Small Account Futures - Class Slides
Small Account Futures - Class Slides
Small Account Futures - Class Slides
1 2 3
4 5
2
Class Structure
6 7 8
Psychology
Things to Know Before You Go
3
How to Get the MOST Out of This Class
Take Notes
Take Notes
Take Notes
Take Notes
4
Why Is This Strategy Important?
Market conditions now are very favorable for trading one lot and small
account size vs. “any other point in time” using our system.
● Scaling out is no longer a requirement
● Intraday Range Extensions remain consistent
Often the market establishes a moderate intraday range and then
works outwards. Thus, if we properly identify the trend, we can catch a
sufficient portion of the subsequent move with small size. This is
contrary to previous market conditions in which intraday moves would
often help or turn due to lack of momentum.
5
Why Is A Strategy Important?
System works in
HOW DOES IT WORK IN THIS MARKET bear markets!
6
ES Rebound Trade - Pre-Class Live Trading
Target 1: 4, 135
Ratio ~ 1 : 2
Result = $875
+$875
7
YM Rebound Trade Example:
+$1,975
175.6% 8
NQ Rebound Trade:
Rebound - 1/19/22
Ratio ~ 1 : 5
Result = $2,945.00
9
Unique Experience
10
15 Years of Trading Wisdom
“Last thing I will say - as I've kinda been in other "teachers" in pursuit
of futures - the level of transparency and communication from @JR is
unmatched - and at a fraction of some of the prices out there”
-Jesse
11
Why Am I Sharing My Secrets Today?
Do you want a mentor that will help you along the way
and show you specific strategies to trading?
13
Trade Alerts
Precise Entries
Sometimes, I’ll label a trade alert as AGG, MOD, or CONS... meaning it is either an
aggressive trade, a conservative trade, or somewhere in between. That way, you have the
option of choosing how much you want to risk.
15
Levels of Risk
16
Why Listen to Me?
17
What’s Possible with a $10k Account
● $9,827.50
● $49,357.30
18
Alerts PnL Graph
19
THE END
20
PART TWO: Terminology
22
GOLDEN KEY
The Golden Key, as defined below, will provide you with typical
absolute values (number of points) to use for both your entries
and exits within a predefined range.
These ranges would be the average range over the last 21 days.
For the foreseeable future, I will completely ignore tight and stick
with stop losses and medium or wide.
The entry methods I’m showing you are shorter term because the
market is moving faster.
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High Volume Areas (HVA Levels)
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Margin
Source: Investopedia
25
The Recycle
26
Risk Capital
Source: Investopedia
27
THE END
28
PART THREE: Technical
Overview
What Works Best For You
30
What’s on the VWAP Chart?
31
VWAP Chart: Tradovate
VWAP
Fast EMA
Slow EMA
CCI
Fast EMA
Slow EMA
VWAP
● The aim of using a VWAP trading target is to ensure that the trader
executing the order does so in line with volume on the market.
35
VWAP on Small Accounts
36
How many Ticks per Trade?
37
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
38
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
● These periods can also be paired down even further using intraday
candlesticks.
● In wide market ranges EMAs cross more, in tight markets they cross
less. I recommend playing with your EMA lengths and seeing what
works for you.
39
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
EMA Lines:
The EMA’s must be calculated off the VWAP Tick / Trade Chart
(X Candlesticks) with the following settings:
● Fast EMA: 10 ema (white)
● Slow EMA: 50 ema (yellow)
Note: EMA values will of course have different values if calculated off of a typical
candlestick chart. Our EMA’s (with the VWAP charting system), use volume and
thus, are more reliable.
40
To Summarize:
41
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
42
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
OVERBOT ON CCI
OVERSOLD ON CCI
43
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
44
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
CCI Levels:
45
To Summarize:
46
$Tick Chart: ThinkorSwim
47
Market Delta: Sierra Chart
48
$TICK Chart / Market Delta
50
HVA / Market Profile:
51
HVA / Market Profile:
● The further the node sticks out to the right, the more weight it will hold,
the more volume is traded overtime, and the more useful it is - also
meaning the harder it is to rally through.
● These are the specific, specified price levels. These levels are drawn in
manually. Once you draw them once, you don’t need to redraw them
again. All you need to do is slightly move them up or down as the profile
continues to form. If this level has more volume and a big node sticks out
to the right, we best adjust the level to fit the node.
52
In Summary:
53
THE END
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PART FOUR: Small Account Risk
When Works Best For You
● Go For Home Runs - Defined as full sized and full wide stop
losses.
56
What not to do in Small Accounts?
57
How Much of My Account Should I Risk?
