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Abstract
In this study, a brownfield development plan was investigated by mining the data
pack from Equinor Volve field repository, modelling and simulating to establish
the quantity of hydrocarbon that is still recoverable therefrom. This is aimed at
identifying the most appropriate technique for recovering additional oil from the
brown field. Firstly, a data-mining algorithm that is based on knowledge
discovery in databases (KDD) was developed, the reservoir model was built and
utilised in history matching and selection of enhanced oil recovery option. The
preceding development achieved 46% recovery thus a window of 8-12%
additional recovery was set as a goal. The field development plan has two
options; the best technical option which had a double peripheral layout spot
pattern with 7 injectors (2 water 5 WAG) and 10 producers (3 of which were
horizontal and 7 vertical). The incremental increase goal was hit, with recovery
increasing by 10% by year 3 and 12% by year 4. However, it was felt the impact
on the environment of such a project was simply too significant thus the
recommended case took the form of 6 producers and 1 water injector. This was
the improved reactivated well trajectory case.
Keywords: Data mining (DM), Enhanced oil recovery (EOR), Field development
plan (FDP), Knowledge discovery in databases (KDD), Water
alternating gas (WAG).
2567
2568 A. E. McAllister and L. Akanji
1. Introduction
This study was to investigate the benefit of using a KDD data-mining algorithm in
the development of brownfields. The energy landscape has changed significantly
from the past, clearly there has been a shift in public opinion. Unconventional
sources along with drilling in extreme environments are more controversial now.
This means more focus must be placed on conventional sources in non-extreme
environments. As well as this the energy transition is fundamental to the survival
of this industry, drilling in environmentally sensitive areas or conducting practices
which are excessively damaging may take away from this. Redeveloping
brownfields has the potential to facilitate necessary oil demand whilst minimizing
environmental risk. This is because the majority of large new fields are discovered
in environmentally sensitive areas i.e., Artic or are unconventional i.e., oil sands,
whereas conventional brown fields in non-sensitive areas are relatively abundant.
The implementation of data mining in the brownfield development process truly
adds a unique selling point. Data has arisen from the peripheries of the global
economy to centre stage and using data to increase field efficiency would transform
countless projects. This adds a novel dimension on how field redevelopment studies
might be done.
There has been past work on combining data mining in the brownfield
development process and to a large degree this implementation has been met with
success. Possibly the most interesting system researched was Top-Down
Intelligent Reservoir Modelling [1]. This technique combined reservoir
modelling with AI and DM. The main selling feature of this method it only
requires field production data and some well log data i.e. porosity, thickness and
Swi. Other data can be added at the engineer’s prerogative. It is this flexibility in
data requirement that sets this method truly apart, a main disadvantage is that in
order to get reliable results a minimum of 5 years of production history is required
along with a large number of wells.
The authors have proposed to compare the impact of the data mining by
comparing a data-mined case to the production prediction of the original
development. This is a novel way of redeveloping a field and will use data
extracted to improve the recovery of the brownfield. The scientific contribution of
the study is significant, a KDD algorithm was fashioned in the pursuit of an
effective data-mining system whilst using an industry standard reservoir modelling
software to create the model. The study was organised as follows: a literature
review was conducted on brownfields, data mining and reservoir modelling. A
data-mining algorithm was created and used. An investigation into the previous
development plan was undertaken and this information along the information
acquired through data mining was used to create a new development scheme,
enhancement and development strategy.
they presented that, of 200 well known fields worldwide in completely different
environments from 1977 to 1993, 44% had increased reservoir by 2 to 3 times, 22%
by 3 to 4 times and 9% by at least 4 times [2]. This is supported by Antariksa et al.
[3] who in their study, presented the undeveloped oil present in multilayer
reservoirs. The reasons for revisiting the fields include the following:
• Remaining not swept oil.
• Even at 90% water cut, a lot of oil can be produced especially in oil wet reservoirs.
• More modern technology such as advances in EOR and reservoir modelling
which have progressed considerably in the past 20 years.
• Oil price dictates the feasibility of brownfields if prices are high enough [3].
