Bna-443 Malik 2014 The Ontology of Finance
Bna-443 Malik 2014 The Ontology of Finance
Bna-443 Malik 2014 The Ontology of Finance
Suggested Citation: Malik, Suhail (2014) : The Ontology of Finance: Price, Power, and
the Arkhéderivative, In: MacKay, Robin (Ed.): Collapse Vol. VIII: Casino Real, Urbanomic,
Falmouth, pp. 629-811,
http://bnarchives.yorku.ca/443/
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COLLAPSE
Philosophical Research and Development
VOLUME VIII
Edited by
Robin Mackay
URBANOMIC
FALMOUTH
R M
Editorial Introduction
J-L M
Untitled
A B
e Church e Bank e Art Gallery
J C
From Collective to Wager
S F
e Ultimate Cooler (Interview)
U A
Angel Deck with Linework
N D S
Engineering Chance
J J-L
A Guide to the Casino Architecture of Wedding
D W
From Blackjack to Monanism (Interview)
A K M
Dice-Like and Distributed
N L
Transcendental Risk
M Ć°
e Greatest Gamble in History
J M. C, M G, Z S
From Molecule to Market
N S A W
On Cunning Automata
S L
Notes from New Jersey
E A
e Writing of the Market (Interview)
J R
From a Restricted to a General Pricing Surface
S M
e Ontology of Finance
Q M
e Materialist Divinization of the Hypothesis
S A ½ N C
Mr. Heggarty Goes Down
GSK
CAUTION
F Z
Peirce’s Tychism
M B
Quantum Mechanics as Generalised
eory of Probabilities ÀÁÂ
E A
A Formal Deduction of the Market
Suhail Malik
.
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While that reserve reduced the Fed’s balance sheet at the time of its own rapid
expenditure thanks to QE, the 0.25 percent interest rate on such deposits
it offered for the first time on such reserves meant that these accounts
provided a direct annual subsidy of $400bn annually for commercial
banks borrowing Fed funds on the one hand and parking it back in the
Fed with the other. e channeling of state-generated funds to the financial
sector extends beyond banking institutions: because QE mainly supports
the prices of financial assets while keeping interest rates at near-zero and
relying on banks to provide liquidity to business in a contracted economy
with small if any increases in wages, employment levels, and savings, the
net effect is a relative increase in income to those holding financial assets—
preponderantly the wealthiest five percent of the population, and more
emphatically so for riskier asset portfolios than for conservative ones. QE
thereby sustained the primary dynamic of neoliberalism since the late-1990s
of increasing concentration of income-share towards the very wealthiest
via financialization (Bank of England, ‘e Distributional Effects of
Asset Purchases’, 12 July 2012, www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/
Documents/news/2012/nr073.pdf; M.A. Gayed, ‘What Wealth Effect?
QE Has Helped the Rich More an the Poor’, 21 October 2013, www.
minyanville.com/articles/print.php?a=52334).
10. Financial Stability Board (FSB), OTC Derivatives Market Reforms: Fi¶h
Progress Report on Implementation, 15 April 2013, www.financialstabilityboard.
org/publications/r_130415.pdf. Cf. also Kaya, ‘Reforming’, 4–6.
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642
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644
21. is and two following quotations are from Nitzan and Bichler, Israel, 10–
11. e outline of Veblen’s argument from the early 1900s is from Israel, 31–34.
22. is quotation and those following in this subsection are from J. Nitzan
and S. Bichler, Capital as Power: A Study of Order and Creorder (London:
Routledge, 2009), 151–6.
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646
647
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649
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651
28. Distinct in this to both Neoclassical liberalism and Marxism: cf. Nitzan
and Bichler, Power, 13 and Ch.8.
29. is paragraph paraphrases Nitzan and Bichler, Power, 241–2.
652
653
31. Quotes in this paragraph are from Nitzan and Bichler, Power, 306–7.
654
32. Nitzan and Bichler, Power, 262; see too Israel, 36.
33. Nitzan and Bichler, Power, 239.
34. Marx adopted the common if ill-defined mid-nineteenth century term
‘fictitious capital’ in his notes from the 1860s–80s, edited by Engels as Capital
3 (M. Perelman, Marx’s Crises eory: Scarcity, Labor, and Finance [New York:
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664
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669
Illustration
Imagine the cover price of C is set in response to demand.
