Bullion
Bullion
Bullion
Our Sell Model Consolidation marks the initial price movement, leading to expansion into a
higher timeframe point of interest/level, serving as resistance/supply. This followed by smart
money reversal and subsequent distribution phases aiming to break the original consolidation
and therefore taking the engineered liquidity and distribute price.
Remember for us to sell there must be buyers in the market already to help fill our orders easier
and vice versa.
How we Identify Our Buy Setup:
The price initiates with consolidation, extending into High Time Frame (HTF) Point of
Distribution (PD) array functioning as support. this is succeeded by the Smart Money
Reversal followed by distribution phases aimed towards the original consolidation.
EXAMPLES:
10 YEAR SEASON PATTERN:
The Algorithm
'An algorithm is responsible for moving price in the markets.'
We are taught that price is moved by buying and selling pressure, and that the direction of the
market is determined by which side has the larger inflows of cash. This is false.
The truth is, they are not going to let the entire financial system be at the mercy of random buying
and selling. Using computer programming to automate the markets with an algorithm is much more
efficient and reliable.
IPDAs job is to manipulate price to engineer liquidity into the marketplace, and to offer fair value.
This allows SMART MONEY, who understand how these algorithms work, to capitalise on the
movement of price.
Understanding WHEN and to WHERE IPDA will manipulate price, can give unmatched levels of
precision.
BULLISH DAY
Mark your opening price for the day and make note whether the previous day was a close up or a
close down day.
Distribution – the market will firstly become bearish when it opens to collect new orders from a
previous lows e.g yesterday’s low of the day or NY session low. Why does it do that first? Remember
there are pools of liquidity residing below previous lows. The institutions sell/distribute what they
bought the previous day.
Manipulation – after the orders have been collected the market makers will manipulate price
through running stops. Making the retail universe into believing that the market is going to be
bearish for the rest of the day whilst it will be Bullish. This is where you will find your trading
opportunities.
Accumulation -There after the market makers will begin to accumulate New orders. By
accumulation we mean New Buys or New Long positions and that’s how the market will be for the
rest of the day.
BEARISH DAY
Accumulation – When the Market opens it will go up or long going to collect orders resting above a
previous high. Expect it to go up to 20- 30 pips up. As the market is going up market makers will be
making new orders.
Manipulation – same as when the market will be bullish. the market makers trap retail traders into
thinking that the market will be bullish for the rest of the day whilst it is going to be bearish. – Judas
swings at NYSE Open, High impact news releases
Distribution – Market makers start making short positions so that the market will be bearish for the
rest of the day. Power of three is represented in a Bar chart candle. That’s how we anticipate or
make our setups using the power of three.
In the example above, we can see how the OHLC bar can be viewed as a daily candle stick. The
midnight opening price is our filter. We aim to sell at or above this open as the high is being formed
when we anticipate a bearish day. We are not concerned about the close. Our objective is to trade
the bulk of the expansion move lower.
Premium/Discount Arrays
Arrays are data points that are stored within a program.
These arrays are key price levels stored in IPDAs repricing logic, relative to a premium/discount
market, and will be referred to at later dates. These arrays will become active when time aligns with
price. We do not have zones in ICT logic. Each array has specific levels, which can be graded and
calibrated. There will be different arrays present in each swing that can offer support/resistance.
Monitoring how price reacts at these key levels can help us to gauge order flow in a bullish or
bearish market environment.
Chapter 2
MANIPULATION BASICS
To understand how the market is manipulated, let’s forget everything we were ever taught as a
retail trader about technical analysis. If it were really that easy why do 95% of all traders fail? Why
does the average trader using the mainstream form of technical analysis blow his account within the
first 3 months of trading? Why is it that most traders using technical analysis take 10+ years to even
become profitable?
SUNDAY-FRIDAY
THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK AND THE END OF THE WEEK ARE "FAKEOUT DAYS."
SUNDAY IS A FAKEOUT DAY BECAUSE THERE ARE MILLIONS OF RETAIL TRADERS AT THE EDGE OF
THEIR DESKS WITH TWITCHING FINGERS ON THEIR KEYBOARDS JUST WAITING FOR THE MARKET
TO OPEN!
BELIEVE IT OR NOT, THE DAYS THAT THE MARKET ISNOT OPEN IS SIMILAR TO THE
"CONSOLIDATION PHASE" THAT HAPPENS. TRADERS ARE HELD IN SUSPENSE FROMFRIDAY TO
SUNDAY... AND AS SOON AS THE MARKET OPENS THE SUSPENSE IS FREED AND THE RETAIL
TRADERS FEEL THE NEED TO TRADE.
