Small Account Futures - Class Slides

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Small Account Futures

How to Consistently Grow a Small account

With Joe Rokop


Managing Director of Commodities & Equities

February 26th, 2021


Class Structure

1 2 3

About Me Terminology Technicals


My Trading Journey Need to Know Terms The Technical Set Up

4 5

Risk Exit Rules


Managing Your Small Account Getting Out at the Right Time

2
Class Structure

6 7 8

Setups Micros Paying Yourself


The “No Brainer” Signals You Their Value to Your Small My Holy Grail Trading Key
Should be Using Account Discussion/Questions
Break

Psychology
Things to Know Before You Go

3
How to Get the MOST Out of This Class

Take Notes

Write down Questions

Take Notes

Take Notes

Take Notes

4
Why Is This Strategy Important?

WHY SHOULD YOU USE THIS STRATEGY NOW

Market conditions now are very favorable for trading one lot and small
account size vs. “any other point in time” using our system.
● Scaling out is no longer a requirement
● Intraday Range Extensions remain consistent
Often the market establishes a moderate intraday range and then
works outwards. Thus, if we properly identify the trend, we can catch a
sufficient portion of the subsequent move with small size. This is
contrary to previous market conditions in which intraday moves would
often help or turn due to lack of momentum.

5
Why Is A Strategy Important?

System works in
HOW DOES IT WORK IN THIS MARKET bear markets!

I capture moderate price movements in either direction by


identifying short, medium, and long term trends in various markets.
● This is how we take advantage of market moves without the
market taking advantage of our time

I take calculated risks in these unprecedented market conditions


and understand the proper risk : reward BEFORE the trade, based
on market volatility and range.
● That’s how I predetermine the targets and stop loss

6
ES Rebound Trade - Pre-Class Live Trading

Rebound - 2/24/2022 - Total time: 10 minutes

ENTRY: SELL 1 ES @ 4, 153

Target 1: 4, 135

Stop Loss @ 15, 230

Initial Risk : Reward = $500 : $875

Ratio ~ 1 : 2

Result = $875

+$875
7
YM Rebound Trade Example:

Rebound off HVA - 12/31/2022 - Total time < 1hr

+$1,975
175.6% 8
NQ Rebound Trade:

Rebound - 1/19/22

ENTRY: SELL 3 NQ @ 15, 197

+2,945 Target 1: 15, 165


Target 2: 15, 130
Target 3: 15, 090

Stop Loss @ 15, 230 I

Initial Risk : Reward = $660 :


$2,945.00

Ratio ~ 1 : 5
Result = $2,945.00

9
Unique Experience

● Worked on NYMEX floor after college

● 12 hour trading class every day for 10


years

● Pioneered my own Heating Oil and


Gasoline Group

10
15 Years of Trading Wisdom

● Expert in both commercial and proprietary trading


sectors

● Trading floor and OTC background gives me a deep


understanding of market flow and volume

● Chief architect of algorithmic and high-frequency


trading strategies. I know how computer trading works

● Recognize patterns in order to eliminate noise

“Last thing I will say - as I've kinda been in other "teachers" in pursuit
of futures - the level of transparency and communication from @JR is
unmatched - and at a fraction of some of the prices out there”
-Jesse

11
Why Am I Sharing My Secrets Today?

Do you want a mentor that will help you along the way
and show you specific strategies to trading?

➔ With the right knowledge…


Change is possible

➔ Join me on this journey of making


calculated moves and great returns

➔ I’ve helped novice and experienced


traders get results

➔ Coaching traders is a passion


12
My Commitment to Your Success

● In return, I want a commitment from you:


○ Use what you learn, practice it, take action to improve
your trading
○ Keep actively trading. There’s always more to learn
○ HIT THE STRIKE ZONE!

13
Trade Alerts

Precise Entries

LONG NQ (or MNQ):


Buy ENTRY: BUY 3 NQ @ 16, 419.00 Trade Alerts are black and white

Sell Target 1: 16, 455.00 Very easy to follow


Sell Target 2: 16, 480.00
Works for all levels of traders
Sell Target 3: 16, 505.00
We use multiples of 3 for easy scaling
Stop Loss @ 16, 390.00

Risk Risk: MOD


Monetary risk: reward is predetermined
Signal: Rebound off Intraday HVA BEFORE all trades are initiated
14
Levels of Risk

Sometimes, I’ll label a trade alert as AGG, MOD, or CONS... meaning it is either an
aggressive trade, a conservative trade, or somewhere in between. That way, you have the
option of choosing how much you want to risk.

● A conservative trade alert: Generally, conservative alerts are


best or most commonly defined by a quiet trending market.

● A moderate trade alert: Generally, moderate alerts fall in


between.
● An aggressive trade alert: Generally, aggressive alerts are best
or most commonly defined during volatile and / or fast market
conditions. Or when a clear DAILY trend has yet to be solidified.

15
Levels of Risk

With a small account, we’ll be focusing on percentage account


risks and managing our account values.

