The Bhagavad Gita of Option Trading Trading Option
The Bhagavad Gita of Option Trading Trading Option
The Bhagavad Gita of Option Trading Trading Option
No part of this book may be reproduced, or stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any
form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without
express written permission of the publisher.
This book is dedicated to my mother, Miri Ray, for your love, blessings,
encouragement, support and upbringing, which taught me how to persevere
in difficult circumstances.
Acknowledgement
To God for your blessings and for inspiring me to write a book.
To my wife, thank you for your support during the writing process and
for showing me love and care.
To my family, especially my brother-in-law Dr. R. C. Roy, for fostering
me in pursuing my passion and believing in me.
PREFACE
You may be wondering why "The Bhagavad Gita" is mentioned in this
book. Let me explain why. In the ancient Hindu classic known as the
Bhagavad Gita, Lord Krishna and Arjuna have a conversation. Lord
Krishna teaches Arjuna how to live a moral life and fulfill his military
duties. The wisdom and insights from the Bhagavad Gita are widely
respected.
The title of this book, "The Bhagavad Gita of Option Trading: Trading
Options with Purpose," highlights the idea that options trading, like life
itself, requires purpose, discipline, and a deep understanding of the
underlying principles. This book draws inspiration from the Bhagavad Gita
to provide traders with a framework for approaching options trading with
clarity and a sense of purpose.
The Bhagavad Gita is known for teaching balance and detachment.
Similarly, successful options trading involves a balanced strategy where
traders carefully weigh the risks and benefits of each trade while keeping
emotions in check. The concepts from the Bhagavad Gita can help traders
develop the balance and impartiality needed to thrive in the fast-paced
world of options trading.
The Bhagavad Gita says in Chapter 2, verse 47, "You have the right to
work but never to its fruits." "Do not be motivated by the fruits of action,
nor be attached to inaction."
The phrase emphasises the need of remaining unattached from the
outcome of one's activities. This means that while trading options, traders
should focus on their trading strategies and tactics rather than becoming
overly attached to particular transaction results.
This is crucial because emotions can cloud judgment and lead to poor
trading decisions. If a trader becomes too attached to the outcome of a
trade, they may hold onto a losing position instead of cutting losses and
moving on to the next opportunity. This can result in increased losses and
negatively impact overall trading success.
By focusing on the process rather than the outcome, traders can
maintain discipline in their trading strategy and avoid making irrational
judgments. This means adhering to a set of rules for trading regardless of
how individual trades turn out. This disciplined approach can ultimately
improve traders' consistency and performance in the market.
The saying "You have the right to work, but never to the fruits of work"
underscores the importance of focusing on the trading process rather than
fixating on the outcome of any one trade. By remaining disciplined and
objective, traders can enhance their chances of long-term success in the
field of options trading.
"The Bhagavad Gita of Option Trading: Trading Options with Purpose"
aims to provide traders with a comprehensive guide to understanding the
basics of options trading, analyzing the option chain, interpreting FII, DII,
and Pro traders' data, developing option trading strategies, and adjusting
those strategies using real-world examples.
The book starts by teaching the foundations of option trading, including
terminology, option types, option Greeks, and other variables that impact
option prices. It then moves on to option chain analysis, which involves
studying the information in option chains to identify profitable trades. An
important part of the book is the study of FII, DII, and Pro Trader data and
how it helps in spotting market trends.
Additionally, the book covers various option strategies such as bullish,
bearish, and neutral strategies, explaining when to use each strategy based
on the current market conditions. Real-world examples are provided to
illustrate how these strategies can be successfully applied.
Finally, the book discusses how to manage existing option holdings,
including strategies to minimize risk and maximize returns in different
market scenarios. Adjusting option strategies is a key aspect of successful
option trading. We will explore how to modify your strategy if the market
doesn't move as expected or goes in the opposite direction.
Throughout the book, I emphasize the importance of having a purpose
for each trade. In my opinion, effective option trading requires a solid
understanding of the market and a well-defined strategy to achieve specific
goals.
This book covers everything you need to know about buying and selling
options. Whether you are a novice or an experienced trader, it will help you
grasp the fundamentals of options and navigate complex option strategy
adjustments. After reading this book, you will be able to identify market
trends and adapt your strategy effectively when the market doesn't move as
predicted.
I believe this book will be a valuable resource for traders at all levels
who want to trade options with purpose and confidence.
OPTIONS: AN INTRODUCTION
Options are versatile trading tools that can be used in any market
condition, whether it's bullish, bearish, or even range-bound. While options
were once considered risky and suitable only for experienced investors with
significant capital, they have now become increasingly popular and
accessible to traders of all levels.
Options offer unique advantages, such as leveraging your investments
and turning a small capital into substantial gains. They can also serve as a
form of insurance to protect your investments in case of market downturns.
Therefore, it is essential for every trader and investor to understand and
utilize options effectively.
In this book, you will learn about various aspects of options trading,
starting from basic calls and puts to more complex option spreads. You will
gain a comprehensive understanding of index options and stock options.
Additionally, you will discover how to assess the market using data from
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs), Domestic Institutional Investors
(DIIs), and open interest build-ups on option chains.
By the end of this book, you will have a thorough knowledge of options
trading. You will be able to execute basic strategies and explore advanced
techniques like straddles and spreads. Importantly, you will also learn how
to adjust your option strategy based on real-life scenarios when the market
doesn't go in your favour.
Whether you are a beginner, intermediate trader, veteran, or professional
money manager, this book will equip you with the necessary knowledge
and skills to navigate the world of options trading successfully.
What is an option?
An option is a contract between a buyer and a seller that grants the
buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a
specific price (known as the exercise price or strike price) on or before a
predetermined date. It is considered a derivative because its value is derived
from the underlying asset, which can be a stock, index, commodity, or other
financial instrument.
To better understand the concept of an option, let's use the example of
buying an apartment. Suppose you find an apartment in your desired
neighbourhood that costs ₹1 crore, but you don't currently have enough
funds to purchase it. However, you don't want to miss out on the
opportunity, so you negotiate with the builder for an option contract.
In this scenario, you pay an upfront fee of ₹1 lakh to the builder for the
option to buy the apartment for ₹1 crore within a six-month period. Now,
consider two possible outcomes:
1. The market value of the apartment increases: If, within the six
months, the apartment's market value rises to ₹1.10 crore, you
can exercise your option and buy the apartment for ₹1 crore.
Since the builder is obligated to honor the option contract, you
can sell the apartment immediately for ₹1.10 crore, resulting in a
profit of ₹9 lakhs (1.10 crore - 1.00 crore - 1 lakh).
2. The market value of the apartment decreases: Conversely, if
the market value of the apartment drops to ₹90 lakhs, you have
the choice to not exercise your option. In this case, you would not
proceed with the purchase, and you would only lose the upfront
fee of ₹1 lakh paid for the option. Thus, you avoid incurring a
loss of ₹10 lakhs (the difference between the option price of ₹1
crore and the reduced market value of ₹90 lakhs).
From this example, two key points about options become evident.
Firstly, purchasing an option grants you the right to enter into a contract but
not the obligation. You can choose whether or not to exercise the option
based on market conditions and your desired outcome. Secondly, options
are contracts based on underlying assets, which explains why they are
considered derivatives. The underlying asset in the apartment example is
the flat itself. In the financial market, underlying assets are typically stocks
or indices.
When a buyer purchases an option, they pay the seller a fee known as
the premium. The premium is the price negotiated and established when
options are traded on various exchanges. For instance, if you want to
purchase an ITC 350 call option with an August expiration date for ₹5, you
have the choice (but not the obligation) to buy 1600 shares of ITC (the lot
size of ITC is 1600 shares) at ₹350 per share before the option expires. In
this case, the premium would be ₹5, and ₹350 would be the exercise price
or strike price.
Types of option
Indeed, call options and put options are the two main types of options
contracts. Let's further explore these types:
1. Call Option: A call option provides the buyer with the right,
but not the obligation, to purchase an underlying asset at a
specified price (strike price) within a predetermined timeframe.
The buyer pays a premium to the seller for this privilege. By
holding a call option, the buyer anticipates that the price of the
underlying asset will rise. If the price of the asset increases above
the strike price, the buyer can exercise the option and profit from
the price difference. However, if the price remains below the
strike price or the option expires, the buyer may choose not to
exercise the option and will only lose the premium paid.
2. Put Option: A put option grants the buyer the right, but not the
obligation, to sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price
(strike price) within a specific time period. Similar to call options,
put options also involve the payment of a premium by the buyer
to the seller. The buyer of a put option expects the price of the
underlying asset to decrease. If the price falls below the strike
price, the buyer can exercise the option and sell the asset at a
higher price, thus generating a profit. However, if the price
remains above the strike price or the option expires, the buyer can
choose not to exercise the option and will only lose the premium
paid.
In the options market, there are four types of participants based on the
positions they take:
It is important to note that while option buyers have the right to exercise
their options, option sellers (writers) are obligated to fulfill the terms of the
contract. The distinction between buyers and sellers is crucial in
understanding the rights and obligations associated with options contracts.
Styles of Options
Options can be categorized into two main styles: American options and
European options. Here's an overview of each style:
American Options:
American options provide the holder with the right to exercise the
option at any time before its expiration date, or on the expiration date itself.
The flexibility of American options allows the holder to choose the most
favorable time to exercise the option, depending on market conditions.
American options are commonly traded for equities and indices. The
majority of options traded on U.S. exchanges are of the American style.
European Options:
It's worth noting that the exercise style of options can vary depending
on the underlying asset and the market in which they are traded. In the
Indian market, for example, all equities and index options are exercised as
European options. Weekly options in India expire on Thursdays, while
monthly options expire on the final Thursday of each month.
Uses of options
Investors and traders utilise options primarily for two reasons:
1. Speculation
2. Hedging
Speculation:
Speculation is the practise of buying and selling stocks for short periods
of time in order to outperform long-term investors. Speculators take risks in
anticipation of future market movement in the hope of making large
rewards that exceed their risk. Speculators seek to benefit by forecasting the
price movement of a securities in the near future.
Because the option is an incredibly versatile trading tool, speculators
never fall behind in using its adaptability. The main advantage of trading
options is that you are not limited to benefitting from rising market moves.
You can earn even if the market is heading downward or sideways.
Option trading allows you to make a lot of money rapidly. However, if
your estimate is inaccurate, you might lose a large quantity of money. If you
are an option buyer, you must precisely estimate not just the direction of the
security's price movement, but also its magnitude and timing. To succeed,
you must properly predict whether the price will go up or decrease, as well
as how much it will vary over time.
The finest component of option speculating is the use of leverage. A
single contract might provide you ownership over hundreds of shares. On
the other hand, this is why it is dangerous too. A considerable movement is
required for the security to produce a profit.
For instance, if you wanted to acquire stocks in firm ABC at the current
share price of Rs. 100 and you had ₹1 lakh to invest, you could buy 1000
shares. You might sell the stock and make a profit of ₹10,000 (10% return
on your initial investment) if the stock price increases by ₹10.
On the other hand, your profit might have been far bigger if you had
used leverage to purchase the stock option. You may purchase 20,000
quantities of call option on the aforementioned stock with a strike price of
₹100 for each option, allowing you to purchase 2,000 shares of stock
(taking a lot size of 1,000 shares into account). You may use your option to
acquire shares at ₹50 and then immediately sell them for ₹60 if the price
increases to ₹110. Your profit in this scenario would be ₹2,00,000. The
return on your initial investment of Rs. 1 lakh would have been 100% this
time.
That is the power of leverage. When employing options, a trader may
trade with little capital and control more shares with a lower investment.
However, if your guess is wrong, you might lose a lot of money. To succeed
in option trading, you must make very precise stock movement predictions.
Hedging:
People use options as a secondary way to hedge their assets. It is a great
investment hedging tool. This option is comparable to an insurance policy.
Unlike our vehicle or house, we insure our assets to protect against
unforeseen disasters; our portfolios may also be protected against a
downturn. If you are dubious about your stock picks, you should either
hedge your position or avoid from investing. Options are routinely used by
large financial institutions to safeguard their interests. Individual investors
might benefit from it as well. Assume you want to invest in the chemical
industry as a result of the Chinese industrial crisis in order to profit from the
stock's rise. However, you also want to keep your losses to a minimum.
Therefore, buying options allows you to cost-effectively reduce the
downside risk while still taking full advantage of the upward movement.
Let's look at an illustration of how options-based hedging works to
control portfolio risk. Consider that you have 1000 shares of the stock ABC
and are concerned about a decline in value. Therefore, you want to use
options to hedge your portfolio. If you wish to sell that stock at the
specified strike price regardless of how much the market price of the stock
declines, you could purchase a put option on it. As a result, by paying a
premium, you have protected yourself from any more losses below the
strike price. This is how using this conservative method; you can reduce
your potential market losses.