Al-Khaledi and Qadri [4] presented a study on a Brownfield project in the
Middle East (Kuwait) from the Kuwait National Oil Company. It too agreed with
Antariksa et al. [3]; putting the case that these projects do have great economic
potential. For this case in the Burgan Fields there was success but only at the
expense of a considerable amount of economic and industrial input. Due to the
complexity, it absorbed the most proficient teams, it can be argued this difficulty
could be an advantage, becoming a specialisation within the industry. Lessons from
brownfield projects in mature regions like the North Sea could be exported and
employed around the world [4].
Kumar et al. [5] presented clear challenges in the execution of offshore
brownfield projects. Chief constraints are available space on existing platform and
minimum production shutdown requirements. Although daunting these challenges
may appear there are ways to mitigate these technical hurdles. Implementing
electrical changeover philosophy minimising production shutdown and optimising
space with innovating machine learning can be solutions to these challenges.
Being an already developed field there are huge caches of data which require
analysing and data mining. Data mining (DM) involves extracting useful
information in the most efficient manner and showing tendencies. It amalgamates
three masteries: statistics, artificial intelligence and machine learning. It uses these
three to commoditise big data; it is through this technique that data has become the
most valuable resource in the world, overtaking oil in 2017 [6].
Traditionally, the oil industry has been sceptical about the use of big data;
preferring the traditional physics-based approaches. However, Balaji et al. [7]
presented the recent advances and applications of data-driven methods in the oil
industry. Still, a strong grasp of the traditional methods is needed in data driven
models, but the process starts off with utilising data to identify issues and their
solutions. It was found that organisation and refinement of the data were the most
important components of an efficient data driven process.
It is put forward by Benjamini and Leshno [8]; that the cause of the mass
utilisation of DM and KDD in particular in the recent years is the accelerated
production of cheaper computers, software improvements, inexpensive data storing
along with the automated collection of data and the amount of data that continues
to be gathered in real time. This opinion is shared in this study, it’s obvious that
DM use will keep expanding as it almost always creates a competitive advantage.
The four key benefits of data mining are [9]:
input into our model. This method of cross-validation is highly reputable and
considered an essential part of accurate model validation. The results of this were
clear, with minimal modification a functional prediction was created. This clearly
shows the predictive performance of the DM algorithm.
2.2.2. Results
Combining the DM with pre-processing and evaluation there were 7 stages. The
method was successful: out of 40,000 files initially in the data pack, only 80 were
remaining. This reduced down to 0.2% in terms of files required. The final volume
was 2GB of storage compared to the original pack size of 5TB.
out of the remaining files 4% would have added value to the thesis and 0% would
have changed the outcome.
The 8 oil producing wells are labelled: F-1C, F-15D, F-5, F-14, F-11B, F-12,
F-15C and F-4 The values from the reservoir model indicated a STOIIP of 22x106
m3 [14]. In order to run models and produce results a number of steps were required.
A history match was conducted on the model and through information provided in
the data mining this history match was improved.
The first simulation took approximately 6 hours; as it was a very detailed run.
To decrease this time, the number of CPU processors used were increased to 6 from
4 and the CPR solver was activated. This reduced the simulation time to 2 hours.
The computer utilised was the HP EliteDesk 800 G3, it has Intel Core i5-7500 3.4
GHz (Quad Core), 8GB DDR4-2400, 256 SSD, Intel HD Graphics 630.
2.4.3. Recovery factor from the secondary production due to water injection
Using the simulation, the recovery factor at the end of the secondary production
was found to be 46%. Note to reader in some older Equinor documents on the Volve
field the recovery factor was stated as 54%, this value was outdated as it did not
take into account the revaluation of the field size due to data acquired from well A-
F-11A. This well showed that the reservoir had an increased boundary with more
favourable conditions and so increased the STOIIP of the reservoir.
2.4.4. Material balance giving the relative component energy of the system
The MBAL values are detailed (Table 2).
The PVT data gives the oil formation volume factor (Bo) and oil viscosity as a
function of pressure for cases. These are increasing GOR values from 27.4 Sm3/Sm3
to 156.9 Sm3/Sm3 [14].
The RelPerm values were given in large, detailed tables for each region in the
model and are shown graphically in Figs. 4(a) and (b) [14].
rg
rog
r
S
(a) Graph of Krg and Krog against Sw.
ro
r
This data was input, a model for the aquifer was chosen, and regression was
conducted. This depicted a system where the overwhelming majority of the energy
originates in the water injection (80+%) with a significant minority arising from
fluid expansion (5-15%), a minimal input from PV compressibility (5%) and
virtually no contribution from water influx. The fact that the field is faulted so
intensely has a significant affect, this is confirmed by the variety of fluids in place.