● Initially percent risk per trade will be higher in relation to account


size as we grow our account
● Initial stop losses should be small to moderate when market
conditions allow
● Monetary risk per trade should be no greater than $1500 (only to
be done in best case scenarios) and should average $500 - $800
per trade

16
Why Listen to Me?

● Profits: $312,292.26 ● 166 total days

● Starting Balance: ● Average Win is 2X the


$10,000.00 of margin Average Loss

17
What’s Possible with a $10k Account

Started in March with $10,000 of Margin


March 2021 Alerts PnL:

● $9,827.50

January 2022 Alerts PnL:

● $49,357.30

Total PnL: $290,647.56

Up 2806% in less than 1 year

18
Alerts PnL Graph

19
THE END

Next we’ll learn key terminology...

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20
PART TWO: Terminology

With Joe Rokop


Day Trade vs. Swing Trade

Day Trades consist of any trade that we close out


in the 0 min - 3 hour time frame (TF1)

Swing Trades are trades closed in the 0 min - 23


hour (TF2) or 0 min - 3 weeks time frame (TF3)

22
GOLDEN KEY

The Golden Key, as defined below, will provide you with typical
absolute values (number of points) to use for both your entries
and exits within a predefined range.

These ranges would be the average range over the last 21 days.
For the foreseeable future, I will completely ignore tight and stick
with stop losses and medium or wide.

The entry methods I’m showing you are shorter term because the
market is moving faster.

23
High Volume Areas (HVA Levels)

A HVA chart is a graphical representation


that combines price and time
information in the form of a distribution.

A HVA is used to determine elapsed


time, number of ticks and volumes
traded at specific prices, or over a price
interval, over a given period.

HVA = High Volume Area


Where the volume is high, the line sticks
out to the right, thus becoming a level of
S/R

24
Margin

Buying on margin occurs when an investor buys


an asset by borrowing the balance from a broker.
Buying on margin refers to the initial payment
made to the broker for the asset; the investor uses
the marginable securities in their brokerage
account as collateral.

Source: Investopedia

25
The Recycle

The Recycle happens between 4pm and 5pm and this is


when the daily P/L and margin requirements are
calculated. I.e. some platforms give you day trade margin
for 23 hours and they are charged in this one hour period.

26
Risk Capital

Risk capital refers to funds allocated to


speculative activity and used for high-risk,
high-reward investments. Any money or assets
that are exposed to a possible loss in value is
considered risk capital, but the term is often
reserved for those funds earmarked for highly
speculative investments.

Source: Investopedia

27
THE END

Next we’ll learn the technicals...

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28
PART THREE: Technical
Overview
What Works Best For You

With Joe Rokop


What Tools Do I Use?

● VWAP: Volume Weighted Average Price


● EMA: Exponential Moving Averages
● CCI: Commodity Channel Index
● HVA: High Volume Area
● TOS $Tick
● Sierra Market Delta

30
What’s on the VWAP Chart?

● Volume Weighted Average Line - Push vs Pull (Pink)


● Exponential Moving Averages - Fast vs Slow (White / Yellow)
● Commodity Channel Index - Overbought vs Oversold (Blue)

31
VWAP Chart: Tradovate

VWAP
Fast EMA

Slow EMA

CCI

Trade (Tick) Chart: Each Candlestick represents X number of trades


32
VWAP Chart: ThinkorSwim

Fast EMA

Slow EMA
VWAP

Trade (Tick) Chart: Each Candlestick represents X number of trades


33
VWAP Chart: Sierra Chart

Trade (Tick) Chart: Each Candlestick represents X number of trades


34
What’s on the VWAP Chart?

● The aim of using a VWAP trading target is to ensure that the trader
executing the order does so in line with volume on the market.

● VWAP acts as a magnet and/or


support and resistance.

35
VWAP on Small Accounts

The VWAP in a small account is to be used for entries and exits.

36
How many Ticks per Trade?

Trade / Tick Chart: Each Candlestick is X Ticks / Trades


Every product has a different amount of total volume
traded each day. However, the time of each day is ● CL = 377
constant. Thus, when evaluating the volume (X) within ● GC = 377
a specified / constant time range (Y = 23 hours), one ● YM = 377
needs to ratio the candlesticks appropriately to ● RTY = 377
correctly assess volume over time. ● NQ = 754
● ES = 1594
NQ is at 754 right now due to more volume lately and
the ranges are wider. To filter out some of this noise,
you want to use more volume.
Note: Total average range is also factored into
these calculations looking back 21 days
For the optimal value of X (# of trades / ticks).

37
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

● An exponential moving average (EMA) is a type of moving


average (MA) that places a greater weight and significance on the
most recent data points.

● Like all moving averages, this technical indicator is used to produce,


buy, and sell signals based on crossovers and divergences from the
historical average.

38
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

● Traders often use several different EMA lengths, such as 10-day,


50-day, and 200-day moving averages.

● These periods can also be paired down even further using intraday
candlesticks.

● In wide market ranges EMAs cross more, in tight markets they cross
less. I recommend playing with your EMA lengths and seeing what
works for you.