SOME TERMINOLOGIES
The realms of investing and trading are packed with numerous
sophisticated jargons to give the impression that only professionals or
specialists can handle equities. Despite their frightening and confusing look,
they are only a few simple ideas expressed creatively. Given the unique
nature of options trading within the financial business, it is important to
become familiar with the language used in options trading. Before
beginning to trade options, it is critical to understand and be comfortable
with the terminology. In following portions of the book, the terminology
will be discussed one at a time.
Option premium:
The option premium is the fee that an options buyer pays to an options
seller in exchange for the right to purchase (in the case of a call option) or
sell (in the case of a put option) an underlying asset at a certain price (strike
price) within a specified time period. on other terms, the option premium is
the price of an option contract on the open market. The premium is
basically the option's cost, and it is decided by a variety of criteria,
including the underlying asset's current price, the strike price, the time to
expiry, and the projected volatility of the underlying asset. The premiums
for Out-Of-The-Money (OTM) options are made up entirely of extrinsic
value, while those for In-The-Money (ITM) options include intrinsic as well
as extrinsic value.
The premium may be thought of as insurance since it protects the buyer
from negative fluctuations in the price of the underlying asset. The seller,
on the other hand, receives the premium and bears the risk that the buyer
would exercise the option, resulting in a loss for the seller.
Lot size:
In general, lot size refers to the quantity of an item purchased for
delivery on a given date. A lot size is the number of stocks purchased in a
single trading transaction. A lot is the smallest number of stocks that may
be acquired or sold in an options trading transaction. SEBI (Securities and
Exchange Board of India) determines the lot size for F&O traders. It
regulates market price quotations by using lot size. Because the lot size is
fixed, traders are constantly aware of the cost of each unit. There will be no
price standardisation or bulk uniformity if no specified lots are used.
To better understand lot size, consider the following example.
A lot for ITC is made up of 1,600 shares. As a result, traders may only
buy it in multiples of 1,600. The value of the options contract is determined
by the product of the number of units and their respective prices. As a
consequence, if the ITC option price is 10 and a 1,600-lot amount is
purchased, the transaction is worth 10X1,600, or ₹16,000.
SEBI determines the lot size for each stock and index that is allowed for
derivative trading. It is crucial to recognise that lot sizes vary. Shares come
in a variety of lot sizes.
Intrinsic value:
Strike price:
The strike price, also known as the exercise price, is the price at which
the holder of an option can purchase or sell the underlying asset before or
on the expiration date of the option, depending on the kind of option. A call
option's strike price is the amount at which the holder has the right but not
the obligation to buy the underlying asset. The strike price of a put option is
the price at which the holder has the right but not the obligation to sell the
underlying asset.
A variety of factors, including the strike price, affect the intrinsic value
of an option, which is the difference between the current market price of the
underlying asset and the strike price. If the option is in-the-money (ITM),
suggesting that it has intrinsic value, the option buyer might exercise it to
profit. If the option was out-of-the-money (OTM), the buyer would not
exercise it since it has no intrinsic value and would result in a loss.
The strike price is often specified when the option is issued, and it is
one of the elements that determines the option's premium, along with the
current market price of the underlying asset, the time to expiry, and the
predicted volatility of the underlying asset.
Spot price:
The word "spot price" refers to the asset's current market value at the
time of the trade, such as the price of a commodity or financial instrument.
The spot price, as opposed to the future price, is the price at which an asset
can be acquired or sold for delivery at a later date.
In the context of equities, for example, the spot price of SBIN is the
current market price of SBI share price that may be purchased or sold for
immediate delivery, in contrast to a futures price, which is the price at
which the stock can be bought or sold for delivery at a future date.
Numerous factors, including supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical
happenings, changes in interest rates or currency rates, and the overall state
of the economy, can all have an influence on spot pricing. Spot pricing may
be used as a benchmark or point of reference to determine the worth of
other financial instruments or contracts on occasion.
Moneyness:
Moneyness is the current price of an underlying asset in relation to the
strike price of a derivative contract. It exposes the intrinsic value of a
particular choice in the present. It notifies the option buyer whether or not
exercising the contract will result in a profit or loss. Moneyness is classified
into three categories based on where the spot price is in reference to the
strike price. As an example:
ITM (In-The-Money): If the option has a positive intrinsic value and the
contract is set to expire today, it is referred to be an In-The-Money or ITM
option. It is referred to be an ITM option for a call option if the underlying
price is above the strike price, and a put option if the underlying price is
below the strike price.
Open interest:
Open interest refers to the total number of contracts for a certain futures
or options contract that are still open and have not yet been resolved by
delivery, offset, or expiration. In other words, it represents all open
contracts that have yet to be closed or completed. Open interest is a helpful
statistic for determining the degree of activity and liquidity in a certain
futures or options market. It may provide traders and analysts with insights
on market mood and trends, as well as assist them evaluate the level of
interest in a certain asset or contract.
When numerous market players are actively trading an asset or contract,
it has a high open interest. This can increase liquidity while also making it
easier for traders to initiate and exit positions. Conversely, low open interest
may indicate that there is less interest in the asset or contract, making it
more difficult to find counterparties to trade with and potentially leading to
larger bid-ask spreads and less attractive pricing.
Option chain:
A table or matrix that shows all available options for a certain
underlying asset, such as a stock, index, or commodity, is known as an
option chain. It gives a detailed breakdown of the various options contracts
available for that asset, including strike prices, expiration dates, and option
premiums. Option chains often comprise information such as the underlying
asset's symbol or ticker, the date of the option contract, the option type (call
or put), the strike price, the option premium or price, and the option's
implied volatility. Other information, such as open interest and volume for
each option contract, may also be included.
Option chains are a significant tool for options traders and investors due
to their ability to quickly compare and analyse various options contracts
based on characteristics such as strike price, expiration date, and implied
volatility. Use these tools to identify potential trading opportunities, balance
risk and return, and develop trading strategies.
Option chains are available on the majority of financial and trading
platforms. As new options contracts are issued and existing contracts expire
or are settled, these chains are updated in real time. The option chain is
provided free of charge by the National Stock Exchange (NSE), however
users must refresh the page to obtain real-time data.
Time Decay:
Time decay, also known as theta decay, is the progressive decrease in
the value of an option contract as its expiration date approaches. It indicates
how rapidly the extrinsic value or time value of an option depreciates as the
option approaches its expiration date. Time decay happens because options
have a finite lifespan, and as the expiry date approaches, there is less time
for the underlying asset to move in a positive direction for the option to be
lucrative. This decrease in time to expiry decreases the amount of time
value left in the option, lowering the option's total value.
The rate of time decay is affected by the time till expiry, implied
volatility, strike price, and current value of the underlying asset. Options
with more time left before expiry frequently have a higher time value and,
as a result, a slower rate of time decay, whereas options with less time
remaining before expiration have a lower time value and a quicker rate of
decay.
Time decay is an essential issue for options traders to grasp since it
affects the profitability of options positions as well as trade timing. The
impact of time decay on positions must be addressed when traders develop
trading strategies in order to profit from a change in the underlying asset's
price.
Volatility:
Volatility means how much a price changes over time. It helps us
understand how risky or uncertain an investment is. We measure volatility
by looking at how much an investment's price has gone up and down in the
past. If volatility is low, it means the price is more stable and won't change a
lot. But if volatility is high, the price is more likely to go up or down
quickly.
There are many things that can cause volatility, like changes in how
people think about the market, the economy, or important events happening
around the world. Volatility can be both good and bad for investors. It can
be risky because it's hard to predict what will happen, but it can also create
opportunities to make money.
Investors and traders use volatility to understand how much risk there is
and to make trading plans. They look at volatility to figure out how risky an
investment is. They might also use it to find times when the price is low and
buy, and times when it's high and sell.
There are two types of volatility: historical and implied. Historical
volatility looks at how the price has changed in the past. Implied volatility
(IV) tries to predict how much the price might change in the near future.
Legs:
In options trading, the term "legs" means the different parts of a strategy
that uses multiple options contracts. For example, when you do a spread
strategy, you buy one call option with a lower price and sell another call
option with a higher price. This strategy has two legs: buying the cheaper
call option is one leg, and selling the more expensive call option is the other
leg.
Another strategy is called a straddle. It involves buying both a call
option and a put option with the same price and expiration date for a
particular asset. This strategy also has two legs: buying the call option is
one leg, and buying the put option is the other leg.
By looking at the legs of a strategy separately, traders can quickly
understand the possible risks and rewards. They can make changes to their
investments as needed to get the desired outcome.
Spread:
A spread is a multi-leg options strategy that includes simultaneously
buying and selling two or more options contracts on the same underlying
asset. A spread is employed to possibly improve a trader's potential profits
while lowering their risk exposure.
Options spreads can take several forms, including:
Vertical spreads: These include the purchase and sale of option
contracts with the same expiration date but differing strike prices. A bullish
vertical spread is formed by purchasing a lower strike price call option and
selling a higher strike price call option, whereas a bearish vertical spread is
formed by purchasing a higher strike price put option and selling a lower
strike price put option.
Horizontal spread: This is the purchase and sale of option contracts
with the same strike price but separate expiration dates. A horizontal spread
can be used to profit from differences in implied volatility across options
contracts with different expiry dates.
Diagonal spread: This involves buying and selling options contracts
with different strike prices and expiration dates. A diagonal spread can be
used to create a risk/reward profile tailored to the trader's specific
objectives.
OPTION GREEKS
Option Greeks are a set of elements that help us understand the different
risks involved in trading options. They are named after Greek symbols and
are important for option traders. The Greeks, like Delta, Vega, and Theta, are
used to figure out how risky a portfolio is. They help traders calculate the
potential profit or loss of a trade when the price of the underlying asset
changes, which helps them manage risk.
The Greeks measure how sensitive the price of an option is to different
factors that affect its value. The Black Scholes Model is a popular
mathematical model used to price options.
There are five main Option Greeks: Delta, Gamma, Vega, Theta, and
Rho. Each Greek is sensitive to different parameters and helps calculate the
price of an option. In the upcoming parts of this book, we will learn more
about each of these Greeks and how they work.
Delta
Among all the Greeks used by options traders, Delta is the most common
one. Delta measures how quickly the price of an option changes when the
price of the underlying asset moves. It tells us how sensitive the option price
is to changes in the stock price.
If the market goes up or down by 1 point, Delta measures how much the
option premium will change. For both call and put options with the same
strike price, we calculate Delta separately. Call options have a positive Delta
value, while put options have a negative Delta value. The value of Delta for
call options ranges from 0 to 1, while the value for put options ranges from
-1 to 0.
Let's use an example to better understand the Greek Delta. Assume that
the current market price of a stock, let's say XYZ, is ₹100. The table below
shows the various Delta values for call options. The values in the table are
speculative. It is prepared purely as an example.
The values of Delta for call options are higher for in-the-money (ITM)
strikes than out-of-the-money (OTM) strikes, according to the above table.
Consider an ITM option with a strike price of 90. The delta is worth 0.70
rupees, and the premium is 15. In other words, if the price of the underlying,
XYZ, goes to ₹101, the new premium of the 90 strike will increase to
₹15.70 (₹15.00 + 0.70), taking other aspects into consideration. On the
contrary, the option price will instead drop to ₹14.30 if the stock price drops
to ₹99. (₹15.00 – 0.70).
Take yet another put option example for the same stock. At various strike
prices, the accompanying table includes possible values for the option price
and delta. In this case, the ITM put option's Delta value bears move values,
but it does so negatively. It indicates the Delta has a negative co-relation
with option premium for put options. It is evident from the table that option
prices are more sensitive to price at ITM strikes than at OTM strikes.
For demonstration purposes, we'll use the same strike price, 90, which is
now an OTM option. It states that the premium is ₹3.00 and that the Delta is
just ₹0.30. According to the definition of Delta, if the stock price rises to
₹101, the price of the ₹90 strike will reduce by ₹0.30 and the new price will
be ₹2.70. (₹3.00 – 0.30). But, if the underlying price drops to ₹99, the
option price will rise by ₹0.30.
Also, it can be seen from the aforementioned table that the value of Delta
for a call option is almost 0.50 for at-the-money (ATM) options, less than
0.50 for out-of-the-money (OTM) options, and greater than 0.50 for in-the-
money (ITM) options. The value of a put option, on the other hand, is - 0.50
for ATM strikes, larger than - 0.50 for ITM strikes, and less than - 0.50 for
OTM strikes. The graph below will give you an idea of how the Delta values
for call and put options change depending on the spot price.
Gamma
The option Greek gamma is the rate of change of Greek Delta. A call
option's gamma, which is always reported in percentage terms, shows how
the delta changes as the underlying asset moves by one point. Its basic
definition is the rate of change of Delta. Gamma can be thought of as
acceleration if Delta is speed at which the option premium changes. It serves
as a gauge for the stability of Delta.
