Digital-Circulation-Report - NATHEALTH
Digital-Circulation-Report - NATHEALTH
March 2022
A report by
The COVID-19 pandemic has catalyzed both technological and behavioral change –
on one hand, forcing people to embrace digital innovations all walks of life and
especially healthcare, and on the other, creating significant pressure on health
systems and, exposing supply chain lacunae globally. As a large and growing
healthcare market and a hub for innovation and digital entrepreneurship globally,
India is poised to see a paradigm shift in digitally enabled healthcare.
In this context, this whitepaper seeks to explore how global trends and success
stories in digital health will be relevant in the Indian context, what opportunities
could emerge in the near future, how ready is the ecosystem to adapt to the
changing landscape, how recent policy interventions have set the stage for
accelerated adoption of digital health, what are specific challenges that may need
to be overcome and how these translate into innovation opportunities for Indian
healthcare players.
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EXECUTIVE
SUMMARY
Digital technology has a transformative power that eclipses the capacity of any
other force behind earlier socioeconomic revolutions. In healthcare, digital
technology is creating a quantum shift, one that could transform healthcare in India
almost beyond imagination. India could have 1 billion digital health users by 2030,
enjoying an inclusive health system where healthcare keeps expanding but costs
keep falling, a system that efficiently prevents and treats diseases, and responds to
individual lifestyles and disease profiles with tailored treatments, all at an
affordable price.
This is a future that the digitisation of healthcare can achieve. But only if the
stakeholders involved step up to the challenge.
The demand already exists. India already has 400 million digital health users, using
available services such as tele health, home health, home testing, e-pharmacies and
other digitally powered offerings, even without much innovation by large healthcare
providers. A survey by Arthur D Little to identify what drives digitized healthcare
adoption in India showed up to 65% acceptance of digital health solutions among
customers who use e-commerce services. Significantly higher adoption of digital
health tools was reported by patients who had long-term disorders such as cardio-
vascular disease, diabetes, and hypertension. The pandemic forced people to use
digital channels for care needs. Having experienced the benefits of digitally enabled
healthcare delivery, consumers now consider them a necessity.
However, as too often in India, supply lags well behind demand. The underpinnings
are already there—India now has a sturdy digital backbone via Ayushman Bharat
Digital Health Mission (ABDM). Aiming to capture health data across physicians,
providers and patients, the platform promises interoperability, flexibility, security,
scalability and wide access.
At the moment, the opportunities abound. What India needs is effective, accessible
and high-quality healthcare solutions that provide equitable access and that can be
rapidly deployed and scaled up.
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Conventional healthcare capacity is highly unlikely to catch up with the demand and
supply gaps the country suffers now. Digital solutions are the answer, building on
the deep penetration of smart devices and increase in connectivity that the country
has invested in over the past decades.
The pandemic catalyzed the adoption of tele health, home health, home testing, e-
pharmacies and other digital offerings. But there is still a lot of room for growth.
Meanwhile, some solutions remain largely unexplored including e-diagnosis and
tech-enabled home health and more mature e-pharmacy solutions.
For conventional healthcare players, health technology startups and investors, this
is the time to enter and build a hard to beat position.
How they could do so and the policy and regulatory support they will need can be
summarized as follows:
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Global Trends &
Learnings on Scaling
Health-Tech Adoption &
Driving Innovation in
Healthcare Delivery
India’s fast-evolving healthcare industry on the cusp of a digital revolution driven by the Indian consumer
Notwithstanding the impact of COVID-19 in the short term - comorbidities and risk
factors such as diabetes, hypertension, cardiovascular susceptibility are well known
to have driven significantly higher mortality amongst vulnerable patient groups
during the pandemic as well.
Elderly population above 80 years old is likely to grow from about 125 million
globally to over 434 million by 2050 with sizable growth in this demographic being
contributed to by large and (currently) developing markets like India. Public health
agencies and experts also suggest that the incidence of long term ailments and
chronic conditions such as dementia and Alzheimer’s will continue to grow.
Estimates point to an increase of this incidence from 47 million in 2015 to 75
million by 2030.
Demand for this demographic segment has larger scale in developed countries with
older demographic bases at present. However, as the populations in developing
countries age further, younger population ages and fertility rates stabilize -
currently developing economies can also expect to see the elderly segment
becoming increasingly critical.
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India’s fast-evolving healthcare industry on the cusp of a digital revolution driven by the Indian consumer
The emerging paradigm will force care delivery models to go beyond just delivering
care outside the provider infrastructure and start to make healthcare more
omnipresent with the health consumer. Specifically in an Indian context, care
delivery models need to also evolve and create more equitable and democratic
access – servicing the marginalized and at-risk population groups more effectively.