39
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

EMA Lines:
The EMA’s must be calculated off the VWAP Tick / Trade Chart
(X Candlesticks) with the following settings:
● Fast EMA: 10 ema (white)
● Slow EMA: 50 ema (yellow)
Note: EMA values will of course have different values if calculated off of a typical
candlestick chart. Our EMA’s (with the VWAP charting system), use volume and
thus, are more reliable.

40
To Summarize:

EMA’s should primarily be reserved for taking good entries.

41
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

● The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is a momentum-based


oscillator used to help determine when an investment vehicle is
reaching a condition of being overbought or oversold.
● The CCI is also used to assess “price trend direction” and strength.
● The CCI is a LEADING INDICATOR

42
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

OVERBOT ON CCI
OVERSOLD ON CCI

43
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

● This information allows traders to determine if they want to


enter or exit a trade, refrain from taking a trade, or add to an
existing position.

● CCI’s are calculated using the following formula:

44
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

CCI Levels:

Use the aforementioned values based off KEY


of the range widths as determined by the ● WIDE: 250
Golden Key. ● Moderate: 225*
● Average: 200
If you wanted to test your own CCI *Joe currently has his CCI on 225

values, start at 250 and bring them in to


see when they give you a good signal.
SET LINES to 200 on Charts for a quick
visual representation.

45
To Summarize:

The CCI should be primarily reserved for entries

46
$Tick Chart: ThinkorSwim

47
Market Delta: Sierra Chart

48
$TICK Chart / Market Delta

OBJECTIVE: Who is in control? Buyers or Sellers? How strong is the sentiment?

SIERRA Market Delta TOS $Tick Chart


How to use: How to use:
● Market Delta measures the conviction of a move ● $TICK measures the conviction of a move
● For a 377 Tick Chart ● Strong conviction would be consistent:
○ Look for + / - 200 value on bottom of char ○ + / - 600 = Moderate conviction
○ Value > +200 means buyers are in control ○ + / - 800 = Higher conviction
○ Value < -200 means sellers are in control ○ + / - 1000 = Strong conviction
● For a 754 Tick Chart => Use + / - 400 ● Shows a "tremendous amount of buying
● For a 1594 Tick Chart => Use + /- 1000 conviction"(equal and opposite to sell side).
● Works best in fast, moving trades ● What is going to happen over the next 30
● Trending volatile trade, quick breakout minutes, more shorter term
● More for immediate entry and exit
49
High Volume Areas

A HVA chart is a graphical representation


that combines price and time
information in the form of a distribution.

A HVA is used to determine elapsed


time, number of ticks and volumes
traded at specific prices, or over a price
interval, over a given period.

HVA = High Volume Area


Where the volume is high, the line sticks
out to the right, thus becoming a level of
S/R

50
HVA / Market Profile:

● Volume Profile is an advanced charting study that displays trading


activity over a specified time period at specified price levels.

● The study plots a histogram on the chart meant to reveal dominant


and/or significant price levels based on volume.

● Essentially, Volume Profile takes the total volume traded at a


specific price level during the specified time period and divides the
total volume into either buy volume or sell volume and then makes
that information easily visible to the trader.

51
HVA / Market Profile:

● The further the node sticks out to the right, the more weight it will hold,
the more volume is traded overtime, and the more useful it is - also
meaning the harder it is to rally through.

● You want to go back a year, 365 days.

● These are the specific, specified price levels. These levels are drawn in
manually. Once you draw them once, you don’t need to redraw them
again. All you need to do is slightly move them up or down as the profile
continues to form. If this level has more volume and a big node sticks out
to the right, we best adjust the level to fit the node.

52
In Summary:

HVA’s are primarily used for entries


as well as Exits.

53
THE END

Next we’ll learn about risk...

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Want to Upgrade from Basic to Pro or Elite? Visit http://www.simplertrading.com/gains-pro or call us at
512-266-8659.

54
PART FOUR: Small Account Risk
When Works Best For You

With Joe Rokop


What Not to do in Small Accounts?

● Go For Home Runs - Defined as full sized and full wide stop
losses.

● Intraday trades must fall within your initial account balance.


○ With a 10k account on trade 1, do not risk more than $1k per
trade per day.
○ This is a 10% account risk on day 1.

56
What not to do in Small Accounts?

We want to hit singles over and over so we accumulate


more capital without blowing our account.

Optimal conditions for this will be defined below.

57
How Much of My Account Should I Risk?

When Trading a Small Account, we need to give ourselves as


many at bats as we possibly can.
● Ideally we would risk $500 - 800 on 1 or 2 trades day 1.
● In order to justify a second trade after a $500 - $800 loss
on trade 1, market conditions would need to be optimal.
● Initial trades will most likely start with moderate stops and
wide targets.
● Optimal conditions will be defined below

58
YM Rebound Trade Example:

Rebound off HVA - 12/31/2022 - Total time < 1hr

+$1,975
175.6% 59
NQ Long - Term Swing Trade Example:
Note: Risk was Zero
Long - Term Swing Trade - 12/01/21 - Total time 4 hours
In Just 30 minutes

+1,000

60
Signals

Use the signals that contain the highest


probability of success. After mastery of
these, you can graduate to other set ups.

