83 9.19 9.91 1,668.25
Resource Gap 3,253.98 810.39 -2,779.19 -4,820.54 -1,643.57 0.00
Source: National Budget Report FY 2018-19 and Annual Financial Statements FY 2016-17, Ministry of Finance. Figures
may not add up due to rounding.
Note: An entry of “0.0” indicates a marginal value compared to “-” which indicate no value for the particular item
1. Other Items (Net) includes money market instruments. 2. Source: RMA and Commercial Banks. Note: An entry of
“0.0” indicates a marginal value compared to “-” which indicate no value for the particular item
Ngultrum in Million
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
Assets
Reserves 21,088.03 19,549.26 17,852.87 25,197.82 23,752.50
Foreign Assets 3,311.16 3,136.21 3,642.82 3,655.35 5,356.82
Indian Rupee 772.15 1,207.82 2,103.18 1,740.48 1,585.13
Convertible Foreign Currency 2,539.01 1,928.39 1,539.64 1,914.87 3,771.70
Claims on Government 1,876.83 40.00 4,629.58 10,005.15 8,049.83
Claims on Other Public Sector 1
4,438.35 7,174.29 6,106.02 7,046.82 8,306.02
Claims on Private Sector 2
49,825.07 56,792.21 65,123.84 75,148.76 86,953.11
Capital Accounts 15,117.20 16,713.71 18,029.27 16,915.42 18,019.31
Other Items Net 3
6,602.13 6,683.62 5,561.65 8,253.50 7,727.31
Liabilities
Demand Depsoits 33,997.26 35,729.44 38,831.90 51,935.62 57,061.00
Current Deposits 17,670.73 16,831.69 17,570.69 24,952.19 25,465.20
Saving Deposits 16,326.54 18,897.75 21,261.22 26,983.43 31,595.81
Time Deposits 21,952.33 25,446.51 32,640.45 41,285.46 46,163.85
Foreign Currency Deposits 1,733.63 1,222.28 1,588.65 2,104.85 2,514.79
Percent Change (y-o-y)
Reserves 18.59 -7.30 -8.68 41.14 -5.74
Foreign Assets 12.90 -5.28 16.15 0.34 46.55
Claims on Other Public Sector 94.27 61.64 -14.89 15.41 17.87
Claims on Private Sector 6.44 13.98 14.67 15.39 15.71
Capital Accounts 16.19 10.56 7.87 -6.18 6.53
Other Items Net 73.07 1.23 -16.79 48.40 -6.38
Demand Depsoits 5.87 5.10 8.68 33.74 9.87
Current Deposits -6.88 -4.75 4.39 42.01 2.06
Saving Deposits 24.28 15.75 12.51 26.91 17.09
Time Deposits 7.75 15.92 28.27 26.49 11.82
Foreign Currency Deposits 35.07 -29.50 29.97 32.49 19.48
1. Claims on Other Public Sectors includes claims on Government Corporations and Public Corporations 2. Claims
on Private Sectors includes Claims on NBFIs. 3. Other Items (Net) includes money market instruments. 4. Source:
RMA and Commercial Banks
Note: An entry of “0.0” indicates a marginal value compared to “-” which indicate no value for the particular item
1. Other includes staff loans, EDP and SBAS 2. Source: RMA and Commercial Banks. Note: An entry of “0.0” indicates a
marginal value compared to “-” which indicate no value for the particular item
Ngultrum in Million
Item 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
Total Deposits 57,683.20 62,398.20 73,061.00 95,325.90 105,739.60
Individuals 33,070.10 35,929.40 46,976.40 65,663.90 73,851.60
% of total deposits
Individuals 57.3 57.6 64.3 68.9 69.8
Govt. Corps. 14.7 12.3 12.0 9.1 10.3
Others 28.0 30.1 23.7 22.0 19.8
Demand deposits 58.9 57.3 53.1 54.5 54.0
Individuals 41.7 39.4 40.4 50.1 48.4
Govt. Corps. 7.6 5.0 5.1 1.0 1.3
Others 9.7 12.8 7.7 3.5 4.3
Time Deposits 41.1 42.7 46.9 45.5 46.0
Individuals 15.6 18.1 23.9 18.8 21.5
Govt. Corps. 7.1 7.3 6.9 8.2 9.0
Others 18.3 17.3 16.0 18.5 15.5
Source: Commercial Banks. Note: An entry of “0.0” indicates a marginal value compared to “-” which indicate no
value for the particular item
* Segregation of budgetary grants into Secondary Income and Capital Transfers carried out from FY 2006/07 onwards.
** Net acquisition of financial assets minus net incurrence of financial liabilities; (+) figure denotes net lending and
(-) figure denotes net borrowing; excludes reserve assets. Financial Account sign convention: (+) = increase in assets
or liabilities; (-) = decrease in assets or liabilities. *** Includes hydropower loans & accrued interest. BoP statistics
were revised from 2013/14 to include improvements in data coverage and classifications.
Ngultrum in Million
2017/18
Item 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
(provisional)
A. CURRENT ACCOUNT -25,594.89 -28,684.94 -38,312.61 -34,006.52 -34,479.42
Goods and Services -21,486.96 -23,023.80 -33,478.52 -28,105.44 -27,431.24
Goods: Net (Trade Balance) -17,362.45 -18,963.13 -28,878.42 -24,303.76 -25,146.64
Exports (fob) 29,908.13 31,946.83 29,870.13 32,637.08 31,465.85
Imports (fob) 47,270.58 50,909.96 58,748.55 56,940.84 56,612.49
Services -4,124.51 -4,060.68 -4,600.10 -3,801.67 -2,284.60
Credit 1,428.88 1,212.99 2,940.35 2,887.24 4,742.04
Debit 5,553.39 5,273.67 7,540.45 6,688.91 7,026.63
Primary Income -7,507.50 -8,256.43 -10,878.33 -12,798.71 -13,803.18
Credit 390.33 1,362.17 817.45 1,157.21 1,046.51
Debit 7,897.83 9,618.60 11,695.79 13,955.92 14,849.69
o.w. Interest on hydropower loans * 1,445.41 1,445.41 1,344.56 1,243.71 1,325.22
Secondary Income 3,399.57 2,595.30 6,044.24 6,897.63 6,754.99
Credit 4,473.91 4,022.32 7,399.71 8,179.76 7,840.36
o.w. Budgetary grants 2,175.74 3,346.01 7,099.34 4,566.53 3,600.90
Debit 1,074.35 1,427.02 1,355.47 1,282.13 1,085.37
B. CAPITAL ACCOUNT 16,417.86 13,650.46 12,122.05 12,337.75 11,8628.20
o.w. Budgetary grants for investment ** 7,057.66 4,077.45 5,568.55 3,478.50 7,326.19
o.w. Grants for hydro power 9,360.20 9,573.01 6,553.50 8,859.24 4,536.00
C. FINANCIAL ACCOUNT *** -11,202.87 -18,874.12 -40,782.09 -12,777.02 -25,628.49
Direct Investment in Bhutan: net incurrence 93.84 -152.24 337.16 63.66 14.17
of liabilities
o.w. Equity capital 150.84 -146.97 313.02 0.00 1.94
Other Investment -11,109.02 -19,026.36 -40,444.93 -12,713.36 -25,614.32
Net acquisition of financial assets -680.27 -21.73 1,310.37 481.31 -494.47
Net incurrence of financial liabilities 10,428.75 19,004.62 41,755.30 13,194.67 25,119.85
o.w. Hydro power loans (incl. accrued 12,742.01 16,600.36 28,574.07 10,093.09 3,600.00
interest)*
o.w. Other loans -2,178.23 2,059.89 13,443.85 2,840.26 21,194.48
D. Net Errors & Omissions -3,244.80 -3,104.54 -4,648.04 8,269.28 -4,762.80
E. Overall Balance -1,218.96 735.10 9,943.50 -622.47 -1,751.50
F. Reserve Assets -1,218.96 735.10 9,943.50 -622.47 -1,751.50
* Includes accrued interest (from FY 2006/07 onwards), and are therefore not comparable with figures published by
the Ministry of Finance. ** Segregation of budgetary grants into Secondary Income and Capital Transfers carried
out from FY 2006/07 onwards. *** Net acquisition of financial assets minus net incurrence of financial liabilities;
(+) figure denotes net lending and (-) figure denotes net borrowing; Excludes reserve assets. Financial Account sign
convention: (+) = increase in assets or liabilities; (-) = decrease in assets or liabilities. BoP statistics were revised
from 2013/14 onwards to include improvements in data coverage & classifications.
Ngultrum in Million
2017/18
Item 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
(provisional)
A. CURRENT ACCOUNT -4,521.21 -5,492.46 -3,123.47 -2,136.31 3,172.47
Goods and Services -6,681.54 -7,946.52 -6,125.87 -6,455.27 -2,879.11
Goods: Net (Trade Balance) -6,808.06 -7,699.64 -6,640.69 -6,845.41 -1,812.46
Exports (fob) 2,968.44 4,035.34 2,919.19 4,234.95 7,393.40
Imports (fob) 9,776.49 11,734.97 9,559.88 11,080.35 9,205.86
Services 126.52 -246.88 514.82 390.14 -1,066.65
Credit 6,217.35 6,571.25 6,719.46 7,582.63 7,179.01
Debit 6,090.83 6,818.13 6,204.64 7,192.49 8,245.66
Primary Income -352.15 5.94 -507.06 -412.30 -384.32
Credit 802.10 1,213.51 805.62 841.74 1,086.59
Debit 1,154.26 1,207.57 1,312.68 1,254.04 1,470.91
Secondary Income 2,512.48 2,448.12 3,509.46 4,731.25 6,435.90
Credit 2,859.44 2,851.83 3,958.75 5,076.78 7,178.77
o.w. Budgetary grants 1,680.79 1,439.01 1,274.01 1,849.32 2,603.96
Debit 346.96 403.71 449.29 345.52 742.87
B. CAPITAL ACCOUNT 483.88 330.58 546.00 53.83 21.84
o.w. Budgetary grants for investment * 483.88 330.58 546.00 53.83 21.84
C. FINANCIAL ACCOUNT ** -3,112.81 -2,256.57 -2,515.02 -2,986.20 -2,075.07
Direct Investment: net incurrence of liabilities 1,333.55 547.09 451.25 -1,665.17 204.75
o.w. Equity capital 1,263.05 453.63 364.75 -521.08 257.16
Other Investment -1,779.26 -1,709.48 -2,063.77 -4,651.38 -1,870.32
Net acquisition of financial assets *** 352.74 -798.76 140.45 252.92 1,573.16
Net incurrence of financial liabilities 2,132.00 910.72 2,204.22 4,904.30 3,443.48
o.w. RGOB loans 2,589.39 1,237.96 1,478.68 2,985.28 2,479.24
o.w. Other loans -947.26 -69.61 606.50 842.08 -536.65
D. Net Errors & Omissions 6,423.98 1,599.38 2,703.50 -1,846.55 1,347.35
E. Overall Balance 5,499.46 -1,305.93 2,641.05 -942.83 6,616.73
F. Reserve Assets 5,499.46 -1,305.93 2,641.05 -942.83 6,616.73
* Segregation of budgetary grants into Secondary Income and Capital Transfers carried out from FY 2006/07 onwards.
** Net acquisition of financial assets minus net incurrence of financial liabilities; (+) figure denotes net lending
and (-) figure denotes net borrowing; excludes reserve assets. Financial Account sign convention: (+) = increase
in assets or liabilities; (-) = decrease in assets or liabilities. *** Data on net acquisition of financial assets were
compiled from FY 2007/08 onwards. BoP statistics were revised from 2013/14 onwards to include data improvements
in coverage and classification.
Ngultrum in Million
SI % Share Annual %
IMPORT CATEGORY 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
in Total change
1 Live Animals & Animal
49.47 69.45 92.12 107.45 109.67 0.84 2.07
Products
2 Vegetables, Fruits, Nuts,
Coffee, Tea, Spices, Cereals, 65.70 50.25 111.95 83.98 85.82 0.66 2.19
Grains & Seeds
3 Animal or Vegetable Fats &
1.91 10.78 14.26 8.92 2.76 0.02 -69.09
Oils
3.1 Palm Oil (Crude & Other) - 10.31 11.90 7.19 0.00 0.00 -99.99
4 Processed Foods & Beverages 262.61 334.93 493.92 482.23 618.49 4.75 28.26
5 Mineral Products inc. oils &
151.54 237.74 120.60 351.77 99.22 0.76 -71.79
fuels
6 Products of Chemical & Allied
905.61 740.91 700.66 427.25 456.77 3.51 6.91
Industries
6.1 Medicines / Pharmaceutical
458.12 270.86 309.14 50.86 96.24 0.74 89.23
Products
6.2 Photographic /
1.93 14.85 11.56 0.80 10.97 0.08 1,270.96
Cinematographic goods
7 Plastic & Rubber Products 694.29 863.85 905.96 832.16 758.39 5.82 -8.87
8 Wood and Wood Products 18.38 23.73 21.29 27.99 27.56 0.21 -1.51
9 Wood Pulp Products 271.57 83.39 187.41 173.05 123.32 0.95 -28.73
10 Textiles, Footwear & Hats/
273.16 195.85 208.95 280.37 305.42 2.35 8.94
Headgear
11 Articles of Stone, Plaster,
Cement, Asbestos, Ceramics 56.06 57.82 57.46 68.23 76.77 0.59 12.52
& Glass
11.1 Ceramic Products 15.17 21.98 16.50 17.28 33.62 0.26 94.54
12 Pearls and Products of
Precious/Semi-precious Metal 70.87 8.84 14.20 39.53 41.58 0.32 5.17
& Stones
13 Base Metals and Articles of
794.70 1,494.43 978.93 856.82 838.92 6.44 -2.09
Base Metal
14 Machinery, Mechanical/
Electrical Appliances & 4,755.91 3,894.79 4,607.76 6,021.01 7,887.08 60.56 30.99
Equipment and Parts
14.1 Magnetic Discs & Media
14.49 128.52 387.84 199.41 339.17 2.60 70.09
(recorded/unrecorded)
15 Transport Vehicles & Aircraft
467.37 502.71 5,199.76 1,612.95 996.39 7.65 -38.23
and Engines & Parts
16 Optical, Photographic,
Cinematographic & 340.44 242.16 349.62 478.29 357.47 2.74 -25.26
Measuring Equipment
17 Handicrafts, Works of Art,
Collectors’ Pieces & Personal 3.26 0.97 8.50 7.81 0.86 0.01 -89.00
Effects
18 Miscellaneous Manufactured
200.77 224.32 223.47 215.31 236.94 1.82 10.05
Products
TOTAL 9,383.63 9,036.92 14,296.82 12,075.13 13,023.45 100.00 7.85
Ngultrum in Million
% Share Annual %
SI EXPORT CATEGORY 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
in Total change
1 Vegetables, Fruits, Tea,
Spices, Cereals, Grains & 1,185.96 1,387.46 1,284.80 1,342.87 1,259.40 22.18 -6.22
Animal Products
1.1 Oranges 489.01 520.11 446.55 425.60 470.75 8.29 10.61
1.2 Apples 51.40 59.10 61.43 39.72 21.93 0.39 -44.79
1.3 Cardamoms 365.63 421.42 565.41 708.53 552.61 9.73 -22.01
2 Processed Foods &
41.01 43.50 24.93 19.81 5.25 0.09 -73.49
Beverages
3 Mineral Products inc. oils
583.30 770.46 713.81 1,205.96 2,218.96 39.07 84.00
& fuels
3.1 Limestone & other
307.07 348.31 338.08 169.44 319.02 5.62 88.28
calcereous stone
3.2 Dolomite 141.46 169.67 520.30 205.60 241.60 4.25 17.51
3.3 Bituminous Coal 29.37 74.99 - - 5.00 0.09 -
4 Products of Chemical &
23.72 34.08 645.16 263.60 134.10 2.36 -49.13
Allied Industries
5 Plastic & Rubber Products 0.09 0.01 0.02 2.28 0.01 0.00 -99.74
6 Wood and Wood Products 1.35 0.97 0.77 3.87 0.36 0.01 -90.60
7 Wood Pulp Products 0.65 0.00 0.09 1.11 0.41 0.01 -63.01
8 Textiles, Footwear & Hats/
0.79 0.54 4.70 2.90 2.01 0.04 -30.60
Headgear
9 Articles of Stone, Plaster,
Cement, Asbestos, 0.44 0.38 2.33 5.26 0.64 0.01 -87.78
Ceramics & Glass
10 Articles of Precious/Semi-
0.00 - 0.00 - - - -
precious Metals
11 Base Metals and Articles of
1,034.02 1,541.02 745.11 353.19 2,054.12 36.17 481.60
Base Metal
12 Machinery, Mechanical
& Electrical Appliances,
0.21 - - 0.02 - - -100.00
Equipment & Parts &
Aircraft Parts
12.1 Recorded or Unrecorded
media (discs, tapes, - - - - - - -
smart cards)
13 Handicrafts, Works of
Art, Philatelic Products & 1.51 3.96 4.60 1.64 3.41 0.06 107.42
Personal Effects
14 Miscellaneous
0.73 1.16 1.64 3.19 0.47 0.01 -85.31
Manufactured Products
TOTAL 2,873.79 3,783.55 3,427.96 3,205.70 5,679.14 100.00 77.16
Source: Bhutan Trade Statistics, Department of Revenue & Customs. (Note: An entry of “0.0” indicates a marginal value
compared to “-” which indicates no value for that particular item.)
Ngultrum in Million
% Share Annual %
Sl IMPORT CATEGORY 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
in Total change
1 Live Animals & Animal Products 2,331.06 2,674.73 2,755.49 2,713.71 2,690.20 4.98 -0.87
2 Vegetables, Fruits, Nuts, Coffee,
Tea, Spices, Cereals, Grains & 3,260.87 3,551.30 3,412.86 3,756.99 3,738.06 6.93 -0.50
Seeds
3 Animal or Vegetable Fats & Oils 978.43 1,005.55 976.01 1,032.24 1,129.42 2.09 9.41
4 Processed Foods & Beverages 1,812.37 2,024.26 2,159.53 2,306.03 2,375.86 4.40 3.03
5 Mineral Products inc. oils & fuels 12,848.24 13,329.63 12,341.91 12,423.94 13,963.50 25.87 12.39
6 Electricity 222.92 319.02 249.65 172.95 74.94 0.14 -56.67
7 Products of Chemical & Allied 1,885.03 1,954.89 2,098.72 2,129.60 2,098.01 3.89 -1.48
Industries
7.1 Medicine / Pharmaceutical 200.31 173.54 338.18 297.15 262.46 0.49 -11.67
Products
8 Plastic & Rubber Products 1,627.85 1,727.67 1,793.07 1,807.81 2,105.70 3.90 16.48
9 Wood and Wood pulp products 1,911.86 2,349.58 2,391.06 1,868.29 2,330.12 4.32 24.72
9.1 Wood and Wood Products 1,200.04 1,611.34 1,683.13 1,183.67 1,585.37 2.94 33.94
9.2 Wood Pulp Products 711.82 738.24 707.93 684.63 744.75 1.38 8.78
10 Textiles, Footwear & Hats/ 738.56 835.44 925.18 826.70 874.26 1.62 5.75
Headgear
11 Articles of Stone, Plaster, Cement, 925.99 803.45 899.08 905.06 1,111.27 2.06 22.78
Asbestos, Ceramics & Glass
11.1 Ceramic Products 340.90 254.02 320.14 316.16 329.26 0.61 4.14
12 Pearls and Products of Precious/ 16.16 1.07 0.90 0.28 0.79 0.00 182.99
Semi-precious Metal & Stones
13 Base Metals and Articles of Base 7,535.04 8,407.03 9,257.00 6,298.39 6,876.47 12.74 9.18
Metal
14 Machinery, Mechanical/Electrical 6,550.70 6,604.79 9,282.39 12,197.97 9,302.14 17.23 -23.74
Appliances & Equipment and Parts
14.1 Magnetic Discs & Media 19.20 16.21 21.79 13.97 19.36 0.04 38.52
(recorded/unrecorded)
15 Transport Vehicles & Aircraft and 625.45 1,623.92 4,319.48 5,758.68 4,268.65 7.91 -25.87
Engines & Parts
16 Optical, Photographic, 256.33 227.22 300.77 497.22 449.81 0.83 -9.53
Cinematographic & Measuring
Equipment
17 Handicrafts, Works of Art, 0.03 1.84 0.38 0.04 0.02 0.00 -33.06
Collectors’ Pieces & Personal
Effects
18 Miscellaneous Manufactured 362.49 406.23 577.04 588.83 583.45 1.08 -0.91
Products
TOTAL 43,889.37 47,847.62 53,740.51 55,284.73 53,972.67 100.00 -2.37
Ngultrum in Million
% Annual
Sl EXPORT CATEGORY 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Share %
in Total change
1 Live Animals & Animal Products 2.55 2.91 6.81 12.94 20.88 0.07 61.41
1.1 Raw Hides & Skins - - - - - - -
Vegetables, Fruits, Nuts, Coffee, Tea,
2 976.69 1,475.16 1,131.99 1,535.74 1,562.71 4.94 1.76
Spices, Cereals, Grains & Seeds
2.1 Potatoes 360.13 686.30 370.90 542.11 458.69 1.45 (15.39)
3 Animal or Vegetable Fats & Oils 2.94 13.71 8.04 9.74 9.52 0.03 (2.24)
3.1 Palm Oil - 0.00 - - - - -
4 Processed Foods & Beverages 578.91 838.00 897.39 1,067.38 1,010.70 3.20 (5.31)
5 Mineral Products inc. oils & fuels 3,308.93 4,800.19 4,813.75 4,646.48 4,683.21 14.81 0.79
6 Electricity 11,227.26 10,633.64 12,124.49 13,032.05 11,983.49 37.90 (8.05)
Products of Chemical & Allied
7 1,885.13 1,953.88 1,989.97 1,714.73 1,722.12 5.45 0.43
Industries
8 Plastic & Rubber Products 462.58 635.97 678.76 678.21 783.67 2.48 15.55
9 Wood and Wood Pulp Products 314.58 380.69 353.03 318.19 255.91 0.81 (19.57)
9.1 Wood Pulp Products 17.55 15.44 19.80 14.66 19.23 0.06 31.18
10 Textiles, Footwear & Hats/Headgear 43.95 29.93 10.81 1.11 2.38 0.01 114.01
Articles of Stone, Plaster, Cement,
11 152.40 196.47 168.41 150.24 113.03 0.36 (24.77)
Asbestos, Ceramics & Glass
Base Metals and Articles of Base
12 10,004.89 10,826.22 9,605.77 8,874.63 9,459.03 29.92 6.59
Metal
Machinery, Mechanical Appliances &
13 3.69 3.00 2.29 3.22 4.68 0.01 45.27
Electrical Equipment and Parts
Transport Vehicles & Aircraft and
14 0.33 - - - 0.06 0.00 -
Engines & Parts
Optical, Photographic,
15 Cinematographic & Measuring 0.02 - 0.04 - - - -
Equipment
Handicrafts, Works of Art, Collectors’
16 0.10 0.13 - 0.26 - - (100.00)
Pieces & Personal Effects
Miscellaneous Manufactured
17 14.22 11.55 9.80 7.51 6.71 0.02 (10.67)
Products
TOTAL 28,979.16 31,801.45 31,801.35 32,052.42 31,618.09 100.00 (1.36)
Source: Bhutan Trade Statistics, Department of Revenue & Customs. (Note: An entry of “0.0” indicates a marginal
value compared to “-” which indicates no value for that particular item.)
*By latest year rankings. 1) Others include imports from COTI routed through India from 2012 onwards. An entry of
“0.0” indicates a marginal value compared to “-” which indicates no value for that particular item. Source: Bhutan
Trade Statistics, Department of Revenue and Customs.
In Million
Rupee/Ngultrum in Million USD Million
Item
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
1. Convertible Currency Debt 41,178.49 42,759.00 47,990.20 609.00 663.22 699.82
i. Public 40,502.32 40,824.86 45,932.94 599.00 633.22 669.82
World Bank 12,507.16 13,475.71 17,058.67 184.97 209.02 248.76
IFAD 2,442.71 2,275.99 2,491.39 36.13 35.30 36.33
ADB 17,115.05 17,700.47 18,996.95 253.12 274.55 277.02
Govt of Austria 4,918.12 4,315.46 4,139.71 72.74 66.94 60.37
Govt. of Denmark 48.83 0.00 0.00 0.72 0.00 0.00
JICA 2,997.52 2,593.68 2,742.56 44.33 40.23 39.99
Deutsche Investment (hydro) 472.93 463.56 503.65 6.99 7.19 7.34
ii. Private 676.17 1,934.15 2,057.26 10.00 30.00 30.00
2. Indian Rupee Debt 115,393.81 118,770.09 133,190.70 1,706.59 1,842.21 1,942.25
i. Hydro Power debt 101,676.99 111,770.09 119,452.84 1,503.73 1,733.64 1,741.92
Tala 3,356.48 2,013.89 671.30 49.64 31.24 9.79
Punatsangchhu-I 42,543.69 44,543.69 46,043.69 629.19 690.91 671.43
Punatsangchhu-II 27,487.50 35,982.19 39,182.19 406.52 558.11 571.37
Mangdechhu 282,89.33 29,230.33 32,706.59 418.38 453.38 476.94
Nikachhu Project (SBI) 849.08 12.38
ii. Other
GOI Line of Credit 7,000.00 7,000.00 7,000.00 103.52 108.58 102.08
RBI Swap 6,716.82 0.00 6,737.86 99.34 0.00 98.25
3. Total Debt (CC + INR) 156,572.31 161,529.09 181,180.90 2,315.59 2,505.43 2,642.07
As a % of Total Debt
Convertible Currency 26.30 26.47 26.49
Rupee Debt 73.70 73.53 73.51
Total Loans in % of GDP 118.60 108.64 110.05
Nominal GDP (Calendar Year) 132,021.30 148,678.93 164,627.92
Exchange rate (Nu./USD) 67.62 64.47 68.58
Note: Debt data published by the RMA includes the total external debt of the country (public + private) and
are therefore not comparable to data published by the Ministry of Finance which covers only public debt.
Furthermore, the RMA uses calendar year GDP figures for all ratios to the GDP. Hydro power debt excludes
accrued interest.
Source: Department of Public Accounts, Royal Monetary Authority of Bhutan & private sector enterprises.
** Debt service payments as a percent of the export of goods and services. The total debt service ratio represents
the total debt service payments (i.e. on convertible currency & Rupee loans) as a percentage of the total export
earnings (from India & other countries). Convertible currency debt service ratio is the debt servicing on convertible
currency loans as a percentage of the export earnings from countries other than India. Similarly, the Indian Rupee
debt service ratio is the debt servicing on Indian Rupee loans as a percentage of the export earnings from India.
The debt service ratio for the latest period is calculated based on the previous year’s export of goods and services.
Ngultrum In Million
Item 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
1. Indian Rupee Reserves (INR in Million) 10,133.27 10,865.88 20,811.87 21,092.36 16,085.82
Royal Monetary Authority of Bhutan 9,493.07 9,826.55 19,017.73 19,433.11 14,534.35
Bank of Bhutan Limited 447.91 598.04 830.28 1,075.85 363.20
Bhutan National Bank Limited 61.91 193.91 141.99 212.23 514.57
T Bank Limited 74.91 77.25 175.94 122.35 479.97
Druk PNB Limited 55.47 170.14 645.92 248.81 193.74
2. Convertible Currency Reserves (USD in Million) 829.26 788.02 810.98 776.60 876.34
Royal Monetary Authority of Bhutan (1)
789.15 759.44 789.51 748.79 824.30
Bank of Bhutan Limited 22.71 20.26 13.37 10.99 36.18
Bhutan National Bank Limited 14.80 6.94 5.77 7.30 5.03
T Bank Limited 0.13 0.11 0.44 0.85 5.76
Druk PNB Limited 2.48 1.26 1.88 8.68 5.06
3.Total Reserves (USD in Million) (1+2) 997.89 958.45 1,118.77 1,103.76 1,110.91
4. Exchange rates used 60.09 63.75 67.62 64.47 68.58
5. Months of Merchandise Imports (2)
The RMA Board endorsed the adoption j The RMA successfully closed
accounts for the financial year
j of the BAS in Accounting Policy from
January 1, 2018.
2017/18 and transferred a surplus of
Nu. 1,550.24 million to the RGoB on
October 3, 2018.
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