Tech enabled business models in healthcare therefore likely need to be rethought
to create infrastructure and service offerings designed for such delivery modalities.
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Global Digital Health
Trends & Digital
Enablement of Healthcare
India’s fast-evolving healthcare industry on the cusp of a digital revolution driven by the Indian consumer
Technology enabled change in the healthcare space has also seen significant
acceleration in recent years – especially from a perspective of development of new
treatment modalities and change in clinical methods. Even traditional areas of
technological adoption have seen significant and rapid growth. New vaccine
developments are a benchmark example of effective technological adoption in
fundamental healthcare delivery. Complex vaccine development activities, typically
taking years or decades have been accelerated to be completed in months due in
large part to technological advances in genomic sequencing, collaborative research
with leading universities and research programs, and rapid scale up of
technological offerings.
Use cases of digital technologies in healthcare target a shift in the way information
is received and processed in the healthcare system. The emphasis of emerging,
scale based solutions is to move away from pure digitalization of information, and
towards developing digital solutions in care delivery.
Health data, at the same time is diverse and collected across a variety of platforms
in a complex healthcare ecosystem. Systemic sources of information could be
supplemented by data and interpretation of physical testing / diagnosis.
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India’s fast-evolving healthcare industry on the cusp of a digital revolution driven by the Indian consumer
Scale based clinical data collection and standardization can then support Health
Information Networks and Exchanges that enable research activities such as clinical
trials, payor optimization and transfer of information amongst different health
information systems that may be in large scale use, in addition to supporting
treatment decisions by physicians.
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India’s fast-evolving healthcare industry on the cusp of a digital revolution driven by the Indian consumer
ADL’s interviews with senior leaders indicates that a large number of the
beneficiaries / early adopters of these programs have been patients with chronic
ailments with a need for periodic follow ups and patients who require significant
post-acute recuperative care, and other similar patients in vulnerable comorbidity
groups
Health Personalization:
With a shift away from episodic care, towards preventative care, personalization of
health is becoming a key focus area within the Digital Health space. Consumers of
health services are also more aware than ever before. Personalized health solutions
can therefore be a critical component of the overall preventative care approach in
the market. Gamification and reward also ensure that digital healthcare is
embedded deeper in the lifestyles of patients.
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India’s fast-evolving healthcare industry on the cusp of a digital revolution driven by the Indian consumer
With COVID-19 creating significant travel barriers since 2020 and increasing
prevalence of low-latency, high speed network connectivity worldwide, Augmented
Reality / Virtual Reality based applications are gaining significant traction. AR/VR
based healthcare training for physicians, specialized technicians and other clinical
delivery staff are becoming increasingly mainstream globally, especially in surgical
and other specialized therapy areas where availability of physical trainers may be
limited. Mixed reality offerings also can offer not just the audiovisual experience
but significant components of tactile feel in several therapy areas. In addition,
patient linked use cases for AR/VR are also likely scalable and appropriate for
management / enhancing functional outcomes in patients with behavioral and
developmental disorders.
Predictive Modeling:
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Impact of Digital on
Healthcare Operations
from Select Global
Case Studies
India’s fast-evolving healthcare industry on the cusp of a digital revolution driven by the Indian consumer
Digital health offerings are accelerating innovation and are deeply impacting
procurement functions in the healthcare sector. Healthcare facilities tend to utilize
a wide variety of consumables. A typical healthcare facility may stock several
thousands of medical product types and SKUs within their inventory and ensure
inclusion of tens to hundreds of thousands of SKUs within their overall formulary -
for procurement and usage.
These products are also widely varied in their characteristics. Storage requirements
such as temperature, humidity, lighting etc may vary significantly and have a direct
impact on quality of clinical outcomes. Clinical shelf life may vary from a few
months to a few years for products. Technological changes to products and delivery
mechanisms may change. Product recall and safety management create complexity
in supply chain management. Products varying from lower cost basic medications to
high end, high valued medical devices, to legally controlled substances need to be
procured, stored, managed and tracked through a unified ecosystem by healthcare
enterprises. Critically from an enterprise viability perspective, procurement cost
and pilferage risks may be high or prohibitive as well – which healthcare
organizations need to balance. All these complexities necessitate a responsive,
effective and adaptive supply chain management solution for healthcare players.
Big data and tech enabled use cases in procurement thereby potentially enable the
adoption of value based procurement opportunities in the healthcare sector.