1. Rebounds
2. Breakouts

61
Signals

Rebounds
● With the trend
● Moderate Stop Losses
● Favorable targets
Breakouts
● With the Trend
● Small Stop Losses
● Moderate to Massive Targets

62
Managing Your Account Value

Your goal is to minimize downside


moves and focus on weekly/monthly
progress.

Treat the management of your


account value like it is your job.

63
Smaller Trades

Primarily Defined by lot size

● One or two lots per trade.


● If using a wide stop loss most likely lot size is 1.
● If using a tight stop loss consider sizing up to 2 or 3.

64
Tighter Stop Losses

Tighter stop losses are best achieved when there is a


level of defense between your entry point and your
stop loss.

● Defense equates to strong levels of support and


resistance.
● Ideally there will be an HVA between your entry level
and your stop loss.

65
Time Frame 1: 0 min to 3 hours

Breakout - 02/23/2022 - Total time: 1 hour

+$1,400

66
Slower Trades

We want to identify markets that are moving at a


reasonable speed.

● When starting, there is no need to trade too many


markets. Find your optimal markets. As of now here’s
what we’ll trade…
○ ES
○ NQ
○ CL

67
Faster NQ Market

○ Insert example of a slow ES market (use 1 min bar


chart)
○ Insert example of a fast ES market (use 1 min bar
chart)
○ Insert example of a slow NQ market (use 1 min bar
chart)
○ Insert example of a fast NQ market (use 1 min bar
chart)
○ Insert example of a slow CL market (use 1 min bar
chart)
○ Insert example of a fast CL market (use 1 min bar
chart)

68
Slower NQ Market

○ Insert example of a slow ES market (use 1 min bar


chart)
○ Insert example of a fast ES market (use 1 min bar
chart)
○ Insert example of a slow NQ market (use 1 min bar
chart)
○ Insert example of a fast NQ market (use 1 min bar
chart)
○ Insert example of a slow CL market (use 1 min bar
chart)
○ Insert example of a fast CL market (use 1 min bar
chart)

69
Fast ES Market

○ Insert example of a slow ES market (use 1 min bar


chart)
○ Insert example of a fast ES market (use 1 min bar
chart)
○ Insert example of a slow NQ market (use 1 min bar
chart)
○ Insert example of a fast NQ market (use 1 min bar
chart)
○ Insert example of a slow CL market (use 1 min bar
chart)
○ Insert example of a fast CL market (use 1 min bar
chart)

70
Slow ES Trades

○ Insert example of a slow ES market (use 1 min bar


chart)
○ Insert example of a fast ES market (use 1 min bar
chart)
○ Insert example of a slow NQ market (use 1 min bar
chart)
○ Insert example of a fast NQ market (use 1 min bar
chart)
○ Insert example of a slow CL market (use 1 min bar
chart)
○ Insert example of a fast CL market (use 1 min bar
chart)

71
Fast ES Trades

○ Insert example of a slow ES market (use 1 min bar


chart)
○ Insert example of a fast ES market (use 1 min bar
chart)
○ Insert example of a slow NQ market (use 1 min bar
chart)
○ Insert example of a fast NQ market (use 1 min bar
chart)
○ Insert example of a slow CL market (use 1 min bar
chart)
○ Insert example of a fast CL market (use 1 min bar
chart)

72
Slow ES Trades

○ Insert example of a slow ES market (use 1 min bar


chart)
○ Insert example of a fast ES market (use 1 min bar
chart)
○ Insert example of a slow NQ market (use 1 min bar
chart)
○ Insert example of a fast NQ market (use 1 min bar
chart)
○ Insert example of a slow CL market (use 1 min bar
chart)
○ Insert example of a fast CL market (use 1 min bar
chart)

73
Trade When the Odds are in Your Favor

● In general, the shorter time frames will


be easier and based off of the immediate
trend.

● But with predefined time frames (as


clearly defined in this section), we give
ourselves the ability to trade with
discipline inside of our trading plans /
rules / guidelines. Thus, establishing a
repeatable process.

74
What Time Frame Can This Be Used On?

Returns are realized in three different time frames:

1. 0 min to 3 hours
2. 0 min to 23 hours
3. 0 min to 3 weeks

I want to teach you a way to trade that


fits your lifestyle and show you that the
markets don’t control your time.

75
Time Frame 1 - 0 min - 3 hours

Generally day trades based off of overall momentum


and trend.

● TF1 will usually be our optimal time frame based on two


factors.
○ Momentum: When a trade extends past three
hours the momentum may begin to wane.
○ Trend: When a trade extends past three hours the
trend may begin to change.

76
Time Frame 1: 0 min - 3 hours

Trend and Momentum are the most important variables


to consider when trading a small account.