Let's use an illustration;
The gamma values are influenced by the proximity of the strike prices
and the expiration time. When comparing at-the-money options to out-of-
the-money and in-the-money options, the value is significant for at-the-
money options and gradually declines. In addition, gamma value is greater
for contracts with near term expiration and decreases for those with far term
expiration. The accompanying graph demonstrates the relation among the
gamma value, strike price and time to expiry.
Vega
Vega is the change in option price for every 1% change in implied
volatility (IV). And implied volatility is the market's prediction of a potential
movement in the price of an asset. Vega affects time value but not the
intrinsic value of the option. Implied volatility and it are positively
correlated. This implies that Vega rises in parallel with an increase in the
expected volatility of a security. Also, whereas the value of Vega is negative
for short option positions, it is positive for long option positions. The table
that follows demonstrates how implied volatility and consequently the
option price affect Vega value.
Moreover, unlike Gamma, the Greek Vega option's value peaks for at-
the-money options while steadily decreasing for both in-the-money and out-
of-the-money options. However, the value of Vega is also influenced by the
period of expiration. The Vega has more value for long-term expiry than for
short-term expiry. To better understand their relationship, look at the chart
below.
Theta
Even while all other factors remain constant until the contract's maturity,
the price of an option depreciates. Theta is the measure of how much an
option's value declines. Hence, the Greek Theta is the amount of decline in
call and put option prices for a change of one day in the maturity time. It is
also known as time decay and is expressed as a negative number. Due to its
negative value, theta, also known as time decay, is the number one enemy of
option buyers. Instead, it is the best buddy of option writers.
An at-the-money option premium decay is displayed in the graph above
with more than three months to maturity. When ₹4 declined for the
following 30 days while other factors remained constant, the option value
only depreciated by ₹3 from 90 to 60 days. The value of the premium
decline rate for the final 30 days before expiration drops to zero from ₹11.
As the time value nears its expiration, it falls off more quickly. This
sensation is comparable to the hot summer sun on an ice cube. The temporal
value of an option diminishes with each passing second. Moreover, the loss
of time value happens more quickly close to maturation.
The value of Theta also relies on the strike price. Theta has a high time
value for at-the-money strikes, but it has a lower value for in-the-money and
out-of-the-money strike prices. This indicates that OTM options are least
sensitive to Theta value while ATM options are more sensitive to time value
decay than ITM options. However, keep in mind that Theta's value is always
negative.
Rho
Rho is an option Greek that measures how an option's price changes
when there are changes in interest rates. It tells us the expected price change
of an option for a 1% increase in interest rates. Rho is usually positive for
call options, which means the price of the option will go up when interest
rates rise. On the other hand, Rho is often negative for put options,
indicating that the price of the option will decrease when interest rates go up.
This relationship exists because interest rates affect the cost of carrying
an asset over time. The cost of carry includes things like interest rates,
storage costs, and insurance fees. When interest rates go up, the cost of
carrying an asset also increases, which can lead to higher prices for the
underlying asset. As a result, call options on the underlying asset may
become more expensive.
It's important to note that Rho is usually only meaningful for longer-term
options because short-term interest rate changes don't have a significant
impact on option prices. Longer-term options that are "in the money" are
more sensitive to changes in interest rates. Short-term options are less
affected because interest rates don't fluctuate frequently. However, for long-
term options, the cost of carrying can have a big impact on their value.
It's worth mentioning that Rho is not always a major factor in option
pricing, especially for options on stocks. This is because interest rates often
have a smaller effect on stock prices compared to other factors like company
earnings, market sentiment, and overall economic conditions. However, Rho
can be more important for options on assets that are sensitive to interest
rates, such as bonds or currencies.
OPTION CHAIN ANALYSIS
What is open interest?
Open interest refers to the total number of options or futures contracts that are still
active and have not been closed, expired, or exercised. It shows how many contracts
are currently being traded. Open interest is also sometimes abbreviated as OI.
When a buyer and a seller come together to open a new contract, the open interest
increases by one contract. On the other hand, if both the buyer and the seller close
their contract position, the open interest decreases by one contract.
However, if a buyer or a seller transfers their position to another buyer or seller,
the open interest does not change.
In summary, open interest tells us how many contracts are still active and being
traded, and it changes when new contracts are opened or existing contracts are closed.
It appears that the concept of open is simple but puzzling. Don't worry; the
following example will clear up any confusion you may have regarding open interest.
Open Change
Day Activity
Interest in OI
‘A’ buys 1 option and ‘B’ sells 1 option
Day1 1 1
contract
‘C’ buys 3 options and ‘D’ sells 3 option
Day2 4 3
contracts
‘A’ sells his 1 option and ‘D’ buys 1 option
Day3 3 -1
contract
‘E’ buys 3 options from ‘C’, who sells his 3
Day4 3 0
option contracts
The table above depicts, both "A" and "B" establish fresh positions on the first
day, resulting in the creation of one open interest. In other words, "B" writes a
contract, and "A" purchases it. Both 'C' and 'D' created three additional positions on
the second day. As a result, open interest climbs to four contracts, and the change in
open interest is three (3 new positions established today). Look at the trades on the
third day; 'A' and 'D' both squared off their previous holdings. As a result, open
interest will be reduced by one contract. Finally, on the fourth day, ‘C’ leaves from his
holding by transferring all his three number of contracts to a new trader, ‘E’. As a
result, there will be no change in open interest, and the total outstanding open interest
will stay the same, i.e. three contracts.
What is volume?
Volume is the total number of shares or contracts traded during a single trading
session. Volume simply refers to the quantity of transactions. It also displays how
active an option or futures contract is. Volume is occasionally used by traders to
gauge the strength of a price shift. More volume in the derivative contract suggests
more liquidity. It means that there are enough buyers and sellers in the market. Before
making any trading choice in the near term, it is usually essential to examine the
contract's liquidity.
Anyway, volume appears to be very straightforward, right? Please be patient!
Most new traders get confused by open interest and volume. Let we first explain this
topic. Look at the analogous scenario below –
Open
Day Activity Volume
Interest
‘A’ buys 1 option and ‘B’ sells 1 option
Day1 1 1
contract
‘C’ buys 3 options and ‘D’ sells 3 option
Day2 4 4
contracts
‘A’ sells his 1 option and ‘D’ buys 1 option
Day3 3 5
contract
‘E’ buys 3 options from ‘C’, who sells his 3
Day4 3 8
option contracts
At first, both 'A' and 'B' establish a new position, and so open interest and volume
become one. Similarly, on the second day, 'C' and 'D' make additional deals, bringing
total open interest and volume to four. On the third day, both 'A' and 'D' square off
their previous positions, reducing open interest to three. However, since transactions
occur between them, the total volume equals five. Finally, 'C' exits the market by
selling three contracts to a new trader, 'E'. As a result, while open interest remains
constant, final volume increases to eight since three transactions occurred between
them.
Important lessons:
We have already covered open interest and volume with examples. The following
points will help you differentiate open interest with volume.
You studied open interest and volume in the previous chapter. It's time to examine
open interest in order to determine the current state of the market. It is a very useful
tool for determining how prices are moving. For a better approximation of the
derivative market's price movement, one should take into account data from both
futures and options contracts. As a result, we will first talk about how to understand
futures OI data, then options OI data, and lastly, how to combine them to determine
the market trend.
There is potential for price rise. More traders enter into long positions as the price
rises, increasing open interest. It suggests a bullish trend.
There is potential for price decline. More traders enter into short positions when
the price declines, increasing open interest. It suggests a bearish sentiment.
There is weakness in pushing the price higher. When prices rise, short sellers
believe that the price will rise further and quit their positions, which causes open
interest to decline. It denotes either a bullish reversal or short covering.
There is weakness in the price decline. When prices drop, buyers fear that the
price will fall further more and sell their positions, which reduces open interest. It
denotes a bearish reversal or long unwinding.
1. Rise in CE + Rise in OI
The rationale for raising the call premium is strong. More traders enter the trading
floor as the call premium rises, increasing the build-ups of open interest. It suggests a
build-up of long calls or bullish sentiment.
There is potential for falling the price of call premium. Open interest rises as
additional option sellers enter the market to implement trades and desire the price to
drop even further as the call option's premium decreases. It alludes to what is known
as short build-up or bearish sentiment.
There is resistance to raising the call price. When the call premium rises, the call
writers cover their positions out of fear of raising the price, which results in a decline
in open interest. It denotes call short covering or a bullish reversal.
There is a vulnerability in lowering the call premium. As the price of a call option
declines, buyers reduce their open interest because they decide to sell their positions
out of worry that the price will continue to fall. It signifies a bearish reversal or call
long unwinding.
It appears simple and engaging to analyse call open interest. Given that they are
identical, if you enjoyed it, you will love the interpretation of put open interest as
well. Let's look at it.
1. Increase in PE + Rise in OI
There is support for raising the put premium. More traders enter the trading floor
when the put premium rises, which results in a building of open interest. It indicates
put long build-ups or a bearish sentiment.
There is strength in falling the put premium lower. Open interest rises as more
option writers make trades and expect the price to continue falling as the put option's
premium decreases. It indicates put short build-up or bullish sentiment.
3. Increase in PE+ Reduction in OI
The upward movement of the put option price is weak. Put writers cover their
positions when the put premium rises out of a fear that the price will rise, which
reduces open interest. It alludes to put short covering or a bearish reversal.
There is weakness in lowering the put price. Put option buyers quit their positions
as the price of the option drops out of fear that it may fall even further, which reduces
open interest. It suggests a bullish reversal or put long unwinding.
The interpretation of open interest appears fantastic. To assess the total market
sentiment, we will now merge the call and put OI. Only the market sentiment will be
confirmed if both options reflect the same market emotion, such as bullish or bearish.
Did I confuse you? Not to worry! To avoid confusing you any further, let me blend
the two interpretations first. If you have any questions, the following example can
help you to understand them.
The price can be moved higher. The put writers simultaneously push the price
upward while the call buyers want the market to rise. It alludes to the bullish
sentiment.
The price can be moved down with some force. Put purchasers want the market to
decline, and call writers want the price to decline even further. It suggests a bearish
sentiment.
There is limited room for price movement in either direction. The put writers
support the price falling while the call writers prevent the price from rising. This is a
market that is completely range-bound or sideways.
There is less intensity in moving the price downward. The price does increase
because of put long unwinding, but the call writers suppress this increase. It
represents sideways market with a negative bias.
These five types of emotions are typically displayed by the market. Additionally,
the market can occasionally become quite volatile. A volatile market is one that has
abrupt price changes, which can go both up and down. Markets typically experience
this type of movement because of quick news events, such as elections, budget
sessions, and sudden announcements of significant government policies, among
others. An index called India VIX is used to measure the market's level of volatility.
Market volatility is anticipated to remain high if the index value is high, and vice
versa.
In this manner, the intraday market trend can be determined by examining futures
or options open interest. You can also predict the short-term trend if you routinely
monitor the OI building on a given security. When future and option data show a
bullish attitude, go for opening a long position; if both interpretations point to a
bearish emotion, open a short position. Avoid trading in a sideways market unless you
have a sound sideways market approach. It is sometimes better to wait for an
opportunity than to enter a bad trade.
Few Examples
The interpretation of open interest for futures and options appears to be quite
simple and exciting on paper. But is it really that simple on the market? Let's examine
a few instances. Real option chain data for several market conditions are shown here.
Example 1
It is a chain of Nifty options with a 2nd March 2023 expiration date and the
screenshot was taken during the market hour on 27th February 2023. At that moment,
the index's spot price was 17,310 (rounded off). To determine the direction of the
market, first consider the call OI, then the put OI, and lastly combine the two.
The call open interest
The call OI shows a significant drop in call premium and a significant increase in
open interest. According to OI interpretation principles, call option short build-ups
have occurred, which indicates a bearish sentiment.
The put open interest
On the other hand, open interests were simultaneously added to OTM put options
and put premium increases. Trading seems to have resulted in long positions via put
options. The ITM (In-The-Money) put options also exhibit outstanding short
coverage. Put long and short covering both point to a negative market outlook. Hence,
by combining call and put options, it can be predicted that the index would decline
soon, indicating that the market may continue to be quite bearish.
Example 2
The Nifty option chain shown below was also in effect on 29th September 2020,
when it was trading at 11,228 (rounded off). The information relates to OI building
for the index's 1st October expiration.
The call open interest
Examine the call option side initially. Both the open interest and call option price
have significantly increased. Nothing but extraordinary buying in the call option is
being done here. The volume indicates that option traders are diligently purchasing
options. If call options are being purchased, this indicates a bullish perspective.
The put open interest
Keep an eye on the put side right now as there are more open interests and a
declining option price. It looks that the put option traders have taken a short position
in the index. The huge volume in this instance also suggests that the writers of the put
are very active. As a result, traders of call and put options want the price of the Nifty
to increase. Massive short coverage in at-the-money and in-the-money call options
have also occurred, pushing the index higher. If no overnight breaking news
materialises, the index may therefore continue to trend strongly upward.