The Indian market has its unique share of challenges in this context, given the need
for cost efficiency of the solution. Given lower affordability of healthcare in the
country and lower penetration of health insurance among the population base,
viability of specific use cases for supply chain management. Leading CTO / CIOs in
the healthcare space in India, interviewed by ADL interactions make the case for
data driven and digitally enabled procurement – but also highlight the criticality of:
Right usage of hard technology for product identification and segregation based
on criticality and value of the product vs investment required to collect
information on product stocks / usage
Standardization of materials for procurement
Ensuring effective governance around the supply chain to ensure appropriate
usage of materials
Enabling genuine integration with financial systems and usage of tech platforms
as their core
Transition planning from non-digital approaches to digital approaches
Ensuring multidisciplinary team engagement at solution design phase and
training of workforce to ensure alignment with targeted procurement outcomes
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Indian Digital Health
Landscape & Demystifying
the “Indian Digital
Health Consumer”
India’s fast-evolving healthcare industry on the cusp of a digital revolution driven by the Indian consumer
Four broad categories of product suites largely exist in the consumer facing
activities:
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India’s fast-evolving healthcare industry on the cusp of a digital revolution driven by the Indian consumer
Several key trends have been observed in the customer survey that starkly bring to
light the behavioral trends observed amongst Digital Health consumers in India.
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India’s fast-evolving healthcare industry on the cusp of a digital revolution driven by the Indian consumer
This indicates that as many as 400 million Indians already have experience utilizing
healthcare services. Specifically in case of online pharmacies, experiential similarity
vis-à-vis e-shopping and online retail, already deeply penetrated in the . Lower
traction in E-diagnostics – understood to be on account of perceived quality and
accuracy of diagnoses, patient desire not to interfere with physician
recommendations, and the facility operations (turnaround time, reputation etc.)
In addition, a clear divide is visible amongst the key age groups in the acceptance of
digital health tools – with the 40+ segment being about 1/3rd as likely to use digital
tools, largely because of familiarity and tool awareness amongst the younger
population. The opportunities do remain relevant for this segment given routine
health examinations and lifestyle ailments start to emerge amongst the population
within the 41-50 y age bracket.
Figure 9: Doctor consultation adoption preferences by age group
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India’s fast-evolving healthcare industry on the cusp of a digital revolution driven by the Indian consumer
2. Larger value pools in Tier 2 and 3 cities are becoming more evident for
Digital Health Offerings. With the exception of adoption of e-diagnostics and
online pharmacies which have some variance, all tiers of cities are observed to have
comparable degree of adoption for digital services indicating that the technology
divide prevalent in the past in India is now abating. Tier 2 and 3 customers are also
becoming increasingly aware of the benefits of digital technologies in healthcare
and now demand conveniences from digital health offerings.
Figure 10: Adoption of Digital Health Offerings in Tier 1, 2 and 3 Cities in India
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India’s fast-evolving healthcare industry on the cusp of a digital revolution driven by the Indian consumer
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India’s fast-evolving healthcare industry on the cusp of a digital revolution driven by the Indian consumer
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Digital Health
Opportunities in India
India’s fast-evolving healthcare industry on the cusp of a digital revolution driven by the Indian consumer
In terms of Bed Density, India currently ranks lower than both international
benchmarks, as well as a majority of regional economies. This is compounded by
the fact that in Tier 2/3 cities and below, healthcare systems and access are
significantly challenged and undersupplied.
At the same time, significant strides have been made in the recent past in India
from a utility infrastructure (Power access, water access etc), telecommunications
infrastructure deployment and information access perspective – which create an
effective foundation for digital health platforms and solutions to be established on.
India now boasts the second largest number of cell phones anywhere in the world
and smart device penetration stood at about 54% in 2020, up from only 22% in
2016. With omnipresence of low cost smart devices, penetration is expected to
reach near full saturation by 2030-2035. India also had amongst the highest data
usage globally, at about 12 GB per month per user in 2020, a number which is
expected to double by 2025. As 5G network access becomes accessible to urban
centers, the digital revolution in healthcare will have an effective connectivity
backbone.
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India’s fast-evolving healthcare industry on the cusp of a digital revolution driven by the Indian consumer
The ABDM Program is critically important for the digital health platforms in India to
affect a step change. With a primary objective to establish a health data capture
framework, the program can support an eventual development of a ‘single source
of truth’ for personal and facility level health data across the entire population.
The core of the ABDM program is the Unified Health Interface (UHI) framework. In
order to eventually support and sustain an insurance covered healthcare model,
having a reliable source of data and leveraging it to analyze performance and drive
improvement is critical.