● Pros
○ Do not have to warehouse risk and tie up margin for a
prolonged period of time.
○ With a small stop loss you give yourself the ability to
take another trade that day.
● Cons
○ You could have a quick loss and miss out on the
following market setups

77
Time Frame 1: 0 min to 3 hours

Rebound - 02/23/2022 - Total time: < 3 hours

+$2,800

78
Time Frame 2 - 0 min to 23 hours

Generally swing trades based off of overall


momentum and trend.

● Swing trades have larger stop losses and thus could


potentially result in a monetary loss that exceeds our
risk parameters.

79
Time Frame 2 - 0 min - 23 hours

In this time frame, you’re subject to changes in trend and momentum

● Pros
○ Swing trades are inherently slower trades, and thus you are less prone to execution
mistakes.
○ The analysis and preparation required to execute a swing trade takes longer to
unfold
■ for some this could lead to a more calculated set up
■ Note: the concept of “calculated setup” differs for all
● Cons
○ Margin may be tied up preventing you from taking easy intraday winners.
○ Sometimes said trades are derived from a fundamental bias and if you are a novice
trader, you may not have done sufficient research to do a complete analysis of the
comprehensive global suit.

80
Time Frame 2: 0 min to 23 hours

Rebound - 02/25/2022 - Total time: 3 hours

+$3,750

81
Time Frame 3 - 0 min - 3 weeks

When starting out we won’t have enough margin to


carry trades through the “recycle”

● We can still trade this time frame though with a “hack”.


○ Hack: In order to carry a position “over night” while
using day trade margin, in theory you could close
your position out at 3pm prior to the recycle and
put the same position on at 5pm, immediately after
the recycle.

82
Time Frame 3 - 0 min - 3 weeks

When starting out we won’t have enough margin to


carry trades through the “recycle”

● Note: Not all brokers have 23 hour day trade margins.


○ Broker A may run their day trade margins on the
globex open at 5pm CT.
○ Broker B may run their day trade margins on the
cash open at 8:30am CT.

83
Time Frame 3 - 0 min - 3 hours

In this time frame, you’re subject to changes in trend


and momentum

● Pros
○ This would be a passive method of trading requiring very
little intraday “baby sitting”.
● Cons
○ Margin requirements
○ Executing the hack could be obnoxiously time consuming
as you’ll have to be at the desk at 3 and 5 every day.
○ Trend analysis is completely fundamental.

84
Time Frame 3: 0 min - 3 hours

When risk capital is accumulated, TF3 Trades can be


entered.

● Pros
○ This would be a passive method of trading requiring very
little intraday “baby sitting”.
● Cons
○ Margin requirements
○ Executing the hack could be obnoxiously time consuming
as you’ll have to be at the desk at 3 and 5 every day.
○ Trend analysis is completely fundamental.

85
Time Frame 3: 0 min to 3 weeks

1/12/2022 - Total time: 25 hours

+$2,800
373.3%
86
THE END

Next we’ll learn how to time your exits...

Want to Upgrade to Elite from Pro? Visit www.simplertrading.com/gains-elite or call us at 512-266-8659.


Want to Upgrade from Basic to Pro or Elite? Visit http://www.simplertrading.com/gains-pro or call us at
512-266-8659.

87
PART Five: Exit Rules

With Joe Rokop


How do you figure out your stop loss?

● Entries will be determined by stop losses not the other way around.

● Initially our trades will use moderate stop losses. Given the current
market conditions and foreseeable market conditions, the small and
medium stop losses simply won’t be applicable as many trades as
usual based off of range.

89
How do you figure out your targets?

● Use the Golden Key

● Identify HVA

● Ensure HVA level coincides with Golden Key level

90
How do targets and stops adjust?

How do targets and stop losses adjust once trades start moving
● Use active targets
● Use a loose trailing stop along your slow moving EMA.

How do targets and stop losses adjust as the account grows?

● Multiple exit methods.


○ Limit Orders
○ Trailing Stops
○ Flier

91
GOLDEN KEY Levels for Small Accounts

The Golden Key, as defined below, will provide you with typical
absolute values (number of points) to use for both your entries
and exits within a predefined range.

These ranges would be the average range over the last 21 days.
For the foreseeable future, I will completely ignore tight and stick
with stop losses and medium or wide.

The entry methods I’m showing you are shorter term because the
market is moving faster.