A forward contract is made at time tÚ for delivery of §¿ copies
of C with a delivery price of ¿ÚÚ Local Currency Units
(lcu), anticipating a market price of §Úlcu on its long-awaited
publication.
Over time t the spot price St of C increases from §Úlcu
to §°lcu because that issue of C will include a new essay
by Quentin Meillassoux.
At maturity, the long position immediately sells all §¿ copies at
the market price at time t, making a gain of §¿ × (§°−§Ú) = ÚÚlcu,
a profit of §Ú percent (excluding transaction costs for setting up
the contract).
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Illustration
Anticipating C will publish a new essay by Quentin
Meillassoux in three months and generate an upward surge in
Urbanomic’s share prices (listed as URB), a trader takes a long
position on ÚÚ call options (that is, purchases the right to buy)
for URB shares at a strike price of ¿Úlcu a share. e exercise date
is four months from taking the position.
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677
If the loss from exercising the call option is less than the
loss from not doing so, then it is still worth exercising the
call option:
Even though Meillassoux’s article is theoretically redundant,
continuing interest in it and other material in C leads to
URB’s share price climbing to ¿ .§¿lcu by the expiration date.
e trader then makes §¿lcu (¿ .§¿−¿Ú = .§¿ per share × ÚÚ
shares) if the call option is exercised.
ough this is less than the §ÚÚlcu to take the long position
on the call option, the net loss of Ì¿lcu ( §¿lcu from exercising
the call option at a market price of ¿ .§¿lcu less the §ÚÚlcu for
taking the long position) is still a smaller loss than not exercising
the call option (§ÚÚlcu).
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684
51. Greenberger notes that though only three percent of the notional
amount of a swaps transaction is at risk as credit exposure, ‘a credit default
swap’s insurance-like aspects mean that if a default is triggered, the entire
amount of the sum guaranteed is at risk’ (‘Derivatives’, 11)—which is why
the diminishing of the size of the derivatives markets from its ‘face value’ to
its credit exposure, as in the introductory comments above, is not always
warranted. Combining the lower estimate of $35tn of outstanding CDSs
in September 2008 with three percent of the rest of the remaining swaps
market ($565tn), Greenberger arrives at a total sum for the credit exposure
of the swaps market alone at the time of the financial crisis, wryly adding
that ‘even using the most conservative figures for the sake of argument,
$52tn is a very large figure’—equal to world GDP that year.
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54. is and the next two quotes: Derrida, ‘Différance’, 13.
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694
. :
--
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58. In the technical terms of marginal utility theory, value is derived from
‘the utility that an individual derives from the consumption of a quantity
of a particular good […] determined by his or her subjective assessment
of the pleasure, or satisfaction, derived from consumption’, its price being
given by the monetization of that exchange (J.E. King and M. McLure,
‘History of the Concept of Value’, preprint from International Encyclopedia
of the Social and Behavioural Sciences [Amsterdam: Elsevier, forthcoming], 6,
www.business.uwa.edu.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0004/2478883/14-06-
History-of-the-Concept-of-Value.pdf). Inaugurated by Jevons, Walras, and
Menger in the early 1870s, and institutionalized in Western Europe and
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698
59. Although the BSM formula is the paradigmatic model for this regime
of pricing, the operationally equivalent Cox-Ross-Rubinstein (CRR)
binomial tree is the more widely-used formalisation (J.C. Cox, S. Ross, and
M. Rubenstein, ‘Option pricing: A simplified approach’, Journal of Financial
Economics, 7.3, 1979, 229–63). Option price movements in this model are
calculated by a discrete-time branching (a ‘lattice’) of probabilities of
prices increasing or decreasing at a certain time increment. Each resulting
probability is a new node for the further calculation of price movements.
Consequently, a¶er a few iterations, several branches in the probability tree
can lead to a given price. While the paths actually taken by the option can
only be specified upon expiration, the increasing or decreasing probability
of price movement gives the trader a predictive range of routes.