The GOC depth at 500mTVD means that it is above the top of the structure, this
indicates that there is no gas-cap. From the 11 regions it is possible to assess the
differing fluid properties, OIIP and recovery factor. These are presented (Table 4).
The permeability and porosity of these regions with the average of all the
regions (field) at the bottom is detailed (Table 5).
The averages for the regions were gained from two (2) sources, firstly from
information acquired in the data mining process and secondly from the results of
the reservoir modelling.
Table 5. Average petrophysical properties
by region as provided in the Volve data pack [14].
Region PERM X (mD) PERM Z (mD) Kv/Kh PORO
1 1,798 503 0.280 0.2352
2 1,921 603 0.314 0.2304
3 1,966 588 0.300 0.2288
4 1,697 522 0.308 0.2215
5 2,881 723 0.251 0.2356
6 648 208 0.321 0.2063
7 382 128 0.335 0.2145
8 1,216 275 0.226 0.2504
9 601 200 0.333 0.2096
10 826 242 0.293 0.2017
11 2,278 497 0.218 0.2459
Field Average 1,799 493 0.274 0.2250
where, the recovery factor (Rf) is 10%, the oil initially in place (N) is 22x106m3 and
average flow rate (Qo) is 2000m3/d. This gives approximately 3 years. Note in the
economics section, the payback time from first oil is calculated and thus gives a
more precise minimum production time.
Eleven (11) regions colour-coded with the key to the left and the map to the
right. Regions are based on similar fluids in place. (Made in Petrel)
Orange colour triangles represent producer well location and red rectangles
represent WAG/water injector positions. A peripheral injection pattern was used.
(Made in Petrel) The reason for the wells being placed in these general areas is because
these are the regions of interest highlighted in the previous section and in Fig. 6.
The logic flow diagram (Fig. 8) describes how these cases were formed, starting
with the base case and from the base case the Reactivated Well Trajectory Case
was formed. Then starting from scratch from the development scheme plan a new
case was formed with new wells (Case 3). This was improved creating development
plans B, C and D. From here Case 7; The Double Periphery Final Case was born
from the best parts of Case 2; Reactivated Well Trajectory Case and Case 6; The
Redevelopment Case D.
The case development is broken into 2 paths the first highlighted in red draw
inspiration from the original development and the second in blue draw inspiration
from the new development. The trail of thought used a double path to come to the
final case. The first highlighted in the red box (cases 1 and 2) used the reactivated
and improved versions of the original development plan well positions. The second
path (cases 3-6) were based on completely new wells from research into the
geology and properties of the reservoir. With each successive case from 3-6 being
an improvement on the previous. Case 7 then connects cases 2 and 6, in essence
this is the amalgamation of the best parts of cases 2 and 6, using the most effective
wells from case 2 and combining them with the spot pattern and effective wells
from case 6.
On examination of Table 7, it may appear that in fact cases 1 or 2 are a lot more
attractive, as they gain a reasonable recovery factor with a significantly smaller
number of wells. However, it must be stressed that both cases 1 and 2 could not
produce economically after the 3-year timeline and would have to be shut down.
Case 7 on the other hand could keep producing economically for 4+ years. The
economic comparison of these is described in the economics section. It may also
appear unusual that cases 1 and 2 both achieve a higher recovery factor than cases
3, 4 and 5 whilst using less wells. The reason for this is due to the positioning and
trajectories of the previous development wells were clearly superior to the
positioning and trajectories in these cases.
This final case combines the best parts of Case 6 and the Reactivated Well
Trajectory Case (Case 2). This was the most productive case fielding a recovery
factor of 56% after 3 years and a recovery of 58% after 4.
3. Outputs
Figures 9-12 display the oil production rate, pressure, water injection rate and water
production rate against time respectively. Figure 13 displays the recovery factor
against time for Case 7; the double periphery final case.
e e e ent
rigin e e ent
te
ti n
i r
te
e e e ent
rigin e e ent
eser
te
20,000
Redevelopment
Original Development
12,000
8,000
4,000
Date
Fig. 11. Graph of water injection rate against time for Case 7.