92
ES

Market Stop Loss Target 1 Target 2 Target 3 Range


Type

Tight 2.5 3.5 6.0 9.0 <25

Medium 5.5 4.5 8.5 12.5 30-50

Wide 7.5 9.5 19.5 29.5 50+

93
ES 2.0

Market Stop Loss Target 1 Target 2 Target 3 Range


Type

Tight 6.5 5.0 11.0 17.5 45

Medium 8.5 6.5 13.5 22.5 60

Wide 12.5 10.5 22.5 33.5 75+

ES Caveat: Stack Your Stops


● Consider using the TIGHT Stop Loss with MEDIUM Targets to
positively skew your R:R
● Tighten up stop losses and widen targets when the market is flying.
Targets can be dynamic
94
YM

Market Stop Loss Target 1 Target 2 Target 3 Range


Type

Tight 25 20 40 90 <150

Medium 50 40 90 140 200-250

Wide 75 50+ 90+ 190+ 300+

95
YM 2.0

Market Stop Loss Target 1 Target 2 Target 3 Range


Type

Tight 40 30 70 95 <150

Medium 65 55 110 190 200-250

Wide 80 75 160 250 300+

YM Caveat: Be Patient
● Lately, the YM trades have taken the longest amount of time to fill
● Consider a double down in the YM if and ONLY IF the correlated markets are
moving in the same direction as the YM position
96
NQ

Market Stop Loss Target 1 Target 2 Target 3 Range


Type

Tight 15 15 30 45 75

Medium 25 40 75 90 150

Wide 40 40 90 140 190+

97
NQ 2.0

Market Stop Loss Target 1 Target 2 Target 3 Range


Type

Tight 15 15 25 45 75

Medium 25 25 45 75 150

Wide 40 35 85 120 190+

NQ Caveat: These Signals have been working best with these Stops
● Tight Market Type: Middle Out / Day Reversals / Breakouts
● Medium Market Type: Rebounds / Intraday Reversals
● Wide Market Type: Long Term Overnight Trade
98
GC

Market Stop Loss Target 1 Target 2 Target 3 Range


Type

Tight 5 5/6 9/10 14 30

Medium 7.5 5/7.5 10/13 19.5 45

Wide 15 12 22 38 60+

99
GC 2.0

Market Stop Loss Target 1 Target 2 Target 3 Range


Type

Tight 3.5 4 8 12 20

Medium 7.5 5/7.5 12 20 35

Wide 15 12 22 38 50+

TIGHT Stop Loss with MEDIUM Targets


Any time I can tighten up my stop loss and widen my
targets, that’s great. But you never want to do it the other
way around.
100
CL

Market Stop Loss Target 1 Target 2 Target 3 Range


Type

Tight 16 11 22 33 100

Medium 20 15 33 45 150

Wide 35 20 45 90 200+

101
CL 2.0

Market Stop Loss Target 1 Target 2 Target 3 Range


Type

Tight 18 20 35 50 125

Medium 35 22 44 75 175

Wide 60 50 125 175 200+

WIDE as of late

102
THE END

Next we’ll learn the set ups...

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103
PART SIX: Set Ups
Where to Enter a Trade?

With Joe Rokop


Rebound Trade Example:

Rebound - 1/6/22

+$1,061
114.7%

105
Rebound Trade Example:

Rebound - 1/19/22 - Less than 30 minutes

+2,945

106
The Set-Ups

I have 5 main setups but in this class we’ll focus


on two.

In a small account you want to use the signals that


have the highest probability of Success.

● Rebounds
● Breakouts

107
The Rebound Signal

Definition

When the market pulls back to the mean in a bullish market


(or Vice Versa)

● Buy the respective future near (or slightly above) the


VWAP [volume weighted average price (or mean)]

● With the expectation that the market will revert back up


in the direction of the original / overall trend

108
The Rebound Signal

Why use the Rebound Signal with a Small Account?

● This signal is traded with the trend.


● Moderate Stop Losses
○ Because we are looking for a precise turnaround at the
VWAP we don’t have to give this set up a wide berth.
○ Generally this setup is successful mainly after a smooth
bounce.
● Favorable Targets
○ Targets will often be set (best case scenario) near HOD or
LOD.
○ Optimal scenario will give us a T2 above the HOD or LOD
which essentially is a breakout frontrunner.
109
The Rebound Signal

Entry Conditions / Technicals

● Buy the market pullback (above the VWAP) as a


temporary break subsides and the market rebounds back
in the direction of the trend.

● The slow EMA (for the majority of these signals) will not
puncture / violate the VWAP.

● The fast EMA (for the majority of these signals) will retreat
to / near and graze the VWAP.

110
Trade Example: NQ
45
$3,5 Rebound - (11/17) Micro PnL = $354.50
*Initial Risk : Reward
$1,843 : $3,480
1~2
Micro Risk : Reward
$184.30 : $348
1~2
*added to position as trade unfolded

111
The Rebound Signal

Entry Conditions / Technicals

Additional Best Case Scenario (technical indicators):


● The correlated markets will have already bounced and/or are still
rallying
○ When the correlated markets are breaking really hard, we
place our limit orders on the VWAP rather than waiting for the
EMA’s to cross.
○ Look at the correlated markets to see how aggressive you
want to be with entries / exits.
● The CCI will indicate oversold with a value < -200
112
The Rebound Signal

Exit: Limit Order

● Target One (t1) = a limit order between the entry price and the
(HOD or LOD)

● Set limit order will be sitting underneath an HVA level of SR

● We’ll be reducing our position at or after our initial risk was


covered 1x to 2x over.

113
The Rebound Signal

Exit: Soft Price Target

● Target Two (t2) = a mental order sitting near (above or below) the HOD
or LOD right next to an HVA SR.