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60. For example: the boiling point of water remains the same under constant
external conditions irrespective of whether it has previously boiled or been
frozen or neither; similarly for the next coin toss, dice throw, or spin of the
roulette wheel, if they are not loaded. Or, in the standard caveat of financial
funds, ‘past performance is no indication of future results’. Put otherwise,
knowledge of any state of a Markov process is adequate for knowledge of
its history because that history presents no further information than the
present provides. As Hull notes, the Markov property is then a weak form
of market efficiency in that for the latter the present price of an equity or
stock captures all the information contained in the record of past prices and
the market (Options, §12.1).
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703
determination of pricing, see E.G. Haug and N.N. Taleb, ‘Option traders
use (very) sophisticated heuristics, never the Black–Scholes–Merton
formula’, in Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 77 (2011), 97–106.
704
Ineliminable Volatility
e anticipatory pricing equation and its con-
comitant risk neutrality presume the stability of the
background conditions—an idealization which is not
only operationally false but which in any case is theo-
retically constrained to the vanishingly small timespans
for which the delta hedge portfolio is valid (i.e., until
the ‘next step’ in the random walk of the spot price).
Over any ‘extended’ time in which the spot price
changes ‘unpredictably’, as it must do according to
the initial assumption of the model, different solutions
to the equations are required. Consequently, the
proportion of derivative securities to the underlying
in the portfolio needs to continually change in order
to maintain risk-neutrality. at continued recompo-
sition of the portfolio, known as ‘dynamic replica-
tion’, follows the price development of the underlying
in order to maintain both the risk-neutrality of the
portfolio and also the removal of volatility from its
return. Yet the development of the portfolio through
dynamic replication, which also prices the option com-
ponent on each iteration, conveys the quasi-random
price movement of the underlying—the very volatility
that the portfolio is constructed to excise. Two
methods make volatility apparent a¶er its theoretical
elimination in the model: the historical record of
the asset price and the method of implied volatility.ÀÀ
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70. Specifically, charting implied volatility against strike price yields a valley-
like curve whose turning point is the at-the-money option (that is, options
whose delivery price is the spot price of the underlying), a curve known as
the volatility smile. More systemically, the implied volatility of at-the-money
options is also observed to be slightly lower than options in- or out-of-the-
money (those with delivery prices respectively above or below that of the spot
price, netting a gain or loss). Furthermore, implied volatility of an option
changes not just with the strike price but also with expiration, meaning that it
is better charted as a volatility surface with a horizontal reference plane having
the axes of expiration and strike price. Different markets have different typical
curves. Mark Rubinstein was among of the first to model the volatility surface
using the CRR formalism he codeveloped (‘Implied Binomial Trees’, e
Journal of Finance, 49:3 (July 1994), 771–818) while Bruno Dupire formalized
the volatility smile in terms of BSM in the same year (‘Pricing with a smile’,
Risk 7 (1994), 18–20), but such ‘one factor’ models have since been shown to
have severe limitations. A multifactor formalism for the development of the
volatility surface in conditions where arbitrage across markets is not possible
is developed in T. Daglish, J.C. Hull, and W. Suo, ‘Volatility surfaces: eory,
rules of thumb, and empirical evidence’, Quantitative Finance, 7.5 (2007), 507–24.
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709
.
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78. Esposito, Future, 23–4. ere is similarly a past present that is the
present as it was in the past but is now passed and inactual.
79. Terminological caution is needed here: what Esposito identifies as
‘risk’ is called ‘uncertainty’ in finance markets; see Esposito, Future, 36n.26.
Standard finance theory follows Frank Knight’s 1921 distinction between
futures that are measurable/containable (risk) and those that are not
(uncertainty). See Knight’s Risk, Uncertainty, and Profit (Mineola, NY: Dover,
2006 [1921]).