Example3:
You have seen the option chain for markets that are moving, or when market
sentiment is strongly bullish or bearish. The two option chains described in the
previous two examples belonged to the Nifty index. Now, let's look at a stock option
example. See the option chain data for ASHOKLEY below. Data was collected on
March 3, 2023, and it will expire on March 29, 2023. Even though there isn't a lot of
open interest build-up, attempt to comprehend the potential interpretations. Prior to
2021, the NSE option chain showed open interest in numbers of shares of that specific
security. Open interest is now displayed as number of contracts. If you want to view
the open interest in the quantity, you simply multiply it by the lot size, which is 5,000
for ASHOKLEY. This explains why the option chain for ASHOKLEY appears to
have sparse open interest building.
The call open interest indicates that writing occurred, and the put open interest
also indicates that put writers were active. Call writers will prevent price increases
and put sellers will prevent ASHOKLEY price declines. The stock is therefore
anticipated to move in a range-bound scenario for the upcoming trading sessions.
Foreign Institutional Investors (FII): Institutional investors who are based outside
of India and invest in the Indian stock market are known as FIIs. These investors
include mutual funds, pension funds, and hedge funds. FIIs are able to significantly
affect Indian markets by bringing in foreign cash. Regarding the sum of money, they
are permitted to invest in Indian debt and equity markets, there are a number of rules
and limitations.
Professional Traders (Pro traders): Pro traders are people or businesses who
conduct trading operations on the Indian stock market on a full-time basis. To make
trading judgements, they may employ a range of trading methodologies, including as
technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and quantitative analysis. Proprietary trading
companies, high-frequency traders, and algorithmic traders are a few examples of
professional traders.
It is worth mentioning that the FII, DII and Pro traders are the most sophisticated
market participants in India. They are competent and experienced, have strong
research teams, and plenty of trading capital. In essence, they make informed
decisions when trading. As a result, they frequently make money from the market.
The good news is that their data is publicly available and is closely monitored by
market participants as it can provide insights into investor sentiment and market
trends. It is generally believed that markets move in the direction that they perceive.
The market will remain bullish if they establish long holdings and become bearish if
they build short positions. Doesn't that sound great? What if you are aware of the
positions they are developing in the marketplace? It won't be simple for you to guess
the market's direction, though. Yes! You can determine the short-term trend by just
following them because they hold their positions for a limited number of trading
sessions much of the time. How do we find out about the positions they have taken is
the following question? Exactly this is what we'll be talking about in this section.
The sheet is complex and contains a lot of information. I'll explain it so that you
may comprehend it better. You can ignore the stock future & stock options' data since
you just want to determine the direction of the NIFTY & BANKNIFTY. If you
examine closely, DII has relatively little exposure to index options, hence the value of
their data is small. In addition, since clients are traders in addition to FII, DII, and Pro
traders, you can disregard their statistics. The majority of them are retail traders and
they are pitiful at market analysis. But the prediction will be more accurate if you
consider more facts. In any case, you'll be able to create a simpler sheet immediately.
Copy the Future Index Long and Future Index Short values for DII, FII, and Pro
from the downloaded sheet, then paste them into the calculation sheet as indicated in
the figure below to finish preparing the page. To maintain the sheet, the calculation
sheet must first be constructed.
The "Net" column lists the traders' net positions (DII, FII, & PRO). It is
determined by deducting the Future Index Short column from the Future Index Long
column. Positive net positions signify a long build-up by them, whilst negative net
positions suggest a short build-up. Positions in Index futures are determined in this
manner.
Now let's compute the positions taken by the major participants in the index
option market. Again, to do this, you must copy the Call Long, Put Long, Call Short,
and Put Short data of FII & Pro traders from the downloaded file, then paste it on the
calculation sheet.
On the preceding sheet, the Net Call is (Call Long - Call Short) and the Net Put is
(Put Long - Put Short), while the Net OI is just the total amount invested (Net Call –
Net Put). Once more, positive net positions suggest building up long bets, while
negative positions indicate building up short positions by FII and professional traders.
It is important to note right now that we cannot determine the market trend by
focusing solely on one-day positions. We must monitor the build-up of positions for at
least a few days. This means that you must regularly update and maintain a data sheet.
Look at the next couple of steps to maintain the sheet now.
Check out the information on the master sheet first. It comprises NIFTY &
BANKNIFTY closing prices as well as cumulative, expiry, 10 day, and daily positions
created by various market participants on Index futures and options. The various
components of the sheet will be covered later. Let's first update the spreadsheet. In
order to add a new row to the master sheet, copy the index futures and options data
from the computation sheet and paste it one at a time. Because the data in the
calculation sheet also contains a formula, remember to paste the data as "value" (paste
special as value). To obtain the combined positions, simply add the values of DII, FII,
and/or Pro traders to the index futures and index options columns.
Let's look at an example to better understand what the various values on the sheet
imply. The combined index futures position as of March 3, 2023 is -80027, which
means the major participants (DII, FII, and Pro) have combined a total short position
in the index futures of 80,027 contracts. Similar to this, as of March 3, 2023, they had
long positions totalling 93,246 contracts in index options, including all expiries. The
10 days net position represents their positions over the previous 10 days. It is derived
by deducting the position of 10 days ago from the position today. The upper sheet's
purple-coloured row indicates the spot that is 10 days earlier. Likewise, how daily
position is determined by subtracting yesterday's position from today's cumulative
position, expiry position is determined by subtracting last expiry day data from
today's data.
After a significant amount of more copy, paste, addition, and subtraction activity,
we have finally finished creating the master sheet. The master sheet is completed. In
order to forecast the general market direction, we will now focus to the analysis of
this data. Look at the daily open interest build-up for both index options and futures
first. If these pieces of information indicate that long holdings have been amassing
over the past few days, the market is likely to turn bullish soon. Conversely, short
positions suggest that the market may decline. Yet, it provides the appearance that
there is no clear direction among the major players and the indices is predicted to
trade in a range-bound zone if index future shows long build-up and index option
shows short build-up and vice versa.
For illustration, have a look at the open interest range from February 3rd to
February 13th, 2023, on the sheet below. At that time, traders made short bets in index
options while simultaneously accumulating long positions in index futures. The
market should decline, according to options traders, and the market should rise,
according to futures traders. Hence, throughout the course of ten trading sessions, the
NIFTY index fluctuates between 17,854 and 17,771 and the BANKNIFTY index
between 41,499 and 41,282.
The above screen displays the trading activity of the major players for one day
only, and we cannot gauge market sentiment based solely on one day data. In order to
assess the market trend, we must observe the position build-ups for at least a few
days. Therefore, we will maintain a sheet of their daily position once the data is
available on the NSE website.
Take a look at the positions established by the major players from July 18th to
August 17th, 2022. FII/FPIs are consistently taking long positions in the equity cash
market, while DIIs are trying to take small profits. However, FII/FPI long positions
are more aggressive than domestic investors' sell positions, resulting in a positive net
position figure. As a result, the Nifty has risen from 16,150 to 17,940 in the time
specified. That is the allure of watching the major players consolidate their positions.
Look at the table below to see the positions the major players created from 9
January 2023 to 9 February 2023. The market appeared to be falling because FII and
FPIs were selling the companies they had in their portfolios. Nonetheless, DIIs were
actively purchasing equities in the belief that excellent stocks were being purchased at
fantastic prices, which the market generally favours. Both buying and selling pressure
were present concurrently on the equities market. As a result, the index Nifty
remained stable between 18,101 and 17,893 during that time. In this manner, you can
forecast market trends by only examining the positions taken by the key firms.
We discussed how to identify market trends using major players' derivative and
cash market data in this section of the book. Although we examined the data
separately, it is always advisable to assess market sentiment by combining both data
sets. Rather than assessing the data individually, combining them provides a more
complete picture of the market.
Nevertheless, the interpretations are speculative, and the PCR range stated here is
not set in stone. The PCR range and interpretations can vary from trader to trader. Just
my prior trading experiences were used to inform the aforementioned interpretations.
Someone may have the right interpretation if their alternative interpretation yields
positive consequences.
Given an option premium and inputs 1, 2, 3, and 5, the volatility figure calculated
and it is referred to as Implied Volatility. The good news about IV is that it does not
represent historical volatility, but rather volatility anticipated by option traders. This
figure represents the annualised volatility forecasted by Options. This means that if
this figure is 20% and the stock on which we are trading options is trading at 100 then
the stock is expected to trade at 100 +/- 20%, or in the range of 80 to 120.
If you want to estimate the trading range for fewer days, say one month, you can
reduce the IV figure proportionally to represent the smaller part of the year.
Proportionate reduction means that if the rent for a year is ₹12,000, the rent for a
month will be ₹1,000. The difference in proportionate volatility reduction is that time
cannot be multiplied directly. Volatility can be scaled (apportioned) by multiplying or
dividing by the Square Root of time.
Assume there are 252 trading days in a year, you want to find the range for 30
trading days, and your IV is 20%.
30 days of IV reduction = 20% / Square Root (252) X Square Root (30)
= 20% / 15.9 X 5.5
= 6.9% ~ 7%
So, using this simple calculation, we can estimate that option traders are expecting
7% volatility. This means that for a 100 rupees stock, a trading range of 93 to 107 is
an expected range indicated by IV for the 30 trading days. This calculation is also
applicable to index. Instead of simply selling options with a range assumption based
on historical data, option writers can now sell higher strike call and lower strike put
options based on the range indicated by Expectation of future volatility during the
option's life.
1. The first assumption is based on price movements, which are the result
of traders legitimately buying and selling stock options for hedging
purposes. During the last few days, the index has moved closer to the strike
prices at which the option buyer suffers the greatest loss.
2. The second assumption is that option sellers, such as large institutions
that hedge large positions in their portfolios, will manipulate the market.
Because they are large institutions, they can manipulate index prices,
resulting in no obligation to fulfil contracts and thus hedging their payouts
to buyers.
Alternatively, as the strategy nears its end, different groups compete based on
purchasing power to drive prices towards a more profitable closing price.
When market makers reach a net positive position of call and put options at a
strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money, this is known as max
pain. Option sellers, on the other hand, may profit the most if they sell more options
than they buy, causing them to expire worthless.
The Maximum Pain Theory is a bit contentious. The theory's naysayers disagree
on whether the maximum pain behaviour of close stock prices is accidental or the
result of market manipulation. The latter reason raises more serious concerns about
market oversight.
Max Pain Calculation
To understand this, consider a simple example. For the sake of this example, I'll
assume the market has only three Nifty strikes available. I've taken note of the open
interest for both call and put options at each strike.
Strike Call Option OI Put Option OI
17900 1,41,963 1,33,103
18000 1,26,673 1,38,707
18100 1,00,174 58,663
Now, we can easily identify the point at which the market is likely to expire. We
have identified the combined loss that option writers would experience at various
expiry levels. According to the option pain theory, the market will expire at the point
where option sellers experience the least amount of pain i.e. the least amount of loss.
According to the table above, this point is 18000, where the combined loss is
around 2,00,62,600 which is less than the combined loss at 17900 and 18100.
That's all there is to the calculation. However, for the sake of simplicity, only three
strikes were considered in the example. However, there are numerous strikes for any
given underlying, particularly the Nifty. Calculations become cumbersome and
confusing, necessitating the use of a tool such as Excel.
As a result, real open interest build-ups of the Nifty option chain were calculated
on March 23rd, 2023 for the March 29th expiry. Only ten strike prices and strike
prices with 100 multiples are considered for simplicity. Take a look at the image
below.
It assumed that the market would expire at that point for all available strikes and
then computed the rupee value of the loss for CE and PE option writers. This number
is shown in the final column, titled "Total Pain." Once you've calculated the total pain,
you can simply identify the point at which the option writer loses the least amount of
money. This can be determined by plotting a 'bar graph' of total pain. The bar graph
would look something like this -
As you can see, the 17100 strike is where option writers would lose the least
money, hence in accordance with the theory of option pain, this is the strike where the
market for the March series is most likely to expire.
Now, how can you put this knowledge to use now that you've determined the
expiry level? Well, there are many applications for this knowledge. The majority of
traders identify the strikes they can write using this maximum threshold for pain. As
17100 is the anticipated expiration level in this scenario, one can choose to write call
options above 17100 or put options below 17100 and keep all of the premiums.
OPTION TRADING STRATEGIES
You should have a solid trading plan in place before you begin trading
options. There are numerous choice strategies accessible, as was previously
described. You need to be aware of your trading or investment goals in order
to choose the best strategy. Once you've determined your trading objectives,
pick a plan of action that will get you there. Investors who want to safeguard
themselves against potential losses on securities they already own will
choose a different approach than those who want to benefit from the greater
leverage that options might offer.
Option strategies can also be used, depending on the state of the market.
