Department of Civil Engineering Central Campus
Department of Civil Engineering Central Campus
Department of Civil Engineering Central Campus
Institute of Engineering
DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL ENGINEERING
Central Campus
Pulchowk
Assignment-2
Submitted To:
Uday Lamichhane
079/MSDRM/019
log λM = a−b M
Where:
λM = number of earthquakes greater than or equal to a certain
magnitude. M = the magnitude of the earthquake.
a and b are constants determined empirically.
This law signifies that there are many more small earthquakes than large ones.
For example, for every earthquake of magnitude 6, there may be ten times as many
earthquakes of magnitude 5, and a hundred times as many earthquakes of magnitude
4. It illustrates the statistical distribution of earthquakes by magnitude, showing that
smaller earthquakes are much more common than larger ones. This distribution is
crucial for understanding seismic hazard and risk assessment, as it helps in predicting
the likelihood of earthquakes of different magnitudes occurring in a given region over a
certain period.
2. Explain how the local soil effects on the ground motion due to Earthquake. Describe
the effect of type and depth of soil sediment on the resulting ground motion at the
surface.
The local geological soil conditions change the characteristics of surface seismic
response. One on the important reason of the earthquake damages is local soil
conditions. Study on the earthquakes was indicated that structural damages influenced
by local soil conditions. When seismic waves generated by an earthquake propagate
through the Earth, they interact with the underlying geology, including soil sediments,
which can amplify or attenuate the shaking experienced at the surface. This
phenomenon is often referred to as site effects or local soil effects.
The effect of soil on ground motion can be described based on the type and depth
of soil sediments:
Type of Soil:
a) Soft Soil: Soft soils, such as loose sands and silts, and poorly consolidated sediments
tend to amplify ground motion. These soils have low shear wave velocities and high
compressibility, which results in longer periods of shaking and greater amplification
of seismic waves.
b) Stiff Soil: Stiff soils, such as dense sands and gravels, and rock formations, typically
result in less amplification of ground motion. These soils have higher shear wave
velocities and lower compressibility, leading to shorter periods of shaking and less
amplification of seismic waves.
Depth of Soil Sediments:
The combination of soil type and depth can result in complex variations in ground
motion across a region during an earthquake. In some cases, certain types of soil, such
as liquefiable soils or soils with high water content, can also lead to additional hazards
such as soil liquefaction, lateral spreading, and settlement.
4. What are ground motion attenuation relationships? Why they are required?
Ground motion attenuation relationships, known as ground motion prediction
equations (GMPEs), are fundamental for estimating seismic shaking intensity at specific
sites during earthquakes. These equations, derived from empirical data collected from
past seismic events, consider various factors such as earthquake magnitude, site
conditions, and local geological characteristics. One critical consideration is correcting
for the difference between the distance from known earthquakes and the distance to the
site of interest. This correction ensures accurate estimations of ground motion.
Additionally,
GMPEs
incorporate the effects of
geometric
spreading and absorption
(damping) of seismic
waves.
Geometric spreading
accounts for
the widening area
occupied by
waves as they propagate
from the
earthquake source, while
absorption
involves loss mechanisms like
friction and inhomogeneities along
the wave path. Incorporating these
elements enables precise
estimations of ground shaking
intensity, aiding seismic hazard assessments and engineering design to enhance the
resilience of communities in earthquake-prone regions.
This is the basic form of attenuation relationship. The equation is the result of a
regression analysis of several variables, as shown. Y over line is some parameter, such
as peak ground acceleration, spectral acceleration, or some other entity.
Here,
5. List and describe in brief the principal parameters of earthquake ground motion.
Amplitude, frequency content, and duration are identified as the three key
characteristics defining ground motion, as stated by Kramer (1996). Ground motion
parameters (GMPs) are classified into three main categories based on their
dependence on these essential characteristics: first-order, second-order, and third-order
parameters.
Seismic hazard analysis is a process used to assess the potential risk and threat
posed by earthquakes in a specific geographic area. It involves evaluating various
factors such as historical seismic activity, fault lines, geological conditions, and ground
shaking potential to estimate the likelihood and severity of future earthquakes.
Step-2: Selection of source to site distance parameter for each source zone.
In most DSHAs, the shortest distance between the source zone and the site of
interest is selected.
The distance may be expressed as an epicentral distance or hypo-central
distance, depending on the measure of distance of the predictive relationship
required in the next step.
Step-3: Selection of the controlling earthquake (i.e. the earthquake that is expected to
produce the strongest level of shaking), generally expressed in terms of some ground
motion parameter at the site.
Step-4: The hazard at the site is formally defined, usually in terms of the ground motions
produced at the site by the controlling earthquake.
Its characteristics are usually described by one or more ground motion parameters
obtained from predictive relationships
Peak acceleration, peak velocity and response spectrum ordinates are commonly
used to characterize the seismic hazard.
Step-1:
Three earthquake sources are considered and characterized
Step-2:
Theclosest distance to the site is used for each earthquake source.
Magnitudes of the earthquakes from different sources vary.
Magnitudes are consistent with the selected "maximum earthquake."
Step-3:
Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) at the site is calculated using an appropriate
attenuation relationship.
The earthquake that results in the highest PGA is identified as the controlling
earthquake. Step-4:
The hazard at the site is formally defined, usually in terms of the ground motions
produced at the site by the controlling earthquake.
However, this approach alone is insufficient to establish risk. It doesn't address
how the motion affects the structure under consideration. A more distant earthquake
with a lower effective PGA might produce waves that better match the structure's
resonant frequency, impacting its response differently.
7. Explain why a seismic hazard analysis is carried out? Describe in brief the main
components of Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA).