● The purpose of this stop loss (to be placed after the market rallies
through the t2 price) is to protect profits if the market fails to expand /
break out of its Globex Range (new HOD / LOD).

● Due to the pullback the trend has recently displayed a brief lack of
conviction. Thus, the market may also be lacking conviction / sufficient
volume to bust out of said range.

114
The Rebound Signal

Exit: Trailing Stop

● Target Three (t3) = Traditional trailing stop running 3 pts behind the Slow
Moving EMA.

● See table for specific values (to trail behind Slow EMA)

115
The Rebound Signal

Caveat

If t1 is filled and the market pulls back to the VWAP, feel free to play this range
until the signal pans out. In the meantime, keep an eye on the correlated
markets for a tell on overall direction.

116
The Rebound Signal

Checklist

117
Rebound Trade Example:

Rebound - 1/6/22

+$1,061
114.7%

118
The Runaway Signal

Definition

Buy a new high (or visa versa) with the prediction that the
market will keep skyrocketing, smoothly trending up, and
continue breaking through resistance

119
The Runaway Signal

Market Conditions

A trending market: Ideally, the breakout signal


will fall in line with the weekly and overall
trends.

120
The Runaway Signal

Why use Breakouts with Small Accounts?


● With the Trend
● Small Stop Losses
○ Because we are looking for the market to blow through the existing HOD or
LOD we would not use a wide stop loss.
○ We are looking for a fast and clear breakout and anticipating a fast and
smooth trend/run.
○ In order to protect ourselves from false breakouts, we can use very tight
stop losses because this is a purely momentum based trending trade.
● Moderate to Massive Targets
○ Generally our targets will be sitting at
■ Previous daily high lows
■ Prior days final VWAP print
■ Distant and heavy HVA levels
121
The Runaway Signal

Entry Conditions / Technicals

○ The new high or new low should be above


a level of support / resistance

○ The high should be a Globex high (ie: not


simply a cash session high)

122
The Runaway Signal

Entry Conditions / Technicals

● The range on the day for the applied market should


not already be overextended.
● Fast EMA above Slow EMA over the VWAP
● CCI < +250
● If the market is down big on the day, and an upside
breakout is in the green, that trade has a low
probability

123
Runaway Trade Example:

Breakout Front Run - 12/16/21 - Total time >30 mins

+$2,875
266.2 %

124
The Runaway Signal

A Bullish Runaway if
1. The market is down big on the day
2. You are buying a new high that is barely positive
on the day that has a low probability or hit ratio

If the market is down on the day moderate, and it


makes a new high after the market was only slightly
down, the new high is in the green by a moderate
amount - that has a HIGH probability

125
The Runaway Signal

Exit: Limit Order

● T1 = a limit order sitting at the farthest HVA level of support or


resistance.

● Ideally, this level will at a minimum cover the risk but ultimately
cover the risk at 2x or 3x over.

● When the market breaks out of a tight range it is important to


maximize our risk reward ratio and give the market room to run
and not cut ourselves off at the knees.

126
The Runaway Signal

Exit: Trailing Stop

● T2 = a trailing stop to be executed in one of the following 2 ways:

● The EMA’s cross and one goes straight to market to reduce position

● Exit 2nd lot when the market pulls back the absolute value of the initial
risk

127
The Runaway Signal

Exit: Traditional trailing stop running X pts behind the Slow EMA

● Using the slow moving EMA allows the market to really, really run.

● This trailing stop loss method is ESPECIALLY effective when the breakout
stems from a small to moderate range and other volume indicators light up.

● See table for specific values (to trail behind Slow EMA)

● Note: Be cautious using a runaway signal with previously established wide


ranges. For range values, see table below.

128
The Runaway Signal

Caveat

The hit ratio for said signal depends on the existing market range when the alert is
fired. Ie: The hit ratio (for success) of this trade will be significantly higher when the
runaway entry price is executed from the top of a small to moderate range.

If the ES range is less than 30m that is a good looking width to execute a Runaway.
YM = < 250, that is a good range.
NQ = < 100, that is an optimal range.
CL = < 100, that is an optimal range.

129
The Runaway Signal

Stop Loss on Runaway Trade Entries

You want to enter two points above the high of the day.

EMA Trail Values


ES = 2pts
CL = 2pts
YM = 10 pts
3NQ = 5 pts

130
The Runaway Signal

Checklist

131
Trade Example: NQ

Runaway Signal - (8/11) Micro PnL = $260


Initial Risk : Reward
$1,500 : $2,700
3~5
Micro Risk : Reward
$150 : $270
3~5

00
$2,6 ns
i
20 M

132
THE END

Next we’ll learn how to strategically use E-Micro’s...

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512-266-8659.

133
PART SEVEN: Micro’s as a
Strategic Tool

With Joe Rokop


What Do You Need to Get Started?

● All you need to get started is about $500 of


capital and a few hours of your time with
micros!