Very bullish or bearish, moderately bullish or bearish, and range-bound
market behaviour are all possible. At this point, I feel compelled to say that
options are a fantastic trading tool that can be used to create a variety of
strategies for any market situation. I covered a few strategies for each market
emotion in one of my prior book, "Option chain analysis: The CT scan of
derivative market." Those were fairly straightforward but effective
approaches. Here, I'll go over a few additional tactics with various legs to
choose from.
As you can see, selecting the best option strategy is crucial to success in
option trading. In this case, let me tell you that managing your holdings
when the market doesn't move in your favour is more crucial. As no one can
foresee market movement with 100% accuracy, managing deals that aren't in
your favour is even more important for long-term success. Option strategy
adjustments refer to the management of option positions when the market
moves counter to your perception of the direction. It gives option traders the
ability to turn a losing deal around and make a profit. The goal of option
strategy adjustment is to increase a strategy's potential for profit or to
recover money from a losing deal.
The two methods for making adjustments are as follows:
The figure shows that while the potential for profit is limitless, the
maximum loss is restricted to the premium paid. The sum of the strike price
and the premium paid, or the breakeven point, is ₹120/-. The trade will start
to make money if the stock price rises above the breakeven level.
Sell 41200PE
Premium: ₹225/- (rounded off)
Total credit: ₹225/-
Maximum profit: Total credit times lot size = 225 X 25 = ₹5,625/-
Maximum loss: Undefined
Breakeven point: Strike price – Premium received = 41,200 – 225 =
40,975
The payoff chart for this strategy shows that the highest profit you can
get is ₹5,625/-, which you will receive in full if the index expires above the
short strike level. Also, it demonstrates that you will make at least a profit
above 40,975, which serves as the strategy's breakeven mark. But, if the
index expires below it, you will lose money. If Bank Nifty keeps falling, the
loss can go indefinitely. You lose more money the further the index falls. As
previously said, writing options offers the possibility of both restricted profit
and unlimited loss.
Adjustments
Markets occasionally don't move in the direction you think they should.
Then, even when you are unable to generate a profit, you must manage your
positions such that you do not lose money. To achieve this and balance the
trading portfolio, you might need to create a few new positions. Adjustments
of option strategy are what this is known as, and trust me, if you don't know
how to fine-tune your positions, you can't be a good option trader. In any
case, I'll show you how to manage your trades in the event of such bad luck.
Given that you had an optimistic outlook on the market in this case, you
sold 41200PE for ₹225/-. Sadly, if market starts heading lower, your short
positions would result in loss. If you believe that the market may find
support at a lower level and reverse, you might consider rolling down
(closing your current trade and starting a new trade at a lower strike) your
positions in order to reduce the loss. What happens if the market doesn't turn
around and break a crucial support? It might drop any lower, at which point
your rolled position will start to lose money. Your initial trade resulted in a
loss that you have booked, and this new trade will result in more losses for
you. Is it not? Thus, maintain your current stance without changing it. Sell a
call option instead that has the same Delta value as the put option instead.
Consider that you began adjusting when the Bank Nifty tested the 41,200
mark, which would suggest that the sold-put option is now an ATM option.
You can sell a call option with the same strike and expiration because the
value of the Delta ATM option is almost equal to 0.50. Your current overall
position is now a short straddle strategy with a neutral Delta. Your holdings
will start making you money if the market turns around or consolidates at
that point.
Suppose,
The premium of 41,200PE has become ₹250/- and
The premium of 41,200CE is ₹250/-
Therefore,
Total premium received = 250 + 225 = ₹475/-
Lower breakeven point = 41,200 – 475 = 40,725
Upper breakeven point = 41,200 + 475 = 41,675
Maximum profit = 475 X 25 = ₹11,875/-
Now take a look at the updated payoff chart that is below. The new
breakeven threshold is 40,725, which is 250 points below the previous
breakeven point. But at the same time, you will acquire a breakeven
threshold on the upside also. Your maximum earning potential has now
increased to ₹11,875/-, which is a significant increase from your previous
profit potential of ₹5,625/-. But the index must expire at 41,200 levels for
you to realise the maximum profit. In the event that the market doesn't move
in the way you expect, this is how the naked option position can be
managed.
If the market doesn't move in your favour, this approach doesn't need to
be adjusted because your maximum loss is limited to ₹4,150/-. You can
short a put option at a lower level, as described in the call long technique, to
gain some premium. If you want to protect your capital in any other case,
you can set a stop-loss. If the index moves against your expected direction,
we will need to make adjustments to the strategy we will discuss next.
The payoff chart shows that if the index expires anyplace below 17,400,
your maximum profit will be ₹3,350/-. Above that price, your profit will
decrease, and at 17,467, the breakeven mark for this approach, your trade
will result in a loss. As you are aware, selling options has an unlimited risk
potential, and you will begin to lose money if the Nifty expires at a price
higher than 17,467.
Adjustments
In contrast to the earlier put short method covered in the section above,
you can change your call short position if the index begins to move in the
opposite direction of the one you predicted. You can manage your positions
by making some adjustments in this situation as well. Here, all you have to
do is sell a put option with a strike price of 17,400 for the same expiration to
execute a short straddle strategy. The fact that you can sell a put option at
any other strike prices now is important to note. Making a straddle while
modifying the strategy is not at all required. The significance of Delta is very
significant. You can choose a strike with a delta value that is nearly identical
to the original strike's current delta value. The adjusted approach may
occasionally turn into a short strangle or even an inverted short strangle in
order to achieve the main goal of making it a Delta neutral strategy. Take a
peek at the new strategy now.
Suppose,
The premium of 17400CE is ₹100/- and
The premium of 17400PE is ₹100/-
Therefore,
Total premium received = 100 + 67 = ₹167
Lower breakeven point = 17400 – 167 = 17,233
Upper breakeven point = 17400 + 167 = 17,567
Maximum profit = 167 X 50 = ₹8,350
The breakeven point has moved from 17,467 levels before adjustment to
17,567 levels as can be seen in the payoff chart above. But you will also
receive a lower breakeven point, which is at 17,233. Before, there was no
lower breakeven point. Moreover, the maximum profit potential has raised
from ₹3,350/- to ₹8,350/-. In case the market doesn't move in your favour,
you can change your loss-making trade into a successful one in this method.
Now, the topic of when to modify a plan of action can come up. When the
price will challenge your breakeven is the solution. In this situation, you
must execute a trade adjustment when the Nifty price reaches 17,467 or
higher. You will undoubtedly incur a loss if you close the deal at that point.
Your buffer on the upside will now be provided by the additional position.
You can make a significant profit if the market turns around after a certain
point and the contract expires around 17,400 level.
So, you might be wondering what would happen if the index continued
to rise. In that case, you must close the extra position by realising a profit
and open a new one at a higher level. By doing this, you will receive
additional premium and raise the upper breakeven point to a new high. In
this manner, you can turn a losing trade into a profit or greatly reduce the
loss.
OPTION STRATEGY FOR
MODERATELY BULLISH MARKET
Prices are growing in a market that is moderately positive, but at a
slower rate than in a market that is very bullish. Investors in this market are
typically optimistic about the future prospects of the economy, their sector,
or the specific asset they are trading, although they may also have a few
concerns or worries.
Traders may search for chances to purchase assets that have the potential
to increase in value in a moderately positive market, but they may do so
carefully and with a more conservative investing plan. Instead of waiting for
a significant increase, they can decide to capture some profits when the
market increases.
From a trader’s perspective, a market that is somewhat optimistic has a
firm support level beneath its current price and is predicted to see a small
price increase soon is called a moderately bullish market or a sideways
market with positive bias. More likely than decreasing is the possibility of
the security's price increasing.
In a market that is somewhat optimistic, traders must be aware of
possible dangers and have a clear trading strategy that takes into
consideration the specifics of the market. If the market turns more bearish or
more bullish, they might also need to modify their strategies. Several
strategies, like the following, are suitable for such market conditions.
A Bull Put Spread is an options trading strategy that involves selling put
options at a higher strike price and buying put options at a lower strike price.
Traders that are optimistic on the underlying asset and foresee an increase in
price or stability utilise this method.
Sell a Put Option: The trader sells a put option with a higher strike price
(generally ATM or OTM option), which indicates that if the option is
exercised, they are required to purchase the underlying asset at that price.
Purchase a Put Option: When a trader purchases a put option, they can
sell the underlying asset at a lower price if the option is exercised.
Net Credit: The trader obtains a net credit when they sell the put option
with the higher strike price and buy the put option with the lower strike
price, meaning that the premium from the sale of the higher strike put option
is more than the premium for the lower strike put option.
Maximum Profit: The net credit received represents the maximum profit.
This occurs when both put options expire worthless and the price of the
underlying asset is higher than the higher strike price at expiration.
Breakeven Point: The breakeven point is the short strike price minus the
net credit received. The trader will start making a profit if the price of the
underlying asset rises above this point.
The Bull Put Spread is a low-risk, low-reward trading technique that is
appropriate for traders who are moderately bullish on the underlying asset.
This method can be applied in a range of market situations, but it works best
when the price of the underlying asset is anticipated to stay constant or rise.
However, it carries risk, just like any trading methods, and should only be
employed by competent traders who are aware of the possible downsides.
You will understand the strategy well if you use an example. So that you
can picture the strategy, let me show you an option chain for such a market
perspective. This Bank of Baroda option chain was logged on February 2,
2021, at a stock price of ₹74. (rounded off). The chain displays various
options' component parts until the expiration on February 25, 2021.
The strategy:
Buy 70PE; Premium: ₹2.90/-
Sell 72PE; Premium: ₹3.90/- (Rounded off)
Total credit = 3.90 – 2.90 = ₹1.00/-
Maximum profit = Total premium collected times lot size = 1 X
11,700* = ₹11,700/- (*11,700 being the lot size of Bank of Baroda option
contract)
Maximum loss = (Width of spread – Total credit) times lot size = (2.00 –
1.00) X 11,700 = ₹11,700/-
Breakeven point = Short strike – Total credit = 72.00 – 1.00 = 71.00
The payoff chart for this approach will appear as follows at expiration.
When the stock expires at a price above ₹72/-, the aforementioned chart
predicts a maximum profit of ₹11,700/- and a maximum loss of ₹11,700/-.
This approach will begin to pay off if the stock trades above the 71 mark and
begins to lose below it. The breakeven point for this strategy is the stock
price of 71/-.
Adjustments
In the event that the stock doesn't move in the desired direction, there are
numerous modification strategies accessible. Many traders simply "roll
down," or close, their positions, using the same method but at a reduced cost.
Your loss will increase if the stock price drops much more. In doing so, you
would be contravening the adjustment ethos by recording a loss in the initial
deal. Adjustment's primary goal is to turn your lost trade into a gainful one.
And you would regret selling your earlier positions if the price turned
around.
The best course of action is to create an additional credit spread on the
opposing side in order to modify a bull put strategy. That signifies to lessen
your loss, perform a call credit spread. Just keep in mind to maintain the
spread the same on both sides. The call spread should be the same amount as
the put spread in our case, which is ₹2.00. By doing this, you reduce the
directional risk by putting the entire Delta value near to zero. If the stock
price drops to the breakeven level, or ₹71, you can create a call credit spread
by simultaneously selling 75CE and buying 77CE.
Let's suppose –
Sell a Call Option: The trader sells a call option with a higher strike
price, which means they are obligated to sell the underlying asset at that
price if the option is exercised.
Net Debit: The trader incurs a net debit when they purchase the lower
strike call option (usually ITM or ATM) and sell the higher strike call option
(usually OTM) since the premium for the lower strike call option was higher
than the premium for the higher strike call option.
Maximum Profit: The difference between the strike prices less the net
debit paid is the maximum profit. This happens when both call options are
exercised and the value of the underlying asset is higher than the higher
strike price at expiration.
Maximum Loss: The maximum loss is capped to the net debit that was
actually paid. This happens when both call options expire worthless and the
value of the underlying asset is below the lower strike price at expiration.
The strategy:
Buy 75CE; Premium: ₹4.50/-
Sell 80CE; Premium: ₹2.80/-
Total debit = 4.50 – 2.80 = ₹1.70/-
Maximum profit = (Width of spread – Net debit) times the lot size =
(5.00 – 1.70) X 11,700 = ₹38,610/-
Maximum loss = Net debit times lot size = 1.70 X 11,700 = ₹19,890/-
Breakeven point = Long call strike + Net debit = 75.00 + 1.70 = 76.70
The payoff chart shows that if the stock price rises over the short strike,
which is ₹80, a maximum profit of ₹38,610 can be realised. The profit is
limited if the stock expires above that price. If the price drops below the long
strike price of ₹75, you might lose up to ₹19,890/-. Your maximum loss is
also specified because it is a net debit approach. The strategy's breakeven
point is ₹76.70, below which your technique starts to lose money.