80. Esposito, Future, 151; emphasis added.
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718
Risk Order
is partial result marks the way to the political-eco-
nomic determination of derivatives in terms of différan-
tial pricing. However, the logic of différance imposes
important modifications upon the theorization of such
pricing as counterperformative. Crucial to this rede-
termination is the irreducible sociological dimension
of the time relation in Esposito’s account, in which it
is a corollary of her determination of risk: ‘all forms of
time binding have social costs, because they […] also
bind the opportunities and perspectives of all other
operators’.ÍÌ at is, since the agents bound in and
by the system’s time relations can avail themselves of
the systemic contingency of revision, the possibilities
inherent to a system with time are not only those of its
capacity in toto but are distributed differentially across
elements of that system, in this case the market consti-
tuted of participants in the pricing system. Ùme bind-
ing thereby constitutes possibility and limitation with
regard to others, which is to say that it constitutes social
binding as such, which is in each instance organized
and comprehended as the norms of a given social order.
Contrary to traditionally-ordered societies, for which
norms are determined according to the constraints
that have determined and stabilise the present on
the basis of the selectivity of the past, social binding
87. is section mainly paraphrases Esposito, Future, 30–35 from which all
quotations are taken unless otherwise noted.
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721
89. Esposito, Future, 105 for ‘rationality of risk’. is dynamic construction
of reason is homologous to Robert Brandom’s ‘strong semantic inferentialism’
(SSI) that provides the basic schema of neorationalism. With Brandom, SSI
is a sufficient condition of conceptual contentfulness because inferential
relations ‘alte[r] our commitments and entitlements in ways that depend on
what is a reason for what’, meaning that the basic operation of reason is the
revision of extant propositional content (Reason in Philosophy [Cambridge,
MA: Harvard University Press, 2009], 13 for the quote; all emphases are
added, Brandom’s own emphases being removed throughout.) Moreover,
for Brandom reason is primarily deontological because ‘judging and
acting—endorsing claims and maxims, committing ourselves as to what is
or shall be true— […] mak[es] ourselves subject to assessment according
to rules that articulate the contents of those commitments’ (33). Kant calls
these rules ‘concepts’ but Brandom identifies their more general discursive
applicability as being primarily the norms to and for which those making
inferences are responsible. at responsibility distinguishes the ‘exercise of a
distinctive kind of consciousness’ that is ‘sapient, rather than merely sentient,
consciousness[,] or awareness’ (9). Moreover, concept formation qua
normative rationality is not sui generis to the thinking subject as rational self
(Kant) but also social (Hegel), involving extant histories and nonratiocinative
languages (Ch.3). Like SSI, then, risk rationality is a necessary and chronic
socially constituted revision of norms ‘consisting in practically knowing one’s
way about in the inferentially articulated space of reasons and concepts’ (9)
according to the ‘bindingness’ (33) of the norms actively and provisionally
established by the reasons intrinsic to that recursive process rather than past
or future conventions. In the risk-order, the ‘inferentially articulated space of
reasons’ is specifically determined as calculative yet open-ended time-binding.
Consequently, neither reason nor (anthropological) sentience nor then
price are established epistemological terms but come to be known and have
traction on social norms thanks only to their respective rational revisions.
However, for reasons presented taken up in n.133 below, such an alignment is
only hypothetical or formal but is in fact incompatible.
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not only when those markets lurch into crises (as Mac-
Kenzie holds); and they are systems of second-order
observation.Ò¬ Consequently, financial markets are not
directed to or organized for the ‘satisfaction of needs’
insofar as these are external to market determinations.
Rather, they require
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96. Ibid.
729
97. See for example J. L. Ford (ed.), £me, Expectations and Uncertainty in
Economics: Selected Essays of G.L.S. Shackle (Aldershot: Edward Elgar, 1990).
730
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733
734
.
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103. J. Derrida, Speech and Phenomena and Other Essays on Husserl’s eory
of Signs, tr. D. B. Allison (Evanston: Northwestern University Press, 1973
[1967]), 99ff. For Derrida, the différantial constitution of the living present
in Husserl’s phenomenology is instantiated by the deferral of the ideality of
that living present (and that of the pure thought Husserl also relies upon)
as it is by the non-ideal present which is no less the living present in fact.
e living present is different from/to itself (ideal, factual) and is the fact
of its deferral. e Ideal living present—what the living present truly is
for Husserl—never appears in fact. It is a Kantian ideal, infinitely because
constitutively deferred from the presence that it ‘is’, a present that is then
necessarily different from itself.