58
YM Rebound Trade Example:
+$1,975
175.6% 59
NQ Long - Term Swing Trade Example:
Note: Risk was Zero
Long - Term Swing Trade - 12/01/21 - Total time 4 hours
In Just 30 minutes
+1,000
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Signals
1. Rebounds
2. Breakouts
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Signals
Rebounds
● With the trend
● Moderate Stop Losses
● Favorable targets
Breakouts
● With the Trend
● Small Stop Losses
● Moderate to Massive Targets
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Managing Your Account Value
63
Smaller Trades
64
Tighter Stop Losses
65
Time Frame 1: 0 min to 3 hours
+$1,400
66
Slower Trades
67
Faster NQ Market
68
Slower NQ Market
69
Fast ES Market
70
Slow ES Trades
71
Fast ES Trades
72
Slow ES Trades
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Trade When the Odds are in Your Favor
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What Time Frame Can This Be Used On?
1. 0 min to 3 hours
2. 0 min to 23 hours
3. 0 min to 3 weeks
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Time Frame 1 - 0 min - 3 hours
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Time Frame 1: 0 min - 3 hours
● Pros
○ Do not have to warehouse risk and tie up margin for a
prolonged period of time.
○ With a small stop loss you give yourself the ability to
take another trade that day.
● Cons
○ You could have a quick loss and miss out on the
following market setups
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Time Frame 1: 0 min to 3 hours
+$2,800
78
Time Frame 2 - 0 min to 23 hours
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Time Frame 2 - 0 min - 23 hours
● Pros
○ Swing trades are inherently slower trades, and thus you are less prone to execution
mistakes.
○ The analysis and preparation required to execute a swing trade takes longer to
unfold
■ for some this could lead to a more calculated set up
■ Note: the concept of “calculated setup” differs for all
● Cons
○ Margin may be tied up preventing you from taking easy intraday winners.
○ Sometimes said trades are derived from a fundamental bias and if you are a novice
trader, you may not have done sufficient research to do a complete analysis of the
comprehensive global suit.
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Time Frame 2: 0 min to 23 hours
+$3,750
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Time Frame 3 - 0 min - 3 weeks
82
Time Frame 3 - 0 min - 3 weeks
83
Time Frame 3 - 0 min - 3 hours
● Pros
○ This would be a passive method of trading requiring very
little intraday “baby sitting”.
● Cons
○ Margin requirements
○ Executing the hack could be obnoxiously time consuming
as you’ll have to be at the desk at 3 and 5 every day.
○ Trend analysis is completely fundamental.
84
Time Frame 3: 0 min - 3 hours
● Pros
○ This would be a passive method of trading requiring very
little intraday “baby sitting”.
● Cons
○ Margin requirements
○ Executing the hack could be obnoxiously time consuming
as you’ll have to be at the desk at 3 and 5 every day.
○ Trend analysis is completely fundamental.
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Time Frame 3: 0 min to 3 weeks
+$2,800
373.3%
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THE END
87
PART Five: Exit Rules
● Entries will be determined by stop losses not the other way around.
● Initially our trades will use moderate stop losses. Given the current
market conditions and foreseeable market conditions, the small and
medium stop losses simply won’t be applicable as many trades as
usual based off of range.
89
How do you figure out your targets?
● Identify HVA
90
How do targets and stops adjust?
How do targets and stop losses adjust once trades start moving
● Use active targets
● Use a loose trailing stop along your slow moving EMA.
91
GOLDEN KEY Levels for Small Accounts
The Golden Key, as defined below, will provide you with typical
absolute values (number of points) to use for both your entries
and exits within a predefined range.
These ranges would be the average range over the last 21 days.
For the foreseeable future, I will completely ignore tight and stick
with stop losses and medium or wide.
The entry methods I’m showing you are shorter term because the
market is moving faster.
92
ES
93
ES 2.0
Tight 25 20 40 90 <150
95
YM 2.0
Tight 40 30 70 95 <150
YM Caveat: Be Patient
● Lately, the YM trades have taken the longest amount of time to fill
● Consider a double down in the YM if and ONLY IF the correlated markets are
moving in the same direction as the YM position
96
NQ
Tight 15 15 30 45 75
Medium 25 40 75 90 150
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NQ 2.0
Tight 15 15 25 45 75
Medium 25 25 45 75 150
NQ Caveat: These Signals have been working best with these Stops
● Tight Market Type: Middle Out / Day Reversals / Breakouts
● Medium Market Type: Rebounds / Intraday Reversals
● Wide Market Type: Long Term Overnight Trade
98
GC
Wide 15 12 22 38 60+
99
GC 2.0
Tight 3.5 4 8 12 20
Wide 15 12 22 38 50+
Tight 16 11 22 33 100
Medium 20 15 33 45 150
Wide 35 20 45 90 200+
101
CL 2.0
Tight 18 20 35 50 125
Medium 35 22 44 75 175
WIDE as of late
102
THE END
103
PART SIX: Set Ups
Where to Enter a Trade?