Adjustment
In contrast to the earlier strategies, this one can be altered if the stock
price starts to move against you. Also, you can build up a variety of
strategies to reduce your losses here. Yet the simplest approach to get some
more credit is to sell an additional call option. In this scenario, pick a strike
so that it transforms your debit strategy into a zero (or almost zero) debit
strategy. This indicates to choose a call option with a premium of about
₹1.70/-. Let us suppose, if the price of Bank of Baroda's shares drops to
₹70, the call option with a strike price of ₹76 will be worth a premium of
₹1.60/-.
If you look at the payoff chart right now, the maximum downside risk
has been greatly decreased from ₹19,890/- to just ₹1,700/- only.
Additionally, the breakeven point decreases to ₹75.10 from ₹76.70 before
adjustment. However, it results in a higher breakeven point of ₹80.90 and
lowers the maximum profit potential to ₹10,530/- only. In this case, it's
crucial for you to remember that protecting your cash should come first
when a prediction goes wrong, with profit afterwards. Only when there is
money in your trading account you do have a chance of recovering your
wealth. Every adjustment has certain advantages as well as disadvantages.
You might be wondering what would happen if the stock price started to
rise and challenged the upper breakeven point at this point. As you are
aware, everything is possible in the stock market. The possibility exists that
the stock will find support at the lower level and rebound from there. In that
instance, simply square off the newly created second short position while
modifying the strategy. By doing this, the call debit spread technique that
you first used will now be considered a strategy. Therefore, even if the
market doesn't work in your favour, you can still profit. At the very least,
you'll be able to protect your capital.
Sell a Call Option: If a call option with a sooner expiration date is sold,
the trader will be required to sell the underlying asset at the price specified in
the option if it is exercised.
Different Strike Prices: The two call options should have similar or
identical strike prices, but the premiums may vary based on the remaining
time until expiration.
Net Debit: The trader incurs a net debit by purchasing the call option
with the later expiration and selling the option with the earlier expiration.
Maximum Profit: The maximum profit is achieved when the price of the
underlying asset is at the strike price of the sold call option at the time of its
expiration. This is due to the fact that the bought call option keeps its value
and generates a profit while the sold call option expires worthless.
If you trade index options, you can also do so with weekly options. You
can sell the current week's call option and buy the next week's call option on
the same index, such as Nifty, Bank Nifty, or Fin Nifty.
We will use the identical Bank of Baroda option chain that was worked
out in the preceding techniques to better show the calendar spread strategy.
The stock may remain in this price range since the option chain suggests a
mildly bullish sentiment and because there is a moderate resistance at the
₹75.00 price level. Hence, if you want to choose a long call calendar spread,
you might use this strike price.
The strategy:
Sell 75CE (February series)
Premium: ₹4.50/-
Buy 75CE (March series)
Premium: ₹5.80/- (say)
Total debit = 5.80 – 4.5 = ₹1.30/-
Maximum profit = Maximum profit is realized if it expires at ₹75.00
but the exact amount is undefined
Maximum loss = Net debit times lot size = 1.30 X 11,700 = ₹15,210/-
When the stock price on the expiration date equals the strike price of the
call short option, the maximum profit is possible. Because the long call has
its greatest time value when the stock price reaches the strike price, this is
the point of greatest profit. Again, the price disparity between the two
options is at its biggest because the short call option expires worthless at
expiration. It is important to note that it is impossible to predict the precise
amount of the maximum profit because it depends on a number of elements,
including the volatility of the price of the long call option. So, the payoff
table above provides an approximation of the greatest earning possibilities.
Since this is a debit spread strategy, the maximum risk is equal to the
spread's cost, or the net debit amount. The money used to pay for the spread
is lost if the stock price abruptly deviates from the strike price, as the
difference between the two options approaches zero. Assume that if the
stock price drops significantly, the cost of both call options approaches zero
and their net difference equals zero. On the other hand, if the stock price
rises quickly, both calls go deep in the money, and their values eventually
equalise, there will be no net difference.
Two breakeven marks are shown on the payoff chart, one above and one
below the spread's strike price. The stock prices on the short call's expiration
date at which the long call's time value equals the strategy's actual cost are
theoretically the breakeven points. As there are numerous factors that affect
the time value of the long call, it is impossible to predict with certainty
where the breakeven point will be.
Adjustments
Due to the fact that calendar spreads have two breakeven points, you
must modify your strategy whenever the stock price approaches either the
upper or lower breakeven point. I’ll demonstrate each of the two adjustment
methods separately. Let me reiterate that there are other procedures to
modify a calendar spread in addition to these.
Adjustment 1
First of all, as you were developing your strategy, your attitude towards
the stock was either somewhat positive or neutral. Imagine that the stock
price starts to fall and puts your lower breakeven point in jeopardy. In any
case, pay close attention to the Greek values, especially the Delta at that
specific moment; if the Delta value of any option reaches a level of 0.30 to
0.35, it's time for a change. The long call option will invite some loss at that
point, while the short call option will provide some profit. In order to receive
more credit, close the short position and take a profit off the table before
opening a new short position close to the stock price. Theta decay will be
minimal because the long call option is a far month contract, allowing you to
maintain the long position. If the stock price declines any lower, one can
keep tweaking the strategy by following the same processes. It is not advised
to change the strategy more than twice due to the growing gap between the
Delta values of two strikes. As the technique was initially Delta neutral, the
greater the difference between them, the more unbalanced the strategy will
become, and if the stock price were to reverse for whatever reason, you
might sustain a significant loss.
Consider closing the 75CE sold option for ₹3.20 and selling the 73CE at
the same expiration for further credit. Suppose, the contract premium is
₹4.20. Thus, the sold option will have a booked profit of ₹1.30 (4.50 –
3.20). The chart below will now represent the adjusted payment.
The lower breakeven mark, which was previously at ₹72.00, has been
moved to around ₹67.20. This is as a result of receiving the extra credit from
selling 73CE. At ₹16,640, the maximum profit potential has now increased.
Moreover, the upper breakeven mark has decreased from ₹78.00 to ₹75.70.
In the event that the stock begins to decline, you can still manage your plan.
Now, I'll let you know when the stock price approaches the higher breakeven
point.
Adjustment 2
Let's say the stock price is approaching the upper breakeven point, and
you believe it will continue to rise. It's appropriate to consider making
modifications at that point, when both call options are in-the-money and the
value of Delta is between 0.65 and 0.70. You must manage your positions so
that losing trades are turned into winning ones since you run the risk of
losing a lot of money if the stock rises above ₹78.00. At a price level of
₹78.00, a long option with a March expiration will result in some profit, but
a short option with a February expiration will result in some loss. Hence,
you must sell a call option around the stock price for the March series (say
77CE) and terminate the short position (75CE Feb. series) by registering
some loss. Choose the strike price so that the positions' mark to market
(MTM) will be close to zero. Your total positions now represent a bull call
spread for the stock, which means the upside risk is capped.
Suppose,
You have closed the 75CE (short position) at ₹6/-
The price of 75CE (long position) is ₹7.40/-
Price of 77CE (Mar. series) is ₹6.50/-
Therefore,
Loss booked = 4.50 – 6.00 = – ₹1.50/- per share
Unrealized profit = 7.40 – 5.80 = ₹1.60/- per share
MTM of the strategy = 1.60 – 1.50 = ₹0.10/- per share
The benefit of calendar spread adjustment with bull call spread is that,
unlike in the past when it was at ₹78.00, there is no breakeven point on the
upside. This means that if the stock price rises further, you would be able to
make the maximum profit of ₹14,040/-. But at the same time, the lower
breakeven point has moved to ₹75.80. However, the maximum risk potential
has been decreased from a maximum loss of ₹15,210/- to only ₹9,360/-. If
you believe the stock price will continue to rise, this is among the greatest
calendar spread adjustment strategies.
OPTION STRATEGY FOR
MODERATELY BEARISH MARKET
A moderately bearish market is a market where prices are falling, but at a
slower pace than in a strongly bearish market. It is a market where investors
may still have some hope or optimism despite having a generally pessimistic
assessment on the future prospects of the economy, the sector, or the specific
asset they are trading.
Prices are declining in a market that is somewhat negative, but at a
slower rate than in a market that is very bearish. It is a market where
investors may still have some hope or optimism despite having a generally
pessimistic assessment on the future prospects of the economy, the sector, or
the specific asset they are trading.
In a market that is only mildly negative, investors may hunt for chances
to sell assets that will probably fall further, but they may proceed carefully
and with a more conservative trading approach. In order to benefit from the
declining prices, they can also try to hang onto cash or short-sell assets.
Some of the characteristics of a moderately bearish market may include
modest price declines, moderate trading volume, and a mix of negative and
positive economic indicators. The market may experience some short-term
rallies or pullbacks, but overall, the trend is downwards. So to speak, as
opposed to a market that is slightly positive, it is range-bound and has a
negative tilt. In this type of market situation, the market may drop at any
time. In a sideways or downward market, the following strategies might be
used:
The Bear Call Spread is an options trading strategy in which a call option
with a lower strike price is sold and a call option with a higher strike price is
simultaneously purchased. Traders that are negative on the underlying asset
and anticipate a decline in price employ this approach.
Here's how the Bear Call Spread works:
Sell a Call Option: If the option is exercised, the trader must sell the
underlying asset at the lower strike price specified in the call option they are
selling.
Expiration Date: The expiration dates for both call options should be the
same.
Net Credit: By selling the lower strike call option and buying the higher
strike call option, the trader collects a net credit (i.e., the premium collected
from selling the lower strike call option is greater than the premium paid for
buying the higher strike call option).
Breakeven Point: The breakeven point is the short strike price plus the
net credit collected. The trader will start making a profit if the price of the
underlying asset falls below this point.
The strategy
You can sell 1040CE since it has a sizable amount of open interest,
which acts as a powerful resistance, because the option chain suggests that
the stock price of INDUSINDBK may decline in the near future. For the
bear call spread to be built, you must simultaneously purchase 1100CE.
Sell 1040CE; Premium: ₹44/- (rounded off)
Buy 1100CE; Premium: ₹25/-
Net credit = 44.00 – 25.00 = ₹19/-
Maximum profit = Total premium collected times lot size = 19.00 X
900 = ₹17,100/-
Maximum loss = (Width of spread – Total credit) times lot size = (60.00
– 19.00) X 900 = ₹36,900/-
Breakeven point = Short strike + Total credit = 1,040 + 19 = 1,059
If the stock expires anyplace below the stock price of ₹1,040, or the sold
strike, this method yields a maximum profit of ₹17,100/-. Above that price,
the likelihood of profit decreases, and the strategy's breakeven point is at
₹1,059. Before reaching breakeven, the approach will begin allowing losses
up to a maximum of ₹36,900/-. It is important to note at this time that the
reward to risk ratio is greater than 1:2 and therefore starting the approach is
not advised. But I'm merely demonstrating the trade to you for illustrative
purposes. But you can make the trade if you are more certain about the
downward movement.
Adjustment
As no one can forecast market movement with 100 percent accuracy, you
must take precautions if the stock price tries to move in the opposite
direction of what you projected. In that situation, you cannot remain
motionless with your hands folded. To convert your loss into profit, you
must do several actions. If the stock price crossed the breakeven point, you
must intervene and make changes. I'll demonstrate how to leverage your
holdings in this situation.
You must use a put option to create a credit spread if the stock price of
INDUSINDBK increases and crosses ₹1059 (the breakeven). Contrary to
bull put adjustments, you must keep the same spread on both sides. The
width of the put spread should be the same as the previous strategy's spread,
which was ₹60. You can purchase 980CE and sell 1040PE simultaneously.
Let’s Say,
Premium of 940PE is ₹9/- (Buy) &
Premium of 1000PE is ₹20/- (Sell)
Credit received = 20.00 – 9.00 = ₹11/-
Total credit in the modified strategy is = Credit of put spread + Credit of
call spread = 19.00 + 11.00 = ₹30/-
Lower breakeven = 1000 – 30 = 970
Upper breakeven = 1040 + 30 = 1070
Maximum profit = Total credit received times lot size = 30.00 X 900 =
₹27,000/-
Maximum loss = Difference between long option and short option less
credit received; times lot size = (60.00 – 30.00) X 900 = ₹27,000/-
If you closely examine the payoff, you will see that it is nothing more
than the payoff chart for a short iron condor approach. With some tweaking,
the strategy has now evolved into a short iron condor. The payoff indicates
that the breakeven point has changed from ₹1,059 to ₹1,070. On the
downside, though, you will also reach breakeven at ₹970. Prior to
modification, the greatest profit potential was just ₹17,100/-; now, it is
₹27,000/-. That is the key benefit of changing the strategy. Also, the
maximum risk of the approach has dropped from ₹36,900/- to just ₹27,000/-
as opposed to before the alteration. By opening a few more transactions, you
can also reduce your maximum loss while increasing your possible return.