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Illustration
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. :
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108. E. Ayache, ‘e Turning’, in Wilmott Magazine, June 2010, 45, www.
ito33.com/sites/default/files/articles/1007_ayache.pdf.
751
.
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114. Both quotes in this paragraph are from Ayache, ‘Turning’, 37.
115. is is not to refute any and all manifestations of probabilistic
formulations of pricing of contingent claims. Ayache supports the ‘episodic’
deployment of probability and stochastic control in the trader’s daily market
interventions (‘Probability’, 42).
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125. Ibid., 47
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Value
ough this means that price is in general predicated
on the real of derivative pricing that is the infrawager
and its dyadic contingency, the supplementary deter-
mination of valuation persists in the primary sense
informing the term ‘valuation’: that price reflects value
(or, at least, it should). As noted above, the value
of derivative pricing is its payout, occasioned in its
putative exchange for the (price of the) underlying, at
which point the derivative pricing process vacates the
operating logic of the infrawager and converts into a
mercantile exchange; as the terminology for options
has it, derivatives and their markets expire when they
are exchanged for the underlying asset. More gener-
ally, value is the exogenous determination of pricing
which, in the standard determinations of Neoclassi-
cal and Marxian doctrine, also anchors it—the very
same conversion of pricing that was operationally
imposed by the regulators of the early . Formally,
the argument against the priority of value over price
follows quickly from its différantial logic: what is
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128. e three main ideas of Nietzsche’s later philosophy from the period
of composing the Zarathustra book (1880s) onwards—the will to power,
the revaluation of all values, and the eternal return of equivalences (as an
idiomatic translation of ewige Widerkehr des Gleichen)—can then be identified
as variants of the deconstruction of value by price. In rendering the
transmutation of valuation in terms of the philosophico-religious traditions
of moral value-formation and their modern weakening, Nietzsche correctly
identifies the determination of modernity in non-financial terms yet, for that
reason, largely misapprehends its constitutive elements.
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e Arkhéderivative
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132. Roberto Mangabeira Unger proposes that the modern social order is
an endlessly plastic and transformable ‘artifact’ by virtue of acknowledging
society to be constructed by human imagination and creativity rather than
posited as a given (Z. Cui [ed.], Politics: e Central Texts [London: Verso,
1997 (1987)], 3–18 and 172–204). at ‘negative capability’ of social
institutions (contrasted against their extant positive terms) is dedicated
to emancipating subjective experience from established scripts but is
however o¶en practically constrained and circumscribed by extant elite
configurations and ‘entrenched’ social structures. While the latter point
is uncontentious, in the terms of the thesis of the main text here Unger’s
proposition psychonaturalizes and thereby cloaks the sociopolitical
plasticity wrought by capitalization as the prevailing condition of modernity.
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784
the future will be even once the contingency they construct is settled (the
price ‘could have been different’). As such, pricing in its absolute volatility
instantiates and maintains incompatibilities rather than repelling them.
Consequently, pricing and the risk-order do not comply with the deontic
constitution of the subject in its orginary synthetic unity of apperception,
or to the alethic modality of the object’s noninconsistent validity, or to the
thus coordinated inferential consequences and deontic adumbration. In
formulating the basic unit of judgement not in the predicative form of <If p
then q> but in the contingent formulation <If p then q or r or s or …, where
p is insufficient to determine q, r, s….>, the risk-order vitiates reason qua the
positive freedom and authority of normative constraints (60).