UHI aims at streamlining the digital health service experience for the providers
of health service and the patient by establishing and standardizing the
technology pathways that enable such services to be given.
UHI is envisioned as an open protocol for various digital health services. UHI
Network will be an open network of End User Applications (EUAs) and
participating Health Service Provider (HSP) applications.
UHI would enable interoperable connections over a nationwide decentralized
open, secure and inclusive network. It will use Registries in NDHM, that keep a
list of the entities participating in the network and Gateways that enable entities
to communicate using the standard protocols.
Enabling safe storage and easy access of medical records, ensuring access to
accurate information on healthcare providers will allow better decision making by
the Government. Geography and demography based monitoring and effective
evaluation of various programmes and interventions can be affected depending on
patient outcomes.
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India’s fast-evolving healthcare industry on the cusp of a digital revolution driven by the Indian consumer
The program, upon full implementation, has the potential to realize several benefits
to stakeholders across the healthcare ecosystem. Specifically for key participants of
the healthcare ecosystem, there may be several opportunities:
For Patients – a singular and consistent clinical history will enable better
diagnosis, comorbidity management, easier case reviews and second opinions,
better availability of health data resulting in diversified and lower health premia,
reduced transaction time and costs for health insurance and systematic tracking
of health progress
For Health Insurers – Optimizing the insurance life cycle, as adopting the health
ID as a patient ID could enable consent based access to linked health records.
Opportunities in policy portability and information exchange Allowing patients
to link a single health ID to multiple provider and insurance IDs for cross insurer
consistency checks and fraud prevention. Optimization in policy premiums for
lower risk/healthier individuals and enablement of addition of more diversified
and larger risk pools.
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India’s fast-evolving healthcare industry on the cusp of a digital revolution driven by the Indian consumer
Use cases that can likely see good traction in the market could center around:
Home healthcare for chronic diseases and lifestyle ailments may offer potential for
digital enhancement. Patients and families of patients have historically relied on
fragmented and unstructured recruitment of home healthcare practitioners
through personal networks, regional ads etc. Aging and life expectancy increases
have resulted in increasing clinical care provided in a home setting. these services
can be potentially aggregated and provided in a structure like ad hoc workers.
Several use cases emerge in geriatric care and home healthcare involving the use of
IoT and wearable devices. GPS Devices to track and monitor geographical position
of patients through portable devices that may be affixed to patients’ clothing or
person can assist caretakers in cases of patients with cognition challenges.
Geofencing also allows alerting caregivers to patients leaving / crossing certain
thresholds/boundaries. Tracking patients on an active basis also allows patients
freedom in movement within and outside facilities while retaining the ability for
caregivers to find and assist in case of any emergencies.
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India’s fast-evolving healthcare industry on the cusp of a digital revolution driven by the Indian consumer
EMR adoption is the next digital frontier in Indian healthcare, primarily driven by
the Ayushman Bharat Digital Mission. The next wave of growth in medical data
generated from HIS systems is catalyzing the next iteration of care delivery –
utilizing Big Data and Evidence Based Care.
Applying big data analytics and evidence based care principles to enable:
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India’s fast-evolving healthcare industry on the cusp of a digital revolution driven by the Indian consumer
Concepts such as e-ICUs and Virtual Hospitals (some of which are already under
pilot deployment with startups/large healthcare groups) enable efficient
deployment of critically scarce intensivists and at the same time enable asset-light
operations in the conventional healthcare delivery approach. e-ICUs and Virtual
hospitals may allow several advantages 5 over conventional facilities. Lowered
headcounts (on a per patient served basis) for highly trained and skilled
intensivists, reduced risk of nosocomial infections due to lower contact, reduced
hard capex cost in ‘real estate’ components of healthcare provision, and at the
same time superior distribution of super-specialty intensivists’ capabilities across a
wider group of healthcare facilities or geographical centers.
India is also a significant healthcare destination from a Medical Value Travel (MVT)
perspective. Historically, India’s positioning as an MVT destination has been largely
on account of the high quality and deep experience of physicians practicing in the
marketplace, significantly cheaper cost of care on a dollar-to-rupee basis and soft-
power presence of India as a nation. Opportunities exist for digital health to
provide pre and post procedure support through digital offerings.
[5] National Center for Biotechnology Information (NCBI) - Electronic intensive care unit: A perspective amid the
COVID-19 era
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India’s fast-evolving healthcare industry on the cusp of a digital revolution driven by the Indian consumer
Such systems if executed well can also provide necessary checks from a supply
chain governance perspective. Systematic tracking to prevent pilferage and misuse
of items can lead to significant revenue losses. Systems should also be integrated
to the financial systems such as invoicing and digital payments. Integration and
automation of supplier reviews and consolidation of supply also supports in
maintaining relationships with vendors and suppliers.