The strategy
Buy 1020PE; Premium: ₹45/- (rounded off)
Sell 960PE; Premium: ₹21/- (rounded off)
Total debit: 45.00 – 21.00 = ₹24/-
Maximum profit = (Width of spread – Net debit) times the lot size =
(60.00 – 24.00) X 900 = ₹32,400/-
Maximum loss = Net debit times lot size = 24.00 X 900 = ₹21,600/-
Breakeven point = Long put strike - Net debit = 1020 – 24 = 996
Adjustment
If the stock turns out to be bearish, the above method will produce a
respectable profit, and the risk to reward ratio is also acceptable. The
difference between the long and short options’ Delta in the original approach
is 0.20 if the long option has a Delta value of roughly 0.50 and the short
option has a value of roughly 0.30. This distinction will now serve as a
benchmark for determining when to modify the approach. Imagine the
difference has now decreased to half, or 0.10, suggesting that it is time to
intervene with the primary method of loss elimination. Let's say the stock
price at that time was ₹990. Although there are other options to prevent such
a negative move, the ideal one is to sell a put option in order to obtain some
extra credit. Selecting a put option results in a credit that is almost equal to
the debit of the initial strategy, bringing the overall value of Delta down to a
range of 0.20. Suppose that the premium for 980PE is 23/- rupees, or almost
the same as the net negative of the core strategy.
The customised strategy's payoff chart shows that the breakeven point
has moved much upward from its previous value of ₹996 to ₹1,019, and the
greatest part is that the maximum upside loss potential is limited to the
amount of the debit paid, or ₹900 only. However, if the share price of
INDUSINDBK drops below ₹921, the maximum risk is unknown. The
maximum profit potential was ₹32,400 before adjustment; it is now
₹35,100. Only when the option contract expires between the stock price
range of ₹960 and ₹80 can the maximum profit be realised. In the event that
the bear put spread doesn't go your way, this is one of the finest adjusting
strategies to use.
Buy a Put Option: The trader buys a put option with a longer-term
expiration date, which gives them the right to sell the underlying asset at a
specific price if the option is exercised.
Sell a Put Option: The trader sells a put option with a shorter expiration
date. If the option is exercised, they are then required to purchase the
underlying asset at that price.
Underlying Asset: The underlying asset for both put options should be
the same.
Net Debit: The trader costs a net debit when they buy the longer-term put
option and sell the shorter-term put option since the premium for the longer-
term put option was higher than the premium for the shorter-term put option.
Maximum Profit: The maximum profit is achieved when the price of the
underlying asset is at the strike price of the sold put option at the time of its
expiration. This is due to the fact that the bought put option keeps its value
and generates a profit while the sold put option expires worthless.
Breakeven Points: To get the breakeven points, add and subtract the net
debit paid from the put option's strike price. If the price of the underlying
asset falls below the upper breakeven point or stays above the lower
breakeven point, the trader will begin to profit.
We'll use an example to help you grasp the concept a little better. The
option chain as displayed in the aforementioned example indicates that
INDUSINDBK is anticipated to trade range-bound or slightly bearish. So, a
calendar spread with a put option can be created to profit from the stock.
While developing the plan, make a note of the Delta values for each strike so
that you can make educated selections during the adjustment phase. If you
select options that are out-of-the-money options, the Delta values will vary
from 0.40 to 0.60. Nonetheless, if adjustment is required, we shall discuss it
later. Let's get acquainted with the technique first for the time being.
The strategy
Sell 1000PE (February series)
Premium: ₹36/- (rounded off)
Buy 1000PE (March series)
Premium: ₹55/- (say)
Total debit: 55 – 36 = ₹19/-
Maximum profit = Maximum profit is realized if it expires at ₹1000 but
the exact amount is undefined.
Maximum loss = Net debit times lot size = 19 X 900 = ₹17,100/-
The highest profit is realised if the contract expires at the strike price
where the put option was sold, according to the payoff chart. This is so that
when the stock price and strike price coincide, the far expiry put option has
its highest time value. Nevertheless, because the premium of the long-put
option varies on a number of variables and return is reliant on the long
option as well, it is impossible to compute the precise profit.
The payoff also specifies that the strategy's cost, or a maximum loss of
₹17,100, is the maximum loss that could occur. Due to the fact that it is a
debit strategy, the maximum loss is only capped at the net debit. In addition,
it shows the approximate breakeven point on both the upside and downside.
The long-put option makes it hard to estimate the precise breakeven
positions, as was stated in the call calendar spread.
Adjustments
The long-put calendar spread's payoff chart shows two breakeven points,
which indicates that you should modify your strategy if any of them is
challenged. Hence, in case any one side of the breakeven is tested, I'll
demonstrate some potential management techniques.
Adjustment 1
Let's assume that in the first scenario, the price of INDUSINDBK is
rising and that any of the Delta values reduce to approximately 0.20,
triggering adjustment. If you want to keep things simple, consider
controlling the technique when the stock price approaches your upper
breakeven threshold. The near-term short option makes some money at that
point, while the long-term long option suffers some loses. Close the short put
option, taking a portion of the profit off the table, and then open a second
short position of the same kind close to the stock price, where the Delta is
about 0.40. By doing this, you will earn some extra credit. Also, since the
long-put option is a far month contract, there will be less premium decay,
allowing the position to be held open.
Imagine that after a few days the stock's spot price is ₹1050 and the
premium for 1000PE is ₹20. Hence, write off the sold option's profit of ₹16
(36 – 20) and start a new short position at the 1040 strike price.
Adjustment2
Greek Delta values were almost 0.40 in the initial plan, and if any of the
values rise near 0.70, it's appropriate to alter the strategy. Assume that the
market begins to decline and that one of the Delta values is 0.68. You must
manage the approach such that the downside risk is limited if you believe the
stock price will continue to fall. You can achieve this by changing the
strategy into a bear put spread, which implies closing the short position in
the near term and opening a short position with a put option on the March
expiry. Hence, cut off trade 1000PE (Feb. series) by taking a loss and open a
new short position at a strike price close to the stock price. Choose a strike
so that the modified strategy's MTM is as near to zero as possible. Assume
that the premium for 980PE (Mar. series) is ₹65.00, that of 1000PE (Mar.
series) is ₹70.00, and that of 1000PE (Feb. series) is ₹50/-.
Premium of 1000PE: ₹50/- (closed position)
Premium of 980PE (Mar. series): ₹65/-
Premium of 1000PE (long position): ₹70/-
Therefore,
Loss booked = 36 – 50 = – ₹14/- per share
Unrealized profit = 70 – 55 = ₹15/- per share
MTM of the strategy = 15 – 14 = ₹1/- per share
1. Short strangle
2. Short straddle
3. Iron condor
4. Iron butterfly
5. Double calendar spread etc.
Short Strangle
Selling call and put options with the same expiration date but different
strike prices is known as the "Short Strangle" options trading strategy. The
strike price of the put option is below the current value of the underlying
asset, whereas the strike price of the call option is above the current value of
the underlying asset.
The purpose of the Short Strangle strategy is to profit by accumulating
the premiums from the selling of the call and put options while also
benefiting from a sideways market sentiment, where the price of the
underlying asset is anticipated to remain reasonably stable within a given
range.
The price of the underlying asset must stay within the range specified by
the call and put options' strike prices until the options' expiration date in
order for a Short Strangle to maximise profit. In this case, the trader keeps
the premiums received from the sale of the call and put options when both of
them expire worthless.
However, there are pitfalls attached to this approach. The trader might
have to sell the underlying asset at a loss if the price of the underlying asset
increases noticeably over the call option's strike price. The trader may also
be compelled to purchase the underlying asset at a price that is higher than
the market price if the price of the underlying asset falls sharply below the
strike price of the put option.
As the price of the underlying asset can move as high or as low as it
wants, a Short Strangle's potential loss is virtually limitless. The use of
adjusting procedures is therefore necessary. The potential loss can be
reduced by using stop-loss orders. However, if the stop loss is activated, you
lose the amount, but if the strategy is adjusted properly, the loss can be
significantly decreased.
Let's use a real-world scenario to illustrate the method. The option chain
below shows that the NIFTY index will move in a range. The option chain
screenshot was taken on April 3rd for an expiration date of April 6th, 2023.
The market price of Nifty is currently 17,348 and there is a large amount
of open interest on both call and put options. Also, the option chain's ITM
and OTM options have seen a significant amount of call writing. Significant
put writing has occurred on the strikes 17,000, 17,100, 17,200, and 17,300
on the put side. Call option sellers will prevent the market from rising, while
put option sellers will prevent the index from falling. As a result, the market
is intended to trade in a specific area. You can concurrently sell 17,500CE
and 17,200PE to create a short strangle strategy in this scenario. Despite the
fact that the 17,400 strike has the largest call open interest, it is advised
against selling such a close strike because it might be tested at any time.
The strategy
Sell 17500CE; Premium: ₹24/- and
Sell 17200PE; Premium: ₹31/- (rounded off)
Total premium received = 24 + 31 = ₹55/-
Maximum profit = Total credit times the lot size = 55 X 50 = ₹2,750/-
Maximum loss = Undefined
Lower breakeven point = Lower strike – Total credit = 17,200 – 55 =
17,145
Upper breakeven point = Upper strike + Total credit = 17,500 + 55 =
17,555
The preceding payoff graph makes it evident that even if the Nifty moves
in the range of 17,145 to 17,555 before the expiration, you won't lose money
using this approach. In fact, if the index expires inside the range of the strike
prices you sold, the method will generate maximum crop of ₹2,750/-.
Beyond that, your profit will start to decline until it reaches breakeven, and
if the price fluctuates further, you could lose money. Despite the fact that this
technique has a modest maximum profit potential, the likelihood of
achieving this profit is relatively high. Because of this, the strategy is one of
the most often used within the community of option traders. It is important
to note that if the index moves erratically outside of the range, there is an
unlimited risk of loss. The adjustment strategy will be used in this situation.
We will now study how to alter this technique in the event that the market
moves unpredictably outside of the breakeven zone.
Adjustment
New strategy
Short Straddle
A short straddle is an options trading strategy that involves
simultaneously selling a call option and a put option at the same strike price,
with the same expiration date, and on the same underlying asset. Because the
trader is selling the options rather than buying them, the technique is known
as a "short."
When a trader sells a call option, they receive a premium from the buyer
of the option in exchange for the right to purchase the underlying asset at the
strike price at any time before the expiration date. In exchange for the right
to sell the underlying asset at the strike price at any time before the
expiration date, the trader who sells a put option receives a premium from
the buyer.
However, if the underlying asset moves significantly in either direction
before the expiration date, the trader could experience substantial losses. If
the asset price rises above the strike price of the call option, the trader may
be obligated to sell the asset at a loss. If the asset price falls below the strike
price of the put option, the trader may be obligated to purchase the asset at a
price higher than the market price.
Generally, the short straddle strategy includes a large risk if the asset
price fluctuates significantly in either direction but can be beneficial if the
underlying asset is relatively steady. When using a short straddle, as with
any trading technique, it's crucial to carefully weigh the risks and potential
profits.
In contrast to short strangle, where options could be sold on two separate
strikes, short straddle requires that all options be sold at the same strike
price. The other terms, which include the same underlying and expiration
dates, will not change. When the market appears to trade in a constrained
area, this practice is used. The amount of credit obtained determines the
highest profit potential, and the possible loss is limitless because writing
options carry unlimited risk.
To determine the short straddle approach, let's use the same option chain
as before. The current price of the Nifty is 17,348. This is quite close to the
17,350-strike price and carries a nearly same premium. Hence, in order to
create a short straddle, we can simultaneously sell 17,350 call and put
options, which is also an ATM strike.
The strategy
Sell 17350CE; Premium: ₹81/- (rounded off)
Sell 17350PE; Premium: ₹80/- (rounded off)
Total premium received: 81 + 80 = ₹161/-
Maximum profit = Total credit times the lot size = 161 X 50 = ₹8,050/-
Maximum loss = Undefined
Lower breakeven point = Sold strike – Total credit = 17,350 – 161 =
17,189
Upper breakeven point = Sold strike + Total credit = 17,350 + 161 =
17,511
According to the graph above, if the index matures at 17,350, the price at
which the options were sold, a maximum profit of ₹8,050/- can be made. As
the price moves further from the sold strike price, the turnover gradually
falls. On the downside, the approach begins to lose money around 17,189,
while on the upside, it is 17,511. You will earn if Nifty expires anywhere
between these two breakeven areas. Beyond these two stages, the technique
is exposed to unrestricted risk. It is evident from this payoff chart that the
approach only produces a profit when the market moves within the range.
What happens if the index crosses one of the breakeven points and makes a
significant move? In this situation, you must make certain changes to the
plan in order to justify your defeat. The adjustment approach listed below
can help you safeguard your capital in such a bad situation.