ONE THING YOU WILL NEED TO LEARN TO BECOME A MASTER AT TRADING IS THAT IT TAKES TIME
AND PATIENCE. THE ENTIRE MARKET IS DESIGNED TO TAKE MONEY FROM THE IMPATIENT RETAIL
TRADERS WITH THE "GET RICH QUICK" MENTALITY.
BELIEVE IT OR NOT. FRIDAY IS ALSO A "FAKEOUT" OR "TRAP" DAY. THIS IS BECAUSE THE MARKET
CLOSES ON FRIDAY AND DOESN'T OPEN UNTIL SUNDAY. TRADERS THAT LEAVE THEIR POSITIONS
OPEN OVER THE WEEKEND, ARE AT RISK TO HAVE THEIR STOPLOSSES JUMPED AND THEIR
ACCOUNTS BLOWN.
THE "MIDDLE" OF THE WEEK IS THE MOST VOLATILE TIME IN THE MARKET. check your forex news
calendar on www.forexfactory.com and see for yourself. Wednesday and Thursday are always the
days with the most "high impact" events, this is all setup like this for a reason.
Wednesday and Thursday are usually correction days, where the market corrects against or with
the trend depending on which direction the market was going at the start of the week.
New York Session which begins at 13:00 pm RSA time – 7AM New York
London Session which opens at 09:00 am
Asian session opens at 02:00 am to 09:00 am (Market consolidates)
Sydney session - Tokyo Session
A false breakout is when price temporarily moves above or below a key support or resistance level,
but then later retreats to the same side as it started. This is the worst-case scenario for a breakout
trader that enters in a trade as soon as price breaks.
Definition of a footprint
Is a trendline that the market touches twice and never come back to that same line after some time,
it can either be to the upside or to the downside.
Timeframes Depending on your style of trading l recommend that you combine the timeframes
above that l refer as forex chords.
The MMC Footprint works on any timeframe of your choice, what matters most is your patience.
A horizontal line is needed to mark the point of entry or the point where we start leveraging, the
horizontal line is placed on the previous high or previous low. The trend must first touch the
trendline two times before it becomes a footprint. Leveraging Is when you enter more trades on a
winning trade, never enter more trades when the market goes against you. Never start leveraging if
price does not break the horizontal line.
The main aim of dragging a winning trade like that is to leverage and it doesn’t matter how many
trades you can lose, even if it is 20 trades in a row. One trade is enough to cover losses and make
more on top. In forex there will always be losses. (More leverage = more profits)
Liquidity:
Liquidity is how easy is it to buy or sell something in the market. If a market was said to be very
liquid, it would mean that it's very easy for you to buy and sell in the market. If it was said to as
being illiquid it would mean that it's very difficult to buy and sell. The forex market is one of the most
liquid financial markets in the world, due to how easy it is to find people willing to buy from you and
sell to you. Even though it's one of the most liquid markets, it still fluctuates between periods of high
liquidity and periods of low liquidity (illiquidity). Here are 2 Examples:
Take a look at the move up marked in orangeo range on USDJPY H1 Time frame:
Chater 3
Intermarket analysis
EG if you’re trading CADJPY you must add US Oil to the chart too as they have intermarket relations.
If looking for a buy on CADJPY you want Oil to also be on a uptrend for you to be able to capitalize
on the buy trend.
For XAUUSD you must look at the AUDUSD – Real Interest rates, earnings report, Central bank
rates IR.
We’re making use of economic indicators to determine the long-term trend, weekly and monthly
trend.
1 st Month $100 20 days of trading a month. Daily target $5 $5 x 20 = $100 + $100 = $200
2 nd Month Daily target $10 $200 $10 x 20 days = $200 + $200 = $400
3 rd Month Daily Target $20 $400 $20 x 20 days = $400 + $400 = $800
4 th Month Daily Target $40 $800 $40 x 20 days = $800 + $800 = $1600
5 th Month Daily Target $60 $1600 $60 x 20 = $1600 + $1200 = $2800
6 th Month Daily Target $80 $2800 $80x 20 = $1600 + $2800 = $4400
7 th Month Daily Target $100 $4400 $100 x 20 days = $2000 + $4400 =$6400
8 th Month Daily Target $140 $6400 $140 x 20 =$2800 + $6400 = $9200
9 th Month Daily Target $220 $9200 $220 x 20 = $4400 + $9200 = $13600
10th Month Daily Target $800 $800 x 20 = $16000 + $13 600 = $29600
11th Month Daily Targets $1600 $29600 $1600 x 20 = $32 000 + $29600 = $61600
12th Month Daily Target $2000 $61600 $2000 x 20 = $40 000 + $61600 =$101600
(R1,828,800)