Similar opportunities also exist in digitally enabled supply chains and procurement
value creation initiatives as well. Standalone facilities may have demand
variabilities and challenges in integrating digitally with suppliers. These may also
not have right capability set to push value-based procurements concepts viably.
However, intermediaries who can aggregate and have ability to digitally interface
with both suppliers and consumers, can potentially allow for smoothening and
predictability, managing economic order quantities and enable efficiencies in
procurement.
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India’s fast-evolving healthcare industry on the cusp of a digital revolution driven by the Indian consumer
In addition, several other opportunities can be digitally enabled and made more
effective. Digital loans, funding linked to clearly defined digital readiness and easier
financing access can allow health organizations to invest in digital and improve
their “Digital IRR”. However, this may require the digital health ecosystem in India
to become more formalized and digital health plays become more standardized and
segregated.
As digital penetration starts to hit critical mass, the middle- and lower-income
segments in India will also start to become viable from a service delivery
perspective. These segments already have growing penetration of smart devices
and platforms to support digital health. With increasing availability and critical
mass, the fortune at the bottom of the healthcare pyramid in India can become
digitally accessible also.
Over the longer term, as overall health delivery system matures, India may move
towards coordinated health, and eventually towards a managed health network.
However, this will require the entire ecosystem to be able to exchange information
on a common framework – something that will be enabled through digital health
offerings.
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Innovation & Digital
Imperatives for the Indian
Healthcare Ecosystem
India’s fast-evolving healthcare industry on the cusp of a digital revolution driven by the Indian consumer
India presents a unique opportunity of having a vibrant existing Digital Health user
community of 400 million. With the further penetration of smartphone, 5G adoption
and service provider innovation, by 2030 India could easily have over 1 bn Digital
Health users. This will help catalyze a transformation in the Indian healthcare
creating the platform to provide quality, affordable care to all Indians. The
government has also created a scalable technology architecture (through Ayushman
Bharat Digital Mission) for healthcare ecosystem players to drive technology-led
transformation of the sector. The healthcare industry now needs to step up and
break-through the digital divide. To realize the full potential of Digital Health, we
propose the following imperatives for the various industry stakeholders:
Cost effective healthcare delivery and capturing efficiency gains from investments is
also critically important.This will require developing digitally enabled supply chains
that are able to tide over disruptions, allow consistency in a difficult market like
India, and are a scalable and efficient
While Regulators and Policy Makers have taken steps in the right direction, they will
also need to become the system’s conscience as Digital Offerings are rolled out. The
most critical imperative for the policy makers will be to ensure the program is
governed effectively and appropriately. Data access, availability and privacy are
concerns of global consequence and with greater consumer awareness, it will be
necessary for the regulators to be the custodians of the health data generated.
Regulators will need to play an active role in a) being an ombudsman looking to
balance compliance with the prescribed standards and, commercial and policy
support considerations and b) supporting new and incubment digital player to
garner and secure funding for HealthTech startups.
Likely the most critical role in the transformation will be played by Investors and
Startups. As the startup ecosystem and linked investor base starts to deploy
resources aggressively in new product and service line development and new
ventures targeting digital health opportunities, an attractive and independent
ecosystem could gradually emerge supporting Digital First offerings will be critical.
These will require to be nurtured and effectively managed by the investor group.
Investors will also need to consider digital ability as integral in their deal flow and
screening processes and not just an incremental differentiator. In parallel, the
startup ecosystem needs to integrate and penetrate brick-and-mortar healthcare
delivery as well, to enable access to care.
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India’s fast-evolving healthcare industry on the cusp of a digital revolution driven by the Indian consumer
Digital health should also be considered by investment houses during the deal
evaluation, deal assessment and eventually, a value creation plan. Financing digital
health innovations and platforms through greater emphasis on HealthTech and
InsurTech startup ecosystems.
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Authors
Acknowledgements
Arthur D. Little has been at the forefront of innovation since 1886. We are an
acknowledged thought leader in linking strategy, innovation and transformation in
technology- intensive and converging industries. We navigate our clients through
changing business ecosystems to uncover new growth opportunities. We enable our
clients to build innovation capabilities and transform their organizations.
Our consultants have strong practical industry experience combined with excellent
knowledge of key trends and dynamics. ADL is present in the most important
business centers around the world. We are proud to serve most of the Fortune 1000
companies, in addition to other leading firms and public sector organizations.