Adjustment
Typically, options bearing a delta value in the range of 0.50 were sold at
the money when using the short straddle method. So, you only need to keep
the strategy in place when the Delta of any one of the options dramatically
increases. As a general rule, the adjustment procedure begins when the value
of Delta for any one of the strikes rises to 0.75 to 0.80. If not, the trader can
wait until one of the breakeven is contested. The Delta value for 17350PE
will rise if the Nifty price declines since the strike becomes an in-the-money
option at this point. Let's assume that the value of the 17350PE's Delta when
the index declines is 0.75. This is the time you should step into the strategy
for alteration. In this scenario, the short put option will result in some losses
while the short call option will provide some profits. So, you have to book
some profit off the table and sell one call option with the value of Delta
almost equal to 0.75.
Now imagine that the Nifty has fallen to 17,200 levels; at that point, the
premium for 17350PE becomes ₹180/- and the premium for 17350CE is
₹20/-, while the premium and delta for 17100CE are ₹260/- and 0.75
respectively. Then, in order to earn more premium, book a profit on the
17350CE option and establish an additional short position on 17100CE.
Now,
Premium of 17350CE is ₹20/-
Premium of 17350PE is ₹180/- and
Premium of 17100CE is ₹260/- (new option to be sold)
Booked profit = 81 – 20 = ₹61/-
MTM loss = 80 – 180 = – ₹100/-
New strategy
Sell 17100CE; Premium: ₹260/-
Sell 17350PE; Premium: ₹80/- (existing position)
The adjusted strategy has now become an inverted strangles, meaning
both options are now in-the-money options. This is a crucial thing to note.
As a result, even if you obtained a credit for ₹340/- (260 + 80), the amount
of intrinsic values must be subtracted from the real credit.
Therefore,
Net credit = Credit received – Width of the spread = 340 – 250 = ₹90/-
Maximum profit = Net credit times the lot size = 90 X 50 = ₹4,500/-
Maximum loss = Undefined
Lower breakeven point = Put strike – Net credit = 17,100 – 90 =
17,010
Upper breakeven point = Call strike + Net credit = 17,350 + 90 =
17,440
The lower breakeven, which was earlier at 17,189, has been drastically
reduced down to 17,010 with the aid of this adjustment process. At the same
time, the upper breakeven also dropped down by 71 points. Previously, the
maximum profit possibility was ₹8,050/-; however, the likely amount is
₹4,500/- only. Also, over a 250-point range, the likelihood of receiving the
maximum profit has increased. You will be able to harvest the most if the
index expires at any point between 17,100 and 17,350 levels. Likewise, if
the short straddle approach fails, you can change to the lower breakeven
level. You can close the short call trade and start a new short at a lower level
in the event that the Nifty plunges even further. But keep in mind to consider
the Delta value of the other option (i.e. put option in this case). You must
abandon the technique whenever the value reaches a level close to 1, at
which point the option will function as a futures contract.
So, here's a thought that might cross your mind: how can the straddle be
adjusted if it tests the upper breakeven? The solution is straightforward: try
modifying your put option strategy by taking the same actions. Close the
short put option that is making you some money and start a new short
position but with a higher strike, like we just did.
The maximum risk in the short strangle strategy was not specified, but as
it is a hedged strategy, the maximum loss is limited to ₹7,800/- only. Both
the far out-of-the-money bought call option and the far out-of-the-money put
option will hedge against risk on the upside and downside, respectively.
Hedging has also resulted in a maximum profit potential that is now only
₹2,200/- as opposed to ₹2,750/- in a pure short strangle. Iron condor, in
contrast to short strangle, is used in a range-bound market. But what if the
market suddenly begins to move intermittently? The best thing about option
trading is that you can adjust any strategies if the market deviates from what
you had anticipated. So, you can adjust the iron condor spread in the event of
adverse movement to cut your losses or turn it into a profit.
Adjustment
In contrast to the short strangle, the short iron condor is likewise a Delta
neutral strategy, which means that its overall Delta value is close to zero.
When there is a significant imbalance in the value of the strategy's Delta, the
correction operation is started in the short strangle strategy. When the
difference between the Delta values of any option combination, such as a
bull put spread or a bear call spread, is twice, you must modify an iron
condor. Alternatively, you can wait until the market reaches one of the
break-even points and use the identical steps as for the short strangle
adjustment.
Imagine that you have chosen a weekly option strategy and the Nifty
price is falling and the overall Delta doubled. Close the pair of call options
in that situation as it will generate some profit and create a new bear call
spread with lower strikes. Attempt to keep the spread's width constant with
the initial approach.
Say, back then
Premium of 17500CE is ₹6/-
Premium of 17700CE is ₹1/-
Premium of 17200PE is ₹48/-
Premium of 17000PE is ₹18/- and
Premium of 17250CE is ₹70/- (new option to be sold)
Premium of 17450CE is ₹10/- (new option to be bought)
Booked profit = (24 – 3) – (6 – 1) = ₹16/-
MTM loss = (24 - 3) – (48 – 18) = – ₹9/-
New strategy
Sell 17250CE; Premium: ₹70/-
Buy 17450CE; Premium: ₹10/-
Sell 17200PE; Premium: ₹31/- (existing position)
Buy 17000PE; Premium: ₹8/- (existing position)
Total premium received: New short premium + Profit booked +
Existing short premium – MTM loss = (70 – 10) + 16 + (31 – 8) – 9 = ₹90/-
Maximum profit = Total credit times the lot size = 90 X 50 = ₹4,500/-
Maximum loss = Difference between the strike prices of either spread
less the premium received at initiation; times the contract size = (200 – 90)
X 50 = ₹5,500/-
Lower breakeven point = Lower sold strike – Total credit = 17,200 – 90
= 17,110
Upper breakeven point = Upper sold strike + Total credit = 17,250 + 90
= 17,340
The payoff shows that after adjustment, the highest profit potential has
grown by two times. Moreover, the maximum risk has been decreased
significantly from ₹7,800/- to ₹5,500/-. The upper breakeven is now 17,340
and the lower breakeven has moved to 17,110. At this stage, if the breakeven
does not drastically decrease, it appears pointless to change the strategy. Is it
not? But, shifting the breakeven is not the only goal of option strategy
adjustment; you also need to consider other factors, such as maximum risk
and reward. After adjustment, the risk to reward ratio in this situation works
in your advantage. You will be able to maximise the strategy's benefits if the
market bounces in any way and expires in your profitable zone.
The payoff chart makes it evident that if the option expires at the short
strike price of 17,350, the highest profit might be ₹7,250/-. If the price of the
Nifty goes away from the centre strike, the profit potential gradually
decreases. When the price of the index crosses 17,495 on the upside and
17,205 on the downside, the strategy begins to produce negative returns.
Only when it expires above the call long strike or below the put long strike is
the maximum risk constrained to ₹7,750/-. This is one of the most
straightforward option strategies for range-bound markets. The biggest
difficulties arise whenever the underlying exhibits a strong movement in any
direction. In this case, the trader might manage the approach to cut the loss
as much as possible. To learn the adjusting methods to use when the Nifty
experience a sudden movement, keep reading.
Adjustment
Since the short iron butterfly is also a Delta neutral approach, you can
make modifications as soon as the Delta's value starts to deviate. Some
traders will think about making adjustments if the call or put spread's value
doubles. To be honest though, there isn't any set amount of time for an exact
adjustment. Many people wait until one of the breakeven points has been
violated in order to keep things simple. Nevertheless, let's learn the method.
The short iron butterfly strategy's adjustment resembles a straightforward
short straddle in many ways. The only distinction is that you must combine
either the put option pair or the call option pair. Consider a scenario in which
the index turns bullish and attempts to test the upper breakeven mark. When
you build a bull put spread at a point where you can get a net premium
equivalent to the bear call spread, you should book profit on the put option
pair. This will offer you some profit. Suppose that the call option pair and
the 17350PE and 17050PE option pair each have a net credit that is almost
identical.
Say,
New strategy
Sell 17550PE; Premium: ₹190/-
Buy 17250PE; Premium: ₹26/-
Sell 17350CE; Premium: ₹81/- (existing position)
Buy 17650CE; Premium: ₹5/- (existing position)
Both of the options are now in the money because the strategy has
changed to an inverted strangle strategy. Because of this, even though you
have a total credit of ₹240/- [(190 - 26) + (81 – 5)] the intrinsic values must
be subtracted from the actual credit.
Therefore,
Net credit = Credit received – Width of the spread = 240 – 200= ₹40/-
Maximum profit = Net credit times the lot size = 40 X 50 = ₹2,000/-
Maximum loss = Difference between the strike prices of either spread
less width of the spread, less the premium received at initiation; times the
contract size = (300 – 200 – 40) X 50 = ₹3,000/-
Lower breakeven point = Sold call strike – Net credit = 17,350 – 40 =
17,310
Upper breakeven point = Sold put strike + Net credit = 17,550 + 40 =
17,590
Look at the payoff chart's upper breakeven point first; after modification,
it has moved to 17,590 from 17,495. The lower breakeven point has also
shifted upward at the same time. You may have observed that the greatest
profit potential is now only ₹2,000/- instead of the previous ₹7,250/-. Here,
the maximum risk is now just ₹3,000/- instead of ₹7,750/- as it was before
the modification. Above all you have got a wider range of 200 points for the
maximum reward. On the other hand, in the past, it was a certain price (i.e.
17,350) that was extremely challenging to really reach. This is one of the
biggest benefits that may be attained with a short butterfly adjustment. You
can take a chance and alter your strategy one more time if the market keeps
rising. Only twice may the short straddle or short iron butterfly be modified.
No matter how successful the approach is, it is always advisable to stop
using it after two tries because each option will have a Delta value that is
approximately equivalent to one. Always keep in mind that modifications
have a cost, and making extreme adjustments can hurt your trading portfolio.
The strategy
Sell 17500CE (6 Apr. series)
Premium: ₹24/-
Sell 17200PE (6 Apr. series)
Premium: ₹31/- (rounded off)
Buy 17500CE (13 Apr. series)
Premium: ₹76/- (rounded off)
Buy 17200PE (13 Apr. series)
Premium: ₹71/- (rounded off)
Net debit = 76 + 71 – 24 – 31 = ₹92/-
Maximum loss = 92 X 50 = ₹4,600/- (approx.)
Adjustment
Double calendar spread adjustments are quite similar to short iron condor
modifications. If you design a strategy with an overall delta value close to
zero, you will need to make adjustments if the delta value suddenly changes.
When the delta difference reaches ± (20 to 25), you can start making
adjustments. Otherwise, you can watch for the index to test a particular
breakeven threshold. Suppose that in a few of days, the price of the Nifty
would rise substantially to 17,500 and touches the upper breakeven.
Sometimes, even though the upper breakeven is far from the spot price, you
can make minor adjustments to the approach if you believe that the
underlying will continue to rise in the near future, particularly if it has been
maintaining above the important psychological level.
In this case, you can simply roll up your put option pair for some more
credit to take some cash off the table. This implies to close out a pair of
17200PE options and to open new positions using the same type of options
on the 17450 strike.
New strategy
Sell 17450PE (6 Apr. series): ₹47/-
Buy 17450PE (13 Apr. series): ₹101/-
Sell 17500CE (6 Apr. series): ₹24/- (existing position)
Buy 17500CE (13 Apr. series): ₹76/- (existing position)
Total debit = Net debit + Booked loss – MTM profit = {(101 – 47) + (76
– 24)} – 12 + 13 = ₹107/-
Maximum loss = Net debit times lot size = 107 X 50 = ₹5,350/-
Maximum profit = Maximum profit can be realized at the short strikes
Although the amount is approximative, the maximum earning potential
has grown to ₹4,160/- from ₹2,290/-. The two strikes where the short bets
were established are where the maximum profit can be made. The potential
profit is higher for the call short strike in this instance than the put short
strike. The lower breakeven point has also shifted somewhat, from 17,140 to
17,355, while the higher breakeven point has risen from 17,590 to 17620.
Nevertheless, because long option holdings are involved, it is difficult to
figure out the precise breakeven points. The strategy's net debit, or ₹5,350/-,
which was ₹4,600/- before the alteration, limits the maximum loss potential.
This has caused not just the upper breakeven point to go upward but also the
profit potential. Yet, as I previously stated, any modification also has certain
drawbacks. The potential for maximum risk has also marginally increased
after modification.
OPTION BUYING VS. OPTION
SELLING
Let's start by learning some fundamental information about the options
market. There are four different categories of market participants in the
options market, as we previously learned at the beginning of the book. They
are put buyers, put sellers, call writers, and call buyers. On the flip side of
every option transaction, someone is selling it and vice versa. When
purchasing a call option, you anticipate that the premium and underlying
price will rise. You will sell your call option at higher price and earn the
difference amount. The call writer simultaneously hopes that the underlying
will expire below the strike price and lose all of its value so that they may
keep the entire premium. Who is going to win between the buyers and sellers
is the current situation? To understand it, you must be aware of the variables
influencing the option's pricing.
The price of the option is influenced by a number of variables, but the
three main variables that have the most impact are price movement of the
underlying, implied volatility and time before expiration. Let's now go over
the benefits and drawbacks of purchasing and selling options while taking
each component individually into account.