In Brandom’s terms, which have an immediate political overdetermination,
it follows that pricing and the risk-order of capitalization are not rational
but are conditions of unfreedom (cf. Negarestani, ‘Labor’). But such a
Brandomian critique of capitalization via pricing is only a doctrinal result,
one among several consequences to the incompatibility of the risk-order
with the normative synthetic unity posited by philosophical reason. What
can also be inferred is:
• that as a discursive social practice with some rules (the logics of
differential accumulation and différantial pricing as well as the delimited
regulatory requirements for markets), the risk-order is quasirational
precisely because it posits an order that maintains incompatibilities;
• that risk-rationality is a nonnormative modality of reason, meaning that
the social order of risk is shaped not by rational norms but by inferential
processes whose logic surpasses that of the deontic-alethic modalities of
unified synthetic judgement;
• given the expansion of inferential pragmatics in the risk-order
beyond Brandomian doctrine, the latter is an unnecessary and limiting
commitment to philosophical-rational determinations of inference and
reason. More assertively, the deontic-alethic modalities of incompatibility-
repelling synthetic unity postulated by SSI are undone by the risk-order
of capitalization, which socially instituted practice constitutes the very
political modernity of which SSI claims to be the philosophy and moral-
conceptual authority.
Philosophical adequacy aside, the incompatibility of risk rationality and
SSI formulates a schema for the politics of normative reason with regard to
the risk-order, botho f these being taken as practices of revision. Affirming
SSI, the subjective and objective unity it instantiates as well as its subtending
normative constraints mean that SSI necessarily counters the construction
of incompatible inferences characteristic of the risk-order of capitalization.
But that is to repudiate the primary futurity constituting the risk-order
thanks to pricing. is repudiation is evident in Brandom’s affirmation of
Hegel’s configuration of the rational integration of conceptual content by
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135. See Lapavitsas, Profiting, 146; Marazzi, Violence, 44-46; and Hudson,
‘Goldman Sachs’. Nitzan and Bichler complicate the basic assumptions of
this claim and received assumptions on the global political economy of the
finance sector in ‘Imperialism and Financialism: A Story of a Nexus’, Journal
of Critical Globalisation Studies 5 (2012), 42–78, www.criticalglobalisation.com/
issue5/42_78_IMPERIALISM_AND_FINANCIALISM_JCGS5.pdf.
792
793
794
795
796
797
. . -:
-
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802
141. C. Schmitt, ‘All significant concepts of the modern theory of the state
are secularized theological concepts’, Political eology: Four Chapters on the
Concept of Sovereignty, tr. G. Schwab (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1985), 36.
803
804
Ineliminable Statism
What is established here is that, cogent as it may
otherwise be, the state-finance nexus is riven in its
power ontology. e argument is not primarily that
the operational-historical growth of the finance sector
deprioritises sovereignty in favour of other modes of
power (a Foucauldian variant of the thesis), or that
the indebtedness and other financial commitments of
the state (whether it be monarchical, or a parliamen-
tary democracy, bureaucratic control, autocracy, etc.)
require it to resort to finance markets to maintain itself.
Rather, whatever power can be summoned by the state
thanks to its sovereignty can be (i) determined as a spe-
cific magnitude in any particular instance, and (ii) that
magnitude is comprised of the aggregate prices it can
command from jurisdictionally-bounded institutions
and social organization. e ‘command’ of prices is not
that of a state-controlled economy, but rather the price
that the state can raise on the basis of its sovereignty
(taxation being the obvious example). While this
injunction practically presumes the hierarchy of social
institutions and order, the channeling of command
via price, qua instance of finance-power, necessarily
imposes a dynamic reorganization of social order. In
its conservative formulation, this partial conclusion
proposes that states are committed to their reorganiza-
tion in order to sustain their integral role in the gen-
eral ordering of social institutions by capital-power.
805
143. See P. Mirowski, Never Let a Serious Crisis Go to Waste (London: Verso,
2013), 56.
144. See n.54 above, L. R. Wray, Modern Money eory (Basingstoke:
Macmillan, 2012), Ch. 2, and, for a discussion of the genealogy of MMT,
‘From the State eory of Money to Modern Money eory’, Levy Economics
Institute Working Paper 792, March 2014, www.levyinstitute.org/pubs/
wp_792.pdf; also P. Tcherneva, ‘Chartalism and the tax-driven approach to
money’, in P. Arestis & M. Sawyer (eds.), A Handbook of Alternative Monetary
Economics, (Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2006), 69–86.
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811