Step-2: Recurrence
The ground motion produced at the site by earthquakes of any possible size
occurring at any possible point in each source zone must be determined with the
use of predictive relationship
The uncertainty inherent in the predictive relationship is also considered in a
PSHA. Step – 4: Probability of Exceedance
Source 1: =
�� (�� −
Magnitude, M = ��1)
7.3 Distance, R
=?
We know, (y-y1)
Distance, R = √ = 23.71
Source 2:
Magnitude, M = 7.7
Source 3:
Magnitude, M = 5.0
Distance, R = 60
Step 4: Comparing:
Therefore, Source 2 is the controlling earthquake with highest PGA value and Magnitude
that is located in an ample distance.
9. Determine the mean annual rate of exceedance of earthquake of threshold magnitude
= M5, for a fault with the values given: a = 5.2 and b = 1.0.
Here,
a = 5.2, b = 1
Magnitude, M = 5
So,
log λM = a − b M
= 5.2 – 1 X 5
= 0.2
Therefor,
Annual Mean rate of exceedance of Earthquake, λM = 1.58
10. List the major components of Deterministic Seismic Hazard Analysis (DSHA)
and Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA). What is the major difference
between the two methods?
Major Difference:
The major difference between DSHA and PSHA lies in their approach to
considering earthquake occurrences and their associated uncertainties:
DSHA focuses on analyzing a single, deterministic scenario earthquake,
typically the worst-case scenario, without explicitly considering uncertainties
in earthquake occurrence and ground motion prediction.
PSHA, on the other hand, considers a range of potential earthquake scenarios,
incorporates uncertainties in earthquake occurrence and ground motion
prediction using probabilistic models, and provides a probabilistic estimate of
ground shaking intensity over a specified time period.
11. What would be the return period for the following probabilities of exceedance in
the given period of years;
Here,
Probability, P [ N ≥ 1 ] = 1 – e-(λm)T
So, P = 0.1
Then,
So, P = 0.02
Then,
Then,
So, P = 0.1
Then,
So, P = 0.1
Then,
12. What are seismic hazard curves? Explain their use in seismic risk analysis.
Seismic hazard curves are graphical representations that show the probability of
experiencing various levels of ground motion intensity (such as Peak Ground
Acceleration - PGA or Spectral Acceleration) within a given time frame (usually over a
certain number of years). These curves are essential tools in seismic risk analysis as
they provide valuable insights into the potential impact of earthquakes on structures,
infrastructure, and communities. Here's a bit more detail on their use:
Risk Assessment: Seismic hazard curves are fundamental for evaluating the level of
seismic risk in a specific area. By plotting the probability distribution of ground
motion intensities, decision-makers can assess the likelihood of earthquakes
causing damage or disruption to buildings, lifelines, and other critical infrastructure.
Design and Planning: Engineers and planners rely on seismic hazard curves to
design resilient structures and infrastructure that can withstand the expected
ground motions associated with earthquakes. Understanding the probability of
encountering certain levels of
ground motion allows them to incorporate appropriate safety factors and design
criteria into their projects.
In summary, seismic hazard curves are invaluable tools that play a critical role in
understanding, quantifying, and managing seismic risk, thereby contributing to the
resilience of communities and infrastructure in earthquake-prone regions.
13. What are seismic hazard maps? How seismic hazard maps are used in
earthquake disaster mitigation.
Seismic hazard maps are geographical representations that depict the level of
seismic hazard or risk in a particular area. These maps typically show the likelihood of
experiencing ground shaking of various intensities or the probability of earthquakes
occurring within a specified time frame. Seismic hazard maps are essential tools in
earthquake disaster mitigation, and here's how they are used:
Risk Assessment: Seismic hazard maps help assess the level of seismic risk faced
by communities, infrastructure, and critical facilities. By identifying areas prone to
earthquakes and estimating the potential ground shaking, these maps provide
valuable information for understanding the vulnerability of buildings and
infrastructure.
Land Use Planning: Seismic hazard maps inform land use planning and
development decisions in earthquake-prone regions. Zoning regulations, building
codes, and land use policies are often based on the information provided by these
maps to ensure that new construction projects are located in areas with lower
seismic risk and designed to withstand potential ground shaking.
Infrastructure Design: Engineers and architects use seismic hazard maps to design
resilient structures and infrastructure that can withstand the effects of earthquakes. By
considering the level of seismic hazard in a specific area, designers can incorporate
appropriate design
criteria, materials, and construction techniques to enhance the structural integrity
and safety of buildings, bridges, dams, and lifeline systems.
Emergency Preparedness and Response: Seismic hazard maps play a crucial role
in emergency preparedness and response efforts. Emergency management
agencies use these maps to identify high-risk areas and develop evacuation plans,
emergency response strategies, and disaster recovery measures. By
understanding the potential impact of earthquakes, authorities can allocate
resources effectively and mitigate the consequences of seismic events.
Public Awareness and Education: Seismic hazard maps raise public awareness
about earthquake risks and encourage individuals and communities to take
proactive measures to reduce vulnerability and enhance preparedness.
Educational campaigns, outreach programs, and community workshops often use
these maps to educate residents about earthquake hazards, emergency
procedures, and mitigation strategies.
Overall, seismic hazard maps are essential tools for earthquake disaster
mitigation, providing valuable information for risk assessment, land use planning,
infrastructure design, emergency preparedness, and public education. By
incorporating the information provided by these maps into decision-making
processes, authorities can reduce the vulnerability of communities and enhance their
resilience to seismic events.
14. Explain the importance of seismic hazard analysis in seismic risk mitigation.
Seismic hazard analysis plays a crucial role in seismic risk mitigation by providing
valuable information about the likelihood and potential severity of earthquakes in a
particular region. Here are several key reasons why seismic hazard analysis is
important in mitigating seismic risk: