Derivatives Market
Derivatives Market
What is Derivative?
• Derivative is a financial instrument or security whose payoffs depend
on a more primitive or fundamental good. Examples: futures,
forwards, swaps, options etc.
• The underlying assets include stocks, currencies, interest rates,
commodities, debt instruments, electricity prices, insurance payouts,
the weather, etc.
• Financial derivative is a financial instrument whose payoffs depend on
the financial instruments or security
Forward and Futures
• Forwards: A forward contract is a customized contract between two
entities, where settlement takes place on a specific date in the future
at today’s pre-agreed price.
• Futures: A futures contract is an agreement between two parties to
buy or sell an asset at a certain time in the future at a certain price.
Futures contracts are special types of forward contracts in the sense
that the former are standardized exchange-traded contracts
Options
• Options are of two types – call option and put option
• Call Option: It give the holder the right but not the obligation to buy a
given quantity of the underlying asset, at a given price on or before a
given future date.
• Put Option: give the holder the right to sell a given quantity of the
underlying asset at a given price on or before a given date.
• An American option can be exercised at any time during its life
• A European option can be exercised only at maturity
Options Cont…
• Option Premium = Intrinsic Value (Parity Value) + Time value (Premium over
parity)
• Intrinsic value refers to the amount by which it is in-the-money
• Option which is out-of-the money has a zero intrinsic values
• For a call option which is in the money, the intrinsic value is the excess of stock
price over the exercise price
• For a put option which is in the money, the intrinsic value is the excess of exercise
price over the stock price
Example
Option Exercise Stock Call Classifica Intrinsic Time
price price Option tion value Value
price
1 80 83.5 6.75 In-the-mo 3.5 6.75-3.5
ney
30 Profit (Rs)
20
10 Terminal
70 80 90 100 stock price (Rs)
0
-5 110 120 130
Short Call
Profit from writing one European call option: option
price = Rs.5, strike price = Rs. 100
Profit (Rs)
5 110 120 130
0
70 80 90 100 Terminal
-10 stock price (Rs)
-20
-30
12
Long Put
Profit from buying a European put option: option
price = Rs.7, strike price = Rs.70
30 Profit (Rs)
20
10 Terminal
stock price (Rs)
0
40 50 60 70 80 90 100
-7
13
Short Put
Profit from writing a European put option: option price
= Rs.7, strike price = Rs.70
Profit (Rs)
Terminal
7
40 50 60 stock price (Rs)
0
70 80 90 100
-10
-20
-30
14
Swaps
• Swaps: Swaps are private agreements between two parties to exchange cash
flows in the future according to a prearranged formula. They can be regarded as
portfolios of forward contracts. The two commonly used swaps are :
• Interest rate swaps: These entail swapping only the interest related cash flows
between the parties in the same currency.
• Currency swaps: These entail swapping both principal and interest between the
parties, with the cashflows in one direction being in a different currency than
those in the opposite direction.
Some Concepts
• Buyer is said to have a long position and seller has a short position
• The act of buying is called going long and the act of selling is called going short
• When one trader buys and other sells a forward contract, the transaction generates
on contract of trading volume
• At any moment in time, there is some number of future contracts obligated for
delivery and this number is called open interest
• Settlement price: the price just before the final bell each day
• used for the daily settlement process
Forward Contracts vs Futures
Contracts
FORWARDS FUTURES
Private contract between 2 parties Exchange traded
Not standardized Standard contract
Usually 1 specified delivery date Range of delivery dates
Settled at maturity Settled daily
Delivery or final cash Contract usually closed out
settlement usually occurs prior to maturity
Some credit risk Virtually no credit risk
Forward and Future Prices
18
Objective
• How forward and future prices are related to spot prices?
• Forward contracts are easy to analyse as there is no daily settlement
and a single payment at maturity
19
Notation for Valuing Futures and Forward
Contracts
20
Forward Price: Securities
Providing No Income
If the spot price of is S & the futures price is for a
contract deliverable in T years is F, then
F = S (1+r )T
where r is the 1-year risk-free rate of interest.
In our examples, S=390, T=1, and r=0.05 so that
F = 390(1+0.05) = 409.50
21
When Interest Rates are Measured
with Continuous Compounding
F0 = S0erT
This equation relates the forward price and the spot price for any investment asset that
provides no income and has no storage cost.
If F0 > S0erT: Investor may buy the asset by borrowing an amount equal to S0 for a period of
T at the risk free rate, and take a short position in forward contract. At the time of maturity,
the assets will be delivered for a price of F and amount borrowed will be repaid by paying an
amount equal to S0erT and the deal would result in a net profit of F0 - S0erT
If F0 < S0erT: Investor would short the assets, invest the proceeds for the time period T at an
interest arte r and long a forward contract. When the contract matures the asset would be
purchased for a price of F and the short position in the asset would be closed out. This would
result in a profit of S0erT - F0
22
An Arbitrage Opportunity?
• Suppose that:
• The spot price of a non-dividend-paying stock
is Rs. 40
• The 3-month forward price is Rs. 43
• The 3-month interest rate is 5% per annum
• Is there an arbitrage opportunity?
Suppose that:
• The spot price of nondividend-paying stock is
Rs. 40
• The 3-month forward price is Rs. 39
• The 1-year interest rate is 5% per annum
(continuously compounded)
Is there an arbitrage opportunity?
23
Example
Forward Price: 43 Forward Price: 39
Action Now: Action Now:
Borrow Rs. 40 at 5% for 3 months Short 1 unit of asset to realize Rs. 40
Buy one unit of asset Invest Rs. 40 at 5% for 3 months
Enter into the forward contract to sell asset in 3 Enter into a forward contract to buy asset in 3 months
months for Rs. 43 for Rs. 39
Action in 3 months Action in 3 months
Sell asset for Rs. 43 Buy asset for Rs. 39. Close the short position
Use Rs. 40.50 to repay loan and interest Receive Rs. 40.50 from investment
Profit: Rs. 2.50 Profit: Rs. 1.50
24
Example (Income is known)
• Consider a forward contract to purchase a coupon bearing bond
• Current price of coupon bearing bond: Rs. 900
• Maturity Period: 9 months
• Coupon payment in 4 months: Rs. 40
• 4-month and 9-month risk free rate: 3% and 4% per annum
• Suppose the forward price: Rs. 910
25
What the arbitragers will do?
Forward Price: Rs. 910 Forward Price: Rs. 870
Action Now Action Now
Borrow Rs. 900 (Rs. 39.60 for 4 months and Rs. 860.40 Short 1 unit of asset to realize Rs. 900
for 9 months) to buy the bond The present value of Invest Rs. 39.60 for 4 months and Rs. 860.40 for 9
coupon payment: 40e-0.03*4/12 = Rs. 39.60 months
Buy 1 unit of asset Enter into the forward contract to buy asset in 9
Enter into the forward contract to sell the bond for Rs. months for Rs. 870
910
Action after 4 months Action after 4 months
Receive Rs. 40 as coupon Receive Rs. 40 from 4 months investment
Use Rs. 40 to repay first loan with interest Pay Rs. 40 on asset
Action after 9 months Action after 9 months
Sell asset for Rs. 910 Receive Rs. 886.60 from 9 months investments
Use 860.40e0.04*0.75 =Rs. 886.60 to repay second loan Buy asset for Rs. 870
with interest
Profit: Rs. 23.40 Profit: Rs. 16.60
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When an Investment Asset Provides a
Known Income (preference Share,
coupon bearing bonds)
F0 = (S0 – I )erT
where I is the present value of the income from investment during the life of
future contract
Example: So =Rs. 900, I = 40e-0.03*4/12 = Rs. 39.60, r=0.04 and T= 0.75
So: F0 = (900-39.60)e0.04*0.75 = Rs. 886.60
If F0 > (S0 – I )erT an arbitrager can lock in a profit by buying the asset and
shorting the a forward contract on the asset.
If F0 < (S0 – I )erT an arbitrager can lock in a profit by shorting the asset and
taking a long position in a forward contract
27
When an Investment Asset Provides a
Known Yield
The income is known when expressed as a percentage of the asset’s price at the time
income is paid.
(r–q )T
F0 = S0 e
where q is the average yield during the life of the contract (expressed with
continuous compounding)
Example: Let: asset price: Rs. 25, Risk free rate: 10% and T=0.5, Income: 2%
of the asset price once during 6 months period.
In continuous compounding it will be: 2(ln(1+0.04/2)= 3.96% i.e. q=0.0396
F0 = 25e(0.10-0.0396)*0.5 = Rs. 25.77
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Valuing a Forward Contract
• A forward contract is worth zero when it is first negotiated
• Later it may have a positive or negative value
• Suppose that K is the delivery price and F0 is the forward price for a
contract that would be negotiated today
• By considering the difference between a contract with delivery price K
and a contract with delivery price F0 we can deduce that:
• the value of a long forward contract is
(F0 – K )e–rT
• the value of a short forward contract is
(K – F0 )e–rT
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Futures and Forwards on Currencies
• A foreign currency is analogous to a security providing a
yield
• The yield is the foreign risk-free interest rate
• It follows that if rf is the foreign risk-free interest rate
30
Option Valuation
Upper and Lower Bounds for Option Prices
• If an option price is above the upper bound and below the lower
bound, there are profitable opportunities for arbitrageurs.
• Upper Bounds (Call Option): c ≤ S0 and C ≤ S0, if these relationship
does not hold then an arbitrageurs can easily make risk less profit by
buying the stock and selling the call option
• Upper Bound (Put Option): p ≤ K and P ≤ K, for European option p ≤
Ke-rt, If this is not true then risk less profit can be made by writing the
option and investing the proceeds of the sale at the risk-free interest
rate.
Lower Bounds for calls on Non-Dividend paying Stocks
c ≥ S0 –Ke -rT
• Suppose that
c=3 S0 = 20
T=1 r = 10%
K = 18 D=0
p ≥ Ke -rT
–S0
• Suppose that
p= 1 S0 = 37
T = 0.5 r =5%
K = 40 D =0
means that c + Ke
-rT
= p + S0
Arbitrage Opportunities
• Suppose that
c=3 S0 = 31
T = 0.25 r = 10%
K =30 D=0
• What are the arbitrage possibilities
when p = 2.25 ?
Answer
• c + Ke -rT = p + S0
• 3+ 30e-0.1*3/12= Rs.32.26
• P + S0 = 2.25 + 31 = Rs. 33.25
• Arbitrage Strategy: Buying call and shorting both put and stock generating a positive cash flow of: -3 + 2.25
+31 = Rs. 30.25
• Invest it at risk free interest rate, amount grows to 30.25e0.1*0.25=Rs.31.02
• Is stock price at expiration of option is greater than 30 the call will be exercised and if it is less than 30, then
the put will be exercised.
• Net profit = 31.02 -30 = rs 1.02
The Impact of Dividends on Lower
Bounds to Option Prices
Swap
Fixed Floating
Steriling 5%
Cash Flow to X
Dollar Sterling
cash flow cash flow
(millions) (millions)
February 1, 2015 -15.00 +10.00
February 1, 2016 +0.90 -0.50
February 1, 2017 +0.90 -0.50
February 1, 2018 +0.90 -0.50
February 1, 2019 +0.90 -0.50
February 1, 2020 +15.9 -10.50
Typical Uses of a Currency Swap
• Conversion from a liability in one currency to a liability in
another currency
USD AUD
General Motors 5.0% 7.6%
Qantas 7.0% 8.0%