● Micros are primarily used to learn the


strategy with some skin in the game.
Depending on your fee structure, taking
trades on TF1 (smaller monetary gains).
Knowing this, your risk reward ratios will
have an unfavorable skew.

135
Pros and Cons?

MICROS
● Pros
○ Less $ Risk per trade
○ Allows you to learn the strategy without
worrying about big losses
○ 1/10th the size of a mini contract
● Cons
○ Fees eat into profits
○ 1/10 profits on trades

THERE IS NO RUSH. There is nothing wrong with a very


slow account growth rate. Especially while you are learning
the process and developing your skills.

136
Small Account Opportunity

● With a small account of $500, you can execute trades


like me with 1 to 3 lots per trade and learn the strategy.
1 ES $50 per point
● The percentage returns are what really shape the day. 1 MES $5 per point
● As profits build and as you gain confidence in your
ability and familiarity with futures, you can move over
to minis. ES → MES
YM → MYM
● Note: If you are charting, you want to NQ → MNQ
chart the minis, not the micros. RTY → M2K
GC → MGC
CL → MCL
● Also keep in mind that QM is half the
value of CL, and MCL is 1/10th
137
PART Eight: How do you Pay
Yourself

With Joe Rokop


Pay Day

When can you start paying yourself?

● You need to be paying yourself at all


account sizes! You did the work after all

● Important for moral and keeping yourself


motivated

● Having a plan is crucial

139
How Much Should I Allocate?

When the Account Doubles…

● 15% of my profits for expendable income


● 15% into savings
○ Ex. Start with 10K and then you have 20K,
■ you put 1.5K into savings and then
■ 1.5K to spend.
● At this juncture you have 17K
● repeat the process at 34K.

140
Potential Example: 10k account

$10,000 X 2 = 20,000
15% 15%

70%
$1,500 $1,500
$17,000 X 2 =
$34,000

$28,900
$2,550 $2,550

Personal Trading Savings


141
Should I Reset My Account?

At the end of the year I wipe my account by 70-80%


maintaining a balance of 3x original balance

● In this case you’d want to reset your account at 30K


● When you do wipe your account you need to make sure it is
higher than when you started
● Touch on the mental reasons as to why this is important
○ Enjoy the fruits of your labor with a reward.
○ Squirrel away the fruits of your labor with savings.
○ Keep the fruits of your labor in risk capital for exponential
growth.

142
THE END

Next we’ll learn Psychology...

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Want to Upgrade from Basic to Pro or Elite? Visit http://www.simplertrading.com/gains-pro or call us at
512-266-8659.

143
PART NINE: Psychology and
Mindset

With Joe Rokop


Psychology and the Trader

● We grow up learning to “not make mistakes” which drives our


trading decisions.
● We become fearful to lose money, so we don’t take good setups.
● We wait until the pain of not being in the move compels us to
jump in.
● Also known as the “high tick” of the day

145
Mentality of Trading

● How should you handle a winning streak?


○ If it’s working, keep going until it fails
○ Take notes of the things that are working and
aim to replicate them

● How do you handle your losses?


○ Losses are to be expected
○ Learn from each loss and adjust your strategy

146
Know when to Wrap it Up

● How do you know you should be done?


○ Don’t try the same position more than three times in one
day

● When should you call it quits for the day?


○ If emotions are getting the best of you, remember flat is a
position too

147
Hold Yourself Accountable

What should you hold yourself accountable for?

● Execution errors
● Lack of attention/ missing signals

148
Tips

● Trading isn’t just about making trades and making money.

● It’s about observing the market and learning the best way to
execute these strategies.

● If you don’t trade tomorrow, the market will be there next week.

149
Join Joe Rokop for LIVE TRADING

Small Account Futures


Joe’s Amazing Growth
Formula for 30X Gains

Pro Live-Trading:
March 2nd & March 3rd

Elite Live-Trading:
March 9th & March 10th
Upgrade to Pro Package / $400
Small Account Futures + Bonus: Pre Class Live Trading + 2 Days Pro Live-Trading

2 Pro Live-Trading Days


Wednesday, March 2nd from 1:00 – 3:00pm CT
Thursday, March 3rd from 8:20 – 10:20am CT

This is your opportunity to live-trade with Joe.


We believe there’s no better way to deepen
your mastery of Joe’s Strategy than to interact
with him as he looks for trades in real-time.

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Upgrade to Elite Package / $800
Small Account Futures + Bonus: Pre Class Live Trading + 2 Days Pro Live-Trading
+ 2 Days Elite Live-Trading

2 Elite Live-Trading Days


Wednesday, March 9th from 1:00 – 3:00pm CT
Thursday, March 10th from 8:20 – 10:20am CT

The Elite Package is includes a total of 4 additional


sessions which effectively doubles your opportunity
to nail this strategy and potentially recoup your
investment, too. As with the Pro Package, instant
alerts will be sent out to so you can follow any
setups taken even if you can’t attend live.

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153
Visit https://www.simplertrading.com/zone/ or call us at 512-266-8659.
Join Me on Social

jr_strikezone jr_strikezone jr_strikezone

154

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