Stats 1 Ch6 - Probability Distributions

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Stats 1 Ch6 – Probability Distributions

Q1.

A biased spinner can only land on one of the numbers 1, 2, 3 or 4. The random variable X represents the
number that the spinner lands on after a single spin and P(X = r) = P(X = r + 2) for r = 1, 2
Given that P(X = 2) = 0.35
(a) find the complete probability distribution of X.
(2)
Ambroh spins the spinner 60 times.
(b) Find the probability that more than half of the spins land on the number 4
Give your answer to 3 significant figures.
(3)

The random variable


(c) Find P(Y – X 4)
(3)

(Total for question = 8 marks)

Q2.

Helen believes that the random variable C, representing cloud cover from the large data set, can be
modelled by a discrete uniform distribution.
(a) Write down the probability distribution for C.
(2)
(b) Using this model, find the probability that cloud cover is less than 50%
(1)
Helen used all the data from the large data set for Hurn in 2015 and found that the proportion of days with
cloud cover of less than 50% was 0.315
(c) Comment on the suitability of Helen's model in the light of this information.
(1)
(d) Suggest an appropriate refinement to Helen's model.
(1)

(Total for question = 5 marks)


Q3.

Magali is studying the mean total cloud cover, in oktas, for Leuchars in 1987 using data
from the large data set. The daily mean total cloud cover for all 184 days from the large
data set is summarised in the table below.

One of the 184 days is selected at random.


(a) Find the probability that it has a daily mean total cloud cover of 6 or greater.
(1)
Magali is investigating whether the daily mean total cloud cover can be modelled using a binomial
distribution.
She uses the random variable X to denote the daily mean total cloud cover and believes that X ~ B(8,
0.76)
Using Magali's model,
(b) (i) find P(X 6)
(2)
(ii) find, to 1 decimal place, the expected number of days in a sample of 184 days
with a daily mean total cloud cover of 7
(2)
(c) Explain whether or not your answers to part (b) support the use of Magali's model.
(1)
There were 28 days that had a daily mean total cloud cover of 8
For these 28 days the daily mean total cloud cover for the following day is shown in the
table below.

(d) Find the proportion of these days when the daily mean total cloud cover was 6 or greater.
(1)
(e) Comment on Magali's model in light of your answer to part (d).
(2)

(Total for question = 9 marks)


Q4.

A fair 5-sided spinner has sides numbered 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5


The spinner is spun once and the score of the side it lands on is recorded.
(a) Write down the name of the distribution that can be used to model the score of the side it lands on.
(1)
The spinner is spun 28 times.
The random variable X represents the number of times the spinner lands on 2
(b) (i) Find the probability that the spinner lands on 2 at least 7 times.
(ii)Find P(4 X < 8)
(5)
(Total for question = 6 marks)

Q5.

The probability of a bolt being faulty is 0.3. Find the probability that in a random sample of 20 bolts there
are
(a) exactly 2 faulty bolts,
(2)
(b) more than 3 faulty bolts.
(2)
These bolts are sold in bags of 20. John buys 10 bags.
(c) Find the probability that exactly 6 of these bags contain more than 3 faulty bolts.
(3)
(Total 7 marks)

Q6.

Sue throws a fair coin 15 times and records the number of times it shows a head.
(a) State the distribution to model the number of times the coin shows a head.
(2)
Find the probability that Sue records
(b) exactly 8 heads,
(c) at least 4 heads.
(2)
(Total for question = 4 marks)
Q7.

Naasir is playing a game with two friends. The game is designed to be a game of chance so that the

probability of Naasir winning each game is


Naasir and his friends play the game 15 times.
(a) Find the probability that Naasir wins
(i) exactly 2 games,
(ii) more than 5 games.
(3)

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