Rebound - 1/6/22
+$1,061
114.7%
105
Rebound Trade Example:
+2,945
106
The Set-Ups
● Rebounds
● Breakouts
107
The Rebound Signal
Definition
108
The Rebound Signal
● The slow EMA (for the majority of these signals) will not
puncture / violate the VWAP.
● The fast EMA (for the majority of these signals) will retreat
to / near and graze the VWAP.
110
Trade Example: NQ
45
$3,5 Rebound - (11/17) Micro PnL = $354.50
*Initial Risk : Reward
$1,843 : $3,480
1~2
Micro Risk : Reward
$184.30 : $348
1~2
*added to position as trade unfolded
111
The Rebound Signal
● Target One (t1) = a limit order between the entry price and the
(HOD or LOD)
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The Rebound Signal
● Target Two (t2) = a mental order sitting near (above or below) the HOD
or LOD right next to an HVA SR.
● The purpose of this stop loss (to be placed after the market rallies
through the t2 price) is to protect profits if the market fails to expand /
break out of its Globex Range (new HOD / LOD).
● Due to the pullback the trend has recently displayed a brief lack of
conviction. Thus, the market may also be lacking conviction / sufficient
volume to bust out of said range.
114
The Rebound Signal
● Target Three (t3) = Traditional trailing stop running 3 pts behind the Slow
Moving EMA.
● See table for specific values (to trail behind Slow EMA)
115
The Rebound Signal
Caveat
If t1 is filled and the market pulls back to the VWAP, feel free to play this range
until the signal pans out. In the meantime, keep an eye on the correlated
markets for a tell on overall direction.
116
The Rebound Signal
Checklist
117
Rebound Trade Example:
Rebound - 1/6/22
+$1,061
114.7%
118
The Runaway Signal
Definition
Buy a new high (or visa versa) with the prediction that the
market will keep skyrocketing, smoothly trending up, and
continue breaking through resistance
119
The Runaway Signal
Market Conditions
120
The Runaway Signal
122
The Runaway Signal
123
Runaway Trade Example:
+$2,875
266.2 %
124
The Runaway Signal
A Bullish Runaway if
1. The market is down big on the day
2. You are buying a new high that is barely positive
on the day that has a low probability or hit ratio
125
The Runaway Signal
● Ideally, this level will at a minimum cover the risk but ultimately
cover the risk at 2x or 3x over.
126
The Runaway Signal
● The EMA’s cross and one goes straight to market to reduce position
● Exit 2nd lot when the market pulls back the absolute value of the initial
risk
127
The Runaway Signal
Exit: Traditional trailing stop running X pts behind the Slow EMA
● Using the slow moving EMA allows the market to really, really run.
● This trailing stop loss method is ESPECIALLY effective when the breakout
stems from a small to moderate range and other volume indicators light up.
● See table for specific values (to trail behind Slow EMA)
128
The Runaway Signal
Caveat
The hit ratio for said signal depends on the existing market range when the alert is
fired. Ie: The hit ratio (for success) of this trade will be significantly higher when the
runaway entry price is executed from the top of a small to moderate range.
If the ES range is less than 30m that is a good looking width to execute a Runaway.
YM = < 250, that is a good range.
NQ = < 100, that is an optimal range.
CL = < 100, that is an optimal range.
129
The Runaway Signal
You want to enter two points above the high of the day.
130
The Runaway Signal
Checklist
131
Trade Example: NQ
00
$2,6 ns
i
20 M
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THE END
133
PART SEVEN: Micro’s as a
Strategic Tool
135
Pros and Cons?
MICROS
● Pros
○ Less $ Risk per trade
○ Allows you to learn the strategy without
worrying about big losses
○ 1/10th the size of a mini contract
● Cons
○ Fees eat into profits
○ 1/10 profits on trades
136
Small Account Opportunity
139
How Much Should I Allocate?
140
Potential Example: 10k account
$10,000 X 2 = 20,000
15% 15%
70%
$1,500 $1,500
$17,000 X 2 =
$34,000
$28,900
$2,550 $2,550
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THE END
143
PART NINE: Psychology and
Mindset
145
Mentality of Trading
146
Know when to Wrap it Up
147
Hold Yourself Accountable
● Execution errors
● Lack of attention/ missing signals
148
Tips
● It’s about observing the market and learning the best way to
execute these strategies.
● If you don’t trade tomorrow, the market will be there next week.
149
Join Joe Rokop for LIVE TRADING
Pro Live-Trading:
March 2nd & March 3rd
Elite Live-Trading:
March 9th & March 10th
Upgrade to Pro Package / $400
Small Account Futures + Bonus: Pre Class Live Trading + 2 Days Pro Live-Trading
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