30,000
Redevelopment
Water Production Rate (Sm3/d)
15,000
7,500
Date
e e e ent
rigin e e ent
tenti rt er e er
t r
er
e
te
s n e ti n te
s r ti n te
rte
s
te
From 31/12/2007 to 31/12/2019 gas flow rate is displayed with the orange
representing gas production rate and blue gas injection rate.
ter n e ti n te
ter r ti n te
te
i
i
te
From 31/12/2007 to 31/12/2019 water flow rate is displayed with the orange
representing water production rate and blue water injection rate.
4.3. Economics
CAPEX and fixed OPEX is calculated based on the previous development (Table
10) (2005NOK = 0.1537 2005USD) (2005USD = 1.32 2020USD) [17].
Table 10. CAPEX Estimations [11].
Cost million 2005 Cost million Cost million
NOK 2020 NOK 2020 USD
Platform Rental and 499/y 76.70/y 101/y
Underwater Equipment
Platform Operation and 222/y 34.12/y 45/y
Maintenance
The total facility cost is estimated at being $303 million for the Platform Rental
and Underwater Equipment, $135 million for the Platform Operation and
Maintenance. This gives a total of $438 million
The fuel prices are based on projections from the EIA in May 2020. With the
cost of gas at $3.25 per mmscf and oil price between 2021-2024 at $70. [2] The
effectiveness per well is also illustrated (Table 11).
Each well is viable as the revenue from each e ’s production exceeds the cost
of drilling. An economic overview of the redevelopment is highlighted (Table 12).
Although there is comparable economic success after 3 years with only $9 million
difference, from four years and further case 7 is by far the most profitable. This
affirms that case 7 is the prudent technical choice over 4 years, however in terms of
the recommended choices by the authors it would have to be Case 2. This was a
difficult recommendation to make, however the facts remain that Case 2 utilizes 10
less wells leading to a much-reduced decommissioning cost and equally vital a far
significant impact on the local environment. The energy landscape is changing, and
it is important to make sensible steps to be on the right side of that, thus it would be
recommended to utilize Case 2 over 3 years and then stop production.
The carbon consideration of this redevelopment is, like with any oil and gas
development something that has to be considered. Assuming a value of 2.71 tons
CO2/m3 of oil, the amount of CO2 released due to the redevelopment is 4.61 million
tons in 3 years. Efforts were made throughout this development to bring about a
reduced emission project with limiting environmental damage. This included the
EOR choice of reinjected reservoir gases in a WAG format, avoidance of any
potentially excessively damaging chemicals and the location itself, as the North Sea
would not be considered an environmentally sensitive area when compared to
others (National Parks, Arctic, etc.).
5. Conclusions
This study was a brownfield development of Volve field, a Norwegian oil field.
The data pack was huge and with this considerable size investigating manually
would be unmanageable. Thus, a bespoke DM algorithm was planned and applied.
This data was analysed and used to create the reservoir model, in tandem perhaps
the most effective development scheme was fashioned, and an inclusive strategy
was set out.
The DM successfully reduced the data set to 0.2% of the initial size extracting
only the data instrumental for the study. The 11 steps development plan
investigated the previous development and the reservoir, the successful completion
of which permitted the scheme to be advanced. This culminated in the enhancement
and simulation analysis which presented each of the cases investigated in this study.
The results identified the best scenarios based on 7 options. Resulting in the
best technical case using 2 water injectors, 5 WAG injectors, and 10 oil producers
(3 of which were horizontal). Giving a recovery factor of 56% in 3 years with 58%
if extended for a further year. Due to environmental considerations and impact on
the seabed the recommended choice was the Case 2 utilizing 6 producers and 1
water injector. This gave a recovery of 53.2% over 3 years at which stage the wells
will be shut in.
A jack-up rig with processing facilities is planned for drilling and fluid
processing with a shuttle for export. The project is estimated to cost $657 million
and make $750 million netting a profit of $93 million. The unique selling point of
this case was its minimal footprint on the local environment as well as a lower
carbon and capital intensity. After 3 years the NPV is $93 million, IRR is 57%,
UTC is $52.8/bbl. and payback is 2 and a half years from first oil.
Nomenc
latures
Greek Symbols
𝜇 Viscosity
𝜑 Porosity
Abbreviations
CAPEX Capital Expenditure
CPU Central Processing Unit
DM Data Mining
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